Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Q-Polls From FL and CO

Wednesday, June 19th, 2013

For some reason, the Quinnipiac University website is broken this morning, so I have had to go to news organizations to get the latest results from Quinnipiac University for the state of Florida.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Quinnipiac)
Hillary (D) 53%
Marco Rubio (R) 41%

Hillary (D) 50%
Jeb Bush (R) 43%

Marco Rubio (R) 45%
Joe Biden (D) 43%

Jeb Bush (R) 47%
Joe Biden (R) 43%

This poll was done June 11-16 among 1176 registered voters. Also out from Quinnipiac this morning is a new poll from Connecticut.

GOVERNOR – CONNECTICUT (Quinnipiac)
Tom Foley (R) 43%
Dan Malloy (D-inc) 40%

Dan Malloy (D-inc) 44%
John McKinney (R) 37%

Dan Malloy (D-inc) 44%
Larry Cafero (R) 37%

Dan Malloy (D-inc) 43%
Mark Boughton (R) 36%

This poll was done June 12-17 among 1154 registered voters.

Christie/Booker Dominate in NJ, Markey Up By 7% in MA (Plus New CO Poll)

Tuesday, June 18th, 2013

Well I completely missed this yesterday from Scott Rasmussen. He released a new poll for the US Senate race in New Jersey and it shows Cory Booker with a 17% lead over Steve Lonegan.

US SENATE – NEW JERSEY (Rasmussen)
Cory Booker (D) 50%
Steve Lonegan (R) 33%

Last Friday, he also released a poll on the gubernatorial race that shows Christie with a 30% lead.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Rasmussen)
Chris Christie (R-inc) 58%
Barbara Buono (D) 28%

Both polls were done June 12-13 among 1000 likely voters. Rasmussen had become so infrequent with actual useful electoral polling data that I had basically stopped going to his website. Plus, for some reason, his email started going into my spam folder, which is why I missed the polls. Meanwhile in Massachusetts, Gabriel Gomez released a new poll done by OnMessage Inc that claims he is only trailing by 7% against Ed Markey.

US SENATE – MASSACHUSETTS (OnMessage)
Ed Markey (D) 47%
Gabriel Gomez (R) 40%

This poll was done June 16-17 among 600 likely voters. I don’t think it takes a lot of political knowledge to know if you are a candidate releasing results of a poll showing yourself down 7% a week before an election, you are probably not expecting to win. One more internal poll for today that somewhat confirms the Quinnipiac University poll earlier that surprised me showing sitting Democratic Governor John Hickenlooper in trouble. It comes from Republican Scott Gessler, who claims he is within a single percentage point of Hickenlooper in a poll done by Magellan Strategies. (Thanks Michael for the tip)

GOVERNOR – COLORADO (Magellan)
John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 44%
Scott gessler (R) 43%

This poll was done June 4-5 among 500 likely voters. Quinnipiac University is showing on their website that they will be releasing polls for Connecticut and more results for Florida tomorrow morning at 6:30am.

Hagan Leads GOP in NC

Tuesday, June 18th, 2013

We have a new poll from Public Policy Polling for the state of North Carolina that shows Kay Hagan is still going to be a tough seat for Republicans to take away.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 44%
Phil Berger (R) 40%

Kay Hagan (D-inc) 44%
Greg Brannon (R) 40%

Kay Hagan (D-inc) 46%
Jim Cain (D) 38%

Kay Hagan (D-inc) 46%
Renee Ellmers (R) 39%

Kay Hagan (D-inc) 46%
Virginia Foxx (R) 39%

Kay Hagan (D-inc) 46%
Mark Harris (R) 37%

Kay Hagan (D-inc) 45%
Thom Tillis (R) 40%

Kay Hagan (D-inc) 45%
Lynn Wheeler (R) 36%

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA – GOP PRIMARY (PPP)
Virginia Foxx 23%
Phil Berger 11%
Thom Tillis 9%
Renee Ellmers 9%
Jim Cain 8%
Greg Brannon 7%
Mark Harris 4%
Lynn Wheeler 3%

This poll was done June 12-14 among 500 registered voters and 374 primary voters.

Crist Leads Scott By Double Digits in FL

Tuesday, June 18th, 2013

This morning’s new poll from Quinnipiac University for the state of Florida shows if Democrats can convince either Charlie Crist or Bill Nelson to run for Governor.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Quinnipiac)
Charlie Crist (D) 47%
Rick Scott (R-inc) 37%

Bill Nelson (D) 48%
Rick Scott (R-inc) 38%

Rick Scott (R-inc) 42%
Nan Rich (D) 36%

This poll was done June 11-16 among 1176 registered voters.

Cruz Leads GOP in TX, Cuomo Slips in NY

Monday, June 17th, 2013

It looks like Ted Cruz is Texas’ new favorite statewide politician who may run for President in 2016 according to a new poll from the University of Texas and The Texas Tribune.

PRESIDENT – TEXAS – GOP PRIMARY (UT/TT)
Ted Cruz 25%
Rand Paul 13%
Marco Rubio 11%
Rick Perry 10%
Paul Ryan 8%
Chris Christie 8%
Bobby Jindal 2%
Rick Santorum 2%

PRESDIENT – TEXAS – DEM PRIMARY (UT/TT)
Hillary 66%
Joe BIden 11%
Mark Warner 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Andrew Cuomo 1%
Brian Schweitzer 0%
Martin O’Malley 0%

GOVERNOR – TEXAS – GOP PRIMARY (UT/TT)
Rick Perry 45%
Greg Abbott 19%

The press release I linked above seemed to skip a lot of question numbers, so I wonder if we will see more results later in the week for the General Election match ups. This poll was done May 31-June 9 among 1200 registered voters. Meanwhile, Siena College’s latest poll shows Governor Andrew Cuomo down to his lowest re-elect number ever recorded in this poll.

NEW YORK GOVERNOR ANDREW CUOMO – RE-ELECT (Siena)
Re-Elect Cuomo 52%
Prefer Someone Else 41%

The problem for Republicans is coming up with a viable “Someone Else” between now and next year. This poll was done June 9-13 among 804 registered voters.

Markey Leads By 13% in MA

Sunday, June 16th, 2013

Other than a single season in 2005 where Brian Roberts managed to be elected as a starter in the All-Star Game; it really hasn’t been since Cal Ripken retired in 2001 where I have even paid any attention to any Orioles’ player threatening to start in an All-Star game. It was just assumed the Orioles would get their obligatory single player selected who may or may not end up actually playing in the game. This year, they may end up with four starters in a single season if the current voting totals hold up….

We have another new poll for the special election in Massachusetts, this time from The Boston Globe and the University of New Hampshire, that shows Ed Markey with a double-digit lead.

US SENATE – MASSACHUSETTS (UNH)
Ed Markey (D) 54%
Gabriel Gomez (R) 41%

This poll was done June 11-14 among 508 likely voters.

Happy Father’s Day to all the dads out there. It is my first one….

Christie Leads By 40% in NJ

Saturday, June 15th, 2013

Another day, another poll showing a seemingly insurmountable lead for Chris Christie in the state of New Jersey. This time it comes from Richard Stockton College.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Stockton)
Chris Christie (R-inc) 64%
Barbara Buono (D) 24%

This poll was done June 8-13 among 741 likely voters.

Rubio/Christe Lead Hillary/Biden in CO, Christie Leads By 32% in NJ

Friday, June 14th, 2013

We have more of the poll for the state of Colorado from Quinnipiac University and it claims Hillary would actually lose to both Marco Rubio and Chris Christie in a 2016 matchup.

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (Quinnipiac)
Marco Rubio (R) 46%
Hillary (D) 45%

Marco Rubio (R) 48%
Joe Biden (D) 35%

Chris Christie (R) 44%
Hillary (D) 41%

Chris Christie (R) 48%
Joe Biden (D) 32%

I want to believe this poll is accurate, but coupled with the numbers yesterday claiming Tom Tancredo was within a single percentage point of the incumbent Governor, I have a feeling this poll is a tad too-Republican leaning. This poll was done June 5-10 among 1065 registered voters. Meanwhile, Rutgers has a new gubernatorial poll for New Jersey and it has Chris Christie’s lead standing at 32%.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Rutgers)
Chris Christie (R-inc) 59%
Barbara Buono (D) 27%

This poll was done June 3-9 among 763 registered voters. This race is just not moving for Buono.

Hickenlooper In Trouble in CO, Brown Strong for MA GOV

Thursday, June 13th, 2013

Well I got to spend about a half-hour in a stairwell this afternoon….

A somewhat surprising, at least to me, poll this morning for the state of Colorado from Quinnipiac University that shows Republcian Tom Tancredo within a single percentage point of John Hickenlooper in the race for Governor.

GOVERNOR – COLORADO (Quinnipiac)
John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 42%
Tom Tancredo (R) 41%

John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 42%
Scott Gessler (R) 40%

John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 43%
Greg Brophy (R) 37%

This poll was done June 5-10 among 1065 registered voters. We also received more numbers from that UMass/YouGov poll that shows Scott Brown with a lead over Democrats in a potential gubernatorial race in Massachusetts.

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (UMass/YouGov)
Scott Brown (R) 45%
Mike Capuano (D) 33%

Scott Brown (R) 55%
Steven Grossman (D) 26%

Scott Brown (R) 42%
Joe Kennedy (D) 41%

Mike Capuano (D) 36%
Charlie Baker (R) 24%

Steven Grossman (D) 27%
Charlie Baker (R) 26%

Joe Kennedy (D) 48%
Charlie Baker (R) 25%

Mike Capuano (D) 40%
Richard Tisei (R) 20%

Steven Grossman (D) 31%
Richard Tisei (R) 26%

Joe Kennedy (D) 40%
Richard Tisei (R) 33%

This poll was done May 30-June 4 among 500 registered voters.

Christie, Booker Dominate in NJ, Markey Up BY 12% in MA

Thursday, June 13th, 2013

So I take a day off from really posting anything and come back this morning to find we have yet another Republican politician who thinks talking about rape and pregnancy. It scares me to think how many other Republicans out there are also thinking – “Hmm, Akin and Mourdock didn’t say it quite right, so let me weigh in….”

This morning, we have a new Monmouth University poll for the gubernatorial and US Senate races in New Jersey showing Chris Christie and Cory Booker well on their way to easy wins later this year.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Monmouth)
Chris Christie (R-inc) 61%
Barbara Buono (D) 31%

US SENATE – NEW JERSEY (Monmouth)
Cory Booker (D) 53%
Steve Lonegan (R) 37%

Frank Pallone (D) 45%
Steve Longena (R) 40%

Rush Holt (D) 44%
Steve Longena (R) 41%

Sheila Oliver (D) 44%
Steve Lonegan (R) 42%

US SENATE – NEW JERSEY – DEM PRIMARY (Monmouth)
Cory Booker 63%
Rush Holt 10%
Frank Pallone 8%
Sheila Oliver 6%

This poll was done June 10-11 among 636 likely voters. Meanwhile, the conservative polling organization that was supposed to counteract Public Policy Polling, Harper Polling, is out with a new poll on the US Senate race in Massachusetts and it shows Ed Markey with a double-digit lead.

US SENATE – MASSACHUSETTS (Harper)
Ed Markey (D) 49%
Gabriel Gomez (R) 37%

This poll was done June 10-11 among 498 likely voters.