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March 29, 2017

Polls For NJ and VA

We have some 2017 guberantorial polls to enjoy this morning. Fairleigh Dickinson University has released a poll for the primary races in New Jersey and it shows clear frontrunners for both parties.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY – DEM PRIMARY (FDU)
Phil Murphy 23%
Jon Wisniewski 4%
Jim Johnson 4%
Raymond Lesniak 3%
Bill Brennan 2%
Lisa McCormick 2%
Monica Brinson 1%
Bob Hoatson 1%
Titus Pierce 0%
Mark Zinna 0%

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY – GOP PRIMARY (FDU)
Kim Guadagno 24%
Jack Ciattarelli 5%
Steve Rogers 1%
Joseph Rullo 1%
Hirsh Singh 0%

This poll was done March 22-26 among 758 registered voters. Meanwhile Christopher Newport University yesterday released the primary numbers for the race in Virginia.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – DEM PRIMARY (CNU)
Ralph Northam 26%
Tom Perriello 26%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – GOP PRIMARY (CNU)
Ed Gillespie 38%
Corey Stewart 11%
Frank Wagner 10%

Then this morning, they released the General Election numbers in Virginia.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (CNU)
Ed Gillespie (R) 40%
Ralph Northam (D) 39%

Ed Gillespie (R) 39%
Tom Perriello (D) 39%

Ralph Northam (D) 41%
Corey Stewart (R) 33%

Tom Perriello (D) 40%
Corey Stewart (R) 34%

Ralph Northam (D) 40%
Frank Wagner (R) 34%

Tom Perriello (D) 38%
Frank Wagner (R) 35%

This poll was done March 16026 among registered voters.

March 23, 2017

VA: Tight Race For Gov, Kaine Dominates Comstock and Fiorina

Posts two days in row! An election poll for the gubernatorial race in Virginia this year and the US Senate next year was just released by Gravis Marketing. The gubernatorial race this year is neck and neck according to Gravis.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Gravis)
Ed Gillespie (R) 42%
Ralph Northam (D) 40%

Tom Perriello (D) 42%
Ed Gillespie (R) 41%

meanwhile at the US Senate, failed VP candidate Tim Kaine is well ahead of Republicans Barbara Comstock and Carly Fiorina.

US SENATE – VIRGINIA (Gravis)
Tim Kaine (D-inc) 53%
Barbara Comstock (R) 41%

Tim Kaine (D-inc) 53%
Carly Fiorina (R) 41%

This poll was done March 14-19 among 3097 registered voters.

March 22, 2017

MD: Hogan Has 65% Job Approval Rating, Only 17% Disapprove

The Washington Post came out with a new poll showing Governor Larry Hogan still with a ridiculously high approval rating as a Republican in the state of Maryland over two years into his term, but claims his re-elect number is down.

MD GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN (R) – JOB APPROVAL (WaPo)
Approve 65%
Disapprove 17%

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (WaPo)
Larry Hogan (R-inc) 41%
Generic Democrat (D) 37%

This poll was done March 16-19 among 841 registered voters. It’s worth noting that in 2014, The Washington Post in their final poll for the 2014 Maryland gubernatorial race said Larry Hogan was going to lose by 9%. He won by 4%.

March 15, 2017

O’Malley Claims He Leads Democratic Field in IA for 2020

According to Politico, my former Governor Martin O’Malley paid Public Policy Polling some money to produce a Democratic primary poll in Iowa claiming he leads the 2020 Democratic race.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (PPP)
Martin O’Malley 18%
Cory Booker 17%
Amy Kloubacher 11%
Everyone Else <10%

This poll that PPP was more than willing to take money for included the following names:

INCLUDED
Martin O’Malley
Cory Booker
Julian Castro
Andrew Cuomo
Kirsten Gillibrand
Kamala Harris
Amy Klobuchar
Sheryl Sandberg
Howard Schultz

As the article from Politico points out, not included in this poll were the following:

NOT INCLUDED
Elizabeth Warren
Bernie Sanders

Kudos to PPP for getting Martin O’Malley to give them a bunch of money on a poll and ensuring future business from him by making sure to exclude enough big names so that O’Malley would end up on top. This poll was done March 3-6 among 1062 Democrats.

March 11, 2017

Another Open Thread

I haven’t forgot about this site, I swear….

Really am waiting to see a pick up in electoral polling data, which has been nearly non-existent….

March 3, 2017

Open Thread Friday!

It’s finally snowing here in Maryland, so there’s that….

February 23, 2017

Baldwin Leads GOP in WI

Magellan Strategies released a new poll for the state of Wisconsin that shows Tammy Baldwin easily ahead of two potential Republican candidates (although one is currently an elected Democrat).

US SENATE – WISCONSIN (Magellan)
Tammy Baldwin (D-inc) 49%
David Clarke (R) 36%

Tammy Baldwin (D-inc) 49%
Sean Duffy (R) 35%

In the primary race, Magellan actually did two separate surveys, one that included the titles of each candidate and one that did not.

US SENATE – WISCONSIN – GOP PRIMARY
Sean Duffy 26%
David Clarke 25%

Sheriff David Clarke 32%
Congressman Sean Duffy 26%

The General Election poll and the “non-titled” primary poll was done February 9-10 among likely voters. The “titled” poll was done February 15-16 among likely primary voters.

February 20, 2017

Kaine Dominates Fiorina and Graham in VA

Quinnipiac University released the second half of their poll in Virginia on Friday and it shows Tim kaine with a huge lead over mentioned-possible candidates Carly Fiorina and Laura Ingraham.

US SENATE – VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac)
Tim Kaine (D-inc) 56%
Laura Ingraham (R) 36%

Tim Kaine (D-inc) 57%
Carly Fiorina (R) 36%

This poll was done February 10-15 among 989 registered voters.

Also out on Friday are some Favorable/Unfavorable numbers for the various potential candidates for Governor in Iowa from The Des Moines Register.

February 16, 2017

Dems Lead Gubernatorial Race in VA

Hey look at this, an actual Election poll to talk about. Quinnipiac University has dumped out a new poll for the state of Virginia showing the damage Donald Trump is doing to Republicans as nobody other than Ed Gillespie can get above 33% against the two Democrats.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac)

Tom Perriello (D) 43%
Ed Gillespie (R) 36%

Tom Perriello (D) 44%
Corey Stewart (R) 31%

Tom Perriello (D) 43%
Denver Riggleman (R) 30%

Tom Perriello (D) 43%
FrankAnn Wagner (R) 32%

Ralph Northam (D) 41%
Ed Gillespie (R) 35%

Ralph Northam (D) 42%
Corey Stewart (R) 31%

Ralph Northam (D) 42%
Denver Riggleman (R) 31%

Ralph Northam (D) 41%
FrankAnn Wagner (R) 33%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – GOP PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Ed Gillespie 24%
Corey Stewart 7%
FrankAnn Wagner 5%
Denver Riggleman 2%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Tom Perriello 19%
Ralph Northam 19%

Hopefully Virginia Republicans aren’t dumb enough to nominate Stewart, who would make 2013 nominee Ken Cuccinelli look like a sane choice by comparison. This poll was done February 10-15 among 989 registered voters, 419 Republicans and 462 Democrats.

February 12, 2017

Open Thread Sunday

I guess after ten days, it is about time for a clean thread.

There has been a complete lack of election polling, which hopefully will pick up soon.

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