It’s only one poll, but it no doubt will get the Obamites shaking. The latest poll from Insider Advantage now puts Hillary ahead of Barack Obama in the state of North Carolina.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY
Hillary 44%
Barack Obama 42%

This poll was done May 6th April 29th among 571 registered voters.

All along, it has been that Obama was going to win North Carolina easily and Indiana would determine whether Hillary would go on. Could we see the unthinkable and Hillary win both states on Tuesday?

That is what a new poll says from KAET-TV and Arizona State University.

PRESIDENT – ARIZONA
John McCain (R) 47%
Barack Obama (D) 38%

John McCain (R) 53%
Hillary (D) 37%

This poll was done April 24-27 among 577 registered voters. One poll I missed yesterday from Capital Survey Research Center has McCain having no problems in Alabama, leading both Democrats by identical 55%-36% margins.

For more polls from Arizona, click here.
For more poll from Alabama, click here.

So what did I miss all day? Apparently the pollsters in the primary states decided to take today off since I don’t think we had one state poll released that I can find. i guess it was a good day to be busy.

But we did get some new national match ups. First, the poll from liberal news organizations CBS News and The New York Times.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GENERAL (CBS/NYT)

Hillary (D) 48% McCain (R) 43%

Obama (D) 45% McCain (R) 45%

Diving into the numbers, we see that McCain beats Obama among all women 47%-44% and among white women 55%-38%. One other thing that jumped out at me was that all three candidates now have favorable ratings below 30%, with both Hillary and McCain with net negative favorable ratings and Obama barely in favorable territory. This poll was done April 25-29 among 956 registered voters.

Next up, Fox News and Opinion Dynamics.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GENERAL (Fox/OD)

Hillary (D) 45% McCain (R) 44%

McCain (R) 46% Obama (D) 43%

in this poll, John McCain, Hillary, and Barack Obama all have favorable ratings less than Bill Clinton. This poll also shows 32% of Hillary supporters jumping to McCain in November should Obama get the nomination. Only 21% of Obama supporters would jump to McCain if Hillary got the nod. But even better, a majority of both Democratic candidate’s supporters would rather see Al Gore as the nominee than the other candidate should their candidate lose. This poll was done April 28-29 among 900 registered voters.

Finally, NBC News and The Wall Street Journal.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GENERAL (NBC/WSJ)

Hillary (D) 45% McCain (R) 44%

Obama (D) 46% McCain (R) 43%

Should I be surprised that a poll from NBC is the one most favorable for Obama in a match up against McCain? This poll was done Aril 25-28 among 1006 registered voters.

Sorry for the lack of posts, but the real job is taking most of my time today.

These polls were covered in the comments below, but I know some don’t check them, so here they are in a fresh thread. A bunch of polls from the upcoming primary states, starting with a new poll in Kentucky from Survey USA.

PRESIDENT – KENTUCKY – DEM PRIMARY
Hillary 63%
Barack Obama 27%

This poll was done April 26-28 among 555 likely voters. Obviously Hillary having little trouble there. Better news for Hillary in North Carolina, where she has closed to within 5% of Obama according to Survey USA.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY
Barack Obama 49%
Hillary 44%

This poll was done April 26-28 among 727 likely voters. Even better news for Hillary in Indiana, where she has surged into a lead in teh latest poll from Public Policy Polling.

PRESIDENT – INDIANA – DEM PRIMARY
Hillary 50%
Barack Obama 42%

This poll was done April 26-27 among 1388 likely voters.

We’ve heard about if Obama wins both NC and IN next week that the race is over. And if Hillary manages to win Indiana, she would keep going. But what would happened if Hillary did the unimaginable and won both NC and IN? Obviously she would keep going, but then the question arises to Obama’s growing weakness, thanks to none other than Reverend Wright….

That is what Scott Rasmussen says in his latest poll from North Carolina.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY
Barack Obama 51%
Hillary 37%

This poll was done April 28th among 774 likely voters.

A new poll from the University of Wisconsin puts Barack Obama ahead of John McCain by 7%.

PRESIDENT – WISCONSIN – GENERAL
Barack Obama (D) 47%
John McCain (R) 43%

John McCain (R) 47%
Hillary (D) 41%

This poll was done April 15-24 among 521 registered voters (I think). This poll doesn’t change the McCain/Obama match up, but does flip Wisconsin and move John McCain closer to Hillary (284-254) in the Electoral College Watch.

For more polls from Wisconsin, click here.

Survey USA and Public Policy Polling are both out with polls this afternoon that show Hillary leading in Indiana and Obama leading in North Carolina. First, the numbers from Survey USA.

PRESIDENT – INIDIANA – DEM PRIMARY (Survey USA)
Hillary 52%
Barack Obama 43%

Survey USA has now shown the race in Indiana go from a 16% lead for Hillary to a 5% lead for Obama back to a 9% lead for Hillary in the span of 10 days. That is borderline ridiculous. This poll was done April 25-27 among 628 likely voters. Meanwhile, Public Policy Polling has a new one out of North Carolina that shows Hillary closing the 25%-gap from the previous poll down to a mere 12%.

PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (PPP)
Barack Obama 51%
Hillary 39%

This poll was done April 26-27 among 1121 likely Democratic voters.