Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Three Polls Show Close Gov Race in VA, Quinnipiac Disagrees

Wednesday, September 20th, 2017

A slew of polls for the Virginia gubernatorial race have come out over the last week and we will start with Fox News, which shows the race as a dead-even tie among likely voters.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Fox News)
Ralph Northam (D) 42%
Ed Gillespie (R) 42%
Cliff Hyra (L) 1%

This poll was done September 17-18 among 507 registered voters. Among all registrered voters, Northam leads 42%-38%. Meanwhile, Suffolk University shows the race also as a dead-heat tie among likely voters.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Suffolk)
Ralph Northam (D) 42%
Ed Gillespie (R) 42%
Cliff Hyra (L) 3%

Thus poll was done September 13-17 among 500 likely voters. In this poll, Hyra voters are shown leaning 62%-23% in favor of Gillespie. Meanwhile, Mason-Dixon, which has the race at a single-percentage-point lead for Ralph Northam.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Mason-Dixon)
Ralph Northam (D) 44%
Ed Gillespie (R) 43%
Cliff Hyra (L) 2%

This poll was done September 10-15 among 625 registered voters. We do have one pollster who is going against the grain and that would be Quinnipiac University, which currently pegs the race as a double-digit lead for Northam.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac)
Ralph Northam (D) 51%
Ed Gillespie (R) 41%
Cliff Hyra (L) 3%

This poll was done September 14-18 among 850 likely voters.

Strange Surges To Within Single Digits in AL

Monday, September 18th, 2017

Is Donald Trump’s full endorsement of Luther Strange helping him out against Roy Moore? JMC Analytics, which a month ago claim Roy Moore had a 19% lead, is now showing the race down to single digits.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (JMC)
Roy Moore 47%
Luther Strange (inc) 39%

This poll was done September 16-17 among 500 likely voters.

Trump Endorses Strange in AL

Sunday, September 17th, 2017

Amidst his tweetstorm this weekend, Donald Trump went out an endorsed Luther Strange for the US Senate.

2017 Week 2 NFL Picks

Sunday, September 17th, 2017

Before we get to this week’s picks, a look back at how I did last week with my picks. My pick is listed first.

2017 WEEK 1 NFL PICKS WINNERS
Atlanta beat Chicago
Baltimore beat Cincinnati
Buffalo beat NY Jets
Philadelphia beat Washington
Pittsburgh beat Cleveland
L.A. Rams beat Indianapolis
Carolina beat San Francisco
Green Bay beat Seattle
Dallas beat N.Y. Giants
Minnesota beat New Orleans
Denver beat L.A. Chargers

2017 WEEK 1 NFL PICKS LOSERS
New England lost to Kansas City
Arizona lost to Detroit
Houston lost to Jacksonville
Tennessee lost to Oakland

As usual, I will be comparing my picks to the people who are paid by ESPN to be “experts”, which after Week 1 shows me tied for first place.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
ME 11-4
Louis Riddick 11-4
Matt Bowen 10-5
Dan Graziano 9-6
Mina Kimes 9-6
Seth Wickersham 9-6
Trey Wingo 9-6
Kevin Seifert 8-7
Mike Golic 7-8
Lisa Kerney 6-9

I watch ESPN so little nowadays that I honestly did not know who four of these people even are. Without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 2 of the 2017 NFL season.

2017 WEEK 2 NFL PICKS
Houston at Cincinnati
Arizona at Indianapolis
Buffalo at Carolina
Chicago at Tampa Bay
Cleveland at Baltimore
Minnesota at Pittsburgh
New England at New Orleans
Philadelphia at Kansas City
Tennessee at Jacksonville
Miami at L.A. Chargers
N.Y. Jets at Oakland
Dallas at Denver
San Francisco at Seattle
Washington at L.A. Rams
Green Bay at Atlanta
Detroit at N.Y. Giants

Go time….

Strange Within 1% of Moore in AL

Friday, September 15th, 2017

We have another new poll in the US Senate race in Alabama and it shows a much closer race, similar to the close race this same pollster Voter Surveys and Consulting, LLC showed a few weeks ago.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (VSC)
Roy Moore 41%
Luther Strange (inc) 40%

This poll was done September 9-10 among 604 likely primary voters. It should be noted this poll is paid for by a pro-Strange group.

Moore Leads Strange By 14% in AL

Monday, September 11th, 2017

Emerson College has released their view of the primary runoff in Alabama and it shows Roy Moore with a double-digit lead over Luther Strange.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (Emerson)
Roy Moore 40%
Luther Strange (inc) 26%

Clearly Emerson was not pushing anyone too hard with 34% still undecided 15 days before the election. This poll was done September 8-9 among 416 likely voters.

2017 Week 1 NFL Picks

Sunday, September 10th, 2017

I may not have time for much in the political world thee days, but continuing an annual tradition of picking NFL games. Without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 1 of the 2017 NFL season.

2017 WEEK 1 NFL PICKS
Kansas City at New England
Arizona at Detroit
Atlanta at Chicago
Baltimore at Cincinnati
Jacksonville at Houston
N.Y. Jets at Buffalo
Oakland at Tennessee
Philadelphia at Washington
Pittsburgh at Cleveland
Indianapolis at L.A. Rams
Carolina at San Francisco
Seattle at Green Bay
N.Y. Giants at Dallas
New Orleans at Minnesota
L.A. Chargers at Denver

So glad football is back for another year.

Moore Leads Strange By 16% in AL, Schuette Strong in MI

Friday, September 8th, 2017

We finally have another new poll in the US Senate in Alabama, this one coming from some polling outfit called Southeast Research, and it shows Roy Moore with a double-digit lead over Luther Strange in the Republican primary runoff.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (Southeast)
Roy Moore 52%
Luther Strange (inc) 36%

This poll was done August 29-31 among 401 likely voters. Meanwhile, EPIC-MRA released a new poll for the gubernatorial race in Michigan to replace the outgoing Rick Snyder.

GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN (EPIC-MRA)
Bill Schuette (R) 37%
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 37%

Bill Schuette (R) 43%
Geoffrey Fieger (D) 33%

Nothing on the US Senate race, at least in this release. This poll was done August 27-September 1 among 600 likely voters. For comparison, EPIC-MRA’s final poll of the 2016 Presidential race released 5 days before the election showed Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump by 4%. Donald Trump ended up winning in Michigan.

WV: Manchin Ahead in WV

Sunday, September 3rd, 2017

Republicans hoping to pick off a US Senate in West Virginia won’t like this new poll from Repass and Research America.

US SENATE – WEST VIRGINIA (Repass)
Joe Manchin (D-inc) 50%
Evan Jenkins (R) 40%

Joe Manchin (D-inc) 52%
Patrick Morrisey (R) 38%

This poll was done August 11-20 among 400 likely voters.

Moore Leads Strange By 2% in AL, Ward Leads Flake By 26% in AZ

Tuesday, August 29th, 2017

Harper Polling has dumped out a new poll in the state of Alabama that seems to mirror another recent poll showing a tight race in the runoff election.

US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (Harper)
Roy Moore 47%
Luther Strange (inc) 45%

This poll was done August 24-26 among 600 likely primary voters. Meanwhile, another incumbent US Senator is not doing too well in Arizona where JMC Analytics is showing Jeff Flake trailing badly to Kelli Ward.

US SENATE – ARIZONA – GOP PRIMARY (JMC)
Kelli Ward 47%
Jeff Flake (inc) 21%
Nicholas Tutora 3%

This poll was done August 26-27 among 500 likely voters.