A Halloween night poll release from Mason-Dixon puts Bob McDonnell ahead by 12%

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Mason-Dixon)
Bob McDonnell (R) 53%
Creigh Deeds (D) 41%

This poll was done October 28-29 among 625 likely voters. And then there is this form the article.

President Barack Obama’s speech at a rally for Deeds in Norfolk on Tuesday, which the campaign hoped would energize voters, didn’t seem to have an effect, said Brad Coker, managing director of Mason-Dixon.

“McDonnell’s lead… does not appear to have been dented in any way by Obama’s appearance,” Coker wrote in his analysis.

If this lead holds, it is going to be a rough day for The Washington Post on Tuesday after they invested so heavily against McDonnell, Cuccinelli and Bolling….

On a side note, if you want to update your prediction for the New York Congressional race, feel free to make the update at the Prediction Contest thread. You still have until Sunday at 7pm to make your predictions. I have also bumped the Prediction Contest thread to the one below this one.

BUMPED TO TOP

I haven’t had one of these in a while and there is no better time to do another one than right now with three high profile elections coming up on Tuesday.

The rules for this contest are simple; provide your prediction for the results for three races in round whole numbers. They include the Virginia gubernatorial race, the New Jersey gubernatorial race, and the New York Congressional race. Your prediction should look like the following:

Virginia
McDonnell 62%
Deeds 38%

New Jersey
Christie 47%
Corzine 42%
Daggett 11%

New York
Hoffman 51%
Owens 46%
Scozzafava 3%

Now wouldn’t those results be nice…but they are not my prediction which will come later. The winner will be based on a subjective look at the closeness of the final numbers, but getting the right winner and order of finish of the candidates will be important.

As in previous Prediction contests, only put your predictions in this thread without commentary. You can argue, debate, persuade, etc on any other thread, but keep it strictly limited to your predictions in this thread. I will delete any extraneous postings when I get the chance.

Prediction thread will be open until Sunday night at 7pm, so no need to rush and get your prediction in right away while you digest the final polls for the race. But you must have it in by 7pm on Sunday for it to count.

So step up and show how good a prognosticator you really are…or just make a wild guess…which is what most of us do anyway….the winner might even get a prize….

The Washington Post kept up it’s attempt to smear the Republican statewide candidates with this screed in their editorial today.

If he is elected attorney general, Mr. Cuccinelli would drive away qualified lawyers from an office that functions as the state government’s law firm, and, given his bizarre ideas, he would very likely become an embarrassment for the commonwealth

According to a new poll out tonight from Mason-Dixon, the voters of Virginia are telling The Washington Post to pound sand.

ATTORNEY GENERAL – VIRGINIA (Mason-Dixon)
Ken Cuccinelli (R) 46%
Steve Shannon (D) 32%

LT. GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Mason-Dixon)
Bill Bolling (R-inc) 47%
Jody Wagner (D) 32%

I assume this release means we will also be seeing a poll for the gubernatorial race from Mason-Dixon before not too long. This poll was done October 28-29 among 625 likely voters.

Well that will teach me to go out for lunch. I leave and not one, not two, but three polls come out for the race in New Jersey. We’ll start with a new poll from Scott Rasmussen showing Chris Christie maintaining his 3% lead over Jon Corzine.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Rasmussen)
Chris Christie (R) 46%
Jon Corzine (D-inc) 43%
Chris Daggett (I) 8%

This poll was done October 29th among 1000 likely voters. We also got a new poll from Neighborhood Research (reported by PolitickerNJ) that shows Christie moving in to 7% lead.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Neighborhood Research)
Chris Christie (R) 42%
Jon Corzine (D-inc) 35%
Chris Daggett (I) 8%

This poll was done October 27-29 among 341 likely voters. Finally, a new poll from Democrat John Zogby and Richard Stockton College claims Corzine is ahead by 1%.

GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (Zogby)
Jon Corzine (D-inc) 40%
Chris Christie (R) 39%
Chris Daggett (I) 14%

This poll was done October 27-29 among 1093 likely voters. Some more numbers to add to your predictions in The Hedgehog Report 2009 Election Prediction Contest.