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Gianforte Leads By 14% in MT

Gravis Marketing has come out with a new poll for the Special Election in Ontana and it shows Republicans might be able to hold onto this seat if this poll is to be believed.

US HOUSE – MONTANA – CD-AL SPECIAL (Gravis)
Greg Gianforte (R) 49%
Rob Quist (D) 35%
Mark Wicks (L) 8%

This poll was done May 22nd among 818 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 11:08 am
Filed under: General | Comments (494)

494 Responses to “Gianforte Leads By 14% in MT”

  1. Phil says:

    God help me. My wife and I are trapped in the doctor’s waiting room and the View is on. Whoopy and company droning on and on about diversity. Enough already! Gag me.

  2. I support Trump now says:

    Trump’s approval rating may be over 50% at the end of the week.

  3. janz says:

    My condolences, Phil, regarding your “The View” entrapment. Change the channel, if it’s “permitted.”

  4. Robbie says:

    This poll from Gravis seems a bit optimistic. After the last few weeks, any win is a good win.

  5. NYCmike says:

    “After the last few weeks, any win is a good win.”

    -This guy would have been great to have on your side during the Revolutionary War…..//

  6. NYCmike says:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/22/opinion/lenin-stalin-bolshevism-soviet-russia.html?smid=fb-share&_r=1

    -Sounds to me, in today’s world, as just about every country with a Muslim as the head of state…..is that wrong to say?

  7. NYCmike says:

    On top of that, they send their “soldiers” out to kill defenseless children, women, men, etc…

  8. lisab says:

    roger moore died

    rip

  9. NYCmike says:

    https://pjmedia.com/trending/2017/05/22/tom-coburn-says-millennials-must-embrace-a-convention-of-states/

    -Heh.

    Tom Coburn calls for a convention of states, first pushed by Mark Levin. GOOD FOR HIM!

    I guess the “RINOS”, like Robbie, MD, Author, “CG”, etc will start going after Coburn like they go after Levin.

  10. DW says:

    Where does the time go? Just seems like yesterday people were having those debates as to who was the better Bond, Sean Connery or Roger Moore.

  11. lisab says:

    best bond

    1.) sean connery: jerk in real life and in the movies, but good actor and fit the role

    2.) daniel craig: his first movie was the best bond, ever, although following movies were not as good

    3) roger moore: mostly watchable and even enjoyable movies, but there was never really a sense he might die or even be seriously hurt. in many ways he was a parody of a secret agent

    4) timothy dalton, liked him, but his movies did not have good plots. he never really grew into the role

    so bad they don’t get a rating:
    george lazenby: an idiot. he was offered a 6 movie deal and turned it down. he looked the part, but unfortunately had a bad movie and never grew into the role. possibly could not act

    pierce brosnan: have never been able to watch any of his movies for more than two minutes. glad he is gone. much like moore only without charisma.

  12. DW says:

    “but there was never really a sense he might die or even be seriously hurt”

    what about the scene where he rolls out of the way in a split second before the saw blade cut his pillow where his head had been?

    But overall, your rankings are good…

    I was thinking specifically about the debate in the 1980s when both Connery and Moore had films out at the same time.

  13. Wes says:

    Why is Peter Sellers–who played James Bond in the first Casino Royale movie–never listed as a James Bond?

  14. Wes says:

    In Ian Fleming’s original novels and stories, Bond had multiple scars on his body and was introverted. This is a sharp contrast to the usual portrayal as handsome and gregarious.

  15. NYCmike says:

    You would have thought, after all of those years, getting all of those women, that the other countries/spy agencies/bad guys would have said to themselves “Let’s keep an eye out for that Bond fellow. He keeps tripping all of us evil-doers up.”

  16. Wes says:

    How stupid of me. David Niven was Bond in the first Casino Royale movie. Peter Sellers did appear in the film though.

  17. DW says:

    Roger Moore’s portrayal can be summed up in the scene where he slides down the curving banister, accurately shooting everyone with machine gun, and then at the last second is alarmed that he might run into the bannister knob, so he shoots that off too so he can slide safely to a landing.

  18. NYCmike says:

    DW,

    That was pretty smart of him.

    After all, he wasn’t much of a ‘baller.

  19. NYCmike says:

    The Pink Panther was James Bond?

  20. Wes says:

    Had I been Blofeld, I would have planted a few SPECTRE agents in British Intelligence and had him shot from multiple angles in a bathroom stall at headquarters.

  21. DW says:

    “but there was never really a sense he might die or even be seriously hurt”

    There was also the scene where he fell out of an airplane without a parachute and had to do battle with someone else mid-air, steal his parachute, put it on, and then land safely.

  22. Robbie says:

    FoxNews retracts their Seth Rich story. A terrible embarrassment for the network and the people here and elsewhere who fell for this pathetic conspiracy.

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/05/23/statement-on-coverage-seth-rich-murder-investigation.html

  23. Bitterlaw (Trump sucks but Hillary would be worse) says:

    James Bond never had to face sharks with frickin’ lazers on their heads. Or maybe that was Austin Powers.

  24. Wes says:

    In the novel Dr. No, James Bond battled a giant squid.

  25. DW says:

    25 – little known fact is there was also a John Wayne film where Wayne battled a giant squid.

  26. Wes says:

    I’ve seen it, DW. Wayne drowned after the fight with the squid.

    In Dr. No, Bond defeats the squid.

    In real life, giant squids, despite their ferocious appearance, are comparatively gentle animals wary of attacking humans. A Japanese diver even went swimming with one. It briefly grabbed him in its arms but let go and swam away from him.

  27. lisab says:

    did you ever get the sense that he would not get the parachute from jaws?

  28. Wes says:

    Jaws killed a shark with his teeth. James Bond wouldn’t stand a chance.

    Richard Kiel–the actor who played Jaws–played a race of anthropophagous aliens in the Twilight Zone episode To Serve Man.

  29. DW says:

    28 – only in the sense that in general, nobody watching a James Bond movie expects Bond to die in the movie.

    But normally when you see someone flying 30,000 feet in the air without a parachute, you might expect him to die or be seriously hurt.

    Of course the character “Jaws” survived the fall without a parachute, a scene almost as absurd as later in the film when Jaws would survive re-entering earth’s atmosphere riding in space junk and not burning up.

  30. DW says:

    27 – ok, I think Wayne might have battled a squid twice. Once in Reap the Wild Wind (where he died) and then again in Wake of the Red Witch, where he survived the squid but died at the end when he was salvaging gold from a sunken ship that suddenly fell off the continental shelf taking Wayne’s character with it.

  31. Wes says:

    People forget the James Bond universe grew out of the pulp tales prevalent in popular fiction for the first half of the 20th Century. As such, Bond occupies a universe no more realistic than Tarzan’s Africa or Conan’s Hyborian Age.

  32. lisab says:

    “only in the sense that in general, nobody watching a James Bond movie expects Bond to die in the movie”

    yes, but in the torture seen in daniel craigs’ first movie

    the one where he is strapped to a chair and beaten with a rope

    it definitely looked like james bond was hurt

  33. Wes says:

    A good James Bond parody is the cartoon Archer.

  34. lisab says:

    so in a “robbery”

    the victim does not lose his wallet, phone or watch

    but they shot him in the back, twice

    and he happens to be one of the “suspects” of who leaked to wikileaks

    i can see why robbie completely believes it is not suspicious

  35. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    4. “This poll from Gravis seems a bit optimistic. After the last few weeks, any win is a good win.”

    Usually concern troll talk. All the reputable polls have shown a strong Gianfonte lead. Which is why the national Democrats are not putting money into the race, and the leftist press is limiting its coverage. Early voting was high in Republican areas. If the nudist troubadour wins, it would be a real upset.

  36. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    5. “After the last few weeks, any win is a good win.”

    -This guy would have been great to have on your side during the Revolutionary War…..//

    You would shoot him to raise morale.

  37. lisab says:

    “You would shoot him to raise morale.”

    well, he would be wearing a red coat

  38. Cash Cow TM says:

    Terrible about all those people killed and injured in Manchester due to man-made global warming.

  39. Walt says:

    Bridge playing update:

    The 91 year old woman did NOT come in first today.
    She was home under the weather.

    So I came in 3rd best score of 8 instead of my usual 4th, 5th, 6th or 7th.

  40. Cash Cow TM says:

    SALMAN ABEDI (nutcase suicide bomber)

    baal man dies
    die, balsa man

  41. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    40. If Obama was still president, he would be saying we at this point do not know if terrorism was involved.

  42. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    May 23, 2017 at 3:32 pm
    4. “This poll from Gravis seems a bit optimistic. After the last few weeks, any win is a good win.”

    Usually concern troll talk. All the reputable polls have shown a strong Gianfonte lead. Which is why the national Democrats are not putting money into the race, and the leftist press is limiting its coverage. Early voting was high in Republican areas. If the nudist troubadour wins, it would be a real upset.

    – Republicans, both on and off the record in all the reporting I have seen, say the race has tightened to less than 10 points. And just yesterday, Politico reported some very recent internal polling done by Republicans showed the race between 2-4 points with Gianforte likely not to get above 50%.

    But by all means, worry about hunting down those you see as trolls because they don’t share your view.

    My guess is it’s a 4-6 point race.

  43. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    May 23, 2017 at 3:34 pm
    5. “After the last few weeks, any win is a good win.”

    -This guy would have been great to have on your side during the Revolutionary War…..//

    You would shoot him to raise morale.

    – Under your line of thinking, Sean Hannity would be promoted to Field Marshall while Rasmussen would be named General since they tell you what you want to hear.

  44. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    “Politico reported some very recent internal polling done by Republicans showed the race between 2-4 points…”

    If this was true, wouldn’t the Democrats be pouring money into the race in hopes of an upset?

  45. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    A stirring speech by General Robbie in the Revolutionary War: “We are going to lose. Let attack anyways.”

  46. NYCmike says:

    “– Republicans, both on and off the record in all the reporting I have seen”

    -Jeez Louise, this statement just about sums it all up regarding Robbie.

    Did ANY of these “reporters” have an inkling about PA, WI, MI in the Presidential race?

    In other news……There is a report out that NYCmike has a bridge to sell…..Robbie to bid on it in one hour.

  47. Waingro says:

    Did Robbie spin the Survey USA GA-6 poll the same way in reverse? Or did he buy what they are selling in showing Ossoff pulling away?

  48. NYCmike says:

    Waingro,

    Robbie actually agreed with me when I predicted a Handel win yesterday…..

  49. Chicon says:

    Robbie, I see that Fox has retracted the Seth story. That’s what decent news agencies do when the facts supporting the story are shown to be unsubstantiated. Maybe WaPo and NYT will learn something.

    But the Seth story hasn’t gone away. No less trustworthy a source as Kim Dotcom say Seth was the source of the DNC emails. So there.

  50. NYCmike says:

    Chicon,

    janz and I also remarked on that story.

    NONE of us said that it was anything more than speculation. BUT, considering the circumstances, and who employed him, and when it happened, it would make sense to get as many eyeballs on it as possible.

    For some reason, Robbie is reluctant to investigate the matter……

  51. Chicon says:

    Mike – I would have like more specificity in the Fox retraction. The original story cited a federal investigator (not Wheeler) who claimed to have seen the evidence of the Seth/Wiki connection. Was that made up?

    Was Seth the source? I don’t know, although Robbie certainly seems to. Hopefully the authorities are hot on the trail of whatever happened.

  52. Waingro says:

    #50, ah interesting. And I hope you both are right!

  53. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    May 23, 2017 at 4:13 pm
    A stirring speech by General Robbie in the Revolutionary War: “We are going to lose. Let attack anyways.”

    – A stirring speech by SDC: But Rasmussen!

  54. Robbie says:

    Waingro says:
    May 23, 2017 at 4:29 pm
    Did Robbie spin the Survey USA GA-6 poll the same way in reverse? Or did he buy what they are selling in showing Ossoff pulling away?

    – I wrote last night I still think Handel will win. Survey USA has not had a great track record lately.

  55. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    May 23, 2017 at 4:44 pm

    But the Seth story hasn’t gone away. No less trustworthy a source as Kim Dotcom say Seth was the source of the DNC emails. So there.

    – LOL! It’s the real life version of Journey’s “Don’t stop believing”.

  56. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    May 23, 2017 at 4:52 pm

    For some reason, Robbie is reluctant to investigate the matter……

    – A total lie and you know it. When I addressed this same dumb comment by you yesterday, I wrote I’m all for an investigation. I’m not for using the murder of a 24 year old as a pawn in an effort to distract by conservative media.

  57. Paul says:

    Trey Gowdy has one of those faces that you just want to smack the hell out of.

  58. Waingro says:

    “– I wrote last night I still think Handel will win. Survey USA has not had a great track record lately.”

    Got ya. Hope you are right.

  59. Chicon says:

    No way, Robbie, it’s as real as it gets.

  60. Chicon says:

    59 – negative. Gowdy is the man.

  61. Waingro says:

    I’m with Robbie on Seth Rich. I’m not buying the conspiracy theory….yet. Fox has now retracted its original story.

  62. Chicon says:

    64 – I’m not buying it either, but don’t tell Robbie.

    I don’t know if he’s the source of the DNC emails. Until we know who forwarded the emails, it could be lots of people. Robbie, though, is sure he was not the source.

  63. Wes says:

    I don’t know if Handel will win. I certainly hope she wins. Let’s not forget Handel has trailed three of four polls. It would be best if the GAGOP dispatched all available resources to GA-6 to help Handel win. She can definitely coakley this, and Georgia Republicans would be wise yo take no chances.

  64. Robbie says:

    While I still think Handel wins, I’m less confident than I was a few weeks ago. Trump has created a rough environment for Republicans and it is hurting Handel. This should be a no-brainer win, but the suburbs where this district is located, long a Republican bastion, are showing real resistance to Trump, or at least the persona he is projecting.

  65. lisab says:

    The Seth Rish story has been debunked. Stop hoping you can claim “fake, but accurate”.
    —————

    by nbc and cnn?

    that’s enough for robbie

  66. Wes says:

    Trump nonetheless still beat Hillary there last year, Robbie. I’d argue Handel is thd problem here with her lackluster campaign. She’s never been a remarkable campaigner or fundraiser, winning by inertia alone in 2006. If she were doing more campaign appearances and spending less time ducking debates with Ossoff, she’d probably be leading by anywhere from 6 to 10 by now. She’s just not a great candidate.

    Meanwhile, 2,000 miles away, Gianforte running a solid campaign and consistently leading his opponent.

    Candidate quality matters.

  67. Chicon says:

    Wes, could the national GOP have decided the race is o goner?

  68. Trump says:

    Robbie the retard makes a lot of statements that are just not do.

    Is there any evidence that trump is a drag on Handel, Jeb cocsucker? Or just another if your brokered convention nonsense?

    Maybe GOP voters are just not into droopy lackluster candidates for a do-nothing congress seat. Maybe Paul Ryan should get off his butt and get some bills passed.

  69. Trump says:

    “GOP moderates clash with each other over Obamacare repeal”

    Slouching towards defeat.

  70. Trump says:

    Gee, why aren’t GOP voters excited?

  71. Phil says:

    Republicans control both houses of congress. Not passing anything (especially in the area of taxes)equals not governing. Sending a message that you can’t govern when you own majorities in congress doesn’t help you win special elections or any other elections to be held in 2018.

  72. Trump says:

    Precisely.

    What will be their reelect message?

    Repealing Obamacare carried them through 4 cycles.

    Now what? We will cure all forms of cancer if you give us house, senate and the White House?

  73. Trump says:

    Sorry folks, Paul Ryan is nothing more than a policy fork.

    Couldn’t run a lemonade stand at a state fair on a hot august afternoon.

  74. Trump says:

    Dork

  75. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Hilarious spoof scientific study blaming climate change on masculinity. Despite being inanely written, a scientific journal published it.

    http://climatechangedispatch.com/penises-cause-climate-change-progressives-fooled-by-peer-reviewed-hoax-study/

    “Sokal’s paper – comprising pages of impressive-sounding but meaningless pseudo-academic jargon – was written in part to demonstrate that humanities journals will publish pretty much anything so long as it sounds like “proper leftist thought;” and partly in order to send up the absurdity of so much post-modernist social science.

    So, for this new spoof, Boghossian and Lindsay were careful to throw in lots of signifier phrases to indicate fashionable anti-male bias:
    We intended to test the hypothesis that flattery of the academic Left’s moral architecture in general, and of the moral orthodoxy in gender studies in particular, is the overwhelming determiner of publication in an academic journal in the field. That is, we sought to demonstrate that a desire for a certain moral view of the world to be validated could overcome the critical assessment required for legitimate scholarship. Particularly, we suspected that gender studies are crippled academically by an overriding almost-religious belief that maleness is the root of all evil. On the evidence, our suspicion was justified.
    They also took care to make it completely incomprehensible.

    We didn’t try to make the paper coherent; instead, we stuffed it full of jargon (like “discursive” and “isomorphism”), nonsense (like arguing that hypermasculine men are both inside and outside of certain discourses at the same time), red-flag phrases (like “pre-post-patriarchal society”), lewd references to slang terms for the p—-, insulting phrasing regarding men (including referring to some men who choose not to have children as being “unable to coerce a mate”), and allusions to rape (we stated that “manspreading,” a complaint levied against men for sitting with their legs spread wide, is “akin to raping the empty space around him”). After completing the paper, we read it carefully to ensure it didn’t say anything meaningful, and as neither one of us could determine what it is actually about, we deemed it a success.”

  76. Waingro says:

    ” Maybe Paul Ryan should get off his butt and get some bills passed.”

    “Trump” (i.e. Soccer Guru): I don’t necessarily disagree, but don’t you think Trump at least bears SOME responsibility to help lead and get some of his agenda across the finish line?

  77. Tina says:

    Looks like brennan and the jebots had a rough day re muh russia, gowdy got brennam badly.

  78. Tina says:

    Former CIA Director, John Brennan testified before the House today about the 2016 election interference. When Dem. Rep. Adam Schiff asked Brennan if Trump or his aides pressured the Intelligence Community to drop the Flynn investigation, he said a clear and concise, ‘No, sir”.

    This contradicts comedys fake memo.

    It confirms comedys comgressional statement

  79. Tina says:

    Adam Schiff: “With respect to the allegations made recently that the President or his aides may have sought to enlist the member of the IC or Director Comey himself to drop the Flynn investigation, uh have any members of the IC shared with you their concerns that the President was attempting to enlist the help of the people in the intelligence community to drop the Flynn investigation?”

    Brennan: “No, sir.”

    Adam Schiff: “Are you aware of any efforts the President has made who enlist the support of the intelligence community personnel to push back on a narrative involving the collusion issue that Mr. Rooney was asking about?”

    Brennan: “I am unaware of it.”

  80. Tina says:

    Ryan is a disappointment.

  81. Tina says:

    Hannity to jump ship?

  82. Wes says:

    Chicon, money is still pouring into GA-6 from outside groups, so I doubt the national GOP has abandoned the race.

    Regardless, Handel needs to work harder than she has to put this race away.

  83. Chicon says:

    Thanks, Wes

  84. Chicon says:

    One of the leaders of the Tuesday group has resigned that position because the members were too unwilling to compromise. Robbie crushed…..

  85. Wes says:

    I think the Tuesday Group needs to realize something will happen regarding repealing and/or revising Obamacare and take a seat at the table to have input rather than come across as inflexible as the Tea Party Caucus once did.

  86. NYCmike says:

    “One of the leaders of the Tuesday group has resigned that position because the members were too unwilling to compromise.”

    -N F Way!

    I need proof of this before I fall off my chair laughing…….who names their group “Tuesday Group” anyway?

    What a bunch of “moderates”! LOL!

  87. Chicon says:

    Wes, I think both groups are similar. Both realize that without the Dems each of the Republican groups are needed to get anything passed.

  88. PresidentPaul! says:

    I said this before, but I still think Trump would have had a more successful presidency had he pledged to veto everything that came to his desk in advance. Including all budgets, etc

  89. Tina says:

    don’t know if we know it was Russia who broke into the DNC,” Trump said at the debate. “[Clinton is] saying Russia, Russia, Russia. Maybe it was. It could also be China, it could be someone sitting on their bed that weighs 400 pounds.”

    400lb man, who could thst be?

  90. PresidentPaul! says:

    Cael, the greatest wrestler of all time, destroying current 205 weight class UFC champion.

    Cael Sanderson (159-0) vs Daniel Cormier – 2001 NCAA finals (pre-MMA/UFC)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4w3I2nQH6JQ

    (Cormier losing his fourth match in a row to Cael.)

  91. Tina says:

    Omg

    BOOM! Obama’s last CIA director saye it’s normal to share intel with Russia; the damage is that intel and its source leaked to the press:

  92. Trump says:

    Goody: Do you have any evidence of Trump-Russia collusion or not?

    Brennan: I don’t do evidence.

    Lol

    The motto of nevertrumpers and other assorted haters like the Jeb cocsucker Robbie.

  93. Trump says:

    And remember, this is the liar who got caught lying under oath to congress.

  94. Paul says:

    Trump lies.

  95. Paul says:

    Trump lies a lot.

  96. Trump says:

    Not one lie. Always accurate.

    Crooked Hillary.

  97. Trump says:

    Nut job Comey

  98. Tina says:

    Where is fake news?

  99. Tina says:

    Mika needs to review clapper, brennan, comedy under oath, and mccabe.

    Maybe mika can bake joe some cookies.

  100. Tina says:

    I mean isnt mika joe scarfarce an attorney.

    My god, what a sheot fest.

  101. Trump says:

    It is hard for liars to keep their story straight.

  102. lisab says:

    BOOM!! Kim Dot.Com DROPS BOMBSHELL! — SETH RICH LEAKED DNC EMAILS TO WIKILEAKS

  103. Paul says:

    110. Talking about Trump?

  104. Paul says:

    111. Earth shattering. LOL.

  105. Trump says:

    Glowing orb was coolest thing ever.

  106. Trump says:

    Obama and Hillary.

    Lying tools.

  107. lisab says:

    Earth shattering. LOL.
    ————————–

    only if you are pushing a russian trump storyline

    otherwise it is pretty much a non issue

  108. Cash Cow TM says:

    Elaine (on Seinfeld) told me a coyote ate Seth Rich.

  109. Cash Cow TM says:

    OOPS!

    No…she said a DINGO ate Seth Rich.

  110. lisab says:

    seth rich was unfortunately killed

    apparently NOT in a robbery

    it could have been just bad luck

    but … even if he did not give info to wikileaks

    many people think he did, and there are people who would act on that

    it should be investigated

  111. Bitterlaw says:

    DOUBLE BOOM! – Tupac sent DNC memos to Wikileaks.

  112. Tina says:

    Any Fake News this morning?

  113. Phil says:

    As long as CNN is on the air, bank on it.

  114. Bitterlaw says:

    Phil – How is your wife doing? How are you doing?

  115. Chicon says:

    120 – Bitter, the report I saw said it was Elvis. Or Dr. Oz.

  116. NYCmike says:

    Jim Morrison spotted w/ Jimi Hendrix and Janis Joplin outside DNC headquarters……

  117. NYCmike says:

    https://www.jerrypournelle.com/chaosmanor/recovery-opinionanalysis-on-comey-and-draining-the-swamp-a-note-on-education/

    -Just to help Robbie into the day, a long list of Comey/Trump/Sessions items to chew on.*

    *Yes, I hope this guy’s theories are correct. He does admit some facts are NOT VERIFIED, and that other parts are OPINION……UNLIKE ROBBIE’s MSM sources…..

  118. Robbie says:

    NYCMike

    If you genuinely believe the crap posted in that link, then there’s no helping you. That was full blown conspiracy theory garbage worthy of an Alex Jones skit. You’re better than this. At least, I thought you were.

  119. NYCmike says:

    “If you genuinely believe”

    -If you read the whole comment….

  120. Robbie says:

    NYCMike

    There’s a big difference in posting a story reported by the NYT or WaPo and posting the rambling, conspiratorial opinions of some guy who has his own website.

  121. Waingro says:

    Yeah, time to run away FAST from this story. I notice Hannity is came up with convenient excuse to stop airing it on his show due to family please, but, uh, my guess is he will now act as if he never mentioned anything about it before.

    Lachlan Markay?Verified account @lachlan

    Kim Dotcom tried to hack Seth Rich’s gmail account. When that didn’t work, Tuesday’s “bombshell” suddenly dissipated

  122. Waingro says:

    #130, “family pleas”

  123. Robbie says:

    Hannity went full cuck on the Seth Rich story. Sad!

    Most likely, the FoxNews lawyers told him to stop talking about the story for fear of a lawsuit.

  124. Waingro says:

    #132, no doubt.

  125. Phil says:

    Bitter, we’re both doing ok, thanks. Hanging in there.

  126. Robbie says:

    Jim Vandehei, of Axios and formerly of Politico, said this morning top elected Republicans have told him it’s possible the Republican controlled Congress may end 2017 without passing any signature legislation (healthcare, tax reform).

    We’ll see if that actually happens, but that would be a terrible development for Republican chances in 2018. I’m making no predictions, but it’s becoming more apparent to me a Democrat wave is developing far out to sea. Whether it makes it to shore is another question.

  127. Waingro says:

    #135, well I’m not quite as “concerned” to that level yet. And oh, FWIW, Economist/Youtube released a poll showing the GCB at only D+2.

    https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/nkn28k0m0p/econTabReport.pdf

  128. Trump says:

    There is no reason to vote for a GOP Congress anymore.

    People will come to that realization as 2018 midterms near.

  129. Trump says:

    I am still trying to project what their 2018 message is going to be, and coming up empty.

    “Repeal Obamacare” worked for 4 cycles, now that platform is gone.

  130. Trump says:

    There will be zero accomplishments to point to, at the rate they are going.

  131. Trump says:

    On the other hand, they are running against Democrats, a party bereft of any leaders or ideas.

    So there’s that.

  132. Waingro says:

    #138, you could be right, SG. Although the same may very well be true for Trump in 2020. I’m not quite sure “BUT GORSUCH!!” will be enough in his own “accomplishments” trophy case.

  133. Wes says:

    T3rump the poster last year told us people were definitely going to vote for a Democrat Senate too. That didn’t happen. Dems haven’t given epeople any more reason to vote for them than Republicans have. That’s in contrast to the wave years of 1994, 2006, 2010, and 2014 when either Democrats or REpubblicans actually gave voters reasons to support them.

  134. Trump says:

    Trump has plenty in his “accomplishments” trophy case.

    Economy is always number one for presidents. Always.

  135. Wes says:

    Dems would be best served to relax ideology and nominate Mike McIntyres rather than Tom Periellos in the competitive districts.

  136. Robbie says:

    Waingro says:
    May 24, 2017 at 10:55 am
    #135, well I’m not quite as “concerned” to that level yet. And oh, FWIW, Economist/Youtube released a poll showing the GCB at only D+2.
    https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/nkn28k0m0p/econTabReport.pdf

    – Right now, I think the Trump approval rating is far more useful than the generic ballot question. If you notice, the two numbers are practically identical though. Trump has become shorthand for Republican.

  137. Waingro says:

    #145, true, but if he stays at high 30’s/low 40’s, I still think that gives the GOP at least a shot to keep House. Remember: He was at 38% “favorability” on Election Day.

    If he drops below that, then watch out!

  138. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    May 24, 2017 at 11:08 am
    T3rump the poster last year told us people were definitely going to vote for a Democrat Senate too. That didn’t happen. Dems haven’t given epeople any more reason to vote for them than Republicans have. That’s in contrast to the wave years of 1994, 2006, 2010, and 2014 when either Democrats or REpubblicans actually gave voters reasons to support them.

    – Fair point, but it’s also a little early for Democrats to be releasing their “manifesto” for 2018. The Republican contract with America wasn’t released until very late in the 1994 process. And in 2006, I think the wipeout had far more to due with the disastrous Iraq war and Republican corruption which got a boost from Mark Foley in late September.

  139. Wes says:

    If the economy is good next year, then Republicans will hold Congress. Economics has always been the prime argument for maintaining status quo even if Congress hasn’t passed X or Y bill.

  140. Wes says:

    If, however, the economy is bad, then Trump the President had better hope for a recovery by 2020, or he’ll be gone along with the GOP House. The fate of each is linked to economic performance regardless of the sophistries of our resident Donald Trump acolyte.

  141. Robbie says:

    Waingro says:
    May 24, 2017 at 11:13 am
    #145, true, but if he stays at high 30’s/low 40’s, I still think that gives the GOP at least a shot to keep House. Remember: He was at 38% “favorability” on Election Day.
    If he drops below that, then watch out!

    – Gerrymandering will also help, but I see a big difference in 2016 and 2018 when we look at Trump’s approval. In 2016, he had Clinton as a foil. For voters, it was a binary choice. In 2018, there will be no Clinton as a foil and the choice will be between Trump and the ethereal “something else”.

    In 2010, Obama’s approval rating was 45% in the RCP average on election day yet Democrats lost 63 seats in the House. It’s definitely the case Democrats were overextended after 2006 and 2008, but a mid 40 approval rating for Obama crushed his party just as the same approval for Clinton in 1994 did for Democrats.

  142. I support Trump now says:

    Rasmussen Report- 48% Trump job approval!

  143. Wes says:

    Iraq was the big thing, Robbie, but there were signs of impending economic slowdown starting in mid 2006. That was definitely a factor in turning a bad midterm into a wipeout. That Bush was stuck at 37% after September ’05 didn’t help.

  144. Waingro says:

    To his credit, Robbie isn’t as much of a doom and gloomer as the “Republicans” over at RRH. I just did a quick perusal over there and it seems as if half of the posters have already waved a white flag to 2018.

  145. Robbie says:

    Right now it looks like 2017 is going to be all about Russia. That’s not going to help the Republican party, but it might not be as bad as it could be if Trump stops talking about it and stops tweeting about it. Reports say he has begun hiring personal lawyers so I would guess they’ll be telling him not to comment publicly anymore about Russia/Comey/et al.

    I do think the last few weeks have made a couple of things more possible. One is Trump seems more likely to get a substantive primary challenger and the other is Trump chooses not to run in 2020. I don’t, however, see him resigning no matter what. The chances he quits is no longer 0%, but it’s not much higher than that either.

  146. Cash Cow TM says:

    Cow working hard to educate HHR posters and help out the Wizard.
    ***********************************
    NEWS IN NUMBERS

    $61,000
    Amount that the band U2 cost Santa Clara, Calif.’s Valley Transportation Authority when it performed past the city’s 10 p.m. curfew last week. The VTA had to add after-hours trains so that concertgoers weren’t stranded at the venue.

    THE SAN FRANCISCO CHRONICLE | MAY 23, 2017
    _____________________________

    10 minutes
    The longest it takes for every person in San Francisco to walk to a park from their home. It’s the first city in the country to achieve this universal measure of proximity to parks.

    THE SAN FRANCISCO CHRONICLE | MAY 18, 2017
    [NO DATA ON HOW LONG IT TAKES FOR PEOPLE IN SF TO TO WALK FROM THEIR HOME UNTIL THEY ARE MUGGED]
    ____________________________
    300,000
    Eligible voters in Wisconsin who lacked a valid photo ID and may have been blocked from casting a ballot in November, the first presidential election with the state’s strict voter ID law in effect.

    THE MILWAUKEE JOURNAL SENTINEL | MAY 16, 2017

    [odd how the number is exactly 300,000…]
    ___________________________________
    82,000
    Non-English-speaking children in Oklahoma that state Rep. Mike Ritze wants to let federal immigration agents question to determine if they’re U.S. citizens. Under federal law, children have a right to attend public school regardless of immigration status.

    THE HUFFINGTON POST | MAY 15, 2017
    ________________________________________
    7%
    Rise in premiums on Alaska’s health exchange from last year to this year. They were initially going to increase 42 percent, but the state created a reinsurance fund to convince its insurer to drop prices. Other states are now seeking to do something similar.

    GOVERNING | MAY 8, 2017

  147. Robbie says:

    Waingro says:
    May 24, 2017 at 11:24 am
    To his credit, Robbie isn’t as much of a doom and gloomer as the “Republicans” over at RRH. I just did a quick perusal over there and it seems as if half of the posters have already waved a white flag to 2018.

    – There’s almost 18 months to go so it’s hardly time to wave the white flag. But it’s also reasonable to note there are some flashing red lights right now.

    I think, realistically, Trump has until Labor Day or so to turn things around. That means getting a few accomplishments and reassuring people he’s not a loose cannon. Not long after that, 2018 horserace coverage will dominate everything and perceptions will be pretty hard to change.

  148. Cash Cow TM says:

    “In general, green card holders, immigrant children and their pregnant mothers tend to have greater access to state welfare benefits than other immigrants who lack citizenship, according to the Urban Institute report.

    For their first five years in the U.S., adult green card holders don’t have access to the federal Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, better known as food stamps. But five states fund nutrition assistance for those immigrants: California, Connecticut, Maine, Minnesota and Washington state.

    The story is similar for children of green card holders: They’re ineligible for federal Medicaid funds, but a growing number of states have extended Medicaid benefits to them.”

    GOVERNING.COM

  149. Trump says:

    BREAKING: Seth Rich ordered Pizza with toppings from Comet Pizza. per Drudge.

  150. NYCmike says:

    “There’s a big difference in posting a story reported by the NYT or WaPo and posting the rambling, conspiratorial opinions of some guy who has his own website.”

    -I guess Dan Rather will be sending you another gift certificate to your favorite restaurant.

    “Hook, line, and sinker” should be Robbie’s nickname.

  151. NYCmike says:

    “– There’s almost 18 months to go so it’s hardly time to wave the white flag. But it’s also reasonable to note there are some flashing red lights right now.”

    -Robbie finally looks at the calendar, but then tries to rationalize his “worries” that started at 12:05 on January 20, 2017.

  152. NYCmike says:

    “I think, realistically, Trump has until Labor Day or so to turn things around. That means getting a few accomplishments and reassuring people he’s not a loose cannon. Not long after that, 2018 horserace coverage will dominate everything and perceptions will be pretty hard to change.”

    -Trump is not up for election in 2018.

    Republicans need to accomplish something.

    MAYBE they should start pumping out conservative-oriented legislation. At least make the Democrats say “NO!”.

  153. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    May 24, 2017 at 11:42 am
    “I think, realistically, Trump has until Labor Day or so to turn things around. That means getting a few accomplishments and reassuring people he’s not a loose cannon. Not long after that, 2018 horserace coverage will dominate everything and perceptions will be pretty hard to change.”
    -Trump is not up for election in 2018.
    Republicans need to accomplish something.
    MAYBE they should start pumping out conservative-oriented legislation. At least make the Democrats say “NO!”.

    – Earth to NYCMike. Earth to NYCMike. The single most important factor in a midterm is the president’s job approval rating. If he doesn’t get his act together and his approval is still low, Republicans will face a wipeout.

  154. BayernFan says:

    We are a LOOOOOOOOOOONG way off from the 2018 midterms. Sheesh.

  155. Trump says:

    Republicans are on glide path to losing in 2018.

    Voters have no reason to turn out for them, except that they are not Democrats. That may be enough to survive, but I wouldn’t be counting on it.

    Trump has nothing to do with the GOP stupidity and indolence. GOP cannot govern, period. The incompetent idiot Ryan couldn’t pass a kidney stone, let alone a major bill. Renaming post offices only carries you so far.

  156. lisab says:

    Bitter, the report I saw said it was Elvis. Or Dr. Oz.
    ————————————-

    dr. oz is muslim!

  157. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    163. “The single most important factor in a midterm is the president’s job approval rating. If he doesn’t get his act together and his approval is still low, Republicans will face a wipeout.”

    Another day, and yet another Robbie prediction the sky is falling. The president’s job approval ratings were low in November 2016, when he got elected. The polls were wrong then, so they are right now? Rasmussen, which was among the most accurate of the polls last election has Trump at 48% approval. But of course Robbie discounts Rasmussen, as it does not fit into his doomsday for Trump narrative.

  158. lisab says:

    also, regarding seth rich

    he was shot twice in the back … in dc …

    a gun free zone!!!!!

    how do you get shot in a gun free zone?!!!!!

    and no one finds that suspicious?!!!

  159. Trump says:

    The positive thing for the GOP:

    “Democrats Still Struggling To Achieve Any Kind Of Party Unity.”

    Plus they seem to be having trouble raising money.

  160. lisab says:

    Plus they seem to be having trouble raising money.
    ————————————————–

    this is actually a huge story that is not being reported

    the trump supporters are still on board with trump, and very happy with their vote. i live in trump country and not one person has said they wish they had voted for hillary.

    people STILL have trump signs on their cars and houses.

    the rank and file dems are still pissed that they lost. they were told that the election was in the bag and they lost

    the rich dems are still giving, but even they are giving less.

  161. NYCmike says:

    ” The single most important factor in a midterm is the president’s job approval rating. If he doesn’t get his act together and his approval is still low, Republicans will face a wipeout.”

    -Besides what SDC stated, I would also point out that his approval ratings WOULD GO UP if Congress sends him conservative-oriented legislation.

    He will either sign it into law, or the Democrats will delay it, at which time Trump can use Twitter to point that out and belittle their efforts to harm the American populace.

  162. lisab says:

    “the establishment” still don’t get why trump won,

    or they intellectually get it, but cannot admit it to themselves.

    he won because “regular” working people are tired of being taken advantage of.

    to give you a quick example, in a town near me in ny people had nice homes roughly 15 years ago. they were valued at about $200,000 and were people’s retirement plan. that is, they figured they would pay off their mortgages and live in their homes when they were elderly and eventually sell their homes for a profit when they became very elderly.

    except … the local government decided that instead of $3,500 in property taxes per year, they wanted $12,000+ per year.

    now those same houses have dropped by $50,000 in value — because even if you pay off your mortgage, you are still paying more than $1,000 per month in taxes

    meanwhile people who are on welfare get free food, free housing, free healthcare and free education which the middle class can no longer afford

  163. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    May 24, 2017 at 12:44 pm
    163. “The single most important factor in a midterm is the president’s job approval rating. If he doesn’t get his act together and his approval is still low, Republicans will face a wipeout.”
    Another day, and yet another Robbie prediction the sky is falling. The president’s job approval ratings were low in November 2016, when he got elected. The polls were wrong then, so they are right now? Rasmussen, which was among the most accurate of the polls last election has Trump at 48% approval. But of course Robbie discounts Rasmussen, as it does not fit into his doomsday for Trump narrative.

    – But Rasmussen!

    I don’t discount Rasmussen. It’s part of the RCP average that I referred to quite often. I will not use Rasmussen, or any other robo-pollster, on its own as proof of anything.

    As for Trump’s rating in 2016. It’s apples to oranges. Trump benefitted from having an equally unpopular foe in Clinton. He no longer has her as a foil. Now, he has his own record and actions on which to judge him.

  164. lisab says:

    as another example, this just was published by howie carr

    $570 food bill at WHOLE FOODS on an EBT card (food stamps)

    WHOLE FOODS is about the most expensive place you can go for food.

    the person still has a $2,100+ balance on their card!

    that would feed my family for months

    https://howiecarrshow.com/grace-unveils-full-whole-foods-receipt/

  165. NYCmike says:

    “– But Rasmussen!”

    -Robbie stopped saying “super semen” and went to “But Rasmussen”.

    “CG”-like.

  166. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    May 24, 2017 at 1:56 pm

    Besides what SDC stated, I would also point out that his approval ratings WOULD GO UP if Congress sends him conservative-oriented legislation.

    – If this was the case, why did Trump’s approval rating not go up after the House passed its version of healthcare reform?

    Trump’s approval rating is a function of his own actions and behavior (erratic decisions, twitter rants). It has little to do with legislation.

    And for the foreseeable future, his standing is going to be determined by the continuing investigation into Russia. An investigation by the way, that was running out of steam until he impulsively fired Comey and told both Lester Holt and the Russian foreign minister he fired Comey over the Russia investigation.

  167. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    May 24, 2017 at 2:12 pm
    “– But Rasmussen!”
    -Robbie stopped saying “super semen” and went to “But Rasmussen”.
    “CG”-like.

    – For SDC, it’s “but Rasmussen”.

    For Tinfoil, it’s about super semen since she tried to pass off Cernovich as credible.

    For you, it Richard Mourdock since you supported a candidate guaranteed to give Democrats an unearned Senate seat.

  168. Robbie says:

    BayernFan says:
    May 24, 2017 at 12:37 pm
    We are a LOOOOOOOOOOONG way off from the 2018 midterms. Sheesh.

    – If Trump doesn’t tone down his act and stop issuing Twitter rants, it’s not too early.

  169. lisab says:

    “If this was the case, why did Trump’s approval rating not go up after the House passed its version of healthcare reform?”

    because it is not the sweeping repeal of obamacare that was promised

    and the senate is unlikely to repeal obamacare at all

  170. NYCmike says:

    Robbie,

    Your jumping around like a bull(sh*t)frog.

    If congressional Republicans do what they should, in terms of being strong conservative-minded legislators and questioners, voters will reward them.

    Trump is Trump, let him be Trump. He is NOT JEB!2016, Thank the Good Lord!

  171. NYCmike says:

    brokered convention
    JEB!2016
    happy about Romney losing
    “wobbie”

    -which one do you like the best?

  172. NYCmike says:

    http://twitchy.com/sd-3133/2017/05/23/singer-morrisseys-response-to-manchesterbombing-has-pc-heads-exploding/

    -Liking this guy more and more lately, especially since I got my music system put in.

    Like his music, like his opinion in this matter.

  173. Trump says:

    “If this was the case, why did Trump’s approval rating not go up after the House passed its version of healthcare reform?”

    What is the approval of the House-passed bill?

    17%?

    Why would Trump’s approval go up on this crapola of a bill?

    You really are a retard, Robbie.

  174. Trump says:

    Ryan’s bill raised premiums and costs, while throwing people off insurance.

    What’s not to like?

  175. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Am actually going to take a different tack on the medical care issue and Trump’s polling numbers. It does appear that repealing Obamacare has had a negative effect on his poll ratings.

    As political commentators has been pointed out, a lot of blue collar Trump supporters are dependent on some form of government-funded medical insurance. They will support repeal of Obamacare, but not if they perceive it will cause them to lose their medical insurance. It is a sensitive issue that up to now has been badly mishandled by the Republicans in Congress — and Trump is making a major mistake letting Ryan and Congress handle the issue. It makes him look weak and non-involved.

    Know many are advocating for an end to all government-funded medical care. Whatever the merits, it is political death wish for the Republicans. It would cause the fulfillment of Robbie’s doomsday scenario for the Republicans in Congress.

  176. PresidentPaul! says:

    More failed Paul Ryan leadership.

    https://www.axios.com/new-gop-fear-nine-months-of-failure-2420113108.html

    New GOP fear: No major legislative accomplishments by fall

  177. PresidentPaul! says:

    #180

    Since Trump is running for reelection in 2020, you won’t get a new republican until 2024.

  178. PresidentPaul! says:

    Paul Ryan still slandering Trump even with things he never said.

    Ryan: ‘I Don’t Agree’ With Trump on Former FBI
    Director Comey — He Is Not a ‘Nut Job’

    http://www.breitbart.com/video/2017/05/24/ryan-i-dont-agree-with-trump-on-former-fbi-director-comey-he-is-not-a-nut-job/

  179. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Special Report: President Trump’s twitter account continues to be hacked by someone sane.

    Donald J. Trump?: “Honor of a lifetime to meet His Holiness Pope Francis. I leave the Vatican more determined than ever to pursue PEACE in our world.”

  180. Trump says:

    Paul Ryan should be focusing on his job. On how to be minimally competent.

  181. Trump says:

    How does Ryan know Comey is not a “nut job”?

  182. I support Donald Trump now says:

    The republicans are blowing this opportunity to change the country. It’s like the 2016 election did not happen.

  183. PresidentPaul! says:

    Why is he honored to meet the communist pope?

  184. PresidentPaul! says:

    The communist pope is a modern day high sparrow character.

    He even looks exactly like him.

  185. NYCmike says:

    http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/may/24/whistleblower-dhs-knowingly-let-ms-13-gang-members/

    -Obama, wonderful guy.

    This should be tweeted by every Republican member of Congress.

    No honest person, legal or illegal, likes gang members who use violence to enrich themselves, so there is no political damage to point this out.

  186. NYCmike says:

    “communist pope” – ZZZZZZZZzzzzzzzzz

  187. NYCmike says:

    CC

  188. Chicon says:

    How long before the Pope leaks a transcript of his chat with Trump?

  189. messy says:

    missed it again! damn!

  190. messy says:

    198. the washington times, owned by the moonie cult, is famous for fake news…..

  191. Chicon says:

    180 – Lol. I’m sure there’s a very similar post from Captain Negative in the summer or fall, suggesting there’s no way Trump wins the Presidency unless he gets off Twitter and tones down his act.

  192. Chicon says:

    203 – who isn’t?

  193. NYCmike says:

    “Sen. Ron Johnson, chairman of the Senate Homeland Security Committee, said a whistleblower turned over Customs and Border Protection documents from 2014 detailing the 16 persons who were caught crossing the border.”

    -messy,

    Is Senator Ron Johnson a moonie cultist as well?

  194. messy says:

    175. most of the polls last November were within the margin of error, and all but one had Hillary ahead. IN the end, Hillary was indeed ahead in the popular vote.

  195. NYCmike says:

    messy,

    The Democrat seems to think it is true as well…..

    “Sen. Claire McCaskill, the ranking Democrat on the committee, said she wants to get rid of gangs, but criticized the release of the whistleblower documents, saying it may have hurt active investigations or otherwise dented efforts to get the gang members out of the country.

    “I have concerns that these documents were released so quickly,” she said.”

  196. NYCmike says:

    “IN the end, Hillary was indeed ahead in the popular vote.”

    -And?

    Popular vote is for some elections, BUT not the office Hillary was running for.

    🙂

  197. messy says:

    206. Considering what his positions are, it’s well within the realm of possibility.

  198. messy says:

    209. yeah, but we’re talking about national polls which predicted the popular vote nationally.

  199. BayernFan says:

    She did not win the popular vote in enough states.

  200. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    California put Clinton over the top in the popular vote. Trump won the popular vote total of the other 49 states.

  201. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    This is sad, the liberal press is already making excuses for the potential Republican win in Montana special election.

    http://www.rollcall.com/news/opinion/montana-rob-quist-greg-gianforte

    Montana voters are very independent, its not totally out of the range of possibilities they may elect a wacko candidate, just for the sake of electing a wacko candidate.

  202. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Think of the salutary effect of a naked congressman playing the banjo on the floor of congress.

    Rumor is (heard it from a friend, who heard it from a friend, who heard about it when someone read him a secret memo from an anonymous source) that the first song Quist is going to play is an ode to Nancy Pelosi.

  203. NYCmike says:

    “206. Considering what his positions are, it’s well within the realm of possibility.”

    -Do tell me, which of Ron Johnson’s positions would you consider are similar to a person from a moonie cult?

    Balanced budget?
    Spend less than you raise?
    Better education for all, regardless of economic status, color, religion, creed, etc?

  204. lisab says:

    another fox shakeup

    martha mccallum out

    meghan mccain to replace

    do to falling ratings

  205. lisab says:

    **due** to falling ratings 🙂

  206. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Whatever the issues with Trump, the Democrats seem to be having their issues as well. In California the Democrats recently had a donnybrook of a convention.

    Robbie, you really think the Democrats will be in shape to challenge Trump in 2018 with these sort of antics.

    http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-democratic-schisms-snap-20170522-story.html

  207. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Trump’s re-election strategy is simple; keep Bannon locked in his office, with no outside contact; keep the anonymous Mr. Nice in charge of Trump’s twitter; and have Melania in charge of poking Trump whenever he gets uppity, and Trump will cruise in 2020.

    Do I have to do all the thinking around here?

  208. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    May 24, 2017 at 3:54 pm
    180 – Lol. I’m sure there’s a very similar post from Captain Negative in the summer or fall, suggesting there’s no way Trump wins the Presidency unless he gets off Twitter and tones down his act.

    – Trump’s trip to the Middle East and Europe has been successful so far. Why? Well for starters, he hasn’t tweeted anything controversial that hasn’t stepped on the message of the trip.

  209. NYCmike says:

    The more I think about it, the Republicans in Congress should have an easier time with legislation with Trump being Trump.

    The media would have so many balls in the air (alleged Trump scandals) along with budget cuts to SNAP, Planned Parenthood, EPA, etc, etc. Congress could just go about putting forth a budget that keeps discretionary spending at same levels as last year (no increase), increase military $$, etc.

    These “leaders” don’t know how to take advantage of chaos.

    Didn’t they learn anything from Rahm Emmanuel?

  210. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    May 24, 2017 at 4:54 pm
    Whatever the issues with Trump, the Democrats seem to be having their issues as well. In California the Democrats recently had a donnybrook of a convention.
    Robbie, you really think the Democrats will be in shape to challenge Trump in 2018 with these sort of antics.
    http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-democratic-schisms-snap-20170522-story.html

    – Midterms are rarely about the party out of power. They are almost always referendum on the person in the White House. In 2010, Republicans ran a Senate candidate who had to make sure everyone knew she wasn’t a witch, a Senate candidate who talked about “second amendment remedies”, and even a House candidate in Ohio who liked to dress up in a SS uniform for WWII reenactments. Despite that, Republicans across the country still did well.

  211. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    May 24, 2017 at 5:01 pm
    Trump’s re-election strategy is simple; keep Bannon locked in his office, with no outside contact; keep the anonymous Mr. Nice in charge of Trump’s twitter; and have Melania in charge of poking Trump whenever he gets uppity, and Trump will cruise in 2020.
    Do I have to do all the thinking around here?

    – This is certainly a good starting point, but, as NYCMike points out, he’ll need some legislative successes.

    My point is there’s very little chance Republicans will be able to muscle through important legislation so long as the Russia story persists and Trump’s popularity is low.

    Right now, even tax reform is viewed unfavorably in polling. Why? Because it is associated with Trump who is unpopular. If his popularity goes up, so will the perception of the policy he pushes. That will make passing bills much easier.

  212. NYCmike says:

    ” so long as the Russia story persists and Trump’s popularity is low.”

    -I disagree.

    Everyone is watching the sideshow. The main room should be conservative-oriented legislation. Either the media will leave the sideshow and go after the main room events, or vice versa.

    GET THE LEGISLATION FLOWING! The President’s actions have nothing to do with the job of Congress, if they can chew gum and walk at the same time.

  213. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    225. Not seeing legislative success as the key. Am curious, what were Obama’s great legislative successes? I would not rate Obamacare as one of them.

    Believe the key issue was stated by James Carville: “Its the economy stupid.” On that issue Trump is looking pretty good.

  214. Wes says:

    Messy’s just upset because Johnson took out liberal darling Russ Feingold not once but twice.

  215. NYCmike says:

    SDC,

    My opinions are in regard to 2018 success, not Trump re-election.

    Robbie keeps fixating on that as if this is a conventional time – it is not.

  216. Cash Cow TM says:

    What a difference a letter makes:

    laughter
    slaughter

    How ironic.
    ___________________________
    {Cow is in deep mode today}

  217. Chicon says:

    222 – non-responsive to 180.

  218. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    May 24, 2017 at 5:55 pm
    225. Not seeing legislative success as the key. Am curious, what were Obama’s great legislative successes? I would not rate Obamacare as one of them.
    Believe the key issue was stated by James Carville: “Its the economy stupid.” On that issue Trump is looking pretty good.

    – Stimulus, Lily Leadbetter, Obamacare, and Dodd/Frank.

    I didn’t support any of them, but he pushed though a lot in those years. Of course, they have 60 Senate votes and Pelosi had a strong whip hand.

  219. Chicon says:

    218 – link?

  220. lisab says:

    218 – link?
    ————

    i just made it up to watch heads explode

    but honestly i would not put it past the new management

    fox news is now in THIRD place

  221. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    May 24, 2017 at 6:00 pm
    SDC,
    My opinions are in regard to 2018 success, not Trump re-election.
    Robbie keeps fixating on that as if this is a conventional time – it is not.

    – It’s hardly a fixation to note that a president’s approval rating is the key factor in midterm elections.

    If Trump’s approval remains around 40%, Republicans will very likely lose the House. No amount of gerrymandering will matter.

  222. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    May 24, 2017 at 6:17 pm
    218 – link?

    – I never saw Twitter as a plus for Trump in the general election, but I didn’t really spend too much time on the issue because I thought he would lose.

    Now that he’s president though, what he says on Twitter has a whole different connotation. And as the WSJ reported this past weekend, his staff attempted an intervention about Twitter right after he tweeted about wiretapping. Too bad it didn’t work.

    My guess is Trump’s new legal team is going to impress upon him tweeting about Russia will only hurt him in any legal proceedings that may occur.

  223. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    235. “No amount of gerrymandering will matter.”

    235. Do you think the Republicans have gerrymandered the House? Any examples where?

    If anything has make House more Republican, it has been the Supreme Court requiring redistricting to be done to provide representation to specific demographic groups. It tends to congregate Democrats in a few districts, allowing Republicans a better opportunity to carry a majority of districts.

  224. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    A twitter account with 31 million followers is a plus for a candidate in an election. It was a factor in Trump’s victory. Trump can appeal directly to his voters, and bypass the leftists press.

    One reason the leftist press is hysterical now is they realize they can no longer filter news, as Trump can communicate with his base directly.

  225. PresidentPaul! says:

    #236

    The Russian investigation is political hysteria not an investigation.

    Trump should mock the whole thing daily on twitter.

  226. PresidentPaul! says:

    Also Robbie you don’t expect Trump to go quietly with this stuff do you? He wasn’t quite with pussy gate or Jeb’s antics so he’s not going to be that with mueller dog and pony show.

  227. PresidentPaul! says:

    Trump should have fired 100% of NSA/CIA/FBI not just Comey.

  228. PresidentPaul! says:

    “A Poisonous Snake of the Highest Order . . .
    Thomas DiLorenzo

    . . . highly paid to provide cover for high-level corruption by the Clintons and Obama . . . central to trying to destroy . . . Trump . . . as dirty as they come in D.C.”
    This is how one deep state contrarian, writing under a pseudonym, describes the new Darling of the D.C. Establishment, James Comey.

  229. PresidentPaul! says:

    “Gender Studies” Academic Bigshots Fall for a Big Hoax

    Thomas DiLorenzo

    Reminiscent of H.L. Mencken’s famous “bathtub hoax” in which he made up a fake story about “the history of the bathtub” and many people believed it, two academics have published in a “peer-reviewed” academic “gender studies” journal an article that hysterically argues that the main cause of “climate change” — and most of the other problems in he world — is the male penis.  The campus feminists who edit the journal swallowed he hoax hook, line, and sinker.

  230. lisab says:

    Playboy Model Dani Mathers Gets 3 Years of Probation, 30 Days of Graffiti Removal in Body-Shaming Case

  231. PresidentPaul! says:

    DELINGPOLE: ‘Penises Cause Climate Change’; Progressives Fooled by Peer-Reviewed Hoax Study

    http://www.breitbart.com/tech/2017/05/20/delingpole-penises-cause-climate-change-progressives-fooled-by-peer-reviewed-hoax-study/

  232. Tina says:

    An interventin.

    Lol. Fake.

  233. Tina says:

    Hmm, listening to trumos calls.

    Hey, that is wiretapping.

  234. Robbie says:

    Interesting last minute strategy by Gianforte.

    Ben Jacobs?
    @Bencjacobs
    22 minutes ago

    Greg Gianforte just body slammed me and broke my glasses

  235. Chicon says:

    Special Report with Bret Baier all over the unmasking issue, quoting from the FISH court opinion hammering Obama NSA.

  236. Chicon says:

    FISH should be FISA.

  237. PresidentPaul! says:

    Republican Senator Floats Back-Door Amnesty Proposal
    Bill would create 500,000 new visas, include path to citizenship, and be open to current aliens

    http://www.lifezette.com/polizette/republican-senator-floats-back-door-amnesty-proposal/

    Perhaps more significantly, Johnson’s bill would allow states to sponsor illegal immigrants for visas as long as they came prior to this year and had not been convicted of a felony, violent crime, or drunken-driving offense.
    “It seems like a way to turn illegal aliens into guest workers,” said Ira Mehlman, a spokesman for the Federation for American Immigration Reform.
    Once they gained guest-worker status, the formerly illegal immigrants — like those who applied from foreign countries for visas — could get in the regular line for green cards and permanent residency.
    “This is just wrong on so many levels,” Mehlman said. “It shines a spotlight on the utter failure of our overall immigration policy.”

  238. Tina says:

    Yup, court declared that the obumbler was out of bounds.

    He violated the 4th amendment

    The drats are in panic. Wiretapping

  239. Tina says:

    Proof that scarfarce was never an r.
    Calls budget hateful.

    What a pos.

  240. Tina says:

    Trumps budget is ethnic cleansing

    Jebote

  241. PresidentPaul! says:

    Brus Griffin’s Motor World
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8HtX5AeAx64

  242. Robbie says:

    I just listened to the audio (no video) of Gianforte and Ben Jacobs. It’s not good for Gianforte. It sounds like he snapped. Good thing this happened on the last night of the campaign and not earlier.

  243. Tina says:

    I’m giving up on Trump.

  244. Tina says:

    Fake post.

  245. Tina says:

    Wasserman Schultz Threatened Police Chief For Gathering Evidence On Her IT Staffer’s Alleged Crimes
    http://dailycaller.com/2017/05/24/wasserman-schultz-threatened-police-chief-for-gathering-evidence-on-her-it-staffers-alleged-crimes/

    Poor drats.

  246. Proud Obamacon says:

    yes, what an improvement. Only 23 million now will lose health insurance under TrumpCare. Hurry up and pass this beautiful and fabulous bill!!!

    What ‘chall waitin for?

    LOL

  247. Phil says:

    Is Arizona and Georgia still looking promising for Hillary? Still got a shot in Texas?

  248. Proud Obamacon says:

    Phil still living in the past and has no comment on the beautiful healthcare fill his party drew up. LOL

  249. Trump says:

    To prolong your misery, PO sh$t.

  250. Proud Obamacon says:

    LOL who’s miserable? I’m fine. We are in great position to retake the house and win in 2020. Yall’s hero can’t even beat The Rock! LOL

  251. Trump says:

    Good one, PO shi$.

    What you smoking?

  252. Cash Cow TM says:

    I think “The Rock” Johnson as POTUS and Tom Hanks as VP are unbeatable.

  253. Trump says:

    One day you morons will realize that trump talks jobs and economy, you all talk trump.

    That’s why all ignorant twits, both GOP contenders and the crooked witch Hillary, lost.

  254. Proud Obamacon says:

    Your the one smoking up idiot. Your orange sexual fantasy can’t go two days without making a complete ass out of himself. Corruption, scandals. The pussy grabber is gunna make Nixon look like Mother Theresa!

    MOST.CORRUPT.ADMIN.EVAHHHHHHH

  255. Proud Obamacon says:

    “One day you morons will realize that trump talks jobs and economy, you all talk trump.”

    Yeah he saved all those jobs at Carrier. Oh wait, what happened to those jobs? Tell us!

    WORST.PREZ.EVAHHH

  256. Robbie says:

    A review of the available polling in the Montana special election shows Gianforte in the upper 40’s while Quist is either in the upper 30’s or low 40’s. It’s been fairly consistent.

    My guess is it’s a good thing this altercation between Gianforte and the reporter happened on the last night of the campaign rather than a few days ago. Had it happened Monday, there’d have been several days of coverage. Instead, they wake up tomorrow and vote.

    Also, according to early vote data as much as 2/3 of the vote has already been cast. This may have an effect, but probably not as large if there was only voting on election day.

  257. Trump says:

    Trump was hitler last week, now he is Nixon.

    A great improvement.

    How does it feel to get yourvas$ kicked by Nixon, moron?

  258. MichiganGuy says:

    Gianforte bodyslams reporter

  259. MichiganGuy says:

    He just lost the race

  260. Trump says:

    Go away, restarted Robbie.

    Fake polls are so yesterday

  261. Proud Obamacon says:

    The pussy grabber is the one getting his ass kicked, you blind idiot. He got brutally trolled by the Pope and his wife won’t even hold his little hand. Poor poor pussy grabber.

  262. Trump says:

    When he g abbey your puss$, I bet you lov it, PO sh$t.

  263. Trump says:

    Did he leve a good tip, PO sh$t?

  264. Proud Obamacon says:

    Please you get wet to him all day and night hoping he’ll grab your pu$$y. It’s so obvious you get on your knees and want him to put his little hands in your mouth you pathetic POS.

  265. Trump says:

    It seems you are describing a real live encounter, PO shi5.

  266. Tina says:

    Eyw witnesseseport that the libtard reporter caused a commotion. Olice were called. Because libtard entered a private room without aporoval.

  267. Trump says:

    Did you at least get a good tip, PO shi$.?

  268. Proud Obamacon says:

    No I’m describing your sexual fantasy, you idiot. Try to keep up.

  269. Tina says:

    No fight occured, nobody was body slammed.
    reporter appears to have touched the wrist of the r candidate.

  270. Trump says:

    Well, now he will win by a bigger margin.

    What’s not to like about body slamming a journalist?

  271. Tina says:

    Per source, esrly voting is bigly in montana. They came out for r candiddate. Nibody beleieves libtard.

  272. Trump says:

    I thought you said trump grabbed your pussy, PO sh$t. How else would you know?

  273. Tina says:

    And notice no tape of incident.

  274. Tina says:

    The set rich story gets more bizarre.
    Now the jebots claim the russians took him out.

    I sugest recanvass the bar. Look for images. Look to see if it was a bar fight.

  275. Proud Obamacon says:

    “I thought you said trump grabbed your pussy”

    Prove it. Quote me. All of my comments are public. Can’t make up Fake News here, dumb$hit!

  276. Proud Obamacon says:

    Oops dip$hit, even Fox News can’t prop up your Orange sex fantasy.

    “The poll finds 40 percent of voters approve of the job Trump is doing, down from 45 percent last month. Disapproval is up 5 points to 53 percent. ”

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/05/24/fox-news-poll-trump-approval-down-voters-support-special-counsel-on-russia.html

    drip.drip.drip

  277. Robbie says:

    FoxNews reporters witnessed the altercation between Gianforte and a reporter. What they wrote is not good.

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/05/24/greg-gianforte-fox-news-team-witnesses-gop-house-candidate-body-slam-reporter.html

  278. Chicon says:

    296 – As you say, Fox is fake news, eh?

  279. Chicon says:

    296 – are you predicting doom in the Montana race?

  280. Cash Cow TM says:

    3 hundert

  281. Cash Cow TM says:

    Shame that so many people in MT voted early.

    Otherwise, the guy who body slammed the journalist would be up another 5 points…

  282. Walt says:

    tina,

    When they gonna fix the damn road?

    Long ago, I traveled the coastal highway (Rte. 1) and thoroughly enjoyed it.

  283. Tina says:

    As head of the FBI, Comey (and his lackeys in key positions) deliberately screwed up the investigation into Hillary’s use of a private server and her plain violation of national security law on classified information. The investigation was deliberately mis-handled in every aspect. Comey gave immunity to all of Hillary’s lackeys, did not use subpoenas or warrants, lost evidence, allowed the destruction of evidence, failed to do any searches or seizures of evidence, did not use a grand-jury, did not swear witnesses, did not record testimony, allowed attorneys to represent multiple suspects (corrupting the testimony). Everything that could be done to ruin the FBI investigation and to cover for Hillary was done. A “slam-dunk” case became a mess. Immunity was given every witness even though they provided no help. Maybe more importantly, by focusing the FBI on the email scandal, attention was drawn away from the much bigger scandal of the Clinton Foundation that could bring down a huge number of corrupt politicians, lobbyists, and even governments.

    His tactics were wrong.

  284. Tina says:

    Trump fired Comey because he was unfair to Hillary.

  285. Phil says:

    296

    Nobody will care, Robbie.

    Body slamming a “journalist” might even net him a vote or two in red state. LOL

  286. Walt says:

    My wife’s niece was previously married to a fellow (who is a good guy) and they had two children together (both now young adults). the niece’s ex-husband was recently diagnosed with cancer. Rare type. Only about 100 people in the whole U.S. have had this.

    He now has a “Go Fund Me” account to help pay for his expensive treatments.

    Does not look good…

  287. Tina says:

    Yup, phil. The obama reporter got beat up by an okd man.

  288. Chicon says:

    Walt, is it okay to put the info on this site for those with the means and desire to help?

  289. Tina says:

    305 is not my post. Iebot please do not steal handles.

  290. Tina says:

    Hey site administrator can you do something about 305. Stole my handle, the jebot did.

    I know you are busy.

  291. Tina says:

    Where is the video and broken glasses?

  292. Waingro says:

    #312, there’s audio and Fox News eye witnesses, Tina. He’s done.

  293. Waingro says:

    On the other hand…

    “Stopped for gas & snacks en route to Bozeman and told a clerk about Gianforte allegations. Her response: “my kind of politician.””

    https://twitter.com/garretthaake/status/867571241523200000

  294. Phil says:

    Seriously?

    Two thirds of the vote has already been cast. Get a load of the past the D candidate has. No, you would need a decent Democratic candidate to pull it off. This guy ain’t it.

  295. Tina says:

    Bs, he is done. There are other eye witnesses.

  296. Tina says:

    Need video, not audio, and broken glases.

  297. Proud Obamacon says:

    #307 I will pray for the young man. I hope he will recover. It’s too bad that during this sad time, the family has to ask for money instead of focusing on treatment and recovery. Truly sad.

    And before Phil and other idiots claim that I’m politicizing, you all can save it. This illustrates exactly why universal health care is so important. Through no fault of your own, anyone can end up in a situation like the man Walt has posted about. Of course, the GOP would just say that he just made a bad choice which is very sickening and I hope you all will agree.

  298. Tina says:

    Now if they arress, Gianforte….

  299. Phil says:

    Correction, Gravis polling indicates 36 percent of those indicating they are voting have already cast ballots, not two thirds.

    Still, it’s Montana folks.

  300. TrumpIsPeteWilson says:

    You know some posters have a genuine conservative position but Tina is clearly mentally ill.

    Seriously … get mental help.

    You’re just embarassing yourself.

  301. Tina says:

    Gianaforte was cited, this changes everything

    Misdemenaor assault.

  302. Tina says:

    Hi, cory.

  303. Wes says:

    Where’s Mnw to tell us Gianforte increased his vote share with the assault?

  304. Phil says:

    He might still win, but a decent chance he won’t. Hard to say due to early voting that has already taken place. Yeah, being charged gives the moonbat cowboy (and he’s a real moonbat BTW) a decent shot.

    That’s one free impeachment vote the Democrats might get. They certainly hadn’t counted on a gift like this. Not all that important now. Dems can’t move on impeachment until or if they get a House majority in 2018. Impeachment numbers is the only reason this seat matters and Republicans have a chance to win it back in 2018 with a decent or sane candidate. This guy certainly isn’t either.

  305. Wes says:

    I’m guessing we now know why Bullock beat Gianforte last year when Republicans won all other statewide elections not connected to the governorship.

  306. Phil says:

    Yeah, Wes. This kind of explains a lot.

    They don’t call Republicans the party of stupid for nothing although in fairness, it’s not really a party thing this time – this nut just happens to be on our side.

    Frankly, we are probably better off with this guy losing. If he wins it is just because he piled up enough early votes to barely skate by. He’d be toast next time. Imagine the ads. They write themselves. Better shot with a clean slate in 2018. The year 2018 is the election for all the marbles anyway.

  307. Phil says:

    The moonbat cowboy can’t believe his luck. He should have gone to Vegas yesterday

  308. NYCmike says:

    I predict, in the future, Gianforte will morph into a “deadender”, and my support for him against the naked cowboy guy will be mentioned ad nauseam by Wes…….

  309. BayernFan says:

    First…it’s Montana.
    Second, it was a British newspaper reporter.

    C’mon now…..untangle your pantaloons. The GOP guy probably picked up support.

  310. BayernFan says:

    I mean Wyoming….same difference.

  311. Cash Cow TM says:

    EVERYBODY SING!

    “…Like a Moonbat Cowboy…”
    ______________________________________
    moonbat cowboy

    batboy mow coon
    o boot my cow ban
    tan cow boy boom

  312. NYCmike says:

    Tina says:
    May 25, 2017 at 9:37 am

    Hi, cory.

    -This could be correct.

    Cory is clearly a b*tch, so I could see him changing his handle so he can post without having to answer for his November prediction.

  313. NYCmike says:

    “EVERYBODY SING!”

    -Catchy tune, Ca$h!

  314. BayernFan says:

    I swear….for my entire life Republicans are the biggest kitty cats and their own worst enemy…..not the Dems or media. At the first sign of battle 90% head for the hills. Trump won because he fought back hard at every turn….when other Republicans would have quit (and expected or called on him to quit). Have they learned anything from that? NO. This is the party, after all, that actually nominated McCain. McCain!!!!! lol. He LITERALLY quit his campaign in September. This guy in Montana or Wyoming or whichever should win. And after he does, other Republicans will still whine and carry on over it. Gutless.

  315. Robbie says:

    Over 200,000 ballots have already been cast in the Montana special election. In the most recent midterm year, there were a little more than 300,000 votes cast so that’s what leads many to believe as much as 2/3 of the vote had already been cast. I would look at this Gravis poll with some caution when looking at their data saying only 1/3 have already voted.

    My best guess is Gianforte is still a slight favorite to win. First is the large early which took place when he was polling in the high 40’s. Second, I’m not sure how much this will matter with voters. Third, this story happened less than 24 hours before voting began so it didn’t have a lot of time to seep into the public discussion.

    Think back to the Bush DUI story in 2000. That news dropped on the Thursday before the election when it was generally agreed Bush was up about three points nationally. That story had four days to marinate with the public and produced a tie nationally. This story has barely had a news cycle.

    Most of the reporting suggested Gianforte was up around 5 points going into last night. Is this story worth the huge five point swing needed among election day voters to overcome the early vote? I say probably not.

  316. BayernFan says:

    What if he wins by more than 5? Say 10%?

  317. Wes says:

    I predict NYCMike needs to lay off the hashish.

  318. NYCmike says:

    “That’s because GOP leaders appear to not be taking the CRA literally. As has been pointed out by Todd Gaziano of the Pacific Legal Foundation, the law’s window of 60 legislative days for repealing prior regulations does not start running until the latter of two events: either the regulation is published or the agency submits a report about the rule to Congress.”

    http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-effort-to-undo-obama-regulations-is-ending-with-a-whimper/article/2008040?utm_content=buffer9c0e3&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer#!

    -ANY of our wonderful commenters, please explain to me why Republicans would be so unwilling to use this very powerful tool at their disposal.

    YES, they have used it more than ever before.

    BUT, why not use it as much as you can?

    Is the reason that they like a LOT of these Obama-era regulations?

    Are they Dem-lite, or are they conservative Republicans?

  319. Wes says:

    By the way, Mikey, how’s Dick the Misogynist Bastard Mourdock these days? Is he planning to make another misogynist comment and throw a critical legislative seat to the Democrats?

  320. Robbie says:

    The Republican controlled House and Senate have used the CRA some 14 times this year already. Please stop pretending they aren’t using it.

  321. Wes says:

    To be fair, Bay, McCain had only a slander chance of winning before Lehman Brothers and exactly none afterward.

    This is in contrast to GWB, who despite the bully pulpit went into hiding and made no responses to repeated vitriolic attacks on him after his reelection.

  322. Wes says:

    Slender, not slander.

  323. Robbie says:

    Poor, Sean Hannity. He played with fire on the Seth Rich story and now it’s coming back to bight him. As of yesterday, several advertisers have stopped running their commercials during his hour. In the end, that’s what did in Bill O’Reilly.

    There’s a reason Hannity dropped his conspiracy theory advocacy on Seth Rich.

  324. Tina says:

    I coukd.n Ot support him.

  325. Tina says:

    Fox news back hannity.

    They shoukd, but murdoch kids are ruining that co.

  326. Robbie says:

    Sadly, there’s an “October 2006” feel to the Republican party right now. There’s an unpopular president, there’s a House and Senate that are mired in factional turf wars, and now candidates whose personal conduct has become an embarrassing story.

  327. Robbie says:

    I almost fell out of my chair last night. I stopped on Hannity while he was interviewing Newt. Newt said Trump needs to organize his domestic policy team in the same he has organized his foreign policy team. In other words, he said Trump needs experienced people to help him move legislation and work with the Congress. He went on to say Trump should say or Tweet anything that doesn’t have to do with Obamacare repeal, tax reform, or infrastructure.

    Newt can be goofy, but he was always a good strategist.

  328. Tina says:

    Is that true, the montana d rat is an entertainer at a nudist resort attend d by kids?

  329. Tina says:

    Evidently, the latest trump scandal from the jebots is

    He shook macaronis hand too hard.

    Lol

  330. Wes says:

    Robbie, look at 1998 and tell me Newt was always a good strategist.

  331. Chicon says:

    Sadly, after an exhaustive study, it has been determined that 87.9% of Robbie’s posts contain the word “sadly”.

  332. Chicon says:

    If the Gravis poll is on point, The Wrestler will still take down The Nekkid Cowboy.

  333. BayernFan says:

    Robbie omg. The election is 18 months off. Get a phuqqn grip.

  334. Tina says:

    I still think eye glass breaker defeats the naked cowboy creep. My goodness, what a disgrace.

  335. Chicon says:

    356 – c’mon, the die is cast for the next several elections. It’s total doom.

  336. Tina says:

    During the time James Comey’s FBI was generating the intelligence reports, Comey admitted he intentionally never informed congressional oversight: “because of the sensitivity of the matter“.

    They have comedy in a perjury trap and failing to disclose to congress. He is screwed.

  337. Tina says:

    She is the faux reporter.

  338. Waingro says:

    #349, ok, now Robbie has approached RRH levels.

  339. Robbie says:

    Waingro says:
    May 25, 2017 at 1:47 pm
    #349, ok, now Robbie has approached RRH levels.

    – It’s called dealing with reality. Just six months ago, Democrats were flat on their backs. They’d just lost everything. The White House, the Senate, the House, and even the Supreme Court.

    Now having done little more than throw tantrums and swear, Democrats are leaning in and Republicans are back on their heels.

    Trump’s approval rating is about 40% after four months on the job, the House and Senate can’t seem to get anything done, and now a candidate in a high profile race has been cited for assault less than 12 hours before voting began.

  340. Waingro says:

    Mike Warren? @MichaelRWarren 1h1 hour ago

    Mike Warren Retweeted andrew kaczynski

    ?

    “Facts matter, ladies and gentlemen. My client’s hands were on the sides of the neck, not around them, when he threw the liberal jour—”

  341. Robbie says:

    BayernFan says:
    May 25, 2017 at 11:59 am
    Robbie omg. The election is 18 months off. Get a phuqqn grip.

    – As I have said many times, I am not about to make any predictions about 2018 other than Democrats appear to be in a strong position due to the typical machinations of a midterm year.

    That said, I think, CURRENTLY, the party is as tied up and listless as it was in October 2006 when everything that could go wrong did go wrong.

    What are Republicans talking about right now? Russia, Russia, Russia. What are Republicans not talking about? Health reform, tax reform, and infrastructure.

    From Day 1 on this presidency, the party has been sidetracked by anything an everything.

  342. Robbie says:

    As far as the Montana special election, I had thought the earl vote number were generally good for Gianforte. Apparently, Jeff Roe, Ted Cruz’s presidential campaign manager feels otherwise. Here are some of the tweets he’s sent out today.

    Jeff Roe?
    @jeffroe
    2 hours ago

    #MTAL 65% of votes are in and it looks to be about 50%’ish @RobQuistforMT 40%’ish @GregForMontana and 10% indie or no vote history to tell.

    Jeff Roe?
    @jeffroe 2h
    2 hours ago

    #MTAL means roughly @GregForMontana needs to get around 58% of Election Day vote to win. Assuming 400K total votes. 259K are already cast.

  343. Chicon says:

    Doom!

  344. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    May 25, 2017 at 2:12 pm
    Doom!

    – Hardly. It’s called reality. If you want unfounded optimism, watch Hannity.

  345. Tina says:

    The way i see it, therre is no consistent eye witness as to what happened,

    The reporter appears to have tresspassed illegally.

    Authorities will likey just do away with the assault ticket

    Absent video, the obama reporter is screwed.

  346. Tina says:

    And i am not accusing any eye witnesses of lying. Spur of the moment thing. It is problematic that the reporter tresspassed.

  347. Tina says:

    Reports do indicate that the obama reporter was belkigerent and hostile.

    Shoving a recorder to the face of somebody, could be perceived as a threat.

  348. Chicon says:

    366 – so….the Republican, who has been far ahead in the polls, now needs 58% on election day to win a squeaker. The wrestling match had no effect on the early vote. Something doesn’t add up, but you knew that.

  349. Tina says:

    70 percent have already voted.

    And in more depressing nees, mitch romney likely replacement formhatch in 2018.

    Mitch Romenynneeds something to do.

  350. Tina says:

    Which is worse the ewrestling incident or the fact that the other guy does nude performances?

    Sicko.

  351. Waingro says:

    #366, why are they already releasing early raw vote totals? Are they allowed to do that if polls haven’t closed?

  352. BayernFan says:

    So they have party registration in Montana?

  353. Chicon says:

    Likely that these are guesses based on the registration of those who voted early. Key word….guesses.

  354. Waingro says:

    Tina: no worries on “Mitch”.

    Alex Rogers?Verified account @arogDC 30m30 minutes ago

    Alex Rogers Retweeted Ben Pershing

    “I chatted with Mitt [Romney] and he is not going to run for the Senate,” Hatch says today. “I’d like to see him run for the Senate…”

  355. Tina says:

    Richard Grenell @RichardGrenell
    ·
    29m

    from the guy who helped give Iran billions of dollars & sanctions relief. Iran, the #1 state sponsor of terrorism.
    Ben Rhodes @brhodes
    Unsettling to watch Trump seemingly more comfortable with Saudis than with NATO allies who share treaty obligations and democratic values

    Boom

  356. Tina says:

    Well, he would be a downgrade to hatch, but hatch is up there.

  357. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    May 25, 2017 at 2:20 pm
    366 – so….the Republican, who has been far ahead in the polls, now needs 58% on election day to win a squeaker. The wrestling match had no effect on the early vote. Something doesn’t add up, but you knew that.

    – I guess it depends on whether you think Gravis is right or not.

    Most reporting says the campaign polling showed the race around 5 points.

    As has long been the case, I am dubious of robo pollsters.

    I think Gianforte probably wins a close race, but I’m not going to shut my eyes when a smart person like Jeff Roe suggests something else.

  358. Chicon says:

    Bottom line is that Robbie’s tweet don’t mean squat.

    Prediction….if the Wrestler wins, Robbie will tell us he was just forwarding info; if he loses he talk about how he called it.

  359. Tina says:

    Richard Grenell @RichardGrenell
    ·
    3h

    interesting fact. Nick tweeted this point before Trump spoke at NATO.
    Nicholas Burns @RNicholasBurns
    Trump at #NATO–first US President since WWII who does not speak+act as leader of the West. The New York Times

    I know a poster whomhas done the same.

  360. Robbie says:

    Waingro says:
    May 25, 2017 at 2:25 pm
    #366, why are they already releasing early raw vote totals? Are they allowed to do that if polls haven’t closed?

    – They haven’t. He’s looking at the number of early votes and making an extrapolation about their contents based on previous voting patterns.

  361. Tina says:

    Can they just arrest wasserman schultz, queen ugly?

    Threatening an officer?

  362. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    May 25, 2017 at 2:34 pm
    Bottom line is that Robbie’s tweet don’t mean squat.
    Prediction….if the Wrestler wins, Robbie will tell us he was just forwarding info; if he loses he talk about how he called it.

    – Yes, I am just forwarding information. The worst thing anyone can do is shut himself or herself off to information he or she doesn’t want to hear. I thought the early vote total was good for Gianforte. Roe suggests otherwise.

  363. Tina says:

    Congressional calls to look into seth rich murder have begun.

  364. Chicon says:

    384 – so he has no idea who voted early? Sounds reliable.

  365. Tina says:

    Yahoo News @YahooNews
    ·
    32m

    House Speaker Paul Ryan says GOP candidate Greg Gianforte “should apologize” for altercation with reporter

    Paul ryano should just stfu.

  366. BayernFan says:

    So they can tell what party an early voter is registered as? Like in Florida?

  367. Tina says:

    I mean go lift so e 5lb dumbells.

  368. BayernFan says:

    PM Theresa May’s public comments are likely playing to the British electorate. There is a national election there on June 8.

  369. Chicon says:

    387 – now that Robbie has decided it is bad to shut himself off from information, I am sure he’ll support a congressional look at the Seth murder.

  370. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    May 25, 2017 at 2:37 pm
    384 – so he has no idea who voted early? Sounds reliable.

    – Maybe he’s wrong. It is his job to model the electorate though and he is widely considered one of the rising stars in Republicans strategist circles.

  371. BayernFan says:

    Yeah why would Ryan take any questions about Montana until after the polls close? Dumb.

  372. Robbie says:

    BayernFan says:
    May 25, 2017 at 2:38 pm
    So they can tell what party an early voter is registered as? Like in Florida?

    – I don’t believe so in Montana.

  373. Chicon says:

    Bayern – and she’s gonna take a bunch of heat for the Manchester attack, especially since she was Home Secretary prior to PM.

  374. Tina says:

    Ryan continues to screw this up. The guy is just dumb. Not a leader.

    Say, i do not know about it, or the details about the matter are too invonsistent.

  375. Tina says:

    Her comments also allow trump to prosecute the leakers.

    I do not care who they are. Just prosecute them.

  376. BayernFan says:

    Actually in the Internet and Digital Age, why should any politician put up with the rude hostile people that make up the media at all? Email press releases. Put your message online. If anyone has questions, including the rude reporters, have them submit them online and answer them online. No need for press conferences if you don’t want them. If the media doesn’t like that, well, welcome to the 21st Century. Press conferences are such an archaic practice. Be done with them and close press offices.

  377. Chicon says:

    394 – could be right, too. But it’s fair to ask about the data upon which he makes a conclusion before deciding how much weight to put on it.

  378. BayernFan says:

    Ok so if there is no party registration in Montana then there is no way to determine who leads the early vote, let alone what the percentages are. So the tweet about 50%ish vs 40%ish is absolute made up trash.

  379. Chicon says:

    Bayern, that’s my take.

  380. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Here is an example of Robbie “forwarding information” prior to the returns coming in during the November election. He always finds sources that are pessimistic.

    Robbie says:

    November 8, 2016 at 7:17 pm
    Lord Ashcroft has the exits posted on his twitter. Basically, they show an easy Clinton win, but not a landslide.

    Robbie says:
    November 8, 2016 at 8:17 pm
    chicon says:
    November 8, 2016 at 8:15 pm
    10 – small wonder you got your nickname here, eh?
    You are an excellent concern troll.
    – The numbers are what the numbers are. The exits polls show Blount struggling.

    Robbie says:
    November 8, 2016 at 7:40 pm
    Look like a rough night, but we all knew that once Trump became the nominee.
    Jonathan Swan ?@jonathanvswan • 8m8 minutes ago
    Ayotte, Toomey, Johnson, Heck also in trouble per exits, I am told.

  381. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    The only report I have heard on early voting in Montana is the Republican areas turned out more heavily than the Democratic areas. But that was a week ago. That Robbie could claim the percentages are know is off the wall.

  382. BayernFan says:

    Seth Rich was murdered because he was the one leaking DNC emails to Wikileaks…. not the Russians. Over 40,000 emails to Wikileaks were discovered on his computer, and some other hacker says he was involved in it. Why is this debated? Because it flies in the face of the Dec/media narrative? Phuq em.

  383. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Engaging in a brawl is probably less of an issue in Montana than elsewhere.

    But Gianforte is looked upon as an outsider, who moved to Montana from the East. Those who reside in the Mountain West are often suspicious of Easterners. When Orrin Hatch first ran why back when, one of the criticism of him was he was an interloper from Pittsburgh. The brawl could hurt Gianforte in the vote today. The Libertarian candidate may benefit.

  384. BayernFan says:

    I’m expecting the GOP guy in Montana to win fairly easily. Maybe not the usual margin because it is a special election, but fairly easily. Him taking down a pajama boy British newspaper jerk probably gained him votes. Most normal men would respond that way if someone gets in their face…. especially Montana men I’d imagine…. and rightfully so.

  385. BayernFan says:

    SDC great minds Think alike at the same time no less.

  386. BayernFan says:

    I loved Election Night…. and I love revisiting the broadcasts of it on TV and the threads on this site. Pure gold. Non-stop. It’s like porn to me.

  387. Waingro says:

    Concern Troll Allahpundit’s take on Gianforte. He’s positioned his concern trolling quite nicely into a win-win situation!

    “If Gianforte loses today’s special election, they’ll be battered with “first signs of a Democratic wave!” stories tomorrow. If he wins, they’ll be battered with questions about whether the House will refuse to seat Gianforte if he’s convicted of the assault charge pending against him, plus about a billion hot takes from the left about the “climate of hate” towards the media that Trump has engendered and which supposedly drove Gianforte over the edge.”

    http://hotair.com/archives/2017/05/25/video-fox-news-reporter-describes-gianfortes-alleged-assault-guardian-journalist/

  388. Cash Cow TM says:

    Hey,

    Walt wants to know whether posters on here use Pledge or Endust.

    And do they find upright or canister vacuum cleaners to do the best job.

  389. Phil says:

    Allahpundit is indeed the ultimate super concern troll. I finally just flat out quit reading him. He makes Robbie look like a cheerleader.

  390. janz says:

    Does anyone know when the Montana polls close today?

  391. BayernFan says:

    endust. Upright. plus Roomba

  392. BayernFan says:

    Robbie says:
    November 8, 2016 at 9:58 am
    I’ve gone back and forth with my electoral map prediction, but I finished with Clinton 341 and Trump at 197.

    And this was ON Election Day!!…….. not 18 months before.

    Robbie is one of those Republicans who heads for the hills at the first sign of a peashooter.

  393. janz says:

    Also, according to the Daily Caller, Trump is accused of shoving a world leader at NATO Summit. This follows a big to-do about Melania “slapping Trump’s hand,” as well as some being critical of Melania wearing a sleeveless dress when in Israel.

    Every detail of the Trump’s presidency is under intense scrutiny — or so it seems.

  394. Tina says:

    Saw a t janz, he wS trying to get in front, somhe could do the nato family photo.

  395. Tina says:

    Saw macaroni snicker though about paying his fair share.

  396. BayernFan says:

    Robbie says:
    November 8, 2016 at 10:21 am
    Here’s something I’m not prone to do: offer an optimistic thought.

    Could it be that the drift of blue collar voters to the Republican Party may be more important over the next decade than the growth of the Hispanic vote?

    With a respectable candidate, it’s still hard to see Republicans blowing AZ, TX, or even GA anytime soon. But the movement of the blue collar voters in the Rust Belt could bring some electoral vote heavy states over in 2020 (WI, MI, PA).

    ==========================================

    Robbie…. this was good. Seriously. Its what we Trump supporters have been saying for a while. So stick with this. No matter the trials and tribulations of the political moment… the prize is the working class vote. So long as the GOP gets it (like Trump got it) it will be OK long term. We can allow the Dem Party to willingly throw that vote away without the GOP picking it up big time.

  397. BayernFan says:

    * can’t* allow the Dems

  398. Tina says:

    The Committee has its own, Constitutionally-based prerogative to conduct investigations. But the Committee in no way wants to impede or interfere with the Special Counsel’s ability to conduct his investigation.”

    Chaffetz.

    Uh, another benefit of the sp.

  399. Cash Cow TM says:

    I think it must be Robbie’s therapist who sends him to HHR to post and then get pilloried.

    Probably to overcome something or another….

  400. Cash Cow TM says:

    Saw a news report that said DJT privately dined on leeks, then went to the bathroom in his hotel to take a leak and took a phone call telling him his private yacht sprang a leak.

    And it all got leaked…to the press.

  401. Cash Cow TM says:

    Today Gallup has Trump at 38% approval. (-16 net)
    RAS-amataz has Trump at 48% approval. (-4 net)

    You pick em.

  402. Wes says:

    For those asking, Montana has no party registration.

  403. Chicon says:

    425 – Cow, are those adults, rv, or lv?

  404. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    424. Shocking!!! Clearly grounds for impeachment.

  405. Robbie says:

    God forbid I posted exits that were being posted on Twitter.

    Trust me. If they had shown republicans winning, no one would have cared.

    Maybe I should limit myself to Rasmussene only, right SDC?

  406. Chicon says:

    426 – thanks, Wes. Without that info, how is it possible to glean anything about the early vote?

  407. Cash Cow TM says:

    poll was of about 330 people…

  408. Trump says:

    Retard Robbie, limit yourself to fake polls.

    You are a good indicator of lunatic fringe.

  409. Cash Cow TM says:

    Robbie,

    Your therapist says you are doing just great.

  410. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    May 25, 2017 at 3:18 pm
    Allahpundit is indeed the ultimate super concern troll. I finally just flat out quit reading him. He makes Robbie look like a cheerleader.

    – The willingness of the HHR commenters to always look away from data they don’t like has always made me scratch my head these last 12 and a half years.

    Even in 2008, a good portion of this comment section was unwilling to accept that McCain was going to lose and probably by a wide margin.

  411. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    409, 410. “I loved Election Night…. and I love revisiting the broadcasts of it on TV and the threads on this site. Pure gold. Non-stop. It’s like porn to me.”

    Your right, great minds do think alike. I enjoy watching election night coverage too. Particularly, the Young Turks melt down is one of my favorites.

  412. Trump says:

    And even faker tweets from random idiots.

    Don’t forget those, Jeb cocsucker.

  413. Robbie says:

    BayernFan says:
    May 25, 2017 at 3:25 pm
    Robbie says:
    November 8, 2016 at 9:58 am
    I’ve gone back and forth with my electoral map prediction, but I finished with Clinton 341 and Trump at 197.
    And this was ON Election Day!!…….. not 18 months before.
    Robbie is one of those Republicans who heads for the hills at the first sign of a peashooter.

    – So, I got it wrong. I got 2004, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, and 2014 right though.

    You, by the way, said in February you thought Trump’s approval rating would be 60% by the end of the year because of the economic changes the country is facing.

    Good luck with that.

  414. Robbie says:

    Cash Cow TM says:
    May 25, 2017 at 3:48 pm
    Poll
    MT congressional seat
    D guy up 7 pts.
    https://surveys.google.com/reporting/survey?org=personal&survey=4efgc36mb5zoiex4h3f3zpn5ni

    – I’m very dubious of those Google Consumer surveys.

  415. Chicon says:

    329 – the field date says 3/18, fwiw.

  416. Cash Cow TM says:

    lunatic fringe

    califurni gent
    inflating cure
    untireing calf

  417. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    420. “Could it be that the drift of blue collar voters to the Republican Party may be more important over the next decade than the growth of the Hispanic vote?”

    I believe the Hispanic vote could go more Republican in the future, given a change in rhetoric. In California seeing a lot of middle class Hispanics turning on the rich leftist coastal elites.

  418. Robbie says:

    Since I’ve got everyone riled up, here’s one last tweet from Jeff Rose, Cruz’s presidential campaign manager.

    Jeff Roe?
    @jeffroe 3h
    3 hours ago

    #MTAL so with all that said I’ll wait to hear some turnout #’s before “guessing” results. But before this he was going to win by 1-2%.

    Say what you want, but here we have a well plugged in Republican strategist suggesting Gianforte was on track to win by 1 or 2. On the other hand, Gravis, a robo pollster, has the race at 13 before the body slam.

    We’ll find out who was closer to right later tonight, but one not of caution on Gravis. Their last poll suggested a little more than a third of voters had already voted while early ballots received give many the impression as many as two thirds have already voted. That’s a big discrepancy.

  419. Robbie says:

    Here is a list of all available public polling done for Montana.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Montana%27s_at-large_congressional_district_special_election,_2017#Polling

    Gravis polled the race repeatedly while Emerson did once. A Democrat sponsored poll was also released. The only other to repeatedly poll the race was Google Consumer Surveys.

    If you exclude Google, Gianforte, with one exception was always bumping right up against the 50% mark. If he was to lose, it would be a pretty bad failure for the those who polled. Then again, robo-pollsters were the main pollsters.

  420. Chicon says:

    443 – looks like apples and oranges to me. Earlier he was predicting what the early vote is, and what the Wrestler needed to do tonight. This latest tweet is about his overall prediction. I give the latter more weight because he likely has access to internal polling. The earlier tweet seemed more a guess because he doesn’t have access to who participated in early voting.

  421. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    It is interesting the liberal elites of the tech industry do not employ many Hispanics; compared to the traditional manufacturing and energy. A lot of the Hispanics I know in the Central Valley work in the energy sector, and they are getting fed up with the Steyer types who run the Democratic Party.

    “As Michael Lind and I (Joel Kotkin) show in our new report for the Center for Opportunity Urbanism, heartland-centered industries provide far wider and better-paid work for those without a four-year degree. They also provide more opportunities to blacks and Hispanics, who account for less than 5 percent of workers in Silicon Valley’s top firms while accounting for 25 percent of those in manufacturing and over 20 percent in the energy sector.”

  422. NYCmike says:

    EXIT POLLS, since 2004, have been UNRELIABLE.

    I have seen several people, including myself, post statements the weeks and days before Election Day such as this: “Please do not comment here on Exit Polls as they are routinely wrong.”

    BUT, Robbie has to find any bad news.

    And, NO, if they were favorable to Trump, I would not have believed them either.

  423. NYCmike says:

    “I predict NYCMike needs to lay off the hashish.”

    -As long as McDonalds is selling hash browns, I’ll lay off the hashish.

  424. NYCmike says:

    “I believe the Hispanic vote could go more Republican in the future, given a change in rhetoric. In California seeing a lot of middle class Hispanics turning on the rich leftist coastal elites.”

    -When hard workers start accumulating assets, they tend to become more protective of that treasure produced by their labor.

    It is usually when the work becomes easy and they are more content, they revert back to being liberal Democrats.

  425. NYCmike says:

    “And even faker tweets from random idiots.”

    -Not sure about fake, but definitely biased.

  426. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    443. Has Jeff Roe ever even been to Montana? Why is a someone associated with Ted Cruz making these type of guesses?

    It is entirely possible Gianforte action may increase his vote. Montana voters may decide he is not the Eastern wimp he appeared to be. Montana can be a rough state, not as bad as Wyoming, but close. Brawling is common.

  427. Cash Cow TM says:

    Jhonnie Depp and Miley Cyrus have announced they are running for President and Vice President in 2020.*

    They could give The Rock Johnson and tom Hanks a run for the money.
    ______________________
    *fake news

  428. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    May 25, 2017 at 4:15 pm
    EXIT POLLS, since 2004, have been UNRELIABLE.
    I have seen several people, including myself, post statements the weeks and days before Election Day such as this: “Please do not comment here on Exit Polls as they are routinely wrong.”
    BUT, Robbie has to find any bad news.
    And, NO, if they were favorable to Trump, I would not have believed them either.

    – No, they have not been unreliable since 2004. They were very good in 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, and 2014. They were very poor in 2016.

  429. NYCmike says:

    “The Republican controlled House and Senate have used the CRA some 14 times this year already. Please stop pretending they aren’t using it.”

    -Robbie,

    Did you read what I wrote, did you read the link?

    YES, they used it 14 times. And now, they are claiming that time is expiring on using it any more, while the link says the wording of the actual statute says differently.

    WHY WOULDN’T THE REPUBLICAN PARTY GO WITH THE MORE, shall we say, “LIBERAL” READING OF THE STATUTE?

  430. Tina says:

    The glass breaker r ported $100k in campaign comt ubutions last night.

  431. NYCmike says:

    Every other time Ted Cruz is mentioned, Robbie (aka HookLine&Sinker) would piss on any actions taken by him or his associates.

    BUT, when the news coming out of the Cruz camp is of the “worried” variety, Robbie goes Hook, Line, and Sinker.

    The nickname may stick…….

  432. NYCmike says:

    From that link I posted earlier about the CRA…..Robbie to ignore and make up excuses for not using this law more often in 3…..2……1…..

    “Legal scholars also recently have argued that the CRA applies even to agency guidance documents, memoranda and policy statements—what are referred to collectively as “regulatory dark matter”—in addition to the more formal rules issued by agencies. Combining the expanded timeframe of the CRA with its ability to target agency dark matter would allow Congress to repeal actions like the infamous 2016 Environmental Protection Agency guidance that served as the basis for the agency’s contentious Waters of the United States rule. The deregulatory implications of using the CRA more aggressively to target agency actions in this way are vast.”

  433. janz says:

    I looked up polling info on MT. Their polls closes @ 8 pm. Some 698,900 are registered to vote. And, out of the 352,867 absentee ballots mailed out, 226,554 have been returned.

    After reading some news coverage and comments of people living in MT, it seems the dems are doing a good job at promoting how much Montana residents will lose under Trump’s policies relating to farm subsidies, sales tax etc.

    As of now, I don’t think Gianforte will be able to pull this thing out. His last minute faux pas, IMO, pulled the plug for a win.

  434. NYCmike says:

    “Despite the fact that the CRA text clearly supports such interpretations, congressional leaders so far have refused to pick this low-hanging deregulatory fruit. In February, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell indicated his reluctance to adopt this interpretation of the CRA, but declined to fully explain his reasoning. The Senate Policy Committee’s website continues to adhere to the more limited interpretation of the CRA and fails even to mention that many agencies have neglected to submit reports required under the law. Perhaps Republican leadership will embrace a broader interpretation of the law as more floor time becomes available in the House and Senate, but as of yet, they have not publicly indicated a willingness to change course.”

  435. Chicon says:

    453 – the early exits that show up on Drudge in the early afternoon can only be predictive of the end result if the early voting group (and the early voters) is very similar to the later group. It often isn’t. The exit polls produced after the polls are closed are more reliable.

  436. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    458. In 2016 Montana had about a 45% turn-out of registered voters. So that would be about 314,000 voters, and it might be lower in a special election. So the estimates of 2/3 already voting prior to the brawl are probably ball park correct.

    Be wary of judging how people vote in Mountain West states by the news coverage and comments. The actual voters tend to be more conservative.

    Saying all this, have no idea how the vote will turn out. Montana voters have a strong independent streak.

  437. NYCmike says:

    Robbie,

    You know exactly which EXIT POLLS I am speaking about…..the ones posted 17 minutes after 7PM by some English Lord guy, whoever the heck that is.

    November 8, 2016 at 7:17 pm
    Lord Ashcroft has the exits posted on his twitter. Basically, they show an easy Clinton win, but not a landslide.

  438. BayernFan says:

    exit polls are simply not reliable in this country. In France, they are dead on.

  439. Trump says:

    Exit polls lead nitwits to say to goofballs, ” may I be the first to call you mr president?”

  440. Cash Cow TM says:

    I am calling MT.
    ##################################
    I have many sources in MT, because there are lots of cattle there.

    It is not like there were a lot of undecideds before the kerfuffle with the reporter.

    The choice is go with a guy who will likely support DJT (who they voted for 6 months ago) or vote for a goofball liberal who will oppose DJT at every turn.

    Gianforte wins. Not close.

    Yippie-Tie-Yia-Yea, get along little doggie….
    **********************************************
    (If he instead loses, I will pull out the card that blames the deadender Libertarian candidate who drained off R voters away from Gianforte. You HHR deadenders listening to what I am saying…?)

  441. Robbie says:

    Not to change the subject, but Labour appears to gaining on the Conservatives.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_United_Kingdom_general_election,_2017

  442. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    May 25, 2017 at 4:53 pm
    Robbie,
    You know exactly which EXIT POLLS I am speaking about…..the ones posted 17 minutes after 7PM by some English Lord guy, whoever the heck that is.
    November 8, 2016 at 7:17 pm
    Lord Ashcroft has the exits posted on his twitter. Basically, they show an easy Clinton win, but not a landslide.

    – Yes. I said the exits in 2016 were bad. However, they were good in 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, and 2014. So no, exits have not always been unreliable.

  443. Cash Cow TM says:

    Who will win in the election in Britain?

    Labor may…
    Teresa May…

  444. Chicon says:

    466 – I think May is going to get some blame for Manchester, at least temporarily.

  445. Cash Cow TM says:

    Robbie,

    When you post here, do you have a predetermined amount of knots to your noggin you will take before you call it a day?

  446. Cash Cow TM says:

    “Chicon says:
    May 25, 2017 at 5:45 pm
    466 – I think May is going to get some blame for Manchester, at least temporarily.”

    Chic On,

    Well it is possible…Teresa May…or may not.

  447. Cash Cow TM says:

    where is Bitter?

    I want to ask him about those two drug counselors in Philly who overdosed and died.

  448. Chicon says:

    470 – he’s like Joe Frazier, the shots just seem to bounce off his forehead with little to no effect.

  449. Cash Cow TM says:

    Lord Ashcroft

    short calf rod

  450. Chicon says:

    Cow – no post from Bitter since early yesterday morning. Not like him. Maybe he’s attending Eagles organized team activities.

  451. Paul says:

    Lieberman out. Who will FBI be?

  452. Chicon says:

    476 – Ron Paul.

  453. Robbie says:

    Cash Cow TM says:
    May 25, 2017 at 5:47 pm
    Robbie,
    When you post here, do you have a predetermined amount of knots to your noggin you will take before you call it a day?

    – No. I keep bringing it.

  454. brucefdb says:

    You can cheat in Montana, lots of absentee ballots, same day voter registration, lots of college kids (lots of Dem money around). I doubt they would have bothered setting Gianforte up last night if they didn’t think they had a shot.

    But the Secretary of State is Republican. This will be instructive.

  455. lisab says:

    the talk radio here has a poll question:

    Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate if they body slam a reporter?

    More likely 89%
    Less likely 11%

  456. Tina says:

    Hey buce

  457. Tina says:

    *bruce

  458. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Although it probably would be detrimental to your election prospects; still, beating up a reporter the day before an election is probably a beneficial form of stress relief for a political candidate.

    Am surprised a techie would do it; they seem usually to be sort of the passive, esoteric types. That is what living in Montana does to you.

  459. Bitterlaw says:

    Welcome, Bruce. Always good to see you here.

  460. Bitterlaw says:

    Chicon- My day job got in the way. I also had a softball game last night with my younger team. Lost 13-8. The problem is that our 5th grade ace is only allowed to pitch 4 innings in a game. Games are 6 innings. If we don’t have a 12 run lead after 4, it is tough to hold on with our next 2 pitchers.

  461. brucefdb says:

    Tina, Bitter….hi. Off to get a nice early steak dinner. See ya’ another time.

  462. Tina says:

    Steak dinner?

    Yummy, enjoy.

  463. Bitterlaw says:

    Steak dinner? Did Bruce take Cash Cow? Nooooooooo

  464. Chicon says:

    Good to see you, Bitter. Lol on the pitching restrictions.

  465. Bitterlaw says:

    The younger players are limited to 4 innings as pitchers. However, they can go in and out at the position. I may have her pitch the first 3 innings and then close the 6th.

    Boys in baseball are limited to 75 pitchers and once they are pulled, they can’t pitch the rest of the game or the next day.

  466. Chicon says:

    So, you can wait until the bottom of other team’s lineup for the switch.

  467. Chicon says:

    Anybody have a results link for the Wrestler v. Nekkid Cowboy match tonight?

  468. Chicon says:

    New thread