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August 20, 2017

Moore Dominating Strange in AL Runoff

The first post-primary runoff poll is out in Alabama and it shows Roy Moore with nearly a 20% lead over the incumbent Luther Strange. The latest numbers from JMC Analytics.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (JMC Analytics)
Roy Moore 51%
Luther Strange (inc) 32%

This poll was done August 17-19 among 515 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:44 pm
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August 15, 2017

Alabama Election Night Thread

Democrats and Republicans will start the process of selecting who will they will ultimately put up to finish the remainder of the term for the current sitting US Senator Luther Strange.

Top two in each party make it to the runoff election to be held on September 26th and a General Election on December 12th.

The results from the Associated Press can be found here.

Polls close at 8pm.

August 14, 2017

AL: Moore Leads In One Poll, Strange Leads in Another

We are getting some final polls for the US Senate primary race in Alabama and they are giving us somewhat conflicting numbers for the top two although the order really does not matter until a runoff since it involves the same two people. Trafalgar Group is currently showing Roy Moore with a huge double-digit lead.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY (Trafalgar)
Roy Moore 38%
Luther Strange (inc) 24%
Mo Brooks 17%
Everyone Else 6% or less

This poll was done August 12-13 among 870 likely voters. Meanwhile, Emerson College has the incumbent Luther Strange in the lead.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY (Emerson)
Luther Strange (inc) 32%
Roy Moore 29%
Mo Brooks 15%
Trip Pittman 10%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done August 10-12 among 603 likely voters.

August 11, 2017

Moore/Strange Lead AL GOP Primary Race

I come back from a week plus long vacation with no Internet and find out the United States is on the brink of war with North Korea. Meanwhile, there is a primary election for the US Senate seat in Alabama currently occupied by Luther Strange and two polls show him trailing the front runner Roy Moore although both are in position to make the runoff.The polls come from Cyngal and L2 and from Strategy Research.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY (Cygnal/L2)
Roy Moore 31%
Luther Strange (inc) 23%
Mo Brooks 18%
Trip Pittman 7%

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY (Strategy Research)
Roy Moore 35%
Luther Strange (inc) 29%
Mo Brooks 19%
Trip Pittman 9%
Everyone Else 1% or less

Both these polls were done August 9th among likely voters.

The primary election is August 15th.

August 3, 2017

Democrats Surge Against GOP in Generic Ballot/ Trump At All-Time Low

Morning Consult and Politico, which have actually had the more favorable polls for Republicans and Donald Trump since January, are now reporting the following:

Republicans trail Democrats by 7 percentage points on the generic congressional ballot, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll, the Democratic Party’s greatest advantage on the generic ballot since the poll began asking the question this past spring.

The margin is 44%-37% according to the article. Meanwhile, Quinnipiac University is showing Donald Trump down to an all-time low in job approval.

PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP – JOB APPROVAL (Quinnipiac)
Approve 33%
Disapprove 61%

This poll was done July 27-August 1.

July 30, 2017

Open Thread Sunday!

Its been quite a while since I ever saw 2000 comments on a post…time for a new one….

July 24, 2017

Gubernatorial Race Tied in VA

A new poll from Monmouth University for the state of Virginia shows a dead-heat tie between Republican Ed Gillespie and Democrat Ralph Northam.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Monmouth)
Ed Gillespie (R) 44%
Ralph Northam (D) 44%
Cliff Hyra (L) 3%

This poll was done July 20-23 among 502 likely voters.

July 23, 2017

Murphy leads Guadagno by 21% in NJ

Yet another poll came out for the gubernatorial race i new Jersey, this time from Marist College on Friday, and it shows Republicans have no hope of keeping this seat.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Marist)
Phil Murphy (D) 54%
Kim Guadagno (R) 33%

This poll was done July 13-18 among registered voters.

July 18, 2017

Trump Trails Biden/Sanders/Harris/Booker For Re-election

We have a new poll from Public Policy Polling for the Presidential race in 2020 and it shows Donald Trump trailing by various margins against some well-known Democrats.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (PPP)
Joe Biden (D) 54%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

Cory Booker (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R) 40%

Kamala Harris (D) 41%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Bernie Sanders (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

This poll was done July 14-17 among 836 registered voters. Of note to me, Trump seems to be stuck at 39-405 no matter who his Democratic opponent is.

July 13, 2017

Murphy Crushing Guadagno in NJ

I think we can probably safely put away the gubernatorial seat in New Jersey for the Democrats based on a new poll from Monmouth University.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Monmouth)
Phil Murphy (D) 53%
Kim Guadagno (R) 26%

It is probably not help Guadagno that Chris Christie is down to a whopping 15% job approval rating that includes only 30% of REPUBLICANS approving of his job. This poll was done July 6-9 among 758 registered voters.

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