Archive for December, 2008

HAPPY NEW YEAR!

Wednesday, December 31st, 2008

A shot from when we walked down to Times Square yesterday. They were already setting up for tonight’s festivities.

And a close up shot of the spot for the ball drop later tonight.

And one other shot from Rockefeller Center and the Christmas Tree.

Not as big I guess I thought it would be. I hope everyone has been enjoying their holidays. It has been a fun year for me with this site and hope to continue it into the new year. I wish everyone a very Happy New Year and see you on the other side.

Wednesday Morning thread

Wednesday, December 31st, 2008

Comment away-I will update the Minnesota recount in a bit.

Happy New Year

UPDATED 10:15  CST  I don’t really have time or inclination right now to update the Minnesota recount.  Somehow they recounted a ballot the other day and Franken dropped from +50 to +49.  Here is the Startribune site for news

http://www.startribune.com/

I did the regular site and not for a specific story as I have been checking this site daily for news and I have become quite enamored with news in the Twin Cities.  There is a great story there about a city worker from rural Polk county.  He was clearing roads on his snowplow when he decided to help clear a path to the boat ramp to help ice fisherman.  Well as he was going downhill the snowplow rolls onto the ice and then broke through the ice. The Plow sinks  to the bottom of the lake.  I guess at some point the driver decided not to go down with the ship.  The city fired him for this error after 28 years of employment. 

Then few days ago there was a riot at a roller rink in Coon Rapids Minnesota which is in suburban Anoka county.  This town has 65,000 people.   I can only assume that Minnesota like Tennessee is bountiful in raccoons.

Misc Political notes-Tuesday Nite Open Thread-Over & Under?

Tuesday, December 30th, 2008

Sorry for being late but I had to wash the dishes plus family & work time.   No recount update tonight.  Its way too complicated to rush so perhaps tomorrow.  Let me put it this way Minnesota is trying to define what the words “wrong” and “error” mean.

 Talk about error.  Gov. Bagman has appointed Roland Burriss to the US senate or has he? Senator Reid vows not to seat Burriss even as its clear that he is not a weak or tainted choice.  Obama supports Reid and I suspect that’s the end of it. 

 Okay its the 1st over/under.  Tim Russert.  Tim was okay, but really does he deserve all the hoopla  when he died?  Now many year end reviews (certainly at NBC and MSNBC) have him listed 1st or second or in the top ten.  I mean in the political world Jesse Helms died, Bill Buckley and Solzhenitsyn.   So Russert to me is way over estimated.  Am I wrong or what?

 Brett Favre-over/under ?  Mercy this guy has been taken huge hits over all the sport blogs-talk radio-newspapers.  Were the Jets Super Bowl contenders last year?  I think they were 4-12.  This year they went 9-7 and by my Delbov curve calculation thats +5 games.  They were often the center of the football world and just missed the playoffs.  I say way under estimated   for Favre and if he does not return look for a 4-12 for the Jets in 2009.

Stream of Conscience On Facebook

Monday, December 29th, 2008

I signed up on Facebook about two years ago and shortly thereafter, started a “Friends of the Hedgehog Report” page (which can be found over on the left-hand side). For the longest time, I rarely paid attention to it and added “friends” at a slow clip, not really doing much with it beyond that. I will admit in the past few months I became alittle more active on it, but again, mostly adding “friends” and the occasional picture. I rarely used it to give details about my life or personal info that I would rather keep private.

That being said, in the past month I think I have added more “friends”, all of them people that I see on a semi-regular basis or have a legitimate connection through work or personal, than I did in the first two years I was on the site. I’m not complaining about it, just surprised at the sudden surge in people who are signing up including people that I would have never expected to sign up for it. A lot of them are well beyond their college years which is what the entire Facebook premise was originally based on. Did I miss something that caused this sudden surge?

Facebook has it’s benefits and detriments like anything else. Honestly, the biggest benefit to me has been getting in touch with old friends that I have not seen in years, and in some cases decades, that pop up and either find me or I find them through searches. Just in the past three weeks, I have exchanged emails with an old college roommate I haven’t seen since graduation, my college orientation counselor that I haven’t seen or talked to since my freshman year of college fifteen years ago, an old co-worker of mine from a previous company who I had not talked to since I left the company, and more than a few high school friends of mine who I haven’t seen in over fifteen years. Now this isn’t to say I am going to suddenly become close friends with any of these people, but it was nice to catch up to see what they are up to or where their lives took them. And I probably would have never conversed with these people had it not been for Facebook or something similar. Of course, there are the drawbacks as well and the question of why I would be “friends” with some of these people from my past pops up in my mind. But overall, I have found Facebook to be a more positive to me than a negative.

I really don’t have a point to this post other than I really don’t have anything else to talk about that interests me at the moment or hasn’t been covered by rdelbov. I guess as an open-ended question, how many people use Facebook and for those that do, do you find it useful or beneficial at all?

2008 Election – Breakdown by Legislative District

Monday, December 29th, 2008

This will begin a series of posts looking back at the 2008 election results in Howard County looking at trends and other assorted numbers that may give some information about future elections. One thing about elections is that they can give a glimpse of the true ideological make up of a district even more than the actual partisan breakdown of the registered voters can. A glaring example of this is in the south where numerous states have majority Democratic party registration but regularly vote Republican in federal elections. In other words, the partisan breakdown of the voters has absolutely no bearing on how the voters think and vote.

With that in mind, this first post will look at the breakdown by Legislative District. I took the results from the Howard County Board of Elections and broke them out by Legilsative District.

DISTRICT Obama McCain
9A 47.85% 50.18%
12A 52.93% 44.71%
12B 72.98% 25.30%
13 64.95% 33.27%

Now right off the bat, the numbers in District 12A are meaning less in the grand scheme of things since most of this district is located in another county, so the numbers strictly from Howard County really don’t give any indication for this district as a whole. And really no surprise in Districts 12B and 13 considering they include all of Columbia.

The numbers that surprise me the most and shows the gains Democrats making in the county are the numbers in District 9A. Now we can look at these numbers in two ways. For McCain to only get barely over 50% in the district where Republicans are the strongest in Howard County shows Democrats may be looking to make this a major battleground next year. Just two years ago, Governor Ehrlich won this district with 58% over Governor O’Malley. Now some of this can be attributed to the Obama wave across the county, which saw Obama getting nearly 60% of the vote, compared to the razor thin margin (50%-49%) O’Malley won Howard County two years ago. Of course, one other way to look at it is that the shift to Obama in this district underperformed the countywide shift to Obama from O’Malley by 2%. Either way, this district is going to be a lot more competitive next year than it was two years ago and I expect Democrats to field two candidates this time around to take on Gail Bates and Warren Miller.

One caveat to these numbers is the voters in each who voted by absentee ballot ro by provisional ballot are not included. for some inexplicable reason, the Howard County Board of Election refuses to break down these voters by their respective district and include them among the voters for each precinct. In addition, these results are still listed as “unofficial”, which is absolutely mind-boggling. How is a technologically advanced county as this one incapable of posting the official results of this election nearly two months after the election has been completed. What on earth is taking them this long? Just another complaint in a long string of complaints I have about the complete inefficiency of the Howard County Board of Elections.

Anyway, later this week and next week, I will be posting a breakdown of the 2008 election by County Council district to see how each district voted and what it possible means for the future races at this level.

2008 Farewells to -The Movies

Monday, December 29th, 2008

As long as I can remember there has been articles on those pass during a given year at the end of the year.  The LA Times has a great section devoted online to the 2008 deaths 

http://www.latimes.com/news/obituaries/la-obits08,0,5839617.htmlstory

I love the old movies so I will comment a little on a few of the giants who passed in 2008

Paul Newman recently died and what a great actor and human being he was.  Its hard to know where to start looking at his movies but perhaps just consider the letter “H” as in “HUD”, “Hombre”, “Hustler” and “Harper”.  Great flicks and “HUD” actually led to the creation of a cabinet department. Who forget “Cat on a hot tin Roof” or “Cool Hand Luke”.  Or the two Redford match-ups in “Sundance” and “Sting”.  Great stuff.  So buy some Newman’s Own salad dressing or his popcorn and rent some DVD’s.  Newman by the way a dedicated liberal who very active in CT’s politics. 

Next is Charlton Heston.  One could argue that his 1st few movies were nearly impossible to top as he soared in deMille’s “Greatest show on earth” and “Ten Commandments”.  Of course ”Ben Hur” gives new meaning to the word epic.  If you want to know what Film Noir is watch “Touch of Evil”.  Or how about “Planet of the Apes” and the primal scream at what electing democrats to office do to the world.   Two other movies that foreshadow the future under liberalism are “Omega Man” and “Soylent Green” . I could go on and on.  Heston was the classic Hollywood liberal for many years as he help organized the movie industry for JFK.  He marched with Dr. King in DC and was  mourner at the funeralof RFK.  Heston believed in all ten of the amendments in the bill of rights and devoted much time to the right to bear arms.  Watch the “Omega Man” flick and you can that guns come in handy in the future. 

Then comes Richard Widmark.  His a tier below Newman and Heston but I have always enjoyed his movies.  Put a hat on that man or a uniform or make him a cowboy.  It just seemed in whatever role he had Widmark was worth watching. 

Finally this month Van Johnson died.   Johnson was tall and good looking as well as a great actor.  He did okay singing and dancing, but his handsome looks and smiles just said “MGM movies-1940’s”.  Watch “a guy named Joe” or “30 seconds over Tokyo” or “last time I saw Paris”.    For drama go see “The Caine Mutiny” with Bogart as Captain Queeg. 

For those who are not classic movie fans I say just wait as you will be one day.  Pardon the pause from politics.  I see a few new movies as the kids have to be  escorted or dragged to them.  I wonder just what Hollywood is thinking these days?  Oh its just not politics, but lousy movies seem so common these days.  Give me good old black and white  movies any old day.

PS  there is a little good nature politcal ribbing in this post.  Tongue in cheek is the word. 

Obama-The 1st hundred days?

Monday, December 29th, 2008

Is it too soon to speculate as to what the 1st 100 days of the Obama Presidency will be like?  To date Barack has put together what seems like an experienced and savvy team.  His economic team is experienced and has lots of wall street and treasury years.  Where he has Washington outsiders (education and Energy) we were not looking for much new stuff from them so those picks seem okay.  As far as Defense and Foreign policy there seems to be continuity in the Clinton/Bush eras.  Fairly seamless there in fact.

 So the big Obama push will be economics and while I suspect Joe Biden is not exactly coordinating everything.  I think its safe to say that the Obama camp and congress are intensely negotiating this stimulus package.  I think we say a hint of the strategy over the weekend.  Dire times will require a big spending package.  I read reports of 10% unemployment unless we do something right away.  So look for lots of talk like that.

I did see last week that John Dingell is going to head up the house efforts on Health-care.  I wanted to say “Nationalized Health-care”, but the democrats right now are being cagey about that.  There is only so much political capital out there for Obama and I suspect the stimulus package will be the 1st and only priority.

I think the auto bailout may postpone or doom “card check” as political paybacks seem unseemly as Congress tackles more money for Detroit.  Perhaps even “don’t ask and don’t tell” is left in place as the military is asked to slide out of Iraq and perhaps move more into Afghan areas.

A crucial question is will Obama govern from the left or from the left/middle or from the middle?  Will we see a slew of liberal judges and liberal executive orders? 

Wait and see.  Comments?

2008 Week 17 NFL Picks

Sunday, December 28th, 2008

All I can say about last week’s picks is – well – at least the Ravens won.

WEEK 16 WINNERS
Baltimore beat Dallas
Miami beat Kansas City
Tennessee beat Pittsburgh
New England beat Arizona
Chicago beat Green Bay

WEEK 16 LOSERS
Jacksonville lost to Indianapolis
Detroit lost to New Orleans
St. Louis lost to San Francisco
Cleveland lost to Cincinnati
Tampa Bay lost to San Diego
Denver lost to Buffalo
N.Y. Jets lost to Seattle
Houston lost to Oakland
Philadelphia lost to Washington
Atlanta at Minnesota lost to Atlanta
Carolina lost to N.Y. Giants

A pathetic 5-11 just adds to my season-long woes and drops me back into eighth place among the so-called ESPN experts.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
Chris Mortensen 158-82
Merrill Hoge 157-83
Ron Jaworski 147-77
Mark Schlereth 155-85
David Fleming 153-87
Eric Allen 153-87
Mike Golic 144-95
ME 143-97
Ken Wickersham 142-98

The only goal remaining for the season is to avoid a last place finish. So without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for the final week of the NFL regular season.

WEEK 17 NFL PICKS
Kansas City at Cincinnati 1:00 pm CBS
Oakland at Tampa Bay 1:00 pm CBS
Cleveland at Pittsburgh 1:00 pm CBS
New England at Buffalo 1:00 pm CBS
St. Louis at Atlanta 1:00 pm FOX
Chicago at Houston 1:00 pm FOX
Tennessee at Indianapolis 1:00 pm CBS
N.Y. Giants at Minnesota 1:00 pm FOX
Carolina at New Orleans 1:00 pm FOX
Detroit at Green Bay 1:00 pm FOX
Seattle at Arizona 4:15 pm FOX
Dallas at Philadelphia 4:15 pm FOX
Miami at N.Y. Jets 4:15 pm CBS
Washington at San Francisco 4:15 pm FOX
Jacksonville at Baltimore 4:15 pm CBS
Denver at San Diego 8:15 pm NBC

The most important game, of course, is the Ravens/Jaguars. A Ravens win puts them in the playoffs and starts their march to another Super Bowl championship….

Okay, it is ridiculously warm here considering we are only four days from the new year. I actually shut off my heat when I got home late last night and could literally get by with a short-sleeve polo shirt today if it wasn’t for the fact that I am going out to watch a hockey game later today. The Weather Channel says it is 64 degrees already with it going to a high of 69 degrees later today.

Saturday Morning Thread-Reapportionment 2010

Saturday, December 27th, 2008

Over night there was Israeli rocket attacks on Hamas strongholds in the Gaza strip. 

No big news on the Obama stimulus package yet, but rumours are that the states may be in  line for a bailout check.

Finally this is probably worthy of a separate thread, but it is a holiday weekend.  Census 2010 could have major impacts

http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/reapportionment-to-benefit-sun-belt-2008-12-25.html

The numbers are not set but TX may gain 4 plus AZ, NV, FL and GA gains one seat.  MI, MA, PA, NY, PA, NJ and MN should lose one each.   The numbers are tight and not set in stone.  This article does not get into all the projections, but OR could gain a seat at CA’s expense and SC & NC could gain seats at the expense of OH & MO. 

Generally speaking if you buy the blue state driving people and jobs away theory by having liberal/high taxing policies you can find some backup in this report. 

Three stories that must somewhat be related

Friday, December 26th, 2008

Whether Providence or just dumb luck here’s the story of Tatum Bell

http://www3.signonsandiego.com/stories/2008/dec/23/chargers-broncos-tatum-bell/?chargers

Yup less then two months Tatum was washed up as a football player.  He was hustling cellphones and cellphones at a local Denver mall.  This weekend he will starting in the backfield for the Denver Broncos. The Broncos are playing the San Diego Chargers for a playoff spot.  Tatum may be called upon with the game tied and its 4th and inches at the 1 yard line.  Or perhaps Denver will pass, but either way only in America.

On the flip side there is always this happening too

http://cbs11tv.com/local/stolen.from.veteran.2.895108.html

Yes some creep broke into this vet’s car and stole his Christmas presents plus his laptop.  Sadly this so common this time.  The thiefs are out there working overtime to take your stuff.  Yet you read stories like this too

http://www.freep.com/article/20081223/NEWS01/812230369?imw=Y

Some kind souls get money from their credit union, then gets a police escort and hands out money to those who are in need.  I prefer to think that many more people are like the Secret Santas then the hoods looking for loot.Â