Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Grayson Dominates Murphy in FL

Thursday, July 2nd, 2015

We have a new poll from Gravis Marketing in Florida that I find somewhat hard to believe, but if true, would be great news for Republicans.

US SENATE – FLORIDA – DEM PRIMARY (Gravis)
Alan Grayson 63%
Patrick Murphy 19%

This poll was done June 16-20 among 881 registered voters.

Clinton’s Lead in IA Down To 19% Over Sanders

Thursday, July 2nd, 2015

After my flub yesterday, let’s see if I can do a little bit better today with the latest numbers from Quinnipiac UNiversity and the state of Iowa.

PRESIDENT- IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Quinnipiac)
Hillary Clinton 52%
Bernie Sanders 33%
Joe Biden 7%
Martin O’Malley 3%
Jim Webb 1%
Lincoln Chafee 0%

This poll was done June 20-29 among 761 likely Democratic caucus voters. I still contend Clinton is loving this Sanders boomlet in order to keep Martin O’Malley and, if he gets in, Joe Biden down in the polls.

Bush Leads National GOP Field, Walker Leads in IA

Wednesday, July 1st, 2015

An absolutely depressing poll for Republicans voters who actually want to win in 2016 from CNN and Opinion Research as four of the top five Republicans in this latest poll are Donald Trump, Mike Huckabee, Ben Carson and Rand Paul.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (CNN)
Jeb Bush 19%
Donald Trump 12%
Mike Huckabee 8%
Ben Carson 7%
Rand Paul 7%
Marco Rubio 6%
Scott Walker 6%
Rick Perry 4%
Chris Christie 3%
Ted Cruz 3%
Rick Santorum 3%
Bobby Jindal 2%
John Kasich 2%
Carly Fiorina 1%
Lindsey Graham 1%
George Pataki 0%

This poll was done June 26-28 among 236 registered voters. This entire Trump boomlet is scarily similar to the near disaster Republicans almost had when Newt Gingrich rose to the top of the polls last time around. Thankfully, the voters in Iowa seem to be more sane according to a new poll from Quinnipiac University.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – GOP CAUCUS (Quinnipiac)
Scott Walker 18%
Ben Carson 10%
Donald Trump 10%
Rand Paul 9%
Ted Cruz 9%
Jeb Bush 8%
Marco Rubio 7%
Mike Huckabee 5%
Rick Perry 4%
Rick Santorum 4%
Bobby Jindal 3%
Carly Fiorina 3%
John Kasich 2%
Chris Christie 1%
Lindsey Graham 1%
George Pataki 0%

This poll was done June 20-29 among 666 likely voters.

UPDATE: Whoops, grabbed the second choice results by mistake, been fixed above (10:52am)

Clinton Leads GOP in MI

Tuesday, June 30th, 2015

Earlier today, Public Policy Polling put out their view of the Presidential race in Michigan and it show no real surprises.

PRESIDENT – MICHIGAN (PPP)
Hillary Clinton 47%
Jeb Bush 38%

Hillary Clinton 49%
Ben Carson 41%

Hillary Clinton 44%
Chris Christie 38%

Hillary Clinton 49%
Ted Cruz 39%

Hillary Clinton 46%
Carly Fiorina 38%

Hillary Clinton 47%
Mike Huckabee 42%

Hillary Clinton 45%
Rand Paul 42%

Hillary Clinton 46%
Marco Rubio 40%

Hillary Clinton 49%
Donald Trump 39%

Hillary Clinton 46%
Scott Walker 42%

Scott Walker 36%
Lincoln Chafee 31%

Scott Walker 37%
Martin O’Malley 32%

Scott Walker 39%
Bernie Sanders 35%

Scott Walker 38%
Jim Webb 31%

This poll was done June 25-28 among 1072 registered voters. It is already a pain in the ass showing the number head-to-head match ups we have due to the number of Republicans running, can you imagine it if there was actually another Democrat making a serious challenge to Clinton?

Clinton Leads Walker and Rubio

Monday, June 29th, 2015

Democracy Corps put out a new poll today for the Presidential race showing Hillary Clinton with leads of 7% and 9% over Scott Walker and Marco Rubio, respectively.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Democracy Corps)
Hillary CLinton (D) 50%
Scott Walker (R) 43%

Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
Marco Rubio (R) 41%

This poll was done June 13-17 among 950 likely voters.

Open Thread Monday

Monday, June 29th, 2015

The usual Monday morning cleansing

Sanders Within 8% Of Clinton in NH

Thursday, June 25th, 2015

As expected, we did get that new poll from CNN for the state of New Hampshire and it shows Bernie Sanders within single digits of Hillary Clinton.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (CNN/WMUR/UNH)
Hillary Clinton 43%
Bernie Sanders 35%
Martin O’Malley 2%
Jim Webb 1%
Lincoln Chafee 0%

This poll was done June 18-24 among 360 primary voters. Trump in 2nd place on the Republican and Sanders on the Democratic side. Could we end up in this country with a Donald Trump/Bernie Sanders General Election?????

Bush Leads GOP in NH, Trump in Second

Thursday, June 25th, 2015

CNN, WMUR and The University of New Hampshire join the early-state poll releases today with one of their own for the state of New Hampshire.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (CNN/WMUR/UNH)
Jeb Bush 16%
Donald Trump 11%
Rand Paul 9%
Scott Walker 8%
Carly Fiorina 6%
Marco Rubio 6%
Chris Christie 5%
Ben Carson 5%
Rick Perry 4%
Ted Cruz 3%
Mike Huckabee 2%
John Kasich 2%
George Pataki 1%
Lindsey Graham 1%
Rick Santorum 0%
Bobby Jindal 0%
Bob Ehrlich 0%
Jim Gilmore 0%
Peter King 0%

This poll was done June 18-24 among 402 registered primary voters. Supposedly CNN will be releasing the Democratic side of this poll at 6pm. I will likely not get to that until later tonight.

Bush Leads GOP Field in SC

Thursday, June 25th, 2015

A poll from Opinion Savvy shows Jeb Bush ahead of Ben Carson and hometown Lindsey Graham in the state of South Carolina.

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – GOP PRIMARY (Opinion Savvy)
Jeb Bush 19%
Ben Carson 13%
Lindsey Graham 13%
Donald Trump 10%
Mike Huckabee 9%
Marco Rubio 5%
Rand Paul 4%
Rick Perry 3%
Ted Cruz 3%
Scott Walker 2%
Carly Fiorina 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
Bobby Jindal <1%
John Kasich <1%
George Pataki <1%
Chris Christie 0%

This poll was done June 22nd among likely primary voters.

Clinton Hits 50% in Both NH and IA

Thursday, June 25th, 2015

Bloomberg team up with Saint Anselm College in New Hampshire and Selzer and Company in Iowa and released two new poll this morning for the state of Iowa and New Hampshire and both show Hillary Clinton at or above 50% in the Democratic field and Bernie Sanders in a solid second place.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Bloomberg)
Hillary Clinton 56%
Bernie Sanders 24%
Martin O’Malley 2%
Lincoln Chafee 1%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Bloomberg)
Hillary Clinton 50%
Bernie Sanders 24%
Martin O’Malley 2%
Lincoln Chafee 0%

These polls were done June 19-22 among 400 likely voters.