EGO BOOST
HEDGEHOG REPORT SOCIAL NETWORK

Search

September 19, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 14% Nationally, But Trails Trump in FL

We have a new poll from Fox News that shows Joe Biden with a double-digit lead in both the Democratic primary and the General Election.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Fox News)
Joe Biden 29%
Bernie Sanders 18%
Elizabeth Warren 16%
Kamala Harris 7%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Andrew Yang 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Fox News)
Joe Biden (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 38%

Bernie Sanders (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Kamala Harris (D) 42%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

This poll was done September 15-17 among 1008 registered voters. Meanwhile going to the important state of Florida, the candidate that does the best against Trump is none other than Elizabeth Warren according to the folks at Florida Atlantic University.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (FAU)
Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 50%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%
Joe Biden (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%
Bernie Sanders (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 52%
Kamala Harris (D) 48%

This poll was done September 12-15 among 934 registered voters.

September 18, 2019

Biden Leads Warren By 2% in IA, Warren/Trump Tied in AZ

We have a new poll from David Binder Research for the state of Iowa that shows Elizabeth Warren has dropped back to second place in Iowa after leading Biden in the previous iteration from this pollster in July.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Binder)
Joe Biden 25%
Elizabeth Warren 23%
Pete Buttigieg 12%
Bernie Sanders 9%
Amy Klobuchar 8%
Kamala Harris 5%
Tom Steyer 3%
Cory Booker 2%
Andrew Yang 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done September 14th-17th among 500 likely caucus goers. Meanwhile in Arizona, a new poll from Bendixen and Amandi International shows the Democrats best bet to pick up this state is Elizabeth Warren.

PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (BAI)
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%
Bernie Sanders (D) 37%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%
Kamala Harris (D) 38%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%
Joe Bdein (D) 42%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 42%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

US SENATE – ARIZONA (BAI)
Martha McSally (R-inc) 42%
Mark Kelly (D) 42%

This poll was done September 9-12 among 520 registered voters.

September 11, 2019

Sanders Leads Biden By 8% in NH

The Boston Herald and Franklin Pierce University have come out with a new poll for the state of New Hampshire that shows Bernie Sanders opening up an 8% lead over Joe Biden.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (BH/FPU)
Bernie Sanders 29%
Joe Biden 21%
Elizabeth Warren 17%
Kamala Harris 6%
Andrew Yang 5%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done September 4-10 among 425 likely Democratic primary voters.

September 10, 2019

Biden Leads Dems By 3%, Trump By 10% in NH

We have a new poll for the state of New Hampshire from Emerson College and it shows Joe Biden holding a 3% lead over Elizabeth Warren.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 24%
Elizabeth Warren 21%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Pete Buttigieg 11%
Kamala Harris 8%
Tulsi Gabbard 6%
Cory Booker 4%
Andrew Yang 3%
John Delaney 3%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Andrew Yang (D) 54%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Bernie Sanders (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Kamala Harris (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

Donald Trumo (R-inc) 51%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 49%

This poll was done September 6-9 among 1041 registered voters and 483 Democratic primary voters.

September 8, 2019

Warren Leads in NH, Biden Leads in SC/IA, Sanders Leads in NV

CBS News and YouGov released new early state primary polls this morning and in the four states tested, there are three different leaders depending on the state.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (CBS/YouGov)
Elizabeth Warren 27%
Joe Biden 26%
Bernie Sanders 25%
Pete Buttigieg 8%
Kamala Harris 7%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (CBS/YouGov)
Joe Biden 29%
Bernie Sanders 26%
Elizabeth Warren 17%
Pete Buttigieg 7%
Kamala Harris 6%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Tom Steyer 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (CBS/YouGov)
Joe Biden 43%
Bernie Sanders 18%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Kamala Harris 7%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Cory Booker 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NEVADA – DEM CAUCUS (CBS/YouGov)
Bernie Sanders 29%
Joe Biden 27%
Elizabeth Warren 18%
Kamala Harris 6%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Beto O’Rourke 3%
Julian Castro 2%
Tom Steyer 2%
Evreyone Else 1% or less

These polls were done August 28-September among registered primary voters in each state. ABC News and The Washington Post have released their own national poll that shows the clear separation of Biden/Warren/sanders from everyone else nationally as well.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (ABC/WaPo)
Joe Biden 29%
Bernie Sanders 19%
Elizabeth Warren 18%
Kamala Harris 7%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Beto O’Rourke 3%
Andrew Yang 3%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done September 2-5 among registered Democratic primary voters. I fully expect we will see General Election numbers from this poll before not too long. Finally this morning, we have a new poll that came out late last week that shows sitting Democratic US Senator Ed Markey could have trouble winning his own primary in Massachusetts according to The Boston Globe and Suffolk University.

US SENATE – MASSACHUSETTS – DEM PRIMARY (BG/Suffolk)
Joe Kennedy III 35%
Ed Markey (inc) 26%
Steve Pemberton 1%
Shannon Liss-Riordan <1%
Allen Waters 0%

This poll was done September 3-5 among likely primary voters.

September 4, 2019

Biden Leads Trump by 9% in WI

Marquette University has released a new poll for the state of Wisconsin that shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by 9% in a state Trump won in 2016.

PRESIDENT – WISCONSIN (Marquette)
Joe Biden (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Bernie Sanders (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Kamala Harris (D) 44%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done August 25-29 among 800 registered voters.

August 29, 2019

Biden Leads Dems in Three National Polls

Either Monmouth University was completely off base with their poll earlier in the week or there has been a huge surge back to Joe Biden in the last couple days. I would guess the former. Here are the latest national polls for the Democratic primary from Emerson College, Quinnipiac University and USA/Today Suffolk University.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 31%
Bernie Sanders 24%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Kamala Harris 10%
Andrew Yang 4%
Pete Buttigieg 3%
Cory Booker 3%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden 32%
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Kamala Harris 7%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Andrew Yang 3%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (USA Today/Suffolk)
Joe Biden 32%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Bernie Sanders 12%
Kamala Harris 6%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Andrew Yang 3%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

But while Emerson and Quinnipiac agree on Biden leading among Democrats, their respective views of the General race are vastly different.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 54%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Bernie Sanders (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%

Kamala Harris (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 49%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden (D) 54%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 38%

Bernie Sanders (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Kamala Harris (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

The Quinnipiac poll was done August 21-26 among 648 registered Democratic primary voters and 1422 registered general election voters. The Emerson poll was done August 24-26 among 627 registered primary voters and 1458 registered general election voters. The USA Today/Suffolk poll was done August 20-25 among 424 registered primary voters.

August 26, 2019

Biden Falls To 3rd Place Among Democrats Nationally

If you believe the people who do the polls for Monmouth Polling, then you now believe Joe Biden has fallen into third place among Democrats nationally with Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren both edging ahead of him in the latest national poll of Democrats.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Monmouth)
Elizabeth Warren 20%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Joe Biden 19%
Kamala Harris 8%
Cory Booker 4%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Andrew Yang 3%
Julian Castro 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Marianne Williamson 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

I’ll be curious to see if any other polling organizations come out with similar numbers in the near future or if this is just a botched poll by Monmouth. This poll was done August 16-20 among 298 registered Democratic primary voters.

August 23, 2019

Biden leads Trump by 2% in AZ, Beshear Leads Bevin By 9% in KY

OH Predictive Insights released a new poll for the state of Arizona showing Donald Trump trailing Joe Biden by 2% in a state Trump won in 2016.

PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (OHPI)
Joe Biden (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 43%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 38%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%
Kamala Harris (D) 36%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%
Bernie Sanders (D) 34%

This poll was done August 13-14 among 600 likely voters. Meanwhile looking at this year, we finally have another poll for the gubernatorial race in Kentucky and it shows Republican Governor well behind in his bid for another term. This new poll comes from Clarity Campaign Labs

GOVERNOR – KENTUCKY (Clarity Campaign Labs)
Andy Beshear (D) 48%
Matt Bevin (R-inc) 39%
John Hicks (L) 4%

This poll was done August 12-13 among 792 registered voters. As far as I know, there have only been three public polls in this race.

August 21, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 10% in CO, 6% in NV

It has been a busy week for me so I have missed a few polls, so I will take the time I have and focus on some General Election polling from earlier in the week. We’ll start with Emerson College in Colorado where Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Petey Buttigieg all have a double-digit lead over Donald Trump.

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Bernie Sanders (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Kamala Harris (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

If John Hickenlooper were smart enough to abandon his race for President and drop down to the US Senate race, he could give Democrats an easy pickup opportunity.

US SENATE – COLORADO (Emerson)
John Hickenlooper (D) 53%
Cory Gardner (R-inc) 40%

This poll was done August 11-13 among 1013 registered voters. Meanwhile in Nevada, Gravis Marketing shows Trump does better against the top five Democrats than he does in Colorado.

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (Gravis)
Joe Biden (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Bernie Sanders (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%
Kamala Harris (D) 45%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 46%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 42%

This poll was done August 14-16 among 926 registered voters.

GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
RASMUSSEN REPORTS