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October 16, 2018

Cruz Leads O’Rourke By 7% in TX

We have a new poll for the US Senate race in Texas from CNN and it shows what many other recent polls have shown, Ted Cruz opening up a discernable lead over the media darling Beto O’Rourke.

US SENATE – TEXAS (CNN)
Ted Cruz (R-inc) 52%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 45%

This poll was done October 9-13 among 716 likely voters.

Heller Leads By 7% in NV, Romney Leads By 36% in UT

Yesterday Emerson College released a new poll in Nevada that shows Dean Heller has now opened up a 7% lead over Jacky Rosen.

US SENATE – NEVADA (Emerson)
Dean Heller (R-inc) 48%
Jacky Rosen (D) 41%

This poll was done October 10-12 among likely voters. One state Republicans will not be sweating in three weeks is Utah, where Mitt Romney is more than doubling his Democratic opponent according to a new poll from the Salt Lake Tribune.

US SENATE – UTAH (SLT)
Mitt Romney (R) 59%
Jacky Rosen (D) 23%

This poll was done October 3-9 among likely voters.

October 15, 2018

Biden Dominates Democratic Field for 2020

CNN released a new poll for the Democratic race for President and it shows Joe Biden more than doubling his nearest opponent in a bid for the 2020 Democratic nomination for President.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (CNN)
Joe Biden 33%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Kamala Harris 9%
Elizabeth Warren 8%
Cory Booker 5%
Michael Bloomberg 4%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Eric Holder 3%
Eric Garcetti 2%
Michael Avenatti 1%
Kirsten Gilibrand 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Deval Patrick 1%
Steve Bullock 0%
John Delaney 0%

This poll was done October 4-7 among registered Democratic primary voters.

October 12, 2018

Blackburn Leads By 14% in TN, Cruz Leads By 8% in TX

Marsha Blackburn has opened up a huge 14% lead in Tennessee according to folks at The New York Times and Siena College.

US SENATE – TENNESSEE (NYT/Siena)
Marsha Blackburn (R) 54%
Phil Bredesen (D) 40%

Meanwhile in Texas, the same pollsters have Ted Cruz now up by 8%.

US SENATE – TEXAS (NYT/Siena)
Ted Cruz (R-inc) 51%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 43%

Both polls were done October 8-11 among likely voters.

October 11, 2018

Cruz Leads O’Rourke By 9% in TX, Heller Up by 2% in NV

This morning, Quinnipiac University released a new poll for the race in Texas that now shows Ted Cruz opening up a 9% lead over the media darling Beto O’Rourke.

US SENATE – TEXAS (Quinnipiac)
Ted Cruz (R-inc) 54%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 45%

This poll was done October 3-9. It does seem like every poll of late for this race shows ted Cruz moving a little bit further ahead.Meanwhile in Nevada, the New York Times and Siena College are showing a new poll with Republican Dean Heller in the lead.

US SENATE – NEVADA (NYT/Siena)
Dean Heller (R-inc) 47%
Jacky Rosen (D) 45%

This poll was done October 8-10 among likely voters.

October 10, 2018

Hogan Leads By 18% in MD, McSally Leads By 6% in AZ, Kemp Leads By 2% in GA

As promised, we did get that second poll for the gubernatorial race in Maryland and it shows a similar dominating lead for Republican Larry Hogan according to Gonzales Research.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (Gonzales)
Larry Hogan (R-inc) 54%
Ben Jealous (D) 36%

Hogan’s job approval rating is an absurd 72% at this moment including an even more ridiculous approval of 67% among DEMOCRATS! This poll was done October 1-6 among 806 likely voters. Meanwhile in Georgia, Brian Kemp has taken a small lead in a new poll from Survey USA in his bid to keep this gubernatorial seat in Republican hands.

GOVERNOR – GEORGIA (Survey USA)
Brian Kemp (R) 47%
Stacey Abrams (D) 45%

This poll was done October 3-8 among 1027 registered voters. Finally, Republicans get some good news in Arizona in a new poll from OH Predictive Insights that has Martha McSally now up by 6%.

US SENATE – ARIZONA (OHPI)
Martha McSally (R) 47%
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 41%

This poll was done October 1-2 among likely voters.

October 9, 2018

Hogan Leads By 20% in MD, Heller Up By 2% in NV

The Republican Governor of Maryland, Larry Hogan, continues to hold a huge lead in the state of Maryland according to a new poll from the Washington Post and the University of Maryland.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (WaPo/UMD)
Larry Hogan (R-inc) 58%
Ben Jealous (D) 38%

This poll was done October 4-7 among likely voters. We are supposed to get another poll tomorrow morning for this race from Gonzales Research for this race as well. Meanwhile in Nevada, NBC News and Marist College have Republican Dean Heller ahead by 2% in his bid for re-election.

US SENATE – NEVADA (NBC/Marist)
Dean Heller (R-inc) 46%
Jacky Rosen (D) 44%

This poll was done September 30-October 3 among likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 8:45 pm
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October 8, 2018

Cruz Leads O’Rourke By 5% in TX

Emerson College released a new poll for the US Senate race in Texas today that shows Ted Cruz up by 55 over Beto O’Rourke.

US SENATE – TEXAS (Emerson)
Ted Cruz (R-inc) 47%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 42%

This poll was done October 1-5 among 500 likely voters.

October 7, 2018

GOP Leads in TX and TN, Dems Lead in NJ and AZ

CBS News and YouGov released polls for four states this morning showing Republicans up in both Tennessee and Texas while Democrats lead in Arizona and New Jersey.

US SENATE – ARIZONA (CBS/YouGov)
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 47%
Martha McSally (R) 44%

US SENATE – TENNESSEE (CBS/YouGov)
Marsha Blackburn (R) 50%
Phil Bredesen (D) 42%

US SENATE – TEXAS (CBS/YouGov)
Ted Cruz (R-inc) 50%
Beto O’Rourke (D) 44%

US SENATE – NEW JERSEY (CBS/YouGov)
Bob Menendez (D-inc) 49%
Bob Hugin (R) 39%

All these polls were done October 2-5 among likely voters. I am somewhat surprised the number of polls we have been seeing from New Jersey lately. I think it is still fool’s gold for Republicans, but clearly this is no longer the slam dunk Democrats figured it was with the scandal-plagued Menendez as their candidate.

October 4, 2018

Senate: Dems Lead in IN, AZ and FL / GOP Leads in TN and ND / Race Tied in MO

Fox News released polls in five states that show a net zero gain for either Republicans or Democrats based on the findings of the polls.

US SENATE – TENNESSEE (Fox News)
Marsha Blackburn (R) 48%
Phil Bredesen (D) 43%

US SENATE – INDIANA (Fox News)
Joe Donnelly (D-inc) 43%
Mike Braun (R) 41%

US SENATE – MISSOURI (Fox News)
Josh Hawley (R) 46%
Claire McCaskill (D-inc) 46%

US SENATE – NORTH DAKOTA (Fox News>
Kevin Cramer (R) 53%
Heidi Heitkamp (D-inc) 41%

US SENATE – ARIZONA (Fox News)
Kyrsten Sinema (D) 47%
Martha McSally (R) 45%

All these polls were done September 29-October 2 among likely voters. Meanwhile in FLorida, Mason-Dixon is showing the US Senate race as a single percentage-point margin for Bill Nelson.

US SENATE – FLORIDA (Mason-Dixon)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 47%
Rick Scott (R) 46%

This poll was done September 24-27 among 815 likely voters.

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