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Open Thread SaturdayFrom a Newt Gingrich campaign email today: …the Romney forces are worried, worried that the frontrunner’s weakness is surfacing again in the Republican primaries. Yup, I’m worried…. Anyway, here is an open thread. I will be paying a visit to my baseball neighbors to the south at Nationals Park….
793 Responses to “Open Thread Saturday” |
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1st
Hey Newt, even the MSM has moved on from the primary, that should be your first clue.
I think my Southcentral PA vote on Tuesday will pull Romney over the top. I know MD will disagree.
Apparently Newt is counting on my state, Delaware, to start his comeback. Two votes for Romney in my household.
What is the “True Conservative” smoking?
Reason 10023 that you shouldn’t trust Wikipedia:
Wikipedia says Mitt Romney’s running mate is Chris Christie(right hand box):
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2012
I see Barry is back up to 50% approval in Ras and leads Mitt for first time in a week. Looks like Mitt’s “presumptive nominee” bump is over. Time to roll back up the sleeves!
John Kasich has always been high on my list though no longer a household name.
The Constitution Party is holding their nominating convention today. From what I can tell, Former Congressman Virgil Goode is the front-runner.
Gallup says Obama 13th quarter is up to 45.9%
But the devil is in the details…
President Obama’s job approval rating averaged 45.9% in his 13th quarter in office, recovering to where it was before his support dropped last summer and fall. His average remains below that of presidents who were re-elected.
Kasich has been a disaster for GOP in Ohio. He overreached at the wrong time.
” Tax Bill: 46% in U.S. say their taxes are too high; 47% say about right”
So even Kory the math genius would come to the conclusion only 7% think they should be paying more…..
Kasich’s popularity has been recovering nicely.
“Disaster” is a gross exaggeration.
Ok, “disaster” was overstated hyperbole, but there is no question the collective bargaining push caused a lot of harm.
Time for John to do some trolling.
3,2,1……
Fair enough.
John is out stealing Romney lawn signs today and left me in charge.
But he wants you to know that Florida, Ohio, Virginia and North Carolina are in the bag for Obama.
Little known fact. Of the original members in The Band, Levon Helm was the only American. The rest were Canadian. The song “The Night They Drive Old Dixie Down” was written by a Canadian.
Yesterday,there was a discussion about how much Obama would carry the Philly area by in November.The range was a minimum of 300,000 to 450,000.Can anyone inform us by how much Sestak won the area over Toomey in the 2010 Senate election?
3 days of rain coming. I just put down the fertilizer on my grass Thursday so this is good timing.
We want to get our message in too. All college students will vote for Obama because if we don’t pay them back it’s not a problem, all will be forgiven. Since there are a lot of colleges in NC, it will be a slam dunk.
Well we are off to see Obama now to see what else we can get for nothing. I am sure he will offering something in his speech, he does every time.
Sestak got 357k against 68k for Toomey in Philadelphia Co.
Scott
Sestak beat Toomey 350K to 66K
http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/results/senate
Hmmm… thanks trolls, I was just about to post that.
Montgomery Sestak 155k Toomey 131k
Delawae Sestak 113k Toomey 88k
Bucks Sestak 107k Toomey 121k
Chester Sestak 80k Toomey 92k
Berks Sestak 50k Toomey 62k
Sorry – my info was still with 98% reporting. Since the R won, the NY Times see the need to update the info.
Still, that is a huge margin and will be wider in a general. It perfectly illustrates our problem in PA.
For my #4: Make that 3 Romney votes from my family. My oldest daughter lives in Delaware too and will vote for Romney. And she is one of those unmarried women who supposedly should dislike him. She really dislikes Obama.
Is ras using 5 day tracing like gallup? I find that really confusing.
If montco and delco were still red strongholds we would have a much better chance.
Scott
Check out Dave Leip’s site. R’s are blue and D’s are red:
http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html
Therein lies the problem. Even though Toomey won counties that went for Obama like Berks, Bucks, and Chester he still only squeaked by.
And Toomey won almost over 65% of the vote in bigger counties like Lancaster, Cumberland and York and 75% in the smaller counties in SouthCentral PA.
Almost over? Where is my coffee…
Heh
I still remember that night. I predicted Toomey by 4 and Corbett by 8. Philly always reports in first so I knew Shistak would have a big lead. However, I was stunned by the turnout. I had expected it to be about 15 to 20% lower. So, he had a much bigger lead than I thought. I started to sweat that one out. Toomey didn’t take the lead until around 10:20 pm. I was thinking 9:30. Phoenix was talking me off the ledge.
jason – Romney is going to have to win by the same margin in all the smaller counties with increased turnout and is going to have to do very well in the inner ring burbs. It is possible but far from probable.
MD and Others:
So what is the maximum number of votes in Philadelphia County that Romney can lose by and still win the State?
I assume Romney will do pretty well in the western part of PA because of the coal industry.
#27- bio mom
Ras uses a three day track for his diaiy tracking poll numbers.
Yep, Allegheny, Philadelphia, Montgomery and Delaware are where the Dems build up big margins that are hard to overcome.
Corbett on the other hand was able to tie Onorato in Allegheny and keep it very close in Delaware (53-47) and Montgomery (52-48). He even got 18% of the vote in Philly.
His margins in the R areas of the state were huge, in neighboring Perry county here it was 80-20. Lancaster he won 106k – 43k, over 70%.
34. Essentially Romney will have to try to do well in Montgomery, Allegheny, Delaware say not lose by more than 10. I think that is where the election will be decided. In 2008 McCain lost these counties by 20, 15 and 22 respectively.
The four biggest counties for Obama gave him a lead of about 700K votes and he won by 620k.
Scott – I have done about 15 different scenarios. I was able to squeak out a narrow (very narrow) win with Obama taking Philly by 425K but I was stretching the bounds of reality in a lot of other ways.
Realistically, we somehow need to get that margin down to 375K to have a shot. It wouldn’t be a guarantee but it would be a very long night. Honestly, I don’t see that happening.
Speaking of PA, Romney and Rubio will be having an event in Delco on Monday.
jason – I sense that the more you look into this the more you come to my conclusion.
Brandon – Where exactly? I have work (I work in Montco right now although most of my firm is in Chesco) but could sneak away.
Everyone is all gaga over the Washington Nats. Well they have Strausberg at a 160K innings pitched limit. Halladay, Lee and Hamels have no such limit. Good luck surviving August and September.
I took a look at the 2008 electoral map for Illinois. Obama won a lot of Downstate counties that usually vote Republican in presidential years.
I would be that this year he’ll be hardpressed to carry any county other than Cook and St. Clair. Might be enough to win–Quinn managed to do it in 2010.
But I really don’t think Illinois will be a slam dunk for O.
This ABC report doesn’t say where and I haven’t been able to find out exactly:
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio will campaign with Mitt Romney on Monday for the first time this election, ABC News has learned.
Romney and Rubio will hold an event in Delaware County, Pennsylvania on Monday, outside Philadelphia.
Rubio endorsed Romney in late March during an appearance on Fox News.
“It’s increasingly clear that Mitt Romney’s going to be the Republican nominee,” Rubio said. “We’ve got to come together behind who I think has earned this nomination and that’s Mitt Romney.”
Rubio, who often appears high on lists of potential vice presidential candidates, said Thursday that he would turn down the offer if Romney asked him to be on the GOP ticket this fall.
http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/04/romney-and-rubio-to-campaign-together-for-first-time-next-week/
MD
Obama carried Philadelphia County by about 475,000 votes in 2008.Where do you see the 100,000 narrowing down to a net 375,000 votes coming from?
41. Well, yes and no. You have to use the Corbett model for Romney, not Toomey.
If Romney runs as well as Corbett he can win even considering its not a mid-term election, Corbett’s margin was that big.
Even figuring the GE will bring a million more voters than the mid-term, and Obama will benefit mostly, he wouldn’t make up the 360k differential Corbett got.
I don’t see the margin in Phila county as the key. I see the margins in Allegheny, Montgomery and Delaware as the key.
There are swing voters in those counties, virtually none in Phila county.
” But I really don’t think Illinois will be a slam dunk for O.”
Sorry George, but I do.
Smaller margin, same result.
Can someone explain to me why the GOP hasn’t come up with a plan to counter Obama on the idiotic Buffet rule?
Here is an idea: Next time Obama says we need to raise Buffet’s taxes from 15% to 30% for “fairness,” we should ask: how does raising Buffet’s taxes help anyone in the middle class?
We should then counter by saying the better way to eliminate the inequity is to REDUCE everyone’s tax rate to Buffet’s rate at 15%. Pretty much a flat tax, but keep the 10% bracket.
Of course, Obama will say that is a tax cut for the rich, but that will be a hard pivot since he has been running around for a year now saying the rich only pay 15%.
Even Democrats and the MSM have admitted the Buffet Rule is a gimmick.
Yeah, but it is a great way to propose a large tax cut while putting Obama in a box.
Must be an outlier with ras though no question the impact of the primary will linger with some permanent damage. We should have been up by 6 right now.
If Obammer makes an appearance at a ballgame, instead of the crowd booing him, I think they should all start barking and howling.
*********************************
If Obammer loses the election, then maybe he and Michael Vick could team up and start a restaurant chain serving dog meat.
Had Bush carrired Bucks, Lehigh and Northampton, and held Kerry to 54% in Delaware and Montgomery, he would have carried PA. That doesn’t factor in the gains McCain actually made out west in the Pittsburgh area.
Romney’s challenge is in 4 steps.
Step 1- flip back all the counties Bush won in 04 but McCain lost. Relatively easy with the current mood of the state.
Step 2- build on McCain’s gains in the west, a la Corbett and Toomey’s performance. Also easy with the mood.
Step 3 is where things get tricky- flip Bucks, Lehigh, Northampton. Toomey barely did it, match Toomey here at the least and you are almost there.
Step 4 hold Obama to 54% in Montgo, Delaware, Allegheny. So match or beat Toomey in these counties.
Romney would win the state by 50,000k.
It is possible but requires a lot of effort. If Ohio continues to be stubborn I strongly suggest Romney invest heavily in PA with a good ground game and targeting the upper-middle class suburban vote in SE PA. If Romney comes within 5% of Obama here (down from the catastrophic 16% loss by McCain), he becomes a narrow favorite.
With ras and with gallup, it is always just the math. So if there is a sample one day that is more positive for Obama, it will also make him score higher against Romney. Replacing a Tuesday with a Friday which for some reason always seems to be a good day for Obama more often than not, this is the result. I also think that the deadenders in the consrrvative family have not bought into Romney yet if they ever will and that hurts him in these trackers.
Yesterday, O. Hatch was on Greta and spoke of the disingenuous
comments of Armey’s Tea Party. He said their accusations were completely false. He spoke of his record with specifics. Any comments on that?
#8:
High on your list of what?
#54:
You think the dogs would crap on the windshield?
Oh, wait………
#50:
My guess would be they don’t have one.
Another survey this morning for the Lugar- Mourdock race. A likely voter poll. After ascertaining that I was a likely voter, and asking some filler questions, I told them I never heard of Mourdock.
I really love wasting their time. Third time I’ve been polled in the last two weeks.
By November, Tebow will hold a revival and will have converted a third of New York and half of Jersey. Romney will win Jersey and lose New York in a squeaker.
Book it.
Rasmussen is an Obama troll. Brandon told me so.
46 – Scott
I think you misunderstood me. Our margin of loss in Philly needs to be 375K or less to win the state realistically.
We are going to do MUCH better in places like Chester, Berks, Lehigh, Daulphin and Bucks counties. Also, the very small counties we should do marginally better as well although the room for improvement is less. Increased turnout there will be key. The challenge is that the turnout is already very high in those places. We are going to have to have turnout exceed 90% in many of the smaller, dark red counties.
Happy birthday to her majesty the Queen…
Happy birthday to Thomas Kean…
47 – this is where we disagree. I think he does run as a Corbett type but that makes it close, perhaps very close. If you do the math, county by county you will see that Philly really is the key. Madonna thinks 350K or less dooms Obama. He is right but that is an unbelievably tall order for the GOP to make up. Again, run the scenarios and look at all factors – 08 turnout included.
Montco and Delco could be the key if they have 20% + swings from 08 (which I don’t see) plus 20% from Chester, Bucks and Lehigh (tall order but not impossible). All the makings of a close race again but another loss.
If PA isn’t called by 9:30 though, then we will have a very good night despite a close loss. For the House, look at 6, 7 and 8. They will be the bell weathers for the overall House race. If we keep all 3 by healthy margins then we are in great shape in the House.
I don’t think Jeb Bush would be a wize choice for VP. Too early for another Bush in 2016
66 – Allow me to amend 65. What I meant was decreasing Obama’s margin of victory from 478K to 350K is a very difficult task.
#67…*wise
55 – If I had wings I could fly.
MD, does voter ID shave anything off the top? or will it be ignored there anyway?
Every election cycle we have these fool’s gold discussions about PA, ME-2, WI and even MI being somehow in play. So tiring. So passe. Unless we are talking national landslide, these states are not in play and any discussion that they are is purely academic.
And yes, I recall how toomey squeaked PA in a banner gop year. I am not seeing that same confluence of factors for the general this time around.
Romney’s biggest plus may be a dawning perception that the economy MAY be headed south again.
But it’s kind of like Dr. Strangelove: will the missile deflect fast enuf?
A mid-term does not equate to a general especially with a minority POTUS. The turnout for AA’s in the mid’s in PA was way down. That will not be the case this time and Obama gets 98% of that vote (probably closer to 100%).
The scenario painted above in 55 in incredibly unrealistic. Spend money in PA, OK but understand why and it isn’t to win. A 30% shot here. Go all in on OH.
Was anyone else as utterly disgusted as I was with the DA’s grandstanding cross examination of zimmermann yesterday. Since when the phuck is it the accused’s obligation to apologize to the victim immediately in a case where said accused is claiming self-defense. This da needs to be disbarred for his racially incendiary and utterly worthless cross ex. Judge saw through the bs by setting bond at 150k.
71 – Doc
The powers that be in Philly have already said they would ignore the law and PA doesn’t have the resources to enforce it.
That DA had an awful day. Honestly, based on everything I have now seen there is no way he will be found guilty of that particular charge. A lessor charge maybe.
For PA, hope for a nor’easter blizzard in philly coupled with a gotv hertofore unseen in size and scope and tech by romney coupled with a double dip coupled with a hail mary. I think that might do it.
61 – Mael
The only problem is that it looks very likely that Lugar will lose and it may not be very close. All momentum and enthusiasm is on the side of Mourdock. I happen to think he can and will win quite easily in the general. Having done some research he is NOT COD, Angle or Buck.
Will the panthers be back at the polls with their billy clubs? The precedent has been set.
Lugar is basically lautenburg. It’s time for him to go and enjoy retirement. He is exhibit a for term limits
That was overblown a bit but they should have been charged. With Holder at the helm though that was never going to happen.
If I am the zimmermann judge, this case gets tossed at prelim. Shameful prosecutors. Utterly shameful.
He & Specter can split a suite at the RINO Assisted Living Center.
I’m guessing that if the skinheads had showed up with billy clubs, they’d be in jail fast enough to make your head spin.
When these guys start to act like they “own” the seat until they literally die, it’s time to primary them.
Dylan – I don’t think it will get tossed but that will be due to PC, not the facts.
I am having dinner tonight with a group of LA liberals who love Holder. I just don’t get it. Even if you are a die hard liberal, Holder is so substandard by all measures. I would rather have reno.
I so wish zimmerman had not gotten out of that car. I’m sure he does too.
I mean this in every sense, except racially—the martin family’s grandstanding lawyer is a joke and utterly embarrasing to the bar of which he is a member.
I just voted in NC on yesterday for Barack Obama, Walter Dalton, and “Against” the “Marriage Amendment.” The new GOP Majority from 2010 has made massive education cuts in NC, and laid off thousands of teachers, as well as focused on social issues like this amendment. Romney will not win NC, because we are not that stupid.
i thin you guys are forgetting that trayvon was black and unarmed
since when is it legal to shoot unarmed black men?
So NC is stupid enough to vote for the the least qualified person ever to be POTUS and stupid enough to vote for the new GOP majority that supposedly ruined the state, but not stupid enough to vote for Romney.
makes sense…
I forgot to give honorable mention to MN as the perennial fool’s gold for the general, although I have see folks here arguing for CT being “in play”. Good lord……
NJ too dylan.
NC will not be ignorant enough to vote Republican ever again- 2010 was a very low turnout which fueled the GOP gains, those Obama voters didn’t just disappear, we are still here and have grown in numbers. We will not be sitting anymore elections out, for the GOP has really screwed our state. They like to cut so much in education, to “dumb down” the population, in return to get these same peoples votes down the road.
“They like to cut so much in education, to “dumb down” the population…”
seems to be working
Doc – All the NC people are the same poster. Dave has already confirmed that. He is a pathetic person.
dylan – none of those are in play. I even heard someone say Vermont recently. Heh.
C
Vermont went Republican for over 100 years straight. Reagan won in 84 by 17. Bush beat Dukakis by 3.5 in 88. Then Clinton took VT in 92 by 16 and in 96 by 22 and the rest is history.
Things can change in a hurry. Don’t be so rash to say that we can’t win a state just because we haven’t won it recently. People move, demographics change and issues change.
We really lost out big time on the rust belt states when the GOP started putting social issues first. With the Democratic Party turning their backs on the white working class, if we can put the focus back on fiscal conservatism, we will start winning back voters in PA, OH, MI, WI, MN, and IA. It may not happen this year, but it’s coming.
Suck it dustin/melissa
It’s your own fault SoHope… you nasty republicans dumbed them down.
Didnt take much, drjay
Dustin/melissa are either dumb college students, teachers, or AA’s….that is 75% of obama’s support in NC
I thought Dustin/Melissa said they were sure Zero had it wrapped up in NC, had torn up all the railroad tracks and bent them around trees and were headed to GA–like Gen. Sherman.
Virgil Goode has squeaked out the Constitution Party nomination on the first ballot with 50.4%. His VP choice is Pennsylvanian Jim Clymer.
Much of the remaining 25% are trasplant yankees that forget the crap they escaped when they fled to NC.
Dustin/Melissa/several dozen other handles:
You are right. Senator Marshall told me the same thing.
107
A ticket only Jul could love. Then again, that love might last for just a day. Never can tell…
If they were so sure that obama had it in the bag they wouldnt be deceptively trolling so hard for him on Maryland based blog with under 100 regular posters.
107- Watch out for that Jim Clymer; he’s a “major-league @$$h0le.”
Oh wait, that’s actually me.
#110 Ha!
Jim Clymer is a buddy of mine. Good for him!
What?! I thought this was like the drudge report?
But it won the mobbies!
And Dave is a guest on Tim’s radio show!
114 – what a shock
Just got a mailing from Joe Corrigan Jul I guess I am on some list as still being a registered R.
Will someone please tell me we are going to flip OK 2?
Jim Clymer is a CINO
Hope – we have 5x as many posters as the island.
MD,
Stood at the polls and handed out his lit when he ran for Senate in 04 against Specter-Hoeffel
I am still sticking with a Dem gain of 10 to 12 in the House.
I thought you couldn’t do that.
119
You just love every losing cause. How is RTW going?
MD,
Funny enough, Jim is one of our donors.
How about UT 4? We have to get that one, right?
On the face of it, I would have to assume there would be a correction back toward the Ds in the house…
So we all know I have a friend that was very involved in fund raising for the Dems and worked in Philly politics for a long time. Saw him last week. He saw a study that claimed TX would be a majority Dem state by 2020 due to the influx of Hispanics. Legal Hispanics represent the greatest growth segment in TX and they are having children at a much higher rate than white people. Anyone think it isn’t important to address them? Throw TX in with CA and NY and we will never win a national election.
118….and 1/10 the sodomy
It’s a sure thing, MD; I’m tired of fighting for this seat with losers atop my ticket.
I agree Doc. The good news for us is that the D’s lost seats in MA, PA and MI. The new map favors us in NC greatly and will offset the IL and CA losses. Hopefully, we break even or lost just 1 in TX and FL combined. I see nothing changing in PA. It is a net 1 with the new map. NY and OH could be bad news at the House level. That is where a correction could occur.
Kos and Jensen tell me I’ll hold on, but I’m not so sure. Heck, half of the Dems I caucus with actually hate me. I need a white male to run against; that black lady will take me out, lickety-split.
Nearly the entire leadership of the remaining Blue Dogs could be gone after this year…
Shuler, Ross, Barrow, Boren, Donnelly, Matheson, Altmire, Schrader, Cooper, Chandler, Holden
When do they disband?
125 – 2010 was a correction from 2006 and 2008. Redistricting was basically a wash. We shored up the seats we held instead of trying to go for more seats. Dems made out well in IL and CA, while GOP counters this with doing well in NC and the south (GA-12, IN-02, NY-27, OK-02, AR-04).
It’s going to come down to some marginal seats we won in 2010: NY-18, NY-19, NY-24, TX-23, NH-02, MN-08, FL-18 (West), NV-03. There won’t be anywhere near the number of switchable seats as there were in 2010.
129 – I see two seats competitive in OH. OH-06 (2010 rematch between Bill Johnson and Charlie Wilson) and OH-16 (Renacci/Sutton). Both lean R (R+5 and R+4).
132 sounds about right…
126 – the fallacy is thinking that Hispanics vote as a racial group like African Americans do. They don’t. Like white people, they vote more along class lines. The poor vote D and the middle/upper class vote R. See: affluent Hispanics in South Florida and in San Antonio. The problem is, A LOT of Hispanics are poor. However, as they climb the social ladder, they are likely to switch to R. Being generally socially conservative doesn’t hurt either.
Sen. Hatch will have a Primary with Dan Liljenquist
Well, the Royal Blue Jays lost to the Lady Phillies of the Radnor Rookie Softball League. It was still a great day.
The other team had a 3rd grade girl with autism. before the game, their coach told me that she used a tee to bat and might wander a bit. Well, she hit the ball hard every time and was thrown out once (I’m glad her coach made the call). the best moment of the game was when she was playing 2d base. A ball was hit to the pitcher and this girl ran to 2d base. She dropped the throw but the parents cheered her for making the right decision and trying her best. This is why I love coaching.
Don’t worry. I am still petty and nasty and capable of being a jerk (just ask Jul). I am fortunate to have healthy children and there is nothing on Earth more important than that.
If the numbers I just saw are correct, Orrin Hatch, I believe, has failed to avoid a primary with 51.7% of the caucus votes. I believe he needed 60%.
or maybe that was a first ballot… I am not sure how it works..
where’s Bunu when you actually need him?
I;m coming on like a freight train. Orrin’s going down; Mike Lee, Part II.
Hatch received 59.2 percent
Dan received 40.2 percent
Rasmussen Tracking
4/18 – 4/20…1500 LV
Obama…47 Romney…45 (Zero +2)
*********************************
Gallup Tracking
4/16 – 4/20…2200 RV
Zero..45….Romney..46 (Romney +1)
*********************************
I don’t get it. Two polls, one LV and one RV and Romney is better by 3 in the RV?
40.8 percent for Liljenquist I mean
So there will be a primary, Jul?
143- Weekend samples are weird, Walt. I’d wait until Wednesday next week to get a better idea.
Hit and run; out to a record show (LPs, 45s and 78s).
Doc,
Yes, there will.
very interesting…
#108,
I remember the crap quite well and will be voting for Romney, McCrory and every other R I can find on the ballot.
Seriously, is there anything Newt could be helpful with during or after the nomination?
Good deal, jeff
Come out with pictures of him in a 3 way with obama and michelle
I just had an ice cream sandwich. A Fatboy.
California State university student gets a head start on his career as a politician by stealing 700 voter IDs to win President of Student Government
http://www.technolog.msnbc.msn.com/technology/technolog/fbi-suspects-student-candidate-hacking-his-own-election-726362
150
He could detail Anne Romney’s Cadillacs.
Cheating in Wisconsin 6th caucus..
You really are fuc+ing nuts.
#115:
And, it gets stranger. Tomorrow, we have Scott Eliott from Election Projection.
In Minnesota so far.
Paul takes 3/3 in cd2 and 3/3/ in cd4
cd1?
cd8?
Only four Minn districts today: CD1
CD2, CD4, CD8
Missouri is having each congressional district elect delegates today.
They split it in half. Their previous caucuses were to send people to state convention to select at large missouri delegates.
So Romney seems to be having a good day there.
CD1: 1 Paul, 1 Romney, 1 Santorum
CD2: Romney/Santorum slate (no count)
CD3: ?
CD4: 3 Romney
CD5: 3 Paul
CD6: 1 Romney, 1 Gingrich, 1 Santorum
CD7: 2 Santorum, 1 Romney
CD8: 2 Gingrich, 1 Romney
On HHR, can I say that “I’ve Got Friends in Low Places” was a great song?
The Iowa GOP central committee is more powerful than the Iowa GOP chairman himself so these elections actually matter.
Winners of the Iowa GOP state central committee elections
Paul wins 4 of 8 so far with the other 8 elections still unknown.
btw
Also Romney withdrew his challenge to Santorum official’s election fixing in Jefferson county Missouri so if those Santorum people are lining up behind Romney he may win the state convention Missouri eventually.
Dave
I am begging you. Can you please go to a registration system?
What time is the show again, Tim?
Bubu–
I think it was you who killed the thread, not me.
So own it.
Bitter–
Make sure you get the cat in and have your windows down in your house.
Raining hard here and it’s heading your way.
You too, MD.
MD Mourdock wins the general easily. IN is not DE or CO, also he is not a horrible candidate. COD and Santorum did so much to hurt are brand as it makes us look like the party of stupid.
161. So cutting to the chase Paul comes up holding the short end of the stick again….
Count me as against registration. You can always ban the really unacceptable.
MD, back to Phila. I don’t think you can cut the margin in Phila down to 350k because there just aren’t enough swing voters there to do it. The only way to cut down the margin in Phila Co. is if turnout is lower because the Messiah’s message is no longer resonating.
That is why the deficit has to be made up where Corbett ran well.
161: Didn’t Romney lose Missouri? So that you know I am consistent in my dislike of caucuses, I don’t think someone who loses should then win more delegates. Even when my favored candidate benefits.
Jul – just had a visit to my house from Joe Corrigan. Spoke for about 5 minutes. Obviously, they are working off an old list. He was working by himself going door to door. I appreciate that type of willingness to pound the pavement. I still think Milne prevails.
jason – there aren’t enough votes to make up the difference. That is the basic problem. It is a math problem.
“PA-17: Truce Called in Turbulent Race”
Holden vs. Carwright
********************************
Holden pulled his negative ad.
But did they follow the Philly A-holes example and send each other cream sodas?
I think Santo people will ally at the state convention and Romney might win Missouri.
Minn and Iowa are looking a little better.
MD – Go to South Philadelphia and the Northeast and tell those mf-ers to stop sucking FDR and JFK and vote with a brain. You have Irish and Italian blood. They will like you. I will ak my Irish blood up to Mayfair and the River Ward and tell them to grow a set and vote GOP.
Brandon – Get the 95 people who live in th ePine Barrens to vote Republican. Pull them off their sisters if you have to.
UT Gov Herbert avoids primary with 63 percent of delegates.
MD,
Corrigan ran indie 2 years ago and is a bit of a whacko but the PSEA is going all in for Milne so, maybe they know something.
Minn and Iowa are looking a little better.
Comment by Emerica
Better than what? Total defeat vs. Crushing total defeat for Ron Paul?
We will have to disagree on that. There would be plenty of votes if Romney can perform like Romney. Corbett lost Phila Co by 280 k votes and won the election by 360k votes. So even if Onorato had won Philly by the margin Obama won in 2008 (470k) Corbett would still have prevailed.
Also refused to honor 2/3 supermajority votes
frightening…
What if you held a caucus and nobody cared? Would it make a noise? What’s the answer, Bunu?
Dave – fix the filter or I am coming to Maryland to address the issue with you personally.
” I think Santo people will ally at the state convention and Romney might win Missouri.”
Dadgummnit. If only Paul could win MO and then 37 other states he would be 38/38.
I’m going to agree with jason that it is doable. Since I was the first to predict that Santorum would lose Pennsylvania and, y dropping out, he will, I now have unassailable Prediction Rights. Do not denigrate me.
Onorato was a uniquely awful candidate jason. The guy actually ran on being the first Gov to have graduated from Penn State. He tried to position himself as a “conservative” in such a phony way as to be laughable.
Sorry, I can’t see it happening. County by county. Check the turnout %’s for each. The deficit is too much to overcome unless some things happen that I can’t for-see today.
While you’re in still in that alternate universe, Bunu, find CPA and ask him if the Mittbot meltdown continues unabated.
MD – what is the filter doing to you? Personally, I would love to see Ron Paul on the banned list.
I think if Paul fights like hell to revert the popular vote in every state and is successful in subverting the process by installing Paulbots to disenfranchise the people who did not vote for him he could probably go from 67 delegates to 76.
foresee
I was just checking to see if that is a banned word.
Breaking News – Secret Ron Paul supporter releases plan for Paul to get to 76 delegates.
191 – Fuc u
Now correct that as+wipe.
The good news in my mind is that the Marxists are going to have to put up a strong defense here. Less resources for OH and VA.
187. I think you are still missing my point, which is that the votes are there if Romney performs like Corbett in key counties. I get yours that Onorato is a worse candidate than Obama and that therefore that is a tall order.
Funny how CPA disappeared huh? Same with Wobbie.
I want HD back. Now that the primary season is over we need his opp research.
Bunu Predictions that sucked:
Ron Paul would win Maine
Ron Paul would win Iowa
Ron Paul would win Alaska
Ron Paul would win New Hampshire
Ron Paul would . . . “f” it. I will get carpal tunnel syndrome trying toi type this list.
CC
Corbett did that in a mid-term jason!!! How many times do I have to say that? The AA turnout was way down in 10. That won’t be the case this time. The 478K deficit might (might) shrink to 450K or if we are lucky 425K. Go find the votes. They aren’t there unless something very strange happens.
Whoa – Patrick Murphy just aired a very damaging ad on Kane. That IS getting interesting.
I think saying Ron Paul is completely irrelevant in the GOP primaries is unfair. He is totally irrelevant.
MD is good with numbers but I will say that even though Onorato was a weal candidate, the GOP could win for one huge reason. Onorato really had no record of screwing over Pennsylvania voters with failed policies. Obama is trying to kill Marcellus Shale. Romney needs to tell Obama to “Shut the Frack Up.”
I actually agree that Romney plays more the Corbett role so I think the most realistic optimistic scenario is a 2 point loss. If he was a Toomey type, it would be 8 points. 15 points if he were a Santorum type. Romney is clearly our best option. I just can’t find enough votes. Not unless a shi+load of R’s have moved into PA and I didn’t hear about it.
202 – I like that.
Of course, weal should be weak but we can overlook that. You came on strong at the end of the post.
” Corbett did that in a mid-term jason!!! How many times do I have to say that? ”
I don’t buy that argument, since it’s irrelevant to my point.
And in fact I accept the fact Obama will probably win Phila Co with 400k+ votes.
However, I don’t accept that Romney could not shoot for doing as well as Corbett on a percentage basis in other key counties.
Paul takes 7 of 16 central chairs in Iowa. Note Tony Krebsbach is a RP supporter even though he’s not listed as one.
+ Iowa GOP chairman is a Paul supporter.
I am torn on the AG race. If Kane actually won the General Election, at least she is a prosecutor. If Murphus wins, he has already pledged not to enforce the law (especially voter ID) and he is just putting in time until he can run for something else. Murphy is a hack of the highest order.
Did you know that Kane supported Corbett and contributed to his campaign? Her family is also in the trucking business and is anti-union. Why isn’t she a Republican?
MD – if typing and spelling count, you are going to spend as much time as I do in HHR Summer School.
My grammer is imppeclable m’fer/?
Walt – just saw the weather radar. Looks like rain in about an hour at my house and an hour and 5 minutes for Bitter. It is going to be a soaking straight through tomorrow.
In NC there have already been 21,000 people to cast votes early in the last two days, and the Democrats have a larger advantage than expected. It will be curious to see how this impacts the “Marriage Amendment.”- This also bodes well for Obama come November if this trend continues. This information can be viewed at http://www.carolinatransparency.com.
She is probably not a Republican because it is probably easier to make it as a woman with the Dems. Most of the Judges I know in Philadelphia are Republicans who register as Democrats because that is the only way to get elected.
The only good thing Murphy ever did in Congress was to vote against a Resolution honoring the Giants for winning the Super Bowl. I think it passed 434-1.
Romney wins NC by 3 to 5. Not easy but pretty much a done deal.
The troll strategy is so obvious. Try to demoralize the opponent. So incredibly obvious.
MD, I don’t know if I totally agree with you. I think you are too hung up on the 475k or 450k out of Philly and your point is taken. Romney needs to expand the electorate and replicate the composition of the electorate… Get 15% of Ds, 92-95 percent of Rs and win by 15-20 among Is….hard..yes…impossible…no.
Romney will lose NC by about 2 points by projections, if nothing major happens between now and say October. He is a much weaker candidate than McCain was in areas like NC, and he will lose a lot of McCain voters in the rural areas of the state due to lack of excitement for Romney, and because of his stance on laying people off for more wealth, and his faith as well. Obama will shore up the vote in the Triad/Triangle/Charlotte/Asheville areas, which are full of the white highly educated folks, that will not vote Romney, I can promise you that, along with the huge AA and Latino vote as well.
Romney will have trouble getting 95% of Rs because Jul and his army of Deadenders will vote for the most obscure candidates they can write-in.
Paul may be taking 21 of 22 delegates out of Minnesota today? I know we lost one in CD8.
“Paul may be taking 21 of 22 delegates out of Minnesota today?”
Where is he taking them? Road trip to Milwaukee?
2 more sympathizers on Iowa central committee?
That would make 9/16 if true.
Plus all central committeemen are auto-delegates for the state convention making it easier to take the at large delegates.
#166:
7 pm. But remember, you can download. You don’t have to listen live. They always put it up for download just a few minutes after we go off.
Kane is going to win the Dem nod for AG over Patrick Murphy.
I may vote for her in November.
#177:
LMAO!
” Paul takes 7 of 16 central chairs in Iowa. Note Tony Krebsbach is a RP supporter even though he’s not listed as one.”
Here on my street all the squirrels are gray, although there is one who thinks he is brown.
Charles Colson has died at age 80.
Here on my street all the squirrels are gray, although there is one who thinks he is brown
jason
ok that was pretty funny.
One day Jul will learn that voting for Democrats only helps Democrats. There are no Democrats that deserve to win because of what their party represents. In the big picture, every vote for Democrats is a vote for Marxism, even if that particular Democrat is to right of Genghis Khan and Attila the Hun.
Jack Wagner is our Dem Auditor General and he’s done a fine job.
Kane supported Johnny Mac in 08 too.
” Romney will lose NC by about 2 points by projections, ”
What projections, moron?
NCIntellect lacks any.
Romney will outperform McCain in NC, you read it here first.
” and his faith as well.”
So NCmoron, you think NC voters prefer Rev. Wright’s Marxist Black Liberation Church?
Don’t think so.
” Romney will lose NC by about 2 points by projections, ”
jian gui
NC will take a Christian, v/s a Mormon any day of the week, and there is no possible way in Hell that Romney will run better in rural NC, than McCain did- You are freaking insane if you literally believe that. Again, people with the real brains vote for the Democrats, and the people that are either racist, ignorant, or extremely wealthy vote Republican.
The NC Marriage Amendment will be approved overwhelmingly.How do I know? PPP already did a night of NC polling and has tweeted about th Republican primary.If the NC amendment had any chance of being defeated,Jensen would be in a frenzy.So far,nothing but silence.
With 20,400 votes received,a small sum, the average age in NC’s early voting is 59 and the black vote is 16% of the total.In 2008,the black vote was 22%.
So NC Troll,do these stats. bode well for the O Man in November? I do not think so!
Want to wager something on (I love mismatches) it? We can exchange our real info through Dave. I won’t post it on here. You have my word on that.
How much can you afford?
“NC will take a Christian, v/s a Mormon any day of the week,”
too bad obama is not a christian
#234
I live in Avery County,NC,one of the ruralist NC Counties.I know a bunch of 2008 Obama voters enthusiastically voting for Romney this year.They very much regret their 2008 vote and wanted to be part of the “history making” in 2008.
Romney will seriously do better than McCain in 2012 in rural NC and in rural USA.
“NC will take a Christian, v/s a Mormon any day of the week.”
I guess the bigots vote democrat.
“Again, people with the real brains vote for the Democrats…”
so why do you choose to vote dem then?
Scott – The AA’s oppose gay marriage by a large %. That is DOA. No chance and I mean none of the G&L getting their way. They will have to rely on the courts.
MD – I will bet you ONE MEELLLLLLION DOLLLARRS that Romney does not win North Carolina.
Doc – why do you vote R then? You are probably the smartest guy here.
242 – Bitter
The challenge was to Dustin/Melissa/20 other handles, not you.
Dave – can you confirm the IP of our current NC friend is the same as Dustin/Melissa?
my racist ignorance negates it…
thanks for the compliment though.
I’m the smartest guy here, MD. I knew that Zimmerman was guilty as hell even before there was any evidence.
MD – lighten up. Don’t turn into Jul. Oh, damn. Now I am going to be dead to you.
Slow moving weather system Bitter. Still 60 miles west from ruining the rest of our weekend. Hopefully, we can get to nightfall. At least that is something. If you have a game tomorrow, forget it.
I just defriended you.
CCL
Yep, Minnesota is Ron Paul country so far.
CD1 – 2/3 Paul
CD2 – 3/3 Paul
CD3 – 3/3 Paul
CD4 – 3/3 Paul
CD5 – 3/3 Paul
CD6 – 3/3 Paul
CD7 – 1/3 Paul
CD8 – 2/3 Paul
Total: 20/24
The rest will be from..
13 from state convention + 3 party leaders
Which no one knows yet
In truth, though, I am still a registered D… I have only mentioned it twice before here. I am sure I would be called a DINO.
Really Doc? Do you vote R now?
I have always voted R for president and governor. Locally, I live and work in very D territory; sometimes my only say on the matter is in the D primary. Sometimes the Rs are kooky. My D votes are mostly local ones.
So, you are like a Dakota voter then?
I reckon all them thar repubercans dun werked hard to dumm us down.
Yuns gonna be reel shoked wen we vote agenst Obamer.
Yeah, probably…
But, I admit I voted for Nelson over McCollum and Harris, both of whom I found creepy… Mack will absolutely get my vote over Nelson this time.
Nelson is the only D senator I have voted for.
#241- MD
Yes,I know that because I lived in California when Proposition 8–Marriage Amendment–passed after it was expected to fail.The reason is that older blacks and Latinos overwhelmingly voted “Yea”.
I was responding to NC Intellect(Troll) who gives it a chance of prevailing.
Oklahoma delegates sweep in district 4 for Paul.
That puts him at 9 out of the 15 delegates elected so far in Oklahoma for Paul?
I still have Nelson as a favorite in that race Doc. Mac could make it close. He could also pull it off and I would only consider it to be a slight upset. How is this for strange? I am distantly related to him. My Great Grandmother was a cousin of Connie Mack’s. I think that probably makes me like a 6th cousin to him or something.
Most of the Most of the delegates at the state convention in Minnesota will be the same people at the district level.
That means +10 delegates for Paul at state convention of all goes right in addition to the 20 today.
bunu, you know our sodomy count would be zero if you didn’t post here.
Ron Paul supporters who are IA and NV GOP Chairmen AJ Spiker and James Smack sitting together at RNC Chair meeting
Sodomy? Now you’re talking.
Bubu–
If you have not gotten it yet, NOBODY ELSE AT HHR CARES ABOUT A RIP ABOUT YOUR RON PAUL UPDATES.
***********************************
For God’s sake man, we implore you, go pos your stuff at:
Nobodygivesash!t.com
and quit irritating everyone.
Oklahoma and Minnesota are going the opposite of Colorado and Missouri.
Today’s results
“Again, people with the real brains vote for the Democrats…”
I guess NCnointellect is the exception to every rule….
” Oklahoma and Minnesota are going the opposite of Colorado and Missouri.”
Geologically speaking?
Don’t defriend me, MD. It’s going to rain. I will be trapped here. I need an escape plan if my daughter’s friends roll in and play Monster High Dolls all week-end.
” Ron Paul supporters who are IA and NV GOP Chairmen AJ Spiker and James Smack sitting together at RNC Chair meeting ”
Spiker and Smack?
The goldfish in my pond just caucused and 3 of the 15 have come out for Paul. That was one more than was expected.
Bunu’s conversation with God:
Bunu: What do you think the chances are of Ron Paul or his progeny ever becoming president?
God: Well, Bunu, that’s difficult to say. I mean, he doesn’t really…
Bunu: Hit me with it! Just give it to me straight! I came a long way just to see you, God. The least you can do is level with me. What are his chances?
God: Not good.
Bunu: You mean, not good like one out of a hundred?
God: I’d say more like one out of 311,591,917.
[pause]
Bunu: So you’re telling me there’s a chance… *YEAH!*
The storm rolled through here about an hour ago, it’s heading straight for Philly A-hole country….
Ok, you America-hating Bastard. Let’s p;ay thelinks game:
Ben Stein calls Ron Paul and anti-semite:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pOV0qCW7nBA
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZo_RFyM3uw&feature=related
Ron Paul supporters defend him as anti-semite by posting hisanti-semitic remarks.
Nelson has done well not to really upset anyone. But I think his healthcare support is going to hurt, and his NASA creds don’t seem very meaningful right now. He’ll be 70 soon, which may not appeal to younger voters, while on the other hand the older voters may be turned off some by Obama and healthcare.
I think he loses in the end. The coasts really came out strong for Romney here in the primary, while I think the interior and northern areas will go as republican as usual after warming up to him… may help in the senate race.
Bitter–
The reason I hesitate to pick MD to be one of the 4 on my island is that I think at some point in a whole month he would become unhinged, snap, go on a rampage and “off” the rest of us. Probably over some little thing like the bacon was not cooked the way he liked it.
Perfect game pitched by Philip Humbar of the White Sox against the Mariners today.The 21st perfect game in baseball history.
bonus points from anyone that tells me were I stole the idea for #272 from.
Melissa and Dustin…
Sorry I mean Dumb and Dumber.
dr. jay …potato patato
Walt – here is video from the last meal we had at the Philly A-hole meeting. MD was in rare form at the head of the table.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z35wHZH0WYE&feature=related
Ok I am completely resigned to being rejected at the exclusive Philly A-hole Club. I have come to terms with it and it doesn’t bother me anymore.
Do you guys really have jackets?
I agree with drj. Plus Florida changes its early voting laws which will hurt dems a lot. No more will the parish go with their preachers on Sunday to vote in a group. registration laws also change to cut out acorn type fraud. Dems are screwed here. Fools gold for dems statewide this time around.
MD – I checked the By-Laws. If we don’t make jason a member we have to kill him. He knows about the jackets.
Reminds of the movie line…
Chevy Chase in Fletch.
After being heavily slapped in the face by a woman he had just asked to sleep with him, he retorts, ” I suppose a BJ is out of the question then ?”
Sigh – I will make another call to the head of the membership committee.
Btw – that video was me in a good mood
#283 (video from Bitter)
Oh my…
MD – Maybe Jason could watch Brandon during the meetings. I am still worried that Brandon is a mole for the New Jersey Education Association.
278 – I got to see Philip Humber pitch here in Binghamton when he was a member of the Mets. Very happy to see him throw a perfect game.
EML
Has there yet been a conclusion to the recent New York SD-27 race?
I can see the Philly A-holes opening chapters everywhere and becoming a national force for a-holerism.
Also from Iowa, from my understanding although this is kind of murky, Paul took 3 of the 4 seats on the nominating committee. There are still 4 more seats up that haven’t been selected yet in other districts.
Iowa gets 28 delegates total.
13 chosen by the state convention.
13 chosen by the nominating committee
The Nominating Committee will prepare a slate of 13 delegates to the State Convention. The delegates at the State Convention can then approve or reject the slate, but they almost always approve it.
Obviously the goal is to have Iowa be 100% Paul
” Obviously the goal is to have Iowa be 100% Paul ”
Obviously, since he can’t get enough people to vote for him.
Third in Iowa, but he wants all the delegates.
The little Nazis are ambitious.
Light beer has become to the current generation of youth what regular beer was just a few decades ago. In 1990, more Budweiser was sold than the top three light beers combined. Twenty years later, Budweiser has taken a backseat to Bud Light, which sold as much as the top four regular beers combined. The country has taken a major generational shift in favor of light beers, which now account for four of the five most popular beers sold domestically. As reported by St. Louis Today, Budweiser believes four out of 10 people in their mid-20s have never tried regular beer. In 1988, that rate was just 1.5 out of ten. Beer Marketer’s Insights editor Eric Shepard said when asked about young drinkers turning to light beer, “The heaviest beer drinkers are young males and that’s where the market had been going over the last decade or so.”
296 – at the same time, craft beer has taken off exponentially. Macro brewery sales have been declining over the past 10 years. I myself just polished off a certain 18% ABV 120 minute IPA.
Thanks a lot Bitter. I just spent 40 minutes getting my A chewed out the by the head of the membership committee. Among other things, he told me I wasn’t doing my job as a liaison from the members to the committees because I keep coming back with the same question. On and on it went.
However, and I was shocked by this, he was willing to compromise. jason doesn’t have to take on the entire island. He must either take on JudyT or JustMary. Both post religious intolerant stuff on a regular basis so this shouldn’t be hard. JustMary recently talked about the one true church.
Further, he must post about Maxwell. You don’t get to be a member without denigrating douchewell on a regular basis.
That’s it. I am not going back to him again.
Afraid of Palin being a heartbeat away? Read this and it could have been much different had it not been for OH:
http://news.yahoo.com/john-edwards-exile-103900450.html
ah-ah-ah-ah… stayin’ alive, stayin’ alive
Bee Gees singer Robin Gibb has woken from a coma after more than a week and begun to show signs of recovery.
Hello Add?
http://news.yahoo.com/experts-zimmerman-attorney-made-smart-move-072305753.html
Light beers are horse swill.
302 – this is true. DFH 120 Minute IPA and Oskar Blues Deviant Dale’s IPA so far tonight. Gotta get home and try the Russian Imperial Stout I bottled 4 weeks ago.
Jason – I have stretched the A-holes as much as I can. I’m not even from Philadelphia. I earned it. You have to earn it, too. Trust MD on this.
Lee on the DL. Expected to miss at least 3 starts. Very bad news.
Bitter – starting to rain here. Roll up your windows. Slow moving system but should hit you in about 15 or 20 minutes.
292 NYS special state senate election still in court.
My r\wife rented The Girl with the Dragon tatoo. 20 minutes in and I am bored out of my mind.
Time mag rag issue out that has the “100 Most influential People in the World.” I heard of maybe 22 out of the 100.
*********************************
Bubu will be happy that Ron Paul made their list.
George Soros did not make the list.
*********************************
Sadly, I did not see lisab or any other HHR folks on the list either.
“304.Jason – I have stretched the A-holes as much as I can…
comment by Bitter.
************************************
You say things like this you will get IP back here posting.
Bitter
I am serious. It is pouring here now.
MD–
I warned you the rain was coming…
It just started here.
This movie SUCKS!
Raining and 37 here now. Not nice weather.
They are calling for more than a foot of snow down at Snowshoe ski resort in S. WV.
Serioulsly.
Also for snow in western MD (Garrett Co. etc.) and highlands of WV near there.
Did y’all know that last Monday WV Dem. Governor instructed the Dem. AG to join the lawsuit with 21 other states to fight the EPA coal emission rule for power plants.
************************************
We Repubs in WV have been urging such action for a long time. Why wait until now?
2012 is an election year for gov, Ag, etc, ya know.
Bitter–
I don’t want to ruin it for you, but in the movie you are watching, at the end they have to shoot the dog.
(or maybe that was in Ol’ Yeller.
1 to 0. Behind again. Can we score runs 2 nights in a row? I don’t know.
WTF, Walt? Maybe I will watch The Empire Strikes Back. I wonder why Luke and Darth Vader have such animosity. It’s almost like they are related.
It is good to see that Orrin (I think congress should get involved in NCAA football) Hatch will face a primary.
#315, must be climate change that Bush caused.
Wow, it’s a lot of work to join the Philly A-holes. I feel discriminated against since nobody else had to do all this stuff, suicide missions and beating dead maxwells.
I might have a lawyer look into this. Would it be a conflict of interest for Bitter to take on the case?
I need $500 to look into the case, Jason.
Santorum wants to be Seduced
Rick Santorum is not going to give it up easily. He’s looking for at least a little sweet talk and some kind of commitment first.
Eight days after suspending his own campaign for president, Santorum has yet to endorse the certain Republican nominee, Mitt Romney. It had seemed there was a perfect opportunity for a party unity event on Tuesday morning, when Romney visited a Pittsburgh suburb, but Santorum was not there.
Indeed, the former U.S. senator from Pittsburgh had told 4,000 supporters on a conference call just hours before that event that he was fine if they wanted to vote for him in next Tuesday’s Pennsylvania GOP primary, or in any upcoming contest, for that matter. He declined to endorse Romney and did not even mention him.
“As far as how you vote, that’s up to you,” Santorum said in response to question. “I haven’t supported any candidate at this point, so that’s really up to you.”
Santorum did say he’d be “all in” on the GOP effort to defeat President Obama. He also allowed as how he’d be putting forward an organization to promote the conservative values he espoused during the nomination race. Of course any such PAC or foundation could easily serve as the proto-campaign for his next presidential run.
http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/big_tent/Santorum-wants-to-be-seduced.html
Yea, he will probably endorse Obama. Their economic agendas are very similar.
David–
Excerpt from a U.S. high school history book ten years from now:
**************************************
“One of the strangest things the U.S. voters ever did was elect a very ignorant man, Goerge Bush, to the office of president. (Actually he stole the election and that will be convered on page 263).
Despite being one of the dumbest humans to ever walk the face of the earth, he was very smart in a diabolical way. It is a proven fact that he caused two wars as well as hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, famines, droughts, stock market crashes and $4/gallon gasoline.
Even after he left office he was still causing oil well disasters in the Gulf of Mexico (which was not too far from his home in TX), and also shot and killed Treyvon Martin who was the son of President Obama.”
There will be no Santorum future. He has burned too many bridges. Same for Gingrich.
F..k him.
” I need $500 to look into the case, Jason.”
How much are the leather jackets worth and how much Grey Goose is in the bar?
Bitter–
They say when Obammer saw the Old Yeller he cried at the end.
Zero was sad that they did not cook and eat the dog.
Santorum is finished, his 15 minutes are over. If he is smart, he will lobby for payment of his debts and a good position in the Romney administration, and cut his losses.
Not holding my breath.
Cesar Milan: “Remember, it’s exercise, discipline, then affection.”
Obama: “Yeah, but what temperature do I set the oven?”
Why on earth would anyone want Santorum in their administration?
Many twitters today saying most RNC members think Portman will be vp.
Jul, you out there?
How did Mia Love fare today in Utah?
At PetSmart, we shop for dog toys…
Obama shops for “bait”.
” Why on earth would anyone want Santorum in their administration?”
Nobody.
My point is that from Santorum’s perspective, he should lobby for debt reduction and a job while he still has a little leverage (basically, stop being a pain in the ass).
Obama: “I promise you: If you like your dog, you can keep him. Though I may ask you to share some with me.”
Thinking about how much race baiting is being done.
Who do you think is the best at race baiting.
*****************************************
Is Obammer the Master Baiter?
Or is it Jesse J. or Al S.?
338–good one, jason.
What irritates me about Santorum is that it’s all me, me, me, screw the country. He wants to be seduced to do the right thing, just like some of the deadenders that were here begging to be talked into supporting Romney.
Love won 70.4% and will face Matheson.
“Mia Love pulled a major upset on Saturday, winning the Republican Party nomination in Utah’s 4th District, advancing to face U.S. Rep. Jim Matheson in November.”
http://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/blogsoutofcontext/53962059-64/love-jim-matheson-republican.html.csp
Paul did well in Washington today. King County’s 34th LD. Total 20 delegates and 20 alternates were selected.
Here’s the breakdown:
Delegates:
13 Ron Paul
6 Santorum
1 Gingrich
Alternates
16 Ron Paul
4 Santorum
It looks like as long as Santorum and Paul ally at the state convention, we could deny Romney any delegates, and the Santorum people seem to be working with Paul unlike Missouri. We can’t afford another North Dakota occurring.
We also got 4 of 12 national delegates in South Carolina which was unexpected it’s a very weak state for Paul.
Mia Love seems like an interesting candidate. Not that it matters, but is she a product of or pushed by the Tea Party?
Pollster saves a life:
“Marist Poll interviewers are trained in how to handle the occasional difficult caller. But, when a woman on the other end of the line sounded short of breath, Jason Sokolowski demonstrated outstanding judgment, alerted his supervisor, and helped save a life.”
http://www.nbcnewyork.com/video/#!/on-air/as-seen-on/Call-from-Marist-Pollsters-Saves-Womans-Life/148012685
Un-freaking-believable… see was awakened from her sleep while slipping into diabetic coma.
Here’s a link that works
http://maristpoll.marist.edu/419-marist-pollsters-save-lives/
Not sure about the Tea Party, but the article above says Josh Romney campaigned for her, and she had support from several house members, including Cantor, Ryan, and Sessions.
Portman was rumored to be McCain’s vp choice too. Though that campaign was mismanaged, while this one seems to be humming right along.
This is just a hunch, but I would think the Tea Party would like candidates like Love, thus feeding her campaign with cash and support.
Constitution Party nominated a fool today.
…voted in favor of the Iraq War, the Patriot Act, warrantless wiretapping, and voted against any and all amendments that would get us out of Iraq in 2006.
Hey, sounds like my kind of candidate.
I favored the Iraq War, the Patriot Act, the surge, and wiretapping against terrorists.
But I think Romney does also, will vote for him.
Zimmerman apologized to Martin’s family…or did he?
by Paul Jacobson
http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2012/04/zimmerman_apologized_to_martins_familyor_did_he.html
Experts say Zimmerman attorney made smart move.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/apr/21/experts-say-zimmerman-attorney-made-smart-move/
A Post at Washington Times about Zimmerman:
If his head’s been split–you must acquit.
It always amazes me that posters (337; others) always ALWAYS think that when a politician loses an election (Santorum), that what he covets most is some job as a federal bureaucrat– Sec of Energy, or something.
Santorum has in the past, & can again, make MILLIONS OF DOLLARS! Don’t you GET that?
Not everybody lusts after a third-fiddle public sector job that pays a fast $150 g’s– before taxes.
America has long been a country where almost everyone, including the poor and unskilled, could get a job. Given the will to do a reasonable day’s work, a job was a passport to economic and social well-being; it was the fount of self-esteem and the foundation of family life. Indeed, work was Life.
More than 15 million Americans no longer have that passport to Life. Think of it as roughly the entire population of the states of Connecticut, Delaware, Arkansas, Iowa, and Oklahoma, all standing idle—every man, woman, and child. The traditional breadwinners, namely men between the ages of 25 and 54, are among those hardest hit. According to an Investor’s Business Daily/TIPP poll, some 25 percent of households include someone who is unemployed and looking for work. As well as laying waste to work, to the equivalent of losing every job created in the last decade, the Great Recession has visited us with reduced incomes, declining home equity, and a growing contraction in credit.
http://www.usnews.com/opinion/mzuckerman/articles/2012/04/20/mort-zuckerman-president-obamas-economic-programs-have-failed
President Barack Obama, at the Henry Ford Museum in Dearborn, Mich., faces daunting poll numbers as he tries to keep his job in November.
The conventional wisdom is that the election is President Obama’s to lose, but after the week he’s had, if I were his Chicago campaign office I’d be hitting the panic button.
Three out of the five major polls released this week (CNN, Pew, and NBC/Wall Street Journal) had the president leading former Gov. Mitt Romney, but only by single digits.
Read more:http://times247.com/articles/obama-campaign-should-panic-over-polls#ixzz1sm0Ggtpy
MD and Phil
Any thoughts on the equities’ markets this week.IMHO,here are the driving forces:
(a) Election in France
(b) Apple’s 1st qtr. earnings on Tuesday
(3) 1st qtr. GDP growth on Thursday. Bloomberg News says 2.5%.
#356…Hi, Tim V…wonder if Mort Zuckerman will vote for ooo in Nov. 2012?!?
#357 URL
http://times247.com/articles/obama-campaign-should-panic-over-polls#ixzz1sm0Ggtpy
SQ
Interesting link.
Sen. Mancin sez he’s “unsure” he’ll vote for zero again.
Somehow…I bet he does! Boob bait.
Let’s see, Romney won Washinton by 12%. Yet he should get no delegates?? Seems fair to me (sarcasm).
And sen manchin wasnt going to be a rubber stamp
“Manchin,” I guess it is.
322 – that is utter horse manure. Our process for initiation was beyond brutal. Beginning with Brandon, you kids have had it easy. Trust me on this.
Scott – I see GDP coming in “unexpectedly” at 2.4%. However, that is now old info. By mid-March the economy was losing steam. The warm winter front-loaded some hiring and prevented some lay offs. Now, the correction occurs.
The election in france will be bad news, very bad. Europe is going to Hell in a hand basket and there is nothing we can do about it.
Obama has a very poor Saturday in Ras’ polling.
Approval goes from 50% to 47% and Romney went from 2 behind to 1 ahead.
Not everybody lusts after a third-fiddle public sector job that pays a fast $150 g’s– before taxes.
Comment by mnw
Can you get me an application, mnw?
Morning, Scott.
Yeah, the French continue to dig their socialist grave deeper and deeper.
#367-MD
I agree about the negativeoutcome of the French elections,but remember that good news is good,but bad news is better for the equities’ markets; MORE MONETARY SMACK from Central Banks!!!
Apple’s stock has been sliding on rumours of disappointing sales.Apple does this every quarter so expect an upside surprise and a spike higher in Apple’s shares(and the tech sector in general).
Yes, the first quarter GDP will be in the mid-2% range and then get adjusted downward in revisions due to a bogus very good trade balance figure in February.
I concur that most of the 1st quarter gains happened in January and February and slowed in mid-March through now.
As a private investor, & like most other private investors I know, I study the daily economic news like the proverbial hawk.
I FIRMLY believe that the U.S. economy is NOT “recovering”! It is slowly edging backwards now.
Whether Joe Sixpack will pick up on that before the GE? No idea.
There comes a point, much before the G|E, when people tune out the latest economic news. The cake is baked at some point.
I’ve had some small success talking with youngish, looking-for-a-job Obama voters about what zero means for their economic future PERSONALLY. I believe, rightly or wrongly, that I can & have created a few little glimmers of doubt.
The UE rate among newly-minted lawyers– a year & a half after passing the bar– seems to be about 50%, imo.
#370-Phil
It is amazingly perverse that the big problem in France and the remainder of Europe is spending discipline.In France’s inimitable way,by electing a Socialist,the country will “add fuel to an already existing ten alarm fire”!!!
What is happening with the CME Index?
I think the Apple thing is a distraction to bigger events. The firm is doing great and valuations are still very reasonable.
Worry about France. Going far left is absolutely the worst thing that could have happened to the Eurozone.
All Hell in going to break loose in Europe. The summer of discontent is coming. I honestly believe the continent is going to fall into a depression. The left’s idea of endlessly spending $ to fix the problem (OK, Euro’s) won’t work anymore. They have to accept a steep recession and then begin the process of rebuilding. With France moving so far to the left chaos is going to reign.
BL
I’d apply too!
But I meant from the perspective of someone with a famous name & LOTS of ways to make money– lobbying; celebrity lawyering (renting out one’s name to a law firm); speaking fees; publishing a ghost-written autobio; becoming a cable network talking head; etc.
MNW – As Bitter’s agent, I am willing to negotiate down to 120K assuming the bene’s are juicy. Can you make that happen? Of course, I will take my customary 25% agent’s fee.
Love them or hate them, celebrity political has-beens like Santo & Huck have lots of lucrative financial opportunities… and NO interest in becoming a $150k bureaucrat.
I saw the head of Disney films resigned after the John Carter fiasco and I thought of Wes.
I was talking to the head economist for a VERY large bank last week at a dinner. He told me that he thinks there is a good chance of a negative jobs number for April.
Scott, I haven’t posted anything on Daily Absolute Demand Index because it’s been consistently about the same over the last month – currently running at 88% of the 2005 baseline.
Their last summary at the end of March was not optimistic about the next quarter.
“consumers less involved in the recovery than is generally accepted, governments continuing to produce major headwinds, and with trade likely to become a major drag into 2012″
They should have the April summary out by the end of the week.
All indications Phil and Scott is that the economy is headed backwards.
Negative job numbers of course will send a torpedo right into the hull of the MSM’s carefully crafted image of an economy in recovery.
….and the MSM has worked so hard to build this image of an economy on the rebound.
Agreed, MD.
Economic Cycle Research Institute just reported two consecutive down numbers from their index – numbers that are leading indicators of what’s to come.
their weekly index
Phil – I actually disagreed with him on that point. I still see 75 to 100K in April but who knows for sure anymore?
I watched The Girl with the dragon tatoo last night. It sucked! However, I also thought of Wes because I think he liked the book.
MD- The usual response of an agent to a $150k offer is not to demand $120k. Keep your day job.
By the way, where is the rain you promised me? The 2 giraffes that I stole from the Philadelphia Zoo for the ark are getting annoyed and want to go home.
MNW – we will take a 100K and I will cut my fee to 15%. Dear God, anything!
Any job number below 100K will certainly put another nail in the coffin of economic optimism that AP and Reuter’s work so hard to project each and every day.
Seriously, I think Bitter probably makes more than the 70K that was my next offer. We are sticking strong at 100K. No more compromise. Compromise is for RINOs.
MD – NO DEAL!
I’m taking the giraffes back to the zoo. They are pissed. I explained the situation, Let’s just say you and your family should stay away from the zoo this year.
My concerns are that:
1) The avg low-info voter doesn’t NOTICE the bad economic news much any more; &
2) Thinks that what we have now is the new normal.
This drives me crazy.
Scrolling through this thread and its hilarious some of the trolling regarding NC. Didn’t McCain lose NC by just 14K votes in 2008 if memory serves? That and McCrory is looks solid to win the governorship. Doesn’t compute on the logical side of things.
Portman as VP would be a very sensible pick. I like Rubio but it’s apparent he doesn’t want the nod. I also like Ryan as well but we very well need him as Budget chair in the House. Ohio is a must win for Romney. I see the pick being either being Portman or McDonnell.
I don’t see the House really being that competitive especially seeing House members who voted for Obamacare trying to upend the GOP incumbents who booted them out. Maybe a wash to Dems picking up 5 seats at the most. The Senate is the same way. Nelson in Florida, McCaskill in MO, and Brown in Ohio just to name a few are all in trouble and their votes for Obamacare make it all the worse so long as their GOP opponents highlight this.
Going to be quite the election year this one.
RAS Sunday:
-16, & 47/52.
Roboto +1 over zero.
I submit that Sky Queen is in a FAR different category than FL Nelson & OH Brown.
Phoenix – they should do a little better than 5 but won’t come close to getting the House.
Totally agree on NC. In a perfect storm, they barely won. The troll was funny yesterday trying to convince himself that the G&L effort was going to go well. Yea, good luck with that.
First time UE filings up two consecutive weeks; slow down in economy and hiring highly likely. My democratic friends are already depressed. Good signs if you are a Republican. Change is in the air.
I think the DEMs may not like what they’re about to receive in the “Gabby’s seat” special, & the WI “Recall Redux Part VII: The Saga Continues” election.
396 – How so MNW?
355. Really? If that was the case, why did Santorum come back into politics then? Even POTUS only pays 400k. And please don’t say he wanted to sacrifice himself for the country, I will puke
I bet you Santorum would jump at any cabinet or high level position or ambassadorship.
Because he wanted to be POTUS, not Sec of Agriculture.
Yeah. Really, perfesser. Really.
399
She is to be referred to as “our sainted Gabby”. Don’t forget that – ever.
MD
Sky Queen is dead meat, & the 2 others might win re-election.
I like Drudge’s France headline… instead of saying the “conservative” is going down, he is implying the incumbent is going down. Clever.
401 – He did it because he is a zealot and because it would increase his income potential after the inevitable loss.
Sky Queen = Blanche Lincoln.
Put a fork in her.
MD, yesterday Bitter was trying to milk me for $500 to throw the Philly A-holes under the bus regarding my anti-discrimination suit. Most real lawyers charge that an hour.
jason – your case will get thrown out. The rules for membership are clear. Bitter and I had to go through Hell to get in. You lollipops have it easy today.
She is really in that bad shape? I knew it would be close but I wasn’t thinking a Blanche like blowout.
My strategy for November is as follows -
*put five thousand down on Obama to win
*Obama wins and I have a chunk of money to cushion the blow and buy more alcohol for the comming four years
Obama loses and I’m too elated to care about the money – figure with that bozo out of the WH my investments will do better and I’ll make up most or all of the five grand
Won’t be a Lincoln like blowout, but similar in that she’ll trail the entire cycle just like Blanche.
I need to check the odds on the Presidential race to see exactly how much I’d actually win in the event zero sqeaks by.
Do not bet on Obama; his chances of winning now are below 30%.
If we were going to list the mistakes we made here at HHR, and I certainly have made my share, I would rank backing Charlie Crist over Rubio initially as my worst mistake.
Charlie Crist Admires Obama
In this segment on NOW with Alex Wagner, former Florida Governor Charlie Crist called President Obama a “centrist” worth of “admiration.” Crist, who was elected as a Republican but lost his party’s primary in 2010, said he wasn’t endorsing Obama — at least, not yet.
I disagree. Looking at the state by state electoral vote breakdown he has an easier path to 270. He has more slack to play with than Romney.
411. I advanced the same theory a few weeks ago. But you need more than 5 grand for the hit you are going to take if Obama wins.
Crist is the politician I hate the most.
He needs to just shut his piehole.
jason – we have all had our things. I really thought Angle was going to prevail until about 4 days before the election. Someone typed 8000 times here that the election was all about Reid and I fell into that.
Phil – totally agree. A complete slime with zero principals. Let him support Obama. That helps us.
Wonder in what world Charlie thinks Obama is a “centrist”.
Obama is at 60% at Intrade. IMO it’s a little high, maybe 55% is more like it.
Romney is at 38% conversely a little low.
Crist gives the standard Dem talking points that Obama wants to compromise but the radical right (yes, he uses those words) oppose everything.
A real scumbag. If you want to risk barfing, here is the interview. Watch him being played like a fiddle by the MSNBC talking heads.
http://www.buzzfeed.com/buzzfeedpolitics/charlie-crist-admires-obama
419. Sure, when I first got here I would defend Chekote because I thought she just wanted a big tent R party and was being unfairly attacked.
Then I realized her big tent was open borders and Obama as the Messiah.
By July and August I will be proven right. Prognostication is looking into the future; he will be drowned by the currents of a lousy economy, bad employment numbers and SCOTUS. And having bought Romney, I will laugh all the way to the bank.
Prognostication is looking into the future; he will be drowned
Prognostication is looking into the future; he will be dogged to death and become dogmeat- they call it karma
When I am depressed I read one of pitch’s comments and I always feel better.
Perry endorses Dewhurst over Ted Cruz.
Do I hear the first Perry is a RINO rumblings?
#421:
I definitely think he is. I wish he was a Liberal. I’d be voting for him, if he was one.
#393:
The average voter also thinks that Bush caused much of this to happen.
And, they would be right……
Bitter…the PA primary is on Tuesday: April 24, 2012. What do you predict for Mitt Romney?
Connecticut
Delaware
New York
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Yep, never overestimate the intelligence of the average voter.
The fact Obama can still run on this canard is testament to that.
Obama is the 5 trillion dollar man. That is not Bush’s fault.
Obama is a Marxist, not a liberal. Although the difference is becoming more and more muted. The traditional Democratic liberal is a dying breed. They have been replaced by hard core Marxists that believe in world government and don’t see any value in American exceptionalism. The Obamas, Pelosis, and Reids are the face of the Democratic Party. They have no interest in a capitalist system based on free enterprise.
President Romney
http://www.weeklystandard.com/print/articles/president-romney_640520.html
#428, not from me jason. That is interesting though that my man Perry endorsed him. Phil has a much better handle on Texas politics.
I think Obama is going to have a very hard time getting re-elected. The electoral math might look a little more difficult for Romney for now but the main question is what does Obama give people to vote for based on what he did these four years he will have been in office? Nothing. All he can do is smear Romney and play class warfare like he always does. So long as Romney gives a clear, positive alternative and vision (ahem, jobs) to vote for while of course highlighting all of Obama’s baggage he accrued during his term, he should win.
#434 — Kristol validates what I said almost to the T. That’s a very good article.
Wow….in May…4 Tuesday primaries in a row, followed by the first week in June.
” Because he wanted to be POTUS, not Sec of Agriculture.
Yeah. Really, perfesser. Really.”
But I thought you said he could make a lot more money in the private sector.
” Santorum has in the past, & can again, make MILLIONS OF DOLLARS! Don’t you GET that?”
What is he doing running for President then?
Take it to the bank, he would give his left nut for a cabinet post.
” #428, not from me jason. That is interesting though that my man Perry endorsed him. Phil has a much better handle on Texas politics. ”
I lived in TX 20 years before I almost became a Philly A-hole.
The reason Perry backed Dewhurst is because Dewhurst is backed by the big money concerns in Texas.
For all his talk about the R establishment in the primaries, the fact is the Texas R party IS run by the establishment. And in Texas, establishment really mean $$$$.
“Today, the Texas Oil and Gas Political Action Committee has announced its support of David Dewhurst’s U.S. Senate Campaign. The Texas Oil and Gas Political Action Committee is the largest political action committee representing oil & gas interests in Texas”
Not rocket science.
Oh and if oil interests are not enough..
“This endorsement follows other major Texas endorsements in recent weeks, including three former presidents of the Texas Farm Bureau, BEEF-PAC, the Texas and Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association Political Action Committee and the Texas Farm Bureau Friends of Agriculture Fund.”
He has oil AND cattle…..
The french are posed to elect the socialist–yeah, that’ll fix all their problems. Hope and change. What is with these people?
If the socialist wins there are still the legislative elections in June that will elect the parliament. If the socialists win complete power Katy bar the doors. I am hoping that even if Holland wins, the June elections will restore some balance. But I wouldn’t bet on it.
France has the largest percentage of public sector workers in Europe. That is one reason. 35% of people work for the government.
http://www.happensingreece.com/which-country-has-the-highest-percentage-of-public-sector-workers-greece-or-germany/
Being that I live in CA, I found this article both interesting and depressing:
The Great California Exodus
“but after the week he’s had, if I were his Chicago campaign office I’d be hitting the panic button.”
clinton would have bombed an aspirin factory by now
U.S. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., has blocked voting on a bill that would outlaw synthetic drugs such as “bath salts,” officials say.
The legislation, which would include the chemicals comprising synthetic drugs under the Controlled Substances Act, has already passed The House.
Other senators are pressuring Paul to lift his block on the bill so it can be debated on the Senate floor. Paul, who is a libertarian, has said criminal justice should be left to states rather than federal government.
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2012/04/12/Sen-Paul-blocks-bath-salts-bill/UPI-53841334267816/
Bill Krystal seems to think that Romney can win, maybe even win quit easily, if he simply stays above the fray, by not being petty or reverting to name calling, but, instead, runs his campaign in an issue-oriented manner.
Barry is back up by 3 today in Gallup.
I’ve been playing the last few days, rather than focusing on politics, so I didn’t catch this until now —> that Mia Love won the republican primary.
This is completely unrelated to politics but I wanted to tell you guys something good today.
We are having a Spring campaign at our church and this week is bring a visitor week.
I just got back from vacation and didn’t have much time to invite friends to church.
As many of you may know, I drive a church bus for our Spanish ministry and as I was waiting for a spanish family to get on the bus a middle aged black man wearing a suit and tie walked up to the bus and said he saw carrying a huge weight and woke up and the Lord told him that he should go to church and he wanted to know if he could ride the bus. I told him of course!
We were the only english speaking people on the bus. I sat with him and shared my Bible with him in Sunday school. He went to the main service, during which I preach in our children’s church. After church I had people tell me after preaching he went to the altar and trusted Jesus as savior.
I was on my was to find him and congradulate him when my Sunday School teacher gave me a new Scofield Reference Bible for bringing the most visitors.
I found him. He had been crying. I gave him the new Bible and a hug.
Thing like that really make my day!
Just Math #448. 5 day tracker.
#450 That’s hope and change…
for 5 $trillion obama could have hired 10,000,000 workers for 10 years at $50,000 each
40000 each… you forgot to skim a trillion of the top for cronies.
SoHope
Enjoyed reading your uplifting experience. It’s those cameos that often hold the best memories for us.
First media reports of Minnesota. Paul takes 20 of 24.
Paul did even better in Iowa although it’s hard to explain the results in tangible numbers.
Paul will likely control both the Iowa and Minnesota delgations at the convention.
no one cares about ron paul.
Hope – your new friend shall be today’s Favorite Evangelical. Just do not let him come here. He is not ready for it.
Thanks Janz & DrJay…the guy was a blessing to me. I thought I would share it with you all.
And…YES…NOBODY CARES ABOUT RON PAUL!
#459
3 more states and we are guaranteed one of the convention nights.
…not to mention slowing the Romneycare folks path to the nomination down a bit.
#456 If the convention were a human body, that would be like controlling the appendix.
congrats…
Ron Paul, the human appendix… you only remember he’s there when he becomes a toxic pain in your side
#448. Meaningless. I read on HHR that Obama is toast.
3 more states and we are guaranteed one of the convention nights
That would make a grand total of . . . 3.
Bunu, I think your support of Ron Paul has “slowed down” the neurons in your brain a little bit.
I wonder why Bunu posts here? Maybe he’s even too annoying for Ron Paul websites.
“I wonder why Bunu posts here? Maybe he’s even too annoying for Ron Paul websites.”
It’s the one place he hasn’t been banned.
The way winning states are determined is by who controls the delegations at the RNC convention.
Paul will in all likelihood control Minnesota and Iowa.
Paul backers organize to take Texas.
Let’s try Swahili:
Hakuna mwili hapa wasiwasi kuhusu Ron Paul!
The way the rest of us determine winning states is by who actually wins them.
Too bad Dave’s site doesn’t recognize Klingon fonts….I bet bunu would comprehend that.
is….
When a car going full speed runs over a oppossum, you get a dead oppossum.
When you slow down the car a little bit, and the car runs over a oppossum, you get a dead oppossum.
The oppossum is Ron Paul, just in case you missed it, bunu.
Even though Ron Paul won no primaries or caucuses, Bunu thinks Ron Paul could be the nominee. Sad.
Even if the car stopped, he would play dead.
What does it matter anyway…the oppossum will die of natural causes soon enough.
Santorum is more like an armadillo… it’s little legs scrambling as fast as it can and getting it nowhere…
then at the last minute, when the car would just pass over him, he jumps up into the bumper.
Perry was the deer in headlights.
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_1Hsz3Y4FlNo/S6z4AQZrk-I/AAAAAAAAAJU/ORnpoSICTTo/s1600/DeadPossum.jpg
#478 Hey, man, it’s not MY job!
Perry was Dori from Finding Nemo.
Newt is my neighbors dog that is alway humping people’s legs
Santorum the annoying cat that meows all night
#478…must have been a union job
#441:
Uh, maybe the present guy sux?
Democracy Now interview: NSA wistleblower says that domestic surveillance has become more expansive under President Obama than President George W. Bush and says NSA secretly has copies of most Americans emails
#482 What are we? chopped liver?
So the NSA knows I’m bringing chips to the social on Friday?
Damn…
Personally glad to see that Mia Love got the nomination w/o having to go to the primary in yesterday’s utah convention.
” Paul did even better in Iowa although it’s hard to explain the results in tangible numbers.”
Therein lies the problem. Tangible numbers are what counts.
450. Wow, what would make my day would be a big discount on Grey Goose or my favorite Cabernet.
Different strokes for different folks.
#487
We won every district convention, every leadership position, every committee.
State convention should be a near sweep even if the other candidates combine like in Missouri and Colorado.
Mia Love would be a great name for a Vegas hooker, just saying……
Whoops, first exit polls show the right is doing better than expected in France, actually the Sarkozy + Le Pen vote is beating the left Hollande + Melanchon….
To be confirmed….
” We won every district convention, every leadership position, every committee”
Everything except the real live vote by real people.
preliminary results
François Hollande 28.4%
Nicolas Sarkozy 25.5%
Marine Le Pen 20.0%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11.7%
François Bayrou 8.5%
Eva Joly 2.0%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 1.8%
Philippe Poutou 1.2%
Nathalie Arthaud 0.8%
Jacques Cheminade 0.2%
Wow, 20% for Le Pen.
le pen’s daughter doesnt come off as hardcore as her dad, i read
” François Hollande arrive en tête du premier tour avec 29,2%, Nicolas Sarkozy obtient 27,3%, selon les estimations de la Sofres.
Marine Le Pen arrive en troisième position 18,3%, dépassant le score historique de son père en 2002.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon obtient 10,1%, François Bayrou 9%, Eva Joly 2,1%, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 1,7%, Philippe Poutou 1,2%, Nathalie Arthaud 0,6%.”
If this is true then the left bloc has 39% vs 45% for the right with the center at about 10%.
The problem for Sarkozy is that he is loathe to ally himself with the far right represented by Le Pen.
493. That’s a live vote?
Hilarious Dailyshow piece on GOP talking heads flip flopping on Romney support.
#496
That is estimates from Le Monde, based on sources:
Ipsos, Logica Business Consulting, France 2, France 3, France Inter, France Info, Le Point et Le Monde
http://www.lemonde.fr/election-presidentielle-2012/article/2012/04/22/presidentielle-2012-estimations-et-resultats_1686763_1471069.html
I understood #495 completely…
Does that make me a bad American?
Sarkozy has been attacking muslims for entire term so they are all voting against him.
Bunu blew the second opportunity to score a “D”.
‘Fed up’ French Muslims mobilize to unseat Sarkozy
Donna Brazile has elevated the Romney dog story into a “scandal”…
This is a narrative, and for Mitt Romney, he has to be concerned about the Seamus scandal because it might fit into this narrative that perhaps he’s not like us,” Brazile said.
Sarkozy is against illegal immigration.
Is Ron Paul in favor?
So Bunu, how come the candidate who has really made it a campaign against Muslims, Le Pen, is getting a record vote of almost 20%?
Are they “fed up” too?
Nope, Paul is against any national identity cards.
Ok Dr. Jay, that’s an exit poll like the one I posted by Souffres.
” Nope, Paul is against any national identity cards.”
So Ron Paul is not in favor of immigration law enforcement?
DIX
tee hee
Disappointed that Romney’s rally ‘bounce’ dissipated quickly, which wasn’t strong to begin with.
I wanted the D. I missed it !
#508
No, you’re talking black and white issue, and he’s thinking about the issue in a completely different way. More like he doesn’t want the federal government knowing the difference between them since they wouldn’t have data mining, IRS data, social security, national I.D. cards, welfare state, etc. Paul has a strong record in opposing amnesty though.
Live results
Hollande 27.50
Sarkozy 26.60
Le Pen 19.90
Melenchon 10.40
Bayrou 9.00
Left is not doing as well as expected so far.
#511:
Well, don’t panic. This is a close race; very close. I see nothing that will change that. At least, not in the near future.
“Paul has a strong record in opposing amnesty though.”
except for terrorists
“More like he doesn’t want the federal government knowing the difference between them”
Ok it’s official per Bunu.
Ron Paul doesn’t want to know the difference between a legal resident and an illegal one.
Drudge headline: Sarkozy loses
Okay, so is that like really loses, or like how Ron Paul loses but really still wins.
Paul doesn’t believe in enforcing immigration laws because the federal government never has in the past and shouldn’t have an army to enforce that on the states…or atleast that is what i read here a few days ago.
#450…SoHope….What a wonderful testimony. I am so thankful you shared it. It really touched my heart that this precious man believed and gave himself to the Lord. Now, each of you have a testimony to share with others. I love hearing how believers come to know the Lord, personally. I never get tired of hearing them!
I listened to an hour long radio straight talk interview of Paul opposing McCain-Kennedy, and he also talked about the mistakes of the Reagan amnesty.
Paul has the strongest record on immigration of any candidate in the race. You know where he stands unlike Romney who changes every day.
I love the part were Paul said he is afraid to build fences b/c they can be used to keep Americans in….classic paul
That dude is nuts!!!
Bitter….You forgot to answer my question in #431. I assumed you were in church.
Any one who voted for the disaster known as John McCain should not complain about immigration
Need reminded?
Any one who voted for the disaster known as John McCain should not complain about immigration
I predict a sweep SSQ… I assume Bitter does too, because he already said Romney would win PA before Santorum dropped out, and PA would have been the toughest to win.
one more time:
Bunu’s conversation with God:
Bunu: What do you think the chances are of Ron Paul or his progeny ever becoming president?
God: Well, Bunu, that’s difficult to say. I mean, he doesn’t really…
Bunu: Hit me with it! Just give it to me straight! I came a long way just to see you, God. The least you can do is level with me. What are his chances?
God: Not good.
Bunu: You mean, not good like one out of a hundred?
God: I’d say more like one out of 311,591,917.
[pause]
Bunu: So you’re telling me there’s a chance… *YEAH!*
So if Hitler ran against McCain and someone voted for McCain, they’ve lost their right to complain about immigration?
pffft
Save us, PLEASE!!!
Mitt Plays the Victim Card
By: Reid J. Epstein April 22, 2012
Meet Mitt Romney the victim. And that may be a good thing for his campaign.
http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=A6530556-D02C-4A42-8313-3FD540F52A55
Obama ran against McCain.
If enough conservatives would have backed the Constitution Party it would have put the GOP in a bind.
I believe in Colorado in 2008, the GOP actually had to endorse a Constitution Party candidate since their nominee was so unpopular with conservatives.
529…lol
There’s a Constitution Party??? you just made that up right?
Kurt Bills flew around in this helicopter too all Minnesota caucuses giving speeches for Ron Paul on Saturday.
We need him as the GOP senate candidate to defeat amy klobuchar
Exit polls still not panning out in France.
Sarkozy and Hollande neck and neck, far left doing poorly, far right rocking.
“We’re headed to the top!”
Goode-Clymer
2012!
“I believe in Colorado in 2008, the GOP actually had to endorse a Constitution Party candidate since their nominee was so unpopular with conservatives.”
BS.
News for Bunu.
Ron Paul not a conservative.
Conservatives are, above all, patriots.
The Constitution Party got a grand total of 0.15% of the vote, in ’08. They are a total non factor.
2010 then? or 08?
Was it senate or governor. I can’t recall the race.
“Ain’t no mountain high enough!”
Goode-Clymer
2012!
Bunu just reinvented history.
Maes WAS the conservative candidate in Colorado, beating the scandal ridden “establishment” candidate.
Tancredo is the opposite of Paul, he is one of the most anti-illegal immigration candidates in America, he wants a fence, and he only ran on the Constitution Party line because Maes also became embroiled in scandal. Tancredo was always a Republican.
“Don’t find us in the urban dictionary, Susyque!”
Goode-Clymer
2012!
New exit polls…
Hollande 28.6%
Sarkozy 27 %
Le Pen 18.3%
Melanchon 11.1%
Bayrou…. 9.0%
Certainly seems to consistently point to a narrow loss for Sarkozy and a surprise finish for Le Pen…
not sure how that translates to the run off
526: Don’t forget the Gingrich plan to sweep in Delawhe nomination!!!!!
Delaware
if Bayrou is the ‘centrist’ guy…where do his votes go in the run off?
Funniest thing about that is even Christine O’Donnell backs Romney and slammed Gingrich.
He has not endorsed anybody for the second round. Will talk with both candidates.
Probably “selling” his support.
But I think his vote will probably be split fairly evenly.
Here is a link to election results:
http://www.google.com/elections/ed/fr/results
BeJohnGalt- Mitt – Watch out for Land Mines
http://www.google.com/elections/ed/fr/results?hl=fr
looking at the map it seems that urban, industrial areas are more right and the wine country & vichy area is left.
france is wierd
I believe its an east-west thing SoHope.
553, Europe is like that. The big cities are conservative, and the remainder are swingy to socialist. Madrid, Oslo, Stockholm, Rome, and London are dominated by conservative votes.
With the election results it looks like France’s “HOLLANDE DAYS” must be is the country’s future.
***********************
I know, bad pun..
Here are the 2007 results… Sarkozy won by about 6% in round one and in the runoff… difference is Bayrou and Le Pen are essentially flipped.
The link:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_presidential_election,_2007
Those google results will close considerably.
Paris hasn’t counted yet and that’s where Sarkozy will cut the difference in half. Saves him some face.
I don’t think Lyon and Marseilles have reported either.
I have a feeling that the second round, which had Hollande winning 54-46, will tighten up some.
The Le Pen votes will go mostly to Sarkozy and there were a lot more of them than the far left votes for Melanchon.
Yay!! Gallup Tracking
Obama 47%
Romney 44%
Bitter….You forgot to answer my question in #431. I assumed you were in church.
Comment by SusyQue
I was not in church. I say ROmney gets 60% in PA and the deadenders split thre rest.
Incumbent at 47%? I concur.
yay!
can we debate how stupid the French/German/et al are for using the comma for the decimal separator and period for thousands seperator?
I say very stupid
Breaking News – Ron Paul wins all delegates at Guantanamo Bay Detention Center. Islamic Terrorist Convention Chair says, “Ron Paul understands us. Not only does he understand why we want to kill Americans, he agrees with the destruction of Israel. He is our kind of American politician.”
Gallup is an Obama plant.
I again call on Dave to ban the IP of the fake Brandon
The French probably have it right:
Three hundred forty-four thousand. Two hundred seventy-six. AND one hundred thousandths AND two hundred twenty millionths AND …
344.276,100,220,…
I’m more annoyed by the Day Month Year dating in Europre. 22 April 2012 or 22.4.2012? Enough.
I’m more annoyed by the Day Month Year dating in Europre. 22 April 2012 or 22.4.2012? Enough.
No that’s really me. It’s just funny to me how people like to quote Gallup when it shows what they want, but when it shows the opposite the poll doesn’t matter.
” Yay!! Gallup Tracking
Obama 47%
Romney 44% ”
Wow, the moron is celebrating the Messiah at 3 pts ahead of Romney…a really bad number for an incumbent…
How far we have come from the Greek columns and stopping the rising seas….
Does anyone else find it coincidental that since Axelrod criticized Gallup’s polling methodology on Wednesday, Obama has surged in its polling?
I don’t make a habit of trashing many polls. I just keep my mouth shut and hope they are off.
That said…I are confident Romney wins NC
Le Pen actually won the area around Nimes.
For millions of former Obama supporters The Thrill is Gone…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p9YoBUBF9Fw
” It’s just funny to me how people like to quote Gallup when it shows what they want, but when it shows the opposite the poll doesn’t matter.”
Yeah, real funny since if there is one person here that does “selective” polling analysis it is you. It’s the classic case of the pot calling the kettle black.
But don’t worry I am sure there will be a PPP-DKos out soon you can suck up to.
Yawn. You’re boring me. Get a new act.
Let’s see how Le Pen does in Marseilles, she should do well there too. Bouches-du-Rhône still out.
I know you’re just jealous you’re not a member of the A-Holes, but come on now.
Everybody knows that only polls that show Obama doing poorly are accurate. Obama is pretty much despised at HHR and everybody is like HHR, right?
Bingo, Bitter. You got it.
Yeah, Brandon accepts all polls.
Well, as long as they don’t show Obama doing poorly in MA. Then it’s trash.
I love hypocrisy.
Ouch. Brandon, that was cold. Good job.
Jason – attack the Island.
Now thats some Philly A-hole solidarity right there…way to circle the wagons.
But nobody circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills.
jason, youre not cracking that nut
jason, youre not cracking that nut
Comment by SoHope
Nut? I knew you were a pickle puffer, Jesus Freak.
I think the tracking polls are accurate btw. I have no problem with Gallup showing Obama up by 3 or whatever. And I don’t think Axelrod had any influence on the poll.
The daily ups and downs should not be any cause for panic. The fact Obama’s poll numbers are not good for an incumbent President 7 months before the election.
590…haha
Sweep the leg! Do you have a problem with that, Mr. Brandon?
Bunu, congratulations on the Guantanamo vote. I guess persistence pays off after all, I was truly pessimistic Paul was going to win anything.
I don’t mind giving credit where it’s due, Paul deserves the terrorist vote.
Sarkozy is still closing on Hollande. Let’s see when Paris comes in.’
http://www.google.com/elections/ed/fr/results?hl=fr
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1oZzGqqp4wQ&feature=player_embedded#t=5s
french political campaign videos need some help…big time!!!
jason change the last 2 letters in your link to us and you get it in english
Ron Paul is a joke. I’m sorry I don’t have a link for that.
DC
Toulouse is still out, but otherwise
Nice, Paris, Marseilles, Strasbourg, Lyon
I believe are Sarkozy territory.
Isn’t Tim’s radio show on tonight?
drjay, the fact that I care how close of a second place finish he comes in what amounts to a french primary shows just how bad of a political junky I am.
I think we need an intervention.
Was right. Sarko cut Commie lead to less than two points, well within what the polls were claiming. Thats right haters, you should love Paris after this! J’aime Paris!
It would be gratifying if this GOP AA woman takes out Matheson. He’s the biggest blue dog fraud still standing.
I wish Le Pen pere et fille were less anti-American.
#603 No, you’re talking about a pretty important election.
Once you are talking about how many Ron Paul people were selected at Podunk caucus in Nowheresville, we’ll intervene.
I am looking forward to seeing Mia Love in the house.
NAACP/CBC types hate mixed families
#602:
It is. But, why aren’t you people watching the reruns of Frozen Planet, like I am?
from what i understand, is the socialists won in france it would split the franco-german eu power alliance and would stress the euro even more.
…bad for Obama’s reelection.
the part i never understood is why paul is a dem
he would be a major player in the dem party
the occupy movement loves him.
I think Hollande’s shrinking lead of 600k votes is going to shrink even further. Since some of the Paris districts are heavily socialist I doubt Sarkozy can catch up, but it might be a lot closer than some polls and even the exit polls showed.
Polls were also way off on Le Pen and Melenchon, they were supposed to be tied and Le Pen is getting twice the amount of votes.
the muslim problem in france is growing
back when i went to france in the 1990′s topless beaches were the norm
now the french do not favor that anymore
” the part i never understood is why paul is a dem ”
He IS a Dem. Just doesn’t know it….
that explains where Wes has been…he has been in france fighting for France to return to her roots.
Joe Lieberman plans to call hearings on Secret Service prostitution scandal. Hearings to be aired on C-SPAN, Cinemax
http://www.courant.com/news/breaking/la-pn-lieberman-to-call-hearings-on-secret-service-sex-scandal-20120422,0,4121896.story
well, I’ve got church…hold down the fort and insult bunu for my while I am gone.
#610:
Yeah, because the Dem Party is full of Libertarians from Texas.
Geez……
” jason change the last 2 letters in your link to us and you get it in english”
Why? I am fluent in French.
I say this only because it might get me an ambassadorship at the Philly A-hole Club.
I think I could do a good job handling the club’s interests in Paris given my linguistic and wine imbibing talents.
I will need a modest entertainment budget in addition to housing and a stipend.
Topless activists of the Ukrainian women movement Femen hold placards as they protest against anti women’s politic of Islam on March 31, 2012 in front of the Eiffel tower at the Trocadero in Paris. The idea of protest is to call muslim women to fight againsts Sharia laws. Getty
no link because nsfw
Hollande lead now 500k, 1.9%.
Nice came in solidly for Sarkozy and Le Pen
Don’t Hollande and Sarkozy go to a runoff anyway?
Yes.
” Yeah, because the Dem Party is full of Libertarians from Texas. ”
No the Dem party is full of isolationists, America haters, and anti-military types who think terrorists and foreign combatants should be given the same rights as US citizens.
People who think Bush is a “war criminal” and waterboarding is torture. People who think Iran is not a threat and Israel should be thrown under the bus. People who believe Bradley Manning is a hero, not a traitor.
Paul would fit right in.
As expected Toulouse just came in for Hollande by about 60000.
Strasbourg, and the three biggies (Paris,Lyon,Marseilles) all that’s left.
All three should be net for Sarkozy.
“569.I again call on Dave to ban the IP of the fake Brandon
Comment by SoHope”
*********************************
Hope–
You have to put this into the form of a motion:
“I MOVE that Dave bans the IP of the fake Brandon.”
622. Yes.
Wasn’t the fake Brandon using Brandonn?
That should be enough to differentiate.
“Yeah, because the Dem Party is full of Libertarians from Texas.”
no, but it is full of anarchists
anti-semites
and
open border crazies
It is not nice for your neice to knock the gneiss of Nice.
1.7%
DCL minus 17
Thanks lisab, I missed those.
Strasbourg strikes first 80000 net for Sarko
now the french do not favor that anymore
Comment by lisab — April 22, 2012 @ 6:41 pm
Do they favor razors yet?
DCL minus 17
Comment by Tim V
Well, really DCL imus XVI when you posted but good effort.
nice job on snagging the dc bitter, i had my eye on that one
“Do they favor razors yet?”
the topless ones anyway
southern portion of paris area nets Hollande 30000
There is nothing unusual about an incumbent not getting 50% in polls.
During February to June of 2004, there were 96 public polls of the Bush-Kerry race. Bush reached 50 % on exactly 2 of them. (Also, just FYI, he tied or trailed Kerry in 46 of those 96 polls.)
There is a new show on Showtime called Old Porn. They show clips from old porn (blocking out the best stuff but you see plenty of breasts and can follow the action . . . I mean plot.) Comedians make jokes throughout. The 1970s and 1980s were a hairy era. Today’s youth would run screaming.
Two more areas of Paris come in at a net wash.
642:
1. The vast majority of pollsters are in the tank for Obama. If they are showing him under 50%, it’s a HUGE problem for Dems.
2. It is a much bigger problem for Dems to be under 50% than for Republicans at this point. When pollsters go from Registered (or Adult) Voter polls to Likely Voter polls, there is a few point shift towards Republicans.
So in summary, Obama being at 47% in an RV poll in April is a big problem for Dems.
Breaking News – Ron Paul doesn’t win French election, either. Supporters vown to fight for delegates by taking over a French restaurant in Ames, Iowa.
Marseilles nets Sarkozy 30k, difference now 1.6%
Marseilles area nets only 30000 for Sarko… Le Pen with a ton of votes there.
Yveline and Rhone went big for Sarkozy in 2007. They are still out.
DCL
#624:
Well, two points, here.
1. I am none of those things. Nor do I know anyone who believes stuff like that.
2. You’re a dick.
Actually, I’m just having a bit of fun. I get to do that.
That being said:
Scott Eliott is an interesting dude. If any of you ever get the chance, he is one fun political junkie. He’d fit in perfectly here, with us.
A Tim-Jason fight? Well, jason needs to train for the Island.
Let France go Communist
I think only another depression can wake these people up…
jason won’y go to the island. he’s a coward. but he IS an a-hole.
cream soda ?
Veterans march at End the Fed rally in Philly followed by Paul speech to 4000-5000 people.
Much bigger than the Romney crowds.
Tim, did he talk about his parents at all?
take a free shot jason as i violated the truce
west paris (versailles) net 5000 for Sark
50000 sorry… missed a zero
Yes elect a socialist because what France needs is MORE spending
JHCOAMFC…
Looks like a 1.3% final difference, 430k votes.
Lyon nets only about 35000 for Sark
“Well honey we both got fired are heavily in debt and cant put food on the table lets go buy a yacht!”
DCLXVI
645:
No, it is not.
Just by the way the pollsters run their polls, they get 10% undecided. Which means that , unless it is a blowout, anyone poling above 45% is getting 50% of those who are registered to vote. Add in the fact that only about 75% of registered voters will bother to actually vote.
The example of 2004 I gave earlier has more data. Out of about 250 polls in 2004, only about 42 showed either Bush or Kerry to be above 50%. And more than half of them were in mid to late October.
A better indication of the race as it stands today is the state polls.
” I am none of those things. Nor do I know anyone who believes stuff like that.”
You haven’t taken a look at your party lately.
Those are the people in control of the Democrats. Marxists and moonbats.
If you don’t believe it you live in fantasyland.
Check out DKos or the Progressive Caucus sometime.
Bitter, MD, Juls, other PAD folks– Did you know that Romney is speaking at the Franklin County GOP Dinner tonight?
and the mark of the beast goes to mfg
Conner go fuqq yourself eat sh*t and perform an abortion
I didn’t typeout the three numbers so that doesn’t count
PAD? = PA
The two rightwing candidates got 45.4% and the two leftists got 39.3.
Warning bells for Hollande…..
“Out of about 250 polls in 2004, only about 42 showed either Bush or Kerry to be above 50%.”
Yes and we heard over and over how Bush was in trouble… so?
Louisiana caucus in 6 days..
” Much bigger than the Romney crowds.”
Funny the big crowds don’t show up to vote.
Hollande just kicked butt NE of Paris +100000
On to 1000 I suppose…
Ron Paul’s people aren’t even registered I will bet half of them arent
bunu, what will it take to get you to stop posting ? money ? a convert ? romney’s officially being the nominee ?
Only 10,000 people voted in the thing in 2008.
Louisiana has 48 delegates.
Getting him to talk football or the Nba is the only thing that stops it
george bush’s approvals were above obama’s
obama’s are about where ford’s were
Only to your demented mind was Bush in trouble.
His entire 2004 campaign was based on winning the red states. The only surprise to his campaign was the loss of Wisconsin. There was no question of him losing states like NC and VA. (unlike the current bunch like McCain and Romney.)
Obama is in the same position as Bush was in 2004. He starts with a base of 246 EVs, which have a very low probability of him losing. He then has about 6-8 states that he has better than even chance of winning.
A lot of poll respondents don’t want to say they disapprove of a black president this bumps him 2 or 3 points
#658:
He did. For those who have never heard about his parents, they were killed in Iraq. They were missionaries. It is a moving personal story.
ford’s approval avg. 47.2%
Conner shouldn’t you be performing an abortion or fomenting a lynching of Zimmerman?
I could only find one story on Pon Paul’s pathetic rally in Philadelphia. Even the reporters didn’t feel like coming out in the rain to watch somebody who won’t get the nomination.
“Obama is in the same position as Bush was in 2004.”
obama’s approval is much lower than bush’s
Mfg, shouldn’t you be sucking yourself?
” Which means that , unless it is a blowout, anyone poling above 45% is getting 50% of those who are registered to vote”
No it doesn’t that is a bunch of horsecrap.
Polling under 50% is toxic for incumbents because they are unlikely to get the undecided vote. An incumbent at 45% is very unlikely to get 50%.
Ask David Corzine.
What was the unemployment rate under Bush you @sshole?
#668:
I know we have our nutcases. So too, do you have your own.
Please don’t send me to KOS. Those people frighten me.
By the same token, you stay here, and don’t go to BJG. Those people are nutty.
CNN covered it
I’m going to laugh like a motherfuqqer when Obamacare is overturned and you @ssholes come on here trying to spin it as good news
” Obama is in the same position as Bush was in 2004. He starts with a base of 246 EVs, which have a very low probability of him losing. ”
hahahahahah.
Funny. His base is a lot closer to 180 EV’s than 246.
Dream on, troll.
691 – and despite that, Obama is in much better shape in more states than Bush ever was.
Bush never won in supposed battleground states such as PA, WI and MI. Obama is holding serve in so-called red states.
“By the same token, you stay here, and don’t go to BJG. ”
the people at BJG do not know ayn rand was pro-abortion
they named their web site after an abortionist
how incurably stoopid are they?
Tim, there you go with your false comparisons again.
The difference is that your nutcases are in power.
“Only to your demented mind was Bush in trouble.”
Hahahaha! Tell me another fairy tale.
DCC
“Bush never won in supposed battleground states such as PA, WI and MI.”
none of those are needed for 270
obama is vulnerable in all three
Obama, Pelosi, Reid, Biden….
These ARE the radicals that should scare you.
Anthony Weiner was the spokesman for Obamacare with the press. Officially. He was mainstream.
He posted at Daily Kos.
Mfg, shouldn’t you be sucking yourself?
Comment by Conner
I wish I had that ability. Maybe. It is an interesting dilemma to have
703- lol, your timing is off
Half pf the long term unemployed out of work two motherfuqqing years and we should
Reelect this guy?
Really???????????
my dog can do it.
Conner your mother made the wrong “choice”
Rick Santorum has a plan. He wants all those people to work in a factory of some sort.
From the demented mind of Bob Shrum:
”Can I be the first to call you Mr. President?”
Or a farm.
Oh, the Teabaggers didn’t win the last election, jason? I only imagined that? Surely, you can’t think that bunch is mainstream. Please tell me you don’t believe that.
And, they are in power too, you know. Your own House Speaker can’t even control those crazies.
Sure Bob. You also get to be the last.
Just one comment from the CNN article on the Ron Paul non-event:
Wow the fist 2 comments are so over the top it’s not funny.. You two need to wake the hell up. Apparently you have no idea the state this country is in. Ron Paul cares about ending wars and taking our troops back home. I’d hate to have a warmonger for president, like Romney. Ron Paul has been winning county district caucuses across the country. You’ll be shocked to see how many delegates he will have by the Tampa convention.. Don’t be a “sheep” and follow what everyone else does. Old people in the Republican party are almost a thing of the past. It’s the younger generation that actually has a clue what is going on in the real world. You old people vote for the most bland candidates. RON PAUL 2012!!!!
COunty district caucuses? Bunu promised us that Paul would win Iowa, New Hampshire and Maine. WTF, Bunu?
Nah Bush was never in trouble.
Check the polls between 7/1 and 8/15.
Kerry only led in 31/36 polls.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/bush_vs_kerry_historical.html
Bush won because in October he had 49% and above the whole month. If he had been at 45% he would have been history.
Liberals are stupid. That’s why they waste so much time in using government to inefficiently still money from other people and give to themselves. All the people with brains focus on their jobs and families.
“It’s the younger generation that actually has a clue what is going on in the real world.”
comical…
But, I know my place. This is a Conservative site. You get the last smackdown, jason.
I’m going to watch tv, and drink alcohol. LOL
Goodnight, HHR people.
Even Dave W knows where the race lies. Go check ev his projection.
It is the losers and deadenders among the posters that are a hoot. The laughs just keep coming, when some idiot says PA is on play, and another moron pipes up that we will win NJ.
” Oh, the Teabaggers didn’t win the last election, jason? ”
No, actually they didn’t. Many Republicans won because they were supported by teapartiers, but the vast majority was mainstream Republicans.
And yes, I consider people who are concerned about spending and the debt mainstream.
There is nothing “radical” about teapartiers.
And finally, soem of you please go look up the story of Scott Elliott’s parents. Great story.
Conner is quoting our trolls and sarcastic posts now… ROFL, keep it coming!
Tim, I have visited Scott’s site since the very beginning. He is a gentleman. I remember the week his parents were killed. It still brings tears to my eyes.
Conner is full of crap.
Dave has Romney at 228 but Florida and Ohio at 45-43 and 46-42 Obama respectively.
Neither would go for Obama with those numbers, at best its a dead heat.
If those go Romney, that’s 275 right there.
Yep, Obama is comfortably ahead.
Tim is comparing teapartiers with the moonbats at DKos…
You can make a case for BJG maybe. Not teapartiers.
Conner = Cheksux? I just find it hard to believe the pathetic bitch is gone. It’s like Michael Myers in Halloween. You can’t kill the Boogey Man.
Conner is a bad Chekote sequel…think Jason X (Friday the 13th in Space)
http://hotair.com/archives/2012/04/22/video-if-i-wanted-america-to-fail/
very good video, tim should listen to it
Conner was probably here saying Toomey had no chance against Sestak.
Romney seem to be finding his voice, one that is similar to what Bill Krystal was advising him to do — don’t demean the president, just the job he is doing!
Another article alluding to substance over style between the two candidates:
Oratory, bore-atory: Obama, Romney and political rhetoric in 2012
Conner is Robbie
I like Scott Elliott. He has Obama at 303-235. Only a small swing needed to reverse that. He has Rs netting 3 seats in the Senate, losing 3 in the house and picking up 4 governorships.
In the senate he has Fl staying blue, I think that’s a winnable seat. He has Brown losing MA.
I am hoping at least one of those events does not happen so we get a clear majority in the Senate.
If Election Projection is right, Dems will come out with only 16 governors.
Conner is Robbie
Same thought occurred to me
Paris proper gave Hollande another 25000…
99.9% reporting… perhaps a small territory we missed?
Hollande 28.6
Sarkozy 27.1
Le Pen 18.0
Melenchon 11.1
Bayrou 9.1
“Oh, the Teabaggers didn’t win the last election, jason? ” tm the toady
nice homosexual insult there by tm the toady
it does show his true colors …
but nice
Dupont-Aignan at 1.8%, I believe, is right-wing
I think the others are on the left… they total about 4% and change.
France?
I say let em crash…
obama is in real trouble
he can easily come back, but clearly his supporters are nervous
when barney frank criticizes a dem president, you now the dems are worried.
i think barney is afraid the dems will pay a high price again if obama loses
which is probably correct
Wahkeena, they are obviously trying to start damage control as they expect ObamaCare to be overturned, its no coincidence Frank and Webb have dissed the law, they’re expecting it to be repealed
Wahkeena, can you post any funny/nice videos?
My hip is killing me, I re-aggravated an old football injury Friday and I’m in a grumpy mood
maybe you need to bring light to your own shadows
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vTH_GvKyGAg&list=PL23FACBE321D4E159&index=5&feature=plpp_video
Thanks, Wahkeena…
AP: 1 in 2 new graduates are jobless or underemployed
At least they don’t have to pay back student loans….
The “nominee” without support
WashTimes: More people donated to Ron Paul campaign in March than the Mitt Romney campaign.
741. If Sarkozy could get all of LePen’s votes he would win with just a few of Bayrou’s votes. The problem is if he gets too close to her he loses votes in the middle.
There is a poll out tonight 54-46 Hollande for the second round.
Does not seem insurmountable.
One for you, Wahkeena:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5-lGKnIbNbw
All those dollars and no victories? Ron Paul really is a joke. Well, if you find a racist, anti-Semitic, truther to be funny. I love the thought of his moron supporters pissing away all that money on a broken, pathetic loser. How much have you wasted on Ron Paul, you America-hating Bastard?
#751 I wouldn’t dispute that. He’s got some work to do, but he could come back.
Flashback….
Senator Senator Amy Klobuchar Talks ‘Twilight’ With Elena Kagan
MFG,
here is a meeting between bitterlaw and MD at their club
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VsYJIBW9oTk
The truth from Bunu’s article:
Disclosure forms covering March, made public Friday, show that Mr. Romney received 18,461 donations of at least $200, while Mr. Paul received 18,835, though Mr. Romney overall raised far more money than the Texas lawmaker — nearly $13 million compared with $2.6 million.
Ok. Here’s a math problem for you, you America-hating Bastard:
Which is more – $13 million or $2.6 million?
Romney got 4.6 million votes so far against 1.2 million for the racist porker.
If Romney doesn’t have support, what about the racist porker?
lisab – wives are not permitted at the club. MD invited some . . . uh . . . “women” who also had transgender surgery when he underwent his operation.
MD and Bitterlaw (in a couple decades) take on Milton Berle 30 seconds in… Brandon gets in a shot at 3:25.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PGfx3QAV64M&feature=related
I don’t think Bunu comes here to sell Ron Paul or to get recruits.
I think he just likes attention poor lonely bastard. I mean there is just so much fondling of Ron Paul dolls and staring admirably at Ron Paul posters you can do.
number of donors $
130630 $86,776,145 romney
90535 $35,902,568 paul
118813 $147,881,393 obama
” wives are not permitted at the club.”
Are Amish dancing girls ok?
I keep my Ron Paul action figures in the original box, so its value can only increase.
http://ronpaulactionfigures.com/
Jason – will the Amish churn the butter?
The one on the right is going to be really valuable, it’s missing an “I” between the R and the P.
Absolutely, and they will only be wearing a ladle.
#766 LOL
My wife’s first grade workbook directs students to draw various shapes, like small triangle, large circle, etc. One shape the book tells the 1st graders to draw is a fat rhombus.**************** Firstly, is this a politically correct term?****** and secondly, why not just say draw a big parallelogram or draw a big ldiamond? ***************Thirdly, should rhombus even be a word?
“661.50000 sorry… missed a zero
Comment by DrJay”
***************************
When Romney is sworn in in January of 2013, I know one zero that will not be missed.
#770 nice
Whats up HHRers?
I have to catch up to with the comments and see how the Amish were introduced, but first a question:
Who will be the first Republican with enough guts to ask the president why he doesn’t pull in some extra help from the TSA crowd to cover because of the SS firings?
Bubu–
If RonPaul gets all of LePen’s
le votes, will he have le chance?
Bunu, how much have you flushed down the Ron Paul toilet?
Don’t be embarrassed, I have piddled away a lot of money myself.
RPers are a strange lot. They want support for their guy but state vehemently they will not give support to another candidate. If you read their comments throughout the blogworld, most will write in Paul.
lisab–
Do you think that 1st graders ought to be directed to draw a “fat rhombus”?
********************************
I think it might psychologically scar some of the overweight snowflakes.
When you watch Ron Paul speak, you can really see that he considers himself sane.
#769…It’s is just another slanted shape…it had nothing to do with a body part.
I prefer the term “diamond in the rough”.
Just another slanted shape! Just another slanted shape!
aaaauuuuuuuuuuuugggggggh!
Are you saying we all look alike? jason, you were right about ssq!
boo hoo hoo sniffle sniffle
Why not say “large” rhombus instead of “fat” rhombus?
FAT?
Do we use that term
and call people FAT?
******************************
I thought we banned the F word.
When people go to class reunions and see fellow classmates who are now very large, they don’t say “My look how FAT you have gotten over the years!”
” Get your fat rhombus off that couch and help me carry in the groceries!”
I’m surprised we still have Fat Tuesday.
What are you drinking Walt?
” take a free shot jason as i violated the truce”
For calling me a coward and an a-hole?
Nah, coward is schoolyard stuff and a-hole is a badge of honor here.
No violation….
#740:
No, here’s my true colors.
Kiss my a**. You bore me.
#736:
He told me that he thinks Brown will eventually win.
#723:
LMAO! Allen West, a favorite of these Teabaggers, recently said there are a bunch of Communists in the Dem caucus. Yeah, nothing radical about that. The man’s an idiot. Anyone who believes anything like that is an idiot. Or, they are Joe McCarthy reborn.
He and his Teabagger devotees remind me of the John Birch Society. They go around screaming that their opponents are “Communist”, “Socialist”, “anti-American”, etc. And, they’re wearing their little tri-color hats and referring to themselves as patriots. They brandish signs, referring to my Party and the President of the United States as Nazis and Soviet-style Commies. What next? Black helicopters? Kenyan birth certificates? Sharia Law? I mean, some of these people have actually brought firearms to their rallies. Who are they gonna shoot?
They make me sick. They are a disgrace, and belong nowhere near the political process. I mean, Christine O’Donnell is their poster candidate!
I tell you what. You keep that bunch in your Party. I don’t want any of them in mine, even if it costs the Dems every last election.
And, if you had any sense, you’d run that bunch off. But, don’t try to sell them to me as mainstream. You’re wasting your time, and you’re wrong. I know the local ones. And, they’re a bunch of crazies. They’d think you’re a Commie because of where you live.
Tim
Why don’t you go post among like-minded pro-zero leftists, then?
Is Van Jones a communist? Did zero appoint him as his Green Czar anyway? Am I a McCarthyite if I say zero admires & appoints communists to high positions, then?
Ya, I wrote off Colorado after that convention. Romney won the convention even though he was outnumbered by Paul people. Not worth worrying about.
Slate: write up on Minnesota.
Paul will take Iowa and Minnesota in near sweeps. We have several other states we may win.
Also the best way to define winning a state is by who controls that state at the convention not really by AP reports or CNN projections.
,
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