Romney Leads in CA and TX

Scott Rasmussen was busy this morning releasing two new polls for the biggest electoral prizes in the country, California and Texas.

Mitt Romney 32%
Rick Santorum 30%
Newt Gingrich 19%
Ron Paul 9%

Mitt Romney 43%
Rick Santorum 23%
Newt Gingrich 15%
Ron Paul 8%

Both polls were done March 12th among 750 likely primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 12:19 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (109)

109 Responses to “Romney Leads in CA and TX”

  1. EML says:


    The NFL is taking away millions of dollars of salary-cap space belonging to the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Redskins for front-loading contracts during the uncapped 2010 season, according to league sources.

    The salary cap is projected to be $120.6 million in 2012, but the Cowboys will lose $10 million, while the Redskins will be docked $36 million in cap space, sources said.

    Sources said Monday that the amounts the Redskins and Cowboys have been penalized off the cap could be split up any way the teams chose for the 2012 and 2013 seasons.

  2. Waingro says:

    Capital Survey Research Center

    Alabama Repub Primary

    Mitt: 34%
    Newt: 33%
    Santo: 28%
    Paul: 5%

  3. Jeff G. says:

    Mitt Happens!

  4. bio mom says:

    that is old. Mzrch 7,8

  5. Jeff G. says:


    Hey, Slick, how’s everything up the liberal haven of Massachusetts?

  6. Waingro says:

    #5, not much Jeff! Getting ready the baseball season, even though I don’t exactly have high hopes for the Sox this year.

  7. Tim says:

    The Braves are 1-10 in Grapefruit League play. I know it’s Spring Training. But, 1-10? Geez…….

  8. Waingro says:

    #4, sorry, I just saw realclear post it today.

  9. Tim says:

    I also hope that MD returns, soon. Wes, as well…………

  10. Bitterlaw says:

    Tim – the Braves are obviously resting their starter for the one-game Wild Card playoff game.

  11. mnw says:

    Carpenter is having neck/nerve/disc/pain issues.

  12. Jeff G. says:


    The Sox are hard to read this year. a lot depends on whether Bard can successfully transition to starter and Dice-K can come back strong around June as they expect. And maybe Beckett will have a good full season without his “hero” Lackey around. Then they have Lester and Buchholz (remember Clay had that weird tailbone injury that knocked him out for half of last season). Lackey’s year-ending surgery is probably the best way for his situation to play out – far away from the clubhouse.

  13. janz says:

    re-posted from end of last thread:

    Sorry to hear, via Bitter, that MD is still not showing up on HHR. He and wes are truly missed for their input here.

    Also, my take on factions within the GOP coincides with bio mom’s, regarding post #57, where she voices her disappointment with the far right. The rigidity of the far right is creating deep fissures in the republican party. They viciously attack or deride anybody who doesn’t fall in line, totally, with their scripted conservative platform. That person is cast aside as a RINO, even labeled ‘liberal,’ depending on how far they want to go tagging someone as a deviant from the conservative movement, as they define it.

    However, the hard right’s actions are more in line with their nemesis, the hard left, than anyone else on the political spectrum. They have indeed high-jacked the party to the detriment of the party! I also don’t equate the teas with them, as this newer movement is far more diverse in their make-up, focusing more on constitutional and economic issues versus some of the more personal social ones.

  14. Jerry muthertruckin' Cruncher says:

    Carp will be fine. He just needs to be ready for the playoffs. Work some young guys in during the season. Use Carp sparingly.

  15. mnw says:

    The Cards have a lot of Triple-A guys that would make half the MLB team rosters.

    Some of them (“Patch” Adams) are so good, they’re almost forcing the Cards to keep them up in the bigs.

    The Carp thing is nervous-making.

  16. AuthorLMendez, Liberterian For Mitt Romney says:

    my predictions for tonight:

    America Samoa – Romney landslide win
    Hawaii – Romney landslide win
    Mississipi – Romney nailbitter win
    Alabama – Gingrich nailbitter win

  17. dinglewoodnorwoodbill says:

    Sad so many bandwagoneer idiots are in TX, since the state is conservative enough to not seriously vote for Romney otherwise, unless in a general against Obama.

    Worse, seeing polls misused (Bloomberg?)to create that…

  18. Bitterlaw says:

    A committeeman? Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz. Why doesn’t Paul ever get a Governor or U.S. Senator to endorse him?

  19. Emerica says:

    25% of American Samoa is Mormon.


  20. Iran Revolutionary Council says:

    Hey – we endorsed Paul before Iowa.

  21. Iran Revolutionary Council says:

    Seriously, Bunu, come back when Paul is endorsed by a Governor or U.S. Senator.

  22. janz says:

    There an interesting review of Alabama dealing with the, political geography of Alabama, on Nate Silver’s site.

    The take-away from his analysis is that both AL and MS are difficult to poll, saying that the ’08 polling proved to be not in sync with the actual reslts. Taking this in mind, these races may be hard to predict through pre-election polling alone.

  23. Apologetic California says:

    Last thread I predicted Goatfornicator-In-Chief will see his approval rating drop +1 in Gallup today. I was right!

  24. SusyQue says:

    #13…janz…I read on the internet today that the head of the Tea Party said in the GE they will vote for whomever wins the nomination. The face in all this is 4 years ago they were willing to vote for Mitt and even called him a conservative…which he is in many ways…I still think it boils down to the religious thing, but they didn’t make that an issue last time. The talk show folks are going to have to stop pushing Newt and Sentorum and get on the Mitt train.

  25. Bitterlaw says:

    I guess Bunu is looking for Head Librarian of Shreveport’s endorsement of Ron Paul.

  26. Brandon says:

    Tightening up again nationally according to Gallup, Santorum now only 5 behind Romney.

  27. SusyQue says:

    #25…whom are you speaking of? Goatfornicator-In-Chief

  28. janz says:


    I believe that most ‘republicans’ will coalesce around the eventual nominee. But, the process getting there has been heavy-handed, especially with the Gingrich/Santorum alliance that seems to be forming to solely obstruct Romney from achieving the number of delegates needed. I’m one of those people who think a convention battle would only help Obama, not the republican party.

  29. Brandon says:

    I just have a feeling that Gingrich and Santorum will both outperform their polling in AL and MS. The polls there underestimated Huckabee in ’08.

  30. Bitterlaw says:

    Brandon – you are being too nice. Start fighting with people.

  31. MFG says:

    Livingston Parish GOP chair?!

    Now that’s a reach

    Not exactly a sought after endorsement

  32. MFG says:

    Pope Ricky and FatToad were done after Ohio and Florida, respectively

    It shows how little they care about this party and this country that they are still tilting at windmills in mid March in this hopeless undertaking

  33. Bitterlaw says:

    MFG – will the Head Librarian of Shreveport endorse Ron Paul or did The Establishment RINOs get to her?

  34. jenny-former republican says:

    According to Rush, the CBS-NY Times poll shows Obama with 41% approval rating. Rasmussen is getting bad samples. I find it hard to believe Obama is doing well with these high gas prices and the mess in Afghanistan.

  35. MFG says:

    She went with Gingrich

    The Assistant Deputy Undersecretary for Food Safety in Baton Rouge went for Santorum though

  36. MFG says:

    InTrade has FatToad the favorite in MS and AL with Mitt the favorite in LA

  37. Scott says:

    Actually,Obama dropped two(2) points today in Gallup from 49% to 47%.His disapproval went up by three(3) from 43% to 46%.

  38. Tim V says:

    Highway bill is worth billions to companies owned by Soros, Pickens, Douglas

    I’m really sick and tired of crony capitalism. It is nothing more than CORRUPTION and it needs to stop. Both parties need to end this despicable practice.

  39. SusyQue says:

    #30…janz…some who post here are “too much”…they assume they make sense. Who is the heck in Goatfornicator-In-Chief?

  40. MFG says:

    What are these dummies doing in this race?

    Even wins mean what? They may pick up a net 5 delegates on Mitt when they are 250-300 delegates down, WTF is wrong with these people?

    Its like losing a basketball game 70-45 in the third quarter and you’re happy you’re trading baskets equally

    How will you ever make up such a deficit??

  41. DW says:

    Breaking: The chimpanzee at the Birmingham, Alabama zoo has endorsed Ron Paul.

  42. MFG says:

    Santorum was hoping for that one, a big blow

  43. MFG says:

    Saints sign Colston!


  44. MFG says:

    $40 million over five years

    Wow, that;s a lot of money…!!!

  45. GeauxLSU says:

    Hey all….back from my few weeks of self imposed banishment. What’s new here? I cast my ballot in early voting today in Louisiana. Trying to stay alive in the crime ridden streets of the Red Stick and watching in amusement as the teacher’s unions try to derail Gov. Jindal’s education reforms. Big rally of teachers planned at the capital tomorrow. Forget that it is a school day. Parents will just have to find something else to do with their kids for the day. After all, why should educating the students be a priority?

  46. lisab says:

    Santorum: Fox News is ‘shilling’ for Mitt Romney

    “The man has had a 10-to-1 money advantage,” Santorum said. “He’s had all the organizational advantage. He’s had Fox News shilling for him every day, no offense Brian but I see it. And yet, he can’t close — he can’t seal the deal because he just doesn’t have the goods to be able to motivate the Republican base and win this election.”

    Host Brian Kilmeade rejected Santorum’s charge and said that Santorum has been given the opportunity to appear on FNC as much as Romney.

    “On Fox News shilling for Mitt Romney, I totally disagree with that,” Kilmeade said. “You can feel the way you want. I’m just telling you there’s no way I agree with that and you’ve been on as much as anyone.”

  47. DW says:

    Link at Drudge:


    …so this would seem to prompt the classic stump speech line…”Are you better off than you were four years ago?”

  48. SUSYQUE says:

    Santorum: Fox News is ‘shilling’ for Mitt Romney

    Santorum should be called Sen. Complainer!

  49. MFG says:

    Why does he have a 10-1 money advantage?

    People don;t want you to be President, Ricky!!!

  50. lisab says:

    “So far, the Bitterlaw Softball Team (2d and 3rd grade girls) have the following names for consideration by the full team on Saturday:”

    how about the “blue sweaters”?

  51. jenny-former republican says:

    Pious Rick is so childish. If Mitt wins ‘Bama and Mississippi, it’s over!

  52. Bitterlaw says:

    lisab – can you come to our practice and teach take-out slides? Well, they are not allowed to slide but they might just “trip.”

  53. Tony- 2012 the GOP comeback the Red tide is coming says:

    And we don’t want Romney wither!!! I hope santo carries Texas!!!! I live here there alot oh GOP robots goning for Romney ughhhh!!!!

  54. Marv says:

    Hi Folks,

    Sorry for going AWOL over the last couple of weeks. I have no excuse other than the fact that I have been trying to straighten out both my slice and putter. It is a permanent work in progress.

    Did I miss anything really, seriously important?

    The Susan Fluke kerfuffle is just another example of leftist feminists getting all stirred up and outraged over something or other. BFD. If Fluke wants a sleep with every classmate at Georgetown or every potential employer after graduation, I could not care less. I just don’t want to pay for her birth control pills, that’s all.

    BTW, Fluke fits the definition of a “slut” as described by Miriam-Webster. Her momma and daddy should have raised her better.

  55. Tony- 2012 the GOP comeback the Red tide is coming says:

    We need to worry about our senete take over and the house!!! And gov!!!!

  56. DW says:

    Marv, you missed a lot of statements from worried and concerned trolls.

  57. janz says:

    #49 IMO, the opposite is true, in that what I’ve seen and heard it has been Fox in the bag for either Santorum or Gingrich. Greta, for sure, seems a Gingrich supporter.

    #31 Brandon

    I agree that the polling in AL and MS might be distorted, and with all the evangelical influence, especially AL, it may be very different than what was expected — not as tight with Gingrich picking up one or both states.

  58. janz says:


    Nice to see you again.

  59. Marv says:

    #59 DW,

    Thanks, I figured that. Whomever the GOP nominates will kick Obama’s butt and we will hold the House and capture the Senate. That’s the bottom line of this whole election cycle.

  60. Marv says:

    Hey janz,

    How goes it for you today?

  61. lisab says:


    MD left

    he is in cuba now working as a cabana boy

  62. Michael1 says:

    1. Sky-high gas prices;
    2. Israel prepping to bomb Iran;
    3. Afghanistan pull-out accelerated;
    4. VOLT has run out of gas – ha, ha!
    5. SCOTUS will invalidate ObamaCare
    6. Unemployment will be at or above
    8% on election day;
    7. Catholics will be mobilized and
    totally p.o.ed at Obama for
    disrespecting them.
    8. Summer of Recovery (II) will be more
    of a Winter of Discontent (III)
    9. Michelle will take her 50th vacation!
    10. Chinese recession will tsunami US

    President Mitt takes office Jan. 2013

  63. Marv says:


    MD did not leave. He is on a secret mission, the results of which will become manifest prior to the election… the worst possible time for Obama. Top-secret cryto reports coming in from the field indicate mission success is assured.

  64. EML says:

    Woo hoo, Binghamton is the least optimistic place in the country! We had to make up for finishing second in obesity by making sure we’re the least optimistic.

  65. lisab says:

    “7. Catholics will be mobilized and
    totally p.o.ed at Obama for
    disrespecting them.”

    not so much

  66. Bitterlaw says:

    Marv – MD’s super secret campaign mission is to take naps. Trust me.

  67. janz says:

    Marv, all is well, except there are far too many here who are on hiatus. I think the stress and differences in candidate choices are wearing people down.

    I don’t know whether this has been posted or not, but over at Hot Air they have another survey posted reflecting poster choices/opinions about MS, AL, HI and national preferences. The numbers keep shifting…..

  68. Marv says:

    #69 Bitterlaw,

    “Take naps” is a secret code term we use all the time.

  69. SUSYQUE says:

    What do you think? Should the soldier who murdered 16 Afgans some were small children get the death penalty?

  70. NYCmike says:

    43.Breaking: The chimpanzee at the Birmingham, Alabama zoo has endorsed Ron Paul.

    -He bailed on Santorum when he found out they weren’t related.

  71. Marv says:


    Yes, this is a particularly taxing campaign season. My choice was blown out early, now I’m just waiting for everyone else to make up their mind.

    Who is out on hiatus? Has anyone announced their intention to depart permanently?

  72. Tim V says:

    Some 10,215 new federal regulations from the Obama administration are costing consumers, businesses and the economy overall $46 billion annually, more than five times the regulatory price tag of former President Bush in his first three years in office. Worse: just implementing those regulations had a one-time additional cost of $11 billion, according to a Heritage Foundation analysis provided to Washington Secrets

  73. Tim V says:

    72- he served 3 tours in Iraq and also had a brain injury.

  74. janz says:


    Well MD and wes are the most talked about. But, J.T. isn’t around either. Bayern is rarely here. There are others….

  75. Bitterlaw says:

    SUSYQUE – If the UC of Military Justice provides for the death penalty for that action, the soldier should face it as a potential penalty. Let the defense do its job and prove he didn’t have the intent to do it (“insanity defense”). I’m sure that this means I’m soft but intentionally killing children (if those are the facts) is crossing a line I can’t accept.

  76. janz says:

    Ed Rendell’s assessment of Rick Santorum.

    Said Rendell: “You know, Rick over the course of time, some things he did very well, he was a great — I hate to say this, he was a great pork Senator. I would call him and say we need this, we got it. He was a great pork Senator.”

  77. bio mom says:


    That is a 5 day running poll. Reflecting the Saturday win by Santo in Kansas, that is what caused the drop for Romney who had been up by 14 or so. The Bloomberg poll out today has Romney up 10 over Santorum nationally.

  78. SUSYQUE says:

    Bitter, don’t you listen to or watch the news?
    This guy killed little children and adults and then
    burned them up. This was an innocent family, perhaps more than one family.

  79. EML says:

    Rdelbov is the one who needs to come back.

  80. janz says:

    This is a long-shot, but could pose a challenge to the encumbent dem.

    Rep. Bob Turner to challenge Gillibrand in New York Senate race.

  81. EML says:

    He’s the only one who will talk congressional races with me.

  82. Bitterlaw says:

    SUSY – I said that he should be subject to the death penalty if that is the penalty handed down. What more do you want me to say?

  83. janz says:

    #82 EML I whole-heartedly agree. But, he seems busy at the red racing horse blog, doing what he does best, which is offering his analysis of various races.

  84. janz says:

    There is a bit of a glitch in the Afghan tragedy, in that a survivor of the rampage says there was more than one man involved in killing these families.

  85. EML says:

    Oh, I didnt know he was posting elsewhere

  86. Robbie says:


    For a moment, I thought you were talking about the way Romney supporters treat anyone who doesn’t fall in line with Mitt.

  87. janz says:


    red racing horse link. It’s an interesting site which has those Congressional races you like to discuss.

  88. janz says:


    It’s more the confrontational cynicism and attitude, than being anti-Romney, that generates the flak.

  89. SUSYQUE says:

    Bitter, sorry, I misread what you posted. I hope none of our military get killed by angry afgans for these horrible murders!

  90. SUSYQUE says:

    I go to Drudge to get the news, I go to Fox news, I go to Hot Air….but there aren’t many sites where I can get the lastest news. Any up to date
    url’s I can visit?

  91. Waingro says:

    #94, honestly if you want the QUICKEST up to date news, you need to get on twitter and get a twitter gadget.

    It’s about as instantaneous as you’ll get.

  92. janz says:

    Here is a Politico piece which gives some positive spin as to why Romney has a chance to take both AL and MS today. It gives Romney supporters reason to hope for the best. However, the demographics are still not in Romney’s favor.

    Despite his painfully evident lack of comfort in the South (see “cheesy grits”), every Republican statewide official in Jackson is behind Romney, and in Alabama the front-runner enjoys support from such party pillars as House Speaker and former GOP Chairman Mike Hubbard and former Gov. Bob Riley.

    Further, Romney is the only candidate who has a sophisticated operation on the ground in the two states — the sort of operatives smart enough to have him call into Birmingham-based Paul Finebaum’s popular sports talk radio show on election eve.

    Along with a divided right, the sense of inevitability generated by Romney’s growing delegate lead and the fervent desire among Republicans here to get to the business of unseating Obama — a mere mention of doing so brought hollering Alabama Republicans to their feet Monday night at the candidate’s forum — it all may be enough to propel Romney to a narrow pair of victories.

  93. EML says:

    I still maintain that AL and MS dont shape up well for Romney, demographically speaking. If he manages to squeeze out a win in either one of them, thats a real testament to his organization and discipline. Hard to see anyone other than Romney winning if he can take such a challenging state.

  94. SusyQue says:

    janz…I feel blessed because you are so adept at getting good and timely information . You and bio mom are skilled posters! Oh, yes, and Annie, too and Tina and Lisab…. (:-)

  95. SusyQue says:

    #95…Waingro….does it cost money? I’d like to check it out.
    Were do I go first. I am not into facebook. I have a iMac computer.

  96. EML says:

    PPP out with a rescue poll for Obama and Santorum in PA:

    Obama job approval

    Obama 49%
    Romney 42%

    Obama 48%
    Santorum 46%

    Obama 47%
    Paul 41%

    Obama 51%
    Gingrich 39%

  97. Annie says:

    Romney will take most of California, as the poll shows – there are some districts up way north (Shasta, Yuba, Tehema, etc) that might go to either Santorum or Gingrich – but most will go for Romney.

  98. EML says:

    PA GOP Primary (PPP)

    Santorum 43%
    Romney 25%
    Gingrich 13%
    Paul 9%

  99. NYCmike says:

    SUSYQUE on Twitter – a match made in Heaven!

  100. janz says:

    Thanks, susy.

  101. Mr Fluke says:

    98.janz…I feel blessed because you are so adept at getting good and timely information . You and bio mom are skilled posters! Oh, yes, and Annie, too and Tina and Lisab…. (:-)

    “This list is sexist! We shall not stand for it!”

  102. NYCmike says:

    101.Romney will take most of California, as the poll shows – there are some districts up way north (Shasta, Yuba, Tehema, etc) that might go to either Santorum or Gingrich – but most will go for Romney.

    -I don’t know if California is assured for Romney. The few Republicans left seem to be more conservative than most, which is why they are so powerless there!

  103. Ben Romney says:

    SD Primary and President:

    Romney: 33%
    Santorum: 24%
    Paul: 09%

    45% Santorum
    33% Obama

    44% Romney
    35% Obama

    NBP released Friday the results of a poll it conducted between Feb. 15-17. Officials say they selected registered South Dakota voters are random. The question on choosing a GOP candidate drew 302 responses, with a margin of error of 5.64 percent. The question on a head-to-head race drew 559 responses, with a margin of error of 4.15 percent.

  104. Ben Romney says:

    Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

    Approve …………………………………………………. 47%
    Disapprove……………………………………………… 47%

    Barack Obama………………………………………… 48%
    Rick Santorum………………………………………… 46%

    Barack Obama………………………………………… 47%
    Ron Paul ………………………………………………… 41%

    Barack Obama………………………………………… 49%
    Mitt Romney……………………………………………. 42%

    Barack Obama………………………………………… 51%
    Newt Gingrich …………………………………………. 39%