Obama Leads by 1% in MI, Warren Takes 6% Lead in MA
We have a new poll from Foster McCollum White Associates and Baydoun Consulting showing the race in Michigan at a single percentage point.
PRESIDENT – MICHIGAN (FMWB)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 45%
Mitt Romney (R) 44%US SENATE – MICHIGAN (FMWB)
Debbie Stabenow (D-inc) 47%
Pete Hoekstra (R) 42%
This poll was done September 12th among 1156 likely voters. Meanwhile in Massachusetts, Western New England Polling Institute has put out a new poll for masslive.com claiming Elizabeth Warren has opened up a 6% lead over Scott Brown in teh state of Massachusetts.
US SENATE – MASSACHUSETTS (WNEPI)
Elizabeth Warren (D-inc) 50%
Scott Brown (R) 44%
This poll was done September 6-13 among 444 likely voters.
NFL picks one post down. Enjoy your Sunday!
J E T S ! !
Rasmussen:
(R/D)
2008: 16-Sep/48%/47%/+1%
2012: 16-Sep/48%/49%/-1%
August & September trends (no leaners)
16-Sep/47%/46%/+1%
15-Sep/48%/46%/+2%
14-Sep/48%/45%/+3%
13-Sep/47%/46%/+1%
12-Sep/45%/46%/-1%
11-Sep/45%/48%/-3%
10-Sep/45%/50%/-5%
09-Sep/45%/49%/-4%
08-Sep/44%/46%/-2%
07-Sep/46%/45%/+1%
06-Sep/47%/44%/+3%
05-Sep/48%/45%/+3%
04-Sep/47%/45%/+2%
03-Sep/48%/44%/+4%
02-Sep/48%/44%/+4%
01-Sep/47%/44%/+3%
31-Aug/45%/44%/+1%
30-Aug/45%/45%/+0%
29-Aug/45%/46%/-1%
28-Aug/45%/47%/-2%
27-Aug/44%/47%/-3%
26-Aug/45%/47%/-2%
25-Aug/45%/46%/-1%
24-Aug/46%/45%/+1%
23-Aug/45%/45%/+0%
22-Aug/46%/44%/+2%
21-Aug/45%/44%/+1%
20-Aug/44%/43%/+1%
19-Aug/43%/45%/-2%
18-Aug/44%/46%/-2%
17-Aug/45%/46%/-1%
16-Aug/45%/44%/+1%
15-Aug/47%/43%/+4%
14-Aug/47%/44%/+3%
13-Aug/47%/44%/+3%
12-Aug/46%/44%/+2%
11-Aug/46%/44%/+2%
10-Aug/47%/43%/+4%
09-Aug/47%/43%/+4%
08-Aug/45%/45%/+0%
07-Aug/45%/46%/-1%
06-Aug/45%/47%/-2%
05-Aug/47%/45%/+2%
04-Aug/46%/44%/+2%
03-Aug/47%/43%/+4%
02-Aug/46%/44%/+2%
01-Aug/47%/44%/+3%
August & September trends (with leaners)
16-Sep/48%/49%/-1%
15-Sep/48%/48%/+0%
14-Sep/50%/47%/+3%
13-Sep/49%/47%/+2%
12-Sep/48%/47%/+1%
11-Sep/47%/49%/-2%
10-Sep/46%/50%/-4%
09-Sep/47%/50%/-3%
08-Sep/46%/47%/-1%
07-Sep/47%/46%/+1%
06-Sep/49%/45%/+4%
05-Sep/49%/47%/+2%
04-Sep/49%/47%/+2%
03-Sep/50%/46%/+4%
02-Sep/49%/45%/+4%
01-Sep/48%/45%/+3%
31-Aug/47%/46%/+1%
30-Aug/47%/48%/-1%
29-Aug/46%/48%/-2%
28-Aug/46%/48%/-2%
27-Aug/45%/49%/-4%
26-Aug/46%/49%/-3%
25-Aug/47%/48%/-1%
24-Aug/48%/46%/+2%
23-Aug/48%/46%/+2%
22-Aug/48%/45%/+3%
21-Aug/47%/46%/+1%
20-Aug/47%/46%/+1%
19-Aug/46%/47%/-1%
18-Aug/47%/47%/+0%
17-Aug/47%/47%/+0%
16-Aug/48%/46%/+2%
15-Aug/50%/44%/+6%
14-Aug/50%/45%/+5%
13-Aug/50%/45%/+5%
12-Aug/48%/45%/+3%
11-Aug/48%/45%/+3%
10-Aug/49%/44%/+5%
09-Aug/49%/44%/+5%
08-Aug/48%/46%/+2%
07-Aug/47%/47%/+0%
06-Aug/47%/48%/-1%
05-Aug/48%/45%/+3%
04-Aug/47%/45%/+2%
03-Aug/50%/44%/+6%
02-Aug/49%/45%/+4%
01-Aug/50%/45%/+5%
Rolling 7-Day Averages (with leaners)
16-Sep/48.00%/48.14%/-0.14%
15-Sep/47.86%/48.29%/-0.43%
14-Sep/47.57%/48.14%/-0.57%
13-Sep/47.14%/48.00%/-0.86%
12-Sep/47.14%/47.71%/-0.57%
11-Sep/47.29%/47.71%/-0.43%
10-Sep/47.57%/47.43%/+0.14%
09-Sep/48.14%/46.86%/+1.29%
08-Sep/48.43%/46.14%/+2.29%
07-Sep/48.71%/45.86%/+2.86%
06-Sep/48.71%/45.86%/+2.86%
05-Sep/48.43%/46.29%/+2.14%
04-Sep/48.00%/46.43%/+1.57%
03-Sep/47.57%/46.57%/+1.00%
02-Sep/46.86%/47.00%/-0.14%
01-Sep/46.43%/47.57%/-1.14%
31-Aug/46.29%/48.00%/-1.71%
30-Aug/46.43%/48.00%/-1.57%
29-Aug/46.57%/47.71%/-1.14%
28-Aug/46.86%/47.29%/-0.43%
27-Aug/47.00%/47.00%/+0.00%
26-Aug/47.29%/46.57%/+0.71%
25-Aug/47.29%/46.29%/+1.00%
24-Aug/47.29%/46.14%/+1.14%
23-Aug/47.14%/46.29%/+0.86%
22-Aug/47.14%/46.29%/+0.86%
21-Aug/47.43%/46.14%/+1.29%
20-Aug/47.86%/46.00%/+1.86%
19-Aug/48.29%/45.86%/+2.43%
18-Aug/48.57%/45.57%/+3.00%
17-Aug/48.71%/45.29%/+3.43%
16-Aug/49.00%/44.86%/+4.14%
15-Aug/49.14%/44.57%/+4.57%
14-Aug/48.86%/44.86%/+4.00%
13-Aug/48.43%/45.14%/+3.29%
12-Aug/48.00%/45.57%/+2.43%
11-Aug/48.00%/45.57%/+2.43%
10-Aug/47.86%/45.57%/+2.29%
09-Aug/48.00%/45.57%/+2.43%
08-Aug/48.00%/45.71%/+2.29%
07-Aug/48.29%/45.57%/+2.71%
Rolling 7-Day Averages (no leaners)
16-Sep/46.43%/46.71%/-0.29%
15-Sep/46.14%/47.14%/-1.00%
14-Sep/45.57%/47.14%/-1.57%
13-Sep/45.29%/47.14%/-1.86%
12-Sep/45.29%/46.86%/-1.57%
11-Sep/45.71%/46.71%/-1.00%
10-Sep/46.00%/46.29%/-0.29%
09-Sep/46.43%/45.43%/+1.00%
08-Sep/46.86%/44.71%/+2.14%
07-Sep/47.29%/44.43%/+2.86%
06-Sep/47.14%/44.29%/+2.86%
05-Sep/46.86%/44.43%/+2.43%
04-Sep/46.43%/44.57%/+1.86%
03-Sep/46.14%/44.86%/+1.29%
02-Sep/45.57%/45.29%/+0.29%
01-Sep/45.14%/45.71%/-0.57%
31-Aug/44.86%/46.00%/-1.14%
30-Aug/45.00%/46.14%/-1.14%
29-Aug/45.00%/46.14%/-1.14%
28-Aug/45.14%/45.86%/-0.71%
27-Aug/45.14%/45.43%/-0.29%
26-Aug/45.14%/44.86%/+0.29%
25-Aug/44.86%/44.57%/+0.29%
24-Aug/44.71%/44.57%/+0.14%
23-Aug/44.57%/44.71%/-0.14%
22-Aug/44.57%/44.57%/+0.00%
21-Aug/44.71%/44.43%/+0.29%
20-Aug/45.00%/44.43%/+0.57%
19-Aug/45.43%/44.57%/+0.86%
McCain/Obama/2008 (with leaners)
7-Day Rolling Average:
This was the middle of McCain’s bounce.
16-Sep/48.57%/47.00%/+1.57%
15-Sep/48.57%/47.14%/+1.43%
14-Sep/48.43%/47.14%/+1.29%
13-Sep/48.14%/47.29%/+0.86%
12-Sep/47.71%/47.71%/+0.00%
11-Sep/47.29%/48.00%/-0.71%
10-Sep/46.86%/48.29%/-1.43%
09-Sep/46.57%/48.57%/-2.00%
08-Sep/46.14%/49.00%/-2.86%
07-Sep/45.86%/49.29%/-3.43%
06-Sep/45.57%/49.43%/-3.86%
05-Sep/45.43%/49.43%/-4.00%
04-Sep/45.29%/49.57%/-4.28%
03-Sep/45.57%/49.14%/-3.57%
02-Sep/45.86%/48.57%/-2.71%
01-Sep/46.00%/47.86%/-1.86%
31-Aug/45.86%/47.71%/-1.86%
30-Aug/45.71%/47.57%/-1.86%
29-Aug/45.86%/47.43%/-1.57%
28-Aug/46.00%/47.14%/-1.14%
27-Aug/45.86%/47.29%/-1.43%
26-Aug/45.71%/47.43%/-1.71%
25-Aug/45.57%/47.57%/-2.00%
24-Aug/45.71%/47.43%/-1.71%
23-Aug/45.71%/47.29%/-1.57%
22-Aug/45.57%/47.00%/-1.43%
21-Aug/45.43%/47.00%/-1.57%
20-Aug/45.43%/46.86%/-1.43%
19-Aug/45.43%/47.00%/-1.57%
18-Aug/45.57%/47.14%/-1.57%
17-Aug/45.57%/47.29%/-1.71%
16-Aug/45.71%/47.43%/-1.71%
Difference 2008 vs. 2012 (with leaners)
16-Sep/-0.57%/+1.14%
15-Sep/-0.71%/+1.14%
14-Sep/-0.86%/+1.00%
13-Sep/-1.00%/+0.71%
12-Sep/-0.57%/-0.00%
11-Sep/+0.00%/-0.29%
10-Sep/+0.71%/-0.86%
09-Sep/+1.57%/-1.71%
08-Sep/+2.29%/-2.86%
07-Sep/+2.86%/-3.43%
06-Sep/+3.14%/-3.57%
05-Sep/+3.00%/-3.14%
04-Sep/+2.71%/-3.14%
03-Sep/+2.00%/-2.57%
02-Sep/+1.00%/-1.57%
01-Sep/+0.43%/-0.29%
31-Aug/+0.43%/+0.29%
30-Aug/+0.71%/+0.43%
29-Aug/+0.71%/+0.29%
28-Aug/+0.86%/+0.14%
27-Aug/+1.14%/-0.29%
26-Aug/+1.57%/-0.86%
25-Aug/+1.71%/-1.29%
24-Aug/+1.57%/-1.29%
23-Aug/+1.43%/-1.00%
22-Aug/+1.57%/-0.71%
21-Aug/+2.00%/-0.86%
20-Aug/+2.43%/-0.86%
August Average:
(no leaners) 45.55%/44.74%/+0.81%
(with leaners) 47.74%/46.10%/+1.65%
September Average:
(no leaners) 46.56%/45.81%/+0.75%
(with leaners) 48.13%/47.19%/+0.94%
Continue to stay patient, my friends.
Rasmussen has ALWAYS been right.
Frank
Rasmussen Swing-State
47/45 no leaners
48/46 with leaners
7-Day Rolling Average
45.57%/46.14%/-0.67% (no leaners)
47.71%/47.00%/+0.71% (with leaners)
Certain to Vote
41%/39% (daily)
41.00%/40.57% (7-Day Rolling Average)
Frank
Rasmussen:
Job approval:
50/49 (3-day Daily)
48/51 (Swing-State 7-Day Track)
Frank
Did FMWB make this one up?
I love posts that take up half my screen.
Susa/Bluegrass
Kentucky President
Romney 53
Obama 39
Other 3
http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20120916/NEWS0106/309160046/Romney-has-large-lead-Kentucky-Bluegrass-Poll-shows?odyssey=tab%7Ctopnews%7Ctext%7CHome&gcheck=1&nclick_check=1
She’s baaaaaaaaaaaaacccckkk!
http://www.delawareonline.com/article/20120916/NEWS/309150063/Tea-party-picking-its-battles?odyssey=tab|topnews|text|Home&nclick_check=1
Fwank,
That’s what I wive fow.
Frank
Question for the experts:
Why is O gaining in the Ras if his convention bounce is/has receded?
Is he gaining based on a burning Mideast?
anyone notice how Rasputins senate polls are now falling in line with everyone elses! what a hack!
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Not Started
Browns 0 Bengals 0
Not Started
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Not Started
Raiders 0 Dolphins 0
Not Started
Cardinals 0 Patriots 0
Not Started
Buccaneers 0 Giants 0
Not Started
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Not Started
Saints 0 Panthers 0
Not Started
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh.
I hope we get updates every 10 minutes even before the games have started.
Red polls by 14. Now that is what I like to see.
Tee hee
@13 I had to add it to this thread so I can have people compare my predictions to Dave’s
Michael, There is a FOOTBALL thread for that right below this one.
Dave picked Atlanta against Broncos?
Big mistake.
All threads are football threads.
@17 yeah I think Atlanta will win, remember what happened to that Kansas City prediction. Atlanta has a Mack at making the impossible happen
Drudge has big headline that US ignored warnings. Hope that has legs.
Even Tebow would have beaten Atlanta. With Manning will be a massacre.
Ahhh, I love the smell of bravado in the morning…
http://news.yahoo.com/african-american-christians-waver-over-vote-120333681–election.html
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/09/15/obama-team-tweets-campaign-message-on-11-anniversary-day-bodies-returned-from/
HEY ALL YOU SLEEPING BEAUTIES, WAKE THE F..K UP!!!
Can’t believe everyone is sleeping when there are polls to be trashed and trolls to be bashed.
@24 yeh I showed that Kentucky poll and there was NO commentary.
Yes Michael…
Because most people care what your picks are…
Thanks for hijacking the blog with your need to post asinine updates….
I think FMWB is right and WNEPJ is wrong, but that is just me.
Ok, actually I think Romney is down more than one in Michigan and Brown is not losing to Warren in MA.
The Michigan poll has interesting crosstabs- D +8. They adjusted based on sample (the original respondents of 18-30 were only 3 percent, so they upped it to 16 percent weighted, Afr.-Amers were 6.5 percent, so they upped it to almost 20) What was the percentage of the AA vote in Michigan in 2008? How much has the population of Detroit declined since then?
Hey Hunter, if you don’t like Michael’s posts you are free not to read them or you are free to create your own blog banning football or you are free to go to another blog out of the thousands available.
@26 whatever, I try to post politics as well. MTP didn’t even let King talk that much, Ellison couldn’t shut up!
I feel that Drudge is trying to bury the narrative that it is all the videos fault.
“Drudge Has A Big Headline That U.S. Ignored Warnings”:
AP Breaking Chicago 2/28/’29:
“A riot in a North Clark Street garage has apparently claimed the lives of 7 bystanders.”
29…
Nah…
I’ve been coming here for 8 years..
Not going anywhere…
But thanks for the advice, Jason!…
I appreciate YOU chiming in…
28 – I don’t have the voting figure, but the 2010 census says MI is 14.3% AA. I would be surprised to see 2012 TO higher than that figure.
If the MI poll is accurate come November 6th, Romney will be president.
Looks like there’s a funky data point in the sample (the one that appeared yesterday) that had most of the undecideds breaking to Obama.
34- There’s a reason Romney (starting with) the PACs are going full bore in Michigan starting this week- they have to see some movement to Mitt there.
The MSM is in full meltdown mode because the can’t controll the foreign media. This is a huge black eye on Islam and they are trying to keep that narrative from taking hold nbut the foreign is not cooperating.
http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20120916/NEWS0106/309160046?nclick_check=1
On the Romney up big in Kentucky poll, I’m amused by the paper’s bluntness in quoting a Dem KY operative, “blamed Obama’s poor polling numbers on racism.” You know, because John Kerry did so well there.
@39 lol right….
” I’ve been coming here for 8 years..
Not going anywhere… ”
Good. I am glad you are staying.
Now stop whining.
It’s good to see Romney racking up big numbers in Red territory, helps pick off some of the remaining competitive Dem CDs down-ballot and pads the national numbers. .
Awww Jason….
Feelings hurt?…
Take your own advice…
Don’t read my posts and move on…
Joe Scarborough said that Romney’s statement “prevented” the media from properly covering the events in the ME.
LOL
I am glad Dave already has picked the winner for Green Bay AT Chicago, with a categorical “already won this won”.
Good pick.
Maybe the football updates (scores) can be posted in a separate thread.
Of course, the Cutler sucks posts can continue as is.
” Don’t read my posts and move on…”
I am an optimist.
I keep reading them, someday it might be something interesting or relevant.
Hope springs eternal.
Hunter – Do you think Lafayette can hang with Lehigh all season? Will Bucknell be the real powerhouse or can Georgetown make some noise?
Frank
What is the distinction between the Swing State numbers in your posts #3&4 on this thread?
” Feelings hurt?… ‘
Btw, that was a low blow.
A-holes don’t have feelings, please don’t try to undermine me before my peers.
No need for personal attacks.
Well according to Ras it was 4 years ago now that Lehman’s collapsed and with it McCain’s chances. So we’re ahead of the game on that score at least, which is nice.
“already won this won”.
Jesus, make that a triple expresso.
The New York Times is disgusting.
50…
Ha ha ha…
Nice…
#10- D. Cross
I would say that the bump in Obama’s #’s in the past two(2) days is nothing more than Ras’ difficulties with weekend polling!
So now all of Obama’s failures are Mitt’s fault and all of the MSM’s failures are Mitt’s fault. Everything can be blamed on Mitt.
Tee hee
Bitter…
I’m not sure…
Interesting question, though…
Dem registered voter advantage in FL has shrunk by 250k at the end of July compared to 08.
http://www.cnn.com/2012/09/15/world/meast/libya-diplomats-warning/index.html?hpt=hp_t2
Maybe CNN is getting ready to start to report the middle east story straight up
Bitter I am sure you are following this.
Shurns and Cook are really playing well, confirming my pre-season analysis
QB Kyle Cook, Harrisburg’s defense rattles rival York in 38-14 triumph.
” Dominique Shurns rushed for three touchdowns and QB Kyle Cook added 178 passing yards as Harrisburg chased away the visiting Bearcats 38-14 Saturday at Severance Field. Shurns posted his scoring haul in the first 12 minutes as the Cougars (2-1) ran ahead 26-7 and never looked back.”
I have to agree on the updates… imagine if everyone started posting updates of everything that suited their fancy.
I am telling all of you FL will not be close. I worry about ohio alot. FL though is demographically set to hand a comfortable win to Mitt. The first day of early voting in downtown Fort Lauderdale I will do a drive by and announce the winner of FL. It will be that easy. If there is not a line around the block then a big part of O’s base has decided not to vote this time around.
Also, an ad here from one of our most impressive Congressional candidates this cycle- Tom Cotton- running from the open seat in AR-4 ( I believe). The last Dem seat in Arkansas, and he’s favored to win it. Graduated Harvard Law, worked a year or two to pay off the loans, then joined the Army as a 2LT and fought in both Iraq and Afghanistan. He also wrote an open letter to the NYT in 2006 saying they’d committed espionage and aided the enemy in an article outing a program that secretly monitored terrorists’ finances.
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/cotton-ad-fight-through-fire_652415.html
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
55 Do not suggest a weekend polling effect.You will be attacked by chem dad.
Update…
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
We have always covered football here, so I see nothing wrong with the updates.
If someone was introducing curling or badminton updates I could see your point.
#62:
Fla. will not be close? So, all the polls are wrong?
We have always endorsed trolling, btw.
Trolls get what they most want here, attention.
Look at the gains boys, look at the gains!
http://www.naplesnews.com/photos/2012/aug/31/413859/
In 2008 the gains in FL were all with Dems, this time around it’s all GOP and Indies- the dems are shrinking.
I think there’s room for Kate Upton updates, as well as sundry other non-political posts.
Economy; movies; football. Let a thousand flowers bloom, as Mao once said, just before chopping them all down.
Florida will be a lot more like Bush-Kerry than Obama-McCain.
@67 thank you, after what I have read here on the thread I see no reason not to continue with the football updates.
Also, it looks like Gov. rounds will be asking on Sen. Johnson after all. We can already count one senate seat for Republicans there.
Update….
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
Scott,
#3 is head-to-head R/D
#4 is job approval for the swing-state poll
Frank
#68- Tim
Yes Tim, all the polls are wrong except for today’s MI and KY Polls!
“We can already count one senate seat for Republicans there”
That’s what I thought about Sky Queen in MO, too. Would’ve bet my life on it.
Bunu’s “black swan” does swim by every now & then.
#75- Frank
Got it. Sorry to have imposed. I should have been able to figure it out by my lonesome.
Ras claims that without leaners,Romney is +8 with the Unaffiliated Voters. That being the case,then Obama must have a pretty sizable lead in maintaining his base. Correct?
@77 I feel this will be more like Thompson/Wisconsin race rather than MO race.
Update…..
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
” So, all the polls are wrong?”
A 53-47 win for Romney would be within the MOE of most polls released for FL.
BWF World Ranking – BWF????? (9/13/2012)
Last updated: Thursday, September 13, 2012 10:14 AM
OverviewTournamentsSearch
Ranking week:
Men’s singles More
Rank Country Player Member ID Points Tournaments Confederation Country
1
CHN LIN Dan
Profile
50906 93313.4114 15 Asia China
2
MAS LEE Chong Wei
Profile
50152 91898.7300 15 Asia Malaysia
3
CHN CHEN Long
Profile
75787 85610.3161 17 Asia China
4
CHN CHEN Jin
Profile
51592 69492.9100 20 Asia China
5
DEN Peter Hoeg GADE
Profile
6926 62882.2423 16 Europe Denmark
6
INA Simon SANTOSO
Profile
51599 61543.2133 18 Asia Indonesia
7
JPN Sho SASAKI
Profile
50905 60400.1360 18 Asia Japan
8
KOR LEE Hyun Il
Profile
11704 59912.9090 17 Asia Korea
9
JPN Kenichi TAGO
Profile
63707 58609.9075 16 Asia Japan
10
CHN DU Pengyu
Profile
55380 55436.3100 16 Asia China
TRASH the WNEPI poll. Brown is up 57-35 in Indies and up 12 in Central Mass voters overall. She is toast.
80. I like it.
It has poetic balance.
” If someone was introducing curling or badminton updates I could see your point.”
I guess Hunter didn’t see the point.
Obama’s Failed Record and Policies by Jennifer
Rubin
President Obama’s failed record. “Perhaps the president and his aides are declinists, who think of the United States as too weak to act; perhaps they are indifferent; perhaps they are merely incompetent. In any event, this president will leave his successor a country that is considerably less secure than it was when he took the oath of office.”
……………………………..
There are dead Americans, an al-Qaeda flag flying above an embassy, and American flags and buildings burning. This is chaos. This is not the picture of an America more respected in the world. This is America cowering, uncertain what embassy will be hit next.
………………………………..
Egan-Jones Ratings Co. cut its credit rating for the U.S. one level to AA-, citing the potential for the Federal Reserve’s third round of large-scale asset purchases to weaken the dollar and drive up inflation.
U.S. debt to gross-domestic-product has risen to 104 percent from 66 percent in 2006, Egan-Jones said today in a report. The firm lowered the U.S. to AA in April. Yields on 10- year Treasuries have fallen five basis points since the end of that month to 1.86 percent.
The Fed’s latest program will “stoke the stock market and commodity prices, but in our opinion will hurt the U.S. economy and, by extension, credit quality,” Egan-Jones said. “The increased cost of commodities will pressure profitability of businesses, and increase the costs of consumers, thereby reducing consumer purchasing power.”
Mitt Romney spokeswoman Andrea Saul responded to the development in an e-mail to me: “Under President Obama, our country has racked up a record breaking $16 trillion in debt and seen an unprecedented credit downgrade. President Obama’s wasteful spending has stunted our economic growth, slowed hiring and caused the recovery to stall.”
World Badminton Rankings…
VERY interesting…
#84 Why, thank you…
now call me an a-hole and my day will be complete.
Update……
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
#82 Hunter,
I’ve been waiting for those. ESPN Sports Center didn’t cover them in their last update. Do you have a link? Thanks.
Update… type nfl.com for the latest scores at the top of the screen.
That Michigan poll is D+9 (42/33/25). Does anyone know if that’s reasonable for there?
#91 will be updated every 15 minutes.
” Apparently ESPN has added a bunch more so-called experts to their weekly contest that I am going to have to compete with. Unlike the normal seven of eight they have had for years, there are 12 ESPN personalities making picks this year. Right now, I am tied for third place.”
Hey, Hunter, the owner of the blog seems to like football.
Why don’t you write him and ask him to ban updates on football.
Maybe he will and you can be happy. Or maybe he will tell you to mind your own business. Or maybe he will ignore you.
Worth a shot.
Marv…
Thank you for appreciating my work…
I will update every 11 minutes…
Curling to follow…
Stay tuned, Marv!!!…
Scott,
Rasmussen:
GOP/Dem/Indy:
Romney: 86%/9%/45% (no leaners)
Romney: 87%/9%/47% (with leaners)
Obama: 10/88/37 (no leaners)
Obama: 12/89/45 (with leaners)
Frank
Looks like there will be a replacement ref for the replacement ref in the NO game after the original ref was a self proclaimed Saints fan on Facebook…
” now call me an a-hole and my day will be complete.”
Sorry I don’t give out accolades like that on cue.
#24…”Can’t believe everyone is sleeping when there are polls to be trashed and trolls to be bashed.” There is a poet in you!
I just watched Brit Hume on Fox News Sunday. He said Romney may well get the referendum of Obama he wanted, but still lose because he hasn’t made the policy case for himself.
He prefaced that comment by saying Romney has the presidential temprement down and also the acceptablility as a family man the public wants.
He said that while their may be the desire to fire the incumbent, the challenger still has to give the public reason to hire him.
Update…….
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
I think Hunter has the false impression people here actually have lives.
Most of us would read the manual on the sex habits of dung beetles if it was posted.
Jason…
He posts one thread with his picks…
That’s it..
I get that…
Not every 15 minutes on a conference maybe 5 people care about…
Honestly, I have a friggin smart phone and computer…
Don’t need to come here for Big Ten updates every 15 minutes…
That’s my point…
Get it or is it still too complicated for you?…
#100, yeah and handed a softball to the ever OBNOXIOUS, Lis Marlantes: my least favorite panelist on Fox.
Hunter you want to play sporting wars yeh? Well your going to get one.
Red Sox 3
Blue Jays 2
Pirates 7
Cubs 6
Phillies 0
Astros 5
Headlines to be updated on the hour…
Mitt Romney invokes Rick Santorum in taped address to Values Voter Summit The Ticket – Fri, Sep 14, 2012
Obama vows to ‘never retreat’ from world after Libya deaths The Ticket – Fri, Sep 14, 2012
‘Stay Away From Seattle Day’ marks Emerald City’s anti-love letter to the nation The Sideshow – Fri, Sep 14, 2012
Romney dishes on daytime TV: He loves Snooki and sleeps in ‘as little as possible’ The Ticket – Fri, Sep 14, 2012
Proposed ‘Lowline’ park would create underground oasis in NYC The Sideshow – Fri, Sep 14, 2012
Police capture sex offender after his girlfriend ‘likes’ their department on Facebook The Sideshow – Fri, Sep 14, 2012
Union, Chicago leaders close to a deal: Report The Lookout – Fri, Sep 14, 2012
Ex-Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm’s 1978 ‘Dating Game’ appearance (VIDEO) The Sideshow – Fri, Sep 14, 2012
Obama notifies Congress of troops sent to Libya, Yemen The Ticket – Fri, Sep 14, 2012
Mitt Romney does not think middle class starts at $200,000 a year The Ticket – Fri, Sep 14, 2012
Michigan was D+5 in 2004 and D+12 in 2008 according to CNN exit polls. This poll is D+9 – right in the middle.
99. Now SusyQue is praising me.
First Hunter suggests I have feelings.
Then Susyque says something she probably thought was positive about me.
My day is ruined and its only 11 AM.
Sniff……
@103 call off your attack, your surrender is unconditional.
Update……..
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
” Get it or is it still too complicated for you?…”
Nah, it’s clear as day.
You are a busybody and don’t have much to think about and are too lazy to skip a post you don’t want to read.
I got it.
Updated daily…
Florida School Breakfast Week
Sept. 17-21, 2012
Attention Bearcats:
COME JOIN US FOR BREAKFAST!
If you are eligible for Free Lunch …
you are eligible for Free Breakfast!
If you are eligible for Reduced Lunch…
you are eligible for Reduced Breakfast!
How about some baseball scores from yesterday?
Update…. type nfl.com for the latest scores at the top of the screen.
@103 well if you want to post your conference then go ahead and put effort into it. But don’t get pissed at me because I put effort into something I want to post. You can criticize the words of the post but not the post itself.
Hey guys look what I found! It has all of the scores of all of the NFL games in one place!
http://scores.espn.go.com/nfl/scoreboard
I see Robbie Troll has spent the first 5 hours today searching high and low to find someone that is not an MSM tool to say the election is not a referendum on Obama.
He says Brit Hume, who is not an MSM tool, KINDA said that yes, it’s a referendum, and yes Romney has to make a case for himself.
Yawwwnnnnnnn…….
Update………
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
We love Vito!
116. If I wanted to have the trouble of clicking on links I wouldn’t come here.
Michael, the football updates are welcome.
So is Mr. Vito’s disclaimer.
The NFL is a sock puppet?????
You are allowed to have multiple tabs open in your browser…
@120 thank you, I will continue them and I will work on a strategy to add SEC and an ACC game or two into the mix.
Why aren’t you including updates from the black colleges… are you racist?
Update……….
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
jason – Harrisburg is the real deal. They draw from the City of Harrisburg – the only place outside Philadelphia with a large AA population (I know some NFL players came out of there). York gets big, slow farm boys who have big dreams of being shop stewards at the Harley-Davidson plant. Total mismatch.
#96- Frank
With these numbers and with a R+1 Party ID, Romney should be ahead a lot more in today’s RAS’ polling.Did Ras change Party ID again?
Morons can go ahead and pretend that posting the NFL and major college game updates is the same as posting the local high school menu.
Personally, I think we should up the standards for hall monitors.
While we have quantity, we don’t have quality.
I was listening to Fox News yesterday on Sirius radio and they were interviewing Scott Rasmussen. He said that the presidential election now stood exactly where it stood before the conventions AND that anyone who now says they know who is going to win the presidency is either:
a) lying
or
b)self deluding.
Real strong statement by Ras.
ps – among others I believed he was aiming this statement at Nate Silver.
@124 Don’t get me pissed and switch the SEC for Mountain West division games.
Michael, during the Saints-Panthers game we’re going to need updated passing stats for both Cam Newton and Drew Brees every ten minutes
We need to see how the young ‘un compares today to the grand master…
Mr. Vito – Did the spin cycle rattle your brain? Maybe MD should air dry you.
HHR catch phrases:
NO DEAL!
GFY!
SOCK IT TO ME!
JUST WAIT!
STAND UP CHUCK!
(updates every 30 minutes)
LPGA UPDATE
1 Jiyai Shin +1 7 -9 71 64 71 206
T2 Mika Miyazato +1 7 -2 71 70 72 213
T2 Karrie Webb +5 7 -2 71 70 68 209
4 Inbee Park +3 7 -1 72 68 72 212
5 Katie Futcher +2 7 +1 71 71 73 215
T6 Jenny Shin +5 9 +3 75 68 71 214
T6 Angela Stanford +1 9 +3 72 72 74 218
T6 So Yeon Ryu +4 9 +3 70 74 71 215
T9 Paula Creamer +3 11 +4 73 72 72 217
T9 Stacy Lewis E 9 +4 74 70 76 220
11 Julieta Granada +2 12 +5 74 71 74 219
The KY poll is nice but not adequate. Look at KY results for 2000,2004,2008. Basically, anything over 40% for O would indicate benefit in his direction.In fact, since the state reports early (6 PM) and fairly quickly – this election night result will be better than any exit poll on election day. If O is less than 40% in KY – game on. Less than 39%, R likely wins. If O is over 41%, O likely wins.
Damn I forgot to include the rest of the field. Hold on.
Final Score
Hawaii——-54
Lamar——–2
Attendance: 31,442
Lamar got their two points by blocking a Hawaii PAT attempt and running into the other end zone with 8:19 remaining in the 4th quarter.
Michael – could you update the scores every 3 minutes instead of 5? I would like to keep HHR open while watching the game today. Thanks. It is a valuable service.
#134 SWEET! If only there was a place at my fingertips where I could find that information.
@135 it did keep him under 40 in that poll though
1 Jiyai Shin +1 7 -9 71 64 71 206
T2 Mika Miyazato +1 7 -2 71 70 72 213
T2 Karrie Webb +5 7 -2 71 70 68 209
4 Inbee Park +3 7 -1 72 68 72 212
5 Katie Futcher +2 7 +1 71 71 73 215
T6 Jenny Shin +5 9 +3 75 68 71 214
T6 Angela Stanford +1 9 +3 72 72 74 218
T6 So Yeon Ryu +4 9 +3 70 74 71 215
T9 Paula Creamer +3 11 +4 73 72 72 217
T9 Stacy Lewis E 9 +4 74 70 76 220
11 Julieta Granada +2 12 +5 74 71 74 219
T12 Chella Choi +5 12 +6 72 73 72 217
T12 Michelle Wie +5 11 +6 75 70 72 217
T12 Lydia Ko (a) +3 9 +6 72 71 76 219
T12 Yuki Ichinose +6 9 +6 72 72 72 216
T16 Carlota Ciganda -1 14 +7 76 71 77 224
T16 I.K. Kim +3 13 +7 75 72 73 220
T16 Cindy LaCrosse +3 12 +7 73 75 72 220
T16 Lexi Thompson -2 11 +7 74 75 76 225
T16 Catriona Matthew +3 10 +7 76 73 71 220
T16 Ai Miyazato +7 9 +7 71 72 73 216
Don’t worry Michael, the hall monitors will find something else to bitch about soon.
If their attention span was longer than a few nanoseconds, they wouldn’t be hall monitors.
Can you believe Alabama whacked Arkansas 52-0 yesterday?!?!
JHCOAMFC!
@138 of course since we don’t get all the games on the TV sometimes.
We also need LB stats on tackling b/c I don’t know how to watch games on TV.
The internet is hard too.
Bush received 56% of the vote in 2000. Brilliant analysis Rudy. Too bad it isn’t accurate.
Orioles Box Score… updated daily for Dave:
McLouth, LF 4 1 2 1 0 0 0 .233
Hardy, SS 4 0 0 0 0 1 1 .235
Wieters, C 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 .245
Jones, Ad, CF 3 1 2 0 1 0 0 .287
Davis, C, DH 4 0 2 0 0 2 2 .264
Reynolds, Ma, 1B 3 0 2 1 1 1 1 .231
Machado, 3B 4 0 0 0 0 1 5 .270
Chavez, En, RF 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 .195
Andino, 2B 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 .211
Totals 33 2 8 2 2 6 14 .247
BATTING
2B: Reynolds, Ma (24, Parker, J), Davis, C (18, Parker, J).
HR: McLouth (3, 3rd inning off Parker, J, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Davis, C 3; Reynolds, Ma 3; Jones, Ad 2; McLouth 5.
RBI: Reynolds, Ma (60), McLouth (16).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Machado; Chavez, En 2.
GIDP: Hardy.
Team RISP: 1-for-6.
Team LOB: 6.
Stay tuned for the pitching stats….
Brandon, Can you do 3 min updates?
” Morons can go ahead and pretend that posting the NFL and major college game updates is the same as posting the local high school menu.”
I see Brandon took my advice.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Not Started
Browns 0 Bengals 0
Not Started
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Not Started
Raiders 0 Dolphins 0
Not Started
Cardinals 0 Patriots 0
Not Started
Buccaneers 0 Giants 0
Not Started
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Not Started
Saints 0 Panthers 0
Not Started
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh.
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Update………..
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
Cool. An update war. I love it. This may be what gets us finally to 1500. I’ll have to think of something I can update every 5 minutes as well.
Mr Vito- Do you have any updates for 2013 Scouting?
Yes, definitely, I know it is urgent information and I know you guys are incapable of using a different tab to have the scores in that window.
I think there are some idiots here that believe if they post inane updates, Michael will stop posting relevant updates.
Michael, why don’t you tell them they are deluded.
Vito – you are doing God’s work!!!!
Michael – keep it up but do more please!
Brandon – stay upset and let it be known over and over again. All updates are welcomed!
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Vito 1-0
add 1-0
phil 1-0
dw 1-0
my neighbor 0-1
obama 0-1
the cable guy 1-0
my right sock 0-1
reagan’s ghost 0-1
willy wonka 1-0
tooth fairy 1-0
154 – most of us are middle aged men who spend half their free time on a fuucking blog so don’t overrate us.
jason called me in to restore order. From now on please only post the following:
1. Obama sucks
2. Obama sucks more than that
3. The polls are wrong
4. Ras sucks
5. Ras is great
Thank you. Don’t make me come back here.
I can only update until 12:30 and then I’m going over my GF’s to watch football. Michael please keep updating the scores because I am mentally incapable of using my brain to find the scores.
Michael – how about updating QB stats say every 15 minutes?
I think the hall monitors are cutting off their noses to spite their faces.
I don’t care if you post the baseball updates. I won’t read them.
I will read the football updates.
You know, in addition to the scores.
Hey Hunter, your sports happen to be irrelevant, I can’t wait for Basketball season where my posts will be triple your Badminton tournament
Michael re your #123 above
Next week post ALL of the Big Ten games and ALL of the SEC games in one single post, updated at ten minute intervals, that would ROCK!!!
I need to know the Yards Per Carry of every running back. Hopefully Michael can update that every 2 minutes.
Is it that time again?
Update………..
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Not Started
Browns 0 Bengals 0
Not Started
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Not Started
Raiders 0 Dolphins 0
Not Started
Cardinals 0 Patriots 0
Not Started
Buccaneers 0 Giants 0
Not Started
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Not Started
Saints 0 Panthers 0
Not Started
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh.
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Next update, will include ESPN predictions in points for the games
The irony. Sports may get us to the coveted, yet to obtained, 1500.
WHY do we need an UPDATE if the games haven’t even started yet??
He says Brit Hume, who is not an MSM tool, KINDA said that yes, it’s a referendum, and yes Romney has to make a case for himself.
Yawwwnnnnnnn…….
Comment by jason — September 16, 2012 @ 11:09 am
And yet you’ve argued for months this election was all about Obama and nothing else. Now when someone you seem to sort of respect says Romney must make a specific case for his policies, your response is “yawnnnnnn”?
Of course, Brit Hume is right. And Romney shouldn’t be afraid that offering economic specifics will give ammo to the press. Scott Walker ran on specifics even though the media wanted his scalp and he won by a larger margin in the recall than his did the first time around.
If Walker can beat the press in a modeestly blue state on specifics, Romney can easily do the same.
@165 great idea, and to Piss Hunter off even more I will add a mountain west division game or two. Maybe the Nevada and New Mexico games!
For the Eagles Fans…
Philadelphia PA
En Español
Mostly Cloudy
70°F
21°C
Humidity47%
Wind SpeedSW 5 mph
Barometer30.13 in (1020.4 mb)
Dewpoint49°F (9°C)
Visibility10.00 mi
Last Update on 16 Sep 10:54 am EDT
#100…Thanks for the info…it’s exactly the kind of report I detest….a dissing of Mitt Rommey, as if he were a dunce. Bret always plays it one foot on the fence and one foot off. O’Reilly does the same thing. I am not impressed with Fox polls because they have become less conservative by trying to be “fair and balanced.” There are many times when they have 3 people to discuss a topic. Two are lefties and one is a conservitive.
Mitt Romney will be our 45th president!
MD – My wife is going to get a massage. I am taking my daughter to Game Stop to buy a game called Zhu Zhu Puppies. I am then going to Chipotle to buy my son lunch. I have a full life, damn it.
Michael – the Eagles offense didn’t look great against the Browns. We will have to see how it goes. I can’t recall an Andy Reid team being 2 and 0 except for the Terrell Owens year.
” I am mentally incapable of using my brain to find the scores.”
I can find the polls on my own too.
But I come here because someone has done the work for me.
If someone on weekends is kind enough to update the football scores I am grateful.
I am sorry Brandon, that this blog is not exclusively dedicated to what you might find interesting.
I hope you can live with the disappointment.
Marv, I have a question for you that I KNOW you’ll know
When a team blocks a PAT and returns it all the way for 2 points, what is that CALLED?
It doesn’t seem to have a name like the scoring plays (touchdown, field goal, safety, point after touchdown, two point conversion)
What the hell is that called?
175 – that is a sad life. I am alone, drinking coffee, typing on a blog, thinking about getting a shower.
THAT, my friend (my inner McCain coming forth) is a full life.
I find football interesting. I find the posts redundant and annoying(yes, I know the same things are said about me).
RE: Kentucky:
Gore won national popular vote in 2000 and picked up 41.4% of vote in KY.
Kerry lost popular vote in 2004 and picked up 39.7% of vote (Nader at 1.x%)
Obama won popular vote handily in 2008 picked up 41.2% (Nader at .8%%).
So, MD be snarky if you wish – but bottom line 40% or so is the demarcation line. Over 41% for O and he likely wins. Anything below 40% and R looks better and better.
Coast Guard—35
MIT—————21
Penn St———34
Navy————-7
No Illinois——-41
Army————-42
(Army had two failed PAT’s)
I have never seen that happen MFG.
Correction
No Illinois——–41
Army————–40
Is it that time again?
Update…………
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
You people are goddamned communists!
Football is America, America is football
Too much football?!
How can there ever be too much football?!
What the fuqq is wrong with you people?
MD – Today will be the battle of small and fast against big and powerful. Based on nothing at all, I will predict Eaagles 24 Ravens 17.
181 – President Bush might disagree with that shallow analysis.
Mr Vito, What is the weather update for the Monday night game?
I know it’s indoors but we have to park outside!
Robbie update:
Posts: 2
Romney criticisms: 2
Obama criticisms: 0
” And yet you’ve argued for months this election was all about Obama and nothing else. Now when someone you seem to sort of respect says Romney must make a specific case for his policies, your response is “yawnnnnnn”?”
I saw the interview.
Hume DID say the election was a referendum on Obama, and I think he threw in the Romney part to cover all bases.
I see you are conveniently ignoring the main thrust of his argument.
But then, you are a troll.
OK. It is too early for me to bet against the Eagles. We will know more about this team after today’s game. Vick is the key. He has to play much better than last week. If not, we may have a QB controversy brewing.
190. That was the 15 minute update right.
I have Robbie’s weekly update:
Posts: 549
Romney criticisms: 549
Obama criticisms: 0
Monday Night Football update:
Atlanta, GA
Mostly Cloudy
78°F
26°C
Humidity62%
Wind SpeedSW 8 mph
Barometer30.13 in (1019.4 mb)
Dewpoint64°F (18°C)
Visibility10.00 mi
Heat Index80°F (27°C)
Last Update on 16 Sep 10:52 am EDT
Monday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 82. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Monday Night Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 68. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Wobbie just never stops. Ever. I tried to explain it to him in a nice way but was ignored. You can give an honest opinion without having to repeat it 100000000000000 times. He almost is never critical of the Marxist and Dear Leader. That is true. A troll.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Not Started Espn Bills by 3
Browns 0 Bengals 0
Not Started Espn Bengals by 7
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Not Started Espn Vikings by 3
Raiders 0 Dolphins 0
Not Started. Espn Raiders by 3
Cardinals 0 Patriots 0
Not Started. Espn Patriots by 14
Buccaneers 0 Giants 0
Not Started. Espn Giants by 8
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Not Started. Espn Eagles by 3
Saints 0 Panthers 0
Not Started. Espn Saints by 3
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh.
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
The Ravens are better than the Eagles. That is why they will lose to the Eagles today. It all makes sense.
As for my full life, I already took a shower. My friend, you can not keep up with my pace.
Thanks Mr. Vito.
Valuable info, Manning plays best in the rain.
Calling my bookie.
Mr. Vito
Could you provide the outlook for Denver? Thanks.
Is it that time again?
Update………….
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
I have yet to take a shower, I have been busy attacking hall monitors and bashing trolls.
Pls. fill in for me while I go take my shower.
A random thought. I am on schedule to fly 35,000 miles this year. That would be the least amount I have flown since 2005. In 2010, I flew 146,000 miles.
Random thoughts. I think those are worth posting as well.
Denver, CO
Partly Cloudy
64°F
18°C
Humidity26%
Wind SpeedSW 13 mph
Barometer30.17 in (1014.8 mb)
Dewpoint28°F (-2°C)
Visibility70.00 mi
Last Update on 16 Sep 8:55 am MDT
Monday A 10 percent chance of showers after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph.
Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm.
Why do you park in a driveway and drive on a parkway?
MD, who is playing in Denver? The Bronco’s game is in Atlanta.
Oh you mean for the rodeo?
Rass Report
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: Romney 47%, Obama 46%
Florida Senate: Nelson (D) 47%, Mack (R) 40%
Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson still leads Republican Connie Mack in Florida’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race.
47% Expect Higher Interest Rates One Year From Now
The Federal Reserve on Thursday announced it is extending its plan to keep interest rates low until 2015, but nearly half of Americans expect higher interest rates a year from now.
SWING STATE DAILY TRACKING: 37% Say US Heading in Right Direction
Should have been more specific – can I get the 5 day for Denver? Going there on Tuesday, flying home on Wednesday. Thanks again.
Random thought: Did I remember to turn off the garage light?
They have showers in Amish country?
Brandon – keep the criticism and vitriol going. jason is taking a shower and we need the replacement posts so we can keep this pace and hit 1500 by 07:28 according to my algo.
No problem, MD… it is nearly impossible to find this I know:
Monday A 10 percent chance of showers after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph.
Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm.
Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 78. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 79.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Thursday Sunny, with a high near 78.
Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Friday Sunny, with a high near 75.
Friday Night Mostly c
In 1989, she came to my door and asked to borrow a cup of sugar. It was 11 PM.
Godd–mit, I think she wanted something else!!!
Why does a woman need so many pairs of shoes?
Is it that time again?
Update…………..
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
Random thought: Why does MD need so many pairs of socks?
LSU Rushing stats from last nights game:
CAR YDS AVG TD LG
K. Hilliard 11 116 10.5 2
J. Hill 10 61 6.1 2 16
A. Blue 10 46 4.6 1 9
R. Shepard 3 24 8.0 0
M. Ford 1 9 9.0 0 9
Z. Mettenberger 4 -6 -1.5 0
Team 39 250 6.4 5 71
Is Vito jealous?
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Not Started Espn Bills by 3
Browns 0 Bengals 0
Not Started Espn Bengals by 7
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Not Started Espn Vikings by 3
Raiders 0 Dolphins 0
Not Started. Espn Raiders by 3
Cardinals 0 Patriots 0
Not Started. Espn Patriots by 14
Buccaneers 0 Giants 0
Not Started. Espn Giants by 8
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Not Started. Espn Eagles by 3
Saints 0 Panthers 0
Not Started. Espn Saints by 3
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh.
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Many commentators on Espn think New Orleans might hold onto last weeks loss too much and have the Panthers sneak by with the win.
Mr Vito’s typing update…
So far I have created 0 problems for the upcoming exam…
I felt bad for the Idaho kid who had a 99 yard interception return last night but was knocked out of bounds at the 5
Must have been pissed!
” They have showers in Amish country?”
Easy. Hang some buckets up so they catch rainwater off the barn roof. Tie a string to the bucket handle and leave dangling. Stand under the bucket and pull string.
ps: In winter have defibrillator on hand
SWING STATE DAILY TRACKING: 37% Say US Heading in Right Direction
Brick wall straight ahead!
This place is becoming a wealth of information!
You’re darn tootin I’m jealous, Brandon!
“Easy. Hang some buckets up so they catch rainwater off the barn roof. Tie a string to the bucket handle and leave dangling. Stand under the bucket and pull string.”
I thought they used an elephant like the Flintstones… see? A wealth of information!!
Is it that time again?
Update……………
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
Brown better get together with his chiefs and have a pow pow and they all better get on the warpath if they want to catch up to PocahontasWarren.
My wife had the temerity to interrupt my blogging with a phone call! F’n women these days.
Jensen just said that the VA president numbers and MA senate numbers will be released tonight
” I thought they used an elephant like the Flintstones… see? ”
Racist comment.
Elephants are not only for showers.
I felt bad for the Idaho kid who had a 99 yard interception return last night but was knocked out of bounds at the 5
Next time he won’t run like a little bytc!
Time for predictions
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6/ Brown +1
I have always thought the Brown race was going to be hard. Everyone here, (except HD) disagreed with me. Again, the guy won by 5 with every single factor in his favor.
Oh noes! More blue polls from PPP?
!
” My wife had the temerity to interrupt my blogging with a phone call!”
Mine did that once.
I think after the 50th apology and endless gifts I am going to forgive her. Heck, it’s been almost a year.
231 – Michael
Who is the polling firm?
I am NOT happy with the pace by the way. We have slowed down too much. Now, my algo is spitting out 20:45 as the new time for 1500.
I’m scared, tell me it’ll be OK:
http://scores.espn.go.com/ncf/boxscore?gameId=322590008
#178 MFG
It is referred to as a Two Point Touchdown, according NCAA college football rules.
“Oh noes! More blue polls from PPP?”
I think jenny blue balls is a little slow on the uptake.
All PPP-Dkos polls are blue.
It’ll be OK.
I KNEW you would know that Marv
Thanks!
MFG,
You should be scared, it is not going to be OK.
Come on predictions?
Meet George Jetson
I wonder if Alabama will be favored against the Tigers when they come to Baton Rouge on November 3rd?
LSU maybe a home underdog?
Wow
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Not Started Espn Bills by 3
Browns 0 Bengals 0
Not Started Espn Bengals by 7
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Not Started Espn Vikings by 3
Raiders 0 Dolphins 0
Not Started. Espn Raiders by 3
Cardinals 0 Patriots 0
Not Started. Espn Patriots by 14
Buccaneers 0 Giants 0
Not Started. Espn Giants by 8
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Not Started. Espn Eagles by 3
Saints 0 Panthers 0
Not Started. Espn Saints by 3
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh.
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
That shouldn’t count for any points. It should be a dead play like it is in the NFL.
Somebody tell me what happened over the last two days in RAS with leaners?
Michael – answer my q in 235!
I dunno, Marv
LSU is really good, I would say if it were a road game we would have no chance
At home we have a chance
Yea, but then you would probably have to play a second time.
Never posted before. I’m pleased that Romney stayed ahead on a weekend poll – and despite all of the MSM garbage about his big “gaffe” this week when he stood up for America and our embassy people abroad. By the way, no way is Warren ahead in Mass – NO WAY (I live in Mass).
In 88, Bush beat Duk by 2.5%. Just a little perspective on PA. In 84, Reagan won by 7.4%.
Now, does anyone think PA is in play?
Would that be hilarious or what!
Honest to God it looks like last year
Alabama and LSU 1 and 2
Oregon is good though
Romney displayed true leadership. Funny, Robbie didn’t comment on that, did he?
Michael…
No worries…
Not going to piss me off if you post more inane updates…
Just giving my opinion and you can obviously post whatever you want…
As your Fluffer, Jason, advised me, I’ll just continue to skip past your posts…
But I’m sure the other 2 people appreciate the latest on Minnesota…
@248 PPP
251
Welcome – we are all a bunch of easy going guys. You’ll love it here. Also, hope you are right about Brown.
Is it that time again?
Update…………….
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Not Started Espn Bills by 3
Browns 0 Bengals 0
Not Started Espn Bengals by 7
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Not Started Espn Vikings by 3
Raiders 0 Dolphins 0
Not Started. Espn Raiders by 3
Cardinals 0 Patriots 0
Not Started. Espn Patriots by 14
Buccaneers 0 Giants 0
Not Started. Espn Giants by 8
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Not Started. Espn Eagles by 3
Saints 0 Panthers 0
Not Started. Espn Saints by 3
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh..
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
…we apologize for the delay in the previous update… we were too busy asking Al Gore for an answer to whether there is a place on the internet he invented where we could find all the nfl scores together…
VA POTUS – Obama +4
MA Senate – Warren +3
Time for predictions
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6 VA/ Brown +1
Things are picking nicely!
I think Dave always picks the Baltimore Ravens (his team), and ALWAYS picks against the Washington Redskins.
Thing is – this year, the Skins could be good.
Al Gore replied:
He says it is theoretically possible, but it would create too high of a carbon footprint.
He sent this email from his private jet.
Who is going to give us daily MLB wild card updates?
Pick games against the spread. That is much more difficult than straight up.
Time for predictions
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6 VA/ Brown +1
MD: Obama +4 VA/ Warren +4
PPP also said in an update that Virgil Goode is dropping
I am not worried about Ras. Any time you have a three day track you expect movement back and forth by a point or even two either way for no reason at all. Sounds like Friday’s sample was rich in Dem leaning indies.
I also wouldn’t be suprised at all if Ras did readjust his weights (he does every month) and this month they show a slight D advantage in the weights. The DNC did happen at the start of the month after all, and probably would affect (increase) the D participation. That effect is sure to be temporary.
Just stay cool and keep your proverbial powder dry.
-Polaris
Vito’s typing update…
Vito has created 0 problems for his upcoming exam…
According to Hot Air, Gop lawmakers want Romney to change course. Do have polling data that we don’t have? I think Romney is fine considering he’s running against Obama and the media!
Michigan Baydoun (D):
Obama 46%
Romney 44%
I think its sage to say that Romney will be contesting Michigan.
American League Wild Card
Division Leaders W L PCT WCGB WCE # L10 STRK LAST GAME NEXT GAME
Texas 86 59 .593 - - 6-4 L1 9/15 vs SEA, L 6-8 9/16 vs SEA, 3:05 PM
NY Yankees 82 63 .566 - - 6-4 W1 9/15 vs TB, W 5-3 9/16 vs TB, 1:05 PM
Chi White Sox 78 66 .542 - - 5-5 W2 9/15 @ MIN, W 5-3 9/16 @ MIN, 2:10 PM
The top two Wild Card teams from each league make the postseason. The A’s lead the Orioles by three games and would host the one-game playoff.
Wild Card Teams W L PCT WCGB WCE # L10 STRK LAST GAME NEXT GAME
Oakland 84 61 .579 - - 8-2 W2 9/15 vs BAL, W 5-2 9/16 vs BAL, 4:05 PM
Baltimore 81 64 .559 - - 5-5 L2 9/15 @ OAK, L 2-5 9/16 @ OAK, 4:05 PM
LA Angels 79 67 .541 2.5 15 6-4 L1 9/15 @ KC, L 2-3 9/16 @ KC, 2:10 PM
Tampa Bay 78 67 .538 3.0 15 4-6 L1 9/15 @ NYY, L 3-5 9/16 @ NYY, 1:05 PM
Detroit 77 67 .535 3.5 15 5-5 W4 9/15 @ CLE, W 5-3 9/16 @ CLE, 3:05 PM
Seattle 70 76 .479 11.5 6 4-6 W1 9/15 @ TEX, W 8-6 9/16 @ TEX, 3:05 PM
Kansas City 66 79 .455 15.0 3 5-5 W1 9/15 vs LAA, W 3-2 9/16 vs LAA, 2:10 PM
Boston 66 80 .452 15.5 2 4-6 W2 9/15 @ TOR, W 3-2 9/16 @ TOR, 1:07 PM
Toronto 65 79 .451 15.5 3 5-5 L2 9/15 vs BOS, L 2-3 9/16 vs BOS, 1:07 PM
Cleveland 60 86 .411 21.5 E 2-8 L2 9/15 vs DET, L 3-5 9/16 vs DET, 3:05 PM
Minnesota 60 86 .411 21.5 E 4-6 L2 9/15 vs CWS, L 3-5 9/16 vs CWS, 2:10 PM
Polaris
How weird would it be if you were way wrong in 08 because you disagreed with Ras and if you were wrong in 12 because you agreed with him? Is there a 3rd choice for 16?
I don’t know what will happen in 12. Just saying.
Saints are 2.5 road favorites against Carolina, tough call, I would very hesitantly pick the Saints
Eagles are 2.5 over the Ravens which looks wrong to me, Ravens win straight up
Houston 7 point favorite over Jaguars, Texans should cover very easily in a blowout…
Frank, pitchaboy, or Ray,
What happened in RAS with leaners over the last two nights?
Romney ahead by 1 without leaners and behind by 1 with leaners seem incongruous.
Anyone else have any ideas………weekend polling, statistical anomaly, outliers in the with leaners sample?
National League Wild Card
Division Leaders W L PCT WCGB WCE # L10 STRK LAST GAME NEXT GAME
Washington 89 56 .614 - - 6-4 L2 9/15 @ ATL, L 4-5 9/16 @ ATL, 8:05 PM
Cincinnati 87 59 .596 - - 5-5 L2 9/15 @ MIA, L 4-6 9/16 @ MIA, 1:10 PM
San Francisco 83 62 .572 - - 6-4 W4 9/15 @ ARI, W 3-2 9/16 @ ARI, 4:10 PM
The top two Wild Card teams from each league make the postseason.
Wild Card Teams W L PCT WCGB WCE # L10 STRK LAST GAME NEXT GAME
Atlanta 83 63 .568 - - 7-3 W2 9/15 vs WSH, W 5-4 9/16 vs WSH, 8:05 PM
LA Dodgers 76 70 .521 - - 3-7 W2 9/15 vs STL, W 4-3 9/16 vs STL, 4:10 PM
St. Louis 76 70 .521 - - 2-8 L2 9/15 @ LAD, L 3-4 9/16 @ LAD, 4:10 PM
Pittsburgh 73 71 .507 2.0 16 3-7 W1 9/15 @ CHC, W 7-6 9/16 @ CHC, 2:20 PM
Milwaukee 73 72 .503 2.5 15 7-3 W1 9/15 vs NYM, W 9-6 9/16 vs NYM, 2:10 PM
Philadelphia 73 73 .500 3.0 14 8-2 L1 9/15 @ HOU, L 0-5 9/16 @ HOU, 2:05 PM
Arizona 71 74 .490 4.5 13 5-5 L2 9/15 vs SF, L 2-3 9/16 vs SF, 4:10 PM
San Diego 70 76 .479 6.0 11 8-2 W1 9/15 vs COL, W 4-3 9/16 vs COL, 4:05 PM
NY Mets 66 79 .455 9.5 8 2-8 L1 9/15 @ MIL, L 6-9 9/16 @ MIL, 2:10 PM
Miami 65 81 .445 11.0 6 5-5 W2 9/15 vs CIN, W 6-4 9/16 vs CIN, 1:10 PM
Colorado 58 86 .403 17.0 1 2-8 L1 9/15 @ SD, L 3-4 9/16 @ SD, 4:05 PM
Chi Cubs 57 88 .393 18.5 E 6-4 L1 9/15 vs PIT, L 6-7 9/16 vs PIT, 2:20 PM
Houston 47 99 .322 29.0 E 5-5 W1 9/15 vs PHI, W 5-0 9/16 vs PHI, 2:05 PM
Vito – give us the NL please?
@275 though the Jaguars were in the only game last week in OT, they did lose to MN but it was an away game.
Did the Dodgers come back to win last night?
Why not flood MI with surrogates, drop in a little money, see what happens?
Stranger things have happened, ie Captain Communism winning IN in 2008
Is it that time again?
Update……………..
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
#272 Maybe, but I think Romney would be better off organizing a local ground game in MI. If MI flips then so does most of the upper midwest including Ohio and in short if Romney gets MI he doesn’t need it.
I also think it’s…curious….that Romney would be doing so well in MI but supposedly struggling in Ohio. Of course Romney does have roots in MI which may be helping him.
-Polaris
Same lawmakers with approval rating of 20?…
Got it…
Time for predictions
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6 VA/ Brown +1
MD: Obama +4 VA/ Warren +4
???
STL
(76-70)
2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 6 2
LAD
(76-70)
1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 6 0
W:
Belisario (6-1, 2.34) ;
L:
Motte (4-5, 3.11)
HR:
STL:
Craig (21) .
LAD:
Ellis, M (6) .
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Not Started Espn Bills by 3
Browns 0 Bengals 0
Not Started Espn Bengals by 7
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Not Started Espn Vikings by 3
Raiders 0 Dolphins 0
Not Started. Espn Raiders by 3
Cardinals 0 Patriots 0
Not Started. Espn Patriots by 14
Buccaneers 0 Giants 0
Not Started. Espn Giants by 8
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Not Started. Espn Eagles by 3
Saints 0 Panthers 0
Not Started. Espn Saints by 3
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh…
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Nearly at 300 MD, we are going at an okay pace.
Keep em coming Mr Vito…
Sorry to disappoint but the MI thing is…forget it. Yea, we will win there with ease. Go! Go! Go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Prediction update:
Time for predictions
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6 VA/ Brown +1
MD: Obama +4 VA/ Warren +4
I know this appears above… but I was worried someone might not be able to find it.
ViQueens 1.5 over the Colts
I think Colts win this game
Uh oh. I screwed up the formatting. Might be time for wheel of sorrows.
#276 Like I said in 2004 or even 2000, you can’t get too worked up over daily fluctuations in 3-day tracking polls. They will happen. They are just noise. I THINK an odd Dem leaning Indy sample rolling on Friday which may explain the disparity in leaners.
Now if the Obama lead persists over a period of three days, then start to worry.
-Polaris
By the way, that was an accident. Sorry.
Is it that time again?
Update………………
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
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OAkland @ Miami
Raiders a 2.5 favorite
I dunno about this Dolphins blow I would hesitantly pick the RAiders
MD – tell your wife if she calls again you are eating 2 cheesesteaks and washing it down with a bottle of Goose. Does she want the real MD back?
What if a Dem sample rolls on on November 6? Does that mean we are screwed?
“Uh oh. I screwed up the formatting. Might be time for wheel of sorrows.”
Guess we better stick to one-liners or get liberal with the enter key.
Arizona @ New England
13.5 is a lot of points
I guess Patriots cover…
@297 I think the Dolphins will beat the raiders, but it will be a hard slog, battle of the losers.
Damn it MD. We need a new thread now.
Bitter – I had a cheesesteak last night. Of course, the only other food I had all day was a bowl of cheerios.
Washington 3 point favorite @ St Louis
Interesting to see if RGIII is for real
Rams upset wouldn’t shock me
303 – just keep your comments short. No going on and on about keeping calm.
How many more ways can we ruin this thread?
Where’s Bunu?
Bad day to ride the wheel, MD. We added “Give Elizabeth Warren an erotic massage.”
#299 That depends if the electorate is more Dem than we think? If it is, then yes we are screwed. If it’s more GOP than you fear, then Romney gets elected easier than you (or I) think.
IMHO it’s all going to come down to turnout, and I still rate this as “too close to call”…which is far cry from saying, Romney will win! Yeah!
-Polaris
Guys, please do NOT panic. I have to take a break. Keep up the great pace. I feel OK about this now that Bitter and Polaris are on this thread together.
Polaris
Dallas @ Seattle
Cowboys three point favorites what say you?
I think Dallas covers
“Bad day to ride the wheel, MD. We added “Give Elizabeth Warren an erotic massage.”
AUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUGH!
307
Chekote could come back. Bitter would welcome that the sick fuuuck.
Prediction update:
Time for predictions
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6 VA/ Brown +1
MD: Obama +4 VA/ Warren +4
Is it that time again?
Update……………….
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
#305 It would shock me. The Rams are terrible people. Yes they may be getting a little better, but they are still really, really bad. If I had to be, I’d bet Washington covers.
That said of late the Rams have played the Redskins tough, and the Rams can be counted on to play WAY above their talent level for a couple of games a year.
-Polaris
Girlfriend comes back home today.
My posts should be back at virtually nil til election day.
Sports are stupid.
Tebows@Steelers
Pittsburgh 5.5 point favorites
I think the Steelers cover
Mr. Vito’s post count update: 46
#294 Polaris,
Thanks. Apparently, either a big Romney night rolled off, or a big Obama night rolled, perhaps a combo.
MD’s Goose glass update: 0
PPP predictions:
Obama +4 in VA
Mass Senate Tie
CNN/ ORC will put out polls making PPP and Marist blush.
As for Ras I think he is seeing a race ranging from +1 Obama to +3 Romney with the day to day fluctuating in these margin.
We will still have to see how the Middle East pans out with the electorate.
jason’s amish tunes whistled today update: 5
susyque’s prayers for HHR posters update: 512
#311 I am a Seattle fan and thus a bit of a homer. That said, being objective I would tell all of you to stay away from that game (Cowboys at Seattle).
Yes the numbers and head to head, and recent history might make you think that the Cowboys are an easy fix. But this is IN SEATTLE
Even last year’s Seahawks team were able to beat the Ravens *in* *Seattle* because Seattle is a notoriously tough places to play.
My personal feeling is that anyone that bets against Seattle as a home dog is a fool. Either bet with Seattle if they are a home dog or stay away from that action. Seattle is a totally different team at home.
-Polaris
Steelers have lots of injuries this year. Harrison and Polamalu both likely out. Still don’t have a RB. I’m worried about this year.
Bitter’s ambulance chase update: 2.5
Marv, if you read RAS carefully, the undecideds are mostly ex-Obama voters. When pushed to lean they are leaning his way. Two possibilities: this may be the fixed reality or these may be the remnants of the bounce effect who will peel off over the next week. Time will tell.
The Fox panel has been saying the same thing for weeks. Nothing new. I look at Romney as the tortoise in this race with Obama the hare. I think there is a good chance that the tortoise will win by being slow and steady and ignoring the contradictory advice he gets from left and right. He will make longer speeches soon on domestic and foreign policy. Cannot do that in an interview. He also has detailed info at his website.
Dung beetles are beetles that feed partly or exclusively on feces. All of these species belong to the superfamily Scarabaeoidea; most of them to the subfamilies Scarabaeinae and Aphodiinae of the family Scarabaeidae. This beetle can also be referred to as the scarab beetle. As most species of Scarabaeinae feed exclusively on feces, that subfamily is often dubbed true dung beetles. There are dung-feeding beetles which belong to other families, such as the Geotrupidae (the earth-boring dung beetle). The Scarabaeinae alone comprises more than 5,000 species.[1]
Many dung beetles, known as rollers, are noted for rolling dung into round balls, which are used as a food source or brooding chambers. Other dung beetles, known as tunnelers, bury the dung wherever they find it. A third group, the dwellers, neither roll nor burrow: they simply live in manure. They are often attracted by the dung burrowing owls collect.
Rino hunter’s RINOs bagged update: 23
Romney has roots in MI but it has been a looooooong time since George Romney ruled the roost there. Not sure how many voters a still even around from that era.
Put another way these are soft Obama voters.If they are not persuaded by Romney, they will not vote or vote Obama
jenny’s blue pills popped update: 37
Michael have you noticed while posting big ten scores that the big ten is brutal this year and getting clowned every week? Who’s their signature win U Mass?
Is it that time again?
Update………………..
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
The movie made them do it!!!!
#330 Hunter…
Great post!
Robbie anti-Romney posts by 11 PM: 47
@322 when are owe CNN polls coming out again?
addst’s justices in chains update: 1
(ginsberg got a little kinky last night with kagan)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x6QjMCIyASM
Prediction update:
Time for predictions
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6 VA/ Brown +1
MD: Obama +4 VA/ Warren +4
RB: Obama +4 VA/ Tie in MA
Thanks Hunter, saved me another trip to NatGeo.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5-jSjua0Pos&feature=related
GFs trip to the can update: 12
@335 IU and Michigan clobbered U MASS.
MD your in charge of prediction chart, be back in 20
Thank you Mr Vito…
Will post more of my own interests to share with the board…
#341 It’s…….Justice Gone Wild
-Polaris
I’m gone.
Little politics — all football worship!
I can get that in Dallas — anytime!
hasta la vista, Baby!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wl2WBcM1hf0
Wes Chili waitresses banged update: 14
Now if someone will only update tonight numbers for Cash 5 lotto, I will be all set.
HHR posters exiting update: 1
#352 “That’s How You Leave a Tip!”
-Polaris
PA Lottery Games – Cash 5
PAYOUT » Sep. 15, 2012
01
05
13
25
29
Cash 5 09-16-12
Estimated jackpot $500,000
Polaris jokes update: 2
Vito’s typing update…
Vito has created 0 problems for his upcoming exam…
Damn you HHR!
McCain on Face the Nation. He says how spontaneous is a demonstration where people bring grenade launchers and other battle weapons and carry out an attack in such a strategic way?
He just nuked Susan Rice.
Philly on September 16, 2012 at 10:43 AM
Their main weapon was a truck-mounted AA gun. I don’t know about you but I always bring mine to spontaneous protests.
LOL
Is it that time again?
Update…………………
If we are just going to say you can skip the posts, then we are endorsing trolling and spamming.
(will be updated every 5 minutes… if you don’t like it, then you can skip the posts)
#328 pitchaboy,
Thanks. Romney’s lead today among Indies, both without leaners and with leaners is encouraging. His two point lead today in the Swing State poll, both with leaners and without leaners is also encouraging.
Scott Rasmussen said that if Romney is tied in the Swing States, he will win the election.
where are the red polls?
Mr. Vito’s post count update: 63 in two hours
Have a blessed Sunday!
#359 Of course you bring your truck mounted AA gun to party. It’s a real chick magnet and besides, have you seen what one of those can do to a pinata?
All friendly demonstrations to have them! Nothing to worry about. (sarc)
-Polaris
340- not sure, thought I read early this upcoming week-not even sure where they are polling
Chekote could come back. Bitter would welcome that the sick fuuuck.
Comment by MD
I want her back. I want her to hate me and make fun of me, too. Only MD got the special treatment from her.
#276/Marv: I’m not platinum so haven’t been tracking leaners.
One pattern I’ve picked up with Gallup & Rasmussen is Monday night polling appears to favor Obama (JA & H2H) moreso than other nights of the week. The “weekend effect” seems to actually be offset a day though Sunday #s favor Obama a little more modestly. This is based on nightly tracking from 8/1 – on (caveat: based on estimates of nightly #s)
Polaris,
Ash looked great at Ole Miss last night. The Longhorns dominated a fairly solid 3-0 Rebel team.
#368 I am less happy with that win than you are. Yes, Ash looked great and Texas’ offense hasn’t looked that good in a long time.
However, Texas is supposed to have a great defense this year, and apparently they took the day off. Giving up 31 points (and nearly 400 years) is inexcusable. In fairness 7 of those 31 was a special-teams error but still…..there is a lot of work to be done before the OSU Big-12 opener.
-Polaris
#369 I meant to say giving up nearly 400 YARDS (although it seemed like years at the time)
-Polaris
#367 Ray,
Thanks. That being the case, I expect the Obama may creep back ahead by a point or so over the next day or two.
I like the new zany Polaris. Jokes and sports make him more lovable.
Marv,
Hate to disagree, but there is nothing solid about Mississippi this year.
Sanctions have reduced them to 72 total scholarship players.
It shows, especially on defense.
Polaris,
The Texas defense had a bad sample roll on Saturday night. It was strictly a weekend anomaly, which will correct itself (during practice) over the next several week days.
#374 Let’s hope so. The new Texas offensive style depends on what happened last night to be an anomaly.
-Polaris
#372 Phil,
I was being charitable. It’s part of my Judeo-Christian heritage upbringing.
#373 Based on the Texas game, I can already pencil in what Alabama will do to Old Miss. That score will be 73-0.
-Polaris
Somebody tell me that everything is going to be OK, so that I can go watch the Yanks-Rays game on TBS in peace.
#378 Well I could, but that would involve Space Aliens…..
-Polaris
Maybe Gallup will help us out today. Any of you folks who follow the Gallup dailies have an idea what’s coming up? Last Sunday night rolls off today.
#371: Definitely possible. Hard to say with the Mid East situation of course. But it’s not the end of the world if Obama is up 47-45 on Tuesday if tonight’s #s hold to pattern. It’s helping easing my mind at least. Go Yanks!
Texas is back! Hook M horns.
not sure I can marv. this race is nuts. economic factors and historical trends point to to a Romney win but polls say something else. Ras has had a crazy fluctuating race w/ no one settling to a lead. RCP is picking and choosing polls, and pollsters are outright saying they believe an 08 electorate is happening even though surveys show otherwise. i’m with MD right now, this race is too close to call but if forced to make a choice TODAY, I say Obama wins a nail-bitter and we take back the Senate.
I have Gallup holding at 49-45 unless one of them put up a big night. Looks like an O+3ish day rolls off.
Marv everything will be okay. This time in 2008 the fat lady was singing. Romney needs to close the sale by any decent polling he is tied in the swing states. Go watch your game while I watch the Eagles get their usual and customary beating
Polaris,
Any space alien assault would be picked up by the DEW system, so I’m not sweating that.
Prediction update:
Time for predictions
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6 VA/ Brown +1
MD: Obama +4 VA/ Warren +4
RB: Obama +4 VA/ Tie in MA
btw Go Bucs and Go Rays!
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Not Started Espn Bills by 3
Browns 0 Bengals 0
Not Started Espn Bengals by 7
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Not Started Espn Vikings by 3
Raiders 0 Dolphins 0
Not Started. Espn Raiders by 3
Cardinals 0 Patriots 0
Not Started. Espn Patriots by 14
Buccaneers 0 Giants 0
Not Started. Espn Giants by 8
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Not Started. Espn Eagles by 3
Saints 0 Panthers 0
Not Started. Espn Saints by 3
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh..
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Mike put me down for Obama +5 in VA and Warren +1 in the MA Senate Race
#385 Pitchaboy,
Thanks. Romney by 2 points in RAS swing states, both with and without, is nice to see.
@388 hope they can pull it off, I hate the giants. All of them!
Prediction update:
Time for predictions
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6 VA/ Brown +1
MD: Obama +4 VA/ Warren +4
RB: Obama +4 VA/ Tie in MA
Author: Obama +5 VA/ Warren +1
disagree Michael, I love the Giants for beating the Cheatriots twice in the Super Bowl. But i’d love to see a big time upset from my Bucs today.
Scott Rasmussen was on FOX yesterday blasting the idea this election is over. He said this race s too close to call and anything can happen to change things. He says the R enthusiasm is still too high and maintains the economy should still point to a race that favors Romney. Take that FWIW
@394 giants beating patriots to me does not count to help my Panthers replay the cheatriots.
Yes they cheated for that Super Bowl and the next one against the eagles.
O—-48(-1)
R—-45(nc)
Gallup
Fantastic job guys!!!!!
I have taken on all comers over the past 8 years and, if I say so myself, have held my own quite well. There are a handful of us who qualify as the first string at HHR in regards to the battle.
However, that fuuucckking Chekote is my kryptonite. We all exaggerate our persona’s for the internet but I honestly hate that bytch. I think that is why she can unnerve me.
Gallup shrinking JA up because Obama had strong Friday Sat and Sunday near even.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Not Started Espn Bills by 3
Browns 0 Bengals 0
Not Started Espn Bengals by 7
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Not Started Espn Vikings by 3
Raiders 0 Dolphins 0
Not Started. Espn Raiders by 3
Cardinals 0 Patriots 0
Not Started. Espn Patriots by 14
Buccaneers 0 Giants 0
Not Started. Espn Giants by 8
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Not Started. Espn Eagles by 3
Saints 0 Panthers 0
Not Started. Espn Saints by 3
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
GALLUP DAILY
Sep 13-15, 2012 – Updates daily at 1 p.m. ET; reflects one-day change
Obama Approval
50%
+1
Obama Disapproval
44%
-1
Presidential Election
Obama
48%
-1
Romney
45%
-
7-day rolling average
Mike what bothers me the most about the whole Cheatriots scandal was the soft gloves they were treated with when the NFL found out, as opposed to the full fledged warfare they declared when the Saints were caught in their own scandal
@402 that is true, I bet the next scandal will be on someone like the Chargers.
looks like the Giants are just driving down the field
Patriots are the Boston Brahmins. Nobody touches them.
Author – 2 words
Tom Brady.
Goodell has a man crush.
399 Sunday doesn’t figure in to that average in gallup.
Just what does 50% of the country approve of anyway?? Lemmings.
Pitchaboy,
The Gallup JA is a 3 day tracker of adults. It is about as lenient to Obama as it gets, so I thing we’re still in fairly good shape there.
MD i’d say it was more then just Brady. The commissioner was visiting the Pats like they were somehow more special then other teams. the NFL Films President said outright in an interview that they were rooting for the Pats and they made sure to get more film of them then any other team.
Ras is the trend setter.
Obama’s bounce is over. He has lost 7 points in Ras, 4 points in Gallup, and now the Rand poll has the race contracting.
https://mmicdata.rand.org/alp/index.php?page=election
still thinks it’s criminal for anybody to be doing an RV poll these days
Another Vick INT!!!!
The smell of a QB controversy!
NFL Films hasn’t been the same since John Facenda passed away.
Vick is back. Throwing ibterceptions
Good but expected Gallup track. As expected the Big Obama days are rolling off.
-Polaris
#401.. I might need to give this up. I have at worst a small lead for O rolling on (& possible a good R night) but a big O JA night. Granted one is RVs, one is Adults, but still odd.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Qt 1
Browns 0 Bengals 7
Qt 1
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Qt 1
Raiders 0 Dolphins 7
Qt 1
Cardinals 3 Patriots 0
Qt 1
Buccaneers 0 Giants 3
Qt 1.
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Qt 1.
Saints 0 Panthers 7
Qt 1.
Texans 3 Jaguars 0
Qt 1
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
#416 It’s not odd. The JA poll is essentially a completely different (and all Adults) poll. This is why I don’t like Adult polls even for JA during an election…because you CAN’T compare them to the RV or LV top-line numbers because the sample is too different (or across other polls that use RV or LV…and really everyone should be using LV).
-Polaris
Eagles turn it over on an interception. Eagles force a fumble. I sense a dangerous pattern.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Qt 1
Browns 0 Bengals 7
Qt 1
Vikings 0 Colts 0
Qt 1
Raiders 0 Dolphins 7
Qt 1
Cardinals 3 Patriots 0
Qt 1
Buccaneers 0 Giants 3
Qt 1.
Ravens 0 Eagles 0
Qt 1.
Saints 7 Panthers 0
Qt 1.
Texans 3 Jaguars 0
Qt 1
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Hmmm-The JA (3day) went back up, it seems as if O is picking up a little support from the Mid East Crisis, I would think his big day in the 3 day survey would be Fri. We’ll have to see if there is any change in sentiment in the coming days.
all tied up in New Jersey, TB 3, NYG 3!
John, this Rand poll has a brilliant premise. If they are weighting it to 2008 truly as they claim, note that even at the height of his bounce Obama is 48.5 percent. That means he has permanently lost 4.5 percent from 2008 and even if he has a great turnout the best he gets is 48.5. Unique poll.
#421: big JA day was Friday.
#421 Or it is simple statistical noise.
-Polaris
Another late hit on Vick but nothing called. He releases the ball and 2 seconds pass. No call.
Go for it or kick the field goal, MD
First down.
Make up roughing callm
That was a nice call!
Bitter – Vick may not make it through this game. He looks hurt already. Reid, even though he hates to do it, is going to have to run a lot more if he wants Vick to last.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 0
Qt 1
Browns 3 Bengals 7
Qt 1
Vikings 3 Colts 0
Qt 1
Raiders 0 Dolphins 7
Qt 1
Cardinals 3 Patriots 0
Qt 1
Buccaneers 3 Giants 3
Qt 1.
Ravens 0 Eagles 7
Qt 1.
Saints 7 Panthers 7
Qt 1.
Texans 3 Jaguars 0
Qt 1
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
MD – tell your daughters to remember this day – 4 rushes and 1 pass within the 20 and a rushing TD.
Panthers intercept sloppy saints on the saints 7 yard line and run it right in.
Terrible return for the Eagles though, this is how they lose games. They needed to complete the entire drive; drive, score, punt, keep the other team bottled in the back
Michael,
Like Hugh Douglass used to say:
“the other team plays to win to”.
Note to all Romney faithful: don’t put too much emphasis on the future debates in October. The debates rarely help a candidate. About all the debates can do is hurt a candidate. The debates don’t mean much unless one of the candidates makes a horrible gaffe.
The 2004 debates are a perfect example of how important people think they are, and how little influence they actually have. A plurality of Americans felt Kerry won all three debates, but the debates didn’t help Kerry at all.
Romney is a decent debater. Certainly better than McCain. However, I dont expect much change one way or the other from the debates. I think Romney’s best chance to win this whole thing is to keep doing what he is doing, and let the bad foreign/economic news wash over the electorate for the next seven weeks.
Seriously, I am reading Michael’s updates.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 7
Qt 1
Browns 3 Bengals 7
Qt 1
Vikings 3 Colts 7
Qt 1
Raiders 0 Dolphins 7
Qt 1
Cardinals 6 Patriots 0
Qt 1
Buccaneers 3 Giants 3
Qt 1.
Ravens 0 Eagles 7
Qt 1.
Saints 7 Panthers 7
Qt 1.
Texans 3 Jaguars 0
Qt 1
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
50% is adults, not reg or likely.
The officials are losing control of this game quickly.
@441 yeah, cardinals are out for blood against the Patriots
Any Orioles fans here? I have a bunch of very old Ripken cards including the rookie card where he is one of 3. Mint condition. Willing to sell. Have quite a few 1983 Topps, 1 Donruss 83 and several others. Just let me know.
#418. Fair enough. My nightlies mostly had been moving directionally in tandem w/Gallup, but possible O is picking up soft support in those less engaged and not likely to vote.
Michael – talking about the Eagles game. Good strategy by the Ravens. The no huddle makes the Eagles depth of D line a non-issue.
Way to go Tom Brady. First pass from the line of scrimmage gets picked off.
-Polaros
Any Cubs fans interested in Sandberg’s Topps rookie card? I have a bunch.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 7
Qt 1
Browns 3 Bengals 7
Qt 1
Vikings 3 Colts 7
Qt 2
Raiders 7 Dolphins 7
Qt 1
Cardinals 6 Patriots 3
Qt 1
Buccaneers 3 Giants 6
Qt 1.
Ravens 7 Eagles 7
Qt 1.
Saints 10 Panthers 7
Qt 2
Texans 3 Jaguars 0
Qt 1
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
@445 I know but, I wanted to tell you about the other game as well.
I don’t really understand the science of polling. So, with an RV poll, do you discount/reweight based on actual turnout from the last equivalent election cycle to get the result, or are their other variables that go into the formula that are just as important?
Here’s a 2012 Early Voting Calendar that people can bookmark.
Frank,
Sorry I am so dense.
at the end of all your data you list
47/45 no leaners
48/46 with leaners
7-Day Rolling Average
45.57%/46.14%/-0.67% (no leaners)
47.71%/47.00%/+0.71% (with leaners)
Certain to Vote
41%/39% (daily)
41.00%/40.57% (7-Day Rolling Average)
########################################
Is the first number (41.00%)Obama?
Or is it the second number
(40.57%) Obama?
TD! Bucs lead! So far, so good
#450 They have nothing to do with each other. In an RV poll, you screen your respondants and throw out all respondants that aren’t registered to vote. In an LV poll, you do the above AND you ask a serious of questions designed to gauge how likely they are to really vote, and only those that pass this additional screen are counted.
Because people can change their partisanship, there are many pollsters who will not correct their samples for partiasn or idealogical weights (Gallup is one).
However many pollsters have empirically discovered what I have been saying for years (and what PEW polling has confirmed). Although people CAN change their partisan preferences, they don’t (at least not very quickly….it’s something that usually takes years), and as such they weight for the Partisan (or what we call DRI) distribution as though it were a hard demographic like gender, ethnicity, and age (which all pollsters adjust their weights for to reflect the population as a whole).
I hope this helps.
-Polaris
What a dumb fuuckimg call on fourth and inches…
#452 Frank lists his results republican first.
-Polaris
They will have to throw out some players in this game.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 14
Qt 2
Browns 3 Bengals 7
Qt 2
Vikings 6 Colts 7
Qt 2
Raiders 7 Dolphins 7
Qt 2
Cardinals 6 Patriots 3
Qt 2
Buccaneers 10 Giants 6
Qt 2
Ravens 7 Eagles 7
Qt 2
Saints 10 Panthers 7
Qt 2
Texans 10 Jaguars 0
Qt 2
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
MD get those Eagles uner control.
454. Got it. So what you are saying is there zero questioning on whether the RV voted in the last election, as far as “RV” polls are concerned? That metric only comes into play in a LV poll if at all. Ie. If they decide to ask that question to further screen if you are a likely voter?
#460 Correct. They poll may ask about enthusiasm but it won’t affect the top line in an RV poll.
-Polaris
Jake says there is no difference between RV and LV.
Saints firing all cylinders now
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 14
Qt 2
Browns 3 Bengals 14
Qt 2
Vikings 6 Colts 7
Qt 2
Raiders 7 Dolphins 7
Qt 2
Cardinals 6 Patriots 3
Qt 2
Buccaneers 10 Giants 6
Qt 2
Ravens 7 Eagles 7
Qt 2
Saints 10 Panthers 7
Qt 2
Texans 10 Jaguars 0
Qt 2
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
#462 Pretty much every other political watcher and pollster disagrees. In fact that statement is ridiculous on the face of it. Now the LV screen in question may be hotly disputed, but it’s completely unreasonable to say that there isn’t a difference between LVs and RVs.
-Polaris
Your boys need to slow this game down Michael don’t think you can outscore the saints
463 they didnt make it that time
462. In OR there isn’t. The lazy RV gets to mail his vote in without leaving his bedbug infested hippie Portland couch. WA too I think.
#468 OK, you may have a point for WA and OR. One more reason to despise “mail in” balloting and why Oregon and Washington are forever gone for the GOP (at least for president).
-Polaris
@468 correct on Washington, Vermont is thinking about doing the same thing.
Capper says it is absurd to think there is any difference between RV and LV.
VT Mike? why? that state will vote Dem even if Obama is found w/ a dead body in his closet. They don’t think 60-70% of their vote is enough?
#471 Does he explain why? Sean Trende at RCP has confirmed what many others have already discovered. There is a distinct difference between RV and LV polls. Even the Dem Hero Nate Silver says they are different and that one should NEVER average or combine RV and LV data.
=Polaris
I don’t like this carolina offense
Maybe Hunter would be happy over at Jake’s site. 2 weeks of posts without football comments. Actually, 2 weeks with no comments at all.
@472 remember they are trying to elect socialists, they just want to make sure to get the next won elected after Leahy retires.
@474 this run for them was bad.
285.Time for predictions
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6 VA/ Brown +1
MD: Obama +4 VA/ Warren +4
???
Comment by Michael
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Michael,
I do not give a good rip.
Thanks for asking.
Mr. Vito update…
Facebook game actions completed: 764
Work actions completed: 12
#475 On the the bright side over there, is sounds like the crickets are content and you get to hear them very well.
-Polaris
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 14
Qt 2
Browns 10 Bengals 14
Qt 2
Vikings 6 Colts 7
Qt 2
Raiders 7 Dolphins 7
Qt 2
Cardinals 6 Patriots 6
Qt 2
Buccaneers 10 Giants 6
Qt 2
Ravens 14 Eagles 7
Qt 2
Saints 13 Panthers 14
Qt 2
Texans 10 Jaguars 0
Qt 2
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Panthers take the LEAD
Will a reporter even ask?
http://english.alarabiya.net/articles/2012/09/15/238197.html
346- NOT true! I’ve only been to the can once today, though the coffee has yet to take effect. Stay tuned…
LOLOLOL!
http://www.france24.com/en/20120915-greece-needs-two-year-extension-fiscal-pledges
Prediction update:
Time for predictions!
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6 VA/ Brown +1
MD: Obama +4 VA/ Warren +4
RB: Obama +4 VA/ Tie in MA
Author: Obama +5 VA/ Warren +1
TD! Bucs lead 17-6, upset in the works?
This is PPP? I predict Jesen will claim Obama +6 in VA and Warren+5 riding high on an Obama surge to an inevitable reelection.
-POlaris
not good news in the Rays front though, down 0-2 to the Yanks. Seems their gonna miss the playoffs this year. Oh well, at least they’ll finish with a winning record
#454 Polaris,
I’ve seen references here to Gallup being D+6 or D+8. Since Gallup doesn’t re-weight its data, do these numbers mean that they’re literally finding 6% or 8% more registered Dems than Republicans when they conduct their polls?
Thanks.
If you want to talk about upsets, look at Foxboro. Either New England is not as good as people think, or Arizona is a lot better than people have been giving them credit for.
-Polaris
#489 That’s right. Gallup claims to have simply found that many more Dems. Almost all the major polls (esp media polls) do.
-Polaris
Polaris, New England wasn’t good last year. They had ONE win against a team over .500 all year and it was a fluke win against the Ravens. They used a super weak schedule and a bad year for some playoff powerhouses in the AFC to make it to the Super Bowl. Hard to win when you don’t got those cameras anymore.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 21
Qt 2
Browns 10 Bengals 17
Qt 2
Vikings 6 Colts 10
Qt 2
Raiders 7 Dolphins 7
Qt 2
Cardinals 6 Patriots 6
Qt 2
Buccaneers 17 Giants 6
Qt 2
Ravens 14 Eagles 7
Qt 2
Saints 13 Panthers 14
Qt 2
Texans 17 Jaguars 0
Qt 2
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Panthers hold Saints till next half
#492 I know and New England’s schedule looks like cake. However, what I am suggesting is that the NFC West may be a lot better top to bottom than the national analysts give it credit for. Likewise I don’t think New England is as good as their reputation.
The line was NE+14. NE may yet win (the game is currently tied) but I am now virtually certain that ‘zona will cover.
-Polaris
Prediction update:
Time for predictions!
VA President/MA Senate
Michael: Obama +6 VA/ Brown +1
MD: Obama +4 VA/ Warren +4
RB: Obama +4 VA/ Tie in MA
Author: Obama +5 VA/ Warren +1
Polaris: Obama +6 VS/ Warren +5
Ray, I have no idea what you are talking about.
Go Flacco!! Past University of Delaware quarterback.
Hubby is from Philly so I am trying not to annoy him as I root for Baltimore today and Flacco.
Vick and McCoy playing for Ravens
I can’t go through +490 posts but suffice it to say lousy polls for Obama today.
Can’t wait for Gallup to reset its partisan index and to go LV
D
I have learned that it is a useless endeavor to come here on a Sunday during football season.
I could be out doing something more beneficial like catching ground hogs, actually watching a football game, taking a walk with my wife, observing grass grow watching, contemplating my navel or poking my eyes out with a stick.
Off until much, much later tonight.
Now where did I put that sharp stick…
Hey Author your Bucs and my Panthers are on Fire today!
Aaack! I’ve just watched Susan Rice on Chris Wallace’s show downright lying – doubling down on the notion that the recent 9-11 attacks were solely the result of some obscure anti-Mohammed video on Youtube. Are Americans buying the WH’s bullsh*t?
so far Mike, w/ the Bucs i’ve learned to wait untilt eh clock reads 00:00
So much for the Brown’s Franchise QB of the Future drafted this year….
In the immortal words of the ‘waterboy’, the browns can say, “We Suck Again!” I would have thought Holmgren would be better than this….
-Polaris
and just like that it’s 17-13, can’t sleep on the Super Bowl champs
Poll of adults is useless. Gallup is contracting on a weekend and Romney is still up in Ras over the weekend. Now it’s time for Romney and Ryan to step it up, give some more specifics about how the intend to turn the economy around and then rock in the debates. The Middle East issue is huge right now and Romney has to continue to look presidential in how he handles the situation. Get out there and contact your local RR office and get to work on the GOTV. Massachusetts is lost for RR but we still have to help push Scott Brown over the finish line. BTW – Tom Brady is awesome:)
@504 true, I have as well nice my game is much closer
Tom Brady, QB rating of 42 today. Not exactly my definition of awesome.
-Polaris
Saints defense worse than last year
That’s pretty hard to do…
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 21
Qt 2
Browns 10 Bengals 17
Qt 2
Vikings 6 Colts 17
Halftime
Raiders 10 Dolphins 7
Qt 2
Cardinals 6 Patriots 6
Qt 2
Buccaneers 17 Giants 13
Qt 2
Ravens 14 Eagles 7
Qt 2
Saints 13 Panthers 21
Halftime
Texans 17 Jaguars 0
Qt 2
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Panthers hold Saints till next half
Polaris – the game is far from over. You should stick to reading polls:)
#510 I suppose the Saints could decide simply not to put anyone out for defense. That would have to be worse, right?
-Polaris
#512 True the game is far from over, but be honest MT. Who DIDN’T expect New England to be up by three touchdowns by halftime?
-Polaris
510 sorry about your team. If there is anything good for you, it is that the Panthers 8/10 play worse in the second half
22 runs and 13 passes and Eagles down 17-7. Maybe running it is not the the key to victory (2 fumbles don’t help, either).
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 21
Qt 2
Browns 10 Bengals 17
Halftime
Vikings 6 Colts 17
Halftime
Raiders 10 Dolphins 7
Halftime
Cardinals 6 Patriots 6
Halftime
Buccaneers 17 Giants 13
Qt 2
Ravens 14 Eagles 7
Qt 2
Saints 13 Panthers 21
Halftime
Texans 17 Jaguars 0
Qt 2
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Panthers hold Saints till next half
Susan Rice lying her ass off on national TV.
TD! Eli makes another mistake. 24-13 Bucs
How many turnovers does the convicted felon think he can spot the Ravens?
Lesean “butterfingers” McCoy in full flow.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 21
Qt 2
Browns 10 Bengals 17
Halftime
Vikings 6 Colts 17
Halftime
Raiders 10 Dolphins 7
Halftime
Cardinals 6 Patriots 6
Halftime
Buccaneers 24 Giants 13
Qt 2
Ravens 17 Eagles 7
Qt 2
Saints 13 Panthers 21
Halftime
Texans 17 Jaguars 0
Qt 2
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Panthers hold Saints till next half
Bucs beating up former champs
Just saw a hit ad on Tom Smith.
Seniorscare as usual.
Will privatize social security and make seniors pay 6000 more for medicare.
I guess lies work.
Why is Casey even bothering to run any ads?
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 21
Halftime
Browns 10 Bengals 17
Halftime
Vikings 6 Colts 17
Halftime
Raiders 10 Dolphins 7
Halftime
Cardinals 6 Patriots 6
Halftime
Buccaneers 24 Giants 13
Halftime
Ravens 17 Eagles 7
Halftime
Saints 13 Panthers 21
Halftime
Texans 17 Jaguars 0
Halftime
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Halftime!!!
” Why is Casey even bothering to run any ads?”
People might forget he exists, when is the last time you saw him interviewed or read anything he said that was quoted?
The guy is about as effective as a potted plant.
#526 That’s just not true. Potted Plants are much more effective than Casey!
-Polaris
Romney should produce an ad with Susan Rice, the lying comes across so crystal clear.
Saints aren’t dead Michael an eight point lead is not a big deal for them to overcome
#528 Either she’s a shameless liar or she is incredibly and inexcusably ignorant. Not sure which is worse for Obama.
-Polaris
527. I apologize. I got carried away. I really meant no offense to potter plants.
Patriots finally take the lead…by three points with a field goal.
-Polaris
#531 ‘salright, apology accepted. Casey is a category all his own. (On behalf of Potted Plants everywhere.)
-Polaris
” Either she’s a shameless liar or she is incredibly and inexcusably ignorant”
I will have to go with the door number 1. Susan Rice is no dummy, but she is an ideologue. The means justify the ends.
523 is it that tea time one? I have seen that three times already, so annoying
Right. Tea party smear.
“The guy is about as effective as a potted plant.”
Potted plants help to purify the air, but cost a lot less in taxpayer funds and lost jobs than Casey does.
#537 Let’s be fair. Jason already apologized to Potted Plants everwhere.
-Polaris
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 0 Bills 21
Halftime
Browns 10 Bengals 24
Halftime
Vikings 6 Colts 17
Halftime
Raiders 10 Dolphins 7
Halftime
Cardinals 6 Patriots 9
Halftime
Buccaneers 27 Giants 13
Halftime
Ravens 17 Eagles 7
Halftime
Saints 13 Panthers 21
Halftime
Texans 17 Jaguars 0
Halftime
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Here we go
27-13 Bucs over Giants
#540 I swear I think the Giants play better on the road then they do at home.
-Polaris
536 believe me, if Tom Smith would start moving into Casey’s failed leadership in committees and stop talking so much about Jobs then maybe this race would be within 10 points in most polls.
Smith should run an ad “introducing Bob Casey” and offering to replace him with someone who actually works.
F*** potted plants! Damn sell-outs. Where’s the challenge in living life at 72 degrees all year? They get water like MD used to get Goose. Mf-ers couldn’t handle one frost.
Touchdown Arizona 3 plays after a blocked Punt.
-Polaris
Casey let Santorum self-destruct in 2006. He doesn’t need to campaign this year, either. Luckiest bastard in the Senate.
Schrubbery,
You and Potted Plant are a disgrace to all of us.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 3 Bills 21
Qt 3
Browns 10 Bengals 24
Qt 3
Vikings 6 Colts 20
Qt 3
Raiders 10 Dolphins 14
Qt 3
Cardinals 13 Patriots 9
Qt 3
Buccaneers 27 Giants 13
Qt 3
Ravens 17 Eagles 14
Qt 3
Saints 13 Panthers 28
Qt 3
Texans 17 Jaguars 7
Qt 3
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
Patriots losing, Panthers, Buccaneers, and Miami pushing and Jaguars are rallying. Time for the icing on the cake, come on Eagles.
Perhaps Smith can run a potted plant ad, he has enough money.
I have no illusion Smith can win, but Casey deserves to be bashed. The Democrats have some real zeros as Senators like Bill Nelson but Casey takes the cake.
“[Bob Casey] is to Pennsylvania politics what Punxsutawney Phil is to weather forecasting: Rare, shadowy and forceless. Punxsutawney Bob is shaping up as the Senate’s most ineffective legislator, maybe ever.” –J.D. Mullane, Bucks County Courier Times
Can Clint Eastwood do a potted plant sketch for Smith?
Bitter i’m surprised it took so long for Santorum to self-destruct in the Senate
Oh great. Now McCaskill’s CARPET BOMBING will begin on 9/22.
Taniel ?@Taniel
Missouri Secretary of State says the deadline for Akin to drop out is effectively September 21st, not the 25th:
https://www.stlbeacon.org/?_escaped_fragment_=/content/26932/akin_carnahan_deadline_091012#!/content/26932/akin_carnahan_deadline_091012 …
Yeah, an empty chair would work perfectly for Casey.
Brees hurt
My day is complete now
MFG to be honest the Saints never stood much of a chance this year. They’re hosting the Super Bowl and the Hosting curse is very real
Akin is a deadender. I hope when he loses we will at least be rid of the bastard forever/
No defense and the offensive line took a big step back
#555 Not only that but losing your head coach and most of the defensive coaching staff is an incredibly high hurdle. Contrary to popular rumor, coaches DO matter, and I think we are seeing the side effects now. The Saints will win some games, but I think they have an overall losing record this year (6-10ish).
-Polaris
Virginia Tech drops completely out of top 25… ouch.
Four SEC teams in the top 7.
Rasmussen:
Nelson: 47
Mack: 40
I have to go can someone else update for 1 hour?
Yeah, I’ll do it…
….
….
….
Why is it that when I mess up a thread I start getting death threats and people want to string me up and skin me like a freshly killed 8 point buck? When MD messes up a thread all he gets is, “we need a new thread”.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Chiefs 3 Bills 28
Qt 3
Browns 10 Bengals 24
Qt 3
Vikings 6 Colts 20
Qt 3
Raiders 10 Dolphins 21
Qt 3
Cardinals 13 Patriots 9
Qt 3
Buccaneers 27 Giants 13
Qt 3
Ravens 17 Eagles 14
Qt 3
Saints 13 Panthers 28
Qt 4
Texans 24 Jaguars 7
Qt 3
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 1-0
Michael 1-0
I can’t believe the amount of local Dem signage I see in peoples yards that aren’t accompanied by an Obama sign. I remember in 2008 Obama signs were everywhere. Don’t know if it means anything. This is Illinois so Obama doesn’t have much to worry about.
Make the SEC championship game the national title game
Giants just got helped by a no-call on a helmet to helmet, 27-16
No one but marxists want to admit they are voting for him, Scoot.
Adrian Gray- “Of all national polls that give both Registered and likely voter #s, O’s lead drops on avg 3.2% going from RV to LV. Todays gallup is 0 + 3 with RV”.
#570 But of course there is no difference between RVs and LVs (sarc)
-Polaris
Touchdown Arizona. ‘zona might not just cover. They might actually win this thing.
-Polaris
No one covered him
Amazing…
Gotta go. Be back later tonight.
-Polaris
Saints D is pitiful.
Also…1976 and 1980 posted huge equity market gains…but little electoral success.
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16h Adrian Gray Adrian Gray ?@adrian_gray
Anyone stapling stock market rises to electoral success should note S&P was 44% in 1928…how did Hoover do?
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Michael, Dude, Seriously – There is a thread for sports! Use that one!
Not a noise from PPP. Not so good news?
and some bad calls help the Giants comeback to tie it up 27-27, typical Bucs game, looks like we’re losing this one
Uh Hoover won in 1928
layoffs and plant closings are quickening. The economy is bad and getting worse. The stock market in many cases moves in the oppisite direction as the economy does. When people are hiring there is a chance of inflation and higher rates. The market is telling us that the economy stinks and there the lack of jobs will keep inflation low.
That’s great if you are a 1% percenter but middle class people can look for flat wages and a lower standard of living as jobs are hard to find and raises are low.
Well, this is not good for the Obama campaign in Florida…
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/16/us-usa-campaign-registration-idUSBRE88F01Q20120916?feedType=RSS&feedName=politicsNews&utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter&dlvrit=574655
Democrats are way, way behind registering voters in Florida compared with 2004 and 2008, while Republicans are ahead of their pace of 2004 and 2008.
Looks like RCP is not going to use this Michigan poll?
@583 not shocking, RCP has been picking and choosing polls this cycle
Very biased article. How about the recently discovered 46000 new Yorkers registered in NY and fl
And where is Romney? I thought he promised a foreign policy speech next week and that he was speaking at the Hispanic business leaders conference next week. Neither appears on his published calendar so far. I love the guy but he has got to be out there more in high profile events!
WTH?
Upon further reflection, Senator Coons is the luckiest bastard in the Senate. Because of COD, he didn’t have to face Mike Castle (who never lost a race in Delaware before the COD Primary loss).
The market is telling us that the economy stinks and there the lack of jobs will keep inflation low
redlbov
Bernacke’s action will explode inflation. The market action is the false hope of funny money priming the pump again. That is fools gold.
http://www.denverpost.com/nationalpolitics/ci_21557046/plane-crash-at-pueblo-airport-cancels-romney-campaign
Romney has to cancel Colorado event today.
Damn. That Raven’s kicker is money.
Convicted felon averaging 3 interceptions a game so far. Let’s see if he can win anyway.
ugh Bucs choked the game away. Didn’t I tell you guys how much I know these guys? Typical. *sighs* oh well, i’m out until tomm.
“The New Orleans Saints are on the clock.”
Oakland and KC losing, what a shame.
“Christine O’Donnell: I owe it to my supporters to consider another run in 2014″
Translation: I need more money for personal expenses.
Probably not many NHL fans here, but I’m bumming the owners locked out the players. Looks like no hockey for awhile.
Replacement refs suck. They have had repeated meetings on the spot and to reset the clock. The Eagles game broke for the 2 minute warning at 2:05 and then had a 30 second timeout at 2:00.
But cod was the best candidate. Just ask Levin hannity rush and Ingram. Too bad we were so stupid we did not nominate santorum
#586 bio mom
Good question.
Vick dodged a bullet there….
What’s an NHL?
Yeah, there were 2 two minute warnings….helps the Ravens out big time…
I think the 9/11 middle east explosion has thrown the Romney/Ryan team off it’s stride, coupled with the MSM exploiting Romney’s press conference versus their questioning the President as to how and why this event happened.
Janz in the end all the spin in the world won’t make the middle east mess a plus for obama
I suggest not trusting the Ravens kicker to miss….
” I think the 9/11 middle east explosion has thrown the Romney/Ryan team off it’s stride, ”
Not really, but that is MSM/WH narrative.
Disagree Janz. Libya has hurt Obama.
Eagles survive 5 turnovers and win over a damn good Ravens team.
Flacco messed up. Eagles won.
Did the Eagles hold?
Jason
I agree that is the narrative of the MSM/WH, but it seems to be effecting Romney’s narrative as well. He came out strong after the attacks, and now seems to have softened his stance. As I understand it he was going to come out with a foreign policy speech, and now people are saying he has none planned in the near future. So, it’s hard to know what gives with him.
Guess so. It’s hard to tell with the 15 minute updates…
what will I do????
Wobbles
It’s hard to say how much this has hurt Obama or not. In the past people tend to rally around the encumbent during times of crisis.
However, this could be different, especially if it can be proven and broadcast to the people that the WH had it’s head in the sand when it came to interpreting and processing info and trends in the ME, where they could have been better prepared for this incident.
According to this Jewish publication the U.S. ignored Arab radicalization.
Wow, refs really screwed the Rams. Got a personal foul called for hitting RG3 when he was clearly still in bounds. Would have stopped Redskins drive. Now they just scored. These officials are horrible.
http://www.nationalreview.com/blogs/print/321039
Great stuff from Andy McCarthy.
Where are the updates?
Janz, I have seen nothing to substantiate your claim that Romney cancelled a foreign policy speech.
Sounds like more MSM bs to me.
Now Rams score a touchdown with the ball clearly across the line and they rule it down. This is getting ugly.
#604 completely disagree Jan. When the embassy attacks happened and it was found out how unfortified they were and how weak and inept the White House response was, it hurt Obama bad. The poll numbers bear that out Foreign policy was supposed to be one of Obama’s strong suits in the election. Now that is in tatters.
OT, that latest poll out of Michigan doesn’t surprise me. I know why O’s lead has dissipated there and Romney and the SuperPACs making a very aggressive advertising play there shows blood in the water.
Romney has very strong ground games in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. I think he has invested in Pennsylvania to force Obama not to ignore it. If Obama poo poos PA, it could really bite him in the butt.
I am curious what the registration numbers have been like in Michigan since 2008. If Michigan reverts back to D+5 as in 2004, Romney has a VERY good chance of flipping Michigan.
The Foster McCollum poll has more specific data than Dave provided.
The exact numbers:
Obama 45.49%
Romney 43.65%
Other / Undecided 10.86%
Margin: Obama +1.84%, which is a lot closer to +2 than it is to +1.
That is a +5.64% shift TOWARD Obama since the last Foster McCollum poll, which was released on 20 Aug 2012.
Hey Bonatrollo is back.
Eurotrasho is going to explain how Obama up by 1 in Michigan is good news for moonbats.
Another Red poll as Obama is 12 or 13% off his 2008 numbers in Michigan.
nt
jason
I believe I heard that on Fox news, about Romney coming out with a foreign policy speech. However, there are lots of cross current news reporting going on right now, much of it in the protective mode towards Obama.
I do think, though, that since Romney opened the door with his immediate response to the Libyan incident, it would be wise to follow through on it with some kind of policy perimeters that would be emphasized in a Romney administration, providing a contrast of goals and ideas, instead of simply ‘crickets.’
Hey Bonatrollo, 43.65% is rounded to 44 and 45.49% is rounded to 44%.
Those ARE the real numbers.
And furthermore, with the MOE, Romney could well be ahead.
Nice try, moron.
45.49% is rounded to 45% I should say.
626. Ah, so Romney did not really cancel any foreign policy speech, you just think he should give one.
That is quite a difference.
Chicago School teachers will receive +10% raises over 10 years while also ensuring seniority and education raises.
Likely there will be more school closings, tax increases and layoffs under this deal.
622. If Obama only wins Michigan by 2 on election day you can kiss the Messiah good bye.
NFL Updates-1 o’clock
Bills win 1-1
Bengals win 1-1
Colts win 1-1
Dolphins win 1-1
Cardinals win 1-1
Giants win 1-1
Eagles win 2-0
Panthers win 1-1
Texans win 2-0
Redskins 21 Steelers 6
Qt. 2
I think that Chiefs, Bengals, Colts, Dolphins, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, Panthers. For 1 games.
Texans, Redskins, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, 49ers will win other games I think I picked Green Bay over Bears
I am at odds with Dave on the Baltimore vs. Philidelphia, Kansas City vs. Buffalo, Jets vs. Pittsburgh….
Dave 7-2
Michael 7-2
If he got any bounce, I think in the tracking polls, Obama would be ahead and his j/a would have spiked.
627 and 628: You round after you have subtracted to have the margin. 1.84 rounds up to 2, not to 1.
Of course, in Conservative math land, I can imagine that GOP trolls can’t figure out that 2 is bigger than 1.
So, just keep on enjoying your unicornland math.
Happy New Year to Add and Corey. L’shanah tovah.
PPP/Jensen
Obama 51% to Romney 46% in D+3 sample. Look for Obama to have big lead with Indies.
#636-
Add: In VA.
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