Archive for the ‘2008 US Senate’ Category

NY: Kennedy Favored To Replace Hillary

Tuesday, December 9th, 2008

I continued to be amazed at this Blagojevich story, but it is hard to really say anything more than has already been said. Of course, Illinois is not the only state that has an empty US Senate seat that could be “for sale”. David Paterson will soon have to decide on a replacement for Hillary (assuming she is confirmed as SOS). And now we have not one, but two polls showing how the voters of New First a new poll from Public Policy Polling gives Caroline Kennedy a huge 21% lead.

US SENATE – NEW YORK – HILLARY REPLACEMENT (PPP)
Caroline Kennedy 44%
Andrew Cuomo 23%
Kirsten Gillibrand 6%
Brian Higgins 5%
Nydia Velazquez 4%
Byron Brown 3%
Tom Suozzi 3%
Carolyn Maloney 3%

This poll was done December 8-9 among 957 Democratic voters. Marist College also released a poll to show the preference of Democrats showing a much closer race than PPP is claiming.

US SENATE – NEW YORK – HILLARY REPLACEMENT (Marist)
Caroline Kennedy 31%
Andrew Cuomo 21%
Nydia Velazquez 6%
Byron Brown 5%
Carolyn Maloney 5%
Kirsten Gillibrand 4%
Steve Israel 2%
Tom Suozzi 1%
Adolfo Carrion <1%

This poll was done December 8th among 503 registered voters. I just wonder how ticked off all the New York elected leaders will be if someone who has never had to go through a single campaign is given a US Senate that many of them have probably wanted and worked for for years. On the flip side, why would Kennedy want to throw away a position of power above politics (although she has thrown some of that way in recent years) to become a partisan politician?

GA: US Senate Race Thread – Can Chambliss Hold On?

Tuesday, December 2nd, 2008

The final polls in this race were few and far between. Insider Advantage says Chambliss is going to win by 4% and Public Policy Polling says it will be 7%. Nobody else had any guts to release a final poll for this race in the final days.

The polls close in Georgia at 7:00pm and the Georgia Secretary of State will be posting results here starting after the polls close.

I will be back occasionally through the night with updates as they are required. If anyone finds a site posting quicker results, let everyone else know in the comments….

GA: Chambliss Holds 4% Lead On Eve Of Election

Monday, December 1st, 2008

Late tonight, we did get another poll for tomorrow’s runoff election in Georgia. The latest poll from Insider Advantage shows Saxby Chambliss with a 4% lead over Jim Martin.

US SENATE – GEORGIA – RUNOFF (Insider Advantage)
Saxby Chambliss (R-inc) 50%
Jim Martin (D) 46%

This poll was done November 30th among 744 likely voters. I guess I would have expected to see one final poll from Survey USA, Strategic Vision, and/or Scott Rasmussen for this race. I guess they could still release one tomorrow morning, but nothing yet.

GA: Chambliss Opens Up 7% Lead

Monday, December 1st, 2008

One day away from Election Day in Georgia and Republican US Senator Saxby Chambliss has opened up a 7% lead over Democrat Jim Martin according to Public Policy Polling.

US SENATE – GEORGIA – RUNOFF (PPP)
Saxby Chambliss (R-inc) 53%
Jim Martin (D) 46%

This poll was done November 29-30 among 1276 likely voters. My guess is the reason you don’t see Obama going down to Georgia is his people figure this is already a lost cause and if Martin loses, why does Obama want to tarnish himself with that loss right off the bat.

GA: Chambliss Leads By 6%

Monday, November 24th, 2008

There haven’t been as many polls for the runoff US Senate election for the state of Georgia, but we did get a new one from Public Policy Polling that shows Saxby Chambliss ahead of Jim Martin by 6%.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (PPP)
Saxby Chambliss (R-inc) 52%
Jim Martin (D) 46%

This poll was done November 22-23 among 871 likely voters.

GA: Chambliss Reaches 50%, Ahead by 4%

Wednesday, November 19th, 2008

While rdelbov is updating the recount in Minnesota in the posts below, Scott Rasmussen has put out a poll tonight for the other undecided race for the US Senate, the runoff in Georgia showing Republican Saxby Chambliss ahead of Democrat Jim Martin by 4%.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
Saxby Chambliss (R-inc) 50%
Jim Martin (D) 46%

This poll was done November 18th among 700 likely voters. One item that should help Chambliss is this item from the article.

In Georgia, 52% of voters say they are less likely to vote for Martin if it means the Democrats will gain a 60-seat majority in the Senate. Thirty-eight percent (38%) say they are more likely to vote for Martin if that’s the outcome.

Hopefully this is a message Chambliss is preaching in local TV ads.

GA: Chambliss Clings to 3% Lead In Runoff

Friday, November 14th, 2008

Sorry about my absence, been a little under the weather over the past couple of days to the point where I actually took a sick day at work, something I haven’t done in years. Plus I wanted to be healthy enough and ready for the Opening Night tonight of the new James Bond movie. I can’t wait….

I was hoping to see more polls from the state of Georgia for the upcoming US Senate runoff election between Republican Saxby Chambliss and Democrat Jim Martin. So far, the only one I have found is this new one from Research 2000 paid for by leftist website Daily Kos.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (R2000/Daily Kos)
Saxby Chambliss (R-inc) 49%
Jim Martin (D) 46%

This poll was done November 10-12 among 600 likely voters. I assume we will eventually get a new poll from Insider Advantage, Strategic Vision, Rasmussen Reports and/or Survey USA at some point. I mean it is not like these pollsters have anything else to do right now….

The runoff election is December 2nd.

Monday Night Polls

Monday, November 3rd, 2008

redelbov mentioned these earlier, but for the record the latest numbers from Scott Rasmussen.

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D) 51%
John McCain (R) 47%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Rasmussen)
John McCain (R) 50%
Barack Obama (D) 49%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Rasmussen)
John McCain (R) 49%
Barack Obama (D) 49%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen)
John McCain (R) 50%
Barack Obama (D) 49%

PRESIDENT – MISSOURI (Rasmussen)
John McCain (R) 49%
Barack Obama (D) 49%

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D) 51%
John McCain (R) 47%

All these polls were done November 2nd among 1000 likely voters. Another poll from North Carolina from Survey USA puts McCain barely ahead.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Survey USA)
John McCain (R) 495
Barack Obama (D) 48%

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (Survey USA)
Kay Hagan (D) 505
Elizabeth Dole (R) 435

This poll was done October 30-November 2 among 682 likely voters. Among those 57% who already voted however, Obama is ahead 56%-41%. Strategic Vision is out with their final polls in Ohio and Florida.

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Strategic Vision)
John McCain (R) 48%
Barack Obama (D) 46%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Strategic Vision)
Barack Obama (D) 49%
John McCain (R) 47%

These polls were done October 31-November 2 among 1200 likely voters.

I am off to sign duty with a few others putting up the McCain/Palin signs up at 12-14 locations. Then it is off to Monday Night Football to watch a match up between two teams spawned by the devil himself – Pittsburgh Steelers versus Washington Redskins – I mean really, who do you root for in that….

Friday Afternoon Polls – OR, NH, GA, LA

Friday, October 31st, 2008

Scott Rasmussen came out with new polls for the US Senate races in Oregon, New Hampshire and Georgia.

US SENATE – OREGON (Rasmussen)
Jeff Merkley (D) 49%
Gordon Smith (R-inc) 46%

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Rasmussen)
Jeanne Shaheen (D) 52%
John Sununu (R-inc) 44%

US SENATE – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
Saxby Chambliss (R-inc) 48%
Jim Martin (D) 43%

Rasmussen out dumped out new Presidential polls for New Hampshire and Georgia

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D) 51%
John McCain (R) 44%

PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
John McCain (R) 52%
Barack Obama (D) 47%

All three polls were done October 30th among 500 likely voters in GA and OR and 700 likely voters in NH. And if things are getting to be bad enough, a new poll from WWL-TV has McCain’s lead in Louisiana down to a mere 3%.

PRESIDENT – LOUISIANA (WWL-TV)
John McCain (R) 43%
Barack Obama (D) 40%

This poll was done October 24-26 among 500 registered voters.

Friday Morning Blues

Friday, October 31st, 2008

Overnight, Public Policy Polling made their final calls on four states, claiming Obama is going to win New Mexico, Oregon, Colorado and Minnesota while Democrats will take away all four US Senate seats.

PRESIDENT – NEW MEXICO (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 58%
John McCain (R) 41%

US SENATE – NEW MEXICO (PPP)
Tom Udall (D) 58%
Steve Pearce (R) 39%

PRESIDENT – OREGON (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 57%
John McCain (R) 42%

US SENATE – OREGON (PPP)
Jeff Merkley (D) 51%
Gordon Smith (R-inc) 40%

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 54%
John McCain (R) 44%

US SENATE – COLORADO (PPP)
Mark Udall (D) 56%
Bob Schaffer (R) 41%

PRESIDENT – MINNESOTA (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 57%
John McCain (R) 41%

US SENATE – MINNESOTA (PPP)
Al Franken (D) 45%
Norm Coleman (R-inc) 40%
Dean Barkley (I) 14%

These polls were done October 28-30 among 1537 likely voters in New Mexico, 1424 likely voters in Oregon, 2023 likely voters in Colorado, and 1050 likely votes in Minnesota. Survey USA put out some final numbers for Wisconsin, Oklahoma, Iowa and South Carolina.

PRESIDENT – IOWA (Survey USA)
Barack Obama (D) 55%
John McCain (R) 40%

US SENATE – IOWA (Survey USA)
Tom Harkin (D-inc) 61%
Chris Reed (R) 35%

PRESIDENT – OKLAHOMA (Survey USA)
John McCain (R) 63%
Barack Obama (D) 34%

US SENATE – OKLAHOMA (Survey USA)
Jim Inhofe (R-inc) 56%
Andrew Rice (D) 36%

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA (Survey USA)
John McCain (R) 52%
Barack Obama (D) 44%

US SENATE – SOUTH CAROLINA (Survey USA)
Lindsey Graham (R-inc) 58%
Bob Conley (D) 39%

PRESIDENT – WISCONSIN (Survey USA)
Barack Obama (D) 55%
John McCain (R) 39%

These polls were all done October 28-29 among 658 likely voters in Iowa, 594 likely votes in Oklahoma, 654 likely voters in South Carolina, and 667 likely voters in Wisconsin. That should get you started this morning….