PPP Says Obama Leads By 6% in CO
It looks like we are back to the days from earlier this year when it seemed like Public Policy Polling and Scott Rasmussen went head-to-head and released polls for the same state. And as we saw before, PPP tends to favor Democrats while Rasmussen tends to favor Republicans. Here is PPP’s latest poll from Colorado.
PRESIDENT – COLORADO (PPP)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 49%
Mitt Romney (R) 43%
This poll was done August 2-5 among 779 likely voters. As was pointed out in the comments on the previous post, PPP is seemingly getting a little defensive on their Twitter feed and has even taken a shot at Rasmussen.
As noted in the last thread, I responded to PPP:
https://twitter.com/isaywhateveryo
“I respect your firm, but if you want to look at RCP 2010 late July / early Aug polls vs Rasmussen in Swing states, let’s do that.”
“NC PPP Burr +2, Ras Burr +9, Actual Burr +12; NH – PPP Ayotte+3, Ras Ayotte+13, Actual Ayotte+23; (1/2)”
“NV, WI, FL, and OH all similar between each firm. PPP is very good, but it often favors the D. (2/2)”
$101M taken in in July, incredible!
Can’t wait for Romney to roll out the ads.. this one is nice. Need more like these!!
http://youtu.be/Nj70XqOxptU
RAS state polls are horrible. PPP has a better track record, but its still 3 months from election day.
Obama up 1-3 in CO sounds right to me.
Piss Poor Polling strikes again! They forgot to switch the last letter: It should be CA not CO.
Will ooo get PETRAEUS to be his VP after he dumps Biden?
should be noted when Gary Johnson is put in the poll, the lead goes down for Obama from +6 to +4
“RAS state polls are horrible. PPP has a better track record”
how so? PPP got plenty close races wrong in 2010
Trinko at NRO the Corner has posted the ppp NC poll, no analysis as usual.
okay… you’re russian and you got this canadian marijuana plantation… and you got 13 bears… and they are, check it out, guarding it and then this vietnamese pig….
http://moneyrunner.blogspot.com/2012/08/okay-youre-russian-and-you-got-this.html
another blue poll!
3
By what you posted you would then go with ras as more accurate, or did you mean NC? Ras has CO tied. That is a lot closer to your O 1-3 lead than the +6 O from ppp.
“This isn’t a choice between two bad guys or one bad guy and one good guy, this is a choice between a guy that has no idea what he’s doing, and a guy that does.”
http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-TV/2012/08/07/Marco-Rubio-This-is-a-Choice-Between-a-Guy-That-Has-no-Idea-What-Hes-Doing-and-a-Guy-That-Does?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
Author,
This is a presidential election. A better comparison would be to 2008 when PPP nailed every state (except IN if I recall) and they nailed the margins of victory fairly well too. Lots of folks here gave PPP credit at that time. Since that time their polls have leaned Democratic, so we’ll see how they do this time around.
#11, Hot mom-
I’m not gonna get hung up on numbers. My view is that the national race is very close with Obama leading by a small margin. That puts CO at about O +1-3 regardless of what RAS or PPP say.
“so we’ll see how they do this time around.”
considering their performance in WI & AZCD08, I wouldn’t say they’ve gotten to a good start
Total Trash Poll from PPP!!!
1st GOP advantage in CO is closer to 6% for registered voters. Way too many democrats!!
2nd Oh yes what did indies do in 2010 in CO? Those who actually voted went big for the GOP. What has Jensen found? They are more liberal then 2008.
3rd how about respective party loyalty. National poll after national poll finds GOP voters are more loyal to Romney then D’s are to Obama. Of course PPP finds just the oppisite in CO.
This poll is not fit for birdcages!!!
the mormon candidate for president has purchased wild cherry pepsi. i repeat, wild cherry pepsi. more on this story as it develops
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/in-the-cart-maybe-a-hint-about-romneys-pick/2012/08/07/be049cf0-e05a-11e1-8d48-2b1243f34c85_story.html
#15 Author,
“considering their performance in WI & AZCD08, I wouldn’t say they’ve gotten to a good start”
Again, not a fair comparison. You’re looking at a WI recall gov election and a special election with a HUGE sympathy turnout. Very little data to be able to draw up LV models for those elections.
To be fair, in order to evaluate how good a pollster will be for 2012, you need to look back at their 2008 record.
Now, in my first post, I did say that we are 3 months away from election day. So to be really really fair, perhaps we need to look at how these posters saw the 2008 race in August 2008 (Not November). I don’t have the time to do that.
Regardless, I’m not a fan of any one pollster. I look at them all as a set and look for trends. I see no trends at all this entire year.
The race is at a standstill until the VP announce and conventions.
1 – haha, love it
Great line by Rubio…attack dog…check!
if I can be frank Big Joe I think your just pushing the goal posts but that’s the last i’ll say on the matter
now I should add for everyone else, that this is common for PPP to have these twitter-fits as I call them. This is incredibly unprofessional from a polling company that wants to be taken serious. I’ve question many other pollsters on twitter & not once have I seen any of them behave like PPP does.
13 – but now we have a better understanding of how PPP operates. They put out dem propaganda until the final poll before an election, when it “counts”.
How about this for a trend?
http://www.businessinsider.com/morgan-stanley-trucking-lead-indicator-us-economy-recession-2012-8?op=1
Big truck orders are a wonderful economy indicator. Businesses are cutting back on trucks as the need to ship product to warehouses and stores are less during a sales and production downturn. Yes the major truck makers are cutting back on production and this will filter through the supplier system.
The whitehouse knows the econ story. They are not fooled by this phony jobs report. The economy is weakening and fast.
Fair enough Author. I think its important to do apples to apples comparisons, and will leave it at that
I will agree that the twitter-fits (nice term, Author
) are unprofessional and completely unnecessary. Not sure what thats about, probably just seeking attention by going after the big dog, RAS.
22…yep, so from now until the day PPP(D) goes out of business, all elections will feature an electorate of voters that always want democrats from May through October but then suddenly shifts to the GOP just before the election.
21 – I am extremely suspicious that they are even making calls at this time. I am being serious. The results are so outside the bounds that it forces me to question them.
He is GREAT in a Dem wave year (which he clearly wishes was every year) and he is very good at the END of the cycle in most years. His money polls are good. Has anyone been polled by PPP this cycle yet for POTUS? Do you know anyone who has for POTUS? Just curious.
I think this year will not be a wave year for either party.
“I will agree that the twitter-fits (nice term, Author
) are unprofessional and completely unnecessary. Not sure what thats about, probably just seeking attention by going after the big dog, RAS.”
agreed
18 – ok, let’s look at PPP’s polls in NC in 2008:
Oct 6ish
PPP Obama +6
Ras Obama +1
Oct 19ish
PPP Obama +7
Ras Obama +3
Oh no! Election Time!
PPP Obama +1
Ras McCain +1
(Ras actually did one on Oct 29 that was Obama +2 and another on Nov 2 that was McCain +1)
So PPP gets credit for getting it right for shifting his last poll 6 points to the right, while Rasmussen gets it wrong even though he was in the ballpark +/-2 the entire time.
EML Ras messed up last second in NC but in his defense it was so close there you can practically call it a tie
VA – 2008
PPP Oct 7 – Obama +8
Ras Oct 12 – Obama +3
PPP Oct 23 – Obama +8
Ras Oct 26 – Obama +4
PPP Nov 2 – Obama +6
Ras Nov 2 – Obama +4
PPP again leaning Dem while Ras is consistent.
the army has a new GPS-guided mortar that actually hits what it’s aimed at with the first shot
http://gizmodo.com/5929158/the-armys-smart-new-mortars-could-actually-hit-a-target
Marvin Wilson sucked his thumb into his adulthood, reads at a second-grade level, has an IQ of 61, doesn’t know the difference between left and right, and as a child couldn’t wear a belt without cutting off his circulation. On Tuesday, barring a last-minute intervention from the US Supreme Court, he’ll be executed in Texas.
In 1992, Wilson murdered a police informant who had caught him dealing cocaine. Wilson had help—his lawyers still maintain that he didn’t pull the trigger—but the larger question isn’t about his guilt; it’s about his mental competence. The Supreme Court ruled in the 2002 case Atkins v. Virginia that states can’t execute the mentally disabled because it would violate the Eighth Amendment’s prohibition of cruel and unusual punishment. The evidence for Wilson’s incompetence is manifest. In addition to the facts listed above, his lawyers noted in a brief filed for the court that the only expert to professionally examine Wilson, a neuropsychologist, “concluded that Mr. Wilson had mild MR, the cognitive condition that precipitated the Atkins exemption.”
That is my entire point about PPP. Always, always, a dem bias initially. It makes me question if they are even making calls now.
33 – Do they need to hire someone to pull the switch? I will volunteer.
concluded that Mr. Wilson had mild MR, the cognitive condition that precipitated the Atkins exemption.”
Comment by lisab — August 7, 2012 @ 3:42 pm
~~~~and your point is????
irish commenter gives honest commentary of olympic sailing
maybe too honest … and maybe too much whiskey
http://www.thatvideosite.com/v/5852
If only his victim had known those factors. They would still be dead but they would feel better about it.
the atkins exemption is the case that protects you IP
33 – and if the mental conditions of this man had only been known while he was in the womb, the left would have rejoiced at the chance to abort him. So the left should be rejoicing, now just 40 some years after the fact.
I don’t protection, why don’t you adopt him???
Police say Ohio man carried gun, ammunition, knives into ‘Dark Knight Rises’ showing
http://www.toledoblade.com/State/2012/08/07/Police-say-Ohio-man-carried-gun-ammunition-knives-into-Dark-Knight-Rises-showing.html
need
42.Police say Ohio man carried gun, ammunition, knives into ‘Dark Knight Rises’ showing
Maybe he was thinking self defense.
I have decided that liberals are horrible people.
Who is with me?
Corey – All liberals are wrong. Most are not horrible.
so Loughner is spared the death penalty only because he pleaded guilty?
The only thing left after a guilty plea should be the preparing of the rope and the gallows.
Libs hold horrible and dangerous positions. Case in point Andy Griffith. I am sure was a nice old man, but horribly wrong on his politics.
In a Twist, Both Home Prices and Rents Rise
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/twist-both-home-prices-rents-150627174.html
Andy Griffith was said to be a miserable SOB.
Petraeus. Run circles around Biden on foreign policy. Gravitas on foreign affairs. Sounds interesting
Lisab…why do you call Mitt Romney the “mormon candidate”…seems disrespectful to me. I wouldn’t say, “Lisab the Atheist posts on HHR.” Religion is always controversial in elections.
ever wondered what a prison yard full of pregnant women rapping looks like? who hasn’t, right?
———————————–
Over-regulation? Pregnant entrepreneur forced to pay thousands in pillow tag fees to sell maternity pillows online
Kerri Smith had to spend almost $5000 just to pay pillow tag registration fees to sell her pillows online.
During her first pregnancy, Kerri came up with the idea of The BellyRest, an innovative twist on maternity support pillows.
“One day, when I was feeling particularly tired of being tired,” Kerri writes on her product’s website. “I thought, ‘What if I took this pillow, cut it in half, and attached the two pillows with a piece of fabric in the middle so that I’d have a pillow waiting for me on the other side?’”
And that was how her “BellyRest” was born….
In fact, it seemed like such a good idea, Kerri decided to turn her invention into a profitable, marketable product and sell the BellyRest online. But then she ran into a problem: government red tape. You see, in order to sell the pillow online, Kerri needs to comply with multiple “pillow tag laws.”
“I was ready to sell [the “BellyRest”] online when I found out that I’d have to pay state pillow tag registration fees. No big deal. I paid my $50 to PA and thought I was ready to go. Then I learned that I’d have to pay pillow tag registration fees to all 15 states that require law tags on pillows,” Kerri told TheBlaze in an email.
“The fees range from $5-$720 per year. The first year total is $3,660. (Then another $1k in filing fees to have a company help me keep track of the registrations.) $4,660 just to be allowed to sell a pillow on the internet,” she added.
http://www.wtam.com/cc-common/news/sections/newsarticle.html?feed=104668&article=10325626
#51… Pitchaboy …could it be that ooo wants Petraeus….and is going to boot
Biden?
Because she is a religionaphobe.
lisab is a Catholic, Real SusyQue. Did you lose your HHR Guidebook again?
Liberals talk big on religious freedom but are the most disrespectful of religions they don’t approve of.
“I wouldn’t say, “Lisab the Atheist posts on HHR.”
that would be wrong
i am not an atheist
#54: he may want Petraeus but won’t get him after their fallout.
Of course, IP and his vulgar poetry and constant feces references is the keeper of religious purity.
#45…Corey…liberals are misguided in the worldview. It is very humanistic and self centered.
By the way, I severed ties with PoliticalDog101 yesterday. I am for free speech and proud partisanship, and certainly can handle disagreement and debate, but I just did not want my name associated with what is becoming an increasingly extremist website, no matter how small or little noticed it may be.
I would not want to be on the blogroll or have my posts featured with my name in the headline of crazy right-wing sites, and as much as I disagree with just about everything Barack Obama does, I would not want to “partner” with any kind of “birther” or “Obama is a terrorist/non-American” website.
This McCarthy-like stuff that Harry Reid has been doing is just disgraceful and his using “dead Dad shame” to try to goat Mitt Romney is even worse. If liberals think it is fair game or “cool” for him to do all that, then I find it hard to look at those people with any respect. I have always been proud to be a partisan for my party, and those on the left have loved to try to criticize me for that, but the site owner at PoliticalDog and some of his denizens take partisanship cheerleading to a new level.
The guy who runs that site is saying he needs to see Mitt Romney’s tax returns because he doesn’t know “anything” about him and that by not releasing his tax returns beyond the two years, there is a chance in his mind that Romney might be some kind of foreign agent, who had other loyalties besides the United States of America.
So, that was just too much for me.
however, the reason they called him the “mormon candidate”
is because he is meeting his vp this weekend
he bought wild cherry pepsi
mormons do not drink wild cherry pepsi
so who drinks wild cherry pepsi?
I thi,nk Mo,rmons ca,n dr,ink d,iet W.ild Ch.erry Pe.psi, w,hich i,s g,ood s,tuff.
I wo,nder if the Gr.eek yogu.rt co,uld mean Char,lie C,rist.
no patience for the filter…
Bitter….you are just too damn PC.
All libs are wrong and MOST are intolerant bigots(lisab is the norm for libs…not the exception).
I heard Obama is running an ad blaming Romney for someone’s death. Sure sounds like a guy winning all swing states.
Pasco mother admits she left three kids home alone to have sex with neighbor — (for four hours); kids wander to highway
Kids range in age from 10-months to four years old
http://www.abcactionnews.com/dpp/news/region_pasco/new_port_richey/pasco-mother-admits-she-left-three-kids-home-alone-to-have-sex-with-neighbor-kids-wander-to-highway
TEXAS IS REJOICING THAT TED CRUZ JUST CRUISED INTO THE GOP SENATE WIN COLUMN.
NO MORE WISHY-WASHY KAY BAILEY FOR TEXAS.
CRUZ IS THE REAL DEAL –
RINOS, SAY GOOD NIGHT!
In what universe was KBH a RINO?
“I thi,nk Mo,rmons ca,n dr,ink d,iet W.ild Ch.erry Pe.psi”
actually, i think the article is wrong
they are not supposed to drink “hot drinks”
Liberals are evil
Kid yourself as much as you want
They’re evil
The HHR universe.
Are we of the consensus that if Chris Christie were the VP pick, Romney would have had far more groceries?
What’s interesting Corey is whether or not the remnants of journalism in this country embrace “if its not true prove it!” as articulated by harry Reid ie institutionalized McCarthyism
I say yes they can
And will
“Are we of the consensus that if Chris Christie were the VP pick, Romney would have had far more groceries?”
he had a case of wild cherry pepsi
Lisa B is not a Catholic. Her positions excommunicate her from the church.
Case of pop could point to a Romney-Bitterlaw ticket.
“Liberals are evil. Kid yourself as much as you want. They’re evil.”
you know, i have one simple request. and that is to have sharks with frickin’ laser beams attached to their heads! now evidently my cycloptic colleague informs me that that cannot be done. ah, would you remind me what i pay you people for, honestly?
Instead of staying and fighting Corey runs away. Why are GOP men such sissys?
Portman – sure why not
Christie – combative with Orca issues
Ryan – lightning rod
Jindal – non white with health care cred
Ayotte – instantaneous Palinization
Petraeus – ???
Pop?
79
wtf?
Post of the day……#78!
What about Toomey for VP?
Whore for votes with him in DV
Ridge as I recall is DeadBaby correct?
dr. evil — sharks with lasers
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bh7bYNAHXxw
lisab is a CINO
Catholic In Name Only
86, I think we all got the movie reference the first time…you are still an intolerant shrill.
jan, what are you talking about? And you are a male as well, correct?
Been sitting here by the phone all day waiting for Quinnipiac to call for tomorrow’s Virginia po;l…strange that they haven’t called.
Maybe they are too busy calling downtown Newport News and Norfolk.
I have tried really hard to not get dragged into sectional conflict. If you think that the stuff I say is bad, you should see the stuff I don’t post. On one point I will not compromise:
It is called soda. SODA. It is not pop. “Pop” is a verb and noun (for the sound). However, soda is liquid that is not defined by a sound or verb. Deal with it.
Wild Cherry Pepsi…going after the women vote
Wild Cherry Pepsi is definitely not a soda. It is either a cola or a pop, you east coast elitist.
#87 nail on the head. I say as I usually skp over her posts but she certainly like the Catholic was or many others that I know.
I see the one week of refraining from DV lasted three days. Be true to yourself, MFG. It’s cool.
“It is called soda.”
tonic
#62 Corey. Your wimpy response to taking on the crazy.
Do you know any men name Janet if u do that explains alot.
bitter a coke is a coke…heck, sometimes a pepsi is a coke. Occasionally it can be a soft drink or soda…I do agree never pop.
I felt bad about AR’s kid
freaking the the C over with!!!
See
Fuqqwad
I still remember years ago I was traveling in Texas right after Burger King tried to dabble with a switch to Pepsi. Of course Texas is Coke and Dr. Pepper territory, so I went into the Burger King, and they had Pepsi, but way down at the end of row of fountain drinks there were two almost unmarked options for Coke and Dr. Pepper. That has to be the only time I have ever seen both Coke and Pepsi at the same national fast food chain
The #98 silence was getting to me
Janet, who asked you to weigh in? (and I think you used to post here under a different name and a male identity)
I never said I would not comment on that site, although I don’t really have a reason to, but I choose not to have my name attached with it, as the site owner does.
Why is that your business anyway? You want to fight with them, go over there and do it.
Blacks in New Orleans call any soft drink a “cold drink”
Is this done anywhere else?
Ie “You want a cold drink with that sandwich?”
Corey those fuqqers over there are communists eaten up with hatred and envy
#107 unlike the warm and fuzzy evangelicals over here
“I once visited that site where he hangs out
I can’t remember the name of it now but he referred to it one time so I took a look
It was loaded with Birthers,bigots,gun freaks
In other words the typical type of nuts you would expect at a Right wing gathering”
“jack” is talking about you folks…
Scarborough on Palin: ‘Why wouldn’t you let her speak at the convention in prime time?’
http://dailycaller.com/2012/08/07/scarborough-on-palin-why-wouldnt-you-let-her-speak-at-the-convention-in-prime-time/
I wouldn’t say the “sins” of the people here are hatred and envy
america upsets brazil in volleyball
Those people over there are torn to pieces that Mitt Romney makes more money than they do they hate and resent anyone who gets ahead financially its what their whole world view is based on Corey
not the envy part
Men’s team or women?
Short video showing why Rubio is the ONLY choice, IMO: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=643m-UL8Gow
Must be the women!!! They have been rocking–the men not so much. That’s a guess.
Lisab, I have determined that you are a communist due to the fact that in the past 24 hours you have not verbally attacked Carl Marx or the principles he espoused.
Disagreeing with gay marriage is NOT hate
Hyperbolic horsesh*t like that is why people get so upset and make millions go to chick fillet
Russia kicked the men’s teams asss
Up two sets to none at match point we lost three sets in a row
Waaaaa…
Corey your a weasel and a wimpy one at that.
women
Go take some more internet estrogen jan.
In the CO 2008 exit poll,17% considered themselves Liberal. In today’s PPP/Jensen CO Poll,30% say that.Trash it!
Lisab, show me one post in the past 30 seconds where you have attack communism and I will take it back.
Bitter
I almost feel sorry for you. ALMOST. You can dish,but you cannot take.
1- I feel badly that you have a chronic disease that will blind and cripple you by the time you are my age if you are still alive. I would not wish it on my worst enemy.
2- You are in a profession whose members you admittedly do not like.Bad karma.
3- Your specialty in the profession you do not like ,a first year law student could perform. There is nothing interesting or creative in what you do unlike the top quality attorneys who do tax or securities’ work as examples.
4-On HHR, you add nothing tangible but you are the master of snark.
DW, Hugh Hewitt grilled Qunnipiac’s Peter Brown on his show last week, I have some hope the grilling he got made him think twice about his samples this week…though i’m not holding my breath
Everything is an excuse for Corey. His passive aggressive attacks are so sad. He is the ultimate in obfuscation. Typical of a slimy weasel who seems to fall out of every forum he goes.
Scott – it took you 4 hours to come up with that? MFG or MD could come up with that in less than a minute. Of course, you still haven’t provided us with your incredible resume of political experience. Still waiting…
Enjoy the dictionary jan.
How’s that for passive aggression?
i’m not sure how this Corey & jan fight got started. I is confused
Hey bitter, I had a very very bad experience with a company about 2 months ago. I posted a review online and expressed my disapointment. I just got a letter from their lawyer threating to seek legal action if I don’t remove it. I have read and reread and find no libel…I am not going to remove it and will probably hand out redacted copies of the letter to their customers outside property. Any advise?
Why are people on here attacking decent Republicans like Bitterlaw and myself?
What have we ever done to you?
“There is nothing interesting or creative in what you do unlike the top quality attorneys who do tax or securities’ work as examples.”
is scott “addisonst”?
not taking any sides…yet, but Corey I enjoy your blog’s look at the races and linked it on my site. I think you take a pretty fair look at the state of the races.
I will definately do it on public property and will see if I need a permit first
I never start any “fights” on here. There have just been a couple of idiots lately (assuming they aren’t the same person) who feel the need to drag my name into things.
My conscience is clean.
Thank you very much Author. Keep up the good work as well.
127 – had a similar thought, but these pollsters are committed more to Obama than to their own reputation.
“Why are people on here attacking decent Republicans like Bitterlaw and myself?”
join the club … well apart from decent and republican
if i am not the subject of multiple ad hominem attacks by team evangelical before my first post of the day …
i have lost my touch
Will Brunner win in MO tonight? or Steelman?
@probably Brunner, but with this being a primary it’s hard to be sure. I have to admit as someone who’s not a big Palin fan i’m kinda rooting for Brunner. But either one would beat McCaskill easily. She’s in deep trouble, even the lefty prognosticators will admit it.
comment #142 was in reply to #141
Your hands are not exactly clean in these matters either, Wahkeena…
STUDY: OBAMA LOSING VOTERS MORE THAN REPUBLICANS
http://www.theblaze.com/stories/study-obama-losing-voters-more-than-republicans/
142. Thanks Author
“apart from decent”
I agree lisab
When is the Wisconsin Primary anyways Author?
@148 i’d have to look that up. Last I saw Hovde had all the momentum.
“Do you realize what health care spending is as a percentage of GDP in Israel? 8 percent .. And you’re a pretty healthy nation. We spend 18 percent of our GDP on health care .. We have to find ways to finally manage our health care costs.”
- Mitt Romney in Jerusalem
FACT: Israelis enjoy universal health care coverage with an individual mandate.
OOOPS!!
August 14th JT
Bitter
Some of us who have had successful and creative careers and retired young can actually do fun things in the middle of the day,like taking scenic hikes in the mountains.I know as a lawyer,you expect immediate obedience to your commands.
I bet that some on this site can analyze you very quickly since they have been exposed to your obnoxiousness a lot longer than I have.
A loser is a loser and you are in the Top 10!
145…it doesn’t take much of a study to see that…just look at the current spread of each state compared with the 2008 results. I post my own analysis below. The 2012 spread is based on current state polling and current likely voter national polls.
State / 2012 spread / 2008 spread
AK: 23 / 21
AL: 23 / 21
AR: 24 / 20
AZ: 13 / 8
CA: -11 / -24
CO: 0 / -9
CT: -8 / -23
DC: -86 / -86
DE: -18 / -25
FL: 0 / -3
GA: 11 / 5
HI: -30 / -45
IA: -1 / -10
ID: 27 / 25
IL: -20 / -25
IN: 16 / -1
KS: 25 / 15
KY: 25 / 16
LA: 22 / 19
MA: -16 / -26
MD: -23 / -26
ME: -12 / -18
MI: -4 / -16
MN: -6 / -10
MO: 8 / 0
MS: 18 / 13
MT: 9 / 3
NC: 5 / -1
ND: 19 / 8
NE: 15 / 15
NH: -3 / -9
NJ: -10 / -15
NM: -5 / -15
NV: -5 / -12
NY: -24 / -27
OH: -3 / -4
OK: 35 / 32
OR: -4 / -17
PA: -3 / -10
RI: -21 / -28
SC: 12 / 9
SD: 15 / 8
TN: 15 / 15
TX: 20 / 11
UT: 42 / 28
VA: 0 / -7
VT: -31 / -37
WA: -15 / -17
WI: -3 / -14
WV: 17 / 13
WY: 34 / 32
Thanks again Author.
#145
Not according to PPP/Jensen’s CO Poll!
#150 But Mitt Romney is just so handsome. Who cares what he says, its the way he says it that is just sooo HOT!! It gets me so wet baby.
@156 is it wrong I found that post hilarious?
I’m just catching up on the day’s events, but Patraeus would be a very interesting and possibly exciting pick for VP. I would want to learn more about his policy positions, but he would definitely shake up the race.
I just hope the Romney people aren’t letting speculation get out of hand. Rubio, Ryan, Christie, and Patraeus would all be very exciting picks. To tantilize us with such intersting names and then choose TPaw or Portman would be kond of “meh”.
It would be exciting to see a respected general marshalling voters and propelling Romney to a win. Makes me long for the days of Old Hickery, US Grant, and Ike.
I also want Brunner to win as well, just mostly so Sarah Palin can lose.
NRO now saying Ryan has moved to the top of the short list.
http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/313326/ryan-rises-robert-costa
Looked at the Colorado PPP crosstabs.
R+3 looks very reasonable. The only thing that doesn’t to me is the indies +11 for Obama. However, there is no way of telling for sure how accurate that is.
As someone said before, that’s Jensen’s fudge factor. Seems Romney would be cutting into that this year, but again, no way to tell by looking at these numbers. There is no such thing as a crosstab of a crosstab.. The indies number says what it says.
I will tell you one thing, however. His Obama +4 with independents in NC is pure fantasy. McCain carried them according to the exits by 60-39.
Does ANYONE believe Obama has gone from there to essentially even with Romney among NC indies since Obama took office? ANYONE?
#156….Imposter…I find you disgusting in what you have said….
Clint Eastwood speaks like a gentleman when he speaks about Mitt. Get your face out of the gutter you sexual deviant!
Phil I think R+3 in Co is pretty reasonable myself. But the ideology ID doesn’t add up. The NC DRI is horrible, but according to Jensen a D+12 NC turnout is a sure thing
This VP speculation is killing me
Bitter
You start skirmishes with me and then cower. I guess since you feel like a big man by deposing people who cannot fight back,you do not know how to react to someone who does.
Begging for someone to answer your ridiculous and pointless question is a sign of desperation. I want you to keep waiting for an answer,but make certain in your wait that you do not forget to take your medication.
#161- Phil
In both CO and NC, the PPP/Jensen fudge factor this time is making both States a liberal paradise,one-third more liberal than the 2008 exit polls.
One correction on your NC statement. PPP/Jensen shows Romney +4 with Indies,but down from +16 in the prior month.
Considering how little influence a VP would likely have with Romney on policy decisions, I think Petreaus would be a very good pick, possibly one that just closes out the race in no time flat. If the choice is about winning the election, I think he would do it.
As for Petreaus’ policy positions, it’s long been thought he’s a Yankee Republican. That is to say he’s a deficit hawk and socially more liberal. The social liberalness would not excite me, but I think he could easily deliver a Tea Party message.
Most importantly, I could easily see Petreaus as president. I suspect he wouldn’t be as conservative as I would like, but right now I’m more worried about beating Obama.
Brunner destroys Sky Queen. So does Sarah Steelman, although she seems to be running third in the primary. I like her.
Akin probably would eek out a win also, but it would be closer than I’d want it. To me, he has Buck written all over him.
Democrats have been running ads against Brunner during the primary so that should tell you what they think their chances are against him.
Brunner or Steelman.
Scott – I will be home in a half hour. Dust off that sad story about your dead mother and why that makes you an expert on all things.
Scott, thanks. I meant to say Romney +4. R+21 to R+4 when indies are no worse than even nationally is just nuts.
Jensen gets it right in the end, but don’t expect anything rational from him for the next ten weeks.
His job is to convince everyone of the inevitability of Barack Obama.
Hope – tell that company to shove it. If what you posted was true, beg them to be stupid enough to sue you and let them know the local media loves stories like this.
The general would not fly with the tea party and the born agains.
That you for the marginal legal advice
that = thank
Wild Cherry Pepsi…going after the women vote
Comment by SoHope — August 7, 2012 @ 4:46 pm
Only if I pop ‘em (their cherries, that is!).
Wacka, wacka, wacka!
Mitt Romney 47.4% 46.3% Barack Hussein Obama
A candidate needs 270 EV to get elected !
If the presidential election would be held today:
Mitt Romney would get 272 EV!
President Obama would get 200 EV!
066 EV (CO ME2 MI NH NM PA VA WI) are too close to call!
23EV barely Romney (CO NH WI)
43EV barely Obama (ME2 MI NV PA)
Mitt Romney272 Barack Hussein Obama:200 Toss-up:066
Alabama (09) 35.5/54.8
Alaska (03) 40/52
Arizona (11) 41.0/51.4
Arkansas (06) 33.2/53.0
California (55) 53.0/43.8
Colorado (09) 48.9/49.3
Connecticut (07) 50.3/46.5
Delaware (03) 62/37
DOC (03) 90/10
Florida (29) 47.5/51.3
Georgia (16) 42.5/50.0
Hawaii (04) 59/32
Idaho (04) 36/62
Illionois (20) 51.4/43.0
Indiana (11) 38.5/50.3
Iowa (06) 48.0/50.9
Kansas (06) 35/52
Kentucky (08) 37/53.5
Louisana (08) 37/53
Maine (03+1) 49.4/48.8 48.5/47.8
Maryland (10) 54.1/40.0
Massachusetts (11) 53.3/43.4
Michigan (16) 48.3/47.8
Minnesota (10) 49.1/45.5
Mississippi (06) 38/50
Missouri (10) 45.6/51.4
Montana (03) 42.3/50.4
Nebraska (04+1) 39.1/52 42.6/49.8
Nevada (06) 48.8/48.6
New Hampshire (04) 47.8/48.4
New Jersey (14) 50.2/43.7
New Mexico (05) 48.4/46.1
New York (29) 56.9/43.1
North Carolina (15) 47.1/51.1
North Dakota (03) 35.3/52.7
Ohio (18) 47.3/50.2
Oklahoma (07) 30.5/64
Oregon (07) 49.1/46.9
Pennsylvania (20) 48.9/47.9
Rhode Island (04) 54/37
South Carolina (09) 38.1/44.9
South Dakota (03) 38.7/48.0
Tennessee (11) 39.6/46.0
Texas (38) 37.7/51.8
Utah (06) 26.8/67.3
Vermont (03) 56.5/37.5
Virginia (13) 45.9/50.2
Washington (12) 50.7/47.0
West Virginia (05) 36.7/51.2
Wisconsin (10) 48.6/49.1
Wyoming (03) 33/65
VP candidate:
Rice: 24.5%
Rubio: 20.7%
Pawlenty: 18.9%
Christie: 07%
Ryan: 06.5%
Santorum: 06.0%
Jindal: 03.8%
Martinez: 03.5%
Portman: 03.3%
McDonnell: 02.5%
Senate:
2010: GOP: 47 DEM: 51 IND: 02
2012: GOP: 52 DEM: 40 IND: 02 Toss-up: 06
Takeover GOP: HI MO MT NE VA WI
DEM:
IND: ME
Toss-up: CT FL MA NJ NM OH
Governor:
2010: GOP: 29 DEM: 20 IND: 01
2012: GOP: 32 DEM: 17 IND: 01 Toss-up: 01
Takeover GOP: NC WA
DEM:
Toss-up: MT
President: Approve/Disapprove National: 44.8/51.4
State by state: Approve:185 Disapprove:337 Tied:016
Strong approve Obama:
DC (85.0/15.0)
HI (60.3/35.9)
MA (54.5/44.6)
MD (54.7/43.3)
NY (55.8/44.1)
RI (54.7/41.8)
VT (55.1/40.7)
Lean approve Obama:
CA: (52.8/46.3)
CT:(51.5/47.7)
DE:(52.3/46.0)
IL: (51.4/45.6)
NJ: (50.1/46.6)
Weak approve Obama:
MN:( 49.6/48.9)
WA (50.2/48.0)
Strong disapprove :
AL (62.0/37.5)
AK (65.3/33.9)
AZ (56.1/42.7)
AR (62.9/35.1)
ID (70.0/30.0)
IN (59.0/38.8)
KS (62.1/37.0)
KY (60.0/36.9)
LA (58.6/39.5)
MO (55.8/39.8)
MS (55.1/42.8)
MT (61.2/37.2)
NE (56.9/38.4)
ND (60.7/37.4)
OK (65.7/33.3)
SC (55.2/41.1)
SD (57.5/42.1)
TN (57.7/38.3)
TX (55.2/40.4)
UT (71.7/27.0)
WV (66.2/30.0)
WY (70.5/29.2)
Lean disapprove:
CO (51.9/46.4)
FL (53.0/46.1)
GA (52.3/43.9)
IA: (50.8/46.4)
NC (52.9/45.5)
NH (53.2/45.0)
NM: (52.2/46.7)
NV (52.3/46.3)
OH (53.5/45.5)
OR:(51.8/46.8)
PA (52.4/46.6)
VA: (52.3/46.0)
Weak disapprove :
ME:(50.3/48.1) 4EV
WI: (50.8/49.1)
Toss-up:
MI (49.9/49.7)
Negative on Petreaus. He was rewarded with the CIA job.
In terms of poltics and the electoral college, Petraeus might be the best bet for Romney.
As a general who oversaw successes in both Iraq and Afghanistan, he would have instant credibility and, dare I say, gravitas. No fears about foreign policy with a general on the ticket.
Petraeus might also be a huge influence on swing voters. Many people seem to want a non-ideaological politician and he just just fit the bill. We could see a big swing in battleground states and state not considered battlegrounds.
His policy positions might be an issue to the right, but deficit concerns fit in good agreement with the goals of the Tea Party.
I like the idea of Petraeus so I guess that means he won’t be chosen.
Hope- you get what you pay for. Tell their lawyer that you want a copy of any statute that is allegedly being violated. If they say some vague crap about libel or defamation, demand a written statement of your allegedly inaccurate posts.
Quinnipiac/nyttimes/CBS will be releasing three more state polls, in VA! CO, and WI. Prepare for Bias polls!!! This is stupid, they are going to ruin the only good RCP averages, (except WI). VA and CO are only partially accurate averages left.
Tomorrow at 10:30 or so is when the release will be.
#180-Michael
More so than the Quinn head-to-head numbers,let’s guess the Party ID spreads in each Quinn Poll tomorrow!
7:00 AM is usually when Quinnipiac releases their polls.
I’m predicting Pawlenty for VP.
He seems like the ‘Mittiest’ of the bunch.
183, yeah sorry that is the discussion time.
Phil
Last week,Real Clear Politics had an article by a political analyst who said that the Liberal/Moderate/Conservative data is more important for polling veracity than Party ID. PPP/Jensen probably read his article because that is today’s fudge factor!
P.S.- This post is too meaty for Bitterlaw to understand so expect the snark.
I am predicting McDonnell for VP, he has the best business record out of the bunch.
@186 oh Bitterlaw has been after you too? Yeah I have been the prime target for the past week.
#183- Brandon
Last week,the Quinn Poll were released later than usual. CBS News will have the topline results an hour before Quinn releases.If the results are favorable to Obama,maybe two hours before.
#188- Michael
Do not let him bother you.You may want to fight back because then he gets reduced to a blubbering fool!
I think Quinnipiac will release more reliable results after the backlash, I predict
VA, possible Romney +1 otherwise a tie.
CO Obama +1 or tie
WI Obama +4 to 2
Romney needs either the midwest vote or the hispanic vote. Rubio and Portman should be at the top of his ticket.
I think VA flips first out of the key swing states and that the terming of it as a purple state is hyperbole from 2008.
Before the financial crisis, McCain was solidly ahead in VA polling.
@190 so don’t fight back? Might be a good idea.
Guys here is the story on PPP for both NC & CO.
They are registered voters polls right? So the % of voters should match the % of voters of each party?
NC is nearly 2% too D while CO is nearly 3% too R.
So how the more common self identification by party. According to Gallup what should NC and CO be as far as party ID?
NC should be closer to 3% D then +13%D while CO is likey close to 3%R. I would love to see what Gallup has to say about CO?
Either way Jensen’s registered voter model in each state finds way too many liberals. The Indie vote is off as is the respective party loyalty vote for either Obama or Romney within their party.
We already know that in the D primary 21% of D’s ditched Obama yet Jensen finds only 14% do so now. Right or rather wrong.
Lady in cancer ad had health insurance until 2003 from her own job. CNN exposed it!! Discussed now on the Corner at NRO.
191
Maybe you really are 16. Very naive. They will be as biased as ever.
184.I’m predicting Pawlenty for VP.
He seems like the ‘Mittiest’ of the bunch.
Comment by Cory (MMMM) — August 7, 2012 @ 6:42 pm
If you’re right, the Romney campa allowed speculation to get too far out of hand. Tantilizing us with Rubio, Ryan, Christie, or Petraeus would make TPaw seem like a real letdown.
I think TPaw is a dangerous choice. His 2012 campaign was a disaster and he was a very poor debater. I have seen nothing to suggest he would have any pull with Midwestern voters.
rdel, CO is R+5 and NC even among adults in party affiliation according to Gallup
@196 17, probably right, but I think they will be closer, at least by 6 otherwise PPP and Ras will knock them down in CO.
I would say Scott is Maxwell but Maxwell is too much of a coward to return. Of course, Scott “Ras is a national disgrace” disappeared over the week-end when Romney’s numbers went up.
How was your driver’s test, 17 year old Michael who remembers the polling in 1980- 15 years before he claims he was born. You got caught in that lie. At least you have a new friend, Scott.
Michael, Scott, and Brandon maynow engage in your circle jerk to Pelosi
@200 I am sorry, but I refuse t inform people of federal actions undertaken by people who will use the information as cruel bantor. Haha, but seriously I don’t like saying things about results inabout my current life on the web.
Michael – fight back or not. Just don’t be a p*ssy like scott and disappear for weeks at a time.
Monumental news in the Ned Stark family. My mom and dad who live in Missouri and are maniacal life-long democrats to the point of absurdity have decided they are voting republican this cycle. My dad who has a plumbing business has been driven nearly out of business. I never ever thought I would see this and I won’t believe it until they actually do it. Regardless if my life long democrat parents are seriously considering voting against Obama, I wonder how hard independents are going to break.
Wait – Michael Scott. It’s Steve Carrel from The Office!
@203, thank you I will stay on, but I have to go water the neighbors flowers in a few minutes. So I will see you guys in about thirty.
“I have to go water the neighbors flowers”
Gayest post of the century
Wow I leave you kids alone for 5 minutes and the place is in shambles.
How many spats are going on?
Now you people need to um deshamblize while I go to Coldplay and work desperate,
lonely divorcees.
Mr Vito then a fair poll of likely voters would show a very nice shift in NC and a small shift in CO.
The key in PPP’s CO poll is the indies. Are indies in CO really more for Obama then in 2008? I don’t buy it.
I note Romney even has a lead among indies in Jensen;s last KOS poll.
Whatever Michael TROLL.
Translation: Watering the flowers means going back to KOS for more talking points
@207 if I am going to get paid to do that of course I will water the flowers. How are teens supposed to earn money when unemployment for us is over 20%!
Bitter
Nothing important or tangible to say; a blubbering fool!
Now you equate four hours with “weeks at a time”. Time for your meds!
Being it on bitter while I look more like an adult!
#201- Rino Hunter
A clueless,name calling fool. You must be Bitter’s brother.
@210 you most visit Daily kos a lot if you read there talking points, sounds like you are the Rino here, not us.
Scott, run along back to KOS with your butt buddy, Michael. Scurry along now TROLLS
@210 you must have participated in a circle of your own with her if your recommending. That’s okay, I understand that Daily Kos probably had a good deal for you.
I wasn’t talking about today, Scott. You disappear for long periods. I’m beginning to think you might be a former poster. I have not sensed this level of hatred towards me since…Maxwell.
#208
You should just smoke a fat joint, and enjoy the music. Save the hunt for divorcees for a lesser band’s concert.
We are doomed!!!!!
We are down in so many states.
How adorably cute, our TROLLS Scott and Michael ganging up on the RINO Hunter.
RINOs never win, TROLLs.. now go jack off to Pelosi.
#216-RINO Hunter
It has been a few weeks since anyone called ma a Dem.troll.And your proof is what? It feels good to be called one every once in a while; sort of like being carded at the age of 60 when I purchase liquor!
I have no beef with you and many posters here who know me would strongly disagree with you.
I do not know Michael from Adam,but I can empathize with him about getting bullied by certain Ayatollahs on this site!
We are doomed – Romney is still too negative and too passive. He let the Petraeus stuff come out and went too far. It does not matter that the Obumbler “leaked” this allegedly.
lisab says:
August 7, 2012 at 4:19 pm
Pasco mother admits she left three kids home alone to have sex with neighbor — (for four hours); kids wander to highway
————
Four hours?! Someone give me this guy’s number!! (I’m there doubly quick if he looks like Speaker Gingrich…)
It feels good to be called a Dem Troll, Scott? Um.. ok .. Just embrace it. You are a liberal, admit it. Go join the Dem party, you will be happier. Same goes for Michael.
I am twubbled and concern by the PPP-Drat polls.
My Dependents
I just received my tax return for 2012 back from
the IRS. It puzzles me!!! They are questioning
how many dependents I claimed.
I guess it was because of my response to the
question: “List all dependents.” I replied:
12 million illegal immigrants;
3 million crack heads
42 million unemployed people on food stamps,
2 million people in over 243 prisons;
Half of Mexico; and
535 persons in the U.S. House and Senate.
” Evidently this was NOT an acceptable answer.
I KEEP ASKING MYSELF, WHO DID I MISS?
Bitter
So when did I disappear for “weeks at a time”? If you go back to the beginning of the year when I started posting,I probably have not missed a day other than when I was out-of-town.
The burden is on you.I know how flustered a bully can get when confronted with facts.
Yolanda baby, I will rock your world. What do you look like? What are your measurements?
For the 27th consecutive day, Matt Drudge refuses to YolandaReports’ exclusive scoop that HILLARY CLINTON will be Romney’s surprise running mate pick.
The NC and CO internals are phuqed up beyond all recognition.
#225- RINO Hunter
Nobody can be that dense!And your proof is exactly what? That I was kind to a poster I did not know.(Head Shake!)
#229–
No one who has ever used the words “rock your world” with me has, in fact, done so.
Kommie Kory I like coldplay I don’t love them. The boss is playing wrigley next month. I will be strictly business there as he’s my favorite rock act by far.
Yolanda,
You must be getting it on with trolls like Michael… let me in baby, and see what a real man can do to you babe.
Bring it on Rino Hunter I might not align with the tea party but I am a republican! Bring it on let’s see your proof of me being a democrat!!!
You will find I want the dept. of edu. Out, I want federal spending cut and I want the lower 40% to pay some share! How is that not republican?
Scott – why don’t you go find one post a day from you for the last week. Prove me wrong and I will admit it.
HHR Jury – Am I wrong? Scott disappears when Ras has good Romney polls and roars back when Obama’s numbers go up. If I’m wrong, I will say so.
post 235 is a false flag.
PPP’s bias was masked a bit in 2008 because it was a Dem wave year. Even then, their pattern was pretty clear. Their last poll for each state showed a jump to the right.
In 2010, they were completely exposed. Burr and Marshall tied, Perry and White tied, Ayotte +3 when she won by 23. Their agenda is promote Democratic candidates. Period. If you believe anything else, you’re a moron.
The 2012 environment is CLEAR. It is not 2008. There is no hope and change. There is no messiah. Obama is a fraud and people are aware of it. The Gallup Party ID poll and the Rasmussen Generic polls have caught on to it. But PPP continues to pump out polls with 2008 demographics.
30% Liberals? D+12 in NC? Give me a break. Open deal with Tommy J: I will wager $1000 that NC exit polls do not show a D+12 electorate.
Petraeus = disaster. He gets us nothing.
@241 agreed he might hurt Romney with connections to the wars.
Bitterlaw, you are wrong.
Now McClhrystal would be an excellent pick.
I think we should stick with elected officials.
Oh TROLL Michael,
Where do I start ..
You want to cut deals with Dems (basically giving them everything)
You want to cut spending, and yet your cuts don’t even make a dent in the deficit.
You bad-mouth the Tea Party who are the very heart and sole of conservatism.
You go on and on about being a Republican, but you are no conservative. You’re Dem Lite and you are completely useless to us. GTFO.
You are sickening. Now go on to KOS tips on better trolling.
Michael is one of the dumbest trolls. I give him props for trying to fight, but he’s been exposed. Most likely, he’s Rockefeller Republican as someone said yesterday.
He didn’t even know the name of VA’s governer. He kept calling him McDonold.. What a pathetic loser of a troll. Get lost.
Hahaha, McDonald is the Governor of VA? Everyone knows it’s Christine O’Donnell.
Don’t be fooled by Michael. Its all an act. Today he’s a teenager, yesterday he said he was around during the 1980 election. He’s a liar and not even a good one.
We need better TROLLs than this.
NT
#238- Bitter
You have learned well from the master of misdirection ,Harry Reid. You make a charge and expect me provide the proof. Don’t Harry Reid me,loser!
Sorry, IP, but Yolanda is spoken for.
Bitterlaw and Rino hunter are now chicken to say anything about my posts because they just figured out that I am a republican!
I seriously doubt the PPP poll for Colorado. Something is wrong.
Ras’s poll (a tie) more fits the present situation.
Obama’s approval in Colorado is hovering around the 43-44 level.
Colorado’s unemployment rate has been going up and now is equal with the national average.
The number of registered Republicans in Colorado is 835,000 and the number of registered Democrats is 799,000.
Low approval, high unemployment, more R’s…just don’t see the PPP result as the true barometer.
Michael is a 49 year old youth who is 17 and remembers Reagan. Then, he spouts every Dem talking point but wants us to believe he is a Republican.
A joke as a troll. I won’t battle with him because I have minimal standards on who I will battle. He doesn’t make the cut.
As for Scott, I don’t think he is a troll but his strange obsession with Rasmussen is puzzling.
Why does Corey think Jan is a man?
John – I am beginning to think they aren’t making any calls right now. Tommy J just making stuff up in his backroom.
I think Scott is for real and not a troll.
Bad economic news for the day…consumer credit grew at it’s smallest rate in eight months signaling a major slowdown in the economy.
http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2012/08/07/u-s-consumers-cut-back-on-credit-card-debt/