Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Hawley/McCaskill Tied in MO

Sunday, August 12th, 2018

A new poll from Missouri Scout claims the US Senate race in Missouri is tied in one of the seats Republicans hope to pick up to offset potential losses elsewhere.

US SENATE – MISSOURI (MO Scout)
Josh Hawley R) 47%
Claire McCaskill (D-inc) 47%

This poll was done August 8-9 among likely voters.

Jealous Claims He Is Trailing Hogan By Only 9% in MD

Friday, August 10th, 2018

The Democratic candidate for Governor in Maryland is at the point where he is releasing a poll showing himself down by 9% to try and claim he has a chance against Larry Hogan in November. His poll was done by Garin-Hart-Young Research Group.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (Garin-Hart-Yang)
Larry Hogan (R-inc) 49%
Ben Jealous (D) 40%

This poll was done July 10-14 among 601 likely voters.

Kaine Crushing Stewart By 23% in VA

Thursday, August 9th, 2018

The Republican nominee and noted fan of the confederate flag Corey Stewart is getting absolutely crushed in a new poll from Virginia Commonwealth University.

US SENATE – VIRGINIA (VCU)
Tim Kaine (D-inc) 49%
Corey Stewart (R) 26%
Matt Waters (L) 5%

This poll was done July 10-30 among 802 voters.

Walker Trails By 7% in WI

Monday, July 30th, 2018

It looks like the “Blue Wave” is what will finally take down Scott Walker in the state of Wisconsin if a new poll from Emerson College is to be belived.

GOVERNOR – WISCONSIN (Emerson)
Tony Evers (D) 48%
Scott Walker (R-inc) 41%

US SENATE – WISCONSIN (Emerson)
Tammy Baldwin (D-inc) 49%
Kevin Nicholson (R) 40%

Tammy Baldwin (D-inc) 50%
Leah Vukmir (R) 36%

This poll was done July 26-28 among likely voters.

Can GOP Win in Oregon?

Sunday, July 22nd, 2018

There is a new poll from Gravis Marketing as reported by Real Clear Politics that claims the Republican candidate is currently tied with the current sitting Democratic Governor.

GOVERNOR – OREGON (Gravis)
Kate Brown (D-inc) 45%
Knute Buehler (R) 45%

This poll was done July 16-17 among 770 likely voters.

Dems Lead US Senate/Gov races in TN

Monday, July 16th, 2018

If the new numbers from Emerson College are to be believed, Tennessee will be going blue in November in the US Senate and Gubernatorial races.

US SENATE – TENNESSEE (Emerson)
Phil Bredesen (D) 43%
Marsha Blackburn (R) 37%

GOVERNOR – TENNESSEE (Emerson)
Karl Dean (D) 39%
Diane Black (R) 35%

Karl Dean (D) 36%
Randy Boyd (R) 34%

This poll was done July 11-14 among 657 likely voters.

Open Thread Sunday!

Sunday, July 8th, 2018

Here ya go!

Election Day Thread- Maryland

Tuesday, June 26th, 2018

It is election night here in my home state of Maryland. The biggest item to come out of tonight is who will take on Larry Hogan in November for Governor. Polls close at 8pm.

Another Poll Shows Hogan Leads Dems By Double Digits in MD

Friday, June 15th, 2018

Early voting started yesterday here in Maryland and there was another gubernatorial poll earlier this week showing Hogan with double-digit leads over the top Democrats according to a new poll from Gonzales Research.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (Gonzales)
Larry Hogan (R-inc) 48%
Rushern Baker (D) 37%

Larry Hogan (R-inc) 52%
Ben Jealous (D) 34%

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND – DEM PRIMARY (Gonzales)
Rushern Baker 25%
Ben Jealous 23%
Rich Madaleno 9%
Valerie Ervin 7%
Jim Shea 6%
Krish Vignarajah5%
Alec Ross 2%

This poll was done June 4-10. it’s worth noting even with these numbers, in 2014 Gonzales’ final poll in that race showed Hogan losing by 2% when Hogan ended up winning by 4%. This was at the same time (over the same time period) another pollster had Hogan ahead by 5%.

The other thing worth noting, the last time Maryland had an incumbent Republican Governor running for re-election in 2006, the Democratic candidate Martin O’Malley already had a lead in the polls in the high-single to low-double digits by roughly the same time of the election calendar. The fact that the Democrats are still trailing Hogan by double digits this late in the game is great news for Larry Hogan if history is prologue.

Baker/Jealous Tied in MD

Sunday, June 10th, 2018

The Baltimore Sun and Opinion Works have released a primary poll for Maryland showing the same top two candidate in the Democratic field as The Washington Post showed last week.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND – DEM PRIMARY (BaSu/Opinion Works)
Ben Jealous 16%
Rushern Baker 16%
Valerie Ervin 5%
Rich Madaleno 4%
Jim Shea 4%
Krish Vignarajah 4%
Alec Ross 1%

This poll was done May 29-June 6 among 500 likely primary voters. There was not General Election numbers released in this article, not sure if they were done this time around. But the fascinating question in this poll indicated only 57% of Democratic primary voters (which in Maryland are strictly Democrats as the primaries are closed) will vote for the Democrat in November with 24% saying they will vote for Republican Larry Hogan.