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TN: Special Election For State SenateNot a lot of polls out,mostly because I doubt any reputable pollster would even bother polling over the Thanksgiving Holiday Weekend. But we do have a Special Election in the state of Tennessee tonight to watch to see of Republicans can hold a State Senate seat. Republicans currently hold a 18-14 edge in the Tennessee State Senate. Results from the Tennessee Secretary of State can be found here.
168 Responses to “TN: Special Election For State Senate” |
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Also the Atlanta Mayoral runoff is today.
Rdelbov thinks the GOP should hold this one pretty easily.
These special elections are quirky.
Whoever the GOP candidate is, I hope he ran against Obama.
2. Good
Nice to see Norwood win in Atlanta. Hopefully
It’s unlikely the white candidate wins in Atlanta. The city’s too racially polarized.
5. True. sounded like she had a shot
She may have a shot, Jason, but it’s long odds for her.
4 – Haha I’ll give up porn for a month if that happens.
The only poll conducted had it a 3 point race:
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=57060e13-9483-4cdd-ac53-380f622b2440
Wes, can you believe it? The Cook county Board (Chicago) overrode a veto to reduce the County Sales Tax by a penny.
DEMS have a 3 to 1 Registration advantage in Cook, but the economy is awful and they feel the heat.
Pass the popcorn
Why would anyone live in a big city?
I have no clue, Jason.
I’m happy living in the suburbs. I’ll be even happier living on a beach in the Bahamas.
Define big?
Wes, I imagine the politicians in the Bahamas are no different than Atlanta, just British.
Hawk, ones that have more than one Pro Sports Franchise.
atlanta
They may be corrupt there, Jason, but as long as they let me enjoy my time ogling the bikini-clad babes and make sure my daughter has a good home life and education, I won’t care too much.
17 – Then I could not tell you, other then maybe easier odds at the bar.
I say the Atlanta election goes to Reed by a 58-42 margin at least.
First he backs off the public option
Now 30,000 more troops to Afghanistan
Obama is a closet conservative! Either that, or he is too eager to please the right, or he gets bullied to easily.
this man is not a leader
Hillary in 2012!!!!!!!
#21. Wow really? I think Norwood wins a squeaker.
18- It’s still a tie!
55/54-46/45 Is my roughly my guess.
Brandon, the blacks will turn out for Reed. No way a white candidate wins in that environment. Voting in Atlanta turns to run along racial lines.
I guess since we’re making guesses, I’ll say Norwood wins 51-49.
Who’s your pick for the victor, Knight?
Not going to happen, Brandon. I lived in Atlanta a few years ago. They vote en masee for black candidates. Like most Dems, they’re a huge flock of sheep.
Wes, I see no reason why Norwood won’t get at least the 46% she got in the original election.
22 – lol, A conservative would have sent 45k thousand, and made the call in September, or decided last spring on different approach.
So has “Rudy” polluted this thread with her pro-Ron Paul, anti-white drivel lately?
28 – If I betting money I would put in on Reed, race typically rules the day in Atlanta proper.
I can tell you exactly why, Brandon: Blacks subscribe to groupthink. They’ve united behind their man and will back him to the hilt, damn the consequences. No way they ever let a white woman beat a blakc man in that city. Not going to happen.
There are many fewer whites than blacks in Atlanta; hence, the white woman has no chance.
#12
Food selection. The Arts. Energy level. Lots of things to do.
Okay, so that still doesn’t explain why she gets less. There’s no reason for her supporters to desert her. Sure the black candidates totals will consolidate together and mostly go to Reed, but there’s no way Norwood gets below 45% IMO. Again, the only poll of this race showed Reed up 3.
34 – It probably could happen some day… eventually, but it would be shocker if it were to happen tonight.
Yuo really don’t understand the politics of race relations in black-heavy urban areas, do you, Brandon?
Wes:
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=57060e13-9483-4cdd-ac53-380f622b2440
#22
Seriously, do you want the Taliban to take over Afghanistan so that AQ has again a launching pad from which to attack us? If only we could arrage for AQ to target all the people who anti-war.
Wes, she is a city council-woman, meaning she has been elected before by the same people going to vote now.
The only way Norwood meets or exceeds her vote total from the earlier election is if there’s a sharp dropoff in the black-dominated inner city. That’s the only way she holds her own or beats Reed. Otherwise, it’s over for her.
My guess on turnout is like 1/2 or even less of what it was election day. I ain’t heard crap about this race in the news much in the last few weeks.
She was elected from a white-dominated area in the state, Brandon. That should tell you something about racial politics down there.
The city is becoming whiter believe it or not:
“The city’s changing racial demographics could affect Tuesday’s outcome. In 2000, Atlanta was 33 percent white and 61 percent black. In 2007, the numbers were 38 percent white and 57 percent black, according to the U.S. Census.”
And the SUSA poll had the black turnout at 58% of the electorate.
Al pinkqaeda
Here’s an AP article about the race:
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5jAmfrB7AOrAcp7nWyoXVJkrvg74wD9CAQ2RO0
46 – It is but I seriously doubt it’s enough this time around, eventually like I said it’s possible though if the trend shaves a few more points.
41 Chekote- Of course not. Lets keep enough troops there to ensure that the Taliban does not return to power.
There’s no reason for this surge .. period. The more troops we have there, the more likely it is that we accidently blow up a village and add cause AQ to become larger and even stronger.
Whites are diluting SOME of the black vote in the city, Brandon. They’re still 20% behind the blacks though. Blacks have their city, and they’re going to run it straight into the ground–just as they did New Orleans.
Well I guess we’ll see in about an hour Wes.
Trolletta!!!! How go things for my favorite female socialist?
Apparently we will, Brandon.
Can I vote for #50 for the insane post of the day?
Not good Wes. Socialism is dead in America LOL. How’s my favorite male Libertarian?
51 – What do you mean going too? Buddy it’s there, though I suppose they could try for Detroit bad.
55. Sure, you can also try rebutting
Well, a few problems on the home front, Trolletta, but aside form that doing pretty well.
56 – Not according to Howard Dean.
Actually, Knight, the GOP bent of the surrounding areas has bled over slightly into Atlanta and kept it just a hairsbreadth above the topsoil.
58 – I might be temped but banging my head against an already well established brick wall doesn’t strike me as time well invested. It ain’t personal…I just think your nuts.
59 Wes, yes I skimmed some threads last week and read about your situation. How sad especially for your child
Good luck to you and I’m sorry you have to go through this.
60. Which Howard Dean?
Sadly he is mistaken. Obama has destroyed Socialism in America .. sad indeed.
61 – It’s the GOP that’s done that, it’s the cash and tax revenue from all that inflated real estate…. even with that during the good times the ATL budget was a joke.
Thanks, Trolletta.
64 – The YEEEEEAH HD.
http://www.breitbart.tv/howard-dean-declares-debate-between-capitalism-and-socialism-to-be-over/
62 thanks – Not the first time a HHR has backed away from a challenge issued by me. Don’t feel bad.. at least its 15 against 1 and I’m sure one of your buddies will come to your rescue
Didn’t I say the GOP did that, Knight? I seem to recall making this statement:
61.Actually, Knight, the GOP bent of the surrounding areas has bled over slightly into Atlanta and kept it just a hairsbreadth above the topsoil.
68 – What’s sad Trolletta is I’m not the one in need of help.
70 Good one!
I like you KH, you usually don’t mix it up with me. Now I can see why
This is why is getting harder and harder to win war. We have people who want to win the war as long as you don’t use too many troops; you don’t spend too much money; you don’t kill too many people; you don’t take too long; the UN approves; you Mirandize prisoner and the list goes on…. What’s the point of having the MOAB when you can’t use it?!?!?!?!?!?
OK time for me to head back to KOS for my talking points. Have a good night Obama lovers
All right, this is off topic, but it’s definitely worth a laugh:
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0372784/board/thread/152559233?d=152559233&p=1#152559233
Some people just don’t think when they post.
Bye, Trolletta.
Don’t forget Presidents who refuse to fire incompetent Secretaries of Defense and generals who are making a bad situation worse.
#76 was directed at Chek’s #72.
71 – A pointless endeavor, some are just too far gone, I could you among that group. I didn’t mix it up with KBoarded either..what’s the point besides passing time.
73 – Have a great evening watching Obama Trolletta.
I just looked at a pic of Mary Norwood. For an older woman, she’s not bad looking. far from a 10 though:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mary_Norwood
“Some people just don’t think when they post.”
—
If I had a nickel for every time…
I’ll pass on, or put another way NoWood.
Let me guess, Knight…You’d have a few billion in the bank right about now…?
I didn’t say she was gorgeous, Knight. For her age, she’s not bad looking though. I prefer mine younger and better looking for sure.
Hey, Knight, have you checked out an Amazon Kindle or a Barnes and Noble Nook?
83 – Have to actually do the math.. but I would suspect for every time I’ve read a post and thought that same thing I’d at least have an extra 50k.
85 – No interest in either device, I like the hard cover when I’m reading a book. However the girl\voice in the Kindle commercial, that’s another story.
I’d think it would be more than that, Knight.
I wonder who does that voice, Knight.
I already own a Kindle DX. (Now the bastards have put an international feature on the Kindle, but it only works on the regular one, damnit.) I’m getting a Nook for Christmas. I prefer the hardcover too, but I’ve fallen in love with my Kindle.
Nevermind. I just looked it up. The face matches the voice:
http://astore.amazon.com/liternet/detail/B002VXMLO2
I guess everyone decided to leave me…
lol
Wondering how long into the speech before I’m forced to turn it off?
Norwood 51-49, book it.
I wish Trolletta and Chekote would come back. Their feud about the Afghan War was classic if too brief.
You owe me a ribeye cooked medium rare with double fries and a bottle of Bombay Sapphire if she loses, Brandon.
Where’s LisaB to tell me how bad meat is for people?
As long as she gets 45% I will be right about that.
I find that unlikely, Brandon–although more likely than her achieving a victory.
yes this TN election should be a landslide for the GOP guy. Not only is the district heavily GOP, but there is an active GOP primary for the guy’s old state rep seat. Plus the GOP guy raised 250K while the democrat raised 10K
Is this speech really going to be an hour long?
250K for a State Senate seat? Ay Dios Mio! What is this country coming to?
102 – I hope not, seems 20 minutes would be plenty, unless he’s going to go Ross Perot on us.
Over under on the number of self references or “I’s” ?
96 – It would not even be entertaining.
95 – Brandon once again I hope you are correct, I doubt it though.
Do you think when Obama and Michelle are engaging in their marital duties, he has a mask of himself taped to both the front and back of her head?
Tape doesn’t stick very well to gunny sack.
Then maybe the gunny sack has his face airbrushed onto it, DQ.
107 – Maybe not, but there are definitely lots of mirrors involved.
Might be a good t shirt logo.
We’re so wrong for thinking that, guys.
So, when do polls close in Atlanta?
8 PM.
Thanks, Brandon. That’s late for Georgia. During statewide elections, the polls close at 7. Trivia question for all of you: What were the very first two calls made on Election Night 2004?
Indiana and Kentucky?
No, Brandon.
Anyone else want to give it a shot?
MA and SC ?
No, Knight. The first two calls that night were as follows:
George Bush carries the state of Georgia.
Johnny Isakson wins the Georgia Senate race.
Sheesh…I thought you guys were political junkies.
Here is the brutal truth about CrappyCare – it will get you killed sooner! Finally, a GOPer with the gonads to say!:
http://apnews.excite.com/article/20091201/D9CAPP7G0.html
“A Republican senator contended Tuesday during rancorous floor debate that President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul will shorten the lives of America’s seniors by cutting Medicare.
“I have a message for you: You’re going to die sooner,” said Sen. Tom Coburn, R-Okla., an obstetrician-turned-lawmaker.”
After that came a flurry of states carried by either Bush or Kerry with the New Hampshire, Vermont, Maryland, and Indiana Senate races also called.
I was 15 on election night 2004, I wasn’t really paying attention.
Wilye, the Dems developed Mediscare in the ’90s. Now it’s coming back to bite them. Payback’s a bitch, motherf***ers!!!!
I was 16 on Election Night 1994, Brandon, but I watched all the returns from 7 that night till 4:30 the next morning.
120 – Been a lot of Jack Danials under the bridge since then.
Not a state I was paying attention too that night since both outcomes were known, as were a bunch of others.
The one that really shocked me that night, Knight, (how’s that juxtaposition for irony?) was that West Virginia was called right out of the gate. That one I honestly never saw coming.
124 – Yeah kinda of turned that weapon around on them lately, however I wish the weapon it’s based on didn’t exist in the first place.
when the polls in TN will close??
Troletta you are fantastico
127 – That’s the one that put those that were still skittish at ease that night.
129 – Benny is a fan of socialism?
I agree, Knight, but in politics as in texas Hold’em, you play the cards in your hand.
Hey, you guys are a good photo op.
Benny’s a Dem who drifted somewhat rightward because of a dislike of Obama. He still thinks Bush stole Florida though.
Does this guy understand this war does not have an “ending”?
NO!!!!!!!!!!
But a fan of HiLlary!!!
What are you talking about, Brandon?
132 – yup
New thread
136 – Oh so just socialism lite.
Hi wes
bush didi it!!!
I am a conservative feminist democrat!!!
but when will the polls close in TN???
Actually, Benny, Bush genuinely won Florida. One initial count and a slew of recounts proved it.
#124 I would have added “broke, and in alot more pain!” – he is being a bit too kind to CrappyCare!
Yeah, paypack sucks….
The D are as much trying to coverup the medical bankruptcy with CrappyCare as they NEED to have the control to RATION CARE since they dont have the guts to actually admit their ponzi scheme failed and ask for a honest, straight up tax increase on the short fall!
Yep, this is what happens when you “collectivize” your personal medical decsions – YOU DIE EARLY!
143-LOL
Wes when will the polls in TN close??
I’m guessing 8:30 or 9, Benny.
I am a conservative feminist democrat!!!
Comment by Benny
Schizophrenia is treatable.
Thank you very much !!!
Actually, Bush would have won Florida 2000 quite comfortably, if not for those late vote dumps from Broward and the other two S Florida counties.
The Dem machine tried to punch boatloads of ballots at the last minute. (Hint, that is where the hanging chads came from.)
Sam, most reputable estimates say Bush’s margin in Florida would ahve been in the 1000-1500 range without all the recount shenanigans and goings-on.
but gore won the popular vote do you forgotten????
152 – We don’t elect presidents by pure popular vote.
Not sure about this district, but anything outside of Nashville, especially in eastern Tenn., is GOP.
Plus, the Democrat has a hyphenated name, which leads me to suspect she is a sacrificial lamb. A hyphenated name in the South can barely go unnoticed in Demo districts in the South. It is pretentious. Even HRC got that message.
Benny, presidential elections in the US are on a state-by-state basis. We don’t actually vote for President. We vote for the electors who vote for President. It doesn’t matter who wins the popular vote, although if the margin there is big enough, it will always translate into a victory in the Electoral College. Whether Gore won the popular vote or not is irrelevant. He didn’t win the Electoral College; therefore, he lost.
Benny = Loser.
Wes, I am not talking about recount of legally cast votes.
The Dems manufactured thousands of votes in the 3 counties (I can’yt recall the names of the counties, Broward was one) by sitting in the back rooms of precincts and punching stacks of unused ballots. The reason you saw those hanging chads in those counties was because, in the interest of time, they would take stacks of ballots at a time and try to punch through. They would get through the top 5-10, but only indent the bottom ballots.
I know
but do you really think somebody should be president if he lost the popular vote and if its so close in FL??
But I am agree with Wes Gore lost by himself cause he should win in TN and NH and WV
but he didnt-so its his own fault
Karl you are not a gentlemen
but gore won the popular vote do you forgotten????
Comment by Benny —
We not forgotten, we undertand the electoral college, you not no how him work.
Yes, Benny. Everyone on here knows I’m no fan of Bush, but he won that election rightly. We can argue the winner of the popular vote shoudl be the President, but that’s an irrelevant argument because the overall popular vote is not how we elect our Presidents. Bush won the part of the election that counted despite its closeness; thus, he deserved to be President.
Beside the fact that algore is insane.
Bush is also not the first President who won the presidency despite finishing second in the popular vote. John Quincy Adams did so after Henry Clay threw his support behind adams in 1824 and caused the House of Representatives to confirm Adams’ election. Rutherford B Hayes beat Sam Tilden after Dems and Republicans agreed to let Hayes take the presidency in exchange for a promise to end Reconstruction. Ben Harrison beat Grover Cleveland by narrowly edging Cleveland in several critical states even though Cleveland won the popular vote. Bush’s 2000 election was an anomaly, but it was hardly unprecedented.
The GOP guy got 78% of the early vote.
So this puppy is over
Good to know, Rdel.
“but do you really think somebody should be president if he lost the popular vote and if its so close in FL??”
—
100% yes.
Good stuff Sam!!
How was the speech. I just caught the beginning while driving to a meeting.