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OH: Kasich Leads Strickland By 6%If you wanted some confirmation for last week’s poll from Ohio from the Ohio Right-To-Life group showing John Kasich ahead of incumbent Democratic governor Ted Strickland, we have it in a new poll from the University of Cincinnati. GOVERNOR – OHIO (U of Cincinnati) This poll was done January 13-19 among 808 likely voters. For more polls from this Ohio gubernatorial race, click here.
335 Responses to “OH: Kasich Leads Strickland By 6%” |
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Kasich will win easily, by high double-digits.
It is impossible for Strickland to survive (or even come close), with double-digit unemployment.
Yay
I like the result and think it’s probably fairly accurate, but isn’t 80 people an incredibly small number to interview in a statewide poll?
That 80 is Dave’s typo.
Oh, I see, Sam. I see it’s been updated.
Kasich would be a whale of a VP or Presidential candidate at some future date.
I like John K.
My contact on the ground has it closer to a high single to low double digit lead Strickland is finished.
Book it.
The Zombie Senate HC bill may yet pass the House with a pre-arranged “fix” by reconciliation:
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/postpartisan/2010/01/how_the_democrats_may_solve_th.html
Since reconciliation has never been used before a bill has passes, it appears the Democrats will throw procedure out the window to cram their partisan bill down the throats of the voters.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/125333/Public-Agrees-Court-Campaign-Money-Free-Speech.aspx
Rachel, here is a poll on that recent SC decision.
I think the 5 conservative justices got it correct.
That would set an incredibly bad precedent for future Congresses, Zork.
Following the Constitution is always the right thing for the Court to do, Tina.
Most definetly Wes, and they only struck down the items broght to to thier attention. When the other items are heard before them, they will likely do the same.
Also, I thought that sotohatewhitey would be independent.
You know a moderate on the court.
Don’t look now but here comes ACORN and Chicago
Politics back into your neigborhood Via Central
Control of the 2k10 cycle. They think they were
surprises in Mass by faulty local control of
the candidates race. They need control of very
race in 2010. We need a strategy to steamroll
em.I have some ideas but I’ll keep them to myself.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/24/us/politics/24union.html
Obamacare reminds me of the Twilight Zone episode The Howling Man where the Devil is trapped first by monks and then by a former soldier. Despite being repeatedly stopped, Satan always escapes to wreak havoc on the world. I guess we must resign ourselves to eternal vigilance to ensure Satan/Obamacare is stopped at every turn.
Like you, I knew she would not, Tina. Unfortunately there was nothing in her background at the time to justify voting her down in the Senate.
I agree with your first point Wes, but respectfully disagree with your second comment. But anyway, bigger pt is, we just did not have the #s.
The HC bill cannot be passed through the recon process. It is only noise to mollify the netroots.
Let them come! That only helps us. They are already 20 to 30 behind with indies. This way, they can be 40 to 50 behind be Nov. Let’s welcome them with ope arms.
A reason I don’t watch Sunday morning interview shows.
Who is this woman on Meet the Press? Is she living in wonderland where O’men has done nothing wrong?
Brutus,
Unfortunately, the Obama team now seems to know they are in trouble. They will still put on the denials publicly. Just consider it comedy.
Let’s pretend recon was possible which it really isn’t.
I would tell you that Reid can’t get 50 votes in that scenario. Every single D in the senate wouled lose their jobs in 10 and 12. Every one of them.
#19
Agreed; she was doing it with a straight face. I think she has a career in acting.
Did anyone else watch Fox News Sunday this morning? John Cornyn handled himself very well on the show while Robert Gibbs did not.
It is not just Ras anymore. Gallup, Quinn, CNN.
The only reliable rescue polls left are CBS and Kos.
Does Gibbs ever handle himself well? Talk about acerbic.
Zork
The plan-if you can call it that-is to get the house to pass the senate bill. Then use the reconciliation process to fix the problems with the senate bill.
#1 problem is that no one yet agree as to what the problem with the senate bill is. Stupak and his crowd deplore the senate’s aboriton language. That may not be fixable under reconciliation and the liberals don’t want that fixed. ditto with immigration. ditto with caddie plan versus tax the rich.
#2 problem is that as of right now there is not enough votes to pass the senate bill in the house. With or without whatever fixes that people can agree upon.
#3 problem is that reconciliation is really a completely untested procedure in the senate. Its not clear what can or can’t be fixed and whether the votes are there.
other then that HC is in fine shape. I tell you its all about the base. the democrats cannot afford to give up HC and they can’t politically pass it either. Obama is in a fighting mood but just watch its boxers preening and fussing during the weigh ins-the actual fight never takes place.
Look for Obama to check out Ali’s pre-fight routines
http://www.delawareonline.com/article/20100124/OPINION03/1240302/1004/OPINION
Looks like good news.
Obama knows he’s in trouble. Unfortunately for him the path he’s decided on will exacerbate rather than better the situation.
Until the unemployment situation improves, no amount of rescue polls, ACORN/SEIU thugs, or MSM adulation can save the Dems or Obama.
The problems for Dems are not tactical.
O’men is like the scorpion in the parable of the scorpion and the frog.
“Why did you sting me, we’ll both die”
Scorpion (O-men) “I’m a scorpion aka delusional populist”
Wes,
Right now Obama, from his perspective, is making the choice to lose 50 and 7 instead of 80 and 12. If he losses the netroots, the latter will be close to reality.
Pretty prose does not apply to governing. The indies that were fooled have now come back to reality.
#23: AP also
So turnout was high in Mass. The Dems cannot even blame the fact that it was a special election.
57 and 7 is still my prediction. Hopefully, those #’s will prove to be conservative 6 months down the road.
Yahoo!
MD, I’d argue he’s making a huge political miscalculation. In the current environment with indies shifting sharply away from the Dems and the econom continuing to sour, appealing only to the base will damage the Dems even more and likely cause already severe losses to become catastrophic.
I argued in 2008 the Dems would win and then grossly overreach. I was right, but I never imagined it would be this bad.
If you want a good laugh at where the left is on the delusional scale, read drank rich today. Denial doesn’t even begin to describe it
#9, I believe D.J. from the Washington Post is Liberal.
#36
I believe he meant to say one of the most popular first year presidents in the Bizarro World.
Where does he get “50-ish” approval?
Wouldn’t it be great that Nelson, Landrieu, Bayh, exposed themselves as fake moderates on health care, only to have Brown ruin the party… The Senate doesn’t get their bill, and the Republicans have ammo to knock these guys out. I would agree that most likely Boxer, Feingold, Murray are not quite on the radar but getting there, Bayh probably would be on the edge of the radar with Pence… If the Democrats really want to shove this through, all of those mentioned could lose their jobs, and the Republicans may have a strong majority in the House.
I feel that MD’s +7 scenario (with Brown stealing one means 48 GOP seats) is the most likely scenario right now, +50 is reasonable in the House, and if the D’s don’t start listening to the independents watch out!!! According to RAS, 63% of independents think that health care should wait, and the focus should be on the economy and jobs…
I think it’s brilliant Bob for Jobs is giving the GOP response. That man had a message that resonated with the people and gave him a huge victory. I liked Brown for the job, but come to think of it McDOnnell was the better choice.
According to Charles though, Sean, McDonnell was a horrible choice, and only Sarah Palin would be capable of effectively responding to Obama.
http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/01/biden_says_son.php
Wes, which Charles?
Thanks AC1. If true, not only does Castle win easily, but the GOP will have to spend very little $$$ in Delaware. Frees up money for other races
I agree with #39 that McDonnell was a better choice for the republican response as well. Also, it would have put Brown on the spot, that he too quickly has become the panacea for the GOP on everything. It’s better that Brown be able to acclimate himself to the Senate and have the glare of the spotlight take a rest for bit.
Anybody have ras numbers? Can’t open again on my blackberry
Wes, I would have preferred Jim DeMint, LOL.
Look McDonnell ran of the best races in recent GOP history, capturing a vital swing state.
He is a bright guy and deserves the rebuttal. If he does well he could be on the ticket someday
#45. -17, 46/54
McDonnell is a new face without the rock-star hype of Brown. People are wanting “change,” just not the type that the dems have so far proposed. Having a fresh GOP face will at least draw interest to what the messanger is saying. DeMint is considered to part of the old GOP contingency.
Mc is a good choice for the response. As I said yesterday, Brown would not have been a good choice because expectations are way too high at the moment. Like a football player, he needs to take a hit or 2 before he is ready. As for Sarah Palin, I want someone holding an office to respond. She will get plenty of exposure on FNC and Facebook.
Where’s the football thread?
Colts and Saints.
No matter who gives the Rresponse, the plants and the media will swallow Obummbler’s crap, pretend that the Rs run Congress, and dish all Rs.
So, whenever, he gives the State of Disunion Speech, I ain’t watching it.
This week may be a bad week in the market per market watch
Tina, I think Monday will be good, Reid is supporting Bernake, so he will be confirmed making Wall Street happy
Waiting for the market to hit 9600. That would be a 10% correction ( I think) and the next buying opportunity.
Then again, I’ve been waiting for this 10% correction since April watching my cash stagnate …
The only thing Obama had going for him was the market rebound and now he seems intent on flushing that, and all of our 401(k)’s down the toilet.
Joe,
If Obama keeps up with his new “populist” tone, then you are going to get your chance very soon.
I tbink they lack the votes, even if Reid and the Obumbler circle the wagons for Bernacke. Time will tell.
The job losses are mounting again, because it turns out that the claims #s reported in early December were underreported by agencies not counting as fast as they should have been.
Well, we are half way there, we fell over 500 points down, so its about 1/2 of it.
Another worry I have is that gasoline prices are too high, we are still at 300 a gallon – and Spring is just around the corner….
So, the Omen want the banks to lend more but are going to tax them. Sorry, if I ran a bank, the only I would approve any lending is if a person’s credit score was 740 or above. I would not allow my butt to be on the line. At least not for a couple of years.
Maryland Governor shows true colors after losing bet with Indiana Governor over Ravens/Colts game….
http://www.indystar.com/article/20100124/NEWS05/1240382/1008/LOCAL19/Maryland-Gov.-shows-true-colors-after-losing-bet
We will see $4 per gallon this summer with virtually no job creation. Actually the stagflation has already begun.
I hope the Vikings win, because I want to see Manning vs Farve in the SB.
Yup MD, this is the time to be shorting financials.
http://blogs.abcnews.com/thenote/2010/01/cornyn-look-for-big-recruits-to-join-senate-races-in-browns-wake.html
On Jan 1 the GOP was at 40 seats and now we are pretty much at 43. Amazing.
#65
At least stagnating is better than tanking.
When will Brown get seated?
Anyway, good day for now. I have to run off.
Where’s Geauxlsu?
Stagflation is brutal Brutus. The only way out is to put the economy in a serious recession to first kill inflation. Then, taxes have to be cut to stimulate the economy. Neither will happen with these clowns in charge.
Batten down the hatches. Things are about to get very ugly.
Been to the supermarket lately?
I dunno Brutus – it would have been nice to be long in the market from April instead of sitting on the sidelines. Now an obvious profit-taking opportunity would have locked in some healthy profits.
Oh well…
At least the Jets are still alive!
Not for long BJ. My prediction:
Indy – 45
Jets – 10
My latest analysis has the number of Democratic House seats in play expanding from the 52 I had last month to 69. This includes all seats that are to one degree or another competitive. Some of these aren’t very likely but Democrats will have to spend money to defend.
#74
Yep, I did get some Ford at $2 but that is the only thing that has kept me positive over the last 3/4 year.
As for stagflation, I remember Carter’s term as premier and member of the politburo.
Not a NY cheerleader, but I do want Peyton to be abused mercilessly today. My goal was to have undefeated teams in the super bowl and at the coin toss “honor” the undefeated fish team knowing there record would be beaten. That champagne toast by mercury morris and the other bitter old men is getting hackneyed.
Incidently, looking at the Mass returns, Brown carried 5 Mass congressional districts and ran even in another. Of course, all Mass districts are now represented by Democrats and have for years.
Indeed the DNC must already be doing cost benefit analyses on which seats to spend the money for.
They have a really good amount of money in the bank. They’re gonna need every bit of it.
It’s too early to make the prediction yet, but this could be the worst year for Senate Dems since 1980.
Easily
To plant Manning on the ground at every chance is the only hope the Jets have of winning today.
Talking about job loss…
I live in CA and took a day trip to Santa Barbara yesterday. It’s a up-scale coastal community, which is usually insulated from economic shifts. However, since we’ve been there last, only 2 months ago, 50 store fronts have closed up shop on State Street, the most popular shopping area in town. My husband and I were shocked at what has happened there.
If this is any indication of what is happening to local economies, I hate to see how this year is going to shape up!
At this point, I have the GOP locked to pick up DE, ND, CO, NV, IL, PA, and AR. In addition, Dems are in serious or potential trouble in WI, CA, IN, WA, CT, and NY while Republicans are running ahead in all seats they currently have. It’s not looking too good for the Dems.
If the GOP can get Douglas to challenge Leahy in VT, then they’d force the Dems to spend money in that state at least.
I honestly hope 2010 can be to the Dems what 1946 was to them or 1958 was to the GOP.
#85 Wes, it all seems viable in what you said. I definitely think CA is in play as it has some interesting republicans vying for Boxer’s seat, a senator who seems to have wore out her welcome in this state.
Don’t estimate the idiocy of the californa voters. Boxer could win by 3 instead of the usual 20+ points.
Beau Biden does not want to run for his fathers’ seat.
http://www.delawareonline.com/article/20100124/OPINION03/1240302/1004/OPINION/VP+Biden++Beau+doesn+t+want+to+run
I meant “underestimate”
dylan
Carly Fiorina was featured on a local news show here in CA. She was more impressive than usual, talking about jobs, and how in role at HP she would chose the most business-friendly state to do business for her company. CA has been losing business because it has taken the exact opposite approach and she said this was why she entered the race, and it will be the major thrust of her candidacy — to bring CA back to the table.
It’s a viable talking point.
MD
things have to get a little worse before we even get to stagflation. Right now we are still losing jobs so we are not stag-yet. Maybe when we get to stag we might then move to the flation part.
Huge hint about Beau knows that 2010 is not his year.
The kid is young and he can wait for many years to come.
For those worried about AZ;
http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NWU5ZTI3YjU1YjkwNGQxYjJkNDBlM2MxMDEyNmIzOWY=
I don’t think that Kirk is a lock in IL. Howevr in an anti incumbant year I think Kirk can definitely win.
George,
That was a good point by NRO. JD may be setting himself up for the future.
George
Yes, that was an interesting way to look at the race in Arizona. I am not one of those people fretting about McCain. If he makes it through the primary, then he has another 6 years. I think he is a capable Senator, and has done a better job, of late, during the past year.
Kirk is a lock unless there are skeletons. Illinois is in a throw everybody out mode and everybody is democrat.
Dems are having a divisive primary while Kirk has only opposition from some Salvi clones he will crush in the primary, Red. That combined with IL’s rising unemployment is why I believe Kirk will win.
I wonder if it would be better for Linda Lingle to run against Inouye this year or wait to challenge Akaka in 2012.
odds are that HW will eventually have an open seat-then Lingle will run
Akaka would be the weaker incumbent although he goes up in a year when Obama will be running for reelection, but Inouye has a potential scandal brewing around him.
I’m not too sure, Rdel. Of HI’s 5 Senators, only two have ever retired. One died in office, but Inouye and Akaka have shown no inclination ever to depart the Senate.
Inouye will be 86 in 2010… I think Lingle
could pull it off if she runs.
Even though not a McCain fan, imo – he is a lock.
Lingle needs to run now with the proverbial wind at her back. It would be folly to wait
Back to Rdel’s earlier discussion:
I honestly believe that stagflation in this country has already begun. The chinese and most other countries are accelerating their usage of commodities. With the policies in place in the USA, it is inevitable.
Polls in a Lingle-Inouye matchup have him ahead of her by about 10 or 12 points. One could assume she could improve on this number. I wonder where she would stand in a matchup with Akaka though.
Any Republican who fancies a seat in Congress or state legislatures/governorships needs to run in 2010. It’s hard to imagine a more favorable climate,
Also, any Rep who has thought about retiring in the next few`cycles, should do so now, to ensure that any successor have a favorable time to get elected.
Obama=Jimmy Carter II, MD.
Well, Sam, the Senate will be topheavy with Dems in 2012 and 2014. Many of those will be freshmen and sophomores who won in good years for the Dems. Many solid GOPers could be looking at those years too.
Agree 100% with #1.
For instance, here in NC, Kay Hagan has made such a liberal ass of herself a lot of people have already started looking at that race.
Wes, I wish they’d start polling Kay Hagan. God knows we have enough Beverly Perdue polls.
Last I saw, Hagan’s popularity was in the low 30s, Mark.
Update: Biden was talking about Kaufman, not his son.
http://blogs.abcnews.com/thenote/2010/01/vps-office-biden-was-talking-about-ted-kaufman-not-beau-biden.html
Update: Biden was talking about Kaufman, not his son.
B.S. Biden, as usual, put his foot in the mouth, and the MSM is now trying to cover his a**.
Here’s the rest of the story -
Harry F. Themal of the Wilmington News Journal describes the junior Biden as “reluctant” to become a candidate. He also reports this exchange with the veep:
Our conversation ended with a surprising request from the vice president as he hurried off to a national security meeting. Spontaneously, he turned to the possible Delaware senatorial campaign of his son Beau.
Biden: “If you run into Beau, talk him into running; he respects you.”
Me: “I don’t think he wants to run, though.”
Biden: “I don’t think he does either. I know he doesn’t want to. … I’m so proud of the job he’s done [as attorney general].”
a
Does this sound like he is talking about Kaufman.?
it’s a shame that NC voted those 2 clowns in. I don’t know where you’re at, but I was in Charlotte a few weeks ago, and it felt like it was infested with New Yorkers.
I hear Hagan and Perdue are giving Bimbette a run for her money.
#117. Did you even read the link?
VP to Harry Themal: Always a pleasure of seeing you buddy. Talk Ted into running, if Beau doesn’t. Talk him into running – he respects you. I wish I had the power of appointing Senators. I’d appoint him from Maryland if he wouldn’t do Delaware.
Harry Themal: “I don’t think he wants to run, though.”
VP: No I don’t think he does either. I know he doesn’t. I’m so proud of the job he’s done. God.
Harry: Would you campaign for him?
VP: Oh hell yeah, man. I tell you what – I was joking if Beau didn’t run – I told him I’d give him my 6th-born grandchild. And you know, he said ‘I have enough of those.’ Alright, buddy, thanks. (Call ends).
“If you run into Beau, talk him into running; he respects you.”
Unless Kaufman’s first name is Beau.
“Always a pleasure of seeing you buddy. Talk Ted into running, if Beau doesn’t. Talk him into running – he respects you.”
Biden: “If you run into Beau, talk him into running; he respects you.”
Me: “I don’t think he wants to run, though.”
Biden: “I don’t think he does either. I know he doesn’t want to. … I’m so proud of the job he’s done [as attorney general].”
Me: “Would you campaign for him [against Republican Mike Castle]?”
Biden: “Hell, yes. I told him I’d give him my sixth-born grandchild.”
I doubt Beau Biden “respects” me, but it was quite startling to hear the vice president confirm what many Democrats fear — that Beau does not want to be the candidate.
http://www.delawareonline.com/print/article/20100124/OPINION03/1240302/VP-Biden-Beau-doesn-t-want-to-run
VP to Harry Themal: Always a pleasure of seeing you buddy. Talk Ted into running, if Beau doesn’t. Talk him into running – he respects you. I wish I had the power of appointing Senators. I’d appoint him from Maryland if he wouldn’t do Delaware.
Harry Themal: “I don’t think he wants to run, though.”
VP: No I don’t think he does either. I know he doesn’t. I’m so proud of the job he’s done. God.
Harry: Would you campaign for him?
VP: Oh hell yeah, man. I tell you what – I was joking if Beau didn’t run – I told him I’d give him my 6th-born grandchild. And you know, he said ‘I have enough of those.’ Alright, buddy, thanks. (Call ends).
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0110/31918.html
http://blogs.abcnews.com/thenote/2010/01/vps-office-biden-was-talking-about-ted-kaufman-not-beau-biden.html
“I doubt Beau Biden “respects” me, but it was quite startling to hear the vice president confirm what many Democrats fear — that Beau does not want to be the candidate.” – Harry F. Themal of the Wilmington News Journal
VP Biden: Beau doesn’t want to run
By HARRY F. THEMAL
The News Journal
In January 2009, when Joe Biden said goodbye to the Senate where he had served for 36 years, he told his colleagues, “I will always be a Senate man. Except for the title of ‘father,’ there is no title, including ‘vice president,’ that I am more proud to wear than that of United States senator.”
Now, one year later, he is dismayed by what has happened to the Senate, and he is trying to convince a reluctant son to run for his former seat.
In a wide-ranging interview last week about his first year as vice president, Biden said a “lamentable atmosphere” exists in the Senate, a view he says is shared by some of his long-time Republican friends. Sixty votes are needed to pass almost anything to forestall a filibuster, because the Republicans are unanimously saying no. How did a deliberative constitutional body lose the basic principle that a majority — in the Senate’s case, 51 votes — doesn’t count?
“I have never seen one party [standing] the rules on their head like this,” Biden says. “I can’t think of a time when every single vote, from an NLRB nomination to health care, required 60 votes. No democracy can long be sustained where you can only rule by supermajority.”
So Biden has constitutional scholars researching whether and how such a stalemate can be broken. As vice president, he presides over the Senate he so loves and where he can cast the tie-breaking vote. “I never thought we would get a genuine bipartisanship on health reform, but I also didn’t think people would vote against funding our troops in Iraq and Afghanistan by directly voting against the defense appropriation bill.”
Calling that Senate stalemate the greatest disappointment of his first 12 months as the nation’s second-highest elected official, Biden said his two greatest surprises have been “institutional constraints” and how he has become an “impact player.” The constraints he most chafes against are the security arrangements required by his office, when “I got to have 28 Secret Service agents when I take off,” and when he cannot easily invite or circulate with the Delawareans who have long been his friends.
He is pleased with “how quickly I have been able to be an impact player in the implementation of ideas and initiatives.”
We spoke after he had just had his weekly one-on-one meeting with President Obama in a small dining room off the Oval Office. Over his tomato soup and a cheeseburger, they discussed personal matters but concentrated on foreign concerns and domestic issues that each wanted to bring up. It’s obvious Obama and he have created an excellent working relationship.
Biden has been the country’s point man on Iraq, speaking frequently to its leaders on the phone and inviting all parties to his Washington office, and visiting the country now for the fourth time. He is concerned that 500 candidates have been disqualified for the coming election. As a New York Times Magazine profile headlined in November, Biden “could be the second-most-powerful vice president in history” as a “foreign policy sage, sounding board, senatorial arm-twister, troubleshooter.”
According to his office, Biden is projected to be the most-traveled vice president ever, already having visited 14 countries and having met more than 120 foreign officials in their countries and in Washington. The office also compiled some other achievements for that first year: He oversaw the White House Middle Class Task Force and the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act; raised funds for 33 candidates from 19 states; “was instrumental in Sen. Arlen Specter’s switch to the Democratic Party”; hosted more than 5,000 people (with wife Jill) at their official home at the Naval Observatory and has made “fighting for veterans and military families a major priority.”
Biden’s analysis of the Democrats’ loss in Massachusetts was similar to others’. The key problem for the Democrats may have been that the Republicans campaigned against the health care bill in the only state that already covers almost all of its citizens. He felt that Democrat Martha Coakley “paid virtually no attention to the race, always a disaster. … I don’t think the Republicans would have been ahead had she hit the ground running.” He also called the GOP winner, Scott Brown, an “attractive personality, who came across as confident, was a good campaigner.”
He didn’t mention it, but Biden himself was a virtual unknown quantity when he won his first term against the popular J. Caleb Boggs in 1972 in perhaps as much of an upset.
It certainly seems as if the president’s coattails are very short these days, since not only did Coakley lose in a strongly Democratic state but Republican governors were recently elected in New Jersey and Virginia. Obama campaigned for Democrats in all three states. Biden does not draw a doomsday conclusion from that for the November elections.
“Initially you’ll see great consternation, wringing of hands, ‘Does this mean our administration is dead?’ ” Biden said. He points out that after the 2008 election when the Republicans got clobbered, “people said the Republican Party is dead and buried and gone forever,” but it’s bounced back.
“As far as the Democrats may be down in the polls, the Republicans are down further,” he pointed out. Even though both congressional parties are in the 20s or 30s percentage-wise, both the president and the vice president continue to rate in the 50s and 60s. To win in November, “we have to focus on what’s on people’s immediate plate. If by November the president is able to stand up and say, ‘I kept my commitment,’ and all combat troops are out of Iraq, and we again have the beginnings of a functioning democracy there, we have the support of the international community to deal with Iran, we have halted the job loss and have created more than a million jobs,” chances are good for the Democrats.
“That’s in contrast with the Republicans, who have offered virtually nothing.”
Biden cited Obama’s forceful aid to Haiti as showing the level of competency Delawareans always approved.
In contrast, he thinks President George W. Bush’s handling of the devastation caused by Hurricane Katrina in Louisiana and the Gulf Coast was probably the “most single damaging thing that happened to George Bush.”
Our conversation ended with a surprising request from the vice president as he hurried off to a national security meeting. Spontaneously, he turned to the possible Delaware senatorial campaign of his son Beau.
Biden: “If you run into Beau, talk him into running; he respects you.”
Me: “I don’t think he wants to run, though.”
Biden: “I don’t think he does either. I know he doesn’t want to. … I’m so proud of the job he’s done [as attorney general].”
Me: “Would you campaign for him [against Republican Mike Castle]?”
Biden: “Hell, yes. I told him I’d give him my sixth-born grandchild.”
I doubt Beau Biden “respects” me, but it was quite startling to hear the vice president confirm what many Democrats fear — that Beau does not want to be the candidate.
Brandon: Why are you covering for Biden. Just go and read what Harry wrote.
There’s audio of it and it confirms the transcript provided by the VP’s office in the links that I have provided multiple times. It’s just sloppy reporting by the guy in the Delaware paper.
WHO WANTS TO DISCUSS ABORTION?
No issue is more important…
Hahaha
Let Harry correct his report then.
Still, you’d think Biden’s son would have declared now if he really was running.
Castle has millions in the bamk.
Yeah, I agree. He’s more likely to run for re-election to AG than for Senate at this point.
Let’s talk polls and their implications:
If the current polls persist in Nov (which basically means that Indies vote 2:1 against Dems), and if the turnout in individual states mirror the respective turnouts in the 2008 elections, the following Dem senate seats will flip:
CO, IN, AR, DE (barely), WA, WI, CA, CT, PA, NV.
NY and, interestingly, IL will not.
If anyone brings this up again, I will ahck this friggin site and bring down HHR. Enough!
Sam,
That is just it. Turnout will NOT mirror 08. More R’s than D’s will turn out and the indy’s will turn out with an anti D vote especially the seniors and white men.
This could be historically ugly for the Democrats. I am very comfortable with my predictions and now think they may be too conservative.
135.Let’s talk polls and their implications:
NO! Let’s talk ABORTION!
…nothing else matters.
Texans, is it true that Republicans go to a runoff if nobody gets 50% in a primary?
Where’s gallup
OK…so I was looking to see if there were any interesting movies to go and see today on this damp day here in NorCal. I came across a movie callled 3 Idiots. Naturally, I assumed this was a documentary on Obama, Pelosi, and Reid…but I was wrong. It is a bollywood comedy. Hmmm…
Tina,
Gallup: 48/47
I don’t know if this has been posted yet. Apologies if has, but it is just too funny to let go to waste.
This piece is from a left wing prof calling Obama out on his last year as President.
“Another great trick for crashing a presidency is to pick all the wrong priorities to ‘fight’ for. Imagine, for example, if FDR had substituted for his ‘Day of Infamy’ speech right after Pearl Harbor a ringing call for an American revolution in cobbler technology! Yes, that’s right, in response to the devastating surprise attack by the armed forces of the Empire of Japan, what if the president urgently called upon us all to start making really amazing shoes?! Before it’s too late, and we all get blisters on our feet! Similarly, Mr. Obama, your spending the last year on (jive) health care and jetting around the world dipping your toes into foreign policy problems while Americans are losing their jobs and their houses is a fine way to kill your presidency. Guaranteed to work every time.”
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/p-j-gladnick/2010/01/23/leftwing-professor-writes-hilarious-essay-about-conan-obama
BTW, I saw “Legion” yesterday; the new apocalyptic movie. Pretty bad movie! More like a straight to video rental or something you see made for the sci-fi channel. The theater was not crowded and I noticed a few folks left and did not return…not a good Omen…no pun intended.
Thanks..
I think that Biden’s version of the conversation makes more sense (why would he offer Beau his 6th grandchild?; whereas I could see him jokingly offering a grandchild to Kaufman). That being sad, the fact that Biden wants a reporter to convince Kaufman to run “if Beau doesn’t run) makes me think that Beau is strongly leaning against running, and that the Democrats don’t have any other first-tier candidates willing to run.
Castle would crush Kaufman.
Tommy Boy, I’m not a Texan, but, yes, there are run-offs in TX primaries if no one gets 50%+1.
MD
my point on stagflation is think. You must stagnant or have no growth plus inflation.
Right now we are not stagnant as we are still losing jobs-job losses have slowed but its still pointing downward. Frankly the white house would be thankful for the job market to be flat or stagnant.
So I say we need to see improvement in the job market to get to stagnant growth. I agree with you as well that any uptick will almost certainly be followed by some inflation. So its very likely we will see a period stagflation its just that right now we so depressed that stagflation would be an improvement in our current conditions.
I just hope for the sake of the unemploymed that we do not see 11% unemployment.
The Delaware paper corrected it’s story:
An earlier version of Harry Themal’s column incorrectly said Vice President Biden said his son, Attorney General Beau Biden, did not want to run for the U.S. Senate. Vice President Biden was referring to Sen. Ted Kaufman, who currently holds the seat and has said he will not run for the seat in the November election.
http://www.delawareonline.com/article/20100124/OPINION03/1240302/1004/OPINION/VP+Biden++Beau+doesn+t+want+to+run
Is it too soon to talk about any policy decisions other then Healthcare. I think the turky called obamacare is dead but like Farve it may have another comeback. Either way raising the debt ceiling is under discussion in both the house and senate. Obama’s treasury department wants a 1.9 trillion dollar increase in debt ceiling. That might get it past 2012 elections. maybe. Certainly past 2010 elections.
Blue dogs and the GOP want some sort fiscal sanity to return. Obama has agreeded to a commission to tackle our deficit problem. Can you say toothless?? Various others want a commission with authorities like the base closing board where recommendations become law unless there is a no vote.
I think boards and studies have their uses. Frankly the congress and President should face the hard decisions themselves. A commission could show them where to cut but do they really need others to tell them what is fairly obvious. Plus if they disagree wouldn’t their arguements mirror disagreements in Congress? Guns or butter or schools or healthcare or whatever??
Either way more details in the week ahead
Yes. Expect a runnoff in Texas. Medina will probably get 12-15%. Then expect most of her people to go for Perry.
If the one and the dems in congress had a budget that came after gop spending programs, it wouldn’t bother me at all. Then again the big ones are sugar and military and the dems have interests there too. Take on big sugar Nancy
“Obama has agreeded to a commission to tackle our deficit problem. Can you say toothless?? Various others want a commission with authorities like the base closing board where recommendations become law unless there is a no vote.”
—
It’s all toothless and a waste of time as you say they are too pussified to make the calls themselves. BTW I didn’t grant power to a commission, I granted it too my elected official.
Wheels on the bus go round and round.
“Not for long BJ. My prediction:
Indy – 45
Jets – 10″
Good AFC title game. Colts can explode at anytime. Jets doing a good job of playing smart. Still, not sure they can hold the Colts down for long. The JETS need to put up 30 to win ..
great my sat disk just went out, heavy rain an tornado’s here in atl.
My friend who is friends with the Bidens says it is less likely that Beau will run after Mass. and that he thinks the Democrats will basically give up the seat if Beau doesn’t run.
Say what????
economy has turned a corner-
maybe tripped down a step and broke a leg.
I can’t believe what people will say on TV
absolutely hideous job reports for 9 months and we are turning the corner
158 – She’s insane to think people are going to buy that chit rdelbov.
Here is another one of Obama’s problems on the horizon —> terrorism.
NYPD’s Ray Kelly gave a speech to young New York GOPers, and here is what he had to say:
“We were not consulted,” Kelly said tersely of the decision. He stated that the trial “will raise the threat level of this city,” a threat that “will not fade any time soon.” And it affects more than lower Manhattan, we learned. “We will have to look at the entire city as a potential target.”
The audience was stunned. Then Kelly opened the floor to questions.
Every audience response which followed – if my memory and others’ is correct – was about terrorism in general and the KSM trial in particular.
http://www.loudcitizen.org/2010/01/nypds-ray-kelly-quietly-drops-anvil-on.html
I am not sure Medina ultimately get 12%. She does seem to have a following but at this point its depth is a mystery to me, she is an unknown in North Texas.
You could be right GM. Her present numbers are off a good debate performance and might be temporary. Certainly she has no ad money. If Perry doesn’t get 50% it will be due to her getting at least 7 or 8 percent.
Can you say desperate? I knew you could:
Phil if she only gets 7-8 Perry climbs above 50%. Hutch is floundering and would get at best 40% right now. That leaves 52-53 for Perry.
You know why they cant get 60 votes for the commission? Because Republicans know it will be all tax increases and no spending cuts. The Democrat Party way. You got the votes, Obama try to rahm it through.
Evan Bayh is absolutely dreaming. In addition he is feeling some pain in those poll numbers.
KBH is indeed flounfering. She’s spent millions already blanketing the airways with little or nothing to show for it. It all boils down to the fact that she has yet to give Texas Republicans any reason to change horses.
If Pence runs Bayh will need to spend millions to keep his seat and that may not do it.
Phil,
Over 6,000 Texans have signed up for the Perry/Palin SB party. Why the heck did they schedule it for the SB?
“Obama would have to set it up by executive fiat.”
—
I hope he does that as it would have no legitimate binding for Congressional action.
BREAKING: Marion Berry(D-AR) to Retire
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/house/marion-berry-to-retire.html?wprss=thefix
1st AR
59 McCain 38 Obama
Ouch
Ron Paul addresses his vote against the Haiti resolution that was 432-1 in an hour long speech to the Mises Institute. He says that actual bill was about the right to occupy Haiti forever and start a new bases overseas.
Ron Paul reminds me of a John Bircher Congressman we had here, by the name of Larry McDonald.
Just a radical….
Christopher manion who was Jesse Helms chief of staff discusses the Sarah Palin Beatle mania.
Bad news for the Dems, Brandon. Bunu/Acroso/Inualid 1-380,000, do us all a favor: Stuff some lit dynamite down your pants and jump out a high-rise building.
#174-
McDonald was the closest congressman to Paul probably.
,
Good run for the Jets. Getting this far w/ a rookie coach, rookie QB, rookie RB. Future is bright.
I’m excited to watch Favre.
The last time Favre was in a NFC championship, there was that 4th and 18 problem.
“stuff some lit dynamite down your pants and jump out a high-rise building.”
Some sort of Jihad thing?
Tim, Paul reminds me of Heath Ledger’s Joker from the Dark Knight: He’s a loon who attracts paranoid schizophrenics. Hence why Bunu/Acroso/Invalid 1-50,000 worships him.
Tim,
Wasn’t Larry McDonald on the Korean airliner the Soviets shot down in ‘83? I recall there being a slew of conspiracy theories over that incident.
No, I wasn’t telling you to engage in an act of terror. I was telling you to commit suicide so we don’t have to read your Paulian lunacy.
Paul is getting harder and harder to take seriously.
Wes,
Ah OK. I though you were promoting Jihad when I read it.
can’t Paul be primaried? He is getting nuttier by the day. I am afraid he could say something outrageous and lose the general. His crap about Haiti is pretty close.
Doesn’t Phil live in Paul’s district? Can we primary him? It would bother me to have to vote for him in a general although I would do it.
“can’t Paul be primaried? He is getting nuttier by the day. I am afraid he could say something outrageous and lose the general. His crap about Haiti is pretty close.”
Why don’t you ask Newt Gingrich that please.
Mike Ross may be next, unless he switches.
We are going to wipe out every Southern Democrat that’s not in a 50% minority district with the exception of that one guy in Mississippi.
Cook had Arkansas 1 as likely D, and now it will be a toss up at worst so this really is a helpful retirement.
I’d rather there be a large southern conservative contingent to poison the well so to speak. DINO’s to screw over any democratic majority and who vote conservative 80%+ of the time. Getting those seats to switch to republican will only increase the ACU rating by 5-10% anyways.
Not true Dio. These Southern Democrats were total frauds for the most part.
Berry retiring is huge.
Scott Brown STILL has $4 million on hand because he could not spend the money he was raising fast enough.
http://10ksnookers.blogspot.com/2010/01/scott-brown-raised-some-serious-cash.html?utm_source=API&utm_medium=twitter
Kirk is up 20 points in the primary in Hughes’ internal poll.
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/01/with-eight-days-left-until.html
#194 If Kirk had a legitimate opponent, there’s little chance that he would win.
193 – That’s very good news, he will need it in 2 years.
That is awesome about Brown; to outspend the DNC and its cronies with mostly small donations (I think Cornyn ended up pumping about $500K towards the end) is nothing short of miraculous.
Correct about Larry MacDonald being shot in Korean airplane by Russians
Did I mention Larry M. was a democrat. Yup John Bircher and a democrat.
What a combo
Apparently the RNC started taking notice of Brown when polls showed him being somewhat competitive with Coakley. But they deliberately decided to hold off on inserting major funds into his campaign until towards the end, when it wouldn’t show up on any pre-election campaign reporting.
Sort of a stealth RNC contribution. It was not a bad strategy!
187
There has been talk of primarying Paul for several cycles. No one steps up. Paule is in his mid 70s and I think possible contenders are just thinking he won’t be around that much longer.
Paul loves the attention and will die in office unless defeated.
Why is the Saint’s mascot a dog?
Shouldn’t it be a Saint, or a racoon?
Saints’
I hope favre is not hurt right now. If he s playing with a concussion, this could go poorly. I missed the seeing the hit on him.
Gingrich spent over 1 million of rncc money on paul’s primary opponent, and Paul wasn’t an incumbant at the time since he was running to return to congress in 96.
The 10 biggest political upsets in recent American history
Ross in the Ark-4th would indeed be an inviting target with the right candidate. The district went 58-39 for McCain.
A Republican held this seat until 2000 when Ross won election with 51%. He plays the good ol boy, likes to shoot skeet etc. Has a slightly to the conservative side voting record. Would love to see him switch parties, but that’s probably too much to hope for. We will need a good candidate.
Ross has done a better job to distance himself from Pelosi and Obama than the others.
199 – Old news Jan.
204 – It was a pretty stunning hit.
Had about enough of this Favre love fest….gimme a break. Geaux Saints.
210
Right on, when will someone break his neck already.
210-211 Lol.
Re:202….Jones….the mascot for the Saints is a “Saint” Bernard dog.
That actually makes sense.
Someone please hide Favre’s “Hover round” electric scooter during halftime.
http://althouse.blogspot.com/2010/01/what-to-do-about-those-science-classes.html
Rothenberg will move the number of Democrat seats at risk from 44 to 58
I am the TaxMan
HT: Wizbang
Patterico is blowing up the Obama astroturfing scheme. It’s incredible.
I am surprised that the Tribune did not poll the senate race as Hoffman and Gian have been hot and heavy.
By all indications Mark Kirk is cruising to the GOP nod
#220 I wouldn’t say that he’s cruising at 42% with all his name recognition compared to the others.
If there were two more months, I wouldn’t be surprised to see this Al Salvi clone, as Wes has described Hughes, win this race outright.
221-then thank goodness the election is next week.
If anyone wants to see some 2012 primary polling from the early states courtesy of Ras, my friend Kavon Nikrad is commissioning it. Check out the following link if you want to make it happen:
http://race42008.com/2010/01/22/lets-make-some-news/
#198:
No, he was not a Democrat. He simply ran as one, because Ga. was a one-party state, at the time. What he was was a member of the National Council of the John Birch Society, and later its’ chairman. Among other things, the Birch Society founder, Robert Welch, believed that Israel was a pro-Communist country, that President Eisenhower was a Soviet agent, and that Kennedy was killed because he wasn’t following orders from Moscow, fast enough. They also think to this day, that the U.N. is in business to form a one-world government, and that people like the Rockefellers and Bushes were in on it.
I have voted Republican 9 times in my life. Five of those times were to vote against McDonald. He admired Joe MCarthy, and was a member of the Joe McCarthy Historical Society. He opposed the Civil Rights Act, and making King’s Birthday a holiday. He thought King was also being used by the Communists, if not one himself.
He also talked all that craziness about the Tr-Lateral Commission, the Bildeberg Conference, and so forth.
And, Dr. Paul called him the “most principled man in Congress”?
Geez….
Tim,
If I may, who were the other four Republicans to receive your vote? (or at least, the other four contests).
TB
I take your point. ILL is a hard primary state unless you got lots of money or some sort of burning issue. Its darn cold right now in ILL so door to door is just about unless you got a volunteer army.
Upsets happen by Kirk has loads of bucks for very conservative sounding ads of him in his Military uniform. Kirk has most of the party endorsements plus newspapers-money-plus one of his oppenents is a real kook. That builds him some mojo.
I would be suspicious of a poll -paid for by Hughes-from teh Shamrock polling company which I have never heard of.
I think Kirk is still well ahead. We have no independent polling since December, Kirk has 2.5 million in the bank and is not running a paniced campaign.
I say he is well ahead-but not coasting or cruising-until some sort of real poll shows otherwise.
Rdel,
Chicago Tribune poll also showed him at 41%. I suspect Kirk will end up with at least 65% of the vote next week.
Obama to come out swinging and uncompromising.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703415804575023503578243386.html?mod=WSJ_hpp_LEFTTopStories
Favre needs some pain killer.
#225:
George, I voted for Mack Mattingly in 1980, when he beat Herman Talmadge. When I heard about the $500,000 raincoat, I could not vote for a crook.
The other three votes were against a local politician, who I found out was also a member of the Ku Klux Klan.
I am a partisan Democrat. That is true. But, I will gladly vote for the Republican candidate if I believe that the good of the Country is at stake. That doesn’t mean I don’t make mistakes. Like anyone else, I surely do. But, if I know something like the stuff on these guys, then no way they get my vote.
I believe we must ALWAYS put Country before Party.
We owe that to guys like you….
Tim,
I suspect you’ll add a tenth democrat to your list in 2012 :0
If Roy Barnes is the nominee down here this year, Tommy, there’s no. 10, right there.
I plan on writing in someone, rather than vote for him.
TB
you could be right. Hope so.
Tough tone from Obama. Mercy-Obama could used a little tough words last summer and got HC signed. Mind you I didn’t want this bill signed but talking tough now is like complaining about the chickens getting out.
229 – What he really needs if for his team mates to stop dropping the darn ball.
I’m looking for someone to write in, Tommy. Woulkd you like a vote for Governor of Georgia?
#235 Write-in Sarah Palin
I’ve met Thurgood Baker by the way. Was he considering running for governor?
How the left looks at the “state of the union.”
Daily Kos: Obama unbound
“The media narrative has transformed. The fact that Republicans have the ability to filibuster obviates Obama and the Democrats from the sole responsibility to pass reform and allows the administration and Congressional Democrats to strike a decidedly partisan tone by blaming Republican obstructionism for anything that doesn’t get passed. This will force Republicans like Scott Brown to either face the anger of the voters for blocking reform, or face the anger and disinterest of their base if they accede to it.”
—-
Too bad but the public isn’t going to by that with 250+ in the house and 59 in the Senate. Remember all that “Bad stuff” the left said the GOP passed from 2001-2006? They never had near the number the dems have today.
#236:
You mean AG Thurbert Baker? Yes, he is running for Governor. But, he has to somehow get Gov. Barnes into a runoff. Toss-up prospect, at best.
Kos people are funny.
Tim you can write me in.
The real race down here is on the GOP side, though. Real battle royale, there. Knighthawk can tell you more than I can about that, if he’s around.
Read the Dick Morris piece about what he heard pelosi and Reid are up to re HC bill and jamming it up our arses. Then, plz discuss while I lurk like a jerk.
Yeah 7 way slug fest lol, probably helping Barnes a little atm.
242 – Long as you don’t jerk your snake while you lurk.
#242 LINK?
Aw c’mon KH! That’s a foul!
246 What’s foul is the stupid interception Farve just threw with 12 seconds left instead of running 10 yards and winning with a FG. lol
I’ve got connections at Taco Bell…this chick always hooks me up with a five-layer burrito for 89 cents…call me Sssssnake..
248 – Who ever wrote that small hands BK commercial needs to be fired.
You notice that the white guy in every ad is always a dork, a moron, or a jerk? Seriously, the marketing agencies of the country are making us white guys look like idiots. If you start paying attention, you see it everywhere. American Thinker had an article on this about a year ago so I started paying attention for it and by God, it’s like that in every commercial!
I hardle ever eat Burger King anyway…they are always filthy.
Farve getting his arse knocked in tonight. That is one tough sonofabeeotch.
Saints won.
Vikings lose
I need an umbrella and lessons on how to dance with samesaid umbrella.
Brent Fails!
254 – Actually that is a better way of putting it.
255 – Yup cost them the game, though he had some help too – lol.
That game turned into who could screw up the least, exciting though, but for all the wrong reasons.
Congrats to the Saints fans.
I sowed all my wild oats in New Orleans…waited tables and tended bar in the French Quarter. It’s my adopted home town. It’s about time those folks field a team bound to debone peyton the jack butt manning! I wish I was on Bourbon right now. God love’em!
I wondered why we did not see anything from the Trib on a senate poll to go with their governor’s poll-Here is now for Monday’s paper
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/elections/ct-met-senate-poll-20100124,0,6657184.story
Alex G has a 34-19 Jackson to 16 (hoffman) lead over his two main oppenents. I consider this good news as Alex G. is Mr. insider/scandal waiting to open guy.
On the GOP side Kirk has 47 while Hughes has 8 % with a smattering of votes going to 5 other candidates. 1/3 is undecided but to overcome a 47-8 lead in 8 days would be a huge upset. I have watched some of Kirk’s video’s on his site and he is very bright and articulate.
The democrats have absolutely pounded Alex G and it looks like he will end up with less then 40% of the primary vote. There’s a big budget gap in ILL and the party is divided-Obama is not as popular-the economy sinks-this could be a comeback year for the GOP in the land of Lincoln.
WHOOOOOO DAT!!!!! I hope announcer Joe Buck takes some tissue and finds the nearest bathroom to relieve the woody he’s had for Favre all frikkin night! Laissez Le Bon Temps Rouler, Baby!!
hubby got me a new toy
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mf2rIIfm5TE
Buck is the worst. His dad was great for the Cardinals, but the son is a dousche.
#258: Kirk will get the nod over all. Hughes does not look at all impressive.
Alex G will get the nod and the race w/ Kirk.
BTW: Kirk won in a district that went 61-38 BHO. If he can do that in the Cook County Suburbs and the Collar counties, he will be in good shape.
There are possibilities of house seats changing hands. Foster, Bean , and Halverson all occupy seats in red districts.
Isn’t Mardi Gras the 1st week of February?
WE need a new thread> Favre: Does he stay or does he go???
Fat Tuesday is February 16th.
I think so, Red
Read the Dick Morris article peeps. It’s like reading a Wylie post(no offense Wylie-you is duh man when it comes to crappycare!) But plz check it out over at lucianne.com.
That’s pretty embarrassing for Kirk to be at 47% against a bunch of no-names.
Tommy_Boy says:
January 24, 2010 at 11:21 pm
That’s pretty embarrassing for Kirk to be at 47% against a bunch of no-names
Not much interest in the GOP primary. BTW IF you think thata embarrassing look at the polls for ILGOP Gov. The Top contender is polling under 20% and Jim Ryan may win the primary, even more embarrassing
Tommy: WOuld it not be embarrassing for the DEMS to lose the Obama seat to kirk???
#269
Both are embarrassing.
The poll is kind of funny in the sense that Kirk is doing better among “fairly conservative” Republicans than he is among “moderate/liberal” Republicans.
Interesting that 45% of the Republican vote is from downstate and that 35% of Republicans consider themselves “very conservative.”
Tommy_boy,
did you see my video of tm the toady in 260?
I think its name recognition and these “fairly conservative ” republican are fed up with the way the state has gone in he dumpster
I would have thought downstate would have topped 55 -60 percent however there are a lot of suburban rep in the collar counties. Not many republican left in Cook.
When is Brown going to be seated?
Stuart Rothenberg is now saying that 58 dem seats are now in play, up from 47 in December. He says there are also 7 dem Senate seats in play as well, and is predicting that Lincoln of Arkansas will lose her seat to a republican.
Supposedly he is publishing a report of all this on Monday.
Good question, Tina.
obama may put a freeze on all discretionary spending during his state of the union
Hopefully soon.
he won’t really stop spending
he will just say it for popularity’s sake
Tina, you live in CA like me. Check this out.
CA dems seek single payer health insurance
Jan,
it is a good thing CA has lots of money to do that
#277 lisab,
Most of Obama’s flights on Marine One and Air Force One are discretionary. Perhaps he will confine himself to the White House?
Jan,
If the CA leg outlaw’s private insurance so secretively, someone has to get the word out. That’s just amazing. I can’t imagine passing legislation of such significance without comment or public debate.
More like a Politburo than a legislature …
k
Any comments from the lawyers here on Jan’s #280?
Seems as if it might be illegal to ban an otherwise legal private business.
Marv,
it is not law yet, so do not sweat it
#267 Shout out to ya Snake buddy!
#285 lisab,
OK, thanks. How’d you day go?
Folks-this country is headed to revolution with the shitt these wackos are pushing. There will be blood. I’m not kidding. The next 9 months will be extremely contentious and this State of the Union will put us on a collision course with the left.
That Patterico piece on all the astroturfing is really blowing up to like 6 or 7 examples of fictitious Obama sympathizers now.
When independents in MA go against you 73-25 and you still push the turd, there will be blood. When gas hits $4 this summer it will come to a head. Mark my words.
#288 Snake,
Scott Brown was elected on the 203rd anniversary of the birth of Robert E. Lee.
Marv,
my day went great! i made the movie in 260, check it out!
it’s officially called Zombiecare now Wylie–is that appropriate since it keeps coming back from the dead? I saw that on Ace’s comment thread. Zombiecare has a nice ring to it.
Marv, just read about the CA HC piece this evening. It took me totally by surprise. Can’t see how something this ludicrous could pass.
Just a reminder, if you want a 2012 primary poll from Ras, see if you can spare a couple of bucks for link 223.
Marv-i saw Scott Brown and listened to all his ads and his interviews and victory speech for the first time this weekend. Before that, I had never heard him or seen his charisma. Don’t have cable. I think this guy has what it takes to go all the way some day. He’s a natural. He has balls. Humor. Debates well. And comes across as a normal dude. He will be a real thorn in the side of the wackos. The Robert E. Lee reference is perfectly suitable.
#290 lisab,
I already checked it out. In fact, I asked my wife to order the “Downfall” DVD the next time she had a chance to log on to Amazon.
Somehow, I missed it when it came out in 2004.
I’m quite a WWII history buff (I have to be to stay ahead of you in our ongoing occasional trivia challenges.)
#294 Snake,
I agree, I like Brown. The only problem that I see is that he is in the Massachusetts Army National Guard!! (I was in the Air Force)
Marv,
since you are air force … which ace downed the most enemy aircraft in one mission … and how many aircraft did he down?
also, you may appreciate this, although it is navy
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=me3kl2kXe6c
Yeah, but Brown should be an honorary member of every branch after stomping the enemy in that battle.
Edde Ricconbacher 21 shot down
here is a good one … among the common german armour of ww2 which was the most cost efficient, i.e. destroyed the most enemy tanks for the money spent producing it?
Excellent article about how Democrats/leftist create trumped up “crisises” based on the lack of absolute perfection inherent in freedom/free markets and propose government interventions that make the situation worse:
http://andrews.blogtownhall.com/2010/01/24/the_cycle_of_compassion.thtml
“What I am describing as the “cycle of compassion” is a series of events every bit as deadly as the supposed “cycle of violence”, as far more certain to follow one another. The pattern is seen every day in American politics. A politician, looking for an issue on which to hang his hat, finds an area of life which falls short of perfection manages to stir up public indignation over that imperfection, maybe creates a few convenient villains to blame for the lack of perfection and finally pushes through some ill-considered laws intended to enforce perfection.
What makes this so deadly is a combination of three factors, though only one really needs to exist, and as I will show, by definition it must. The two non-essential factors, which nevertheless almost always coexist are poor planning and excessive promises. The third, and essential factor, is the impossibility of delivering via government intervention, even were the promises kept sensible and the plan well thought out.”
Good night peeps. I have to shed my skin tomorrow. Real pain in the azz, never comes at a good time either. Here I was watching the NFC game talking to this lady snake and my face starts falling off into my beer. Embarrassin I tell you. Cheers!
Lisab-i say the Hindenberg..no,,,I have no clue on that one.
eddie rickenbacker was the top american ace until ww2,
but he had less than one tenth the number of victories that the ace in question 297
Compulsary Insurance schemes aka employer and individual mandates ARE govt run HC – we need to keep the pressure on the statists to drop CrappyCare entirely – no fake “compromises” on compulsary insurance or “popular” insurance “reforms”:
http://andrews.blogtownhall.com/2010/01/24/the_cycle_of_compassion.thtml
“Which brings me to the results of mandatory insurance.
One result of mandatory insurance is similar to that of forcing coverage for pre-existing conditions. The government gains an ability to define what is and is not “insurance”, and as a result, they can effectively mandate coverage for specific conditions. As I mentioned before, this will force insurers to cover those conditions, which will lead to increased premiums, and, as a result, either higher subsidies, or mandated premiums.
And what are the results of either? Both effectively put insurance under government control. If the government pays subsidies for more and more people, then more and more of the income of insurers depends on government payments, making the government effectively the only customer of the insurers. Likewise, if the government reduces premiums, bankrupting insurers, the only options are to pay direct subsidies to insurers, which would give them direct control, or create government funded insurance.
In all cases, the outcome if effectively a single-payer system, whether it is obviously one, or is disguised as a system of subsidies and mandates.”
Obama and his NEA/SEIU letter writing astroturf – I encountered these phoney at every town hall I went to this summer – SEIU/NEW types reading DNC talking points – yeah, they sent the same DNC talking points crap to the local newspapers too:
http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2010/01/obama_astroturf_popping_up_all.html
“Obama Astroturf Popping Up All Over
Clarice Feldman
Patterico and his readers are uncovering numerous instances of pro-Obama astroturfed letters to editors all over the country under multiple names.
Are these NEA members who were expected to change the names along with the phony addresses and were too dumb to catch on? My friend Sue thinks it might be.
If not the NEA, it surely represents an orchestrated campaign.”
#207 lisab
Captain David McCampbell, US Navy(ret) shot down 9 enemy aircraft in mission on 24 Oct 44. At the time he held the rank of Commander. He was later presented the Medal of Honor.
#307 was in response to #297.
Here is the REAL HISTORY of how GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION in the name of “compassion” and pursuing an unobtainable UTOPIAN PERFECTION took the best healt care system in the world and created ALL of the problems they now call a “crisis” which they are using as a pretext for YET MORE GOVT INTEVERNTION which will ultimately DESTROY PRIVATE HEALTH CARE AND HEALTH INSURANCE:
http://andrews.blogtownhall.com/2010/01/24/the_cycle_of_compassion.thtml
“And so, starting from one bad law, we get another, and, when that fails to live up to the hype, yet another. And all along, each failure is treated as a “crisis”, leading to hastily enacted, over-reaching laws which are sold through hyperbolic promises. Which means, as things progress, the situation becomes ever worse, with bad law piling on top of bad law, each carrying massive, unanticipated consequences, with the consequences requiring still more bad laws, themselves burdened with consequences. And so, before too long, what started as a situation simply less than perfect has degenerated into an actual crisis, all from efforts to “fix” a lack of perfection.
In short, the government has taken normal circumstances of the real world and managed to create a crisis by trying to aim for perfection.
Perhaps the best example is to be found in medicine. Prior to the 1960’s there was little enough regulation. (Excepting for employee health insurance — see below.) Individual states regulated medical licensing4, and there were some state controls over hospitals and such, as well as the usual controls over insurance, but by and large medicine was a private industry and run as such. And, as any business, it tended to provide services pretty well, at a reasonable price, providing services to most, but not all, individuals. In fact, most hospitals and others even offered free services, even in states where it was not mandated, as attested by testimony offered in hearing on Medicare and Medicaid held in the 1960’s. So there was no lack of service, not lack of “access”. As was made clear at the time, the reason for medicare and medicaid was not a lack of service, but an effort to spare the poor and elderly the “embarrassment” of relying on charity.
Keep that in mind. All of this started to spare the poor and old having to ask hospitals for charity. Not to make sure they got care, but to spare their feelings.
But, as soon as they enacted this plan, the inevitable happened. When a good becomes free, people use too much, and providers both overcharge and begin to offer services they otherwise would not, due to price restrictions. So, costs rose massively. And thus, we had more regulation, this time restricting access, limiting hospital purchases of technology, and a host of other efforts to jeep down costs.
Let us not forget that, in parallel to this, we had another bad idea. Due to wartime restrictions on wages, we had started using health insurance as a form of salary during World War II. Due to laws enacted afterward, this practice continued, and so a number of Americans were now paying for care using insurance. And so, employees, and that groups was growing with every year of economic growth, were buying care with other people’s money. Once again, destroying any impetus to reduce costs.
Finally, starting in the 1950’s (in a handful of areas of the law even as early as the 1930’s), but coming into its own in the 1960’s and 1970’s, the tort law revolution was driving costs and creating the new phenomenon of “defensive medicine”. It was not a huge driving force, but it definitely fed into the spiral of escalating prices, as well causing doctors to ask for more and more procedures for each patient, causing the “standard of care” to include a large number of procedures designed not for any legitimate health care reason, but to avoid lawsuits.
And so, having passed medicare and medicaid, and then passed “cost cutting” measures on top of them, as well as creating the bizarre tort law environment, and the circumstances where we routinely use health insurance to pay for everything, congress had created a circumstance wherre prices were destined to rise high, and one in which they could not propose the obvious solution of rolling back all their own previous bad ideas.
Instead, we get a pair of bad ideas, both of which will lead to new bad circumstances and farther intervention. First, forcing insurers to cover pre-existing conditions. Second, requiring individuals to buy insurance.
Of course the requirement to cover pre-existing conditions makes mandatory insurance almost inevitable. After all, if one were to require insurers to cover pre-existing conditions and not require every individual to carry insurance, then they would go without until they fell ill, then buy coverage and expect pre-existing disease coverage to take care of them. In other words, insurers would make no money, as every person who bough insurance would represent a loss.
In fact, the pre-existing condition requirement also means insurance will all be “bargain basement” insurance as well. The reason is obvious. If you are required to buy insurance, and insurers are required to cover pre-existing conditions, then the best plan is to buy the cheapest insurance possible to meet the mandatory insurance coverage, but when you get a real problem, upgrade to “Cadillac” insurance to make sure you get the best service. But insurers will know that, so no one will offer top of the line insurance, as it would be begging to be bankrupted by company jumpers. So, with mandatory coverage and coverage for pre-existing conditions, we will have only bargain basement insurance.
Which will likely be deemed a “crisis” and lead to two possible responses, both part of the logical “cycle of compassion”. First, the government could step in and mandate that any pre-existing condition must be covered under the old insurer for X months after changing policies. That sounds sensible and would discourage jumping firms when you fall ill, but for long-term illness it still is not a deterrent. Also it favors the insurers (a small number of votes) over the insured (a lot of votes), so it is unlikely to be chosen.
More likely, politicians will decry the “greed” of insurers, that is their efforts to avoid bankruptcy, and so will pass laws mandating that insurers must provide what amounts to “Cadillac” insurance. Of course all insurers will still provide the minimum required by law, but they will be forced to provide a lot more than they might want.
And the result of that will likely be higher insurance premiums, which will again, bring about two government responses. Either they will end up paying larger subsidies for ever higher income ranges, or they will mandate lower premiums, both of which have clear detrimental effects, as they are shared by the logical outcomes of mandatory insurance.”
Marv,
nine is good, but this ace had more …
#300 lisab
8.8 cm FlaK 18/36/37/41
hint he was not an american
Nationality please. I could go look at Saburo Sakai’s record, but I’m getting tired.
http://twitter.com/LCGpolling/status/8090750584
“Anyone who thinks that Sarah Palin is not running for President is delusional.”
Lieutenant Junior Grade Tetsuz? Iwamoto, IJNAF, was reported to have had as many as 242 total aerial victories in combat at the China Front in 1938 and World War II in the Pacific 1941-45.
Gallup tomorrow Tommy?
lisab, where did you go? Score my test answers, please.
Unfortunately, I’m sensing an improvement back to 49/46
Yep, me too. The ever present outlier teaser. RAS has one of those going on now too.
i read Saburo Sakai’s biography years ago!!!
but no, it was not him …
he was german
lisab,
Luftwaffe pilot Erich Hartmann was the top ace of all-time with 352 aerial kills on the Russian Front. Seven kills in one day is his highest reported total.
Unless you can find something different, I think that McCampbell’s nine in one mission is the record.
from wikipedia …
“Erich Rudorffer … During the war he flew more than 1000 combat missions, was engaged in aerial combat over 300 times, was shot down by flak and enemy fighters 16 times and had to take to his parachute 9 times. His 222 aerial victories include 58 heavily armoured Il-2 Sturmovik ground attack aircraft. He was also responsible for sinking a British submarine. Since the October 2009 death of Günther Rall, he has been the highest scoring living fighter ace.”
“Erich Rudorffer earned his nickname Fighter of Libau on 28 October 1944 near the Latvian city of Libau. While preparing to land he spotted a Soviet task force of about 60 close air support aircraft on its way to attack Libau airfields. He broke off the landing and engaged the enemy without any backup. He drove off the attackers, shooting down nine enemy aircraft within 10 minutes.”
“On 11 October 1943 Erich Rudorffer wrote history when during 17 minutes he claimed 13 kills.”
lisab,
Check this out.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ace_in_a_day#Ace_in_a_day
Charles Gillespie McGee
aren’t you impressed i read Saburo Sakai’s biography?
i have read maybe four military books, Saburo Sakai’s autobiography Samurai, all’s quiet on the western front (ww1), men against fire and guadacanal diary
i have seen the ace in a day before, but Erich Rudorffer shot down 13 in ONE MISSION!
lisab,
Good job on the Saburo Sakai autobiography. I read back in high school. I’m debating weather or not to tackle “The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich.” I’m reading “Hawaii” now. MD suggested it.
Charles McGee flew 408 combat missions in World War II, Korea, and Vietnam. It is the highest three war total in US Air Force history. He was an original Tuskegee Airman.
Late Entry but the Stug III was the most cost effective “tank” of the war inflicting most of Germany’s tank kills despite the technical superiority of most of their mainline tanks.
Efficiency trumps complexity.
Goodnight folks, back in the morning to continue the struggle to recapture America from these socialist hordes that have occupied Washington, DC.
Diogenes,
Sometimes lisab asks hard questions.
“Late Entry but the Stug III was the most cost effective “tank” of the war”
yup … by far. i would have bet money you guys would have not known that.
btw, no major allied tank could win the title because italy and japan both had crappy armoured vehicles. the allies almost produced more tanks in a month than the germans produced in the entire war. thus they could not have been the most efficient.
the german tanks did not win because they were very expensive. some historians have said the king tiger was a disaster because it consumed way too many resources that could have been spent on more tiger I’s or panthers … which were both expensive.
the stug III was cheap, mobile, light enough to use most roads and bridges and very dangerous.
I always thought that the world would have been better off with Hitler winning WWII. The guy clearly had Parkinsons and would’ve been dead in a few years of natural causes anyways. And Germany had enough reform elements to have eventually disposed off the worse parts of the nazi regime within a generation (look at all the attempts on Hitler’s life). Also the “final solution” was only enacted as a desperate measure due to losing on the eastern front.
That’s not to say it would’ve been great for many peoples involved, just better than what most people endured in Eastern Europe under Stalin, a lot better. Stalin was that bad, something which the mainstream media always overlooked because the media was run by leftists.
274 – Brown will not be seated till full certification from State of MA per H.Reid – Meaning about another 10 days.