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Romney Leads Three New Polls in FL

We will start this primary eve with a new poll from Quinnipiac University that shows Mitt Romney has opened up a 14% lead over Newt Gingrich in the state of Florida.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA – GOP PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Mitt Romney 43%
Newt Gingrich 29%
Rick Santorum 11%
Ron Paul 11%

This poll was done January 27-29 among 539 likely primary voters. Public Policy Polling seems to be a lot less favorable towards Mitt Romney, claiming his lead is only 7% over Gingrich.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA – GOP PRIMARY (PPP)
Mitt Romney 39%
Newt Gingrich 32%
Rick Santorum 14%
Ron Paul 11%

This poll was done January 28-29 among 733 likely primary voters. But PPP is not showing the closest margin as that goes to Insider Advantage who is claiming the race is down to a five percentage point difference.

PRESIDENT – FLORIDA – GOP PRIMARY (IA)
Mitt Romney 36%
Newt Gingrich 31%
Rick Santorum 12%
Ron Paul 12%

This poll was done January 29th among 636 likely primary voters. A range between 5-14%means some pollsters are going to look a little silly on Tuesday night….

Posted by Dave at 8:08 am
Filed under: General | Comments (78)

78 Responses to “Romney Leads Three New Polls in FL”

  1. Charleypreacher says:

    First

  2. Scott says:

    Here is my forecast for the FL GOP Primary results:

    Gingrich- 29%
    Paul- 12%
    Romney- 42%
    Santorum- 15%
    Write-in/Other- 2%

    Does anyone have the final data on absentee and early voting in FL?

  3. jenny says:

    If Michelle Obama is buying lingerie, it means the Obamas are having “fun” in the White House. Good for the Obamas!

    go mitt!

  4. jenny says:

    i hope the waa poll is right! If mitt hits 50%, it means that conservatives are embracing him.

  5. Dan C says:

    Scott:

    I think it is going to be a lot closer than that.

  6. Phil says:

    Looks like a pretty accurate prediction to me, Scott.

  7. Todd McCain says:

    Judging from what? Only two pollsters have it close.

  8. MD says:

    Yea, maybe Newt’s last minute “conservative” renewed attacks on Wall Street elitists will have an effect.

  9. Phil says:

    PPP gives me some pause on the final margin, as they are pretty darned accurate on the eve of any election. No matter. Mitt wins regardless.

  10. MD says:

    You have to understand that Dan C compared Newt to the Biblical David.

  11. Todd McCain says:

    It doesnt need to be a blow out…..winner take all, kids.

  12. Todd McCain says:

    Plus the fact that Mitt was done 10 points last week.

  13. MD says:

    I wonder if any “conservatives” were arrested in Oakland?

  14. MD says:

    I am thinking 8 to 10. The Newt team did repeat the Huck strategy in the panhandle but didn’t have enough money to do it as well.

  15. Phil says:

    I’ll gladly take high single digits.

  16. Scott says:

    #5 & 36-Dan C. and Phil
    I have a large spread because anecdotal evidence and my gut tell me that Romney has a wide lead in pre-election day voting and will receive a very,very high percentage of ALL Hispanic GOP votes.

  17. SUSYQUE says:

    Palin, Stalin and Alinsky

    While Palin and Gingrich have little in common, the one characteristic they do share is hypocrisy. In her posting, Palin claims Mitt Romney needs to be “vetted” more thoroughly because Democrats will attack him in the fall. Yet she considers any attempt to give the same attention to Gingrich, a man with a freight train’s worth of damaging personal and political baggage that renders him unlikely to win a general election, to be above such concerns. According to Palin, examinations of his inconsistent record and leadership failures are examples of “the politics of personal destruction” and should be abhorred.
    Read More:
    http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/01/29/palin-stalin-alinsky-gingrich-romney/#more-782231

  18. Heebow says:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mNV7o9wONHg

    forget Tebow, check out my Menorah formation. heebowing beats tebowing.

  19. DW says:

    Palin is dead to me. She has totally lost it. So I guess I am part of the GOP “establishment.” So is Ann Coulter, Bob McDonnell, Marco Rubio, and a host of other conservatives.

    I recommend that from now until Gingrich is gone, that Romney supporters here end their posts with…

    “I am the establishment”

  20. Bitterlaw says:

    MD – Corbett endorsed Steve Welsh for Senate. JulStol will probably have a heart attack. I heard him speak. He is a very impressive guy – founded a company at 23, sold it for millions, now works as a venture capitalist.

  21. Barrett says:

    #22 – Rich venture capitalist? When are they going to arrest him?

  22. Dan C says:

    The internal is the insiders advantage poll is interesting. Huge gender gaps. Men are going 58% for either Newt or Ron Paul while women are going about the same percentage for Mitt or Santorum. 70+% of Santorum support is from women. It makes me think his support may be more likely to go to Mitt if Rick drops out.

  23. Bitterlaw says:

    I used to think that it was good to have an Establishmnet. It meant that you had a structure. Doesn’t it make sense for the Establishment to want to back winning candidates? Isn’t that how you remain in the Establishment?

  24. DW says:

    Over the weekend, someone told be about a business management textbook where a study was done to profile 90 successful CEOs as leaders to see what it is that makes people great leaders. To their surprise, the study found that some successful leaders were outspoken, others soft-spoken, some were fat and sloppy, others were skinny and well dressed. Some had college and graduate degrees, others did not. The study gathered an enormous amount of information, but nothing seemed to a commonality among these leaders–except one thing. Almost all 90 were in their first marriage and they valued the family. Again, this was not a James Dobson Focus on the Family study, just a regular study in a college textbook.

    So of the four people left in the GOP race, three would make good leaders based on this study, and then there is Newt.

  25. Bitterlaw says:

    Barrett – he made enemies for leaving the GOP in 2005 because he thought it had gone too far left. He voted for Obama in the 2008 primary. However, he also was a fundraiser and speaker for Pat Toomey in 2009 and 2010. I met him and I was impressed. he has a young family that will look good in ads. He actually has a personality. There is no way the GOP should run a successful businessman against Senator Empty Suit.

  26. DW says:

    25…I am the establishment. I never realized how easy it would be to go from a GOP outsider to being someone who is part of the establishment. How does it feel to you in your first week of being the GOP establishment?

  27. Bitterlaw says:

    DW – I’m actually a little disappointed in my status as part of the Establishment. I have not been invited to any cocktail parties this week. I drove my self to work today. I actually still have to work. What is the point of being a fat cat? I am also still waiting for my top hat and monacle.

  28. Tina says:

    PPP Drat appears too narrow from what I am getting.

    Nevertheless, winner takes all. Newt may cry tomorrow.

  29. Ben Romney says:

    SurveyUSA Poll for FL:

    Romney:
    41%
    Gingrich:
    26%
    Paul:
    12%
    Santorum:
    12%

    http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d5499f5d-fe8e-4423-80d6-51b54ed472d0

  30. Tina says:

    ??? wants to buck the establishment.

    I kept laughing over and over at that.

  31. Ben Romney says:

    WAA Poll for FL:

    Romney:
    50%
    Gingrich:
    28%
    Santorum:
    12%
    Paul:
    10%

    http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/fivethirtyeight/primaries/florida

  32. DW says:

    29…don’t worry about the monacle and top hat, they must have been backordered. But we need to give these things a little time, we were only declared to be the establishment just a few days ago.

    I am the establishment.

  33. MD says:

    At BJG they can each type:

    I am a retard.

  34. Bitterlaw says:

    MD – come back to the party. They waived the Establishment application fee!

  35. mnw says:

    I’m puttin’ on my top hat,
    Tying up my white tie, brushing off my tails.
    I’m duding up my shirt front,
    Polishing my nails.

  36. MD says:

    I didn’t know that history on Welch. Voted for Obama? Even if it was in a primary, that is still a case for a DQ. He’ll lose anyway against cardboard so it doesn’t matter.

  37. MD says:

    Drinking in the AM again MNW?

  38. SUSYQUE says:

    The Palinites conservatives, going for Newt are dismissing the utter weaknesses of his character. Frankly, the truer conservative in the race is Rick Santorum, yet they tout Newt. Since neither Newt nor Rick S., have the $$$, nor the staff and business acumen that Mitt Romney has, I hope they wake up to cold facts and join Mitt
    in going against the worst president in the history of our country.

  39. mnw says:

    And I’m stepping out, my dear,
    to breathe an atmosphere that simply reeks with class,
    And I trust that you’ll excuse my dust when I step on the gas,
    For I’ll be there puttin’ down my top hat,
    Mussing up my white tie, dancing in my tails.

  40. MD says:

    How many Palinastas were arrested in Oakland?

  41. MD says:

    The msm set a low bar for Palin and she managed to crawl under it.

  42. mnw says:

    Au contraire, MD.

    Killing time before I leave for a close friend’s funeral service.

    Don’t you like Irving Berlin? You probably prefer Ernest Tubbs, I expect.

  43. MD says:

    Sorry for your loss MNW.

  44. bio mom says:

    Polls that show the biggest leads were done 27-29. The ppp and iA polls were only on 29. Could be a little move to Gingrich, but only a little. There was a Reuters/Ipsos out yesterday too showing Romney improving to +12 and that one showed improvement from +11 the previous day (it is a 3-day rolling average). I don’t understand why Romney didn’t go on the Sunday talk shows. Big mouth Gingrich was on two of them. He knows how to play the press. A shrewd but very disgusting person.

  45. mnw says:

    He was the most physically fit person I’ve ever known. Had his body fat down to .0001, or some such. Heart attack. 51. Go figure.

  46. SUSYQUE says:

    Back Thugs attack cabbie, passenger.

    Is this what we will have to endure when ooo is voted OUT of office?

    http://www.philly.com/philly/news/20120130_Thugs_whup_up_on_cabbie__passenger.html

  47. SUSYQUE says:

    #48..0ops *Black

  48. Heebow says:

    Obama is the most polarizing President EVER

    For 2011, Obama’s third year in office, an average of 80 percent of Democrats approved of the job he was doing in Gallup tracking polls, as compared to 12 percent of Republicans who felt the same way. That’s a 68-point partisan gap, the highest for any president’s third year in office — ever. (The previous high was George W. Bush in 2007, when he had a 59 percent difference in job approval ratings.)

    via memorandum

  49. mnw says:

    I never met a |Republican who approved of zero. I guess they’re smart enough to keep it to themselves.

  50. FreeMarketEntrepreneursShouldBeExecutedGoNewtGoLetsHaveCommunismInTheUnitedStates says:

    I’m also wondering if FatToad is closing hopefullyy he gets wiped out tomorrow…

  51. FreeMarketEntrepreneursShouldBeExecutedGoNewtGoLetsHaveCommunismInTheUnitedStates says:

    If I’m part of the establishment I’d like to know where my whores are
    Don’t you get whores when you’re a member of the establishment?

  52. bio mom says:

    Most important: Ras has Obama 51/47 today. We must keep our eye on the ball. Romney is the only one with a prayer of beating this guy.

  53. mnw says:

    You can get all you want in |East St. Louis. I don’t think they care whether you’re a member of ANYTHING. Double bag it. There’s stuff out there now that laughs at penicillin, u know.

  54. Heebow says:

    add my sympathies for your loss mnw, Tim V.

  55. Tina says:

    It is the 9-9-9 plan

    9 whores

    9 months till election.

    9 percent in the polls against the Obumbler.

  56. mnw says:

    Thanx, guys. I really didn’t intend to solicit condolences. Death happens. We’re all in line, you know.

  57. SUSYQUE says:

    #53….disgusting!

  58. Tina says:

    Republicans that approve of the Obumbler:

    Scarfarce

    ??? aka Chek

    The NY con.

    All “Rs” – all the time.

  59. SoHope says:

    How can I be establishment? I have never eaten capers or caviar and nobody has ever paid me 1.6 million for access to Washington.

    However I look fine in a tux, top hat and monicle.

  60. notgingrich says:

    should have put numbers (I’m new to this):

    Obama 49 Romney 41
    Obama 52 Romney 35

    It will obviously not be a blow out like this, but either way, Romney does 9 points (!) better than Gingrich.

  61. mnw says:

    Christopher Buckley, Wm Buckley’s kid, endorsed zero in ’08. He’s a Republican. I don’t know if he still approves of zero, tho.

  62. SoHope says:

    Rep West knew his district would have to get more unfriendly b/c or the law. Why didn’t he run for senate?

  63. mnw says:

    nt & guess who’s frist|?

  64. Annie says:

    I have this feeling that the evangelical vote will go to Santorum, rather than Gingrich, in Florida. From the postings I’ve been reading on their sites (I check everything out to get ideas about where things are going). Who could blame them? That said, I think Romney has Florida.

  65. SoHope says:

    I guess he is hoping for a Rubio vacancy or a future run for Gov

  66. Annie says:

    If Romney is down in national polling against Obama (and I’ve seen him two points up), it’s because of all the negative ads and talk Gingrich is throwing at him. I am hopeful that Gingrich – once he loses – will shut his yap and let us all get on with the business of winning a general election. Notice how all Gingrich does is call Romney names? Now, that is a desperate candidate.

  67. Tim says:

    #65:
    He could not possibly win that race, right now.

  68. mnw says:

    nt means “new thread”

  69. Annie says:

    I am wondering what Gingrich offered Herman Cain to get his endorsement. Didn’t Herman keep saying that we need a person of business who has not been a part of Washington when he was in the mix? Was is an offer of a Cabinet post? 999? Something doesn’t smell right…maybe he offered to set him up on a date?

  70. Scott says:

    #63-not gingrich
    In December,NBC/Marist had it Obama 48%/Romney 41%,so no real change.The Obama/Gingrich polling has also remained stable between December and January.

    #54-bio mom
    Ras polling on Obama’s approval/ disapproval has been very erratic the last few months.Nothing happened over the weekend to give Obama a five(5) point spike up.It’s just bad polling and Ras’ attempt to do agenda polling.Over the past three days,Ras has Obama’s approval at:
    Friday- 48.5%
    Sat.- 52%
    Sun.- 53%
    On Friday,Gallup had Obama’s approval at about 50% for the one day and on Saturday about 44%.

  71. Cowboy Poet says:

    The GOP’s liberal bent
    is in those who lead we assume
    from a DC smoke-filled room,
    The GOP’s establishment

    Who is the establishment?
    Now that Newt is on the out
    With Mitt heading toward a rout
    Am I the establishment?

    Which one has the liberal bent?
    Newt’s the one whose put in time
    and is covered now with DC slime
    But is Newt establishment?

    No, Romney it seems has the scent,
    of DC stench that won’t relent–
    a Mormon too who won’t repent,
    so I am now the establishment!

    –This poem was paid for by the US taxpayer through generous legislation passed by Harry Reid. Thank you.

  72. Annie says:

    mnw – Have you been watching “Young Frankenstein”?

  73. Hugh says:

    The GOP primary freak show is killing our party. If this drags on too much longer we will pull defeat from the jaws of victory. if mitt wins by double digits its time for the others to drop out.

  74. Chekote says:

    The GOP needs to sort itself out or it can’t govern. What the hell have Boehner and Company achieved? They could not even keep their promise to “read the bill”.