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DE: Biden Leads Castle By 5%A new poll from Susquehanna Polling and Research claims Joe Biden’s kid Beau has erased what was once a 21% deficit and now leads Republican Mike Castle by 5%. US SENATE – DELAWARE (Susquehanna) This poll was done November 10-15 among a bunch of people….
100 Responses to “DE: Biden Leads Castle By 5%” |
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Patented double first.
Susq. is a Rep. pollster btw; from the write up:
“… may be a result of negative publicity he received in the state after casting a “no” vote for President Obama’s health care reform bill in the U.S. Congress…” duh, it’s DE afterall, the no vote was politically stupid.
Here is an interesting article on CrappyCare and the pro-abortion lobby:
http://townhall.com/columnists/KenConnor/2009/11/15/without_life,_no_rights
Crap poll.
Palin on Oprah right now.
Here is great article about the citizen’s revolt against big government:
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2009/11/024961.php?format=print
I’m sorry, but I don’t see how voting against Obamacare hurts Castle. Delaware is a Dem state, but businesses incorporated there are a huge part of its economic base. This looks to me like a junk poll.
#5
I have one hour to go. Really looking forward to it.
Is Biden running?
#6
Here in the Dallas area several GOP incumbents are getting primary challenges for the first time. 2010 will be very exciting.
#9
Isn’t he in Iraq?
He just came back, Chek.
naturally there are no details other then what was provided in the article so its a take it or leave it poll.
Obamacare has been popular so the “no” vote was junk
If anyone thinks this race has swung 26 points in five months during the worse democratic polling period since 1994 I have a bridge to sell you
Wes,
Thanks for your support.
Most polling has had Castle up by a few, Rdel. That seems about right to me.
My support for what, Chek?
#16
In general. You have defended me many times. You and Brandon. Thanks.
Little Beau Beau has not announced that he is running or planning to run. BJ was in Delaware a week or so ago, and he wants him to run, but little Beau Beau did not commit.
It is Delaware so who knows. The bulk of the state’s pop is between Newark and Wilmington. It is not quite as liberal as people assume.
I though Biden’s kid was running for AG?
The talk is that Biden was going to stand down b/c of Castle’s strengths and it not being a D year.
I would say Fool’s Gold (but I do not need the bad press).
Any time, Chek. I may not always agree with you, but I’m not going to sshun you despite that. You have a right to make your points on here as much as anyone else.
In a solid Dem year–2006–Biden eked out a 5-point win over an unknown Republican. Against a GOP heavyweight the Dems have never come remotely close to beating in a GOP year, I don’t think Biden is in a position to win. On to other races, has Hoeven announced what he will do in North dakota yet?
Is Biden running?
I bet he is now.
Biden has said he will announce his intentions in January.
Here is one for the “No kidding!” file lol:
http://66.240.200.85/news/ap/finance_business/2009/Nov/15/newspaper__stimulus_brings_few_private_sector_jobs.html
That I would never have guessed, Wilye.
How many counts will the Vice Dummy make re: the # of stimulus jobs created or saved.
Do we include the czars in the#?
I seems that name recognition goes a long way with voters. Look at Murkowski in Alaska. Landrieu in Lousiana.
Too bad we don’t live in a parliamentary system where we can force elections ahead o0f their scehdules, Tina. This country needs a new administration.
#26 Yeah, I cant beleive that our politicans and press would tell us the stimulus is working when its not lol
Shocking lol
Castle has out Bidened Biden as far as connecting with Delaware’s voters. He is very connected.
I suspect Castle is slightly ahead right now. I don’t have anything to compare on this poll. Susquehanna primarely has GOP candidates but does not have a long history of polling Delaware races.
This race will be close if its Biden-Castle. Without Beau its a Castle cakewalk.
I just would not want to be running in 2012 as a democrat
The NY Times Con – David whats his name just said that Palin is a talk show host. How can a writer, who is “so intellectual” miss that one.
Biden is a survivor. Commits Plagarism, diagnosed with a Brain Tumour,get s a surgical Hair Weave, jumps aboard the USS Socialist.
Brooks is a token RINO.
Wes, bye guns, ammo, and gold, and a homeland out of country, and you should do just fine.
Name recognition helps, Chek. It’s not always a decisive factor though. As examples, look at Tom Kean, Jr, in Illinois and Rory Reid in Nevada.
Wes,
I hope Biden runs. It will be extra funny wheb the VEEPs son loses and then we can hear Hussein claim it was not about him but that Biden was a weak candidate who would not listen.
Wes, I see Barrett is running for GOV in Wisc. Is he another city fool?
MD, even funnier when Hussein loses his old seat in IL
Brooks also said that the Era of Reagan is long gone, but now he says that we need to be Reaganite.
Which is it?
Remember, according to the Exit polls, it was not about the Obumbler.
Gotta love this:
“For one cannot fool the American people for long, and the real effect of the effort made by Obama and by figures such as Rahm Emanuel will be to unmask the Democratic Party as an conspiracy on the part of a would-be aristocracy hostile to self-government in the United States.”
http://www.powerlineblog.com/
Blame Harry Haskell, Jr, for Biden’s victories in Delaware, Jason. In 1972, Caleb Boggs wanted to retire and planned to have Pete DuPont succeed him in the Senate. Haskell threatened to primary DuPont though, so Nixon convinced Boggs to make a bid for a third term. Bogg’s heart wasn’t in in though, so Biden won despite Bogg’s popularity and Nixon’s electoral sweep. After that, the GOP never could convince anyone substantive to challenge Biden. For some reaosn, duPont even forewent a 1984 challenge although Reagan’s popularity would have carried him across the finish line. After that, the GOP simply gave up.
From what I see about Barrett, Jason, the only way he’s distinguished himself was in fighting off a man who attacked a woman with a tire iron. While that’s a noble act, I don’t see how an undistinguished political record and a career based on playing it safe propels him into the Governor’s Mansion–especially in a year when the political winds are at his face.
#36. Tom Kean Jr is in NJ, not IL…
Well, Jason, the GOP will win that seat as long as they don’t nominate the guy Tommy recently endorsed. That guy has Al Salvi Redux written all over him.
I’m sorry, Brandon. I don’t know what I was thinking when I put Kean in Illinois. I am aware Kean, Jr, was the GOP nominee for Senate in your state against Menendez in 2006 though. I honestly have no way to account for that faux pas.
There’s a copy top notch GOP types running in WI. I think Barrett falls but he is a long time pol who like that dog chasing the greyhound keeps on running
Thanks Wes. City Mayors usually do not do well in Statewide races.
They have to go to far to the left to govern in their cesspools.
Well, Barrett lost in the 2002 Dem primary to failed Governor Jim Doyle. He ran that year only because redistricting put him in the same district as a Dem Congresswoman he didn’t think he could beat. This time, with Doyle’s popularity plummeting and Dems as a whole in trouble, I don’t see how Barrett wins.
Sounds like Barrett was pushed in by Obama to save legislative seats before the census.
Could be, Jason.
Any polling on how well Kirk is doing in the GOP primary, Jason?
“AP poll shows 64% oppose insurance mandate when told it would mean a penalty”
I oppose the insurance mandate even if it doesn’t mean a penalty, Jason.
#
I’m sorry, Brandon. I don’t know what I was thinking when I put Kean in Illinois. I am aware Kean, Jr, was the GOP nominee for Senate in your state against Menendez in 2006 though. I honestly have no way to account for that faux pas.
Comment by Wes — November 16, 2009 @ 4:35 pm
i would go with the fact that both states are cesspools of corruption as an excuse. I would definitely buy it.
Well, then that will eb my excuse, Ben.
Tied at the moment Wes, but mostly polling has been DEM consultants.
I will wait until the big boys like RAS and SUSA get involved, but the whispers are theat Kirk is the favorite. The DEM has a lot of baggage and scandal.
What helps Kirk is the blacks in Chicago will stay home. Burris is gone, Obama not on the ticket.
Oh, I know about the general election matchups, Jason. I was referrign to the primary.
54. Wylie, Pelosi is a fool just like Obama.
I hope Coleman runs for Gov, he would save Bachmann’s seat
Wes, Kirk will win the Primary by 50%.
This bullsh$t being run by the al salvi crowd has no traction here.
Kirk is military, gives him cover
Bachmann needs a better PR person. She soundly dispatched Patty wetterling in 2006 but almost blew it at the last minute in 2008. That makes me edgy in future contests where the GOP will not have the edge it is likely to have next year.
It’s good to know I’m not the only person who despises Al Salvi for giving us the Personification of Evil Itself, Dick Durbin, Jason.
Wes, I meant for redistricting. If DEMS win Minn Gov that will erase her district on a new map
Oh, I thought you meant she’d be in trouble in the general.
Disagree on Bachmann. A lessor candidate would have been taken out in the Dem tide.
MD, I agree Bachmann shored up her seat at the end, but she made a previously safe seat competitive at a time when she shouldn’t have.
67. Agreed, but she has guts.
Had the Dems united their vote last year, she probably would have lost.
No argument here, but she needs to avoid making mistakes like the nearly career-killing one she engaged in 2008 in the future.
Hopefully next year will be a GOP year which helps Bachmann out in Minnesota.
Are you kidding about Bachmann? A very popular Republican Governor won reelection by 1/2 of one percent. It was a Democrat tide election. Bachmann did better than that, and its Minnesota where everything is named for Humphrey or Wellstone or Mondale. Bachmann is a very intelligent spokesperson for conservatives, and does not look like Barbara Boxer. Two very good points in her favor.
Palin on Oprah!
Orpah would have to call me before I watch her show.
Agreed, but she has guts.
I don’t regard saying things that create unnecessary trouble as having guts.
I don’t regard saying things that create unnecessary trouble as having guts.
Is the lack of self awareness here hilarious?
here’s my number Orpah “Lonesome 7 7203″
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FUHqM3j7n5Y
72. Gary well said. If DEMS were to get control of Re Districting, she would be their first target.
Chekote do you have a big poster of Steve Schmidt on your ceiling? Is he your RINO idol?
Palin coming to Tempe to promote book
http://phoenix.bizjournals.com/phoenix/stories/2009/11/16/daily2.html
CNN Poll: Americans want KSM tried in military court (question via pollster.com)
Now here are some questions about Khalid Sheik Mohammed who may be responsible for planning the 9/11 attacks and who is now in custody at a U.S. military prison in another country: If you had to choose, would you rather see Khalid Sheik Mohammed brought to trial in a criminal court run by the civilian judicial system, or would you rather see him tried by a military court run by the U.S. armed forces?
34% Brought to trial in a criminal court run by the civilian justice system
64% Tried by a military court run by the U.S. armed forces
CNN:
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/11/16/cnn-poll-americans-want-ksm-tried-in-military-court/
pollster.com:
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/us_terrorism_trials_cnn_111315.php
Oprah put Obama on the map when she drew thousands to his rallies in Iowa, South Carolina. Before that, Hillary was a shoe in for the nomination.
Gary
when was the last time I said we should all slit our wrists in an effort to fight Obamacare. I say some outrageous things. This is an anonymous blog. Bachmann is an elected official and should know better.
You notice I am not anonymous. But you really take the cake. Now I am back to ignor your every drivel, which unfortunately is all but a handful of posts. More from you is definitely less.
HOw’d she do on Oprah? It comes on in an hour here in Seattle.
Gary, Bachmann won by a 50-42 margin in 2006. She won by a 46-43 margin with a divided Dem vote last year after a series of gaffes caused the Dems to ramp up spending and the GOP to scale back. The left-leaning indy in the race got 10% of the vote. You do the math on that one.
#84
Okay. Oprah was very nice. However, the audience was very quiet.
Wes, two advantages Backmann has this time. Turnout. The composition of the electorate this time won’t be what it was in 2008. It just won’t. There won’t be all those liberal hope and change 20 something morons voting. Second, she’ll have the political tailwinds this time. In 2008 she had the most unfavorable political environment possible and was sailing against political headwinds.
Seriously, I’m not worried about this seat in 2010.
Personally regarding Palin, I agree with Tina. She will almost certainly never serve in national office, but the Senate is not something out of her reach.
Wes
Its Minnesota. I own property there, have in laws there and I am telling you that the environment in Minnesota was toxic for Republicans last go around. Coleman, who is popular lost to an absolute @ss. And you want to dump on a true conservative. Tell you what, if she does not get better than 50% this go round, I will buy you lunch. Otherwise you must buy mine.
Phil, if you read my post, I didn’t say Bachmann would be in danger this year. I was worrying about future elections where the electorate will not be so kindly disposed toward the GOP as it will eb this time. Despite the lovefest some on here have with her, Bachmann made a series of gaffes late in the campaign that WOULD have cost her the seat had the Dem vote not been divided.
Wes it almost cost Pawlenty his seat and did cost Coleman his seat. Your point is lost on me.
Gary–
2006=Dem year:
Bachmann 50; Wetterling 42
2008=Dem year
Bachmann 46; Dem 43; liberal indy 10
Do you not see the jist of what I was trying to say? By the way, Coleman didn’t lose to Franken. The Dems flagrantly stole the election.
Wes says gaffes
Gary say guts
Gaffes, guts
Guts, gaffes
Let’s call the whole thing off
Gary, I’ll try to make my point a little clearer this time. See if you grasp it now: Bachmann made a series of gaffes late in her 2008 campaign that took her from favorite to tossup. She won because the Dems split their vote. In 2010, she will win because the Dems will have their vote depressed. In the future, if she does what she did late in the 2008 campaign and the Dems do not split their vote, she’s likely to lose. Have I made my point clear now?
Well I am not sure (1) that I agree she committed any gaffes. (2) I am not sure I agree with your charaterization of her indy opponent.
Jesse Ventura was an indy and he got elected in Minnesota. Minnesotans get tired of the DFL ( Democrat Farm and Labor Party ) but sometimes go to an indy not the Republican. Their brains are turned to mush from all of the liberal indoctrination and the fact that they go outside in the winter without a hat on.
You’re not going to listen, Gary. Let’s just call it a day and move on o another topic.
So an indy got 8% in 2006, but it significant because the Indy got 10% ub 2008? If your numbers are right, the Democrats got exactly 1% more, but the Indy got 2% more. That are rounding gets you Bachmann 2006 to 2008.
ub = in
are = and
cant type.
DFL is not the Democrat Party but the actual name of the Party of the left in Minnesota. Nowhere else am I aware of the left party being other than the Democrat Party, but in Minnesota its the Democrat Farm and Labor Party. That has the same legacy in the Iron Range, that the Democrat Party had for years in the South. The people are pretty conservative out in the Iron Range, but elect DFL out of habit.
DFL = Democrat Fraud and Labor Party