Archive for the ‘2008 President’ Category

Monday Lunchtime Polls

Monday, November 3rd, 2008

Democrat John Zogby dumped out his final polls for a slew of battleground states showing Obama ahead just about everyone except North Carolina and Indiana.

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Zogby)
Barack Obama (D) 54%
John McCain (R) 40%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Zogby)
Barack Obama (D) 50%
John McCain (R) 44%

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (Zogby)
Barack Obama (D) 51%
John McCain (R) 45%

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (Zogby)
Barack Obama (D) 51%
John McCain (R) 43%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Zogby)
Barack Obama (D) 48%
John McCain (R) 46%

PRESIDENT – MISSOURI (Zogby)
Barack Obama (D) 47%
John McCain (R) 46%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Zogby)
John McCain (R) 49%
Barack Obama (D) 48%

PRESIDENT – INDIANA (Zogby)
John McCain (R) 49%
Barack Obama (D) 44%

All of these polls were done October 30-November 2 among roughly 600 likely voters in each state. Quinnipiac University also relased their final round of swing state polls in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Quinnipiac)
Barack Obama (D) 52%
John McCain (R) 42%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Quinnipiac)
Barack Obama (D) 50%
John McCain (R) 43%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Quinnipiac)
Barack Obama (D) 47%
John McCain (R) 45%

These polls were done October 27-November 2 among roughly 1500 likely voters in each state. Finally, the University of Cincinnati released a final poll for Ohio showing Obama up by 6%.

PRESIDENT – OHIO (U of Cincinnati)
Barack Obama (D) 50%
John McCain (R) 43%

This poll was done October 29-November 2 among 1308 probably voters.

The Morning Of Election Eve

Monday, November 3rd, 2008

I did get most of the polls from yesterday into the database, so I won’t rehash them and just focus on what came out overnight. We get some new overnight polls from Public Policy Polling as they are making their final calls in state after state. They have new polls from Florida, Montana, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 50%
John McCain (R) 48%

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 52%
John McCain (R) 46%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 50%
John McCain (R) 49%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 50%
John McCain (R) 48%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 53%
John McCain (R) 45%

PRESIDENT – MONTANA (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 48%
John McCain (R) 47%

I am going to dispense with reporting dates and number of voters to save time. Just click the links above if you really want to know. The PPP blog says they will also have final polls for Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, and Nevada later today. The only other poll I will mention right this minute is the new one from Survey USA that claims John McCain is within a mere 3% in the state he held his convention.

PRESIDENT – MINNESOTA (Survey USA)
Barack Obama (D) 49%
John McCain (R) 46%

This poll was done October 30-Novmeber 1 among 669 likely voters.

I am sure we are going to be inundated with polls all day today and there is almost no way to keep up. Just check out the comments as I am sure there will be poll updates all day long and I will try to keep things up to date as much as I possibly can…..

Friday Afternoon Polls – OR, NH, GA, LA

Friday, October 31st, 2008

Scott Rasmussen came out with new polls for the US Senate races in Oregon, New Hampshire and Georgia.

US SENATE – OREGON (Rasmussen)
Jeff Merkley (D) 49%
Gordon Smith (R-inc) 46%

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Rasmussen)
Jeanne Shaheen (D) 52%
John Sununu (R-inc) 44%

US SENATE – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
Saxby Chambliss (R-inc) 48%
Jim Martin (D) 43%

Rasmussen out dumped out new Presidential polls for New Hampshire and Georgia

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D) 51%
John McCain (R) 44%

PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
John McCain (R) 52%
Barack Obama (D) 47%

All three polls were done October 30th among 500 likely voters in GA and OR and 700 likely voters in NH. And if things are getting to be bad enough, a new poll from WWL-TV has McCain’s lead in Louisiana down to a mere 3%.

PRESIDENT – LOUISIANA (WWL-TV)
John McCain (R) 43%
Barack Obama (D) 40%

This poll was done October 24-26 among 500 registered voters.

McCain Leads MO, Tied In NC, Down 5% In PA

Friday, October 31st, 2008

The polls are coming fast and furious this morning. Strategic Vision has new polls for Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Michigan.

PRESDIENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Strategic Vision)
Barack Obama (D) 49%
John McCain (R) 44%

PRESDIENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Strategic Vision)
Barack Obama (D) 50%
John McCain (R) 41%

PRESDIENT – MICHIGAN (Strategic Vision)
Barack Obama (D) 54%
John McCain (R) 41%

These polls were done October 27-29 among 1200 likely voters in Michigan and Pennsylvania and 800 likely voters in New Hampshire. Insider Advantage has new polls Missouri and North Carolina.

PRESIDENT – MISSOURI (Insider Advantage)
John McCain (R) 50%
Barack Obama (D) 47%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Insider Advantage)
John McCain (R) 48%
Barack Obama (D) 48%

These polls were done October 29th among 641 likely voters in NC and 814 likely voters in MO.

Friday Morning Blues

Friday, October 31st, 2008

Overnight, Public Policy Polling made their final calls on four states, claiming Obama is going to win New Mexico, Oregon, Colorado and Minnesota while Democrats will take away all four US Senate seats.

PRESIDENT – NEW MEXICO (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 58%
John McCain (R) 41%

US SENATE – NEW MEXICO (PPP)
Tom Udall (D) 58%
Steve Pearce (R) 39%

PRESIDENT – OREGON (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 57%
John McCain (R) 42%

US SENATE – OREGON (PPP)
Jeff Merkley (D) 51%
Gordon Smith (R-inc) 40%

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 54%
John McCain (R) 44%

US SENATE – COLORADO (PPP)
Mark Udall (D) 56%
Bob Schaffer (R) 41%

PRESIDENT – MINNESOTA (PPP)
Barack Obama (D) 57%
John McCain (R) 41%

US SENATE – MINNESOTA (PPP)
Al Franken (D) 45%
Norm Coleman (R-inc) 40%
Dean Barkley (I) 14%

These polls were done October 28-30 among 1537 likely voters in New Mexico, 1424 likely voters in Oregon, 2023 likely voters in Colorado, and 1050 likely votes in Minnesota. Survey USA put out some final numbers for Wisconsin, Oklahoma, Iowa and South Carolina.

PRESIDENT – IOWA (Survey USA)
Barack Obama (D) 55%
John McCain (R) 40%

US SENATE – IOWA (Survey USA)
Tom Harkin (D-inc) 61%
Chris Reed (R) 35%

PRESIDENT – OKLAHOMA (Survey USA)
John McCain (R) 63%
Barack Obama (D) 34%

US SENATE – OKLAHOMA (Survey USA)
Jim Inhofe (R-inc) 56%
Andrew Rice (D) 36%

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA (Survey USA)
John McCain (R) 52%
Barack Obama (D) 44%

US SENATE – SOUTH CAROLINA (Survey USA)
Lindsey Graham (R-inc) 58%
Bob Conley (D) 39%

PRESIDENT – WISCONSIN (Survey USA)
Barack Obama (D) 55%
John McCain (R) 39%

These polls were all done October 28-29 among 658 likely voters in Iowa, 594 likely votes in Oklahoma, 654 likely voters in South Carolina, and 667 likely voters in Wisconsin. That should get you started this morning….

Thursday Mid-Afternoon State Poll Dump

Thursday, October 30th, 2008

How about some more polls for this early afternoon. Allstate and the National Journal are out with five battleground state polls.

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (Allstate/NJ)
Barack Obama (D) 48%
John McCain (R) 44%

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (Allstate/NJ)
Barack Obama (D) 48%
John McCain (R) 44%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Allstate/NJ)
Barack Obama (D) 48%
John McCain (R) 41%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Allstate/NJ)
Barack Obama (D) 45%
John McCain (R) 44%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Allstate/NJ)
Barack Obama (D) 47%
John McCain (R) 43%

These polls were done October 23-27 among 400 registered voters in each state. Marist College also has new polls out for Virginia and Colorado showing similar results.

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (Marist)
Barack Obama (D) 51%
John McCain (R) 47%

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (Marist)
Barack Obama (D) 51%
John McCain (R) 45%

These polls were done October 26-27 among 671 likely voters in VA and October 27-28 among 682 likely voters in CO. Now some US Senate races from Scott Rasmussen for North Carolina, Kentucky, and NEW MEXICO.

US SENATE – KENTUCKY (Rasmussen)
Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 51%
Bruce Lunsford (D) 44%

US SENATE – NEW MEXICO (Rasmussen)
Tom Udall (D) 56%
Steve Pearce (R) 41%

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen)
Kay Hagan (D) 52%
Elizabeth Dole (R-inc) 46%

The NM poll was done October 28th among 500 likely voters. The KY poll was done October 29th among 500 likely voters. And the NC poll was done October 29th among 700 likely voters.

Presidential polls from Rasmussen coming at 5:00pm, I may not get to them until later tonight….

Thursday Mid-Morning State Poll Dump

Thursday, October 30th, 2008

CNN, Time, and Opinion Research released a second batch of five state polls this morning showing Obama ahead in four states and McCain maintaining a single-digit lead in his home state of Arizona.

PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (CNN/Time/OR)
John McCain (R) 53%
Barack Obama (D) 46%

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (CNN/Time/OR)
Barack Obama (D) 52%
John McCain (R) 45%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (CNN/Time/OR)
Barack Obama (D) 52%
John McCain (R) 46%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (CNN/Time/OR)
Barack Obama (D) 51%
John McCain (R) 47%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (CNN/Time/OR)
Barack Obama (D) 55%
John McCain (R) 43%

These polls were done October 23-28 among 807 likely voters in AZ, 684 likely voters in NV, 667 likely voters in NC, 779 likely voters in OH and 768 likely voters in PA. Selzer and Company are out with a new poll for Indiana showing Obama ahead by a single percentage point.

PRESIDENT – INDIANA (Selzer)
Barack Obama (D) 46%
John McCain (R) 45%

This poll was done October 26-28 among 606 likely voters. Finally (for now), a new Field poll in California puts Obama ahead of McCain by 22%.

PRESIDENT – CALIFORNIA (Field)
Barack Obama (D) 55%
John McCain (R) 33%

This poll was done October 18-28 (who does a ten-day poll less than a week from the election?) among 966 likely voters. Mason-Dixon also has three new polls out for the states of Pennsylvania, Minnesota and Arizona.

PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (Mason-Dixon)
John McCain (R) 48%
Barack Obama (D) 44%

PRESIDENT – MINNESOTA (Mason-Dixon)
Barack Obama (D) 48%
John McCain (R) 40%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Mason-Dixon)
Barack Obama (D) 47%
John McCain (R) 43%

I don’t have any dates on these polls since they were not provided in the article I found them in. Rasmussen will be releasing new US Senate polls from North Carolina, Kentucky, New Mexico as well as Presidential polls from Indiana, North Carolina, Kentucky and Montana at 5pm today.

Thursday Morning Poll Dump

Thursday, October 30th, 2008

My worst nightmare has come true and it has nothing to do with Barack Obama. It’s even worse – a Philadelphia sports team has actually won a championship. The only thing that could be worse this year is if the Washington Redskins win the Super Bowl….

Following up yesterday’s Associated Press-GfK poll, there were also numbers for various US Senate races.

US SENATE – COLORADO (AP/GfK)
Mark Udall (D) 48%
Bob Schaffer (R) 36%

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (AP/GfK)
Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47%
John Sununu (R-inc) 41%

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (AP/GfK)
Kay Hagan (D) 47%
Elizabeth Dole (R-inc) 43%

US SENATE – VIRGINIA (AP/GfK)
Mark Warner (D) 58%
Jim Gilmore (R) 32%

These polls were done October 22-26 among roughly 600 likely voters in each state. In Texas, a new poll from Jenna Bush’s alma mater puts McCain and John Cornyn ahead.

PRESIDENT – TEXAS (U of Texas)
John McCain (R) 51%
Barack Obama (D) 40%

US SENATE – TEXAS (U of Texas)
John Cornyn (R-inc) 45%
Rick Noriega (D) 36%

This poll was done October 15-22 among 550 registered voters. Survey USA dumped out a bunch of polls late last night for Kansas, Alabama, Massachusetts, New York, and Delaware.

PRESIDENT – KANSAS (Survey USA)
John McCain (R) 58%
Barack Obama (D) 37%

US SENATE – KANSAS (Survey USA)
Pat Roberts (R-inc) 60%
Jim Slattery (D) 33%

PRESIDENT – ALABAMA (Survey USA)
John McCain (R) 61%
Barack Obama (D) 36%

US SENATE – ALABAMA (Survey USA)
Jeff Sessions (R-inc) 65%
Vivian Davis Figures (D) 32%

PRESIDENT – MASSACHUSETTS (Survey USA)
Barack Obama (D) 56%
John McCain (R) 39%

US SENATE – MASSACHUSETTS (Survey USA)
Vietnam Veteran John Kerry (D-inc) 58%
Jeff Beatty (R) 34%

PRESIDENT – DELAWARE (Survey USA)
Barack Obama (D) 63%
John McCain (R) 33%

US SENATE – DELAWARE (Survey USA)
Joe Biden (D-inc) 66%
Christine O’Donnell (R) 32%

GOVERNOR – DELAWARE (Survey USA)
Jack Markell (D) 62%
Bill Lee (D) 27%

PRESIDENT – NEW YORK (Survey USA)
Barack Obama (D) 62%
John McCain (R) 33%

All these polls were done October 27-28 among roughly 650 likely voters in each state. Minnesota Public Radio’s latest poll from Minnesota has Obama now leading this state by 19%.

PRESIDENT – MINNESOTA (MPR)
Barack Obama (D) 56%
John McCain (R) 37%

This poll was done October 24-28 among 721 people.

I’ve already heard from two people from my days at Villanova about the Philies winning…I don’t know if I can take much more of this…they are absolutely insufferable….

Wednesday Afternoon State Poll Dump – Stevens Tanks

Wednesday, October 29th, 2008

Thanks to Ted Stevens refusal to step down for re-election before the primary and his just received conviction, the Republicans are on the verge of losing yet another US Senate seat. Rasmussen’s latest poll from Alaska has Stevens down by 8%.

US SENATE – ALASKA (Rasmussen)
Mark Begich (D) 52%
Ted Stevens (R) 44%

At least there is some good news in the latest US Senate poll from Minnesota as Norm Coleman has surged back ahead of comedian Al Franken.

US SENATE – MINNESOTA (Rasmussen)
Norm Coleman (R-inc) 43%
Al Franken (D) 39%
Dean Barkley (I) 14%

And out late this afternoon are Rasmussen’s polls for Minnesota, Alaska, Michigan and New Mexico.

PRESIDENT – MINNESOTA (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D) 55%
John McCain (R) 43%

PRESIDENT – ALASKA (Rasmussen)
John McCain (R) 57%
Barack Obama (D) 41%

PRESIDENT – MICHIGAN (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D) 53%
John McCain (R) 43%

PRESIDENT – NEW MEXICO (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D) 54%
John McCain (R) 44%

These polls were done October 28th among 500 likely voters in each state. Marist College released new polls for both Ohio and Pennsylvania.

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Marist)
Barack Obama (D) 48%
John McCain (R) 45%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Marist)
Barack Obama (D) 55%
John McCain (R) 41%

The OH poll was done October 24-26 among 661 likely voters. The PA poll was done October 26-27 among 713 likely voters. Research 2000 has a new poll for the state of Nevada showing Obama ahead by 5%.

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (Research 2000)
Barack Obama (D) 505
John McCain (R) 45%

This poll was done October 2528 among 600 likely voters. CNN, Time and Opinion Research have released new polls for five states.

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (CNN/Time/OR)
Barack Obama (D) 53%
John McCain (R) 45%

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (CNN/Time/OR)
Barack Obama (D) 53%
John McCain (R) 44%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (CNN/Time/OR)
Barack Obama (D) 51%
John McCain (R) 47%

PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (CNN/Time/OR)
John McCain (R) 52%
Barack Obama (D) 47%

PRESIDENT – MISSOURI (CNN/Time/OR)
John McCain (R) 50%
Barack Obama (D) 48%

These polls were done October 23-28 among 774 likely voters in Colorado, 747 likely voters in Florida, 690 likely voters in Georgia, 825 likely voters in Missouri, and 721 likely voters in Virginia.

Discuss….

Wednesday Morning Polls

Wednesday, October 29th, 2008

Next week at this time, we will be waking up to a new President-Elect…maybe. Before we get there, there are still polls pouring out like tap water. Gauge Market Research put out a new poll in Indiana late last night showing McCain ahead by 2% at the same time Republican Governor Mitch Daniels is cruising to victory.

PRESIDENT – INDIANA (Gauge)
John McCain (R) 47%
Barack Obama (D) 45%

GOVERNOR – INDIANA (Gauge)
Mitch Daniels (R-inc) 61%
Jill Long-Thompson (D) 30%

This poll was done October 23-24 among 600 likely voters. In Washington State, Barack Obama is running away with the Electoral votes, but Dino Rossi is keeping the gubernatorial race close according to Survey USA.

PRESIDENT – WASHINGTON STATE (Survey USA)
Barack Obama (D) 56%
John McCain (R) 39%

GOVERNOR – WASHINGTON STATE (Survey USA)
Christine Gregoire (D-inc) 50%
Dino Rossi (R) 48%

This poll was done October 26-27 among 630 likely voters. Strategic Vision has similar numbers for Washington State.

PRESIDENT – WASHINGTON STATE (Strategic Vision)
Barack Obama (D) 54%
John McCain (R) 42%

GOVERNOR – WASHINGTON STATE (Strategic Vision)
Christine Gregoire (D-inc) 49%
Dino Rossi (R) 47%

This poll was done October 25-26 among 800 likely voters. The University of Arizona released a new poll showing McCain only ahead in his own home state by 2%.

PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (KAET-TV)
John McCain (R) 46%
Barack Obama (D) 44%

This poll was done October 23-26 among 1019 registered voters. The Associated Press combined with GfK to release new polls from eight swing states showing a sea of blue for Obama.

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (AP/GfK)
Barack Obama (D) 50%
John McCain (R) 41%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (AP/GfK)
Barack Obama (D) 45%
John McCain (R) 43%

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (AP/GfK)
Barack Obama (D) 52%
John McCain (R) 40%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (AP/GfK)
Barack Obama (D) 55%
John McCain (R) 37%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (AP/GfK)
Barack Obama (D) 48%
John McCain (R) 46%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (AP/GfK)
Barack Obama (D) 48%
John McCain (R) 41%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (AP/GfK)
Barack Obama (D) 52%
John McCain (R) 40%

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (AP/GfK)
Barack Obama (D) 49%
John McCain (R) 42%

All these polls were done October 22-26 among roughly 600 likely voters in each state. There were other polls last night and nearly all of them are already in the database. I am doing my best to keep up….

UPDATE (7:47am): Wait, there’s more. Quinnipiac University is out with more swing state polls.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Quinnipiac University)
Barack Obama (D) 47%
John McCain (R) 45%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Quinnipiac University)
Barack Obama (D) 51%
John McCain (R) 42%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Quinnipiac University)
Barack Obama (D) 53%
John McCain (R) 41%

These polls were done October 22026 among 1435 likely voters in FL, 1425 likely voters in OH and 1364 likely voters in PA.