Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Bush Leads GOP Field in IA, Rice Would Beat Clinton in IA

Tuesday, April 21st, 2015

Gravis Marketing released a new poll for teh state of Iowa and it shows Jeb Bush at the top of the Republican field. Interstingly the article (as of the time of this post) shows Mike Huckabee twice in the GOP primary. I leave it that way until they fix it.

PRESIDENT – IOWA (Gravis)
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
Jeb Bush (R) 40%

Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Scott Walker (R) 41%

Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
Mike Huckabee (R) 43%

Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Chris Christie (R) 39%

Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
Rand Paul (R) 43%

Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
Carly Fiorina (R) 37%

Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Ted Cruz (R) 40%

Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
Marco Rubio (R) 42%

Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
Ben Carson (R) 37%

Condoleezza Rice (R) 43%
Hillary Clinton (D) 40%

PRESIDENT – IOWA – GOP CAUCUS (Gravis)
Jeb Bush 16%
Scott Walker 13%
Marco Rubio 12%
Rand Paul 9%
Ben Carson 9%
Mike Huckabee 8%
Ted Cruz 6%
Chris Christie 5%
Carly Fiorina 3%
Mike Huckabee 2%

This poll was done April 13th among 1259 registered voters.

Bush/Rubio Lead Clinton in FL, Clinton Dominates GOP in NJ

Monday, April 20th, 2015

Mason-Dixon released more from their poll in Florida this morning and it shows both Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio with leads over Hillary Clinton.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Mason-Dixon)
Jeb Bush (R) 47%
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

Marco Rubio (R) 49%
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

This poll was done April 14-16 among 625 registered voters. Meanwhile in New Jersey, Quinnipiac University came out with a poll showing Clinton should have no problem there holding the state of Democrats.

PRESIDENT – NEW JERSEY (Quinnipiac)
Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
Chris Christie (R) 36%

Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
Rand Paul (R) 34%

Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
Mike Huckabee (R) 30%

Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
Jeb Bush (R) 33%

Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
Marco Rubio (R) 34%

Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
Scott Walker (R) 32%

Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
Ted Cruz (R) 30%

This poll was done April 9-14 among 1428 registered voters. The primary polls show basically what we see everywhere else with the only note that Christie does lead Republicans in his own home state.

Clinton Dominates GOP Nationally

Monday, April 20th, 2015

This morning, CNN and Opinion Research have released a poll showing Hilary Clinton absolutely dominating the General Election and Democratic primary.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (CNN/ORC)
Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
Marco Rubio (R) 41%

Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
Jeb Bush (R) 39%

Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
Chris Chirstie (D) 39%

Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
Rand Paul (R) 39%

Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
Mike Huckabee (R) 37%

Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
Ben Carson (R) 36%

Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
Scott Walker (R) 37%

Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
Ted Cruz (R) 36%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (CNN/ORC)
Jeb Bush 17%
Scott Walker 12%
Rand Paul 11%
Marco Rubio 11%
Mike HUckabee 9%
Ted Cruz 7%
Ben Carson 4%
Chris Christie 4%
Rick Perry 3%
Rick Santorum 3%
Carly Fiorina 2%
Lindsey Graham 2%
Bobby Jindal 2%
Jon Kasich 2%
George Pataki 0%

PRESIDENT- NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (CNN/ORC)
Hillary Clinton 69%
Joe Biden 11%
Bernie Sanders 5%
Jim Webb 3%
Lincoln Chafee 1%
Martin O’Malley 1%

Well the other day I said Martin O’Malley needed a poll without Elizabeth Warren included. I guess we have one and it didn’t help him after all. This poll was done April 16-19 registered voters.

Rubio Edges Ahead of Bush in FL

Friday, April 17th, 2015

There is a new poll out from Mason-Dixon Polling that has Marco Rubio just ahead of Jeb Bush in a limited field of Republcian candidates in Florida.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA – GOP PRIMARY (Mason-Dixon)
Marco Rubio 31%
Jeb Bush 30%
Ted Cruz 8%
Rand Paul 7%
Scott Walker 2%

Nobody else was included in the poll. I am not sure of the exact dates for this poll as the article did not indicate it, but the article does state it was taken after “just after” Rubio announced on Monday.

Clinton Leads GOP, Feingold Leads Johnson By 16% in WI

Thursday, April 16th, 2015

Earlier today , Marquette Law School released a pol showing rather dismal numbers for Republicans in both the Presidential and US Senate races.

PRESIDENT – WISCONSIN (Marquette)
Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
Scott Walker (R) 40%

Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
Rand Paul (R) 41%

Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
Jeb Bush (R) 38%

Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
Marco Rubio (R) 38%

Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
Ted Cruz (R) 36%

US SENATE – WISCONSIN (Marquette)
Russ Feingold (D) 54%
Ron Johnson (R-inc) 38%

This poll was done April 7-10 among 803 registered voters.

Clinton leads five potential Republican opponents in hypothetical 2016 matchups among registered voters. Clinton leads Paul 49-41, leads Bush 49-38, leads Walker 52-40, leads Rubio 50-38 and leads Cruz 52-36.

Walker/Clinton Lead Parties in NH

Wednesday, April 15th, 2015

Public Policy Polling has released a poll showing both Scott Walker and Hillary Clinton with double digits leads in their respective primary races in New Hampshire.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (PPP)
Scott Walker 24%
Ted Cruz 14%
Rand Paul 12%
Jeb Bush 10%
Chris Christie 8%
Marco Rubio 8%
Ben Carson 7%
Mike Huckabee 7%
Rick Perry 4%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (PPP)
Hillary CLinton 45%
Elizabeth Warren 23%
Bernie Sanders 12%
Joe Biden 7%
Martin O’Malley 3%
Lincoln Chafee 1%
Jim Webb 1%

I think one of Martin O’Malley’s biggest problem in making headway is pollster after pollster continues to include Elizabeth Warren in polls even though she has given every indication she has absolutely no interest in running. It would be really interesting to see a poll done with only Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, Lincoln Chafee and Jim Webb included as they appear to be the only ones who have made a serious effort in running for President at this point. I am sure Clinton would still dominate, but O’Malley would at least have a more respectable number to use to make the case he is a true alternative.

These polls were done April 9-13 among registered primary voters.

Walker Leads GOP Field in SC

Wednesday, April 15th, 2015

Winthrop University has released a poll for the Republican primary race in South Carolina and it has Scott Walker and Jeb Bush at the head of the field.

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – GOP PRIMARY (Winthrop)
Scott Walker 14%
Jeb Bush 13%
Ted Cruz 8%
Lindsey Graham 8%
Rand Paul 6%
Chris Christie 5%
Mike Huckabee 5%
Ben Carson 5%
Marco Rubio 4%
Donald Trump 2%
Rick Perry 2%
Bobby Jindal 1%
Rick Santorum <1%
John Bolton <1%

This poll was done April 4-12 among 956 primary voters.

Manchin Would Be Governor Again in WV If He Wants It

Tuesday, April 14th, 2015

If Republicans want any hope of winning hte gubernatorial race in West Virginia, Harper Polling shows that they better hope Joe Manchin decides not to run.

GOVERNOR – WEST VIRGINIA (Harper Polling)
Joe Manchin (D) 52%
David McKinley (R) 35%

Joe Manchin (D) 54%
Bill Cole (R) 32%

Joe Manchin (D) 58%
Patrick Morrisey (R) 29%

David McKinley (R) 40%
Booth Goodwin (D) 35%

Bill Cole (R) 37%
Booth Goodwin (D) 35%

Patrick Morrisey (R) 36%
Booth Goodwin (D) 36%

David McKinley (R) 42%
Jeff Kessler (D) 32%

Bill Cole (R) 38%
Jeff Kessler (D) 34%

Patrick Morrisey (R) 38%
Jeff Kessler (D) 35%

GOVERNOR – WEST VIRGINIA – GOP PRIMARY (Harper Polling)
David McKinley 31%
Patrick Morrisey 25%
Bill Cole 15%

PRESIDENT – WEST VIRGINIA – GOP PRIMARY (Harper Polling)
Jeb Bush 23%
Mike Hckabee 20%
Scott Walker 13%
Ben Carson 8%
Ted Cruz 8%
Rand Paul 7%
Chris Christie 5%
Marco Rubio 4%
Rick Santorum 1%

On the flip side is national Republicans, I am sure, would love for Manchin to run for Governor to open up another US Senate seat to help protect their new majority. This poll was done April 9-11 among 702 likely General Election voters and 242 likely primary voters.

Coffman Leads Bennet, Bennet leads Coffman in CO

Tuesday, April 14th, 2015

This sad story from ESPN about Lawrence Phillips reminds me of how things could have been so different for the Baltimore Ravens (and to another extent, the Pittsburgh Steelers). From the Lawrence Phillips Wikipedia page:

He was widely expected to be selected by the new Baltimore Ravens with the fourth pick to fill their vacant running back position. However, they decided to select the best available player regardless of position and selected future eleven time pro-bowler and future Pro Football Hall-of-Famer Jonathan Ogden. During the draft, ESPN analyst Joe Theismann stated in regard to Phillips: “Everybody’s called him the best player in the draft.” The Rams thought so highly of Phillips that on the same day of the draft, they traded his predecessor, future Hall of Famer Jerome Bettis, to the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Thank goodness for Ozzie Newsome. We may have never had the great Ravens-Steelers rivalry of the 2000s if not for the Ravens wisely not selecting Phillips.

Back to politics, it must be interesting pillow talk conversation when a poll is released showing how a husband and wife team do against a sitting Democratic incumbent and the results show vastly different results. That is we see in the US Senate numbers for Colorado from Quinnipiac University,

US SENATE – COLORADO (Quinnipiac)
Michael Coffman (R) 43%
Michael Bennet (D-inc) 40%

Michael Bennet (D_inc) 44%
Cynthia Coffman (R) 36%

This poll was done March 29=April 7 among 894 registered voters.

Walker Leads GOP Field in NH

Monday, April 13th, 2015

Over the weekend, NH1 and Reach Communications released a new primary poll on the Republican side that has Scott Walker leading the GOP field.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – GOP PRIMARY (NH1/Reach)
Scott Walker 22.7%
Jeb Bush 16.5%
Rand Paul 14.9%
Ted Cruz 8.9%
Donald Trump 8.0%
Marco Rubio 7.0%
Ben Carson 7.0%
Chris Christie 5.8%
Mike Huckabee 5.5%
Carly Fiorina 1.9%
Rick Perry 1.6%

This poll was done April 8-9 among 1064 registered voters.