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July 25, 2016

CNN: Trump Leads Clinton By 3% Head-to-Head

CNN and Opinion Research Corporation are showing Donald Trump with a 3% lead head-to-head and 5% lead in the four-way race this morning.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (CNN/ORC)
Trump/Pence 48%
Clinton/Kaine 45%

Trump 44%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%

This poll was done July 22-24 among registered voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:27 am
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July 22, 2016

Clinton Leads or is Tied with Trump in OH and NH

Now that the Republican convention is over, we should get another slug of polls before next eek’s Democratic convention. Suffolk University put out a poll yesterday for the state of Ohio showing a tied race head-to-head and a 4% lead for Clinton in a four-way race.

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Suffolk)
Hillary Clinton 44%
Donald Trump 44%

Hillary Clinton 43%
Donald Trump 39%
Gary Johnson 5%
Jill Stein 1%

This poll was done July 18-20 among 500 likely voters. Meanwhile in New Hampshire, the University of New Hampshire shows a Clinton lead head-to-head in NH, but tied race in the four-way.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (UNH)
Hillary Clinton 39%
Donald Trump 37%

Hillary Clinton 37%
Donald Trump 37%
Gary Johnson 10%
Jill Stein 5%

This poll was done July 9-18 among voters. On the national level, Clinton has a single-point lead according to American Research Group.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (ARG)
Hillary Clinton 43%
Donald Trump 42%

This poll was done July 17-20 among 600 likely voters.

July 21, 2016

RNC Final Night Thread

I may actually watch tonight….

Ras: Trump Collapses In Latest Poll

The media generally thinks the Republican National Convention has been an unmitigated disaster and Rasmussen Reports latest poll seems to agree. Just last week, Rasmussen Reports showed Donald Trump with a 7% lead over Hillary Clinton. In a poll taken Monday and Tues of this week, Trumps lead has absolutely collapsed down to a single point.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Donald Trump 43%
Hillary Clinton 42%

While he did not make his speech until last night after this poll was completed, it looks (at least in the minds of the people at Rasmussen Reports), that more voters are stating they will vote their conscience than were just one week ago.

July 19, 2016

RNC Night 2 Open Thread

Donald Trump is officially the face of the Republican Party….

NBC Polls shows Single-Point Race Nationally

I intended on having an Opening Night Thread for the RNC but between losing power and then our Air Conditioner having issues, it just did not happen. Similar to the experiences of Michelle Obama and Melania Trump, from a young age my parents impressed on me the values that you work hard for what you want in life; the your word is your bond and you do what you say and keep your promise. So I will make sure to have one up tonight.

Anyway, NBC News and Survey Monkey are out with a new poll this morning showing a single-point race in each direction depening on whether other cadndiates are included.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (NBC/SM)
Hillary Clinton 46%
Donald Trump 45%

Donald Trump 40%
Hillary Clinton 39%
Gary Johnson 10%
Jill Stein 5%

This poll was done July 11-17 among 9436 registered voters.

July 17, 2016

Clinton Leads Trump in Three National Polls

We are getting the pre-convetion poll dump from just about everyone and this morning includes ABC News/The Washington Post, NBC News/Wall Street Journal, CNN/Opinion Research Corporation.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (ABC/WaPo)
Clinton 47%
Trump 43%

Clinton 42%
Trump 38%
Johnson 8%
Stein 5%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (NBC/WSJ)
Clinton 46%
Trump 41%

Clinton 41%
Trump 35%
Johnson 11%
Stein 6%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (CNN/ORC)
Clinton 49%
Trump 42%

Clinton 42%
Trump 37%
Johnson 13%
Stein 5%

The ABC/WaPo poll was done July 11-14. The NBC News/WSJ poll was done July 9-13. The CNN/ORC poll was done July 13-16.

July 15, 2016

Clinton Leading Trump in CO, FL, NC, and VA

Marist College dumped out some more “swing state” polls that aren’t all that swing if you are a Republican voters who is about to make Donald Trump the face of the party.

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (Marist)
Clinton 39%
Trump 33%
Johnson 13%
Stein 4%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Marist)
Clinton 41%
Trump 36%
Johnson 7%
Stein 4%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Marist)
Clinton 42%
Trump 36%
Johnson 7%
Stein 2%

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (Marist)
Clinton 41%
Trump 34%
Johnson 10%
Stein 2%

These polls were done July 5-11 among registered voters in each state. I guess those Trump supporters will always have Rasmussen Reports to lean back on….

July 14, 2016

Ras: Trump Leads Clinton By 7% Nationally

I guess Rasmussen Reports has decided to just go all in this morning for the Presidential race and claim Donald Trump holds a 7% lead nationally over Hillary Clinton.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Donald Trump (R) 44%
Hillary Clinton (D) 37%

This poll was done July 12-13 among 1000 likely voters. Meanwhile CBS News and The New York Times are showing the race as a dead-heat tie.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (CBS/NYT)
Donald Trump (R) 40%
Hillary Clinton (D) 40%

This poll was done July 8-12 among 1358 registered voters.

July 13, 2016

Clinton Lead Trump in PA, OH, IA, VA, CO

Marist College came out with polls for Iowa, Ohio , and Pennsylvania this evening. Most striking is the difference what Marist College sees happening in Pennsylvania and what Quinnipiac University saw this morning.

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Marist)
Clinton 45%
Trump 36%

Clinton 43%
Trump 35%
Johnson 8%
Stein 2%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Marist)
Clinton 39%
Trump 39%

Clinton 38%
Trump 35%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%

PRESIDENT – IOWA (Marist)
Clinton 42%
Trump 39%

Clinton 37%
Trump 37%
Johnson 7%
Stein 4%

These polls were done July 5-10 among likely voters in each state. Meanwhile, Fox News has polls for Colorado and Virginia showing these states comfortably in Hillary Clinton’s column.

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (Fox News)
Clinton 44%
Trump 34%

Clinton 37%
Trump 28%
Johnson 13%
Stein 6%

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (Fox News)
Clinton 44%
Trump 37%

Clinton 37%
Trump 37%
Johnson 10%
Stein 4%

These polls were done July 9-12 among likely voters in each state. We have another (the third poll this week) from Colorado showing Clinton crushing Trump from Monmouth University.

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (Monmouth)
Clinton 48%
Trump 35%
Johnson 5%
Stein 3%

This poll was done July 9-12 among 401 likely voters. Even more disappointing for Republicans, they basically pissed away any chance at the US Senate seat in Colorado with the choice of their nominee according to both Fox News and Monmouth University.

US SENATE – COLORADO (Monmouth)
Michael Bennet (D-inc) 48%
Darryl Glenn (R) 35%
Lily Tang Williams (L) 3%
Arn Menconi (G) 2%

US SENATE – COLORADO (Fox News)
Michael Bennet (D-inc) 51%
Darryl Glenn (R) 36%

Links to these polls above. A lot of blue this evening in great contrast to the red we saw this morning.

Well at least the Orioles will have home field advantage in the World Series this year….

Posted by Dave at 8:24 pm
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