Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Perdue Leads By 2% in GA

Friday, October 24th, 2014

More Democratic emails today proclaiming the end of the world. Nancy Pelosi sent me one with the following line:

I just left a staff meeting where my team told me that if Democrats aren’t able to get the air support they need, we could lose and lose big. Even in places like California and New York.

Also today, the DCCC got Gloria Steinem to send an email with the following line:

Instead they’re relying on tired, sexist tropes to appeal to us. Women will only vote if voting is like dating, getting married, or breaking up. At least that’s what Republicans seem to think. This election is our chance to show them that their relentless sexism will not stand.

Huh? Of all groups, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution manages to create a poll that shows David Perdue with a small lead over Michelle Nunn.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (AJC)
David Perdue (R) 44%
Michelle Nunn (D) 42%
Amanda Swafford (L) 6%

This poll was done October 16-23 among 1170 likely voters. Meanwhile, Rasmussen Reports has a new poll out in Michigan showing a 3% lead for Rick Snyder.

GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN (Rasmussen)
Rick Snyder (R-inc) 49%
Mark Schauer (D) 46%

This poll was done October 20-22 among 1000 likely voters.

Gardner Leads By 5% in CO, Nunn Leads By 3% in GA, Shaheen Leads By 3% in NH

Friday, October 24th, 2014

The big poll this morning has to be the new one from Quinnipiac University for the state of Colorado, where they now show Cory Gardner up by 5%.

US SENATE – COLORADO (Quinnipiac)
Cory Gardner (R) 46%
Mark Udall (D-inc) 41%
Steve Shogan (I) 5%

This poll was done October 15-21 among 974 likely voters. At this point in Georgia, the whole goal of he Republicans has to be to keep Michelle Nunn from reaching 50%. We have yet another poll, this time from CNN and Opinion Research, showing Nunn with a lead over Perdue.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (CNN/ORC)
Michelle Nunn (D) 47%
David Perdue (R) 44%
Amanda Swafford (L) 5%

This poll was done October 19-22 among 565 likely voters. Meanwhile, the University of Massachusetts Lowell has the race in New Hampshire at a 3% margin.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (UMass-Lowell)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 49%
Scott Brown (R) 46%

This poll was done October 15-21 among 643 likely voters.

Baker Leads Coakley By 9% in MA

Thursday, October 23rd, 2014

Today’s email from the Democrats:

We’re sorry.

We hate flooding your inbox like this.

But you’re our final hope.

We’re quite literally running out of money to pay our staff, feed volunteers, and put ads on the air.
….
Dave — you’ve been there every step of the way with us. Now, in these final 12 days we need one last big push to get us over the finish line. Can you chip in whatever you can right now?

So if I don’t give them money, their volunteers won’t eat? Oh well. In Massachusetts, The Boston Globe how has Charlie Baker taking an incredible 9% lead over Martha Coakley.

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (Boston Globe)
Charlie Baker (R) 45%
Martha Coakley (D) 36%

This poll was done October 19-22 among 500 likely voters.

Polls From KS, GA, IL, NH

Thursday, October 23rd, 2014

Rasmussen Reports latest look at the US Senate race in Kansas puts Greg Orman up by 5% on Pat Roberts.

US SENATE – KANSAS (Rasmussen)
Greg Orman (I) 49%
Pat Roberts (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done October 20-21 among 960 likely voters. Also from Rasmussen is a new poll in Illinois which seems to confirms this morning’s poll.

GOVERNOR – ILLINOIS (Rasmussen)
Bruce Rauner (R) 48%
Pat Quinn (D-inc) 47%

This poll was done October 20-22 among 1000 likely voters. American Research Group joins the parade of pollster showing race in New Hampshire close.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 49%
Scott Brown (R) 48%

This poll was done October 19-22 among 600 likely voters. Finally Insider Advantage becomes the third pollster in a row to show Michelle Nunn ahead of David Perdue.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (IA)
Michelle Nunn (D) 47%
David Perdue (R) 45%
Amanada Swafford (L) 4%

The Republicans best hope here might to be make sure Nunn doesn’t hit 50%. This poll was done October 21-22 among 704 likely voters.

Rauner Leads By 2% in IL, Shaheen Leads By 2% in NH, Ernst Leads By 2% in IA

Thursday, October 23rd, 2014

It has already been a busy morning for polls and we start with the new poll from The Chicago Tribune that has Bruce Rauner now back ahead of Pat Quinn.

GOVERNOR – ILLINOIS (Chicago Tribune)
Bruce Rauner (R) 45%
Pat Quinn (D-inc) 43%
Chad Grimm (L) 4%

This poll was done October 16-21 among 800 likely voters. CNN and Opinion Research have the race in New Hampshire down to 2%.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (CNN/ORC)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 49%
Scott Brown (R) 47%

This poll was done October 18-21 among 645 likely voters. The other big poll this morning comes from Quinnipiac University for the state of Iowa where they have Joni Ernst up by 2%.

US SENATE – IOWA (Quinnipiac)
Joni Ernst (R-inc) 48%
Bruce Braley (D) 46%

This poll was done October 15-21 among 964 likely voters.

Hogan Within 1% of Brown in MD

Wednesday, October 22nd, 2014

One from my home state where Larry Hogan paid Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research to put out a poll claiming he is within a single percentage point of Anthony Brown.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (WPAOR)
Anthony Brown (D) 42%
Larry Hogan (R) 41%

This poll was done October 19-20 among 500 likely voters.

Split Results in NH, McConnell By 8% in KY, Gardner By 7% in CO

Wednesday, October 22nd, 2014

We have two polls for the state of New Hampshire today, one from New England College and one from Public Policy Polling.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (NEC)
Scott Brown (R) 48%
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 47%

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (PPP)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 49%
Scott Brown (R) 45%

The NEC poll was done October 16th among 461 likely voters. The PPP poll was done October 20-21 among 764 likely voters. Voter/Consumer Research has come out with a new poll for the US Senate race in Kentucky that has Mitch McConnell up by 8%.

US SENATE – KENTUCKY (VCR)
Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 49%
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 41%

This poll was done October 16-21 among 815 likely voters. Earlier this afternoon, USA Today and Suffolk University are showing the race in Colorado turning into a mini rout.

US SENATE – COLORADO (USAT/Suffolk)
Cory Gardner (R) 46%
Mark Udall (D-inc) 39%

This poll was done October 18-21 among 500 likely voters.

Orman leads Roberts By 2% in KS

Wednesday, October 22nd, 2014

probably the most anticipated poll of the day is now out. Greg Orman leads Pat Roberts by 2% in the state of Kansas according to Gravis Marketing.

US SENATE – KANSAS (Rasmussen)
Greg Orman (I) 47%
Pat Roberts (R-inc) 45%

GOVERNOR – KANSAS (Gravis)
Paul Davis (D) 49%
Sam Brownback (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done October 20-21 among 1124 likely voters.

Ernst Leads By 1% in IA

Wednesday, October 22nd, 2014

Democrats have another message in this morning’s email:

Subject: It’s over. It’s done.

It’s over. It’s done.

We have no ideas left.
….
Dave — we don’t want to miss out on this opportunity to finally defeat the Republicans. So we’re putting all of our hopes in you answering President Obama’s call-to-action today.

Seriously, we’re at the end of our rope here. You’re our only hope.

If I am their only hope, then they are in some trouble. Another day, another random state poll from Monmouth University. This time it is the state of Iowa.

US SENATE – IOWA (Monmouth)
Joni Ernst (R) 47%
Bruce Braley (D) 46%

This poll was done October 18-21 among 423 likely voters.

Polls For GA, CT, FL

Wednesday, October 22nd, 2014

In Georgia, Survey USA’ latest poll has David Perdue inching closer to Michelle Nunn.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (Survey USA)
Michelle Nunn (D) 46%
David Perdue (R) 44%
Amanda Swafford (L) 4%

Nodates for he poll are given in the article. Quinnipiac University has polls from Connecticut and Florida this morning.

GOVERNOR – CONNECTICUT (Quinnipiac)
Dannel Malloy (D-inc) 43%
Tom Foley (R) 42%
Joe Visconti (I) 9%

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Quinnipiac)
Rick Scott (R-inc) 42%
Charlie Crist (D) 42%
Adrian Wyllie (L) 7%

Both polls were done October 14-20 among likely voters.