PA: Specter Still Crushing Sestak
One more poll from Scott Rasmussen before the snow hits us, this time for the US Senatorial primary in Pennsylvania.
US SENATE – PENNSYLVANIA – DEM PRIMARY (Rasmussen)
Arlen Specter (inc)51%
Joe Sestak 36%
This poll was done February 8th among 425 likely voters. I assume this means we will see some General Election polling soon as well.




Pretty much confirms what I heard.
Switches parties to save his Senate seat only to find out that he jumped ship to a sinking one.
Good riddance and I am glad that Republicans will have the chance to vote him out of office in November.
What happened to Specter, MD? For decades, he’s been a mainstay of PA politics who’s always had the ability to attract voters to his cause? He’s been erratic and grating in his last couple of years in office though. The Arlen Specter of 10 years ago would never have engaged in the career-killing mistakes the Arlen Specter of today has engaged in. What happened?
Wes,
His quest to maintain power has killed him.
I don’t think Obama, even if his life depended on it, could find a more obnoxious press secretary than the one he has.
Well, MD, it would seem to me his quest to maintain power a decade ago kept him on the path to the desired end. What he’s doing now clearly isn’t working.
I prefer to run against Specter, he will never generate much enthusiasm from moonbats and he will energize Republicans.
Partyswitchers tend to have a poor record when running for office, Jason. Specter is continuing that trend.
Specter was a fool. As a Republican he could have been in the limelight and might even have been able to broker a deal, everyone would have been kissing his ass. As a Democrat his name rarely comes up for anything, he is barely tolerated on the D side and as popular as a turd in a swimming pool on the R side.
“Partyswitchers tend to have a poor record when running for office, Jason.”
Not always…look at Ben Nighthorse Campbell and Richard Shelby, even Phil Gramm. Maybe those that turn Republican are more successful…
The Democrats lied to him too, told him he would not get a primary opponent and then wham, he has to run left which will murder him come general time.
Couldn’t happen to nicer guys;
1) Specter gets through roughed up and having blown money he desperately needs for November, and ends up losing
2) Sestak embarasses himself by not being able to deny an opporunity his new party’s nomination, and loses his House seat to boot.
Win-win for the good guys. I haven’t seen fund raising numbers in a while; how is Toomey holding up in the cash race against the clowns?
Shelby Gramm and Campbell all successfully argued that the party left them, and they were in very red states.
Specter thought he was doing the same thing, but those bitter clingers with their bibles and guns, have woken up to the Democrat Party and dont like what they see. It will be a textbook example of how Benedict Arnold have no friends.
Mixed bag might be a better phrase for party switcher.
Don Reigle was a three term democratic senator which switched from R to D.
Moonbats may go green on Specter in the GE. I say to Sestak make Arlen spend all of his money.
When I look at Specter-Sestak I don’t see two guys who inspire the democratic party in PA especially in west PA.
That reminds me we need to take it to Schwartz in PA-13. If this district ever goes GOP again this year is it
rdelboy, what was the name of the NE Philly kid working in the Montco DA’s office, Marrone? I remember thinking back in 2002 or 2004 that he’d be a terrific candidate in that district.
But if we can’t post a strong challenge to Schwartz and “only” pick up 8 House seats (and Specter’s Senate seat, of course) in PA, I think I’d be okay with that. : )
Pennsylvania Senate(Rasmussen)
Toomey(R): 47%
Specter(D): 38%
Toomey(R): 43%
Sestak(D): 35%
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/pennsylvania/toplines_2010_pennsylvania_democratic_senate_primary_february_8_2010
Fantastic, Brandon. That’s almost double digits. November is gonna be so fun.
Excellent news, Brandon! We need Spectre (as I prefer to spell his name) to pull it out in the primary so WE (and not they) can have the joy of ending his career. he may have irritated some Dems by joining their little club, but he betrayed us, so that right is ours.
There once was this senile old codger,
From the GOP he was an artful dodger,
An escapee from the nursing home so cruel,
May he wind up drooling in his bowl of gruel,
This geriatric political tool.
OBAMMER THE FLIM FLAMMER OF THE MYOPIC VIEW,
HE DOESN’T GIVE A CRAP ABOUT ME OR YOU,
A LEGACY IS ALL THAT MATTERS TO THIS TWO BIT DESPOT,
THE CONSTITUTION AND THE REPUBLIC HE CONSIGNS TO
THE PISSPOT
HIS VISION WILL BE 20/20 AFTER WE BID HIM ADIEU.
16 – Love to see the magic 50+ but I’ll take 47 for now.
Gallup generic ballot: 45-45
NOTE: “The closeness of the two parties over the past several months on this “generic ballot” measure is similar to that found in most Gallup readings from 1994 through 2005 (spanning the period when Republicans won control of the U.S. House and subsequently maintained it for more than a decade).”
http://www.gallup.com/poll/125744/Parties-Tied-2010-Midterm-Election-Preferences.aspx?CSTS=alert
The Department of Health Care Services said Monday it has breached the privacy of 49,352 people who receive adult day-care services from the state.
The department said that letters it mailed a week ago to 49,352 Medi-Cal beneficiaries wrongly included each patient’s Social Security number on their address labels.
—-
Nice…
Even better they will keep their jobs and retire with great health benefits and pension.
Thinking about 22 – I’m not sure which is worse… the ss# fuggup or the fact CA is playing daycare costs for at least 49K residents. Talk about a literal nanny state.
Nicely deconstructed:
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/02/09/anti-tea-party-web-site-scheme-funnel-funds/
25 – Nice find. I’m not surprised by any of that, if I was the dem’s I’d setup the same thing… shady shell game but legal, that’s the game that developed after campaign finance (and to a degree pre-dated it).
Äh?
in pA Obamas numbers are only 44/54 but in OH 49/51
Bingo-PA seems about right while that Ohio sample leaned a little left
500 people MOE sometimes
Did I say those were great numbers for Tomney and PA’s primary has not got dirty yet
democrats lambasted Bush for recess appointments.
Oh Obama is thinking about recess appointments. Okay he has copied Bush’s war plans now he is doing recess apppointments?
I love how all the stupid RINO’s actually believed the MSM when they said Obama would usher in a permanent democratic majority. It made purging them that much easier.
I am very optimistic on the GOP in the 10 mids but 8 seats? That means we would take 8, 10 and 13 in addition to the 5 that I think will go our way. I can see an upset in one of those 3 (I would be on
but I can’t see all 3 coming in. Carney basically gets a permanent pass and votes R most of the time while Schwartz is in a district that has become very liberal over time.
The fraud named Patrick Murphy could be had under the right circumstances. Iraq vet my A. He would have you believe he went from house to house fighting the insurgents. He was a lawyer there and was probably hated by the men and women who actually had to perform dangerous duties.
For the record, the 5 that I think are most likely are in order:
3, 11, 12, 7 and 4.
MD,
Why is Holden sopopular with his constitutents? That seat was drawn for Gekas, was it not? I still understand how he blew it, in ‘02 of all years.
Carney will be beaten by Marino or Derk
Dahlkemper is gone
Altmire loses to Mary Beth Buchanan
Meehan wins in 7
11 goes R
Holden loses to Argall
Murphy loses to Fitzpatrick
The Montgomery County GOP has been remarkably inept at getting a candidate vs. Ally Schwartz
I’m glad that after all of his party-switching, ass-kissing, self-serving troubles, Specter still gets exactly what he has tried so hard to avoid- an electoral beatdown from Toomey!
There are going to be a lot more House Republicans from PA after this fall, indeed. Two seats that have been Dem for decades (Murtha since 1974, Kanjorski 1984) should end up red. Holden can’t be comfortable, either. Most of the boneheads from 06 and 08 should be looking for new jobs right already.
The 13th will be tough, but a 20-30 point swing in the independent vote like we have been seeing elsewhere might do it. This district elected socialist Joe Hoeffel, so I’m not getting high hopes yet. At the very least, we can cost them some $$ that they would rather not have to spend on someone as “safe” as Schwarz.
Kanjorski would have lost in 08 under normal circumstances.
52% in 08, the best Dem year he could have hoped for. Not this year. Bye-bye, Paul.