Obama Leads in NJ, Corbett Down in PA

Fox News came out with a new poll yesterday showing Mitt Romney clearly the most electable candidate among the Republican field.

Barack Obama (D-inc) 46%
Mitt Romney (R) 42%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 51%
Rick Santorum (R) 39%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 53%
Newt Gingrich (R) 35%

Mitt Romney 38%
Rick Santorum 32%
Newt Gingrich 13%
Ron Paul 12%

This poll was done March 10-12 among 942 registered voters. We have a new poll from Fairleigh Dickinson University for the state of New Jersey this morning showing Barack Obama leading all the Republican candidates by double digits.

Barack Obama (D-inc) 50%
Mitt Romney (R) 37%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 52%
Ron Paul (R) 34%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 56%
Newt Gingrich (R) 29%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 54%
Rick Santorum (R) 33%

This poll was done March 5-11 among 800 registered voters. Quinnipiac University has a new poll on the job approval rating for Republican Governor Tom Corbett of Pennsylvania.

Approve 41%
Disapprove 41%

This poll was done March 7-12 among 1256 registered voters.

We are just waiting for those Illinois polls to start rolling in any day now….

Don’t forget, all picks in The Hedgehog Report NCAA Tournament Challenge have to be put in before Noon today.

Posted by Dave at 7:32 am
Filed under: General | Comments (98)

98 Responses to “Obama Leads in NJ, Corbett Down in PA”

  1. Bitterlaw says:


  2. Bitterlaw says:

    Thread rule- vote on the following: The first 2 days of March Madness are awesome. I vote “yes.”

  3. Tim says:

    I vote “yes”, as well.

  4. Tim says:

    I wonder if any posters are gonna be dissing “liberal plants” like myself and Karl Rove, today? LOL

  5. Tim V says:

    I am depressed again. It sucks.

  6. Rockefeller Republican says:

    Geepers, Dave once again you seem only interested in blogging re: polls that portend bad news… Stop emulating the media spin, Dave!

    I also affirm that this year’s edition of The Dance will be an all-time classic… My Final Four:

    Ohio St
    Mich St

  7. Tim V says:

    syracuse- who needs a center

  8. mnw says:

    RumpRider Jay

    Did you admire Rocky’s pals Javits, Keating & Goodell also?

    Are they “Rockefeller Republicans” like you, that you admire?

    What is the “g-word” that you CLAIM you called Tina instead of the c-word, Jay?

  9. Tim V says:

    i think the g-word he used to describe tina was “gorgeous”

  10. SoHope - Nazi Slayer says:

    I already asked what the g-word was and got no answer.

  11. david says:

    Evidently, Republicans in AL and Mississppi do not read polls.

  12. lt says:

    Republicans are about to screw themselves again.

  13. Brandon says:


  14. Harry says:

    I was very excited by Sharon Angle in 2010. Her stark contrast was very much appreciated. She was my choice for the nomination hands down!

  15. Brandon says:


    Obama: 46%
    Romney: 43%

    Obama: 45%
    Santorum: 43%

  16. Harry says:

    A poll with a few deadenders refusing to crossover for Romney.

  17. Bitterlaw says:

    What is the “g-word” that you CLAIM you called Tina instead of the c-word, Jay?

    Comment by mnw — March 15, 2012 @ 8:12 am

    The word was “gash” and was used against lisab. If it had been directed towards Tina, he would have disappeared permanently. Tina has “friends.”

  18. AuthorLMendez, Liberterian For Mitt Romney says:

    i’d say that FL poll equals a virtual tie, but I gotta say if thats Obamas numbers right now in my state what does that say about Nelsons chances that hes losing as bad as he is

  19. Brandon says:

    Puerto Rico is winner takes all if a candidate gets 50%. If not, it’s proportional.

  20. Bitterlaw says:

    Brandon – look out! The Chief Justice is in chains!*

    *It doesn’t take much to drive Add away again.

  21. Brandon says:

    Don’t worry, I’ve been practice “Mein Fuhrer” all day in preparation.

  22. DW says:

    Down to my last pick and really struggling with it…Temple or South Florida…thoughts?

  23. Bitterlaw says:

    DW – Seriously/ As Bill Cosby says, “Get yourself up for the Temple Challenge!” They are a Sweet 16 Team. After that? Who knows?

  24. Scott says:

    The New Jersey FDU Poll shows Obama underperforming 2008.
    The FOX Poll shows Romney inching 1% closer to Obama on a month to month basis.
    The RAS Florida Poll shows Obama’s FL re-elect in the mid-40’s amid all the “noise” emanating from the GOP primary.(The same with yesterday’s PA Poll.)
    Don’t despair.

  25. Barrett says:

    Santard down by 12 % to Zero….


  26. DW says:

    24….yeah, but my fear is that south florida is going to get up for Temple, and the owls will score only 19 points in the first half.

  27. Bitterlaw says:

    DW – That is why they play the games. Temple has a very good coach – basketball lifer Fran Dunphy. As they say in the ads- He’s Fran-tastic!.

  28. DW says:

    I hear you Bitter…its just a really tough call…I am not anti-Temple..just trying to get the right pick. I know that Cal could be beaten by a high-school girls team, so I am not necessarily influenced by how USF destroyed Cal, but with Temple’s strength being offense, and USF’s strength defense, and with USF’s normally horrible offense suddenly coming to life…this is a tough call.

  29. Monetarist says:

    Haha, Rockefeller troll exposes himself as a moron.

    SDSU and Georgetown are in the same bracket. Only one can make the final four.


  30. Hall Monitor says:

    What foolishness is this?
    I think it rather immature for grown men to throw
    body-part names for women around. It is exceedingly degrading to any female. Why do you even go there! Some posters here like to play these silly back and forth insults as if that were relevant in any way or uplifting to any decent person. Where is your personal dignity? Having the privilege to blog and post seems to reveal a persons character more than you think. Do you remember when you wined and dined the woman you were dating and you realized you wanted her to be your wife and to have your children?
    A good woman is a gift you are to treasure all you life and she will do you good as long as she has life in her.

  31. Jerry muthertruckin' Cruncher says:

    Mizzou wins it all

  32. janz says:

    Apparently Newt is finally getting interested in participating in the territories, and is sending a daughter to PR for two days, who, BTW, is fluent in Spanish. Santorum has gone over there as well. So, everyone is vying for the PR vote, or so it seems. I believe the gov. there has already endorsed Romney.

  33. DW says:

    once again, I post the percentages won by each candidate thus far, and the percentage needed to win from here on out to get to the magic number. Only Romney could actually do worse than he has thus far and still win the nomination:

    –Percentage of delegates won so far
    7% Paul
    15% Newt
    25% Rick
    53% Mitt

    –Percentage needed from here on out:
    80% Paul
    75% Newt
    68% Rick
    48% Mitt

  34. bio mom says:

    It won’t help Santorum to have said, as reported yesterday, that if they want to become a state they should speak English, or something along those lines.

  35. SUSYQUE says:


    Romney Set to Dominate Race Through April

    It’s fair to ask how Romney’s position can be so strong after finishing third in the two major primaries held on Tuesday, Alabama and Mississippi. The most important thing anyone can do on any primary night is to remember the calendar — not the primary schedule but the general election date. The two Deep South primaries appear critical, yet they will be long forgotten by Labor Day, much less Nov. 6. Barring a massive, difficult to fathom shift in this contest, Mitt Romney has a better than 80% chance to be the GOP nominee. No amount of wild tapping on CNN’s magic wall will alter those odds.

  36. MFG says:

    35 bio mom

    It’s classical tone deaf Santorum

    I actually agree with him but to go to PR and say that


  37. Bitterlaw says:

    Let’s speed up this round of March Madness. Just play the last 2 minutes of the game with the score tied and each team having 7 fouls. That’s what this round usually comes down to in at least 20 of 32 games.

  38. DW says:

    I am still waiting to hear from anybody how Rick Santorum suddenly goes from getting 25% of the delegates to getting 68% from here on out.

  39. Waingro says:

    That Ras Florida poll is troubling. I guess Mitt may indeed really need Rubio.

  40. MFG says:

    DW 40

    Logic? Reasoning? What’s that?

    Pope Ricky has a SONG and that’ll do it!!

  41. DW says:

    39…what I think is funny are these fools who spend $20 on a website that promises “insider info” on who will win these games. Yeah…Right. What insider knows that some guy is going commit a stupid foul with .1 second left…or some team is down by two, and a guy steals the ball and heaves a desperation three that banks off the glass and in for the win. These games are notoriously unpredictable once you get into the the seeds 4 – 13.

  42. MFG says:

    Jesus wants you to kick single mothers in the ass…

  43. DW says:

    41…wait for Mason-Dixon to poll FL.

  44. janz says:

    The Puerto Rico wild card

    The above article gives a good summary of this little known territory.

    Apparently PR has just switched from a caucus to primary election. The people here have a history of higher voter turn-out, at least for their own elections, than the U.S. — 52% to our 39% average. This, though, will be one of their first times being involved in a presidential race, and so it is drawing more interest, and apparently more candidate participation, as well.

  45. Bitterlaw says:

    DW- I have won pools in 3 different years and I barely follow college basketball. As long as 13 of your Sweet 16 teams are alive after this round, you are in good shape.

  46. DW says:

    48…a common error people make in their selections is to not spend enough time analyzing the matchups between titan teams deep into the bracket. It does little good to get the first round mostly right, but then fail to get any teams to the final four. This year, I think that many will make the mistake of picking strange teams to make the final four after the wild tourney last year. But as I see this year, I see very few cinderellas, as the titan teams will stop.

  47. janz says:

    DW, while I agree the percentages of what Santorum needs to beat Romney are daunting, what he is running on is voter perception, which can be distorted to his favor.

    With every win Santorum comes out like a loud parrot squawking about how he is the true conservative and is ripping Romney to shreds. The far right goes, “Yeah! ” and believes they are not only on the high road in their support, but the winning road.

    And, so what we end up with is this very contested, long, bitter, flamboyant primary which the dems deride as “the clown show.”

  48. Bitterlaw says:

    DW – I like the combination of gambling strategy and faith. For that reason, you are today’s Favorite Evangelical.

  49. Waingro says:

    It sounds like Santo made what I would call a gaffe during his trip to Puerto Rico, calling for a requirement to speak English to obtain statehood.

    While I agree with him, that was NOT the time and place to be espousing that!

  50. MFG says:

    Waingro, my wife is Hispanic and my biological family has all passed away so it’s just me, my Hispanic wife and dozens of Hispanic in-laws

    How they’ll hear what Santorum said: “If you colored people would just learn to speak English maybe we could make some progress in this country.”

    BRUTAL gaffe

    Pope Ricky is as tone deaf a politician as I have ever seen…

  51. MFG says:

    I’ve had the “For Christ’s sake would you please speak English!” argument with my wife

    Trust me, the conversation doesn’t go well…

  52. bio mom says:

    Actually Jon King’s impressive primary map indicates that Santorum cannot get the delegates, barring a total collapse by Romney. He illustrated this on CNN last night.

  53. Emerica says:

    Santorum says he will Crack Down On Gay Pornography

    America is suffering a pandemic of harm from pornography. A wealth of research is now available demonstrating that pornography causes profound brain changes in both children and adults, resulting in widespread negative consequences.

  54. SUSYQUE says:

    #50..janz…Hi…did you have a chance to go to the URL I posted? (#36) If so, what do you think about what Sabato said about Romney?

  55. MFG says:

    I read an academic theory once that porn availability in the culture reduces rape…

    At any rate, I think it’s fantastic that we have a nominee discussing gay pornography

    Surefire winner…

  56. MFG says:


  57. Barrett says:

    So Rick Santorum basically goes to PR and says “NO” to statehood, because they’ll never fully adopt english.

    The guy is so fuqqing backwards. Our gas prices are skyrocketing, our economy stinks, our international situation doesn’t look so hot.

    Yet all he wants to do is talk about stricter conditions of statehood, limiting womens rights, and changing the rules on contraceptives.

    The man is sick, delusional, and off track. He should not have received a single delegate from this ridiculous process

  58. bio mom says:

    I actually blame this primary mess on guys like Bill Krystol and Steve Hayes, the “more respectable” conservative pundits. When things just started, it was pretty much a foregone conclusion that Romney would be the nominee. Then these guys started objecting. “Why the rush? Why coronate someone? etc. etc.” At that time they were pushing Bachman, Perry, or Gingrich with Santorum an afterthought. Just for their own ideological reasons and their desire to antagonize Romney, they helped initiate this turmoil and now see what they have unleashed. This same likely nominee has had to spend a zillion dollars and time fending off his own party members instead of reserving these resources for the general election and going after Obama. I find I can hardly bear to listen to them anymore on Fox. I often change the channel.

  59. MFG says:

    I love the comments to the article:

    “Mitt, is that you?”

    “I can hear his italian ancestors now, “whatsa matter you, boy? Credo que sono pazzi!! Maka di peeples speaka di inglesa so dey can vota for you?”

    “El Santo beginning to catch up with Mitt in the Gaffe Count. Go, GOP dynamic duo!”

  60. bio mom says:

    My above list also includes Laura Ingraham and Michelle Malkin.

  61. Brandon says:


    Romney: 51%
    Obama: 40%

    Santorum: 45%
    Obama: 44%

  62. dinglewoodnorwoodbill says:

    Yet another poll where Santorum loses by TWO in FL, while in the same state for the general against Obama when ROMNEY is the foe, Mittens is down THREE points.

    Of course, we all know Williard is more electable, eh?

  63. MFG says:

    Pope Ricky would make Utah a swing state…

  64. Bitterlaw says:

    I don’t care if American citizens speak Klingon as long as they can also speak English when necessary.

  65. Emerica says:

    Puerto Ricans rejected statehood in votes in 1967, 1993 and 1998.

    No federal income taxes but most of the benefits.

    I doubt they like Rick’s plan for them to speak only English.

  66. Barrett says:

    #66 – Electability indeed!

  67. MFG says:

    No to PR statehood

    Two more Communist Senators? No thank you…

  68. NYCmike says:

    “39.Let’s speed up this round of March Madness. Just play the last 2 minutes of the game with the score tied and each team having 7 fouls. That’s what this round usually comes down to in at least 20 of 32 games.”

    -Isn’t most of the fun in the “getting there”??

  69. Barrett says:

    #69 – I believe that’s a fair assessment

  70. janz says:

    Here is a less than glowing prediction, from Sean Trende, of Romney’s ability to reach the delegate count needed, saying while it’s not impossible it’s also not a slam dunk either.

    Tuesday’s primary changed nothing

  71. Bitterlaw says:

    MFG – I thought the Governor of PR was a Republican. I guess the GOP can win there after all.

  72. pitchaboy says:

    1. RAS is a great national pollster, terrible state pollster.
    2. Obama is not winning FL.
    3. RAS GE matchup has Romney in a 47-45 lead as Republicans have consolidated behind him if he is the nominee.

  73. MFG says:

    You’ll never see a Republican senator from PR

  74. janz says:

    #58 susy

    Thanks for reminding me of your earlier Sabato’s post. I had not read it, and did find it a more positive counter balance to Sean Trende’s analysis of the race. Although, I disagree with Sabato that WI is in the bag for Romney.

  75. DW says:

    75…Romney didn’t win AL or MS. So what…he got about 40% of the delegates on a day where the two biggest prizes where states he was figured to struggle in. All he needs is 48% from here on out to win. The calendar will soon be much more favorable to him, and he will start knocking down states, grabbing high 50s in percentage of delegates available. As that happens, his minimal needed will continue to drop from 48% down to the low fourties, and so on. This primary is over.

  76. SUSYUE says:

    #63…I agree with what you have posted. I can’t listen to most of talk radio or TV anymore on FOX. I do like to listen to Hugh Hewitt
    he has an outstanding mix of information and guests on what’s happening now. M_F for three hours. 3-6 PST

  77. NYCmike says:

    55.I’ve had the “For Christ’s sake would you please speak English!” argument with my wife

    Trust me, the conversation doesn’t go well…

    She is funny, AND, she is HOT!!!

  78. MFG says:


    No comment….

  79. SUSYUE says:

    #80…DW…encouraging message. Thanks!

  80. SUSYQUE says:

    #82…NYC…I guess she is the new CHA_CHA, coucy-couchy.

  81. Tim says:

    That should not have happened. She didn’t deserve to be be called a name like that.

  82. janz says:

    Santorum’s whining is getting noticed.

    Don Surber writes, “Let’s see, the Republican Establishment is against him, Matt Drudge is against him and now Fox News is against him. Maybe the problem is not that they are shilling for Mitt but rather that they are chilling to Rick.”

  83. NYCmike says:

    #85 – she is a very funny woman, on a very funny show. But she is not so overly sexual as ChaCha was, which is good.

  84. DW says:

    hundreds of thousands of clean and perfect NCAA brackets are about to be trashed.

  85. DrJay says:

    MFG says:
    March 15, 2012 at 11:21 am

    No to PR statehood

    Two more Communist Senators? No thank you…

    maybe if they split California or Illinois into two states as well…

  86. janz says:

    Everybody has a different way at looking at this primary and their own strategies in how to win it. Here, ABC News, takes a crack at it by saying, Do the math: Santorum’s best shot may be Gingrich’s remaining in the race.

    “The key to Santorum’s strategy is to keep Romney’s delegate count low and keep Santorum close,” says GOP strategist Soren Dayton, who worked with a number of current Santorum advisers on the McCain campaign in 2008. While Santorum would rather go it alone in some winner-take-all states like Wisconsin and Maryland (April 3), having Gingrich in the running supports the broader strategy.

  87. SUSYQUE says:

    #87…janz…Good! Surber wrote a great last line!

  88. Emerica says:

    No, Newt has been hurting Santorum for sure.

    Romney has 38% of the popular vote (even though Virginia probably should be excluded) while Santorum has 26%.

    If Newt had gotten out long ago, Santorum may have passed Romney already.

  89. janz says:

    In the meantime, Obama is dressing up his own campaign by paying $20,300 per minute for a 17 minute documentary, with the address of the check belonging to Guggenheim Productions, Inc., in Washington D.C.

  90. Annie says:

    My diatribe for the morning, a reminder for all those who think Santorum or Gingrich are of presidential timber:

    Mitt Romney is the only fiscal conservative in the GOP race. Rick Santorum simply does not have the experience in fiscal policy or management that is needed to turn our economy around. As a former junior senator, Santorum has relatively the same experience that Obama had four years ago. As a person who favored considerable earmark spending, supported unions, and was labeled “one of the most corrupt Senators” for his use of Federal money for personal gains, Santorum has a background that will be a disadvantage in a general election. As an “in-your-face” social conservative, who has made many questionable remarks concerning privacy issues and separation of church and state, Santorum has alienated a wide swath of the people who will vote in November. Like Newt Gingrich, Santorum has never held an executive position, been responsible for managing a state or national budget, been the commander-in-chief of a state National Guard – Mitt Romney is the only GOP candidate has that experience in his resume. Newt Gingrich has never held a statewide elected office, and was well-known for his disorganization and lack of keen management skills while serving as Speaker. The balancing of the budget that Gingrich takes credit for was largely the work of John Kasich. As a person who has run-up bills at Tiffany’s, took large sums of money from Freddie Mac, and had difficulties in his personal life, Gingrich has too much baggage for hope of success in a general election. Moreover, Gingrich has shown himself to be a vindictive personality. As a lawyer, MBA, successful businessman and former governor, only Mitt Romney has a resume that can compete with a sitting president. It is time for the Republicans to stop fighting and prepare for the campaign to defeat Obama in November. The continuing vitriol between GOP factions is becoming detrimental to the party, not just in the presidential race, but for candidates down the ticket.

  91. Barrett says:

    #80 – Mitt won last Tuesday. He received the most delegates. He’s ahead of Santorum by more than two fold.

    I believe he needs to win 40% of the remaining delegates, and thus far he’s won 43.5%. If he keeps up the pace, he has it, but it’s going to be close.

  92. Annie says:

    Emerica – Poll after poll shows that in a one-on-one match-up between Romney and Santorum, Romney wins.