CT: Democrats Hold Small Edge In Gov Race
More polls that I missed yesterday while I was tied up. Here is the latest gubernatorial poll from Quinnipiac University for the state of Connecticut showing the top two Democrats with leads over the top two Republicans.
GOVERNOR – CONNECTICUT (PPP)
Ned Lamont (D) 41%
Michael Fedele (R) 32%Dan Malloy (D) 37%
Michael Fedele (R) 31%Ned Lamont (D) 38%
Tom Foley (R) 36%Dan Malloy (D) 37%
Tom Foley (R) 33%/font>
This poll was done January 14-19 among 1594 registered voters. We also got a new Field Poll for the US Senate race in California showing Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer ahed of the top Republicans.
US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (Field Poll)
Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 48%
Tom Campbell (R) 38%Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 50%
Carly Fiorina (R) 35%Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 51%
Chuck DeVore (R) 34%US SENATE – CALIFORNIA – GOP PRIMARY (Field Poll)
Tom Campbell 30%
Carly Fiorina 25%
Chuck DeVore 6%
This poll was done January 5-17 among 958 likely voters and 202 likely GOP voters. Fire Dog Lake, whose previous poll already forced the resignation of Vic Snyder in Arkansas, has another new poll out from Survey USA showing another US House in danger on the Democratic side. This time it is the 9th District in Indiana.
US HOUSE – INDIANA – CD 9 (Survey USA)
Mike Sodrel (R) 49%
Baron Hill (D-inc) 41%
This poll was done January 16-18 among 600 likely voters. That should catch me up. Who knew taking one day off would be the same day pollsters would decide to release a slew of polls.
My first , first!
Country-club republicans. Now that the war is on the back-burner maybe they’ll vote their pocketbook again though I doubt it.
zorkpolitics,
I don’t know if anyone has filled you in on the rules of the “first” game, but when you win it for the first time you have to buy all the regular posters here a celebratory cocktail.
Where should we meet?
Baron Hill is in trouble! Please keep pushing HC Pelosi! Please!
The Field poll leans D in its polling-yet it has Boxer below 50% against Campbell. She is in deep do do. Susan B in a strange decision left the Gov’s race-that she was a heavy favorite to win-to do the AG race. She has be hammered as her legal creditionals are very weak and she obviousily has Lieberman’s seat in mind for 2012.
CT could return to a perfect storm in 2010 if lamont is the nominee for Gov and Blumenthal withers. AG Blum has not really had to campaign much. In this atomsphere nothing is off the table in CT.
We discussed the house poll on Thursday. Another D who should be safe is struggling.
I thought the female Conn Sec of State was the frontrunner for the DEMS?
Susan B. I think. did she drop out? Lamont is a gift to the GOP
Morning MD, Rdel.
I truly believe that the Pelosi threat of Reconciliation is a ll a show to appease the Far Left.
I also believe that many House DEMS will be talking to their families this weekend about Retirement
Jason T
with all the MA mess-Susan B. left the GOV’s race-clear frontrunner in primary & GE-to run for AG. shocking
Here is the GOV’s half of the Field Poll-not a lot of details:
http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/2010/jan/22/whitman-far-ahead-gop-governors-race/
I think another CA newspaper will pop it on a site later today for complete stats. Here’s the thumbnail-Whitman is 45-19 over Poltzer for the GOP nod. She is now the very clear favorite with Campbell out. According to this poll-Whitman trails Jerry Brown by 46-36.
As I said this poll leans liberal as in NOV Whitman trailed Brown by 50-29 in a GE matchup. What a crock that poll was as RAS had Brown ahead 44-35. The Field poll leans left until the last one before the GE when all of sudden its numbers are close to the actual final result.
So I think both the senate and GOV race in CA is within margin of error as of right now
Thanks Rdel. she took the safe route for AG to help Lamont.
A friend of NY told me that GOP recruitment is being held up a little in NY, because the challengers want to make sure the GOP will retake the State Senate to stop the DEMS from taking over the Redistricting in 2011.
The NY Senate is 32-30 DEM, and NY will lose two seats in the census.
If you are a Pubbie and you win a seat, you could be reased if DEms have the map
Redstate has tape pretty damning of Carly Fiorina. Apparently she was secretly taped praising Jesse Jackson/Rainbow Coalition/”diversity” and also making the idiotic comment that we “will never have representative democracy” until women make up over half of the representatives in the U.S.
It’s clear to see why she never wants to allow her speeches to be taped as she’s afraid to let people see/hear her liberal side.
I’ve said here that we can’t so ideologically pure as to not support “Scott Brown type Republicans” in Blue States, but Fiorina is a disaster.
For baseline purposes, please know that Mr.Hill won by a comfortable 20 point margin in 2008. These polls are devastating for House Democrats.
I honestly don’t believe they had any idea at all what they’ve been doing to themselves.
They know it now.
If I’m not mistaken, Hill voted yes on Obamacare. He can’t take that vote back. The funny thing is that he walked the plank for nothing.
Phil, Hill and Pomeroy.
In IL, all three DEMS in GOP House districts. Bean, Foster, and Halverson are all in trouble for voting for HC.
Tom Harkin is insane.
http://www.thehill.com
He wants to get rid of the filibuster.
Arizona GOP Primary(Rasmussen)
McCain: 53%
Hayworth: 31%
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arizona/election_2010_arizona_republican_primary_for_senate
Harkin, Schumer, and Reid threw everything they had into HC, and are now losing their minds.
Jan. 22 (Bloomberg) — U.S. investors overwhelmingly see President Barack Obama as anti-business and question his ability to manage a financial crisis, according to a Bloomberg survey.
#HB – Way to enforce the rules!
Brandon, Palin helped McCain big.
I told you she would use the 1966 Nixon playbook and help unify the party. Hayworth is a good man, but if he were Nominee the DEMS would have a top tier challenger.
I hope JD or someone else jumps in, but then most of you knew that.
Gallup this morning says 55% of adults support suspending efforts to pass Obamacare.
Dead as a doornail.
However, Democrats can’t leave it alone because of their nutty lefty base – which of course hurts them with the swing voters that are killing them.
Phil, they wasted all there 2008 political capital into HC, but the big problem is Bill Clinton.
He led the moderates over the cliff with his we must pass something mantra.
Phil,
In voters minds, every day the Dems spend on healthcare is one less day they spend on the economy. There will come a point when voter anger is so great, that winning back both the House and Senate will be very realistic.
What must it be like within the liberal cacoon completely cut off from reality?
I just found out that in 1974 after Watergate, the DEMS, who had 61 Senators, changed the cloture rule of having to have 2/3 or 67 votes for cloture. They were able to whittle it down to the present 60
Markets look ugly again…
Morning gang.
I am not excited about those R candidates for CA Senate or Governor.
The Field poll leans D in its polling-yet it has Boxer below 50% against Campbell. She is in deep do do.
Comment by rdelbov — January 22, 2010 @ 8:01 am
I hate to be the voice of caution, but Boxer is not yet “in deep doo doo”. She’s still clearly ahead, but at least she’s vulnerable.
Again, we shouldn’t OVER-interpret Massachusetts. Yes, it sort of shows that any Democrat can be beaten, anywhere. But we can’t forget the “perfect storm” that created the circumstances for the Brown victory. Martha Coakley was not an incumbant, and she ran a horrible, overconfident campaign. Scott Brown ran virtually the perfect campaign and he was a great attractive candidate. On top of all of this, the timing was perfect — HCR hanging in the balance, bad weather, and a 3-day weekend. Minus any of these factors and we can’t assume victory is so certain.
That is why I say that any incumbant Democrat in a blue state HAS TO start as the favorite. Boxer, Feingold, Bayh, and Murray are all vulnerable, but none of them will be easy to beat — as some of you seem to think. Even Lincoln, Specter, Bennett, and Reid won’t go down easily, though I think we have a better-than-even chance of knocking them off.
I believe that Frmr. Pres. Bill Clinton knows full well that National Healthcare is as popular to the American public as a Yankee fan is in Boston!!! The Clintons are thinking 2012 and are planning a 2012 run against Obama. The Clintons feel if crappycare fails Obamas becomes ever increasingly unpopular as well he saw what happened to him with Hilliarycare back in 1993 you know what happen in 1994 then he hired Dick Morris and they trianglated he got re-elected in 1996 and with a GOP controlled congress work out nice for him the economy was good. SO after these 2010 election Watch The Clintons!!!!
Ain
I stepped in some dog do do in my back yard on Thursday. It was not deep do do but it was pretty nasty. I agree that Boxer is not in deep do do like Reid-Lincoln but under 50% in the Field poll-which leans a few % democratic is troublesome for her.
I think as the RAS, or some other poll showed the other day, Campbell is within low single digits of her without running a single TV ad against her.
So I take your point that “deep” was one adjective too far. A “bridge too far” was a good movie but a great book. Now you know how my mind wanders at times.
Baron Hill should not be representing Hoosiers. Look like he wont be come November. Unemployed Democrat officeholders about to find out how nasty it is to be unemployed. That has a very fine ring to it.