Thursday Morning Tidbits (w/ CA and KS Polls)

The big news in the polling/internet world is another national polling aggregator site,, has joined a left-wing website, This is on the hells of joining the liberal newspaper The New York Times. Both polling sites tended to be liberal anyway, so it is really no surprise to see them link up with other liberal news sites.

Some CNN producer who decided to praise a Hezbollah leader who died was fired. It makes you wonder, how many others at CNN have these same views but are smart enough to keep it to themselves?

Last night we got the second half of the Field Poll showing Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer barely ahead of Republican Carly Fiorina.

Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 47%
Carly Fiorina (R) 44%

This poll was done June 22-July 5 among 1005 likely voters. Yesterday evening, Rasmussen put out a poll showing that no matter who wins the Republican nomination for the US Senate in Kansas, the seat should easily remain in Republican hands

US SENATE – KANSAS (Rasmussen)

Jerry Moran (R) 60%
David Haley (D) 22%

Jerry Moran (R) 59%
Lisa Johnston (D) 23%

Jerry Moran (R) 60%
Charles Schollenberger (D) 23%

Jerry Moran (R) 60%
Robert Conroy (D) 23%

Todd Tiahrt (R) 54%
David Haley (D) 26%

Todd Tiahrt (R) 52%
Lisa Johnston (D) 32%

Todd Tiahrt (R) 54%
Charles Schollenberger (D) 29%

Todd Tiahrt (R) 53%
Robert Conroy (D) 29%

This poll was done June 30th among 500 likely voters.

Spain versus Dutch for the World Cup.

LeBron is telling us where he is going at 9pm tonight on ESPN.

Your turn….

Posted by Dave at 6:59 am
Filed under: 2010 Senate - KS,2010 Senate -CA | Comments (137)

137 Responses to “Thursday Morning Tidbits (w/ CA and KS Polls)”

  1. Brandon says:


  2. L TePaske says:

    Any way you look at it Kansas is safe, California wauld be a nice pick up and probable return control of the Senate to the good guys. { I mean guys in a generic sense]

  3. Tim says:

    I don’t believe that a Democrat has been elected to the Senate in Kansas, in over 70 years. Or, something like that…

  4. Tina says:

    Breaking News: McNerney the leftist troll here in CA is in trouble. He has used a fire truck – governmental property- to run a re election propaganda during the Fourth of July Parade. (Bear in mind that the truck was/is owned by the local Fire Dept). It was not a private vehicle.

  5. L TePaske says:

    Kansans are smart

  6. rdelbov says:

    Per NRO–monster cash on hand for Portman–8.8 million with 2.6 million raised in this quarter–So far GOP senate candidates in OH-KY-IL have reported monster quarters.

    Norton and Buck have had great quarters in CO but until that primary gets sorted-along with the democrat primary getting sorted out-its not clear how the money situation is in that state.

    So far on the senate side money has been great for the GOP.

  7. MD says:

    I was up all night worried about Kansas. Thank goodness Ras had the courage to poll that race. Tonight, I will sleep soundly.

  8. Phil says:

    Waiting breathlessly for the polling numbers from Alabama on Shelby’s race.

  9. MD says:

    Thanks Phil! Just when I thought I would sleep again.

  10. rdelbov says:

    slight decline in jobless claims to 454K—the four week moving average of intial claims is 466K—can you say stagnant job market?

  11. Jeff G. says:

    RAS: Rubio 36, Crist 34, Meek 15

  12. Phil says:

    RAS Florida

    Rubio 36
    Crist 34
    Meek 15

    The encouraging thing to me is that Rubio has room to grow. Rubio only getting 60% of Republicans and Crist still gets 29% of GOP voters. We need to cut that number in half.

  13. Phil says:

    Someone tell me what those 30% of Florida GOP voters are thinking. Crist has moved steadily left. Are those people nuts?

  14. Tony says:

    Encouraging numbers for rubio. He’ll pull it out

  15. Phil says:

    Rubio 37
    Crist 33
    Greene 18

    Rubio doing slightly better if Greene the Dem nominee. This defies conventional wisdom.

  16. Phil says:

    Time for a PPP Poll showing Crist up 10 or so.

  17. Jeff G. says:


    I don’t think they’re nuts. The key is that Crist is trying to move left with the hope that some on the right won’t notice. Some of that 29% will vote for Crist regardless, but I imagine the majority just haven’t followed along closely enough to the changing dynamics of the race. If Rubio properly hammers away at that point, that 29% will shrink significantly by November.

  18. Phil says:

    Good point Jeff. It’s not even mid summer. Those Republicans more than likely have not payed a lick of attention to what Crist or any other politician has been doing. I have no doubt that Rubio will pound Crist relentlessly on his position changes once the campaign really begins on Labor Day. If we get half of those Republicans back we’ll be fine.

  19. Jeff G. says:

    Phil #17,

    I thought Jensen was only posting ties this election season.

  20. DW says:

    This FL senate poll basically confirms the Paladin/CFP one that was shown yesterday, though Paladin/CFP factored into the poll the snow-birds.


    FL – Senate

    Rubio (R) 47%

    Meek (D) 16%

    Crist (I) 29%

    500 LV


    2010 Paladin/CFP, All Rights Reserved.

    Comment by DW — July 7, 2010 @ 11:32 am

  21. jones says:

    Levi Johnson admitted he lied about Palin (Tim, see one can do it) and Chek is gone. Do you think she exploded?

  22. Howard Dean says:

    The good news is, Rubio isn’t even campaigning or running ads right now.

    He has in fact been criticized for laying TOO low.

    This is great news.

    Though, the Dems may increase pressure on Meek to drop out.

  23. Howard Dean says:

    Remember, Crist tied himself to Obama’s hip and Obama is sinking BADLY in FL.

  24. Phil says:

    Yep, Obama at 43/57 in Florida according to RAS.

  25. Howard Dean says:

    Rubio runs stronger among voters over 40, while Crist earns his best numbers among voters ages 18 to 39


    Guess who that favors.

    Fifty-seven percent (57%) favor repeal of the national health care bill, comparable to findings nationally, while 37% oppose repeal


    Rubio will KILL Crist on this. Crist HAS to support the law, or Dems will abandon him.

    Sixty-two percent (62%) of voters in the state favor passage of an immigration law like Arizona’s in Florida, slightly stronger than support nationwide. Twenty-four percent (24%) oppose such a law.

    Obama 43%

  26. Howard Dean says:

    Phil, do you think Greene is a DNC/WH plant?

  27. rdelbov says:


    Greene is running as a conventional Liberal so he may snag a democrat or two who is anti-AA(if you can imagine that thought?)–

    Greene is running as Obama/lite–if replay all of Obama speeches from 2008 they are all stolen by Greene

    1. We need good jobs
    2. We need to fix HC(Greene says implement new HC bill the right way)
    3. We need to protect our seniors
    4. We need to fix DC where everyone is so partisan

    Its scary but 18% of the voters lap it up

    Yes Rubio has some work to do but this poll does not surprise me

  28. Howard Dean says:

    Let me be clear:

    This FL poll is only a snapshot of today.

    The reason I say it is great news is b/c other polls showed Crist pulling away, as he got major msm coverage and Rubio is off the air.

    Not being on the air and being within the MOE is a good sign.

    But this poll is largely irrelevant, as things will change and heat up in Sept/Oct.

    What it tells me is Fl. will not blindly hand this to Crist.

  29. Howard Dean says:

    If Rubio properly hammers away at that point, that 29% will shrink significantly by November.

    Comment by Jeff G. — July 8, 2010 @ 8:44 am

    He will and it will.

    Wait for the Crist/Obama ads.

    The GOP will flee Crist.

    I can’t WAIT for the fundraising numbers.

    Bachman raised huge cash.

  30. DW says:

    Speaking of FL and the GOP…I got my NRSC “survey” in the mail yesterday, the one that you fill it out and at the end they ask for money. I checked the box YES, I want to help…and then checked the cash box for [] Other_________ and I put in $0.00. Then in the comments I told them that if they couldn’t even mention the existence of Rubio on the NRSC website until the turncoat RINO traitor Crist left the party, then I couldn’t trust them with my money. I would donate directly to candidates I believe in.

  31. geauxlsu says:

    Good news from Florida. It’s nice to see a poll showing Rubio ahead regardless of timing. Still not as confident as many of my friends at t his site are, but I like these numbers today.

  32. Howard Dean says:

    This is heating up givven the testimony of that former prosecutor.

    Comment by Tina — July 8, 2010 @ 8:05 am


    That is political poison Obama will swallow.

    That’s why the msm is trying to ignore it.

    The GOP will drag it out and keep it out. Just another example of Obama’s extremism.

    It’s going to hurt the WH, especially if there is a GOP Speaker.

  33. Tim says:

    I dunno. Explain Alf Landon……..

  34. Phil says:

    “that’s why the msm is trying to ignore it”

    Trying? So far they are doing their usual slam dunk job. According to NRO, as of last night, ABC, NBC, CBS have not mentioned it once. Not a word.

  35. Tim says:

    What, exactly, does that have to do with me in any way, shape, or form?

  36. Howard Dean says:

    as of last night, ABC, NBC, CBS have not mentioned it once. Not a word.

    Comment by Phil — July 8, 2010 @ 9:32 am

    Neither have any of the “civil right’s champions”.

    They’ve always been phony racists.

  37. Phil says:

    Boy, Zero’s numbers have sure stabalized at 45%.

    This is the third straight day that Obama is at 45/54. It’s also the third straight day he’s at Strongly approve/Strongly Disapprove 26/43 -17

  38. MD says:

    I seem to remember that a couple of us here were much more positive on Rubo.

    The 29% will shrink to approx 12% by Nov and the indy %, which is going to be right leaning this cycle, will move an additional 10 to 15% towards Rubio.

    Meek and/or Greene should be asking Crist to drop out, not the other way around. Crist is still at his high water mark and can only lose ground, especially when Rubio fires up the ad blitz. The nice thing about it is that every word will be true.

    Again, I said this before – there is a reasonable chance that Crist will finish behind the Dem candidate.

  39. sam says:

    How can anyone sleep, not knowing what’s happening in the South Dakota senate race?

    Does Thune have a chance? I heard PPP-D had the race tied.

  40. Phil says:

    but, but, Chris Mathews says Crist will be the star of the Democratic caucus.

  41. MD says:


    I was not happy with the internals for the Baron Hill race. What do you think?

  42. Phil says:

    Wrong Sam. I hear Jensen has Thune holding a slim 3 point lead over the blank Democratic ballot line.

  43. Phil says:

    No, MD. I wasn’t happy either. This was an internal Republican poll? It was released by Young? Why, for God’s sake. If so it was stupid.

  44. MD says:

    I should explain 39 a little more. I also think Crist’s Dem support will be much lower than the current polling indicates. Meek and/or Green can attack his previous stances quite easily.

    Crist’s only shot is to have no D in the race. Even if that happens, I still think Rubio wins but the end result will be close since the far left D’s will have no other option.

  45. Sharon says:

    12 and 13….now that’s what I’m talking about!

  46. MD says:

    Paladin/CFP has commissioned a series of polls for the House races in PA which should be completed within a day or 2. I can tell you that the R’s are in the drivers seat but the D’s are not rolling over. Most of the D’s are moving hard to the right in the last month.

  47. Howard Dean says:

    California, normally a reliably Democratic state suffering from double-digit unemployment and a budget deficit running into tens of billions of dollars, is considered a potential bellwether in the coming congressional elections.

    The Field Poll found that since January more Californians have become disgruntled with Boxer, with 52 percent of likely voters holding an unfavorable view of her, compared with just 41 percent who regard her favorably.


    Um, do you know what it means when the msm starts calling CA. a BELLWEATHER state?


  48. Phil says:

    Isn’t is funny how Dems suddenly become conservatives at campaign time?

    What frauds.

  49. Phil says:

    That’s very telling, Howie.

  50. Howard Dean says:

    Drugmaker Merck closing 8 plants, 8 research sites


    More jobs.


  51. DW says:

    Howard…I used to like it when you ended your posts with GULP!

  52. Tony says:

    More lost jobs (Merck ) could only mean one thing: those employees didn’t want to work and they already given up looking so no negative effect on this weeks job numbers.

  53. Tony says:

    Yep the dims move right and win or at least better their chances of doing so while some ???????? Push us into being what other are running away from. Go figure

  54. Wes says:

    Now, guys and gals, did I not lay out a strong case for Rubio’s overtaking Crist and ultimately winning the race? Now this is one poll. Still, it shows all you cassandras who were panicking over polls taken in June were a bit premature in your reaction.

  55. Wes says:

    Chekote thinks extending citizenship to the minor children of legal immigrants who naturalize is draconian, Tony. That tells you the level of discourse you’re going to get there.

  56. MD says:

    Exactly Tony. What did Reagan say?

    Bold colors and stark differences. All this talk about “solutions” is code for can we control the people slightly less than the Marxists. A failing strategy. We tried that.

  57. Wes says:

    Even the Dems are savaging Barack Hussein Obama mmmmm mmmmm mmmmmm for his recess appointment of Donald Berwick to head Medicare and Medicaid. Are you just trying to step in it at this point, Barry?

  58. MD says:


    They are moving away from him in an attempt to save their own skins. They really have no issue with the appointment. It is, once again, theatre from our friendly neighborhood Marxists.

  59. MD says:

    56 – Why wouldn’t children of LEGAL immigrants be citizens. I guess I don’t get the point.

  60. Wes says:

    Oh, I’m aware, MD. The fact that they NEED to do that though is indicative of his standing among the American people though.

  61. rdelbov says:

    Howard and Tony these layoffs and plant closings at Merck will take place over the next three years–15K jobs–many in research and its related to Schering Plough merger.

    Hugely profitable company is reducing headcount–10% world–welcome to the Obamanomics and our new life of diminished expectations.

    Lots of cuts over time in NJ-PA-MA–so how did those votes for HC work out there in those blue states? Casey-Specter-Kirk(interim) Kerry-Lautenberg-Menedez?

    How can they vote against their people–mind you big Pharma got its guaranteed profits in the deal but its only the people who pay–the little people.

  62. Wes says:

    That’s Chekote for you, MD. I’m not sure if she or LisaB makes the most vapid posts on this board. It’s a close race to be honest.

  63. Tony says:

    Next thing You know BO will use a recess schedule to appt himself as the 2012 nominee. Don’t laugh.

  64. Wes says:

    Here’s a thought for polling a race that might actually mean something, Ras: Since West Virginia appears to be moving closer to a special election to replace the late Klansman, why don’t you pol potential matchups in that race? Just a thought.

  65. Wes says:

    There’s no appointment process for presidential nominees, Tony. The voters in the party caucuses and primaries make the choice. Damnit! Canada is considering giving citizenship to an American soldier who fled there in ’04 to escape going to war. Bastards.

  66. Wes says:

    If the GOP retakes the Senate in Jnuary, then they need to ensure Obama can’t do ANY recess appointments by having daily pro forma sessions a la what the Dems did in 2007 and 2008 so the Senate technically never goe sout of session.

  67. Tony says:

    Thanks rd. I was going to read the particulars when I got to work, but you know as well as I that no matter what happened with Merck the country will be better off because WHATEVER happened it happened while Barack Hussein Obama was in charge.

  68. Hugh says:

    MD and Wes. I post rarely, but have consistently said Rubio by 10. Living in Broward there is not a rep I can find who likes Crist. THe reps polled who are for Crist, dont even know yet who rubio is as its summer and they are unengaged at this point.

  69. L TePaske says:

    Something is up with Wellfargo That will cost jobs, ssomething to do with real estate, heard it while driving but don’t have many facts.

  70. Tony says:

    66 Wes.

    I’m gonna have to post here more often so you can better understand my humor. Either that or use lots of sarc tags.

  71. Wes says:

    I’ve seen your posts about the race, Hugh. You and Marv as Floridians both seem to agree with the statements I’ve been making regarding the Senate race down there. Since you’re on the ground and have the most at stake depending on the outcome, I put a lot of weight on what you say. It’s refreshing to know I seem to be on the right track based on your observations.

  72. MD says:

    Thanks Hugh. Having on the ground evidence really helps. I do get suspect of people who think someone will win based on the number of campaign signs they see in their neighborhoods. Still, you get a better read being there than we would. I am just applying simple logic to the situation and I see no path for Crist to win. None.

    What part of FL are you in?

    Also, I have NOT been in touch with my Rubio contact for a while.

  73. Wes says:

    Well, Tony, you said Blumy was going to run to the right of Rob Simons on social issues and that J D Hayworth was in the driver’s seat in the Arizona Senate race, so I chalked your last statement up up to another moment like those.

  74. L TePaske says:

    George Bush had made 178 recess appointments while Bill clinton made 139 recess appointmente. This character that Obama has appointed may be bad and unqualified but he compliments the President[bad and unqualified]

  75. MD says:

    70 – Ltep,

    They are closing their subprime unit which is generated through storefronts. 3000 people will be laid off.

    Funny, the delinquency rate on the sub-prime (they call it non-prime) was virtually the same as the rate on their A type of mortgages.

    So, a firm that was doing it right is no longer going to provide that service. Why? I think we all know the answer to that one.

  76. MD says:

    JD did himself in with the infomercial. He lost me completely when I saw that. His message was as anti-conservative as you can get. Sometimes going for the cheap and easy buck can hurt you in the long run. I wonder if JD knows that.

    McCain, who I still don’t like, wins by 15 to 20.

  77. Wes says:

    I have no problem with recess appointments, LT. They’re allowable under the Constitution (except to the Left when a Republican appoints them). We know what kinds of characters Obama will appoint if given the chance though, so Republicans should fight back to ensure he can’t make use of that weapon in the future.

  78. Marc says:

    Larry Sabato has made changes to his crystal ball.

  79. Marv says:

    Good morning, folks.

    The Ras poll on the Fl Senate with Rubio leading Crist is about what I expected. After Labor Day, when the campaign heats up, you can expect Rubio to extend his lead. GOP voters will come home to Rubio, Indies aren’t sold on Crist, and the Dem Primary will have been quite divisive.

  80. Wes says:

    Bunu is still jacking off over he idea that McCain’s may be a head the Ronulans can mount on their collective wall, MD. He hasn’t quite figured out with McCain poling consistently much higher than his opponents, it’s not going to happen.

  81. Tony says:


    Canada is trying to one up us. We’ve already nationalized anybody worth a damn from their country — their hockey stars.

    What have they got left? We’ve even taken Canadian Bacon from them.

    So they get one of ours. No biggie

  82. MD says:

    Well Wes, JD is a huge and I mean huge supporter of Israel. I am not so sure that the Ronulans would like him much in the end. The point is now moot. McCain takes it quite easily. My fear is that McCain’s sudden shift to the right will end with a bang in January.

  83. Phil says:


    Representative Fattah (D-Pa) has introduced a bill to tax every dollar you withdraw from an ATM machine.

    Uh, a tax on using your own money (that was already taxed once before when you made it).

    That’s on top of the tax they introduced in the House last month on all internet transactions (the Mainstreet Fairness Act) of which Sandlin (D-SD) is a cosponsor. Sic her Kristi!

    These Democrats are so anxious to raise taxes they can’t help themselves. Can’t even wait until after the election.

    A tax on a withdrawal of your own money. Sheesh

  84. Tony says:

    Never mentioned blumy or Simmons in my posts — must be somebody else. Regarding JD and McCain my posts were basically that I didn’t trust McCain. I still don’t and neither should you.

  85. MD says:


    Thanks for that link!! Sabato now has the GOP at +32! The funny thing is that he is NOT counting idiots like Grayson yet who are certain to go.

    If Sabato is at +32 then I feel very good about my +52 number. He still has the lovely and gracious Kristi Noem trailing Steph 92.7% H-S.

  86. MD says:


    A potential problem for House candidates is that we have TOO MANY issues to run on and can blunt the message by spreading it a bit too thin.

  87. MD says:

    Hmm…wonder what is up with Jensen today?

  88. Marv says:


    What did PPP do?

  89. Wes says:

    I never said I trusted McCain. I’d rather have him up there for one more term though than have Loudmouth make weekly statements that cause Republicans to groan as his chances of keeping his seat in 2016 begin to diminish. I’ve repeatedly been on record that Republicans should have gotten a serious candidate to challenge McCain. They didn’t, so they’re going to be stuck with him till January 2017.

  90. Wes says:

    actually, MD, I thought Sabato moved that race to a tossup status.

  91. Phil says:

    MD, What can you tell me about this Fattah guy. Taxing withdrawals from ATMs of your own money? Let me guess. Black Marxist from a D+30 Philly district.

  92. MD says:

    Nothing Marv. The commentors over there still think Ras is a complete right wing fraud who is trying to shape the election. I guess they haven’t read Tommy’s polls.

    BTW – I am working hard on the Paladin/CFP polls for the PA house races. I have decided not to go with CTV screen until the stat geeks work out the remaining issues with the algos.

  93. Wes says:

    You kinow what an ATM tax will do, Phil. People just won’t use the machines. They’ll go into a bank and withdraw money using counter checks. That will adversely affect workers at places like Diebold that build and maintain ATMs. Good job, Dems! You’re trying to put more people out of jobs.

  94. Marc says:

    Sabato has FL-8 has a toss-up mostly like b/c the GOP primary is next month and they have no clear candidate against DisGrayson yet.

  95. Marc says:

    This what Sabato says:

    “FL-8 (Toss-up, from Leans D): How do you solve a problem like Alan Grayson? The freshman congressman has successfully fashioned himself as the Democratic version of Michele Bachmann, a controversial mouthpiece who raises gobs of money but gives equal ammunition to the opposition. Problematically for him, his Orlando seat is much more of a battleground and in this Republican year his reelection is anything but certain. Republicans thought they had found their man to challenge Grayson in former state senator Daniel Webster, but Webster announced his decision not to run last October and other Republican candidates jumped in to fill the void. Then in late April of this year Webster reversed course and threw his hat back into the ring. Unfortunately, in the meantime the other Republicans each cultivated their own bases and Webster is no longer the shoo-in nominee he would have been. Businessman Bruce O’Donoghue and state legislator Kurt Kelly have each found openings, with O’Donoghue even gaining the endorsement of former Senator Mel Martinez while Kelly captured the conservative Eagle Forum endorsement. Webster has still managed to grab the endorsements of Mike Huckabee, Jeb Bush, and appointed Seantor George LeMieux and no matter who emerges from this late August GOP primary, Grayson is in for a Toss-up race.”

  96. Wes says:

    DisGrayson. Hahah! I like it.

  97. Phil says:

    He says it’s only a penny per one dollar withdrawal, Wes. But we all know how that works. Get their foot in the door, and raise it tho 2, 3, a nichol later.

    But yeah, it will cause people to go directly to the bank and result in less use of ATMs. Do these people have a clue about economis and unintended consequenses?

  98. Wes says:

    I’d love to see Grayson, Kosmas, Klein, and Boyd all go down in November along with Crist.

  99. rdelbov says:

    I posted on the Wells Fargo closings yesterday. I discussed it with my wife this morning(I know that excites everyone) but its really bad news in a lot of ways.

    1st Wells Fargo is closing 680 of its “money stores” these are mostly consumer lending operations with 3 to 4 people in each office. 3800 jobs will be lost. If you don’t have a store front near by its like Associates or household finance operation. I hate to see these jobs go as they were good paying ones but under financial reform this type of operation is much more iffy.

    2nd technically it is “subprime” as there is “prime” and ‘subprime” in the MSM reports. Its either prime or subprime but Wells Fargo does not do “payday” loans or pawn shop financing. These are mostly loans in the 8 to 12% range for appliances-used cars-house improvements-major car repairs. When you need $800 to $3000 and you want to make payments over 1 year to 2 year time period. So its not $20 origination fee on a $200 loan and 28% interest.

    3rd so why is this important? consumer credit for loans drives the economy or at least it has in the past. So if Mr. blue collar Joe needs $1500 to redo his kitchen or fix that roof Wells Fargo is not there now. He has less choices and credit will be harder to get. The economy is slower down right before our eyes

  100. Howard Dean says:

    MD, Didn’t you run against Fattah once?

    That was brave. What is the registration in his district like 9-1 D?

  101. DW says:

    79…Sabato’s changes are all yawners. Old news. Nothing new. These guys (Cook, Sabato, Rothenberg) are so far behind the news its silly. Like Cook announcing the breaking news last week that the Thune race was over! Oh really? Thanks for the info.

  102. Wes says:

    So if someone withdraws $500 from an ATM, Phil, then that person has to pay $5 additional for use of his own money. People are going to decide they’d rather stand in a long line at a bank than use a convenient ATM so as not to be penalized for using what’s theirs. When ou consider users already have to pay fees for ATMs not operated by the own banks. we’re looking at YET ANOTHER Dem boondoggle. What idiots.

  103. Wes says:

    Bitterlaw was the one who ran against Fattah, I believe.

  104. MD says:

    HD – 15 to 1 now. It was 9 to 1 before it was redistricted.

  105. Wes says:

    I could have told Cook Thune was going to be reelected with no problems a year and a half ago, DW.

  106. Howard Dean says:

    Lawyer Who Defended ‘American Taliban’ Now Heads DOJ Suit Against Arizona


  107. MD says:

    Yes, I have worked for campaigns but have never run myself. Bitter must have run against him before he moved.

  108. Wes says:

    That’s just wonderful, Howie.

  109. Phil says:

    Howie, sounds like Obama has found the perfect lead attorney. This just keeps getting better and better.


  110. MD says:


    PA – Gov Race

    Corbett (R) – 48
    Onorato (D) – 42

    524 LV’s

    7/6 – 7/7

    2010 Paladin/CFP, All Rights Reserved.

    Yes, this is CLOSER than what Ras had. My take is that Corbett is sitting back and taking victory for granted. He needs to get moving and must identify Onorato for what he really is – a tax and spend liberal. Onorato has also raised quite a bit of money recently but still trails Corbett. This race now bears watching. Corbett needs to find a way to campaign more.

  111. jones says:

    Aren’t dems always saying they were going to outla ATM fees because banks are robbing people?

  112. Phil says:

    That’s the banks, jones. It’s always ok if the government does it.

  113. jones says:

    Amazing how they can purify evil just with their touch.

  114. Hugh says:

    MD. I live in Lauderdale

  115. Marc says:


    What are Allan West chances? FL-22 seems to have gone under the radar with everybody thinking Ron Klein has it wrapped up..

  116. Tommy_Boy says:

    In case you missed it, here’s the first Palin “campaign ad”:

  117. Tommy_Boy says:

    David Frum has pulled the race card from the bottom of the deck against Palin:

    “SarahPAC ad. Kind of remarkable to see a Republican ad with not a single nonwhite face in any crowd scene.”

    Of course, what the race-baiter wrote is not true as he admits in later tweets.

  118. DW says:

    While waiting for the Paladin/CFP house races for PA, here is a look at NY:


    NY – U.S. Congress

    CD 01:

    Bishop (D-Inc) 42%

    Artschuler (R) 47%

    CD 03:

    King (R-Inc) 58%

    Howard Kudler (D) 33%

    CD 13:

    McMahon (D-Inc) 42%

    Grimm (R,C) 43%

    McMahon (D-Inc) 46%

    Allegretti (R) 39%

    CD 19:

    Hall (D-Inc) 44%

    Hayworth (R) 46%

    CD 20:

    Murphy (D-Inc) 41%

    Gibson (R) 44%

    CD 23:

    Owens (D-Inc) 43%

    Hoffman (R,C) 41%

    Owens (D-Inc) 40%

    Doheny (R) 46%

    CD 24:

    Arcuri (D-Inc) 40%

    Hanna (R) 43%

    CD 25:

    Maffei (D-Inc) 39%

    Buerkle (R) 44%

    CD 29 (open):

    Zeller (D) 37%

    Reed (R) 49%

    500 Likely voters per district

    7/6/10 – 7/7/10

    2010 Paladin/CFP, All Rights Reserved.

    You can see why I am so bullish about NY for the GOP. The Gov race and senate races will be yawners, so the results might even be better for the GOP than these polls show.

  119. DW says:

    Marv, I have FL22 flipping to the GOP.

  120. Phil says:


    Likely voters oppose the justice dept lawsuit against the Arizona law 56-28.

    61% favor an Arizona like law in their state. That’s up 6 points from two months ago.

    Very good political move, Barry. You ARE, truly, a political genius. More like the Marxist just can’t help himself.

  121. Frank says:


    Top-Line and Daily Approval have been updated @


  122. Phil says:

    Frank, can you give us an update on Obama’s approval/disapproval among whites? I haven’t seen that for awhile.

  123. Gary Maxwell says:

    It was interesting to see a very morose Sabato on the tube last night. He was willing to concede nothing was going right for Zero at the moment. No Macaca to throw around.

    Then Dick Morris comes on and says the Democrat strategy is to gin up the Democrat base and it wont work.

    Finally the Rangers win another one and go 5.5 games up on the Angels.

    Great night of TV from my seat…

  124. Phil says:

    5th straight day over 50% of indies STRONGLY disapprove of Obama. Not just disapprove, STRONGLY disapprove.

  125. Tommy_Boy says:

    McClatchy is dropping Ipsos as a pollster!

  126. Tommy_Boy says:

    Phil: 38/61 among whites

  127. Phil says:

    What, wasn’t pro-Barry enough. Don’t tell me. They are replacing with PPP.

  128. Phil says:

    Tommy, thanks.

    I believe Barry got 43% or 44% against McCain. Sizable drop off. About what I thought.

  129. DW says:

    Take a look at this image of a nebula from Hubble. Tell me this doesn’t look like Obama giving a speech, gesturing with his finger. Only thing missing is the teleprompter.

  130. jason says:

    132. What are you drinking or smoking today…. is it available commercially? 8)

  131. DW says:

    you don’t see it?

  132. jones says:


    I see it, and I see jason’s point too.

  133. DW says:

    new thread

  134. Cory says:

    Looks more like E.T. phoning home to me.