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May 25, 2016

Trump Leads Clinton By 2%, Burr Leads Ross By 3% in NC

Public Policy Polling has released a new poll for their home state of North Carolina and it shows Donald Trump and Richard Burr with small leads over their Democratic opponents.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Donald Trump (D) 43%
Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
Gary Johnson (L) 3%
Jill Stein (G) 2%

Donald Trump (R) 47%
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Richard Burr (R-inc) 39%
Deborah Ross (D) 36%
Sean Haugh (L) 8%

This poll was done May 20-22 among 928 registered voters.

Posted by Dave at 1:01 pm
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May 23, 2016

Clinton/Trump Tied Nationally and in Virginia

American Research Group put out a new national poll this morning showing a dead-heat tie between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton nationally.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (ARG)
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R) 46%

This poll was done May 17-20 among 980 registered voters. Meanwhile in Virginia, Roanoke College has a poll showing a dead-heat tie in the state run by Hillary Clinton’s friend and a man who is now under FBI investigation.

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (RC)
Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
Donald Trump (R) 385

This poll was done May 9-17 among 610 likely voters.

May 22, 2016

Clinton Leads Trump By 1% in FL and By 5% in OH

After Quinnipiac University claimed last week that Donald Trump holds a 4% lead over Hillary Clinton in Ohio, CBS News and YouGov this morning released a poll for the state of Ohio showing Clinton ahead of Trump by 5%.

PRESIDENT – OHIO (CBS/YouGov)
Hillary Clinton 44%
Donald Trump 39%

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (CBS/YouGov)
Hillary Clinton 43%
Donald Trump 42%

These polls were done May 16-19 among likely voters.

ABC/WaPo: Trump Leads Clinton by 2% Nationally

We had another national poll out this morning, this time from ABC News and The Washington Post that is jumping aboard the Trump is winning narrative.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (ABC/WaPo)
Donald Trump 46%
Hillary Clinton 44%

This poll was done May 16-19 among 829 registered voters. So of the big four US television over-the-air networks that released polls this week, CBS and NBC say Hillary Clinton is winning while Fox and ABC are claiming it is Donald Trump is who is ahead.

NBC/WSJ: Clinton Leads Trump By 3% Nationally

NBC News and The Wall Street are siding with CBS News and The New York Times by showing Hillary Clinton with a lead over Donald trump nationally, albeit closer than what they showed in the previous poll.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (NBC/WSJ)
Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
Donald Trump (R) 43%

This poll was done May 15-19 among 1000 registered voters.

Posted by Dave at 10:31 am
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May 19, 2016

Clinton Leads Trump By 6% Nationally

CBS News and The New York Times are not buying what Fox News and Rasmussen Reports are selling and they are currently showing Hillary Clinton with a 6% lead over Donald Trump.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (CBS/NYT)
Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R) 41%

This poll was done May 13-17 among 1109 registered voters.

Rasmussen Shows Trump Leading Clinton By 5% Nationally

Rasmussen Reports joins Fox News by showing Donald Trump with a lead over Hillary Clinton nationally.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Donald Trump (R) 42%
Hilary Clinton (D) 37%
Someone Else 13%

This poll was done May 17-18 among 1000 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 4:19 pm
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May 18, 2016

Trump Leads Clinton Nationally By 3%

I’m not sure what happened to the pop-up comment box or why it stopped working, but I will keep trying to figure it out. Meanwhile, Fox News is claiming Donald Trump is now ahead of Hillary Clinton by 3% nationally whether Gary Johnson is included or not.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Foxx Newws)
Donald Trump (R) 45%
Hillary Clinton (D)

Donald Trump (R) 42%
Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Gary Johnson (L) 10%

This poll was done May 14-17 among 1021 registered voters.

May 17, 2016

Johnson Hits 14% in NM Against Trump and Clinton

Public Policy Polling did a poll for the state of New Mexico and it shows Gary Johnson reaching double digits in a three-way race against Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.

PRESIDENT – NEW MEXICO (PPP)
Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
Donald Trump (R) 33%
Gary Johnson (L) 14%

This poll was done May 13-15 among registered voters. I’ve been prepared to track a two-way, but with Trump as the Republican nominee and the potential of a decent third-party candidate form the Libertarian Party taking a decent chunk of voters (a la Ralph Nader in 2000), we may need to include the Libertarian candidate in the tracking of this election going forward.

Trump Leads Clinton By 2% in AZ With Gary Johnson Included

A poll from Public Policy Polling in the state of Arizona shows Donald Trump holding a slim 2% lead in a four-way race in a state won by Mitt Romney over Barack Obama by 9% in 2012.

PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (PPP)
Donald Trump 40%
Hillary Clinton 38%
Gary Johnson 6%
Jill Stein 2%

Donald Trump 45%
Hillary Clinton 41%

US SENATE – ARIZONA (PPP)
John McCain (R-inc) 42%
Ann Kirkpatrick (D) 36%

Kelli Ward (R) 37%
Ann Kirkpatrick (D) 35%

US SENATE – ARIZONA – GOP PRIMARY (PPP)
John McCain (inc) 39%
Kelli Ward 26%
Alex Melusky 4%
Scott McBean 3%
Clair Van Steenwyk 2%

This poll was done May 13-15 among 896 registered voters and 443 Republican primary voters.