Reid Takes Lead In NV (plus AR, IL, NY Polls)
After two weeks ago standing by himself claiming Sharron Angle was leading Harry Reid while every other pollster was showing Reid ahead, Scott Rasmussen has released a new poll for the US Senate race in Nevada showing Reid now ahead.
US SENATE – NEVADA (Rasmussen)
Harry Reid (D-inc) 45%
Sharron Angle (R) 43%
This poll was done July 27th among 750 likely voters. Earlier today, Rasmussen gave us a look at the US Senate race in Illinois and the gubernatorial race in Alabama.
US SENATE – ILLINOIS (Rasmussen)
Alexi Giannoulias (D) 43%
Mark Kirk (R) 415GOVERNOR – ALABAMA (Rasmussen)
Robert Bentley (R) 55%
Ron Sparks (D) 35%
The IL poll was done July 26th among 750 likely voters. The AL poll was done July 22nd among 500 likely voters. Rasmussen’s email today says we will get a poll for the US Senate race in Oregon at 5pm today. Meanwhile, Quinnipiac University finally got around to posting that poll for New York that they had promised would be out at 6:30am this morning.
GOVERNOR – NEW YORK (Quinnipiac)
Andrew Cuomo (D) 56%
Rick Lazio (R) 26%Andrew Cuomo (D) 55%
Carl Paladino (R) 25%GOVERNOR – NEW YORK – GOP PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Rick Lazio 39%
Carl Paladino 23%US SENATE – NEW YORK (Quinnipiac)
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-inc) 48%
Bruce Blakeman 27%Kirsten Gillibrand (D-inc) 49%
David Malpass 24%%US SENATE – NEW YORK – GOP PRIMARY (Quinnipiac) – Gillibrand
Bruce Blakeman 19%
David Malpass 12%
This poll was done July 20-26 among 1665 registered voters.
Now Gerhaghty at NRO Campaign spot is glooming.
She is down only 45 to 43 and the so called Right Wing experts are freaking. wimps
2 RAS is trash? LOL
We really could use some good polling news pronto to help with confidence levels on some of these key races. I still say we won’t have any real idea where things stand until after Labor Day.
Waingro. i like RAS but he wimped out on the MASS race with Scott Brown.
Do you remember the gloom here when polls in Sept and October tilted towards Corzine. Many thought Christie blew it.
The polling today could be a blessing in disguise, that wakes the Right up.
#4, good point Jason. Overall, I still feel very good about things. LONG way to go.
Jason T,
Just a Question:
Don’t you think Angle has also to win over some Moderates to win in the end?
Hopefully this is a wake-up call. We are not going to run away with some of the critical races. The national environment is highly favorable, but D’s can still win in this environment
Here’s my take on NV–how about a Las Vegas analogy and my gambling friends I need some help.
In Dice -some of the bettors place a bet on what they think the roller will roll. That’s my bet and I think Angle will win.
1. 2010 will be all about passion–Angle will have the support of the ground of the GOP organization plus huge Teaparty support. The passion and people will be huge for Angle–that’s hard to poll-especially in July.
2. I would rather try to redefine Angle then redefine Reid–
3. economy and mood for democrats will get worse not better-real plus for Angle
4. Sandoval will be a huge plus for Angle
So as I place my bet I think the odds for future moves are on Angle’s side.
I’m still not worried. I don’t believe the lack of Reid intensity is in the poll. Plus, she hasn’t buried Reid on immigration yet.
then there’s Sandoval. He brings out voters.
Daniel yes in an normal year, but the economy will destroy Reid in the end. She is doing fine and will win. sandoval will drag her over the line
I just donated $30 at:
http://www.sharronangle.com
I’m still amazed at New York. The Bimbette can’t seem to get any traction against an army of former circus clowns. Naturally all the strongest Republicans took a pass on the race. Ay Dios Mio.
RAS, who by the way took a pass on the MASS Special election, says 58% say Angle is too extreme.
The Angle has to see that, and will get her down to 40% in that sense.
That Kirk, Alexi poll makes me wonder. Rasmussen doesn’t give the repbulican democrat, independent numbers other than to say Kirk has a 20 point lead among voters not affiliated with either party. If that’s the case, then he must be lagging among Republican voters if he’s a bit behind Alexi.
I’ve heard a lot of bad mouthing of Kirk coming from Tea Party type Republicans. But in the end I’m betting they will bite the bullet and vote for him over Alexi.
We also haven’t seen the parade of pictures of Alexi and Blago together, etc. It’ll be up the Kirk campaign and the GOP to get them out there. I think there is a tacit media understanding to squelch as many negative stories on Alexi as possible.
Brady needs to start hammering Quinn. He’s our best hope to pull a lot of other candidates over the line in November. He’ll run very strong throughout the Downstate area, but he needs to make headway in Chiago and the suburbs.
Just saying.
Did the other Republican in the NY senate primary drop out? There used to be three Barnum and Bailey’s rejects instead of just two.
#13, I’m still ticked off at Pataki Wes. What a golden opportunity that would have been.
I agree, Wain.
Wes, I think Angle’s advisers are split on how to go forward. Some want her to go negative, the others want her to define herself as a Grandma.
I think they will figure it out and stick to a plan and go to war.
The one thing that tells me Reid will lose in the end, is that awful NV unemployment Rate
Coal execs hope to spend big under new rules to defeat Conway and Chandler
George well said. The Chicago tribune has been bashing Kirk. We will say how those Marxists endorse.
Here’s my assessment of the Nevada Senate race from the previous thread, Jason:
Having eviscerated Angle as an extremist and essentially had the airwaves uncontested with Angle making statements widely perceived as gaffes, Reid has gotten all the way to 45%. That’s John Corzine territory. We all know how well Corzine ultimately performed after adopting the exact same strategy Reid is employing now.
I think Angle needs to do both, Jason: define herself positively AND be aggressive in extolling Reid’s flaws. It can be done.
I just took NRO online off my bookmarks. They are gloomers and beltway hacks
22. Wes good to hear that from you. This race is so similar to New Jersey that it is scary. and in Angle’s favor, NV is a purple, not blue state
RON PAUL IS JEWISH !!!!
Hey, Sharon, I’m willing to unretire from political consulting and run your campaign so you can win for a lot less than whoever is advising you now.
George
spot on
I agree 100%
Dem strategy: Attack GOP as tea party, tools and extremists
George,
Kirk is winning republicans 82-5 and conservatives by a 74-9 margin.
Alexi is winning democrats by a 75-11 margin and moderates by a 47-35 margin.
Breaking news: Ron Paul to visit Israel in support of her statehood
troll alert
How go things, Eph?
Ah, Eph.
33. Eph?
Yes, Eph Rove. We all know it’s you.
Tommy, and Kirk is winning non affiliated by 20%. Is Ras polling to many Chicago dems?
You’re the only pro-life Jew who’s ever existed. It’s impossible for us not to recognize your signature sarcasm when you post.
“38.You’re the only pro-life Jew who’s ever existed.”
heh!
Why is EPH back here? I thought he found heaven at BJG.
“38.You’re the only pro-life Jew who’s ever existed.”
What about Ron Paul ????????
Where’s Eph ??????????
I am actually encouraged by the NV poll. I am still disappointed in the nominee there, but this gives me some hope that she can keep it close enough to maybe squeeze out a win.
I hate to be the harbinger of bad news but the undecideds look even worse for Angle in the Rasmussen poll. There are more undecided moderates and liberals than conservatives.
Angle really needs to kick this guy’s ass in the debates. I have confidence she can do so on the merits but I can already see the media calling what she says extreme regardless of what she actually says. The media is winning right now against Angle. She needs to figure out a way to convince people she’s not extreme despite the media.
Well, physically I’m guessing you’re in Arizona, Eph. On this thread, you’re in 31, 35, 39, and 42 though.
Hi Chek!
Reid still can’t get to 50% and the macro environment dooms him
I’d call him “14% Unemployment Harry” every time I referred to him if I were Angle
On a politically unrelated note, what idiot came up with the idea of not making an e-reader wifi- or 3G-capable? I like this Aluratek Libre, but having to sync it to my computer to download books is just stupid.
Say hi to Eph Rove, MFG.
Let’s not get too upset over NV just yet. I’d be concerned if Angle were facing a disciplined opponent, but Harry Reid is a gaffe machine to rival Plugs Biden.
Just give it some time–Harry’ll surprise us yet again.
Wes, Brownie points for giving to Angle. Personally, I’m gonna wait and see if she’s ever said anything nice about McCain and if she has, I’m gonna donate to Reid.
Don’t leave yet, Yolanda. I had a question from a couple of threads ago I wnated to get your thoughts on.
How stupid are moderates?
54% of moderates consider Reid mainstream, 56% of them have a favorable opinion of Reid and like the job Obama is doing.
If that many moonbats comprise what are considered moderates in this country, then Angle really only has a chance with 40% of the moderate vote.
She may want to focus on a strategy that gets her to 85% of the conservative vote.
the gop should focus on winning the house! the gop can’t win the senate. the nra will endorse reid in october & he’ll win! the nra fear chuck schumer!
#52–Shoot, Wes.
Personally, I’m gonna wait and see if she’s ever said anything nice about McCain and if she has, I’m gonna donate to Reid.
Comment by Tony — July 28, 2010 @ 1:00 pm
Tony’s not kidding here. I think this says it all about him.
226.As a matter of fact, I have, LZ. Here’s my list of top-level female Republicans seeking statewide office this year:
Governor-
Whitman (CA)
Brewer (AZ)
Martinez (NM)
Fallin (OK)
Meyer (WY)
Haley (SC)
Handel (GA)
Senate-
Murkowski (AK)
Fiorina (CA)
Norton (CO)
Ayotte (NH)
McMahon (CT)
Angle (NV)
At Large House-
Noem (SD)
Rollins (DE)
Just out of curiosity, Yolanda, what do you think of the gOP’s putting forth so many women with solid chances to win this year?
If it’s about Burr-Marshall, though, I’m willing to admit that I’m (at least temporarily) still eating crow.
Relax folks. It’s July. Plenty of time to get this campaign headed in the right direction. Reid is incredibly weak and he’s thrown everything he has at Angle. Our side hasn’t hit back yet. Focus on things after Labor Day.
Posted in #57, Yolanda.
The only poll that matters, per Phil, is the Rasmussen generic peeps. Plus 10.
56– I know Tony’s not kidding because that’s exactly the way my McCain-hating brother is. When Sarah Palin went to campaign for McCain, my brother turned on Palin.
“How stupid are moderates?”
Good question. Stupid stupid stupid idiots! They shouldn’t be allowed to vote.
#57–
Perhaps it’s a Palin effect? Also, although few will say it, I think Bachmann being so high profile helps.
The msm line will surely be that white women are scared that a black man (read, a sexual predator) is president, and they have mobilized against him for purely racist reasons. Remember the “Celebrity” ad?
Good advice, Pil.
I’m still trying to fathom how so many people in 2008 said Obama was moderate…
57– Sorry I didn’t respond to this, Wes, but yes, I saw it (twice). It’s an impressive list and certainly cancels out the strategy of portraying the GOP as sexist.
Err, Phil.
Yolanda, people are idiots. And I say that in the kindest possible term.
Spot on Phil.
I knew you’d have an interesting take, Yolanda. I didn’t quite see that as the repsonse, but I knew you’d have something interesting to say.
Matt Drudge fired up for Ron Paul for president.
Only an idiot could have thought Obama was a moderate. He was to the left of Ted Kennedy for God’s sake.
http://www.sharronangle.com
women who win statewide office for the gop are considered aunt thomasinas
I like the way Sharron Angle spells her name, Jason. It’s quirky.
Jim Geheraty (sp?) at NRO has always been poor at analyzing polls. Not analytical enough and, yes, prone to the beltway read on things. I usually come here for my good poll analysis although people do get a little hysterical sometimes.
The worry in Nevada is that third choice they allow. None of the above or something like that. So goofball Reed could win with 34% that way. Anyway, I think Angle will win. Her adds should start now however.
Heh Laz
Iirc correctly, I was praising Angle while some on this board was trashing her.
“So much for transparency.
Under a little-noticed provision of the recently passed financial-reform legislation, the Securities and Exchange Commission no longer has to comply with virtually all requests for information releases from the public, including those filed under the Freedom of Information Act.” drudge
http://www.ronpaul4israel.com
obama administration allows mexican officials to investigate staten island
http://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local-beat/Mexican-Man-Pummeled-in-Latest-Staten-Island-Hate-Attack-99325314.html
I would propose (to Dave) that HHR automatically reject any post with the word “Wikileaks” in it.
80– LOL. Why am I not surprised that “Ron Paul 4 Israel” is an empty web address?
I give you a million instances where candidates 3% ahead in July ending up losing and in some cases losing big.
No time to panic in NV–Reid is looking Corzine like at this point.
#
IL is a democratic state. the republicans don’t have a chance. ann coulter is right. the republicans are lying to themselves.
Comment by jenny — July 28, 2010 @ 12:15 pm
Jenny, what color is the sky in your world?
This is the best electoral climate for gops in Illinois in years.
56
Good memory there. I thought it was a bad political move on Palin’ part to get involved in that race.
86– We agree on that, Tony. Palin’s endorsement (and campaign appearances) was the turning point in that race. Had she lost her mind and endorsed Hayworth, it might have been a very different race. I agree on that.
here are some more house polls that were recent.
http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/231436/pattern-continues-gops-kelly-leads-dahlkemper-48-37
Arizona law blocked
#71–Answer is, frankly I don’t know. It would be interesting to see some data on this, though. Is there really and truly an increase in the number of GOP women running? Or is it that we are just noticing them more this year, either because of Palin or because GOP candidates, generally, are more viable than they’ve been in past years?
The other thing I’d like to see data on is incumbent success. There is supposedly such an anti-incumbent wave this year. Is that really the case? Or is it just an anti-Democrat wave? If it were truly an anti-incumbent wave, then we should expect to see a significant increase in the number of incumbents ousted in primaries. So far, I think there were 3 in the House, 2 in the Senate, and 1 governor. Is that abnormally high for this point in the primary season? Two of those six defeats were of party switchers, and one was of a guy who was a walking scandal sheet.
Rdel-did you see my question earlier today about diff in the states re R registrations VS Dems? Nationally-how much do they out register us? Thanks
Judge Blocks Parts Of Arizo Law AMANDA MYERS, Associated Press Writers PHOENIX (AP) ?A federal judge on Wednesday blocked the most controversial parts of Arizona’s immigration law from taking effect, delivering a last-minute victory to opponents of the crackdown. The overall law will still take effect Thursday, but without the provisions that angered opponents —including sections that required officers to check a person’s immigration status while enforcing other laws. The judge also put on hold parts of the law that required immigrants to carry their papers at all times, and made it illegal for undocumented workers to solicit employment in public places.
How I hate the judiciary
God damned black robed pharaohs destroying the country
It’s like living in ancient Egypt
Will of the people?
Who gives a shit…???
Why do we have legislatures?
Let’s just have judges tell us what to do…
Yep pretty strange, Laz. She’s so much closer to JD ideologically than she is with McCain, so it just didn’t make sense to me. Could be she was picking the probable GE winner there.
These gangsters will never ever stop
The country has to be broken up via secession into more homogeneous pieces
93….I am sure its going eventually to the SCOTUS.
i don’t want special treatment … i just want the same rights as any illegal alien
meaning, i don’t want to pay taxes, i don’t want to buy car or health insurance, i want food stamps, public housing, free health care, welfare, and the earned income tax credit
oh … and if you guys could stop picking on the helpless in our society and pay more that would be good too …
MFG,
Elect Ron Paul. He may not recognize the S.C.’s right to judicial review.
She’s so much closer to JD ideologically than she is with McCain
Comment by Tony — July 28, 2010 @ 1:33 pm
Back to disagreeing. McCain is an 82% conservative, while JD is a wacko radical nutcake. Palin is much, much closer to being an 82% conservative than a wacko radical nutcake.
Susan Bolton, Clinton appointee and Marxist Judge.
We don’t have a government
We have despotic criminals subverting the will of the people 24/7
Who appointed the LA RAZA Judge?>
Elect Ron Paul. He may not recognize the S.C.’s right to judicial review.
Comment by Bunu — July 28, 2010 @ 1:36 pm
Elect him as what? Fuhrer?
Bunu, you never answered (surprise, surprise) by question about why anyone would want to elect a candidate who is 5 years older than McCain was in 2008.
What is the point of elections?
Any election anywhere?
You can always find some goddamned Communist criminal thug judge to overturn anything
What is the point anymore…???
Obama is now in very dangerous territory in Gallup:
45(nc)/49(+1)
http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
Ron Paul has already urged (and sponsored bills) the congress to state that it does not recognize the S.C. right to judicial review on Roe V Wade.
Yeah sure. It is all a communist plot. There are elements of the AZ law that are constitutionally troublesome. Just because a law refers to federal laws in its content, it does not mean it is constitutionally sound.
We need a serious secession movement in this country
We need to get out from under the despotic bootheel of these gangster judges
As I said, the AZ will be tied up in court and cost taxpayers money while the problem of illegal immigration continues unabated.
“Back to disagreeing. McCain is an 82% conservative”
that 82% number is so misleading as to be intentionally disingenuous.
maybe mccain voted with republicans on things like “national pork week” but he was continuously the senator who gave the dems cover during the bush years
mostly because he hated bush and liked the good press
but the 82% is completely misleading. i could probably vote 82% with the republicans without seriously compromising my principles.
Jefferson on the Marbury v. Madison decision and judicial despotism.
“As I said, the AZ will be tied up in court and cost taxpayers money ”
far less than illegals cost tax payers
The law is fine
This bitch is a Communist asshole who made up HER mind that SHE was going to overturn the will of the people HERSELF
Like Ramses II
Very prescient from TJ, Acroso
Look forward to the Supremes smacking down this Marxist judge on a 5-4 vote. Will love listening to Scalia make hash out of Obama’s attorneys in open argument.
This only helps the R’s
the judge did NOT strike down the AZ law
the parts of the law in contention have simply been put on hold until the courts decide them.
And what if Scalia dies next month?
There’s nothing wrong with the AZ law. It’s simply politics. California has had a similar law on the books for years.
Appeals court will overturn Bolton’s ruling and the Supremes will affirm the Appeals Court.
The Admin has botched this and the issue has become a negative for them.
The country needs to be broken up
We’ll go our way and the Blue states can go their way
This is a plus for our side going forward. The conservative grass root will be UPSET with the LA RAZA Judge BEOTCH.
Sir AM
that’s a great question and I am sorry I missed it. Here’s a quick list of states that register by Party
ME-NH-MA-RI-CT-NY-NJ-DE-WV-MD-NC-FL-OK-KY-SD-KS-PA-CO-NM-AZ-NV-CA-OR-AK
Now that’s a quick list–some states like NJ-MA-AK-CT(?) do not have closed primaries so party registration is pretty pointless.
Nationally Party ID is 31D-32R-33I but states with party registration lean to the democratic side. CA/PA/NY have more registrated democrats so does GOP states like KY-LA-FL-NC-OK –I think the only states with a GOP edge in registration is SD-NH-KS-AK-maybe CO.
Yes OK-LA-KY have more registrated democrats. Its a long story–it started with the guns firing on Fort Sumter and took a Uturn in reconstruction with a little FDR thrown in.
I was done and dirty on Party ID states–may have missed one or two
So McCain has an 82 ACU rating? Tell me, if Palin was in the House or Senate, What would her ACU rating be? And What is Hayworth’s rating? Which one would she be closer to, politically?
RE: CA – Law – in many instances, its even tougher than the AZ Law.
However, nobody enforces it here – b/c of the POS Governator.
If Scalia dies next month we’re screwed anyway on every level. Obama will rule by executive decree and there won’t be a damned thing any of us can do about it. It’s welcome to Venezuella time.
far less than illegals cost tax payers
Wrong again blondie. The lawsuit will cost taxpayers in addition what they are already spending.
Phil,
I am sure that Kagen and Sotohatewhiteymore will “save” us.
#82
I would also like to see an agressive justice department find the “wikileaker” and if one death can be attributed to these documents being released, that person or persons locked away for life. Preferably at a maximum security military prision.
Of course, aggressive DOJ is impossible with this administration unless they are holding the borders open.
Also, as for the protesters of the AZ law. Wearing an American flag on your head as a doo rag is just as disrespectful as waving the United Drug States of Mexico flag.
112– Lisab, Go to the ACU’s website and learn how they pick the issues that they base their ACU rating on. They don’t pick scurilous issues. Face it, McCain votes with us about 82% of the time, over his career (and 96% of the time since Obama became president). The only argument against this is to hold you hands over your ears, sing, and refuse to believe it.
Did anybody figure out who appt the Federal judge?
“”There is a substantial likelihood that officers will wrongfully arrest legal resident aliens under the new (law),” Bolton ruled. “By enforcing this statute, Arizona would impose a ‘distinct, unusual and extraordinary’ burden on legal resident aliens that only the federal government has the authority to impose.”
Good LORD that’s a dreadful holding! And if she was just passing the buck so to speak to the courts, she didn’t have to make this type of holding and/or statement in her order.
This is an absurd decision. Plain and simple by a liberal activist judge. And the problem is this first will have to go through the 9th Circus, who will carve this thing even further up like a turkey. It will be all up to SCOTUS.
Clinton
But remember, the R establishment types, want to get alone for the sake of bi partisanship. So, lets not rock the boat on Illegals. They are just victims being taken advantage by corporations.
Thanks,
Phil
I would have guessed Clintune, Carter, or possibly Ford.
Mfg, you sound like a militant whacko. Succession? Really? Is that a position that enhances the conservative movement.
#132, she’s a Clintonista, Tina.
The 9th Circus Court will indeed butcher it even more…
Oh, if You could, Laz, could You point out one vote by Hayworth you have problems with? Just one is all I ask.
I mean if he’s such a wacko radical, this should be pretty easy foe you
The country is done you just don’t see it yet
They will NEVER stop this until we become Venezuela or the Soviet Union
Yes, secession, now
“Face it, McCain votes with us about 82% of the time,”
except when it would hurt the gop the most
Will AZ go for the interlocutory appeal?
McCain is in for another six years, it’s done, what’s the point of rehashing it
He is what he is, he does what he does, and he’s better than having a Communist Senator
Before this law is reviewed by the SC, I expect violence. People are just getting fed up.
O’hole will have all the “change” he can handle when in the latter part of 2011 and early 2012 his continuing policies accumulate this pent-up digust.
Why vote?
I’m serious
Why?
It counts for nothing
Anything you vote for can be overturned by some Communist asshole at any time
Why vote?
What’s the point?
So, lets not rock the boat on Illegals. They are just victims being taken advantage by corporations.
Maybe people just want to fix the problem instead of just indulging themselves in slogans and empty rhetoric.
Why vote?
Because that’s how we decide who runs our government.
#147
I guess like AZ wanted to fix the problem and has been prohibited from doing.
Actually I think the 9th circuit has ruled in Cali favor so I think Clinton’s appointee might get reversed by the 9th circuit. Imagine that if you can.
Yeah, Chek let’s let the law breakers go free because catching them will cost us more money in the short term. Gee, I wonder how much money we’ll save if we get rid of millions off welfare and Not have to build more schools or keep widening highways or hiring extra police because of the crime…
Nah, You are right. Let’s keep (and welcome ) the illegals.
I’ll fix the problem
You hired an illegal alien?
$100,000 fine per offense
Second offense?
$250,000 fine and a ten year jail sentence
Problem fixed
Well, Chekote, how does histrionic rhetoric on your part about how you and your husband will be pulled over just for the hell of it fix the problem?
Dear Judge Susan Bolton,
On behalf of the conservative movement, I thank you for your ruling in the Federal Government lawsuit against Arizona and SB 1070.
Your ruling will serve to galvanize support of conservative Republican candidates around the country on both the state and Federal level. Your ruling will serve to further exemplify why liberal progresive Democrats cannot be trusted in matters of vital public importance.
Thank you for providing great material for campaign ads across the country in support of conservative candidates in the mid-term election.
Your ruling will not withstand Supreme Court scrutiny, but it will prove to be the margin of victory for conservatives.
Running around trying to figure out what “suspicion of being illegal” look like or acts like is not fixing the problem. It is an invitation to lawsuits.
“Maybe people just want to fix the problem instead of just indulging themselves in slogans and empty rhetoric.”
the only fix is to close the border and make sure they know they will NEVER become legal
Thank you for providing great material for campaign ads across the country in support of conservative candidates in the mid-term election.
Yes. I am sure that Democrats will absolutely enjoy watching some in the “conservative” base engage in ugly rhetoric against Latinos.
Beige Book from Federal reserve shows econ slowdown–say what?
parts of the economy slowing?
Chek,
The conservative base will attack Democrats who support illegal immigration. I’m older than you and know a winning argument when I see it.
“Running around trying to figure out what “suspicion of being illegal” look like or acts like is not fixing the problem. It is an invitation to lawsuits.”
This is ignorant on so many levels.
basically, this ruling flips at least 3 Dem seats in AZ in Nov.
the only fix is to close the border and make sure they know they will NEVER become legal
That still doesn’t deal with people who are already here. Besides, a lot of the land across the border is privately owned and the owners have no interest in denying themselves access to the water and labor. I guess now the GOP will go wild with eminent domain. So let’s see. Today’s GOP has issues with the 14th Amendment, private property. What next?
The 9th circuit will back Bolton. They are the most liberal circuit in the country for a reason.
Again, the statist are in full scale power grab mode now just as Polaris predicted.
This is ignorant on so many levels.
It seems to me that I nailed the fact that those provisions would be struck down. You can call me ignorant all you want.
no provisions have been struck down.
Again, the statist are in full scale power grab mode now just as Polaris predicted
Polaris also predicted that McCain would win and Obama would have abolished elections by now.
Sorry guys. But the law had constitutional problems written all over. The people who pushed were just interested in diverting from the fact that they raised taxes. And the wanted to rally the rabid base in AZ. Funny to see how many people fell for it.
Muehler v. Mena. 9-0 U.S. Supreme Court decision from 2005: “officers did not need reasonable suspicion to ask Mena for her name, date of birth, or immigration status.”
Sam
I stand corrected. The provisions were blocked.
And it also ensures that, after the Nov elections, when the GOP will control over 35 states, at least 30 states will adopt AZ-like laws.
150….I can’t. However, I do feel she will be shot down by the SC.
Right, like its a surprise a liberal Democrat appointed by Clinton would not uphold the law.
Chekote, I’m not shy about being a border-security advocate. Name ONE TIME I’ve used ugly rhetoric against latinos.
I think this will backfire big time on the Democrats. People will understand that their will and that of their elected officials is being thwarted for blatant political reasons.
Muehler v. Mena
That case had to do with people in handcuff while they were executing a search warrant. No one has a problem with people being questioned while executing a search warrant.
The deeper issue is the disenfranchisement of 75% of the electorate
We simply are no longer a nation governed by the will of the people
Name ONE TIME I’ve used ugly rhetoric against latinos.
But others have. And those are the people giving the Dems ammunition.
Barone thinks the Dems will lose big…. and he is hardly a cheerleader….
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/politics/House-Democrats-head-for-a-thumping-at-the-polls-1004124-99388554.html
I know what you mean, MFG. I felt the same way earlier this year when Obama was cramming Obamacare through Congress and in 2005 when the GOP was trying to ram “Terri’s Law” through.
This anti-Latino canard that Chekote keeps repeating is completely bogus. It’s just a Dem talking point like the “racist” canard so freely thrown around at moonbat sites.
Great article by Barone, Jason.
I’m tired of New England, I’m tired of California, I’m tired of liberalism, I’m tired of penumbras, I’m tired of being told what to do by fascists, I’m tired of New York
Let us peacefully separate so the conservative south and west can live the way it wants to live and the wackos can live the way they want
The two sections of this country are like the bitter old married couple who despise each other but remain married for some ungodly reason…
Grrrrrrrr
Let me sign off, I’m too pissed off…
i’m depressed. now, illegal immigrants will vote for harry reid!
Although I completely disagree with Chekote on this, Jason, I guess I do understand her reasoning to some degree. She’s married to a latino and undoubtedly lives in a community where a lot of latinos reside and probably has many friends among them. It doesn;t justify her position, but it does make her choice understandable from her point of view.
Obama is intent on losing 75% of the country.
“Among House Democrats in Rust Belt, a sense of abandonment over energy bill (Paul Kane and Shailagh Murray, 7/27/10, Washington Post)”
“Obama distances himself from voters (Keith Koffler, 7/26/10, Politico)”
“The Democrats’ Redistricting Nightmare (David N. Bass, 7.28.10, American Spectator)”
“Dems Headed for Potential State House Disaster (Sean Trende, Jul 19, 2010, Real Clear Politics)”
“Dems sound alarm on state races (CHARLES MAHTESIAN, 7/23/10, Politico)”
Jenny, please tell me you’re not married. If you are, your husband must be on the verge of a heart attack from despair at your constant doom-and-gloom caterwauling.
Race of the Day- Alaska U.S. Senate:
http://cgpolitics.blogspot.com/2010/07/alaska-us-senate-race.html
It’s just a Dem talking point like the “racist” canard so freely thrown around at moonbat sites.
Republicans throw around the “racist” charge too. I am so sick of “You are a racist”> “NO. You are!” going on between the two parties.
The Dems no longer care about elections. At least not the ones in power anymore.
“That case had to do with people in handcuff while they were executing a search warrant. No one has a problem with people being questioned while executing a search warrant.”
Wrong. You are either ignoring or totally missing the holding of the case. The Court did not make that ruling based on Mena being handcuffed.
They said that those types of questions, INCLUDING one’s immigration status are not violative of the 4th amendment. It doesn’t matter if you are being held, arrested, or detained in any way.
If anything the Arizona law is even MORE restrictive than that.
#184, Wes, that does put things in perspective a bit.
Depressing polls after yesterday’s good polls. i’ve rather lose any senate seat, but not Harry’s seat. So sad, the Republicans candidate was so far ahead in early spring and Harry’s approval was in the 30s. It appears we are also slipping in IL.
Too bad AZ is part of the 9th circuit
I got work to do. We will pick up this conversation at a later point. In the meantime, this has nothing to do with my hubbie being a hot Latino. This has to do with what I believe is best for OUR COUNTRY.
This is what I am talking about. After the Nov takeover of most state houses, majority of states will have AZ-like immigration laws.
” How potent is the issue of illegal immigration? This potent: “ In the first six months of 2010, every state in regular session considered laws related to immigrants or immigration… As of June 30, 2010, 44 state legislatures passed 191 laws and adopted 128 resolutions. Five bills were vetoed, for a total of 314 enacted laws and resolutions.”
Montana, Nevada, North Dakota and Texas are not in regular session in 2010.”
Corey
Joe Miller has a beard–how many US senators have a beard–Corzine did?
Maybe its an Alaskan thing but Americans do not vote for men with beards
great article from Barone.
SEC Says New Financial Regulation Law Exempts it From Public Disclosure. “Under a little-noticed provision of the recently passed financial-reform legislation, the Securities and Exchange Commission no longer has to comply with virtually all requests for information releases from the public, including those filed under the Freedom of Information Act.”
Thank you, Scott Brown. Can’t let the peons know what the elites are stealing from them.
Watch dems scramble to hide from this awful ruling. It will not stand, but it will hurt the dems in November.
“Under a little-noticed provision of the recently passed resolution extolling the nation’s ice cream salespeople, the Executive Branch now has the ability to evaluate ballots cast in any election and declare any ’suspect’ ballots to be invalidated. The definition of a ’suspect’ ballot will be drawn up by Secret Subcommittee A-3 of the Justice Department.”
#196, rdel, they voted for McGreevey (and Charlie Crist, but he was still single back then).
All kidding aside, candidates with facial hair always lose, unless they’re (i) in a black-majority district (ii) in a Hispanic-majority district or (iii) in AK or ND. Don Young has represented AK in Congress for 30 years now, and I think that he’s always had a beard.
Jason T., Addison,
What’s going on in Chicago GOp politics? Hillbuzz got a scalp it appears:
http://hillbuzz.org/2010/07/27/cook-county-gop-scandal-update-mitt-romneys-people-asking-about-what-lee-roupas-knew-and-when-he-knew-it/
Tommy_Boy,
I predict that Obama will be at 50% disapproval in Gallup tomorrow, due in part to the AZ ruling today.
Auh2o
yes beards are a handicap but maybe not in AK
Tommy a non issue with the blago trial.
why did you even link this crap
let’s hope chekote’s arguments are pushed by the dems so that 2010 becomes a clear choice of R or D
so the dems go down big
Rdel, if giffords, Mitchell. and Kirkpatrick do not lose in 20o, then the AZ GOP is pathetic.
their Potus sued their state
american citizens need jobs, every illegal sent packing is another job for a citizen
and
a reduction in welfare payments to non-citizens
Ignore Chekote, she is never right.
Dick Morris on uppers
chek still thinks the democrats will hold the house. She’s in a bigger time warp than Nancy and Barney
Dick Morris on uppers
Now that is damn funny! Can I steal?
Ditto MFG’s comments @ #181.
Elect Palin – she’s the one candidate who will do what she says and enforce the immigration laws on the books. The rest are no more than hot air seeking to feather their nests.
even here in massachusetts this is getting huge negative press for the dems
an illegal just attacked a cop who asked for his id last week
the illegal was drunk driving
and had already been deported once
CLOSE THE BORDERS AND DEPORT AS FOUND
NO LEGALIZATION EVER FOR THOSE FOUND HERE UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES
Jon Kyl approved judge made the decesion.
Ironically, on the recommendation of Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) — an ardent proponent of SB-1070 — Bolton was nominated to the United States District Court for the District of Arizona by President Bill Clinton back in 2000. During her confirmation hearing, Kyl stated:
Prior to the announcement of her decision, Kyl speculated that “she will parse the law, that is to say she will perhaps extract certain portions of it that she think might be problematic and might enjoin those portions calling additional briefings from the parties.” Before learning of Bolton’s decision, Gov. Jan Brewer (R-AZ) stated, “I’m confident Arizona will prevail.” Bolton has been described by her peers as an “impeccable” and “fearless” judge whose rulings are “well-reasoned and unambiguous.”
JT
right on–az is going deep red this fall
chris matthews calls obama president carter …
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2010/07/25/matthews-will-democrats-run-away-president-o-carter-er-obama
#208–
Unless you make your money
a) Selling goods and services primarily to illegals
or
b) Using illegals as cheap labor to stay competitive and/or maximize your profits.
One thing to keep in mind about illegals is that their presence is not an unmitigated drain on our economy. Whether they are a net plus or a net negative is up for debate, of course, but evicting them all would cause pain for everyone (i.e., the cost of a gallon of orange juice would probably go up).
What we need is tougher enforcement of existing immigration laws combined with some more robust guest worker options. Either that or we need to ship to unemployed populations of Detroit and Las Vegas to California farms, but I have a feeling they’d rather stay home and collect unemployment checks.
Conservatives should vote against every single federalist society member and all democratic nominees to the Supreme Court.
Andy McCarthy connects up the dots for you on the impact Judge Bolton just had on this election, and maybe the next one too:
This decision is going to anger most of the country. The upshot of it is to tell Americans that if they want the immigration laws enforced, they are going to need a president willing to do it, a Congress willing to make clear that the federal government has no interest in preempting state enforcement, and the selection of judges who will not invent novel legal theories to frustrate enforcement. They are not going to get that from the Obama/Reid/Pelosi Democrats.
What could all of that mean in November?
the judge did NOT strike down the law actually, just prevented it being implemented on time … it still may go into effect
and even the delay can be overturned.
this is turning into a political nightmare for democrats.
the implementation of the law would have resulted in ILLEGAL ALIENS having to show ID the same way legal citizens do now
instead this keeps digging the hole deeper and deeper for the dems
showing why everyone needs to vote dems out this election
I already had AZ1, AZ5 and AZ8 flipping to the GOP. I wonder if this will put AZ7 into play? The district went for Zero 57/42.
211. All Yours Gary.
DW, is AZ-7 Pastor? that is a gerrymander district.
Use to be Mo Udall’s seat
“evicting them all would cause pain for everyone (i.e., the cost of a gallon of orange juice would probably go up).”
i can choose whether or not to buy orange juice at any given price
i cannot refuse to pay taxes that go to welfare payments, free housing, free healthcare and prison for ILLEGALS
i would rather pay $1.00 more for orange juice than $6,000 more in taxes to support ILLEGALS
Today is gloomer day at HHR. Children under 12 get in free with Eyeore Adult.
GM
more political hay for the GOP to reap
All I can say is that unless Justice Kennedy wants Obama to shake his finger at him during SOTU speech he either better rule for him or stay home
obama is mr Confrontation–mr hyper partisan–he ain’t post partisan he is hyper partisan
az4 is pastor. Raul Grijalva is in 7
Add, what is worse is that Chekote thinks we should lose the House on purpose, so Obama cannot run in 2012 against Boehner.
DUH??? Pelosi was Speaker when Obama won. Hastert when Bush won.
DUH ? DUH UHUH?
Even worse DW. That is the minority seat drawn by the AZ Commission in 2001
Honestly, one of the places you might see results that would not have been competitive recently, might be some of the border districts in Texas. Canseco probably just got a boost. There are plenty of legal Hispanics who dont like the drugs, violence and coyote human traffickers one bit and the first stop is Laredo, El Paso and Brownsville.
Watch and see. If we get Republicans on the border in Texas, you will know that this cigar blew up in the face of Democrats everywhere.
Carly wins hairstyle poll by 5%
Carly: 19%
Boxer
14%
actually, the dems are pissing me off to the point where i might actually vote against them.
i was not planning to vote at all, but they are obviously drunk with power and need to be stopped.
it seems they are intent on legalizing ILLEGALS so they will have majorities in both houses for the next 100 years
and … many dems in my family will not vote this fall
they will not vote against the dems, but they will not vote to support obama
Pakistan Pushes Draconian New Terror Bill
Secret Trials, Unchallengeable Summary Detentions on the Table
Angle now has worse favorables than Reid does. Yikes.
I wonder how far behind Jim Webb was in July 2006, or how far behind McKaskill or Tester were running against GOP incumbents?
Not you too Brandon
Speaking of “eeyore day” & “children under 12″:
So NRO Campaign Spot’s Jim Gerraghty writes a negative assessment of a candidate I support? And my response is… to remove my Jim Gerraghty bookmark & declare that I’ll never read anything he writes ever again. So there ! Take THAT, Gerraghty! You traitor!
“children under 12″ indeed.
Angle now has worse favorables than Reid does. Yikes.
We “RINOS” saw this one coming.
Oh well, I guess that we won’t win the House and Senate after. Too bad, I had really been looking forward to winning them.
239. Like you saw McDonnell losing, or how you predicted Rand Paul would be down double digits by now, TROLL
LOL Marv. We have tossups in IL and NV against two tainted Marxists, and the sky is falling.
MNW the swingstate plant strikes again.
Hey Mnw, does Roy Blunt still have his Denny Hastert Kneepads?
I quote Dan Rather:
Courage.
239. Like you saw McDonnell losing, or how you predicted Rand Paul would be down double digits by now, TROLL
Do you want me to repost my prediction of McDonnel again? Haven’t you been embarassed enough pea brain?
Angle is not going to win. Thank you Tea Party.
Mnw, do your Swingstate, Politics1, and KOS sources say Ensign will do twenty years in prison ?
Or did they say Mark Kirk will be indicted for helping the 9/11 Terrorists?
Chekote it is fine, no one takes your predictions seriously, except maybe Mnw.
Dw, I am just having fun with gloomers Chekote and Mnw. They are pretty thin skinned for eyeores though.
LOL
Angle hasn’t had a good day in about 6 weeks. That has to change soon, you would think.
Although, it looks like it won’t change today. She thinks the DISCLOSE bill that was defeated in the Senate yesterday is actually established law that the Supreme Court has pared back using the First Amendment…
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0710/Another_Angle_gaffe.html
I posted this on AoS earlier, and its just as relevant here.
A Truce.
For just ONE f****** cycle, can we wait to call each other wackos and rinos until AFTER the election?
We have Angle in Nevada, Kirk in Illinois. THERE IS NO OTHER OPTION IN EITHER STATE IF OUR GOAL IS TO DEFEAT THE LEFT.
We are down to a zero-sum game. Do some of our candidates suck? Of course- but no worse electorally than Democrats who managed to win in 2006 and 2008 by playing off divisions in the GOP.
I think Chekote is crazy on immigration. I think Howard Dean sometimes falls into the all-or-nothing camp of puritanicalism.
Do I wish both of them ill and want to chase them out?
ARE YOU CRAZY???
I have gay friends, black friends, Dem friends, Indy friends, TP friends, old acquaintenances, my younger siblings, all AT LEAST CONSIDERING VOTING GOP for the first time because of the economy and the Democrat’s mindless policy ramming. Nothing else, whos more conservative, whos nuttier, who isnt the best candidate this cycle for our party, NONE of that crap matters now!
If the moderates AND the conservatives work together to back their candidates in their states, Kirk jumps ahead. Angle jumps ahead. Crist deflates like a frighteningly bizarre garfield mylar balloon. FIORINA starts climbing back. Johnson and Rossi stay even or pull ahead.
and the Senate will be ours.
So basically, its time to make a simple decision. A)Keep fighting whining and blaming others for “screwing it up” WHEN WE ARE 100 DAYS AHEAD OF THE ELECTION or B) Grumble, but work together to stop the Democrats. There is no 3rd option. The last time that one was “tried”, we had November 2008.////
I’m one of those “DEM plants” who sent a check to Angle two weeks ago, & sent checks today to Hultgren & Kinzinger.
Also, I don’t post stuff that’s just ridiculous.
Despite what she says in #194, Wes is right about Chekote in #184. Her problem with SB1070 is because she is married to a Latino. I can understand that, and I cut her a little slack for that. This is the same reason that Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush at first had problems with it.
But where Chekote is dead wrong is in coming here to this site to rub our noses in this defeat! Where have you been lately, Chekote? We haven’t seen much of you lately — and now you come here TODAY? Why? Do you not understand that all of us are very upset about this, that many of us are mourning this as a huge loss for America? You are an outright jerk for coming here to gloat.
I think Rand Paul wins. Jeb Bush’s candidate Rubio loses.
Jason,
I’m just wondering what’s going on with the Chicago GOP. I recognize that it doesn’t hurt our chances but I’m just wondering what’s going on.
JT
The biggest prediction blunders were by Polaris and rdelbov.
Tommy, there really is no viable Cook County GOP my friend. The Democrats hold a 3 to 1 registration advantage and the GOP is not very competitive in county races. Roskam and Kirk hold House seats in Cook County, but the majority of their distircts are in other counties.
Her problem with SB1070 is because she is married to a Latino.
Not true. My problem with the law is the Farmers Branch effect. I learn from mistakes. You guys apparently don’t.
Anyway, if my hubby being Latino influences my position, I guess the same is true for all others affiliated with Latinos. And Latinos themselves. So why is the GOP trying to push voters like me away?????
I think Howard Dean’s “Obama won’t get more than 39%” has to take the prediction blunder cake.
258. and yourself. You said McDonnell was toast the day of the WaPo smear,and recently said Rand Paul would lose you cannot deny that Chekote.
You tend to buy into the MSM spin Chekote, as you said Brewer was in trouble also over the AZ law. You are intelligent but fooled by the East Coast Media
The problem with the Moderates working with the Conservatives theory is it rarely works out like that.
What you end up with is the Moderates telling the conservatives where and what to compromise on.
And again, the elections do no matter to these ‘democrats’ anymore. They’ve already weighed the results and decided it’s worth it ie Obamacare. They’re willing and ready to commit mass political suicide to achieve their agenda.
Cory, or your bold statement that Deathcare would be a big winner in RAS polling after it passed
Chekote it is fine, no one takes your predictions seriously, except maybe Mnw.
Comment by Jason T — July 28, 2010 @ 4:33 pm
Funny that you’d roll MNW and Chekote together. On immigration, they could not be further apart. Chekote thinks those of us who support border enforcement are racists — and MNW says he “hates wetbacks”.
Mnw, how do we know you actually donated?
Cory: ” Obamacare will be very popular after people figure out what is in this bill”. Now that is a prediction worthy of serious mocking. He would show his embarrassment if his head were not firmly buried inside his butt cheeks.
Cory, “Obama is a light skinned Negro” was not said by Angle dimwit. That was your racist Friend Harry Reid.
Reid has health problems also, as he suffered a stroke in 2006
“The biggest prediction blunders were by Polaris and rdelbov.”
I think the biggest prediction blunder of the year was Chekote’s prediction that the AZ bill would hurt Republicans and be unpopular.
thanks Gary
269. Exactly Jason. But after Brewer wins, she will say I predicted Brewer would win , but on 10/31, like she did with McDonnell
“I think Rand Paul wins. Jeb Bush’s candidate Rubio loses’
If I had to pick one to win I would pick Rubio over faux Republican Paul.
You know, my predickions are never wrong.
Oh God, how did I forget that.
Yeah, I guess that takes the cake.
Worst predictions ever:
1. Cory: HC Reform will have greater approval than disapproval in RAS the day it’s signed into law
2. Howard Dean: Obama will not get to 39% support nationally against McCain – electoral blowout to surpass Reagan’s
3. Polaris: Every single poll in the entire world is wrong, McCain will win by 3%!
4. Chekote: Something about McDonnell being in trouble after the ‘essay’ came out.
Bunu is a muppet
Cory, I will have a double mocha latte minus the Marxism.
Chop Chop
Cory, you know what your sarcasm just gave me?
Hi HHRs
AZ 1 — Kirkpatrick (D)
AZ 2 — Franks (R)
AZ 3– OPEN (R)
AZ 4 — Pastor (D)
AZ 5 — Mitchell (D)
AZ 6 — Flakey (R)
AZ 7 — grijalva (D)
AZ 8 — Gabby Giffords (D)
1, 5 and 8 MAY switch to R.
4 and 7 will remain D
Redistricting in 2012 will be crucial and is nonpartisan. This means 2 D , 2 R and 1 Indep on the committee. THe Independent is appointed by Brewer, by the way.
We’ll also gain at least one seat, and probably only one.
k
Marxist hack, Chuck Todd’s, feeling are hurt because he has been called a Journ-O-List
Chek is taking her talking points from Marc Ambinder:
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2010/07/democratic-message-we-may-be-incompetent-but-theyre-crazy/60575/
Doesn’t she sound awfully similar to Ambinder?
Oregon Senate(Rasmussen)
Wyden(D-Inc): 51%
Huffman(R): 35%
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/oregon/electon_2010_oregon_senate
Thanks Kristen, did not realize the GOV picked the 5th member
From The Hotline:
Democratic National Committee chairman Tim Kaine will be accusing GOP leaders of being beholden to the Tea Party’s agenda at a press conference this morning, mocking Republican plans to offer voters a legislative commitment modeled after the Contract with America. As part of its initiative, the DNC is launching a website accusing Republicans of supporting a legislative blueprint in line with the Tea Party movement that includes repeal of the health care law and Wall Street reform, extending tax breaks, privatization of Social Security and the elimination of the Department of Education and the Department of Energy.
Democrats clearly figure the easiest way to disqualify Republican challengers is by connecting them to the more politically-unpopular views of the opposition. It’s a sign that they need to rally their own base to have a fighting shot in this year’s midterms, and have given up winning over disaffected independents who are as motivated to come out to vote..
Thought Oregon would be closer, but Wyden will still have to spend $$$
So, as far as I can tell, the remanding (IS THIS THE RIGHT VERB???) of S1070 will help Republicans in this state.
1 5 and 8 have a greater likelihood of switching now.
It was a 10 point lead for Wyden last month 47-37. Not sure what happened in the last month to increase it to 16 points.
Marc, Tim Kaine? He is a laughingstock of D.C and not taken seriously after they lost MASS, NJ, and VA.
Irrelevant
Why exactly are taking anything Cory (Canadian) & C*** seriousily?
What a joke
This is comical from Ambinder:
“BTW: If President Obama is able to increase his approval rating by five or six points nationally, he can probably save the House for Democrats.”
And if I won a million dollars….
I could suggest with MOE that Wyden is still under 50% as 51% is quite close to 50%–Okay put that one for me on the correct column–please
Not that I am suggesting Wyden is in trouble but he will be spending his bucks–maybe even some DC senate bucks.
Marc, thanks for the article from Hotline, but that is also a very left wing site
TB
if can convince Americans that the stimulus saved 3 million jobs he could move up.
Obama is campaigning this week in those two battle ground states—NJ & NY
that tells you what good he can do for the democrats
We “RINOS” saw this one coming.
Chek,
You don’t even see winter coming.
Rdel, the closer the Wyden race, the better for Dudley
The Hotline is a left wing site?
Yep
FL Chamber of Commerce endorses McCollum
293. Add, ROFL!!!
Ok? Explain. Because for an election site they are pretty nonpartisan.
wow, the GOP has one bad day of polling, and its not like they were “horrible” polls, and one bad judicial decision…and out come all the trolls, plants and canadian communists who otherwise have been holed up and hiding. Shows how desperate they are for anything they consider good news.
Add, meant to ask you, but if too personal do not answer my friend. Their is a beautiful Synagogue on Sheridan near I think Addison on the lakefront. I always wondered how it looked on the inside. Have you been there?
Bad senate polling today for the GOP no other way to look at it.
Oregon was a longshot at best, but Wyden wont sweat now barring some change. I still think Kirk pulls it out, but have been thinking that for a while and he is not getting significant traction. Money lead will help. Nevada looks to be a pure toss-up, with Angle really struggling at this point. A reid victory would make what I am expecting to be a big election night a lot less joyful. Still a bit worried about Ohio, Kentucky and Missouri as well.
300. DW, it just shows you who the weak kneed are.
I am just as confident today as last week
Ryan, fair enough, but let us wait until after Labor Day
“BTW: If President Obama is able to increase his approval rating by five or six points nationally, he can probably save the House for Democrats”
As my 83 year old father says, “If frogs had wings they wouldn’t bump their asses on rocks.”
as a committed life-long conservative, Reagan-republican, I have been very disturbed by all the recent polls and news. Today however, I feel strangly at peace.
After the roller coaster of the Christie/Corzine race in 2009, i have learned to chill out. The gloomers were even worse then calling Christie a screw up, and Corzine had more $$$ than Reid.
Jason T. Exactly. I would rather be behind now, keeping the powder dry, and fire away with spending after labor day and win in Nov, than shooting the whole wad now just to get ahead in July polls so the eeyores are happy, and then have nothing to spend in September and October and thereby lose in November.
Health Care has already destroyed the House Democrats, Obama can only help the Senate Dems in close races, but Reagan tried that in 1986 and still lost 8 seats
Right DW, I learned a lot from the NJ race when I let the gloomers get to me.
Hotline is a pretty partisan left-wing site disguised as a non-partisan site.
154 – Thread winner!
Rest of you pathetic eeyores can go home & (please!) takes a shower.
I also recall gloomers here on the night of the Brown Election, saying his vote in Boston was to small to win
I got to tell you, you dont get elected in July you get elected or not in November. So Poll today are nothing more than polls. But as Andy McCarthy so aptly put it, this decision today will just piss off a majority of the country and remind them that if they want the immigration laws enforced, you need to remove Nancy, Harry and ultimately Zero from power. No time like getting after that, starting in 99 days.
BPL, hire a moving van for Harry Mitchell, the POS Marxist
Jason T
The Dudley/Gov race seems to have its own set of dynamics. He is near 50% with Wyden at 51% or 47%. A big lead for Wyden might lull people to not send in their mail in ballots but I think Dudley’s margin in a blue state is a result of the “I am mad as heck and can’t take it anymore syndrome”.
Folks in OR need to vent and the Gov’s race is a good place. Wyden is ultra hard working-a nice guy so let’s dump on Kitz.
That’s another reason I think Gillybrand in NY will be closer then today’s poll. New Yorkers will put Cuomo and Schumer but they need a protest vote. So that’s Gilly
tommy, thanks. Hotline might be run by a Clintonista, like that Marxist At CQ.
when in doubt just remember that these sites are not non partisan but left wing.
538
CQ
Politico
Hotline
The Hill
Politics1
I certainly agree that this is one day, many to go. Still have a fair shot to win the Senate in November and should take the house. Of course, though, I would like to see us put a few races away early in the game, to keep my stress level down
Drat
My post #9 is good–I thought it was thread winner–
Of course I gave a 10 to the USA gal making the jump at the olympics with the broken foot. I also score the USA high in those events.
JT,
My son will getting Bar Mitzvahed in that temple next month. His mother is a member there and that is where he has been edjumicated in the Jewish arts of world domination and secret societies money changing and the blood libel.
I went back to the HHR archives, and here are some quotes from Oct 30, 2009 from Eeyores on the NJ Gov race:
“20.I am afraid that Corzine steals this one with union thuggery, fraudulent ballots, and Democrat fraud.”
“my contention is that despite those people’s obvious intelligence, they still engage in the masochism of living in that hellhole. As such, they deserve what they get along with the plurality of idiots who intend to put the nation’s single most failed Governor back in office for four more years.”
“37.The undecideds are overwhelmingly Democrat over Republican/indy by a three-to-one margin. I think Kos analysis is correct. The undecideds are unlikely to go to Christie since they are mainly Democrats or indy-lean Dems.”
“77.It’s over in NJ. Kossack are already predicting a win because of the “democratic machine” as they call it. democratic machine is now the politically correct way of describing voter fraud.”
These all written by regulars. I withheld the names.
Ryan
I take your point but here is my possible list of races within MOE came this Nov (8%)
ME Gov
MA Gov
NH senate
VT Gov
RI Gov
CT Gov
PA senate
FL senate
FL Gov
Ky senate
OH Gov
OH senate
IL senate
WI Gov
WI senate
MN Gov
MO senate
Co senate
CO Gov
NM Gov
NV senate
CA Gov
CA senate
WA senate
OR Gov
Just 25 statewide races within polling Margin of Error say 8% or so.
Now I am assuming MI-IL-PA Gov all move out of MOE
So chill we only got 25 races-not counting 50 house races on election night to be concerned with.
the future of mankind hangs on this but chill
DW come on, tells us who. Especially the ones written by Checkers…
321. Dw, you the man. I was a nervous wreck with the glooming on that race.
315 “BPL, hire a moving van for Harry Mitchell, the POS Marxist”
Let the Congressional Dems, who have raped my tax $$ for decades now, use their own G-damn “stimulus” funds to pay for it.
add, is it a reform Synagogue?
BPL, tell us how you feel. LOL
Giffords voted for deathcare too, B*&ch
Rdel, any news on the NY-23
327 – Sorry for the passion, Jason T, but that scumbag (Oh, the horror of my “salty language”) Mitchell currently represents my district.
Change that to “Mitchell suckered enuf dopes in my district into believing he would best represent their interests.”
That and no-nothing under-25 University pukes in his district who go caught in 2008 Obama hoopla. I weep for the future.
no worries BPL. Mitchell is marxist scum
I’ll just go the Obi Wes Kenobi route & Blame GW Bush for Mitchell winning in 2006. Blame Bush (who OWK would have you believe was worse than Clinton) is the catch-all for notholding p**sy Congressional Republicans responsible for not representing their districts well.
I’m sure if ppl like Obi Wes go back far enough they can tag Bush with responsibility for the John Kennedy assassination. He’s that much of a dope and evil genius at the same time.
JT,
It’s reform. This is a dilemma for me as every reform rabbi in america is liberal. And I mean every one. Nothing like coming in for a cup of God and wisdom and having to listen to stuff that is so obviously wrong.
Sometimes I want to do what the Deltas did in the trial seen while Niedermeyer was speeking.
Jay-Z Upset With LeBron James’ Miami Heat Decision: Report
ADD, LOL. Is that gigantic temple on Sheridan up in Glencoe near Highland Park reform also?
They have some nice lakefront property
today, we are talking about racism in the tea party not obamacare. it’s a brilliant political strategy. moderates hate racisim so they will not vote for candidates associated with the tea party. the democrats are making the gop look impotent.
BPL, I draw the line at attacking Wes. He is one of the most politically well informed members of this site, and a conservative.
I’ll just go the Obi Wes Kenobi route & Blame GW Bush for Mitchell winning in 2006.
Comment by BPL in Scottsdale — July 28, 2010 @ 6:00 pm
Actually, BPL, the real blame goes to the guy whom Mitchell defeated in 2006. He was such a horrible choice that the dopes in you district had not choice.
Jenny Eyeore, back to Kos
Government Cheese Hayworth. BPL, that entitlement infomercial did him in.
Amid all the other doom and gloom for conservatives, I will inject something out of the blue that is positive for conservatives.
The Massachusetts Senate approved a bill that would automatically award MA’s 12 (soon to be 11) electoral votes to the top popular vote getter in presidential elections. Since MA is very likely to vote Democrat in most upcoming election cycles, this helps the Republican. Think about it. Even with Ohio slightly in doubt late on election night 2004, Bush would have been the unquestionable winner because MA’s 12 would have automatically gone to Bush since he had a clear 3 million vote margin in the popular vote. That would have made Kerry’s concession in Ohio the next day moot since Bush would have had a minimum of 278 EVs without Ohio based on the new MA EV law. Since these are all Blue states voting for this absurd bill, this only can help Republican candidates for the next several presidential cycles.
Just a thought to consider. I know it’s not the current topic of this thread. Of course, if MA goes for the Republican anytime soon, I doubt we would have a very tight EV count or popular vote count to concern oursevles with.
336– Jason T, BPL doesn’t like Wes because he refuses to sign up for “Sarah Palin is God” classes.
#331 BPL,
You know, there are treatments for that problem of yours. There have been great strides in medical science over the years.
KY-06(Braun Research)
Chandler(D-Inc): 46%
Barr(R): 32%
http://politics.mycn2.com/2010/07/28/ben-chandler-starts-with-double-digit-lead-over-andy-barr-but-21-undecided-cn2-poll-shows/
Brandon, Braun who? 22% undecided
Jeff, MASS dems live in a bubble, they think by passing this it will push other states to do it too.
Dimwits
Brauny Towels, Ryan Braun?
Basement Computer Polling
NH Senate(UNH)
Ayotte(R): 45%
Hodes(D): 37%
http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_summer_senate072810.pdf
342 – OK, I’ll bite. What problem would that be? Seems to me I was referencing certain posters blaming the shy falling on Bush 43.
#345,
I know. Isn’t it great? They think they’re actually helping the Democrat candidate.
339 – Jason T, what does that have to do with Mitchell defeating Hayworth in 2006? Granted, it doesn’t help him in his current quest, but 2006 was a diff story.
States passing laws bypassing the Electoral College doesn’t help or hurt either party.
If enough states sign on (hopefully they won’t) it simply changes the Presidential contest from the EC winner to the popular vote winner. So, it would only help Republicans if you expect the next candidate who wins the popular vote but loses the EC to be a Republican.
Hodes at 37% is great
Bpl, true.My point was JD did a bad job post congress, and it now hurting him.
BPL. if any of those 3 marxist DEMS survive in 2010, every AZ GOP official should be fired
Braun Research I believe is a Democratic internal polling firm.
Manana amigos.
Graham and McCain call for prosecution wikileaks.
“336– Jason T, BPL doesn’t like Wes because he refuses to sign up for “Sarah Palin is God” classes.”
And I refuse to enroll in “George W Bush was the worst candidate available to the GOP in the last decade” University. People can disagree. So what’s your point?
Never mind, LaZe Bra. You rarely have a point. It’s part of your chram.
Here’s how the dems construct a poll.
No where to support anything but their
position
http://email.capitolhillnewsonline.com/m/269QdLT-STiyuulIOVLnQa2B1VAn-CXYwnHvT8_5iIhlIEPVyw?2Y7xgEPqCUpCkX+fJ3gqhqLi9WGuh4aBuB8nsVnL4tM4/X5424IQGEZFzMldpe1o
Cory,
It will only help a Republican if Blue states predominantly do it, which is currently the case. Do the math.
“Bpl, true.My point was JD did a bad job post congress, and it now hurting him.”
Fair enough. He sure hasn’t lit the GOP primary electorate on fire. Just nobody mistake a potential McCain victory for the AZ GOP electorate loving him. We don’t.
“BPL. if any of those 3 marxist DEMS survive in 2010, every AZ GOP official should be fired”
At this point I’ll take 2 of 3. But all 3 should be defeated. If GOP doesn’t grab 2 of 3 heads need to roll.
You don’t understand the bill(s), Jeff G.
It doesn’t matter if Blue, Purple, Red, or Neon Yellow states do it. It only takes effect when states with at least 270 EC votes sign on.
Until that happens, each state awards its EC votes to the winner within the State (current system) and the EC winner wins the election.
If those bills take effect, then those 270+ EC votes go to the popular vote winner. Meaning, the popular vote winner wins the election.
Quinnipiac Florida poll out tomorrow.
The most well informed and connected conservatives rarely spend time bragging about it.
Hence you rarely see Polaris on this site.
Cory you don’t understand the math. The states doing it currently give all their evs to the dem. If they want to risk having to vote gop in 12 even though obama won the state that’s fine with us.
152.I’ll fix the problem
You hired an illegal alien?
$100,000 fine per offense
Second offense?
$250,000 fine and a ten year jail sentence
Problem fixed
So now businesses have to check the legality of everyone they hire? I get the data from my employees, send it to PayChex and they do the rest. If everything matches up in PayChex I’m supposed to be bankrupted because an illegal scammed the system?
No. There are many ways, many variations in solving this problem but it all starts with controlling the border.
Another example: You hire someone to paint your house are YOU responsible for knowing if this person is here legally. Hell no.