NV: Sandoval Leads Reid By Double Digits
We had another poll out from Scott Rasmussen, this for the gubernatorial race in Nevada showing Harry Reid’s kid trailing the top Republican by double digits. Harry Reid’s kid does manage to lead the incumbent Republican Governor who will hopefully lose in the primary.
GOVERNOR – NEVADA (Rasmussen)
Brian Sandoval (R) 45%
Rory Reid (D) 33%Rory Reid (D) 44%
Jim Gibbons (R-inc) 35%Rory Reid (D) 40%
Michael Montadon (R) 36%
This poll was done February 3rd among 500 likely voters. Another poll for Colorado from Rasmussen should be out after 3pm.
uno
that’s a shame.
Murtha muerte
Murtha died? Seriously? That would be news.
yup
Fox is reporting it now. Wow.
I wish I could muster up some good feelings, but the guy slandered a bunch of Marines who had not even had a chance to have their day in court. Of course all have subsequently been acquitted, but no apology was forthcoming. Good riddance and rot in hell.
So I guess that means he is able to be defeated this year in the election, just like MD predicted. Good call.
His district went 49/49 in the 2008 race, Obama/McCain. So a golden opportunity for a GOP pickup.
Democracy corps:
Obama approval: 47-47
Generic Ballot: 46-45 Dem
Split with leaners: 46-45-7 D-R-I
(w/o leaners: 36-31-31)
http://www.gqrr.com/articles/2425/5606_cc10020410fq1.pdf
That is a very conservative districts, it will not be a 50/50 race this time around. Even if they run his ghost and widow as a tag team.
Carville and Begala are abusing their medication again. When was the last time all third parties combined got more than about 1% of the vote? Not in a Presidential election but an off year? I cant think of one actually. Maybe never? Who believes 7% then?
Not to mention believing that 5% more Democrats are going to turn out to vote than Republicans…
#4
Really?
Can’t stand Carville and Begala. Disgusting to look at and listen to.
The I isn’t referring to votes for the third party candidates, it’s for the people who are straight Independents and don’t lean towards a particular party. It’s party ID.
I know it’s probably not the best time to bring it up, but Nancy just lost another vote for Obamacare.
Murtha will have trouble holding onto the seat but has to still be a slight favorite.
Colorado Governor(Rasmussen)
Hickenlooper(D): 49%
McInnis(R): 45%
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/colorado/election_2010_colorado_governor
17…true, Cook will probably reduce this seat to “Leans Murtha” from “Likely Murtha”
Carville is a fine enough analyst given that he is a Dem. Begala is an idiot though.
On the economic front, quite hilariously the dollar is getting a boost (along with the Yen) because the Euro looks like it is on the verge of collapse with Greece defaulting and taking down marginal EU countries like Portugal with it.
The monetary union has always been on shaky ground. Germany is the only fiscally responsible country in the whole shibang. I wonder how long Nazi guilt will keep the Germans paying up the nose for other EU members mistakes.
Carville is a fine enough analyst given that he is a Dem. Begala is an idiot though.
True. Carville will at least criticize the Dems. Begala is a total idiot.
Interesting that Obama’s favorables are slipping as well (for those of you that believe in the distinction between approval and favorables).
49/40 in a Dem poll
50/44 in Marist, which might as well be a Dem poll.
One less vote for ObamaReidPelosiCare. At least for now. Will there be a special election prior to November? I would think not. Can the GOP take this seat?
It’s Obama fatigue
Murtha was an odd ally for Pelosi. Nancy was ultra lib-femnist big money -left coast person with lots of ties to hispanic-women-AA groups. Yet Murtha attached himself to her star and rounded up pols among the n/e & midwest catholic guys.
Murtha linked the blue collar union districts with the SF liberal. Pelosi will miss him. I might add that Hoyer as being strong and from that small group as Murtha often bumped elbows as they strove to lead the same group.
its not just one less vote for Pelosi as Murtha was a leader. He was the go to guy for PA matters and guys were in his pocket loyalty wise. He was in charge of finding committee assignments for his state. When he whipped someone it was a big deal in PA as he had the money & assignment chits to push.
I mean this as a friendly example but its like Don Corleone with the judges in his pockets. people would come for favors and John M. could dispense them. you want a project or an earmark or an assignment you went to John M if you were from PA.
Well MD was right Murtha will not win his seat again this year.
So how long until we can expect a special election?
The earliest can be May 18.
That is also primary day in PA, so it would probably be simplest(and cheapest) to do it then.
Can the governor appoint this seat until November (or any gov for that matter)? How does it work in PA?
I dont think that a governor can appoint a Rep. I dont think that would be constitutional.
Who do the Dems have on the bench in that district, were they grooming a replacement? Do the Reps have anyone other than Russell?
No the GOV cannot appoint a rep.
I think PA requires a primary for open house seats but don’t quote me on that
Re# 26…..don’t be too sure Murtha won’t carry his district this time. His constituents are ignorant rednecks, remember? I say he wins by e pts. Too soon? Seriously….my prayers to his family.
First,
Some of you are just sick people. You know who you are!!!
Second,
Phil, I just laughed coffee out through my nose after reading 17.
Third,
The seat goes red. Book it!
I don’t believe governors in any state can appoint to the House. They can only appoint to the Senate.
If any appointments can be made to the House, it would most likely be in states with a single rep. The idea of appointments in the Senate, was due to the small number of Senators and long term, and a State should not go without representation ( underrepresentation ) in that body for long periods. The maximum if a rep died or removed right after election is two years, where a Senator is six.
Not sure about a Democratic bench in this district but their side was as caught off guard as was our side.
The guy was supposed to be responding to antibiotics. Guess not so much.
38…nope…the biotics will be having a field day with him for weeks to come.
Which is why I am wondering if they would want to risk an election before November especially with the environment being as toxic as it is for Dems. Wonder what the law is for this as to who/what law decides when the election is held.
“I say he wins by e pts”
Are we talking politics or quantum physics?
H/T Campaign spot