EGO BOOST
GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY
RASMUSSEN REPORTS
POLLING SITES
HEDGEHOG REPORT SOCIAL NETWORK

Search

September 25, 2016

Clinton Lead Shrinks Both Nationally and in Pennsylvania

ABC News and The Washington Post released their pre-debate poll this morning and it shows Donald Trump back to within 2% of Hillary Clinton nationally.

PRESIDENT- NATIONAL (ABC/WaPo)
Clinton 49%
Trump 47%

Clinton 46%
Trump 44%
Johnson 5%
Stein 1%

This poll was done September 19-22 among likely voters. Meanwhile in Pennsylvania, Muhlenberg College and Morning Call show the race down to 3% head-to-head and 2% in the four-way.

PRESIDENT- PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg/MC)
Clinton 44%
Trump 41%

Clinton 40%
Trump 38%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

US SENATE – PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg/MC)
Pat Toomey (R-inc) 41%
Katie McGinty (D) 40%

This poll was done September 19-23 among 486 likely voters.

2016 Week 3 NFL Picks

Before we get to this week’s picks, a quick look at how I did last week.

WEEK2 NFL PICKS – WINNERS
Baltimore at Cleveland
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Dallas at Washington
New England beat Miami
N.Y. Giants beat New Orleans
Houston beat Kansas City
Carolina beat San Francisco
Arizona beat Tampa Bay
Denver beat Indianapolis
San Diego beat Jacksonville
Philadelphia beat Chicago

WEEK 2 NFL PICKS – LOSERS
Buffalo lost to NY Jets
Detroit lost to Tennessee
Seattle lost to L.A. Rams
Atlanta at Oakland lost to Arizona
Green Bay lost to Minnesota

An 11-5 week provided a bounce back of sorts for me among the so-called experts at ESPN.

ESPN NFL EXPERTS
Merrill Hoge 21-11
KC Joyner 21-11
Mike Golic 21-11
Matt Bowen 21-11
ME 20-12
Kevin Seifert 20-12
Ron Jaworski 20-12
Adam Caplan 19-13
Dan Graziano 18-14
Seth Wickersham 18-14

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 3 of the NFL season.

2016 WEEK 3 NFL PICKS
Houston at New England (Lost my third straight Thursday nght game)
Minnesota at Carolina 1:00 pm FOX
Detroit at Green Bay 1:00 pm FOX
Baltimore at Jacksonville 1:00 pm CBS
Arizona at Buffalo 1:00 pm FOX
Oakland at Tennessee 1:00 pm CBS
Cleveland at Miami 1:00 pm CBS
Washington at N.Y. Giants 1:00 pm FOX
Denver at Cincinnati 1:00 pm CBS
San Francisco at Seattle 4:05 pm FOX
L.A. Rams at Tampa Bay 4:05 pm FOX
N.Y. Jets at Kansas City 4:25 pm CBS
San Diego at Indianapolis 4:25 pm CBS
Pittsburgh at Philadelphia 4:25 pm CBS
Chicago at Dallas 8:30 pm NBC
Atlanta at New Orleans 8:30 pm Mon ESPN

Posted by Dave at 8:00 am
Filed under: General | Comments (1) | Display Comments On Separate Page

September 24, 2016

Clinton Leads in NC and PA, Tied in NV, Trump Leads in OH and GA

Yesterday, Democracy Corps released polls in four states and it shows Trump still struggling more in the state of North Carolina than he is in Nevada or Ohio.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (DC)
Clinton 44%
Trump 40%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (DC)
Clinton 42%
Trump 42%
Johnson 7%
Stein 3%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (DC)
Trump 41%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 11%
Stein 4%

PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (DC)
Clinton 46%
Trump 38%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

These poll were done September 10-19 among likely voters in each state. Today, we have a new poll from Landmark and Rosetta Stone showing Donald Trump holding a 4% lead in the state of Georgia.

PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (Landmark/Rosetta)
Donald Trump 47%
Hillary Clinton 43%
Gary Johnson 6%

This poll was done September 21-22 among 600 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 2:47 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (51) | Display Comments On Separate Page

September 22, 2016

Polls From IA, CO, VA and GA

Quinnipiac University released polls earlier today for Iowa, Colorado, Virginia and Colorado.

PRESIDENT – IOWA (Quinnipiac)
Trump 50%
Clinton 44%

Trump 44%
Clinton 37%
Johnson 10%
Stein 2%

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (Quinnipiac)
Clinton 47%
Trump 47%

Clinton 44%
Trump 42%
Johnson 10%
Stein 2%

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (Quinnipiac)
Clinton 50%
Trump 43%

Clinton 45%
Trump 39%
Johnson 8%
Stein 1%

PRESIDENT – GEORGIA (Quinnipiac)
Trump 50%
Clinton 44%

Trump 47%
Clinton 40%
Johnson 9%

These polls were done September 13-21 among likely voters in each state. Meanwhile, the local PBS station in Colorado shows a much larger lead for Clinton in that state.

PRESIDENT – COLORADO (Rocky Mountain PBS)
Clinton 44%
Trump 35%

Clinton 41%
Trump 34%
Johnson 12%
Stein 3%

This poll was done September 14-18 among likely voters.

Trump Leads in NC, NV and OH, Clinton Leads in VA, WI and IL

Two days ago I mentioned that North Carolina and Nevada were trending to Donald Trump. Yesterday morning, PPP’s poll pushed NC to Trump and then yesterday evening, Fox News released some “swing state” polling that has pushed Nevada into Trump’s column and brought him up to 265 electoral votes. Also polled was North Carolina and Ohio.

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (Fox News)
Trump 43%
Clinton 40%
Johnson 8%

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Fox News)
Trump 45%
Clinton 40%
Johnson 6%

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Fox News)
Trump 42%
Clinton 37%
Johnson 6%
Stein 2%

These polls were done September 18-20 among likely voters. In Virginia, Roanoke College is showing Trump still having issues in trying to win this state.

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (Roanoke)
Clinton 44%
Trump 37%
Johnson 8%
Stein 1%

This poll was done September 11-20 among 841 likely voters. Meanwhile this morning, Emerson College has polls out for Wisconsin and Illinois that has Clinton with high single-digit leads in both states.

PRESIDENT – WISCONSIN (Emerson)
Clinton 45%
Trump 38%
Johnson 11%
Stein 2%

PRESIDENT – ILLINOIS (Emerson)
Clinton 45%
Trump 39%
Johnson 6%
Stein 3%

The WI poll was done September 19-20 and the IL poll was done September 19-21 among likely voters in each state.

September 21, 2016

Trump Leads in NC By 2%, Within 3% of Clinton in WI

As if on cue, after posting the state of race in the previous post, Public Policy Polling released a new poll this morning that has tipped the state of North Carolina to Donald Trump and has brought Hillary Clinton down to 279 electoral votes.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Donald Trump (R) 45%
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
Gary Johnson (L) 6%

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
Deborah Ross (R) 41%
Richard Burr (R-inc) 41%
Sean Haugh (L) 4%

This poll was done September 18-20 among 1024 likely voters. Meanwhile, Marquette University Law School has Trump moving to within 3% of Clinton in the state of Wisconsin.

PRESIDENT – WISCONSIN (Marquette)
Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
Donald Trump (R) 38%
Gary Johnson (l) 11%
Jill Stein (G) 2%

This poll was done September 15-18 among 802 registered voters.

September 20, 2016

THR EV Watch: Clinton 294, Trump 244

I took some time to catch up on The Hedgehog Report Electoral College Watch today. In lieu of posting the individual polls over the last few days, I thought I;d take a look at where things currently stand.

Right now, based on polling, Hillary Clinton holds a 294-244 electoral vote lead over Donald Trump.

Based on polling as of right now, Trump would takes the following states won by Barack Obama in 2012: Florida, Iowa and Ohio. Clinton would take the following state won by Mitt Romney in 2012: North Carolina.

More recent polling is showing trends towards Trump in Nevada and North Carolina and Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, but that only adds up to an additional 22 electoral votes, which still would leave Trump short of 270 electoral votes.

September 18, 2016

Open Thread Sunday!

About all I have time for this morning….

2016 Week 2 NFL Picks

Before we get to this week’s picks, a quick look back at how I did last week.

WEEK 1 NFL PICKS – WINNERS
Baltimore beat Buffalo
Green Bay beat Jacksonville
Kansas City beat San Diego
Houston beat Chicago
Philadelphia beat Cleveland
Cincinnati beat N.Y. Jets
Seattle beat Miami
N.Y. Giants beat Dallas
Pittsburgh beat Washington

WEEK 1 NFL PICKS – LOSERS
Carolina lost to Denver
New Orleans lost to Oakland
Tennessee lost to Minnesota
Atlanta lost to Tampa Bay
Indianapolis lost to Detroit
Arizona lost to New England
L.A. Rams lost to San Francisco

A 9-7 start to the season puts me tied for 7th among the so-called experts at ESPN, which also means I am tied for last place.

ESPN NFL EXPERTS
Merrill Hoge 11-5
KC Joyner 10-6
Mike Golic 10-6
Matt Bowen 10-6
Adam Caplan 10-6
Kevin Seifert 10-6
ME 9-7
Dan Graziano 9-7
Ron Jaworski 9-7
Seth Wickersham 9-7

The turnover at ESPN this off-season really pared back the number of people picking games clearly. Now without further ado, the Hedgehog Report pick for Week 2 of the 2016 NFL season.

2016 WEEK 2 NFL PICKS
N.Y. Jets at Buffalo (Lost this one already)
New Orleans at N.Y. Giants 1:00 pm FOX
Kansas City at Houston 1:00 pm CBS
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh 1:00 pm CBS
Dallas at Washington 1:00 pm FOX
Miami at New England 1:00 pm CBS
Tennessee at Detroit 1:00 pm CBS
Baltimore at Cleveland 1:00 pm CBS
San Francisco at Carolina 1:00 pm FOX
Tampa Bay at Arizona 4:05 pm FOX
Seattle at L.A. Rams 4:05 pm FOX
Indianapolis at Denver 4:25 pm CBS
Jacksonville at San Diego 4:25 pm CBS
Atlanta at Oakland 4:25 pm CBS
Green Bay at Minnesota 8:30 pm NBC
Philadelphia at Chicago 8:30 pm ESPN Mon

Too bad the Ravens won’t be seeing RGIII this week….

Posted by Dave at 10:55 am
Filed under: General | Comments (2) | Display Comments On Separate Page

September 15, 2016

Trump Leads Clinton in OH and IA, Trails By Only 3% in VA

Add Suffolk University to the list of pollsters now showing Donald Trump moving ahead in the state of Ohio.

PRESIDENT – OHIO (Suffolk)
Donald Trump (R) 42%
Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Gary Johnson (L) 4%
Jill Stein (G) 1%

This poll was done September 12-14 among 500 likely voters. Meanwhile in Iowa, Monmouth University now shows Donald Trump with an 8% lead.

PRESIDENT – IOWA (Monmouth)
Donald Trump (R) 45%
Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
Gary Johnson (L) 8%
Jill Stein (G) 2%

This poll was done September 12-14 among 404 likely voters. In Virginia, the University of Mary Washington has Trump within 3% of Clinton.

PRESIDENT – VIRGINIA (UMW)
Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
Donald Trump (R) 37%
Gary Johnson (L) 8%
Jill Stein (G) 1%

This poll was done September 6-12 among 685 likely voters. It is starting to become increasingly clear that Hillary Clinton’s medical episode from Sunday might have caused a lot of damage to Clinton. What else can describe such a precipitous drop in Clinton’s standing this week?