Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Biden Leads Dem Field Nationally By 9%

Friday, July 19th, 2019

Last week NBC News partnered with The Wall Street Journal to release poll on the Democratic race. This week, they decided to go with SurvyeMonkey and release an “online” poll.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (NBC/SM)
Joe Biden 25%
Bernie Sanders 16%
Elizabeth Warren 16%
Kamala Harris 14%
Pete Buttigieg 8%
Beto O’Rourke 3%
Cory Booker 3%
Julian Castro 2%
Andrew Yang 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This “online” poll was done July 2-16 among Democratic leaning voters.

Biden Leads Dem Field in Two NH Polls

Tuesday, July 16th, 2019

We got two polls for the state of New Hampshire in the past two days that both show Joe Biden now leading the Democratic field while Bernie Sanders is starting to sink in his probably must win early state. We start with Saint Anselm College where Sanders has actually fallen to fifth place.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Saint Anselm)
Joe Biden 21%
Kamala Harris 18%
Elizabeth Warren 17%
Pete Buttigieg 12%
Bernie Sanders 10%
Andrew yang 5%
Amy Klobuchar 3%
Marianne Williamson 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done July 10-12 among 351 Democratic primary voters. CNN and the University of New Hampshire gives better news for Sanders, basically having him switching spots with Kamala Harris.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (CNN/UNH)
Joe Biden 24%
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Bernie Sanders 19%
Pete Buttigieg 10%
Kamala Harris 9%
Cory Booker 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done July 8-15 among 386 likely primary voters. Sanders led the Democratic field by double digits just three months ago.

Biden Leads Trump By 9% Nationally

Sunday, July 14th, 2019

NBC News and The Wall Street Journal have released the General Election numbers from their latest poll and it shows Joe Biden up on Donald Trump by 9%.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (NBC/WSJ)
Joe Biden (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Bernie Sanders (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Kamala Harris (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done July 7-9 among 800 registered voters.

Warren Leads Dem Field in NH

Saturday, July 13th, 2019

Change Research released a new poll for the state of New Hampshire yesterday that shows Elizabeth Warren leading what is becoming the pack of five that seem to be at the top of every poll of late.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Change)
Elizabeth Warren 22%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Joe Biden 19%
Kamala Harris 15%
Pete Buttigieg 13%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done July 6-9 among 1084 registered primary voters.

Biden Leads Dems Nationally By 7% and in SC By 21%

Thursday, July 11th, 2019

NBC News and The Wall Street Journal have a poll out today showing Joe Biden holding onto a 7% lead over Elizabeth Warren with Kamala Harris and Bernie Sanders tied for third place.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (NBC/WSJ)
Joe Biden 26%
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Kamala Harris 13%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Pete Buttigieg 7%
Andrew Yang 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Everyone Lese 1% or less

This poll was done July 7-9 among 400 Democratic primary voters. Meanwhile in South Carlina, Biden still holds a dominating lead on the field according to a new poll from Fox News.

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (Fox News)
Joe Biden 35%
Bernie Sanders 14%
Kamala Harris 12%
Elizabeth Warren 5%
Cory Booker 3%
Pete Buttigieg 2%
John Delaney 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done July 7-10 among 801 registered Democratic primary voters.

Biden Doubles Up on Dem Field in Primary

Tuesday, July 9th, 2019

Either the Kamala Harris surge has actually stalled or Emerson College is polling the same group of voters that ABC News and The Washington Post are. Their latest poll is showing Joe Biden doubling up on three second place candidates in the Democratic primary.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 30%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Kamala Harris 15%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Andrew yang 3%
Tulsi Gabbard 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Michael Bennet 1%
Eric Swalwell 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Steve Bullock 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Everyone Else <1%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

Bernie Sanders (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Kamala Harris (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 49%

This poll was done July 6-8 among 1100 registered voters.

ABC/WaPo: Biden Leads Trump By Double Digits, Trump Much Closer All Other Dems

Sunday, July 7th, 2019

ABC News and The Washington Post, which you will remember were still showing Joe Biden as far away the front runner in the Democratic primary, have released the General Election numbers from this same poll showing Biden also the only Democrat who had a clear lead over Donald Trump.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (ABC/WaPo)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Kamala Harris (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Bernie Sanders (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

This poll was done June 28-July 1 among 875 registered voters. It is not surprising their pro-Biden numbers in the primary seemed to have carried over to the General Election numbers. It’ll be interesting to see how ABC News and The Washington Post compare to others on the next go around. Will they still be more pro-Biden than others or be more inline with others.

Biden Leads Trump By 4% Nationally

Friday, July 5th, 2019

On this day after Independence Day, we have a new poll from Rasmussen Reports that shows Joe Biden ahead of Donald Trump by 4%.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Joe Biden (D) 48%
Donald trump (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done June 23-July 2 among 4500 likely voters.

Biden Falls Into Third Place Among Dems in IA

Wednesday, July 3rd, 2019

We may in the process of seeing the early collapse of Joe Biden and eventual early withdrawal of Biden slowly building before our eyes. While ABC News and The Washington Post haven’t completely bought into it yet in their poll this morning, a lot of other national polls are showing the quick collapse of Biden and now we have a new Iowa poll from Focus on Rural America and David Binder Research that has Biden already falling into third place in the state of Iowa.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (FORA/DBR)
Elizabeth Warren 20%
Kamala Harris 18%
Joe Biden 17%
Bernie Sanders 12%
Pete Buttigieg 10%
Amy Klobuchar 4%
Cory Booker 2%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
john Delaney 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Michael Bennet 1%
Steve Bullock 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Bill deBlasio 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 29-July 1 among likely Democratic caucus goers.

ABC/WaPo: Biden Still Leads Dem Field By Double Digits, Harris a Distant Third

Wednesday, July 3rd, 2019

ABC News and The Washington Post apparently are not buying in fully to what CNN and Quinnipiac University are selling showing Kamala Harris surging to within the margin of error of Joe Biden in the Democratic race.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (ABC/WaPo)
Joe Biden 30%
Bernie Sanders 19%
Kamala Harris 13%
Elizabeth Warren 12%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Julian Castro 3%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Michael Bennet 1%
Cory Booker 1%
John Hickenlooper1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 28-July 1 among 397 registered Democratic voters. If you remember yesterday, Quinnipiac University released a poll over the same exact June 28-July 1 time period and claimed Harris is within 2% of Biden. AS shown above, ABC News and The Washington Post has that spread at 17%!