PA: Toomey Opens Up 14% Lead Over Specter
I thought the Florida poll one post down would be it for this morning, but I did find a new poll from Franklin & Marshall College that shows Republican Pat Toomey opening up a huge 14% lead over Democratic incumbent Arlen Specter in the US Senate race in Pennsylvania.
US SENATE – PENNSYLVANIA (F&M)
Pat Toomey (R) 45%
Arlen Specter (D-inc) 31%Pat Toomey (R) 41%
Joe Sestak (D) 19%
There are other numbers in the article, although the numbers above are the only ones that broke it down among likely voters. This poll was done January 18-24 among likely voters.
Good Morning. Great news about Tooney. Nice way to awaken.
Number 44…
How reliable is this FM poll? Biased (as are most academic pollsters?) So previous polls for comparison exist?
19% for sestak? is there really that many undecideds?
Another one bites the dust.
University polls are trash. They can pick up trends however and the trends are undeniable.
Not great poll numbers for S & S as democrats. Too many undecideds but the trend I believe
buh bye, traitor!
HEH
Look for Sestak to jump back for his House Seat
We do better in State Senate Races in states like Mich, NH, Minn etc.. than we do in states like VA. Wacky stuff
Sweet!
Phil, I agree. The University polls on the NJ Gov race were awful, but the trend is there
While I’m confident that Toomey is ahead, perhaps well ahead, I do struggle with a poll with so many Undecideds.
F&M generally favors Dems slightly. They actually do a good job polling on issues of trust and other attributes that make up a candidate. They ask more questions of that nature than most other orgs.
NPR poll has generic ballot at R+5.
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=122993036
My prediction is a Toomey victory by 7 to 9.
As for Sestak, I hope he goes back. Meehan can beat him. I am actually a little more worried about Sestak’s nominal replacement, Lentz who is much more to the center than Sestak.
Nice result on the F&M Poll, but it does not have a great reputation in PA. They use students to make the calls, & their results have often been outliers. Still, it fits the other recent assessments that Toomey has pulled well ahead.
Illinois Gov(Rasmussen)
Dem Primary
Hynes: 43%
Quinn: 37%
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/illinois/election_2010_illinois_democratic_primary_for_governor
To add onto 13, the top line results are often suspect. They do a good job with the public’s assessments of candidates.
Per the NPR poll, people still blame Bush for the economy.
This is why Obama isn’t in the 30’s, yet.
One day soon, he will own it.
And when he does, hello 30’s.
I think it’s only a matter of time before Lieberman comes on board and at least caucuses with the Republicans. As far as I’m concerned, he’s welcome to join us! While his lifetime ACU rating is in definite RINO-land (16% lifetime), I’ll bet if he were caucusing with the GOP, he’d get that rating up to the Snowe/Collins level (about 48%). We can’t get much better from a state like Connecticut, and Joe has been consistently good of all things national security.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2010/01/26/lieberman_open_to_running_as_a_republican_in_2012.html
Only a few hours from the greatest speech ever given…….since his last one.
What is the over and under for tingles and erections post speech?
Racists. The lot of you.
Who gets the first tingle or erection at PMS?
SCarfarce,
Fatzo
Overbite
46/53
-15
RAS
Brandon, Quinn is done in IL. Hynes is getting a Scott Brown surge.
Dan Hynes is part of the Chicago DEM Machine. His Father Tom was a Chicago Politico and a scum bag.
Hynes wants to raise taxes on the wealthy, and looks like a ferret.
This is not good news, Quinn was much more beatable.
It is actually fun to watch MSNBC these days. The panic is just delicious.
AIN, please lay off the Lieberman puff pieces.
When we needed him to stand up to Socialism and stop Health Care, he caved and was bribed to pass it thru.
We do not want him
Bad year fpr Specter to be up. Worst climate for an incumbent like Specter to be running. What a target. They don’t come any more Washington, inside the beltway, wind bagged than this hot aired tone deaf elitist.
Negative Ads work. Hynes was down 30% to Quinn last month, but then began a horrible negative campaign to best Quinn.
Quinn is a liberal, but is clean. I do not like his policies, but he is very Pro Military and a likeable guy.
With Hynes and Giannoulious on the ticket for the DEMS, we will see the most awful Negative Chicago DEM Machine race ever.
I hate these Chicago Bast##s
I don’t see how Bush can be blamed for the economy this far out. In the early months, yes, but Obama’s been making all the decisions for a year. It’s Obama’s baby now.
It would seem to me the Dems would be hurting themselves then by running machine guys, Jason. The Republicans would be able to paint them as out of touch and bought and paid for.
Specter is an enigma to me. He won and held his seat over the course of a couple of decades by dint of hard work and mollifying his party on the big issues. Last year though he all of a sudden started to vote for Obama’s domestic agenda and alienated the GOP. Now he’s a Dem on the road to defeat. I don’t know if anyone else has ever fallen this far and fast.
Just wait. The nutroots reaction to a spending freeze, mild and ineffective as it was, was vociferous. These folks are feeling betrayed and they will take it out on Obama, look at what they did to Joe Lieberman who ran on the National ticket with Gore in 2000.
Wes, I am just frustrated here in IL my friend.
I am pissed at the IL GOP. They got a great candidate for the Senate, but have allowed a stupid 6 way vote splitting Primary in the GOV race.
After the Blagoevich Indictment and a horrible state economy, the Gov seat was supposed to be a gift.
Instead of getting behind one candidate who can win, we have another Civil War.
We need the Statehouse to stop a DEM Redistricting purge here.
couldn’t happen to a nicer person
Jason T
Hit the exits. Its rare when the progs get ahold of all levers of power in a state for any significant length of time that the results are not Hugo Chavez like.
Vote with your feet, and let them raise taxes on the progs who are the only ones left.
How ironic, that after years of Specter coming up for Re-Eelction in good GOP years like 1980 and 2004, he finds himself on the wrong end of the political winds.
Will Spector drop out for Medical reasons after Sestak goes back to the House Race? Is Rendell in the wings?
Gary, the funny thing is that IL is not like that outside of Cook County.Most other Counties have GOP Chairman. In 2008, Obama lost over 80 IL Counties to McCain.
Chicago has become a dictatorship that controls the whole state.
This is why you will see Dem’s like Phil Hare get beat, outside of Chicago the DEMS will get crushed
Sestak….wasn’t that the freaky lizard people from Land of the Lost?
When we needed him to stand up to Socialism and stop Health Care, he caved and was bribed to pass it thru.
What “bribes” did Lieberman get? He stopped the public option. He stopped the Medicare expansion. Also, I would like to define socialism. That term has been thrown around a lot and many don’t even understand what it means.
AIN, please lay off the Lieberman puff pieces. We do not want him
Comment by Jason T — January 27, 2010 @ 9:59 am
I don’t think it was a “puff piece” — pointed out his low ACU rating. But one thing we have to remember is that, in Congress, there is tremendous pressure to vote with your party. Lieberman paid a huge price for standing up to the Dems for most of the HCR battle. Just listen to what Olberman still says about him. Sure, he caved at the end, but perhaps no one is more responsible for killing the public option than Joe. I sincerely believe that, had he already been caucusing with the GOP, he would have voted with Snowe and Collins.
He’s welcome to join our party in my book. It would be one of the easiest gains we’ve ever made. If we want to see a Thune or DeMint as Senate Majority Leader, instead of Harry Reid, then getting Lieberman to join our side would be a huge step in that direction.
rendell is pretty unpopular in the state right now. i dont think he could even win this seat if specter dropped out. the gop has all the momentum. although, its hard to tell what the atmosphere will be like 10 months from now.
meehan easily beats lentz.
Jason T
Dead people have been voting in Chicago since the 60s. It aint gonna change, the progs consider it their territory and like a gang will protect their turf by any and all means. Hugo is only slightly less subtle about it.
All anyone has to do is watch the RAS weekly generic ballot numbers. If they are even remotely in November like the 46-37 present number, Specter, Lincoln, Reid, and possibly the Bayhs of the world too will be history. Them and dozens of tone deaf House Democrats who marched in lock step with Pelosi.
If Phil is now predicting a tsunami, it will be a flood of biblical proportions.
The predicted average unemployment is 10.1% for this year and 9.5% next year. This will lead to the House flipping control this year, Senate getting very close to flipping over and will jeopardize Obama’s re-election.
Of course, if you are a Democrat and want to feel better, just bop over to Congressional Quarterly and they’ll tell you it’s only looking like a 13 seat loss.
Bhahahahahahaha
…..and that chunk of ice directly in front of the Titanic is just an ice cube.
Please no DeMint as leader. He has a tendency to talk too much.
The Mighty Quinn is falling under a ton of negative ads
Disunity is the rule of the day in ILL among the democrats
So do you.
JD Hayworth is asking about the birth certificate.
Illinois Governor(PPP)
Hynes(D): 40%
Ryan(R): 35%
Hynes(D): 38%
McKenna(R): 36%
Ryan(R): 42%
Quinn(D): 35%
McKenna(R): 42%
Quinn(D): 36%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ill_127.pdf
‘I know I’m the people’s senator, but do I have to hang out with them?’
Unless former John Edwards aide Andrew Young is making it all up — and at this point, Edwards has forfeited the benefit of the doubt — America came within Ohio’s electoral votes of electing a mad, narcissistic, and perhaps psychopathic monster to the vice presidency.
Young says Edwards is an Atkins-dieter who hated making appearances at state fairs where “fat rednecks try to shove food down my face. I know I’m the people’s senator, but do I have to hang out with them?” Before a SEIU candidate forum in Las Vegas, Young says Edwards made him cut out a “made in the USA” label from Young’s own suit to sew in place of Edwards’s “made in Italy” label . . .
According to Young, Hunter called him in May 2007 to say she was pregnant. Young says that when he informed Edwards, the senator told him to “handle it,” to which he replied: “I can’t handle this one.” Young writes that Edward unloaded on Hunter as a “crazy slut,” said they had an “open relationship,” and put his paternity chances at “one in three.” Young says that Edwards asked him for help persuading Hunter to have an abortion. Young writes that Hunter believed the baby to be “some kind of golden child, the reincarnated spirit of a Buddhist monk who was going to help save the world.”
It can’t be said enough. Almost every Democrat in the country did everything they could to put this man into the vice presidency in 2004, and quite a few of them worked hard to put him into the presidency in 2007 and 2008.
Way to go, Edwards supporters. You guys must feel really proud right now.
54- campaign spot
What a phony baloney absolute turd.
AIN, sorry if I sounded snarkey mate.
I do not trust Joe. He also supported McCain, but after the 2008 election, went right back to the DEMS after getting his Chairmanship
53. Thanks Brandon.
Maybe if Hynes wins the Primary, it will cause Quinn Supporters to be irate
47. Pitch you were right on MASS. I agree with you. 9.5% will mean 50 seats
The Bush admin saved this country from depression by using TARP to stop the panic. They turned what was almost certain to be a depression into a recession. No one had ever done that before.
#52
As a said yesterday, the last thing the GOP needs is a loud, useless mouth like Hayworth. Obama has been using the BC to make our whole party look like lunatics. He was born in Hawaii. There is not one shred of evidence like airline tickets, visas, nothing to suggest that Obama’s mother went to Kenya. ENOUGH!
Even if the unemployment rate drops one pt – the impresssion by over two thirds of the people is that the economy is in very bad shape. They will blame the Ds for this come Election 2010. 1994 was also based, in part, on the poor economy.
Remember, Edwards endorsed Obama.
Quinn is falling fast under the withering ads of Hynes.
Backstabbing still pays off in ILL???
(At least perceptions of a poor economy in 1994).
The Bush admin saved this country from depression by using TARP to stop the panic.
They passed TARP supposedly to buy MBS that were clogging up the credit markets. To date, not one MBS has been bought and yet no depression. TARP was an attempted heist by Wall Street bigwigs to have the public pay for their mistakes.
No problem, Jason. Hey, I don’t expect Lieberman to become a Senator Colburn. If he’d just join our side, vote for our guys to control the senate, and then vote like Olympia Snowe, that would be huge. Do you think we can get anything more from Connecticut? What if we actually do get to 50 senate seats in November — Lieberman could be the difference-maker.
Is there anyone slimier than Edwards? I saw somewhere that he did a sex tape. Disgusting individual.
#61–
Agreed. Let’s not blow the chance to get close to a Senate majority by nominating unelectable people in AZ, NH, and KY.
New homes sales down 9.3% in December – this marks two consecutive months of sales decline.
I think McConnell did just fine. They delayed the HC vote enough to get Brown elected. Considering the numbers that Dems have in the House and Senate, it is amazing how much McConnell has been able to do. He has kept Collins and Snowe in line. Really quite amazing.
#70
Why would anyone buy a home in this environment where you can lose your job anytime?
In 2006 when Dems took the House, CNN exit polls showed the turnout to be
38D
36R
26I
With enthusiasm on the Republican side, expect the turnout to be at least even among the parties and probably R+2 or so. There’s that.
However, the even bigger difference will be indies. The CNN exit poll had Democrats winning independents 57-39.
There hasn’t been a RAS generic poll since the beginning of December where the Republicans haven’t been up AT LEAST 20 points with independents.
Do the math.
Good news on new home sales? They cant go below zero, and we are almost there. 320,000 annually right now. Unbelievable number.
Snowe managed to not do something “historic”.
Chekote, everything is again free fall, if there was any recovery to begin with. The economuc data has been largely poor since January.
10% unemployment in November will make Democratic numbers now look good. Nine more months of this will have the economy wrapped around Democrats like an anchor. Blaming Bush in November will make Democrats look lame and out and out ridiculous.
I will not watch the lovefest tonitte – perhaps the 2nd greatest speech ever after the one in Germany. I will request details here for those that watch it.
Tina,
I predict a new Obama record for the number usage of the word “I”.
I have two friends who have been unemployed for almost a year with no prospects for jobs. This is in Texas where the economy is doing better than other states. I just can’t imagine what it would be like living in Michigan.
We should have a symbolic drinking game. Take a “drink” everytime Obama says “inherited” or references the previous administration.
#76
I agree.
and yet Michigan continues to elect Democrats over and ovwe and over…
Go figure.
I agree that if Lieberman were caucusing with the GOP, he’d probably vote about the same as Snowe, Collins, and Castle…. In my opinion, what we saw with the Healthcare battle was that there is no moderate in the Democrat caucus except maybe Lieberman. It is true that Lieberman pretty much killed the public option… Looks like the GOP will be electing moderates in blue states, and conservatives in red states…
The fickle middle in this country want both parties to come together and pass legislation, and I believe they place more blame on the Democrats in Congress for not reaching out to Republicans… I actually think having some blue-state moderate Republicans in the Senate would be a very good thing, and I’d welcome Lieberman… If I were in Connecticut, there’s a chance I’d vote for his primary opponent if he ran as a Republican, but then I’d support him in the general against a liberal Democrat…
Its a stupid thing for them to do since the Obumbler owns this economy. Ras is showing only a minimal difference in “Who is to Blame – Obumbler or Bush ?”
and yet Michigan continues to elect Democrats over and ovwe and over…
Go figure.
Comment by Phil — January 27, 2010 @ 11:37 am
because the producers in Michigan are voting with their feet
#83
It can only be explained as some sort of psychological disorder.
We need to count the # of “I’s” as well as erections and tingles and orgasisms from the plants and PMS types.
The drinking game would need to be symbolic alright. Otherwise we’d be blitzed inside of 10 minutes.
#81–
Hmmm…I’d prefer not to die of alcohol poisoning, thank you very much.
Not going to watch The Greatest Speech in History tonight, but how much do you wanna’ bet the New and Improved Populist Obama says, “I’m mad, just like all of you! See! Grrrr….”
I’m looking forward to McDonnell’s response… I anticipate a very good one…
The knives will come out for McDonnell.
Sean,
When you start to look forward to the opposition party’s response to the State of the Union speech you might want to consider getting out more!
McDonnell can get up there and say “I was in the John Edwards sex-tape” and no one will notice!
….and I’m a Republican!
#69 — Totally agree!
HB
Especially after Zero drones on and on, the few who started watching will be down to Ellie Light.
I’m looking forward to McDonnell’s response…
I am not. No response can ever match the staging of the SOTU no matter who gives it. Let’s hope that it doesn’t turn into another “hostage” tape like Jindal last year.
McDonnell can get up there and say “I was in the John Edwards sex-tape” and no one will notice!
True about McDonnell. But if Brown said he was in any sex tape, the E! and other entertainment channels would he all over it.
The response – no matter which side gives it – does not live up to the State of the Union speech itself.
The un-msm will be full Obama-arse covering.
I wasn’t going to watch Obama either. But, am changing my mind, as it will be interesting to see how he tees off another year, while wrapping up a disasterous one full of his legislative potholes.
More importantly will be the GOP response. Will it have substance and clarity? Or, will it just be another uninspiring cardboard rehash of partisan opposition?
Cardboard hash? That is what they serve in the Obamavilles popping up everywhere with newly minted homeless.
A little prospective on the NPR poll released today showing R+5 on the generic ballot.
Spring of 2008 they had it 37-52 Democrats.
Obama to kill\scrap NASA’s moon program entirely, to direct NASA mission to study global warming\climate change and leo taxi service.
Nope, not making it up.
http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/space/os-no-moon-for-nasa-20100126,0,2770904.story
Also note the sources for the article say they are being told they too will be EXEMPT from any coming budget freezes.
99 – 100% The spin and lies after the event will be as bad as the lies that will take place during the event.
If you dump the CBS poll from RCP, the average Obama poll is 48.6/48.4.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html
You can’t dump the CBS poll. To do so would be racist. Perky Katie said so…
…if Nasa is now mandated to study climate change, what are the odds that they EVER release anything to say that it isn’t happening or that it isn’t as bad as first feared?
When one’s budget depends on a specific reason for existing they will never “slit their own throat” to explain that this reason is much ado about nothing.
Phil,
I’m a WASP. According the left, that automatically racist, racialist, homomphobe type guy. BFD!!!
Phil,
I’m a WASP. According the left, that automatically makes me a racist, racialist, homomphobe type guy. BFD!!!
#108 was not my fault. If there was a screw up, someone else did it.
107 – Read the last couple lines of that article, hilarious ‘message’ they think he’s sending.
The only $$$ amount saved from the freeze is about $15 billion. This is a joke, there is no such freeze.
Obama is even losing Obama Girl now:
http://www.nypost.com/p/news/national/obama_girl_now_falling_out_of_love_20IY02jVpUMvC0IQBLXvEI
#113
Now that’s bad.
112 – Question is will the public “buy” it, or will they look through the smoke screen and see it for what it is, like you said a bad joke being thrown in there faces.
yeah but she still gives him a B-. lol
KH – I am sure that Scarfarce has bought it, as has the others, and possibly too BOR.
Ramirez says it best:
State of the Union
3105, Marv.
the cbs poll will be falling off soon.
I am finding BOR unwatchable. Scarborough doesn’t bother me.
At which time will this nonsense speech begin??
#102 20 point swing in about 21 months
Gallup: 48/46
It was never -15 and its not just +5 now. NPR needs an adjustment just like a KOS poll, add 5-6% to the Rs and you usually have renormed the poll to the actual underlying population. They always have their thumb on the scale.
SOTU is pointless and boring. Every year. Why do we go through this farce? It is incredibly stupid.
Presidents should just submit a statment as to teh state of the union in writing.
And the GOP should not respond to it. That kind of stuff just feeds the beast.
We need to ignore and eventually kill off the SOTU.
I call it the State of Disunion Speech.
Where does BOR keep getting that Obama is somehow a pragmatic centrist at heart?
Hey Bill, exactly what in Obama’s past associations, senate voting record, or first year’s worth of governing in the WH that makes you think this guy isn’t anything other than a left wing idealogue?
Don’t know when it starts, Benny, but it will be good, when its over. I am going dark on tv.
BOR has become a pathetic creature. His guests no more than he does, when he lets them talk. This guy has no ideas and is still waiting and hoping for another interview with the Obumbler. His statement about O being a centrist, is laughable.
Hi Tina
how are you?
I am fina an I have hollydays
I’m fine, thanks. It must be very cold where you are at.
The NPR poll is done by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies. It’s a bipartisan poll.
Tina nailed it. O’Reilly constantly sucks up to Obama to get an interview.
He keeps reminding his viewers how he’s constantly given Obama the benefit of the doubt.
That’s the understatement of the year.
Greenberg is a big fat democrat. I dont know enough to comment on POR or is it POS!
Public Opinion Strategies is a Republican firm.
One of the partners is Neil Newhouse who did the polling for McDonnell and for Scott Brown.
Greenberg is not bi partisan in any manner – the only true bi partisan poll is the one that Celinda Lake does.
SCarfarce has lost it:
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/tim-graham/2010/01/27/joe-scarborough-shovels-dirt-tea-party-movement-newsweek
Yes Tina it is and its awful!
Since New Year its 10 degrees under zero!
Hillary will not serve a second term as sec of state and never again run for POTUS
http://www.politico.com/blogs/laurarozen/0110/Clinton_signals_not_a_twoterm_Secretary_of_State.html
Kossack nuts and others trumpeting this NBC/WSJ poll that apparently shows “more people blame Republicans” for the “problems facing America”. (Talk about a loaded question).
I’d love to see someone break down the internals on this one.
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/A_Politics/___Politics_Today_Stories_Teases/10049NBCWSJ.pdf
She is aging rapidly and she can not stand the criticism from the Euro socialists – the ones raised recently over the response to Haiti.
139.. She says she wants to focus on women and girls.
I heard that about her. Good for her.
A Democratic polling firm and a Republican polling firm working together on a poll is bipartisan, no? Or is there some new definition of bipartisan?
Any poll from PMS- NBC – is laugble.
NBC = Nothing But Clowns
Is this the same Greenturd that is affiliated with Demcracy Corpse?
It looks like Senator Lindsey Graham (R,SC) has finally gotten the big picture on the cap and tax fiasco.
http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZDA1OTlmNjZkNjAxZDcwMjI5MzgyMmQ3M2I0M2FhYjM=
Obama’s approval in PA is 38%.
38%!
Maybe the Republic has been save afterall.
HD,
Link please. Thank you.
And the NBC/WSJ polls are also done cooperatively by a Democrat(Hart) and a Republican(McInturff).
Marv, It is the F&M poll below that polled the senate race.
http://www.nowhampshire.com/2010/01/27/bass-out-ahead-in-nh-02-primary-poll/
RAS: 61% say that it is Very or at least Somewhat likely that the GOP will retake the House of Representatives in Nov 2010.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_politics/january_2010/26_expect_gop_takeover_of_house_in_november
I don’t know why pollsters can’t just ask “Approve or Disapprove” instead of the Excellent/Good/Fair/Poor choices. “Fair” to some people means approve, while to others it may mean disapprove.
I never understood Graham’s support of Cap & Trade in the first place.
I am a proud member of the 62% that does not support Obama in PA. There are rumors that even Obamagirl is disappointed with the President.
#156 pitchaboy
Do you live in the Alabama part of PA?
(”In Pennslyvania you have Philadelphia in the east and Pittsburgh in the west, everything in between is Alabama.” James Carville)
SC-5(PPP)
Spratt(D-Inc): 46%
Mulvaney(R): 39%
Spratt(D-Inc): 46%
Spencer(R): 37%
Under 50% against opponents with low name ID. He could be in trouble.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_SC5_127.pdf
The NBC poll this month was D+9.
No way.
SC-5 is the type of district Republicans are going to have to win if Republicans are going to win the vast numbers of House seats some here have predicted.
It’s early and Spratt is well under 50. Positive sign.
How did Spratt vote on three things:
Stimulus
Crap & Charade
HC Reform
SC will be big for the GOP in 2010-Jack Spratt could find no lean this Nov???
Gary, I know for a fact he voted yes on crap and trade.
He was a yes on all three.
He’s gone then. Just a matter of informing the voters in the fall.
Spratt a No on HC, but his problem is that he is the House Budget Chairman.
He is in leadership
I have been wondering ever since the election if one of Kennedy
s sons had run against Brown would the outcome have been the same. Anyone care to comment?
The House clerk webpage indicates that Spratt was an “Aye” on all three votes.
He’s going down.
Brandon, spratt voted for HC, are you sure?
He could not be that stupid
His Healthcare vote alone means he is toast
House budget chairman with this congress’s spending?
Ruh roh
Yep, he was a yes. Here’s the roll call:
http://clerk.house.gov/evs/2009/roll887.xml
He is stupid isn’t he.
I am sick and tired of this shell gaqme played by the Blue Liars.
Yes or No on the Issue votes, they all voted for Pelosi as Speaker.
Spratt, Skelton, Boucher, Marshall, Boyd etc.. are all liberals
Joe Kennedy may have made a better race since he is an agressive campaigner, but that family has so much baggae, it’s hard to say. I personally think that a fairly untainted Kennedy i.e. one without a conviction, could have pulled it off by a couple of points, but only because for all their flaws, the Kennedy’s know the value of retail politics and would have been out in the snow shaking hands for sure.
175 in response to Sharon at 167.
How did Obama do in Spratt’s CD?
He seems to be polling fairly well with a 46/49 approval/disapproval rating, though it could all be attributed to the black vote.
Thanks Brandon. With the gift of Spratt’s stupidity, the SC GOP should have a big hitter for that seat
Tommy, Spratt will have no Black Vote in 2010.
He is done
It was 54-45 McCain in 2008. It’s a 30% black district, so that number will probably be lower this year.
171. Phil, this is a layup for the GOP.
I hope Sessions has a plan to get a State Senator to run there.
The GOP challengers should be up by 10%. They need to get the message out
It is pathetic that two SC DEMS are high up in leadership.
Clyburne is from a minority district, but Spratt is a joke
Spratt had been attend church regularly. He is going to need divine intervention. SC is one of the more conservative states and his voting records makes him look suspiciously like the liberal that he obviously is. The black vote could save him, but I guessing black turnout will be down in a nonpresidential year and folks are pissed off about being ignored at townhall meeting and not getting response to their calls and letters.
Vaughn Ward announces for the IDAHO-1
Strong Conservative, Marine, CIA agent, and congressional Aide.
Goodbye Walt Minnick, Blue Liar
#180 Then how is PPP finding Obama at 46% givne where he is nationally in their polling? It’s odd that he’s PPP(D) finds him in decent position in South Carolina. I guess the reasoning is that his white support cannot get any lower and Obama is pretty untouchable with whites.
It is time to get rid of the Minority districts. We have a Black President. If Minorities want equal rights, let them run in competitive districts.
After the Women got the right to vote in the early 20th century, did they get token districts? NO
#185. It might be a South Carolina thing. Remember when both Rasmussen and PPP had Obama pretty high in South Carolina relative to the national number?
Regarding NBC/WSJ, it’s clear from my vantage point that Peter Hart is pushing around Neil Newhouse and Public Opinion Strategies.
The NPR poll does seem bi-partisan though.
Tina,
It’s absolutely hilarious what the media is trying to do with the Tea Party Convention.
It will be an extremely successful event. Palin will give a very good speech.
The media cannot figure out a consistent narrative. Is the Tea Party a bunch of redneck rubes or is it a bunch of sophisticated wealthy people?
Brandon, your boy at the fix says Boucher from VA is Running Again.
RAS: 61% say that it is Very or at least Somewhat likely that the GOP will retake the House of Representatives in Nov 2010.
Comment by Marv — January 27, 2010 @ 1:39 pm
While I’d love to get excited about this result, how many of those polled know the status of the different House races across the country? Very few. This result is simply a reaction to one thing — Scott Brown.
Harris Interactive:
Obama approval: 40-60
Democrats: 75-25
Republicans: 10-90
Independents: 33-67
http://news.harrisinteractive.com/profiles/investor/ResLibraryView.asp?BzID=1963&ResLibraryID=35721&Category=1777
Harris interactive? I’ll go with the earlier consensus that while I am not sure about the numbers, the trends are undeniable.
So Obama lost SC-5 45-54 with an all time record black turnout?
Guess who isn’t on the ballot in November. Will blacks now turn out to save Spratt?
Don’t bet on it.
What happens to black turnout when Obama isn’t on the ballot? For answer, see Virginia, NJ, Massachusetts.
Bye bye congressman.
Minnick is toast this year.
One termer.
I will be contacting the Ward campaign with an excellent campaign ad idea.
New thread above…
At this point, the Dems are in freefall. They’ve even started the blamegame among themselves about Novermber’s impending losses. I don’t wnat to make such a bold prediction yet, but if this keeps up, then the GOP could have larger gains than any of us currently anticiapte in November.
“I don’t wnat to make such a bold prediction yet, but if this keeps up, then the GOP could have larger gains than any of us currently anticiapte in November.”
Ha ha..Depends on how much you are anticipating.
I said last year that Specter would eat Toomey. I hope that I am wrong but I am more concerned than MD is at this point. The dead will rise in unbelievable numbers for Specter. Toomey will run on taxes, jobs and defense. Specter will run on one issue – abortion. He will paint Toomey asa a woman-hating sadist who wants to make rape and unwanted pregnancy mandatory. The women voters around Philadelphia are the key voters.