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August 28, 2014

Open Thread Thursday

Vacation still takes priority. I will be back soon. I know I am behind.

August 26, 2014

Polls From IA, AK and MN

Public Policy Polling gives us their latest numbers for the state of Iowa and it shows Bruce Braley with a singe-percentage-point lead over Joni Ernst.

GOVERNOR – IOWA (PPP)
Terry Branstad (R-inc) 48%
Jack Hatch (D) 35%
Jim Hennager (I) 2%
Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%
Jonathan Narcisse (IP)

US SENATE – IOWA (PPP)
Bruce Braley (D) 42%
Joni Ernst (R) 41%
Rick Stewart (I) 2%
Douglas Butzier (L) 2%
Ruth Smith (I) 1%
Bob Quast (I) 0%

This poll was done August 22-24 among 915 registered voters. In Alaska, Rasmussen Reports shows Sean Parnell with a double-digit lead in his bid for another term.

GOVERNOR – ALASKA (Rasmussen)
Sean Parnell (R-inc) 47%
Byron Mallott (D) 36%

This poll was done August 20-21 among 750 likely voters. In the state of Minnesota, Survey USA has both Democrats up y 9% over thier respective challengers for US Senate and Governor.

US SENATE – MINNESOTA (Survey USA)
Al Franken (D-inc) 51%
Michael McFadden (R) 42%
Steve Carlson (I) 2%

GOVERNOR – MINNESOTA (Survey USA)
Mark Dayton (D-inc) 49%
Jeff Johnson (R) 40%
Hannah Nicollet (I) 3%

This poll was done August 8-21 among 600 likely voters.

August 25, 2014

Begich Trails Sullivan in AK

If the latest poll from Rasmussen Reports Is to believed, Dan Sullivan now leads Mark Begich in the state of Alaska.

US SENATE – ALASKA (Rasmussen)
Dan Sullivan(R) 47%
Mark Begich (D-inc) 45%

This poll was done August 20-21 among 750 likely voters.

August 23, 2014

Hogan Within 3% of Brown in MD

It figures I would go on vacation and a great new poll would come out for the gubernatorial race in my home state. A new poll from OnMessage Inc claims Larry Hogan is now within 3% of Anthony Brown.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (OnMessage)
Anthony Brown (D) 45%
Larry Hogan (R) 42%

This poll was done August 18-19 among 500 likely voters.

August 21, 2014

Brown Within 2% of Shaheen in NH

I am having a hard time the University of New Hampshire’s latest poll claiming Scott Brown is within 2% of Jeanne Shaheen.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (UNH)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 46%
Scott Brown (R) 44%

This poll was done August 7-17 among 827 voters

Foley Leads Malloy By 7% in CT

Another poll today from Rasmussen Reports and it comes from Connecticut where Republican Foley has opened up a 7% lead over Dannel Malloy.

GOVERNOR – CONNECTICUT (Rasmussen)
Tom Foley (R) 45%
Dannel Malloy (D-inc) 38%

This poll was done August 19-20 among 750 likely voters.

Capito Dominates in WV

A poll from Rasmussen Reports today for the state of West Virginia.

US SENATE – WEST VIRGINIA (Rasmussen)
Shelley Moore Capito (R) 50%
Natalie Tennant (D) 33%

This poll was done August 19-20 among 750 likely voters.

August 20, 2014

Hagan Leads Tillis By 2% in NC

We have our first poll from USA Today and Suffolk University and it comes from North Carolina.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (USAT/Suffolk)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 45%
Thom Tillis (R) 43%
Sean Haugh (L) 5%

This poll was done August 16-19 among 500 likely voters.

Daines Dominates in MT, Hillary Leads GOP in NC

Public Policy Polling continues their release from North Carolina with the Presidential numbers involving Hillary Clinton.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Mike Huckabee (R) 44%

Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Jeb Bush (R) 42%

Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Rand Paul (R) 42%

Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Ted Cruz (R) 41%

Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
Chris Christie (R) 38%

This poll was done August 14-17 among 856 likely voters. In the state of Montana, Steve Daines has opened up a 20% lead over the new Democratic nominee Amanda Curtis.

US SENATE – MONTANA (Rasmussen)
Steve Daines (R) 55%
Amanda Curtis (D) 35%

This poll was done August 18-19 among 750 likely voters.

Cuomo Dominates in NY

USA Today and Suffolk University are teaming up to do statewide polling for this election year. From the article linked above.

“We are pleased that USA TODAY has recognized the Suffolk University Political Research Center’s accuracy and the astute analysis offered by its director, David Paleologos, by selecting Suffolk as a polling partner for the coming election cycle,” said University President James McCarthy.

I guess they missed this video I found on YouTube.

A pointless poll from Quinnipiac University for the gubernatorial race in New York State showing Andrew Cuomo with a big lead in a head-to-head match up and in a three-way race.

GOVERNOR – NEW YORK (Quinnipiac)
Andrew Cuomo (D-inc) 56%
Rob Astorino (R) 28%

GOVERNOR – NEW YORK (Quinnipiac)
Andrew Cuomo (D-inc) 52%
Rob Astorino (R) 27%
Howie Hawkins (G) 7%

This poll was done August 14-17 among 1034 registered voters.

US SENATE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 49 4
DEM 49 -4
IND 2 0

US HOUSE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 238 4
DEM 197 -4