Archive for the ‘General’ Category

Saccone Leads Two Polls in PA-18

Sunday, February 18th, 2018

The special election in Pennsylvania for the vacated-Republican seat is coming up on March 13th and in the last few days we had two different polls showing Republican Rick Saccone with a single-digit lead. The polls come from Monmouth University and Gravis Marketing.

Rick Saccone(R) 49%
Conor Lamb (D) 46%

Rick Saccone(R) 46%
Conor Lamb (D) 40%

The Monmouth poll was done February 12-14 among 320 likely voters. The Gravis Marketing poll was done February 13-15 among 602 likely voters.

Trump leads Gillibrand in 2020 Match Up

Wednesday, February 14th, 2018

Public Policy Polling has come out with their latest poll for the Presidential race in 2020.

Joe Biden (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Cory Booker (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 42%

Kamala Harris (D) 43%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Joe Kennedy (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Bernie Sanders (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 44%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

Maybe it is just me, but I would have expected much worse numbers for Trump in national head-to-head match ups than the numbers above show. This poll was done February 9-11 among 687 registered voters.

Contradictory Polls in US Senate Race in FL

Saturday, February 10th, 2018

Earlier this week, we received three different polls for the US Senate race in Florida, one came from the University of North Florida, one came from Florida Atlantic University, and one came from Mason-Dixon Polling.

Bill Nelson (D-inc) 48%
Rick Scott (R) 42%

Bill Nelson (D-inc) 45%
Rick Scott (R) 44%

Rick Scott (R) 44%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 34%

The UNF poll was done January 29th-February 4th; the Mason-Dixon poll was done January 30th-February 1st, and the FAU poll was done February 1st-4th. So we have three polls for the same race taken over roughly the same time period that range from a 6% lead for Bill Nelson to a 10% lead for Rick Scott. Clearly polling has not gotten much better….

Dems Lead Gov Race in CA, Reynolds Leads Gov Race in IA

Wednesday, February 7th, 2018

Tulchin Research along with Moore Ifomration did a poll for the Policy Analysis of California Education and it shows two Democrats on top of the jungle primary with a Republican trying to edge at least into second place.

Gavin Newsom (D) 29%
Anthony Villaraigosa (D) 11%
John Cox (R) 10%
John Chiang (D) 9%
Travis Allen (R) 8%
Delaine Eastin (D) 6%
Doug Ose (R) 4%

This poll was done January 21-28 among 2500 registered voters in California. Meanwhile, The Des Moines Register has released a poll for the Gubernatorial race in Iowa and there, the incumbent Republican holds a lead over a slew of Democratic challengers.

Kim Reynolds (R-inc) 41%
Nate Boulton (D) 37%

Kim Reynolds (R-inc) 42%
Fred Hubbell (D) 37%

Kim Reynolds (R-inc) 44%
Cathy Glasson (D) 37%

Kim Reynolds (R-inc) 41%
John Norris (D) 30%

Kim Reynolds (R-inc) 42%
Andy McGuire (D) 30%

This poll was done January 28-31 among 801 registered voters.

State of the Union Thread

Tuesday, January 30th, 2018

Why not….

Biden Leads Trump By 17% Nationally

Tuesday, January 23rd, 2018

We have a new poll from CNN on the race in 2020 and it shows Joe Biden with an incredible 17% lead over Donald Trump in a head-to-head match up.

Oprah Winfrey (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Bernie Sanders (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Joe Biden (D) 57%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

This poll was done January 14-18 among 918 registered voters.

Biden Leads Two National Democratic Primary Polls

Sunday, January 21st, 2018

We have, count them, two national polls for the Democratic primary race in 2020 and in both cases, Joe Biden leads the field. One comes from Axios and Survey Monkey and the other comes from Harvard and Harris.

Joe Biden 22%
Bernie Sanders 17%
Elizabeth Warren 16%
Oprah Winfrey 16%
Kamala Harris 7%
Kirsten Gillibrand 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Tom Steyer 1%

Joe Biden 27%
Bernie Sanders 16%
Hillary Clinton 13%
Oprah Winfrey 13%
Elizabeth Warren 10%
Kamala Harris 4%
Cory Booker 4%
Andrew Cuomo 2%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%

The Axios poll was done January 10-11 and the Harvard poll was done January 13-16. Considering all the fawning over her, I would have expected Winfrey to start much higher in a primary poll than she currently is showing if she really expects to win the nomination.

Winfrey Leads Trump By 13% Nationally

Wednesday, January 17th, 2018

Might as well go for a hat trick today with posts. Donald Trump might win Louisiana as shown in a poll two posts down, but nationally Quinnipiac University is giving Oprah Winfrey a 13% lead over Donald Trump.

Oprah Winfrey (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

This poll was done January 12-16 among 1212 registered voters.

McSally Leads Arpaio By 9% in AZ

Wednesday, January 17th, 2018

Republicans might be able to save the US Senate in Arizona yet if a new poll for the Republican primary from Data Orbital is to be believed.

Martha McSally 31%
Joe Arpaio 22%
Kelli Ward 19%

This poll was done January 11-15 among 500 likely voters.

Trump Leads Winfrey by 27% in Louisiana

Wednesday, January 17th, 2018

Well if Oprah Winfrey jumps in and faces off against Donald Trump, Trup will at least win the state of Louisiana according to a new poll from the University of New Orleans.

Donald Trump (R-inc) 60%
Oprah Winfrey (D) 33%

This poll was done January 11th among 722 registered voters. That is actually better than the 58% Trump got against Hillary Clinton in 2016.