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Northam Leads Gillespie By 4% in VA

Yesterday, Suffolk University came out with their final poll for the gubernatorial race in Virginia and they show a mini surge for Ralph Northam as he has opened up a 4% lead over Ed Gillespie.

GOVERNOR – VIRGINIA (Suffolk)
Ralph Northam (D) 47%
Ed Gillespie (R) 43%
Cliff Hyra (L) 2%

This poll was done October 30-November 1 among 500 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:22 am
Filed under: General | Comments (166)

166 Responses to “Northam Leads Gillespie By 4% in VA”

  1. GPO says:

    Go Ed!!

  2. Phil says:

    Is Ed campaigning this morning or is he driving the pickup?

  3. Bitterlaw says:

    That sure seems correct…..maybe they think they can get away with it due to their (for Bitterlaw ? ) “virtue signalling”.

    It feels good to know that respecting others and trying to avoid unfair overly broad condemnations of others is a joke to NYC.

  4. mnw says:

    You all know how much I want Gillespie to win.

    With that disclaimer, some of GILLESPIE’s ads ALSO seem desperate. Have you heard about that one where he says Northam loves kiddie open purveyors (essentially)?

    I mean… damn.

  5. MichiganGuy says:

    “If (most) polls are to be believed, Democrat Ralph Northam is on the precipice of becoming Virginia’s next governor. But he and his supporters are not exactly acting like people who are confident that victory is at hand. Over recent weeks, Republican Ed Gillespie’s campaign has bombarded the opposition with ads highlighting Northam’s tie-breaking vote to block a ban on so-called “sanctuary cities” in the state.”

    https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2017/11/03/lol-flailing-virginia-democrat-flipflops-on-sanctuary-cities-n2404050

  6. mnw says:

    A syllogism:

    1) The GOP tax cut plan can not be passed without at least 1 or 2 DEM votes in the Senate.

    2) There is not a single conceivable DEM vote for the GOP tax plan in the Senate (Manchin has already said “no”);

    3) Therefore, the GOP tax plan will not be enacted into law.

  7. Todd McCain says:

    I don’t believe any GOP senator has come out against the tax reform plan but we will see.

    Polling Company:

    G: 46

    N: 43

  8. mnw says:

    New poll from Virginia Quantitative Research. Taken last night, as I understand it. Link at RRH comments & also RCP, I think:

    Gillespie +2 over Northam.

    I never heard of the pollster, but RRH & RCP seem to take it seriously. It’s a tracking poll.

  9. mnw says:

    Todd

    We’re talking about the same poll. I thought G +2? Did I read it wrong? Not at all user friendly.

  10. Todd McCain says:

    It is 45-43, but when leaners are pushed, it is 46-43.

  11. mnw says:

    Thx! Good catch.

    I know it shows undecideds favoring G too.

  12. mnw says:

    Rasmussen

    Tied at 45.

  13. JulStol says:

    A 3% Gillespie lead would be consistent with the 7 point ‘miss” mainstream polls had in 2013 and 2014 VA races.

  14. mnw says:

    The trend line of late seems pretty clear.

  15. Phil says:

    Just think how well positioned Gillespie would be if he could actually campaign and was not spending all his time behind the wheel of that pickup.

  16. Todd McCain says:

    G winning this race would be YUUUGE from a GOP morale, fundraising and agenda stand point.

    I hope he pulls it out.

  17. Todd McCain says:

    Also recruitment.

  18. mnw says:

    The poll referenced above in posts 9 & 11 is a GOP poll, btw.

  19. mnw says:

    Optimus Polling has G +3. That’s three polls today that have G either leading (2 polls) or tied (1 poll).

    Optimus nailed the Moore v. Strange GOP primary in AL. Absolutely nailed it.

  20. MichiganGuy says:

    “US Army Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl got a huge break Friday when a federal judge spared the confessed deserter jail time and instead gave him a dishonorable discharge and a fine of $1,000 a month for the next 10 months.”

    http://nypost.com/2017/11/03/bergdahl-dodges-prison-for-endangering-troops-when-he-deserted-post/

    Unbelievable. No justice for the soldiers who died or were injured looking for this deserter.

  21. Phil says:

    21

    Agree. Absolutely pathetic.

  22. Mr.Vito says:

    This Donna Brazile stuff is major news.

  23. lisab says:

    Bergdahl was just hired as cnn commentator

  24. lisab says:

    sorry, not cnn

    espn

    he will covering the nfl i guess

  25. GPO says:

    lol 16 & 24

  26. lisab says:

    It’s not rigged, @realDonaldTrump. You’re losing fair & square. Put on your big-boy pants because this is what accountability looks like.
    7:09 AM – 19 Oct 2016

    CNN asked Senator Elizabeth Warren if Mrs Clinton’s contest against Democratic rival Bernie Sanders was rigged, and she said: “Yes.”

  27. Mr.Vito says:

    No word yet on when Hillary will finally put her big-girl pantsuit on and face the accountability…

  28. lisab says:

    Deadly airborne plague in Madagascar is now at ‘crisis’ point and the ‘worst outbreak in 50 years’ as cases rocket by almost 40% in just 5 DAYS and could hit a further 20,000 in weeks
    —————————————–

    open borders now!

  29. lisab says:

    did we learn nothing from the middle ages?

    #blackdeath #buboes

  30. lisab says:

    kevin spacey seeking treatment

  31. Waingro says:

    Boom.

    Rasmussen Reports?Verified account @Rasmussen_Poll 3m3 minutes ago

    #Election2017: #Virginia #Governor: #EdGillespie (R) 45%, #RalphNortham (D) 45% http://bit.ly/2AgyMwz

  32. Waingro says:

    Gillespie is gonna win this thing.

  33. Waingro says:

    More booms.

    Zach C. Cohen?Verified account @Zachary_Cohen

    New @Be0ptimus poll (11/1-2; 1,641 LVs; +/-2.4%)

    @EdWGillespie: 40
    @RalphNortham: 37

    More questions & crosstabs: http://njour.nl/s/660252 ?

  34. Waingro says:

    Oh, sorry, I see mnw already posted all the polls I just cited above. I should have scrolled up!

  35. DW says:

    Good polls today–tight race and still feeling good about my Gillespie by 1-3 prediction.

  36. NYCmike says:

    #7 mnw,

    If you make the Senators vote, and if the bill does NOT pass, doesn’t the fact that seeing HOW THEY VOTED help the GOP in saying “We tried, but the Democrat party does NOT want to help.”?

    I would like to see some bills passed, but maybe, because of past screw-ups, we do need more numbers to compensate for GOP defections. It also allows the people from states where GOP Senators voted NAY to make sure they are replaced when their time is up.

  37. NYCmike says:

    Tell Gillespie to keep campaigning like he is 5 points down!

  38. lisab says:

    Wolf Blitzer: ‘Shocking’ Hillary Rigged DNC

  39. lisab says:

    breaking: donna brazile found dead of 23 gunshot wounds to the back of the head in apparent suicide

  40. lisab says:

    Tell Gillespie to keep campaigning like he is 5 points down!
    —————————–

    he will need to fill up the gas tank in the pickup

  41. lisab says:

    The new GOP tax overhaul would strip illegal immigrants of the ability to claim several major tax credits, saving the government $23.1 billion over the next decade, according to the bill’s authors.
    For years Republicans have complained that despite a general ban on taxpayer benefits flowing to illegal immigrants, the IRS has allowed them to collect the child tax credit, the American Opportunity Tax Credit and the Earned Income Tax Credit.

  42. Mr.Vito says:

    Gillespie is a wuss in his F250… I have an F350 Super Duty.

  43. Mr.Vito says:

    Black, of course… I can steal the ‘Dont tread on me’ flag down the block, and be ready to roll.

  44. lisab says:

    Mueller probe draws in Tony Podesta, Vin Weber: AP

  45. Marv says:

    NYCmike,

    What do you think about the Yankees failure to offer Girardi a new contract?

  46. lisab says:

    Chris Matthews: Dems “Blew It” By Lying About Dossier Funds, “Brings Into Question The Whole Effort”

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UPl24L8k2M&kek=stormcoming
    ————————————–

    when chris matthews slams the dems on air … you know there is chaos in the party

    cnn also just slammed hillary on air regarding bernie

    nytimes: “broken arrow … say again broken arrow”!
    dnc: “confirm broken arrow”
    nytimes: “broken arrow confirmed!”
    dnc: “my god … there is no hiding it now”

  47. NYCmike says:

    “What do you think about the Yankees failure to offer Girardi a new contract?”

    -It was a shocker! No idea why they would let him go. Egos? Looking for a raise?

    I like what Boomer Esiason is saying on his radio show. He is going to call the new manager “Next Level”, since Girardi was right there on the cusp of the World Series, but then lost.*

    *At the end of the day, I won’t lose any sleep over Girardi being gone, although I thought he was a good manager, especially for NYC. Stand-up guy.

  48. NYCmike says:

    Marv,

    That said, whomever manages the Yankees has a good, young club to start with, which makes it easier for them.

  49. NYCmike says:

    You LI, Hillary!

  50. NYCmike says:

    GOP needs to be patient. They need to get Democrats to vote YAY or NAY on several different items.

    If the bill passes, good.

    If the bill does NOT pass, use it against the Dems who are running in those red states.

  51. lisab says:

    Commie traitor Trump
    ————————

    commie traitor trump the billionaire?!

    communism has changed

  52. NYCmike says:

    Putin, the communist, probably has more money stashed away than the capitalist, Trump.

    College students, explain that please.

  53. lisab says:

    hillary has just addressed the dnc bernie rumors
    ———————————————–

    @hillaryclinton
    i honestly do not remember rigging the dnc against bernie. the story has encouraged me to consider other things about my life. i have loved and had romantic encounters with men and women throughout my life, and i now choose to live as a gay man.

  54. lisab says:

    Putin, the communist, …
    ——————————–

    you guys keep using that word …

    i don’t think it means what you think it means

  55. Mr.Vito says:

    “commie traitor trump the billionaire?!”

    Well, Putin is probably a billionaire now, too…

    The difference is Trump got it in the private sector, and Putin got it through government…

    Of course, this begs the question as to how the Clintons a worth a quarter of a billion dollars without holding private sector jobs for most of their lives.

  56. Mr.Vito says:

    55 heh.

    She could also pull a Harvey Weinstein and pledge to destroy the NRA.

  57. Robbie says:

    Here we go again. He’s reigniting the fight from this past July. And don’t forget that if Trump does fire Sessions, he can appoint someone who won’t be recused from the Russia investigation and can fire Mueller.

    Eric Tucker?
    @etuckerAP

    “I don’t know,” the president said when asked if he would fire his attorney general if he doesn’t focus on Democrats

  58. Paul says:

    Commie Putin’s billions likely eclipses Commie Trump’s worth.

    http://time.com/money/4641093/vladimir-putin-net-worth/

  59. Redmen4ever says:

    Maybe the Democrats can get Roto-Rooter to recover some of the money they flushed down in drain in the Georgia 6 CD special election, to get out the vote on Tuesday in Virginia.

  60. NYCmike says:

    “Here we go again.”

    -So why would you post it again?

    The press was wrong the first time. If the press is silly enough to ask such questions, Trump should go ahead and play games with them.

  61. NYCmike says:

    This guy finds the most obscure news, and shares it here.

    And is usually wrong.

  62. Mr.Vito says:

    Actually, that was the best answer he could give, considering Republicans of all stripes are upset that no one is going after these scandals.

  63. Mr.Vito says:

    and even some Democrats as we’ve seen today…

  64. mnw says:

    Mother Jones:

    “Ex-Felons Voting for First Time Could Shake Virginia’s Governor Race”

    Probably. Whatever it takes. Remember too that no illegal aliens ever vote illegally, so there’s nothing to investigate. “Voter suppression,” doncha know.

  65. DW says:

    Let the record show “Stonewall DW” never flinched when the new Quinnipiac Poll went from Northam +14 to Norhtam +17. Of course Wes didn’t flinch either.

  66. DW says:

    66 – that is a mixed bag. One assumption is that all Felons are hard core violent criminals who love leftist activist judges and hate conservatives because they are for law enforcement, so felons will all vote Democrat.

    No doubt a majority will, but there are many white-collar felons too. Many rural felons as well. So much depends on the individual felon. But would not surprise me if the felon vote in VA is 60/40 Dem. Advantage, yes. Enough to flip the election? We will find out on Tuesday.

  67. Cash Cow TM says:

    syllogism

    silly smog

  68. Mr.Vito says:

    This Brazile story raises huge questions in light of Little Debbie’s laptop and disallowing DHS and FBI from looking at the DNC server.

  69. mnw says:

    DW

    I didn’t endorse the idea suggested by Mother Jones. I just posted it.

  70. Bitterlaw says:

    DW – That was too objective. HHR prefers absolutes. “All felons are Democrats” would have been better received.

  71. Mr.Vito says:

    “My focus is on the next election. I don’t have a spare second to be thinking about comments that went on within the DNC,” Pelosi, a California Democrat, said at a press conference in Washington.

    “I have responsibility for what I have responsibility for. I don’t have any interest in what I don’t have any responsibility for when it comes to other campaigns.”

    from Daily Caller…

  72. Bitterlaw says:

    It is bad optics for the DNC to have rigged it for Hillary. However, it remains to be seen whether any laws were broken. Parties control their own rules. Tampering with vote totals leans towards illegality. Sending e-mails to Super Delegates that say “Bernie sucks” does not.

    Tina to demand that I immediately reach a conclusion without any evidence in 3…2…1…

  73. Waingro says:

    VIRGINIA
    Governor:
    Northam (D) 47%
    Gillespie (R) 47%
    Hyra (L) 3%
    (Roanoke College Poll, LV, 10/29 – 11/2)

  74. Waingro says:

    Kevin Robillard?Verified account @PoliticoKevin

    Kevin Robillard Retweeted Kevin Robillard

    Last Roanoke poll gave Northam a 50% to 44% lead. #VAgov

  75. Mr.Vito says:

    “Parties control their own rules. Tampering with vote totals leans towards illegality.”

    It is how the money was controlled that may have crossed legal lines.

  76. lisab says:

    My focus is on the next election. I don’t have a spare second to be thinking about comments that went on within the DNC,” Pelosi, a California Democrat, said at a press conference in Washington.

    “I have responsibility for what I have responsibility for. I don’t have any interest in what I don’t have any responsibility for when it comes to other campaigns. the story has encouraged me to consider other things about my life. i have loved and had romantic encounters with men and women throughout my life, and i now choose to live as a gay man”

  77. Mr.Vito says:

    The rest is just bad optics… so far.

  78. Mr.Vito says:

    78 you are getting a lot of mileage out of that…

  79. Wes says:

    I still say Ed wins 50-47. Northam has never been a spectacular candidate, and he’s been running a weak campaign down the home stretch. This should allay fears about the coming 2018 congressional apocalypse.

  80. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Bitter and jason
    If this woman becomes Ryan Costello’s(R-PA7) Dem. opponent in 2018, his seat should be considered safe.
    http://cityandstatepa.com/node/972

    I enjoy Democrats hanging from their own rope!

  81. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #82 Change: PA-6, not 7

  82. Mr.Vito says:

    In the Roanoke poll, the most undecideds are

    young
    men
    no degree
    35-75K
    independent
    central and south va

  83. Mr.Vito says:

    also

    moderate

  84. Bitterlaw says:

    Sheeple – I am deeply troubled about how she spells her last name. It should be Houlihan.

    Costello may have trouble no lose Republican votes because he is not pure enough for the NYC types. I think he voted against the last Do Not Repeal or Replace Obamacare bill because it did not protect funding for drug treatment. The 0pioid crisis is a devastating issue in PA.

  85. Bitterlaw says:

    and lose Republican voters

  86. Jonesy says:

    52. Mike, problem is those red state Dems are clever.

    At least Manchin, Donnelly, and Heidtkamp are. They mostly voted for the GOP circuit Judge confirmations this week. They will use that as being Bi Partisan.

    I agree that Tax Need a a up or down to expose them though.

  87. Jonesy says:

    Best move would be to put sessions in another Cabinet position, which means no new confirm by Senate.

    And then elevate Rachel Brand as interim AG, and then she hires special prosecutor on uranium deal.

    Then fire Rosentien

  88. Jonesy says:

    Nothing will be done on Sessions until after Bama Senate election

  89. jason says:

    Brings Into Question The Whole Effort”

    Even Matthews knows its an “effort”

    Wobbie still thinks its non-partisan journalism.

  90. DW says:

    71 – I know. I was just interacting with the topic.

    Roanoke poll showing tied race…

    ….and their FINAL 2013 Gov poll was McAwful +15. McAwful won +2.5

  91. Jonesy says:

    RRH posters are saying Dem AG in Va could lose also. Big lefty named Herring.

    Robbie’s favorite retweet pollster, Quinnipac, needs to be shut down on fraud charges. Awful in 2016 also

  92. Jonesy says:

    92. WOW!!

  93. Bitterlaw says:

    Is he so far left that he is a Red Herring?

  94. Redmen4ever says:

    Polling in Virginia: if you’re weighting by presidential turnout, you’re thinking the Democrat is ahead. If you’re weighting by an off-year turnout, you’re thinking ths Republican is ahead or it’s tied. Then there’s the Q Poll turn out model.

  95. DW says:

    and more recently, Roanoke had Clinton over Trump +7, and final tally was +5.4

    and in 2014 Roanoke had Warner +12 over Gillespie and final margin was +0.8

  96. DW says:

    Now there are four polls in the RCP average with November end dates on them. If just these are used, the Northam up just 1 point.

    Also should point out that the Suffolk poll showing Northam +4 has the smallest sample of the four recent polls, thereby the largest margin of error.

  97. NYCmike says:

    “It feels good to know that respecting others and trying to avoid unfair overly broad condemnations of others is a joke to NYC.”

    -The numbers say that criminal acts, as well as acts of terror, are overwhelmingly committed by people, (mainly males), in the 16-35 age group.

    The numbers say watch these people.

    Are you against math?

    Or should we keep frisking Granny and Little Susie, Mr. Spacey?

  98. lisab says:

    sessions has recused himself from the uranium one investigation

  99. DW says:

    Apparently Monmouth and NYTimes/Siena will have VA Gov polls on Monday

  100. Jonesy says:

    101. Is she the only one that can appoint a SP, Lisa?

  101. GF says:

    “Or should we keep frisking Granny and Little Susie, Mr. Spacey?” -NYC

    ***************************************************************

    Substitute Grampa and Little Bobby, and Kevin Spacey will fit right in.

    On second thought, screw gramps; add in another Little Bobby for a three-way.

  102. Jonesy says:

    103. He, sorry

  103. lisab says:

    PAGE SIX: HARVEY COULD FACE ARREST
    RAPE CHARGE ‘CREDIBLE’

  104. DW says:

    Sounds like Harvey is now qualified to be the Democrat nominee for President.

  105. lisab says:

    Why Does Donald Trump Want the Death Penalty for the New York Attack, But Not for Vegas?

    GQ magazine

  106. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    This has been a amazing week. On Monday all the trolls were chopping to bits about the possible indictment of people close to Trump. The actual indictments turned out to be duds.

    Since the it has been bad news for the Democrats; their involvement in paying for the Russian dossier; Podesta’s involvement in the matter; and now the news that Hillary’s people rigged the Democratic primary.

    And once again the issue is arising of Hillary’s non-profit “foundation” being used to shake down world leaders, like the leader of Bahrain paying $32 million at the time he met with Hillary.

    If somehow Gillespie pulls off the upset on Tuesday, and with a likely Utah Republican congressional special election win, next week will be also be unpleasant for the Democratis.

  107. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    “Why Does Donald Trump Want the Death Penalty for the New York Attack, But Not for Vegas?”

    Because the Jihadist in New York was cowardly, like all Islamic terrorists, and did not take his own life.

  108. mnw says:

    “Chunky soccer mom?”

    OK. There are a lot of those. Ridicule them. GOP will be happy to welcome a few more deplorables.

    I recall past elections where “soccer moms” were said to be at the epicenter of many contested elections.

  109. lisab says:

    Keith Olbermann: Bin Laden Did Less To Hurt America Than Trump

    on the view

    http://dailycaller.com/2017/11/03/keith-olbermann-bin-laden-did-less-to-hurt-america-than-trump-video/

  110. lisab says:

    Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson is done for the year with a torn ACL, and people don’t seem overly pleased the organization refused to sign Colin Kaepernick.

    The Texans decided to sign Matt McGloin to fill the roster void.

  111. Tina says:

    Any muh wire or muh russian news today?

  112. Bitterlaw says:

    Kaepernick is a better QB than McGloin. Yeah. I said it.

    However, he is not worth the headache.

  113. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Clear overconfidence in Utah. Sure Robbie is waiting to laugh at them when the voters aversion to Trump results in a Democratic upset victory in Utah.

    “Utah election officials plan to send the unofficial returns to the House clerk in the days after Tuesday’s vote, allowing the chamber to immediately fill the vacancy left by former Rep. Jason Chaffetz.
    “They’re eager to swear someone in as quickly as possible,” state elections director Mark Thomas said Friday. “If there’s a clear winner and it’s not likely any additional ballots are going to change the outcome, it sounds like they are willing and ready and wanting to swear in that person.”

    While the House typically waits for the official papers from the state where a vacancy is being filled, the chamber could use a procedural vote to override that requirement, and the new member could take office as soon as he or she can get to the House floor.
    Thomas says he’s alerted the candidates for the 3rd Congressional District of that possibility and noted that it’s not unusual for the member-elect to be sworn in within a week. If the results are close or contested, that could hold up the transition.
    With a likely vote this month on Republican efforts to overhaul the tax code, House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis., could be eager to add one more vote in favor of the legislation. Curtis, a Republican, says he supports the bill.
    The major candidates in Tuesday’s election to fill Chaffetz’s seat are Curtis, Democrat Kathie Allen and the United Utah Party’s Jim Bennett.
    A Salt Lake Tribune-Hinckley Institute of Politics poll in early October showed Curtis with 46 percent of the vote, compared to 19 percent for Allen and 9 percent for Bennett. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.84 percentage points.

    Curtis says he’s been in contact with Ryan’s office and expects that the seat would be filled within a week or so, though he noted that decision remains with state election officials and the speaker.
    “They’re ready to roll on their end,” Curtis said Friday. “My calendar is clear if they’re ready.” “

  114. Phil says:

    “people don’t seem overly pleased” Kaepernick wasn’t signed by the Texans?

    What people? The lefty hacks on MSESPN?

    I can tell you, the Houston fans are fine with it. Let him go to Seattle or San Fran or some other lefty cesspool. Trust me. Down here he would be booed out of the stadium.

  115. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #117-Phil
    These comments by the Astros Manager are disappointing and inane. What is his ax to grind?
    On the other hand, kudos to George Springer.
    Who owns the Astros?

    http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/21275703/world-series-champion-houston-astros-hold-white-house-talk

  116. Phil says:

    Jim Crane owns the Astros.

    I listened to the manager’s remarks and they didn’t even make sense. A bunch of jiberish. Listened to it twice. It still didn’t make any sense the second time. I don’t know what the hell he was trying to say. Seemed to be saying the country was divided. What that had to do with anything I have no idea. Guess what. he country has always been divided. The guy is a moron.

  117. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Here is a picture from Stars and Stripes of Col. Jeffery Nance, the jerk who let Bergdahl skate.
    If you see him on your street, spit on him for me!

    https://www.stripes.com/bergdahl-decision-unleashes-anger-understanding-1.496134

  118. lisab says:

    Actress Mila Kunis revealed Thursday that she has been playing a prank on Vice President Pence by donating to the women’s health-care provider Planned Parenthood in his name.

    In an interview on TBS’s “Conan,” Kunis says that she set up a monthly donation to Planned Parenthood that sends Pence a letter thanking him for his donation every month.

  119. Phil says:

    Another Hollywood idiot.

  120. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #119- Phil
    I hate to be the harbinger of bad news, but the Houston Astros owner,James Crane, contributes big time to the Democratic Party.The team’s Manager is probably reflecting Mr. Crane’s sentiments about visiting the Oval Office.
    Here are a couple of Crane’s contributions:

    CRANE, JAMES R HOUSTON TX 77006 CRANE CAPITAL CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER DSCC 03/31/2014 16200.00 14020263696
    CRANE, JAMES R. HOUSTON TX 77006 CRANE CAPITAL GROUP CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER DCCC 03/31/2014 16200.00 14942408464

  121. lisab says:

    Best College Ever Uses Harry Potter to Teach Philosophy

    For this magical college class, grab your laptop—and an ice-cold butterbeer.

    While Hagrid hasn’t come busting down our door with a one-way ticket to Hogwarts, Muggles who love the Potter series—you know you’re a superfan if you can appreciate these Harry Potter jokes—can come pretty close at St. Cloud State University in Minnesota, where professor Carolyn Hartz is bringing the magical world of Harry Potter to college by applying it to the teaching of philosophy.

    The class focuses on applying Aristotle’s work on friendship and character relations to the adventures of the beloved boy wizard. And luckily, there’s no Dark Lord to worry about here; instead, the curriculum taps into the fundamentals of logic, ethics, love, nature, and the human soul by relating it to major scenes of the award-winning Potter stories.

  122. Bitterlaw says:

    Separation of Sports and State, Phil.

  123. MichiganGuy says:

    Voting starts Saturday for Virginia Governor’s race! https://twitter.com/EdWGillespie/status/926554590136344576

  124. lisab says:

    There’s a story in Patterson’s new book Filthy Rich about Palm Beach perv Jeffrey Epstein relating an incident that allegedly took place at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago in 1999.

    According to the book, billionaire financier Epstein liked to hang out at Mar-a-Lago despite the fact he’d never coughed up the $100,000 to join, much less the $14,000-annual fee.

    But because Epstein and Trump shared a mutual friend, Brit heiress Ghislaine Maxwell, Epstein had “unlimited use of the facilities,” according to the book.

    “That arrangement ended when a (Mar-a-Lago) member’s young daughter complained to her wealthy father: while relaxing at Mar-a-Lago, she’d been approached and invited out to Epstein’s house.

    “The girl said that she had gone and that Epstein had tried to get her to undress.

    “The girl’s father had gone directly to Trump, who — in no uncertain terms — told Epstein that he was barred from Mar-a-Lago.”

  125. lisab says:

    Pope Francis has requested that Roman Catholic priests be given the right to get married.

    The request applies to priests in Brazil, and is on the agenda for an upcoming synod (church council) in the Amazon region.

    The controversial move would address the critical shortage of men joining the priesthood – but is likely to drive divisions through the church by enraging conservative factions.

    A small number of married Roman Catholic priests already exist, including previously married Anglican vicars who have joined the church.

    A request to lift the ban on marriage was made by Brazilian bishop Cardinal Claudio Hummes, who reportedly asked the Pope to consider ‘viri probati’, meaning married of great faith, as priests.

  126. jason says:

    Hummes is another leftist.

    Sooner or later they will find out the Marxist are not on their side.

    And Bitter will say he will still go to Mass in 3, 2, 1…

  127. jason says:

    In an interview on TBS’s “Conan,” Kunis says that she set up a monthly donation to Planned Parenthood that sends Pence a letter thanking him for his donation every month.”

    Wow, how clever. Nobody ever thought of that before.

    Of course there are probably at least a dozen people in the US named Mike Pence…

  128. jason says:

    hy Does Donald Trump Want the Death Penalty for the New York Attack, But Not for Vegas?”

    It’s hard to execute a dead guy.

  129. jason says:

    . Big lefty named Herring.”

    Let me guess… Red?

  130. lisab says:

    when we turn on each other we cannot fight back against a rigged system — hillary clinton

  131. lisab says:

    Ohio Principal of the Year indicted on seven felonies involving sex with two teenage female students.

  132. lisab says:

    GAY LIONS SPOTTED HAVING SEX IN THE SAVANNAH: KENYAN OFFICIAL IS OUTRAGED

  133. Bitterlaw says:

    My wife is Jewish. The Church does not seek my guidance on doctrine.

  134. Redmen4ever says:

    I could understand the priests of Brazil wanting to marry. The girls there are totally hot! But, what about the priests of Colombia?

  135. Wes says:

    I’m thinking Colombians are having no problems in the hot women department, Redmen:

    https://www.mycolombianwife.com/colombian-model-julieth-roman/

  136. Wes says:

    Really? Republicans worked overtime to get the first GOP majority in the Kentucky State House since Harding was President last year only to install this guy as Speaker:

    http://mycn2.com/politics/house-speaker-jeff-hoover-has-full-support-of-caucus-amid-report-of-sexual-harassment-settlement-house-gop-leader-says

  137. lisab says:

    from wikileaks today:

    “This Memorandum is intended to memorialize our agreement regarding the creation and operation of Hillary Victory Fund (Victory Fund), a joint fundraising committee of Hillary for America (HFA) and the Democratic National Committee (DNC).
    “HFA is prepared to raise and invest funds into the DNC via the Victory. In return for this financial support, HFA requires the appropriate influence over the financial, strategic, and operational use of these JFA-raised funds.

    “Commencing on September 1, 2015 HFA agrees to raise funds for the Victory Fund sufficient to fund the DNC’s data, technology, analytics, research, and communications operations. Specifically, HFA will agree to raise and to instruct the Victory Fund Treasurer, Beth Jones (who is employed by HFA) to transfer from the Victory Fund a minimum of one million and two hundred thousand dollars ($1,200,000.00) to the DNC from its share of the net proceeds under the allocation formula on the first day of every month (beginning October 1, 2015) for these activities (the “Base Amount”). In the event that the Victory Fund is not in possession of adequate net proceeds allocable to the DNC on the first of the month to make such transfer, it shall make the required transfer as soon as adequate funds are available.

    “HFA’s obligations under this agreement, and the release of the Base Amounts each month are conditioned on the following:

    With respect to the hiring of a DNC Communications Director, the DNC agrees that no later than September 11, 2015 it will hire one of two candidates previously identified as acceptable to HFA. With respect to the hiring of future DNC senior staff in the communications, technology, and research departments, in the case of vacancy, the DNC will maintain the authority to make the final decision as between candidates acceptable to HFA. Agreement by the DNC that HFA personnel will be consulted and have joint authority over strategic decisions over the staffing, budget, expenditures, and general election related communications, data, technology, analytics, and research. The DNC will provide HFA advance opportunity to review on-line or mass email, communications that features a particular Democratic primary candidate. This does not include any communications related to primary debates – which will be exclusively controlled by the DNC. The DNC will alert HFA in advance of mailing any direct mail communications that features a particular Democratic primary candidate or his or her signature. If asked by a State Party, the DNC will encourage the State Party to become a participant in the Victory Fund. “Once HFA has raised the first $1,200,000 and it has been distributed to the DNC, HFA will be granted complete and seamless access to all research work product and tools (not including any research or tracking the DNC may engage in relating to other Democratic candidates).

    “The parties also agree that they will enter into an agreed upon voter file licensing agreement. As consideration for that agreement, HFA will raise an additional $250,000 into the Victory Fund that will be distributed to the DNC no later than March 31, 2016.

    “In addition, HFA will also raise funds for the Victory Fund that will distributed to the DNC in excess of the $1,200,000 monthly base amount (Excess Amount). The Excess Amount raised by HFA that is distributed to the DNC will be spent on the DNC’s data, technology, analytics, research, and communications operations as directed by HFA (Special Projects). Although the DNC will remain responsible for the day to day execution of those Special Projects, HFA will determine (in consultation with the DNC) the Special Project’s scope, strategy, staffing, budget, and manner of execution.

    “Finally, HFA agrees that on a monthly basis the Victory Fund will provide the DNC a list of receipts and disbursements from the Victory Fund. The DNC agrees to provide monthly financial reports to HFA as it relates to the use of the funds distributed by the Victory Fund to the DNC.
    “In the event that there is a disagreement in the operation of this agreement or the use of the Base Amount, the DNC department head and their HFA counterpart will meet and confer to resolve the matter. If that fails to resolve the disagreement, then you and I will resolve it. If there is still no resolution the DNC Chair and the HFA Chair will resolve.

    “Nothing in this agreement shall be construed to violate the DNC’s obligation of impartiality and neutrality through the Nominating process. All activities performed under this agreement will be focused exclusively on preparations for the General Election and not the Democratic Primary. Further we understand you may enter into similar agreements with other candidates.

    “The attached Joint Fundraising Agreement will be entered into by HFA and the DNC (as well as by State Parties).

    “This agreement will be reviewed on March 31, 2016 and either party may terminate any prospective obligation at that time.”

  138. Wes says:

    I guess Trump realizes Heitkamp will cease being a nominal ally in the Senate if she wins reelection:

    https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/cramer-says-trump-wants-enter-north-dakota-senate-race

  139. Wes says:

    Interestingly while North Dakota has voted Dem for President exactly once since 1950–for Lyndon Johnson in 1964–no Republican has held this seat since Quentin Burdick edged John Day on a platform of opposition to the policies of Eisenhower-era Agriculture Secretary Ezra Taft Benson in 1960.

    Meanwhile, Dems held the state’s lone House seat for 30 years straight from 1981 to 2011 and the other Senate seat for 24 years from 1987 to 2011.

    Democrats have routinely overperformed in congressional politics in the state, but Republicans should be able to beat Heitkamp if they nominate a good candidate and take the race seriously for a change.

    Trump beat Hillary by a whopping 63-27 margin last year while Sen. John Hoeven and Cong. Kevin Cramer won by 78-17 and 69-24 respectively.

  140. Tina says:

    Stock attacking hillary.

    _jebot

  141. Walt says:

    Well, this was certainly embarrassing.

    When I awoke this morning, I thought it was Sunday.
    While I was still groggily in bed, Mrs. Walt told me she was heading to church. She was going to church to help finish the decorations for the All Saints’ Day festivities etc.).

    But when I awoke, somehow I thought it was Sunday. I pondered why the women did not finish the decorations when I was part of the crew that set up tables, etc. yesterday morning.

    So anyway, I think it is Sunday, get on my Sunday best and show up at church.I walk in the assembly room where the women were hard at work. Wife says, The women there decorating got much amusement due to this.

  142. Walt says:

    Wife says ‘WHERE ARE YOU GOING?!?”
    Then it dawned on me it was SATURDAY!

    Much hilarity ensued.

    I came home and got no normal clothes…

    Cash Cow is still rolling on the floor laughing and snorting.

  143. Walt says:

    I wondered why their were so few cars in the church parking lot.

  144. Wes says:

    Might want to cut back on the spirits on Friday nights in the future, Walt.

  145. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Robbie will go orgasmic reading this book about Bush 41 & 43. Both admitted that they did not vote for Trump in 2016 and Bush 41 voted for H. Clinton. Good-bye to the Bush family dynasty.
    http://www.newsweek.com/trump-blowhard-i-dont-him-and-i-voted-hillary-george-bush-says-new-book-702007

  146. Wes says:

    One thing I find to be interesting about this upcoming midterm is how many top recruits the Senate GOP has gotten for Senate versus 2006. Hawley, Jenkins. Messer, Barletta, and Scott are all running or planning to run with potential candidates such as Cramer waiting in the wings. Montana and North Dakota have no A-listers running yet but still have at least decent candidates mulling or announced.

    Back in 2006, it was a Congress of Nos to Liddy Dole from Hoeven in North Dakota on down. This was a clear sign of how badly Republicans would fare in that year’s elections, though even the most knowledgeable observers didn’t predict the Senate would flip.

    Events in recruiting only bolster my contention that the Senate will remain in GOP hands next year.

    Should Gillespie win in three days, I have to imagine the NRSC will manage to entice a few more top recruits into competitive races.

  147. Redmen4ever says:

    North Dakota: railroad unions, prairie populists and ag subsidies made this a tough state for Republicans through much of the 20th century. (In Montana, you also had mine worker unions.) Things change, albeit at a glacial pace. We are slowly advancing from Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin, through the Dakotas and Montana, for some reasons shared throughout the region, and some peculiar to each of these states. AND MAKE NO DOUBT ABOUT IT: we must win the Senate seats in North Dakota and Montana next year.

    For an interesting insight into North Dakota’s political history:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nonpartisan_League

    Check out the vote (in green) for the Progressive Party candidate in North Dakota;

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1924#/media/File:PresidentialCounty1924MarginColorbrewer.gif

  148. Wes says:

    I loathe the Bushes because of GWB, Sheeple. They are a petty, entitled lot with at best minimal and more often subpar governing skills.

    That GWB never once criticized Obama for eight years while now excoriating Trump speaks volumes about how that gaggle of patricians is one of the worst families in American politics.

  149. Wes says:

    Republicans actually dominated North Dakota politics until the late 1950s, Redmen. Quentin Burdick won a House seat in the 1958 Dem landslide and subsequently took the Senate seat opened up by the death of Bill Langer. Dems then won the governorship every cycle but one from 1960 to 1988.

    After Mark Andrews lost narrowly to Kent Conrad in 1986, Dems dominated congressional politics for almost a quarter century, but thankfully Republicans began to recover in 1992 by winning the governorship.

    Currently Heidi Heitkamp is the only Dem elected statewide there. If Republicans take her out, then Dems will likely be in the local wilderness for several decades.

  150. Tina says:

    The jebots have a lot in common with 41re their vote.

    They are both vile aholes.

    No sympathy, bith were mute during obama.

    Stay mute.

  151. Tina says:

    They should know that they are not entitled to the presidency, it has to be earned.

    May we never have another bush presidency.

  152. mnw says:

    Gravis poll today has Northam +5 over Gillespie, at 48-43.

    RRH prediction thread is 5-1 that Northam wins, by my informal tally this morning.

  153. Tina says:

    Bill Mitchell
    Bill Mitchell
    @mitchellvii
    ·
    1h
    As if #Democrats didn’t have enough trouble with Uranium One, Trump Dossier and Donna Brazile, now we get to see their true base, #Antifa.

    Speaker ryan loves antifa too.

  154. Tina says:

    Bill Mitchell
    Bill Mitchell
    @mitchellvii
    ·
    1h
    As if #Democrats didn’t have enough trouble with Uranium One, Trump Dossier and Donna Brazile, now we get to see their true base, #Antifa.

    Muh russian and muh wire.

  155. janz says:

    #152. I used to not like the Bush family, with a special disdain for the elder Bush, who now simply grins and apparently gropes from his wheelchair. But, currently my dislike has grown. The latent 8 year period of time where GWB refused to comment on Obama’s destructive policy moves, that has shifted to negative speeches about Trump’s 1st year in office is offensive to me.

  156. janz says:

    Addition, if the GOP is “blowing up” under Trump’s influence, according to the Bush’s, it is not being helped by these two ex presidents and their damaging commentary. They should be exercising the same so-called self discipline, keeping their mouths shut, that they seemed to do with ease during Obama’s years in office.

  157. Cash Cow TM says:

    “…running or planning to run with potential candidates such as Cramer waiting in the wings…”
    ************************************************
    If Cramer is running can George Castanza and Elaine Benes be far behind?
    ______________________________
    HEY, DID YOU GUYS HEAR ABOUT WALT SHOWING UP FOR CHURCH THIS MORNING A DAY EARLY?
    ##################################
    HAR DE HAR HAR HAR….(snort)

  158. NYCmike says:

    Janz,

    If President Trump does well, it makes them look bad.

    They will continue to act like MD, Robbie, “CG”, Bill Kristol, etc.

  159. NYCmike says:

    N / T

  160. Cash Cow TM says:

    VA Gov. Race
    ##############################
    Clara Voyant Polling, Inc.

    46 Gillespie
    46 Northam (the guy with the hairy catrerpillar eyebrows)
    04 The spoiler Libertarians goofball
    02 What election?
    02 SMH

  161. janz says:

    NYC. There’s a good old boys club for ex presidents, and Trump is an outlier for this group, lacking a rubber-stamped approval associated with this elite club.

    New thread…..

  162. Blobbie says:

    “Trump beat Hillary by a whopping 63-27 margin last year ”

    Jeb would have won by a 64-26 margin you Chumps