Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Orman Leads By 5% in KS, Walker Leads By 5% in WI, Hogan Within 4% of Brown in MD

Wednesday, October 1st, 2014

Pat Roberts continues to trail Greg Orman in Kansas according to a new poll from Suffolk University and USA Today.

US SENATE – KANSAS (USAT/Suffolk)
Greg Orman (I) 46%
Pat Roberts (R-inc) 41%
Randall Baston (L) 1%

GOVERNOR – KANSAS (USAT/Suffolk)
Paul Davis (D) 46%
Sam Brownback (R-inc) 42%
Keen Umbehr (L) 6%

This poll was done September 27-30 among 500 likely voters. We can keep dismissing these polls and claim Roberts will eventually win, but since this race effectively became a two-man race, we have yet to see a poll showing Roberts ahead. If Roberts has some internal polling, he should release it soon. Rasmussen Reports has Cory Gardner up by a single point in the state of Colorado.

US SENATE – COLORADO (Rasmussen)
Cory Gardner (R) 48%
Mark Udall (D-inc) 47%

This poll was done September 29-30 among 950 likely voters. Marquette Law School shows Scott Walker had taken a lead over Mary Burke by 5% in Wisconsin.

GOVERNOR – WISCONSIN (Marquette)
Scott Walker (R-inc) 50%
Mary Burke (D) 45%

This poll was done September 25-28 among 585 likely voters. Now to my homefront in Maryland. I never thought I would see as pathetic a candidate as Kathleen Kennedy Townsend again, but the Democratic Party’s nominee Anthony Brown may reach that level. A new poll from Gonzales Research shows the race in Maryland down to a 4% margin.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (Gonzales)
Anthony Brown (D) 47%
Larry Hogan (R) 43%

This poll was done September 15-23. It has gotten so bad for Brown that even the ultra-leftist columnist Dan Rodricks at The Baltimore Sun felt the need to pen a column titled: “Brown attacks on Hogan seem shady, a bit desperate”. With the state as tilted to the Democrats as it is, it would still be hard to see Brown losing; but, it is getting to the point where the fact that this race is as close as it is gives Republicans down ballot some hope that it can give them just a few more votes in their own races.

Kasich Dominates in OH, GOP Dominates in SC

Wednesday, October 1st, 2014

Well like a lot of others, I went to bed thinking the A’s were well on their way to a victory….

John Kasich clings to a 22% lead in the state of Ohio in his bid for another term.

GOVERNOR – OHIO (Quinnipiac)
John Kasich (R-inc) 57%
Ed FitzGerald (D) 35%

This poll was done September 24-29 among 999 likely voters. In Soutgh Carolina, a new Winthrop University poll shows Republicans leading the three top races by double digits.

GOVERNOR – SOUTH CAROLINA (Winthrop)
Nikki Haley (R-inc) 44%
Vincent Sheheen (D) 34%

US SENATE – SOUTH CAROLINA (Winthrop)
Lindsey Graham (R-inc) 46%
Brad Hutto (D) 28%
Thomas Ravenel (I) 8%

US SENATE – SOUTH CAROLINA (Winthrop)
Tim Scott (R-inc) 52%
Joyce Dickerson (D) 32%
Jill Bossi (AP) 2%

This poll was done September 21-28 among 1028 likely voters.

Polls From IL, AR, NC and NH

Tuesday, September 30th, 2014

Civitas Institute continues the seemingly unmovable trend showing Kay Hagan with a low-to-mid single-digit lead over Thom Tillis.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (Civitas)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 46%
Thom Tillis (R) 41%
Sean Haugh (L) 4%

This poll was done September 25-27 among 600 likely voters. As promised, Rasmussen Reports gave us the new polls for the gubernatorial races in Illinois and Arkansas.

GOVERNOR – ILLINOIS (Rasmussen)
Pat Quinn (D-inc) 44%
Bruce Rauner (R) 42%

GOVERNOR – ARKANSAS (Rasmussen)
Asa Hutchinson (R) 46%
Mike Ross (D) 42%

Both polls were done September 24-25 among 750 likely voters. Also out today was a new poll from American Research Group showing Jeanne Shaheen up by double digits over Scott Brown.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 53%
Scott Brown (R) 43%

This poll was done September 27-29 among 600 likely voters.

PPP Shows Ernst Leading in IA, Cassidy in LA

Tuesday, September 30th, 2014

Public Policy Polling have dumped out new polls for Iowa and Louisiana showing Republicans leading in both races.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA – RUNOFF (PPP)
Bill Cassidy (R) 48%
Mary Landrieu (D-inc) 45%

US SENATE – IOWA (PPP)
Joni Ernst (R) 44%
Bruce Braley (D) 42%
Others 4%

The LA poll was done September 25-28 among 1141 likely voters. The IA poll was done September 25-28 among 1192 likely voters. Gravis Marketing has a new poll in Wisconsin showing Democrat Mary Burke with a 5% lead over Scott Walker.

GOVERNOR – WISCONSIN (Gravis)
Mary Burke (D) 50%
Scott Walker (R-inc) 45%

This poll was done September 22-23 among 908 registered voters. Rasmussen Reports’ email today says they will have gubernatorial polls for Arkansas and Illinois.

Another Poll Has Baker Leading Coakley in MA

Monday, September 29th, 2014

Add another poll today showing the race in Massachusetts as close as it could be. This poll comes from UMass, WBZ and YouGov.

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (YouGov)
Charlie Baker (R) 46%
Martha Coakley (D) 45%

This poll was done September 19-23 among 600 registered voters.

Two Polls Show Guv Race Within 1% in MA, Walker Leads Parnell in AK

Monday, September 29th, 2014

The big polling news today is we have two new polls for the gubernatorial race in Massachusetts that show Martha Coakley on the verge of losing again. The polls come from Western New England University.

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (WNEC)
Charlie Baker (R) 44%
Martha COakley (D) 43%

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (Suffolk)
Martha Coakley (D) 44%
Charlie Baker (R) 43%

I always wondered what happened to Kathleen Kennedy Townsend. Apparently she renamed herself and moved to Massachusetts. The WNEC poll was done September 20-28 and the Suffolk Poll was done September 25-28. In Alaska, Independent (and defacto Democrat) Bill Walker leads Republican Sean Parnell according to Rasmussen Reports.

GOVERNOR – ALASKA (Rasmussen)
Bill Walker (I) 47%
Sean Parnell (R-inc) 42%

This poll was done September 23-24 among 813 likely voters. In Illinois, Rasmussen Reports puts Dick Durbin ahead of Jim Oberweis by 14%.

US SENATE – ILLINOIS (Rasmussen)
Dick Durbin (D-inc) 51%
Jim Oberweis (R) 37%

This poll was done September 24-25 among 750 likely voters.

Sunday Polls From NC, LA, ME, RI and NM

Sunday, September 28th, 2014

This morning, CNN and Opinion Research Corporation put out new polls in North Carolina and Louisiana.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (CNN/ORC)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 46%
Thom Tillis (R) 43%
Sean Haugh (L) 7%

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (CNN/ORC)
Bill Cassidy (R) 50%
mary Landrieu (D-inc) 47%

Both polls were done September 22-25 among likely voters. In Maine, the Portland Press Herald and University of New Hampshire put out a new poll showing the gubernatorial race down to 2%.

US SENATE – MAINE (PPH/UNH)
Susan Collins (R-inc) 59%
Shenna Bellows (D) 29%

GOVERNOR – MAINE (PPH/UNH)
Mike Michaud (D) 41%
Paul LePage (R-inc) 39%
Eliot Cutler (I) 14%

This poll was done September 18-25 among 482 likely voters. Rasmussen Reports gave us polls for two blowouts in New Mexico and Rhode Island.

US SENATE – NEW MEXICO (Rasmussen)
Tom Udall (D-inc) 52%
Allen Weh (R) 39%

US SENATE – RHODE ISLAND (Rasmussen)
Jack Reed (D-inc) 61%
Mark Zaccaria (R) 26%

The NM poll was done September 22-23 among 830 likely voters. The RI poll was done September 23-25 among 750 likely voters.

Open Thread Sunday

Sunday, September 28th, 2014

This is what I have time for now….

2014 Week 4 NFL PIcks

Sunday, September 28th, 2014

Before we get to this week’s picks, a quick look back at how I did last week. My picks are listed first.

WEEK 3 WINNERS
Atlanta beat Tampa Bay
Philadelphia beat Washington
Cincinnati beat Tennessee
Dallas beat St. Louis
Baltimore beat Cleveland
Detroit beat Green Bay
Indianapolis beat Jacksonville
New England beat Oakland
New Orleans beat Minnesota
Arizona beat San Francisco
Seattle beat Denver
Chicago at N.Y. Jets

WEEK 3 LOSERS
Buffalo lost to San Diego
Houston lost to N.Y. Giants
Miami lost to Kansas City
Carolina lost to Pittsburgh

A rather impressive 12-4 week didn’t do much for me in standings against the so-called experts at ESPN.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
Tom Jackson 31-17
Cris Carter 31-17
KC Joyner 30-18
Eric Allen 30-18
Ron Jaworksi 29-19
Seth Wickersham 29-19
Mike Golic 28-20
Mike Ditka 27-21
ME 27-21
Merrill Hoge 27-21
Mark Schlereth 26-22
Cris Mortensen 25-23
Adam Schefter 25-23
Keyshawn Johnson 24-24

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 4 of the NFL season.

WEEK 4 NFL PICKSN.Y. Giants at Washington
Green Bay at Chicago 1:00 pm FOX
Detroit at N.Y. Jets 1:00 pm FOX
Carolina at Baltimore 1:00 pm CBS
Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh 1:00 pm FOX
Tennessee at Indianapolis 1:00 pm CBS
Miami at Oakland 1:00 pm CBS
Buffalo at Houston 1:00 pm CBS
Jacksonville at San Diego 4:05 pm CBS
Atlanta at Minnesota 4:25 pm FOX
Philadelphia at San Francisco 4:25 pm FOX
New Orleans at Dallas 8:30 pm NBC
New England at Kansas City 8:30 pm ESPN Mon

Enjoy the games!

Ernst Leads Braley By 6% in IA

Saturday, September 27th, 2014

The Des Moines Register just gave us a new poll for the US Senate race in Iowa and it shows Joni Ernst has opened up a 6% lead over Bruce Braley.

US SENATE – IOWA (DMR)
Joni Ernst (R) 44%
Bruce Braley (D) 38%

This poll was done September 21-24 among 561 likely voters.