Tight Races in AL and MS, Romney Leads Obama Nationally

I must say it was nice being able to have the windows open in the house all day long yesterday. Late last night, Public Policy Polling gave us their final look at the races in Mississippi and Alabama.

Mitt Romney 31%
Newt Gingrich 30%
Rick Santorum 29%
Ron Paul 8%

Newt Gingrich 33%
Mitt Romney 31%
Rick Santorum 27%
Ron Paul 7%

Both polls were done March 10-11 among 600 likely voters in AL and 656 likely voters in MS. Meanwhile, ABC News and The Washington Post are showing a massive surge towards both Romney and Santorum in their match ups against Barack Obama and in fact, Romney now leads Obama in a head-to-head match up.

Barack Obama (D-inc) 49%
Rick Santorum (R) 46%

This poll was done March 7-10 among 1003 adults, although the numbers above were done among registered voters.

Good Monday Morning!

Posted by Dave at 6:43 am
Filed under: General | Comments (88)

88 Responses to “Tight Races in AL and MS, Romney Leads Obama Nationally”

  1. EML says:

    Catch thr Mittmentum

  2. BayernFan says:

    That was a terrible poll for Obama. Just wait till $5 gas prices come this summer.

  3. Rockefeller Republican says:

    Good morning friends, fun-lovers & truth seekers!

    Gov. Romney looking good to go 2 for 2 tomorrow – thereby removing the hairshirt that good Southern folk won’t support a Mormon.

    Aside from segregation-now, segregation-forever Geo Wallace and felon-pardonin’ Haley Barbour, AL and MS are some of our better states in our union.

    Prepare the funeral dirges for Eye of Newt & Little Ricky!


  4. Brandon says:

    I think the “I don’t want me no Mormon” effect will put Gingrich over the top in both states.

  5. mnw says:

    Rockefeller country, huh, Jay?

    You & your smiley faces fool NOBODY, troll-boy.

  6. Tina says:

    Exactly, Bayer. We got a new lifeline with the gasoline prices, which are not coming down untl September or October. They will be going even higher in the month ahead. Too little too late.

    Also, it will slow the weak recovery further.

  7. mnw says:

    “Rockefeller Republican,” my adz. Name some liberal Republicans? Extinct as the Dodo & the Passenger Pigeon.

    To the extent that real Republicans even know who Nelson R was (& few do), they spit on the ground. An absolute 100% liberal DEM with an expedient “R” after his name… just like our HHR troll-boy Jay.

  8. Tina says:

    Piglosi and the Drats – 2001.

    Gasoline – $1.71 a gallon

    Bush’s fault!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Pigloi and the Drats – 2006

    Gasoline – $2.80 a gallon

    Bush’s fault!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Piglosi and the Drats – 2012

    $3.90 a gallon

    ***The President is not responsible for the price of gasoline.

  9. Tim says:

    You just have to be joking me. Those two states are sewers. Especially, Mississippi. It has nothing going for it. It is the poorest state in the Country.

  10. mnw says:


    The best investors in the WORLD have NO IDEA what oil (& gas) prices are going to do.

    What on earth makes you feel confident about where oil prices will be next fall? Kinda depends on Iran & Israel, don’t it?

  11. mnw says:

    Maine is decidedly poorer than Mississippi, if you include the cost of living, & not just income alone.

  12. Tina says:

    This fall or the one in 2013?

    I do not know, but the fact is, if we are talking about $5 to $6 in summer (through Labor Day or through Septembe, doubtful that prices could drop that significantly to go below $3. This assumes that the projections from the experts are correct.

  13. Rockefeller Republican says:

    #8: Blah, blah, blah… A troll is some who obsesses on the same old song… someone like you. I have illuminated your ignorance on repeated occasions. As your vitriol shows, you are incapable of critical thought.

    It’s just a screenname dude – chill!


  14. Tina says:

    BTW, my #9 is based on the median prices- and the statements from Madame Lift can be googled.

  15. Tina says:

    WP in full Obama protection mode on the poll cited in this thread.

    Also, Obumbler weak on foreign policy issues as Afghanistan continues to worsen. BTW, we should have gotten the hell out of that cess pool a long time ago.

  16. Diogenes says:

    A WashCompost and ABCrap poll has Obumbler under 50% and Sanotorum at 46%? The real numbers must be flipped at least once Dem crosstabs are adjusted to realistic expectations.

  17. pitchaboy says:

    Romney up in same poll 49-47 among RV; make it 53-47 among LV in my opinion.

  18. pitchaboy says:

    Romney surge in RAS is for reasl; energy policy or lack thereof, will take down Obama if the economy doesn’t.

  19. bio mom says:

    No, I am not confident of wins for Romney in these states. But second place is very likely and with it more delegates once again.

  20. Scott says:

    The ABC /Washington Post Poll is a Dem +4 poll.It shows Obama’s approval/disapproval at 46%/ 50%,respectively.Last month the same polling combine showed the approval/ disapproval rating at the exact opposite in a D+11 poll.

  21. Barrett says:

    I don’t really care how the south votes. They are irrelevant in my life. All those southerners say they stand for social justice, and then a retard governor pardons a bunch of hardened criminals.

    But yeah, lets play some country music about love and jesus

  22. Tim says:

    The census Bereau compiles these figures. Their data includes poverty rate, (Ms. has the highest, at 21%) median income, (they have the lowest), education system, (theirs’ is among the worst) unemployment rates (typically among the highest), and health insurance coverage. (also among the lowest rates).

    I have seen the list of these states, when adjusted for cost of living. Maine’s is about $1,000 per year lower. That is not much. And, when all other factors are considered, there is just no comparison, in the two states.

  23. Barrett says:

    Tim – You forgot to mention Obesity rates. Regionally, I believe the south is one of the worst

  24. bio mom says:

    today ras has Romney up 3 over Obama, Paul up 1, Santo down three and Gingrich down 6.

    Yet they just won’t give the nomination to Romney!! I despair. Stupid party. Go Mitt!! And happy 65th birthday today Mitt.

  25. Scott says:

    Yes,as is typical of Ras’ volatility,he has Obama’s approval spiking up today from 44% to 47%.

  26. jan says:

    I don’t believe these PPP numbers out of Mississippi/Alabama.

  27. Barrett says:

    #25 I didn’t realize Mitt was 65. I thought he was 58 or 59…yikes

  28. EML says:

    27 – How so jan? I think they overstate Mitt’s numbers. The demographics of these states just dont fit well for him. TN at least had Memphis and Nashville, where he shouldve done well with suburbanites. MS doesnt really have the affluent suburban white voters that put him over the top in other states. Hard for me to see Mitt getting over the 28% he got in TN. I see this setting up the headline for Wednesday: “Despite polls showing Romney ahead, he blows an opporunity to put the other candidates away for good as Gingrich wins AL, MS”.

  29. jan says:

    Looks about the same age has Obama Barret but is much older.

  30. jan says:

    That’s is what PPP is aiming for EML.

  31. Barrett says:

    Yeah, Obama is too busy stressing over everything he’s done wrong. He’s going completely gray

  32. Jerry muthertruckin' Cruncher says:

    Mississippi is actually a beautiful state.

  33. Diogenes says:

    We’re at the point where conservative voters can see the writing on the wall. Many are voting for Mitt because he is conservative enough for them and they want the process over with so we can start beating on Obama.

  34. SUSYQUE says:

    Declares president’s use of military without approval ‘high crime, misdemeanor’

    Too good to be true?

  35. jan says:

    Crazy Walter Jones introducing that.

  36. SUSYQUE says:

    Report: Gingrich reaching out to Perry to form a ticket? (Desperation?)

    Gingrich insiders hope forming a predetermined ticket with Perry will unite the evangelical, Tea Party and very conservative voters that make up the core of the GOP.
    As discussions got underway, a spokesman for Texas Gov. Rick Perry released a statement saying, “Gov. Perry thinks Newt Gingrich is the strongest conservative to debate and defeat President Obama and truly overhaul Washington. The speculation is humbling but premature.”
    Floating Perry as a runningmate two days before Alabama and Mississippi could energize conservatives or turn them off.

  37. pitchaboy says:

    The Republicans can ruin a good thing by talking impeachment.

  38. janz says:

    #9 Amazing comparisons of gasoline prices in the 21st century, Tina, and how they are processed by the dems and MSM.

  39. janz says:

    While ‘impeachment’ may be music to some people’s ears, it is really a distraction at this point, similar to the birther’s pursuit of their issue.

  40. jan says:

    No one is talking impeachment but crazy Walter Jones.

  41. DW says:

    We can impeach Obama ourselves in just 8 months…a shorter time than what impeachment proceedings would take.

  42. Barrett says:

    #35 – Impeachment doesn’t work for illegally taking military action. It only works when you get oral from an intern

  43. DrJay says:


    Gingrich 32%
    Paul 8%
    Romney 34%
    Santorum 22%

    Gingrich 34%
    Paul 6%
    Romney 31%
    Santorum 24%

  44. Barrett says:

    Good numbers I suppose

  45. bio mom says:

    So that makes two different polls showing Mitt doing quite well in these Southern states. Although they have the top line results opposite. ppp, Mitt leading in ALA but second in MS versus Mitt second in ALA but winning in MS. Of course ARG has not been very accurate in its primary polling.

  46. janz says:

    We can impeach Obama ourselves in just 8 months… —> Good one, DW!

    Strategically, it might be better if Romney came in 2nd in AL and MS, with Newt taking the top spot. This would definitely keep him in the race, continuing to split the vote between him and Santorum. Plus, it would probably turn the heat more on their battle between each other, leaving Romney more room to ease through the primary process more unscathed.

  47. EML says:

    I see good poll results for Romney keeps the trolls away.

  48. MFG says:

    Tim fuqq you

    Yes MS is poor but it is not a sewer

    There are many decent kind warm folks there

    Fuqq you

  49. SoHope says:

    We need to put that impeachment talk to rest.

  50. Apologetic California says:

    Wapoo/ABC poll is that one poll that finally brings Obama’s approval back to the negative territory according to RCP. Finally pushes down that absurd +10 from GWU/Battleground taken a month ago.

  51. DrJay says:

    I know a lot of good folks who have moved to Mississippi for retirement.

  52. MFG says:

    Brandon #5

    It’ll be interesting to see if the IDWMNM Effect keeps Mitt from victory tomorrow

  53. Bitterlaw says:

    Dave – can youplease add “impeachment” to the filter? It is absurb and will do nothing except make the GOP look worse and Obama look better.

  54. MFG says:

    I lost my home to Katrina had to move to MS for six month

    Talk about being welcomed with open arms I’ll never forget it nor the MS people

  55. Bitterlaw says:

    Yes MS is poor but it is not a sewer

    There are many decent kind warm folks there – MFG

    I’m sure that is true. However, whenever I point out that there are good people trapped in poor neighborhoods in Philadelphia, that doesn’t seem to resonate.

  56. mnw says:

    Tim V

    Measurements such as “education system” & “health insurance” MAY arguably go to “quality of life,” but they do NOT go to “poorest state”!

    “Poorest state” is the state with the worst combination of low income + high cost of living: by those measurements, ME is clearly poorer than MS.

    Where you’d prefer to live is a different topic.

    There’s a lot to be said for not having to spend a disproportionate percentage of your disposable income on home HEATING OIL, though, in my view.

  57. SoHope says:

    MS has some beautiful areas. Their ecomonic woes are explained largly by their agragarian society, strinking population, education woes, and highest percentage single parent homes – 46% total & 79% AA community.

  58. pitchaboy says:

    Any poll where sampling is truly representative; i.e. D and R even or D no more than +2 will show Obama losing handily.The simple reason is that the republican voters are consolidating behind whoever their pick is and Romney will get 90% of their vote. And the simple fact is Obama has lost the indies and will not get them back in enough numbers to beat Romney.However, to keep democratic morale up and our morale down, the MSM will conduct polls grossly oversampling dems until October, when they will all get truthful to guard their reputation.

  59. Bitterlaw says:

    mnw – what you save on heating oil you spend on air conditioning (if that is necessary to your happiness).

  60. Yolanda says:


    Not me! I am a proud Santorum voter, and if he is not the nominee, I will vote for Barack Obama in the fall, just as every pundit in the MSM has claimed I will!

  61. SoHope says:

    Note to SSQ:

    Yolanda is being sarcastic in #62

  62. MFG says:

    I dunno

    I’d take MS over ME any day cost of living is low taxes relatively low many truly beautiful areas too rural for me but that would be a positive for a lot of other people

    Plus not having snow up to your azz four months out of the year…

  63. mnw says:

    It is wonderfully amusing to me to see that the worst president in our history could be defeated… because of a prosaic issue such as high gas prices!

    Not because zero’s leading us to “Greece status” & national bankruptcy… not because of Obamacare & the road to socialism.

    No. Only because the sheeple feel pump pain.

    Sort of like War of the Worlds, where microbes do what the military can’t.

  64. MFG says:

    People are morons mnw

  65. mnw says:

    I’ll take it, though.

  66. MFG says:

    A win be a win

  67. MFG says:

    I really genuinely think Santorum is a psychopath I think he lost it a long time ago and is displaying it now more every day…

  68. mnw says:

    zero’s rhetoric concerning “Republican bumperstrip slogans about gas prices,” & his sneering “we can’t drill our way out”…
    people DON’T LIKE THAT, outside the beltway.

    I wish that Mr. Roboto (Romney) would lead off every speech with the Keystone pipeline.

  69. MFG says:

    Obama may just go over the cliff with this, being such a far left ideologue

    I wish prices had spiked like this in September or October though…

  70. mnw says:

    “spiked in Sept or Oct”

    Well… I listened to the news today, & if the situation between Israel & Iran is improving, or the Mideast generally, I sure as hell couldn’t detect it.

    Israel & Hamas seem to be talking with each other throgh the medium of missile strikes & assassinations.

  71. mnw says:

    It’s the perception of political risk that’s driving high oil prices, not the scarcity of oil

  72. pitchaboy says:

    Ther is no scarcity of oil. Middle East uncertainty and cheap dollar is driving up the cost.

  73. SoHope says:

    Remember when dems blocked drilling in ANWAR in 2005 and said that it wouldn’t affect gas prices for 7 years…guess how long it’s been?

  74. david says:

    Lets hope Mitt can win in AL and MISS and wrap this up by the other two quitting. Mitt can then start hammering on the administration.

  75. janz says:

    Romney looks to upset rivals in AL and MS primaries.

    Romney continues to pull out the stops in Alabama. Last Friday Randy Owens, of Alabama Band fame, appeared with him in Tarrant, AL. Today he will be with Jeff Foxworthy. In the meantime, Ann Romney has been sent out to three AL events today in Montgomery, Birmingham, and Huntsville. Romney seems to be focusing more on AL than MS, as it has a bigger population, 4.8 million to MS’s of 3 million, rendering it with a larger cache of delegates — 50 vs 40.

    With all of Romney’s efforts, though, Santorum is said to be working these southern states the hardest, spending lots more time in MS, while his wife, Karen works AL. Today Santorum will end up in AL.

    What a dash for delegates!

  76. Corey says:


    Isn’t tomorrow also Hawai’i (and American Samoa?)

    Romney won the U.S. Virgin Islands yesterday apparently.

  77. david says:

    #76, Exactly….they always say, that would take 5 – 10 years to get oil…we need it now…

    Reminds me of a liberal college town in Virginia. Back in 2002 they almost ran of water and didn’t know how they were going to handle the return of students. They didn’t want to drill any wells at the time…because that would take weeks for them to come online. Luckily, they got an unusual rainfall in October. Guess, they probably still don’t have the wells 10 years later.

  78. janz says:

    #68 MFG

    It appears that what Santorum doesn’t have in delegates, he has to make up for in excessive words and exaggerated predictions!

  79. Corey says:

    Santorum is just a deluded politician. I can tell that he doesn’t really believe much of what he is saying in regards to the political aspect of the race. Newt is the one who needs pyschiastric treatement.

  80. janz says:

    #79 Corey

    Yes, tomorrow HI and Samoa come up to bat along with AL and MS. Romney should do well in the two former, IMO.

  81. SoHope says:

    Let’s make a case against primary school education.

    K-5 education takes 7-13 years to result in a high school diploma…so let’s not open any more elementary schools…just high schools.

  82. david says:

    #3, Yes, the polls is WAPO is a bad poll for Obama. The only good number for him was the fact that the majority thinks he will get re-elected. That will change once his approval starts dropping again

  83. janz says:

    #82 Santorum and Gingrich could both use some counseling assistance in order to re-balance their temperaments.