Thursday Morning Tidbits (w/ FL, CA, OR and KY polls)
This morning, the big poll comes from Quinnipiac University for the primary races in the state of Florida showing two guys ahead in their races that probably very few people outside Florida even heard of at the start of the year.
US SENATE – FLORIDA – DEM PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Jeff Greene 33%
Kendrick Meek 23%
Maurice Ferre 4%GOVERNOR – FLORIDA – GOP PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Rick Scott 43%
Bill; McCollum 32%
In Oregon, Survey USA put a poll for the two races that almost mimic the recent polls from Rasmussen.
US SENATE – OREGON (Survey USA)
Ron Wyden (D-inc) 53%
Jim Huffman (R) 35%GOVERNOR – OREGON (Survey USA)
Chris Dudley (R) 46%
John Kitzhaber (D) 44%
This poll was done July 25-27 among 567 likely voters. In California, a new poll from the Public Policy Institute of California puts Democrats Jerry Brown and Barbara Boxer slightly ahead.
GOVERNOR – CALIFORNIA (PPIC)
Jerry Brown (D) 37%
Meg Whitman (R) 34%US SENATE – CALIFORNIA (PPIC)
Barbara Boxer (D-inc) 39%
Carly Fiorina (R) 34%
This poll was done July 6-20. We had one from last night from Braun Research for a US House race in Kentucky.
US HOUSE – KENTUCKY – CD6 (Braun)
Ben Chandler (D-inc) 46%
Andy Barr (R) 325
This poll was done July 26-27 among 503 likely voters. Another busy morning of polls for you to feast on….
First.
Second!
Seriously, how do you get poll results like that in CA?
“As you may have heard, there is a Senate election in November in this state. Politics is lame, and only nerds care about it, but if you are one of those people who care, we guess we want to know about your opinion. If the election were today, and you were lame enough and actually don’t have a life and voted, would you vote for Barbara Boxer, the aging hag who currently occupies the seat and whose far-left politics make Rosa Luxembourg turn in her grave, or Carly Fiorina, the mega millionaire who bugged her own employees and supported the presidential campaign of that old coot, John McCain? Or, you could say that you are undecided or support neither candidate, which is probably the way most people are going, don’t you think? Anyways, do you support Boxer, Fiorina, or neither?”
We discussed the KY poll on WD–good news for the GOP
Dudley is certainly narrowly ahead but OR is blue but maybe not that blue–great poll there.
I am sure that many are undecided in CA but will frisk that poll later
Typical AP (all-pinko) headline concerning the AZ judge’s ruling.
“Ruling could cause other states to reconsider” or words to that effect.
I seriously doubt that. I wouldn’t doubt that another state in another circuit will go ahead prior to a ruling and implement their own law.
The whole arguement that since it is Federal responsibility to protect our borders and they are not doing the job then the States can’t either, it’s a stupid arguement from a Clinton appointed judge.
http://www.redstate.com/skipmaclure/2010/07/29/meg-whitman-the-next-arnold-in-waiting/
I think my wife may have gotten polled by Survey USA yesterday… The poll was sponsored by the Denver Post, but number called from Massachusetts and it was a robo-poll…
Also got a phone call from Jan Brewer yesterday asking me to vote for Jane Norton…
Since this judge says that states cannot enforce federal immigration laws, states should stop enforcing all federal laws.
RAS- MO
Blunt 49%
Carnahan 43%
Now for some new poling:
Missouri Senate: Blunt (R) 49%, Carnahan (D) 43%
“Both candidates earn equally strong support from members of their own party, but Blunt holds a 25-point lead among voters not affiliated with either the Democrats or the Republicans. ”
Illinois Governor: Brady (R) 44%, Quinn (D) 37%
“Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Illinois voters approve of the job Brady is doing as governor, down seven points from earlier this month, while 61% disapprove.
The Republican holds a 13-point lead among men, but women are evenly divided between the candidates. Brady picks up support from 88% of Republicans, while Quinn is supported by only 61% of those in his party. Brady has a modest lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party. ”
61% disapproval – Quinn is not getting re-elected, regardless of any polls saying otherwise.
Isn’t it frustrating to get these polls on the non-close races like OR-Senate and ND-Senate? Would it kill them to poll an upcoming race that is both close and in flux, like the Colorado GOP senate primary? What’s the current status between Norton and Buck? With all of Buck’s recent gaffes, has Norton overtaken him? Why don’t they poll this race more often? This reminds me a lot of the Indiana senate primary, when we got a sum total of one poll on the race.
Another poll I’d really, really like to see is the Washington primary, between Rossi and Bunu’s Clint Didler. Is Rossi still way ahead, or has the combination of Palin & Paul’s endorsements helped Didler close the gap?
We are fast approaching the moment when some state will ignore the feds on some issue.
Watch for it, it will be a significant moment.
I believe the WA primary is a strange animal.
All candidates run in open primary, and the top 2 face off in the general.
So a head-to-head primary poll between Rossi and Didier is meaningless.
There was a primary poll earlier with all candidates, and it showed Murray and Rossi as the top 2, with Murray having a 3 point lead, but with all republicans combined topping Murray.
Brewer could have more of impact on CO then a Palin endorsement would.
Great news from MO on Blunt??
HD I dismiss folks who spectulate on what type of governor Meg Whitman will be. That same poster probably thought Christie in NJ would be a huge big spender. I know you lived in CA so you already know beyond a doubt what a huge big spender Brown and the Sacramento democrats are. I think its so much more useful spectulating how bad Brown and a big democrat majority would be. Whitman is unknown but Brown & Co are 100% known
I did a quick sanity check on the IL numbers that RAS is showing.
“Brady picks up support from 88% of Republicans, while Quinn is supported by only 61% of those in his party. Brady has a modest lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.”
With these kinds of internals, the only way the top-line makes sense is if the sample is more Dem-friendly than 2008.
#12, was the typo saying that “Governor Brady” had 37% approval Ras’s, or a transcription error on your part?
I’m now getting the sense that the momentum is with Jane Norton, that if undecideds start breaking for her, she’ll have a narrow victory.
I also believe that nominating Buck would not be as much of a possible disaster as nominating Angle in Nevada, but I do sense Norton is more electable…
50% or more of Coloradans view Norton as “mainstream”… I believe if we nominate her, she will win by 7 or 8 points in the general…
#18 – there is a colon between Governor and Brady.
Though it is going to be accurate in about 120 days, when Brady takes oath.
Sorry, I didn’t see the error earlier. It is an error in Ras’s commentary.
I think RAS IL sample has too many liberal indies-if Brady is only slightly ahead of Quinn among indies–that’s also why Kirk was behind Alex G
Indies/moderates–In my opinion will go huge for Brady/Kirk in 2010.
That’s where MOE comes into these RAS polls.
I also believe that nominating Buck would not be as much of a possible disaster as nominating Angle in Nevada, but I do sense Norton is more electable…
Comment by Sean — July 29, 2010 @ 9:53 am
I tend to disagree with you, Sean, though not strongly. While some of Sharron Angle’s early gaffes were a bit “out there”, I don’t see any of them as damaging as Buck’s “high heels” comment (offending women) of his “dumbasses” comment (offending tea partiers and birthers). Angle also doesn’t have an unethical firing in her background, as Buck does. Another point is that Angle has a much more damaged opponent in Harry Reid, who is much more unpopular than CO’s Michael Bennet. Finally, going by the 2008 vote totals, Colorado is bluer state than Nevada, so the CO Republican nominee will begin with a slightly steeper hill to climb than Angle started with.
AP survey: A bleaker outlook for economy into 2011
Next the GOP will ask everybody who speaks with an accent to wear a badge declaring their immigration status to make their “base” happy.
Foreclosure activity up across most US metro areas
Report: Most large US metro areas saw spike in foreclosure warnings between January-June
AP
19,23– But rather than speculating on all of this, why can’t RAS or someone else give us a poll? Would it kill them to give us an accurate Buck-Norton poll?
Howard dean
Its always a pleasure when the AP finds a report that I agree with. I have been saying that months that the econ oven for 2010 is nearly empty. 10% world in 2010.
I don’t see an uptick of any sorts in 2011 for the following reasons.
1. We have no tax rates set for 2011 and generally obamacare/obamaeconomics has everyone rattled.
2. There is a 84 billion gap in state budgets for the 2010-2011 period (19 billion in CA alone). We are now seeing the 1st wave of public sector layoffs.
2011-2012 look very gloomy to me.
Recovery starts on 01-20-2013
#23–
Obama won by 9 points in CO and 12 (a shocker) in NV.
Wisdom imparted by Michael Barone:
So the Republicans’ current lead in the generic ballot question suggests they may be on the brink of doing better than in any election since 1946, when they won a 245-188 margin in the House — larger than any they’ve held ever since.
#24–
You left off the second half of the headline
“…if GOP wins Congressional races in November”
Recovery starts on 01-20-2013
The celebration might go on for days…
Barone is suggesting a +67 pickup or better by that analysis if I did the math correctly in my head.
32.Recovery starts on 01-20-2013
The celebration might go on for days…
delbov curve sighting…
29– You’re right, Yolanda, and that was a big surprise. But all of the polls had Colorado in the bag for Obama very early, while going into Election Night, Nevada was still up for grabs. I think many people feel that Obama’s larger-than-expected margin in Nevada had more to do with Republican voters not voting, as the final result was already called before the Nevada polls closed. A similar thing happened to the Democrats in 1980, when Reagan defeated Carter early on Election Night, causing many Pacific time zone Dems to stay home.
Thus, I think my “Colorado is bluer than Nevada” point is still valid.
I agree RD #16
Brewer’s name carries a lot of weight and in some regions could have more of an impact than Palin could.
I would mind seeing her name on a presidential ticket. Thune-Brewer sounds good. As does Ryan-Brewer. And Daniels-Brewer.
Hmmm, from the comments it apperars the polling orgs are falling short of their duties. We are definitely lacking in polls.
Who’s up for starting a polling company? I’ll donate $20.00
36– Tony, you’re all right, but what do you say we forget about elevating one of our fresh face novices to the presidential ticket in 2012? Been there, done that with Palin in 2008 and it didn’t work. Let’s make sure our candidates are bit more experienced and qualified than the Dems like to put up, as they did with Obama in 2008. Why do we want to emulate the Democrats?
Thus, I’d propose we end all consideration of Brewer, Rubio, Haley, Christie, McDonnell, or Scott Brown for the national ticket in 2012. Let them build their resume a bit more. Any of the above might be great in 2020, or maybe even 2016.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html
They can’t even keep polls of “adults” out of negative territory for the Obumbler. Looks like its time for a CBS news rescue poll.
As to KY_06 poll, I had given thought to flipping this district in my forecast for this Friday. I won’t for now, but wow, way under 50% and a lot of undecideds. This seat definitely will stay on the radar as a possible pick-up, but I will leave it in the marxist column for now.
The thing I keep wondering about for the house elections, especially in states where there is not a close senate race, or gov race, is what will the enthusiasm gap be?
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0710/40371.html
Why, looky here. Another Republican star on the rise. I hope Brewer can take the arrows as well as Palin.
It doesn’t appear that she’s as conservative as I’d like her to be, but she makes up for it in courage.
Ryan, much to my chagrin, will not run for POTUS in ‘12. I don’t think he will ever run. He is in line to head the budget committee once the GOP takes over the House in November. That’s a pretty powerful position for a congressman. My first choice is Thune and it does seem rather obvious that he is going to make a run. Palin running and getting the nod would be incredible to watch. It would be an epic election fight of the ages. Huck, Romney and Gingrich are damaged goods. The Evangelicals would stay at home if Romney or Gingrich got the nod. Thune would unite all factions of the GOP, is very polished in debate, speaking, well-liked in GOP circles and by some Dems, is very seasoned and a heck of a fundraiser. He’s the total package. There is no doubt in my mind who the best nominee in 2012 would be.
42…agreed
LaZ, I merely look at her via an enthusiasm angle. Brewer would help any ticket. She would definitely bring out the base and a majority of Independents.
BTW, McCain would’ve gotten his ASS kicked if it weren’t for Palin.
We have a much better POTUS bench than the Dems–by far.
Pretty soon, the Dems are going to have to start behaving like a MLB team and start recruiting POTUS material from other countries.
Oh wait, they already have, haven’t they?
Gotta go. Catch you guys later.
Newsflash, Tony: McCain DID get his ass kicked, even with Palin on the ticket.
As far as California goes, I have a hard time believing Carly and Boxer split only 73% of the vote and Whitman and Loonbeam split only 71%. The Dems may be ahead currently in those races, but I don’t see 20+% undecideds in either race.
Even the runt Nate Silver is catching on.
“In fact, there are 101 Democrat-held seats that are rated as something other than safe by at least one of the “Big 4″ forecasters (Cook, CQ, Rothenberg, Sabato). And if you include Real Clear Politics’ forecasts in the mix, the total rises to 108.
…It is, of course, an impossible task to argue that the Republicans have no chance of winning the House, something which betting markets — and yours truly — in fact consider to be somewhat more likely than not.”
49…I come up with about 112, a few more than the RCP, however, if its truly a tidal wave election, one that the GOP successfully nationalizes, I can find some other seats which would come into play…as many as 129. Not that the GOP could get that many, but that many that could come into play.
Generally in a wave election, the party benefitting from the wave wins about 60% (3/5) of the seats it targets. Three fifths of 101 would be 60 or 61. Three fifths of 108 would be 65. Three fifths of 112 would be 67. Three fifths of 129 would be 78. It doesn’t matter which of these estimates is correct. If any one of them is, the House flips.
A key sentence from Barone’s article is “Keep in mind that the generic ballot question historically has tended to under-predict Republican performance in off-year elections.”
And right now the average generic ballot is GOP+7 if you only count likely voter polls. If we are talking about +7 as an under-prediction, then I think we are talking about 60-70 seats flipping for sure. Not the 30 that Cook, Sabato, and others are talking about.
I think we peter out a bit when get to the left coast–what do you guys have from OR-WA-CA in your counts?
Hola, mi amigo de North Carolina.
Brady up safely in the Ras here in illinoise. Jenny have I mentioned that you and Ann Coulter have no clue what you’re talking about?
here are the ones I have flipping in those three states:
CA_CD11
CA_CD47
WA_CD3
seats that COULD come into some kind of play:
WA_02
WA_09
WA_06 only in a huge tidal wave
OR_01
OR_05
OR_04 only in a huge tidal wave
CA_18
CA_20
CA_51 only in a huge tidal wave
So yes, your assessment is correct. The COW states (california/oregon/washington) do not promise us a whole lot unless the GOP absolutely smacks down the marxists nationally.
Regarding Norton in CO…right after the AZ ruling Norton started robocalls reminding voters of Jan Brewer’s endorsement of her. Sean, in an earlier post, said he received one of these.
Also, here in CA, I am starting to hear various comments that people are turning away from Whitman because of her ambivalent comments about hispanics.
In one breath she strongly upholds the fact that “Illegals are illegal, period,” asserted in a primary campaign ad. Afterwards, she is putting up billboards in Spanish trying to pander to the hispanic vote. This might be the cross she hangs her chances of being elected on!
Sam, thanks for making my day with the IL Gov Poll. Quinn has been running ads against Brady for being Pro life, 24/7 for 3 weeks. good to see it has no effect
Buenos dias, Jason. Como esta’s?
Morning Addison.
I am cool today Wes, yesterday was rough as I was stupid enought to do battle with the eyeore’s and gloomers. Never gonna win that fight. LOL
The Eeyores do get annoying from time to time.
And CQ Politics STILL will only consent to a GOP pickup of ONE congressional seat. Everything else they say could go either way. Honestly, I hope the marxists find comfort in that website. Let them think they are all safe.
I had to do battle with Brandon on the Angle/Reid race last night. He was determined to think Angle is doomed while I pointed out to him a number of things indicating to me she at least has a chance.
61…yep, as soon as I saw that rasmussen would release a NV senate poll, I knew that all eeyores, trolls, plants and canadian communists were on standby.
WOW! If Chicago under the bridge Troll, Nate Silver, says the GOP is likely to win the House, then you know things are bad for the Marxists.
We can not get cocky though and let up, we must still fight like it is June 7th, 1944. The day after we landed. Go after those seats that seem safe, go for the big hit
Well, those marxists know that it isn’t over until after 50 recounts and all the felons have voted and their man is ahead.
Who’s your pick for best candidate of the year, Jason? I pick the lovely and gracious Kristi Noem from South Dakota.
64…of course Angle has a chance. She has barely begun running her ads. Like I said yesterday, I would rather her keep her powder dry for now. Would some rather she spend her wad now so that she could be up in polls in July so the Eeyores are happy, and have nothing left in October so she loses in Nov? Or save it, spend it in Sept-Oct, so she can win in Nov?
Now when this gets to be 40 days out and she spends her wad, if then she is dropping further behind, then I will zip up my eeyore suit. But July isn’t when most races are won or lost.
Wes, I battled with Brandon this very early this morning. I like Brandon.
I went after him on PPP, but he is a numbers guy. He sees Angle as only blowing a 10% lead after the Primary Win.
Someone said Angle just bought a $500,000 ad buy, DW. If that’s true, then she could be starting to lay the groundwork for reintroducing herself to the voters and taking the fight to Reid.
Wes, I hate Boxer with a passion. I go with Carly
Wes,
I’m older than you are, I think that Jan Brewer is a ravishing fox.
Tina said that Wes. and I checked it out on a Vegas blog.
Erikson at redstate has a very intelligent post for once on angle today.
http://www.redstate.com
Numbers only tell part of the story. You have to dig deeper to see dynamics. Currently Angle is being assaulted on multiple fronts by Reid and groups allied with him. At the same time, Angle is raising money and holding fire for a bit. Reid has not been able to knock her out of the race despite all the oney spent on his behalf. That indicates–to me at least–Reid is in more trouble than a series of polls showing him with small leads would suggest.
DW
OR4 has a tough incumbent–OR1 & OR5 much less so. WU in OR1 is going through a bitter divorce. I like the candidate in OR5
Ironically our best hope for WA is for them to gain a new congressional seat. We need the lines around WA1-WA2-WA9 to be redraw. The non-partisan commission that drew the lines in 2002 neatly divided all the GOP areas among those three seats. A new might might take the democratic parts of WA9-WA3 in a new seats plus move the Everett area around a bit.
That could shake up three democratic seats
Colorado has a lot of white independent suburbanite types in the Denver metro area. As these independents go, the rest of the state goes. Colorado Springs will always be deep red Republican. Boulder will always be dark blue Democrat.
With that being said, according to RAS in Colorado, Obama has 41% approval rating, and -20 index. 49% strongly disapprove. I believe this is a bit worse than Nevada…
Pretty much, the Republican just has to convince the 49% who strongly disapprove of Obama to vote for him/her… I believe that will happen.
Going out on a limb.. Norton would win by 7, Buck would win by 4… And McInnis survives but in a late election night, wins by a point or two.
Wes, I gotta go with the lovely and gracious Kristi Noem as well. Of course, you already know how I feel about her. She’s a babe besides being smart and articulate. Quite simply, I’m in love.
Marv, I remember reading a book about how the media covered D-Day.
Many average Americans thought the War in Europe was over when they heard the news.
Of Course it took almost 10 m ore months of fierce War before the Nazi’s surrendered.
I see it that way with the US House. We have three more months of war with the unethical Marxists
Oh, I love Carly to death, Jason. She’s the top candidate I’ve contributed to, and the lovely and gracious Kristi Noem is right after her in receiving money from me. Still, Noem pulled a major come-from-behind victory in the primary against two much better known candidates and is consistently leading a candidate who got just shy of 70% of the vote in 2008. For that reason, I list her as my candidate of the year. If Carly can topple Boxer though, then she definitely gets the runner-up slot.
People will make the difference in Nevada. watch what those 3000 teaparty people will do for Angle.
I think Brewer is still an attractive women, Marv, despite the clear toll age is taking on her. When she was younger though, I’m sure she was absolutely gorgous.
Buck would run on being the “chief filibusterer” of the Obama agenda… And I do believe he would gain national attention as Senator “Hell No”. However, Norton would be in on the same filibusters, but probably wouldn’t make national news.
Michael Bennet had a quote, talking to a Denver news station. Would you be willing to lose your Senate seat so that health care can be passed. He answered, “Yes.”. If I were Norton or Buck, I would hammer that point home.
Phil, Kristi wrote me a personal letter thanking me for contributing to her campaign–and I’m not even a constituent. The fact that she’s willing to personally thank people who are giving her money further reinforces my contention that she’s the best candidate this cycle.
Wes, a endowed NRA member of the NRA posted last night at your favorite site, Free Republic. LOL
Seriously the guy knew his stuff and is high up over there. He says liberals in the mold of Jon tester and Brian Scweitzer have infiltrated the NRA ranks. You know the types who love guns but are social Liberals. He says this happened in the late 70’s too, and they lost many members to the point that the liberals were kicked out.
Well, if the NRA starts purging the leftwingers, Jason, that will be a good thing. The group can’t survive en masse support of members of the Dem Party when the Dems’ position and record on guns are so clear.
Sean, Tancredo has already Backed off. The guy is so full of S%$t, too lazy to even file paperwork
Tancredo is a media whore. he’s probably writing a book and just wants to get his name out there ahea dof its eventual release.
Damnmit Wes, I didn’t get a letter from her. I’m going to have to send her some more money – which I was going to do anyway. I have a definite crush on her.
I agree. You couldn’t have engineered a better candidate. In fact, she reminds me of the product created by the two teenagers in that movie Weird Science.
Kelly LeBrock. Mmmmm…
Wes, he also said there are many in the rank and file who are watching the Reid race, and they are just as pissed of as we are, but La Pierre is good buddies with Reid.
Someone asked the guy if the NRA was working on the ground in NV helping Reid, but he responded that was not true. He said it the Las Vegas Media working for Reid with bogus spin with phony GOP sources.
Newsflash for You, Wes
Mondale got his ass kicked. McCain merely lost.
LeBrock was married to steven seagall, beautiful but dumb as a box of rocks.
#21, sam, that’s what I thought (I assumed that you had copied and pasted, not transcribed). If you’re signed up with Ras, you should alert them to fix their typo before people start saying that Brady has only 37% approval rating.
Newsflash for You, Wes
Mondale got his ass kicked. McCain merely lost.
Comment by IJUSTHATETHATFREAKIN’MCCAIN — July 29, 2010 @ 12:10 pm
We can’t even properly define what a “RINO” is. Now we’re gonna argue about what an “ass-kicking” is?
I’m going to contribute the max to Carly, Kristi, Renee Ellmers, Sharron Angle, and Jane Norton if she wins the primary, Phil. The GOP needs more women in positions of power, and all of the above are representative of the kinds if successful women who will serve well the country.
Amazing that Mondale on won 13 electorals, and McGovern only 17. But in both years the democrats hardly lost any seats in Congress.
The democrats have not won more than 400 electoral votes in a POTUS election since 1964, and the GOP has 4 times, twice with 500
Has anybody seen Kristi Noem’s family? They are equally “lovely and gracious” looking — her husband, son and two daughters.
Sean, we are trusting you and other GOP voters to make the right choice in the Gov and Senate race. After that we support the nominees
McCain lost by 46-53, Tony, and took 173 electoral votes to Obama’s 365. That may be a smaller asskicking than Reagan’s of Mondale, but it was still an asskicking.
Yes, we need Jane Nortonto win that primary.
WCBS Great news
Rangel has cut a deal to stay in the House.
The gift that keeps on giving
There are several good Kristi videos on You Tube. One really good one where she is broadcasting from a truck while on the road.
Hmmmmm….Shirley Sherrod is suing Breitbart. Why am I not surprised.
JT, just shows how out of touch House Democrats really are.
44– I tend to agree with you, Tony, that Palin helped McCain more than she hurt. But she was very unique. Plus, it’s indisputable that she did have the negative effect of taking Obama’s inexperience and lack of qualifications off the table. Whenever our side would bring that up, they would say, “Well then, why did you nominate Sarah Palin?”. We could then argue until we were blue in the face that Palin was still much more qualified than Obama, but the public wasn’t buying it.
In 2012, I’m sure that Brewer, Haley, Rubio, Brown, McDonnell, or Christie would bring lots of enthusiasm to the ticket, but they’ll also bring the “not qualified” novice problem with them. Let’s not go that way again. Let’s make sure our candidates (for both Prez & VP) have at least 8-10 years of government experience, preferably more. Jindal and Daniels just barely qualify.
Democrats are afraid of losing the Black Vote ,Phil.
Botox Pelosi has no spine. Holder probably told her to back off.
for those of you who think Hillary will run for POTUS, forget about it.
Chelsea is marrying the son of a disgraced Congressmen who went to federal Jail for Fraud. Also George Soros is footing the bill for the 5 Million dollar wedding.
Soros still has a warrant for his arrest in France for insider trading.
The Clinton’s are sleaze
I believe McInnis is still marginally better than Buck… My opinion, if Jane Norton is not our Senate nominee (I’m about ready to mark my ballot for her), then she would make an awesome governor. I belive McInnis would be more likely to step aside than Maes… Therefore, my primary vote will most likely be for McInnis for governor, with the hope if he is trailing he would step aside for someone more electable if this stuff doesn’t blow over… Thing is, he is turning the debate to jobs, and I think he could win in a squeaker, but other folks (Penry, Norton) would win by 5-7.
I also believe that the two people that might have a prayer of getting McInnis to step aside would be John Suthers and Josh Penry… Penry withdrew for party unity. Penry would make a fine governor.
102 – *facepalm* WOW! So no House trial for Rangel and he gets to keep his House seat? It just keeps getting better and better.
One of the GOP members of the House Ethics members had to allow this deal for it to granted.
Ranking Member
Bonner- Alabama
McCaul -TX
Harper- MISS
Conway- TX
Dent-PA
Can we guess who it is?
Hehe, money quote from Hot Air:
Update: Or maybe not, as WCBS TV reports now:
New York Congressman Charles Rangel has reportedly cut a deal to admit to ethical wrongdoing and avoid a potentially humiliating public trial.
Harlem friends of Rangel tell CBS 2 they have been told that the details could be unveiled when the House Ethics Committee meets Thursday afternoon.
So I guess we can cancel Rangelmas for today, but if Rangel stays in the House, the GOP will be celebrating it every day between now and November.
Gee Jason, I wonder who put the Dent into the deal?
Rangel “cuts a deal?” What kind of deal? Like, I promise to keep my tax evasion to a minimum in the future?
Politically speaking, it’s great news for us that this sleaze is allowed to stay around. I do hope, though, that the good people of his district oust him in a primary.
So exactly what would Sherrod have to sue over? She got her job back, and regardless Breitbart did not sue her. He did post a video of her speaking her own words. Plus discovery will be brutal for her. They will ask her to confirm or deny living in the same household with her husband and confirm that he says things in the house similar to his comments about white people that is in the public record.
She is a political appointee and therefore likely to meet the test of being in the public domain, thus even if she could prove something harmed her and was false, she may not be able to recover.
I see no damages, and truth was told. Not likely to be anything other than making lawyers fees…
113…can we say, “culture of corruption?”
did not fire her, ( drop the sue )
Fox news is now reporting the deal for Rangel.
I wonder what the GOP strategy was here. did they want Rangel to stay?
If its Dent, Pennsylvania is some whack shizzle. turncoat Arlen and Bent Dent from the same place.
The Rangel deal is golden for the GOP: Nancy Pelosi cut a deal to keep an ethically challenged Congressman in the House. The GOP must be cheering over this.
Here’s the Fox link. Find it funny that Betty Sutton (OH-13) and Walt Minnick (ID-1) are wanting Rangel to resign. Isn’t Sutton down in her re-elect bid? Minnick of course is scared off his rocker about this.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/07/29/rangel-prepares-hearing-alleged-ethics-violations/
since the ruling yesterday …
police may no longer interfere in bank robberies or kidnappings … which are the responsibility of the FBI
if the local authorities interfered with bank robberies or kidnappings it could do irreparable harm to the federal authorities
A lot of Republicans wanted their ethically challenged Congressmen to resign in 2006, Phoenix. That didn’t help many of them in their reelection bids.
i don’t want special privileges, i just want the same rights as an ILLEGAL ALIEN
i do not want to pay income taxes
i want free health care
i do not want to have to identify myself to the police
i do not want to be forced to get a drivers’ license to drive
i do not want to buy car insurance
i do not want to have to register my car
i do not want to have to pay parking tickets
i want food stamps
i want welfare
i want free housing and education
i want the earned income tax credit
i want social security after paying in only 16 quarters
and
i want you alll to pay for it
Phil, do you think the lovely and gracious Kristi Noem would ever contemplate a presidential run? After a few years of experience in Washington compiling a solid record as a conservative, I think she would be great as a President. Maybe in 2020 at the end of her first term in the Senate or in 2024.
Wes, it is obvious Pelosi is afraid of offending Black Voters, and Obama and Holder wanted to protect one of their own
Yeah Wes. I remember Mark Foley quite well.
Judge Napolitano: Arizona law unconstitutional
Judge Napolitano: Arizona law unconstitutional
Obama, Reid, and Pelosi are lame ducks. They remind me of football coaches who know that they will be fired at the end of the season
ruh roh, palin said something stupid, i think her career may seriously be over
“African-Americans are “sort of a mongrel people.””
hmmmm … i would have thought it was higher than 20%
“One in five Californians say they need mental health care”
http://www.latimes.com/news/health/boostershots/la-heb-mentalhealth-20100728,0,2495137.story
“Judge Napolitano: Arizona law unconstitutional”
his argument is that each state cannot have different laws on immigrants
yeah imagine if each state had different laws on bank robbery or kidnapping …
oh wait …
they do
plus, the AZ law is the same as the fed law
The other 80% are already in therapy. Its simple math.
And those 20% are waiting for Obamacare so that you can pay for their treatment! Suckers.
133 – lisab, it was Obama who said blacks were a “mongrel people”, not Palin I believe…
Please tell me its not Dent. I just endorsed the asshat last night
#133
I see what ya did there.
I cant believe Obama said that on the view yesterday, but hey, hell get away with it of course…
#133 — Wow, Lisa you got a link?
LOL Lisa. You got me
chevy volt denied $5,000 rebate for electric cars by california
nissan leaf qualifies
good thing we have obama running gm now
phoenixrisen,
Obama called Africnan-Americans “mongrel people” in his appearance on “The View”.
http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/111611-obama-calls-african-americans-a-mongrel-people-
Lisa get your S*&T together.
That was Obama who said that on the view.
How goes it today, lisab?
Sorry, Justol. I can’t imagine why any of the other ranking members from the conservative south would agree to go along.
obama … palin … tomato … tomahto
i am sure the press will treat them fairly and by the same rules of conduct
Yeah Marv I caught the joke after looking up the quote. Good for a laugh
lol
of course being a “mongrel people”
does help explain michelle’s looks
lisab funny this early PM
Marv, did you see the kneepads those Hogs on the view were wearing?
The Botox from Barbara Walter’s eyelids was drooling on the floor.
the fAUX Republican, Lizzie, was not allowed to speak
Marv,
i am just peachy …
off to the beach
(i’m on cape cod)
later
Put a number 55 on Michelle’s back, and she could pass for a Jets Linebacker.
Lisa, say hello to the Early Morning Kennedy Drinkers.
The incredible stupidity of large swaths of the American people should be readily apparent given the fact that Obama the Dumbass is in the White House. Ay Dios Mio.
You Fred Sanford used to joke with Aunt Ester that he would push her face in dough and make gorilla cookies. I wonder if even a black man like Red Foxx could get away with saying that, oh wait a half black man just said about the same thing. That is different.
Jul, Dent is fine. They all agreed. Bonner from Bama is ranking, what he says goes for the GOP
Liz Hasselbeck is a legitimate Republican, Jason. She’s pro-life, pro-tax cut, and strong in support of the War on Terror. She may be off the reservation on the gay marriage issue, but few people toe the conservative line 100% of the time.
Gary, I still laugh my butt off when I watch Sanford. A funny show, Esther was a riot
Fair Enough Wes
I still remember when Uberwimp Barry Manilow said Liz Hasselbeck scared him. Do you need to come out of the closet there, Barry?
Sanford and Son was hilarious. Dennis Miller used it as graist for a great joke about the Obama Administration: He’s taken us from Reagan’s shining city on a hill to the front yard of Sanford and Son.
161 Everyone thought Red could never go on TV ( before S & S ), because his nightclub act was both profane and vulgar, but he is a very funny man. Sanford and sons was a great comedy.
Sanford & Son was great!
One of my favorites was when he looked at Aunt Esther and said: “You look like a fried monkey in the face”
He told a rich arrogant friend “Why don’t you take some of your money and buy yourself some manners”
And the episode where they were behind on their bills and Fred told Lamont that the solution was to put the bills back in the mail box
And the episode where he started his own church as a tax scam was hilarious, he wore a hub cap around his neck as an insignia of his ministry…
Anyone want to bet even up that Angle beats Reid in November. You got polls in your favor, Harry got money, lots of it and Angle well according to a lot of posters she is terrible candidate. I must need to have my head examined, but despite all that I will take Angle without requiring odds. Who wants to take my money? Easy money, like stealing. Come on OR STFU
http://politics.freesitenow.com/basilmarceauxforgovernor/
I am interviewing this guy, Sunday night.
I must be out of my mind….
You do support Pelosi Tim, so Yes you are out of your mind.
Just kidding
plus, the AZ law is the same as the fed law
Not true blondie. Per federal, being here illegal is not a crime. AZ makes a crime.
being here illegal is not a crime
Yes it is. We choose to deport as a cheaper option usually, but we can and do detain some in incarceration.
Do you know anything about anything you post?
Relevant statue:
Title 8 Section 1325 of the U.S. Code
You guys think I’m bad? You should see how bad I’m getting hammered on Facebook for endorsing Dent
Do you know anything about anything you post?
Judge Andrew Napolitano agrees with me that it is not a crime. I guess he doesn’t know what he is talking about too.
The AZ will be struck down as unconstitutional. And when Roberts, Alito and Scalia agree with me you all will have to apologize.
Violations are punishable by criminal fines and imprisonment for up to six months. Repeat offenses can bring up to two years in prison . Additional civil fines may be imposed at the discretion of immigration judges, but civil fines do not negate the criminal sanctions or nature of the offense.
I added the bold, and the bold only.
Good news. Ras Johnson 48/Feingold 46…Wisconsin is continuing to look like a very good pickup opportunity.
Obama improved his numbers in Gallup 47/47 from 45/49…still underwater, and battling his lows.
im sorry, gallup 46/47
You opinion is of little value on this board, you regularly call things 180 degrees from correct. Governor Deeds? LOL
Apparently, so many of the self-declared Constitutionalists around here have never bothered to read the US Constitution.
Rassmuaen
Wisconsin
Feingold-46%
Johnson-48%
Governor Deeds? LOL
Here was my prediction on VA:
15.Chekote says:
October 30, 2009 at 10:08 am
Virginia
McDonnell 55%
Deeds 45%
You are an idiot.
Johnson has turned into a powerful candidate. He deserves are support.
Today is a better polling day than yesterday was for conservatives.
Yesterday’s Bolton ruling was a gift to conservatives, thanks judge.
Word for word, for a liar or an idiot or more likely both.
“The Arizona law is going hurt the Republican Party big time.” LOL again.
I still remember when Uberwimp Barry Manilow said Liz Hasselbeck scared him. Do you need to come out of the closet there, Barry?
Comment by Wes — July 29, 2010 @ 1:23 pm
Barry Manilow is a bigtime Paulbot, Wes. It’s probably her strong support for the military that “scared” him. It’s a shame, as I once really liked Manilow. My first daughter is named “Mandy” and I admit I first got that name from his song.
Cant read the law ? Or lying like a Democrat? I point it out and you decide. LOL
Chekote 10/30. nice Try Eeyore.
When the WaPo smear came out you said McDonnell was going to lose.
So you make a prediction that he would win at the end of October 2009, when a McDonnell win was a given?
There is a difference between entering and staying. Staying is not a crime. Unlawful presence in the United States is not a federal crime, although it may make the alien removable. AZ made unlawful presence a crime.
Again, you are an idiot.
Gary, she said rand Paul would lose also
If you look at the toplines on RAS, Obama has 52% approval in Wisconsin. Johnson appears to be a good candidate. Feingold’s favorability ratings are not horrible, and it appears those who think both candidates are “OK” are leaning towards the challenger…
Market has declined ever since that ruling was known
Maybe just an odd coincidence…
Not Eeyore
Liar
Or
Idiot.
Only choices on this one.
Lets ask the liberal Texas A & M University for a decision on this one! LOL, LOL, crying and LOL!
Gary, Chekote is a immigrant herself from Europe.
Nothing wrong with that, but that is the way she thinks. Why she hates Southern Whites
Quibbling
We have 17% unemployment
“Here I am, where’s my free shit?” has got to stop
Might as well stop now…
Parsing like a Democrat now I see. Bill Clinton needed to know the definition of “is”!!!
Sean, like Boxer, this is the first bad Dem year that Feingold has ever run.
He is average candidate with no charisma, but was lucky to run in POTUS base years like 92 and 04.
He cannot outspend Johnson either
Or maybe the liberal Baylor Baptist Bears can give us a ruling here? LOL
This is too easy.
Why argue about politics when there are more important issues? Roy Oswalt is about to become a member of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Could the same be said about Murray?
I’m starting to think Wisconsin may be more likely to flip than Illinois… Maybe Illinois and Washington are fairly equal possibilities to flip…
Rangel charged with 13 ethics violations.
Is it too late to primary Dent or otherwise get him out of there over this vote?
Football is the most important thing Bitterlaw
Surprised you didn’t know that…
Johnson is certainly a better candidate the Kirk is. I get a good feeling about Wisconsin. Ron Johnson is the sort of candidate that is elected in a cycle like this one. A self made man who until now wasn’t really political.
Sure hope Rangel doesn’t resign…
Exactly, MFG. Go, Niners!
You get the sense that Johnson is a real person and that plays well in state like Wisconsin.
Great RAS poll on WI
Kirk is proving to be an underwhelming candidate surely, Tim. He lucked out in drawing an absolute disaster on the other side of the ballot though.
How can a man be charged with 13 ethics violations and continue to serve in the House?
I don’t know, Jason, but I’m heating up the popcorn even as we speak.
Very Lucky Wes. the amazing thing is that Kirk is still raising $$$ like a great candidate.
Oil from the Gulf oil spikll unlikely to hit the East Coast. No. You don’t say.
Bitter, the Phillies need a lefty. Moyer and Hamels blow
That;s why I think Kirk will defeat G-Man in November, Jason.
Charles,
We tried to primary him. The Independent said on live radio yesterday that 9/11 is America’s fault and the Democrat in the race was drafted by Biden himself. Insult to injury, it’s Pat Toomey’s district
Some Dem is saying there’s nothing new in the Rangel charges, Well, gee, were you expecting anything new?
Oh, and Dent is running for Senate in 2012
From what they’re reporting on the news, it looks as if the GOP didn’t sign off on any deal. It appears the House will have a full-blown trial for Rangel. Dems can kiss the House bye-bye.
New Dem alking point: Rangel did this on his own. He’s guilty by himself. We had nothing to do with it.
rankings of flip to red-
ND 99%
AR 99%
IN 99%
DE 90%
PA 85%
CO 75%
IL 60%
WA 51% (up)
WI 50% (up)
NV 50% (down)
CA 45%
CT 25% (up)
I think if Angle pulls ahead, Rossi and Johnson will have already won- they are superior fundraisers and are running superior campaigns against Murray and Feingold than Angle against Reid.
That said I still say Angle pulls through as Reids negatives are just radioactively high. So +10, with Senator Fiorina being a fantastic cherry on top of the electoral sundae
Sigh. Big Johnson from Wisconsin should win if he has no skels. But Illinois is going to flip.
Brady up 7. Blago. $$$ for Kirk. I swear it’s like talking to 4 year olds here sometimes.
JT, what kind of coattails if any will Brady have on state wide races and legislature?
New Palin book cover:
http://abcnews.go.com/Entertainment/wireStory?id=11280455
#222
Not to mention the most devestating scandal against Kirk was fibbing.
Revealed in the SUMMER. When no one is really paying attention.
That 4-1 cash advantage, which if I am not mistaken Kirk has yet to really dig into yet, will also hurt Alexi.
Anyone else in GA getting daily robocalls about gay marriage? Getting annoying, 5 days in a row now.
Charlie could be the gift that keeps on
giving. I hope he did not cut a deal.
conflicting reports.I hope he fights it
tooth and nail.
223 – Good photo.
If the Republican Party in ILL wasn’t know for being total fuck ups I would have some confidence in Kirk but remember ILL is a state that re-elected Blogo fully knowing he was a crook. So I wouldn’t past the Chicago machine to do the same for the Mob Banker.
I like Napolitano but he has gone off the deep end lately and has even recently called for Bush and Cheney to be indicted:
http://www.thenewamerican.com/index.php/usnews/constitution/4040-judge-andrew-napolitano-renews-call-for-indictment-of-bushcheney
And he is by no means the say all/end all with predicting SCOTUS decisions–he has been wrong many times, and I respectfully disagree with his analysis here.
ND 99%
AR 99%
IN 99%
DE 90%
PA 85%
CO 75%
IL 60%
WA 51% (up)
WI 50% (up)
NV 50% (down)
CA 45%
CT 25% (up)
———–
I agree with that expect ILL which I would be below Washington and Wisconsin.
#228
I think the Chicago machine, after the Blago mess, will lay lower and just stick its guns into local districts just for a little while. 2016 could be a better cycle, cost them less, and would provide more cover than their current nominee, Alexi.
Crooks don’t like other crooks they backed screw up and possibly hurt THEM, so I think if Kirk resurges in the polls towards October, they will cut Alexi loose…
#230
Rossi would be higher but everyone remembers what happened in 2004.
He pulls a few points ahead in a non-Rasmussen poll, and I’d bump him ahead of Kirk.
Fox News Poll: Republicans Garner 11-Point Lead in Midterms
2 weeks ago it was 4 pts.
Barring a bad result in Colorado(Buck)and the exception of Angle in Nevada and Kirk I am impressed by the quality of candidates we have running for senate this cycle.
Some have a easier then others Hoeven in North Dakota and some will have to work very hard b/c of circumstances Rubio but the new class of 2010 will likely be one of the best since 1994.
Even Rand Paul has made a dramatic turnaround.
Fox News Poll: 72 Percent Say Government Not Enforcing Immigration Laws
Julstol
surely you are kidding about Dent 2012-1st electorally he is not a superstar–2nd talk about geography I think he and Toomey could jog or bicycle between their houses. My guess would be a Western PA person in 2012 to take out Casey.
frankly I have no idea but that’s my guess
233…link?
marc
spot on–I would take our GOP candidates over the democrats one on one blind tests without labels or names any day. They look better-they are articulate-they are better in retail politics. over all that is
49ers Outlook
Add, I think Brady will help win some state House seats downstate and in the Cook County Suburbs. I think we will about 3 State Senate seats maybe 4 in areas like Elgin
Fox News has always been tough on the GOP in polling also
My more cautiously optimistic percentages for flip to Red:
ND 99%
AR 95%
IN 90%
DE 90%
PA 75%
NV 60%
CO 55% (65% if Norton, 45% if Buck)
IL 55%
WA 48%
WI 48%
CA 40%
CT 15%
percentages for Red hold:
NC 85%
NH 75%
MO 70%
OH 60%
KY 60%
FL 52%
Knighthawk,
Question for you…is the Augusta Chronicle a right-leaning outlet?
addison, the main thing is for the GOP to win enough seats to make sure the marxists cannot override a Brady Veto.
IL House is 70-48, I expect it to go to about 63-55 if Brady wins solidly.
State Senate is 37-22, I see it as at least 34-25
Looks like Dirty Charlie struck a deal and will annoy everyone with his raspy voice for years to come.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703578104575397303987006546.html?mod=WSJ_hpp_LEADNewsCollection
I might say
AR 99%
IN 95%
PA 65%
KY 75%
But other than that, a pretty good assessment
Judge Nap needs to take his meds
LaZebra, why so gloomy on Florida? 52%?
From that OpinionDynamics poll..
Amongst voters who say the economy is the biggest concern, Republicans have a 20 point advantage.
Amongst those who say health care, a 16 point advantage.
These numbers are crushing…
and its a REGISTERED VOTER POLL.
So we have 3 polls now averaging aroun 9pts (Bloomberg/FOX/Rasmussen), then you have that 6pt from DemCorps, the leads from Ipsos and ABC, the tie from PPP…Gallup and Time’s leads for Dems are looking more pathetic by the day…
Gallup has been pathetic since 2008, when their tracking polls had Obama up by 20% in October
Rdel, if Burns beats Critz this Fall, he could be your nominee to take out Pro death Casey. A self Funder too
So Rangel cuts a deal. What a mongrel that guy is.
jason T
I am an old fashion guy who believes in senatorial diversity–One Upstate NY senator and one from NY city area–one downstate IL senator and one from Chicago area.
One IN senator from Indy area and the other from North or South IN–One MI senator from Detroit area and the other is not from there.
Look at our 50 states and while diversity is not really possible in HI or DE its funny how senators often end up with geographic diversity
Has there ever been an 11 pt spread in a generic ballot?
POLITICAL IDENTIFICATION: When you think about politics, do you think of
yourself as a Democrat or a Republican?
Democrat Republican (Independent) (Other) (Refused/Don’t know)
27-28 Jul 10 D37% R41 I16 O3 DK3
http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/072910_Immigration.pdf
Opinion Dynamics has been a very very very favorable to the Democrats polling firm heretofore. Someone want to look and see if there was true movement or did they finally decide to get their electorate to reflect an offyear election instead of talking to more Democrats than anything else?
NV-GOV
Sandoval (R) 50%
Little Reid (D) 40%
38% have VERY UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF REID
Something doesn’t make sense in Nevada……. Sandoval should be up 20.
Bobby, which pollster? link?
OUCH!
Fox Generic Ballot: GOP 47-Dem 36
Obama: 43% Approve/50% Disapprove
http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/072910_ObamaElections.pdf
Sorry Rasmussen http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/nevada/election_2010_nevada_governor
I wouldn’t worry about the Sandoval numbers.
It is the same sample that has Harry up by 2 over Angle.
With the limited information that Rasmussen provides, I can only deduce that he is using the 2008 DRI model for his state polls.
Sandoval at 50%, all you need to know.
How arrogant can reid be, to run his pencil neck son for Governor. He tried to get him a federal Judgeship, but his resume is way to light
Rangel might cut a deal but it has to be approved by at least one of the ranking GOP members. If Rangel doesn’t lose his seat, then no deal and let it go to trial.
#263 — sam, I am starting to think so as well.
ILLEGAL ALIENS are criminals
they are violation of Title 8 Section 1325 of the U.S. Code, as Gary correctly points out
as is using a fake id to work
as is not paying income tax on your earnings
as is not declaring your earnings
not to mention crossing the border illegally, taking food stamps, welfare, the eitc and housing as an ILLEGAL ALIEN
they are criminal scum and must not be ever legalized no matter how long they live here
send them all home
So if Bush cut taxes ‘for the rich’, and if the Democrats allow them to expire, which results in a 5% increase in the tax rate the poor pays, does that mean Democrats are hiking taxes on the poor?
LaZebra, why so gloomy on Florida? 52%?
Comment by Waingro — July 29, 2010 @ 3:02 pm
I don’t think that’s “gloomy”. We’re looking at a race where our guy has been behind (sometimes significantly) in most of the polls for the last month. Despite this, I’m optimistically making Rubio the slight favorite. The one thing that keeps me nervous is that Crist is still getting very positive approval ratings as Governor. I’m also nervous because of today’s poll showing Greene ahead of Meek by 10%. If Greene wins, many more Democrats will switch over to Crist. Greene is a sleazeball and the Dems know it.
Show me 3 or 4 consecutive polls with Rubio ahead and I’ll increase his percentage. My flaw: I’m a professional statistician, thus I believe in polls as a real reflection of the truth.
right Phoenix. GOP Ethics members must realize a trial would be great, Rangel must resign or face trial
“Obama is bringing about the apocalypse ”
if only that were true …
the trouble is the world won’t end and we will be saddled with all this debt and unemployment from the worst administration in history
the dems plan of ending the world to avoid paying the debt is dubious at best
We need VA’s governor seat or Virginia will be gerrymandered to death in 2010.
Agreed. That’s why the GOP in VA needs to nominate candidates like Tom Davis that can win in NoVA. And if the TheoCons down state threaten to stay home. F— them. We can’t win with their pet candidates anyway. By nominating a Tom Davis, the GOP at least as a shot at building a new coalition that will eventually win.
Comment by Chekote — September 1, 2009 @ 11:20 am
Anybody see a McDonnell victory prediction in there? You lying liars you.
Just proves that this RAS sample was several points too liberal and democratic. MOE indeed.
That Fox poll is a killer.
talk about winter of discontent this is a summer of discontent
Fox generic poll now +11 for GOP? Yikes!! You know, there has been some very significant movement to the GOP over the last month in the generic ballot when you look at Rasmussen and Fox. Voters making up their minds and hardening for November?
ADD, nice catch, and she did not even realize the GOP controlled the State House in VA anyways
Here’s some political trivia….
Of the current crop of GOP candidates running for Senate who would have more seniority then other newly elected Senators in 2010??
272. Exposed. That quote is classic. After that hit piece from the WaPost came out, not only did ??? say McDonnell could not win, ??? also openly rooted for Deeds for quite a while.
Marc
I am guessing Blunt–most years in house?
oops–Former senator Coats–he got the mojo
Yes Dan Coats. Former member of the house for 8 years and Senate for 12years.
obama was NOT invited to chelsea’s wedding
i have NEVER liked a clinton so much
i would have loved to be there for that discussion:
hillary: “honey, he’s my boss … you have to invite him”
chelsea: “he’s a loser mom, i’m not inviting him, or the wookie either! that is final!”
the sad part is obama already bought chelsea an autographed picture of himself as a wedding gift … sigh … i guess he can give it to michelle or malea
More evidence that we need to dispose of the TheoCons. The GOP did a lot of stupid things while in office to appease them. Davis probably had to do it because DeLay and Bush were pushing for it. Still someone like him would have a better shot in VA than someone like McFornicator. Anyway, knova I want to ask you a serious question: Do you believe that the GOP needs to make any changes?
Comment by Chekote — September 1, 2009 @ 11:37 am
You people are all just lying, fibbing, prevaricating liars.
She’s not only Major Burns. She’s Chico Marx. “who you gonna believe, me or your eyes?”
Chekote is David Frum on Uppers
Marc
there is actually two senority lists.
1st is the 1 to 100 list of all senators. This determines senate office space-chairs-seating arrangements-office hideways (special senate offices at the capital building). Inouye is #1 and Scott Brown is #99(new WV guys is #100 but he is a temp) but Brown is fixin to make a big jump–perhaps a historic jump. He could be #80.
2nd each political party keeps its own seniority list. This helps who gets to be senate pro-tem (4th in line to be President) and thats currently Inouye and on the GOP side Orin Hatch. The GOP uses the seniority system to help determine committee assignments. On the democratic side leadership determines committee assignments
under obama even hungary has pulled ahead of the usa in parking technology …
and the woman has pretty nice boots too
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rd29FhMDDgw&feature=player_embedded#!
286– “nice boots”? Shoot, Lisab, the beauty of this green sweater Hungarian is lost on you, another woman!
But hey, this parking system is pretty cool. I wonder how expensive it is.
Here are some more…
McDonnell will just perpetuate the same SoCon nonsense that is hurting the GOP all over the country. Instead of pushing for “covenant marriage” why doesn’t McDonnell push for delivering government services that we all need and pay for more effeciently? How about addressing the traffic congestion in NoVa? That will win more votes that social engineering policies design to promote traditional family.
Comment by Chekote — August 31, 2009 @ 10:58 am
1. The Washington Post will beat that drum from now until election day. One of the polls I saw showed that McDonnell is pulling 52% of NoVa. That’s why the Post is running that article.
Comment by Chekote — August 31, 2009 @ 11:40 am
1. Deeds looks like a center left candidate like Kaine and Warner. Let me see what McDonnell is running on.
Comment by Chekote — August 31, 2009 @ 11:43 am
(Rangel and Dems in trouble)
GOP: NO DEAL-TRIAL
http://www.drudgereport.com/
1. The NRA picked Deeds over McDonnell….So I would say that you should vote for Deeds.
Comment by Chekote — August 31, 2009 @ 12:12 pm
1. McDonell is another poll tested, political consultant clone candidate. When will a real leader emerge?!?!?!?!?
Comment by Chekote — August 31, 2009 @ 12:26 pm
Actually rdel its Lugar who elected in the same year as hatch 76 held political office before while hatch didn’t.
The political news today is very good for actual patriotic Americans:
1. Bolton galvanized conservatives and even moderates yesterday.
2. Brewer filed an appeal today
3. Fox Generic Ballot: 47R/36D
4. Fox Obama Poll: 43/50 (highest disapproval ever)
5. RAS WI Sen: Johnson(R) 48 and Feingold(D) 46
6. RAS NV Gov: Sandoval(R) 50 and Reid(D) 40
All in all, it’s a great day to be an actual American.
#291 — HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!! Watch the Kossacks heads explode!
I want want some of what this Chekote is smoking. For months she says the GOP should piss on religious conservatives, its southern base, win the support of Latinos by being pro-amnesty, pro-open borders etc even though that did exactly help the California GOP after the ‘86 debacle and shift far left on social issues. Even though history showed that the GOP was always the perpetual minority party when the country club, patrician blue blood liberals ran it.
Now she even emphatically denies things she said on this blog almost a year ago, even when confronted with it she simply acts as if she never said it. Its like she can simply ignore the past altogether and completely invent a fictional one in her mind. Again whatever she is smokin must be some gnarly sh*t!
Marc
great minds think alike and yes I googled senior seniority at wiki–Lugar is senior to Hatch based on Indiana having more people then Utah.
Wow–Lugar would be President Pro-Temp if the GOP won a majority in 2010.
Would the honor of being President pro-tem push Lugar to another term in 2012?
4th in line for the President and all that???
I may have to rethink the thought of him retiring
Yeah, the prevailing opinion over at Kos is one that Rangel should resign. Now off to take my shower but that was fun
rangel just did not report some rental income …
that is not illegal
so i don’t know what the big deal is?
Hey DW – I notice you have CA-47 (Sanchez) district flipping. What’s your reasoning on that? Curious.
i watched the video again, i do not get the green sweater comment.
it is an ok sweater … but nothing that great
Ummm maybe what underneath the sweater? Just guessing, I dont open those kinds of links at work, I dont want the inquiries later, LOL.
Finally the GOP in D.C shows some spine.
Rahm Emanuel will send a fish in a wrapper to Rangel tonight. Resign now will be the note
Gary,
it is a safe for work video … it just shows an automatic car park system … that uses conveyor belts to move your car around.
there happens to be a girl in it wearing a green sweater. she is ok looking, but she is not exactly ashley greene
302– yep, and it’s not pornographic.
forget about rangel … it is a trap
the dems will just point out that he did not do anything illegal anyway
and you will just look like you are picking on a black civil servant who has helped african americans for fifty years … they will label you as racists AGAIN
without people like rangel, we would not have obama today … ummmmm … ok … maybe he did some things wrong …
but nothing illegal
Yup rental income –unless its a minor amount or its for less then two weeks rental time-is taxable income. IRS frowns on people not reporting income.
Under house rules a congressperson must report all sources of outside income-rental income/dividends/interest stuff like that. You also have to report property and stuff like that.
There is a maze of rules and regulations that congresspeople must follow on these ethics reports.
she is ok looking, but she is not exactly ashley greene
Comment by lisab — July 29, 2010 @ 4:55 pm
Hey, if someone here can suggest the Bristol Palin is “smokin’ hot”, I’m just saying that Ms. Green Sweater is much better-looking than Bristol.
300…GOP has a great candidate. But admittedly, this one is going to be tough. Its probably one of the last ones I have flipping. If the climate improves for the marxists, its one of the first I would put back.
303– I’m not sure I agree, Jason. Some (ie, Morris) think Obama doesn’t care about Congress — he’s already looking beyond November at his own reelection campaign.
300,309 — isn’t this B-1 Bob Dornan’s old district?
My favorite Dornan story was when his name appeared on the Congressional Post Office list for cashing bad checks, he called in to Rush’s show and explained that, “I was only using the check to buy gravel to put around my statue of the Blessed Virgin”.
“IRS frowns on people not reporting income.”
“frowns on” is not the same thing as being illegal
i am sure the irs frowned on me not reporting tips as a waitress too …
and i bet they frown on me tutoring children of rich people too …
let them frown on anything they like, that does not mean i will tell them
Rdel,
No. No joke. Dent and Gerlach are both running for Senate in 2012
“Hey, if someone here can suggest the Bristol Palin is “smokin’ hot”, I’m just saying that Ms. Green Sweater is much better-looking than Bristol.”
yeah, that’s true … she is way better looking than bristol palin … she is a lot thinner than bristol palin for one thing.
Costa and Cardoza (18 and 20) are more likely to flip than Sanchez (47) in my opinion, DW.
Julstol wait a minute Gerlach would have to give up the governorship for a senate run in 2012. Never mind that did not work out well.
Sounds like the GOP needs a new plan for 2012 but lets get 2010 out of the way 1st
315– Mark, did you see my question about the California Governor’s mansion?
ND is 100% unless Hoeven gets caught in bed with a live goat, in which case it drops to 98%.
Rdel,
Electorally how do you feel about a young, conservative, multi millionaire from western PA?
315…fair enough. Honestly, I look at those three as of roughly equal value, and I expect that the GOP has a pretty good shot to get one of the three, so I had just picked the one that I did because it seemed like the best GOP candidate.
Of course, Rangel points out that he was in a tougher scrape in Korea, under attack by the Chinese.
Oops did he just offend our Chinese debt holders?!
More standup comedy from Politico. If Meek loses that’s great for Crist because he’s a “homeboy”.
That’s right Larry every black man wants to park your car.
Julstol
as long as his name was not “Heinz” that could be good.
I think 2010 proves that outsiders or ex-congressman or pols with outsider images have done well–so far.
So that profile could work–do you have someone in mind??
Sure, this whole Rangel thing is a Democratic trap. How in the world will the Democrats claim racism when their own committee members as well as GOP members brought up ethics charges in the first place? Besides, Dems claiming racism is only further going to alienate the white vote from them as they are already ticked at the Obama administration challenging the AZ immigration bill in court. It will be a non-issue. If Democrats are courting the black vote to come out and vote in November by setting a trap, they are in really bad straits indeed.
I am relieved. Rangel says “dishonesty” and “corruption” are off the table in his case.
I was worried that 13 counts of ethics violations brought forth by a Dem dominated panel might have a whiff of impropriety by Rangel has cleared the air.
I don’t see Dent or Gerlach going anywhere in a Senate primary. However, if either one of them somehow secures the nomination, they will have my vote. I would vote for a moldy, rotten tomato over Bob Casey.
In light of Casey’s lockstep pro-Obama voting record and Obama’s sinking popularity here, the rotten tomato was encouraged enough to conduct a poll.
Moldy, Rotten Tomato (R) 43%
Bob Casey, Jr. (D- Inc.) 48%
In surveys in which voters were informed that this Casey was actually NOT the bushy-browed former Governor, Rotten Tomato actually leads 50-46.
I still say that at least a few points of Casey’s margin in ‘06 came from people who thought they were voting for dear old Dad, even though he was deceased. Not that it mattered much, as Santorum did all that he could to ensure his electoral decimation on his own.
House Sparrow and RDel,
See my comment in the new thread