Romney Dominates in West Virginia
Yet another one-goal game for the Washington Capitals…I can tell you this is not doing much for my high blood pressure…how about a 6-0 blowout once in a while, either win or lose, just something where I don’t spend three hours fretting over every little play….
Here is a place that does not get polled too often, the state of West Virginia. We have a new poll from RL Repass and Partners showing Mitt Romney dominating Barack Obama in the presidential race, but Democrats still leading the US Senate and Gubernatorial races.
PRESIDENT – WEST VIRGINIA (RL Repass)
Mitt Romney (R) 54%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 37%US SENATE – WEST VIRGINIA (RL Repass)
Joe Manchin (D-inc) 74%
John Raese (R) 22%GOVERNOR – WEST VIRGINIA (RL Repass)
Earl Ray Tomblin (D-inc) 60%
Bill Maloney (R) 32%
Those last two races were a lot closer when they were first run, showing how an open seat was the Republican’s best chance. Once a Democrat gets elected, then taking them out becomes much more difficult. This poll was done April 25-28 among 410 likely voters.
On Public Policy Polling’s Twitter feed, they state they will be releasing polls for the Presidential race in Virginia and the US Senate race in Montana today. In one of the tweets, they seem to imply Barack Obama will have a lead.
Apparently I am not supposed to go to work today….
1st
New Obama slogan has long ties to Marxism, socialism
The Obama campaign apparently didn’t look backwards into history when selecting its new campaign slogan, “Forward” — a word with a long and rich association with European Marxism.
Many Communist and radical publications and entities throughout the 19th and 20th centuries had the name “Forward!” or its foreign cognates. Wikipedia has an entire section called “Forward (generic name of socialist publications).”
“The name Forward carries a special meaning in socialist political terminology. It has been frequently used as a name for socialist, communist and other left-wing newspapers and publications”
http://www.washingtontimes.com/blog/inside-politics/2012/apr/30/new-obama-slogan-has-long-ties-marxism-socialism/
2…but some have ridiculed me and others who frequently have called Obama a marxist.
And WV voters are by far the stupidest voters on the planet. 2nd place is not even close.
The growing number of the unemployed is a crushing indictment of this belligerent man in the White House. May his days in office be
few and another take his place on November 6, 2012!
Manchin will be a senator for life.
PPP(D) will likely show an 18 point lead for Obama in VA today.
6…yep, and he doesn’t even have the white cloak and cone hat to go with it–like his predecessor did.
http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/president12.php
VA moved from Weak Obama to Weak Romney
Happy May 1st, comrades!
FORWARD!
PPP had to rush out a rescue poll for VA
65% of Republicans picked Manchin over Raese.
Lost cause.
12…they are FOOLS. One of the greatest outcomes of the civil war was that we got those fools their own state, and got them out of Virginia.
#4, I agree. All Manchin had to do two years ago to fool the people was say he was pro-gun and this time he just said he might not vote for Pres. Obama.
So after taking office, he misses two key votes citing planned family business. Yeah right.
#13, It would be nice to have their votes during presidential elections though.
15…well, sure, but what sort of fool stands in the booth all upset at Obama, and votes against him, but then goes one spot down the ballot and votes for the guy who is sworn to help Obama all he can.
I guess the same ones that do it in Maine by voting for Obama and then supporting Collins/Snowe.
Manchin is the Democrats Collin/Snowe
SOCK IT TO ME!
#16 I would vote for the sock puppet.
I don’t understand split ticketers myself
me neither Author, I have never considered voting for a dem.
But if Maine will give us 2 marginal
republican senators for over a decade I’ll take it.
Boston Herald: Elizabeth Warren’s embattled campaign: Cherokee tie found 5 generations ago
“The missing link comes after Warren’s embattled campaign faced sharp questions about her Native American background in the wake of Herald stories that showed both Harvard Law School and Warren herself had touted her tribal lineage and claimed she was a member of a minority for years.
Warren’s shaken campaign faced another crisis yesterday when it was revealed that beginning in 1986 and continuing through 1995, Warren had listed herself as a minority professor in the Association of American Law Schools desk book, a directory of law professors from participating schools.
Warren had flatly denied that she ever touted her Native American background professionally…”
“Suzan Shown Harjo, a former executive director of the National Congress of American Indians, expressed outrage yesterday after learning that Warren had identified herself as a Native American on law school records without documentation.”
http://bostonherald.com/news/us_politics/view.bg?articleid=1061128421
17…where is the evidence that Manchin is some sort of moderate? He is Dick Durban and Chuck U. Schumer.
Rasmussen today:
Approval 47/52
10:30- Sentiments on Presidents’ Wives
12:00- Nevada Senate
1:00- Partisan Trends
2:00- Employment Index
3:00- Newspapers Part II
The Hill:
“Third-party groups allied with the Republican Party have vastly outspent Democratic incumbents and their backers in Senate battlegrounds.”
http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/224671-gop-money-floods-into-senates-battlegrounds
Li$$y is in deep do-do in Mass.
yesterday I offered my hyperbolic prediction of the PPP(D) VA poll. Seriously, I think that they will show:
Romney 40
Obama 51
We will see how it turns out.
I’ll occasionally vote split ticket. It wouldn’t be stark contrasts, like democrat and republican – it would be more like mostly republican with a few libertarian votes
I’ll guess Obama +3 to 5.
Manchin can be counted on by his party when absolutely necesary. His constituents cause him to throw a few bones our way…just like Collins and Snowe.
I wouldn’t vote dem in local races…local politics are the Dem’s “farm team”. Remember Al Gore was a “conservative southern democrat” once.
#30 – Agreed
29…what are some of those bones? I don’t recall anything significant at all.
I say PPP claims Obama is up 5-7 in VA
I never said the bones were signifigant…blunt ammendent for starter.
so far we have predictions of Obama ahead by 3-5 points, 5-7 and by 11. Just need to have a prediction by someone from 8-10 and we will have the bases covered and someone will be right.
34…that’s just a chipped tooth…not a bone.
Food for thought. How many people here think that Romney will govern if elected like Bush43, ie push tax cuts, and an agressive foregin policy. As a Dem who hasn’t been super thrilled with Obama I want an alternative, but not another 4 years of Bush type policies. I wish Bloomberg was running as and Independent.
The most significant poll out today is the monthly party ID number released by RAS. Last month it was R+3.
More like bush 41 without the tax increases perhaps
Romney will sign on to no new foreign adventures
Obama will win Virginia Book it!!!!
37…I dont see Romney being another Bush at all.
1) Romney will be much more included to actually reduce gov’t spending and waste, as opposed to Bush. He has to. We are broke.
2) Romney is not going to involve us in any more wars because he can’t. We are broke.
3) Romney is not likely to get us any significant tax breaks. He can’t. We are broke.
Obama has bankrupted us, and it will take an entire generation to dig out of the hole.
My primary reason to vote for Romney is the SCOTUS. Someone will replace Ginsburg. I want it to be another Alito, not another Kagan.
Romney will raise Tax’s he will be Bush 41 on steroids I hope he doesn’t have a idiot like Dan Quayle as VP but if it’s Rubio he is Dan Quayle on steroids!!!
Romney would put a Sutter or a Sandra Day O’Connor on the bench there is no way he would put a Roberts or a alito on the bench that is not his liberal Marxist makeup!!!
Le Pen delivers stinging rebuke to both candidates. France’s Le Pen Will Cast Blank Ballot http://on.wsj.com/JBMs4s via @WSJ
looks like Sarkozy will lose
If Romney wins the nomination all this doesn’t matter Obama is going to win Re Electon in a landslide 332-206!!!
Joker you are a joke. Romney would appoint as conservative a SCOTUS pick as the senate would confirm.
…much better than Obama would.
shut up you litte puke…nobody believes for a second that you are anything but a liberal troll.
By the way Romney said he would not have gone after Bin Ladin!!! Also his wife Ann said she didn’t consider themselves rich!!! You gotta be kidding me!!!! What planet is she on??? I agree she probably never worked a day in her life and Williard was born with a silver spoon in his mouth!!! He just had a rich Daddy that all!!! Romney is just a Rich Bum!!!!
Having to scroll past every post from this morning’s troll is annoying me.
This is Fun!!!! I’m having a Blast!!!! Do you know what else ROMNEY SUCKS!!!!!
The “business meetings” are going great. MD made it back to his room last night.
Florida circuit court signed onto the Florida GOP’s redistricting plan.
a rich bum that donated all his father’s inheritence to charity
Ann Romney said they were “poor in spirit” and that in their eyes money isn’t the important thing in life. Loved ones your health, ect.
I think you picked the wrong Heath Ledger character for your moniker. you are more like the guy from brokeback mountain. Your lips are firmly around Obama’s _______.
I would say The Joker was Cheksux but I actually find The Joker somewhat entertaining. Cheksux just sucked.
so what has Obama done? Yeah, that’s what I thought.
I think Brokeback is actually Rock Rep blowing off some steam from being undercover so long.
Hope – I think Brokeback Mountain may have hurt gay people. I had no idea that being gay was so boring. It wasn’t The English Patient but it was incredibly dull (except for Anne Hathaway being topless).
#49…Joker…I am a bit confused. Yesterday you stated you were voting for a republican senator.
Please tell me whom you are going to vote for to
become the president of the USA?
Several pundits have described the POTUS outlook as Why Obama wins, then Why Obama loses…here is mine. First, why Obama loses
Obama loses because…
1) Its the economy stupid. Unemployment, lack of quality jobs, lower pay, fewer benefits, lower home value, high inflation–these conditions have doomed more than one first term potus.
2) Enthusiasm for him has vanished. The excitement of the first AA potus with all the hope and change euphoria was so intense in 2008, that the pendulum has a tendency to swing hard the other way. All Obama has to offer this time is the slogan “forward”? Forward toward what? A jump to 5 or 6 trillion in debt?
3) Obama drew a credible opponent. Had he been able to face off against Palin, Newt, or Santorum, he would have been able to marginalize his opponent for the same weaknesses he had when he ran in 2008. Not so with Romney. By comparison, Romney has a much more impressive resume than Obama–even after he was POTUS for four years.
4) Obama was not helped by the census reapportionment of Electoral Votes. Romney needs to win the McCain states, then take back IN (fairly easy), NC which even Rothenberg says won’t be a problem, then FL, which Romney currently leads in polls, and then the hardest task for Romney is to then take either OH or PH, and then either IA or NH.
5) As brilliant as Obama’s fans say he is, he seems to be notorious for not helping himself. He and his family continue to go on expensive vacations at a time when average (voting) Americans are struggling. He insults the supreme court over and over and regularly grabs power that is not really his.
6) He has a gaffe machine for Vice-president. Foreign policy was a key component of the 2008 race, but in 2012 it will be economics, not the wars. So Biden offers nothing to the ticket except STAND UP CHUCK moments.
Obama wins because…
1) He has the power of incumbancy and the bully pulpit. It seems whenever he slips a bit in the polls, all he has to do is pull up Obama’s body from the ocean and shoot a few more holes in it, and he jumps again in the polls.
2) Many Americans really want to like Obama. They still see him as a sympathetic figure–Like Gary Coleman in Different Strokes, but who is now grown up and made it big, and people what to be a part of it. They think it a feel-good story.
3) Very few Presidents who were elected to a first term, were then sent packing in their attempt to be elected to a second term. Since the time of competitive political parties, these include VanBuren, Cleveland, Ben Harrison, Taft, Hoover, Carter, and G.H.W.Bush. Taft and Bush lost in elections that were split by third-party candidates. VanBuren, Hoover and Carter were on the hook for bad economies. Harrison and Cleveland swapped the office during times of evenly divided parties. But many first term presidents have survived re-election even with poor economies.
4) Obama is a thug who has no respect for the office. He has no scruples. If he felt he was in trouble, he would shoot himself in the leg and frame it to appear like an assassination attempt if he felt it would garner enough sympathy to get re-elected. “October surprise” might get a whole new meaning come this fall.
5) Obama can mute the affect of the bad economy by threatening voters that it will get worse under Romney. He will skillfully make people believe that the current conditions are the new normal. People will vote like they do in banana republics, where they vote for the devil the know versus the devil they don’t know.
6) If Obama feels he is in trouble, he could drop Biden from the ticket and put in someone else who could tip the election, like Mark Warner of VA.
Right now, this whole thing is 50/50 and could go either way.
So. Hope you can’t take the truth that all!!! Williard would be a disaster for this nation it is better to be with the devil you know than the devil you don’t know!!! Williard would destroy this nation and put us under a one world government!!! That is what his wakey religion believes!!!! They want to take over the World and usher in the Anti Christ!!!!
Joker…you are not making sense. A second term for ooo would be the disaster. Whom are you voting for in November?
anne hathaway was topless in brokeback mountain? Never saw it. I didn’t see to appeal of a “gay cowboy movie”.
watching 2 dudes kiss is uncomfortable to me…2 chicks…well thats another thing all together.
#63 – Watch “Love and Other Drugs”
You’ll get to see PLENTY of Anne Hathaway
so that is the angle youre wanting to try…you are so extremely religously conservative you are anti-romney and pro-obama…whatever you dumb troll
Nobody buys it, Brokeback
59 I havn’t made up my mind yet I’m hoping Ron Paul can pull this thing out if not I’m leaning 3rd party Virgil Goode is who I’m thinking on voting for. I just don’t like Williard and I don’t see any difference between him or Obama at least we know what we are going to get with Obama but Williard who knows!!!!
Joker is Chekote
Well, because he thought it was good sport. Because some men aren’t looking for anything logical, like money. They can’t be bought, bullied, reasoned, or negotiated with. Some men just want to watch the world burn.
My primary reason to vote for Romney is the SCOTUS. Someone will replace Ginsburg. I want it to be another Alito, not another Kagan.
Comment by DW — May 1, 2012 @ 9:31 am
exactly
Hi Czechotay
Now he’s a Ronulan…I don’t buy that either. Any Ron Paul loon worth his salt would have lead with his love for Ron Paul first.
In case you all don’t realize it, “The Joker” is satire. A regular poster who is doing what Transparent Dem Troll does.
#69 – Obama made that open mic comment about “having flexibility” on the missile defense shield. And then he goes and accuses Romney of not having the stones to order Bin Laden’s death?
I can’t see our missile defense shield backtrack. I will never vote for Obama
#66…Joker…ooo is not pro-life! That alone disqualifies him in the eyes of God. He is also for partial birth abortion. That is a lot of blood on his hands and on the hands of the people who are voting for him.
DW
UnicornJesus’ poll numbers must be awful the I killed Osama schtick looks desperate
He’s at 45% why will undecideds break for him?
Susy…I’m very much against abortion, but I don’t think it equates to eternal damnation
#72…What is a parody poster?
Women have the right the choose. They have the right not to sleep around in the first place
I’ve never seen a president run for reelection without any positive message at all
I expect the democratic version of “I don’t want me no Mormon” any day now…
Rephrasing #78 – They have a right to CHOOSE NOT to sleep around in the first place.
There, it should make more sense now
“#72…What is a parody poster?”
I am a parody poster.
I thought MFG was our only PARROTy poster???
I am a parody poster.
No, I am a parody poster.
Transparent Dem Troll isn’t really a troll? Who can I believe in anymore?
I am a parody poster.
Desy N. Cortez
I hope DW will give me the answer. I did search the internet, but it didn’t satisfy as an answser.
I am not a parody poster. I am actually a bottle of alcohol.
You have nobody to believe Bitter. It is a cruel world. Trust no one.
And I am a parody poster.
I am a parody poster…
I am Luke and Leia’s father. Deal with it.
You’d all be better in November. Obama wins 400+ electoral votes. Dems keep senate and take back house. HOPE AND CHANGE
Our socialist utopia will arise, and you schmucks will be placed in crates and driven around on minivans!
The Joker has stopped posting so I guess you are right that he was a parody troll. Some of his dem talking points ticked me off just the same.
Hey, this is kind of cool.
I think this name suits me
#95 lol
HoSope doesn’t have that nice of a ring to it…
The rent is too damn high!
Wave Dissing.
HoSope is standard issue for all secret service agents on assignment overseas.
“I thought MFG was our only PARROTy poster???”
Nice.
Too bad I don’t have a giant eraser to eliminate
some of these haha-hoho posts.
Giant erasers only work on giants, silly.
Romney will be far better than Bush-43. He is smarter and proven business leader. He doesn’t have that silly Texas machismo that W. had. Mitt is gracious and will run better in many areas of the country than W. did – notably the northeast.
Let us not forget that W. made Obama possible: for that, Bush-43 will always be relegated to the bottom tier of GOP presidents.
Only similarity between Mitt & W. are their top aides: Fehnstrom seems like another Rove…not good!
Too bad you don’t have an eraser to erase that Tower Of Babel, One World Government crap you posted yesterday!
Of course I am a troll. I was promoted to manager here at the DNC Troll center. This was in the wake of the Dustin/Melissa failure. The former manager pushed them forward as a great idea. I warned they weren’t ready, and I thank the HHR for exposing them so quickly…our manager was fired and now I am in charge here.
Who will have the honors today?
try whiteout, ssq. don’t use too much b/c you still need to see the rest of your screen.
The bossman says: F off troll.
#109 – Post of the day
Who votes yes to “F off troll” for post #105
BALLS!
Yes?
I believe he was talking to me
#106…time will tell. Frankly, I don’t want any buildings destroyed, but 2 were, remember 9/11…and this new building is in the same place. It’s a temptation to the terrorists.
4.And WV voters are by far the stupidest voters on the planet. 2nd place is not even close.
-I got here late, but DW had already said everything that needed to be said!
The US also should not build anymore 5-sided buildings!
While don’t we just nip the problem in the bud and forbid the nation to build anymore airplanes?
Screw it, I’ll walk
Too bad I don’t have a giant eraser to eliminate some of these haha-hoho posts.
- SSQ
Sorry. Please go back to posting those riveting 750 word summaries of the Hugh Hewitt shozzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Ed’s Ball is right!
wait…is that you Newt?
Stop denigrating me!
Susy, I truly don’t understand you sometimes. Sometimes I’m CONVINCED that you are a parody poster, that you are just playing the role of an ultra religious person to kick the dust up around here. That’s fine I suppose, we could all use a laugh every now and then.
But on the other hand, your biblical knowledge tells me you actually have a conviction in what you say.
Well if I’m wrong, Cream Soda
105.Romney will be far better than Bush-43. He is smarter and proven business leader. He doesn’t have that silly Texas machismo that W. had. Mitt is gracious and will run better in many areas of the country than W. did – notably the northeast.
Let us not forget that W. made Obama possible: for that, Bush-43 will always be relegated to the bottom tier of GOP presidents.
Only similarity between Mitt & W. are their top aides: Fehnstrom seems like another Rove…not good!
- I still don’t get why Rocky here is constantly derided as a troll. He held his own at BJG, he was on the Mitt band-wagon early, before he made a bit of a detour when things were a bit tight, then got back on the bus at the end. His love for Nelson Rockefeller is a fault, because he absolutely ruined the Republican brand in NY, and just about bankrupted the state. The comment he made above I can’t find fault with, and I hope he proves to be right, in terms of Mitt being better than Dubya.
One phrase….Moderate Conservatism
“Well if I’m wrong, Egg Creme.”
Barrett has been cleansed!
#126 – I will sin no more father
#125 – OK, I argued that one with him a couple of times as well.
Ok….I got it, I am Aphrodite, goddess of love and beauty! Eros is my son. Cupid’s are my couriers.
……………………………
This is really my Greek name given to me at baptism in a Greek Orthodox Church. My godmother
didn’t realize how inappropriate that was!
#125 – OK, I argued that one with him a couple of times as well.
Moderate extremism in defense of Moderate Conservatism is no vice.
I think i fit the “moderate conservative mold”
However, I’m very adamant about 2nd amendment rights, against gay marriage, against abortion, and I loath unions.
On the other hand, I don’t mind paying my taxes when the money isn’t WASTED.
who knows
meant to say loathe
I’m a “leave me alone conservative.” It is based on the concept of leaving my money and me alone as much as possible.
Why do you all respond to posts like The Joker. If you ignore it, it will go away.
I predict PPP showing the Pres. up by 5.
#134 – If we’re going that route, I’m a “don’t get in my way” conservative
-Don’t take my money and waste it
-Don’t hinder my opportunities
-Don’t pass pointless regulation to slow everything down
btw Rasmussen has Obama-Romney Tied but Obama still @ 47% approval which happens to be the Gallup average approval for Obama in April 2012
Election Projection has given Romney VA cutting Obama’s lead, has Obama’s popular vote at +0.8% over Mitt and below 50%. The site also now has the GOP taking the Senate w/ a change in the VA senate race.
anybody know when PPP(D) will release the VA poll?
As soon as they get done cooking the numbers.
Am I the only one who doesnt care about daily changes in rasmussen or gallup or daily changes that hack wannabe political commentators make to their “maps”?
@140 do you realize what type of blog you’re in? lol
117 Knock it off my family is from West Virginia which I hope to be living there someday soon!!!! A Great place with Great people!!!! That being said Y’all are a Real Tripp!!! This is Great I’m Glad I found y’all just can’t wait until evening of Nov. 6 when Williard gives his concession speech after losing in a landslide!!! (Ha!!! Ha!!!) Believe you me I be all over this board!! By the way Jack Nicholson is a much better actor plaing me than that Heath person!!!
Jack is a big flaming Pinko.
I second that, Juan. Plus, WV has women that look like me.
I guise I killed this post you peaple crack me up!!! I’ll be back BYE!!!!!
Dave, I propose a rationing system for exclaimation points.
Rasmussen Party ID April
Republican: 35.1%(-1.3)
Democrat: 33.1%(-0.3)
Unaffliated: 31.8%(+1.5)
141 – yes, I do. I also realize that all the “OMG Gallup had Obama go up by one point today! How could they do that! Don’t they know what he did yesterday?!!” posts are getting annoying.
There is no reason to watch or post Rasmussen’s or Gallup’s daily approval ratings. Rasmussen’s Monthly Ratings may give you a good data point, but people getting their panties in a bunch over daily fluctuations (especially this far away from the actual election) is nonsensical.
140…I would agree, IF we were getting a steady supply of state polls. We are not. So this is all we have. In 2008 we were getting FAR more polls than we are getting now.
The North Carolina marriage amendment continues to lead for passage by 14 points, 55-41
THE ONE WORLD TRADE CENTER IS TOO DAMN HIGH!!!
and that is from a NC D+14 poll
PPP of course
Where is MD this morning
Got him some new # out of pennsylvania (regionally)
Northeastern PA (Obama won by 11, Kerry by 2)- per Susquehanna Polling LV model- Romney leads here by 8, a huge crash amongst the blue collar whites who went along with him after hillary lost the primary
If those numbers are accurate O’s in W-PA are probably worse, so he is looking at a 450-480k vote loss in the T+W.PA, substaintially higher than Kerry and enough to beat out Philly IF Mitt can carry Philly Metro.
EML…to make my point, I went back to April 2008 and found a total of 60 state matchup polls between McCain and Obama. That is two per day including weekends!
By comparison, in April 2012, we have had just 36 such polls.
Just way off this year. Not sure why that is.
#151 has me laughing and falling out of my chair
it hurts!
I agree w/ CAC, PA is much more in play then some seem to think
The only posters I recall using exclamation points like that are Tony, Jerry Withrow, and… maybe Lib girl (not sure)? or mfg as Jerry Withrow.
There used to be a poster called the joker, but if that is the same poster, he’s gone off the deep end.
Brandon
Do you have the Nevada Senate numbers?
sorry… meant mnw as Jerry Withrow, not mfg
157..in play, but MD has warned us that there are specific numbers very difficult to overcome. Nevertheless, I have changed my language in Romney’s path to win. I am now saying…
1) get the McCain states (easy)
2) get Indiana (easy)
3) get NC (should be easy)
4) get FL (Romney should do well there)
5) get either NH or IA (should get 1)
6) get either OH or PA (toughest to get)
Sigh…
The WV poll is probably about right.
Romney with a 17 point lead.
D Gov. Tpomblin and D Manchin with pretty good leads.
*************************************
Most WV voters are just too provincial and do not connect the dots very well between who they vote for for POTUS and who they vote for for U.S. Senate and Congress.
Forget it when it gets to the state level as party affiliation rules their mind.
*************************************
Gov. Tomblin has played his hand very well since winning the special election in 2011.
In Southern WV Rahall and Tomblin will be big winners and the margin there will more than overcome votes in other parts of state for R candidats for U.S. Senate and governor.
**************************
On the other hand Rs have a good chance to finallypick up WV Treasurer, AG, and one of two Supreme Court seats up this year.
*****************************
State senate–Rs will pick up maybe 3 or 4 seats and in the house maybe 5 or 6.n Still very lopsided.
@161 I would agree with that path based on the numbers we have now
When Dana Milbank starts to get queasy about President Obama campaigner-in-chief, it’s a sign that the prez is definitely losing his ability to BS as many people as he used to.
REPORT: Obama arrives in Afghanistan; White House says president ‘not in Kabul’…
He must be meeting with the Taliban personally, being so jealous of them on how they got to rule their country. He is taking down careful notes no doubt so he can bring back here what he learned.
President Obama, campaigner-in-chief reposted link
Brian Schweitzer: Barack Obama Can’t Win Montana
“…it’s already sort of predetermined that the GOP is going to win in Montana.” The only scenario in which Obama wins the state, he added, would be as part of a “47-state landslide.”
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/04/29/brian-schweitzer-barack-obama-can-t-win-montana.html
Obama lost Montana by a couple points in 2008… so on what planet do the lefties see Obama having a de facto election model as in 2008?
#161 You need Virginia, as well, to make those numbers work.
I’m glad to see Walker is doing well in funding his fight against the unions —-> raises 13 million in three months to fight recall
MD’s numbers didn’t account for the polling data we now have, confirming the stubborn WBC D vote is moving (finally) to the Rs. The suburbs are the hardest nut to crack now, not Philly. Even if Philly sees 475k margin for O again (unlikely) carrying the burbs (BERKS LEHIGH NORTHAMPTON CHESTER BUCKS with narrow losses in MONTGOMERY and a moderate loss in DELAWARE) nets a considerable amount of the vote, flipping Pitt Metro (now likely) and winning the T by a larger margin than Bush (now likely with the numbers out of NEPA) will still give Romney enough to clear even that super-high margin in the City of Brotherly Love
It is a lot of ifs, but growing more realistic by the day.
#169 – I’ve felt compelled at times to support governor walker with a donation, though I’m from Maryland
#3:
I know I certainly have. And, I will continue to do so.
If Obama did go to Afghanistan, good for him. I refuse to be like the DailyKOS morons who used to bash Bush when he visited Iraq. I will work to defeat Obama but let’s not sink to DailyKOS levels.
CAC – one of the problems with predicting Pennsylvania is that Montgomery, Delaware and Bucks counties are filled with people who moved from Philadelphia because they could no longer stand living under Democrat control but still want to vote for Democrats.
168…just an oversight on my part…
1) get the McCain states (easy)
2) get Indiana (easy)
3) get NC (should be easy)
4) get FL (Romney should do well there)
5) get VA (Romney will win at least 52/47)
6) get either NH or IA (should get 1)
7) get either OH or PA (toughest to get)
“they could no longer stand living under Democrat control but still want to vote for Democrats.”
They sound a lot like they might actually be from WV.
#125:
That breed is being driven into extinction.
Moderate conservatives and moderate Democrats could form a club. The Dodo bird could be it’s mascot since that is extinct, too.
Romney’s comment about even Jimmy Carter would have gone after Osama Bin Laden has set the liberal media and the left wing bloggeshpere ablaze. Plus his comments on CBS Morning Show hit the right tone.
Good job Mitt.
Is Obama gone yet?
He devoured all my buddies…
RAS Party ID for April
GOP 35.1
Dem 33.1
Ind 31.8
GOP +2
BTW, April 2008 RAS had party ID at Dem +10
This aint 2008 and zero knows it.
To expand on Jan’s comment in #179… Red Racing Horses had a good analysis on Romney’s response, essentially saying it covered a lot of political bases!
The Nevada poll was supposed to be out at noon. Who knows what happened.
@183 sounds like a redo of FL
Who’s poll Brandon?
Rasmussen.
jason – MD and Mr. Vito voted you down again at our last Philly A-hole meeting. However, I can get you into the Radnor A-holess if you want to start working your way up through the minor leagues. I kept my membership because the group meets in my house.
#179:
http://in.reuters.com/article/2007/08/04/idINIndia-28811520070804
You see, the problem with Romney in this instance is that he took the opposite position, 4 years ago. So now, he’s getting hit. He caused this. There is no way for him to talk his way out of something he is on record as saying. So, it’s fair game.
Tim – It is fair game. However, will you as an honorable man also admit that Romney should blast Obama and the Democrats with every quote from 2008 where they railed against the unacceptable $2.00 gasoline and 5.6% unemployment of the failed Bush Presidency?
Answer the question, Tim. I just called your boss. You are not allowed to go back to work until you answer. No more drive-bys.
2007 Iowa debate…
STEPHANOPOULOS: But if your CIA director called them and said, “We had Osama bin Laden in our sights, Musharraf says no,” what do you do?
(CROSSTALK)
ROMNEY: It’s wrong for a person running for the president of the United States to get on TV and say, “We’re going to go into your country unilaterally.” Of course, America always maintains our option to do whatever we think is in the best interests of America. But we don’t go out and say, “Ladies and gentlemen of Germany, if ever there was a problem in your country, we didn’t think you were doing the right thing, we reserve the right to come in and get them out.”
ROMNEY: We don’t say those things. We keep our options quiet. We do not go out and say to a nation which is working with us, where we have collaborated and they are our friend and we’re trying to support Musharraf and strengthen him and his nation, that instead that we intend to go in there and potentially bring out a unilateral attack. Recognize to win the war on jihad, we have to not only have a strong military of our own — and we need a stronger military — we also need to have strong friends around the world and help moderate Muslims reject the extreme. Because ultimately the only people who can finally defeat these radical Islamic jihadists are the Muslims themselves.
http://www.cfr.org/us-election-2008/republican-debate-transcript-iowa/p13981
Key phrase… “Of course, America always maintains our option to do whatever we think is in the best interests of America.”
Answer the question, Tim! I want the truth!
Nevada Senate(Rasmussen)
Heller: 51%
Berkley: 40%
I don’t get mad when Romney changes positions on an issue. An open minded person isn’t necessary dead set on one idea for every waking moment of their life. Especially when it’s something that is irrelevant to the time period, such as womens rights or gay rights during a recession.
A person can change their mind, it isn’t a crime. I didn’t blame John Kerry for it and I’m not blaming Mitt Romney for it. If his views on immigration change, it means he’s trying to gain a better understanding.
“The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so sure of themselves, and wiser people are full of doubts”
? George Bernard Shaw
#124, NYCmike, thank you for your generous comments!
I have always been steadfast in my support for Romney. And I have always espoused moderative conservatism as the essential vehicle by which the GOP wins national elections. Yet, the confused and doomed here choose to think otherwise.
It is intellectual asymmetry to posit that Rockefeller destroyed the GOP in NY when the NYGOP was at its zenith when he was governor. Just look at their decline after he left the governorship.
This site’s cabal of misanthropes – MD, Barrett, Bitter, lil jason, etc. – are proverbial chimps flinging dung. The day they set aside their zest for invective will be the rapture.
Again I say, git w/ Mitt!
Hard core dems just don’t see it. They dismiss this tacky homage that Obama is bestowing himself,regarding the take-down of OBL, as being earned. However, there is nothing discreet or dignified about such political crowing. Also, it’s ironic that while Obama demurely likes to lead from behind, he sure loves to take the credit for events out in front.
In the meantime Obama may be patting himself on the back. But, the people, the Navy Seals, involved with the actual mission only view Obama with overt derision, slamming Obama for using them as ‘ammunition’ in bid to take credit for bin Laden killing during election campaign
Great, Rock troll with the rapture, and SusyQue with the one world government
Make it stop!
#189:
Yes. They already should have an “8%” ad in the can. If I were advising them, I’d tell them to use that one, heavily.
Jimmy Kimmel’s best line:
at the White House Correspondent’s Dinner”
“There’s a term for president obama, but not two terms.”
……….
#188…sorry, I don’t agree…That was then, this is now. People have a right to change their mind. All they have to do is explain why they have changed.
#196:
They all take the credit when things go well. That’s just the way it is. That isn’t necessarily fair. What it is is politics.
Anything to get a vote…..
#189 – Those days of 5.9% unemployment and $2 gas were awful. Please don’t remind me of them.
With the messiah in charge, we live in a golden age of 8.1% unemployment with $3.70 gas.
Happy days are here again!
#199:
That is true. But then, they run the risk of being called a flip-flopper.
And you will see that term being thrown around freely by both sides.
And now, on this International Worker’s Day, I must celebrate by returning to work…………
Great senate numbers out of Nevada.
Do I get to say it?
“F” off, troll.
Now, now, Bitterlaw. Watch that blood pressure. LOL
nevada was supposed to be a big D pickup opportunity. I wonder what Rasmussen’s POTUS numbers in NV look like?
205 was for Rock, Tim. You are my favorite New Deal Democrat.
just to annoy those of you who don’t want to hear it…
Gallup tracking
Romney 46 (-1)
Obama 46
I know it was, Bitterlaw.
I really WAS telling you to watch that blood pressure. LOL
Heller is getting big casino support from Sheldon Adelson and Steve Wynn. Berkeley has made a lot of enemies among the Casino owners.
#194 I don’t get mad when Romney changes positions on an issue. An open minded person isn’t necessary dead set on one idea for every waking moment of their life Barrett
This is such a good point, Barrett. I’ve said the same thing about Romney for some time now, seeing his ability to alter some of his views and positions as being either a sign of ‘flexibility’ or even a better understanding of an issue, through changing circumstances and/or their own greater maturity. Consequently, IMO, brittleness or stubborn adherence in one’s philosophy, is not necessarily an attribute.
An example of a policy, rather than a person, which should have been more flexible is SS. It was originally organized around stats of average life spans around 64. If it had been attached to current actuary data, the age people would be qualifying for SS would be somewhere in the 70′s. With this age-appropriate application we wouldn’t be facing early insolvency.
Also, great Bernard Shaw quote! …so true, too!
IL_10
Bob Dold (R-Inc) 43
Brad Schneider (D) 46
Paladin/CFP 500 Certain to vote.
4/30/12
This seat is flagged my most as one of the most certain to flip to the Drats.
DW – any poll that doesn’t show Romney 95% Obama 5% is trash. HHR exactly mirrors the rest of the country.
wow, you don’t see this often. FOUR different pollsters say the POTUS race is tied up 46/46:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
#200 Tim
When you have on-the-ground military elite seeing a prez’s high-fives for a mission as inappropriate, that is beyond the normal They all take the credit when things go well kind of politics.
Obama has always seemed aloof and disengaged from his commander-in-chief position, not going out of his way for the military except when cameras are around for that perfect political photo opt moment. This is where Bush was head and shoulders about this president, by showing random acts of compassion that were never documented by the press. He mingled, visited and commiserated with the military and their families in private, because he felt that was his respectful role as commander-in-chief.
DW- Oddly enough, even though Ras is the same as 3 other polls, those polls are correct and Ras is wrong. Just ask HHR!
Economic report from 3 eastern most [and growing] counties in WV
(in the D.C. ex-burbs)
Total workforce
2010–71,600
2011–71,720
*************************
660 more jobs in this area(2010 to 2011)
540 less people in labor force(same yrs)
Unemployment rate is @.5% lower in ’11
There are some signs of slight economic growth here.
NV from +7 GOP to +11, good numbers
UnicornJesus’ slogan a Nazi Song:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l_z_pHUKajc&feature=player_embedded#!
Obama likes Nazi songs? Hmmm. Maybe I could switch from Ron Paul to Obama.
Roll Call, Cook, RCP, Rothenberg, and Sabato have NV senate as a Tossup. Only ElectionProjection had it as a R hold. Looks like the others will need to update their maps.
whoever romney picks for scotus will probably be borked
i cannot see the dems letting the scotus go 6-3
It will be interesting to see what the Obama administration’s decision will be, regarding giving any protection to a blind Chinese dissendent, Chen Guangcheng. If history reveals any tendancies, then the most recent outcome of a higher up person, wishing to defect from China, bodes poorly for Chen: Defection denied.
Apparently, the man has vanished since reaching out to the US.
Romeny has already weighed in on the Chen controversy.
PPP has influenced Charlie Cook and others with their polling.
According to Rasmussen, wives do play some part in attracting the vote.
180 post of the day!!
I consider the NV senate race right now Likely GOP
Another Rasmussen poll shows how the public views the two presidential candidates, as either being ‘liberal’ or ‘conservative’.
Today’s Obama Unicorn pic:
http://www.artofobama.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/hudson_river_miracle_obama-021.jpg
Good afternoon, all. Pleased to see the NV numbers; even if it was closer, with all of Sheldon’s casino dough, Ms. Berkeley will find herself out of a job come January.
So, I was at Target last night, and I see Dulce de Leche Cheerios; what will General Mills think of next? I have to wonder if that is marketed only in the Southwest to pander to the Hispanic segment. Perhaps not, though; I saw Banana Cheerios in Hawaii and now they have apparently made their way to the East Coast. Discuss…
GF – I don’t care if General Mills sells Cheerios that appeal to Croatian lesbians. It’s called capitalism. I am sure that some posters will have a heart attack over selling to Hispanics. Mexifornia!
so when does PPP cut the crap? October?
one of Santorum’s creepy daughters (i’m sorry while I wish his family well, they come off creepy to me) is now a contributor to HotAir, *facepalm*
We’re working on it… there’s just so much!
It’s brutal!
She’s just a girl who can’t say Nein: The Munich nymphomaniac claims a second victim after 36-hour sex ordeal
German nymphomaniac who was arrested after forcing a man to make love to her eight times has struck again.
Her latest victim, an African, was found weeping in the street outside her apartment by police after a 36-hour ordeal.
He fought back his tears to tell them what had happened.
‘I met her on a bus,’ said the man. ‘She invited me back here. Oh God, it was hell. I can’t walk. Please help me.’
Munich police confirmed his ordeal in a press statement.
The woman, believed to be 47, has now been taken into a hospital for psychiatric observation.
The man only escaped from her apartment when she fell asleep.
Her first victim Dieter Schulz, 43, met her in a bar in the centre of his home city.
She took him back to her apartment and they had sex several times.
But when the woman demanded more, the exhausted man said no.
A police spokesman said: ‘He complied with the woman’s wishes another few times so he could finally leave the apartment.
‘But when she continued to refuse and demanded even more sex from him, he fled to the balcony.’
Mr Schulz phoned police and pleaded for assistance.
‘You have got to help me,’ he told them. ‘She is trying to kill me with sex. I cannot get out – and I cannot go on!’
When police arrived to question the woman and free Schulz she invited two officers to join her in bed for a ‘quickie.’
They declined.
This is just a sample!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-JFfN5pKzFU
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/05/obama-leads-in-virginia.html
Obama by 8…they are also touting 3rd party Virgil Goode
@238 wow it’s even more hacktastic then I thought it’d be
I am deconstructing the internals of Jensen’s latest work of fiction.
He has the Virginia electorate slightly more Democratic than it was in 2008.
Uh, no.
I don’t care, either, Bitter; I just wondered if anyone had seen them elsewhere. I’m all for capitalism. I do agree that some (or, at least one particular poster) here would flip out at that product being peddled.
“hacktastic”
We were overwhelmed this week. D+7… we’ll keep trying.
Jensen has Romney up 2 among Va indies and yet he has Obama expanding his margin from 6 in 2008 to 8 points now.
Well, you can do that when you use a Dem +7 sample.
Jensen true to form.
They think Romney only gets 84% of GOP voters but Obama gets 92%
the poll is D+7
29% liberal
31% moderate
40% conservative
Women +6
This poll is unreal!
what were the exits on VA in 08?
McDonnell approval in this poll 46-36… lowest in any poll this year.
@ 246 Ras reported his approval at 58%
hint hint…
Hope,
Jensen does what he has to do. I can tell you that a Virginia sample slightly more Democratic than 2008 is flat out ridiculous.
It was D+6 in the Dem storm of 2008. Look for it to be something like D+2 or D+3 this time.
Jensen releasing one of his months out propaganda polls. Nothing to see here but pure comedy.
Hispanic Cheerios?!? See. I warned all of you. It’s happening. Read the book! Read it!
Don’t get me wrong. I’ve always thought Virginia would be very close. One or two points at the most.
Jensen is as full of s**t on Virginia as he is on his presidential polling in NC. Agenda driven….
North Evangelina will vote Romney!
Hope- are you hearing confessions today? I was pretty vicious to Add last night. I don’t feel any guilt at all over it. Is that ok?
ok I had predicted PPP(D) would say Obama by 11, so the fact that the could only lie as high as +8 means that Romney wins VA 52/47 in the end, just like I have been saying for a year now.
252- Not so! I couldn’t sway my brothers in TN, so I trecked east and have found the kind folk of NC easily persuadable. Obama will win NC handily! I hope to make it to TX soon to gin up a groundswell of Hispanic support that will put him over the top there, too.
Davey N. Crockett
Both Dora the Explorer and Handy Manny are Hispanic! I warned you! Read the book!
But PPP(D) is dead to me. I don’t consider it a real poll, and do not include their polls in any of my own analysis.
#256 Los Calcetines are coming! America will be overrun with left socks with indecipherable laundry instructions!
Lay off the attacks on his divorce its fuucking horseshiit
Last!