Archive for the ‘General’ Category

O’Malley Claims He Leads Democratic Field in IA for 2020

Wednesday, March 15th, 2017

According to Politico, my former Governor Martin O’Malley paid Public Policy Polling some money to produce a Democratic primary poll in Iowa claiming he leads the 2020 Democratic race.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (PPP)
Martin O’Malley 18%
Cory Booker 17%
Amy Kloubacher 11%
Everyone Else <10%

This poll that PPP was more than willing to take money for included the following names:

INCLUDED
Martin O’Malley
Cory Booker
Julian Castro
Andrew Cuomo
Kirsten Gillibrand
Kamala Harris
Amy Klobuchar
Sheryl Sandberg
Howard Schultz

As the article from Politico points out, not included in this poll were the following:

NOT INCLUDED
Elizabeth Warren
Bernie Sanders

Kudos to PPP for getting Martin O’Malley to give them a bunch of money on a poll and ensuring future business from him by making sure to exclude enough big names so that O’Malley would end up on top. This poll was done March 3-6 among 1062 Democrats.

Another Open Thread

Saturday, March 11th, 2017

I haven’t forgot about this site, I swear….

Really am waiting to see a pick up in electoral polling data, which has been nearly non-existent….

Open Thread Friday!

Friday, March 3rd, 2017

It’s finally snowing here in Maryland, so there’s that….

Baldwin Leads GOP in WI

Thursday, February 23rd, 2017

Magellan Strategies released a new poll for the state of Wisconsin that shows Tammy Baldwin easily ahead of two potential Republican candidates (although one is currently an elected Democrat).

US SENATE – WISCONSIN (Magellan)
Tammy Baldwin (D-inc) 49%
David Clarke (R) 36%

Tammy Baldwin (D-inc) 49%
Sean Duffy (R) 35%

In the primary race, Magellan actually did two separate surveys, one that included the titles of each candidate and one that did not.

US SENATE – WISCONSIN – GOP PRIMARY
Sean Duffy 26%
David Clarke 25%

Sheriff David Clarke 32%
Congressman Sean Duffy 26%

The General Election poll and the “non-titled” primary poll was done February 9-10 among likely voters. The “titled” poll was done February 15-16 among likely primary voters.

Kaine Dominates Fiorina and Graham in VA

Monday, February 20th, 2017

Quinnipiac University released the second half of their poll in Virginia on Friday and it shows Tim kaine with a huge lead over mentioned-possible candidates Carly Fiorina and Laura Ingraham.

US SENATE – VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac)
Tim Kaine (D-inc) 56%
Laura Ingraham (R) 36%

Tim Kaine (D-inc) 57%
Carly Fiorina (R) 36%

This poll was done February 10-15 among 989 registered voters.

Also out on Friday are some Favorable/Unfavorable numbers for the various potential candidates for Governor in Iowa from The Des Moines Register.

Dems Lead Gubernatorial Race in VA

Thursday, February 16th, 2017

Hey look at this, an actual Election poll to talk about. Quinnipiac University has dumped out a new poll for the state of Virginia showing the damage Donald Trump is doing to Republicans as nobody other than Ed Gillespie can get above 33% against the two Democrats.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac)

Tom Perriello (D) 43%
Ed Gillespie (R) 36%

Tom Perriello (D) 44%
Corey Stewart (R) 31%

Tom Perriello (D) 43%
Denver Riggleman (R) 30%

Tom Perriello (D) 43%
FrankAnn Wagner (R) 32%

Ralph Northam (D) 41%
Ed Gillespie (R) 35%

Ralph Northam (D) 42%
Corey Stewart (R) 31%

Ralph Northam (D) 42%
Denver Riggleman (R) 31%

Ralph Northam (D) 41%
FrankAnn Wagner (R) 33%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – GOP PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Ed Gillespie 24%
Corey Stewart 7%
FrankAnn Wagner 5%
Denver Riggleman 2%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Tom Perriello 19%
Ralph Northam 19%

Hopefully Virginia Republicans aren’t dumb enough to nominate Stewart, who would make 2013 nominee Ken Cuccinelli look like a sane choice by comparison. This poll was done February 10-15 among 989 registered voters, 419 Republicans and 462 Democrats.

Open Thread Sunday

Sunday, February 12th, 2017

I guess after ten days, it is about time for a clean thread.

There has been a complete lack of election polling, which hopefully will pick up soon.

Gillespie and Northam Lead Primaries in VA

Thursday, February 2nd, 2017

Christopher Newport University is out with a new poll for the primary races in Virginia and they show Ed Gillespie and Ralph Northam atop their respective party fields.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – GOP PRIMARY (CNU)
Ed Gillespie 33%
Frank Wagner 9%
Corey Stewart 7%
Denver Riggleman 1%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA – DEM PRIMARY (CNU)
Ralph Northam 26%
Tom Perriello 15%

Unfortunately there were no General Election questions asked, or at least not yet released, which is what we are all wanting. This poll was done January 15-28 among registered voters.

Guadango Trails By 16% in NJ

Wednesday, February 1st, 2017

We have what I believe is the first public poll for the New Jersey gubernatorial race this year and it shows Republicans are going to have a hard time holding this seat even with their sitting Lt. Governor Kim Guadango as the nominee.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Quinnipiac)
Phil Murphy (D) 45%
Kim Guadango (R )29%

This poll was done January 6-30 among 1240 registered voters. It probably doesn’t help Guadango that Chris Christie has sunk to a job approval rating of 17%.

DeWine Leads GOP Field in OH, Trump Collapses In Latest Ras Poll

Tuesday, January 31st, 2017

Governor John Kasich is on his way out and a new primary poll for the Republican side in Ohio from The Tarrance Group shows Mike DeWine in the lead.

GOVERNOR – OHIO – GOP PRIMARY (Tarrance)
Mike DeWine 47%
Jon Husted 18%
Mary Taylor 10%
Jim Renacci 4%

This poll was done January 23-26 among 800 likely Republican voters.

I am sure US Senator Jeff Flake in Arizona is watching these numbers showing how unpopular Donald Trump currently is in Arizona very closely.

By the way, all those Trump acolytes who were pushing Rasmussen Reports showing Trump with a supposed 59% job approval a mere five days ago are now dealing with the same pollster showing an 8% drop since then.

PRESIDENT TRUMP – JOB APPROVAL (Rasmussen)
Approve 51%
Disapprove 49%

Here are the trends showing the collapse in just five days.