Today’s Polls
It always figures on days when I am completely booked, polls seem to come out of the woodwork. Scott Rasmussen had a slew of polls today from various states and I am just going to post them without comment. We have a poll from Washington State.
US SENATE – WASHINGTON (Rasmussen)
Dino Rossi (R) 49%
Patty Murray (D-inc) 46%Patty Murray (D-inc) 48%
Don Benton (R) 37%Patty Murray (D-inc) 49%
Clint Didier (R) 30%Patty Murray (D-inc) 47%
Chris Widener (R) 32%
We have a poll from Massachusetts.
GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (Rasmussen)
Deval Patrick (D-inc) 34%
Tim Cahill (I) 30%
Christy Mihos (R) 19%Deval Patrick (D-inc) 35%
Charlie Baker (R) 32%
Tim Cahill (I) 19%
And we have a poll from New Hampshire.
US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Rasmussen)
Kelly Ayotte (R) 47%
Paul Hodes (D) 37%Paul Hodes (D) 42%
Ovide Lamontagne (R) 38%Bill Binnie (R) 46%
Paul hodes (D) 36%
The WA poll was done March 9th and the two New England polls were done March 8th, all among 500 likely voters. I’ll do a separate post for the Public Policy Polling polls out today. Shifting pollsters, Public Policy Polling has a new poll out for the Colorado gubernatorial race that completely contradicts a poll earlier this week from Scott Rasmussen. While Scott Rasmussen claimed Republican Scott McInnis was ahead by 6%, PPP is claiming it is in fact the Democratic candidate John Hickenlooper with a double-digit lead.
GOVERNOR – COLORADO (PPP)
John Hickenlooper (D) 50%
Scott McInnis (R) 39%
This poll was done March 5-8 among 580 registered voters. Not sure why there is such a discrepancy between two polls supposedly polling the same electorate. PPP also had a new poll for the state of Florida claiming Meek is within single digits of Marco Rubio.
US SENATE – FLORIDA (PPP)
Marco Rubio (R) 44%
Kendrick Meek (D) 39%Charlie Crist (R) 46%
Kendrick Meek (D) 33%Marco Rubio (R) 34%
Charlie Crist (I) 27%
Kendrick Meek (D) 25%
Interesting to note that Rubio does better with Crist in the race as an Independent candidate. This poll was done March 5-8 among 849 registered voters.
Filed under: 2010 Governor - CO, 2010 Governor - MA, 2010 Senate - FL, 2010 Senate - NH, 2010 Senate - WA | Comments (256)
Cantwell has not denied the Harwood allegation for three days.
NO loses another vote and drops to 213 as Matheson goes from NO in November to undecided. NO is now three votes short. It started at 215 in November, picked up Cao, but lost Gordon, Massa, and Matheson.
Donnelly is the latest of many YESSES to make encouraging comments (I will vote no IF the Senate Bill does not fix stuff, etc etc), but no Dem YES votes have made statements that indicate that they are clearly NO and out of play to Pelosi and Co.
My whip count is the most accurate and hardnosed indicator of how far NO is from victory, and where things are moving.
It is not intended to measure the strength of YES. That would be like trying to figure out women.
Cantwell has not denied the Harwood allegation for three days.
Comment by Tommy_Boy — March 10, 2010 @ 3:20 pm
what allegation is that?
Garbage in and out on the PPP polls.
So, rubio’s margin is +5 with Mad Meeks, but +7 with Mad Meeks plus Weird Eye Crist?
P-L-A-n-T!!!
Bloomberg – Piglosi has the votes!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Apparenty your whip count is no longer needed Bryan.
House Rules Chairman Loouise Slaughter is preparing to usher the healthcare overhaul through the House and avoid a direct vote on the Senate overhaul bill.
Slaughter is preparing a rule that would usher the Senate overhaul bill through once the House approves a “corrections bill” that would make changes in the Senate version.
I thought that you made those changes in the senate and house versions in a conference committee? Oh wait, conference committee reports can be filibustered in the senate. Therefore, just create a completely new process out of thin air THAT HAS NEVER BEEN USED BEFORE.
These people are unfricken believable.
I am now 90% sure it will pass. The Dems will lose 80 seats in the house and 10 (at least) in the senate but they don’t care.
Remember Phil, once the precedent is set, the other side can do the same. Basically, the Democrats are destroying the very concept of our country as a Republic. Now that the R’s will, naturally, do the same if they ever get total power, the whole checks and balances system, the very bedrock of our being, is gone forever.
Hey, but I am just being paranoid.
Wow. NY-23 actually mattered …
GPO:
Reported on Q13 Fox News. So she cannot just say that this is a “blog” story as a major local media outlet reported it.
http://network.nationalpost.com/NP/blogs/fullcomment/archive/2010/03/10/kevin-libin-sarah-palin-knows-her-canadian-health-care.aspx
They all matter Dio. The R’s lost an amazing amount of close races in 06 and 08. The Dems are ruthless is pursuit of power while many R’s worry about “being better” than that.
Well, this is what you get.
I have been telling everyone that this is a done deal. Procedures mean nothing to these people. Rules are for someone else. I appreciate all of Rdel’s posts but they are not relevant when the Marxists will not follow centuries old rules and regs.
TB,
National Post is the 2nd largest paper in Canada and leans right, at least for Canada.
Obama already said it himself. He will sacrifice every single democratic seat if it makes this country into France. The only hope we have now is for the GOP to take a super-majority in the house and senate along with the white house in 2012 to repeal this monstrosity of a bill.
How many times does Dino Rossi have to lose before the GOP realizes that he is not a good canidate??????
Dio,
Once people get “free” HC (and have another reason to avoid looking for work) then they will all vote en masse to ensure that they keep their welfare.
#12
Palin 2012
Chek,
Rossi lost the last time because votes “appeared” in a closet in King County. How many posts are you going to make without facts?
Chek is off the meds
http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/85795-republicans-eye-murrays-seat-as-rossi-considers-bid
Looks like Dino may really be considering running against Patty Murray… I’d put his odds at about 50/50 of winning, if HC passes, 70/30 in his favor.
I for one am glad the Republicans didn’t go nuclear on Bush’s appointees. THis is REALLY an abuse of power and it makes me sick.
13. GPO – Thanks for exposing the state-run media double standard. If the Maria Cant-do-anything-well allegations were about a Republican Senator (or God forbid, Sarah Palin) it would be 24/7 on the major networks, and MSNBC anchors would need oxygen.
In short, Maria C has been screwing a married media member (a man). http://www.q13fox.com/news/kcpq-030810-sexandthesenator,0,3177977.story
The lamestream media in bed with a Democrat. Shocker!
MD
We need to find candidates who draw votes outside the MOF (margin of fraud).
I for one am glad the Republicans didn’t go nuclear on Bush’s appointees.
Exactly right. Thank God the GOP does not always listen to the talk show hosts.
They don’t exist in WA in normal times, which is a very lib state. Rossi can absolutely win in this cycle and can overcome the MOF.
Rove is coming to town. It costs $55 to see him. I can’t decide whether to go. Also, Romney is coming.
Kyl: GOP Has Votes to Stop Reconciliation
(Corner NRO)
I don’t believe him or Pelosi, but you guys need some cheering up.
24
Thank God the Dems know how to consolidate power and do what it takes to enact their agenda.
I wonder what would happen if the R’s were half as dedicated?
Hey, let’s be nice while we go to the left of France. After all, being nice really matters.
The dems targeted Estrada because he was young and because they knew he was being groomed for the S.C.
There was a bunch of leaked memos that enraged people at the time.
mnw,
If necessary, they will not need recon. Every rule and reg is being discarded.
Let me try again:
Hey, Chekote – I’ve yet to see an “oops, my bad” about Palin & the Canadian health care BS. You actually had the gall to source the Washington Compost for the trap you & the Kos kids fell into over the Canadian health care story. Why not quote Michael Moore’s website for your future rants while you’re at it, you nasty skank troll?
From now on, Chek’s opinion on anything means bupkis. I just made that executive decision. Y’all can thank me later.
Chek – You & Joy Behar should get a room, skank troll.
TYRANNY
RIP – The United States of America. A 221 year run ain’t bad.
Kyl is trying to frighten House DEMs into believing the Senate won’t pass the House “fix,” which the Senate would stll have to do. Otherwise, no “fix.”
26. Why don’t you break open your troll piggybank & see if you saved the nickels & dimes to cover the fee.
Then again, if you saved a nickel for every BS post about Sarah Palin, you could cover airfare to the Bahamas for all of us.
Of and KNOVA, since you still lurk:
Where is the military while the Dems are choosing to blantantly ignore all rules?
The Obumbler the greatest destroyer of wealth ever seen.
Seriously folks. Inventing a way around a conference bill never ever used or even contemplated before…backroom bribes to Nelson and others…circuit judgeships to relatives
How naked does the power grab have to be anyway?
Don’t worry Phil. The military will step in.
Guys, Pelosi isn’t even close to having the votes. Look, Slaughter wanting to make a rule change so they can make changes to the Senate bill but say it hasn’t been changed? If there are changes to the Senate bill, it would go back to the Senate and they would run smack into the filabuster. Reid saying he wants to abolish the filabuster? They can’t get past Stupak and his coalition, Donnelly is now a no and Baron Hill and Brad Ellsworth are likely with him. Looks like utter desperation to me.
Reid says the Senate “will reform the filibuster next year.” That’s like a death row inmate saying “I’ll finish my dessert when I get back.”
MD, it isn’t even close to passing right now.
Wouldnt the rule have to be voted on as well?
I hope this country will think twice about electing an ideologue on either side.
Oh yeah, good old KNOVA. That’s it KNOVA, there’s no power grab goiung on. We should ignore our lying eyes. We’re
P A R A N O I D
Thank God the military will save us. Uh, where are they by the way?
Congressman Paul discusses National ID with Megyn Kelly on Fox News
41 – Don’t they need 66 votes for a rule change? I see both sides having between 47 and 53 votes…
The pushback against the Federal Government by the States is going to be a massive level if they try to rahm Obamacare threw.
No ‘the unwashed masses’ will not support this b/c it will literally cause the system to fail. And when that happens, school’s out sparky.
Don’t use the entitlements never get repealed either. B/C this is a power grab and the last time the gubmint did it, Prohibition, they had no choice but to repeal it.
16. “How many times does Dino Rossi have to lose before the GOP realizes that he is not a good canidate??????”
How many times to you have to be wrong about everything before the board realizes you are a troll & you should should STFU, go back to your cave, & never return, Chekote?
If Paul becomes president, he needs to ban social security cards.
Sure, the rule will have to be voted on. Democrats can just say “hey, I didn’t vote for the final Senate Bill. I just voted for some rule”
BHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
The final insult to our intelligence.
Lovely
If the government devolves to tyranny (abandoning the requirement of a vote before enacting legislation would count), Jefferson and other founders took for granted the right of the people to rebel and abolish the government in order to replace it with one that has the consent of the governed.
But back then, the people had the means and the force of arms to do so. They were the main check on government power. This is what the 2nd amendment was drafted to protect.
Now, however, the people do not have that kind of power. Is this now the proper role of the military? How does that call get made? Who tells the military to escort the Congressmen home and keep them there until the next election?
IF the libs want a “living” Constitution, I suppose we can give it to them. After all, “power comes from the barrel of a gun”, right? One of their heroes said that, so they should be all for the concept.
Stupak this morning was saying that Obama should not have put a 3/17 deadline since there is no written bill to review. I think Obama will miss the St. Patrick’s deadline.
#49
What an obnoxious clown! No wonder you support Hayworth.
Did you guys know Jesse Ventura is an uber-truther?
I heard him on the radio this morning saying that “the Bush Administration let 9/11 happen to further their political agenda.”
Maybe Jesse should move to KY & marry Rand Paul.
Guys, I think the Senate bill is dead in its original form. With the House and Senate Parliamentarians likely to come out and say that reconciliation can only happen when a bill has been signed into law, guess what? It’s START OVER TIME
!!!!
Civil disobedience if necessary
Ten thousand people who say, “No, I will not obey the mandate, no I will not pay the fine, send me to jail.”
Looks like this is the last resort
Hope it doesn’t come to this
Turbin Durbin – D-rat healthcare bill increases premiums.
DUH!!!
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.
Tenth amendment resistance
Texas and other states who “just say no”
It may come to this
Congressperson Ryan – down to 5 – he claims to pass the House of Piglosi.
In the Indiana Senate race Richard Behney is also a Ron Paul supporter along with Hostettler. When Lugars seat is up I believe he won’t run either Behney or Hostetter can get that seat. What a beautiful world for Indiana to have Richard Behney and John Hostetter as their Senitors. Wow!!! 2 Ron Paul supporters in the Senate representing the Hooser state!!!!!
I love Texas. We are the most likely state of all to give Obama and his takeover the finger.
Ideally secession
4-5 separate countries
The South
Northeast
California & friends (CA OR WA)
The West
The Midwest
I have been reading these rumblings about Boxcar bills or self executing bills. Or Hostage bills. There are numerous names for these plans.
I for one do not believe the house will vote a tricked up bill. The public uproar would be unbelievable if the democrats try a tricked up bill.
The likely type bill would be a memo type bill that said If House Bill #1(the senate/house recon bill) passes the senate bill is deemed as passed. You still have to pass this bill and of course the house/senate recon bill) as well. This bill fools no one and shows the democrats as being arrogrant in procedure/process matters. Its like not seating Scot Brown for 60 days. Its an absolute vote loser for the democrats. This plan will not pass
of course this also sets up an absolute brawl in the senate where nothing is certain.
Never say never. I have been wrong before but this idea of a time bomb bill has all the hallmarks of a failed trail baloon.
Can HC truly be repealed in 2012 if we win?
BPL,
The pushback against the left on the Canadian healthcare story was pretty effective. We pretty much kept the MSM away from the story because the left clearly didnt’ have their facts right on what Canadian healthcare was in the 1960s.
In fact, Palin could probably play this angle now and bring to light how much better healthcare was for Canada in the 60s prior to it becoming socialized medicine.
The bill passes the Friday before easter. Jesus would have wanted everyone to have socialized medicine.
My state LA is too small to be a country
Hopefully TX will secede and we can join her in our new nation Oklatex (TX LA OK)
Oil, gas, resources, large enough to be a functioning country
If Pelosi had the votes, there would be a vote TODAY. End of story.
MD,
I linked to the wrong article when GPO asked about Cantwell. I see BPL has provided the link to Cantwell’s rumored affair that has not been denied despite its publication on a mainstream news network.
The National Post link was debunking the Palin/HC hypocrisy story with brutal efficiency.
You know what would terrify the govt the worst? Far more than a mob? A tax rebellion. If just 10% or so simply didn’t file? The dollar would collapse. The IRS couldn’t even begin to chase that many people.
NO!
Obamacare can never be repealed. It would take a super majority in the Senate to repeal the bill.
Anything can be repealed if the public will is there and the votes. Unfortunately the mainstream media is so deeply liberal that they will scream from the hilltops about susie homemaker losing her new health benefits.
But the bill doesn’t really pay out benefits for a long time in order to be scored in a positive way by the CBO. So it will undoubtedly cause a lot of pain (hello double dip) before it gives interest groups any money.
No state is going to secede. A civil war was fought over it. Rein in your imagination.
That’s it mnw
Twenty thousand people who say, “You know what, no 1040 for you Federal Government. Send me to jail.”
I don’t think the public will counts for much these days.
If by some miracle we gain an extra 3 or 4 seats this year (51 somehow with rossi and thompson jumping in), it is highly likely the repubs will have 60+ seats in 2012 along with the white house.
If we are only conservative and repubs are 47 after this election it will be a tougher hill to climb. The economy is adding +3-5 to Republican margins across the board. You cannot expect that in 2012 (even though I strongly believe we will still be above 8% unemployment).
Have any entitlements ever been repealed????
NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
#71
It is interesting to see how much longer you will be wasting your time defending Palin’s dumb moves and statements. Eventually, even you will get tired.
Patrick Kennedy screaming in house????
He is on Drugs!
I think these constant usurpations are radicalizing the right
If it keeps up you’ll see viable secession movements begin in the Southern states
I, for one, am sick of the United States
Let MA CA IL etc have their 90% tax rates and Communism
The South wants to go its own way
The Midwest can also be a functional country since it has all teh corn and soybeans and dairy cows. Plus it has the Big Ten (we would let PA in).
….as much time as you spend attacking her?
I doubt it.
You guys make no sense. On one hand you go on and on about how terrible Obamacare will be. Lower quality. Higher premiums. Then on the other hand you said that it will never be repealed thus suggesting that most Americans are going to be happy with Obamacare. Make up your mind!
#76
It will never happen. Most people have insurance alreay and the last thing they want to do is pick a fight with the IRS. The most feared government agency.
Why are we one country?
We needed to be unified to beat the British in the Revolutionary War
Be honest, what do NH and GA have in common?
LA and MA?
TX and CA?
Time to go our own separate ways
Everyone will be happier
Sometimes divorce is necessary…
Monica Conyers sentenced to three years in prison.
congical visits?
It would take a lot of balls to do it, to be sure, but it would bring everything down around the far left
If people were to physically occupy the House chambers until the next election, and keep the Congress from meeting anywhere else, and the military refusing to evict them…..
it could work.
The Declaration of INdependence says we have that right.
Another way that is in line with the Constitutuion would be to throw caution to the wind, call for a Constitutional Convention, pack it with right thinking people, and clean up the whole shootin match.
Balkanization is fine though. It prevents Patriotic sentiment and Nationalism.
If people don’t feel disenfranchised, they’re less likely to tolerate big government.
There’s no contridiction. It won’t be repealed because congress isn’t listening to the people.
SEE
THE
LAST
YEAR
87.
As a divorce lawyer, I can not agree more.
Love is grand.
Divorce is ten grand.
It’s not balkanization Acroso
My dearest friends in the world are from CT
When I talk to them on politics I’m discouraged, depressed and speechless
I want nothing to do with New England politically, and it’s nothing personal
Let them go their way and we’ll go ours…
Rubio +5 and Crist +13 over Meeks according to PPP. Rubio is going to end losing to Meeks. Something about him really bugs me. It must be his phoney conservatism.
Yeah, Rubio is in big trouble against mighty Meek. Floridians are clammoring for a black Marxist.
Rubio lose to Meeks…???
Want to lay some money on that…???
Can I get in on that?
#96
Rubio is not likeable.
I think I hear a Chekote (Comanche Indian for “Nasty Skank Troll”) howling in the wind, trying to recapture all lost credibility (not that there was any to begin with). Anyone got a stun gun?
#100
Oh please. I couldn’t care less about having credibility with the likes of you.
Close Guantanamo. Check
Institute single-payer health care. Check
Maintain Democratic gubernatorial majority. Check
End torture and rendition. Check
Repeal DOMA. Check
Reduce unemployment drastically. Check
Withdraw all US troops from Iraq. Check
End WMD programs of Iran & North Korea. Check
Institute card check. Check
Institute cap and trade. Check
Win global agreement on CO2 emissions. Check
Strengthen ACORN. Check
Capture UBL. Check
Eliminate nuclear weapons. Check
Heal the country’s rifts. Check
Heckuva job, Barry.
I did my interview to become a delegate to the State GOP party convention. Also, testified on behalf of a couple of resolutions to change the Texas GOP platform. I can’t wait to find out the results.
Deathcare actually down at Intrade today
MFG,
Well I think people feeling disenfranchised is a good thing. We don’t want them flying planes into the Texas buildings, but I think being skeptical of the National Government is a great thing.
The stereotype of a southerner is the Patriotic white guy with the flag in his truck who wants to die for his country and who gets pissed off at the ball game when the guy sitting next to him doesn’t stand for the national anthem.
They’re internalized the National identity as part of their own personal identity. It’s like Don Quijote novels trying to romanticize what Spain was supposed to be like (even though it isn’t remotely like that or possibly never was like that.) It’s just Romanticism.
#102
It is absolutely amazing that Obama has nothing to show for his 1 1/2 in office. This despite the large majorities in Congress. Really mind blowing.
HAHAHAHAH!
Kind of like how McConnell would lose b/c of thesis.
Hey Tommy_Boy, OGSP (Our Gal Sarah Palin) played the media, liberal ranters & trolls (like Off-the-Meds Chekote), and some eeyores on our side like a fiddle on that one. She’s living in ppl’s heads rent-free & I love it. Says 2 words (death panels) & changes the debate on health care in an instant, without so much as a thank you from most ppl on the right. In prior eras, that would be considered LEADERSHIP. Not bad for a private citizen, irrelevent quitter!
Irrelevant Quitter 2012!
95. “It must be his phoney conservatism.” – You would be the expert on that.
99. “Rubio is not likeable.” – Pot calling the kettle black.
The plant is upset that no one is paying attention to her hero, the Frum-fraud.
Tina, this isn’t an entitlement, its Progressives trying to regulate our lives. See Prohibition.
#105
That’s not exactly accurate Acroso
As a Southerner for 50 years I would put it slightly differently:
Southerners are
Patriotic
Individualistic
Mistrustful of big government
Supporters of the military
Pro individual freedom
Anti tax
Pro life
Our “country” keeps crapping on our values again and again and AGAIN
Where is the “consent of the governed” in all of this…???
McDonnell…
typo.
Poor Eric Massa.
My girlfriends and I engage in rampant tickling all the time. Sometimes we even do it wearing nothing but high heels, using microwaved massage oil and feathers while watching videos of old episodes of “Baywatch.”
Why would anyone then jump to the conclusion that something sexual is going on?!
107…don’t forget that said Plant actually was rooting for Deeds to win over McDonnell for quite a while after the thesis story came out.
John Hawkins one of the most pessimistic Hard Core Conservatives out there, gives a great reason today why HC will never pass, with the best facts yet on Stupak.
http://www.rightwingnews.com
And sure, some people have romanticized the south and pine for something that never was and never can be
But the south most clearly articulates the vision of the Founders as to what America should be
Chekote, that is true. You were down on McDonnell after the WaPO hit piece. Between this and your love early for KBH, you are a frickin fraud.
McDonnell ran away from his thesis faster than Palin ran away from policy briefing books during the 2008 election.
Massa gets no pension as one termer either. What a liar
Reid is funding the third party plant candidate in NV.
Chek also said Perry would lose to Hutchinson because tying himself to Palin would lead to crossover dems voting for KBH.
As someone who has made predictions (the only real horrible one was Coakley over Brown and that was because PPP(D)’s Saturday teaser fooled me and I put my prediction in before the Sunday results came out. I had company here with the Corzine prediction), I feel pretty confidently in predicting an easy victory for Marco Rubio if Kendrick Meeks is his only opponent.
Chekote, let me know all your football picks in the Fall, so I can fade your sorry butt
I really fear that we lose tbe FL and TX Governor’s Mansions….
PPP has both races as toss-ups
PPP is never ever wrong.
Tina, Rush said that weeks ago. The Nevada GOP is all over it too. The Tea Party guy is a registered DEM
I’m on a hot streak lately as well….I jumped on the Brady will perform better than Kirk bandwagon that Sam started.
All R’s will be lifted by this electoral tsunami coming
I would be stunned if any incumbent R lost in the Senate and , other than Cao, it’s possible no incumbent R will lose in the House
MFG, Deleware at large seat looks bad though
I wonder if a country could even manage secede from the European Union at this point let alone a state in the United States.
True, true about DE
Brooks
I said he deserve to lose because frankly I am tired of having troglodytes representing the party. But McDonnell totally distanced himself from his own words and so far all he is doing is talking fiscal issues. I stop loving KBH when she voted for TARP.
Meek can not get elected Dogcatcher statewide in Fla this year. Book it. The poll saying he is even close is PPP (D) and I think we have established ( cover your ears Brandon ) that Jensen does not mind fudging polls early on, but does tend to get the last one closer to the mark so that he is not embarrassing himself. His behaviour is pretty consistent with his partisan tweets.
Good that they are on it, that tea party candidate is the plant, like the Sock puppet in NJ was funded and affiliated with Corzine.
#130
Bs, you predicted a KBH victory because Perry was tying himself to Palin.
#121
Wrong. I said that KBH’s only hope was to get a lot of crossover Dem vote in the primary. Also, Palin did not appear in one commercial with Perry. She did attend a fundraiser for Perry but was not visible. I thought we would see more of her.
Senate wins:
NV CO AR PA IL DE ND IN
Maybes:
NY CA WI WA
Plus 12 doable…???
MFG, good trade off in DE. An easy Senate Seat for a House seat. I will take it.
#133
I did not. I said that if Perry ran around too much with Palin it might make Dems vote in the GOP primary and help KBH. Perry was seen with Palin (whom according to some is the next Reagan) once. McDonnell, Christie and Brown all made sure they were not seen with Palin.
Brooks, sure, agreed
Chekote lets the uterus do the predictions – It’s track record is worse than your average Magic 8 Ball.
The way the demographics are going in Texas, if it secedes within a couple of decades we will become part of Mexico.
#134
Nice attempt to recreate your history.
Fundraiser? How about a 8,000 rally on Super Bowl Sunday that got national press. Does that count as “not visible?”
#139
I predicted no runoff in Texas. I said Christie was going to win by 5. I predict that Palin will become more of a joke after she debuts her “Alaska with the Palins” doc/reality TV. Also, isn’t Bristol going to star in a TV program?
Okay, here is the latest I hear from a Chicago political insider on Matheson in Utah.
Orrin Hatch has let it be known that Matheson’s brother has no shot at getting confirmed. Hatch is angry and sees aNelson type deal and is ranking on Judicial.
Rep Matheson if votes Yes, not only loses his seat, but his brother is toast also.
NV Harry be toast
CO I think we win here
IN we win
IL tsunami gets us this seat
AR Blanche is done, my cat would beat her
PA I think Toomey pulls it out
DE easy win
ND easy win
NY Pataki please run
WI come on Tommy
CA will reconciliation sink Boxer?
WA come on Rossi
Plus 12 is possible, as is plus 85 in the House
#141
One appearance. I thought she was going to campaign for him around the state and appear in commercials. But maybe she is just as polarizing here in Texas as she is everywhere else. Including Alaska.
Tina,
Go to the link and click Audio/Video on the tool bar and then push “Listen Live”. It will sooth your nerves and motivate to finish your trip plans.
http://am940hawaii.com/av/index.html
Now Reid is going after SCOTUS. Unbelievable.
137. yeah, Palin is such a joke that she brought out 8K people on a Super Bowl Sunday, in the state of TX, to a political rally, on behalf of a candidate other than herself, for a primary that was a month away. Real damaging she is.
Meanwhile Obumbler can’t get 2000 to an event open free to the public.
Great thing he’s not “polarizing.”
Chek,
What’s that idiot, Reid, doing now?
Hafer drops out of PA-12 race for Murtha’s seat
harry Reid looks just like that creepy preacher from the Poltergeist movies
#142
You can continue lying but you did predict a KBH victory before you changed your mind. Because you continue to lie about the Canadian HC story, I don’t think too many people here are going to give you the benefit of the doubt.
Why the hell would Palin campaign across Texas for Perry? One appearance is one more than what Perry got from anyone else.
Obama is polarizing. As a matter of fact, Palin and Obama are very much alike. Both were ill prepared for the national stage. Both have a cult of personality. Both are celebrities with little substance.
#150 Jason T,
Is that good for us?
#149
Call justices “those characters”. I mean. First, Obama slaps SCOTUS during the SOTU. Now the Reid is calling them “characters”. I guess anyone who points out that Obama doesn’t know what he is doing or saying will be attacked. Kinda like TB does to anyone who touches his godess.
Reid will be gone soon enough
#152
Never did. Show me a post where I did. You need to take you head out of Palin’s butt so you can see what reality looks like.
#156
I hope.
153. I translate that as a ringing endoirsement of OGSP that tells us how good a President she will make.
Comparing life/professional accomplishments of Obama & Palin is like comparing Chekote’s to Bill Gates’. Nice try.
“Let’s not go on about who killed who…”
My neighbors Irish Setter would beat Reid in November
#157 The archives have it but you can feel free to continue lying.
Marv, MD is the name on this. Hafer was elected to State Office, the Dems picked a Murtha aide named Critz to run.
How ’bout it Chek – Were you right or wrong about the Canadian HC fiasco that you gleefully linked early in the week?
Still waiting.
#161
Irish Setters are great dogs. They would beat any politician.
MoF Polling Inc:
Arkansas Senate
MFG’s Cat: 52%
Blanche Lincoln: 40%
Undecided: 8%
MoF Polling
Nevada Senate
That Guy Who Lives Down By The River In A Cardboard Box: 54%
Harry Reid: 41%
Undecided: 5%
#159
Just ask the town of Wasilla how much additional money they had to pay thanks to Palin’s decision to proceed with a project before all litigation was settled. And what about that brilliant ethics law that she bragged about at the GOP convention which allowed the dumbest complaints to be filed? Or the pipeline she claim was under construction when work is about 10 years away before it will actually start?
JT
Hatch lavished praise on the Matheson 10th Circuit nomination. Said that Zero had made a “superb choice,” etc.
Hard for me to connect your dot with the earlier dot.
I am done with Palin for today. I got some work to do. Later guys!
I’ll say it for the record (Shout me down if you goody goodies want): Chekote, you are a pathetic piece of shit, congenital liar, attention whore, and a complete fraud. Not that I’m breaking new ground there, but everyone needs to scroll by your “analysis” like some do WEC’s “War & Peace”-length postings.
Your silence is confirming my notion that you look like Rosie O’ Donut & had an abortion years ago that still haunts you to this day. Just looking at Palin reinforces those 2 for you.
Argh…All threads tend to degenerate into a diapason of hatred of Palin on Chekote’s part and absolute adoration of the former Alaska Governor by her most ardent admirers on here. Since Sarah Palin is currently not in politics, can we avoid lengthy discussions of until/if she announces for the presidency. Till that point, I don’t see how these endless discussions are really germane to anything.
#172
Then why are we constantly subjected to TB’s updates? If he stops. I will too. I sick of this idiot hugging so much attention when she absolutely has no future in American politics.
JT and Marv,
Honestly, I was hoping that Hafer would be the Dems candidate. She is so intensely dislikable (kind of a Chekote for the Dems) that many Dems feel uncomfortable when they agree with her.
I honestly don’t know much about Critz with the exception of some insinuations that he was involved with Murtha’s ethics problems.
I really don’t have a handle on the special election yet because there are so many moving parts and I don’t know how he is perceived in the CD. It does look like Burns is going to be the candidate for the R’s. Good? Bad? I am really not certain at this point.
Wes,
That’s only marginally worse than talking about Rand Paul or Helen Thomas’ sex life.
@171 – This is the kind of language hayworth would use and this is the reason why he must never hold office again.
To be honest, Mnw, we’ve discussed Sarah Palin so much I’d rather discuss Helen Thomas’ sex life at this point, disgusting as that must sound. At least THAT’s a topic we haven’t mined ad nauseum for damn enar two years now.
Marv,
CFP commissioned a special poll on the NV Senate race even though that is not our core business any longer. Here is the result of the special poll:
Satan (I) – 54%
Reid (D) – 46%
How go things, MD?
Dio,
Show me an example of JD using that language.
What do you think, MD?
http://i43.photobucket.com/albums/e394/hoodrich1/random%20stuff/charlotte_ayanna01_jpg.jpg
You just proved my point in 171, Chek. Thx so much, you liar.
Good Wes. Still at work. My netbook is FUBAR. It won’t even cycle on anymore. I guess I will have to fork over another $300 or so. I had an ASUS, which actually ranked very high per consumer reports. I think the problem is with XP and I really don’t feel like having it repaired or taking any more time myself on the issue when I can just buy another one.
Wes,
Work computer so I don’t want to take a chance. I’ll probably buy anohter one this weekend. Then, I am back in the game.
I love my Toshiba, MD. It gets high marks from the consumers, and I’ve had absolutely no problems with it since I bought it.
181 – Don’t let Chek open that link: her uterus will go into fits.
“Nobody should look that beautiful! Why did God make me look like Rosie O’ Donut?”
What is the model # Wes? Thanks for letting me know.
BPL,
I have found that it is not much use to spend more than a minute or 2 engaging Chek on the Palin issue. It just isn’t worth it beyond that.
http://www.amazon.com/Toshiba-Satellite-T115-S1100-11-6-Inch-TruBrite/dp/B002PHM0FO/ref=sr_1_9?ie=UTF8&s=electronics&qid=1268260520&sr=8-9
Here’s its amazon link, MD.
188 – MD, you may be right, but I’m not engaging IMO, just reminding all here 8 any new posters that her credibility on anything political is zero. She’s a drive-by Kos kid & she just left to collect the G Soros paycheck.
Nobody rational should dislike Palin. Disagree with her politics or don’t vote for her, fine. But she is a great American whose future will not be hindered by slander of Chekote & her ilk. At least not if I have anything to do with it.
I hate to say this, BPL, but you’re as fanatical abotu Palin one way as Chek is the other.
I’m fairly agnostic on Palin but the continuing campaign of character assassination directed against her is shameful
And tiresome
And misogynistic
And hateful
And redundant
And pointless
And stupid
And uninteresting
Just like the endless counterposts elevating Palin to Mount Olympus. The woman is not in politics at the moment. Till she is, can we have a moratorium on discussions of her?
191. Wes, I respect you, but there ain’t no comparison. I don’t post links singing Palin’s praises from other sources to get ppl to support her. Chek does drive-bys to slander her. Big diff.
Still no idea what you see in John Thune beyond a good tan.
Here we go with the drama. Somehow St. Palin cannot be questioned. While all other politicians are fair game. Not St. Palin. She is God and if someone dares to point out her record while in office. Oh well. Blasphemy. No one can question St. Palin. We can only adore her.
I am not happy with Palin’s support of Paul but I agree with her on almost 100% of the issues and no one can draw a crowd like her.
The reason why Leno kicked Letterman’s A on the second night back was because those who love her want to hear what she has to say and those who hate her want to hear what she has to say.
I think I might agree with Wes. She could command up to 250k per speech if she felt like going that route.
OK – enough on that for now.
Thanks for the link Wes.
194 – Wes, ask your amigo Chek to cut the crap & if she does so, I’ll cease on my end. I’m only responding to the slander. Deal?
Till she is, can we have a moratorium on discussions of her?
I am game. Also, I usually wait for TB to post something about her before I respond. Of course, that means I don’t have to wait long.
What is it with these politicians and their orange tans anyways? Boehner, Crist, Thune.
196 – “She is God and if someone dares to point out her record while in office.”
That someone would have to be other than you, because all you post are lies that have been debunked 20 times over.
If she is such a dolt, why do you have to even respond if something postive is said regarding Palin?
Does that not expose a character flaw within yourself?
199. You lie!
I love Boehner’s tan and checkered pants.
No slander. Look up her record as Mayor of Wasilla.
Palin’s Hockey Rink Leads To Legal Trouble in Town She Led
And yes the gas pipeline is nowhere near being built. Of course, now we will hear her supporters call WSJ a bunch of elites who just can’t appreciate “real people” like Palin. Or better yet. We will hear how this has to do with her deciding to have Trig.
That seems fair to me, BPL and Chekote. Unless Palin does something newsworthy or makes an announcement she plans to reenter politics, let’s let her be and discuss other things. That should help soothe inflamed tensions.
Stop, Chek! I just brokered a peace agreement. Move on.
#204
Link? I think he has been a good leader. Frankly, I appreciated the way he allowed Ryan and others to shine during the HC summit. But the tanning booth look has to go.
#207
Fine. I will until the next TB post about Palin. I tried to ignore them the last few weeks but I am sick of them.
Interesting that nothing is posted about John Edwards, wife beating scumbag
Interesting that the 2008 R VP candidate is villified but the 2004 VP D candidate is not
Wonder why…???
To answer your question about Thune, BPL, he’s smart, photogenic, able to hold his own in a debate, and charismatic. As a Midwesterner, Thune could help the GOP in some states Obama would need for his reelection bid. He’s proved himself in a baptism by fire by becoming only the fourth man in history to topple a sitting Senate floor leader. He’s become such a formidable force in a state with a predilection for sending Dems to Washington no Dem–not even a Kostie or Laroucheite–has filed to challenge him. He’s a great fundraiser. His conservative credentials are solid. I see nothing to dislike about Thune.
205 – Thx for making my point again in 201. You refuse to do actual research on anything Palin, so what’s the point?
Tell your uterus to pipe down & STFU once in a while.
Chekote, what you do isn’t question. You attack mercilessly and pretty tastelessly. I actually stand with you on many thing, as I am a moderate on a lot of issues myself. But you do our wing of the party no favors with your vitriol.
You claim to dislike that cult of personality, but like the hypocrite you are, you subscribe just as much (if not, more) into it than others.
We’ve lampooned Edwards often enough on this site, MFG. I believe we don’t discuss him much because he doesn’t inspire the same passion one way or the other on this site as Palin. That said, I hope all involved can hold to the peace deal I just brokered so we can avoid future thread hijackings for and against her. At this point, no one’s saying anything new, and it’s getting rather boring and annoying.
Mark
What club of personality do I belong to? I don’t have any sacret cows. I posted her record. If you have a problem with it, then you have a problem with her. Not me.
Why do I feel like every American Ambassador given the thankless job of conducting negotiations between the Israelis and Palestinians since 1948 on this issue?
Chekote – Your ridiculous fawning worship of Scott Brown, for one.
I posted several times that Edward was a disgusting piece of you know what. So give me a break. I don’t have much good to say about Elizabeth who was so power hungry. Although, I am sorry she is dealing with cancer.
Well, at least Mark brought up a subject we don’t tackle every day. Thanks, Mark.
211 – Agree on most, Wes, but he doesn’t have the ability IMO to raise thr hundreds of millions needed to topple the likes of the Obama Mafia. Palin can raise the $$ from ordinary joes & josephines in a heartbeat. Also, sorry, but he doesn’t have the charisma. Finally, GOP nominating sitting senators leads to a dead end – see Dole, McCain. No more sitting senators. Governors are leaders.
But at least that was a rational defense on your part.
#217
Number one, that’s just having fun. So far Brown is doing fine by me. And, yes, he is drop dead gorgeous. He made me forget Van Jones. If Brown, ever does something that I disagree with, I will be hard on him too. I am sick of the Palin sacred cow. No one has been allowed to discuss her record without howls from her fans.
219 – Wes, are you referring to Congressional GOP orange tans?
I am so sick of this talk of charisma. Did Bush have charisma? He won twice. How about the first Bush? Nixon? Carter? and the list goes on. The way some people analyze politics here belongs on the E! Channel. All about celebrity, charisma. Very little about substance.
No, Mark. I was referring to Scott Brown.
Um, BP, Thune raised the biggest warchest of ANY Republican running for Congress in 2004. In fact, he raised so much money in his race against Daschle the DSCC overtly threatened several of his donors if they continued with contributions to Thune’s campaign. As far as charisma goes, watch clips of his speeches on the Senate floor or his debate with Tom Daschle just before the election. He was exceptional in making the case for why he rather than Daschle should win the eleciton a few days later.
Reagan and Harding had charisma and won by some of the biggest margins in presidential history, Chek.
Wes, sorry I opened that can of worms! lol
For those who care, Bush 43 did have charisma: the good-old boy cowboy type that Resgan had. No, he didn’t have the speaking skills, but he stepped up to the plate when needed, like in the rubble after 9/11 using the bullhorn. Algore or Kerry couldn’t have done that in a million years & it was the diff that carried W over the top both times. In the new post-millenium culture, no charisma = no chance. It’s not my rule & I never voted for it, but it’s reality. & Palin is the only GOPer possible who has it. Not Mitt, not Pawlenty-boring, not Mitch Daniels & not Thune.
Maybe this is old news, but Stupak is getting a primary challenge from the left.
“[Connie] Saltonstall has spoken out against Stupak for his anti-abortion views, which have repeatedly obstructed progress on health care reform.
He “has a right to his personal, religious views, but to deprive his constituents of needed health care reform because of those views is reprehensible,” Saltonstall said in a statement”
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/03/10/connie-saltonstall-challe_n_493443.html
#226
So what? I am tired of people acting like charisma is the only thing that matters. We need grown ups to right this ship up. We don’t need celebrities. We don’t need a political version of Keeping Up with the Kardashians.
BPL
Newt’s pack outraised Palin’s. Enough with the BS!
I’m not a fan of celebrities either, Chek. Charisma is a way of connecting with people on a personal level though. If someone can do that, then he has a HUGE advantage over someone who can’t. Witness Warren Harding v James Cox in 1920. Harding was the better candidate with the better ideas and better policies, but his ability to draw people in and connect with them personally gave him an advantage that caused him to win by the widest margin in persidential history. This is a guy whose personal pecadillos make Bill Clinton look as innocent as a choirboy.
Wes
Bill Clinton won in 1992 because of Ross Perot. In 1996, he won because the economy was good and the GOP ran a corpse against him called Bob Dole.
Wes, with all due respect, that SD Senate race was JV; the prez race is varsity. He translated well in his state & to ppl nationally who wanted Daschle gone, but he will only be able raise $$ as the ABBO candidate (Anybody But Barak Obama), just as Kerry was Anybody But Bush. As John Thune, individual, nobody except a small portion will give a damn, IMO. With Palin, she has a base that wants HER to be Prez, not just to replace the Big Zero.
You have to ask urself, if John Thune could be such a big threat to Obama, how come Chicago Mafia & the press in SD/nationally haven’t moved heaven & earth to stop Thune @ all costs (like on Palin)?
But if he’s your guy for now, be my guest. I just want to understand.
233 – Wow, a blind squirrel named Chekote finally finds an acorn!
BPL — Are you here? About how expensive is Don and Charley’s for dinner?
My guess would be that Thune’s not on their radar at the moment, BP. He’s stated publicly he’s running for reelection and has indicated no interest in running for President–a point I make repeatedly. As far as raising money for presidential politics, I’d point out one thing about Sarah Palin: To date, she’s raised exactly the same amount of money for such a race as John Thune–$0. That doesn’t mean anything but that neither of them has ever been in a position to raise money for such a race despite Palin’s having served as McCain’s Veep choice. Any argument about Palin’s being able to raise money while Thune can’t is a red herring till either or both actually starts the process. Till then, it’s all speculation.
Hi, Kristen. How go things? How’s the campaign?
Campaign has slowed down a bit. We’ve had incredible RAIN here in the desert which has kept me inside — not walking the district or getting sigs.
Just got some quasi-reliable poll-lite data, too. I’m in a good position.
More importantly, thanks for asking.
Right now, I’m trying to find an affordable “nice” place to eat dinner, but it looks like BPL isn’t responding.
Wes and BP
IMHO Thune looks very, very promising. He’s a polished Scott Brown — reserved, square, JFKish appearance, and upstanding.
Not sure about the charisma factor, though.
Eat at a Chili’s, Kristen. Everywhere I go, I make sure to find one. To me, it’s the best restaurant chain in the country.
See, BP? This is an independent perspective. Kristen seems to come down more on my side than on yours in this debate.
Thune will be perceived as an ‘insider’ someone who spent too much time inside the Beltway, in D.C.
That’s why a presidential run from him would be DOA.
To the Tea Party people that are replacing and remolding the RNC from the bottom up to be a more conservative organization, Insider = poison.
That’s why Paul is winning and will likely win in Ky. It has nothing to do with his principles, beliefs and ideas, and EVERYTHING to do with the fact he’s neither ‘the establishment’ nor does he have a ‘D’ after his name.
You’re making a huge assumption there, BP. You may be right, but we won’t know for two years. Personally I hate discussing the presidential eleciton this far out simply because no one’s announced yet. Still, you haven’t made a single concrete argument against Thune.
I like Chile’s too, but I’m meeting someone from out of state who wants a hoity-toity local restaurant.
Not being a foodie, I really don’t care or know. My ideal dining ambiance is a Subway sandwich on an isolated trail.
So, who would be your pick for the GOP presidential nomination, Kristen, if the names usually thrown about enter the race?
242. That’s fine. Time will ultimately tell. Just ask urself why there’s no “John Thune must be stopped by hell or high water!” starategy being implemented by the Dems. To me, the biggest threat on the GOP side is the one everyone on the left (including Chekote) has tried to undermine. Why not go after Mitt, Thune, Huckabee or whoever if they’re more likely to win than Palin? It’s only logical.
Not that Thune’s a bad candidate, it’s just he wouldn’t be running against Algore, Kerry, or even Tom Daschle, but a cultivated machine.
Like I said, time will tell.
BPL — Are you here? About how expensive is Don and Charley’s for dinner?
Kristen, D&C is the most expensive place in town for ribs & less-than-prime steaks. Quality-wise it rarely gets rave reviews (Sometimes D&C overcooks their meats, I’m told.).
I don’t know. Its so early, Wes.
The presidential election depends on 2010. And 2010 is largely contingent on healthcare, at least on a federal level.
On a state level, it could go two ways:
If HC passes and Rs catch that tailwind, then the number of statehouses that stay or turn R will determine redistricting.
If HC doesn’t pass, I’m not sure what will happen. R’s have already been energized EVEN IF HC dies in Congress.
I’m rather surprised that we don’t talk more about redistricting, here on HHR. In the long haul — at least a decade — far more will be decided by redistricted states that gain/lose seats.
So, to sum, I’d base any presidential predictions on what happens after the 2010 redistricting battles.
As I noted, BP, Thune hasn’t indicated an interest in the presidency yet. Why would the White House waste its firepower on him if it didn’t know he planned a race?
Thanks, BPL.
Good response, Kristen. We had a discussion about redistricting yesterday, Kristen.
How did I miss it that discussion?
I can speak, in broad terms, about AZ. Rumors are we’ll get only one more CD, not two as some had hoped. As most of the population growth has been in the exurbs of Phoenix, it will be here.
Since AZ is divided into 30 LDs, these will also be redistricted in a way that follows population growth — i.e., in Phoenix’s ‘burbs.
The balance of power will shift closer to the capital.
Note: AZ population has actually decreased by one or two percent, mostly by an exodus of illegals. (Thanks, Georgia!) Thus, areas once populated by illegals — democratic strongholds, mostly — will be weakened by the timing of the 2010 redistricting. Had redistricting occurred in 2007, the population pattern may have been less advantageous to Republicans.
250. In fairness, Wes, Palin hasn’t indicated that she’s running either. In fact she has many potential supporters believing either she won’t run ever (Chekote’s wet dream), or will wait until 2016, or 2020. None of those scanarios affect the current White House.
Who has more electoral power @ the moment, a sitting senator who can tie obama’s agenda in knots, or a private citizen who types on Facebook & gives speeches, but has no voting or executive power at the moment?
Arizona redistricts by commission though, Kristen. That could throw a monkeywrench into the breakdown of the CD.
Yes, I know. And they’re SUPPOSED to be non-partisan. The last commission was tied up in lawsuits for years but I don’t think this will happen again.
The commission has guidelines. They must equalize the districts by population. Although they can gerrymander the boundaries, to some degree, they’re supposed to follow natural boundaries, school districts and highways.
Interestingly, Phoenix has many new highways that seem to separate the inner (read:Dem) city and R burbs. I’d imagine they’d have a difficult time ignoring such obvious lines of demarkation.
Frankly, as long as Reps do reasonably well in 2010, and knowing that some of the population loss is mostly Ds, I think R’s will do well.
CD 1,3 and 8 are up for grabs, though the likelihood of getting all three, or even two, isn’t good.
k