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September 23, 2014

Cotton Leads Pryor By 5% in AR

More surprising polling news from Public Policy Polling in the state of Arkansas where they now show Tom Cotton opening up a 5% lead over Mark Pryor.

US SENATE – ARKANSAS (PPP)
Tom Cotton (R) 43%
Mark Pryor (D-inc) 38%
Mark Swaney (G) 3%
Nathan LaFrance (L) 3%

GOVERNOR – ARKANSAS (PPP)
Asa Htchinson (R) 44%
Mike Ross (D) 38%
Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
Joshua Drake (G) 2%

This poll was done September 18-21 among 1453 likely voters. We have a poll from the left-leaning Global Strategy Group showing Kay Hagan with a 4% lead over Thom Tillis in the state of North Carolina.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (GSG)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 45%
Thom Tillis (R) 41%
Sean Haugh (L) 5%

This poll was done September 16-18 among 600 likely voters.

Sullivan Leads Begich In AK

Better news than I would have expected in a new poll from Public Policy Polling for the state of Alaska.

US SENATE – ALASKA (PPP)
Dan Sullivan (R) 43%
Mark Begich (D-inc) 41%
Mark Fish (L) 3%
Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2%

GOVERNOR – ALASKA (PPP)
Bill Walker (I) 42%
Sean Parnell (R-inc) 41%
Carolyn Clift (L) 3%
JR Myers (C) 2%

US HOUSE – ALASKA CD AL (PPP)
Don Young (R-inc) 48%
Forrest Dunbar (D) 33%

This poll was done September 18-21 among 880 likely voters.

September 22, 2014

Ducey Leads DuVal By 6% in AZ

Tonight, we get a new poll from The Tarrance Group showing Doug Ducey with a 6% lead over Fred DuVal in the state of Arizona.

GOVERNOR – ARIZONA (Tarrance)
Doug Ducey (R) 44%
Fred DuVal (D) 38%
Barry Hess (L) 6%
JL Mealer (AEA) 1%

This poll was done September 15-17 among 500 likely voters.

Polls From NH, MI, NC, KS, IA

A leftist group gave Public Policy Polling some money to produce these resutls in New Hampshire and Michigan.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (PPP)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 50%
Scott Brown (R) 44%

GOVERNOR – NEW HAMPSHIRE (PPP)
Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 52%
Walt Havenstein (R) 43%

US SENATE – MICHIGAN (PPP)
Gary Peters (D) 47%
Terri Lynn Land (R) 40%

GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN (PPP)
Rick Snyder (R-inc) 46%
Mark Schauer (D) 44%

Both polls were done September 18-19, among 652 likely voters in NH and 852 likely voters in MI. Meanwhile, High Point University has Kay Hagan up by 2% in the state of North Carolina.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (HPU)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 42%
Thom Tillis (R) 40%
Sean Haugh (L) 6%

This poll was done September 13-18 among 410 likely voters. Back to Michigan, where Magellan Strategies has Peters up by 5%.

US SENATE – MICHIGAN (PPP)
Gary Peters (D) 45%
Terri Lynn Land (R) 40%
Others 5%

This poll was done September 14-15 among 717 likely voters. Finally a couple of gubernatorial polls from Rasmussen Reports in Kansas and Iowa.

GOVERNOR – IOWA (Rasmussen)
Terry Branstad (R-inc) 46%
Jack Hatch (D) 40%

GOVERNOR – KANSAS (Rasmussen)
Paul Davis (D) 47%
Sam Brownback (R-inc) 43%

The KS poll was done September 16-17 and the IA poll was done September 17-18, both among 750 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 4:54 pm
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September 21, 2014

Peters Leads By 3%, Snyder/Schauer Tied in MI, Rauner Leads By 3% in IL

We Ask America spit out some new polls tonight for the states of Michigan and Illinois.

US SENATE – MICHIGAN (WAA)
Gary Peters (D) 42%
Terri Lynn Land 39%
Others 5%

GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN (WAA)
Rick Snyder (R-inc) 43%
Mark Schauer (D) 43%
Others 4%

GOVERNOR – ILLINOIS (WAA)
Bruce Rauner (R) 44%
Pat Quinn (D-inc) 41%
Chad Grimm (L) 6%

Both polls were done September 18-19 among 1182 likely voters in MI and 1418 likely voters in IL.

Open Thread Sunday!

Football talk one-post down…non-football talk here….

2014 Week 3 NFL Picks

Time for John Harbaugh to pick a side. He either asked for Rice to be cut immediately after the incident as ESPN says, which makes him look good. Or ESPN has it wrong and he didn’t. The only person who can answer this question definitively is John Harbaugh….

Before we get to this week’s picks, a look back at how I did last week. My picks are listed first.

WEEK 2 WINNING PICKS
Baltimore beat Pittsburgh
Buffalo beat Miami
Cincinnati beat Atlanta
Arizona beat N.Y. Giants
Carolina beat Detorit
Denver beat Kansas City
Green Bay beat N.Y. Jets

WEEK 2 LOSING PICKS
Minnesota lost to New England
Tennessee lost to Dallas
Jacksonville lost to Washington
New Orleans lost to Cleveland
Seattle lost to San Diego
Tampa Bay lost to St. Louis
Oakland lost to Houston
San Francisco lost to Chicago
Indianapolis lost to Philadelphia

A 7-9 week added to my 8-8 week in Week 1 puts my season record at a dismal 15-17. Surprisingly, I still manage to stay ahead of some of the so-called experts at ESPN.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
Tom Jackson 21-11
KC Joyner 20-12
Eric Allen 19-13
Ron Jaworksi 18-14
Cris Carter 17-15
Mike Golic 16-16
Seth Wickersham 16-16
Mike Ditka 16-16
ME 15-17
Merrill Hoge 15-17
Mark Schlereth 15-17
Keyshawn Johnson 15-17
Cris Mortensen 14-18
Adam Schefter 14-18

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 3 of the NFL season.

2014 WEEK 3 NFL PICKS
Tampa Bay at Atlanta
San Diego at Buffalo 1:00 pm CBS
Washington at Philadelphia 1:00 pm FOX
Tennessee at Cincinnati 1:00 pm CBS
Dallas at St. Louis 1:00 pm FOX
Houston at N.Y. Giants 1:00 pm CBS
Baltimore at Cleveland 1:00 pm CBS
Green Bay at Detroit 1:00 pm FOX
Indianapolis at Jacksonville 1:00 pm CBS
Oakland at New England 1:00 pm CBS
Minnesota at New Orleans 1:00 pm FOX
San Francisco at Arizona 4:05 pm FOX
Denver at Seattle 4:25 pm CBS
Kansas City at Miami 4:25 pm CBS
Pittsburgh at Carolina 8:30 pm NBC
Chicago at N.Y. Jets 8:30 pm ESPN Mon

Enjoy the games!

Posted by Dave at 9:27 am
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September 19, 2014

Polls From GA, IA and CO

More from Rasmussen today from Iowa and Georgia.

US SENATE – IOWA (Rasmussen)
Joni Ernst (R) 43%
Bruce Braley (D) 43%

GOVERNOR – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
Nathan Deal (R-inc) 45%
Jason Carter (D) 44%

The GA poll was done September 15-16 among the IA poll was done September 17-18, both among 750 likely voters. Gravis Marketing put out a poll yesterday from Colorado showing Cory Gardner holding a 7% lead over Mark Udall.

US SENATE – COLORADO (Gravis)
Cory Gardner (R) 46%
Mark Udall (D-inc) 39%
Gaylon Kent (L) 6%

GOVERNOR – COLORADO (Gravis)
Bob Beauprez (R) 48%
John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 43%
Matthew Hess (L) 5%

This poll was done September 16-17 among 657 likely voters.

Orman Leads Roberts By 5% in KS

Another day, another poll showing Pat Roberts in serious trouble in Kansas. This time it comes from Rasmussen Reports, where Greg Orman holds a 55 lead over Pat Roberts.

US SENATE – KANSAS (Rasmussen)
Greg Orman (I) 45%
Pat Roberts (R-inc) 40%

This poll was done September 16-17 among 750 likely voters. Also coming today from Rasmussen, at least according to their email today, are polls for the Iowa and Georgia gubernatorial races.

September 18, 2014

Brown, Shaheen Each Lead A Poll in NH, Perdue Leads By 5% in GA

The polling this year continues to be all over the place as we have two new polls from New Hampshire showing completely different results. Earlier today we got a new poll from New England College showing Jeanne Shaheen with a double-digit lead in New Hampshire.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (NEC)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 51%
Scott Brown (R) 40%

GOVERNOR – NEW HAMPSHIRE (NEC)
Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 51%
Walt Havenstein (R) 36%

This poll was done September 10-11 among 630 likely voters. Meanwhile, Vox Populi Polling shows an entirely different picture, claiming Scott Brown is ahead by 4%.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (VPP)
Scott Brown (R) 47%
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 43%

GOVERNOR – NEW HAMPSHIRE (VPP)
Maggie Hassan (D-inc) 47%
Walt Havenstein (R) 43%

This poll was done September 15-16 among 550 “active voters”. In Georgia, Rasmussen Reports claims David Perdue has a 5% lead.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
David Perdue (R) 46%
Michelle Nunn (D) 415

This poll was done September 15-16 among 750 likely voters.

US SENATE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 51 6
DEM 46 -7
IND 3 1

US HOUSE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 238 4
DEM 197 -4