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November 25, 2014

Clinton Dominates Dems in 2016

Rasmussen Reports joins the 2016 parade with a new national presidential primary poll showing what every other national primary poll seems to show, a Hillary blowout and a wide open GOP race.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Rasmussen)
Hillary Clinton 62%
Elizabeth Warren 17%
Joe Biden 7%
Martin O’Malley 2%
Jim Webb 2%

For some reason, Rasmussen Reports decided that one will have to pay to see the Republican portion of the poll. This poll was done November 20-21 among 1000 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 1:07 pm
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November 24, 2014

Bush, Clinton Lead Fields in FL for 2016

Gravis Marketing has dumped out polls on the Republican and Democratic sides for the state of Florida.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA – GOP PRIMARY (Gravis)
Jeb Bush 33%
Marco Rubio 14%
Ted Cruz 11%
Rand Paul 11%
Chris Christie 6%
Nikki Haley 5%
Paul Ryan 5%
Rick Sanotrum 3%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA – DEM PRIMARY (Gravis)
Hillary Clinton 51%
Elizabeth Warren 18%
Joe Biden 12%
Martin O’Malley 4%
Andrew Cuomo 2%

US SENATE – FLORIDA – GOP PRIMARY (Gravis)
Pam Bondi 38%
Jeff Atwater 17%
Adam Putnam 16%

I couldn’t find an official date for these polls, but they were done among 811 Republican primary voters and 694 Democratic primary voters.

Romney Within 1% of Hillary in NH

Now that the 2014 election, Louisiana withstanding, is over, we can start the onslaught of polls for the 2016 races and this morning, we have a new poll from Bloomberg and Saint Anselm showing Republicans still are in love with Mitt Romney.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (Bloomberg/St. Anselm)
Mitt Romhey 30%
Rand Paul 11%
Chris Christie 9%
Jeb Bush 8%
Ben Carson 6%
Mike Huckabee 5%
Paul Ryan 5%
Ted Cruz 5%
Bobby Jindal 3%
Rick Perry 2%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Bloomberg/St. Anselm)
Hillary Clinton 62%
Elizabeth Warren 13%
Bernie Sanders 6%
Joe Biden 5%
Deval Patrick 2%
Martin O’Malley 1%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Bloomberg/St. Anselm)
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Mitt Romney (R) 45%

Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Jeb Bush (R) 39%

Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
Rand Paul (R) 41%

This poll was done November 12-18 among 500 General Election voters, 407 Republican primary voters, and 404 Democratic primary voters.

November 23, 2014

2014 Week 12 NFL Picks

The Washington Post has a banner headline on the front page about some new accusers against Bill Cosby and then Marion Barry dies at midnight, too late for the morning papers…#badtiming

Before we get to this week’s picks, a quick look at how I did last week. My picks are listed first.

WEEK 11 WINNERS
Miami beat Buffalo
Chicago beat Minnesota
Houston beat Cleveland
Kansas City beat Seattle
Atlanta beat Carolina
Tampa Bay beat Washington
San Diego beat Oakland
Arizona beat Detroit
Green Bay beat Philadelphia
Pittsburgh beat Tennessee

WEEK 12 LOSERS
New Orleans lost to Cincinnati
Denver lost to St. Louis
N.Y. Giants lost to San Francisco
Indianapolis lost to New England

A 10-4 record brings my season record to 102-59 and moves me up to 6th among the so-called experts at ESPN.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
Cris Carter 112-49
KC Joyner 109-52
Tom Jackson 108-53
Eric Allen 107-54
Seth Wickersham 106-55
ME 102-59
Ron Jaworksi 102-59
Adam Schefter 102-59
Keyshawn Johnson 102-59
Mark Schlereth 100-61
Mike Ditka 99-62
Merrill Hoge 97-54
Mike Golic 97-64
Cris Mortensen 95-66

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Reports picks for Week 12 of the NFL season.

WEEK 12 NFL PICKS
Kansas City at Oakland
Tampa Bay at Chicago
Detroit at New England
Cleveland at Atlanta
Green Bay at Minnesota
Jacksonville at Indianapolis
Tennessee at Philadelphia
Cincinnati at Houston
Arizona at Seattle
St. Louis at San Diego
Miami at Denver
Washington at San Francisco
Dallas at N.Y. Giants
N.Y. Jets at Buffalo
Baltimore at New Orleans

Posted by Dave at 9:28 am
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November 22, 2014

On A Lighter Note

I missed out on the Mobbies this year. In an effort to prevent this website from winning an award this time around, The Baltimore Sun limited the categories this year and did not have a “Best Political Website” category. Someone did nominate me for “Wonkiest Blog”, and I managed to finish 10th despite not even being aware I was nominated.

But now, apparently someone has a comedic streak as I have been nominated for “Maryland Conservative of the Year” at Red Maryland. After I stopped laughing and then spending some emails trying to figure out what prankster among my political friends did this, I thought it was a perfect opportunity to stand up for fellow RINOs everywhere. So for all RINOs across the the country, let’s win this thing together! This won;t just me my victory, but a victory for all non-deadenders everywhere!

You can vote here:

http://redmaryland.com/2014/11/vote-2014-red-maryland-awards/

The category is the first one and I am at the bottom of the list.

Posted by Dave at 8:43 am
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November 20, 2014

Cassidy Leads By 15% in LA

Rasmussen Reports has their own view of the race in Louisiana and claims Bill Cassidy up by 15%.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (Rasmussen)
Bill Cassidy (R) 56%
Mary Landrieu (D-inc) 41%

This poll was done November 16-19 among 1000 likely voters.

Cassidy Leads By 11% in LA

One more poll to add to the Louisiana pile, this time from Vox Populi Polling.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (VPP)
Bill Cassidy (R) 53%
Mary Landrieu (D-inc) 42%

This poll was done November 16-17 among 761 likely voters.

November 18, 2014

Emanuel Below 40% in Chicago

Okay, I am stretching a little bit now. Here is a new poll for the mayoral race in Chicago showing Rahm Emanuel well below 50% in his bid for another term according to Lake Research Partners and the Chicago Teachers Union.

MAYOR – CHICAGO (LRP)
Rahm Emanuel (inc) 33%
Jesus “Chuy” Garcia 18%
Bob Fioretti 13%

MAYOR – CHICAGO – RUNOFF (LRP)
Rahm Emanuel (inc) 36%
Jesus “Chuy” Garcia 31%

This poll was done November 6-11 among 621 likely voters. In case you are wondering, first round takes place February 24th, 2015 with the runoff happening on April 7th, 2015 if necessary.

November 17, 2014

Cassidy Leads By 21% in LA

It will be rough couple of years for the Landrieu family in Louisiana if a new poll from Gravis Marketing is to be believed.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (Gravis)
Bill Cassidy (R) 59%
Mary Landrieu (D-inc) 38%

GOVERNOR – LOUISIANA (Gravis)
David Vitter (R) 54%
Mitch Landrieu (D) 36%

David Vitter (R) 43%
Jay Dardenne (R) 29%

The post did not include the actual dates for the poll, but it was done among 643 likely voters. I wish they had done a three-way race between Vitter/Dardenne/Landrieu for the gubernatorial race.

November 16, 2014

2014 Week 11 NFL Picks

I guess the polling world has gone into hibernation until Thanksgiving as we have only received a single poll for the race in Louisiana since Election Day. Therefore, we will have to stick to NFL picks for now. Before we get to this week’s picks, a quick look at how I did last week.

WEEK 10 WINNERS
Baltimore beat Tennessee
Kansas City beat Buffalo
Detroit beat Miami
Dallas beat Jacksonville
Atlanta beat Tampa Bay
Denver beat Oakland
Arizona beat St. Louis
Seattle beat N.Y. Giants
Green Bay beat Chicago
Philadelphia beat Carolina

WEEK 10 LOSERS
Cincinnati lost to Cleveland
New Orleans lost to San Francisco
Pittsburgh lost to N.Y. Jets

A 10-3 week bring my season record to 92-55, but I am still far back in the pack among the so-called experts at ESPN.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
Cris Carter 93-41
KC Joyner 101-46
Eric Allen 99-48
Tom Jackson 99-48
Seth Wickersham 98-49
Ron Jaworksi 95-52
Adam Schefter 93-54
Mark Schlereth 93-54
Keyshawn Johnson 94-53
ME 92-55
Merrill Hoge 90-57
Mike Ditka 89-98
Mike Golic 89-58
Cris Mortensen 85-62

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 11 of the NFL season.

2014 WEEK 11 NFL PICKS
Buffalo at Miami
Minnesota at Chicago
Houston at Cleveland
Seattle at Kansas City
Atlanta at Carolina
Cincinnati at New Orleans
Tampa Bay at Washington
Denver at St. Louis
San Francisco at N.Y. Giants
Oakland at San Diego
Detroit at Arizona
Philadelphia at Green Bay
New England at Indianapolis
Pittsburgh at Tennessee

The AFC north is so bunch up that even with a bye week for the Ravens, at the end of the NFL weekend, the Ravens could come out on the other side either in first place in the AFC North based on a tie breaker or in dead last.

AFC NORTH STANDINGS
Cleveland 6-3-0
Cincinnati 5-3-1
Pittsburgh 6-4-0
Baltimore 6-4-0

As I said, no game for me to watch this weekend….