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June 30, 2016

Clinton Dominates Trump in IA, Grassley Only Leads By 1%

The big news out of the new poll from Loras College in Iowa is not that Hillary Clinton is winning by double digits, but that a sitting Republican US Senator that should win easily is being dragged down with Donald Trump as the face of his party.

PRESIDENT – IOWA (Loras)
Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R) 34%

Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
Donald Trump (R) 31%
Gary Johnson (L) 6%
Jill Stein (G) 2%

US SENATE – IOWA (Loras)
Chuck Grassley (R-inc) 46%
Patty Judge (D) 45%

This poll was done June 24-28 among 600 likely voters.

PPP: Clinton Leads Nationally By 4%

On the heels of this morning’s poll from Rasmussen, Public Policy Polling released their own national poll giving Hillary Clinton a 4% lead head-to-head and 5% lead in the four-way race.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (PPP)
Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R) 44%

Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R) 41%
Gary Johnson (L) 5%
Jill Stein (G) 2%

This poll was done June 27-28 among 853 registered voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:20 am
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Rasmussen: Trump Surges to 4% Lead Nationally

Oh boy, Rasmussen Reports is reverting to old form with their wild polling. Just last week, Rasmussen Reports said Hillary Clinton was ahead by 5%. Today, they now claim Donald Trump is ahead by 4%.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Donald Trump (R) 43%
Hillary Clinton (D) 39%

This poll was done June 28-29 among 1000 likely voters. I am already seeing this poll pop up on my Facebook feed from those Trump supporters as “proof” Donald Trump is going to win in November….

Posted by Dave at 8:43 am
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June 29, 2016

Clinton Leads Trump By 6% Nationally and 2% in NC

The latest poll from Fox News shows more erosion for the current face of the Republican Party Donald Trump. He is now trailing Hillary by 6% nationally. The good news, the poll shows Gary Johnson in double digits.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Fox News)
Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
Donald Trump (R) 38%

Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
Donald Trump (R) 36%
Gary Johnson (L) 10%

This poll was done June 26-28 among 1017 registered voters. Meanwhile in North Carolina, Hillary Clinton has a lead over Trump in a state Mitt Romney won four years ago according to the Civitas Institute.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Civitas)
Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Donald Trump (R) 40%
Gary Johnson (L) 6%

This poll was done June 21-23 among registered voters. The Republican Convention starts in less than three weeks which means they basically have less than three weeks to figure out a way to remove Donald Trump as the face of the party before they face an unmitigated disaster.

Posted by Dave at 9:19 pm
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Clinton Leads Trump By 5% in NH and 4% in FL

American Research Group has put out a new poll for the state of New Hampshire showing Hillary Clinton up by 5% over Donald Trump.

PRESIDENT NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG)
Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R) 42%

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG)
Kelly Ayotte (R-inc) 51%
Maggie Hassan (D) 42%

This poll was done 24-28 among 533 registered voters. Meanwhile in Florida, Survey USA has come out with a poll for the state of Florida showing Clinton ahead by 4% in Florida.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Survey USA)
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R) 42%
Gary Johnson (L) 2%
Jill Stein (G) 15

This poll was done June 25-27 among 1678 likely voters.

Clinton Leads Trump Nationally By 2%

Quinnipiac University put out a new national poll that shows the national race much closer than some other recent polls.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Quinnipiac)
Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Donald Trump (R) 40%

Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Donald Trump (R) 37%
Gary Johnson (L) 8%
Jill Stein (G) 4%

This poll was done June 21-27 among 1610 registered voters.

June 28, 2016

Clinton Leads Trump in IA, NH, OH, PA and WI

Public Policy Polling released polls for six swing states and they show Donald Trump not picking up a single state from Hillary Clinton and only leading in Arizona by 4%.

PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (PPP)
Trump 44%
Clinton 40%

PRESIDENT – IOWA (PPP)
Clinton 41%
Trump 39%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (PPP)
Clinton 43%
Trump 39%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (PPP)
Clinton 44%
Trump 40%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (PPP)
Clinton 46%
Trump 42%

PRESIDENT – WISCONSIN (PPP)
Clinton 47%
Trump 39%

At the US Senate level, polls for these six states show how hard it is going to be for Republicans to maintain control in the US Senate with Donald Trump as the face of the party.

US SENATE – ARIZONA (PPP)
McCain (R-inc) 42%
Kirkpatrick (D) 40%

US SENATE – IOWA (PPP)
Grassley (R-inc) 46%
Judge (D) 39%

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (PPP)
Hassan (D) 44%
Ayotte (R-inc) 42%

US SENATE – OHIO (PPP)
Portman (R-inc) 40%
Strickland (D) 39%

US SENATE – PENNSYLVANIA (PPP)
Toomey (R-inc) 40%
McGinty (D) 39%

US SENATE – WISCONSIN (PPP)
Feingold (D) 50%
Johnson (R) 37%

These polls were done June 22-23 among registered voters in each party. It’s only going to get worse from here….

June 26, 2016

Another MD GOP Official Rebukes Trump , Clinton Opens Up Double-Digit National Lead

If you recall last week the story of Maryland’s Republican Governor Larry Hogan refusing to vote for Donald Trump this year. Now, we also have my Republican County Executive Allan Kittleman joining the growing parade of sensible Republicans refusing to put their name behind Donald Trump. A snippet from The Baltimore Sun.

In unvarnished words, Howard county’s top Republican, County Executive Allan Kittleman, excoriated the presumptive presidential nominee for the Republican Party, joining a rare rank of local elected Republicans who publicly renounced Donald Trump and said they will not vote for him in November.

“I believe in principle and I believe it’s important to stick to your principles,” said Kittleman. Donald Trump, he said, does not represent his “strong feelings” on civil rights and diversity. Trump’s comments “frustrate” him. “That’s not how I was raised,” Kittleman said.

Good for him, but sadly as the article indicates, there are still elected Republicans who have no problem associating themselves with Trump. As I said before, it is actually becoming easier and easier to reject Donald Trump as a Republican and this morning, we have a new poll from The Washington Post showing what a complete and utter disaster Donald Trump is going to be for Republicans.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (ABC/WaPo)
Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R) 39%

Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R) 37%
Gary Johnson (L) 7%
Jill Stein (G) 3%

This poll was done June 20-23 among 836 registered voters. Meanwhile, NBC News and The Wall Street Journal put it a little closer nationally.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (NBC/WSJ)
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R) 41%

Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Donald Trump (R) 38%
Gary Johnson (L) 10%
Jill Stein (G) 6%

This poll was done June 19-23 among 1000 registered voters.

June 24, 2016

Trump/Clinton Tied with Johnson Included in NC

I thought I had posted stuff on Wednesday, but for some reason the post never posted and completely disappeared. I did not intend to go three full days without a post. Public Policy Polling yesterday released a new poll for their home state of North Carolina and it shows Donald Trump slightly ahead of Hillary Clinton in a head-to-head match up.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Donald Trump (R) 48%
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%

Donald Trump (R) 43%
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
Gary Johnson (L) 4%
Jill Stein (G) 2%

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Richard Burr (R-inc) 40%
Deborah Ross (D) 37%
Sean Haugh (L) 5%

This poll was done June 20-21 among 947 registered voters.

June 21, 2016

Clinton Leads Trump Nationally and in FL, OH and PA

Here is the headline from The Washington Post:

Trump entered June with just $1.3 million in the bank, while Clinton sat on $42 million war chest

It’s time for the Republican Party leadership and delegates to take matters into their own hands.

CNN and Opinion Research give Hillary Clinton a lead of 5% in a head-to-head match up against Donald Trump.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (CNN/ORC)
Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R) 42%

Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Donald Trump (R) 38%
Gary Johnson (L) 9%
Jill Stein (G) 7%

This poll was done June 16-19 among 891 registered voters. Meanwhile, Quinnipiac University has released polls for Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania showing Hillary Clinton ahead in all three states, only tied with Trump in Ohio when it is a straight head-to-head match up.

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Quinnipiac)
Clinton 40%
Trump 40%

Clinton 38%
Trump 36%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Quinnipiac)
Clinton 47%
Trump 39%

Clinton 42%
Trump 36%
Johnson 7%
Stein 3%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Quinnipiac)
Clinton 42%
Trump 41%

Clinton 39%
Trump 36%
Johnson 9%
Stein 4%

This poll was done June 8-19 among 950-975 registered voters in each state.