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Romney Surges Ahead in OH, Surges in GA Too

I see the self-proclaimed “conservative” candidates are still going to the class warfare well. Rick Santorum is now making fun of the number of homes Mitt Romney supposedly owns and Newt Gingrich is claiming Romney doesn’t understand high gas prices because he is “rich enough”….

You know, there once was a time when I thought being a fiscal conservative and Republican meant you celebrated success, but not with the latest band of self-proclaimed conservatives apparently. Apparently now celebrating success is just another one of those things that makes you a RINO….

Either American Research Group is going to look like fools or look like a genius tomorrow of their latest poll of the race in Ohio is to be believed.

PRESIDENT – OHIO – GOP PRIMARY (ARG)
Mitt Romney 35%
Rick Santorum 28%
Newt Gingrich 18%
Ron Paul 13%

This poll was done March 3-4 among 600 likely voters. Meanwhile, Scott Rasmussen is showing a much closer race in Georgia than we have seen recently as Romney has closed the gap to 10%.

PRESIDENT – GEORGIA – GOP PRIMARY (Rasmussen)
Newt Gingrich 37%
Mitt Romney 27%
Rick Santorum 18%
Ron Paul 10%

This poll was done March 4th among 750 likely primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 12:54 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (266)

266 Responses to “Romney Surges Ahead in OH, Surges in GA Too”

  1. Tim V says:

    thread rules: I pass that priveledge to sohope

  2. Phil says:

    I don’t buy the ARG numbers on Ohio although I’m predicting Romney wins by a couple of points.

  3. jason says:

    Romney is at 80% Ohio on Intrade. Anybody believing the Suffolk poll can make money.

  4. pitchaboy says:

    Recommend Robbie and the Dingle guy to take a look at RAS and Gallup; their guy crashing back to 45%, which is his spot. The rest is statistical noise. Get ready for a walloping.

  5. RoboRobbie says:

    Obama will win. Everyone hates Romney. I read it on a blog.

  6. SoHope says:

    I am honored…

    THREAD RULE: First post must me a senario were Santorum becomes POTUS (the more outrageous the better).

    I will start:

    The Gabriel hold the sheet music upside down and plays his trumpet incorrectly…all the wicked democrats and elitist, establishment RINOs disappear. SANTORUM WINS IN A LANDSLIDE!!!

  7. ParakeetsRejoicingInAnotherMittVictory says:

    If the anti-Mitt psychopaths get over it relatively quickly we will beat Obama in November

  8. ParakeetsRejoicingInAnotherMittVictory says:

    Santorum becomes POTUS:

    A video is found of Mitt at a KKK meeting; another video is found of Obama napalming nuns; Newt ditches Callista for his fourth wife, Rush Limbaugh, as they both tearfully admit they’re gay; Ron Paul is discovered to be a serial killer and Santorum goes the rest of the campaign without making any more gaffes

  9. RoboRobbie says:

    ” Vote Santorum tomorrow in all states, or have either Obama re-elected or his clone (Mitt) elected.

    Either way, all of us lose”

    Santorum can’t win, so I will take my chances on Romney. Thanks.

    ps: Voter Santorum in all states? How many states did Acorn sign you up in?

  10. ParakeetsRejoicingInAnotherMittVictory says:

    How ridiculous!

    Santorum going the rest of the campaign without making any more gaffes!!

    lolololololol

  11. SUSYQUE says:

    Rush after spending over an hour explaining his
    apology to the loosy-goosy (my words) woman, is now trying to diss Romney on something he wrote in 2009 about national mandates. Not a wise move in my opinion. Romney in 2012 said he would repeal obama care. Go after 000…not the GOP at this point.

  12. SoHope says:

    #11…beat me to it.

  13. Phil says:

    Rush is a lost cause these days.

    Obama has to love him.

  14. ParakeetsRejoicingInAnotherMittVictory says:

    Rush is totally clueless now

    Even a small child can see that Mitt will be the nominee now

    Why do people like him wait until its too late to shiv someone?

    People wanting to take Mitt out should have had a plan 12-18 months ago

    Everything that has happened has been easily predictable (Mitt splits conservatives runs right up the middle and wins) and I predicted just this scenario over a year ago on this site

    If I can see it why can’t these political geniuses see it?

  15. RoboRobbie says:

    Scenario where Santorum could win:

    Santorum found to be born of a virgin mother.

    Romney used live babies as bait for big game fishing off the African coast.

    Messiah video with Mongolian Wild Ass (male) ruled genuine by Smithsonian.

  16. hugh says:

    Too bad about Rush. He did a lot for conservatives in the 80s and 90s. I just dont understand what has happened to him. He is intolerable to listen to anymore.

  17. ParakeetsRejoicingInAnotherMittVictory says:

    He has so much money and so much fame he is isolated

    I’m sure people buy groceries for him, run errands for him, he doesn’t even know any middle class people and his underlying egomania speaks of a colossal narcissism which doesn’t lead to self reflection

    In a bubble and clueless

    It is what it is let him take the consequences

  18. Waingro says:

    So now Barry wants to prevent the troops from being able to listen to Rush. I’m by no means defending Rush in all of this, but this would be despicable.

    https://wwws.whitehouse.gov/petitions/!/petition/sec-panetta-get-rush-limbaugh-armed-forces-radio-now-no-tax-money-abusive-divisive-insulting/p439GWMm?utm_source=wh.gov&utm_medium=shorturl&utm_campaign=shorturl

  19. Phil says:

    Used to hate listening to Hannity spew the same stuff over and over. I still do. Now I can’t stand what Rush is throwing out there.

    Hell, even Michael Savage understands the need to rally around Romney as the best hope to get rid of Obama.

  20. SoHope says:

    Obama: Relief from high gas prices is just 13 short years away

    http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=49983

  21. Bitterlaw says:

    DW – I read your post on how the US will break up. You seem high on a successful South. I don’t know. When I think success, Mississippi, Alabama and Appalachia don’t come to mind.

  22. ParakeetsRejoicingInAnotherMittVictory says:

    We gots the oil and gas, Bitterlaw

    Texas, Louisiana, Oklahoma

    Where do you think your gasoline comes from?

    Drilled off the coast of LA and TX and refined here as well

    Combine that with control of the Mississippi River and we be gangsta

  23. jason says:

    Keep Wobbie Troll on suicide watch. R voters don’t want no brokered convention and they don’t want Jeb Open Borders Bush.

    “After a good February for each of them, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum head into Super Tuesday essentially tied in The Washington Times/JZ Analytics’ poll of Republican primary voters nationwide, which also found little appetite for the GOP to wait until a convention to settle matters.

    Only slightly more than a quarter of voters said they want to see a brokered convention, while nearly twice that many said they are satisfied with the choices presented to them this year.

    There is no magic bullet candidate that could change the face of the race: Even given new choices such as New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin or former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, a plurality of voters still sticks with Mr. Romney.”

  24. SoHope says:

    I think in DW’s model, TX was taken over by Mexico and therefore not part of the New Confederacy

  25. ParakeetsRejoicingInAnotherMittVictory says:

    Texas is not going to go over to Mexico

    Oklahoma, Texas, Louisiana unite

    Oklatex

    Our new sovereign independent southern nation

  26. ParakeetsRejoicingInAnotherMittVictory says:

    Our motto:

    Leave us alone goddammit!

  27. SoHope says:

    OK & TX…college football alone would deem that impossible.

  28. ParakeetsRejoicingInAnotherMittVictory says:

    Well, we would have an interesting football conference to be sure:

    LSU
    Texas
    Texas A&M
    Oklahoma
    Oklahoma St

  29. janz says:

    AOL is now the eighth advertiser to drop Limbaugh. He is in a world of hurt because of his mouth.

    While I dislike Limbaugh, he does serve a purpose as a counter movement to the left. He needs to moderate himself, though, as he is becoming more of a parody of an undisciplined, foolish man than someone who is a respected messenger of the right.

  30. Ray Tuleya says:

    My heart is with Santorum, but he is not ready for this fall’s campaign against Obama. He said himself on Sunday that Ron Paul and Mitt Romney have advantages of having run 4 years ago. I think President Obama might have those same advantages.

    I would love to have Santorum as the VP and Gingrich as the HHS secretary. I just hope they don’t get desperate after Super Tuesday and try to re-elect the President.

  31. david says:

    #20, Phil…Of all the am talkers….I always liked Michael Savage the best. He is very sensible.

  32. Barrett says:

    we’re bleeding polls today!

  33. ParakeetsRejoicingInAnotherMittVictory says:

    Let Limbaugh take the consequences

    He needs a little humility

  34. SoHope says:

    UNC-dook averages 3.1 overnight – highest overnight rating for ESPN men’s hoops game since UNC-Duke on March 8, 2008

  35. SUSYQUE says:

    Huckabee: GOP Starting to Unite Behind Romney

    Huckabee, speaking on Fox News this morning, says Romney’s momentum in Ohioshows the growing sense of GOP consolidation behind him:
    The momentum is with Romney. Rick Santorum has a very solid level of support there, so it could go either way.
    But if the trend continues over the weekend that we’ve started to see with Romney, sort of, bringing people together as people are saying “Okay, look, if he’s going to win, let’s go ahead and get behind him.”
    That’s what I think is starting to happen.

    http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/03/huckabee-gop-starting-to-unite-behind-romney-116424.html

  36. janz says:

    The last poll I can find on OK was by Rasmussen, done on 2/21, where Santo was up by 21 pts. I wonder why there haven’t been any follow-ups since then, as circumstances havd completely changed since then????

  37. DW says:

    22….you may have a point, although West Germany had to absorb East Germany and make it successful. But I have driven through the parts of the country you speak of…I recall near the border of OH and WV and KY…I think I was driving over a mountain on the OH side of the border at the time…but I saw a trailer sitting there in which people were living…and it was listing slightly to one side, but it was angled lengthwise down the slope of the mountain, at what looked like a 25 degree angle. What a life.

  38. ParakeetsRejoicingInAnotherMittVictory says:

    Usually the big movement in a race is the weekend before, accelerating into Tuesday

    My guess is Santorum’s support is collapsing across the board as we speak…

  39. jason says:

    Huckabee? Another RINO

  40. Ray Tuleya says:

    I am listening to Rush right now as I do almost every morning (PST). It has been hard to do when he gets into his anti-Romney rants. Heck, one benefit of his attack on the Democrat trick was keeping him focused on the dangerous Obama statist agenda.

    However, the worst part of Rush’s focus was his giving this trick credibility. Additionally, Rush rightly has been, and will continue to be, one of the most important figures in Conservative politics. AM radio still exists because of Rush Limbaugh.

  41. Scott says:

    Obama has crashed in today’s daily tracking poll. He lost three(3) on his overnight approval rating,from 48% down to 45% and gained two(2) on his disapproval rating,from 46% to 48%.

    The GOP numbers among ALL candidates showed NO changes to any of them.

  42. EML says:

    TN Birthers:
    Santorum 35%
    Gingrich 32%
    Romney 24%

    TN non-birthers:
    Santorum 34%
    Romney 33%

    The crazies are taking over the party

  43. Scott says:

    As said this morning,Rush has been a conservative crusader for over 20 years.That said,let’s all give him the respect he has earned and some support and slack on his recent transgression.Thanks.

  44. Scott says:

    #42 should be the Gallup daily tracking poll.Sorry

  45. SUSYQUE says:

    Rush could turn his misfortune around by getting behind Mitt after Tuesday. It shouldn’t be a problem, he used to support Romney in 2008. He would be showing a little leadership and not wait for
    Paline to finally throw the towel in and face reality. Same goes for
    Hannity, Levin, et al…

  46. Waingro says:

    I think if Mitt wins Ohio, Rush et. al. will slowly but surely start to get behind Mitt.

  47. Waingro says:

    Bad news for Robbie:

    “POLL: Romney better choice to beat Obama than Palin, Christie or Jeb Bush…”

    http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/mar/4/romney-santorum-all-tied-up/

  48. Ray Tuleya says:

    Rush was never in favor of Mitt in 2008. That was one reason Huckabee lasted longer against McCain.

  49. SUSYQUE says:

    The need for jobs is trumping social values…That is what Mitt has to offer states like OK, because they are hurting, too. Santorium does not have that business acumen.

  50. pitchaboy says:

    Scott, Obama’s reelect number is 45 or so. There will be a lot of statistical noise until November but I dont see how he goes over 48.

  51. Bitterlaw says:

    PA has Marcellus shale and coal. We don’t need the Republic of MFG.

  52. SUSYQUE says:

    #49…Check the date on this post.
    Rush Limbaugh *endorses Mitt Romney
    POSTED AT 2:03 PM ON FEBRUARY 5, 2008 BY BRYAN

    Levin, Hannity, Ingraham and now Nobel nominee Rush Limbaugh (membership req’d): Big talk radio swings unanimously for Mitt Romney. Rush makes several solid points that you’ve heard before, mostly regarding how McCain represents the GOP’s national security wing, Huckabee represents its social conservative wing, and Ron Paul represents the economic conservative wing, but Romney is the one candidate who represents all three by himself. Romney is a late convert to all three, which as I wrote the other day explains why conservatives have taken so long to warm up to him.

  53. Scott says:

    #51-PITCHERBOY
    Thanks for the info. How do you arrive at the 45% figure? Just curious.

  54. Annie says:

    I had Rush on my car radio as I was driving to the next town – Had to turn him off, since he started bantering about Romney wanting aspects of Massachusetts health care in Obamacare. That is what Santorum is trying to use against Romney. Forget that Romney has stated time after time that what works for Massachusetts is not right nationally, that each state has the right constitutionally to do legislatively what the federal government cannot, and primarily, that the first thing he’d do as president is get rid of Obamacare. Obviously, Rush is trying to make a last ditch pitch to save Santorum’s butt before voting begins tomorrow. I am also peeved at Rush for being so dumb as to fall into Pelosi’s trap concerning “women’s health.” He should know better than to ever call a female the names he did – and he should have kept the discussion on terms of the constitutionality of mandating religious organizations to provide services that go against their religious precepts. Rush is simply getting demented during this election cycle – I think he’ll be losing listeners if he keeps on dissing the GOP’s most likely nominee.

  55. jenny-not a republican anymore says:

    i can’t listen to rush anymore. he’s a nut! lately, hannity has been less biases. i guess he can see the writing on the wall.

  56. bio mom says:

    fivethirtyeight: RT @MRG_Polling: @fivethirtyeight Ohio GOP, Sunday Night: Romney 38% / Santorum 33% / Gingrich 18% / Paul 8%. Full details later Monday …

  57. bio mom says:

    Actually Gingrich fell by 2 in the gallup tracker. Romney still up over Santorum by 16.

  58. Ray Tuleya says:

    #53, you are partially correct. I chose my words wrong. Despite what this headline says, Rush and Levin never endorsed Romney. The article shows him saying positive things for Romney, some of which he has said this election cycle too.

    Romney was my favorite candidate in 2008, especially because our economy would never have dropped to these depths if he had been elected. I favored him by the Iowa causas that time. This time, I did not make up my mind for him until the week before the South Carolina primary. In 2008, I would have loved Rush to have endorsed Romney instead of just being anti-McCain.

  59. pitchaboy says:

    Scott, over the last year he has consistently danced around 45. He goes up to 50, falls back to 45 or goes down to 40 and comes back up to 45. If he has a better turnoiut than the dems did in 2010, I can see him going up to 48; however, I dont see how he gets to 50 unless we nominate a loser, which is not going to happen.The dems are fully aware that he is losing the suburbia and likely will lose white women vote. This is why they are making a big deal of contraception. However, must suburban women love Romney and that leads to the unions turning out for Santorum. I think he can only cook the labor numbers so much; this economy is not going to go gangbusters. His only hope is a big foreign policy victory close to election. He will be wishing Osama does an Elvis and is seen again in Pakistan.

  60. SUSYQUE says:

    This would be fun to know: Which of the Talk Show Hosts mentioned in #53 will drop their support of Sentorum/Newt and get behind Mitt Romney and our nominee?

  61. bio mom says:

    Santorum saying he has had to tap into his kids’ college fund for his campaign. I cannot understand what he thinks saying that will get for him at this point. Maybe some superpac billionaire will contribute more or people who support him will fork over more but really, how pathetic is this!! How does anyone take him seriously as a presidential candidate. My response is, if things are that bad I think you should leave the race. But he says he is doing it for America. I don’t know whether to laugh or cry.

  62. Scott says:

    #58-bio mom
    You are correct.Also,Paul gained two(2).

  63. Scott says:

    #60-pitcherboy
    Thank you for an excellent analysis.

  64. SUSYQUE says:

    #62…bio mom…Why would anyone mention they have to tap into their kid’s college fund…he want sympathy….in the form of donations. This is the part of him I do not appreciate.

  65. SUSYQUE says:

    Here comes Hannity…. we will see what he will say today.

  66. DrJay says:

    I posted these in the wrong thread…

    re a comment earlier about WeAskAmerica…

    ARG has them as most accurate on the primaries in aggregate (number of polls in paren):

    WAA (5) 0.17
    ARG (6) 0.19
    Rasmussen (6) 0.19
    NBC/Marist (6) 0.22
    PPP (10) 0.24
    CNN/Time (4) 0.46

    They also nailed the house races in 2010.

    Also,

    Happy bithday to Tim Holden and the retiring Todd platts (age 50… must be nice).

  67. marc says:

    In my opinion Rush is justly getting what he deserves.

  68. bio mom says:

    When Elizabeth Edwards said that despite her cancer she wanted John to run for president because the country needed him, I felt it was kind of creepy. I am having that feeling about Santorum and his wife when he says he is depleting his college funds because the country needs him to run for president and when his wife said in a recent interview that it was God’s will that he run. I don’t mean to equate Edwards with Santorum in any way, do not misunderstandl. But I get the same uncomfortable feeling. Sort of Obama-like, running as the country’s savior. I just want a COMPETENT PRESIDENT. Go Mitt.

  69. DrJay says:

    This is on Rasmussen right now:

    —————————-
    Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 44%, Democrats 41%

    Republicans hold a four-point lead over Democrats on the latest Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, Feb. 26.

    —————————–

    read carefully….

  70. pitchaboy says:

    If any of you watched Huckabee yesterday ther was an interesting answer Romney gave abuot balanced budgets. He does not expect to have on until the end of his second term. In other words, he is expecting deficits for his first term and adding to debt. Practically speaking it makes sense as you cannot dratically cut entitlements and expect either the country or the President to survive that. If he can cut down the deficits to the billions and not trillions and show a path to balancing the budget over the next five or so years, he is doing good.

  71. Parakeet Devouring Cat says:

    I’m hungry

  72. DrJay says:

    hopefully it is something like 44.4-40.6, and that’s what he means…

  73. Apologetic California says:

    #70, They mean three points

  74. bio mom says:

    Romney superpac buying time in Illinois and Missouri. Already up in Mississippi and Alabama.

  75. Parakeet Devouring Cat says:

    I don’t want me no mormon

    but I love eating parakeets

  76. Barrett says:

    #67..platts is retiring? He was my congressman for 5 years while I was in school. I’m one district away from him (living in MD)

  77. Barrett says:

    Also, one of my college professors ran against him. The professor was a bit of a jerk

  78. Cory says:

    #73
    Rounded numbers? Never heard of them.

  79. EML says:

    PPP:
    Full Maine Senate poll in the morning. Could be a pretty fascinating race

    51% of King voters want him to caucus with Dems, 25% with GOP. He may need to pledge to that to hold early support

    King gets 35% of Dems, 25% of GOP, 53% of independents in 3 way with Pingree and Summers

  80. Rick Perry's Pair-of-Cleats says:

    STOMP!!

    I never liked that !@#$ parakeet…

  81. EML says:

    Unlike being an “independent” running for governor, as a Senate, you have to caucus with somebody. King will caucus with the Democrats and as soon as he announces that, his GOP-leaning supporters will drop him and we’ll end up with King and Pingree splitting votes. Basically the same thing that happened with LePage/Cutler/Mitchell.

  82. Waingro says:

    #80, sounds like PPP is saying they will have him ahead.

  83. Rick Perry's Pair-of-Cleats says:

    I never saw the posts about the 101% thing, Cory. Is that what you are alluding at? Of course, a three way race can round to 101%… so if that is what you were saying, then I’m behind you 101%.

    33.6+33.6+32.8=100%

    34+34+33=101%

  84. DrJay says:

    Oh, Pair-of-Cleats was me.

  85. Waingro says:

    #82, does he have to declare that though during the campaign? I imagine he will just keep this murky if at all possible.

  86. Ben Romney says:

    Obama Approval:

    50-45

    In a hypothetical general-election contest, he leads Romney by six points, 50 to 44 percent, winning independents (46-39 percent), women (55-37 percent) and those in the Midwest (52-42 percent).

    Obama enjoys bigger leads over Paul (50 to 42 percent), Santorum (53 to 39 percent) and Gingrich (54 to 37 percent).

    Bolstering Obama’s standing is increased optimism about the state of the U.S. economy.

    Forty percent believe the economy will improve during the next year, a three-point increase from January. And looking back at the economic recession, 57 percent say that the worst is behind us, while 36 percent say the worst is still to come.

    And it’s been damaging for Romney, too. In January’s NBC/WSJ poll, Romney’s favorable/unfavorable rating stood at 31 percent to 36 percent among all respondents (and 22/42 percent among independents).

    But in this latest survey, it’s now 28 percent favorable and 39 percent unfavorable (and 22/38 percent among independents).

    In fact, Romney’s image right now is worse than almost all other recent candidates who went on to win their party’s presidential nomination: Obama’s favorable/unfavorable ratio was 51/28 percent and John McCain’s was 47/27, in the March 2008 NBC/WSJ poll; John Kerry was at 42/30 at this point in 2004; George W. Bush was 43/32 in 2000; and Bob Dole was 35/39 in March 1996.

    The one exception: Bill Clinton, in April 1992, was at 32/43 percent.

    http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/03/04/10578249-nbcwsj-poll-primary-season-takes-corrosive-toll-on-gop-and-its-candidates

  87. Barrett says:

    #84 – I’m pretty sure you just owned Cory

  88. Ben Romney says:

    Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum (37 percent) leads former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (33 percent) by a narrow margin, according to a Suffolk University poll of likely Republican Primary voters in Ohio. Newt Gingrich (16 percent) was a distant third, and Ron Paul struggled (8 percent) in single digits with 6 percent undecided. The race is too close to call, as the top two candidates are within the statistical margin of error.

    The statewide survey of 500 likely Ohio Republican Primary voters was conducted March 3-4, 2012, using live telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. All respondents indicated that they were “very likely” to vote in Tuesday’s Republican Primary or had “already voted.” The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data will be posted at noon on Monday, March 5, 2012, on the Suffolk University Political Research Center Web site. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310.

    http://www.suffolk.edu/offices/50649.html

  89. GF says:

    86- The only way a Senator can get away with not caucusing is if they are a loser interim appointed Senator like Dean Barkley from MN (who ran on in “Independence” line against Mondull and Coleman; the sole purpose of the “Independence” party being, of course, to sap away anti-Democratic votes to make sure that they don’t go to a Republican e.g. 2008 Senate or 2010 governor).

    I still think King would walk away with it, but if a decent Republican can get in before the deadline (like Kevin Raye, David Emery or Cianchette), and press King on the caucus issue, it’s possible that a GOPer could win with 36-38%. The possibility remains that the Dems may cut support for their candidate if they decide the only way to come out ahead is to tactly back King a la Crist vs. Rubio. The only problem is that Pingree is a heroine of the Left, and the nut-roots would go completely nuts (more so than they already do) if the DSCC pulled a FL trick up in ME.

  90. Barrett says:

    #89 – The only criticism I have of that poll is that it’s sample size is smaller than other recent Ohio polls (which ranged from 660 LV to 820 LV).

    But that’s really not a fair criticism on my part. 500 likely voters is more than satisfactory. It’ll be a nail biter, as someone else here stated

  91. Ben Romney says:

    47% Newt
    21% Romney
    18% Santorum
    6% Paul
    1% Others
    7% Undecided

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/InsiderAdvantage_GA_0304.pdf

  92. Cory says:

    #88
    I don’t think you’re understanding what DrJay is saying, Barret.

  93. Barrett says:

    Whatever you say, Kory101

  94. bio mom says:

    20% in Georgia gets you delegates.

  95. GF says:

    A gem hidden in today’s WSJ;

    Quote of the Day

    President Barack Obama has a bleak message for House and Senate Democrats this year when it comes to campaign cash: You’re on your own.

    Democratic congressional leaders, including Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, have privately sought as much as $30 million combined from Obama for America and the Democratic National Committee — a replay of the financial help they received from Obama in 2008 and 2010.

    But that’s not going to happen, top Obama aides Jim Messina and David Plouffe told Reid and Pelosi in back-to-back meetings on Capitol Hill on Thursday, according to sources familiar with the high-level talks. It was a stark admission from a presidential campaign once expected to rake in as much as $1 billion of just how closely it is watching its own bottom line. — John Bresnahan writing at politico.com on March 5.

  96. ParakeetsForTheSecondAmendmentory says:

    You trying to fuqq with me, Tim V?

    Are you?

    well, let me introduce you to my little friend

    BLAM! BLAM!! BLAMM BLAMM BLAMM!!!

  97. pitchaboy says:

    I think the NBC/WSJ poll is not worth discussing as the sample was so distorted towards Obama. It is a classic agenda poll.

  98. GF says:

    Also, an update from MA; Scott Brown is looking stronger thanks to Ms. Warren’s expose;

    Elizabeth Warren Gets Blunt

    Massachusetts Senate candidate Elizabeth Warren has been running ads blasting the failed Republican-backed Blunt amendment, which would have allowed employers to deny coverage of certain health-care services like contraception on moral grounds. The Blunt amendment, she declares in one ad, “threatens women’s access to contraception, mammograms, even maternity care.” Her opponent, Republican Sen. Scott Brown, can only hope that she keeps these ads rolling all the way through the election because they’re not working. In fact, they may be bolstering the senator’s critique of the Harvard law professor as a radical left-winger.

    Three polls within the last week show Mr. Brown leading Ms. Warren by five to ten points. A month ago Ms. Warren held a three-point lead. The senator’s campaign manager, Jim Barrett, attributes the shift in numbers to Ms. Warren’s new “culture warrior” stance. “She has loudly opposed bipartisan legislation” like the Blunt amendment, says Mr. Barrett. “This set her apart from Senate centrists in both parties who stood against this assault on religious freedom, including Democrats Joe Manchin, Bob Casey, Ben Nelson and Republicans Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski and Scott Brown.”

    The Republican’s strategy is to present himself as the moderate in the race. Insofar that his vote for the Blunt amendment supports that narrative, making a campaign issue out of it might help him. Which explains why he’s been running a radio spot that says, “like Ted Kennedy before me, I support a conscience exemption in health care for Catholics and other people of faith.”

    While Ms. Warren’s ads may resonate with liberals, they don’t seem to be swaying the independents who make up more than half of the Massachusetts electorate and were critical to Mr. Brown’s victory in the 2010 special election. According to a new Western New England University Polling Institute survey, independents favor Mr. Brown by a 30-point margin. And although the senator trails Ms. Warren by four points among women, half of women think he’s doing a good job compared to 28% who disapprove of him.

  99. SoHope says:

    But what if the 3 numbers that added up to 101% were your numbers?

  100. Phil says:

    Not that NBC poll again.

    It’s trash.

    D+8. Also, adults, not even registered voters.

    Burn it.

  101. SoHope says:

    Ben Romney you still post @ bjg?

  102. Brandon says:

    New CNN OHIO POLL

    Romney: 32%
    Santorum: 32%

  103. Tina says:

    Do any Republicans or conservatives actually work for NBC? We know where Brian Williams, David Gregory, Joe Scarfarce, etc. are coming from.

  104. ParakeetsForTheSecondAmendment says:

    Parakeet Polling
    Ohio Republican Primary 2012

    Romney 37%
    Pope Ricky 30%
    FatToad 18%
    Grandpa Crazytown 10%
    Undecided 6%

    Note: Numbers may not equal 100% due to Canadian rounding

  105. Tina says:

    We need to stick up for Rush, never leave yoour person on the battlefield. The liberals never apologize and Bill Maher or whatever his name is has said the same things and just gave the Obumbler a $1 million. The Obumbler called the person who Rush blasted and got involved politically in it. Now, has the Obumbler ever called Palin, Bachman, Ingram, etc.? No.

    Will the Obumbler give back the $1,000,000?

    Seriously, do I even need to ask these questions?

  106. bio mom says:

    Also from poll in #98.
    Of those who had made up their mind in the past few days, 43 percent opted for Romney and 28 percent chose Santorum, according to Merriman. Gingrich got 13 percent of those voters and Paul picked up the backing of 17 percent.

    that is the exact opposite claimed in that Suffolk poll and lines up with what 538 has tweeted about their upcoming Ohio poll. Suffolk seems like an outlier poll.

  107. Tina says:

    Good that Scott Brown is retaining his lead and should win reelection. The Drats think they own that seat.

  108. Tina says:

    I still think that my source is correct- Romney wins by 3.

  109. Tina says:

    (re Ohio)

  110. Apologetic California says:

    “The one exception: Bill Clinton, in April 1992, was at 32/43 percent.”

    Kinda important of an exception there.

  111. Eiffel Tower 4 Liberty says:

    Brown is a RINO. He needs to go.

  112. DW says:

    Paladin/CFP

    Ohio

    Romney 40%
    Santorum 34%
    Gingrich 13%
    Paul 9%

  113. ParakeetsForTheSecondAmendment says:

    Mitt should win OH maybe even TN

  114. ParakeetsForTheSecondAmendment says:

    If Santorum loses OH by three will that be another “tie”?

  115. Barrett says:

    #105 – CNN Poll shows Romney collapsing, Santorum gaining momentum.

    CNN reports that republican party is splitting.

    Breaking news out of washington DC, Barack Obama is projected to win the presidency in November.

    CNN – This just in – An early inauguration ceremony for president re-elect Barack Obama is scheduled for Tuesday, March 6th.

  116. bio mom says:

    116: Very interesting!! Santorum really is a phoney, I agree with Ron Paul about that.

  117. ParakeetsForTheSecondAmendment says:

    The man makes $75,000 a month and can’t tithe

    And he’s running out of money

    Okey dokey…

  118. ParakeetsForTheSecondAmendment says:

    Something to make all you Mitt haters maybe a bit happier:

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/animals/happiest-animals-in-the-world

  119. SUSYQUE says:

    Ohio’s Super Tuesday primary is a dead heat between GOP presidential candidates Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, according to a CNN/ORC International Poll.

    Strong support among Catholic voters in Ohio appears to be one reason why Romney has gained on Santorum. Among Ohio Catholics who are likely to vote, the poll says 39% back Romney and 33% support Santorum.

    Contests in 10 states on Tuesday will decide how more than 400 delegates get allocated. In Georgia, the poll indicates Newt Gingrich is enjoying home-state advantage, with a 23-point lead over Romney.

    On Super Tuesday, go to CNNPolitics.com and CNN’s mobile apps at noon ET for the CNN Election Roundtable, a live video chat hosted by Wolf Blitzer. Tune in to CNN TV later for live coverage of the primaries, and follow real-time results on CNNPolitics.com, on the CNN apps and on the CNN mobile website.

  120. SUSYQUE says:

    Romney Still Reaping Dividends From Weak Field of Rivals

    In a year in which the Republican Party’s proportional delegate allocation rules have ruled out a quick end to the presidential race, it isn’t possible for any candidate to use this week’s Super Tuesday primaries to lock up the GOP nomination. With new polls showing he has either caught or surpassed Rick Santorum in the crucialOhio and Tennessee primaries, Mitt Romney can take a crucial step toward the nomination in tomorrow’s 10-state showdown. If Romney wins in both of those states, that may mean Santorum could end the day without a single triumph to his name. With the fading Newt Gingrich ahead in his adopted home state ofGeorgia, a Super Tuesday shutout might be a telling blow to Santorum. By tomorrow night, Santorum’s February surge may well be replaced by a March collapse.

    http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/03/05/romney-weak-field-ohio-tennessee/

  121. SUSYQUE says:

    #110…Stop your cursing. Looks like a
    family gathering enjoying lunch together!

    I appreciated it!

  122. DrJay says:

    gallup

    “Mitt Romney’s lead over Rick Santorum in national Republican registered voters’ preferences has increased to 16 percentage points.

    Romney has now overtaken Santorum among conservatives and weekly churchgoers.”

    ——-

    I put this together:
    Romney versus “Santorum+Gingrich”

    Total: 36-39
    Women: 37-37
    Mod/Lib: 40-25
    East: 37-39
    Midwest: 36-36
    West: 42-36
    18-34: 33-29
    55+: 39-40

    Men: 34-40
    Conserv: 35-45
    South: 31-43
    35-54: 34-42

  123. janz says:

    #117 DW

    That Paladin poll on Ohio is the one I’ve been waiting for. IMO, they are one of the most accurate ones, as well as (ironically) PPP’s final polling data.

    Anyway, Paladin showing Romney ahead by +6 is gratifying. I wish this same polling site would do an update one on TN and OK.

  124. Tina says:

    Spendmorum could get shut out of any wins tomorrow, that is a real possibility.

  125. janz says:

    How many times has Rick Santorum been on the Hannity show? I don’t listen often, but it seems everytime I turn the dial there, it’s Santorum’s voice I hear. And, each time he sounds more desparate in dissing Romney, especially about HC, which seems to be his chosen ace in the hole argument against him.

  126. DrJay says:

    “SoHope says:
    March 5, 2012 at 4:02 pm

    But what if the 3 numbers that added up to 101% were your numbers?”

    Well, the probability of this happening is not as low as you might think, so I couldn’t fault him for that. In a three-way race with numbers given to a tenth and 0.5s rounded up, I’m thinking around 15% of the time.

  127. SUSYQUE says:

    Former Attorney General John Ashcroft Endorses Romney

    Former U.S. Attorney General John Ashcroft endorsed Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign Monday morning, according to a campaign release. “It is an honor to have the support of Attorney General Ashcroft,” Romney said in a statement. “After working with him on the 2002 Winter Olympics, I know that he is deeply committed to serving our country and protecting its citizens and I look forward to his counsel over the coming months.”

    Ashcroft served as attorney general in President George W. Bush’s administration.

  128. janz says:

    Santorum is depending on wins in OK and TN, with a good showing in ND, and is now saying Ohio is a tie, referencing Ohio last in his verbal analysis of Super Tuesday.

  129. SUSYQUE says:

    #132…janz…I had to laugh when I read the first line of your post because I thought the same thing when I turned on the radio to listen to Hannity and it was Newt…it’s a M-F event for Newt and Sentorum. Hannity is trying his best to be fair and balanced. More so than Rush. Rush was stumbling all over the place this morning to talk about Mitt and his health (old old news) mandate.
    Yikes!

  130. SoHope says:

    Why does Santorum still say his Dem supporters were Regan democrats? Why does he attract them to the polls with this type of Robocall:

    “Attention all Democrats: Gov. Rick Snyder just endorsed Mitt Romney, the same Mitt Romney who said [Romney: ‘let Detroit go bankrupt.’] Mitt Romney doesn’t care about Michigan. This Tuesday is our chance to send Romney and Gov. Snyder a message. So please, go vote on Tuesday for Rick Santorum in the Republican primary. Now voting for Rick Santorum on Tuesday DOES NOT MEAN YOU’RE BECOMING A REPUBLICAN. You’ll still be able to vote in the Michigan Democratic Party caucuses and to REELECT PRESIDENT OBAMA in November. This is our chance to SEND A MESSAGE to Gov. Rick Snyder and his buddy Mitt Romney, who wants to [Romney: ‘let Detriot go bankrupt.’] Remember: a vote for Rick Santorum is a VOTE TO EMBARASS Gov. Rick Snyder and Mitt Romney. Vote Santorum on Tuesday.”

  131. janz says:

    So much for Obama’s great recovery:

    Biggest drop in factory orders and shipments in more than a year

    Statistics like this should be lodged in every stump speech, underlining Obama’s poor management of the economy, while Obama continues to distract voters with contraceptive talking points.

  132. janz says:

    #136 susy

    Well it’s free publicity for both Newt and Santorum. And, apparently Hannity is glad to provide the microphone for their message (and Romney dissing).

  133. GF says:

    Off topic, but since it has come up many, many times over the years in dicussion on HHR boards, I wanted to put the claim that nixon lost to Pat brown in a landslide in 1962 to rest; it was a 46-51 loss against a popular incumbent who had romped to a 20 blowout against a sitting US Senate leader in 1958 (Bill Knowland).

    http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=1962&off=5&elect=0&fips=6&f=0

  134. Tina says:

    Janz you can see a lot of “misses” in the economic numbers recently. Good article though.

    However, on Friday, let’s see how far BLS goes to maninpulate the #s again.

  135. DrJay says:

    Wasserman is calling the new Texas map a 2-2 split.

    That actually puts Cook’s redistricting prediction currently to D-1 and R+1.

  136. SoHope says:

    This is my prediction of the poll of “Who do you think is worse at math?”

    Cory 73%
    Bunu 13%
    Wobbie 15%

    …why does my prediction add up to 101%…uhh, b/c of rounding…yeah that is why. I will even tell you my unrounded guess to prove it:

    Cory 72.6%
    Bunu 12.5%
    Wobbie 14.9%

    I call BS…they were your own numbers…rounding had no factor. You were to stubborn to admitt you screwed up.

  137. janz says:

    So true, Tina. Numbers under the obama administration must originate from Fantasy Island!

  138. Tina says:

    I also hear more and more reports of autos just piling up on dealer lots, excluding some electric vehicles.

  139. lisab says:

    gas prices are just killing many auto dealers

    it is tough to buy an SUV or pickup that costs $70 a week in gas

  140. GF says:

    Good news out fo ME with King in, and maybe some bigger GOP names after all;

    http://www.pressherald.com/news/King-has-made-up-his-mind-Pingree-hasnt.html

    Key Excerpts;

    Eliot Cutler is out, and backing King.
    Pingree is undecided for now.

    And for the Gop…

    Maine Attorney General William Schneider said in an email over the weekend that, “I understand the importance of discipline, hard work, and making the tough decisions that will help to get our economy back on track. After much reflection and encouragement, I have decided to seek the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate.”

    Among those Republicans also considering a Senate run: Maine Secretary of State Charles Summers; State Treasurer Bruce Poliquin; and ex-Maine Senate President Rick Bennett.

  141. janz says:

    When one views the economy with their own eyes they see empty store fronts, more “going out of business” signs, friends not getting jobs and the like. However, as Obama is in full campaign mode, none of this exists in his speeches dealing with “our recovery.”

    Obama’s words, though, can’t be trusted — especially when he addressed Israel’s concerns recently. Victor Davis Hansen has another piece concerning words vs actions towards Israel, pre and post the 2012 election.

    So too with Israel. Should Obama be reelected, it will be even bleaker for Israel, as Obama need not worry about the Jewish-American vote in key states or fundraising. He can revert to his natural sympathies with Israel’s Middle East neighbors. But this time that old disdain for Israel will be spiked by a certain pique that in extremis Obama had, in humiliating fashion, been forced to go through the motions of proclaiming his preference for Israel.

    Obama’s flip-flop flip

  142. janz says:

    I have to give Hannity some kudos now, as he is having a radio interview with Romney too. Romney gave a particularly cogent response to a question fielded to him about the difference between his support of his HC policy in MA vs him not supporting Obamacare.

  143. Bobby says:

    These Ohio polls look strangely similar to Michigan polls last week….hmmm.

  144. jason says:

    “‘ why does my prediction add up to 101%…uhh, b/c of rounding…”

    LOL

    He rounded up HIS OWN NUMBERS.

    He is so accurate he could not round any of them down so he would get to 100%.

    So he preferred a less accurate 101%.

  145. lisab says:

    stop … just stop …

    duh … he is using canadian math

    it’s metric or something

  146. Greymarch says:

    We need a Super Tuesday comments-predictions page!

  147. jason says:

    Re Israel:

    Obama threw Bunu under the bus…

  148. SUSYQUE says:

    #149…janz.. I agree. What Romney said, he has said often. Sentorum just thinks voters can’t really understand all this, and they care about healthcare, so I will keeping pounding on it. Romney sure gave a good solid response on Sentorum’s vulnerabilities. When Hannity asks Romney about what Sentorum told him he sounds like Sentorum’s intermediator. He doesn’t have to do that for Romney.

  149. Dingle-sux says:

    Hahaha. You morons. This election is already over. If you want to nominate a loser like Romney I can’t stop you. You will relive the election of 1856 when the very first RINO Fremont was nominated. Lololol.

  150. Scott says:

    #142- Dr.Jay
    My understanding of the new Texas redistricting plan which added four(4) new Congressional seats is;
    (1) On the new seats, it is 2 new R’s,1 new D and 1 toss-up.

    (2) The map does a good job in shoring-up “weak” Republican seats

    (3) Most importantly,it should knock out big mouth Lloyd Doggett forever!

  151. DW says:

    157…Texas turned out about as good as we could have hoped for after the original map was torched by the courts.

  152. lisab says:

    “Texas turned out about as good as we could have hoped for after the original map was torched by the courts.”

    you mean it is now part of mexico?

  153. SUSYQUE says:

    Tuesday’s GOP news will be interrupted by ooo’s
    speech of some sorts. This guy is 100% passive- aggressive!

  154. DrJay says:

    The judge in the Altmire-Critz case ruled in favor of Altmire

    Critz team: “We disagree with the judge’s decision and are currently exploring our legal options. It was clear from the beginning that the Altmire campaign violated the law in numerous instances and the fact that they withdrew approximately 400 signatures – nearly 25 percent of the total they submitted – demonstrates that our case is very strong.”

    Altmire: “By placing a higher value on his own political advancement than the rights of western Pennsylvania voters, Mark Critz wasted the time and resources of the Court and showed the true desperation of his campaign. His actions demonstrate an inexcusable lack of respect not only for the democratic process but also for the rights of ordinary citizens who wanted nothing more than to offer voters a choice on the ballot.”

    http://earlyreturns.sites.post-gazette.com/index.php/early-returns-20/53-post-gazette-staff/4102-altmire-survives-ballot-challenge

  155. DrJay says:

    “This guy is 100% passive- aggressive!”

    101% due to rounding!

  156. DrJay says:

    Federal judge says gun owners need not provide ‘good reason,’ rules Maryland law unconstitutional

    “A citizen may not be required to offer a ‘good and substantial reason’ why he should be permitted to exercise his rights,” Legg wrote. “The right’s existence is all the reason he needs.”

    Plaintiff Raymond Woollard obtained a handgun permit after fighting with an intruder in his Hampstead home in 2002, but was denied a renewal in 2009 because he could not show he had been subject to “threats occurring beyond his residence.”

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/03/05/federal-judge-rules-maryland-gun-permit-law-unconstitutional/

  157. Brandon says:

    Ann Romney: ‘I Don’t Even Consider Myself Wealthy’

  158. EML says:

    157 – no, it’s essentially a 2-2 map. Texas is now 23-9. Under the new map, it’s 24-11-1. The “1” is TX-23, which is currently held by Republican Quico Canseco. The district was made slightly more Republican. Republicans got a new district east of Texas, and Blake Farenthold’s TX-27 got split into a Safe R (27th) and a Safe D (34th).

  159. janz says:

    #165 It depends on how much emphasis and status people personally attribute to their money. Some people flaunt it, others just quietly accumulate assets, and live relative to who they are rather than how much money they have. It’s been written about in the book, “The Millionaire Next Door,” how unassuming many wealthy people are, and consequently they don’t exude any ‘feelings’ of being different or more wealthy than anyone else.

  160. Tim says:

    #165:
    Ha, ha, ha, ha!

  161. Brandon says:

    Newt on gas prices:

    “Romney may be rich enough that he doesnt realize how big a problem this is”

    Seriously, this passes for conservative these days???

  162. Tim says:

    #159:
    No, that would be as good as I could hope…..

  163. jason says:

    Don’t forget Ron Paul was never a Republican. Do we get that seat back?

  164. janz says:

    Here is a stellar Breitbart R.I.P. from the master wordsmith, Victor Davis Hanson.

    I found him on every occasion a candid, inquisitive, and serious everyman, who confessed that he was learning as he went along and was indebted to no special interests. In a world of big egos and tut-tut sense of self, Breitbart, for all his flamboyance and occasional recklessness, was a generous guy without affectations. In some sense of going over the line to make a point, and in his keen understanding of the Left with which he was once in some sympathy, Breitbart was the performance-video version of the late literary Christopher Hitchens — without the latter’s insider prestige and polish, but nonetheless no less capable or savvy.

  165. Tina says:

    Tim,m if the latest GA poll is right, what is the delegate split?

  166. Tina says:

    Trump warns of $6.00 gas in the summer. BTW, domestic oil production on Federal lands and water plunged in 2011, per the DOI.

  167. janz says:

    An O/T notation: There is a Christian organization called ‘Feed the Children’, who is now organizing and sending supplies to the areas ravaged by the recent tornados. I’ve sent money on to them this afternoon. There is info on their web site on how any interested party can exercise the same gesture.

  168. Tim says:

    Tina, only Gingrich and Romney will probably get any delegates, due to this state’s 20% rule. Word on the street today among the talking heads here is that Romney could get as many as 25-30 delegates out of the 76, even though Gingrich will win the state.

    No one is really sure, though. In the last day or two, there has been some movement toward Romney…….

  169. Tim says:

    #171:
    Good one! LOL!

  170. Tina says:

    Thanks, sounds like Spendmorum gets blanked in GA.

  171. janz says:

    Tina,

    Nate Siver is projecting the following delegate splits in Tuesdays elections. For Georgia, his crystal ball says that Romney will get 24, Santorum 9, and Gingrich 43.

  172. Tina says:

    Janz, look at Tim’s prediction, if Santo does not get 20 percent, he gets nothing. Tim knows his stuff about GA.

  173. janz says:

    Yeah, Tina, you’re right. If Santo does poorer than earlier polls have shown him doing, then he does get nothing. I agree that Tim, very much like wes, has a good feel for politics, especially in his home state of Georgia.

  174. Tina says:

    I see it that Spendmorum wins no states, as a scenario too, Janz.

  175. DrJay says:

    A couple weeks ago, I posted a poll showing Cicilline trailing the republican badly in RI-1.

    A few days ago, Cook moved the race to tossup from likely D.

  176. GF says:

    Vis-a-vis GA, I’m hoping for a split between the last two Ras polls with a little of the YouGov mixed in; a Newt win in the high 30s with Mitt breaking 30-32, Paul above 10 and Sancto no higher than 19. Best of all worlds: Narrow Newt win (crippling him further), no delegates for Sancto, and some street cred for Mitt pulling a respectable vote haul in a deeply conservative and religious Southern state.

  177. Tina says:

    http://newsbusters.org/blogs/matt-hadro/2012/03/05/cnn-hosts-now-head-calling-firing-limbaugh

    NOW was strangely (LOL) silent about the other hosts on the Drat side, such as Sargeant Schultz.

    While all have made dumb statements, I would never support their firiings.

  178. GF says:

    Jay, last I saw, Ciciline was down 16 to the guy he beat by 6 in ’10. Chafee is in the 20s in approval, too. So long as Mitt does reasonably well (for a Republican, that is), I bet we pick up that seat.

  179. DrJay says:

    interesting, GF… could they pull a candidate switch?

  180. EML says:

    184 – If Cicilline comes out of the primary, he will lose RI-01. Dems have to hope his challenger beats him in the primary.

  181. SUSYQUE says:

    Yesterday, someone posted a telephone number of a college who does polling. i called the number today and chatted with a fellow and he said it is so close they cannot call it. However, he said its Romney who has the momentum and more often than not the momentum will put him over to win in Ohio. Sure hope he is correct. He said even if Romney doesn’t win Ohio, he will be the nominee.

  182. janz says:

    Tina,

    I’ve read your other post citing the possibility of Santorum winning no states. While that’s a nice thought (as it would bring an end to this tedious primary sooner), I think he will end up pulling one or two out. The polling, though, is so fluid and changing daily, that anything can happen.

    As for Limbaugh, there is the usual double standard happening. Liberals turn their faces away from their own gross faux pas, but yell, bloody murder when a conservative has a transgression of any measure.

  183. Archibald Cunningham (R) says:

    I wonder if Newt” Tiffany credit card” Gingrich knows what gasoline costs in Nashville?

  184. Tim says:

    Yeah, it is all about the 20% in Ga. 42 of the delegates are split into 14 districts; 3 per district. A candidate MUST get at least 20% in a district to get any of those. 31 are apportioned statewide, with the 20% rule also in effect, there. The other three delegates are Party people who are picked by the Party, and should go to the winner by a 2-1 or 3-0 split.

    Santorum or Paul might pick off a delegate or two in one or two of the districts. But, in order to do that, they are really gonna have to run better than their polling. Their best chance would be in a county like Cobb.

    Just remember; 20%. Does that clear up any confusion about Georgia?

  185. GF says:

    Ciciline may win a primary, especially since his opposition is not that well funded or organized…yet. It will come down to 1) how the DCCC reacts, and 2) how well he plays the “I am a gay American” card to make people feel guilty for tossing him and also to raise money from that powerful constituency.

  186. Archibald Cunningham (R) says:

    I just heard some dumb MSM Ohio reporter prick say on FOX News that there may be a backlash against Romney for winning too many big states.

    Geez. These MSM jerks …..

  187. marc says:

    Rush dropped from first radio station in Hawaii. Hopefully it starts a domino effect around the country.

  188. GF says:

    So, Tim the worst Mitt does (and conversely, the best Newt does) is say, 10 delegates from the proportional, but Newt cleans up each CD plus the 3 party guys? That would be an impressive 66-10 win for Newt delegate wise. I wonder how the heavily Dem urban districts will vote; what say you, Tim?

  189. EML says:

    Georgia’s rules:

    42 district delegates bound to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the 14 congressional districts: each congressional district is assigned 3 National Convention delegates.

    If a candidate receives a majority of the vote (more than 50%), that candidate is allocated all 3 of the district’s delegates.

    If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, the candidate with the most votes (plurality) receives 2 delegates and the candidate receiving the next highest number of votes receives 1 delegate.
    —————–
    31 at-large delegates are proportionally bound to presidential contenders according to the statewide vote. A mandatory 20% threshold is required for a presidential contender to receive National Convention delegates.

    Step 1- Proportional allocation: For each candidate receiving 20% or more of the vote, delegates = [the number of votes received by that candidate] × [31 at-large delegates] ÷ [the total number of votes received by all candidates meeting the 20% threshold]. Each candidate receives the whole number of delegates (round down to the whole number). Example: If candidate A receives 7.6 delegates, candidate B receives 5.8 delegates, and candidate C recives 3.7 delegates– A gets 7, B gets 5, and C gets 3.

    Step 2- Rounding: If delegates remain, sort the candidates by the their remainder. Beginning with the candidate with the largest remainder, assign 1 delegate to each candidate until all delegates are allocated. In the example above, candidate B’s remainder is .8, candidate C’s is .7, and candidate A’s is .6. If there were 2 delegates to be allocated, B and C would each receive 1. The final allocation would be A- 7, B- 6, C- 4.
    ————————
    The 3 RNC party leader delegates, the National Committeeman, National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the Georgia’s Republican Party are bound to the candidate receiving the most votes statewide.

  190. janz says:

    Here is that complete Ann Romney comment on Fox:

    “We can be poor in spirit, and I don’t even consider myself wealthy, which is an interesting thing. It can be here today and gone tomorrow.”

    Unlike how I view Callista Gingrich, I really respect and like Ann Romney!

  191. GF says:

    OK, so scratch that 66-10 thing; I didn’t know the CD delegates were also split up like that.

  192. GF says:

    The Mitt number of 24 delegates I saw makes more sense now, at least one from each CD (averaged out in case he wins a deistrict but places 3rd in another) plus about 1/3 of the statewide delegates.

  193. maelstrom says:

    176. Jan, “Feed the Children” is poorly rated charity with some past scandal. Send your money to the Red Cross or Salvation Army.

  194. EML says:

    197 – I think we’ll see something similar to MI. Mitt will do well in the city and affluent suburbs. The 3 Dem districts (4, 5, 13) are totally up for grabs. I have no idea what can happen there because Republican voters are so small there (Obama totals were 73%, 84%, 67%). The Republican districts are 6, 7, and 11. I think Romney wins two of those.

  195. dinglewoodnorwoodbill says:

    http://thesecondalarm.com/2011/12/06/alf-landon/

    Romney is Alf Landon, and a liberal Dem could even see this in December of LAST YEAR.

    Congrats Stupid Party. If you do not correct this by voting for Santorum tomorrow, we will lose in a huge landslide to a weak president.

    Amazing the Establishment had the same thinking in 1936 as now. Demanding over right win objections the selection of the big business idiot Landon.

    For the owner of this blog, reality check:

    Romney is NOT a “fiscal conservative”. He favors bailouts AND stimulus, that’s not capitalism. Santorum is better than Romney on BOTH of these issues.

    Further, he wants TAXPAYERS to foot the bill, an unholy alliance of big gov and big business that is NOT conservative AT ALL.

    Making money is not a crime, keeping as much as possible is not, either. But Romney is NOT a capitalist, he wants to win without risk and have the gov bail his bottom out of his raider deals and other projects like the Olympics.

    http://www.politicolnews.com/mitt-romney-olympic-bailout-business-experience/

    He rails against a symbiotic relationship that is NOT conservative. Santorum is more pro-REAL business, not Romney. He believes in the sanctity of allowing failure, which Charlie Gasparino noted in the forum recently on Fox News.

    Romney cannot be our nominee or the GOP is doomed…

  196. EML says:

    Here comes Dingleberry, promoting the candidate that Dems want to face.

  197. Tim says:

    #197:
    Pretty simple, I think. Romney will do well, in most of the population centers. I just don’t think that Newt will pull a huge haul, although he will win. I think that Romney will win quite a few delegates. And, anything Santorum gets will come out of Newt’s tally.

    It’s like a running old joke we have here:

    A lot of people will vote for Newt because they know him. And, a lot will vote against him, for the same reason. LOL

  198. Tina says:

    Funny, how some posters never fully pot the entire context of a statement made by a spouse of a candiate (one who is not running and is not actively engaged in the political arena).

    I agree with her statement, in fact, many rich people I know think and act that way too.

  199. EML says:

    There was a lot of talk about Walking Dead here last night. It’s one of my favorite shows. But…I feel like those of you who like Walking Dead should check out Alcatraz tonight and Grimm on Fridays. They compete with Walking Dead for best shows on TV.

  200. Tim says:

    Yesterday, Chuck Todd predicted that Mitt Romney would get 211 delegates, at least, tomorrow. If he does that, he will have himself a great day. He would also really begin to put some daylight between himself and the others.

    And, if a sense of inevitability sets in…….

  201. Bitterlaw says:

    Could somebody buy Dingle a history book that ends after 1936? This Alf Landon obsession is weird.

  202. GF says:

    207- Great joke, Tim, mostly b/c it’s totally true!

    I recall some 20 years ago that some pundits (what they were back in those days) were saying that Wyche Fowler sought to protect Newt in redistricting as he had made some noises about running statewide in ’92 if the Dems tried to get rid of him after his very narrow win in 1990. Supposedly, this was b/c Fowler did not “relish” the prospect of a race against Gingrich (I specifically remember that word, “relish”). Given what a pompous blowhard Newt has turned into over the years (not to say he wasn’t before), I can hardly believe that some people bought into that. Fowler would have been much better off agianst Newt than Paul Coverdell.

  203. Tina says:

    I thought the spouse of a candidate and their kids were off limit. The left always sets the rules, and then changes them.

  204. Tina says:

    That is all I could get from my source on OH – plus 3 for Romney tomorrow.

  205. Bitterlaw says:

    My daughter is sharing her Tiger Beat magazine with me. I don’t know which is worse – the fact that I don’t know who 1/2 these stars are or the fact that I know 1/2 of them.

  206. Tim says:

    #213:
    There was one other factor. Speaker of the House Tom Murphy lived in Newt’s old district. And, he wanted out of it. In re-districting, he got his way.

    Newt later said that he probably owed his career’s later successes to Murphy’s move

  207. Double Handle says:

    Can you please stick with one, either Tina or Wobbles?

  208. Tim says:

    #215:
    Tina, I believe you are right. I think Romney wins close. He is now winning Catholics in Ohio. I bet he benefitted from that dumb thing Santorum said about Jack Kennedy’s 1960 speech

  209. Tina says:

    I think Spendmorum, Tim, has run a strange campaign. Blaming everybody but himself for its failing. He sounds mre Rube Paulish, than Rube Paul.

  210. Tina says:

    What is double handles talking about?

  211. marc says:

    Second station drops Rush radio show.

  212. Emerica says:

    http://thinkprogress.org/health/2012/03/05/438044/romney-mandate-model-video/

    Romney caught on tape saying that RomneyCare should be used nation wide and that he wanted nation wide mandates.

    The father of Obamacare is trying to become the GOP nominee

  213. ReggieBushForPresident says:

    I can still be the nominee!

    Can Mitt rush for 1000 yards in a season?

    I’m going to pick Jeb as my running mate and

    Bush-Bush 2012 will sweep to VICTORY!!!!!

  214. bio mom says:

    195

    I heard that. No, the backlash would be due to all the negative ads and all the money being dumped into the state by Romney. That is what the slick Foox Ohio reporter said. No actual evidence of such was given. Probably wishful thinking. The more Romney’s wealth is used in this campaign, the less the impact. Ann Romney is quite beloved. The entire statement she made was a very human discussion about the lack of importance of wealth to her.

  215. ameister says:

    haven’t been around much lately but I
    did notice MD is not here.
    Is this why?

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/fx-trader-spends-323483-liverpool-night-club

  216. Tim says:

    #222:
    I have no idea, Tina. I’ve been here since May of ’06. And, in all that time, you have used only one handle; the one you use now.

  217. GF says:

    The real question is did Mitt say that each state should try its own model based on Romneycare, or that the Feds should trample all over the states with a one-size fits all deal? The former is not actually a big deal since each state is free to do as it chooses, and with his promise to repeal Obamacare, I am totally fine with it.

  218. ReggieBushForPresident says:

    Grandpa Crazytown is done Acroso get over it

  219. GF says:

    228- Has it only been since ’06, Tim? I could have sworn you were around back in the day when I first showed up in ’04. MD and Bitter were alreayd here as well. Alas, GoDuke, PW and some of our others have long since departed for other venues.

  220. Tim says:

    MD and Wes are taking a break from the site. I did the same, some time back. I have high hopes they will both return, soon.

  221. ReggieBushForPresident says:

    They’re lying about it gf

    All desperate innuendo

  222. Tim says:

    Yeah, GF. Mary Beth and I first posted here on the same day. Remember her?

  223. ReggieBushForPresident says:

    Its abundantly clear in all the videos he is saying each state should develop its own plan

    Some may adopt some aspects of the ma plan many will not

    Nowhere does he propose a national mandate

    The lying is pathetic and desperate

  224. bio mom says:

    224

    No, he never says anything about a Federal mandate. This has been dissected by others and not found to be what you are implying. Disparate attempts to stop the front runner. Won’t work. Sorry.

  225. Tina says:

    I am pretty sure that Double handles uses more than one handle himself. He has admitted to in the past.

  226. ReggieBushForPresident says:

    Romneycare was never going to be a significant campaign issue as I said from the very start

  227. ReggieBushForPresident says:

    People were opposed to the way obamacare was passed rather than to its contents

    They felt raped by having this forced on them

    I think people would have acquiesced in a truly bipartisan plan without a lot of problems

  228. Bitterlaw says:

    Romney caught on tape saying that RomneyCare should be used nation wide and that he wanted nation wide mandates.- America-hating Bastard

    Can’t you see how evil Romney is? He never really said that but the fact he did not say it means that he did not want people to know that is what he meant to say.

  229. bio mom says:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_hzIxzljMYg

    What Ann Romney actually said.

  230. ReggieBushForPresident says:

    No you see Bitterlaw he didn’t actually SAY it but they just know that’s what he meant because well

    Uh

    I don’t want me no Mormon I guess

  231. jenny-not a republican anymore says:

    rush is from a lower class that’s why he demagogues the upper class or the so called ruling class. he has a lot of insecurities. he didn’t attend college. it’s obvious that he’s not smart. rush can only smear and attack his opponents.

    go mitt!

  232. Emerica says:

    I posted the video of Romney, and he clearly said it.

    – 2006 — Q: Is this something you think Washington should consider for the whole country? ROMNEY: Well, there are some aspects of what we’re doing that could be applicable to the rest of the country.
    – 2007 — ROMNEY: Our program is based on a private model health insurance program and that model will work for the nation.
    – 2008– Q: Although, you backed away from mandates on a national basis…? ROMNEY: No, no, I like mandates. The mandates work.
    – 2009 — Q: Should the President be looking at Massachusetts as a model for lowering health care costs? ROMNEY: Massachusetts is a model for getting everyone insured.

  233. GF says:

    Yes, Tim; I recall MBT running for state delegate in MD, but came up short in the GE.

  234. Emerica says:

    Romney = ideas man of Obamacare

  235. ReggieBushForPresident says:

    On a STATE level he is always referring on a STATE level you are omitting context

  236. ReggieBushForPresident says:

    He goes out of his way repeatedly to stress each state will devise its own plan based on that States idiosincrasies

  237. ReggieBushForPresident says:

    “I want to eliminate all diseases of children”

    “I want to eliminate … all children”

    Gasp! !!!!

  238. jason says:

    “‘ Romney = ideas man of Obamacare”

    LOL.

    He must of stolen the ideas from Hillarycare then…

    The Dems have ALWAYS wanted to socialize HC, eliminate private insurance, institute single payer.

    Nothing to do with Romney or Romneycare.

  239. Scott says:

    Ras has the Congressional Generic Ballot this week at Reps. 44% to Dems.41%

  240. marc says:

    Tomorrow should effectively be the end of this GOP primary. Thank God for that no primary has been so negative to a political parties fortunes then this one. Santorum and Newt will go on but without any debates or big primary victories their voices will be quickly drawn out.

  241. Lisa B Fluke says:

    Transgender persons wishing to undergo the gender reassignment process frequently face heterosexist employer health insurance policies that label the surgery as cosmetic or medically unnecessary and therefore uncovered.

  242. ParakeetsForTheSecondAmendment says:

    I’m hoping Pope Ricky withdraws after getting splattered tomorrow

    FatToad can stumble along for a while as a foil I suppose

  243. Lisa B Fluke says:

    changing one’s sex is medicaly necessary, it is NOT cosmetic surgery. think of all the suicides this would prevent.

  244. Scott says:

    Didn’t James Carville refer to Paula Jones as “trailer park trash”?Why is he still employed at CNN?

  245. SoHope says:

    L. Ron Paul = The idea man for Scientology

  246. marc says:

    No Santorum and Newt will go on saying off the wall things and harming the image of the GOP like they have for several months now.But fewer and fewer will pay attention has the primary defeats stack up and it becomes clear that neither will ever be the nominee.

  247. SoHope says:

    “The health bill that Governor Romney signed into law this month has tremendous potential to effect major change in the American health system,”

    Who said this?

  248. Parakeet shooter says:

    you gonna dance on santorum’s political grave tomorrow ?

  249. Parakeet shooter says:

    260- newt

  250. Tim V says:

    fluke is a farce

  251. Tim V says:

    n/t

  252. ParakeetsForTheSecondAmendment says:

    Fuqq you, Tim V I am armed and dangerous!

    BLAM!
    BLAM!!
    BLAM BLAM BLAM!!!
    BLAM!

  253. heatherglam says:

    ann romney is gaffe machine. too much talking. mitt and ann romney is too stiff.