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OH: Portman Leads Dems In US Senate RaceHere’s a mid-morning poll from Scott Rasmussen for the state of Ohio for your enjoyment. US SENATE- OHIO (Rasmussen) This poll was done January 12th among 500 likely voters.
41 Responses to “OH: Portman Leads Dems In US Senate Race” |
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This is good news… Missouri is the only R seat that I could possibly see flipping.
The GOP will run the table in OH.
The Dems lose Wexler’s vote on HCR, his seat is vacant and won’t be filled til April.
Majority Would Vote Against Obama
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By Reid Wilson
A year into his tenure, a majority of Americans would already vote against Pres. Obama if the ‘12 elections were held today, according to a new survey.
The Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor poll shows 50% say they would probably or definitely vote for someone else. Fully 37% say they would definitely cast a ballot against Obama. Meanwhile, just 39% would vote to re-elect the pres. to a 2nd term, and only 23% say they definitely would do so.
Link:
http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/01/majority_would.php
HD
The muddle gets confused a lot, but it seems as though they have awoken from their stupor. Will the press start writing about a “failed” presidency?
This coming election will be discussed in civics classes. How to blow an enormous lead.
The GOP should regain most lost ground in Ohio this year.
With the way things are going, Missouri won’t be that tough to hold down. Isn’t Carnahan under 50? It’s essentially a tossup.
I believe other seats will come into play. Likely, not CT but watch WA, CA, WI or even IN…
Where’s Aaron the Texan Communist with his guarantee of 62 or 63 Dems in the Senate after this year’s elections?
I get slammed all the time for being “gloom and doom”. I always argue that I’m trying to be realistic. Well, realistic works both ways with me. Ohio is, from what I’m seeing with the numbers, going to be as bad for Democrats in 2010 as it was bad for Republicans in 2008. I could see Republicans picking up 4 seats there. To retake the House we need 12 seats out of Ohio, NY, Pa, and NH.
Ohio may give us a great start on that number.
http://www.jsonline.com/news/opinion/81370247.html
Feingold is getting terrible press in Wisconsin. Dont be surprise if even Russ, who has not had a first tier challenger in a long time, gets the hook. People are fed up.
Wes, Aaron in class right now at UT. I’d guess it’s probably The History of Capitalistic Exploitation of the Masses 301, taught by one of the many Marxists that frequent that faculty.
Gary, Feingold had a strong challenger in ‘98. Unfortunately the GOP blew that cycle, so Russ survived.
I reiterate my comment from yesterday about Ohio races in Nov.
Both Kasich and Portman will win by double digits.
When Strickland took office in Jan 2007, the state unemployment rate was 5.3%. It has been over 10% for about a year now. No incumbent is likely to survive in this kind of situation.
Anyone heard anything on whether Beau Biden is going to announce a decision one way or another to jump in the Delaware senate race.
If he passes – that will tell you all you need to know about what the internal polls are telling Democrats.
12 years ago, is a long time in my book.
Feingold is very liberal. He really is not a good fit for Wisconsin, but he has always managed to convince voters there that he is fighting for them. I wonder if that will work this go around. Should be fascinating.
I am betting once this election is over, Democrats go back to hiding their liberal tendencies. They thought with Obama’s election that they could come out of the closet.
Obama at 48/41 in NJ and the Republicans lead the generic ballot there 46-44.
http://publicmind.fdu.edu/skeptical2/final.pdf
“They are in an absolute panic mode,” one prominent Bay State Democrat was saying yesterday. “They don’t care if bringing in Barack energizes the Republicans and independents – how much more energized can they get? Obama’s people have to get the minority vote out, and Coakley sure can’t do it herself. It’s risky, but it may be the only way now to save her.”
In the state’s suburban town halls, voters are lining up to get absentee ballots, just in case the weather takes a turn for the worse Tuesday. For example, in Yarmouth, on the Cape, during the primary last month, 183 residents voted absentee. By Monday, the number of absentee ballots given out in Yarmouth was 543. It’s the same in all of the more conservative cities and towns.
http://www.bostonherald.com/news/columnists/view.bg?articleid=1225447
No word on Beau Biden but Mike Castle is going all out for the senate seat.
I expect a big fundraising quarter from him. Of course he has 800K in bank so evrything after that is pile on.
When is the last time you saw Republicans leading the generic ballot in NJ?
I heard Dick Morris on Hannity’s radio show saying he thinks Biden will pass on the US Senate race in Delaware. This was over the weekend…
20. That would make the DE seat a slam dunk.
20…the problem with Dick Morris predicting something is….
…hold on, its hard to type while holding my copy of “Condi vs. Hillary”
Perhaps a big fundraising quarter by Castle will help scare Biden off.
Thing is, can Beau Biden really afford to take a pass on this race without it adding to Democratic panic and thus increasing the number of Democratic retirements. For that reason alone he is probably getting a lot of pressure from Democrats to get into the race. Democrats can’t afford to have a bandwagon effect of rats leaving the sinking ship.
Brandon, thanks for the NJ link. Phil, yes it’s been a while but I know that in the 90’s, we held a majority in the Congressional delegation. 8 Republicans, 5 Democrats. New Jersey also went for Kerry by only like 6 points or something, over Bush.
In the spectrum, it will be one of the first Northeast states to go Red (after NH and PA)
Unfortunately smart money is usually on the dont pass line when Dick Morris is the shooter.
Good news all around but do not stop working to win. As they say in footbal, if you’re winning play like you’re behind and play until the clock reads 0:00.
Also, Kelly Ayotte will be the hottest Senator.
If the GOP can’t field a serious challenger in IN. this year, they are worthless.
Take
Bayh
out.
Wow
The poll in #3 is of ADULTS!
Hotair says police unions in MA have endorsed Brown…I wonder if Obama’s “stupid police” remarks had any influence….
“When unions endorse a Republican over a Democrat in any race these days, it’s news. When two police unions in Massachusetts endorse Scott Brown over Attorney General Martha Coakley, the state’s highest ranking law-enforcement officer, it should be a big signal to voters”
Coakley said yesterday she hasn’t heard from the White House.
My God, if Obama can’t appear in MA…
Nevada Senate(PPP)
Lowden(R): 51%
Reid(D): 41%
Tarkanian(R): 50%
Reid(D): 42%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Nev_114.pdf
With numbers like these, Reid won’t run.
He will spend his next 10 months trying to push as much of Obama’s marxist agenda as possible.
They tested some other candidates, but they don’t do much better either, except for Oscar Goodman but he seems like he is running for Governor anyway.
27..
not a deep bench at all in Indiana.
Daniels wont do it.
Neither will Pence or any other sitting GOP Congressman.
SecState Rokita and Lt Gov Skillman are running for Gov.
It’s gonna have to be an upstart. So far, the four announced candidates are not exactly capturing the imagination of anybody.
My guess right now is that Hostettler would probably be the most spirited opponent, but he is kinda scattered and has a history of not raising much money.
PPP seems to be pushing Reid to retire and be replaced by Las Vegas mayor Goodman. he has numbers showing Goodman running even with Tark and Lowden. Supposedly Goodman is an independent.
Wouldn’t surprise me at all to see Dempcrats pull the old Democratic switheroo if they can recruit Goodman. Doubt he wants to jump in however in this environment.
Or maybe they could get Rory Reid to primary his dad!
From the same National Journal poll of Adults:
After a year of single-party governance, Americans have grown very disenchanted. In April of last year, 47% of respondents thought the country was moving in the right direction, against 42% who thought it was going off the rails. Now, 55% think the country is moving in the wrong direction, and only 34% think otherwise. Since only Democrats have been doing the driving, that gives a strong indication that they may find themselves replaced at the wheel at the next opportunity.
Now there’s a though Brandon.
thought
New thread
Yesterday, I said he would win by 6 to 8 and some here jumped all over me like I was a chocolate cake placed in front of Rosie O’Donnell.
Yes, I feel vindicated.