I had a nice dinner with old friends. It was a great time. Thanks to Tommy Boy for a link to the votes on the House climate change bill
http://clerk.house.gov/evs/2009/roll477.xml
The GOP 8 were mostly moderates from the NE or CA. The democrats who voted NO were mostly from either rural areas or coal/gas/oil producing areas. A few blue collar manufacturing democrats voted No. Only severe arm twisting got this turkey passed.Â
On the GOP side perhaps only Snowe and Collins might lean for this bill. Specter might have but he has already gone over to the democratic side.Â
 On the Democratic side many rural and energy producing Democratic senators will be hard pressed to vote for Cap and Trade.Â
Here’s my rundown
PA Specter/Casey- American’s #dirty coal state (anthacrite coal) is big around Scranton-Wilkes Barre area. This bill really hurts a dying industry.
WV/VA -Byrd, Rockafeller, Warner and Webb. The democrats from the VA house from coal country voted yes and those from WV voted No. Senators may breakdown that way.Â
IND-Evan Bayh- Two local congressman from blue collar and coal areas voted No in Ind. Will Bayh?
LA-Â Landrieu-Â This bill is a killer to the oil industry.
 AR- Lincoln and Pyror-This state only has modest coal/oil interests yet rural interets (lots of polluters in AR-paper mills-rice processors) kept Congressman Berry & Ross on the No side. This bill is a job killer in AR
CO-Udall- Bennett-CO is a huge coal & energy state-Salazar voted No. Bennett will face huge pressures as this bill will hurt rural interests too
ND-SD-Dorgan-Johnson-Conrad are full of hot gas and their states are very rural with lots of coal & oil & natural gas. Both democrats from these states voted “No”
MT- Tester and Baucus also are in rural areas and have coal mines in the state.
AK-Begich-This state is certainly the most rural and may have the most coal of any state.
I know I dwelt on the rural aspect and some may be confused by this. Rural Americans already in some cases pay a little more for power as they are spread out. They are almost certain to pay more for power in order to be “green”.Â
I might add that farmers are really concerned about this green movement tax as they are big energy users up and down the food chain. From farm to grainhouse to processor to food manufacturer.
 Look at the rural democrats and you can see who are worried about this bill. You will also see other democrats with lots of rural folks in their states looking for special concessions.