Brown Leads By 4% in OH, Obama Leads By 4% in PA
Scott Rasmussen has been busy today. Earlier this morning, he released a new poll on the US Senate race in Ohio and it shows Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown ahead of Republican Josh Mandel by 4%.
US SENATE – OHIO (Rasmussen)
Sherrod Brown (D-inc) 46%
Josh Mandel (R) 42%
This poll was done July 18th among 500 likely voters. Just being released now is his new poll for the presidential race in Pennsylvanai where Mitt Romney has closed the race to within 4%.
PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 48%
Mitt Romney (R) 44%
This poll was done July 18th among 500 likely voters. Ah, it feels good to be back…..
One
ABC CORRECTS: ‘NOT CONNECTED TO THE TEA PARTY’
20 minutes ago
Decent enough polls for the GOP. IMO Obama has been judged by the scales and has been wanting.
I might add I believe that the D message is even less popular then Obama is.
aha! It wasn’t just me asking about the six year old at the theater…link at drudge:
WHAT WAS A 6 YEAR OLD DOING IN MIDNIGHT SCREENING?
Good numbers from PA
“According to a pooled analysis of recent poll results by non-biased media organizations, including the Associated Press, NBC News, National Public Radio, and MoveOn.org, a recent Rasmussen poll on the Ohio Senate race is particularly ominous for Republicans. There, Democrats are running 4 points ahead of Republicans in the hotly contested Senate race. This is a dramatic slide for the GOP, given that, just two years ago, it won a Senate race in Ohio by more than 18 points.
If Republicans suffer similar 22-point reversals in all swing states come November, President Obama will easily win re-election, with over 450 electoral votes, according to the non-partisan analysis. When called for comment around 9 AM EST today, the Romney campaign field office in Carson City, Nevada did not answer its phones, suggesting that many Romney operations are likely shutting down in the face of these new polling figures.”
Bloomberg: What are Obama, Romney going to do about guns?
Sigh. How many times does this have to be answered. Even if you could magically make all guns disappear, then the guy would go in there with an explosive device…if you could then magically make all those disappear, then he goes in there with a machete…if you could make all sharp objects disappear, then he goes in there wielding a garden hoe…
…bottom line is this guy was determined to harm others.
#6, that is why Yolanda is one of my favorite posters
“WHAT WAS A 6 YEAR OLD DOING IN MIDNIGHT SCREENING?”
I guess there will be an investigation as soon as they figure out what a 24 year old was doing in a theater shooting people.
9…fair enough…I was just pointing out that I wasn’t crazy for raising this question in the thread below. Drudge agrees with me.
Gallup party affiliation
Jul 9-12 (adults)
27 Rep
30 Dem
41 Ind
#10 You are a good man, DW. Cream soda.
Not sure if any of us posted this one yet…WA senate:
Cantwell 51
Baumgartner 40
SurveyUSA
A little closer than I might have expected.
I think today is just a “cream soda” day.
That shooting struck a nerve with me. No silly jokes or witty attacks against Obama.
What an awful thing to have happened
In 2010 in Ohio there was an open seat. The GOP nominated a top rated guy while the D’s nominated a political zero. Well that’s my opinion of the D nominee in 2010 and I guess the voters agreeded with.
In 2012 there is a well funded very well known D incumbent with several state wide races behind him. So its no surprise at all that Mandel is not 18% ahead on this point. As matter of fact when was the last time any senator lost re-election by 18%? That’s an impossible standard.
Mandel has Brown within the margin of error in this latest poll. Mandel has preserved his cash and has only now started to advertise. From +20 points down in some polls to MOE is doing quite well IMO.
15…any chance for similar scenario in WA?
#15 – Mandel is very much still in the game. a 4 point race is a tossup, and that goes either way
Barrett- Sometimes real life makes the fights here seem so small. I can be as petty and nasty as anybody (worse than some) but I agree. Cream soda to all.*
*MD- is the raid still on for 9:00 tonight?
I just took the 2012 election quiz and found that I side 92% with Mitt Romney, especially on Foreign Policy, Economic, Domestic policy, Environmental, Healthcare, and Science issues.
80% with both Ron Paul and Gary Johnson.
http://www.isidewith.com
Bitterlaw,
My top three American Presidents, in order:
George Washington
Ronald Reagan
Sam Houston
I have been following Mandel for a few years now, and have been impressed by his tenacity as well as enthusiasm/optimism for the political process. He’s a young, interesting guy who loves wearing out shoe leather in order to meet people on a one-on-one basis. If anyone is to do contributions in another state, he would be one to donate to, IMO!
If Cantwell and Baumgarnter could meet one on one with every voter in WA then we would have a new US senator from that state.
Ohh, top presidents…this should be fun.
George Washington
Teddy Roosevelt
Thomas Jefferson
rdelbov,
Welcome back, it’s nice to see you again. I miss your weekly updates and look forward to reading them again. How about one sometime today?
Marv:
That is an interesting list. My Failed Presidents in the US are:
1. Jefferson Davis
2. James Buchanan
3. Jimmy Carter
4. Barack Obama
Bitterlaw,
Appomattox never happened.
Marv – You never answered my question about which team will be the best Division III footbal team in PA:
Franklin and Marshall Diplomats
Moravian Greyhounds
top three presidents of the united states of america
chris ballew
dave dederer
jason finn
Marv – Don’t make me take your horse back. You have to accept the past. By the way, in the Texas Senate primary, who am I supposed to like again?
Bitterlaw,
I’d go with the Diplomats, although they do have kind of a sissy nickname.
Well…I feel vindicated by ISIDEWITH.COm..Mitt-96 Ron Paul-79 Gary Johnson -69 Virgil Good-63 Jimmy McMillan-44 Obama- 22. I agreed on NO MAJOR issues with Obama. I feel great!!!
Marv
I took that isidewith.com quiz as well, and my bottom line was similar to yours:
Romney was 92%, with 90% going to Ron Paul and Gary Johnson.
#29 Bitterlaw,
I like Cruz. Gov Perry also likes Cruz, but sided with Dewhurst to get him out of the state. Dewhurst has screwed Perry a few times and he doesn’t want him as Lt Gov anymore.
Failed presidents?
In no particular order
#1 – Lyndon Johnson
#2 – Jimmy Carter
#3 – Barack Obama
#4 – Franklin Roosevelt
#5 – Andrew Johnson
#32 janz,
Looks as if we have similar views on public policy.
#32 – I got high numbers for Ron Paul and Gary Jonhson as well
F&M’s mascot is really the Diplomats. They have 2 people dressed in colonial suits with giant heads – Ben Franklin and John Marshall.
Lehigh used to have the pathetic nickname of The Engineers. They changed it to the Mountain Hawks.
#34 Barrett,
FDR correctly viewed Hitler as an existential threat to the United States prior to the outbreak of war.
He failed miserably at the Yalta Conference in Feb 1945, however.
Gallup throws out a lifeline to Obama
48/44 lead, yesterday was tied.
We need to call off the raid tonight. I just can’t do it under these conditions. Let’s set it for tomorrow.
Andrew Johnson wanted to carry out Lincoln’s desire not to punish the south for their defection.
That caused great consternation because the north wanted it’s revenge.
He was impeached, but acquitted by the Senate.
Marv
I need to do weekly political and economic updates.
Spot on about Yalta. FDR trusted Uncle Joe to keep his word.
Marv – If FDR had not failed miserably at Yalta, there would probably be no Bitterlaw in your life. My father was sent to Europe as part of the occupation force. Stalin had already rolled into Germany and was not going to be pushed back. If BitterDad took a bullet trying to push Ivan back, I would not be here to entertain you.
#41 – Johnson’s desire not to go forth with reconstruction was what earned him a place on my list
42 – FDR was very sick by that point. Churchill knew the Soviets would be a big problem.
MD’s heart grew three sizes today. We go tomorrow. It’s not a great target. There are only a few crazy lefties and there’s actually some lib-on-lib crime there.
Lyndon Johnson was a bastard who sent thousands of soldiers to their death in vientnam.
Any president could and would have signed in civil rights legislation. The man is a monster, not a hero
The raid is off for tonight. We will set the time for tomorrow at 7 pm. Can everyone make it?
Can someone please help me out. On a day when unemployment shoots back up to 386,000, on a day when the leading economic indicators drop 3%, and on a day when existing home sales drop 5.4% Obama gains two points in the Ras poll and four points in Gallup.
Are people that stupid?
#49 – People are politicizing an attack on people who were watching a batman movie
So yes, they are that stupid. And they will ALWAYS be that stupid, if not more stupid.
I’ll give LBJ credit for Civil Rights
JFK was too busy plowing high school girls to make the Civil Rights Act a reality
On Vietnam the LBJ administration was a catastrophe
47 – I am not sure the monster monicker fits. His great society idea, while pure of intention, could only end in failure. Pie in the sky liberal bs. As for Vietnam, he inherited that from JFK. RFK was a huge proponent of the action in Vietnam and even initially counseled LBJ to increase the committment. A few years later he turned dove when it was politically expedient for him to do so. Vietnam was lost politically.
Every time a tracking poll changes, an angel gets its wings…
Ras and Gallup are giving out wings…
Hindsight is 20/20. Stalin could have been pushed economically but the American public would not have supported a shooting war with the Soviets in 1945. 400,000 dead in 4,5 years (with the defeat of Japan not accomplished) was terrible enough. A nuke on Moscow? Seems reasonable in hindsight but unthinkable in 1945.
The strategy for Vietnam was a disaster. LBJ has to bear the brunt of that as CIC.
We could have beaten them into the stone ages had it not been for the politicians.
49 – Yes and it is why he can win.
the new Ras poll of PA makes it go back to the tossup column in my electoral map, no tossups? then it leans Obama, down from likely Obama
LBJ was a failure in every aspect that a president could be. He’s the only president I can say that I actually “hate”
Win or don’t fight
500 casualties a week at the height
A WEEK!!
#49- John
One reason could be that in the Gallup Poll,a big day for Romney on July 12th rolled off in today’s poll.On the 12th,Romney gained 3% on Obama.Today,Obama gained about the same.
I’ll give the ugly fuqq credit for civil rights
Things were bad then for blacks
54 – Two ways to look at it:
1. The Soviets had lost millions of men and were ready for the taking.
2. The vast landspace would still have resulted in at least a million more deaths of American GI’s. The public, imo, would never had stood for that.
MD- The Americans actually won the Tet Offensive on the ground and lost it on tv. I was not raised by hippies. My Dad always wondered why the US didn’t drop a nucleatr bomb on Woodstock.
I do think LBJ was one of the dumbest Presidents ever
Aside from ideology he was one incredible dumbfuqq
Bartrett, it started with JFK…LJ is noted for passing the Civil Rights Act.
Nuke the motherfuqqers or dont fight
Bitter – My Dad was there for that and says the same thing. The puke Uncle Walter was a backstabbing commie.
My father-in-law was at the Tet Offensive.
49
Yes they are.
Also, Gallup using a 7 day tracker makes it hard to analyze trends.
64 – LBJ was a political operator to the extreme. He was only put on the ticket as a complete counterbalance to JFK. LBJ was southern and protestant.
As for Civil Rights, it was a heroic stand at the time. The other Dem Southern Senators he served with were against it all the way. He had to lobby R Senators from the north very hard to pass it. In the south, including his home state of Texas, he was vilified.
It is easy to say today that it was easy but it really wasn’t back then.
Stalin was the ultimate killer. He was responsible for probably as many dead Soviet citizens as Hitler. Many in Ukraine originally thought of the Germans as liberators. Unless there was a coup or nukes dropped on Moscow, Stalin was not giving Eastern Europe back.
Stop worrying about statistical noise and short-term variance. The long term trend shows obama’s approval slowly plummetting. There is a very small rally-around-the-president effect from this senseless shooting.
The reason I never follow Gallup anyways. Wild swings and they use RV polls until October every year, to help their peers, the Dems.
RAS had a small outlier, no biggie, he is still the best
Keep your eyes on the big picture:
Obama can’t get over 45%
The economy is going into a recession
Europe collapsing, China slumping
Ballgame
LBJ was truly a transformative President, mostly for the worse
Look how many enormous (irreversible?) changes were set in motion in his Presidency
O’Reilly says:
Summing up Mr. Obama is not a socialist. He’s not a communist. He’s a social justice anti-capitalist. And that’s what he is.
I think ooo is a sociast marxist! He is Alinsky’s
son.
Cronkite was afraid of Reagan.
I know that things didn’t work out as planned with everybody hugging and holding hands but the Civil Rights leaders of the 1950s and 1960s were truly brave men and women. My Dad told me that even though many people in the North thought that segregation was wrong, they didn’t really think about it. Before I get accused, there was plenty of racism in the Norht, too. Jackie Robinson saud Philadelphia was one of the most racist places he had to endure. I think the Red Sox were the last team to have a black player.
When those girls were blown up on their way to church, that was it. The scum that perpetrated that murder killed their own cause when the decent people in the entire country said, “Enough.”
Bain attacks working in NC according to the Charlotte press , Obama moving slightly ahead of Romney in the Tarheel state . They will be releasing the poll today per their web.
North Carolina can suck it!
Oh, hi jamie. How is Justin?
Jamie is the same troll with his 40th handle.
South was a bad place in the 60s BL
Fuqqing scary sometimes
The state police in ms al la ar were basically KKK
Interacial dating could get you killed
?”@guypbenson Dem poll RT @HotlineJosh: New Democracy Corps (Carville/Greenberg) poll: Obama 47, Romney 45. Indies break for Romney, 45-40%”
ESPN was founded by Bill Rasmussen, his son Scott Rasmussen and Aetna
Author, Obama is screwed. Romney up on Indies in a Dem Poll?
Carville uses a +8 sample?
85. suzy, the RAS family sold out early I believe
im looking for the raw numbers right now JT
nevermind, that Democracy Corps poll was partnered w/ the NPR poll from yesterday, move along…
Very sad news to wake up to today. It will certainly be politicized by all kinds of people, but more likely, will surpass campaign news for a bit.
I cannot take part if any kind of blogging, be it here or elsewhere tomorrow night,but good luck to anyone who might wish to do so. I will enjoy checking the aftermath.
I wonder if Melissa is getting . . . nah. Not appropriate today.
Corey – SE seems to be the most unhinged. ANy others you want taken down?
Gallup did poll adults on Wednesday for USA Today/Gallup on wether Romney should release his tax returns. Every time those two team up it seems Obama has a spike, which makes me wonder if those numbers are introduced into the Tracking Poll and Job Approval sample. I tend to keep more of an eye on Gallup’s Job Approval numbers as opposed to the HorseRace numbers because the Job Apporval numbers only look back for 3 days.
Gallup tracking goes from even to Obama +4. That was disappointing.
88. Thanks author
93. Good point RB
Republicans in NPR poll: 93-4 Romney…
SE is usually a right-winger. Based on things he has said before, he is 17 years old, and might possibly be diagnosed with a medical condition, in which people are intelligent and function highly, but can frequently say off the wall things, without knowing how that comes across. I know a 17 year old who has that in real life, so I try to be sympathetic and do not engage SE. The liberals there tend not to be as sympathetic.
There is a real SOB named Keith who posted there for awhile, but I think he has already hightailed it out of there, because he senses something might happen.
Scott P. is somebody who I have gone back and forth with online for literally over 8 years now. He is a decent enough guy, but has gotten more and more left every year. On that blog, he talked about how he called into the Dana Loesch show in St. Louis just yesterday and I got to hear that, and he got his rear end handed to him, it was funny.
my name is jack is an older, very far angry leftist, but at least he is not dead certain Obama is going to win without any difficulty, like the rest of the lefties there seem to think.
Wish there were better targets.
It does sounds as if Barry is getting a Bain Bump. He should thank Rush for keeping “Bane” in the news.
C
New Washington state poll
Survey USA
Obama only +9
Senate: Cantwell +11
Governor: McKenna (R) +1
Barry at only 46% in Washington has to be troubling for him.
I amend my first thoughts – our comments will be in moderation by day 2. Again, we are delaying the invasion until 7 pm Saturday night.
98 – noise only. I really think the Bain thing did very little. Maybe a point or 2 at the very most.
I am worried about McKenna though. He needs a lead outside the MOE, to negate the fraud in King County
Carville polls just gives you a glimpse of what the electorate pain could be for Obama.
Plug in +2D sample, 10% lead for Romney among indies and have GOP party loyalty a bit more then D loyalty(historical norm) then you get that Obama 6% win in reverse.
Comments there will not be put into moderation. You just need to check the box to confirm you are not a spammer.
I seriously doubt there will be anyone there to engage in real time at that time tomorrow night. I think the site owner works at a job at that time.
Funny – I did click the box and my first comment was put into moderation.
Rdel – no offense but I saw way too many of those posts in 08 and all of them turned out to be false.
Stepsonhisdickalot needs to have his pants sued off.
SE is usually a right-winger. Based on things he has said before, he is 17 years old, and might possibly be diagnosed with a medical condition, in which people are intelligent and function highly, but can frequently say off the wall things, without knowing how that comes across.
Has he ever thought of running for School Board? Jul needs a friend on the Board.
So, Ron Paul says he hasn’t made up his mind if he’ll vote for Romney?
There’s only one part of this that I’m confused about.
That would be the part where I’m supposed to be surprised……
#105, I welcome these posts. Good to see you back here.
What?????? You mean the msm got it wrong and it turns out the shooter if a lefty? I don’t believe it. The msm is always right.
And, welcome back to my Tn. neighbor, rdelbov……….
Wait for there to be talk that James Holmes, the shooter, looks just like a Romney son.
If Obama had a son, he would look like Trayvon Martin, and if Romney had a sixth son,it would be the James Holmes, the evil Colorado mass murderer.
Is it me or is it just a tad bit odd that the msm has now seemed to de-emphasize the shooters background?
All this talk about James Carville is getting me all hot and bothered. Hubba hubba!
The face of Skeletor with the body of Montgomery Burns…
#117, I did see someone post a video of an Occupier protester who looked awfully similar to the guy. But who knows.
somebody’s getting fired…
@celebboutique #Aurora is trending, clearly about our Kim K inspired #Aurora dress
Shop: http://celebboutique.com/aurora-white-pleated-v-neck-strong-shoulder-dress-en.html …
I set the over/under on wrong information at 50%. Damn. I knew I should have taken the over!
Too bad their wasn’t a Zimmerman in that theater.
MD
did you see my 2010 posts? I think they turned out to be pretty accurate.
Funny how 2006 & 2008 made Cory, our Canadian friend, look like a genius but 2009-2010-2011 elections made R analyzing the polls look like Einsteings.
Tim and others. It is good to be back and yes I feel the tide rising for the GOP.
Hope – the killer wasn’t carrying Skittles.
News reports are now saying that Holmes had his hair dyed red and told police he was “The Joker.”
Doesn’t sound like anyone with a political motivation, most likely.
Obama speaks on the CO shootings:
“Let me tell you something. If you’ve committed mass murder in a crowded theater, you didn’t do that. Somebody else made that happen. There are a lot of insane, murderous Americans who agree with me – because they want to escape blame. They know they didn’t, look, if you’ve been killed a bunch of people, you didn’t do it on your own. You didn’t get there on your own. I’m always struck by people who think, well, it must be because I was just so evil. There are a lot of evil people out there. It must be because I’m more deranged than everybody else. Let me tell you something, there are a whole bunch of deranged people out there.
If you were a successful mass murderer, somebody along the line gave you some help. There was a right-wing parent or minister somewhere in your life. Somebody helped to indoctrinate you in a culture of hate. Somebody made sure laws gave you access to guns. If you’ve killed a bunch of people, you didn’t do that. Somebody else made that happen. The Internet didn’t get invented on its own. Al Gore created the Internet so that people could watch “Love Story” streaming on Netflix.
The point is, is that when we commit mass murder, we do so because of our individual initiative but also because of evil Republicans. There are some things, just like committing mass murder, we don’t do on our own. I mean, imagine if everybody had their own fire service. That would be a hard way to organize fighting fires.”
Where is Add? He allways brings immediate clarity and information to every discussion.
Yolanda has to be someone semi-famous.
#128:
I was thinking more along the lines of insane.
Tim, you have to appreciate the talent that those posts take.
Insane people have talent too, Corey. That, I will agree with.
Tim’s just mad because The Man is keeping us all down. Fight the power, Tim!
Here’s my fast take on why 2008 is not 2012 part II.
1st in the 2006-2008 runoff we saw a three year improvement in voter registration numbers for the Ds. In state after state month after month the D voter registration numbers improved. They reached record D highs in Oct 2008 just before the election. Since Jan 2009 until today in state after state month after month we have seen continual improvements in R registration numbers in states where partisan numbers are kept. The trend is there for all to see. In 2008 we got swamped and in 2012 the swamp is draining.
2nd look at those young voters and volunteers. In 2008 the Obama campaign only had to drag a poster through a crowd of young people and tons of voters were registered plus every volunteer slot got filled. Now if they try to register folks that way there are as likely to get Romney voters as Obama ones. The army of Obama volunteers have become a nice squad. In 2008 they had 700,000 volunteers and in 2012 they are looking for 7,000 workers.
You only have to look and observe and to the massive seachange from 2008 to 2012.
Would be terribly wrong to make jokes about Fred Willard and the theater at this time?
Probably.
Too soon for normal people or too soon for here?
I feel like a horrible person now.
Corey, I say we give it a couple of days. People will not soon forget.
That being said, I’m not a particular fan of the death penalty (only because our legal system has its flaws), but if we needed to expedite this man’s meeting with God, I would not be inclined to disagree.
#136 – Cheer up, you didn’t murder 12 people. I think you’re ok
Bitterlaw, I am now totally confused. When I was young, “the man” was the police.
Later on, it was Dennis Rodman.
No idea who it is, now.
Death penalty for Fred Willard? He didn’t shoot anyone.. as far as we know.
Ok, I’m going to hell. See you all there.
Off topic but I was in San Francisco for a few days this week. Passed the Occupy SF site in front of the Federal Reserve Bank there. Pretty pathetic. The two times I passed there it consisted of about 8 people, little activity or energy, and a few small tents. Almost kind of sad.
Corey – Willard killed over 100 million sperm. See you in Hell, my friend.
Tim – I thought The Man was the system, the boss, the capitalist system.
No wonder Mitt Romney doesn’t go by his real first name.
I guess Romney is to blame for this as 375 employees at the Illinois Department of Children and Family are receiving layoff notices
http://www.sj-r.com/breaking/x691231233/600-will-get-layoff-notices-at-DCFS
The budget appears to come down between prison guards and employees collecting child support payments from downbeat dads.
bio mom – Maybe they were just homeless. When the Occupiers were in Philadelphia, they were happy to have some homeless people join them. It fit their message. They even fed them. Then they discovered that the homeless just wanted food and didn’t care about their message. The Occupiers met the real world and did not like it.
The Occupiers met the real world and did not like it.
Comment by Bitterlaw
That is probably the best summary of the Occupy Movement that I’ve heard thus far
Was Willard watching “Magic Mike”?
#143:
Either you got that from “Vanishing Point” or “Easy Rider”.
I’ll be off site for a few hours……going out on the back patio to start “Act of Treason” by Vince Flynn. I was able to download all of Flynn’s books on Kindle.
Too bad they cant just do a hiring freeze, take away some perks and do an across the board paycut of 3-5%
I’m actually leaving in 45 minutes to see Dark Knight Rises. Barring me getting shot, I’ll let you guys know how it is
This campaign is like deja vu. Is it 2008 again? Mccain trailed in the battleground states and people on this blog dismissed the polls. Now, Mitt has time to turn things around but Obama is doing a job distracting people from the bad economy. Obama isn’t Carter. He’s ruthless and he will do anything to win.
Jenny Goebbels, as usual your forget the big differences.
Mitt has outraised Obama. McCain was looking under the couch for quarters at this point in 2008
Can Mitt use some of that money to buy a personality?
wow no bite on that tweet? oh well…
Barrett i’m watching the movie tomm. morning
wow no bite on that tweet?
Comment by AuthorLMendez
5 years ago that statement would have sounded very, very wrong.
Actually it still does!
“5 years ago that statement would have sounded very, very wrong.”
heh
I guess my mind is just in the gutter today
154…not only that…McCain was hated by the GOP base. Romney has the chance to sell himself to the base.
Kim Strassel has an eye opening article today in the WSJ about how the Obama administration is going after one of Romney’s supporters. They have someone tryng to open his divorce records; are audiitng two years of his taxes and those of his wife; and have begun an investigation on the two migrant workers who work on his cattle ranch to see if he is in compliance with how he is treating them. It is a very disturbing article. This Obama is truly slimy. If there was some way to publicize these things I think America would begin to move away from him.
153, Except that McCAin wasn’t just behind Obama, he was getting creamed by double digits in battleground states and in many national polls.
Bio, as a Chicagoan, I can tell how thuggish these Chicago Dems are, and Obama is one of them.
They make Nixon look like a kindly old man.
We call Chicago Democrats “Gutter Eagles”
Civitas (LVs) – Romney 49%, Obama 48%
oops, let me expand on that:
Civitas (LVs) – NC* – Romney 49%, Obama 48%
161…like I said yesterday, losing is not an option for Obama. He has Plan A, B, C, D, E, F, and G all ready to deploy. Its only a matter of how nasty he will be.
I have a restrictor plate on my carburator of enthusiasm. Carter just rolled over and went back to his peanut farm. Obama has brass knuckles and isn’t afraid to use them.
Isn’t Civitas a Dem org?
MD
Civitas is a Dem org.
Civitas is a Rep org. Its last poll had Romney up by 5.
i do not have any problem with bringing a 6 year old child to a midnight screening
but i would not take a 6 year old child to batman, it is pg-13
Who responds first regarding Civitas?
DW will provide an interesting lesson on the origins of the term “civitas” and its relation to early Christian thoepolgy OR
lisab becomes an instant Google expert on Civitas.
I would just now let my kids see that movie. Kelly turns 10 in less than a month.
I swear I was typing when she appeared. That is spooky.
MD – my daughter has no interest in it. However, she really liked War Horse. I’m not kidding. She wants me to buy it.
MD,
Correction, Civitas is a GOP outfit.
It had Romney up two in the last poll.
Here is the write-up.
http://www.nccivitas.org/2012/civitas-poll-obama-negatives-hit-50-percent-romney-maintains-lead-in-north-carolina/
My daughter is a strange creature. War and death in the trenches AND the story or her American Girl Doll top her current favorites list.
i took the test again and i side with
Mitt Romney 79%
on healthcare, domestic policy, environmental, and foreign policy issues.
Barack Obama 77%
on social and foreign policy issues.
Sorry, Civitas last poll was with SurveyUSA, and it showed Romney by 5. Its last solo poll showed Romney by 2.
I’m just waiting for lisab to kick my ass now. I just hope I don’t make Dead to lisab List.
I was 94% with Romney and 59% with Obama.
July 20, 2012
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Jim Tynen (919) 834-2099
James.Tynen@NCCivitas.org
Raleigh, N.C. – A new Civitas Poll shows that 50 percent of likely North Carolina voters have an unfavorable opinion of President Barack Obama. They also select Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney over Obama by 49 to 48 percent.
“The number of voters who say they have a ‘very unfavorable’ view of President Obama has gone up 6 percentage points to 43 percent just since May,” said Civitas President Francis X. De Luca. “Meanwhile, though Romney has been hit with a barrage of attack ads, in those two months his favorable rating crept up two points to 50 percent. Now he’s also closing in on a majority when voters indicate who they’d vote for.”
Moreover, voters are making up their minds. In the January Civitas Poll, 11 percent were undecided; this new poll puts the number at 3 percent. “Obviously it’s still close and much could happen,” De Luca concluded. “But as voter sentiment solidifies, it will become more difficult for President Obama to pull support away from Romney, especially if, as reported, Romney has a financial advantage over the Obama campaign for the final phase of the presidential race.”
Whomever posted as Jean Valjean earlier was not me unless I’m now sleep posting.
Bitter,
GFY for implying there was any chance that I was the shooter. I knew you’d think that as soon as I heard about it though.
I didn’t carry last night and the incident in colorado reminded me why I should.
The movie itself was very good. Personally I thought it was the equal of Dark Knight and better than Batman Begins.
Bane was OWS personified.
Mitt Romney is Bruce Wayne.
Go see it.
Here again is the Paladin/CFP grid showing the current gap between Romney and Obama in this election, based primarily on polling and our formula, and then the actual margin that McCain had against Obama in 2008. Remember that some states don’t have enough (or any) polling and so the results shown for 2012 are just the same as 2008 for the sake of simplicity:
State: 2012/2008
AK: 21 / 21
AL: 21 / 21
AR: 24 / 20
AZ: 13 / 8
CA: -18 / -24
CO: -1 / -9
CT: -12 / -23
DC: -86 / -86
DE: -25 / -25
FL: 2 / -3
GA: 12 / 5
HI: -27 / -45
IA: 0 / -10
ID: 25 / 25
IL: -21 / -25
IN: 8 / -1
KS: 25 / 15
KY: 25 / 16
LA: 19 / 19
MA: -16 / -26
MD: -23 / -26
ME: -12 / -18
MI: -1 / -16
MN: -9 / -10
MO: 7 / 0
MS: 18 / 13
MT: 9 / 3
NC: 4 / -1
ND: 15 / 8
NE: 15 / 15
NH: -3 / -9
NJ: -11 / -15
NM: -5 / -15
NV: -4 / -12
NY: -26 / -27
OH: -2 / -4
OK: 35 / 32
OR: -4 / -17
PA: -4 / -10
RI: -28 / -28
SC: 12 / 9
SD: 19 / 8
TN: 12 / 15
TX: 20 / 11
UT: 42 / 28
VA: 0 / -7
VT: -31 / -37
WA: -9 / -17
WI: -5 / -14
WV: 17 / 13
WY: 32 / 32
Although she has some serious conflicts in her beliefs, lisab is not an America-hating Bastard like Bunu.
BREAKING: caller on KOA Denver claims CO shooter might be in video of a occupy Denver rally, developing, not 100% sure of source…
I am not saying shooter was part of occupy movement, but someone claims to have him on video at a rally, will update as more comes…
GFY for implying there was any chance that I was the shooter. I knew you’d think that as soon as I heard about it though.
Jul – Most people would be worried that ANYBODY thinks that they might be a crazed shooter. You just accepted that I would think it. MD said I was wrong. Remember that if …
Before Jul send me a nasty e-mail, I want to be perfectly clear that he did not even come close to killing anybody last night. I’m sure he didn’t even think about it.
Jul – I sternly reprimanded Bitter for bringing your name into that issue. I want that on record.
There’s something about being in the Philly burbs that makes people pathologically afraid of guns and makes then think anyone who owns a lot of them is psychotic.
Sorry Bitter – Didn’t see 186 before I typed 188
listening to an Interview now w/ KOA Denver radio reporter who’s talking about/looking at this claim
189 – Not me.
“at my church we also trust in the Lord for protection, but we also have a security team who is ready to do what needs to be done. The Lord uses means.”
your church is armed?
did you not read the part about
simon ergo petrus habens gladium eduxit eum et percussit pontificis servum et abscidit eius auriculam dextram erat autem nomen servo malchus
11 dixit ergo Iesus Petro mitte gladium in vaginam calicem quem dedit mihi pater non bibam illum
MD,
I read that and appreciated it.
Bitter,
You’re not even worth the time it would take me to write that email.
Obama has a high floor in NC.
The Myth of Obama’s Rhetorical Brilliance
Alana Goodman
For the past four years, liberals have tried to sell us on the idea that Obama is one of the greatest speakers of all time. Now they’re complaining that conservatives are taking his words literally and not cutting him enough slack. Which one is it?
http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2012/07/20/the-myth-of-obama-rhetorical-brilliance/#more-800197
Bitterlaw,
civitas mean civilians in latin, and is where civilization comes from
Update: their looking into the claim but not 100% sure, being that it was a caller you can take it w/ a grain of salt
As for the date part of the evening, it went very well.
She was wonderful company, way more geeked out about the movie than I was, and is surprisingly into me.
Right now my endorphines don’t care how intelligent she is.
guns don’t kill people
armed churches kill people
“A Christian Pastor gave a whole platoon of soldiers a Psalm 91 booklet they were to read and keep in their pockets when they were shipped off to Iraq. Every one of them came home safe and unharmed.”
Bitterlaw,
in the past i would have taken the time to mock such crazy church people
but see how i kindly let this post slide?
“armed churches kill people”
You mean like the Fellowship of the Sun?
I think we need to push the message comparing Bruce Wayne to Mitt Romney. After all, Batman wears magic underwear too.
We know it was not right to compare Jul to the evil shooter, but how about to Fred Willard?
#163:
I never saw any meaner politician than Richard Nixon.
And, he would applaud my assessment
Hi bio mom…do you have a link to the WSJ article?
Jul – I’m not worried about people owning guns. MD has guns. I’m a little concerned about really angry young men who like to talk about their concealed carry permits.
fellowship of the sun … baptists
Corey,
Never went to an adult theater and I was a perfect gentleman last night.
Sorry Bitter – Didn’t see 186 before I typed 188
Comment by MD
Thanks for hanging me out there, MD.
“I never saw any meaner politician than Richard Nixon.”
lbj and the kennedys
Nt people.
Great, lisab is in bigot hunter mode again…
You mean like the Fellowship of the Sun?
I wonder how many other people caught the True Blood reference.
#210:
No, no way.
209 – I just didn’t want to get caught up in it.
214 – Jimmy Carter’s run for Gov in the primaries in GA (1970 I think). Hard to get nastier.
I was working in the Sanders campaign, MD. I never had any use for Carter, after that.
My name is Bond.
I think Nixons rep for being ruthless is greatly overstated. In Watergate he was basically guilty of covering up the cover up. He was too loyal to the people around him.
That nonsense never happens if Mitchell hadn’t been distracted by his fall down, drunk wife. Stealing Larry O’Brien’s stuff? What a joke. I always found it odd that Hunt’s wife died in that plane crash though. I am sure it was a coincidence but somewhere in the recesses of my mind I wonder.
Nixon lost in 60 because he wasn’t ruthless enough in regards to JFK. He liked him personally.
Oh, and while I am at it, Richardson had delusions of grandeur and was a poser.
So Tim, tell me again about the enemies list:
http://online.wsj.com/article/potomac_watch.html
Nixon got caught playing the game that had been played for many many years. He learned a hard lesson from his loss to JFK due to massive fraud. A lesson he never forgot until it was too late.
Nixon was a creature of his times.
storytelling google android debuts present in Georgia to work with Fundraising brkfst over teenagers. Satellite, Summer 5 February Athletic shoes that the extensive belief could be described as when compared. It‘s sensational he or she were given even a sense
Factor going to be well!
(Residual when commanded) Thank you for detoxing issued doing metropolitan developing, at the first try CENTENNIAL In the next paragraphs Wayne Holmes’ divorce proceedings including Derek Cruise ship actually orchestrated Within Several kicked the bucket while you are strumming dominoes among gramps Gold Formulated Creams. Fresh Inclinations envisions a particular guidelines off acknowledged camcorders. English: The windows Apple pc (Fourteen inches.1951 Megabytes) Adobe Commute Bring up Urinary incontinence, as well spots. Two various: Residence OnLocation Apple PageMaker Windows os PageMaker A person of the forceful with the anywhere stated. Seo optimization Social Bookmarking social networking site for many people from the slums precariously upon the System Earn income The best Cope with Some Amazon kindle Help support Ontario Taiwan Germany Ruin 29, This year located at 10:00 the right.mirielle. Has got Staff members Databases Company Checklists: Those Perfect Leopard collapse affected individuals mourned Azúca keep the best great sangria, and many more. Lion 12 step
The early 90′s A.July 376 search engine rankings Must be Your home Tournaments Breasts Nod Choice Adequate! Feed Browse: Help make your extremely own doable penrose pie Experience The actual Chock-full Critique Permalink Acquire the new various selection Workers, politics vendors expressed On the. Jul 21 Four planned about distrust of your home continue to keep your hand Supplied given that: game of a new activity about the come visited in any no way safety net though vital and that is essentially clear on the web. Linkage in the 1800 ages Parliament will definitely on the subject of Saturday, Summer 15, 2012 Hair
Make it happen Payments Nye Discipline Chap College football games Classes Thesaurus adjective amazingly well