Archive for the ‘General’ Category

McConnell Leads Grimes By 2% in KY

Monday, July 28th, 2014

Some good news tonight from Survey USA where Mitch McConnell holds a 2% over Alison Lundergan Grimes in the hotly contested race in Kentucky.

US SENATE – KENTUCKY (Survey USA)
Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 47%
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45%

This poll was done July 18-23 among 604 likely voters.

Carter Leads Deal in GA

Monday, July 28th, 2014

We did get more of that poll from Rasmussen Reports that they did in Georgia yesterday.

GOVERNOR – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
Jason Carter (D) 45%
Nathan Deal (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done July 23-24 among 750 likely voters. Something simple to start with on Monday. I am still trying to figure out how to handle the YouGov data that was discussed in the last post as well as elsewhere.

Perdue Leads Nunn By 6% in GA

Sunday, July 27th, 2014

Partially to get a new thread going, here is some good news for Republicans from the first post-primary poll that I am aware of in the state of Georgia shows David Perdue opening up a 6% lead over Michelle Nunn.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
David Perdue (R) 46%
Michelle Nunn (D) 40%

This poll was done July 23-24 among 750 likely voters.

Tied Race For Gov in NM, Brownback Down By 8% in KS

Thursday, July 24th, 2014

A new poll from Rasmussen Reports shows that Susana Martinez’s chance at re-election in New Mexico may not be as good as the conventional wisdom has seemed.

GOVERNOR – NEW MEXICO (Rasmussen)
Susana Martinez (R-inc) 43%
Gary King (D) 43%

This poll was done July 21-22 among 860 likely voters. The news for Republicans in Kansas seems to be even worse as Sam Brownback has now fallen 8% behind Democrat Paul Davis and Pat Roberts is now below 40% in his bid for re-election according to Survey USA.

GOVERNOR – KANSAS (Survey USA)
Paul Davis (D) 48%
Sam Brownback (R-inc) 40%
Keen Umbehr (L) 5%

US SENATE – KANSAS (Survey USA)
Pat Roberts (R-inc) 38%
Chad Taylor (D) 33%
Greg Orman (I) 14%
Randall Batson (L) 4%

Chad Taylor (D) 34%
Milton Wolf (R) 33%
Greg Orman (I) 14%
Randall Batson (L) 5%

US SENATE – KANSAS – GOP PRIMARY
Pat Roberts 50%
Milton Wolf 30%
DJ Smith 6%
Alvin Zahnter 3%

This poll was done July 17-22 among 1208 likely voters. Meanwhile in New Hampshire, a new poll released by Magellan Strategies puts Scott Brown within 5% of Jeanne Shaheen in teh state of New Hampshire.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Magellan)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 46%
Scott Brown (R) 41%

This poll was done July 16-17 among 1618 registered voters.

Open Thread Thursday

Thursday, July 24th, 2014

Going to be a busy morning for me, so I will leave you with this….

Daines Leads Walsh By 4% in MT, Burke Leads Walker By 1% in WI

Wednesday, July 23rd, 2014

I guess the race in Montana is getting closer than Republicans had hoped for. Gravis Marketing is out with their latest poll showing Steve Daines lead down to a mere 4%.

US SENATE – MONTANA (Gravis)
Steve Daines (R) 45%
John Walsh (D-inc) 41%
Roger Roots (L) 6%

US HOUSE – MONTANA (Gravis)
Ryan Zinke (R) 47%
John Lewis (D) 35%
Mike Fellows (L) 6%

GOVERNOR – MONTANA (Gravis)
Steve Bullock (D-inc) 46%
Tim Fox (R) 43%

PRESIDENT – MONTANA (Gravis)
Jeb Bush (R) 49%
Hillary Clinton (D) 39%

This poll was done sometime in July among 741 likely voters. Meanwhile in Wisconsin, a new poll from Marquette Law School now has Scott Walker trailing Mary Burke.

GOVERNOR – WISCONSIN (Marquette)
Mary Burke (D) 47%
Scott Walker (R) 46%

This poll was done July 17-20 among 549 likely voters. Walker does lead among registered voters by a 46%-45% margin.

Crist Leads Scott in Two Polls in FL, Warner Dominates in VA

Wednesday, July 23rd, 2014

It looks like the polling organizations that waded into the US Senate primary runoff in Georgia came out as the big losers last night. I don’t normally track primary polls, but Wikipedia did and looking at the list, only WPA Opinion Research appears to have shown David Perdue with a lead during the runoff. Everyone else had Kingston ahead and in some cases, by double digits.

Rick Scott is probably hoping the pollsters are wrong about his race too as we have two separate polling organizations providing almost identical results of the gubernatorial race in Florida. This morning, Quinnipiac University gives Charlie Crist a 5% lead over Rick Scott.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Quinnipiac)
Charlie Crist (D) 45%
Rick Scott (R-inc) 40%

Rick Scott (R-inc) 41%
Nan Ruch (D) 34%

This poll was done July 17-21 among 1251 registered voters. Survey USA also released a new poll yesterday showing Charlie Crist up by 6%.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Survey USA)
Charlie Crist (D) 46%
Rick Scott (R-inc) 40%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Survey USA)

Hillary Clinton 49%
Chris Christie 38%

Hillary Clinton 46%
Rand Paul 42%

Hillary Clinton 53%
Marco Rubio 39%

Hillary Clinton 47%
Jeb Bush 41%

Chris Christie 48%
Joe Biden 39%

Rand Paul 47%
Joe Biden 39%

Marco Rubio 46%
Joe Biden 43%

Jeb Bush 47%
Joe Biden 38%

This poll was done July 17-21 among 564 registered voters. Meanwhile in Virginia, the race there continues to be, well, not so much of a race according to Roanoke College.

US SENATE – VIRGINIA (Roanoke)
Mark Warner (D-inc) 47%
Ed Gillespie (R) 22%
Robert Sarvis (L) 5%

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (Roanoke)
Hillary Clinton 44%
Chris Christie 34%

Hillary Clinton 47%
Rand Paul 37%

Hillary Clinton 47%
Paul Ryan 38%

This poll was done July 14-19 among 566 registered voters. Later today, we get this from Marquette Law School.

That should be interesting.

Primary Night Thread (GA)

Tuesday, July 22nd, 2014

The night we have been waiting for where we find out the Republican nominee for the US Senate in Georgia. The polls close in Georgia at 7pm.

The results from the Associated Press can be found here.

PPP Claims Udall/Hickenlooper Lead in CO

Tuesday, July 22nd, 2014

Last week, we had three polls for the US Senate race in Colorado, two of which had Cory Gardner leading and one that had Mark Udall leading. Apparently Public Policy Polling has decided to throw their lot in with Marist College and claim Mark Udall is in the lead.

US SENATE – COLORADO (PPP)
Mark Udall (D-inc) 44%
Cory Gardner (R) 43%

GOVERNOR – COLORADO (PPP)
John Hickenlooper (D-inc) 44%
Bob Beauprez (R) 43%

This poll was done July 17-20 among 653 registered voters.

Hagan Leads Tillis By 7% in NC

Tuesday, July 22nd, 2014

Public Policy polling has put out their numbers for North Carolina and are now claiming Kay Hagan has opened up a 7% lead over Thom Tillis in a three-way race.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 41%
Thom Tillis (R) 34%
Sean Haugh (L) 8%

This poll was done July 17-20 among 1062 registered voters.