2020 EV WATCH
Trump : 186
Biden : 352
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2020 SENATE WATCH
GOP : 49
DEM : 49
IND : 2
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    August 7, 2020

    Marshall Leads Bollier By Only 1 % in KS

    We are three days from the Republicans in Kansas picking Roger Marshall as their nominee for the US Senate and Public Policy Polling is already out with a new poll claiming Marshall only leads his Democratic opponent by a single-percentage point.

    PRESIDENT – KANSAS (PPP)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%
    Joe Biden (D) 43%

    US SENATE – KANSAS (PPP)
    Roger Marshall (R) 43%
    Barbara Bollier (D) 425

    This poll was done August 5-6 among 864 registered voters.

    August 6, 2020

    Graham/Harrison Tied in SC, Gideon Leads Collins By 4% in ME

    Late today we got a new poll from Quinnipiac University that shows Donald Trump might at least be able to hold the Congressional seat in Maine he won last time.

    PRESIDENT – KENTUCKY (Quinnipiac)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 50%
    Joe Biden (D) 41%

    PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA (Quinnipiac)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%
    Joe Biden (D) 42%

    PRESIDENT – MAINE (Quinnipiac)
    Joe Biden (D) 52%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 37%

    PRESIDENT – MAINE CD 2 (Quinnipiac)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%
    Joe Biden (D) 44%

    At the US Senate level, we another poll showing Lindsey Graham in serious troubel of losing another seat for the Republicans.

    US SENATE – KENTUCKY (Quinnipiac)
    Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 49%
    Amy McGrath (D) 43%

    US SENATE – SOUTH CAROLINA (Quinnipiac)
    Lindsey Graham (R-inc) 445
    James Harrison (D) 44%

    US SENATE – MAINE (Quinnipiac)

    These polls were done July 30-August 3 among registered voters in each state.

    Posted by Dave at 9:29 pm
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    August 5, 2020

    Polls From FL, NC, OH, PA and IA

    Today we got a new set of polls from Zogby Analytics that are a little that shows Joe Biden ahead of Trump in North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania while Trump and Biden are tied in Florida.

    PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Zogby)
    Joe Biden (D) 43%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

    PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Zogby)
    Joe Biden (D) 44%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

    PRESIDENT – OHIO (Zogby)
    Joe Biden (D) 43%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

    PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Zogby)
    Joe Biden (D) 44%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

    These polls were all done July 21-23 among a little more than 800 likely voters in each state. Meanwhile, Monmouth University has released what has to be the best numbers Joni Ernst has seen in a while.

    PRESIDENT – IOWA (Monmouth)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%
    Joe Biden (D) 45%

    US SENATE – IOWA (Monmouth)
    Joni Ernst (R-inc) 48%
    Theresa Greenfield (D) 45%

    This poll was done July 30-August 3 among 401 registered voters.

    Biden Dominates Trump in HI

    We do not get polls from Hawaii too often so might as well take advantage of one we received today from Civil Beat and Hawaii News Now that shows Joe Biden should have no problem holding the birthplace of Barack Obama.

    PRESIDENT – HAWAII (Civil Beat/Hawaii News Now)
    Joe Biden (D) 56%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 29%

    This poll was done July 27-30 among 975 registered voters.

    August 4, 2020

    Biden Leads Trump By 1% in TX, Graham Only Ahead By 1% in SC

    The two big items out of the polls Morning Consult released this morning for the state of Texas, South Carolina, Alabama and Kentucky is Biden showing a single-percentage-point lead in Texas and Lindsey Graham only ahead by a single-percentage point in South Carolina.

    PRESIDENT – ALABAMA (MC)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 58%
    Joe Biden (D) 36%

    PRESIDENT – KENTUCKY (MC)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 59%
    Joe Biden (D) 35%

    PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA (MC)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%
    Joe Biden (D) 44%

    PRESIDENT – TEXAS (MC)
    Joe Biden (D) 47%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

    US SENATE – ALABAMA (MC)
    Tommy Tuberville (R) 59%
    Doug Jones (D-inc) 35%

    US SENATE – KENTUCKY (MC)
    Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 53%
    Amy McGrath (D) 36%

    US SENATE – SOUTH CAROLINA (MC)
    Lindsey Graham (R-inc) 44%
    James Harrison (D) 43%

    US SENATE – TEXAS (MC)
    Jon Cornyn (R-inc) 44%
    MJ Hegar (D) 38%

    These polls were done July 24-August 2 among likely voters in each state.

    August 3, 2020

    Trumps Leads By 11%, Daines Leads by 6% in MT

    Today we get a new poll from the state of Montana from Emerson College that has Donald Trump with a double-digit lead over Joe Biden while sitting Republican US Senator Steve Daines now holds a 6% edge on Democrat Steve Bullock.

    PRESIDENT – MONTANA (Emerson)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 53%
    Joe Biden (D) 42%

    US SENATE – MONTANA (Emerson)
    Steve Daines (R-inc) 50%
    Steve Bullock (D) 44%

    GOVERNOR – MONTANA (Emerson)
    Greg Gianforte (R) 51%
    Mike Cooney (D) 42%

    This poll was done July 31-August 2 among 584 likely voters.

    August 2, 2020

    Biden Leads Trump in GA and NC

    It is like all the poll organizations that normally release state polls decided to take the weekend off and hold their money back as they wait until Joe Biden picks whomever he is going to run with in November. We did get new polls for the state of Georgia and North Carolina from YouGov and CBS News that shows Biden leading Donald Trump in both states.

    PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (YouGov/CBS News)
    Joe Biden (D) 46%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

    PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (YouGov/CBS News)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA (YouGov/CBS News)
    David Perdue (R-inc) 45%
    Jon Ossoff (D) 43%

    US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (YouGov/CBS News)
    Cal Cunningham (D) 48%
    Thom Tillis (R-inc) 39%

    These polls were done July 28-31 among 1109 likely voters in GA and 1129 likely voters in NC.

    July 30, 2020

    Biden Leads Trump in NH, FL and PA

    Yesterday the University of New Hampshire released a new poll (herel and here) that shows Democratic Presidential Candidate Joe Biden, Democratic US Senator Jeanne Shaheen and Republican Governor Chris Sununu all in strong positions to win the state.

    PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (UNH)
    Joe Biden (D) 53%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

    US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (UNH)
    Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 54%
    Don Bolduc (D) 35%

    Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 54%
    Corky Messner (D) 35%

    GOVERNOR – NEW HAMPSHIRE (UNH)
    Chris Sununu (R-inc) 59%
    Dan Feltes (D) 28%

    Chris Sununu (R-inc) 58%
    Andru Volinsky (D) 29%

    This poll was done July 16-28 among 1893 likely voters. Mason-Dixon Polling makes a rare appearance to give us a new poll for the state of Florida that has Biden up by 4%.

    PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Mason-Dixon)
    Joe Biden (D) 50%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

    This poll was done July 20-23 among 625 likely voters. And in Pennsylvania, a new poll from Franklin and Marshall has Biden up by 9%.

    PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (F&M)
    Joe Biden (D) 50%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 41%

    This poll was done July 20-26 among 667 registered voters.

    July 29, 2020

    Biden/Trump Tied in GA

    Monmouth University released a new poll for the state of Georgia that shows Joe Biden and Donald Trump tied among registered voters.

    PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (Monmouth)
    Joe Biden (D) 47%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA (Monmouth)
    David Perdue (R-inc) 49%
    Jon Ossoff (D) 43%

    US SENATE – GEORGIA – SPECIAL (Monmouth)
    Kelly Loeffler(R) 26%
    Doug Collins(R) 20%

    Raphael Lieberman(D) 14%
    Matt Warmock(D) 9%
    Ed Tarver(D) 5%
    Brian Slowinski (L) 3%

    IN the presidential race, Monmouth does claim Trump would have a 1% lead in a low turnout among likely voters and a 3% lead in a high turnout among likely voters. It also appears Democrats missing a huge mistake in allowing two Republicans to advance to the General Election in the of the Special Election by splitting their own votes between a slew of candidates. This poll was done July 23-27 among 402 registered voters.

    Trump Closes Gap in AZ, FL, MI, PA and WI in Latest Change Research Polls

    Change Research is back again and this time they are showing a tightening of the Presidential race across five of the six states they have been polling with the exception being North Carolina.

    PRESIDENT – MICHIGAN (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 46%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

    PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

    PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

    PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 49%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

    PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 47%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

    PRESIDENT – WISCONSIN (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

    At the US Senate level, as before Democrats are leading in all three states being contested from above, including two seats currently held by Republicans.

    US SENATE – MICHIGAN (Change Research)
    Gary Peters (D-inc) 48%
    John James (R) 44%

    US SENATE – ARIZONA (Change Research)
    Mark Kelly (D-inc) 47%
    Martha McSally (R-inc) 45%

    US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (Change Research)
    Cal Cunningham (D) 52%
    Thom Tillis (R-inc) 40%

    These polls were all done July 24-26 among likely voters.