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July 24, 2017

Gubernatorial Race Tied in VA

A new poll from Monmouth University for the state of Virginia shows a dead-heat tie between Republican Ed Gillespie and Democrat Ralph Northam.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Monmouth)
Ed Gillespie (R) 44%
Ralph Northam (D) 44%
Cliff Hyra (L) 3%

This poll was done July 20-23 among 502 likely voters.

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July 23, 2017

Murphy leads Guadagno by 21% in NJ

Yet another poll came out for the gubernatorial race i new Jersey, this time from Marist College on Friday, and it shows Republicans have no hope of keeping this seat.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Marist)
Phil Murphy (D) 54%
Kim Guadagno (R) 33%

This poll was done July 13-18 among registered voters.

July 18, 2017

Trump Trails Biden/Sanders/Harris/Booker For Re-election

We have a new poll from Public Policy Polling for the Presidential race in 2020 and it shows Donald Trump trailing by various margins against some well-known Democrats.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (PPP)
Joe Biden (D) 54%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

Cory Booker (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R) 40%

Kamala Harris (D) 41%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 40%

Bernie Sanders (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 39%

This poll was done July 14-17 among 836 registered voters. Of note to me, Trump seems to be stuck at 39-405 no matter who his Democratic opponent is.

July 13, 2017

Murphy Crushing Guadagno in NJ

I think we can probably safely put away the gubernatorial seat in New Jersey for the Democrats based on a new poll from Monmouth University.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Monmouth)
Phil Murphy (D) 53%
Kim Guadagno (R) 26%

It is probably not help Guadagno that Chris Christie is down to a whopping 15% job approval rating that includes only 30% of REPUBLICANS approving of his job. This poll was done July 6-9 among 758 registered voters.

July 4, 2017

Happy Fourth of July!

Celebrating the birth of a nation with the birth of a clean thread….

June 27, 2017

Baker Remains Strong in MA

It’s about time for a clean slate, so how about a poll showing a Republican doing quite well for himself in a Democratic state. The latest poll from WBUR and MassINC has Charlie Baker in a strong position for re-election.

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (WBUR/MassINC)
Charlie Baker (R-inc) 55%
Jay Gonzalez (D) 22%

Charlie Baker (R-inc) 55%
Robert Massie (D) 25%

Charlie Baker (R-inc) 53%
Setti Warren (D) 26%

Charlie Baker (R-inc) 48%
Maura Healey (D) 36%

US SENATE – MASSACHUSETTS (WBUR/MassINC)
Elizabeth Warren (D-inc) 60%
Geoff Diehl (R) 29%

Elizabeth Warren (D-inc) 61%
Shiva Ayyadurai (R) 36%

.This poll was done June 19-22 among 504 registered voters.

June 22, 2017

Northam Leads Gillespie By 8% in VA

Our first general election poll for the state of Virginia is out from Quinnipiac University and it has Democrat Ralph Northam ahead of Republican Ed Gillespie by 8%.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac)
Ralph Northam (D) 47%
Ed Gillespie (R) 39%

This poll was done June 15-20 among 1145 registered voters.

June 20, 2017

GA-6 Election Night Thread

The Final Polls:

POLL Ossoff Handel
WSB Landmark 49.0% 48.9%
Trafalgar 48.6% 50.5%
CSP Polling 48% 49%
Opinion Savvy 50% 49%
Survey USA 47% 47%

Polls close at 7pm, let the overreaction begin….

Handel Keeps Surging in GA6

We had two new polls yesterday that show how much Karen Handel has surged in the US House race in Georgia. The latest poll from WSB and Landmark Communications shows the race down to a tenth of a percentage point.

US HOUSE – GEORGIA – CD6 RUNOFF (WSB/Landmark)
Jon Ossoff (D) 49.0%
Karen Handel (R) 48.9%

This poll was done June 18th among 500 likely voters. Meanwhile, a new poll from The Trafalgar Group puts Karen Handel up by about 2%.

US HOUSE – GEORGIA – CD6 RUNOFF (Trafalgar)
Karen Handel (R) 50.5%
Jon Ossoff (D) 48.6%

This poll was done June 17-18 among 1100 likely voters. The real counting starts tonight.

June 18, 2017

One Poll Has Ossoff Up 2%, Another Has Handel up 1% in GA

WSB and Landmark Communications’s latest poll in Georgia shows Jon Ossoff with a 2% lead over Karen Handel, one percentage point closer than their last poll.

US HOUSE – GEORGIA – CD6 RUNOFF (WSB/Landmark)
Jon Ossoff (D) 50%
Karen Handel (R) 48%

This poll was done June 15th among 800 likely voters. Meanwhile, yet another polling outfit I have never heard of until now, CSP Polling, is out with a poll claiming it is Karen Handel with a 1% lead.

US HOUSE – GEORGIA – CD6 RUNOFF (CSP)
Karen Handel (R) 49%
Jon Ossoff (D) 48%

This poll was done June 15-17 among 571 likely voters. Interestingly the latest blog post this polling firm has on their website is about how badly they botched their polling in the just completed Virginia gubernatorial primary where they said Tom Periello was going to win by 5% before he ended up losing by double digits. Something to take into account in this latest poll.

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