Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Baldwin Leads GOP in WI

Thursday, February 23rd, 2017

Magellan Strategies released a new poll for the state of Wisconsin that shows Tammy Baldwin easily ahead of two potential Republican candidates (although one is currently an elected Democrat).

US SENATE – WISCONSIN (Magellan)
Tammy Baldwin (D-inc) 49%
David Clarke (R) 36%

Tammy Baldwin (D-inc) 49%
Sean Duffy (R) 35%

In the primary race, Magellan actually did two separate surveys, one that included the titles of each candidate and one that did not.

US SENATE – WISCONSIN – GOP PRIMARY
Sean Duffy 26%
David Clarke 25%

Sheriff David Clarke 32%
Congressman Sean Duffy 26%

The General Election poll and the “non-titled” primary poll was done February 9-10 among likely voters. The “titled” poll was done February 15-16 among likely primary voters.

Kaine Dominates Fiorina and Graham in VA

Monday, February 20th, 2017

Quinnipiac University released the second half of their poll in Virginia on Friday and it shows Tim kaine with a huge lead over mentioned-possible candidates Carly Fiorina and Laura Ingraham.

US SENATE – VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac)
Tim Kaine (D-inc) 56%
Laura Ingraham (R) 36%

Tim Kaine (D-inc) 57%
Carly Fiorina (R) 36%

This poll was done February 10-15 among 989 registered voters.

Also out on Friday are some Favorable/Unfavorable numbers for the various potential candidates for Governor in Iowa from The Des Moines Register.

Dems Lead Gubernatorial Race in VA

Thursday, February 16th, 2017

Hey look at this, an actual Election poll to talk about. Quinnipiac University has dumped out a new poll for the state of Virginia showing the damage Donald Trump is doing to Republicans as nobody other than Ed Gillespie can get above 33% against the two Democrats.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac)

Tom Perriello (D) 43%
Ed Gillespie (R) 36%

Tom Perriello (D) 44%
Corey Stewart (R) 31%

Tom Perriello (D) 43%
Denver Riggleman (R) 30%

Tom Perriello (D) 43%
FrankAnn Wagner (R) 32%

Ralph Northam (D) 41%
Ed Gillespie (R) 35%

Ralph Northam (D) 42%
Corey Stewart (R) 31%

Ralph Northam (D) 42%
Denver Riggleman (R) 31%

Ralph Northam (D) 41%
FrankAnn Wagner (R) 33%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – GOP PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Ed Gillespie 24%
Corey Stewart 7%
FrankAnn Wagner 5%
Denver Riggleman 2%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Tom Perriello 19%
Ralph Northam 19%

Hopefully Virginia Republicans aren’t dumb enough to nominate Stewart, who would make 2013 nominee Ken Cuccinelli look like a sane choice by comparison. This poll was done February 10-15 among 989 registered voters, 419 Republicans and 462 Democrats.

Open Thread Sunday

Sunday, February 12th, 2017

I guess after ten days, it is about time for a clean thread.

There has been a complete lack of election polling, which hopefully will pick up soon.

Gillespie and Northam Lead Primaries in VA

Thursday, February 2nd, 2017

Christopher Newport University is out with a new poll for the primary races in Virginia and they show Ed Gillespie and Ralph Northam atop their respective party fields.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – GOP PRIMARY (CNU)
Ed Gillespie 33%
Frank Wagner 9%
Corey Stewart 7%
Denver Riggleman 1%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – DEM PRIMARY (CNU)
Ralph Northam 26%
Tom Perriello 15%

Unfortunately there were no General Election questions asked, or at least not yet released, which is what we are all wanting. This poll was done January 15-28 among registered voters.

Guadango Trails By 16% in NJ

Wednesday, February 1st, 2017

We have what I believe is the first public poll for the New Jersey gubernatorial race this year and it shows Republicans are going to have a hard time holding this seat even with their sitting Lt. Governor Kim Guadango as the nominee.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Quinnipiac)
Phil Murphy (D) 45%
Kim Guadango (R )29%

This poll was done January 6-30 among 1240 registered voters. It probably doesn’t help Guadango that Chris Christie has sunk to a job approval rating of 17%.

DeWine Leads GOP Field in OH, Trump Collapses In Latest Ras Poll

Tuesday, January 31st, 2017

Governor John Kasich is on his way out and a new primary poll for the Republican side in Ohio from The Tarrance Group shows Mike DeWine in the lead.

GOVERNOR – OHIO – GOP PRIMARY (Tarrance)
Mike DeWine 47%
Jon Husted 18%
Mary Taylor 10%
Jim Renacci 4%

This poll was done January 23-26 among 800 likely Republican voters.

I am sure US Senator Jeff Flake in Arizona is watching these numbers showing how unpopular Donald Trump currently is in Arizona very closely.

By the way, all those Trump acolytes who were pushing Rasmussen Reports showing Trump with a supposed 59% job approval a mere five days ago are now dealing with the same pollster showing an 8% drop since then.

PRESIDENT TRUMP – JOB APPROVAL (Rasmussen)
Approve 51%
Disapprove 49%

Here are the trends showing the collapse in just five days.

UT: Huntsman Leads Hatch By 14% in Senate Primary Race

Thursday, January 26th, 2017

A new poll from The Salt Lake Tribune and The Hinckley Institute shows Orrin Hatch would be crushed in a hypothetical primary against Jon Huntsman in the state of Utah.

US SENATE – UTAH – GOP PRIMARY (Dan Jones)
Jon Huntsman 49%
Orrin Hatch (inc) 35%

This poll was done January 9-16 among registered voters. Hatch has been a US Senator for seven terms.

Democrats Lead Primaries for Gov and Senate in CA

Wednesday, January 25th, 2017

Public Policy Polling has released a new poll for the state of California that shows how a gaggle of candidates stand for both the gubernatorial and US Senatorial jungle primaries. As everyone knows by now, the top two advance to the General Election and hopefully Republicans will be able to get at least one into that race unlike what happened this past year.

GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA (PPP)
Gavin Newsom (D) 25%
Kevin Faulconer (R) 20%
Eric Garcetti (D) 13%
Ashley Swearengin (R) 12%
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) 9%
Tom Steyer (D) 4%
Alex Padilla (D) 3%
John Chiang (D) 2%

US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (PPP)
Xavier Becerra (D) 21%
Kevin Faulconer (R) 18%
Ashley Swearengin (R) 13%
Brad Sherman (D) 11%
Eric Swalwell (D) 5%
Kevin de Leon (D) 4%

This poll was done January 17-18 among 882 registered voters.

Ras: Trump At 55% Job Approval

Monday, January 23rd, 2017

Rasmussen Reports gives us our first post-inauguration job approval poll for Donald Trump and they are claiming voters giving Trump a positive 55% job approval after the first three days.

PRESIDENT TRUMP – JOB APPROVAL
Approve 55%
Disapprove 44%

This poll was done January 20-22 among 1500 likely voters.