|
| | HOME | CONTACT | OLD STUFF | POLLWATCH: LATEST POLLS | RSS FEED | |
|
ADVERTISING
STATE BY STATE POLLS
Alabama
Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Search
|
NJ: Christie Leads Corzine By 4%As promised, Public Policy Polling released their new poll for New Jersey and it shows Republican Chris Christie increasing his lead over Jon Corzine to 4% (after Rasmussen showed him also increasing his lead earlier today). GOVERNOR – NEW JERSEY (PPP) This poll was done October 23-26 among 630 likely voters. e should be getting a poll from Virginia as well.
101 Responses to “NJ: Christie Leads Corzine By 4%” |
ADVERTISING
I READ 'EM
I RECOMMEND 'EM |
uno
dos
Dave, you need to change your heading to say PPP instead of Rasmussen.
I think Corzine has hit a stumbling block due to the following:
Latest unemployment #s released in his state a week or so ago.
Obumbler visitng the state – Corzine #s goes down (Campaign spot touched on this a week or so ago).
Corzine’s sock puppet Daggett falling in the polls.
Corzine’s blatant attempt to manipulate the unemployment #s.
Corzine’s corruption (Daggett did not see any LOL).
The fatzo – negative campaign ads.
Comment by Tina — October 27, 2009 @ 10:38 am
Uh, guys? This looks like the voters might be starting to break toward Christie. We’ve seen this late-breaking event in other elections before. I didn’t expect Christie to be up 4 in the PPP(D) poll.
I do believe that Christie as turned the corner. This morming I watched Imus on Fox News for the first time in years. He said that Daggett is never going to win and he was supporting Christie. Maybe people are finally waking up.
has turned the corner…. sheesh
PPP is a self-decribed Democratic pollster, so for them to show Christie growing his lead AND Corzine STILL under 40% with less than a week to go, I think it really will encourage the Republicans and Rep leaning-indies to turn out the vote. The voters of Newark/Camden and greater New York just arent going to turn out enthusiastically for Corzine (like they did for Obama last year).
Plus people quit voting for an indy if theres no chance he stands of winning- thats showing up now with Daggett dropping. Decision time, and it looks like, much in tune with last years vague theme, people want change. Change doesnt come with reelecting Corzine.
I can’t believe many of you are actually rooting for Christie. Don’t you know he’s fat?!!
Its two polls showing Christie up 4. PPP and Ras, arguably two of the best, and PPP being a Democrat polling firm.
My prediction: Christie in a nailbiter:
Christie: 45%
Corzine: 44%
Daggett: 8%
Other: 3%
The MSM will spin it as Corzine, even in a tough year, only lost by a percent.
Hoffman Wins
GOP Sweep in Virginia
Good night for the GOP.
Corzine has not been able to move his numbers. It is all about whether people throw away their vote on Daggett.
Sean one thing I disagree with, even the MSM won’t try to spin it if Corzine loses
This constant preoccupation with the MSM is unwarranted. They are going to do what they ALWAYS do. It is like worrying about the sun coming up in the morning. But the politicos will understand that a Christie win means the Dems are in trouble for next year. That is all that matters.
They will admit to it not being the Obumblers fault, when it appears that he is the reason why Corzine and Deeds will lose, that is he being unpopular.
Heading into the last week of the elections the R’s have huge momentum. NJ citizens seem to be worried about Corzine winning and Ras reflects that and early reports indicate PPP will back that up. I am predicting a clean sweep for the Republicans on election Day.
VA –
McDonnell 59%
Deeds 41%
NJ –
Christie 48%
Corzine 40%
Daggett 12%
NY 23
Hoffman 42%
Owens 35%
Scozzafava 23%
Other than that, you know what the template will be for the un-msm. I would not sit back and worry about it.
I do suspect a nailbighter in nJ, but if Corzine loses, I will be very happy. Then, Reid of NV is the next on my list.
Worsening job picture fuels slide in confidence
Consumer confidence slides in October as more Americans worry about jobs and salaries
By Ashley M. Heher, AP Retail Writer
Wow. Great News. A Hoffman win will make it a party!
Sheesh, Corzine and his political staff’s faces must be sheet white with these polls released this morning. But none might be more worried than the O. Gotta wonder what the Kossacks’ mood must be after that PPP poll release.
“Wow. Great News. A Hoffman win will make it a party!”
I may have to buy soem celebratory champagne if it’s 4-4.
(NY-23, NYC mayoral, VA and NJ)
Reid will be going down, and will be taking Bennet, Lincoln, Specter, and Dodd with them. This country is now divided 50/50, and that will be enough to bolster the idea that Obama needs checks and balances.
Have we heard anything lately from Hoeven on a challenge to Dorgan?
Julstol,
The Campaign spot has an excellent summary of the CA-10 race. Evidently, Garamendi was beaten in last night’s debate soundly.
Schwarznegger won this district twice – and the unemployment rates in the counties are over 11 percent.
I have to say that this poll surprises me in a positive way. Maybe Polaris has this one right. If SUSA confirms then I may have to shift my thoughts.
I am still worried about JC’s GOTV and fraud/intimidaton on election day.
#24 Sean, Hoeven might be waiting on how Dorgan is going to vote on Obamacare. The people make a great political whip
A clean sweep for the GOP (less CA-10) would be devastating to Obama and awesome news for Fox news.
Can you imagine how the cretins would try to justify the losses?
At this point, they are probably praying that Dede wins in NY 23.
Just looked at the internals of PPP.
Dems 43
Rep 30
Dem +13
This is the best Corzine can do with Dem +13? He’s in trouble folks. I know it’s NJ and this is not an out of the question party ID spread. However, it does indicate that Christie’s lead is not based on any Republican skewed polling sample.
MD, I believe in Ras’s poll this morning Christie voters are far more likely to show up on Election Day. Corzine’s voters are more likely to stay home. I think Brandon highlighted this in an earlier thread this morning.
Our ducks are lining up….
MDefl, I am feeling your predictions of Republicans taking over 6-7 seats in the Senate is right on.
How are you feeling right now about Toomey?
#29 — DANG PHIL!! That is BAAAAAAAAAD
Sorry, can’t help but get excited what I am seeing this morning. MD, Dede is toast and it looks like Hoffman is going to win going away.
Polls like this are not going to help Obamacare. Trust me, all the Sen D’s in red states and the so called Blue Dogs are looking at Jersey as the ultimate barometer of how the country feels.
If Christie pulls this off, then HC is officially dead. Not even moderate R’s like the idiot Maine twins and McGramhnesty will dare to jump ship. A Hoffman win would serve to solidify the R’s around the issue.
Beckel last night claimed a deal was already worked out and that HC would pass before Christmas. It is time for him to start drinking again.
Hoeven would be awesome. Looks like this GOP freshman class will have some RINO’s in it (Castle, Simmonds, Kirk). Balancing that out with strong conservatives (Hoeven, Michael Williams, Rubio?) would be sweet. I have a feeling Jane Norton will be right in the middle, and vote similarly to McCain.
Sean,
I grow more positive on Toomey by the day. Everything is lining up perfectly and Toomey actually did himself a huge favor by stating that he would have supported Soto.
My buddy who works for the Dems in Philly tipped his cap to him on that one. It will make it much harder to play the Santorum card on Toomey.
CA- 10 would be the cherry on the ice cream sundae.
“…HC would pass before Christmas”.
Which Christmas?
What happened to “…before the August recess”?
Rasmussen and PPP had basically the same result:
RAS(without leaners)
Christie 42%
Corzine 38%
Daggett 14%
PPP
Christie 42%
Corzine 38%
Daggett 13%
When you have two that similar, it’s likely they are accurate.
I am now a believer in Christie!!!! It took me a bit of convincing.
The Senate is always going to be more moderate – for both parties, than the House. It is the nature of statewide elections that will always produce more moderates.
Tina,
I am waiting for SUSA before I get excited. I have learned the hard way on Jersey before.
PPP VA
McDonnell 55%
Deeds 40%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VA_1025930.pdf
Do not forget for NHJ – we are seeing the after effets of the Corzine’s manipulation of job #s; the actual bad revisions to those #s; the high unemployment in that state; an Obumbler appearance (Corzine #s go down); the negative fatzo ads, etc.
Mdefl, as Brandon noted, two reputable polling firms (ok PPP slants D) show the same/very similar result.
What the hell?! I officially come out and endorse Corzine one day, and the next he starts fading in the polls. Do I have a reverse midas touch or something?
“Sean one thing I disagree with, even the MSM won’t try to spin it if Corzine loses”
A NJ loss will be quite devastating for Dems…
1) Fence sitters in Congress will have a good excuse to climb off
2) Blue states are now officially vulnerable and targets, PA and Delaware Republicans will be very encouraged for example
3) Republican donors will be buoyed by results, will invest more
4) Corzine will be down 30 million of his GS hard earned dollars
5) Dems will have an internal blame game, blood letting, etc., pass the popcorn
39. Spooky!
43 – OUCH. Sounds like everybody in VA who would even think about voting Republican is going to be voting for McDonnell.
http://www.moonbattery.com/archives/2009/10/fox_news_pounds.html
LOL!
I kinda feel bad for Deeds. 15 points ouch!
“Do I have a reverse midas touch or something?”
Wes, your endorsements will be extremely prized in 2010.
“I am now a believer in Christie!!!! It took me a bit of convincing.”
Tina was the toughest nut to crack. Christie should be homefree now…
15 points down and the Obumbler is going to visit VA today?????
Christie sprinting to the finish.
http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2009/10/chris_christie_will_ride_bus_t.html
15 points down today
20 points down on Election day???
I actually see it at a 10 to 12 point loss for Dastardly Deeds.
MDefl and I need convincing yet.
Daggett gave a presser this morning saying either he would win or Corzine would win.
Talk about desperate.
Is Christie low on money? How does he compare to the Marxist Professor? Thanks, Brandon.
So much for Deeds making it a close race, right, Tommy?
Corzine’s sock puppet aka the NJ Plant actually spoke this AM?
Tina,
Yep. I’m in PA (close to the NJ border) so our local radio station has some overlap.
Consumer confidence has fallen for two straight months, this is not good going into the Holiday Season.
Tina, Christie has $3.6 million cash on hand as of October 20. However, he has maxed out his contributions because of public financing, so he can’t raise any more money.
http://www.politickernj.com/matt-friedman/34534/corzine-outspending-christie-nearly-3-1-most-it-his-own-fortune
I forgot julstol, you are that close. I have not been paying attention to the cA-10 race, but read the campaign spot. Garamendi is a lot like Corzine – arrogant marxist liberals.
Brandon, that is what has me worried along with the corruption and union thugs.
SurveyUSA Virginia
McDonnell 58%
Deeds 41%
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=67e37e6c-322a-4c09-a22c-296b897db9e9
Tina,
According to RedState (for whatever that’s worth) CA 10 is extremely close too.
If Christie pulls this off, then HC is officially dead. ~~MDefl
Give up on that pipe dream. These marxists have waited since the new deal for this, they will stop at nothing, it’s now or never for them.
This final socialist nail in our coffin has been their reason for existing.
If the GOP sweeps the governor races, with Hoffman NY-23, and CA10, then Obama is in deep trouble as a President. In this economy, that is not such a stretch although I continue to hold out hope that Johnny C will win.
A TRIFECTA IS IN THE MAKING,
IT’S OURS FOR THE TAKING,
McDONNELL,HOFFMAN,& CHRISTIE,
MAKES YOUR EYES A LITTLE MISTY,
THIS POLITICAL TSUNAMI HAS THEM QUAKING
65…ouch.
Deeds=toast.
Dems in Virginia will be wondering what the hell happened after this cycle.
Garamendi 41
Harmer 34
http://www.redstate.com/erick/2009/10/20/david-harmer-and-the-national-gops-screwed-up-priorities/
Well, let’s hope Harmer pulls one out, JS.
There has been little to no polling for CA -10. It sounds like Garamendi was trounced last night in the debate. His challendger went after Garamendi on spending, corruption, water (the sleeper issue). He is very conservative.
Harmer isn’t going to win CA-10. Garamendi wins it going away.
Remember over 80k jobs have been lost in CA due to the Obumbler taking away water from farmers in he C. Valley. People are angry.
The liberal spin machine is kicking in. Article in today’s Baltimore Sun about how republican victories in VA and NJ really don’t mean anything for national polictics or BHO. They’re obviously are sensing disaster in the off year elections. Please Democrats – ram a health care bill with a public option down America’s throat. Make my day.
As I have mainatained over the last couple of months, Corzine done at 40%. Christie will win comfortably and yes, NJ will have a fat governor. His win will be the ultimate nail in the HC coffin. The New York win will be like throwing mud into the grave.
+5 Christie on election day.
Dare to dream but…
Think about this for 2 seconds-
McDonnell and a VA Sweep
Hoffman
Christie and GOP Gains in the NJ Legislature
Harmer
Scott Ott (Scrappleface) defeats Dem Gubernatorial Hopeful Don Cunningham for County Executive
Julstol, I think that polling result may be an internal poll before the debate.
Just – 56
That only confirms that Daggett has been in JC’s pocket all along.
Scum bag.
There are pretty strong rumours that Deeds is running out of cash/or is out of cash right now.
The S. USA results are also strong for the R candidates in the other two races in that state.
I will eat a cheeseburger on election day if Christie wins.
#81. I really don’t see the GOP making many gains in the Assembly. They might be able to pick up LD-1, but after that, there aren’t really many competitive races.
Christian Family Poll: USA
Pro Life: 68%
Pro abortion 30%
Brandon,
A Dem friend of mine (used to be Mayor of Alpha) thinks the GOP picks up 2-3 seats.
“Daggett gave a presser this morning saying either he would win or Corzine would win.”
Wow, that means he endorsed Corzine?
Christian Family Poll: USA
I hear this is a partisan outfit run by lemmings…
Well the LD seats come in pairs, so if they do win LD-1, that is two seats.
Brandon,
Gains are gains.
New thread above.
Oh of course, and that is my district, so I would be even happier if that flipped.
Quix,
I believe you are wrong about that. Not only won’t they be able to hold con Dems but many mods will jump ship as well.
The mods/con Dems will blame HC for the debacle and that goes directly to Obama.
That is what worries me. They are desperate to win Jersey and will stop at nothing to ensure victory.
Tough to cheat when the margin of victory is moe than 3 or 4%. Besides, even Corzine’s mom is not enthused about hisre-election.
Quix,
I believe you are wrong about that. Not only won’t they be able to hold con Dems but many mods will jump ship as well.
~~~MDefl
I hope I am wrong as well.
I am sticking by my earlier prediction that
Dagett needs to be around 10-12 for Christie to
win. The polls don”t show it but its very doable
If Christie keeps the mo.The best way to get
some changes in the assembly is to get Christie
in and Lock up the 50-75 % of the incumbent Dems
who should be in Jail anyway. BTW Julstol if that
is the Alpha in warren county there are about 10
people in that town.
Dammit you folks are actually starting to get me somewhat optimistic about NJ again.. the 3.6m is not alot in the NYC\NJ\Phily media markets, but it might be enough if there is outside help in covering costs in other areas for the final 14 days.
Knight, there are only seven days left till the election.
In Texas, the only race in town is Gov. Perry vs. Senator Kaye Bailey Hutchinson for the republican nomination for govenor. Perry will win it, going away. Kay Bailey is trying to do what Sen. Lloyd Bentsen did in 1988: run for VP AND still hold on to his US Senate seat. Well, he needed it after the trouncing of Dukakis. It will be Perry by 7-10 points.