MI: Top GOP Candidates Lead Cherry
Jennifer Granholm spent eight years running the state of Michigan into the ground and now her failure as Governor appears to put the Republican Party on the verge of taking over this seat. The numbers from EPIC/MRA show the top Republicans with decent-sized leads over the presumed Democratic nominee.
GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN (EPIC/MRA)
Mike Cox (R) 45%
John Cherry (D) 30%Mike Bouchard (R) 39%
John Cherry (D) 30%Pete Hoekstra (R) 40%
John Cherry (D) 33%John Cherry (D) 34%
Rick Snyder (R) 32%GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN – GOP PRIMARY (EPIC/MRA)
Pete Hoekstra 29%
Mike Cox 28%
Mike Bouchard 14%
Rick Snyder 3%
Tom George 2%GOVERNOR – MICHIGAN – DEM PRIMARY (EPIC/MRA)
John Cherry 33%
Alma Wheeler Smith 5%
George Perles 3%
Don Williamson 3%
John Freeman 2%
This poll was done October 11-15 among 600 registered voters.
First… wow that never happens.
48/51 for Obama
I was bitterly disappointed when McCain conceded this state way too early. There was almost a 0% of wiining but it should have been closer than 17%.
Without Obama on the ticket, I do think the GOP wins, finally.
There’s an article today in the Wall Street Journal that points out just how badly Granholm has managed the state, MD. It’s very insightful.
I remember people on polipundit in 2007 saying this state was a lock for the GOP. Idiots.
Wes,
I sort of feel the same way about…nevermind!
Go ahead, MD. You can say it. Here, I’ll say it for you: New Jersey.
This stuff makes it really difficult to support Dede.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2366985/posts
Does this mean she will switch after the election? That would be a negative news story in itself.
I’ve washed my hands of Dede at this point, AC. Hoffman’s the only shot at this point.
What did I miss today??
“I remember people on polipundit in 2007 saying this state was a lock for the GOP.”
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Interesting I remember no such “lock” comment about MI, I do recall plenty thinking it would be in play if Romney had the nomination. I also remember thinking and I believe writing in 2006 that Bouchard had a good shot at the senate seat that year, boy was I wrong, so much for giving the MI voters some credit.
Knight, people like I Despise Michigan Politics and some foul-mouthed clown callign himself Hank made such statements. They even called me a DNC operative for saying the Dems would carry the state. I worked–briefly–for Bouchard. He was a great guy; he just picked a really bad year to run in.
Tina not much… recap: NJ poll CC+2, VA + 19, NY – 23 Dede running out of cash and “reported” to be 3rd in internal polls, updated polling in NY race showing no significant change other then RG improving a bit vs AC. Oh and Obama sucks.
Oh and even Gates is now dropping hints the WH is stalling on Afghanistan.
So, Christie is 2 cheesburgers ahead of the liberal professor looking dude???
I have said, and I do not mean to be a broken record, its Corzine’s race to lose.
Thanks KH.
Well, Tina, he seems to be doing a damn good job of that.
Tina,
I’ll sayb but give you full attribution:
“Fools Gold”
I cite the could would should of about MI’s Governor’s race with Canadian marxist Grandholm and apply it to the NJ Governor’s race today.
Actually you may be correct in that IDMP could have made some comments like that I don’t recall them but you certainly pegged his foul mouth manner, perhaps it was earlier in the year, the first 6mo of 2007 I was not around daily, got busy and slogging though all the epiphany posts got tiring.
I do not believe the 19 point lead in the vA race but Deeds in imploding. He is a lousy candidate, similar to the Rs choice in the 20005 Governor’s race and the Obumbler’s negatives are a big drag.
You’re comparing two different years, Tina. 2006 and 2009 have COMPLETELY different dynamics working in them; besides, by this time in 2006, Granholm had opened up a double-digit lead over DeVos, the Amway guy. Where’s Johnny C right about now?
It was somewhere around March or April of that year, Knight.
Yes, because poor economies did not/will not let the R win.
It happened in 2006 – MI being the first state to go down the tubes at that point due to the Canadian Marxist.
It will repeat again in NJ with Cheeseburer Christie, who is a poor candidate. That race should have been closed out.
Tina,
Uh oh, Tim is going to blow a gasket because of your Marxist reference. I know that from personal experience.
#15 Tina I’m with you on that one, fools gold till proven otherwise, I don’t think your JC+2% will be far off. Lets hope we’re both wrong.
Tomorrow I get the results from my Action Park (aka Vernon Valley / Great Gorge aka Mountain Creek Waterpark) concession persons poll.
Tina, the whole country could have gone down the tubes between 2005 and 2008 with the Dems taking credit for it, and the GOP would ahve lost just as badly because Bush was in office. Now things are different. The only evidence anyone can cite to show Johnny C will pull it out is 3 partisan hackjob polls clearly intended to boost him. No recent polls have corroborated this, and NO INCUMBENT CANDIDATE in history has ever come back from where Corzine is two weeks out from an election. Sorry, but I just don’t see what you’re seeing, Tina.
My contact says that Corzine can easily close and win by 2 to 3 on election day, starting down 3 or so weeks ago. He is gaining at a 1 to 2 points a week.
The Canadian Marxist = Granholm.
The American Marxist = the Obumbler.
I do not pull punches.
And now the NY Rs are imploding with the Dratfizzola, aka Mazzola Oil Rino.
Where’s Johnny C right about now?
—
Johnny Chan’s in Vegas baby!
…oh you meant that other Johnny C.
Mazzola Oil – lol
9…glad we are on the same page!
Wes,
Worse case the moron Corzine is down by 2. What are you talking about when you say an incumbent has not come back from such depths?
Believe me, I WANT you to convince me.
#25 I’d have to disagree, it was closed out until the 3rd party popped up. Corzine is glued to 39% and absolutely nothing has changed that. Christie didn’t see the threat (no one did for that matter) and didn’t have the playbook ready to handle it. Christie vs Corzine and the race is over like VA.
3rd parties are tricky, you can’t hit them straight on since that elevates them, but if they gain what do you do? I’m curious for all the Christie Wed morning quarterbacks, how would you have handled Daggert differently?
You have a credible third party candidate, Corzine with all the dough and the union thugaracy and GOTV, with Cheesburger Christie? Wes, I have seen this script before, and it ain’t pretty.
Of course, I hope I am wrong on this one, but I see the Obumbler declaring victory in 2009 mini elections winning three out of the 4 races (2 house seats; 2 governor seats).
MD, trailing a challenger–even narrowly–and being down below 40% in ALMOST EVERY FLIPPING POLL is something no incumbent has EVER come back from two weeks out from an election.
#34 – Probably the horrendous unfavorable numbers the guy still pulls.
I see a bit of the MI 2006 race plus the MN race with Jessie. I am seein many of these same variables factor in to make Corzine win.
The 3rd party candidate would have been a non factor had Christie not sat back for months. 3rd party candidates do often come around when there is poor economic news.
I still remember the guy on PP (not you Knight) who kept posting the articles on the power of the incumbency as the reason why the GOP would not lose congress in 06.
You also can not pee away House seats that should go to you, like the one in NY because the national party will not let the people decide on the candidate.
+4 for Christie -now election day. 10% unemployment=GOP win
Tina,
NY 23 is a unique situation. I actually think Hoffman may pull off an upset. Again, unique circumstances that can’t be replicated elsewhere.
Tina,
100% agree. Christie sat back for way too long. I like his most recent ads. They should have been airing at leadt 3 weeks ago.
#41. MD, while that may have not been me making that particular case, I did blow the 2006 elections by a mile, I thought the GOP would hold on by a two or three.
It was not you Knight althougbi can’t remember who it was at the moment. I was accused of being a Kos plant because I was 90% certain that the GOP was going to lose congress.
clean thread on VA race just appeared.
Please forgive the spelling. It is not easy to type on a blackberry.
Please don’t forgive mine, yes I’m lazy and generally don’t care so long as the point come across.
you are both forgiven, whether you want to be or not.
TimV,
You are ina generous mood tonight mi amigo.
EPIC/MRA is a bunch of former staffers for the Democrats in the State House. They will always find more Democrats than show up on election day, so the fact that they see this as a near blowout tells you about how bad the climate is for Democrats in the legislature.