Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Sanders Leads Dems in NH in Two New Polls

Wednesday, November 27th, 2019

Hope everyone is having a good start to the Thanksgiving week. This week we have received two new Democratic primary polls in New Hampshire, one from Suffolk University and The Boston Globe and one from Emerson College and WHDH.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Boston Globe/Suffolk)
Sanders 16%
Warren 14%
Buttigieg 13%
Biden 12%
Gabbard 6%
Yang 4%
Harris 3%
Steyer 2%
Booker 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (WHDH/Emerson)
Sanders 26%
Buttigieg 22%
Warren 14%
Biden 14%
Gabbard 6%
Yang 5%
Harris 4%
Steyer 3%
Booker 2%
Klobuchar 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

Emerson College also gave us some General Election numbers.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Emerson/WHDH)
Biden (D) 52%
Trump (R-inc) 48%

Sanders (D) 52%
Trump (R-inc) 48%

Buttigieg (D) 53%
Trump (R-inc) 47%

Trump (R-inc) 51%
Yang (D) 49%

Trump (R-inc) 51%
Warren (D) 49%

The Suffolk poll was done November 21-24 among likely Democratic primary voters. The Emerson poll was done November 22-26 among likely voters for both the primary and general.

Buttigieg Surges Ahead in NH

Wednesday, November 20th, 2019

A new poll came out yesterday from Saint Anselm College that shows Pete Buttigieg now moving into a lead in the state of New Hampshire.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Saint Anselm)
Pete Buttigieg 24%
Joe Biden 15%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Bernie Sanders 9%
Amy Klobuchar 6%
Tom Steyer 5%
Cory Booker 3%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Andrew Yang 2%
Kamala Harris 1%

This poll was done November 13-18 among 512 registered voters. Buttigieg now has leads outside the margin of error in the states of Iowa and New Hampshire in the past week. Wow.

Polls From IA, NH, NV and SC

Sunday, November 17th, 2019

CBS News and YouGov are showing Pete Buttigieg’s rise in Iowa, but not nearly to the degree CNN showed yesterday. Here are the results of the four early states for Democrats.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (CBS/YouGov)
Biden 22%
Sanders 22%
Buttigieg 21%
Warren 18%
Klobuchar 5%
Harris 5%
Steyer 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (CBS/YouGov)
Warren 31%
Biden 22%
Sanders 20%
Buttigieg 16%
Klobuchar 3%
Harris 3%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – NEVADA – DEM CAUCUS (CBS/YouGov)
Biden 33%
Sanders 23%
Warren 21%
Buttigieg 9%
Harris 4%
Klobuchar 2%
Steyer 2%
Booker 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (CBS/YouGov)
Biden 45%
Warren 17%
Sanders 15%
Buttigieg 8%
Harris 5%
Steyer 2%
Booker 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

These polls were done November 6-13 among registered likely primary voters or caucus goers in each state.

Buttigieg Opens Up 9% Lead in IA

Saturday, November 16th, 2019

CNN and Des Moines Register released a new poll for the Democratic caucuses this evening and it shows Pete Buttigieg with a 9% lead over second place Elizabeth Warren.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (CNN/DMR)
Pete Buttigieg 25%
Elizabeth Warren 16%
Joe Biden 15%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Amy Klobuchar 6%
Cory Booker 3%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Kamala Harris 3%
Tom Steyer 3%
Andrew Yang 3%
Michael Bloomberg 2%

This poll was done November 8-13 among 500 likely caucus goers.

Louisiana Election Night Thread

Saturday, November 16th, 2019

Republicans will need to win tonight with Eddie Rispone if they hope to break even in the 2019 gubernatorial races after losing in Kentucky early last week. The public polls show this going down to the wire. Polls close at 9pm.

Biden Leads Trump by 7% in NV and 2% in NC

Friday, November 15th, 2019

Fox News released new polls for the states of Nevada and North Carolina yesterday showing Trump trailing Biden in both states.

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (Fox News)
Biden (D) 47%
Trump (R-inc) 40%

Sanders (D) 47%
Trump (R-inc) 40%

Warren (D) 44%
Trump (R-inc) 41%

Buttigieg (D) 41%
Trump (R-inc) 41%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Fox News)
Biden (D) 45%
Trump (R-inc) 43%

Sanders (D) 45%
Trump (R-inc) 44%

Trump (R-inc) 44%
Warren (D) 43%

Trump (R-inc) 43%
Buttigieg (D) 39%

Both polls were done November 10-13 among registered voters in each state.

Trump Trails Biden in GA By 8%

Wednesday, November 13th, 2019

We have a new poll from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution that shows Donald Trump would lose the state of Georgia to the top five Democrats if the election were held today.

PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (AJC)
Joe Biden (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Bernie Sanders (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

KamalA Harris (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done October 30-November 8 among 1028 registered voters. I am pretty confident in stating Donald Trump is not winning any Electoral College if Georgia is not in his column.

Edwards Leads Rispone By 2% in LA, Buttigieg Leads Dems in IA

Tuesday, November 12th, 2019

We have new poll for the gubernatorial race in Louisiana that shows Democrat John Bel Edwards hanging on to a 25 lead over Republican Eddie Rispone as Republicans try to avoid losing a second gubernatorial race this year. This poll comes from Mason-Dixon.

GOVERNOR – LOUISIANA (Mason-Dixon)
John Bel Edwards (D-inc) 48%
Eddie Rispone (R) 46%

This poll was done November 5-7 among 625 likely voters. Here is a listing of all the public polls I am aware of for this race.

Meanwhile in Iowa, a new poll from Monmouth University has Pete Buttigieg leading the Democratic field with Joe Biden in second.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Monmouth)
Pete Buttigieg 22%
Joe Biden 19%
Elizabeth Warren 18%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Amy Klobuchar 5%
Kamala Harris 3%
Tom Steyer 3%
Andrew Yang 3%
Cory Booker 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 2%
Everyone Else 1% or Less

This poll was done November 7-11 among 966 likely caucus goers.

Biden Leads Dems in NH By 4%

Monday, November 11th, 2019

It has been almost two months since there has been a poll in the state of New Hampshire that showed Joe Biden leading the Democratic field, but he finally got one this morning from Quinnipiac University.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Joe Biden 20%
Elizabeth Warren 16%
Pete Buttigieg 15%
Bernie Sanders 14%
Tulsi Gabbard 6%
Andrew Yang 4%
Amy Klobuchar 3%
Andrew Steyer 3%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done November 6-10 among 1134 likely voters.

Bloomberg Leads Trump by 6% Nationally

Sunday, November 10th, 2019

We have a new poll from Morning Consult and Politico that shows how Michael Bloomberg compares to the other top Democrats against Donald Trump.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (MC/Politico)
Michael Bloomberg (D) 43%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 37%

Joe Biden (D) 44%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Bernie Sanders (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

This poll was done November 8th among roughly 1300 likely voters.