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April 23, 2014

Wednesday Poll Rundown

Catching up this evening on the poll results we saw earlier today and we start with a slew of polls from The New York Times and Kaiser Family Foundation that seem to lean in the Democrats’ direction, as you would expect from The New York Times.

GOVERNOR – ARKANSAS (NYT/Kaiser)
Asa Hutchinson (R) 41%
Mike Ross (D) 40%

US SENATE – ARKANSAS (NYT/Kaiser)
Mark Pryor (D-inc) 46%
Tom Cotton (R) 36%

US SENATE – KENTUCKY (NYT/Kaiser)
Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 44%
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43%

Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 41%
Matt Bevin(R) 35%

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (NYT/Kaiser)
Mary Landrieu (D) 42%
Bill Cassidy (R) 18%
Paul Hollis (R) 5%
Rob Manness (R) 4%

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA(NYT/Kaiser)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 42%
Thom Tillis (R) 40%

Kay Hagan (D-inc) 41%
Greg Brannon (R) 39%

ALl these polls were done April 8-15 among registered voters in each state. This afternoon, Public Policy Polling released a free poll for the state of Wisconsin and one they received money from a leftist group for the state of Colorado.

GOVERNOR – WISCONSIN (PPP)
Scott Walker (R-inc) 48%
Mary Burke (D) 45%

GOVERNOR – COLORADO (PPP)
John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 48%
Bob Beauprez (R) 41%

John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 48%
Scott Gessler (R) 41%

John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 50%
Tom Tancredo (R) 41%

US SENATE – COLORADO (PPP)
Mark Udall (D-inc) 47%
Cory Gardner (R) 45%

The CO poll was done April 17-20 among 618 likely voters. The WI poll was done April 17-20 among 1144 registered voters. Meanwhile, the Chamber of Commerce paid Fabrizio, Lee & Associates to do a poll in Colorado and show Gardner up by 2%.

US SENATE – COLORADO (FLA)
Cory Gardner (R) 47%
Mark Udall (D-inc) 45%

This poll was done April 16-17 among 600 likely voters.

Hickenloopers Leads GOP in CO

I guess I am going to have to buy a ticket and jump on the Washington Wizards bandwagon now, especially since my usual spring sports playoff rooting interest, The Washington Capitals, are already playing golf….

This morning, we have a new poll from Quinnipiac University for the state of Colorado that shows John Hickenloopper with leads over various Republican challengers.

GOVERNOR – COLORADO (Quinnipiac)
John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 47%
Tom Tancredo (R) 40%

John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 48%
Scott Gessler (R) 38%

John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 48%
Bob Beauprez (R) 39%

John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 47%
Mike Kopp (R) 38%

This poll was done April 15-21 among 1298 registered voters. I assume Quinnipiac will be releasing the numbers for the US Senate race soon, which is what I think we really want to see.

April 22, 2014

Merkley Cruising in OR, Cuomo Cruising in NY

In the state of Oregon, Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley is claiming he holds a double-digit lead over his Republican challengers according to a new poll from Benenson Stratgey Group.

US SENATE – OREGON (BSG)
Jeff Merkley (D-inc) 50%
Jason Conger (R) 34%

Jeff Merkley (D-inc) 52%
Monica Wehby (R) 32%

This poll was done April 14-17 among 600 likely voters. This morning, Siena College released a pointless poll for the gubernatorial race in New York showing Andrew Cuomo cruising to re-election.

GOVERNOR – NEW YORK (SIena)
Andrew Cuomo (D-inc) 58%
Rob Astorino (R) 28%

This poll was done April 12-17 among 772 registered voters. Some news from PPP on Twitter about upcoming polls.

Posted by Dave at 8:24 pm
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April 21, 2014

Branstad Leads in IA, Brownback Leads in KS, Brown/Hogan Lead in MD

In a poll where four of the seven non-demographic question alluded to some sort of scandal regarding Republican Terry Branstad, Public Policy Polling still manages to find Branstad leading Democrat Jack Hatch in his bod for re-election.

GOVERNOR – IOWA (PPP)
Terry Branstad (R-inc) 43%
Jack Hatch (D) 38%

This poll was done April 19-20 among 67 registered voters. Interesting numbers from my home state of Maryland where St. Mary’s College seems to find a lot of undecideds in both parties’ gubernatorial races.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND – DEM PRIMARY (St. Marys)
Anthony Brown 27%
Doug Gansler 11%
Heather Mizuer 8%

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND – GOP PRIMARY (St. Mary’s)
Larry Hogan 16%
David Craig 8%
Ron George 4%
Charles Lollar 4%

This will probably lead to Larry Hogan releasing another absurd email touting that he a “doubling:” his nearest opponent. This poll was done April 10-13 among registered voters. more from that Kansas poll from Rasmussen Reports where they show Sam brown Back with a 7% lead over Paul Davis.

GOVERNOR – KANSAS (Rasmussen)
Sam Brownback (R-inc) 47%
Paul Davis (D) 40%

This poll was done April 16-17 among 750 likely voters.

Open Thread Monday

If it’s Monday morning, it must be time for a clean thread to start the week….

April 18, 2014

Roberts Dominates Sebelius in KS, Abbott Dominates Davis in TX

Rasmussen Reports put out a poll this afternoon showing Pat Roberts with a healthy lead over Kathleen Sebelius should she decide to run in the state of Kansas.

US SENATE – KANSAS (Rasmussen)
Pat Roberts (R-inc) 54%
Kathleen Sebelius (D) 37%

The article mentions Roberts runs well ahead of “one other potential Democratic challenger”, but doesn’t name them in the free portion of the article. This poll was done April 16-17 among 750 likely voters. Waingro found a new poll for the gubernatorial race in Texas done by Texas Tech that shows Republican Greg Abbott crushing Wendy Davis.

GOVERNOR – TEXAS (Texas Tech)
Greg Abbott (R) 54%
Wendy Davis (D) 25%

No dates for the poll were given in the article, but it was done among 454 registered voters.

April 17, 2014

GOP Leads HIllary in TX, New Senate Polls from AR, CO, LA, MT and MI

We received a bunch of polls from Harper Polling paid for by American Crossroads.

US SENATE – ARKANSAS (Harper)
Mark Pryor (D-inc) 39%
Tom Cotton (R) 39%

US SENATE – COLORADO (Harper)
Mark Udall (D-inc) 45%
Cory Gardner (R) 43%

US SENATE – LOUISIANA RUNOFF (Harper)
Bill Cassidy (R) 47%
Mary Landrieu (D-inc) 43%

US SENATE – MICHIGAN (Harper)
Terri Lynn Land (R) 43%
Gary Peters (D) 40%

US SENATE – MONTANA (Harper)
Steve Daines (R) 42%
John Walsh (D) 35%

Steve Daines (R) 44%
John Bohlinger (D) 33%

The LA poll was done April 6-7, the MI and MT polls April 7-8, the CO poll was done April 8-9, and the AR poll was done April 9-10. We also got more numbers from PPP for the state of Texas showing Republicans all leading Hillary in the race for President.

PRESIDENT – TEXAS (PPP)
Jeb Bush (R) 50%
Hillary (D) 42%

Chris Christie (R) 44%
Hillary (D) 42%

Ted Cruz (R) 50%
Hillary (D) 43%

Mike Huckabee (R) 50%
Hillary (D) 42%

Rand Paul (R) 50%
Hillary (D) 40%

Rick Perry (R) 49%
Hillary (D) 44%

This poll was done April 10-13 among 559 registered voters. Speaking of Hillary, I know I have become way too cynical about politicians when the first thing I thought about was how well the birth would be timed with the start of the 2016 Presidential race….

Haley Leads Sheheen By 15% in SC

Rasmussen Reports has dumped out a new poll for the gubernatorial race in South Carolina and it shows Nikki Haley with a 15% edge over Vincent Sheheen.

GOVERNOR – SOUTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen)
Nikki Haley (R-inc) 52%
Vincent Sheheen (D) 37%

This poll was done April 14-15 among 750 likely voters.

Hillary Leads GOP Nationally

Still no Internet at home, so catching up from last night, we have the latest poll numbers from Fox News that show Hillary with a smaller lead over Republicans than we saw yesterday with Marist College, but she is still above 50%.

PRESIDENT- NATIONAL (Fox News)
Hillary (D) 51%
Jeb Bush (R) 42%

Hillary (D) 51%
Rand Paul (R) 42%

Hillary (D) 50%
Chris Christie (R) 42%

This poll was done April 13-15 among 1012 registered voters.

Posted by Dave at 7:56 am
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April 16, 2014

Crist Leads Scott By 5% in FL, LePage Leads Michaud By 2% in ME

Survey USA, earlier today, released a new poll for the gubernatorial race in Florida that shows Charlie Crist with a 5% lead over Rick Scott.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Survey USA)
Charlie Crist (D) 46%
Rick Scott (R-inc) 41%

This poll was done April 10-14 among 502 likely voters. Meanwhile in Maine, a new poll from Pan Atlantic SMS Group claims Republican Paul LePage leads the three-way race for Governor.

GOVERNOR – MAINE (PASMSG)
Paul LePage (R-inc) 39%
Michael Michaud (D) 37%
Eliot Cutler (I) 20%

This poll was done March 31-April 5 among 400 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 3:44 pm
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