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Romney Takes National Lead, Obama Leads in NJ

So what does it mean if a local Chick-fil-A that saw record crowd yesterday turns around and donates money and chicken sandwiches to a local gay pride festival? Just asking….

In case you were wondering whether Charlie Crist was going to run as a Republican in the future…

This morning’s big poll comes from The Economist and YouGov where Mitt Romney has moved into the lead nationally over Barack Obama.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (YouGov)
Mitt Romney (R) 46%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 44%

This poll was done July 28-30 among registered voters. We also received a new poll from Fairleigh Dickinson University for the state of New Jersey that puts Barack Obama 13% ahead of Mitt Romney.

PRESIDENT – NEW JERSEY (FDU)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 49%
Mitt Romney (R) 36%

US SENATE – NEW JERSEY (FDU)
Bob Menendez (D-inc) 45%
Joe Kyrollis (R) 33%

This poll was done July 23-29 among registered voters.

Posted by Dave at 7:45 am
Filed under: General | Comments (460)

460 Responses to “Romney Takes National Lead, Obama Leads in NJ”

  1. hem vaidya says:

    1?

  2. Marv says:

    Good morning folks.

    I am posting to link to an article which appears today in “American Spectator”. It deals, primarily, with the resurgence of traditional American political values and the ongoing rejection of Eurorpean style “progressiveism”, which first appeared on the American scene during T. Roosevelt’s administration.

    “What’s happening in America — whether in 2012 in Texas with Ted Cruz, Wisconsin with Scott Walker, Israel and Poland with Mitt Romney, or 2010 in the GOP landslide — is an open rebellion against 111 years of progressive politics. A furious revolt against the deliberate injection of decidedly non-American values into the body politic.

    Americans are insisting on the “great rediscovery” of American values that were central to the success of the Reagan presidency. Not to mention the values that were at the core of America’s founding itself.”

    http://spectator.org/archives/2012/08/02/the-great-rediscovery-of-ameri

  3. david says:

    Thanks for the comment Marv. Fox and Friends just reported that Romney has narrowed his vp choice to Pawlenty, Portman and Ryan…please not Pawlenty…He won’t even make Minnesota competive and will not do anything to fire up the base. I still like Rubio and Rice.

  4. EML says:

    YouGov Internet Poll.
    Trash it!
    I’m an equal opportunity trasher.

    Although it is interesting that Romney is up even with a D+8 sample.

  5. jenny-mitt romney dewey says:

    romney will choose ryan and scare the crap out of seniors and lose in a landslide. he’s tone deaf and a loser!

  6. SusyQue says:

    Obama’s Calculated Deception
    By Peter Ferrara on 8.1.12 @ 6:08AM

    How the Obama campaign is trying to deceive you on the economy.

    Calculated Deception. That is the central theme of the Obama campaign. Calculated Deception is the term I use for Obama’s rhetorical practice of trying to take advantage of what he calculates the average person does not know, and his party-controlled, so-called mainstream media won’t report.

    How Stupid Does He Think We Are?
    President Obama keeps telling us his economic program should be judged by comparison to the worst of the recession. Look, we have turned the corner, he says, and the economy has started growing again, just like your teenage son. But the correct comparison is to prior recoveries from past recessions. As Lazear explained, “Yet we know that all recessions end and that labor markets recover eventually. What distinguishes this labor-market recovery is not that jobs are finally being created but rather the growth rate is so slow that it will be 2016 before we return to pre-recession employment levels.” Obama is campaigning as if he were certain that a majority of Americans do not know that all recessions end and that labor markets recover eventually.

    http://spectator.org/archives/2012/08/01/obamas-calculated-deception/print

  7. Marv says:

    The YouGov poll showing Romney’s lead at 2 points is 45D/37R/18I. The political ideaology model is

    18% liberal, 33% conservative, 33% moderate, 16% don’t know.

    Republicans are underrepresented and so are conservatives. The Gallup model is 20% lib, 41% conservative, and 35% moderate.

  8. Marv says:

    #3 david,

    Ryan works for me, so does Portman. My prefernce is Rubio too. My not to realistic super preference is Alan West.

  9. SusyQue says:

    What do you think of this report?

    Why America’s Most Famous Billionaire
    May Soon Prove to Be Its Most Influential

    Billionaire Donald Trump has put his celebrity status and business power behind Mitt Romney — and with his undeniable appeal among independent voters, a Newsmax magazine special report finds that he may prove to be a political kingmaker come this November.

    Newsmax magazine’s report — “The Trump Effect” — has just been released and reveals Donald Trump’s pivotal role in the GOP primary and how he is working behind the scenes to engineer a victory for Mitt Romney.

    “The Trump Effect” is a powerful political tale written by Edward Klein, former editor-in-chief of The New York Times magazine and author of best-selling books including his latest, “The Amateur: Barack Obama in the White House.”

    The Newsmax magazine report features Klein’s exclusive interview with Trump, and provides an in-depth look at The Donald’s vast financial empire — including real estate, golf courses, restaurants, TV productions, books, even menswear and home furnishings.

    It also reveals the surprising results of a Newsmax poll that provides a unique picture of the “Trump voters” — independent voters in key swing states who listen to Donald Trump. And it offers readers an eye-opening personal look at Trump, including “A Day in the Life of The Donald” and “10 Things You Always Wanted to Know About Trump.”

    Trump also shares the four policy reforms the game-changing mogul most wants to see from President Romney!

  10. Todd McCain says:

    It will be Rubio.

    The Fox report is BS.

  11. bio mom says:

    Fox does NOT know who the vp pick will be. Ignore.

    http://news.yahoo.com/add-it-up–the-prediction-models-look-dismal-for-obama–can-he-still-win-.html

    Only argument I have with the posted article is the Romney pandering, etc. Who is a bigger panderer than Obama? Otherwise, worth a read.

  12. “romney will choose ryan and scare the crap out of seniors and lose in a landslide. he’s tone deaf and a loser!

    Comment by jenny-mitt romney dewey — August 2, 2012 @ 8:05 am”

    but she swears she’s not a concern troll

  13. rdelbov says:

    Not a big fan of this polling group but remember my big three that I see coming for 2012.

    1st Indies go Romney
    2nd Republicans more loyal then D voters (its been that way every election except 2008)
    3rd the turnout model will be more like 2004 then 2008.

    This poll gets two of three right.

  14. Todd McCain says:

    5. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

    You need a mental health professional.

  15. jenny-mitt romney dewey says:

    another blue poll!

  16. MD says:

    I still think the most likely choice is Portman. Well, Sean Trend says party ID doesn’t matter. We will see. BTW – Ras can still change his party ID so the R+1 may not be what happens by the time the election gets here.

    I predict a massive drop to 6,000 for jobless claims :)

  17. mnw says:

    I posted this late last nite already, but I believe this is true– no joke:

    The mnw “Chick-Fil-A 2012 General Election Hypothesis”: The amazing success of ‘CFA Appreciation Day’ is a proxy for the pent-up rage of coservatives with zero– especially on social issues. The 2010 ‘good shellacking’ is STILL there waiting for zero & the DEMs.

    I would also offer the Cruz & Mourdock wins as further evidence of the phenomenon.

    RE: Romney’s VP Pick:

    Pawlenty or Portman. Romney is a good gambler, but a cautious one. Those are the low-risk choices. He’s not going to surprise the nation by pulling some Palinesque VP choice out of a hat, imo.

  18. MD says:

    She is nuts Todd but the point on Ryan (who I like) is valid.

    Ask 10 seniors randomly if Ryan’s budget would have affected them. 8 would say yes. No amount of education would change that.

    Ryan will NOT be veep.

  19. MD says:

    What advantage does Pawlenty bring over Portman?

  20. Ryan is probably eying some sort of committee spot in the House

  21. SusyQue says:

    Portman is fluent in Spanish….a real plus on the stump!

  22. mnw says:

    None, MD.

    It won’t be Ryan. He won’t take a mere congressman.

  23. Todd McCain says:

    MD,

    Im going w Rubio. He is everything Romney needs — Latino, well spoken, grew up poor, great life story, will energize the base and lock up FLA, etc etc.

    RUBIO does have a possibly unknown Palin factor, but we can rest assured he would have been firmly vetted.

  24. Todd McCain says:

    Portman would be fine by me as well — by only issue is that he’s a Bush guy.

  25. SusyQue says:

    #19…MD…..what do you think of Post #9 about Trump?

  26. mnw says:

    Barry Goldwater spoke Spanish (badly) too. You guys consistently overestimate the potential efficacy of ethnic pandering by Republicans.

  27. Todd McCain says:

    Pawlenty is a fine man, but he probably is the worst choice out of the litter:

    Rubio
    Portman
    Ryan
    Pawlenty

  28. EML says:

    19 – he is an executive. No ties to the bush administration. Plays better in IA and WI.

  29. Todd McCain says:

    Any news on Mitt’s July fundraising numbers?

  30. Marv says:

    #24 Todd McCain,

    I don’t think that being a Bush guy is a negative anymore. At least, he’s not an Obama guy. Therein is the big difference.

  31. MD says:

    No way on Pawlenty.

    As for Rubio, it is more a risk/return thing. I think the press is lying in wait. I love the guy.

  32. mnw says:

    “Rubio has everything TRomney needs…”

    Including a credit card ethics controversy in which RUBIO HIMSELF acknowledged that he had been “careless” and made “serious mistakes.”

    If he takes Rubio, the first ten days will be the MSM exegesis of that controversy– remember how great that was for Quayle?

    Imo, Romney will never take Rubio. And you can explain away the credit card mess all you want, but… you think the MSM won’t crucify him anyway?

  33. EML says:

    Well the one Obama commercial I’ve seen tries to tie Romney to Bush so the Obama campaign thinks it matters.

  34. SusyQue says:

    Jobless Claims Increase
    BY ERIC MORATH AND SARAH PORTLOCK

    The number of U.S. workers filing applications for jobless benefits rose last week, continuing an uneven pattern that suggests job creation was likely modest in July.

    Initial jobless claims, an indication of layoffs, increased by 8,000 to a seasonally adjusted 365,000 in the week ended July 28, the Labor Department said Thursday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires had forecast 370,000 new applications for jobless benefits last week.

  35. EML says:

    32 – EVERY potential VP candidate has baggage that the MSM will try to focus on.

  36. mnw says:

    thx,ssq. u r frist w/ real news 2day.

  37. EML says:

    mnw – surprised you’re advocating squishy Pawlenty and Portman over the more conservative Ryan and Rubio.

  38. Marv says:

    #33 EML,

    A VP candidate with a tie to the Bush Administration is not a big negative, especially since Romney is running against Barack Obama……who is tied to the Obama Administration.

  39. mnw says:

    Thast’s bullzh*t, EM|L. You are just wishing the 800 pound elephant in Rubio’s corner away.

    What is the EQUIVALENT “baggage” for Pawlenty, pls, EML?

    T-Paw ran for President, so you should have that info for us.

  40. Marv says:

    MD,

    Are you still around this morning?

  41. mnw says:

    I could care less if Pawlenty & Portman vaporize themselves. They’re no favorites of mine! I’m PREDICTING, not advocating. See the difference?

    My own personal choice for Romney would be Ryan, but that will never happen.

  42. MD says:

    I am here. Tee time isn’t until 2 pm

  43. MD says:

    41 – some here never understand the distinction.

  44. phoenixrisen says:

    Strange no one is talking about Jindal in here.

  45. Marv says:

    MD,

    Air Force is going to kick the crap out of Army this year…….I just thought I’d give you a heads up.

  46. mnw says:

    Mr. Market doesn’t |(heart) the economic news 2day. No break for zero there.

  47. david says:

    #8, I have to agree with #5, if it is Ryan, every other TV ad will show Ryan throwing seniors over the cliff…won’t bode well in Florida. It has to be Portman or Rubio….Recent polling shows it has to be Portman to win Ohio.

  48. MD says:

    Marv!!!! You are probably correct.

    Do you believe Susy’s friend that the AF1 pilots all requested a transfer after the repeal of DADT?

    For the record, I do not believe it.

  49. MD says:

    44 – Not ready yet. Add him to the bench for 16 if Romney isn’t POTUS.

  50. Marv says:

    #48 MD,

    IMO, an Air Force One pilot would not request a transfer due to the DADT repeal. He will vote for Romney and keep his mouth shut.

  51. phoenixrisen says:

    My gut instinct tells me it will be Rubio. Then again I’ve been wrong before. He is the candidate Democrats and the media openly worry about Romney picking.

  52. Phil says:

    RAS

    46-44 Romney

    49-45 with leaners

    40-36 certain Romney +4 with indies

    45/53 approval -21

    race is frozen

  53. from WSJ:

    “Economists expect that the economy added 95,000 jobs in July, which would be a slight improvement from the 80,000 added in June. They see the unemployment rate stuck at 8.2%.”

  54. Marv says:

    #52 Phil,

    Good numbers for Mitt.

    I will be watching ESPNU at 7:30 ET on Thurs night August, 30th. How about you?

  55. Phil says:

    Definitely

  56. dblaikie says:

    52 I agree — the race is frozen until after the Olympics and the conventions. But this is terrible news for Obama because he has been frozen at 43 to 45% for weeks and weeks. Unless he can move to his reelect number by at 6 points he is toast!

  57. Scott says:

    Phil
    Who takes the Conseco(R) vs. Gallego(D) TX Congressional race in Nov.?

  58. IPSO FACTO says:

    Portman might put Ohio in the romney column.

  59. Phil says:

    hard to say – district is now slightly more Republican than it was, leans R IMO

  60. DW says:

    Of this I am pretty sure…the veep pick will have a last name that starts with P or R.

  61. OHIO JOE says:

    “Portman might put Ohio in the romney column.” Oh please, how tight must I hold my nose?

  62. david says:

    #60, good one.

  63. MD says:

    DW

    Can you post why i vote for my blue fraud again?

  64. david says:

    Kinda ironic that newly elected Republican Govenors’ good polices good be actually hurting Romney. Ohio, VA and some other republican govenor states unemployment is actually lower than than the national average. Wonder what the polling would be for WI and Ohio if the Democrat candidate for Govenor would have won in 2010?

  65. Em En Double U says:

    You guys realize what kind of name “Rubio”is, right?

  66. david says:

    good * Could

  67. Bitterlaw says:

    MD – skip the golf and just go drink with your clients. Focus on your strenghts.

  68. DW says:

    Top ten excuses Republicans give for voting for BlueFrauds:

    10. My grandpa used to vote for my BlueFraud’s grandpa.

    9. My BlueFraud and ONLY my BlueFraud is capable of saving our air base!

    8. My BlueFraud has nice eyes.

    7. I got a really nice letter once from my BlueFraud.

    6. My BlueFraud has been in office for 28 years, so he must be good!

    5. My BlueFraud is a fiscal hawk! So never mind that our country is being destroyed by Dem leadership, my BlueFraud will try to stop it.

    4. My BlueFraud used to go to my church.

    3. My BlueFraud has excellent constituent services.

    2. I have never heard of my BlueFraud’s challenger.

    1. What was the question?

  69. Sobbie says:

    Obamas approval rating is 44% in OH according to the Gallup numbers just released

    44%!!

    And we are dangerously behind in that state?

    Horseshiit

  70. EML says:

    Hottest TV ad markets, 7/30-8/5:

    1. Cincinnati, OH
    2. Richmond-Petersburg, VA
    3. Reno, NV
    4. Columbus, OH
    5. Colorado Springs, CO
    6. Las Vegas, NV
    7. Cleveland, OH
    8. Norfolk-Portsmouth, VA
    9. Denver, CO
    10. Roanoke Lynchburg, VA

  71. EML says:

    While it’s technically correct that the Obama campaign is outspending the Romney campaign in TV advertising in the battleground states, you can’t say the same thing when adding all the outside groups. Right now, Team Romney — the campaign, the RNC, and all the GOP-leaning outside groups — is outspending Team Obama (campaign, DNC, outside groups) this week by a nearly 2-to-1 margin, $25 million to $14 million. That $25 million, in fact, is more than we’ve seen from one side during any other week this cycle. Here’s the full breakdown on this week’s ad spending (from July 30 to Aug. 5), according to data from SMG Delta: Obama $12.8 million, Crossroads GPS $9.7 million, Romney $8.1 million, Restore Our Future $3.8 million, RNC $2.5 million, Priorities USA $1 million, American Crossroads $940,000. Note that Crossroads GPS is outspending the Romney camp right now, and the Koch Brothers’ Americans for Prosperity has booked a multimillion buy slated to begin next week.

  72. Sobbie says:

    ” I’m voting for Jon Tester! Jon Tester is a Blue Dog!”

    Remember those people?

    JHCOAMFC

  73. MD says:

    73 – sad that I know exactly what that stands for.

  74. Sobbie says:

    I have to curse

    I don’t smoke drink or plow whorres

    My country is run by a communist. I need to curse

  75. Sobbie says:

    “Jon Tester is a conservative! Hes a Blue Dog! Jon Tester wouldn’t fuuuck me up my asss!”

  76. sir Albert says:

    Agree Sobbie! It’s bs!

  77. Mr.Vito says:

    Cigarettes and Whiskey and Wild Women

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x2Gz6Wndg3Q

  78. Hall Moniter says:

    #76…clean up your foul cursing! You have crossed the line of dignity.

  79. rdelbov says:

    lousy poll numbers for Obama today–not a surprise.

  80. Howard Dean says:

    End of July Voter registration update from CO.

    R +110k advantage.

  81. Phil says:

    Probably a surprise to Quinn.

  82. Robbie says:

    Is the economist/yougov a standard poll or an internet poll like Zogby has done?

  83. MD says:

    RCP has PA 7 as a tossup! Let me go on record here:

    Meehan will never lose to the clown on the D side. Never.

  84. I saw a report that new voter registration is at it’s lowest level since 1996, there’s some talk of a lower turnout then we saw in 04 & 08

  85. Sobbie says:

    CO goes red

    These state Gallup approval numbers are terrible for Captain Communism

  86. I like Sobbie’s optimism better then Wobbie’s LOL

  87. SusyQue says:

    Check this out:

    This is the man who would make a great VP for Romney!

    15 Genuinely Interesting Things About Rob Portman (Senato-Ohio)

    1. He learned Spanish from Mexican cowboys while working on a border ranch. He worked on three cattle ranches in high school and college.
    Read More:

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/andrewkaczynski/15-genuinely-interesting-things-about-rob-portman

  88. Phil says:

    Quick. More polls from Quinn needed.

  89. Mr.Vito says:

    “RCP has PA 7 as a tossup! Let me go on record here:

    Meehan will never lose to the clown on the D side. Never.”

    MD, Cook has it as Likely R

  90. Bitterlaw says:

    MD – He is a clown when it comes to politics. However, he probably secretly hopes to lose. His income would be slashed by at least 2/3 if he had to stop suing people and giling Workers Comp cases.

  91. Howard Dean says:

    Karl Rove
    The Obama ad blitz isn’t working

  92. Phil says:

    Quinn says it’s working like a charm. All you need to do is poll 13% more 2008 voters for Obama over McCain in a state Obama carried by less than 3.

    Rove just doesn’t understand real polling.

  93. Howard Dean says:

    Democratic Senate prospects fade in Missouri, Nevada

    Politico

  94. MD says:

    Yea Bitter, his run is a way to ambulance chase for more clients.

  95. SoHope says:

    “i told you before, if you can come up with one post where you confronted ip or judyt for their gay slurs…i would apologize to you” -lisab

    Lisab, I listed 4 different posts where I strongly condemned IP for his slurs from one thread alone. I could have listed more. I also spoke out many times on BJG and was banned thrice. I don’t

    Where’s the dang apology you promised?!?

  96. LA Cajun says:

    44. Jindal would be a horrible choice.

  97. LA Cajun says:

    The VP choice is Portman. It’s a done deal from what my sources tell me.

  98. Bitterlaw says:

    C

  99. Howard Dean says:

    98, Why?

  100. SoHope says:

    I don’t think Jindal would be the best choice.

    Overly wonkish
    Screwed up GOP response
    Not telegrenic or praticularly articulate
    Brings no state or region
    His name isn’t Marco Rubio

  101. Waingro says:

    #99, name your sources

  102. SoHope says:

    Portman is my second choice…I am sure Mitt cares what I think though.

  103. Waingro says:

    #103, Jindal was the no brainer choice before that bungled Republican response.

    I do think he has gotten alot more polished since then and the big plus for him is that he would galvanize the conservative base as good if not more than any of the other names I’ve seen.

  104. Robbie says:

    I prefer Jindal over the choices mentioned, but none of the prospects really excite me. Portman risks a hard earned Senate seat, Pawlenty is bland, and Rubio has a few question marks in his political background. Jindal provides some conservative backbone on policy, but he flopped a few years back in primetime.

    I don’t have a real preference for VP although I would prefer it not be Pawlenty and definitely not Rice. I’d like to see someone with a conservative spine, a steady hand, and someone who would help Romney focus his message a bit more directly.

    Who that is? I really don’t know.

  105. FreeFreeFREE!! says:

    Jindal is brilliant, brings health care expertise and is non white which is helpful this cycle

    And he is very articulate pull up his stuff on youtube

  106. Robbie says:

    I’d be happy with Rubio, but, right now, I think he is the most overrated politician we have. He’s been there just two years and undercuts the attacks saying Obama was never ready.

    I’m not convinced he would make a difference in Florida or with Hispanics either. The pander charge would come immediately and then flow to his personal finances with the Republican party credit card. The state cleared him, but facts don’t matter to the press corp, do they.

    If Marco Rubio’s name was Mark Blonde, would he rate any consideration? Maybe, but not like he has gotten over the last year.

  107. Waingro says:

    My choices in order:

    1. Rubio
    2. Jindal (although a distant second)
    3. Ryan
    4. Portman
    5. McDonnell
    6. Ayotte
    7. Susana Martinez

    Any one of those names would be acceptable. All the other names I’ve seen mentioned would be bad picks IMO.

  108. Wobbie says:

    None of the VP options satisfy me…they are to passgressive

  109. EML says:

    My sources tell me its going to be Rand Paul

  110. FreeFreeFREE!! says:

    Mitt has good judgement he will make a good choice

    doubt a woman gets picked

  111. LME says:

    My sources tell me its going to be Tom Tancredo.

  112. LA Cajun says:

    I have been a Jindal supporter both financially and campaigning for him. I lived in his congressional district. As governor of LA he is ok b/c the alternatives on the D side are not even an option at the time he ran. He does not live in reality but rather in his own world. He speaks from both sides of his mouth. He has allowed LA to participate in Obama’s educational departments Race to the Top with federal strings tied to funding. He has tried to force all parishes to participate although my school board has opted out. He refuses to roll up his sleaves and work with others. His my way or the highwy approach has alienated many of his supporters here and is paving the way for a moderate democrat like Jim Bernard to be our next governor. He has never worked in the real world and has always been on the government dole.

  113. Marv says:

    Vice President Portman is just fine with me.

  114. MEL says:

    My sources tell me its going to be Charlie Crist. He secures FL.

  115. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Mitts VP needs to be aggressively timid

    And attack Obama positively

  116. ELM says:

    Rick Perry will be the VP. My sources tell me so.

  117. LA Cajun says:

    Jindals healthcare initiatives are not far off from Obamas.

  118. Roberto says:

    I agree Wobbie, none of them excite me because they are republican, capitalist, 1% dogs and should be put down like a sick animal!!!

    FORWARD!!!!!!!!

  119. Apologetic California says:

    US factory orders drop 0.5%

    Recession be here already.

  120. MLE says:

    Breaking: Romney selects Hillary Clinton for VP.

  121. Mr.Vito says:

    My sources say Zombie Reagan will be the VP… he will shore up conservatives and the dead vote.

  122. DW says:

    My sources tell me that the veep choice will NOT be former congressman Traficant…BEAM ME UP!

  123. LA Cajun says:

    You would be hard pressed t find one MD in the state who will credit Jindal for doing anything good for healthcare.

  124. Barrett says:

    Vice President Arlen Specter

  125. Phil says:

    NC Rasmussen

    Romney 49-44

  126. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Well I guess you’re one of the five or six Republicans in the entire state that feels that way

    Bobby got in and started motherfuuucking kicking some asss something that should have been done in this state DECADES ago

    “My way or the highway!” has been great for this state or haven’t you noticed?

    You’d rather have a chimp like Blanco or a gangster like Edwards or a nincompoop like Buddy Roemer running the state again?

  127. SoHope says:

    http://whitehouse.blogs.cnn.com/2012/08/01/obama-speaks-with-world-leader-on-phone-holding-a-baseball-bat/

    How stupid is Team Obama. They are afraid to say where Israel’s capital is and label Romney as a gaffer for saying it is Jerusalem, then this…and from the reporters…crickets

  128. Robbie says:

    Paul Ryan would be an interesting and, in some ways, an exciting choice. He would definitely give Romney an economic focus on the vision side. He would also make the Ryan budget a bigger issue.

    Romney has already endorsed the Ryan budget so he’ll probably get whacked on it anyway. Maybe it’s best to have the guy who wrote it on the ticket defending it.

    It also much easier to replace a House seat than a competative Senate seat.

  129. MD says:

    Here is something funny. Just heard 2 young libs here at work talk about how they ate at Chik Fil A yesterday without realizing what day it was and will never eat there again.

    The one is NOT a US citizen. Not sure about the other one. It was just funny to hear how awful they felt.

  130. Bitterlaw says:

    I sense a Cajun vs. Cajun brawl brewing.

  131. SoHope says:

    #122 shouldn’t they be ramping up for christmas?

  132. Robbie says:

    121.I agree Wobbie, none of them excite me because they are republican, capitalist, 1% dogs and should be put down like a sick animal!!!

    FORWARD!!!!!!!!

    Comment by Roberto — August 2, 2012 @ 10:47 am

    Wow. You got all that from what I wrote. I guess I need to learn to read between my own lines better.

  133. LA Cajun says:

    129. How stupid are you? Did you even read my post?

  134. Mr.Vito says:

    “It also much easier to replace a House seat than a competative Senate seat.”

    Not really, they both come out with just a couple of bolts.

  135. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Almost literally no one in LA feels that way other than liberal Democrats

  136. MD says:

    If Wobbie pushes for Ryan, we can all be assured that it is a non-viable option.

    Jeb!! Brokered Convention!!

  137. Robbie says:

    137.“It also much easier to replace a House seat than a competative Senate seat.”

    Not really, they both come out with just a couple of bolts.

    Comment by Mr.Vito — August 2, 2012 @ 10:53 am

    Not if one’s a swivel chair and the other is not.

  138. Marv says:

    Romney—-291
    Obama—–247

    That’s the projection over at FloppingAces, based upon a statistical model. It seems fairly reasonable, take a look for yourself.

    http://floppingaces.net/2012/08/02/what-is-the-current-status-of-the-2012-presidential-election-reader-post/

  139. Phil says:

    RAS has Romney up 59-29 with independents in NC. He’s up 62-32 with white voters.

  140. MD says:

    Jindal isn’t ready yet MFG. Next cycle.

  141. Barrett says:

    Palin/Bachmann 2012

    Brokered Convention all the way!

  142. MD says:

    143 – the AA’s keep it close there Phil. Ras is still probably projecting huge turnout from them. 5 points is where I think it will end up give or take a point.

  143. DW says:

    We just cannot allow ourselves to ask too much of the veep. Expectations are rediculously high.

    If we had a veep prospect who…

    1) did time in jail
    2) gave such controversial speeches that enraged people threw rocks at him 3) Had passively participated in the lynching of someone
    4) Had a great education, but was no longer working in the field in which he was trained….but instead was now a homeless wanderer…

    we would never consider him, but that is the background of Saul of Tarsus who became the apostle Paul.

  144. Phil says:

    RAS party ID in NC is D+4 which is not unreasonable in this state in this cycle.

  145. Marv says:

    MD,

    It will be a cold day in hell before Army beats Air Force again……..I’m just helping you prepare for the reality.

  146. MD says:

    Jeb/Palin in 16!!!!!

    HHR Turds on suicide watch!!!

    They will aggressively and positively kill them with negative ads portrayed in a positive light!

  147. Phil says:

    4 or 5 sounds about right to me as well, MD

  148. SoHope says:

    https://encrypted-tbn2.google.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSrftEwWTJ2flZEAbqQzJCtlr7ZQQUVE-cZG1xXrxL7x4oMk3wR

    If Obama brings a bat to the phone call you bring a knife…thats the chicago way!

  149. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    In what way is he “not ready”?

    Elected Governor twice, outstanding success in a state that has always been a national political joke, elected to Congress, health care experience, completed the realignment of LA to being a blood red state to the point where the Democrats didn’t even field a major candidate against him in 2011

    If hes not picked, fine, but “not ready” is absurd

  150. LA Cajun says:

    The VP selection will ultimately have minimal effect on the race unless one of these upstarts is picked and unkown baggage comes out. Romney is picking Portman because he fills gaps in Romney’s resume, helps in a key state and he is a safe choice, with no baggage.

    Sorry, I cannot reveal my source at this time.

  151. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Marv

    Arkansas Central Hillbillies

    What about their o line?

  152. MD says:

    The one shot he had with the nation watching and he was less than adequate MFG. I cringed and I really do like him.

    That stuff matters. He will be ready in the future though.

  153. Marv says:

    #155 MFG,

    Too young this year, D-line will be what saves their season, at least that’s what my sources tell me. How about yours?

  154. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    lol

    Your source

    lol

    Mitt is the only one who knows, and maybe even he doesn’t know right now…

  155. Mr.Vito says:

    I’ve heard good things this year about the Walla Walla Wallabies, MFG…

  156. MD says:

    Marv – we will get lucky one of these years. Maybe we should recruit some guys from Penn State. JK

  157. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Maybe 9-3 Marv with an unexpected bowl bid

    How about South Central Alaska Tech Arctic Bears?

    Looks like a tough down year 3-9

  158. MLE says:

    148 – Gallup has party ID in NC going from D+11 in 2008 to D+5 in 2010 to D+1 in 2011.

  159. Marv says:

    #161 MFG,

    Yep, they’re not good enough to even call it a re-building year.

  160. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    He fuucked up one speech so what?

  161. Marv says:

    MD,

    Apparently, NC is returning to its “Roots”.

  162. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Marv

    How will your teams do against Penitentiary State this year?

  163. Mr.Vito says:

    Romney is leaning toward Rubio or Pawlenty… my source is Mitt’s underwear…

    My sock sources nailed the Walker recall… so don’t laugh!

  164. Marv says:

    #166 MFG,

    I root for service academy teams, so we don’t have a penitentiary problem.

  165. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    136

    I read your post

    You’re an idiot

    Whats your point?

  166. Mr.Vito says:

    Good Grief… they are going to get called State Penn all year, aren’t they?

    Time to invest i some paper bags…

  167. LA Cajun says:

    Mitt is cruising to victory right now although many on this board are stir very skeptical and hesitant to accept that fact. He just needs to pick a safe, tested VP who adds gravitas like Cheney did for W.

  168. LA Cajun says:

    Still not stir.

  169. Waingro says:

    #115, I’ve actually heard similar complaints about Jindal from other LA locals.

    Apparently, the main conservative radio guy there (his name escapes me) has been BURYING Jindal for some time, saying that he’s not a “real” conservative and has barely been present or active in the last couple of years.

    I just get the sense of bitterness though. He is well liked and respected amongst most other conservative circles.

  170. LA Cajun says:

    MFG – the point is you have mis charactrized everything I said. Calm yourself down.

  171. EML says:

    Sarah Palin will be VP. My source, John Edwards, told me so.

  172. Cajobbie says:

    Jindal won so big in 2010 because Democrats voted for him. Because of that, I am very concerned that Jindal is a RINO.

  173. Barrett says:

    EML will be the next VP, my Sources, Sarah Palin and John Edwards, told me so.

    I’m Dan Rather and I approved this message…kinda

  174. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Not conservative enough?

    Jindal?

    Words fail

  175. EML says:

    I am a facilitator for their support group for failed vice presidential candidates.

  176. Todd McCain says:

    Beth Myers and Mitt are the only people that know PERIOD.

  177. Will says:

    My sources tell me its Paul Begala

  178. SemiColon says:

    “Beth Myers and Mitt are the only people that know PERIOD.”

    I know period very well, thank you… good guy. Tends to stop sentences short, though.

  179. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    LA the former swing state:

    2007: Bobby gets 57% of the vote in a 13 person field

    2011: Bobby gets 66% of the vote and the Democrats don’t even field a major candidate

    It speaks for itself…

  180. Todd McCain says:

    RAS:

    Who would be a better foreign policy leader?

    MITT 44%
    BARACK: 44%

    This is great news despite the media coverage of Mitt’s trip. Obama will make fp one of his strengths since he cant do it with the economy.

  181. Todd McCain says:

    Remmber everyone:

    “I killed OBL.” — Barack

  182. DrJay says:

    The VP will be an etch-a-sketch with the likeness of George Bush drawn onto it.

  183. Barrett says:

    Barack pulled out his .38 Special and just shot OBL in the head, right?

    That’s what my sources tell me

  184. Cajobbie says:

    2007: Bobby gets 57% of the vote in a 13 person field

    2011: Bobby gets 66% of the vote and the Democrats don’t even field a major candidate
    ================================
    I am worried that he has never had a difficult race.

  185. DrJay says:

    “The VP will be an etch-a-sketch with the likeness of George Bush drawn onto it.”

    Incredibly, Joe Biden will lose to it in a debate.

  186. EML says:

    “DQ’d badminton coaches probed”

    That’s what you get for living in China.

  187. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Won reelection by 500,000 votes

    Yeah

    Unpopular…

  188. Barrett says:

    #191 – Hahaha, post of the day!

  189. rdelbov says:

    Factory orders were horrid in June:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/03/business/economy/us-factory-orders-fall-unexpectedly.html?_r=1

    Bad bad and bad.

    Unemployment and employment reports are lagging indicators but the outlook is grim.

  190. SoHope says:

    Jindal had a difficult race…the one he lost

  191. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Won reelection by 500,000 votes in a race where only a total of 1,000,000 votes were cast…

  192. DW says:

    141…the money quote in that article: “Historically, the President will receive between 0% and 1% more than his job approval numbers.”

  193. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    At least the fall in factory orders was “unexpected”

    I’m relieved…

  194. DW says:

    CIC Setup.

  195. SusyQue says:

    Prepping for the Presidential Debates:

    For those of you who don’t know much about Portman, he plays the antagonist (ooo) in the debate with Romney who is the protagonist. He has played that role for many years and he knows what buttons to push to fluster the Protagonist to get him ready for the real debate.

  196. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    CC

  197. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Arghhh!

  198. DW says:

    lol…I had it.

  199. Juice Box you should know to use your Nostradamus power to get a CC

  200. SusyQue says:

    #186…couldn’t someone counter with, no the Navy Seals killed Osama!

  201. Scott says:

    Does anyone have any clue as to how the Indiana Senate race is shaping up?

  202. @207 no clue. only 2 polls have been done and each showed a tie. I personally would just say it’s a Weak GOP hold today

  203. MD says:

    Scott – no clue. Thought about it yesterday. No polling at all. Strange.

  204. Scott says:

    San Bernardino,CA just filed for bankruptcy protection.

  205. LA Cajun says:

    MFG, you lose your credibility when you over react to the facts. Jindal would be a disaster on a national ticket. He has amassed an incredible war chest that has basically made it impossible for any regular candidate in a state like LA tonrun against him. jindal will be term limited and the field for governor is wide open. If a conservative dem like Jim Bernard, who can easily self finance, runs it will be a very close race. There is some speculation that Bernard may switch to R.

  206. MD says:

    I am going with likely red on that race. Some of lugarites will sit it out. That is the only reason it won’t be a double digit win. Mourdock by 6 even though Lugar will probably endorse the Dem.

  207. EML says:

    2 gold medals for US already today

    8 woman rowing
    170lb judo

  208. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Why would he be “a disaster”?

    You’re not even a Republican are you?

  209. MD says:

    Jindal is great for LA right now. Fantastic. Doesn’t work yet on a national scale. He will in time I suspect. There are ALWAYS some on the very far right who complain about any R legislator. Even very conservatives ones. None are immune from that.

  210. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    The Democratic Party is in ruins in LA

    You’re a “Blue Dog” aren’t you?

  211. Barrett says:

    LA Cajun = not a Republican

  212. Scott says:

    I recently read that the hatchet has been buried between Lugar and Murdock.
    Murdock is also a strong Tea Party candidate and must be supported to the hilt!

  213. Jindal speaks almost as fast as a auction guy in his interviews, just something i’ve noticed

  214. MD says:

    213 – Why? Why the phug would you post that?

  215. Marv says:

    MD,

    Are you no longer speaking to me because of the Air Force v Army dustup, or what?

  216. MD says:

    Marv – we are fine. I have accepted the fact that my 2 teams might win a combined 8 games in college football.

  217. Marv says:

    #222 MD,

    You are probably correct……the thing of it is that Army may very will win most of those 8 games.

  218. Barrett says:

    Catching up to the Chinese in golds

  219. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Bear in mind that with the AA vote so high a used condom with a D after it will get 30% of the vote in a statewide race

    To get 66% in a statewide race, winning Orleans Parish is absolutely extraordinary, its a feat that would have been considered impossible only a short time ago

  220. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Harumphhhh!

  221. MD says:

    It is my understanding that katrina decreased the AA pop somewhat MFG.

    Look, he is fine. Just think he needs more seasoning for the national stage. Cream Soda.

  222. rdelbov says:

    was that 170lb judo male or female?

    trivia question??

    Congressman who have been Olympic gold medalists? In my opinion of them could be my nominee for “greatest Olympian”.

  223. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Oh I’m not mad at you MD

  224. Marv says:

    #228 rdelbov,

    Bob Mathias.

  225. MD says:

    Talked to a very smart guy on the stock market yesterday. 75 years old. Seen it all. His bottom line is that the markets move in 15 to 20 year cycles from bull to bear. History (long history) definitely shows this to be true. His contention is that we are set up for the next bull market but it will take more time. A Romney win might get the ball rolling sooner. An Obama win will delay it until 2017 at least. Good news – even without the bull, he sees the chances of the market being more than slightly negative (0 growth basically) as almost 0.

    He said the next bull will resemble the 50′s and 60′s.

  226. LA Cajun says:

    They don’t get much more conservative than me. I have never voted for a democrat – ever. I worship Treen and Livingston for laying the ground work bfor the party in LA. However, I call it like I see it. Jindal not ready for prime time. He would be ripped apart by the national press. Luckily I lived in TX during the Edwards /Duke fiasco so I did not have to make an agonizing decision.

  227. MD says:

    Wasn’t Livingston the one who liked women to beat him?

  228. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Yes, I want things to really bottom out then ride one last long bull market

    Wasn’t ’99 fun MD?

    My favorite was SUNW

    Split 3-2 about every four months for YEARS!

    lol

  229. MD says:

    What is with the R pols in LA? One guy likes to be whipped and the other likes to wear diapers. WTF?

  230. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    232

    You’re an idiot

    I’ll leave it at that

    And the fact that you would even consider voting for David Duke in ’91 tells me all I need to know about you

  231. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    “Jindal would be a disaster” means:

    “I Don’t Want Me No Colored Person”

    Which I suspected about you from the get go

  232. MD says:

    The majority (over 50%) of my investable assets are still in equities MFG. I know the long bull will happen. Still, I make sure the rest of my stuff has low volatility. That is my I favor cash and tips.

  233. SoHope says:

    Ron Paul won bronze in the skeet shoot at the 1908 Summer Olympics…a group of Jews walked by on his last shot and he got distracted or he would have won gold.

  234. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    Livingston was plowing teen age girls, younger than his daughter

    Nice guy I met him once very personable

    Threw away Speaker of the House to chase 18 year old p^ssy

    JHCOAMFC

  235. DW says:

    I am surprised that there is no critical discussion here of the Olympic Badminton scandal!

    http://www.cbssports.com/olympics/story/19702015/eight-badminton-players-expelled-from-olympics-for-tanking-matches

    My contention is, if they setup the tourney so that its an advantage for a team to lose, then its the fault of the tourney and not the players…Discuss.

  236. DW says:

    239…did he hit any of them?

  237. DrJay says:

    I contend that no one really cares.

  238. Bubu says:

    I wish he did

  239. Roberto says:

    Me too…I hate those zionists

  240. Bitterlaw says:

    MD – Want to bet on 170 pound judo and 8 woman rowing? . . . what is at 213? WTF, EML? Forget it, MD.

  241. zorkpolitics says:

    CFA Appreciation Day in Ohio.

    My brother in law took his daughter to a softball tournament in SW Ohio Monday, between games he went to Chick-Fil-A: total mob scene, cars lined up for blocks waiting to get in.
    Came back 2 hrs later after the next game: They had run out of food!

    I hope most of this enthusiasm will carry over to Nov for Romney…

  242. Barrett says:

    Maybe I missed something, who is this juicebox fellow?

  243. Roberto says:

    mfg?

  244. DrJay says:

    “Political pressure” by a White House eager to tout its stimulus agenda was largely to blame for fast-tracking the ill-fated $535 million Solyndra loan guarantee, according to findings in a massive new congressional report released Thursday morning.

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/08/02/probe-faults-pressure-to-promote-stimulus-in-535m-solyndra-loan-approval/

  245. Bitterlaw says:

    Juicebox is MFG.

  246. EML says:

    Sorry bitter I forgot you were a fan of 170lb women’s judo

  247. Juicebox is MFG, he got the new handle when my AOS stalker called me that

  248. Barrett says:

    Ah ok.

    HI MFG!

  249. SoHope says:

    Slow news day.

  250. Barrett says:

    I really wish Diane Feinstein would lose, and it has nothing to do with politics. Elizabeth Emken looks amazing

  251. DW says:

    255…that’s why I brought up the Olympic Badminton scandal. That’s the standard for a slow news day–when you talk about cheating at Badminton, you know you have hit rock bottom.

  252. bio mom says:

    I think Portman will be the vp.

  253. rdelbov says:

    DW

    the badminton issue is very complex but I do not fault the tournament setup. Here’s my take. For shame when any country puts the best interest of its own medal totals over “sport”.

    In Badminton the two Chinese teams are powerhouse players in two player. You can make the case that both are top 5 teams and deserving of medals.

    The #2 Chinese team lost in a shocker. The #1 Chinese team, probably the best in the world, as the #1 seed would likely end up playing the #2 Chinese team before the medal round. That would mean China would only get one medal.

    So China team #1 had to lose to get a less favorable draw for the Chinese team’s medal interests. China #1 would get a more favorable draw for itself by winning but a less favorable draw for the country’s best interests.

    The Koreans then found themselves wrapped in misery because of what the Chinese were doing. Their two teams were also top contenders but if the China #1 team lost either they would face China #2 team or maybe eachother before the medal round.

    So because China #2 lost it would be hard for the 4 top teams to face off in medal rounds. That’s sports. So basically the two Korean teams and the one China team had to lose to advance the best interest of their country’s medal hopes.

    In Basketball if there was a Spain #2 and USA #2 team we might see stuff like that. Or maybe not. That’s why there are only one WP, soccer and football team per country. When you get country over team its time to DQ. Round robin instead of single elimination always been a good method until you get teams trying to game the system for national interests. You don’t change a good system because of bad apples you throw the bad apples out.

  254. SoHope says:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5VOIFRH0Zgs&feature=player_embedded

    Reid repeating his claim (without evidence) about Romney on the floor of the Senate, then says “Mitt Romney makes more money in a single day than the average middle-class family makes in two years–or more”

    wow…it real must be eating these guys up

  255. DW says:

    The Clown at Electoral-vote.com has this funny commentary, as he still hold out hope that the Drats can recapture the house:

    “Roll Call has a story about the House races and concludes that the Republicans are likely to remain in control in January. The Democrats would need to take 25 seats to recapture the chamber. Their job has been made much more difficult due to the census, which gave more seats to the red states and took seats away from the blue states. In addition, the Republican wave of 2010 allowed the Republicans to gerrymander the map in many populous states like Texas, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Illinois is the only large state where the Democrats did the gerrymandering. On the other hand, if there is a strong anti-incumbent sentiment, there are more Republican incumbents for the voters to be angry with.”

    The clown doesn’t even realize that we didn’t get the GOP map in Texas and in FL we didn’t get much help. Strange he didn’t mention NC. This guy is out of touch.

  256. ameister says:

    Interesting read for you Keystone staters
    Bob casey has introduced 199 pieces of
    legislation in the senate . Zero (00) have become law. Prob a good thing.Some ammo for his challenger.

    http://freebeacon.com/casey-strikes-out-looking/

  257. MD says:

    256 – yea, it is a shame. In our best cycle in decades they elected a lady (by double digits) who literally starved a good portion of the state from water.

    Those people are beyond stupid and deserve exactly what they are getting. For the others who aren’t, you better think about moving.

  258. Waingro says:

    I like Elizabeth Emken from what I’ve read and seen. It’s too bad she lives and is running in a state she will NEVER have a chance in.

    Cali is gone. I’m just grateful we still have some CD’s there. For now.

  259. MD says:

    262 – won’t matter. Wins with ease.

    261 – DW

    He is just ignorant. No idea. Basically, the new maps were a push nationwide as a result of changing demographics. I think Silver was trying to push that as well.

    No chance they get 25. Even Silver sees that.

  260. MD says:

    264 – I just wish all R’s would leave that godforsaken place. Then, maybe they would lose EV’s in the future. Won’t happen though.

  261. DW says:

    259…good points…but I think you hit on the best solution. One team per country for sports involving tourneys. It makes no difference for Bobsledding, or downhill skiing, but for a tourney, one team per country. That way we could see team Greenland play Badminton because there would be only one China team.

    Wow its a slow news day.

  262. DW says:

    In case you PA folks missed the announcement I made yesterday, I know of a conservative family who unexpectedly decided to move from NY to PA this week. So you can chaulk up two more Romney votes that would have been wasted in NY. Does that give you enough votes, MD, to reconsider Romney’s chances in PA?

  263. Waingro says:

    #266, great weather, wine and beaches still trump many things in life.

  264. LA Cajun says:

    MFG – you are the one actIng like a liberal. When you lose an argunpment default to calling your adversary a racist. I campaigned for Jindal, sent him beau coup $$$$, and voted for him everytime he has run but because I think he would be a disaster as VP you want to call me a racist. You give conservatives a bad name b/c you are so irrational. B/C I’m glad I didn’t have to vote for Edwards I’m a racist? You are a loon!

  265. SoHope says:

    In 2009, according to the Congressional Budget Office, the top 1 percent of income earners earned 13.4 percent of income in the U.S., but paid 22.3 percent of all federal taxes. Given that the government collected $2.1 trillion of revenue in 2009, this would translate into roughly $468 billion in taxes paid by the top 1 percent. That same year, according to the CBO, the federal government spent $87 billion on transportation and water infrastructure. Put another way, the taxes paid by the top 1 percent in 2009 were more than five times what the federal government spent on infrastructure that year — which includes some stimulus spending.

  266. janz says:

    #264 Waingro

    Yes, Elizabeth Emken is a good candidate. But, virtually has no chance in glazed-over CA politics again Feinstein.

  267. david says:

    #261, I stopped visiting that site back in 2004 when he was cherry picking polls. He would pick the poll that flavor the Democrat even if the poll more recent poll flavored the republican.

  268. DW says:

    Even liberal electoral-vote.com has only 10 states colored dark blue, plus DC of course. But if we get another poll of Maine and Delaware, that map could drop under 10 dark blue.

  269. DW says:

    273…yeah, I know. But I find it instructive at times to see how the other side reacts to the same news I am getting. When I see desperation on their part, I get encouraged.

  270. Barrett says:

    I agree with #275. He’s cherry picking in OH, FL, WI, MI, and VA. This is actually good news because even when he picks the polls he likes, Romney still holds close

  271. BHJets says:

    #228

    Jim Ryun

  272. Michael says:

    CA ppic

    Obama 51
    Romney 40

  273. rdelbov says:

    Badminton and Beach Volleyball have always done well with multiple two person teams from same countries. Until China started to try to maximize its medal counts in Olympics and World Championships.

    We do not see that in Beach Volleybally and if the USA #1 team knocks out its #2 team that’s just tough.

    I do not live or die by having one or two Korean Badminton teams but I hate to change the rules due to competitors who will not compete.

  274. SoHope says:

    Blog posting on another site:
    “Time is running for Pr. Obama: support, money, US economy…I have NO doubt that Pr. Obama will be re-elected this year ( Mr. Romney can get maximum 40-45% votes in November election)! I did NOT agree with everything what President did during last 3,5 years, but he has the best vision how to win the future for USA. President is honest person who is doing his best to move this country forward in right direction. My support to Pr. Obama re-election is my investment: what kind of FUTURE I want for this Country… He has much more to say and accomplish, during next 4,5 years as a President! My the biggest concerns right now are: unemployment, dysfunctional Congress , US economy and houses market depression…”

    3,5 years…4,5 years….haha eurotrash trolls working overtime.

  275. rdelbov says:

    Did Jim Ryun get his gold? I am thinking and I had to double check it that Mathias and Ralph Metcalfe were only gold medal winners. I did forget Bill Bradley, 1964 Basketball, but he was a Senator.

    The Judo question, 170 lb female USA gold medal, got me thinking about Ben Knighthorse Campbell. He won a world championship Gold medal but was injured during the 1964 Olympics and did not medal. I think Ryun had Mono at the same Olympics? or was it 1968?

  276. bio mom says:

    question: Does rasmusshen change how he allocates votes in his head-to-head along with changes in the Dem/Repub ratio he cites? In other words, would the improvement for dems he wrote about yesterday be reflected today?

  277. DW says:

    280 – link?

  278. DrJay says:

    Olympic Oath:

    “In the name of all competitors, I promise that we shall take part in these Olympic Games, respecting and abiding by the rules that govern them, in the true spirit of sportsmanship, for the glory of sport and the honor of our teams.”

    Olympic Creed:

    “The most important thing in the Olympic Games is not to win but to take part, just as the most important thing in life is not the triumph but the struggle. The essential thing is not to have conquered but to have fought well.”

    Those players deserved to be disqualified.

  279. DW says:

    If 280 is a real poll, then that one of CA along with the CT poll we received leaves very little (NY?) to hold up a DelBov curve for 2012.

  280. Jean Luc says:

    Je vais voter pour Barack Obama à la présidence!

  281. Migel says:

    Voy a votar por Barack Obama para presidente!

  282. Hanz says:

    Ich werde für Barack Obama für das Präsidentenamt zu stimmen!

  283. GF (El Jefe) says:

    Good morning, HHR. PPIC historically is not bad. They had Kerry at 53-46 over Bush in late October ’04, and he won roughly 54-45, just under a ten point stretch. Mitt must be pulling great numbers in the Central Valley outside downtown Fresno (Hispanic heavy) and maybe Stockton, although with the city’s fiscal collapse, many mod Dems could be giving him a second look. The local GOP is worthless, though, so they could take the prospect of a respectable 10 point loss and totally throw it away for an 18 pt. drubbing by the time all is said and done.

    Anectdotally, Zero is faring poorly here in San Diego. A good deal of Obama stickers in my neighbourhood tanks to a lot of wealthy libs (guilt over their money), but the star Dem recruit against Bilbray is barely tied in his internals. Nonetheless, I see lots of Romney stickers and signs as well. If I had to stick my neck out, I’d say Mitt loses the state 43-56 right now, and sweeps SoCal outside Los Angeles and Imperial Cos. (the latter is poor Hispanic and rural farming running along the border to AZ).

  284. GF (El Jefe) says:

    Nothing on their website yet, but they may not put it up immediately. They lag behind Field when it comes to pushing out their polls.

  285. “This guy is out of touch.”

    same dude who says PPP isn’t a D firm

  286. DW says:

    OHIO

    Romney 45
    Obama 45

    500 Certain to vote

    8/1/2012

    Paladin/CFP

  287. rdelbov says:

    I would rather seen CA at +20% then at 11%.

    Unless we rolling towards a +6% Romney win. Did I mention the economy stinks!!

    I see so little passion on the left for Obama. Even Michael Moore is lukewarm.

  288. Phil says:

    Reid also said in his senate floor speech that “word is out that Romney paid no taxes over the last 10 years”

    Word is out? Oh yeah, Harry’s words.

    Wonder if he’s been talking to the same annonomous sources Senator McCarthy has access to.

    Is it just me, or is this kind of tactic going to backfire.

    It did in Texas. Ask Dewhurst.

  289. GF (El Jefe) says:

    Here it is; it is in the details;

    http://www.ppic.org/main/pressrelease.asp?i=1254

    “Obama’s 21-point advantage on global warming and energy issues is much larger than his lead in the overall matchup with Romney. Asked how they would vote if the election were held today, 51 percent of likely voters choose Obama and 40 percent choose Romney. Obama’s 11-point advantage on this question is the same as in May (50% to 39%). Today, both candidates have strong support from likely voters in their respective parties (85% of Democrats favor Obama, 81% of Republicans favor Romney). Among independents, 53 percent choose Obama and 37 percent choose Romney. Obama leads Romney among women (51% to 38%), Latinos (68% to 19%), and voters under 35 (63% to 29%). Other groups are more divided: men (50% Obama, 43% Romney), whites (44% Obama, 49% Romney), and voters 35 and older (ages 35–54: 47% Obama, 42% Romney; 55 and older: 49% Obama, 43% Romney).

    Likely voters’ preference for Obama on global warming and energy policy does not translate to majority support for his handling of environmental issues. They are evenly divided on this question (46% approve, 46% disapprove). The president’s overall job approval rating is similar, at 50 percent among likely voters (47% disapprove). The U.S. Congress has low ratings on job performance (15% approve, 81% disapprove) and on handling environmental issues (15% approve, 74% disapprove).”

  290. rdelbov says:

    CCC

    even that a commie thing? or was that CCCC?

  291. GF (El Jefe) says:

    CCC

  292. GF (El Jefe) says:

    Rdel, you’re thinking of “CCCP.”

  293. SoHope says:

    Word’s out that Harry Reid has cheated on his wife.

  294. Joe J says:

    Gallup 8/2 45 (-1) 49 (+1) job disapproval. No change in the head to head matchup

  295. SoHope says:

    Word’s out Harry Reid’s operated a dog fighting ring.

  296. BHJets says:

    283

    Looks like Ryun only won the Silver. My memory let me down again.

  297. wow UE rate In Gallup rose 0.2% in July

  298. btw DOW -145 right now

  299. GF (El Jefe) says:

    So, the knuckleheads in my state are roughly split on fracking, evenly split on off shore drilling, but only 31% support building more nuclear plants. Where do these idiots think they are going to get the power needed to fuel this state’s economy? Solar offers up 1% at best, and the same enviro-whackos don’t like hydroelectric or geothermal b/c they disrupt natural ecosystems.

    The one bright spot is that Mitt is up with whites (+5), although a couple of points less than what Carly won them over Boxer (+7). Not that that counts for much anymore in the overall scheme, but if that continues to play out, the competitive House seats out here are predominantly in whiter territory whereas the safe seats are either overwhelmingly minority-majority, or up in the Bay Area where whites are Pink.

  300. DW says:

    word is out Reid paid for cowboy poets…oh wait…that’s true.

  301. GF (El Jefe) says:

    306- The Labor department will miraculously turn that around into a 0.2% reduction. Solis is a genius!

  302. jan says:

    American Gabby Douglas wins Gymnastics All Around Gold.

  303. DrJay says:

    Reid also said in his senate floor speech that “word is out that Romney paid no taxes over the last 10 years”

    He should be formally censured if he cannot prove this.

  304. bio mom says:

    GALLUP DAILY
    Jul 30-Aug 1, 2012 – Updates daily at 1 p.m. ET; reflects one-day change

    Obama Approval45%-1
    Obama Disapproval49%+1

    Presidential Election

    Obama47%-
    Romney45%-
    7-day rolling

  305. EML says:

    USA! USA! USA!

  306. DrJay says:

    WTH?? Why do you all post that kind of thing without a spoiler alert?

  307. jan says:

    Little girl made herself a mufti-millionaire today. Not bad for a 16 year old.

  308. jan says:

    Sohope will be please that Gabby is also an Evangelical christian.

  309. Bitterlaw says:

    DrJay – Mr. Vito asked jan to do it. He is a miserable sob (sock of a b*tch).

  310. jan says:

    multi-millionaire

  311. rdelbov says:

    Ryun is one of those reasons that you have to take all gold medals with a grain of salt.

    Sometimes the greatest runner in a sport does not get gold. Things happen. Someone breaks a foot or gets sick and bam they get nothing.

  312. jan says:

    Their was a tie for Bronze between the Russian and American Ali Reismen with the tie breaker going to the Russian girl sadly.

  313. Robbie says:

    The Romney camp itself disputes the notion the last month has been good for Mitt.

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/zekejmiller/mitt-romneys-comeback-plan

  314. Pitchaboy says:

    The beginning of the end. He is well below 50 in JA with RV in OH, FL and VA. The fat lady is picking the scale.

  315. SoHope says:

    Spoiler…kinda

    We are up to 15 golds (only down 3 to China)

    When track and field starts up do we overtake them?

  316. jan says:

    The funny thing is that the CBC here in Canada is carrying it all live, but NBC waits until prime time to show the important sports, except Basketball.

  317. GF (El Jefe) says:

    Their was a tie for Bronze between the Russian and American Ali Reismen with the tie breaker going to the Russian girl sadly.

    Comment by jan — August 2, 2012 @ 1:25 pm

    I guess the Russian wasn’t a Jew, then. Eurotrash doesn’t take kindly to our Hebrew brothers and sisters (Scandinavians and the French are the worst, but most of those countires are terribly anti-Semitic).

  318. SoHope says:

    “Sohope will be please that Gabby is also an Evangelical christian.”

    but according lisab, I am also angry b/c she is black…I’m so confused!

  319. EML says:

    324 – we will certainly finish ahead of china in overall medals because of track and field. Total golds will be close. We can help ourselves tremendously with the 4 swimming events this afternoon.

  320. SoHope says:

    I was actually kind of pulling for Ali Reismen for gold. I liked that she had the spunk to preform twice on TV to Hava Nigila.

  321. “The Romney camp itself disputes the notion the last month has been good for Mitt.

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/zekejmiller/mitt-romneys-comeback-plan

    Comment by Robbie — August 2, 2012 @ 1:26 pm”

    it’s like crack to this guy huh?

  322. SoHope says:

    ping pong and diving is a big haul for China

  323. DrJay says:

    “The Romney camp itself disputes the notion the last month has been good for Mitt.”

    I couldn’t find an assertion of this in the article provided.

  324. SoHope says:

    “The campaign is also stepping up its efforts on defense, bringing on Michele Davis, a former top Treasury aide, to deal with the gaping wound that has been Bain Capital.”

    Yeah, that’s real journalism right there.

  325. it’s buzzfedd and it’s from a guy who worked for Lieberman, so take it with buckets of salt

  326. EML says:

    China still has almost certain golds left in table tennis, badminton, diving, and weightlifting. But no question they are far behind their 2008 pace. In 08, they won 18 medals in gymnastics (11 golds). There’s still quite a few events left, but they look unlikely to get anywhere near that, and the American teams are much, much stronger.

  327. DrJay says:

    There is only one quote in the entire article from the Romney camp, and it doesn’t say what is asserted.

    …………..

    Asked how the campaign was planning to recover from weeks of lost news cycles in July, Romney campaign senior adviser Eric Fehrnstrom did not contest the characterization, but said it wouldn’t ultimately matter.

    “This campaign is not like a baseball game where you evaluate the score after every inning,” he said.

    Still, implicit in that response is an acknowledgement of how difficult the deluge has been.

    ………………….

    Fine piece of reporting, that is.

  328. GF (El Jefe) says:

    ping pong and diving is a big haul for China

    Comment by SoHope — August 2, 2012 @ 1:35 pm

    We should have brought in Forrest Gump; he’d knock the ChiComs out of contention.

  329. GF (El Jefe) says:

    Well, that’s all for now. I’ll check in later to see if anything is afoot.

  330. jan says:

    Poor Robbie he cant help himself.

  331. rdelbov says:

    Its silly to argue whether the last month has been good or bad for Mitt. KOS poll, Yougov, Tipp and RAS have shown large moves to Mitt.

    Why argue with MSM about Euro trip?

  332. polling shows it was not a bad month for Mitt, wasn’t a good month either, but not a bad month as well. since Romney’s small surge after the primaries this race has been (as Phil would say) frozen. Only thing is Romney has seem to solidify a national lead among Likely Voters and Obama a small lead in swing states

  333. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    On Yahoo right now:

    “Should You Ignore The Job Report?”

    lolololololololol

    The fraud never EVER stops…

  334. IPSO FACTO says:

    312.Reid also said in his senate floor speech that “word is out that Romney paid no taxes over the last 10 years”
    He should be formally censured if he cannot prove this.

    Comment by DrJay

    He should be formally censured for using the senate floor for a blatant campaign speech for obammer.

  335. sir Albert says:

    Thanks for spoiling it, Jan!

  336. DrJay says:

    “DrJay – Mr. Vito asked jan to do it. He is a miserable sob (sock of a b*tch).”

    By the way, Vito and I are responsible for jason’s disappearance… he just got back and it wasn’t pretty…

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iR6KjNmN2BA

    He’ll probably post again after he mellows out.

  337. EML says:

    342 – so a guy with an alternate jobs counting formula days to ignore the standard jobs calculating formula? Color me shocked.

  338. Apologetic California says:

    341, Mittens has deteriorated in battleground polling.

  339. NYCmike (Bronxie) says:

    315.DrJay says:
    August 2, 2012 at 1:18 pm
    WTH?? Why do you all post that kind of thing without a spoiler alert?

    -A woman posted that, and everyone knows MOST women are sitting at home reading magazines, or getting their hair done, or buying shoes, etc. Jan does not realize that London is 5 hours ahead of us, so she does not put in a spoiler alert.

  340. Marv says:

    For dinner last night, I had a Chick-fil-A original grilled chicken sandwich, an order of waffle french fries, and a large chocolate milkshake.

    If any of you mofo’s have a problem with that, too bad, deal with it…….

    Bitterlaw, I’m lookin’ at you.

  341. bio mom says:

    So let’s see how long it takes RCP to add in the new rasmussen +5 Romney poll for North Carolina. Not there yet.

    341: Mitt improved in Ohio, Missouri, and in Virginia the last month. And that is without factoring in the idiotic Dem advantage in the weighting.

  342. david says:

    The DNC must feel bad having their convention in a state that they know they can’t win in November.

  343. Sobbie says:

    270

    In what way did I ” lose an argument” to you shiithead?

    I pointed out Jindals fanntastic record of success in this state and I get ” he would be a disaster” without any factual basis for this assessment whatsoever

    And in your own words you admitted youconsidered voting for Duke

    Yes you’re a racist

    An assshole too

    GFY

  344. elisabethb says:

    if you can’t show more than 4 posts in which you openly attacked up withing the last 2 hours then you are a racist homophobic bigot

  345. elisabethb says:

    up=ip curse you autocorrect

  346. Polaris says:

    Folks, this is without a doubt Dewey-Truman part 2. I almost with that we don’t see many polls showing Romney ahead.

    There is no doubt that Romney will win by at least 5 points and will take home at least 320EVs.

    This is so obvious but our MSM has blinders on. Do not get discouraged by any polls. Romney is clearly ahead and will only get stronger as we get closer to election day.

    -Polaris

  347. NYCmike (Bronxie) says:

    #353 – Are you a racist if you vote for a racist? That is an interesting question. If I had a choice between Barack Obama, and an avowed racist, but one who would abide by the Constitution and enforce all of the laws of the land, would I then vote for the racist?

  348. Polaris says:

    Ack! typo.

    I almost *HOPING* that we don’t see many polls showing Romney ahead.

  349. EML says:

    Tough double coming up for Lochte. 200m backstroke right now followed by 200m IM in less than 30 minutes.

  350. SoHope says:

    The primary voters that vote for a racist are definitely guilty.

  351. SusyQue says:

    #356…Polaris? How do we know it’s not the true Polaris and he gets blaimed if he was wrong? That would be unfair to him.

  352. Bitterlaw says:

    Marv – Eat whatever you want. I had a York Peppermint Patty for lunch. I’m not a judge of anybody’s food selection.

  353. NYCmike (Bronxie) says:

    #356 – If that is a parody, you really should change the name. Polaris will have to come back and say it is not him!

  354. SoHope says:

    How do we know you are the true SSQ…quick does Tina support Mitt Romney?

  355. NYCmike (Bronxie) says:

    I just felt a cool breeze through my hair!

  356. Polaris says:

    #356, I have not posted here in several months. If there’s been someone posting during that time, it was not me. Hopefully Dave has banned the imposter.

    There is no doubt that Romney wins easily in November, no doubt at all. 2008 was a once-in-a-lifetime occurrence and it was still only D+7. I think we see a 2004-style electorate, ie D+0 and I think its likely that its R+2 or thereabouts.

    All these polls with D+8, D+13 are laughable. But I hope that they continue.

    -Polaris

  357. Sobbie says:

    “Jindal is bad”

    “Why?”

    “He’d be a disaster”

    “Why?”

    “He’d be a disaster”

    “Why specifically?”

    “It would be a hard decision between Edwards & David Duke”

    OK sure

    How dense do you have to be to not get what’s going on there?

  358. Bitterlaw says:

    Fake Polaris. Not enough arrogance. Poor effort.

  359. SoHope says:

    I don’t know, he could be real. It says so on the bottom of his post.
    -SoHope

  360. we all post like this now?

    - Author

  361. Sobbie says:

    Its what Polaris always did

    -Sobbie

  362. Polaris says:

    Dave can do the IP check.

    As for VP, it really doesn’t matter this year. My feeling is that Romney will look for a presidential-type who will make no mistakes. So my guess is Portman. I do think that would be a mistake. I would prefer a Jindal or Rubio, someone who can really excite the conservative base and be a leader for the next generation.

    -Polaris

  363. jenny-concerned troll says:

    Gallup is right and Rasmussen is wrong. Obama is in the lead. Mitt is an out of touch millionaire that’s like Thurston Howell III. He needs to regroup and should focus on a positive economic message. We know that Obama is incompetent and the economy is lousy but what’s the Romney plan for turning things around?

  364. IPSO FACTO says:

    what’s the Romney plan for turning things around?
    Comment by jenny-concerned troll
    — August 2, 2012 @ 3:24 pm

    Simple, just do the opposite of obammer.

  365. Polaris says:

    #373 This election, as are all elections where a sitting president is running for re-election, is a referendum on Obama. There is no way he will be re-elected.

    Just look at the job approval ratings, and keep in mind the ridiculous partisan weights.

    And look at the GE numbers as well. Even with the awful partisan weights, Obama is not close to 50%. Re-weight the polls, give Mitt the majority of undecideds and you have a very comfortable Mitt Romney victory in November. It won’t even be close.

    -Polaris

  366. DW says:

    Assuming you are the real Polaris, welcome back! I have no problem with you although some here do for whatever reason.

  367. @376 so Polaris dude, if that’s you. (or are you Dick Morris?) what gives with your track record in 2008?

  368. and let me just get this out there, in 08 I was in denial myself over at AOS. That election is what made me learn to respect the polls. In 2010 at ace’s prediction thread for election eve I predicted 60-65 seats in the House but allowed my bias to tamper with my Senate Predictions and had a ridiculous +11 pickup for that one. Hopefully this year I’ll get more right

  369. rdelbov says:

    I always liked Polaris. I agree with him 100%. I was never questioned as being the real rdelbov> Was it the poor grammer and spelling that was undeniably mine?

    I did debate as to whether a question rate or exclaimation point was required on that last sentence. Can anybody imitate that? Would anyone want to?

  370. bio mom says:

    Ras NC poll has now been added at RCP. Question: Does anyone know how old a poll has to get before they drop it. They have polls in their averages dating back into June.

  371. Diogenes says:

    Polaris called one thing wrong. His analysis and reasoning are all laid bare for you to judge freely and for the most part I found/find it sound. We were all hoping against hope that somehow McCain could pull it off in 2008. Sadly, that was not the case.

    However, 2012 is not 2008 in so many ways. All the strawman arguments conservatives were making that year, the libs are making now. It is time for our country to have an adult in charge again. Obama already has his place in the history books by becoming president in the first place and from his nobel prize. No need to compound the error of Obama’s unjustly awarded achievements by giving him a second term.

  372. bio mom says:

    And in the Missouri and Iowa averages they are including polls from May!!

  373. Polaris says:

    #378- I’ve already done my mea culpa on the 2008 election. It was an ahistoric, once-in-a-lifetime Democratic turnout and I did not see that happening. I’ll leave it at that but you are free to review my posts from after the 2008 election. I did not hide and did not make excuses.

    Since you seem hung up on track records, have you taken the time to look into my FULL track record including the 2004 election, 2008 GA runoff, 2009 elections in NJ/VA, and 2010 mid-terms? Have you?

    -Polaris

  374. jenny-concerned troll says:

    The Weekly Standard is right. Romney is doing better in states that Obama is ignoring. The swing states have shifted away from Romney in favor of Obama. It doesn’t matter if Obama win New Jersey by 20 or 13 points. A win is a win! I guess hedgehog bloggers will accuse the Weekly Standard of being a bunch of rinos!

  375. I’ve always said ignore RCP until LV polls are the only polls they average

  376. DW says:

    At a certain point, Obama’s advertising can only do so much good. Similarly, Jimmy Carter could have tried to run 25 hours of ads in a 24 hour day, but the rescue helicopters had still crashed in Iran, and he still blamed Americans for the malaise.

  377. Michael says:

    Pew
    Obama 51
    Romney 41

    Sample
    Dem 32%
    Rep 18%
    Ind. 24%

    This is the stupidest one yet

  378. NYCmike (Bronxie) says:

    He did make that call on the Georgia run-off! The Legend is back! Long live the Myth!

    MD and Bitterlaw can su ck it! Polaris is BACK!!!!!!!

  379. bio mom says:

    385

    No, they are not good poll analysts if they use those faulty D+++ polls we keep criticizing. Garbage in, garbage out.

  380. JackJ says:

    Is “jenny” a put-on, a crackhead, or another name for Chekote?

  381. jenny-concerned troll says:

    #387, but Reagan had a plan. Rebuild the military, cut taxes, cut government waste and so on…Romney hasn’t articulated a plan!

  382. @388 PEW continues it’s sterling record at Dem bias in their polling

    FACT: on election day, since 1992, PEW has NEVER had the Republican up

  383. I thought Brandon was the one who had a seething hate for Polaris?

  384. bio mom says:

    People were joking that the lefty polls would have to resort to D +25 to keep Obama rising. I guess it wasn’t so funny. We are well on the way!!

  385. saddest part of the PEW poll? RCP will count it

  386. we’ve seen D+7, D+8, D+11, and now D+14 national polls. my are they desperate to claim Obama has a solid lead

  387. Michael says:

    @393
    And yet Romney is up on independents by 2, I think Pew called up one person from each state and then called up the last 1/2 in Vermont and the other in Wyoming. That’s the only way Romney would lead in independents.

  388. interesting tidbits from PEW poll: Romney leads indies, Romney voters are more engaged and excited, and Obama’s favorables are down

  389. DW says:

    wow – nobody jumped in.

  390. DW says:

    Its good that Pew would do this. Its so rediculous that it will only raise awareness that this is going on. If they could just control themselves and keep the sample D +4 or +5, then nobody would take much notice.

  391. SusyQue says:

    Romney has a reputation of completing all of his business transactions and contracts with excellence. I have heard men who hired him say that many times over. You are a witness to his planning acumen during the primaries. I have no doubt that he will be 100% better than the Alinsky trained marxist we have now. How could anyone with discernment doubt that! This is the first time
    of all the elections I have experienced, that I have seen people so upset over the way we have been robbed and lied to by this administration. How could anyone call ooo a good man when he lies, steals, aborts babies and partial birth babies without batting an eye and discredits the holy union of matrimony in favor of gay marriages so he will win votes. I tell you he will lose his soul if he doesn’t turn from his ungodly legislation and
    his undermining of the Constitution of the United States of America that men and women gave their lives to protect . No one should call him a good man. A good man strives for what is right for the people he governs. He protects the innocent in and out of the womb. ooo and all who vote for him are an anathema
    to this country. May the evil they plan for others come upon their own heads on Nov. 6th, 2012. This country will remain, One Country Under God!

  392. jen says:

    Yes SusyQue is right!

    Susy, see this. Romney will win, we must defeat the liberal!

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=djaffg5MTGE

  393. DrJay says:

    In the Pew poll

    Republicans: 90-6 Romney
    Democrats: 91-6 Obama
    Independents: 45-43 Romney

  394. Apologetic California says:

    Pew Poll is trash. Commiebama expands his lead 3 points, while their battleground sample shows his lead shrink by 3 points.

    Is this even serious?

  395. Apologetic California says:

    Despite the topline numbers, nearly all the underlying numbers are bad for Commiebama. Romney supporters are more engaged by 15 pts, Obama has the lowest favorability rating of any Democrat candidate (yes, worst than Dukakis).

  396. OOOPS says:

    “I get speakers fees from time to time but not very much.” — Mitt Romney. (“Not very much” was over $500,000 in 2010.)

    “I’m not a big-game hunter. I’ve made that very clear. I’ve always been a rodent and rabbit hunter.
    Small varmints, if you will. I began when I was 15 or so and I have hunted those kinds of varmints since then. More than two times.” — Mitt Romney, failing.

    “Corporations are people, too, my friend.” — Romney

    “Maybe I should tell my story. I’m also unemployed.” — Romney, forgetting his $500,000 a year in speaking fees.

  397. @409 and you are?

  398. rdelbov says:

    My general rule is that anytime you see more Obama loyalty among Ds in a poll, then Romney among Rs, you can chunk it. Pew is PU.

  399. I saw somewhere that w/ leaners the Pew poll is a D+19 poll

  400. rdelbov says:

    Its nearly a sure sign of D panic as the trolls are really trolling.

    Loved the comment on Romney slipping in battleground states based on Quinnie polls. Pew makes Quinnie look downright reasonable!!!

  401. Pitchaboy says:

    Yougov poll is D plus 8. Pew has been crappy since the day I landed here.

  402. NYCmike (Bronxie) says:

    I thought Brandon was the one who had a seething hate for Polaris?

    -If this is in reference to #389, I just wanted to stir the pot a little bit. August 12th is right around the corner!

  403. Brandon says:

    I see everyone’s favorite arrogant SOB is back. And if that is the real Polaris, he’s delusional as usual.

    -Brandon

  404. DW says:

    I do not understand the Polaris hate. What one of you isn’t arrogant from time to time? You all post on a blog. It gets a little rough now and then. All of us have made predictions, some that backfire. I would rather Polaris hang around as he does have good insight and makes a good contribution.

  405. SusyQue says:

    #405…jen…Everyone of us may at one time changed our idea of whether abortion is acceptable or not. It was not until I read my bible that I realized how serious it was to shed innocent blood. It was then that I became pro-life. It really was not discussed at home nor at school. Many were just plain ignorant about it until the feminists came out in support of it with their mantra…”It is my body I have a right to abort an unwanted pregnancy.” (paraphrase)
    What is good is that Romney is now pro-life. All of us discussing this issue, are alive. Aren’t we glad we were not aborted! Over 55+ million babies aborted in just this country!

  406. DW says:

    Chicago Tribune national poll:

    Romney 23%
    Obama 70%

    Party breakdown: D 78% R 5% I 19%

    |
    |
    |
    |
    |
    |
    |

    Of course this was a parody, but today’s parody becomes tomorrow’s reality with the MSM.

  407. JackJ says:

    #413 Yep. And our own “jenny” has exposed herself as one of them.

  408. NYCmike (Bronxie) says:

    DW,
    I have no hate for anyone here. Please don’t misunderstand my good-natured ribbing. Hopefully Polaris has gotten a thicker skin, and can appreciate when others are busting his chops. Other than that, I always thought he made sense, up until his terrible call in 2008.

  409. EML says:

    Well my work week is over. Time to head to Baltimore for my bachelor party this weekend.

  410. we had jokes about a D+25 poll, now i’m waiting for one in real life

  411. jan says:

    Is the Pew poll really a D+14 poll? I haven’t been able to look at it.

  412. NYCmike (Bronxie) says:

    #422 – don’t go down that road, EML! It is a one-way ticket……………..!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  413. @424 yes it is, and w/ leaners it seems it’s D+19, btw Pew had Kerry ahead on election day

  414. Brandon says:

    I just can’t stand when he tries the “It was an imposter!” act when his predictions go horribly wrong.

    -Brandon

  415. SusyQue says:

    #417…Dw…I agree…some people can’t let go. Frankly, I think it is cruel to constantly remind someone of their “mistake.”

  416. DrJay says:

    The numerical totals are

    R-459, D-813, I-599… I don’t know if they reweighed, but given the splits, it could not have been reweighted much if it was.

    That would be 43.5-24.5-33.0 D-R-I… so maybe that is where the D+19 number is coming from.

  417. jan says:

    Lmao..this is so laughable. Look how desperate, how dishonest these people are and to think Pew is suppose to be a “research” instituted on the attitudes of Americans.

    The lengths they are willing to go, just makes me want to work hard to beat them back in Nov.

  418. Marv says:

    When the RAS party ID model of 34.9R/34.0D/31.1I is applied to the Pew Poll, the result is:

    Romney——47.445
    Obama——-46.407
    Undec——–6.148

  419. Michael says:

    Romney has a new message, 5 conservative points all positive and set to hinder Obama because all are policies that Obama never did.

  420. DW says:

    and just like that, RCP has befouled their average with the Pew poll.

  421. Marv says:

    Bitterlaw,

    #431 means that Romney leads Obama by 1.005 percentage points.

  422. @433 I can’t wait for them to only accept LV polls

  423. Michael says:

    At least they didn’t bust up the approval/disapproval ratings. Now people are going to really be puzzled when looking at the averages!

  424. DW says:

    and with this Pew poll, there will be more calls for banning and punishment of Rasmussen for his outrageous results.

  425. Uncle Salty says:

    Chick fil A turnout was 100% and proves this election will be a lot like 1980!!!

    –us

  426. @437 that’s fine, in 2010 he was ahead of everyone and then in October everyone joined him in the bandwaggon. Ras has a GREAT record when it comes to national polling.

  427. bio mom says:

    Do not try to tell me RCP has no Dem bias. Too much evidence otherwise. That didn’t take a microsecond. Baloney. I will pay no further attention to polling or any discussions of same. There is no honesty left in the country elites anymore. None

  428. JuiceBoxNostradamus says:

    I wasn’t joking when I said D+25

    They’ll poll in DC exclusively if necessary

  429. here’s a transcript of Hugh Hewitt DESTROYING Quinnipiac’s Peter Brown yesterday:

    http://www.hughhewitt.com/transcripts.aspx?id=1c1a7295-7ce1-47e7-8074-4ce24952aceb

  430. Robbie says:

    339.Poor Robbie he cant help himself.

    Comment by jan — August 2, 2012 @ 1:49 pm

    Nope. It’s poor HHR comment section. No matter what the news is or what the polls say, it’s always viewed in the best light for Romney. Same thing happened in 2008 with McCain.

    The dynamics of the race still favor Romney, but the last month was not good for him. Once again, he and his campaign are attempting to “reset” their communications strategy. That’s the second reset in the last month.

    It’s crazy to ignore what the polls are telling us. Other than Rasmussen, they show Obama ahead, whether by 1 point or now 10 points as Pew has it. (That number is crazy by the way.) Regardless, the polls never skew in the direction of Romney. All of the deviations are to the benefit of Obama.

    There’s a group here that still insists Romney is running a good campaign. Techincally and organizationally, yes he is. He’s also raising money quite well. But what’s the message? What’s the vision? If he was getting that out to the public, he wouldn’t need to reset his communications strategy again and again.

    The economy, on its own, is not going to deliver this race to Romney on a platter. The sooner they figure that out, the better.

    Now, bashing of me can resume.

  431. Sobbie says:

    Broken convention!!

    *sob*

  432. Sobbie says:

    Mitt must be optimistically attacking Obama 24/7/365

    Aggressive timidity is the key!

  433. Sobbie says:

    *sob*

  434. Robbie says:

    A tough and aggressive stump speech that compares and contrasts his record with Obama along with a mix of postive/negative advertising is a combination that can pull Romney out of his 45% doldrums.

    Now, please resume personal attacks that don’t bother to mention what I’ve written.

  435. bio mom says:

    388

    That does not add up to 100 percent. Where is the rest of the sample?

  436. jan says:

    The thing about Robbie you see is that he will never be satisfied b/c he has nothing invested in a GOP victory. You notice how he never talks about any other races except the Presidential races and that is to only criticize Romney and contradict himself.

    Not only is he dishonest with us, he is dishonest with himself. He questions nothing that they liberals present to him. So a D+14 is perfectly acceptable b/c does not think critical on his own.

    Notice Robbie never talks about his own ideological views or why he is a Republican or a conservative.

  437. DW says:

    “Regardless, the polls never skew in the direction of Romney. All of the deviations are to the benefit of Obama.”

    Robbie, maybe, just maybe, its because all the MSM pollsters like NYT, LA Times, Washington Compost, and the universities like Quinnipiac, and outfits like Pew are all entirely skewed in the direction of Obama because they love him.

  438. jan says:

    Author that transcript is ridiculous. Just shows how corrupt these pollsters are. If you haven’t read the transcript of Hugh Hewitt talk to the Pollster at Quinny you need to.

    http://www.hughhewitt.com/transcripts.aspx?id=1c1a7295-7ce1-47e7-8074-4ce24952aceb

  439. sir Albert says:

    Jan spoiled my night! So sad…

  440. jan says:

    Part of the Transcript with Quinny Poll:

    HH: And so if, in fact, you had gotten a hundred Democrats out of a hundred respondents that answered, would you think that poll was reliable?

    PB: Probably not at 100 out of 100.

    HH: Okay, so if it was 75 out of 100…

    PB: Well, I mean…

    HH: I mean, when does it become unreliable? You know you’ve just put your foot on the slope, so I’m going to push you down it. When does it become unreliable?

    PB: Like the Supreme Court and pornography, you know it when you see it.

    HH: Well, a lot of us look at a nine point advantage in Florida, and we say we know that to be the polling equivalent of pornography. Why am I wrong?

    PB: Because what we found when we made the actual calls is this kind of party ID.

    HH: Do you expect Democrats, this is a different question, do you, Peter Brown, expect Democrats to have a nine point registration advantage when the polls close on November 6th in Florida?

    PB: Well, first, you don’t mean registration.

    HH: I mean, yeah, turnout.

    PB: Do I think…I think it is probably unlikely.

    HH: And so what value is this poll if in fact it doesn’t weight for the turnout that’s going to be approximated?

    PB: Well, you’ll have to judge that. I mean, you know, our record is very good. You know, we do independent polling. We use random digit dial. We use human beings to make our calls. We call cell phones as well as land lines. We follow the protocol that is the professional standard.

    HH: As we say, that might be the case, but I don’t know it’s responsive to my question. My question is, should we trust this as an accurate predictor of what will happen? You’ve already told me there…

    PB: It’s an accurate predictor of what would happen is the election were today.

    HH: But that’s, again, I don’t believe that, because today, Democrats wouldn’t turn out by a nine point advantage. I don’t think anyone believes today, if you held the election today, do you think Democrats would turn out nine percentage points higher than Republicans?

    PB: If the election were today, yeah. What we found is obviously a large Democratic advantage.

    HH: I mean, you really think that’s true? I mean, as a professional, you believe that Democrats have a nine point turnout advantage in Florida?

    PB: Our record has been very good. You know, Hugh, I…

    HH: That’s not responsive. It’s just a question. Do you personally, Peter, believe that Democrats enjoy a nine point turnout advantage right now?

    PB: What I believe is what we found.

    HH: Geez, I just, and an eight point in Ohio? I’m from Ohio. Democrats haven’t had an eight point advantage in Ohio since before the Civil War. I mean, that just never happens, but Peter, I appreciate your coming on. I’m not persuaded that Quinnipiac Polls haven’t hurt themselves today, but I appreciate your willingness to come on and talk about it.

  441. Robbie says:

    Notice Robbie never talks about his own ideological views or why he is a Republican or a conservative.

    Comment by jan — August 2, 2012 @ 5:25 pm

    I’m a conservative Republican and the first time I was able to vote was during the 1996 cycle. I voted for Dole, Mitch McConnell, and Ann Northup. The latter two won.

    I’ve always been a Republican and a conservative because the two main issues I care about most are tax policy and the Supreme Court. I like lower, flatter rates and conservative judges.

    I might even put the Supreme Court ahead of taxes because it has become such a powerful group. My preference is to see judges like the Four Horsemen nominated. Scalia, Thomas, and Alito fit that bill, but I was always weary of Roberts. Bork was and remains my judicial hero.

    No issue caught my attention like the nomination of Harriet Miers. She was an embarrassment to the modern history of the Court and I wrote numerous letters to McConnell and Bunning arguing she should be blocked from confirmation. That agitation got us Alito.

    In terms of taxes, I want a flatter system that eliminates deductions and makes everyone part of the system. That’s why I strongly supported Rand Paul in the primary over Trey Greyson. I hope, if Romney is elected, the House will drag him in this direction.

    I’m happy to make my views known.

  442. Robbie says:

    Robbie, maybe, just maybe, its because all the MSM pollsters like NYT, LA Times, Washington Compost, and the universities like Quinnipiac, and outfits like Pew are all entirely skewed in the direction of Obama because they love him.

    Comment by DW — August 2, 2012 @ 5:25 pm

    So there’s a conspiracy at work? If so, why didn’t they shade their polls towards Democrats in 2010?

  443. DW says:

    455…Robbie, THEY DID! Go back and look. Roll call was saying ALL SUMMER LONG that the GOP would only be sure to gain 5 seats in the house! FIVE SEATS!

    And there are all sort of crazy polls they relied on to believe their own lies.

  444. DW says:

    Richard Hanna (R) won NY 24 in 2010, for instance, and here are the polls we had on that race:

    Hanna 40/ marxist 48 – Sienna – 9/20/10
    Hanna 37/ marxist 47 – The Hill – 10/19/10
    Hanna 43/ marxist 48 – Sienna – 10/26/10

  445. DW says:

    and 453 says it all. They LOVE Obama and democrats and will act dishonestly to try and create a self-fulfilling prophecy.

  446. EML says:

    What? They didn’t shade dem in 2010? Remember Perry and White being tied? How about a one point race between Burr and Marshall? Ring a bell?

  447. IPSO FACTO says:

    What goes around comes around