Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Polls From NC, NH, KS and KY

Monday, October 20th, 2014

At the risk of becoming a glorified chat forum, I should get something new up. Public Policy Polling has their home state of North Carolina standing at a 3% margin for Kay Hagan.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 46%
Thom Tillis (R) 43%
Sean Haugh (L) 5%

This poll was done October 16-18 among 780 likely voters. Suffolk University puts the Senate race in New Hampshire at a 3% lead for Jeanne Shaheen.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Suffolk)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 49%
Scott Brown (R) 46%

This poll was done October 16-19 among 500 likely voters. In Kansas, Monmouth University enters the state with a new poll claiming a dead-heat tie between Greg Orman and Pat Roberts.

US SENATE – KANSAS (Monmouth)
Pat Roberts (R-inc) 46%
Greg Orman (I) 46%

GOVERNOR – KANSAS (Monmouth)
Paul Davis (D) 50%
Sam Brownback (R-inc) 45%

This poll was done October 16-19 among 429 likely voters. Survey USA is back in Kentucky and gives Mitch McConnell a single-percentage point lead over Alison Lundergan Grimes.

US SENATE – KENTUCKY (Survey USA)
Mitch McConnel (R-inc) 44%
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43%

This poll was done October 15-19 among 655 likely voters.

Open Thread MONDAY!

Monday, October 20th, 2014

Not what I wanted to do this morning, but time has made it impossible for me to get another post up, so I will have to provide an Open thread for now to give a clean slate…hopefully I will have time later this afternoon.

Weekend Open Thread

Saturday, October 18th, 2014

It looks like I will be without much Internet connection this weekend, so this Open Thread will have to do for now….

2014 Week 7 NFL Picks

Saturday, October 18th, 2014

Now that the MLB season is over (except for two teams who still have to play some meaningless games…well meaningless to me at least), we can concentrate on football.

WEEK 6 WINNERS
Indianapolis beat Houston
Cleveland beat Pittsburgh
Tennessee beat Jacksonville
Baltimore beat Tampa Bay
New England beat Buffalo
Denver beat N.Y. Jets
San Diego beat Oakland
Arizona beat Washington
Philadelphia beat N.Y. Giants
San Francisco beat St. Louis

WEEK 6 LOSERS
Miami lost to Green Bay
Minnesota lost to Detroit
Atlanta lost to Chicago
Seattle lost to Dallas

WEEK 6 PUSH
Cincinnati and Carolina tied

The so-called experts at ESPN decided the tie game would not count against anyone, so I will do the same. A 10-4 week brings my season record to 58-32 and keeps me in sixth place, three games behind first place.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
Tom Jackson 61-29
Cris Carter 61-29
KC Joyner 61-29
Eric Allen 59-31
Ron Jaworksi 59-31
ME 58-32
Seth Wickersham 57-33
Mark Schlereth 57-33
Adam Schefter 55-35
Mike Golic 55-35
Mike Ditka 53-37
Keyshawn Johnson 52-38
Merrill Hoge 52-38
Cris Mortensen 50-40

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 7 of the 2014 NFL season.

WEEK 7 NFL PICKS
N.Y. Jets at New England
Miami at Chicago
New Orleans at Detroit
Carolina at Green Bay
Cleveland at Jacksonville
Atlanta at Baltimore
Minnesota at Buffalo
Cincinnati at Indianapolis
Tennessee at Washington
Seattle at St. Louis
Kansas City at San Diego
Arizona at Oakland
N.Y. Giants at Dallas
San Francisco at Denver
Houston at Pittsburgh

Polls From GA, AR, MA and LA

Thursday, October 16th, 2014

We have a new poll from Gapundit.com in the state of Georgia claiming Michelle Nunn has a single percentage-point lead over David Perdue.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (GaPundit)
Michelle Nunn (D) 46%
David Perdue (R-inc) 45%
Amanda Swafford (L) 6%

This poll was done October 13-14 among likely voters. Rasmussen Reports gave us two polls with good news for Republicans in Arkansas and Massachusetts.

US SENATE – ARKANSAS (Rasmussen)
Tom Cotton (R) 47%
Mark Pryor (D-inc) 44%

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (Rasmussen)
Charlie Baker (R) 48%
Martha Coakley (D) 45%

The AR poll was done October 13-15 among 980 likely voters. The MA poll was done October 13-14 among 940 likely voters. Vox Populi Polling has reemerged with a new poll in Louisiana showing Bill Cassidy would win a runoff election.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (VPP)
Bill Cassidy (R) 48%
Mary Landrieu (D-inc) 44%

This poll was done October 13-14 among 546 likely voters.

Gardner Leads By 6% in CO

Thursday, October 16th, 2014

The number of American League teams that have gone longer without making a World Series than the Baltimore Orioles (31 years) – 1. The Seattle Mariners have gone 37 years since they were founded without making the World Series. Since the Orioles won the World Series in 1983, every other American League team other than the Mariners has at least made the World Series once. Sad….

This morning, we get that promised poll from Quinnipiac University for the state of Colorado.

US SENATE – COLORADO (Quinnipiac)
Cory Gardner (R) 47%
Mark Udall (D-inc) 41%
Steve Shogan (I) 8%

This poll was done October 8-13 among 988 likely voters.

Second Poll Has Ernst leading Braley in IA, Walker/Burke Tied in WI

Wednesday, October 15th, 2014

Driving around today between sites, I put on the Orioles’ game. I was resigned to the fact that they were going to lose this series, but listened anyway. It was about the fifth inning, the Orioles were trailing 2-1 and I heard the Orioles’ radio play-by-play man Joe Angel state that Ryan Flaherty has been the Orioles’ best offensive player in the ALCS> Now I like Ryan Flaherty and think he is a great player to have on the team, but if Flaherty is your best offensive player in a series, you are probably not going to win the series. Once I heard Angel say that, it was not hard to see why the Orioles’ players are now available to attend your next fundraising event….

Earlier today, we received another poll for teh state of Iowa, this time from USA Today and Suffolk University that gave Joni Ernst a 4% lead over Bruce Braley.

US SENATE – IOWA (USAT/Suffolk)
Joni Ernst (R) 47%
Bruce Braley (D) 43%

This poll was done October 11-14 among 500 likely voters. The other poll from this afternoon worth mentioning is the new Marquette Law School poll in Wisconsin showing a dead-heat tie.

GOVERNOR – WISCONSIN (MU)
Scott Walker (R-inc) 47%
Mary Burke (D)47%

This poll was done October 9-12 among 903 likely voters. There are other polls out there, but as you will see from now until Election Day, I will be mainly focusing on the polls in those close races that matter.

Tomorrow morning at 8am is a new US Senate poll in Colorado from Quinnipiac University.

Cassidy Leads By 9% in LA

Wednesday, October 15th, 2014

Rasmussen Reports is now showing Bill Cassidy up by 9% in the Louisiana US Senate runoff election.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA RUNOFF (Rasmussen)
Bill Cassidy (R) 52%
Mary Landrieu (D-inc) 43%

This poll was done October 13-14 among 965 likely voters.

Nunn Leads By 3% in GA, Ernst Leads By 2% in IA, Gardner Leads By 4% in CO

Wednesday, October 15th, 2014

The polls seem to be defying convention wisdom at this point. Last night we see a poll where Scott Brown is supposedly taking a lead in New Hampshire and this morning, Survey USA is claiming Michelle Nunn is now ahead of David Perdue in Georgia.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (Survey USA)
Michelle Nunn (D) 48%
David Perdue (R) 45%
Amanda Swafford (L) 3%

GOVERNOR – GEORGIA (Survey USA)
Jason Carter (D) 46%
Nathan Deal (R-inc) 46%
Andrew hunt (L) 4%

The article inexplicably doesn’t include the dates for this poll anywhere in the article. Meanwhile in Iowa, Quinnipiac University has a new poll showing Joni Ernst with a 2% lead over Bruce Braley.

US SENATE – IOWA (Quinnipiac)
Joni Ernst (R) 47%
Bruce Braley (D) 45%

This poll was done October 8-13 among 967 likely voters. Also this morning is a new poll from CNN and Opinion Research that has Cory Gardner up by 4% in Colorado.

US SENATE – COLORADO (CNN/ORC)
Cory Gardner (R) 50%
Mark Udall (D-inc) 46%

This poll was done October 9-13 among 665 likely voters.

Brown leads Shaheen in NH (Plus New ID Poll)

Tuesday, October 14th, 2014

Scott Brown has a single percentage-point lead over Jeanne Shaheen in the state of New Hampshire according to a new poll from New England College.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (NEC)
Scott Brown (R) 48%
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 47%

This poll was done October 9th among 1081 likely voters. Earlier today, Public Policy Polling released a new poll showing a close race for Governor.

GOVERNOR – IDAHO (PPP)
Butch Otter (R-inc) 39%
AJ Balukoff (D) 35%
Others 12%

US SENATE – IDAHO (PPP)
Jim Risch (R-inc) 50%
Nels Mitchell (D) 32%

This poll was done October 9-12 among 522 likely voters.