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Open Thread Sunday!

Here ya go!

Posted by Dave at 11:30 am
Filed under: General | Comments (1,540)

1,540 Responses to “Open Thread Sunday!”

  1. Bayernfan says:

    First

  2. BayernFan says:

    The Dems and media will try to Palinize Barrett and make her out to be some sort of religious nut and Stepford wife.

  3. Mr.Vito says:

    Lindsay Graham is pushing Hardiman and says there are four finalists, so you can thank him if Hardiman is getting further consideration.

  4. BayernFan says:

    McCain ought to resign. Now.

  5. mnw says:

    Vito 3

    Apparently McConnell has told Trump that Kethledge & Hardiman would be the easiest to confirm, & Barrett & Kavanaugh the most difficult. IF that’s what McConnell is advising, it would be tremendously hard to disregard that, I would think. McC is the one who actually has to get it done.

    At this point, I don’t think anybody is just casually assuming the GOP will hold the Senate any more. So the first nominee has to be confirmed, because the NEXT nominee may be subject to a DEM veto.

    BF 4

    Yes. Not gonna hold my breath. Messing this up would be consistent with his entire political career. This is his last glorious “ME!” moment.

  6. Bitterlaw says:

    If the SCOTUS nominee is not confirmed, the GOP has until the beginning of January to confirm the next pick.

    As far as Bob Casey, Jr. is concerned, he is only Catholic when it helps lib causes. He is going to win re-election easily and can vote no on any Trump pick.

  7. Bitterlaw says:

    Breaking News – John McCain’s job is to represent the citizens of Arizona. They keep sending him back to the Senate despite mnw’ opinion.

  8. mnw says:

    Stalling the hearings for that short amount of time would be child’s play. A lot of observers have made that point.

  9. mnw says:

    Is that what he’s doing right NOW? “Representing the citizens” of his state? His empty desk is the functional equivalent of a “no” vote.

  10. Bitterlaw says:

    If I am ever lucky enough to die from cancer rather than diabetes, I plan on going out as a petty, vindictive bastard. Good for McCain. No ass-kissing on the way out.

  11. JC says:

    Bitterlaw says:
    July 8, 2018 at 12:53 pm
    Breaking News – John McCain’s job is to represent the citizens of Arizona. They keep sending him back to the Senate despite mnw’ opinion.
    ————————

    Lol.

    You know what? I’m willing to go out on a limb and say that if an election was held today in AZ, McCain would lose in a landslide.

    You and Jason keep telling everyone that they have ‘no business’ with AZ affairs because they don’t live there. Well, that’s exactly what you are doing, pretending to be speaking for AZ voters and claiming, in their place, that an empty desk is exactly what they want. That, according to you, a non-AZ, they are perfectly fine with McCain turning against the policies he was elected on just to make petty snipes at a president that the state voted for.

    And BTW, as an American citizen I can say and support whoever is the f**k I want regardless of what state I live in.

  12. Bitterlaw says:

    JC – You can say what you want. Your “support” is irrelevant and does not exist because it is not an election year and you can neither vote nor send checks to McCain’s opponents.

    As for your landslide theory….zzzzzzzz. McCain’s dead body would easily be re-elected in 2022

  13. Tgca says:

    Catorce Bebe. Catorce!

  14. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    8. “Breaking News – John McCain’s job is to represent the citizens of Arizona. They keep sending him back to the Senate despite mnw’ opinion.”

    Sadly, John McCain is terminally ill, and likely will not take part in any future Senate activity. When your too sick to continue your employment, you should leave your job. Arizona is entitled to two working senators.

    I am a great admirer of McCain, but a fault of many politicians is not resigning when they can no longer effective serve in office.

  15. mnw says:

    REALLY, BL?

    “McCain’s dead body” (or a healthy McCain for that matter) could win a GOP PRIMARY again? REALLY?

    Last time he survived the primary because the conservative opposition fractured among multiple candidates.

  16. BayernFan says:

    McCain is simply not worth defending.

  17. BayernFan says:

    McCain was elected in 2010 or thereabouts talking tough on border security and supporting a wall if I’m not mistaken. What a liar.

  18. BayernFan says:

    If McCain survives to a vote on the nominee he will do whatever he can to vote against him/her….. especially if his vote is decisive. He is that vindictive and “bitter” against Trump for defending those voters that McCain called crazy. Of course, he wants to go out with the accolades and toasts of the media and liberal Dems ringing in his ears. The ultimate useful idiot of the Left.

  19. BayernFan says:

    McCain, the worst and most hapless GOP presidential candidate of our lifetimes (if not in history) put the lie to his so called “maverick” image when he suspended his campaign in September. Did he do so to rush to DC in order to fight against the bank bailouts (which a true “maverick” would do)? Of course not. This Keating 5 alum sat silent, clueless at best, as he demonstrated his true proclivities. How he was nominated is still a headscratcher.

  20. mnw says:

    I would add “and the worst and most hapless GOP Senator of our lifetimes”

  21. DW says:

    https://www.predictit.org/Market/3232/Who-will-be-Trump's-next-Supreme-Court-nominee

    Barrett back on top. Kethledge down to fourth after being in first early this morning.

  22. BayernFan says:

    lol. For entertainment purposes only.

    what a crock.

  23. Tina says:

    Kethledge out per breitbart.

    Due to open borders decisions.

  24. DW says:

    24 – why he dropped from 1st to 4th today in the predictit site.

  25. DW says:

    Is anyone checking the flight schedule of the finalists? I am sure there has to be someone trying to see which of these four is making any unusual movements for a late Sunday afternoon.

  26. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Sadly, a lot of very old people get grumpy, cranky and ill-tempered. Its as if they are lashing out at the world because they are old and feeble. I really get the impression McCain is often lashing out because he realizes he is becoming irrelevant, and no longer a star on the political stage. For a politician who craves attention, it is a difficult transition. His politician career is now discussed in the past tense. Its sad to watch; unfortunately a politician’s bad exit is what is often most remembered.

  27. Robbie says:

    I’m sorry, but this is ridiculous. There’s not a voter in PA who going to say “Well, I didn’t plan on voting for Trump in 2020, but because he nominated someone from PA to the Supreme Court now I will”.

    Hardiman is a Souter/Kennedy style disaster.

    Robert Costa
    @costareports

    former senator Rick Santorum has been pushing pal Hardiman behind the scenes, talking to senators and WH officials, making the case that Hardiman helps POTUS in key state of PA and has a story beyond the taxi past (speaks Spanish, lots of pro bono work, married to Democrat)

  28. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    July 8, 2018 at 11:47 am
    Lindsay Graham is pushing Hardiman and says there are four finalists, so you can thank him if Hardiman is getting further consideration.

    – No. The ones to thank if Trump picks a massive dud like Hardiman are Rick Santorum and Trump’s sister who continues to push for Hardiman.

    Hardiman never would have been part of the list of judges except Santorum asked that he be included in order to get his endorsement in 2016.

    Hardiman would be the ultimate own goal.

  29. BayernFan says:

    Well…. I gather that Trump was very impressed with Hardiman when he was runner up to Gorsuch.

  30. Robbie says:

    Within five years time, Hardiman will have become a consistent swing vote who sides with the liberals on hot button questions.

    The hot mess this selection process has become is what happens when someone overthinks an issue and is willing to consult anyone and everyone who will listen.

    The correct play would have been to choose Kavanaugh or Kethledge before the Fourth of July holiday. Instead, backbiting has overtaken the process and, much like 1990, we may well end up with a complete dud no one saw coming two days ago.

  31. Robbie says:

    BayernFan says:
    July 8, 2018 at 5:09 pm
    Well…. I gather that Trump was very impressed with Hardiman when he was runner up to Gorsuch.

    – The problem is every story that speaks well of Hardiman suggests its the personal story and repour with Trump that might put him over the top.

    Well, I don’t give hoot whether he and Trump shared some laughs or Trump thinks his story of driving a cab is a good thing. Once he nominates Hardiman, the two will never spend another meaningful moment together.

    Trump’s sister was a pro-abortion liberal judge. She’s not pushing Hardiman because she has suddenly become an originalist or a textualist. She’s pushing him because he’s a squish who will fold like a law chair.

  32. BayernFan says:

    I don’t think it will be Hardiman.

    I’m thinking Larsen or Thapar. Maybe Kethledge.

  33. DW says:

    “I’m thinking Larsen or Thapar.”

    You can make a fortune on predictit

  34. Robbie says:

    BayernFan says:
    July 8, 2018 at 5:21 pm
    I don’t think it will be Hardiman.
    I’m thinking Larsen or Thapar. Maybe Kethledge.

    – I would be overjoyed with any of those three names.

    Honestly, Hardiman is the only judge on the list of 25 names with whom I’d be disappointed. Hardiman only made the list at the request of Santorum to get his endorsement in 2016.

    I’d rather see Trump go off the list and pick Miguel Estrada or Paul Clement than get within a 100 miles of Hardiman.

  35. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    July 8, 2018 at 5:23 pm
    “I’m thinking Larsen or Thapar.”
    You can make a fortune on predictit

    – That site is so lightly traded that even a small bet can move the needle.

  36. DW says:

    If its true Santorum is pushing for Hardiman, I don’t sense that Trump is that inclined to be influenced by Santorum.

  37. NYCmike says:

    Don’t know much about Hardiman, but I do know that I trust Santorum more than I trust Robbie, who, as evidenced by the comments from 2006, has been bashing Republican Presidents for at least 12 years, while enjoying Obama’s victory in 2012 with a vindictive “I told you so!” appearance on Election Night.

  38. NYCmike says:

    Also, taking the easy way out, as pushed by Murk and Collins, is a recipe for disaster.

    If they oppose, put them under the spotlight for WHY they would do so. Don’t let them determine what a President will do with his nominating power without them having to defend their litmus test.

  39. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 8, 2018 at 5:39 pm
    Don’t know much about Hardiman, but I do know that I trust Santorum more than I trust Robbie, who, as evidenced by the comments from 2006, has been bashing Republican Presidents for at least 12 years, while enjoying Obama’s victory in 2012 with a vindictive “I told you so!” appearance on Election Night.

    – Poor, NYCmike. Is this the best you’ve got?

    Unlike you, I know a thing or two about the judges being considered. Hardiman is a dud.

    And unlike you, I also know what a good Senate candidate looks like. That’s why I was smart enough to know Angle, COD, Mourdock, and the rest of your real conservatives were surefire losers.

  40. NYCmike says:

    That said, I say go Thapar or Barrett or Larsen or someone else.

  41. Mr.Vito says:

    Graham, who is ON the judiciary committee is “especially pleased” to see Hardiman on the list…

    so no, it is not just Santorum.

  42. NYCmike says:

    Robbie,

    Sometimes the voters of each state make a mistake. I still believe in a primary system.

    Then, there are others like you who would rather see Hollary as President instead of Trump, and who clearly want backroom decisions made by the powers that be.

  43. Robbie says:

    Just what conservatives hoped for with the Supreme Court. Having Trump’s pro-abortion liberal sister playing a role in the selection process. Again, does anyone really think she’d be pushing Hardiman if she thought he was a Scalia or Thomas?

    John Santucci
    @Santucci

    So this is where we are for the moment – caution anything possible – sources tell @ABC 4 names President Trump down to for the Court: Kavanaugh / Hardiman / Coney Barrett / Kethledge. No specific order – Hardiman getting big push from Trump’s sister Judge Maryanne Trump Barry

  44. Tina says:

    I would be pleased if Hillary made the sc pick.

    Jebot

  45. Tina says:

    Oh, the infamous “sources say”.

  46. Mr.Vito says:

    I’m holding out to see what Lord Ashcroft says.

  47. Mr.Vito says:

    Graham says all four picks are winning lottery tickets.

  48. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    July 8, 2018 at 6:09 pm
    Graham says all four picks are winning lottery tickets.

    – He’s wrong as he often is. If you take a look at what liberal court watchers are saying, more than a few (not all), think Hardiman is a moderate and the best possible choice, from their view, on Trump’s list of judges.

    Even Leonard Leo of the Federalist Society threw a bit of cold water on Hardiman today. If Trump’s looking for Gorsuch 2.0, he’s managed to find the exact opposite.

    None of this means Hardiman won’t side with conservatives on certain things, but he’s also likely to side with liberals on certain things as well.

  49. Robbie says:

    Going off the GWB years, this SCOTUS pick could be the last a Republican president gets for 10-15 years.

    Republicans were quite lucky in 2005 to get a chance to replace O’Conner and Rehnquist within four months of each other. And Republicans have been quite lucky to have a chance to replace Scalia and Kennedy within 18 months of each other.

    Still, these appointments are the crown jewels of the presidency. Wasting it on someone might be best described as “workman like” as Sean Trende noted is a real mistake.

  50. Mr.Vito says:

    Graham should stop pushing him then.

  51. Phil says:

    A Hardiman pick would be an example of creating defeat out of A sure victory. I’d put a Hardiman pick right in there with Trump’s tariffs as complete unforced errors. Just beyond stupid.

  52. Mr.Vito says:

    McConnell says Hardiman and Kethledge easiest to confirm.

    Leo says conservatives will line up behind any of the picks.

  53. Gpo says:

    Bitterlaw says:
    July 8, 2018 at 12:53 pm
    Breaking News – John McCain’s job is to represent the citizens of Arizona. They keep sending him back to the Senate despite mnw’ opinion.

    If he’s not physically able to vote , how is he representing the citizens of Arizona ?

  54. mnw says:

    Vito & Phil

    Trump himself said today that we should “assume it’s one of the final four, ” per the WSJ.

  55. Phil says:

    Too bad. Larsen would have been a great pick.

  56. Tina says:

    My sources say it is Barrett.

  57. Phil says:

    You don’t pick Barrett unless you have pre pick assurances from the two Republican squishes from Maine and Alaska. If so, he should pull the trigger.

  58. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    July 8, 2018 at 6:35 pm
    McConnell says Hardiman and Kethledge easiest to confirm.
    Leo says conservatives will line up behind any of the picks.

    – Easiest to confirm, at least as Hardiman goes, is because Democrats understand he’s a moderate and the best they could hope to get.

    As for Leo, there’s a reason he didn’t include Hardiman on his original list even though Hardiman is a member of the Federalist Society.

    Also, Leo said conservatives would get behind Miers in 2005.

  59. NYCmike says:

    “Pre-pick assurances “??

    Oh lord!

    You will rely on squishes to fight?

    They voted for Gorsuch, why would they vote against any of these picks, unless the nominee gets too much like Bork, unwilling to speak platitudes and blow smoke up their asses?

  60. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    July 8, 2018 at 6:31 pm
    A Hardiman pick would be an example of creating defeat out of A sure victory. I’d put a Hardiman pick right in there with Trump’s tariffs as complete unforced errors. Just beyond stupid.

    – This goes back to my view that Trump has allowed the process to go on for far too long. Dragging it out to build suspense and viewership has only allowed the sniping to accelerate. By all accounts, he had settled on Kavanaugh before the holiday, but the delay allowed the GWB haters to torpedo him simply because he worked for Bush. Well, Gorsuch worked for Bush as well.

  61. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    July 8, 2018 at 6:44 pm
    You don’t pick Barrett unless you have pre pick assurances from the two Republican squishes from Maine and Alaska. If so, he should pull the trigger.

    – The problem is they can give you pre-pick assurances and then just stab you in the back if the pressures gets too high.

    With the margin in the Senate, Kethledge, Thapar, and Larsen are the best. I simply don’t understand how Trump ended up with Hardiman as a finalist.

  62. Mr.Vito says:

    “Tom Hardiman is an interesting mix of two worlds,” said Leonard Leo, an adviser to Trump on the Supreme Court search. “On the one hand he is very much in the mold of Justice Scalia, well-schooled on the doctrines of originalism and textualism, and he is very experienced. And yet, at the same time, Judge Hardiman hails from a family of relatively modest means, from an industrial working class city in Western Pennsylvania.”

  63. Tina says:

    Notice, trump makes no mention of Hardiman,

  64. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    July 8, 2018 at 7:10 pm
    “Tom Hardiman is an interesting mix of two worlds,” said Leonard Leo, an adviser to Trump on the Supreme Court search. “On the one hand he is very much in the mold of Justice Scalia, well-schooled on the doctrines of originalism and textualism, and he is very experienced. And yet, at the same time, Judge Hardiman hails from a family of relatively modest means, from an industrial working class city in Western Pennsylvania.”

    – This was written in a CNN story from January 2017 and it is different from the tune Leo was singing today on ABC.

  65. Tina says:

    I guess the rapist and her thighness are trying to “reinvent” themselves and audition for 2020

    Both flew via commercial airline,

  66. Tina says:

    Breaking

    Nunes states that the fisa warrant on carter page was fraudulently obtained.

    Sad that the obumbler did this to an fib asset

  67. Robbie says:

    This is from Jonathan Swan at Axios. Honestly, picking a Supreme Court justice because he matches the blue collar coalition is just stupid. And let’s be honest, Barletta only wants Hardiman because thinks it might help his moribund Senate campaign. It won’t though.

    “Politicos outside the White House, including Trump allies Lou Barletta and Rick Santorum, have been lobbying hard for Hardiman, touting his political benefits to White House officials, according to a source with direct knowledge.

    They’ve argued that Hardiman better matches the blue collar, outsider, western Pennsylvania coalition that helped elect Trump in 2016. (Trump also feels comfortable with Hardiman, who was one of his two finalists last year.)”

  68. Tina says:

    Nunes wants trump to declassify fully the cater page fisa warrant,

  69. mnw says:

    Tina

    By saying “assume it will be someone from the ‘final four’ this afternoon,” Trump seems to be including Hardiman, as I understand it.

  70. Tina says:

    Nick Short ??
    @PoliticalShort
    “Memos also show that one of the AP journalists gave the FBI an unusual detail about a storage unit in Alexandria, VA, that Manafort used to keep records of his business dealings. Both memos say the AP revealed a code number to access the unit..”

    Why did the AP have this number?

  71. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    July 8, 2018 at 7:22 pm
    Tina
    By saying “assume it will be someone from the ‘final four’ this afternoon,” Trump seems to be including Hardiman, as I understand it.

    – Yes. Hardiman has made the finals and it seems like there’s a good chance he might be the pick.

  72. Mr.Vito says:

    So many people with nice things to say about Hardiman…

    they should probably stop.

  73. Mr.Vito says:

    LEO: None of the people who are being talked about now in the public space in the media are people who have a clear position on Roe v. Wade. The most important thing here is a record showing fairness, someone who listens very carefully to arguments on both sides, someone who tries to keep an open mind.

    And prospective nominees like Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Barrett and Raymond Kethledge and Tom Hardiman are people who have not specifically said they oppose Roe v. Wade, and their writings and their work show that they are very fair. They look at arguments from both sides all the time and they analyze them very carefully, and when they take a position, they then say these are what the other people have said about this and here’s why I don’t agree with them.

    And that’s really at the end of the day what we want.

  74. Gpo says:

    No idea how deep the market is but Barrett trending as favorite here

    https://www.predictit.org/Market/3232/Who-will-be-Trump's-next-Supreme-Court-nominee

  75. Tina says:

    I am leaning to Kethledge

    I can flip again later.

  76. TrumpisPeteWilson says:

    So much talk on who will ultimately be a bobblehead on the losing side of the Supreme Court. When the dems retake congress this fall, no further nominees will even be put up for a vote and the next Dem President will get to put the majority on the court one way or the other (court-packing is on the table).

    When gerrymandering goes in 2020, the GOP can enjoy being in the wilderness for a generation and scream helplessly as the rest of the world moves on from ignorant, delusional imbeciles.

  77. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    July 8, 2018 at 7:32 pm
    I am leaning to Kethledge

    – I’ve come down on the side of Kavanaugh. His Yale education, his executive branch experience, and his time on the bench influenced me.

    I don’t think he’ll be picked even though I believe he’ll be right there with Thomas and Gorsuch.

  78. mnw says:

    Multiple sources report that McC told the WH that Kavanaugh & Barrett would be difficult to confirm. If that’s true, I don’t think the pick will be either of those two.

    Kethledge has taken a lot of hits from conservatives on immigration: from Coulter, Breitbart, & others who aren’t as well known. You may hate those people, &/or have contempt for them, but the alarm from that quarter likely concerns some in the WH, imo. Call it “the Bannon folks,” if u like.

    So… it seems to me like the circle of recent developments kind of suggests Hardiman, for better or worse: 4-3 = 1.

  79. Mr.Vito says:

    mnw, I have been assured that only Rick Santorum and Trump’s sister support Hardiman…

  80. mnw says:

    Vito

    But Hardiman finished second to Gorsuch last time. To me that suggests Trump may already have had his own opinion about H. Also, for some unknown reason, H seems to have come out of nowhere.

    Btw, H would not be my personal favorite– that would be Kavanaugh. But I continue to think that McC has something close to a super-vote. He’s the man who actually has to get this done.

  81. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    July 8, 2018 at 7:43 pm

    Kethledge has taken a lot of hits from conservatives on immigration: from Coulter, Breitbart, & others who aren’t as well known. You may hate those people, &/or have contempt for them, but the alarm from that quarter likely concerns some in the WH, imo. Call it “the Bannon folks,” if u like.

    – I’m not disagreeing with you, but those you mention have said the very same things about Hardiman on immigration and other issues.

  82. Gpo says:

    Trump is fully aware of the politics of the situation . Out of the 4 Hardiman excites the base the least going into midterms. (although he would fine ). I don’t think he picks Hardiman.

  83. mnw says:

    Tina

    I’m cool with Kethledge. I think the immigration thing is overblown, altho he brought the controversy into being himself with the Patel decision.

  84. Mr.Vito says:

    “But Hardiman finished second to Gorsuch last time.”

    Impossible. Rick Santorum is one crafty bastard.

    What does Lord Ashcroft say?

  85. mnw says:

    Gpo 85

    You’re probably right about H not exciting the base very much.

  86. Gpo says:

    Barrett keeps ticking up on predict it . True or not there is probably some story floating around right now – these mkts move quite often on rumors, and none of the rumors I see anywhere have Barrett in the lead.

    By the way what does anyone make about Hatch op ed referring to the nominee as she and her ? I know it was discussed briefly but seems odd to me if she is not in fact the nominee

  87. Tina says:

    I can live with him over Kavanaugh.

    I am not buying his ruling on obumblercare.

  88. Todd McCain says:

    Multiple anonymous sources are Twitter are confirming that Trump has made his decision and that it is Barrett.

    Trump wants a fight.

    Yeah!

  89. phoenixrisen says:

    Saw a tweet expressing surprise that the pick hasn’t leaked yet.

    58 Tina, from your lips to God’s ears regarding your sources

  90. phoenixrisen says:

    Todd, any links?

  91. Mr.Vito says:

    “Multiple anonymous sources are Twitter …”

    How are you anonymous on Twitter?

  92. Tina says:

    Wh is pretty tight lipped.

    Nobody knew the sos was in nk, until well after.

  93. Todd McCain says:

    Take with grain of salt, but that’s what I saw from quite a few folks I follow.

  94. Tina says:

    Cia director at the time*

  95. Tina says:

    My contact continues to indicate that it is down to 2.

    Barrett or Kethledge.

  96. phoenixrisen says:

    95 – Remarkable considering it was a leakfest when Trump got into office

  97. Gpo says:

    Well that explains the movement on predictit

  98. Tina says:

    Mnw, the nro article clarified why Kethledge ruled.

    I agree with you on Patel.

    Axioms has him as one the most conservative in the running.

    I was surprised that sotohatewhiteymor and the aclu troll compete for the most liberal.

  99. mnw says:

    Gpo

    RE: Hatch & the “she” “her” letter:

    I’ve posted this before, but iy keeps coming up!

    Lawyers rotate the gender pronouns routinely, all the time now, to avoid any charge of unwitting male chauvinism. Just try to imagine how it would go over in a law school today if you constantly referred to any gender-unknown prominent lawyer or judge as “he,” & never as “she.” They’d make your life a living hell.

  100. Robbie says:

    I won’t lie. It scares me Laura Ingraham and Ann Coulter share my view that Kavanaugh would be a great choice.

    Laura Ingraham
    @IngrahamAngle

    The fact that Kavanaugh—like so many conservatives his age—worked for Bush 43 is a nonsensical reason to oppose him for SCOTUS. 12 yrs of STELLAR opinions.

  101. Gpo says:

    MNW
    I could see some millennial doing that , but An eighty + year old senator from Utah ? I am skeptical

  102. Robbie says:

    Kethledge is being unfairly criticized by some immigration hardliners like Micky Kaus.

    If he’s the choice, he would would fit in well with Gorsuch and Thomas just as Kavanaugh would.

  103. Robbie says:

    I also believe Amy Barrett would be a great nominee, but there has to be a recognition her nomination presents issues over her past abortion comments that might lead Collins and/or Murkowski to bolt.

  104. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    July 8, 2018 at 7:56 pm
    “But Hardiman finished second to Gorsuch last time.”

    Impossible. Rick Santorum is one crafty bastard.

    What does Lord Ashcroft say?

    – Yawn.

  105. mnw says:

    Gpo

    It’s BECAUSE Hatch is 80+ that he tried to stay pc!

    On another subject:

    Gang, if you haven’t seen the “election night montage” Trump posted? It’s orgasmic. No, it’s multiorgasmic.

    Whoever produced it used “In the Hall of the Mountain King” as the background music.

  106. Mr.Vito says:

    Lord Ashcroft says “Yawn”.

    Everyone take note.

    This could change everything.

  107. BayernFan says:

    Hardiman is on the Fed Society list, right?

  108. mnw says:

    Right. He won the silver last time, as I recall. Might be misremembering that.

  109. Robbie says:

    BayernFan says:
    July 8, 2018 at 9:19 pm
    Hardiman is on the Fed Society list, right?

    – He was not on the original list complied by Leonard Leo in 2016. He was added at the request of Santorum so Santorum would endorse Trump in 2016.

    Were it not for Santorum, there’s little chance any other Republican president would have considered him.

  110. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    July 8, 2018 at 9:35 pm
    Right. He won the silver last time, as I recall. Might be misremembering that.

    – Yes, Hardiman finished second to Gorsuch and there was a good bit of push back from conservatives in late January 2017 when his name was floated.

  111. Robbie says:

    It’s a no-brainer if, IF, these are the final two.

    Peter Alexander
    @PeterAlexander

    On eve of Supreme Court pick, Trump’s greatest focus of attention is on Kavanaugh & Hardiman, but hasn’t excluded any of top 4 that also includes Barrett and Kethledge, a source with first-hand knowledge of the process tells me.

  112. Robbie says:

    If the best that can be said about Hardiman is “serviceable”, then what a missed opportunity.

    Sean T at RCP
    ?@SeanTrende

    If Trump nominates Hardiman . . . wow. I actually think he will be a perfectly serviceable justice for conservatives, but it will be a pretty substantial missed bullet for Ds given the circumstances.

  113. mnw says:

    Vito, Phil, DW, BF, Tina, SDC and all:

    The Trump tweet “election night montage” has close to 2.5 million views so far. If you check it out, you’ll be glad you did.

    My favorite part, among MANY, is the bit where Ann Coulter is on The View, & she is asked, “Who will be the next President, Ann?” “Donald Trump,” Ann says, matter of factly. The audience erupts in a gale of laughter, while the other panelists snicker and gape at her with open-mouthed astonishmment.

    That thing is great. No wonder Trump re-tweeted it. “Bolero” would’ve worked as background music also… something that builds to a crashing crescendo. I remember when Hannity used “Mountain King” (Grieg) for HIS own election night montage too. The new one Trump tweeted is even better, imo.

  114. Mr.Vito says:

    Hardiman has been moderating at the Federalist Society Conventions since at least 2013.

  115. Mr.Vito says:

    “As a district judge, I view my role quite differently than the role of legislators,” Hardiman said at a confirmation hearing for his nomination to the 3rd Circuit. “In the legislative branch, you make the laws…and our role as judges is to interpret the law, not to inject our own policy preferences. So our task is to give an honest construction to what laws are passed by the Legislature.”

    “I think any good judge recognizes his or her place in our constitutional government, and that place is not to upset the will of the people as expressed through their elected representatives.”

    http://www.newsweek.com/profile-thomas-hardiman-trump-possible-scotus-nominee-539459

    January 2016

    Tom Fitton, president of the conservative group Judicial Watch, tells Newsweek that Hardiman “seems to be a bright, capable, conservative jurist” with a “compelling backstory” and a “great reputation.”

  116. Mr.Vito says:

    Santorum is a voodoo master.

    Ed Whelan: “I have very high regard for Hardiman, whose record I reviewed carefully when he was a candidate for the Scalia vacancy”

  117. Mr.Vito says:

    uh oh…

    Trump’s sister also recommended Samuel Alito.

    “Alito, she told senators, “set a standard of excellence that was contagious, his commitment to doing the right thing, never playing fast and loose with the record, never taking a short cut, his emphasis on first-rate work, his fundamental decency.”

    “You have heard the most glowing things said about Sam as a colleague on our court. I embrace every glowing statement,” she testified. “Let me just conclude with this … He is a man with impeccable legal credentials. He is a fair-minded man, a modest man, a humble man, and he reveres the rule of law.”

    http://www.insidesources.com/trump-sister-testified-for-alito-before-senate-judiciary-committee/

  118. phoenixrisen says:

    Vito, I believe Alito has turned out quite well. Still, Barrett is a political grand slam for the GOP

  119. Robbie says:

    Never speak badly of someone Mr. Trump may like or Mr. Vito will have things to say.

    As for Trump’s sister, she spoke in favor of Alito’s confirmation at his hearing. She did not advocate that he be nominated. A distinction without a difference? Maybe. Regardless, every other person in the list of judges is much better than Hardiman. There are also those not on the list who are better than Hardiman like Miguel Estrada and Paul Clement.

  120. Robbie says:

    phoenixrisen says:
    July 8, 2018 at 10:50 pm
    Vito, I believe Alito has turned out quite well. Still, Barrett is a political grand slam for the GOP

    – Barrett’s nomination would like a lot different if Republicans had 54 or 55 Senators. Right now, they have 50 due to McCain’s absence.

  121. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    July 8, 2018 at 10:20 pm
    Hardiman has been moderating at the Federalist Society Conventions since at least 2013.

    – So are you implying membership in the Federalist Society guarantees a certain viewpoint? If so, I think you’re wrong. Just like political parties, there are all sorts of viewpoints in the Federalist Society. Just as there are conservatives and moderates in the Republican Party, there are conservatives and moderates in te Federalist Society.

  122. Tina says:

    OH please, Jabot. She was not in a position to advocate one way or another, but she did testify in support of alito.

    Her testimony is here

    https://www.c-span.org/video/?c4581019/maryanne-trump-barry-support-samuel-alito-supreme-court-justice

  123. Bitterlaw says:

    Sadly, Mark Levin is now broadcast in Philadelphia. I will be devastated if he likes Barrett. I don’t know if I could be happy with a Deadender endorsement

  124. Tina says:

    If Barrett is the nominee, Frankenstein and the ds will attack her and her faith.

    This battle would be epic.

    The ds are losing.

    Muh Russian is not working

    Fuhrer Mulehead is unpopular.

    Muh cages failed

    And the economy is roaring.

    The Ds are bleeding yute, was, Hispanics, whites, etc.

  125. Tina says:

    Hardiman sounds fine too.

    I

  126. Mr.Vito says:

    “Never speak badly of someone Mr. Trump may like or Mr. Vito will have things to say.”

    Actually that was all other people having things to say… nice things.

    Perhaps you want your analysis to be accepted without question… as we’ve seen numerous times, that is a dubious proposition.

  127. Tina says:

    Mnw, I posted it in #61.

    The libs are upset that henretweeted a video of Cent cussing.

  128. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    July 8, 2018 at 10:56 pm
    OH please, Jabot. She was not in a position to advocate one way or another, but she did testify in support of alito.

    – No, but she’s in a position now and a pro-abortion liberal is pushing her brother for one person in particular.

    If a pro-abortion liberal were pushing a President Jeb or a President Rubio to nominate person X, you would be shrieking.

  129. Mr.Vito says:

    “So are you implying membership in the Federalist Society guarantees a certain viewpoint?”

    No, I’m saying he has been moderating at the Federalist Society since at least 2013. Seems interesting.

    The words of Fitton, Leo, Whelan, and Hardiman himself express the ‘certain viewpoint.’

  130. Tina says:

    The Federalist Society is also advocating for him.

    I would only shriek at Harriet Meyers or when Mute 43 took the stealth Roberts.

    Alito was fine, but we could have done a lot better than Roberts.

  131. Chicon says:

    Ed Whelan’s approval is very reassuring, imo.

  132. mnw says:

    Tina 61

    Thanks. I didn’t realize what that was that you linked to.

  133. DW says:

    New AZ Poll from Gravis

    Sinema 43
    McSally 39

  134. Mr.Vito says:

    I don’t think Trump will pick Hardiman… he isn’t my first choice.

    Graham says all four are homeruns. Don’t overthink it.

  135. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Interesting Trump tweet:

    @realDonaldTrump
    Iranian Harassment of U.S. Warships:
    2015: 22
    2016: 36
    2017: 14
    2018: 0

    Remember the Roman saying: “Let them hate me so long as they fear me.”

  136. mnw says:

    I’ve observed Predictit through several special elections. They seem to me to have no predictive value.

  137. Tina says:

    If Mcsally can unite all Rs, we should be fine,

    Schweikart has plotted the net voter registration changes, and we are doing well.

    I hope Flakey does not endorse Sinema because Rinos gotta Rino.

  138. mnw says:

    DW

    Isn’t that better than one or two earlier AZ polls?

  139. Tina says:

    My 143 applies to the net voter reg. Changes in Arizona.

  140. Mr.Vito says:

    “I hope Flakey does not endorse Sinema because Rinos gotta Rino.”

    Considering his approval rating, maybe it would be a good thing.

  141. DW says:

    142 – this is true…but they always come around and get it right once the winner is projected.

  142. DW says:

    144 – yes. race seems to be tightening.

  143. Tina says:

    Yes, I believe that McSally was down close to high single, low double digits.

  144. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    139. In the general election, believe McSally will prevail. See Trump campaigning for her being a factor. Some Republicans who support other candidates are not going to say they will support McSally until after the primary.

  145. Mr.Vito says:

    Sinema Rolls

    Sinema Buns

    Sinema

    TOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAAAAAAAASSSSSSSSSSSTTTTTTTTTTTTT!

    GGGGGGGRRRRRRRRRRRRRAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHH!

  146. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    My prediction is that Flake will endorse McSally after the primary. They have a good relationship.
    See Romney going into Arizona and rallying the Mormon vote for her also.

  147. Tina says:

    The Iranian t 4 base in Syria was hit hard hours ago.

    In addition, over 300 Houthis ere taken out in Yemen.
    They are allied with the Iranians. The battles there are coming to an end.

  148. mnw says:

    Tina 154

    Khamenei: “Stop! You’re giving me the blues!”

  149. Cash Cow TM says:

    “Is anyone checking the flight schedule of the finalists? I am sure there has to be someone trying to see which of these four is making any unusual movements for a late Sunday afternoon.”

    I thought one of the finalists was from Washington DC–so he would not be booking a flight to meet with Trump. He’d drive.

  150. Tgca says:

    The left is losing it. Barbara Lee for Dem leader? Speaker of the House? Really?

    https://www.thenation.com/article/barbara-lee-make-excellent-leader-house-democrats/

  151. mnw says:

    Cow

    I think they have ways of defeating that old journo trick these days.

  152. Mr.Vito says:

    157: ““I think my leadership around issues [of] poverty, income inequality, racial justice really help broaden the message,” she says…”

    Interesting definition of “broaden”

  153. Tina says:

    Jack Posobiec??
    @JackPosobiec
    ·
    5h
    I’m told President Trump was recently asked if he thought Amy Barrett had enough experience as a judge in only 7 months to serve on the Supreme Court and he replied “That’s seven months more than Elena Kagan had”

  154. CG says:

    Justice Jeannine Pirro

    So obvious..

  155. DW says:

    Shock headline at DRUDGE:

    The Slugger on Track for Worst Single Season in Baseball History…

    …shocking because he doesn’t play for the Mets.

  156. DW says:

    Funny video…enlightened college students led to believe Trump made his SCOTUS pick are interviewed and spew all sorts of lies about how evil the candidate is…

    https://www.campusreform.org/?ID=11100

  157. Michael says:

    Emerson Polling
    National

    Generic Ballot D+7 49-42

    Trump JA: 43/50 (up from 39/53 in Jan.)

    https://www.emerson.edu/communication-studies/emerson-college-polling-society

  158. Michael says:

    With Emerson the GCB and Trump’s approvals are aligning. Nearly identical to his approval rating.

  159. Bitterlaw says:

    Here is a topic for too early speculation. Are there any states that Trump can win in 2020 that he did not win in 2016? At this point, I do not think Trump will win PA again. The Dem nominee is not going to run Hillary’s Coronation Campaign again.

  160. Bitterlaw says:

    Good to see you, Michael. Hope you and your boyfriend or girlfriend (I can’t keep track) are well.

  161. BayernFan says:

    Maybe Minnesota and New Hampshire. Maine.

  162. NYCmike says:

    “Justice Jeannine Pirro

    So obvious..”

    -It would be funny……if it wasn’t so predictable……and lame.

  163. NYCmike says:

    “At this point, I do not think Trump will win PA again.”

    -Bitterlaw,

    Interesting question, but I believe it is too soon to answer.

    If Trump is running while the economy is still growing, and unemployment is still low, and opportunities are available for young voters, I think he can win all of those “Blue Wall” states again, along with a chance at Minnesota, New Hampshire, Colorado.

  164. NYCmike says:

    …stealing ideas from Bayern….

  165. DW says:

    Here are some of the head-fakes and rumors circulating this morning, the day of Trump’s pick:

    “Judge Kavanaugh and his family left their house yesterday and have not been back and street in front of their house has media…”

    “I’m at Reagan airport…there’s a taxi driver holding a sign that says “Justice Kethledge”. Could be important.”

    “WOAH UPLOADED JUST [Justice Hardiman] NOW AT AN ALTOONA, PA GAS STATION ON HIS WAY TO DC”

    –that last one was found to be a hoax…video from 2017.

    “Trump legal adviser talks up Kavanaugh and Barrett for Supreme Court”

  166. Chicon says:

    2020 – Trump wins every state except CA and NY. Book it, Danno. 🙂

  167. GPO says:

    Bitterlaw says:

    July 9, 2018 at 9:17 am

    Here is a topic for too early speculation. Are there any states that Trump can win in 2020 that he did not win in 2016? At this point, I do not think Trump will win PA again. The Dem nominee is not going to run Hillary’s Coronation Campaign again.

    Minnesota- lost it by a point or so- and a lot white blue collar voters still voted Hillary. His Rally in Duluth was certainly aimed at 2020

  168. DW says:

    More rumors:

    “Andrew Napolitano on fox just now says Trumps pick is either Hardiman or Kethledge he also said there’s no way the President should pick Barrett or Kavanaugh”

    “SOURCE: President Trump has made his decision to nominate Amy Coney Barrett as the next Supreme Court”

    “Trump isn’t deciding until noon, according to source in Barrett camp.”

    “I’m at Andrews Air Force base. …there’s a taxi driver holding a sign that says “Justice Cruz”. could be important”

    –that last one obviously a joke.

  169. NYCmike says:

    More important question for Robbie:

    What names would we be deliberating if Hillary had been elected, as opposed to the “liberal Democrat” we elected?

  170. Todd McCain says:

    I’m all for Barrett but beyond any question the hardest to confirm. I don’t buy the idea that she puts pressure on red state Dems say for Donnelly — they will all just wait until Murk and Collins decide and then go from there.

  171. DW says:

    Here is news that will cheer your heart unless you are messy or one of the other trolls:

    President Hillary Clinton is NOT making a SCOTUS pick today!

  172. mnw says:

    47/52

    Fwiw, Emerson lost all credibility, at least for me, in the AL SEN election. Said Emerson the day before the GE, “Doug Jones (D) has no realistic path to victory.”

  173. mnw says:

    The next DEM nominee is going to make HRC look like the good old days.

    However, even Kamala or Booker or Fauxcahontas should be expected to carry PA, per BL.

  174. Wobbles says:

    Lord Arsehat says Trump will nominate his sister after she said “if you could become a conservative why not me”?

    Killer argument.

  175. jason says:

    To answer Bitter’s question, I think there are states that Trump could carry that he did not win in 2016. Nevada, New Hampshire, Colorado come to mind. Minnesota.

    Way too early to say he can’t win PA in 2016.

  176. jason says:

    Said Emerson the day before the GE, “Doug Jones (D) has no realistic path to victory.”

    They claim they did not err because they didn’t say he had no unrealistic paths to victory.

  177. Chicon says:

    Not surprising nobody has mentioned VA yet…

  178. jason says:

    according to source in Barrett camp.”

    Each of the candidates now has “sources” and “camps”.

  179. DW says:

    UT_02

    Salt Lake Tribune

    Stewart (R-Inc) 48
    Ghorbani (D) 24

    only 147 RVs in sample.

  180. DW says:

    and jason it also appears all of them have taxis waiting at DC area airports with a driver holding a name sign.

  181. jason says:

    PA will be difficult for Rs to carry, no doubt.

    But there are so many factors involved, chiefly what will be Trump’s popularity in 2020 and who will be the D’s nominee, that stating outright he will probably lose is premature.

    I can easily see a Trump with 50% popularity beating a Kamala Harris in PA.

  182. NYCmike says:

    I can’t wait for the days when Supreme Court nominees will hire Fusion GPS to get dirt on the other nominees, with Putin’s help, of course.

  183. Chicon says:

    What time is the announcement?

  184. DW says:

    Trump did say, ‘let’s say its the four people’ in response to how long the list is. But which four? Barrett, Kavanaugh, Hardiman and Kethledge?

    Or is Trump’s list of four different?

  185. NYCmike says:

    “and jason it also appears all of them have taxis waiting at DC area airports with a driver holding a name sign.”

    Supreme Court Justice Springsteen?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zfTDEkjPGzQ

  186. NYCmike says:

    “What time is the announcement?”

    -Prime Time.

    Deion Sanders will host.

  187. SoHope says:

    I wonder if Trump could have people forget his personal negatives and only look at his policy positives. look at the camera after a long campaign and say:

    I get it I’m kind of an a$$hole. I’m pretty uncouth and I often speak my mind without hesitation or spin. But my policies work. Of that there is no doubt. about that.

  188. jason says:

    If Trump is running while the economy is still growing,”

    That’s a big if. It’s very likely there will be a slowdown before then, because these things are cyclical and we have been in an expansion mode for a long period. This will not be Trump’s fault, although trade wars may worsen the numbers, but of course the Dems will blame him.

    I see this, and of course Mueller’s now clearly bogus investigation oj “collusio” and “obstruction”, as his biggest challenges.

  189. SoHope says:

    I mean I despise Trump as a human being. his policies are the only things that have me willing to vote for him. Maybe Independence and Republicans that need to hold their nose need to hear that kind of thing to remind them that it has been a decent 4 years and that the policies have actually worked

  190. NYCmike says:

    SoHope,

    How is your business doing?

  191. jason says:

    Bitter has not posted in the last hour or so.

    This could be significant, because I think he is on Trump’s 200k list.

  192. NYCmike says:

    CC

  193. jason says:

    SoHope, did you vote for Trump?

    I kinda remember you on the Daffy Duck bandwagon.

  194. Mr.Vito says:

    Ingraham says the four selections are fantastic, and the GOP senators should all vote for any of them.

  195. SoHope says:

    Yeah if the economy Bubble Burst before election day I don’t think he has a chance so here’s hoping that it holds out

  196. NYCmike says:

    “Ingraham says”

    -Robbie just vomited!

  197. SoHope says:

    I wrote in Rubio. Didn’t think he had a chance and Hell so didn’t mind throwing away my vote was shocked to see him win. Ate my crowwith Trumpster friends. Strongly considering voting for him this time though. Almost a hundred percent sure

  198. SoHope says:

    Business has been crazy good… really cutting into my goofing off time

  199. jason says:

    Right, so although Trump might lose some of his voters the second time away, he could gain some from people like you and me who would consider voting for him this time around.

    Would be interesting to know what those numbers could be on both sides.

  200. NYCmike says:

    “I kinda remember you on the Daffy Duck bandwagon.”

    -That was the one with the ostrich driving?

  201. SoHope says:

    It really depends on who the Dems nominate and how far down the deep end they go

  202. jason says:

    Does Ingraham actually know who the “4 selections” are?

  203. NYCmike says:

    “Business has been crazy good… really cutting into my goofing off time”

    -Great to hear that!

  204. jason says:

    -That was the one with the ostrich driving?”

    No, the ostrich named Sargent Schultz was driving the “I see nothing, I know nothing, I hear nothing” bus that you were on.

  205. NYCmike says:

    I regard to 2020, I have been pleasantly surprised by the absence of vitriol from my Democratic friends…….they seem to be too busy…….WORKING!

  206. DW says:

    199-The trip to Rome was faked. Bitterlaw was actually at the White House with Trump making his case. The fact that he hasn’t posted in the last hour says it all. In fact, one source says he saw just 20 minutes ago a taxi driver standing by the baggage claim at Dulles holding a sign that said ‘Bitterlaw’

  207. NYCmike says:

    Ma, caught a big one……by the tail!

  208. NYCmike says:

    Bitterlaw would NOT fly….there is a greater chance of death driving.

  209. jason says:

    Ma, caught a big one……by the tail!”

    That bait won’t hold a candle to the Daffy Duck bait.

  210. jason says:

    The source is now correcting the report. The Yemeni taxi driver was actually holding up a sign that read
    “Beeterlah”

  211. Mr.Vito says:

    Does he have both shoes on this time?

  212. jason says:

    Bitterlaw would NOT fly….there is a greater chance of death driving.”

    Heh….. not bad.

  213. jason says:

    AP now reporting that that sources from the Bitterlaw camp are concerned about leaks from the comment section at HHR.

  214. GPO says:

    Kavanaugh has moved up bigly on predictit

    Kavanaugh 53
    Barrett 28
    Hardiman 27

  215. Mr.Vito says:

    223

    He also says that Judge narrowly beat out this Justice…

    https://68.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m1ejlgLuq91qay78vo1_500.jpg

  216. DW says:

    If Trump manages to pick a strong conservative today, meaning two in a row, then this picture is going to be in the minds of Dems, tormenting them ever day Trump is in office…

    http://s.newsweek.com/sites/www.newsweek.com/files/styles/lg/public/2015/02/13/rbglilsleepy.jpg

  217. Mr.Vito says:

    “We don’t want any kind of penis in our bedroom,” an activist told media. “I’m really sad I have to reassert this again.”

    https://www.dailywire.com/news/32756/lesbian-activists-stall-london-pride-parade-emily-zanotti

  218. DW says:

    Huge shift in betting market

    https://www.predictit.org/Market/3232/Who-will-be-Trump's-next-Supreme-Court-nominee

    Kavanaugh to 50, Hardiman passes Barrett

  219. jason says:

    AP now confirms that a comprehensive check with all the airlines shows nobody named Bitterlaw was on a flight to Rome in the last 3 months.

  220. Mr.Vito says:

    225 Maybe she is just praying…

    to…

    what is the goddess of abortion?

  221. jason says:

    I see Garland is in fifth on Predictit, you could make a killing.

    Maybe Amoral Scumbag can sell his collection of Robert Mueller dolls and posters and invest in Garland.

  222. Nostradamus says:

    I know who it is.

  223. mnw says:

    1) When we pick teams for the knife fight under the viaduct, I get to pick first, & I pick Giuliani.

    2) Investors Business Daily (IBD) is the most indispensable publication in the U.S.

  224. BayernFan says:

    Apparently Hillary is going to run again in 2020.

  225. Bitterlaw says:

    I can neither confirm nor deny that I am a candidate for SCOTUS.

    Damn, Wizard. Hurry up on deleting all my Kate Upton posts. They need to be gone by 9:00 p.m.

  226. jason says:

    Whoops. Larsen just passed Garland.

  227. mnw says:

    The only problems with confirming Kavanaugh is that he has left a yuuge paper trail, & he once worked for Kenneth Starr.

    His confirmation would take longer than the others’ would. The DEMs will ask for every piece of paper that ever crossed his desk.

    Otoh, he is the “safest” pick for conservatives, i.e. the least likely to Souterize.

  228. jason says:

    Bitter is one cagey bastard.

  229. Phil says:

    233
    She deserves it. It is her turn.

  230. mnw says:

    sb “problems…are”

  231. DW says:

    Hillary would not escape the Dem primary. She had to cheat just to get the nomination in 2016.

  232. Mr.Vito says:

    “Apparently Hillary is going to run again in 2020.”

    You mean she gave up on being appointed after Trump and Pence are impeached and Ryan resigns?

  233. Todd McCain says:

    Kavanaugh would make a great justice. He hope it turns out to be him; aside from being a Philly judge I cant say I know much about Hardiman.

  234. jason says:

    Napolitano and Pirro are now tied on Predictit.

    Could be significant.

  235. Mr.Vito says:

    “Hillary would not escape the Dem primary.”

    Without the party cheating, they could fracture over a number of candidates allowing Hillary’s core supporters to pull her through.

  236. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag doesn’t like Hardiman.

    So we KNOW that would a great pick.

  237. Mr.Vito says:

    “Without the party cheating, they could fracture over a number of candidates allowing Hillary’s core supporters to pull her through.”

    And why not? After all, the Russians and the FBI stole the election from her…

  238. Phil says:

    Kamala would crush Hillary in the primaries, but then she will crush everyone. The woman is ruthless and driven. She will make America California, and you will all learn to like it.

  239. Robbie says:

    I’ll repeat the point I made last evening. The last thing conservatives who care about the courts should want is a pro-abortion liberal judge advocating for a certain choice.

    “Mr. Trump appeared to be going back and forth between Judge Kavanaugh, the favorite of the White House counsel, Donald F. McGahn II, and Judge Hardiman, whom the president’s sister, Maryanne Trump Barry, a former colleague of Judge Hardiman’s, has pressed him to choose.”

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/09/us/politics/trump-supreme-court-nomination.html

  240. Phil says:

    Souter says Hardiman is an excellent choice.

    Good enough for me.

  241. Robbie says:

    Politico, NTY, and NBC report the list of options has been narrowed to just Kavanaugh and Hardiman.

    If true, I don’t think there’s any doubt who the better option is and that’s Kavanaugh.

    Hardiman would be an own goal who does little to excite any element of the conservative base or the Republican Party.

    This is one of the rare occasions where I find myself in agreement with Ann Coulter and Laura Ingraham, both who know the courts well. Kavanaugh would be a stellar choice. Their word by the way.

  242. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    July 8, 2018 at 11:05 pm
    The Federalist Society is also advocating for him.
    I would only shriek at Harriet Meyers or when Mute 43 took the stealth Roberts.
    Alito was fine, but we could have done a lot better than Roberts.

    – This is true. In 2005, my top three picks were Michael Luttig, Sam Alito, and Edith Jones. That said, I think Roberts gets far too much flack. Outside of the Obamacare ruling, his record has been very good.

  243. Phil says:

    Republican appointees Souter and Stephens endorse Hardiman – besides, he drove a cab.

  244. Robbie says:

    Bitterlaw says:
    July 9, 2018 at 9:17 am
    Here is a topic for too early speculation. Are there any states that Trump can win in 2020 that he did not win in 2016? At this point, I do not think Trump will win PA again. The Dem nominee is not going to run Hillary’s Coronation Campaign again.

    – Minnesota, but that’s about it.

  245. Chicon says:

    Ed Whelan has no issue with Hardiman.

  246. Phil says:

    outside of Obamacare ruling Roberts record has been very good.

    Yep

  247. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 9, 2018 at 9:53 am
    More important question for Robbie:
    What names would we be deliberating if Hillary had been elected, as opposed to the “liberal Democrat” we elected?

    – Important question for NYCmike. What names would we deliberating if your preferred Senate candidates had won primaries in 2014 and then lost general elections and given Schumer control?

  248. Mr.Vito says:

    Laura Ingraham
    ?Verified account @IngrahamAngle
    2h2 hours ago

    The @WSJ hitting Judge Tom Hardiman as a potential David Souter is absurd. He’s a rock-solid judicial conservative as his opinions demonstrate. Would be a terrific justice as would Kavanaugh & Barrett. #AbundanceofRiches

  249. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 9, 2018 at 10:41 am
    “Ingraham says”
    -Robbie just vomited!

    – Usually, but I do respect her views more when it comes to the courts. She was a Thomas clerk. She does know of what she speaks.

  250. Phil says:

    Gloria Alfred just scheduled a news conference for tomorrow at 10AM. Says she has a client who was harassed sexually by fill in the blank judge.

  251. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 11:33 am
    Amoral Scumbag doesn’t like Hardiman.
    So we KNOW that would a great pick.

    – If you had been paying attention (you rarely do), I opposed Hardiman on the very same grounds when he was the other finalist with Gorsuch in January 2017.

    He has Souter/Kennedy written all over him and I said the same thing then as well. He may not go full liberal, but I am quite confident he will become a swing justice in short order who sides with the liberals on certain hot button cases.

    If Santorum had not gotten Hardiman onto the list of judges, there’s ZERO chance his name would have been considered for even a second. Instead, Santorum is selling him as blue collar justice who’s married to a Democrat.

    Who the heck cares about the personal story of a justice? The question is qualifications and adherence to originalism and textualism.

  252. jason says:

    I think it will be Hardiman.

    Just a hunch.

  253. Phil says:

    Wait, Hardiman is married to a Democrat?

    Terrific.

  254. jason says:

    If you had been paying attention (you rarely do”

    This is not true, when I want to know what the moonbats and MSM leftists are thinking I always check your posts.

    Very unfair, you should apologize.

  255. Robbie says:

    Already, a good portion of the case Santorum and Barletta have made to Trump about Hardiman has proven incorrect. Casey will win in a romp whether he votes for or against a judge. There’s precisely zero chance nominating a judge from PA will somehow help Trump win over votes in PA in 2020.

    Jake Tapper
    @jaketapper

    PA Dem ?@SenBobCasey?, who is an opponent of abortion rights and up for re-election, announces he will oppose any SCOTUS nominee from the ?@Heritage? list: “I was *not* elected to genuflect to the hard Right, who are funded by corporate America.”

  256. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    July 9, 2018 at 11:50 am
    Wait, Hardiman is married to a Democrat?
    Terrific.

    – Married to a Democrat and pushed by Trump’s pro-abortion, liberal sister. What could go wrong.

    Santorum has also made the case being married to a Democrats will help Hardiman bring over the liberals to his view.

    I’m sorry, but is Santorum really this dumb or does he just think we’re that dumb.

  257. Phil says:

    Just because you are married to a Democrat doesn’t mean you can’t be objective. I mean, look at Chuck Todd, er, never mind.

  258. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    July 9, 2018 at 11:40 am
    Ed Whelan has no issue with Hardiman.

    – There were plenty of top conservative legal minds who also thought Harriet Miers would be fine in 2005. That doesn’t mean Whelan is wrong, but it doesn’t mean he’s right either. After all conservatives got onboard with Souter as soon as he was picked. Mistakes happen.

  259. DW says:

    Lets see…the slogan for the often running, always defeated Adlai Stevenson was ‘I’m madly for Adlai!”

    We need Walt, our resident word-smith, to come up for a slogan for Hillary Clinton:

    “I’m _____ for Hillary”

    or perhaps easier…

    “I’m _____ for Hill”

  260. Robbie says:

    If you chose Hardiman when the other three options are Kavananugh, Kethledge, and Barrett, you’ve chosen the lowest risk/lowest reward choice. That would be a first for Trump.

  261. DW says:

    People are mistaken if they think Dems will just back off and give the nominee a pass if Trump nominates the most moderate on the list. They will still paint the nominee as an extreme right-wing lunatic who pulled wings off flies as a kid. That way they can move the bar on public perception. So might as well go with the most conservative and let them howl because they will no matter who is picked.

  262. Robbie says:

    It’s this sentiment why I always thought the “nominate Barrett and Donnelly votes for her” view was misguided. Democrats fear their base just as Republicans do these days.

    Senator Bob Casey
    @SenBobCasey

    I will oppose the nomination the President will make tonight because it represents a corrupt bargain with the far Right, big corporations, and Washington special interests.

  263. Phil says:

    Hardiman highly recommended by Trump’s left wing sister.

    Good enough for me.

  264. Mr.Vito says:

    “Hardiman highly recommended by Trump’s left wing sister.”

    So was Alito after the Miers debacle.

  265. Phil says:

    271

    Bingo, DW

  266. Mr.Vito says:

    “So might as well go with the most conservative and let them howl …”

    As I said… just pick Mike Lee.

  267. DW says:

    If these final four could be compared to the VP picks Trump was considering two years ago…

    Kavanough would be Mike Pence
    Hardiman would be John Kasich
    kethledge would be Marco Rubio
    Barrett would be Nikki Haley

    Trump probably goes with Kavanough, just like he went with Pence because the base will rally, he’s the safest pick, and the others had worse possible down-sides.

  268. Phil says:

    Is Alito married to a Democrat?

  269. Mr.Vito says:

    “Is Alito married to a Democrat?”

    Oh noes!

  270. Chicon says:

    DW, one of the reasons they won’t back down on Hardiman is he’s not a moderate.

  271. DW says:

    Rumors continue to fly…

    “Barrett making her way into DC this evening? Chicago Executive to Washington Dulles, landing at 5pm…..”

  272. DW says:

    BREAKING!

    Trump will shock the nation and nominate Jeb Bush to the Supreme Court, and during his nomination speech Jeb will ask the crowd ‘Please clap!’

  273. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag comparing Casey’s situation with Donnelly’s.

    Beyond stupid.

  274. jason says:

    Jeb will be very grateful and describe’s Trump’s appointment as an “act of love”.

  275. BRENT says:

    im picking barrett,TRUMP will make democrats attack a highly qualified woman/catholic on tv

  276. Phil says:

    286

    yep – would be perfect

  277. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag’s MSM friends…

    “You know, for a Democrat, she [Sotomayor] has a pretty conservative record, a very much in the mainstream record….In fact, on a lot of criminal law issues, you could say that she’s more conservative than some members of the Supreme Court, including Justice Scalia, perhaps.”
    — NPR’s Nina Totenberg on PBS’s Charlie Rose, July 13, 2009.”

  278. DW says:

    Regarding Sotomayor, I saw one chart that plotted each member of the SCOTUS, along with the current candidates, and Sotomayor was the furthest left.

  279. Robbie says:

    David French
    @DavidAFrench

    Hardiman is preferable to Kennedy, but not by much.

  280. Phil says:

    Only the MSM would try to pass Sotomayor on as “conservative”.

    The left wing press is so predictable. Moronic, but predictable.

  281. jason says:

    Not a genius like Barack Obama..

    “I heard and saw a picture of a family studying at night, sweating over school work….I’m getting one of those thrills I get about America. I’m sorry, I’m shouldn’t say this. And I’m getting it again. When she [Judge Sotomayor] talked about sitting at that table and not being a genius like Barack Obama, not being one of these people that can walk into a college scholarship, who had to sweat for it.”
    — MSNBC’s Chris Matthews during live coverage following Sotomayor’s opening statement to the Senate Judiciary Committee, July 13, 2009.”

  282. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 12:19 pm
    Jeb will be very grateful and describe’s Trump’s appointment as an “act of love”.

    – And if Trump nominates Rubio, maybe Rubio will apologize to him for mocking Trump’s hand size or claiming Trump wet his pants in a debate.

  283. jason says:

    Actually, Hardiman does seem more reliably conservative than Kavanaugh, despite Amoral Scumbag’s whining about him.

  284. Robbie says:

    Other than Rick Santorum and Maryanne Trump, is there anyone making a persuasive, affirmative case that Hardiman has to be the choice? Not that he’d be an ok or fine choice, but that the choice has to be him.

    I see plenty of people suggesting Hardiman won’t be that bad, but few if any who are gung ho about him.

  285. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 12:40 pm
    Actually, Hardiman does seem more reliably conservative than Kavanaugh, despite Amoral Scumbag’s whining about him.

    – Based on what?

    As I said earlier, it’s rare I’m in agreement with Ann Coulter, but she does know the court and judges. She says Kavanaugh would be stellar and thinks Hardiman would be a mistake.

    Whether Hardiman is a mistake or not, I don’t see anyone describing him as stellar. In fact, I see plenty who view him as a “meh” choice.

    This may well be the last chance a Republican has to nominate someone to the Supreme Court for 10-15 years. To waste it on a bland candidate whose biggest advocate is a pro-abortion, liberal judge seems nuts to me.

  286. jason says:

    At least Rubio has acknowledged the election is over and Trump won.

    Jeb is still about about being trashed in 9 debates in a row and spending 200 million for 4 delegates and Amoral Scumbag is still about Jeb!.

  287. NYCmike says:

    Barrett.

    That’s the pick.

  288. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag attacks Hardiman for not being “conservative enough”, but endorsed Jeb Bush for President.

    You have to admire the chutzpah.

  289. mnw says:

    Prediction time:

    1 for Kavanaugh here.

    I’ll tabulate, but I won’t record the votes of trolls. It’s a form of feeding them

  290. Phil says:

    Barrett.

    Go for it. Make the left melt down even further. Pop some popcorn and enjoy the show.

  291. jason says:

    To waste it on a bland candidate’

    LOL

    We all know Amoral Scumbag would never support a “bland candidate”.

    I love it here.

  292. mnw says:

    Phil = Barrett (1 vote total)
    mnw = Kavanaugh (1)

  293. jason says:

    Hardiman, although I prefer Barrett.

  294. DW says:

    Phil = Barrett (1)
    mnw, DW = Kavanaugh (2)

    Although I wish he would swing for fences and pick Barrett.

  295. Phil says:

    Nobody is talking about her specifically but Sky Queen is one whose vote against any of the four will kill her in November.

    I will enjoy it.

  296. DW says:

    Phil = Barrett (1)
    mnw, DW = Kavanaugh (2)
    jason = Hardiman (2)

  297. mnw says:

    Thx for doing the update yourself, DW. Let’s do it that way. Whenever a poster votes, pls update the totals, as DW just did.

  298. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 12:46 pm
    Amoral Scumbag attacks Hardiman for not being “conservative enough”, but endorsed Jeb Bush for President.
    You have to admire the chutzpah.

    – Your stupidity is epic. There is a massive difference between what defines a conservative candidate for office and what defines a “conservative” judge.

    Also, choosing a candidate who can survive a primary and then build a winning coalition from all of the different ethnic groups is totally different from choosing someone who is an originalist and textualist and who can get the support of Republican Senators. The two aren’t even comparable.

  299. mnw says:

    jason

    Hardiman only has ONE vote, as far as I know. If there is another Hardiman vote, then pls include that other poster’s screen name next to yours.

  300. Todd McCain says:

    Kavanaugh

  301. Cash Cow TM says:

    DRUDGE

    Mutant cow with TWO HEADS stuns baffled farmers…

    (two heads are better than one…)

  302. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 12:48 pm
    To waste it on a bland candidate’
    LOL
    We all know Amoral Scumbag would never support a “bland candidate”.
    I love it here.

    – Again, there is no comparison between choosing a political candidate and choosing a judge for nomination to the Supreme Court. But thanks for playing.

  303. DW says:

    Phil = Barrett (1)
    mnw, DW, todd McCain = Kavanaugh (3)
    jason = Hardiman (1)

  304. Robbie says:

    Phil = Barrett (1)
    Robbie, mnw, DW = Kavanaugh (3)

  305. Robbie says:

    Erick Erickson
    @EWErickson

    I am so not excited about the idea of Hardiman as the nominee. Might as well ask Kennedy to stay.

  306. DW says:

    Phil = Barrett (1)
    mnw, DW, todd McCain, Robbie = Kavanaugh (4)
    jason = Hardiman (1)

  307. mnw says:

    Phil = Barrett (1 total)
    mnw, DW, Todd McCain = Kavanaugh (3)
    jason = Hardiman (1)

  308. Cash Cow TM says:

    “We need Walt, our resident word-smith, to come up for a slogan for Hillary Clinton:

    “I’m _____ for Hillary”

    or perhaps easier…

    “I’m _____ for Hill””
    _____________________________________
    Walt is indisposed.
    Had a bad bought of Montezuma’s revenge last night…says he never did anything to Montezuma to deserve this.

    So Cow will take a stab:

    –“I’ve had my fillery, I’m now for Hillary!”

    –“I’ve made my will, I’m for Hill.”

    –“I took my suicide pill, I’m for Hill.”

    –“I emptied the still, so now I am for Hill.”

    –“Only a swampmaster can handle the swamp, vote for Hillary.”

  309. Robbie says:

    I don’t subscribe to views of some of the people I’m copying, but I just want to show how low the enthusiasm for Hardiman is among conservatives of all stripes.

    Ben Shapiro
    @benshapiro

    Potential SCOTUS grades:
    Barrett: A+
    Kethledge: A-
    Kavanaugh: B
    Hardiman: D

  310. mnw says:

    If it’s Kavanaugh, I hope Trump got some private assurances from Rand Paul. One GOP “no” & all the red state Spotted Owls are off the hook: “I agree with my distinguished Republican colleague Sen. Paul that Judge Kavanaugh is simply too extreme…”

  311. NYCmike says:

    mnw,

    For the record, I picked first on #298.

    I am officially changing to Thapar now, as I think Trump is throwing head fakes.

    Barrett (1)= Phil
    Kavanaugh (4) = mnw, DW, todd McCain, Robbie
    Hardiman (1)= jason
    Thapar (1) = NYCmike

  312. mnw says:

    NYC

    Sorry. I missed your earlier post. Thx for updating the predictions, also.

  313. DW says:

    Taking a break from SCOTUS speculation…a new poll for CA_49, showing the GOP candidate close in a seat many expect to flip, CA_49

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ———————————————————————–
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ———————————————————————–
    TX_31 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    SC_01 R | 155 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    CA_22 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 — 49/41 (PPP)
    FL_06* R | 157 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    MO_02 R | 158 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    NC_08 R | 159 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_07 R | 160 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_10 R | 161 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_15 R | 162 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    PA_14* D | 163 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 —
    PA_16 R | 164 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 — 48/43 (PPP)
    CA_50 R | 165 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 —
    IN_02 R | 166 | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    AZ_06 R | 167 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    AZ_08 R | 168 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    FL_15* R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    MI_01 R | 170 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    NC_02 R | 171 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    WI_06 R | 172 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    FL_25 R | 173 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    CA_04 R | 174 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    OH_14 R | 175 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    MI_07 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    MI_06 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | 4 —
    GA_07 R | 178 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    TX_21* R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_16 R | 180 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 4 — 49/37 (PPP)
    FL_18 R | 181 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    IL_13 R | 182 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 45/42 (PPP)
    NY_24 R | 183 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    IL_14 R | 184 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 45/41 (PPP)
    NJ_03 R | 185 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | 3.6 — 48/44 (D-Internal)
    AR_02 R | 186 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.6 — 47/42 (PPP)
    PA_10 R | 187 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    CA_21 R | 188 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 3.2 —
    VA_05 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | 3.2 —
    NY_01 R | 190 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 3.2 —
    MT_01 R | 191 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 2.8 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    NC_13 R | 192 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 — 43/40 (PPP)
    WA_05 R | 193 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 — 48/45 (PPP)
    GA_06* R | 194 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    OH_01 R | 195 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.8 — 43/42 (PPP)
    WV_03* R | 196 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 2.4 — 41/43 (Monmouth)
    IA_03 R | 197 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.4 — 44/43 (PPP)
    NY_11 R | 198 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.4 —
    VA_02 R | 199 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 48/42 (PPP)
    NM_02* R | 200 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 49/35 (Carroll Strategies)
    ME_02 R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 45/35
    MI_08 R | 202 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | 2 — 46/41 (PPP)
    TX_32 R | 203 | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 —
    KY_06 R | 204 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 —
    UT_04 R | 205 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 — 47/43 | 45/39 (Salt Lake Trib.)
    KS_03 R | 206 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 —
    OH_12* R | 207 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 46/35 (JMC Analytics)
    NC_09* R | 208 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | 1.4 — 42/37 (PPP)
    NE_02 R | 209 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.4 —
    CA_45 R | 210 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 — 43/46 (PPP)
    VA_07 R | 211 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.2 —
    KS_02* R | 212 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 —
    WI_01* R | 213 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 —
    IL_06 R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1 —
    TX_07 R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1 — 47/45 (D-Int.) | 37/31 incum. fav. (GSG-D)
    NJ_07 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 41/42 (PPP) | 45/47 (GQR-D)
    PA_01 R | 217 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 49/42
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    IL_12 R | 218 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 44/39 (PPP)
    TX_23 R | 217 | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 44/43 (PPP)
    MN_03 R | 216 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 43/46 (PPP)
    CA_10 R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 48/37 (ALG-D)
    CA_25 R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 49/42 (Srategies 360-D)
    CA_48 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 48/44 (D-Internal)
    CO_06 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 —
    NY_19 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 41/43 (PPP)
    NY_22 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 40/47 (Zogby)
    FL_26 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 42/27 incumbent favorability (GSG-D)
    IA_01 R | 208 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/43 (D Internal)
    PA_17 R | 207 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_01* D | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_02 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MN_08* D | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    WA_08* R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/45
    CA_39* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/38 (Remington-R) | 45/43 (D Internal)
    MI_11* R | 201 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.4 — 42/45 (PPP)
    VA_10 R | 200 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | -0.8 — 39/49 (Monmouth)
    NJ_11* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -1 — 42/40 (PPP) | 38/40 (Monmouth)
    PA_07* R | 198 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -1 —
    NH_01* D | 197 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.4 —
    NV_03* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.4 —
    CA_49* R | 195 | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.6 — 41/44 (Feldman)
    AZ_02* R | 194 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    FL_27* R | 193 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2 —
    AZ_01 D | 192 | Ln D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.2 —
    NJ_02* R | 191 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.6 — 39/44 (PPP)
    NV_04* D | 190 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.8 — 37/42 (D Internal)
    FL_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.2 —
    MN_07 D | 188 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.6 —
    PA_08 D | 187 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.6 —
    CA_07 D | 186 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -4 —
    NJ_05 D | 185 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -4 —
    PA_06* R | 184 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4 —
    AZ_09* D | 183 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.4 —
    PA_05* R | 182 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.4 —
    FL_13 D | 181 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 180 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    WI_03 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -5.2 —
    CA_24 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.2 —
    CT_05* D | 177 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.2 —
    NY_18 D | 176 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.2 —

    *indicates open seat

  314. phoenixrisen says:

    Barrett all the way

  315. jason says:

    Also, choosing a candidate who can survive a primary and then build a winning coalition from all of the different ethnic groups ”

    Yep, that sure sounds like Jeb!.

  316. NYCmike says:

    Also, if Trump picks Barrett I will forever revert to my post in #298.

  317. NYCmike says:

    Barrett (2)= Phil, phoenixrisen
    Kavanaugh (4) = mnw, DW, todd McCain, Robbie
    Hardiman (1)= jason
    Thapar (1) = NYCmike

  318. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag, who normally only quotes left wingers and sites here, now is big fan of Ben Shapiro and Erick Ericksson.

    You have to admire the chutzpah.

  319. jason says:

    Predictit has 50-33-21 for the odds on Kavanaugh, Hardiman and Barrett.

    What that means is we really don’t know.

  320. NYCmike says:

    On another note, many prayers for the remaining boys in those Thailand caves. So far, so good!

    GOD bless those seals/divers going back and forth to get them out!

    And many condolences to the family of the one diver who died trying to help.

  321. jason says:

    We all know Amoral Scumbag would never support a “bland candidate”.
    I love it here.

    – Again, there is no comparison between choosing a political candidate and choosing a judge for nomination to the Supreme Court.”

    Translation: a “bland” candidate is ok for the rough and tumble of Presidential campaigns, but you need a fire breather for a life time appointment as a judge.

    Who knew?

  322. jason says:

    Yeah, that operation in Thailand is a huge joint effort by the Thais, Brits, US Air Force, Australians, etc. who are all pitching in to help.

    8 kids rescued, 4 more and coach to go.

    Tragic one volunteer diver died on a mission to leave oxygen tanks along the route.

  323. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 1:29 pm
    Also, choosing a candidate who can survive a primary and then build a winning coalition from all of the different ethnic groups ”
    Yep, that sure sounds like Jeb!.

    – Sure sounds like Rubio too!

  324. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 1:31 pm
    Amoral Scumbag, who normally only quotes left wingers and sites here, now is big fan of Ben Shapiro and Erick Ericksson.
    You have to admire the chutzpah.

    – And predictably, Jason fraud ignored what I wrote preceding the Shaprio tweet.

    But here it is, “I don’t subscribe to views of some of the people I’m copying, but I just want to show how low the enthusiasm for Hardiman is among conservatives of all stripes.”

  325. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 1:36 pm
    We all know Amoral Scumbag would never support a “bland candidate”.
    I love it here.
    – Again, there is no comparison between choosing a political candidate and choosing a judge for nomination to the Supreme Court.”
    Translation: a “bland” candidate is ok for the rough and tumble of Presidential campaigns, but you need a fire breather for a life time appointment as a judge.
    Who knew?

    – If you don’t understand the difference between choosing a candidate who you believe can win a national election and nominating a judge for the Supreme Court when your own party has the votes on its own to approve the choice, then I can’t help you.

  326. jason says:

    I used to be spelunker in my youth, and took a lot of chances traversing underground streams and rappelling down underground cliffs. Some of the openings were so small we would have never gotten out if we were injured. In those days we had very rudimentary lighting and equipment and of course no communication equipment of any kind.

    I am lucky to be here so I can point out Amoral Scumbag’s idiocies.

  327. jason says:

    If you don’t understand the difference between choosing a candidate who you believe can win a national election and nominating a judge for the Supreme Court when your own party has the votes on its own to approve the choice, then I can’t help you.”

    Nice fake but that dog won’t hunt.

    You criticized an appointee for SCOTUS for being “bland” while endorsing the mother of all “bland” candidates for President.

    Asinine.

    GFY.

  328. jason says:

    – Sure sounds like Rubio too!”

    Actually, Rubio did have a better chance than Jeb of building a “coalition” of different ethnic groups.

    Oh, wait, now I remember, Jeb WAS Hispanic and even sold guaca bowls.

    My mistake.

  329. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 1:50 pm
    If you don’t understand the difference between choosing a candidate who you believe can win a national election and nominating a judge for the Supreme Court when your own party has the votes on its own to approve the choice, then I can’t help you.”
    Nice fake but that dog won’t hunt.
    You criticized an appointee for SCOTUS for being “bland” while endorsing the mother of all “bland” candidates for President.
    Asinine.
    GFY.

    – No matter how many times I tell Jason fraud choosing a candidate for elected office is different from choosing a judge for the Supreme Court, he still ignores it.

  330. Mr.Vito says:

    Robbie says:
    January 22, 2017 at 1:47 pm

    Hello everyone. It’s been a while since I last joined the discussion, but my favorite topic is heating up: the Supreme Court.

    Jan Crawford of CBS, a very solid SCOTUS reporter, reports Neil Gorsuch has emerged as the leading contender to replace Antonin Scalia. The other two top choices are William Pryor and Thomas Hardiman. Truth be told, these three match my top three choices.

    Any of the three names mentioned would be a homerun choice. Gorsuch, according to an analysis at SCOTUS Blog, is every bit the deserving successor to Scalia and, in one area, probably more conservative. That would be the “Chevron exception”.

  331. jason says:

    But here it is, “I don’t subscribe to views of some of the people I’m copying, ”

    LOL

    Ever notice how Amoral Scumbag never ads that caveat when quoting his moonbat and left wing sources?

  332. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    July 9, 2018 at 1:53 pm
    Robbie says:
    January 22, 2017 at 1:47 pm
    Hello everyone. It’s been a while since I last joined the discussion, but my favorite topic is heating up: the Supreme Court.
    Jan Crawford of CBS, a very solid SCOTUS reporter, reports Neil Gorsuch has emerged as the leading contender to replace Antonin Scalia. The other two top choices are William Pryor and Thomas Hardiman. Truth be told, these three match my top three choices.
    Any of the three names mentioned would be a homerun choice. Gorsuch, according to an analysis at SCOTUS Blog, is every bit the deserving successor to Scalia and, in one area, probably more conservative. That would be the “Chevron exception”.

    – Now, Mr. Vito go to the leadup to the choice and see what I wrote as I learned more about Hardiman.

  333. jason says:

    o matter how many times I tell Jason fraud choosing a candidate for elected office is different from choosing a judge for the Supreme Court, he still ignores it.”

    Zzzzzzz…. I happen to agree. But “different” is not the issue.

    Your specifice criticism of Hardiman was that he is “bland”.

    Yet you picked the mother of all “bland” candidates for President.

    So is your argument that “bland” is good for a Presidential candidate while a fire breather is good for SCOTUS judges?

  334. Mr.Vito says:

    To his credit, Robbie changed his mind after Ann Coulter who compared Hardiman to Jeb Bush.

    Robbie says:
    January 31, 2017 at 12:10 pm

    I am no fan of Ann Coulter, but she has always been very, very good about judges. She was a huge advocate of Miguel Estrada in 2005.

    Ann Coulter ?@AnnCoulter 20h
    20 hours ago

    More
    If @realDonaldTrump’s S. Ct nominee is Hardiman, Trump’s immig. policies won’t stand a chance. Hardiman is the Jeb! Bush of judges.

  335. jason says:

    Truth be told, these three match my top three choices.”

    Good find, Mr Vito.

    Always the same M.O.

    That is why I say he would sell his mother and sister into sexual bondage if he thought it was bad for Trump.

  336. Robbie says:

    Never mind. I did the work for Mr. Vito.

    Robbie says:
    January 31, 2017 at 11:28 am
    If Trump chooses his pro-abortion sister’s favorite, Thomas Hardiman, for SCOTUS, it will be a big mistake. Hardiman will drift to the left over time. He won’t become another Souter, but he will become another Kennedy.

  337. Robbie says:

    Robbie says:
    January 31, 2017 at 11:54 am
    Bitterlaw says:
    January 31, 2017 at 11:39 am
    Robbie – I believe that with the exception of funding issues and a potential ban on late term abortions (with the usual exceptions(, the abortion issue is gone. Is that the issue you want to fight the nomination over?
    – Certainly, abortion matters to me, but my objection with Hardiman is he has all the signs of a justice who will wander left. He has a thin paper trail just like Souter had. He strikes me more as a Kennedy. He’ll be there most of the time, but will bail out to the left on the biggest issues that define a SCOTUS justice’s legacy.

  338. Robbie says:

    Robbie says:
    January 31, 2017 at 12:06 pm
    Key passage from Vox.
    “Finally, an influential measure of judicial ideology — the Judicial Common Space score — places Hardiman somewhere between John Roberts and Anthony Kennedy: that is, right in the middle of the Court. That suggests he’s far to the left of Antonin Scalia, whom he would be replacing.”

  339. Robbie says:

    Robbie says:
    January 31, 2017 at 12:08 pm
    I hope I’m wrong about Hardiman, but Gorsuch is a no-brainer. Trump should listen to Leonard Leo of the Federalist Society, nit his pro-abortion sister.

  340. Wobbles says:

    You don’t understand.

    Jeb Bush IS very conservative. That’s why I picked him. Conservative to the hilt.

    Just not conservative enough for SCOTUS.

    As a SCOTUS judge, I think is a flaming liberal.

  341. jason says:

    Let’s face it, Amoral Scumbag doesn’t really care who the nominee is, as long as he or she fails to be confirmed and it looks bad for Trump.

    That is and will always be his standard.

  342. NYCmike says:

    At this point, we know that anyone will be better than the person whom Hillary would have picked, which is why any Republican who bashes Trump should have his head examined.

    Disagree with whichever one of his policies all you want, but Trump beating Hillary was YUGE!

  343. Mr.Vito says:

    “Finally, an influential measure of judicial ideology — the Judicial Common Space score — places Hardiman somewhere between John Roberts and Anthony Kennedy…”

    Ed Whelan and others debunked that. The scores were based on home state senator support… Specter and Casey… rather than any judicial rulings.

    “Take the Judicial Common Space score graphed above. The score attempts to infer the ideology of appellate judges from their appointing president and their two home-state senators, relying on the tradition of “senatorial courtesy” in which the Senate refuses to confirm nominees opposed by senators from their home state (and in which the White House usually consults those senators before making an appointment). Hardiman’s home-state senators were Arlen Specter (then a moderate Republican, soon to become a moderate Democrat) and Bob Casey (a pro-life but otherwise liberal Democrat). So it’s unsurprising that given their scores, he’d wind up appearing pretty moderate. But the score doesn’t rely at all on how Hardiman actually voted as a judge. That limits its effectiveness as a metric. ”

    https://www.cnbc.com/2017/01/31/trumps-supreme-court-nominee-worries-conservatives-commentary.html

  344. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 2:05 pm
    Let’s face it, Amoral Scumbag doesn’t really care who the nominee is, as long as he or she fails to be confirmed and it looks bad for Trump.
    That is and will always be his standard.

    – It took a decade or more, but I’ve finally found the stupidest thing you’ve ever written.

    The one place where Trump has been consistently good/great is court nominations. This is the chance to cement a conservative majority.

    I want this pick to succeed and before the elections lest Democrats take over and stall things for two years.

    That’s why I think picking Hardiman, a dud, is a big mistake. We just got rid of Kennedy. Why pick someone who has all the makings of another Kennedy?

  345. Mr.Vito says:

    I like how Robbie is now helping me show how thin his reasoning was…

  346. Robbie says:

    Kavanaugh up 13 cents to 51 on Predictit. Since this website is lightly traded, the numbers are basically a reflection of the news so if a pro-Hardiman piece pops, it could flip in an instant.

  347. NYCmike says:

    “The one place where Trump has been consistently good/great is court nominations. This is the chance to cement a conservative majority.”

    -YET, you have been proclaiming his tenure as President as a sure-fire destruction of the Republican Party, while his cabinet picks and judicial picks have been the best thing for conservatives since at least the takeover of the House in 1994.*

    *AFFECTS/effects of tariffs still to be determined

  348. Mr.Vito says:

    Clearly, Hardiman would never have considered without Santorum, despite Robbie calling him a homerun and top three choice a year-and-a-half ago, and his being on the original list of 11 justices compiled by Heritage in May 2016.

  349. Mr.Vito says:

    And Whelan, Graham, McConnell, Ingraham, and a host of others calling him a solid choice is just some strong Santorum mojo…

  350. Mr.Vito says:

    Too bad he couldn’t summon that mojo when he ran for President…

  351. NYCmike says:

    Why would Santorum push a Souter-like justice?

    That makes ZERO sense.

  352. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    July 9, 2018 at 2:09 pm
    I like how Robbie is now helping me show how thin his reasoning was…

    – LOL. Nice try.

    Hardiman has all the makings of a Kennedy. I said that in the run-up to the Gorsuch selection and feel the same now.

    Outside of the 2A issues, he hasn’t written on the kinds of hot button issues that come before the Court. Were it not for Santorum, no one would have seriously considered him. It also is not a plus Trump’s pro-abortion sister is lobbying for him. That may well be guilt by association, but which is more likely? She’s suddenly become fine with a pro-life judge or she thinks she could play a role in preserving abortion?

    It’s nice that you’ve become a sudden Ed Whelan fan though.

  353. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 9, 2018 at 2:12 pm
    “The one place where Trump has been consistently good/great is court nominations. This is the chance to cement a conservative majority.”
    -YET, you have been proclaiming his tenure as President as a sure-fire destruction of the Republican Party, while his cabinet picks and judicial picks have been the best thing for conservatives since at least the takeover of the House in 1994.*

    – Picking judges and helping ensure Republican majorities are not the same thing.

  354. Mr.Vito says:

    “LOL. Nice try.”

    I didn’t have to do a thing… as you said, you did all the work.

  355. Mr.Vito says:

    “It’s nice that you’ve become a sudden Ed Whelan fan though.”

    Is that bad? Should I have become a Coulter fan?

  356. Bitterlaw says:

    Barrett

  357. Mr.Vito says:

    “She’s suddenly become fine with a pro-life judge…”

    Is Alito pro-life?

  358. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    July 9, 2018 at 2:14 pm
    And Whelan, Graham, McConnell, Ingraham, and a host of others calling him a solid choice is just some strong Santorum mojo…

    – Solid (I remain dubious). Not a homerun. They speak of him essentially as serviceable, not a Scalia or a Thomas or even a Gorsuch.

    Find someone in the conservative movement who is gung-ho about Hardiman, not merely ok with him, other than Santorum.

  359. Mr.Vito says:

    Did Santorum suddenly become okay with a pro-abortion judge?

  360. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 9, 2018 at 2:15 pm
    Why would Santorum push a Souter-like justice?
    That makes ZERO sense.

    – Why would Trump’s pro-abortion sister push a pro-life judge? That makes zero sense.

    And by the way, there is more to this choice than abortion. It’s also about the method behind the reasoning.

  361. Mr.Vito says:

    This is too easy.

  362. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    July 9, 2018 at 2:20 pm
    “She’s suddenly become fine with a pro-life judge…”
    Is Alito pro-life?

    – Again, speaking in favor of a confirmation at the hearing as all 3rd circuit judges did for Alito is far different from lobbying for someone to be chosen.

  363. Mr.Vito says:

    It’s also about the method behind the reasoning.

    “As a district judge, I view my role quite differently than the role of legislators,” Hardiman said at a confirmation hearing for his nomination to the 3rd Circuit. “In the legislative branch, you make the laws…and our role as judges is to interpret the law, not to inject our own policy preferences. So our task is to give an honest construction to what laws are passed by the Legislature.”

    “I think any good judge recognizes his or her place in our constitutional government, and that place is not to upset the will of the people as expressed through their elected representatives.”

  364. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    July 9, 2018 at 2:22 pm
    This is too easy.

    – You’re right. Knocking down your efforts to defend Hardiman simply because YOU trust Trump is quite easy.

  365. NYCmike says:

    “– Picking judges and helping ensure Republican majorities are not the same thing.”

    -Exactly.

    Going wobbly on immigration and budgeting, as our Congress is prone to do, will ensure that minority status will return eventually.

  366. JC says:

    As I said, I’m okay with Kavanaugh. But I prefer Berret. I think her life background and texulist thinking make her a solid pick. Plus she would definitely energize conservatives.

    I would be severely disappointed if it’s Hardiman. That would be a spectacularly wasted opportunity. The man would be a Kennedy 2.0, or maybe worse.

  367. Mr.Vito says:

    Robbie’s had almost two years now to come up with something better than ‘Trump’s sister likes him.’

    Did you know he married a Democrat?

  368. NYCmike says:

    JC,

    Why do you think Santorum would push Hardiman, if he (potentially) is a Kennedy-esque justice?

  369. Mr.Vito says:

    Did some pro-bono work for a charity that Soros gave some money? Ann Coulter said he works for Soros.

  370. mnw says:

    mnw; DW; Todd McCain = Kavanaugh (3)

    Phil; phoenixrisen; Bitterlaw = Barrett (3)

    jason = Hardiman (1)

    NYC = Thapar (1)

    (As stated, I do not include the votes of trolls. TIPW & CG were here yesterday. Wanna include THEIR votes? The trolls have damn near taken over here, because people can NOT resist feeding them. I won’t.)

  371. BayernFan says:

    Larsen. or Thapar.

  372. mnw says:

    BF

    I can’t report a double vote. Only one will get nominated. You’ll need to choose one to be included in the tabulation. Who do u think actually gets nominated tonight?

    Gravis TX Sen & Gov:

    Cruz (R) +9 on Beto (D).

    Abbott (R) +10 over the (D).

  373. phoenixrisen says:

    Well, if the New York Times and Politico are right saying it is down to Kavanaugh and Hardiman, I have to believe the pick is Kavanaugh. He has the most depth and experience. I take those reports with a grain of salt considering whom those reports are coming from. Still hoping for Barrett

  374. DW says:

    Reading the comments at predictit is quite entertaining, if you add up all the sightings of the four SCOTUS finalists, they have all been seen in DC today or in airports, or leaving for DC by probably 90% of the people who post comments there. Its like what Martin Luther said of the Catholic church and their fetish for relics, how they had the bones of 18 out of the 12 apostles.

  375. Mr.Vito says:

    “Reading the comments at predictit is quite entertaining, if you add up…”

    They are trying to move the bets to make some money.

  376. BayernFan says:

    It’s leaking that its hardiman

  377. mnw says:

    I’m pleasantly surprised there hasn’t yet been a definitive leak about SCOTUS pick. Seems like Trump may have successfully purged the WH leakers. It used to leak like a sieve.

  378. GPO says:

    Hardiman 56 on Predictit

  379. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Kethledge will be chosen!

  380. Phil says:

    Souter is LHAO.

  381. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3669568/posts

    The WSJ says it is Thom Hardiman. What a wasted opportunity!

  382. mnw says:

    I paid much less attention to Hardiman than the other 3. What’s the conservative beef against him?

    (I don’t care that Trump’s sister likes him. Anything else?)

  383. isaywhateveryo says:

    This is a disaster.

  384. DW says:

    Hardiman back down to 47 on predictit

  385. Phil says:

    Huge break for red state Democrats running for reelection. Hardiman has the Republican votes to be confirmed and now they are all free to vote Hardiman and claim they are “middle of the road” Democrats. As ggod a November stance as they could have hoped for.

    Not only that but Democrats get the most acceptable of the four.

    Yeah, a huge blown opportunity. I thought Trump was smarter than this.

  386. phoenixrisen says:

    Color me skeptical Sheeple. That link could hardly be considered solid. Reeks of rumor

  387. Bayernfan says:

    hardiman now crashing…. kav back on top

  388. GPO says:

    Kavanaugh now favorite 47-45.

    I don’t have predict it acct, but you can guarantee yourself money if you have one- can sell top 4 candidates at about 110. winner goes out at 100

  389. Todd McCain says:

    Guys, no one knows who the pick is….last night it was leaking that it was Barrett; these Predictit sites have had three different people leading today.

  390. mnw says:

    Phil & Sheep

    Why so down on Hardiman?

    No matter who it is, the DEMs will still act like the nominee is Himmler.

  391. Todd McCain says:

    Also, I don’t like this argument that just because Trump Barry is pushing him, he is liberal. Trump Barry was also a big advocate of Alito and spoke for him at his hearings.

  392. Skippy says:

    It’s Barrett.

    Done deal.

  393. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Phoenix
    I hope you are right!

    mnw– IMHO, Hardiman is the most likely of the four to “grow”(or “go DC”) if confirmed to SCOTUS.
    Hardiman was a Democrat until a decade ago and was highly recommended to the District Court by Arlen Spectre. His wife is a liberal Democrat and her parents are HUGH contributors to Democrats.
    His pro bono work was mostly defending illegal immigrants.

  394. phoenixrisen says:

    Trump has to love this teasing and the suspense

  395. Robbie says:

    The WSJ says Hardiman’ss allies have been told to prepare for a rollout.

    Hardiman is almost certainly no better than Kennedy. It also doesn’t help that Trump’s pro-abortion sister is one of his biggest advocates.

    If Hardiman is the pick, his selection will be viewed down the road as a major missed opportunity.

  396. DW says:

    now someone other than predictit posters are saying that Barrett and her family are on a flight to DC

  397. Robbie says:

    GPO says:
    July 9, 2018 at 3:08 pm
    Hardiman 56 on Predictit

    – Disaster.

  398. Phil says:

    404

    That’s terrible!

    mnw, there is your answer.

  399. BayernFan says:

    hardiman as just a pump.

  400. mnw says:

    Sheep

    Any of his decisions alarming, though?

    Conservatives have directed their fire at Kethledge, not at Hardiman.

    Btw, I know how much my MIL’s political opinions influence mine, i.e., less-than-zero.

  401. Skippy says:

    Barrett rising…keep your eye on her numbers from here on in…its happening.

  402. Robbie says:

    If it’s Hardiman and stories drip about his Democrat roots, his Democrat wife, and his work for illegal immigrants, you’re going to see the base fray (not fracture). Hardiman will be confirmed, but Trump’s Teflon image with the base will have been dinged.

  403. DW says:

    45 to 40, Kavanaugh over Hardiman on predictit

  404. NYCmike says:

    Ok, I am taking this is a guarantee that it WILL NOT be Hardiman. Lord Ashcroft and the exit polls all over again.

    Robbie says:
    July 9, 2018 at 3:36 pm

    The WSJ says Hardiman’ss allies have been told to prepare for a rollout.

  405. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    jason,Bitter and Michael et al
    Can you explain to we non-Pennsylvanians at the HHR why Bob Casey(D-PA) is so beloved in your State?

    http://thehill.com/blogs/floor-action/senate/396120-dem-senator-to-oppose-trump-nominee-citing-corrupt-bargain-with-far

  406. mnw says:

    Phil 409

    Not really.

  407. Robbie says:

    BayernFan says:
    July 9, 2018 at 3:38 pm
    hardiman as just a pump.

    – From your lips to God’s ears.

    I would be excited with any choice on the list except Hardiman.

  408. Skippy says:

    Fantastic pick by President Trump.

  409. Phil says:

    mnw, seriously? No red flags to you?

  410. Todd McCain says:

    BREAKING: TRUMP TO NOMINATE MERRICK GARLAND TO SUPREME COURT.

  411. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Since Tgca is on a vegan diet with foods that are too disgusting to mention, thought I would pass on a study in the latest issue of the American Journal of Clinical Nutrition. The study found that lean and unprocessed red meat as part of a Mediterranean type diet did not effect the diet’s lowering of cholesterol and contributing to cardiovascular health health.

    “In conclusion, adults who are overweight or obese can consume typical US intake quantities of red meat (?70 g/d) as lean and unprocessed beef and pork when adopting a Mediterranean Pattern to improve cardiometabolic disease risk factors. Our results support previous observational and experimental evidence which shows that unprocessed and/or lean red meat consumption does not increase the risk of developing cardiovascular disease (11) or impair associated risk factors (13).”

    Leave the vegan food for the rabbits; time to release your inner carnivore

  412. Skippy says:

    Barrett’s Numbers will spike upward in next 5 minutes.

    How do I know?

    Watch.

  413. DW says:

    Skippy knows something….Barrett just jumped to 27

  414. Robbie says:

    Just grist for the rumor mill.

    Ben Shapiro
    @benshapiro

    FWIW I’m hearing Kavanaugh. But it isn’t worth much.

  415. Todd McCain says:

    Kav spiking again and Hardiman going back down to where he is. This Predictit thing is fun, but stupid.

  416. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    July 9, 2018 at 3:49 pm
    Skippy knows something….Barrett just jumped to 27

    – Or he just placed a big bet and that moved the numbers!

  417. DW says:

    428 – true…there are people out there who like to throw money away

  418. mnw says:

    Phil

    I could be persuaded, but I just haven’t seen any negative info about his judicial record yet, & I don’t care about his family at all. Gotta be more than that.

  419. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    mnw goes to the Wise Men at Red Racing Horses for consultation on Hardiman! Why not go to SCOTUS blog for Hardiman’s legal decisions?

  420. DW says:

    Kav back in command, 43 / 36 / 24, over hardiman and Barrett

  421. Phil says:

    Will take Kav right now if it guarantees no Hardiman.

  422. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    July 9, 2018 at 3:54 pm
    Will take Kav right now if it guarantees no Hardiman.

    – This. 100%.

  423. Skippy says:

    Right…now.

  424. BayernFan says:

    Barrett is just being pumped, too.

    No one knows anything there.

    I put 50 each on Thapar and Larsen. If it is either one I make about 2000

  425. mnw says:

    Sheep

    I actually read extensively from Kethledge’s opinions, & I studied up on Kavanaugh too. With Barrett, there’s nothing to read.

    But with Hardiman, I didn’t know he was really under serious consideration. It’s a little late for me to start reading HIS opinions now.

    Btw, The Wise Men aren’t largely pro-Hardiman. They’re all over the place. A lot of them call H “a big govt conservative,” whatever that means.

  426. mnw says:

    P.S. I still have access to Westlaw gratis. I don’t need to go to SCOTUSBLOG if I wanted to read H’s opinions.

  427. DW says:

    Skippy should be skipped…barrett back down to 23.

  428. Waingro says:

    Seung Min Kim
    ?Verified account @seungminkim

    NEW: @SenDonnelly was invited to WH for SCOTUS but said no. “While I appreciate the invitation frm the White House to attend this evening’s announcement, I declined so that I can meet first with the nominee in a setting where we can discuss his or her experience and perspectives”

  429. Skippy says:

    It was a done deal about 30 minutes ago.

    It’s happening.

    If I’m wrong I will never post on here again.

    Hang on.

  430. Waingro says:

    #440, this would lead credence towards Barrett of course, considering I’m sure Trump would probably love to troll Donnelly with the ND Law grad.

  431. phoenixrisen says:

    433– completely agree Phil. If Kavanaugh gets it, he’ll definitely have earned it being a voice in the wilderness on the DC Circuit for many years.

  432. Waingro says:

    #441, hope you are right, Skippy! Tea leaves looking good.

  433. Robbie says:

    Waingro says:
    July 9, 2018 at 4:10 pm
    #440, this would lead credence towards Barrett of course, considering I’m sure Trump would probably love to troll Donnelly with the ND Law grad.

    – Or it was just an effort to put a vulnerable red-state Democrat on the defensive.

    Could read it either way.

  434. isaywhateveryo says:

    Skippy — your promise to leave might mean more if I’d ever seen you posting here before. I’ve been reading since 2003/2004 and don’t recall seeing your name…

    But I pray you’re correct.

  435. phoenixrisen says:

    Skippy, I hope you’re right. 440 — Wain, that is an interesting tweet. Donnelly being invited would possibly indicate Barrett is the pick.

  436. Skippy says:

    Barrett is on an airplane..but not the one everybody is talking about. Amy left from the Windy City. Not Indianapolis.

  437. Robbie says:

    Phil Mattingly
    @Phil_Mattingly

    Sen. Heidi Heitkamp was also invited to the WH for the SCOTUS announcement, but will not be able to attend, per spokeswoman.

  438. Waingro says:

    #445, Robbi this tells me your alternative theory could be correct. He probably invited Manchin, McCaskill and Nelson as well.

    Frank Thorp V
    ?Verified account @frankthorp
    2m2 minutes ago

    Red state Dem @SenatorHeitkamp was ALSO invited to WH #SCOTUS announcement, but will no be able to attend, per spox.

  439. janz says:

    Hardiman’s wife is a Dem, and once ran for an AG position. I think this might be a nomination red flag .

    As for Kethledge (someone I endorsed a week ago), he is supposed to have a legal profile in the image of Gorsche – a good writer, down-to-earth guy, strong on 1st, 2nd amendment rights along with pro-life and property rights stances. Importantly, though, he appealed to Trump’s “gut,” and had a long, comfortable interview with POTUS.

  440. Waingro says:

    #449, ha. Beat me to it.

  441. Phil says:

    was sky queen invited?

    LOL

  442. DW says:

    Ok, Skippy. The number for Barrett is up to 28

  443. phoenixrisen says:

    #449 kind of like watching cockroaches run away from the light 😉

  444. jason says:

    Barrett is on an airplane.”

    That narrows it down to maybe 100k people out of 300 + million.

  445. Phil says:

    pretty good analogy, phoenix

  446. Skippy says:

    Hang on..

  447. jason says:

    It’s happening.”

    Where have I heard that before.

  448. BayernFan says:

    Barrett up to 31

  449. jason says:

    I put 50 each on Thapar and Larsen. If it is either one I make about 2000.”

    Not a bad bet.

  450. DW says:

    Barrett up to 32.

  451. phoenixrisen says:

    Oh, is this happening??!!?!?

  452. Skippy says:

    Spiking…the truth has finally leaked.

    Amy is 40 minutes away from landing.

    It’s been my pleasure.

  453. jason says:

    I preferred Barrett, Thapar or Larsen, but if both Amoral Scumbag AND the deadenders are against Hardiman he may be the best pick.

  454. DW says:

    Considering the information age in which we live, it is remarkable this has been kept a secret as late as 4:25 pm EDT on the same day as the 9:00 pm announcement.

    Ben Franklin said something like a secret can be kept if its limited to two people–and one of them is dead. Obviously there are more than two people who know Trump’s pick, and the secret has been kept.

  455. Phil says:

    I was married to a liberal Democrat once. It wasn’t pretty. At least she never ran for office as a Democrat.

  456. jason says:

    Hardiman is at 47…Barrett still in third.

  457. DW says:

    Barrett backslid to 27. But suppose Skippy will say its people who didn’t really believe in her and wanted to sell off at 32 to get what they could.

  458. phoenixrisen says:

    Skippy, I so wish I knew where you were because I’d buy you a drink. I wanted to be guarded but now I’m getting excited.

  459. jason says:

    If I’m wrong I will never post on here again.”

    Don’t do that.

    Look at Amoral Scumbag, always wrong, still here.

  460. phoenixrisen says:

    #471 jason LOL!!!!

  461. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 4:26 pm
    I preferred Barrett, Thapar or Larsen, but if both Amoral Scumbag AND the deadenders are against Hardiman he may be the best pick.

    – Jason fraud – “pick the squish to own the deadenders”

  462. phoenixrisen says:

    Skippy, big drop for Barrett on predictit. You sure?

  463. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 4:29 pm
    If I’m wrong I will never post on here again.”
    Don’t do that.
    Look at Amoral Scumbag, always wrong, still here.

    – Not quite as wrong as you, though. You thought Romney ran a good campaign. Even Mitt disagrees with you.

  464. Todd McCain says:

    The fact that we are all believing and following someone named Skippy is entertaining! Hope it’s true though!

  465. Robbie says:

    Phil Mattingly
    @Phil_Mattingly

    Sen. Joe Manchin was also invited to the WH tonight for the SCOTUS nominee unveiling, but also will not attend, per spox

  466. jason says:

    Can you explain to we non-Pennsylvanians at the HHR why Bob Casey(D-PA) is so beloved in your State?”

    Because here he has an image as a moderate.

    He’s not. He is a flaming liberal.

    He supposedly is pro-life, but votes against pro-life issues repeatedly. He supposedly is a fiscal conservative, who never saw a tax increase or entitlement he didn’t like.

    He is a huge fraud, but the MSM keeps repeating “moderate” over and over, and its stuck.

    Also he has a fantastic family name recognition, always helps.

    Finally, he runs against weak opposition.

  467. mnw says:

    At Sheep’s urging, I just scanned Hardiman’s 3 most controversial decision, at least controversial to conservatives.

    One was an immigration case in which he ruled that an alien could litigate an asylum claim based on a credible fear of MS-13, i.e., not a claim of fear from the Govt itself. On a scale of 1-10, with 10 being the worst, I guess I’d rate that one a 4.

    His most controversial opinion was one where he said a fireman could establish racial discrimination based on statistics alone, which gave rise to suspicion. That’s pretty bad. I give that one an 8.

    The third one concerned an effeminate man who claimed sex discrimination under Title VII. H’s decision is said to have expanded Time VII to a category never before included. I’m not rating this one, because the legal landscape is so unfamiliar to me.

    H is obviously a big 2nd Amend guy. He’s not as hostile to “the Chevron doctrine” as conservatives would like, i.e., he’s showed deference to agency rulings. The Chevron thing gives rise to the allegation that he’s for “big government”

    All in all, he wouldn’t be my first preference. However, I don’t care about his wife or his sisters & his cousin & his aunts. The fact that he finished second to Gorsuch last time, with no conservative outcry, speaks in his favor somewhat.

    So, Sheep

    Is that sufficient homework?

  468. phoenixrisen says:

    For what it is worth, there has been a huge social media push from conservatives for Amy Coney Barrett in the last 48 hours petitioning Trump to pick her, dwarfing the other candidates so much that they seem like they don’t exist. We’ll see if that has any bearing on Trump’s decision.

  469. DW says:

    Skippy? Skippy? Where did you? …. chirp…chirp…chirp….

    Barrett not surging like you said, and so you keeping promise to never post here again?

  470. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    July 9, 2018 at 4:42 pm

    All in all, he wouldn’t be my first preference. However, I don’t care about his wife or his sisters & his cousin & his aunts. The fact that he finished second to Gorsuch last time, with no conservative outcry, speaks in his favor somewhat.

    – This isn’t the case though. When it leaked Hardiman was the favorite, the last two days or so there was quite a bit of outcry from conservatives. They were saying the same things then that they are now.

  471. janz says:

    Hardiman is also someone Trump bonded with, liking his common-man story etc. Some, however, are skeptical of his “conservatism,” lesser credentials than other candidates, and support for social/immigration issues that are important to conservatives.

    If Barrett is the one, it will definitely be a more dramatic battle leading to confirmation. And, if confirmed it would be fun seeing her hopefully take Kennedy’s spot in the official SCOTUS portrait – next to Ginsburg! Beauty versus the frown-master.

  472. mnw says:

    sb “gave rise to suspicion of racial discrimination”

  473. Mr.Vito says:

    Skippy was here in 2014. He was certain Franken would lose to McFadden.

  474. Skippy says:

    It’s Amy.

    Have I said it’s Amy because of what Senator has been invited?

    No.

    It’s Amy because she has 15 minutes to land.

    When she lands…well…..buckle up.

  475. Robbie says:

    janz says:
    July 9, 2018 at 4:46 pm
    Hardiman is also someone Trump bonded with, liking his common-man story etc.

    – Who cares if they bonded? After he nominates someone, he’s barely going to speak to that person ever again.

  476. Skippy says:

    Amy is not home.

  477. Mr.Vito says:

    Jon Kyl will be leading the nominee through the confirmation process…

  478. DW says:

    ok Skippy…will be watching. If you turn out to be right, Dave W will have to give you the key to the hedgehog city.

  479. mnw says:

    Vito

    How you know it was the same Skippy?

    Spartacus:

    “I am Skippy! No, I am Skippy!”

  480. Skippy says:

    Few minutes out from approaching…

  481. janz says:

    #487 “liking a nominee” has proven to be an important variable in Trump’s calculations in filling positions.

  482. Joe J says:

    She’s creeping up to 26 again FWIW

  483. dblaikie says:

    I have no idea who Trump is going to pick. If he wants a political fight to enrage his already enraged base pick Barrett. If he wants a Gorsuch clone pick Kethledge. If he wants to make peace with the Bushies pick Kavanaugh. Other wise just to shake Robbie up pick Hardiman.

  484. phoenixrisen says:

    Found this comment on predictit interesting:

    FYI – current talk from LawyerSmack people is that Barrett’s on a plane to DC with her family right now. #ScotusPick

    12:18 PM – 9 Jul 2018

    I don’t have access to that forum. Bitterlaw, do you?

  485. Robbie says:

    dblaikie says:
    July 9, 2018 at 4:57 pm
    I have no idea who Trump is going to pick. If he wants a political fight to enrage his already enraged base pick Barrett. If he wants a Gorsuch clone pick Kethledge. If he wants to make peace with the Bushies pick Kavanaugh. Other wise just to shake Robbie up pick Hardiman.

    – Would picking a candidate I don’t like who will drift to the left count as a redemptive act for Trump?

  486. Skippy says:

    Plane still has not landed.

    Can’t give out the flight number.

    But you can figure out if you check the moment I tell you it’s landed.

    Started in Chicago.

    Moments away…hang on.

  487. DW says:

    Skippy, you say she is a few minutes from landing…what’s that going to do? So she lands. She will walk through the airport, and get into a cab or a limo that was sent to pick her up. Are you saying someone will identify her in the airport and break the news?

  488. Phil says:

    Robbie is right on this one. Hardiman is bad news.

  489. janz says:

    When Trump made his last SCOTUS announcement two candidates were asked to come – Hardiman & Gorsuch. Might not he do the same this time – keeping suspense in the air as long as possible?

  490. DW says:

    Phil–I tend to agree. Not that he’s the worst judge in the world or something…and if he had been picked by Obama instead of Sotomayor, I would have been thrilled. But there are enough question marks about him that make me worry…and there is no reason to take such a gamble when other candidates don’t have the same question marks.

  491. Skippy says:

    Plane has landed.

    Here we go.

  492. jason says:

    Schumer is unhinged.

    “It is near impossible to imagine that President Trump would select a nominee who isn’t hostile to our healthcare law and health care … who isn’t hostile to a woman’s freedom to make her own health care decisions.”

    Hostile to “health care”

    to make her own “health care decisions”.

    Amoral Scumbag’s MSM friends will be proud.

  493. Todd McCain says:

    Plane has landed y’all!!

  494. jason says:

    Barrett now down to 26….

    Maybe she is going on vacation?

  495. DW says:

    as close as its been all day on predictit…44 / 37 / 28, Hard, Kav, Barrett

  496. Robbie says:

    Peter Baker
    @peterbakernyt

    Buzz at the US courthouse in DC: Brett Kavanaugh spotted leaving in a black sedan accompanied by four black SUVs with security agents presumed to be Secret Service, per source.

  497. janz says:

    Where is kethledge on that prediction site.

  498. Greymarch says:

    For a WH with record-breaking amount of leaks, some how Trump has managed to keep his SOCTUS pick a secret. Less than 2 hours before Trump makes the announcement, and we still dont truly know who he picked. Thinking chief of staff Kelly kicked some serious butt this week.

  499. Mr.Vito says:

    “Barrett now down to 26….

    Maybe she is going on vacation?”

    Probably more to do with fact that she was said to be on a plane to D.C. at 2:30PM by the same people, but then WSJ said she was at home in Indiana at 3PM.

  500. Todd McCain says:

    Kav surging again

  501. jason says:

    Kavanaugh back up to close to 50%, Hardiman 40, Barrett dropping.

  502. mnw says:

    Hardiman

    Since Sheep referred me to SCOTUSBLOG, I went there & read a detailed article by one Amy Howe, analyzing H’s record when he was under consideration the last time, from a conservative perspective. It’s OK. He’s been on the CCA a long time & hasn’t committed any liberal atrocities from what I read.

    I am concerned about his pro bono work for an immigrants’ rights group called Ayuda. He called that work “some of the most important of my career.” That concerns me. Otoh, he has sided with the Govt on almost all immigration appeals for 10 years now,

  503. DW says:

    508 – they must be going to the airport to pick up Barrett.

  504. Robbie says:

    janz says:
    July 9, 2018 at 5:11 pm
    Where is kethledge on that prediction site.

    – Way at the bottom and it’s a real shame. He would have been an awesome pick.

  505. phoenixrisen says:

    508 That is a pretty good tea leaf if true.

  506. Robbie says:

    Greymarch says:
    July 9, 2018 at 5:12 pm
    For a WH with record-breaking amount of leaks, some how Trump has managed to keep his SOCTUS pick a secret. Less than 2 hours before Trump makes the announcement, and we still dont truly know who he picked. Thinking chief of staff Kelly kicked some serious butt this week.

    – They were extremely good with the Gorsuch pick as well. They’d be in far better shape if they always stayed tight lipped.

  507. mnw says:

    Btw, The Wise Men are generally more hostile to Hardiman than supportive. I think Sheep has me pegged as an RRH shill.

    Imo, there are only three real GOP posters over there.

  508. phoenixrisen says:

    508 — I wouldn’t put it beyond Trump to engage in some mis-direction

  509. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 9, 2018 at 5:14 pm
    Kavanaugh back up to close to 50%, Hardiman 40, Barrett dropping.

    – That’s the problem with betting sites. They’re totally reactive to the current news.

  510. DW says:

    the predictit clowns went all in on Hardiman based on the WSJ rumor that his people were told to get ready and senators were to get ready to defend him.

    Now a blank SUV for Kavanaugh spotted by someone and he shoots up to 64.

    Nobody knows. Nothing is known.

  511. Waingro says:

    Guy Benson
    ?Verified account @guypbenson
    5m5 minutes ago

    Ok, here’s something:

    Source just called w/ two pieces of circumstantial evidence, both strongly pointing to KAVANAUGH. Intriguing data points, but not 100% solid.

    Asked another good source by text if he could confirm…”unable.” Other sources have gone dark.

  512. Mr.Vito says:

    Jimmy Durante has buried the name of the nominee in Santa Rosita Park under the big W.

  513. DW says:

    Skippy…you still around?

  514. Bitterlaw says:

    Jason is correct. Bob Casey, Jr. is a flaming lib but the PA media pretends he is a moderate. His father was a very respected Governor and an actual Pro-life Democrat. He comes from the Scranton area where the Holy Trinity is FDR, JFK, and Bob Casey, Sr. He is an empty suit who has the right name for the job.

  515. Waingro says:

    Has Skippy gone dark?

  516. Todd McCain says:

    Kav up to 70%

  517. Robbie says:

    Guy Benson
    @guypbenson

    Ok, here’s something:

    Source just called w/ two pieces of circumstantial evidence, both strongly pointing to KAVANAUGH. Intriguing data points, but not 100% solid.

    Asked another good source by text if he could confirm…”unable.” Other sources have gone dark.

  518. Robbie says:

    Darnit.

    Waingro beat me for once.

  519. dblaikie says:

    Robbie, don’t be so serious! I was joking. But if you think that Trump might pick Hardiman just to upset you, then by all means he should do it.

  520. DW says:

    the closer it gets, the more reactionary the predictit site gets:

    Kav 76
    Amy 20
    Har 18

  521. phoenixrisen says:

    Skippy, say it ain’t so that you tried to do a pump and dump? 😉

    It looks like it is Kavanaugh. With Baker and Benson’s tweets, this looks to be done. Ah well, I’m good with Kavanaugh though admittedly disappointed that the pick apparently wasn’t Barrett.

  522. Skippy says:

    It’s not Kavanaugh.

  523. Phil says:

    533

    Ditto here as well, Phoenix.

  524. DW says:

    Kav 77
    Har 19
    Amy 14

    Skippy 0

  525. Waingro says:

    #534, still hanging on!

  526. DW says:

    Skippy…so is Barrett now at the baggage claim?

  527. Todd McCain says:

    Kav is a strong conservative pick. He is actually quite the visionary.

  528. DW says:

    So if it Kav, Robbie will be happy for once.

  529. phoenixrisen says:

    Phil, I was so looking to gorging myself on popcorn watching the libs freak out if Trump had picked Barrett. That would have been epic.

  530. DW says:

    Kav 74
    Har 18
    Amy 14

  531. NYCmike says:

    I don’t want a visionary.

    I want a judge like Clarence Thomas.

  532. mnw says:

    I prefer Kav, but I sure hope the WH got private assurances from Rand Paul. McConnell warned that Kav might be the hardest of the 4 to confirm.

  533. Brandon says:

    Nothing like a supreme court nominee to bring the band back together.

    If it’s Kavanaugh, these are some pretty good head-fakes.

  534. Phil says:

    It would have been epic indeed. Gloriously epic in fact.

  535. phoenixrisen says:

    Here is something to consider, what if all four candidates are on their way to DC to choreograph a smokescreen to keep everyone guessing? Trump did after all do this constantly in The Apprentice.

  536. phoenixrisen says:

    Trump also loves messing with the media as well as we all know.

  537. mnw says:

    Oh, phoenix! You need have no worries about the libs freaking out, no matter who it is.

  538. phoenixrisen says:

    Barrett has plunged on Predictit. It would be epically awesome if someone cherry-picked Barrett or Kethledge and one of those won.

  539. Todd McCain says:

    There are peeps on twitter though 100% convinced it’s Barrett.

    Let’s just relax; we prob won’t know until 8 pm

  540. phoenixrisen says:

    @allahpundit
    Follow Follow @allahpundit
    More
    WSJ says as of 2:56 ET that Barrett is still home in Indiana

    Skippy, what happened?? LOL!!!

  541. janz says:

    Apparently, Guy Benson has info that Kethledge is out of the running. Too bad, if true.

  542. mnw says:

    FOX moves three Sen tossups:

    ND to lean R.

    WV & AZ to lean D.

  543. DW says:

    Kav 77
    Har 15
    Amy 15

  544. DW says:

    Skippy must have been at the airport waiting for Barrett, and is now carrying her luggage, which explains why he cannot post right now.

  545. Waingro says:

    #554, FOX? They have Cook/Rothenburg type there now?

  546. phoenixrisen says:

    #553 saw that too janz. Benson got further confirmation from another source That leaves Kavanaugh, Hardiman, and Barrett.

  547. DW says:

    Kav 75
    Har 17
    Amy 15

  548. mnw says:

    Waingro

    From FOX’ Halftime Report.

  549. Robbie says:

    Kevin Corke
    @kevincorke

    Kavanaugh

  550. isaywhateveryo says:

    Robbie, Kevin Corke already said that was just his guess.

  551. Todd McCain says:

    Kav is a great pic.

  552. Waingro says:

    #560, thanks just found it. Chris Stirewalt. He’s not really a reliable poll analyst, IMO. I don’t see how you can move ND to leans R but have TN as a “tossup”. That makes no sense. Plus, if he’s going strictly by recent polling, he should have FL as leans R as well.

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/07/09/power-rankings-not-so-peachy-primaries.html

  553. Waingro says:

    Heh.

    #561:

    Kevin Corke
    ?Verified account @kevincorke
    11m11 minutes ago
    Replying to @rudraveerreddy @FoxNews

    Just my guess on a day of guesses.

  554. Robbie says:

    Steve Vladeck
    @steve_vladeck

    Why would the D.C. Circuit, which doesn’t usually issue opinions on Mondays at all, issue a random #FOIA ruling at 4:30 this afternoon, and do so in a per curiam over a dissent?

    Seems pretty powerful circumstantial evidence that Judge Kavanaugh is going to be the nominee…

  555. DW says:

    Kav 71
    Amy 21
    Har 16

  556. DW says:

    Kav 77
    Amy 16
    Har 16

  557. phoenixrisen says:

    #556 – That is weird indeed.

  558. Robbie says:

    If Trump does nominate Brett Kavanaugh to SCOTUS, he should appoint Paul Clement to replace him on the DC Court of Appeals.

  559. DW says:

    So Skippy appears, and now disappears, and apparently is keeping his promise to never post here again. Shame. Seemed like he might have been a nice guy.

  560. phoenixrisen says:

    570 Definitely agree.

  561. Todd McCain says:

    A Kav appointment would again prove how important the White House counsel, Don McGahn is in his influence of Trump. He pushed Gorsuch and has been in the Kav camp the entire time.

  562. Robbie says:

    phoenixrisen says:
    July 9, 2018 at 6:08 pm
    570 Definitely agree.

    – Or convince Miguel Estrada to accept the nomination and jam it down Schumer’s throat!

  563. DW says:

    Bitterlaw hasn’t posted all afternoon, and now we learn he was seen getting out of a black SUV near the white house.

  564. Robbie says:

    Todd McCain says:
    July 9, 2018 at 6:11 pm
    A Kav appointment would again prove how important the White House counsel, Don McGahn is in his influence of Trump. He pushed Gorsuch and has been in the Kav camp the entire time.

    – This is true. McGahn deserves a lot of credit/respect for the entire judicial nominating process. All of the judges have been his work.

  565. phoenixrisen says:

    Yeah, the pick is Kavanaugh. (sigh) Good pick, but oh what could have been with Barrett. I was initially sour on Kavanaugh but the Obamacare concerns I had wound up being not much at all.

  566. Robbie says:

    phoenixrisen says:
    July 9, 2018 at 6:14 pm
    Yeah, the pick is Kavanaugh. (sigh) Good pick, but oh what could have been with Barrett. I was initially sour on Kavanaugh but the Obamacare concerns I had wound up being not much at all.

    – Many seemed to miss that Kavanaugh did not rule on Obamacare. It was a punt by using the anti-injunction act, but Kavanaugh didn’t write approvingly of what the overall law was attempting to do.

  567. Phil says:

    The Hardiman scare made me appreciate Kav. I breathed a sigh of release. Barrett would have been delicious, however. Lib heads exploding everywhere.

  568. janz says:

    It sure appears to be Kavanaugh. However,if true I think it will difficult to push his confirmation through on the fall timeline preferred by Trump. Rand Paul has already indicated a “no” vote. And, this candidate also has a long history of rulings the Dems can peruse, linger on and delay a vote on.

  569. phoenixrisen says:

    Lisa Desjardins
    ?
    Verified account

    @LisaDNews
    7m7 minutes ago
    More
    BREAKING: @OrrinHatch told a few of us that he knows who the SCOTUS pick is and “doesn’t think” (polite Hatch language) it’s Amy Coney Barrett.”

  570. phoenixrisen says:

    Phil, agreed. Did the same thing for me. Libs aren’t going to be happy at all it is Kavanaugh but oh yes, Barrett would have been absolutely glorious.

  571. mnw says:

    phoenix 581

    So much then for Hatch’s “she” & “her” stuff being a BIG STRAW IN THE WIND!

  572. Waingro says:

    So Skippy is completely dark, huh? Ovah?

  573. Bitterlaw says:

    Smoother than a fresh jar of Skippy. Uptown Funk!

  574. mnw says:

    Erik Erickson put out some tweets that point strongly to Kavanaugh. He says the WH has been snowing him in this afternoon with phone calls & packets of info about how wunnerful Kav is.

  575. Bitterlaw says:

    They better send the helicopter for me. Too much traffic to make it to DC by 9:00.

  576. phoenixrisen says:

    Weak suck McConnell

    Erick Erickson
    ?
    Verified account

    @EWErickson
    1h1 hour ago
    More
    I’m not saying Kavanaugh is the pick. I am saying he is definitely the guy those around the President have been pushing. I’m also told the President really was intrigued with Barrett, but several said she’d be far harder to confirm.

  577. Tina says:

    I am ok with Kethledge, Barrett, or Kavanaugh,

    I do not get the Jebot concern with hardiman, but he was not on my radar.

    He was rated to the right of everyone else. I presume that would include jeb and her thighness.

  578. Robbie says:

    I’ve been away for an hour,. Are we sure the Hardiman scare is over and it’s Kavanaugh?

  579. Tina says:

    Hopefully, Erick the red formerly of pink state was not fed sheot.

  580. Phil says:

    I don’t like any of the four. Schumer convinced me that they are all right wing, Nazi, barbarians.

  581. NYCmike says:

    “– Or convince Miguel Estrada to accept the nomination and jam it down Schumer’s throat!”

    -VERY GOOD, Robbie!

    Finally, some fight from the flyer!

  582. phoenixrisen says:

    Great article on Kavanaugh over at Hot Air. He and Barrett unlike Hardiman or Kethledge have been tagged with “brilliant”. He’s a rock solid pick though the political advantages that could have been gained by nominating Barrett are hard part ways with. She’ll be waiting in the wings if we’re fortunate to hold the presidency and the Senate until 2024.

  583. Brandon says:

    Barrett just talked to reporters from her home in Indiana.

    So much for Skippy.

  584. Tina says:

    Seems like Barrett needs more time in grade.

    She will make a better pick,later.

  585. Gpo says:

    Thx Phoenix –
    he’s as close to a sure thing as there is

  586. phoenixrisen says:

    Barrett is out. Hardiman nowhere to be seen. Laura Ingraham interviews…Ken Starr tonight whom Kavanaugh worked with on the Whitewater investigation of the Clintons. Yeah, circumstantial evidence is overwhelming. Kind of feels anti-climatic. Orrin Hatch thinks Barrett would be the nominee next time around but that comes with a very big of regarding presidency and the Senate

  587. Robbie says:

    The WSJ says Kavanaugh is EXPECTED to be the choice.

  588. NYCmike says:

    Personally, Thapar would be the best pick.

    LEGAL immigration story needs to be told over and over. Jindal’s parents, Haley’s parents, etc…

  589. Bitterlaw says:

    Bold prediction – People who say it is better to save Barrett for a later nomination will find one opinion she writes in 2019 or 2020 to call her a squish and condemn her nomination.

    She would have been a great pick – solid Justice and a GFY to the Dems and MSM.

  590. Tina says:

    Bitter law, she will be even better a year or two from now.

    What is the deal with Kavanaugh and obumblercare?

  591. mnw says:

    604:

    I would say that’s entirely up to Barrett.

    If one opinion was a disqualifying event, Kavanaugh would not have been nominated. Ask Rand Paul, altho Trump decided to risk the wrath of Rand this time. 3 of the 4 finalists had opinions that conservatives didn’t like, & Barrett didn’t have anything for them to like or dislike.

  592. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    July 9, 2018 at 8:13 pm

    What is the deal with Kavanaugh and obumblercare?

    – Essentially, he found a way not to rule through the anti-injunction act. He said the mandate was a tax and the anti-injunction act required a tax payer to bring the complaint. And since Obamacare had not been enacted, no lawsuit was “ripe”.

    In further comments though, it was clear he was not a fan of the law and wrote the mandate would a major change to the way government participated in everyday life.

  593. Bitterlaw says:

    I stand by my prediction.

  594. Phil says:

    What bitter said in 604.

  595. Tina says:

    My list

    Barrett/ best

    Kethledge

    Kavanaugh

  596. mnw says:

    Tina

    Without reaching the merits, Kavanaugh wrote that the Affordable Healthcare Act (Obamacare) might be constitutional if viewed as a tax. That is the argument SCOTUS subsequently used to rule that the Act was indeed Constitutional, & that is also why Rand Paul said he would vote “no” on Kavanaugh.

    Rand is my only concern about nominating Kavanaugh, but it’s a big one. McConnell said Kavanaugh would be a challenge to confirm.

  597. Tina says:

    With that said, I could see the Maine Chicklet or the Alaskan Sea Porker or maybe even flakey screwing something up.

  598. BayernFan says:

    amazing that there hasn’t been a leak with 30 min to go.

  599. phoenixrisen says:

    Prediction: Clarence Thomas retires after mid-terms, Barrett replaces him

  600. Tina says:

    Thanks mnw.

    Forgot him, he could derail Kavanaugh

  601. Robbie says:

    phoenixrisen says:
    July 9, 2018 at 8:31 pm
    Prediction: Clarence Thomas retires after mid-terms, Barrett replaces him

    – Assuming Republicans hold the Senate, I think that’s a good bet.

  602. Robbie says:

    There is zero chance Rand Paul scuttles Brett Kavanaugh. He’s a nut, but he won’t torpedo this.

  603. Tina says:

    Kavanaugh seems to be a bush mush pick.

    Could be good, could be ok, could be sheot.

  604. mnw says:

    Tina

    U r welcome. I believe Rand is the ONLY GOP senator who stated unequivocally that he would not vote for ANY of the 4 finalists.

    BF 613

    I agree. Amazing. Can’t recall anything like it.

  605. Robbie says:

    Please provide a link where Paul said he would not vote for of the four finalists.

    I haven’t seen anything like that and I have paid close attention to this selection process.

  606. Tina says:

    No leaks from the wh since Kelly got control and fired the Rinos.

    In contrast, to no leak, Fuhrer Mukeheads shop, which actually leaks by the swimming pool.

    Seems like poor Fuhrer will have to deal with shenanigans from Dirty Unweissman and Pete the Cheat.

  607. Robbie says:

    BayernFan says:
    July 9, 2018 at 8:40 pm
    Hardiman

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-picks-thomas-hardiman-supreme-court-003136375.html

    – There’s a lot going on with that story. The first paragraph says Trump picked Neil Gorsuch.

    It strikes me as a story that was used as a template for whomever was chosen and accidentally was posted.

  608. Robbie says:

    Michael Beschloss
    ?@BeschlossDC

    NBC News: Kavanaugh.

  609. Bitterlaw says:

    If Rand Paul voted against the nomination, JC will blame……John McCain.

  610. Tina says:

    Just an ok, Roberts mush pick.

    Phuq in bushes.

  611. BayernFan says:

    NBC says Kavanaugh

  612. Phil says:

    That wasn’t funny, Bayern. It was mean.

  613. Brandon says:

    Whatever happened to Bunu?

  614. Robbie says:

    Tweeted hours after Kennedy’s retirement.

    Rick Hasen
    ?@rickhasen
    Jun 27

    Since I got the Kennedy retirement right, here’s my next prediction:

    Justice Brett Kavanaugh

    Kavanaugh, like Gorsuch, would be another Scalia on the Court, as I explain in my book on Scalia’s legacy

  615. BayernFan says:

    what was mean?

  616. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    July 9, 2018 at 8:55 pm
    That wasn’t funny, Bayern. It was mean.

    – I’m glad I was not hooked to a blood pressure machine when he posted that.

  617. Phil says:

    Hardiman. I threw up.

  618. BayernFan says:

    the article was real and posted. Yahoo then deleted it. I was out there and being talked about.

  619. isaywhateveryo says:

    He wasn’t trolling. That was a yahoo article. I assume that it was a situation where they accidentally published one of the many alternative articles that they wrote. It was promptly deleted.

  620. Waingro says:

    Nice knowing ya, Skippy.

  621. Bitterlaw says:

    Roberts is very conservative despite the Obamacare vote.

  622. Tina says:

    Yahoo is fake news, like cnn

  623. mnw says:

    God, libs must just HATE this. They must think they’ve died & gone to hell. It’s wonderful!

  624. Tina says:

    Seems lik Kabanaugh and Roberts voted similarly on obumblercare.

  625. Phil says:

    Ok, Joe, go ahead and vote against this nominee. Your West Virginia voters can’t wait.

  626. Bitterlaw says:

    Uh oh. Trump had nice things to say about Justice Kennedy. Tina , NYC, and JC hardest hit.

  627. mnw says:

    Tina

    Kav said it MIGHT be constitutional, but Roberts said it WAS constitutional.

    Trump’s voice sounds hoarse.

  628. Bitterlaw says:

    I’m worried. His daughters look like soccer players. I need to know his views on softball.

  629. Tina says:

    Thanks again, mnw.

    Sounds like Robert 2.0

    Missed opportunity here.

  630. Tina says:

    I work have gone full Barret

    Or cloned Scalia.

  631. Tina says:

    The poor clintons flew commercial.

    Did the monies from the Clinton slush foundation dry up?

  632. Mr.Vito says:

    Kavanaugh will be a solid pick. Couldn’t go wrong with any of them.

  633. Bitterlaw says:

    He coaches CYO basketball? Not bad but still not softball. Depending upon the league, CYO basketball can be as dirty as SEC football.

  634. Phil says:

    Tina,

    Yes they did.

  635. phoenixrisen says:

    So, are the MSNBC talking heads look like they have eaten a lemon?

  636. Tina says:

    Oh, he does cyo work.

    Ok, he is great.

    I retract everything..

  637. Tina says:

    Phil, we know that by is not flying out to Lust Island.

    16 flights. He ditched his secret service to bimbo dic.

  638. Bitterlaw says:

    Trained by Jesuits? Flaming libs of the Church.

  639. Tina says:

    Any reaction from Rubin, the blob, the socialist, and the real cons?

  640. Biomom says:

    645

    Disagree. Seems fine. Thought Harriman was the one against here today. Hard to evaluate right now.

  641. mnw says:

    A bit of pandering. Won’t help.

  642. Phil says:

    I’m fine with this guy.

  643. Phil says:

    Maddow not happy. Going on and on about Garland.

  644. NYCmike says:

    “Trained by Jesuits? Flaming libs of the Church.”

    -Is this correct?

    I would think this is a negative, but since Scalia was also trained by Jesuits in high school, I’ll give him a pass until further notice.

    AND, if true that a tax-payer needed to bring the suit first to have judges rule on it, then Kavanaugh gets a plus for that.

  645. NYCmike says:

    “Going on and on about Garland.”

    -Judy Garland? Why?

    Because she is Liza Minelli’s mother?

  646. NYCmike says:

    The “liberal Democrat” Trump STRIKES AGAIN!

  647. Hugh says:

    Bitter. True. Jesuits make me nervous

  648. NYCmike says:

    ANOTHER white male! UGGHHH!

  649. mnw says:

    Rollout went well. Trump looked very Trumpian.

  650. Bayernfan says:

    Sen Booker just lied on MSNBC, saying that Trump is the subject of a criminal investigation.

  651. Phil says:

    666 Yeah. I just saw that. Lying MF.

  652. CG says:

    Several days ago Bill Kristol Tweeted this:

    “Trump’s Supreme Court nominee will be a product of the intellectual, educational, and organizational efforts of serious conservatives in recent decades. He or she will be a rule-of-law constitutionalist. He or she will be what Trump isn’t and someone Trumpism couldn’t produce.”

    I think that basically said it all and I am extremely happy with the selection of Judge Kavanaugh. I thought he was very impressive tonight. When it comes to important matters like this, I am glad the current President believes in outsourcing and allowed the Federalist Society and the Heritage Foundation to drive this process. That being said, Trump still had to make the final call and I think he did the right thing. There is not a day that will go by where I do not regret that someone like him is President, but I can also at the same time be grateful that Hillary Clinton is not picking people for the Supreme Court.

    So for now, with all the rest of the Trump tumult still swirling around, there is something to feel good about for the sake of the country, that will last long after Donald Trump departs from the scene.

    For a brief, shining moment, it feels like a Bush is President.

  653. NYCmike says:

    “For a brief, shining moment, it feels like a Bush is President.”

    -Certifiable.

  654. Waingro says:

    Crazy Chris Matthews on now with Maddow.

  655. mnw says:

    Chi

    Tonight was the most TV I’ve watched since the Blues’ season ended.

  656. Mr.Vito says:

    Kristol said on CNN two days ago that Hardiman or Kethledge would be best, because Kavanaugh is a ‘D.C.Insider’ and ‘doesn’t really add anything.’

  657. phoenixrisen says:

    Kossacks are majorly depressed, not foaming mad.

  658. Bitterlaw says:

    I really wish Garland had been voted on by the Senate in 2016 and defeated. It would shut Maddow up.

  659. CG says:

    I feel like I had no background or special knowledge to reach a logical preference for any of the major names mentioned and I was amused by all the back and forths on here about who was best and who was worst. (I live pretty close to the “Chicago Executive Airport” – formerly Palwaukee Airport) so I thought it was funny about all the Coney Barrett airplane speculation.

    Nonetheless, I was very impressed with Kavanaugh’s remarks tonight and I of course especially like that he served in the George W. Bush Administration.

    President George W. Bush has Tweeted tonight how happy he is with the selection of his “friend” Judge Kavanaugh.

  660. Tina says:

    Kristol also said the tax cuts were against his inner socialist tendencies.

    Nuff said.

  661. CG says:

    Those on the left who are still angry about Garland should take note that Kavanaugh has a daughter named… Liza!

  662. Tina says:

    Well another bush mush, the abc idiot, said garland would unite the country.

  663. CG says:

    Mrs. Kavanaugh also served in the Bush White House. You could tell by her body language tonight that she had no use for DJT. Barely even looked in his direction. Great family.

  664. Bitterlaw says:

    675 was almost a positive statement about something Trump did by CG.

  665. janz says:

    Well, the scattered rumors that Kavanaugh was the nominee proved to be true. He seems like a well-rounded, conservative who will consult the Constitution as a primary guide to his rulings.

    I feel sorry for him and his family, though, as the gauntlet of hateful Dem attacks begin immediately.

  666. janz says:

    #674 Do you really think a voted on and defeated Garland would have satisfied zealots like Maddow? Dream on! If they don’t win they rebel and call out their opponents with vicious names. That’s their never-ending political playbook.

  667. CG says:

    Santorum is pissed..

    “Bush pick” “Establishment pick” Done to make the elites happy…

  668. Robbie says:

    One of the many reasons I don’t hold Rick Santorum in high regard.

    John Podhoretz
    ?@jpodhoretz

    Rick Santorum says Trump hasn’t energized the base with this pick. “Trump bowed to the elite in Washington,” he says.

  669. Bitterlaw says:

    Janz – The Left is never satisfied but taking away one of their arguments helps. I stand by my post.

  670. Robbie says:

    It really is striking how well judicial nominations to the Supreme Court unite the entire party. Three weeks ago, we were mired in the separation policy debate and it was splitting the party in two. And then in an instant, the party was whole again over the chance to turn the Supreme Court to the conservative viewpoint.

    I bring this up because we are going to need a unified party heading into the election. I hope Trump understands that, at least for the next four months, he needs to pursue issues that motivate the entire party. If he does that (I won’t hold my breath), a disaster can be staved off.

  671. Mr.Vito says:

    No guarantee he would not have been confirmed, Mr. Bitter…

  672. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Amazed that the Democrats are criticizing Kavanaugh for working with Ken Starr. So in the MeToo age, the Democrats want to revisit Bill Clinton’s social escapades.

    My hunch is that Trump went with the candidate that he knew he had the votes to be confirmed, which is what really matters.

  673. CG says:

    Whether he actually goes through with it or not, I predict Rand Paul will threaten to vote no throughout much of this process and a specific poster here will defend Paul to the hilt.

  674. Mr.Vito says:

    SDC, didn’t you hear? He picked Kavanaugh because the judge has signaled he would protect the President from prosecution.

  675. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    681. “I feel sorry for him and his family, though, as the gauntlet of hateful Dem attacks begin immediately.:

    Agree Janz. But also have to say am already surprised how many people who could be described as “moderates” have praised the nomination.

    The Democrats expected Trump as quarterback to make a long pass to the right, and instead he ran up the middle.

  676. CG says:

    On.ce u.pon a time, Kavanaugh said a President could be impea,ched simply for telling li,es.

    I think he will affi,rm that he will be fair and impa,rtial in any matter that may come before the Co.urt related to DJT. His rema,rks ton.ight spoke of the impo,rtance of an inde,pendent judi,ciary and how it must be imm,une from any pre,ssure. Hopefu.lly Trump will be ok with that, as there was a brief bro.uha.ha when Gorsuch said someth.ing si,milar after he was picked.

  677. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    “SDC, didn’t you hear? He picked Kavanaugh because the judge has signaled he would protect the President from prosecution.”

    No. Have been preoccupied the last few days, and have not talked to some of my far left friends lately. Wouldn’t the leftist claim the same for all the possible nominees? Imagine Maddow already has connected Kavanaugh to Putin.

  678. Tina says:

    You were mired in the children in cages.

    Until those pictures came outlander obumbler.

    Then, the jebots went mute.

  679. mnw says:

    SDC

    Sure hope your hunch is correct.

    And I hope to God McCain resigns before the vote. I really doubt that a newly-appointed Senator Cindy would blow this up as soon as she gets there, even if she is a RINO’s RINO.

  680. NYCmike says:

    “Several days ago Bill Kristol Tweeted this:

    “Trump’s Supreme Court nominee will be a product of the intellectual, educational, and organizational efforts of serious conservatives in recent decades. He or she will be a rule-of-law constitutionalist. He or she will be what Trump isn’t and someone Trumpism couldn’t produce.””

    -This is true. Trump knows real estate. Merchandising.

    AND, he seems to know politics, especially today’s politics, as a cross between branding, salesmanship, constant action, and actual governing on what you campaigned on.

  681. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    464. I hate it when my comma key sticks, don’t you too,,,,,

  682. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    698. One way a Democratic senator running for re-election from a red state could avoid the actual vote would be to “pair” with McCain out of respect, and not vote also.

  683. Tina says:

    Did the socialist tweed from the lido,deck.

    What a stooge that guy has become.

    All because Hillary did not win.

  684. NYCmike says:

    “Mrs. Kavanaugh also served in the Bush White House. You could tell by her body language tonight that she had no use for DJT. Barely even looked in his direction.”

    🙂

  685. Tina says:

    Mrs. Kavanaugh wanted Hikkary to win.

    You could just see it.

    Jebot

  686. BayernFan says:

    699…..

    yeah its called working together and forming coalitions that can advance mutual interests.

    Trump is able to do that. McCain/Romney/Kristol can’t.

  687. NYCmike says:

    I keep reading items about Kavanaugh, like Gorsuch, being especially concerned with the powers of the administrative state, aka UNELECTED APPARATCHIKS.

    It strikes me that the “liberal Democrat”, President Trump, has now picked 2 justices who may look to help unwind this huge centralized system of rules and regulations, yet supposed “conservatives” like “CG”, Robbie, MD, Author, Kristol Meth, and the Max Boot (in his ass)-types just keep yapping about Trump’s previous personal behavior as a private citizen.

  688. mnw says:

    SDC 700

    Way too cute. No-one can hide on this, imo.

    If the vote is so close that it looks like Pence will have to break the tie, I honestly believe that Schumer may STILL pressure the Spotted Owls to vote no. You saw what he said today?

  689. NYCmike says:

    Right on, Bayern. You were one of the first here to call it for Trump back in 2016…….as was Scott Adams…….another person “CG” and Robbie choose to ignore.

  690. NYCmike says:

    Still looking for 1 picture to show Mrs. Kavanaugh.

  691. mnw says:

    Trump sure looked like The President of the United States tonight. Now he goes on a big roadtrip. Hope he keeps The President thing going, & doesn’t get in a tweet spat with some political/journo midget.

  692. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    707. “I honestly believe that Schumer may STILL pressure the Spotted Owls to vote no. You saw what he said today?”

    Schumer’s pressure will be intense, but the fear of potentially losing re-election may override Schumer — the most important thing to a red state senator in a battleground state is getting re-elected. The appearance of caving to Schumer is not going to impress voters in North Dakota, Indiana and West Virginia and other red states.

  693. jason says:

    I am sorry Bitter didn’t get picked.

    I am sorry it wasn’t Thapar or Barrett or Larsen.

    I am sorry it wasn’t Hardiman, it would have fun to see Amoral Scumbag’s meltdown.

    Kavanaugh is a solid pick however. He should get confirmed, although as usual Rand Paul will make an ass of himself.

  694. NYCmike says:

    “The appearance of caving to Schumer is not going to impress voters in North Dakota, Indiana and West Virginia and other red (in 2016) states.”

    -Florida, Missouri, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan….

  695. jason says:

    So Corey has analyzed Mrs. Kav and knows what she thinks of Trump?

    Hilarious.

  696. mnw says:

    We all agree that the pressure from the DEM base will be intense. The Spotted Owls may think the safest course is to fire up the base & take their chances in the GE. They may also calculate that voting to confirm won’t fool anybody.

    See Manchin as the one certain “yes” vote no matter what, though.

  697. mnw says:

    sb “I see Manchin”

  698. jason says:

    Good picture on Yahoo of Kavanaugh’s wife smiling at Trump.

    So much for Corey’s BS.

  699. Tina says:

    So, she actually smiled at trump?

    So, she must have been looking a him, i contrast to,the climton groupies post?

    Maybe post a link. It know the Jebot has a propensity to lie.

  700. jason says:

    “Tonight the president begins a forced march back to the days when women’s health care choices were made by government,” Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Ore.

    So the Obamacare proponents who want health care decisions made by the government have changed their mind?

  701. Tina says:

    Rand Paul wants to meet Kavanaugh.

    Has an open mind.

    Translated he will beotch, but vote yes.

  702. Tgca says:

    718

    So Kavanaugh’s wife caught flirting with Trump on camera? Trump was right! These women throw themselves at rich famous powerful men. Shameful!

  703. jason says:

    Like I said, first he has to be an ass.

  704. Tina says:

    Here is a picture of a smiling Mrs. Kavanaugh looking at President Trump.

    http://amp.dailycaller.com/2018/07/09/brett-kavanaugh-liberal-meltdown/?__twitter_impression=true

    Major fail by the Clinton groupie, who is still depressed over Her Thighness losing.

  705. Tgca says:

    I’m not sure why folks worry about a justice who is generally conservative. I don’t think the USSC serves the nations best interest if every justice is a clone of each other in philosophy. I personally prefer a court that is center right as opposed to radically right or left.

  706. mnw says:

    Tina 721

    That’s encouraging! Had not heard that.

    FYI, I will not respond to, or acknowledge the existence of trolls, let alone take direction from them.

    Rand Paul sent out a tweet about 3 days ago saying that he could not vote for Kavanaugh. The Chicago Tribune reported it, & Hot Air also picked it up & reported it. The tweet itself was not captured, but people who saw it quoted it to the Trib. Paul did not disavow the tweet. He declined to comment.

    Now, it seems like he’s fast-walking it back, thank God. I doubt torpedoing Kavanaugh would go over well with the KY GOP, or with anybody else in KY for that matter.

  707. mnw says:

    Tg

    Haven’t seen much of you today. Always good to see you prowling about!

  708. Tgca says:

    Mnw

    I’ve been busy at doctors all day getting pre-op tests. I have another orthopedic surgery next week. This one more minor but still involves cutting, stitches, swelling, and discomfort for at least a week or so. Ain’t you jealous? 🙂

  709. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Am sure red state senators up for re-election in 2020 are impressed with Corporal Schumer ordering them to go on a political suicide mission against Kavanaugh. The purpose of the mission is to protect Schumer from attack by leftists in his own party. Its sweet Schumer thinks they are expendable.

  710. Tina says:

    Conversation
    Terry McAuliffe
    Terry McAuliffe
    @TerryMcAuliffe
    The nomination of Judge Brett Kavanaugh will threaten the lives of millions of Americans for decades to come and will morph our Supreme Court into a political arm of the right-wing Republican Party.

    The. Punk ….

  711. Tina says:

    Senator Rand Paul
    @RandPaul
    ·
    2h
    I look forward to the upcoming hearings, reviewing the record, and meeting personally with Judge Kavanaugh, with an open mind.

  712. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Maybe Pelosi should shift her focus to addressing why her San Francisco congressional district is beginning to resemble a big open sewer. Leftism at work.

    “San Francisco, long considered a model of progressive urban policy, is plagued by filth, chaos, and public-safety hazards. Local leaders plan to spend an incredible $305 million on combatting homelessness for the current fiscal year alone, but disorder spreads as the city fails to enforce the rule of law and basic sanitary measures. Block-by-block surveillance reveals the deterioration of downtown San Francisco. Of 153 city blocks surveyed, 41 contained used drug needles and 96 had human feces present. Tourists are dismayed to leave their downtown hotels, to be confronted by mentally ill and aggressive homeless people who are taking control of the streets. University of California Berkeley professor Lee Riley, an expert on infectious disease, observes that some of San Francisco’s streets are dirtier than Third World slums.”

  713. dblaikie says:

    It is fun watching the liberal rage this morning! They have lost all sense of reality. The American people outside of liberal land see a wonderful family man of deep faith, who gives his time in service to others. Respected enough to be adjunct professor at Harvard, Yale, and Georgetown. Thoughtful enough to have his opinions upheld 12 times before the Supreme Court. In other words a person who is a natural for the Court.

    And in the face of these facts nutcases like Elizabeth Warren rant and rage. Chuck Shummer has gone off the deep end. Frankly the left looks ridiculous!

    It all plays into the red wave that is building in this country. I was a pioneer about the red wave of rage building several months ago and went out a limb to say so. In some ways I am still out there. But now I am going to go out further. I believe, despite all efforts to convince folks other wise, with targeted polls and other false narratives, that we will gain seats in the House. Once again I am out there all by myself.

  714. dblaikie says:

    By the way. If I am wrong I will not leave this site with my “tail between my legs.” I will take my well deserved lumps if I am wrong and if I am right I will be arrogantly humble.

  715. Bitterlaw says:

    My 15 year old daughter is a lib. We discussed abortion last night. She does not see a fetus as having rights. I told her that I have accepted that abortion is always going on o be legal but I don’t want to pay for it as a taxpayer or client of an insurance company. I also said that with the minuscule exceptions of rape and maternal health, I have no sympathy for women who have abortions. If some woman had an abortion and was later infertile, I would either yawn or find it amusing.

    We then discussed when the new Twenty-One Pilots album is coming out.

  716. dblaikie says:

    To me the abortion debate simply comes down to this: when is life in the womb a human being and not just a piece of tissue? If it is a human being it has rights. If it is a human being to abort it in most cases is horribly wrong. I say most because I have discovered in my life and vocation that life is not black or white in all cases. I wish it was. But because of us (humans) life is complicated and gray in many instances.

    Maybe we should say this — many folks believe a human life ends when the heart stops and you can’t make revive it. If that is true then maybe a fetus becomes a human being with rights when its tiny heart begins to beat.

  717. Bitterlaw says:

    DB – I think abortion is terrible. I have also accepted that it is never going away.

    Tgca should be here. He wants to discuss ABORTION!

  718. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    John McCain(R-AZ) voices strong support for Brett Kavanaugh. The good news about McCain’s statement is Flake and Corker will now support the nominee.

    https://mobile.twitter.com/SenJohnMcCain?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

  719. DW says:

    wow, it is a rare moment. Robbie, Ann Coulter, McCain, the Bushes, Trump, and conservative posters here, along with Republicans far and wide all agree on something: Kavanaugh. Only Rand Paul seems to be sideways on him.

  720. dblaikie says:

    Bitter, I agree. Abortion has been around for most of history. The disturbing thing today is that the left has gone so far from the motto of the old Clinton days. Remember, “safe, legal, and rare.” At least back then there was an acknowledgement that it was not a good thing although a necessary thing.

    Now the left almost acts like a abortion is a sacrament. By the way I use that word on purpose. And it disturbs me on many levels. It is a movement towards evil.

    Alexis De Tocqueville words are prophetic: “The greatness of America lies in its goodness. When America ceases to be good, it will cease to be great.”

  721. DW says:

    The ancient Romans 2000 years ago had a means of abortion. When a baby was born, if the parents didn’t want it–particularly if it was a girl, they would take the baby down to the local dump and throw it alive on the pile of junk. The term they had was ‘expose it’ meaning, throw it on the junk pile to expose it to the elements which would bring death in due course. Sometimes people would go down to the dump to see if they could locate a live baby to claim and raise as a slave.

    The only difference between the Roman practice and the USA is 4-5 months. It is just as barbaric.

  722. DW says:

    Does anyone know of poor Skippy is still waiting at Dulles for Barrett to arrive so he can carry her luggage?

  723. Wes says:

    I know Dean Heller’s smiling about this:

    https://www.rgj.com/story/news/politics/2018/07/09/rosen-consulting-business-little-known/746547002/

    He beat Shelly Berkley for similar reasons six years ago.

  724. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #739
    Here is Lisa Murkowski’s (R-AK) statement regarding Kavanaugh’s nomination to SCOTUS. She really is annoying. Her statement says NOTHING!

    https://twitter.com/lisamurkowski/status/1016511545340293125/photo/1

  725. Wes says:

    Db, there’s no evidence de Tocqueville ever said that.

  726. mnw says:

    47/51

  727. Wes says:

    I subscribe to the pro-choice position. I’ve detailed my reason for coming to this position in the past, so I will not repeat here. Nonetheless, what hurts those in the so-called “pro-life” movement is the propensity by many to make inane and even misogynistic statements. (See Dick Mourdock and Todd Akin.) At the same time, there are many on that side of the issue who uncompromisingly demand an end to all abortions and compare even abortions where the mother is a rape victim or is in serious danger because of the pregnancy to the Holocaust.

    People opposed to abortion achieve their ends best not by seeking legislation to outlaw the procedure–which by the way undermines their claim of supporting small government–but by persuasion. If a woman contemplating an abortion can be convinced sans governmental coercion not to have an abortion, then those opposed to abortions have achieved a much greater victory than if they seek to end the process legislatively.

    Many on my side of the issue would be open to compromises like outlawing late-term and partial-birth abortions. Sadly too many on the other side are bellicose on the issue and make unreasonable demands that defeat their own cause. (Admittedly there are extreme pro-choicers too such as NARAL, but with the advantage of media support, they can afford to be outrageous for the most part without materiall damaging their cause.)

  728. mnw says:

    I read that about Rosen (D) in NV & forgot to post it. I fear the voters won’t care. Resume padding? Compared to today’s scandals?

    I doubt Murkowski wants to be out there all by herself as the only GOP senator voting “no,” but who knows? She has evidence to show her that the AK GOP already doesn’t like her much.

  729. dblaikie says:

    Wes, it appears you are right. But at least I stand in good company, Reagan, Eisenhower, and even Bill Clinton. In any event it doesn’t really matter. A great quote is a great quote no matter where it comes from.

    So as a gesture of repentance let offer a quote that is not in doubt. This is one from Bruce Whitsitt in the American Thinker:

    “The greatness of America is not in question. The real question is, with leftist ideology steadily gaining a foothold, can that decency continue to flourish?

    When virtue is defined as that which the government deems acceptable, and when that same government aggressively assumes the role of caring for those in need, can the goodness survive? Goodness is not something that a beneficent government can bestow; it flows from the hearts of free citizens reared in a tradition of morality, independence, and resourcefulness. When the left denigrates that tradition and seeks to replace it with a materialist, deterministic ideology that empowers an ever-expanding government, American goodness — and hence American greatness — is gravely imperiled.”

  730. Wes says:

    What Rosen did is what Patrick Murphy and Shelly Berkley both did, Mnw. Each lost a Senate race because of it. Resume padding undermines Rosen’s credibility. She’s already an overrated candidate in my view, having beaten Danny Tarkanian with a plurality of the vote in a year when Trump was taking a kamikaze dive in NV and taking every Republican in the state down with him.

    Heller now has the ability to contrast his record as a respected public servant for decades with her disingenuous resume enhancement and singular lack of accomplishments on Capitol Hill. I have to think Team Heller is happy about this development.

  731. Wes says:

    By the way, I found it hilarious to watch Rachel Maddow melt down last night because Brett Kavanaugh believes a sitting President can’t be tried.

    That’s a pretty standard legal opinion.

    As I understand it, the President must be impeached and removed from office or resign or leave office upon the expiry of his term to be the subject of a criminal or civil case. I’m perfectly fine with that and see no malice in Trump’s motivation in selecting Kavanaugh.

  732. dblaikie says:

    Wes, I respect your position. My question is not a political one but a moral one — when does a human become a human? If someone wants to believe that doesn’t happen until delivery then so be it for them. But when that happens when that fetal tissue becomes a human being, that person has and deserves protection and rights.

    As for me, I can’t answer when that happens. So I error on the side of very early. I mentioned the heart in a post. It begins to beat at 6 weeks. But even that is an arbitrary beginning and debatable. But I believe a decision needs to be made imperfect though that decision may be. If what is taken out is nothing but tissue then there is no harm. If fetal tissue is a potential human being then ripping it out is a tragedy, but sometimes life is tragic. But if that is a human being in the womb, remembering that premature babies are living at progressively earlier dates during pregnancy then killing it is plain evil.

    So Wes, when do you think a human being becomes a human being? Whatever your answer I will respect it, because my tradition is centered in a another quote from the historical principles of the Presbyterian Church, “God alone is lord of the conscience.”

  733. DW says:

    here are the polls Wes linked above:

    Axios / Survey Monkey

    Florida: Scott (R) +3 over Nelson (D-Inc) among RVs, +3R to +9R among LVs
    Indiana: Braun (R) +2 over Donnelly (D-Inc) among RVs, +1R to +8R among LVs
    Michigan: Stabenow (D-Inc) +12 over James (R) among RVs, +12D to +9D among LVs
    Missouri: McCaskill (D-Inc) +2 over Hawley (R) among RVs, +5D to +5R among LVs
    Montana: Tester (D-Inc) +12 over Rosendale (R) among RVs, +13D to +9D among LVs
    North Dakota: Cramer (R) +5 over Heitkamp (D-Inc) among RVs, +5R to +10R among LVs
    Ohio: Brown (D-Inc) +8 over Renacci (R) among RVs, +8D to +R1 among LVs
    Pennsylvania: Casey (D-Inc) +14 over Barletta (R) among RVs, +15D to +9D among LVs
    West Virginia: Manchin (D-Inc) +13 over Morrisey (R) among RVs, +16D to +11D among LVs
    Wisconsin: Baldwin (D-Inc) +13 over Nicholson (R) among RVs, +17D to +11 D among LVs
    Arizona: Sinema (D) +4 over McSally (R) among RVs, +6D to +1D among LVs
    Nevada: Rosen (D) +3 over Heller (R-Inc) among RVs, +5D to +1D among LVs
    Tennessee: Blackburn (R) +14 over Bredesen (D) among RVs, +14R to +19R among LVs

  734. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #751
    All in all, pretty good. AZ & NV are far from lost and TN is WOW– Marsha Blackburn, you GO GIRL!!
    IN, ND, MO, FL are looking good and OH is closing.
    I do have a question about Ohio. Why is it that Jim Jordan can be excoriated for something he may or may not have seen over 20 years ago, but no one mentions that the Democrats’ Senate Ohio nominee, Sherrod Brown, is a documented wife beater?

  735. Wes says:

    I don’t regard that as something I can determine, Db. I’m not a woman and will never carry a child. I have fathered two children and never encouraged either mother to have an abortion. It’s simply not a question I think I’m qualified to answer.

    I’ve stated many people outside the radicals on my side of the issue would be open to reasonable compromises on the issue, which, given its nature, will have to be dealt with politically since we are highly unlikely to ever reach a consensus on exactly when a pregnancy shifts from inanimate but growing tissue to animate baby.

  736. Wes says:

    Good question, Sheep.

    Maybe Renacci needs to bring this up to the voters.

  737. mnw says:

    Wes 750

    Of course Team Heller is happy, & God knows I hope you’re right. However, the last poll I saw (I think Gravis) had her leading appx 45-41– anyway for sure with a 4-point lead. It doesn’t get much worse than THAT for an incumbent, right?

    Those kind of numbers tend to dry up FR, & cause people to start whispering “triage.” Yesterday FOX (Stirewalt?) moved NV from tossup to lean D. We should know right away if the Rosen story moves the dismal meter or not. The national GOP committees & big donors have so much going on that eventually very hard and unwelcome decisions will have to be made. There is an old military axiom, “You reinforce success, not failure.”

  738. DW says:

    SurveyMonkey not exactly a strong pollster, but nice to see TN not in play, and nice to see ND going our way, along with FL and IN. We still have work to do in MO, AZ, and NV. OH closer in this poll than some have thought, but disappointments in the poll include MT, PA, WV and WI.

  739. Wes says:

    I have a hard time believing Tester and Manchin are leading by as much as or more than Stabenow, but otherwise I regard the polls as sound.

  740. Phil says:

    Wes, at least Tennessee looks to be falling in line. That one baffled me. I would take a Split of Nevada and Arizona if it were offered right now. Montana continues to disappoint. Don’t understand the love affair with Tester. Never have. Mo. should be gone for Claire. Another I don’t understand, but I think we get that one in the end.

  741. mnw says:

    DW

    That IS startling about Blackburn. A yuuge move!

  742. DW says:

    Wes, I agree…Tester and Manchin may well win, but not by that much. I would rank both of those races as ones where the GOP candidate has room to grow…but not sure it will be enough.

  743. Wes says:

    DW, I believe Hawley will gain momentum after the primary.

    In AZ, notice McSally is in a primary with two more prominent opponents. I’d expect her to gain momentum once she puts Ward and Arpaio away.

    In NV, Rosen is having Patrick Murphy-style resume issues, which will be a boon to Heller, who’s been taking the race seriously and caught a break when Tarkanian dropped out of the race.

    In WI, I think it will close, but despite her vulnerabilities, I’m not sure either Republican seeking the nomination is in a position to oust Baldwin.

  744. dblaikie says:

    Wes I agree, that is why I error on the side of early. However that decision needs to be made, even though we humans are not qualified to make. I suppose it will have to be political.

    I too am open to a reasonable compromise with all that has happened medically with human viability since Roe. But my issue is that we have to have the courage to make and then stick to that reasonable decision.

  745. Wes says:

    I’m not sure Montana really has a love affair with Tester, Phil. He won 49-48 and 48-45 in good or great years for his party. If Rosendale can quit making unforced errors like ducking debates, I think he can beat Tester.

  746. Tina says:

    I am not worried about Az. The latest party registration numbers, from 3/18, show Rs net 17000 since 2016.

    Larry Schweikart had these numbers.

    And it is even better in Florida, net Rs are up over 100,000 over ds, when compared to 2016.

  747. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    If true, this is abhorrent. Was Kavanaugh’s daughter attacked at school this morning?

    https://twitter.com/_brettkavanaugh/status/1016672879046529024?s=19

  748. Tina says:

    We could see trump winning Florida by 200000 votes in 2020, if things continue.

  749. Mr.Vito says:

    So, based on those LV screens:

    Likely R: TN

    Lean R: FL, IN, ND

    Tossup: MO

    Lean D: AZ, NV, OH

    Likely D: The rest

  750. mnw says:

    About Survey Monkey:

    I’ve said this before: SM is to quality polling what Mad Dog is to Champagne. They’re real cheap & real fast. Unless they’ve changed their methodology, they’re online polls only. I get Survey Monkey polls about the Blues about every 2 weeks during the NHL season: “How would you rate the parking lot security? Excellent; Good; Fair; Poor?”

  751. Tina says:

    The more Drats riot in the streets, the more the electorate will turn away.

  752. Phil says:

    Beto continues to gain in popularity vs Cruz. – in NY and California…………Beto continues to run like the election is being held there.

  753. Mr.Vito says:

    768 I doubt that is a real twitter account.

  754. Tina says:

    Today could be a big day for Gen. Flynn.

    He is required to be in court by the judge, who seems slightly annoyed with the postponements in the case.

  755. Tina says:

    I posted the Tx Graffis numbers yesterday.

    Blue wave baby. /s

  756. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #774
    I hope you are right, but in today’s political climate and with Democrats acting violently, who knows?!

  757. Wes says:

    What do you mean, Phil?

    Tim told us there is no high ground in a wave.
    He also made it a point to tell me Blackburn was down by 10 against Bredesen–in March, which meant about as much to me as saying snails are a delicacy in France.

  758. mnw says:

    RCP does not post Survey Monkey polls & doesn’t include them in their averages, either.

  759. Mr.Vito says:

    “…which meant about as much to me as saying snails are a delicacy in France.”

    WHHHAAAAAATTTT!?!?! GROSS! –Tim

  760. Wes says:

    Hell, why not? I guess I should post my Senate rankings now:

    Solid R Hold-

    MS
    TX
    UT
    WY
    NE

    Likely R Hold-

    TN

    Lean R Hold-

    NV

    Likely R Pickup-

    ND

    Lean R Pickup-

    FL

    Tossup-

    AZ
    IN
    MO

    Lean D Hold-

    MT
    WV

    Likely D Hold-

    OH
    WI
    MI
    MN (2)
    NM
    PA
    NJ

    Solid D Hold-

    HI
    CA
    WA
    MN(1)
    VA (This hurts.)
    DE
    NY
    CT
    RI
    MA

    Likely I Hold-

    ME

    Solid I Hold-

    VT

  761. DW says:

    Had to comb through the details, but here are the actual numbers from SurveyMonkey as to likely voters…actually they called them Certain/Probably:

    Axios / Survey Monkey

    Florida:

    Scott (R) 51
    Nelson (D-Inc) 47

    Indiana:

    Braun (R) 51
    Donnelly (D-Inc) 46

    Michigan:

    Stabenow (D-Inc) 53
    James (R) 44

    Missouri:

    McCaskill (D-Inc) 50
    Hawley (R) 48

    Montana:

    Tester (D-Inc) 54
    Rosendale (R) 44

    North Dakota:

    Cramer (R) 52
    Heitkamp (D-Inc) 46

    Ohio:

    Brown (D-Inc) 52
    Renacci (R) 46

    Pennsylvania:

    Casey (D-Inc) 54
    Barletta (R) 43

    West Virginia:

    Manchin (D-Inc) 56
    Morrisey (R) 40

    Wisconsin:

    Baldwin (D-Inc) 56
    Nicholson (R) 42

    Arizona:

    Sinema (D) 51
    McSally (R) 45

    Nevada:

    Rosen (D) 49
    Heller (R-Inc) 47

    Tennessee:

    Blackburn (R) 58
    Bredesen (D) 40

  762. jason says:

    So Wes, when do you think a human being becomes a human being?”

    In my view, when it can survive outside the womb. That is when it would have “rights”.

    But I would accept the 20 weeks as a cut-off for abortions because I think that is enough time to decide whether you want to carry the baby to term or not

  763. jason says:

    I hope Skippy didn’t mean when he said he wouldn’t post again if it wasn’t Barrett.

    If being right was a condition for posting here, we would never see Amoral Scumbag.

  764. jason says:

    John McCain(R-AZ) voices strong support for Brett Kavanaugh”

    The circling vultures here hardest hit.

  765. Mr.Vito says:

    Well, there is no way there are 90%+ decideds throughout those races.

  766. Waingro says:

    The only disappointing number from those Axios poll is MO. But hopefully Hawley slowly gains some traction.

    I already see many “non-partisan” prognosticators are trashing polls though on twitter.

  767. Wes says:

    This is from RRH:

    Good possibility we have Rs gaining ground in the senate and losing the house.

    I find this scenario highly unlikely. If Dems are doing well enough to pick up 23 Senate seats, how are Republicans going to be getting enough voters out to make gains in the Senate?

    It’s just counterintuitive.

    The only time any election worked out that was way 1882 when Dems lost ground in the Senate because third-party spoilers cost them power in some state legislatures while they won the House because of GOP corruption.

    We now elect Congressmen and Senators the same way, so I don’t see how a split resulting in GOP Senate gains while Dems pick up enough seats to recapture the House is likely. I think Dems are going to gain House seats, but if Republicans are strengthening their Senate majority, I don’t see enough to flip the chamber.

  768. mnw says:

    My fellow posters, you do unnerstan’ that there’s a reason RCP won’t post Survey Monkey polls, or include them in their averages, right?

    Taking the poll at face value, I do not see MO as being disappointing at all. +2 for a two-term incumbent is bad for Hawley somehow? Really? Considering that Hawley has been invisible pretty much so far, I think it’s surprisingly good.

  769. DW says:

    Updated dashboard:

    Paladin – 2018 Senate Dashboard
    ———————————————————–
    ST | Cnt | Cook |Gonz | Saba | NYT | Fox | CNN | RCP | Score — Latest Poll
    ———————————————————–
    NE | 46 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    MS | 47 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    TX | 48 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.4 — 50/39 (Quin.) | 50/40 (CBS)
    TN | 49 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 — 58/40 (S-Monkey)
    —-Democrats need ALL the below for control—-
    ND | 51 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 52/46 (S-Monkey)
    MO | 50 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 48/50 (S-Monkey)
    IN | 49 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/46 (S-Monkey)
    FL | 48 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/47 (S-Monkey)
    AZ | 47 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.2 — 45/51 (S-Monkey)
    NV | 46 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.2 — 47/49 (S-Monkey)
    WV | 45 | Toss | Tlt D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.4 — 40/56 (S-Monkey)
    MT | 44 | Lk D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 — 44/54 (S-Monkey)
    OH | 43 | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.8 — 46/52 (S-Monkey)
    WI | 42 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.1 — 42/56 (S-Monkey)
    MN | 41 | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.7 —
    PA | 40 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.2 — 43/54 (S-Monkey
    MI | 39 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.2 — 44/53 (S-Monkey)
    NJ | 38 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.5 — 32/53 (Monmouth)
    VA | 37 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -5.1 — 33/44 (Roanoke) |36/54 (Quin.)
    ME | 36 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —

    Some of these toupees

  770. DW says:

    Hit send too soon, meant to say some of these toupees haven’t updated their senate rankings in a long time…very telling to me that they are much more interested in the house this cycle than the senate. They know the dems won’t flip the senate, but they all want to be the cheerleaders waving their pom-poms for house dems in their takeover attempt.

  771. DW says:

    I agree with Wes’s senate rankings. Some are tough calls–I might be tempted to quibble over whether ND is likely R flip or lean R flip, but these rankings are solid.

  772. Mr.Vito says:

    https://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=109&session=2&vote=00159

    Maybe West Virginians can remind Manchin that Byrd voted to confirm Kavanaugh…

  773. Wes says:

    Heh. Cook says Fischer is only in a Likely R position. Who exactly is going to make that race remotely competitive?

    From 1978 to 2000, Dems used their Governors as their Senate farm team. They last won a gubernatorial race in 1994 in the state.

    Ashford just lost a primary. He’s out of the running. Nelson became toxic after the Cornhusker Kickback. That’s it for him. Fischer systematically dismantled former Governor and Senator Bob Kerrey in 2012.

    Dems have no one left. However, Cook apparently thinks Jane Reybould–a Lincoln Councilwoman whose last appearance on a statewide ballot in 2014 for LG didn’t even get her to 40% of the vote–somehow has a minuscule chance of making Fischer sweat.

    You’re really reaching there, Charlie.

  774. Waingro says:

    “Taking the poll at face value, I do not see MO as being disappointing at all. +2 for a two-term incumbent is bad for Hawley somehow? Really? Considering that Hawley has been invisible pretty much so far, I think it’s surprisingly good.”

    mnw, I guess I’m “disappointed” to the extent that McCaskill still seems fairly formidable there, despite continually having low approval numbers and governing as a very liberal senator in an increasingly red state.

    This is the seat I want to flip more than any other to be honest. But like I stated above and you insinuate, Hawley has barely started hitting the ground running. And I recognize the stench from Greitens still lingers.

  775. jason says:

    which meant about as much to me as saying snails are a delicacy in France.”

    So you know about the snail who walked into a dealership and ordered a custom Caddie?

    He said one feature he wanted was a bit “S” painted on the sides of the car and on the hood.

    The salesman said “yes sir, we will order it” but could I just ask you why the “S” on the car.

    The snail said, “Yeah, when I drive by everyone will say look at that ES-CAR-GOT”

  776. Phil says:

    ‘’ How dare he be allowed to pick a Supreme Court Justice when he is under investigation”

    Joy Behar on the View this morning

    ….And TheView audience gives her a standing ovation.

    The left continues to melt down.

  777. jason says:

    There are a few disappointing results in that poll.

    WV and MT especially. OH too.

    On the other hand TN, ND, FL, IN are encouraging.

    AZ, MO and NV are close enough, no reason to panic there.

  778. mnw says:

    DW and all:

    Cook has 8 new House changes out just now, all in favor of the Ds.

  779. Wes says:

    How dare he be allowed to pick a Supreme Court Justice when he is under investigation

    It’s this quaint thing called the Constitution, Joy. It gives the President the right to fill national court vacancies by appointment with Senate confirmation. You should read it sometime.

  780. Tina says:

    And comedy has stated that the president was not under investigation.

  781. mnw says:

    Wes 795

    Greitens who? The stench does not linger, imo. Sky Queen talks only about Hawley’s “dark money” (constantly) & never mentions Greitens, as far as I know.

    I have been doing a little volunteer work for Hawley (very little) lately, just as I did for Talent. They have me part-time teaching volunteers at a FR phone bank, probably because I can barely walk. So, door-to-door work of any sort is out of the question. Greater love hath no man than volunteering to be a telephone solicitor! I CRAVE abuse.

    I’ve been negatively impressed that Hawley skipped all (as far as I know) of the outstate GOP county Lincoln Day dinners– basically similar to what you criticized Rosendale for in MT.

  782. jason says:

    A fairly balanced “opinion” at CNN by Barbara Perry.

    I particularly like the “most recent ideological posture” part.

    “Barbara Perry: Kavanaugh is perfect choice for a GOP president to make

    For nearly all of the 116 successful appointments to the US Supreme Court, two criteria have been paramount: ideological compatibility with the nominating president and objective merit.
    Despite Donald Trump’s insistence that he didn’t consider the nominee’s political views, the Federalist Society and the Heritage Foundation, which provided the president with suggested appointees, did. Brett Kavanaugh’s conservative ideology is compatible with these two interest groups and Trump’s most recent ideological posture.

    Yet Kavanaugh’s brand of conservatism is more akin to his mentor President George W. Bush’s “compassionate” variety than the extremism of many “movement conservatives” in the Goldwater/Reagan mold.

    As the nominee to replace his judicial role model Justice Anthony Kennedy, for whom he clerked, Kavanaugh is the perfect candidate to assume the Court’s swing seat under a Republican president. He may be less moderate than Kennedy, but he is not as incendiary as a Robert Bork, whose nomination failed in 1987 at the hands of a Democratic Senate, led by Ted Kennedy. Supreme Court nomination politics are even more polarized now, but the Senate is in GOP hands, even if only narrowly so, making a Bork debacle much less likely.

    In addition, Kavanaugh, with his two Yale degrees, and stellar professional pedigree, is unquestionably meritorious and qualified to take his place on the nation’s highest tribunal, joining the long list of luminaries who have graced its bench. Trump has been caught in many a lie, but he has made good on his campaign promise to name qualified conservatives to the bench. “

  783. jason says:

    Booker said last night that the “President was under criminal investigation”.

    I am sure we won’t see a correction.

  784. mnw says:

    Cory Booker says Trump chose Kavanaugh as “his ‘Get Out Of Jail Free’ card.”

    I really hope he is their nominee. I’d prefer him to Kamala or Lieawatha or anyone else.

  785. DW says:

    Wes, Cook has not updated his senate rankings since early April. Wonder why? He seems eager about the house updates, which he does weekly, and almost all in one direction.

  786. jason says:

    This might help with Collins and Murkowski…over at DKos they are already attacking them for statements that are viewed as “pro-Kavanaugh”. Collins praised Kavanaugh, and while Murkowski didn’t, she said she would pay close attention to the ABA rating Kavanaugh gets, and the ABA is certain to rate him as qualified.

    “Former President George W. Bush praised President Donald Trump’s nomination of Brett Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court on Monday, calling it an “outstanding decision” and praising Kavanaugh as a “brilliant jurist.”

    Trump announced Kavanaugh as his pick to replace the retiring Anthony Kennedy Monday night at the White House. Kavanaugh worked in the Bush White House as an associate counsel, staff secretary and assistant to the president. He was confirmed to the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals in 2006.

    “President Trump has made an outstanding decision in nominating Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court,” Bush said in a statement. “Brett is a brilliant jurist who has faithfully applied the Constitution and laws throughout his 12 years on the D.C. Circuit. He is a fine husband, father, and friend—and a man of the highest integrity. He will make a superb Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States.”

  787. jason says:

    I hope its Booker too.

    I think he is a lightweight.

    On the other hand, Harris and Fauxcahontas are so far to the left maybe we can risk it.

  788. jason says:

    Over at DKos they are running with the theory that the fix was in, that Kennedy negotiated Kavanaugh with Trump, and that Trump’s selection process was Kabuki Theater, Kavanaugh was the pick right from the beginning.

    If true, so what? It would certainly lend credence to the “Trump is a good negotiator” meme, if he made that kind of deal with Kennedy.

  789. Phil says:

    I don’t know, Jason. While Pocahontas doesn’t worry me, Kamala continues to scare the hell out of me. The only thing that gives me comfort is that, as you said, she is so far left that a lot of conservatives who didn’t vote for Trump last go around will likely vote for Trump against someone like Harris.

  790. Waingro says:

    #810, jason the CNN “journalist” that all the libs are basing this on has already backed off from the story. “Fake News” 101.

    https://twitter.com/LACaldwellDC/status/1016703464137723904

  791. mnw says:

    I suspect Collins & Murkowski may have made their Kavanaugh statements in part to dissuade protesters & pressure groups from driving them nuts.

  792. Phil says:

    Yeah, backed off after letting the tweet stay out there for four hours and get retweeted tens of thousands of times.

    Another example of our MSM’s “professional journalism”

    Leftist scum in action – again.

  793. jason says:

    Yeah, I saw the twitter disclaimer, but the left wing media is running with it anyway.

    Huge scandal, and the deal was made to protect Kennedy’s son who works at Deutche Bank.

    And of course, Putin is to blame too…

    “Hostile Takeover. I have no doubt that Putin didn’t stop at extorting the legislative and executive branch. He has kompromat on the judiciary and the 4th estate. This sad story isn’t going to end well.”

  794. jason says:

    This is serious, folks. Putin has infiltrated the judiciary all the way to SCOTUS.

  795. jason says:

    Rumors are that Putin has a red button on his desk that can shut down the power grid in the US. He won’t push it as long as Trump obeys all his orders, however.

  796. DW says:

    updated dashboard for the house, with Cook’s changes as well as some I missed a few weeks ago from CNN. Most, but not all these were in the Dem direction:

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ———————————————————————–
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ———————————————————————–
    CO_03 R | 153 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    TX_31 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    SC_01 R | 155 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    CA_22 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 — 49/41 (PPP)
    FL_06* R | 157 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    MO_02 R | 158 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    NC_08 R | 159 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_07 R | 160 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_10 R | 161 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_15 R | 162 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    PA_14* D | 163 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 —
    CA_50 R | 164 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 —
    PA_16 R | 165 | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.8 — 48/43 (PPP)
    IN_02 R | 166 | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    AZ_06 R | 167 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    AZ_08 R | 168 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    FL_15* R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    MI_01 R | 170 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    NC_02 R | 171 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    WI_06 R | 172 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    FL_25 R | 173 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    CA_04 R | 174 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    OH_14 R | 175 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    MI_07 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    MI_06 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    GA_07 R | 178 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    TX_21* R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_16 R | 180 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 4 — 49/37 (PPP)
    FL_18 R | 181 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    IL_13 R | 182 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 45/42 (PPP)
    NY_24 R | 183 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    IL_14 R | 184 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.6 — 45/41 (PPP)
    PA_10 R | 185 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    CA_21 R | 186 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    VA_05 R | 187 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | 3.6 —
    NY_01 R | 188 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    NJ_03 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | 3.2 — 48/44 (D-Internal)
    AR_02 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.2 — 47/42 (PPP)
    NC_13 R | 191 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 — 43/40 (PPP)
    WA_05 R | 192 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 — 48/45 (PPP)
    GA_06* R | 193 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    OH_01 R | 194 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.8 — 43/42 (PPP)
    NY_11 R | 195 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    MT_01 R | 196 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 2.4 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    WV_03* R | 197 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 2.4 — 41/43 (Monmouth)
    IA_03 R | 198 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.4 — 44/43 (PPP)
    VA_02 R | 199 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 48/42 (PPP)
    NM_02* R | 200 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 49/35 (Carroll Strategies)
    ME_02 R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 45/35
    MI_08 R | 202 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | 2 — 46/41 (PPP)
    NE_02 R | 203 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.8 —
    TX_32 R | 204 | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 —
    KY_06 R | 205 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 —
    UT_04 R | 206 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 — 47/43 | 45/39 (Salt Lake Trib.)
    KS_03 R | 207 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 —
    OH_12* R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 46/35 (JMC Analytics)
    NC_09* R | 209 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | 1.4 — 42/37 (PPP)
    CA_45 R | 210 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 — 43/46 (PPP)
    VA_07 R | 211 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.2 —
    KS_02* R | 212 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 —
    WI_01* R | 213 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 —
    IL_06 R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1 —
    TX_07 R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1 — 47/45 (D-Int.) | 37/31 incum. fav. (GSG-D)
    NJ_07 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 41/42 (PPP) | 45/47 (GQR-D)
    PA_01 R | 217 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 49/42
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    IL_12 R | 218 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 44/39 (PPP)
    TX_23 R | 217 | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 44/43 (PPP)
    MN_03 R | 216 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 43/46 (PPP)
    CA_10 R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 48/37 (ALG-D)
    CA_25 R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 49/42 (Srategies 360-D)
    CA_48 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 48/44 (D-Internal)
    CO_06 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 —
    NY_19 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 41/43 (PPP)
    NY_22 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 40/47 (Zogby)
    FL_26 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 42/27 incumbent favorability (GSG-D)
    IA_01 R | 208 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/43 (D Internal)
    PA_17 R | 207 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_01* D | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_02 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MN_08* D | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    WA_08* R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/45
    CA_39* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/38 (Remington-R) | 45/43 (D Internal)
    MI_11* R | 201 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.4 — 42/45 (PPP)
    NJ_11* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -1 — 42/40 (PPP) | 38/40 (Monmouth)
    PA_07* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -1 —
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.2 — 39/49 (Monmouth)
    NH_01* D | 197 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.4 —
    NV_03* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.4 —
    CA_49* R | 195 | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.6 — 41/44 (Feldman)
    AZ_02* R | 194 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    FL_27* R | 193 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2 —
    AZ_01 D | 192 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.6 —
    NJ_02* R | 191 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.6 — 39/44 (PPP)
    NV_04* D | 190 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.8 — 37/42 (D Internal)
    FL_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.2 —
    MN_07 D | 188 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.6 —
    PA_08 D | 187 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.6 —
    CA_07 D | 186 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -4 —
    NJ_05 D | 185 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -4 —
    PA_06* R | 184 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4 —
    PA_05* R | 183 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.4 —
    AZ_09* D | 182 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    FL_13 D | 181 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 180 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    WI_03 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -5.2 —
    CA_24 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.2 —
    NY_18 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.2 —

    *indicates open seat

  797. Phil says:

    ..and the “journalists” can’t understand how the rubes don’t trust them.

  798. phoenixrisen says:

    John James will beat Debbie Stabenow in Michigan That lead Stabenow is only because Michigan voters are not familiar with him but once they do, Stabenow is toast. Stabenow isn’t well-regarded. She hasn’t lost her seat due to weak challengers.

  799. DW says:

    also, wanted to point out that the new Feldman poll of CA_49 was a D internal from the Dem’s campaign. Sorry, but that is a huge sign of weakness when you are trying to flip a seat and all you can do is an internal showing you up 3 points.

  800. phoenixrisen says:

    The thing that has to terrify Stabenow most is Trump coming to Michigan and helping James with some campaign stops. People love Trump there for bringing manufacturing back. Like I said, that Stabenow lead is very precarious

  801. Wes says:

    That would be nice, Phoenix, but it’s not going to happen. Stabenow will win by low double digits. MI is still a largely Dem state, Trump’s victory notwithstanding, and John James is not going to win.

  802. NYCmike says:

    John James!

  803. phoenixrisen says:

    Wes, Michigan has become much redder. The GOP controls all three branches and what you saw with Trump winning there in 2016 was just a realization of how things have been trending there. Like Dane County in Wisconsin isn’t enough for Democrats anymore, Wayne County isn’t enough anymore. Plus James has a compelling resume to boot

  804. phoenixrisen says:

    Watch for James to campaign heavily in Macomb and Oakland counties. He won’t have to worry about the rest of the state though he will make stops in the Grand Apids area

  805. Mr.Vito says:

    He should get Ben Carson to campaign with him…

  806. Tina says:

    Has Fuhrer Mulehead sent in the attack dog, Weissman, and Pete the cheat, to investigate the infiltration of the judiciary?

  807. Tina says:

    At fake Indian and booker also noting that doj policy prohibits a sitting President from being subpoenaed.

    If I were trump, ignore .fuhrer.

  808. Phil says:

    …..so Pelosi says this pick is an attempt to end civilization as we know it. Hmmm, maybe we should reconsider our support for this guy. I mean, civilization is at stake for God’s sake!

  809. Phil says:

    Pete’s on the case as we speak, Tina.

  810. Mr.Vito says:

    Jim Geraghty
    ?Verified account @jimgeraghty
    15h15 hours ago

    I’m already getting tough opposition research about Kavanaugh…some questioned his clock management while coaching CYO basketball.

  811. Tina says:

    Kavanaugh reportedly called Hillary the b word at a party.

    This is where the Drats will fight.

  812. Mr.Vito says:

    “Kavanaugh reportedly called Hillary the b word at a party.”

    Are they trying to make him into a legend?

  813. jason says:

    Kavanaugh may be in trouble. His cousin once spit on the sidewalk and 3 witnesses say Kavanaugh said nothing.

  814. DW says:

    834 – oh my…that is terrible! I withdraw my support from Kavanaugh. Only the b word without three or four other similar words to go with it?

  815. phoenixrisen says:

    This leftist meltdown is absolutely epic.

  816. Wes says:

    Now what Phoenix said did recall to me something I was thinking about on a walk this morning: the 2020 Senate elections.

    On the surface, it would appear Republicans are in a precarious position going into 2020. They had a banner year in 2014 with a lot of incumbents untested in less friendly environments than the second midterm of an unpopular Dem President.

    I’m not sure that’s the case though. To make gains, Dems are going to have to grab some low-hanging fruit, which of course starts in states carried twice by Obama and Hillary. Only two states meet that criterion: CO and ME.

    In ME, Susan Collins has proved a waveproof incumbent in a state moderating from its Dem politics. She destroyed the Dems’ choice recruit ion 2008 and won with only token opposition in 2014. While Republicans would have a hard time holding her seat if she retired, Collins will win easily if she seeks reelection.

    CO is a different story. Although a charismatic, hard-working, photogenic workhorse of a politician, Cory Gardner has the disadvantage of running in a state that has generally not been kind to Republicans since 2004. Gardner himself is the only Republican to win a gubernatorial or Senate race in the state since the first Bush Administration. Although he did beat an incumbent in 2014, Gardner ran a near perfect campaign while Udall ran a disaster of one but still came within two points of hanging on. Dems will naturally look at this at their top 2020 target and try to pull a solid candidate into the race, thus making me think Gardner is in deep trouble in two years.

    After Gardner, the seats Dems have currently realistic shots in dry up rapidly.

    My home state of NC is likely their next big target after CO. Like Gardner, Thom Tillis is a hard-working pol who fits his state well. He was an underdog for much of the race but ultimately unseated Kay Hagan by about 1.5%. He was the capstone of the state’s rightward trend during the Obama years. That said, Dems here always fight hard for this state. While Tillis is in no current danger, Dems could find a solid opponent for him. If Trump loses the state, Tillis would definitely find his reelection complicated as NC has split its ballots between President and Senator only once in history. Right now though, I have Tillis as a moderate favorite against any opposition.

    Next up is AK. There, Dan Sullivan avenged Ted stevens’ shameful 2008 loss by just over 2% when he ousted Mark Begich. However, while a traditionally GOP state since the mid-’70s, Alaska has a moderately strong Dem Party that will take advantage of any opportunity to regain power. Currently they have no clear opponent for Sullivan, but it is possible one could emerge.

    IA–one of only three states featuring a 2020 Senate race (the others being NC and MI) to switch its presidential votes between the parties this century–would be the last possible realistic shot for the Dems. Joni Ernst though is very much in tune with the state, which has trended right in the past few years. Thus, Dems may have a hard time contesting her.

    All of the other GOP-held seats–SC, GA, TN, KY, MS, AR, LA, TX, OK, KS, NE, SD, MT, WY, and ID–feature Senate contests in heavily or largely Republican states where the incumbents have won comfortably. As of this writing, they range from likely to safe for the incumbent party.

    As for Dem-held seats the GOP can pick up, one is clearly almost a lost cause: AL.

    Doug Jones became Senator only because Roy Moore was a disaster of a candidate mired in an ever-burgeoning sex scandal. Jones still failed to hit 50% of the vote. He won’t face Roy Moore again, thus meaning he’s a likely goner.

    After AL, GOP offensive targets become slim.

    MI is probably the best shot. Gary Peters did win big in 2014, the GOP wave, notwithstanding, but he trailed Terri Land for much of the campaign till she essentially stopped campaigning in April. Peters is a bland, lackluster pol in a state creeping right. A good Republican MAY be able to beat him if Trump carries the state. At this point, I would say that is unlikely but possible.

    Four states offer more remote but at least semiplausible targets for the GOP: NH, VA, MN, and NM. If Republicans can get solid recruits in these states and turn their voters out while Trump makes a play for them, the GOP may be able to make them competitive. That probably won’t happen though.

    As for the rest, OR, IL, DE, NJ, RI, and MA are all safe for the Dems.

    Thus, tentatively I put the GOP at +1 in 2020 right now. This will of course change over time.

  817. jason says:

    Napolitano calls Kavanaugh a “swamp pick” on Fox & Friends.

    Napolitano claims to be on Trump’s list…

  818. New York City says:

    He won’t face Roy Moore again,”

    What, are you trying to do away with primaries again?

    I will support Roy Moore’s right to deliver another election to a liberal Democrat.

  819. Wes says:

    Republicans have won the governorship five of seven times since 1990, Phoenix. They’ve held the State Senate all that time and have won the State House all but three times since 1994.

    At the same time, Dems carried the state for President every time from 1992 to 2012 and have won all Senate races but one since 1976. Stabenow may not be liked, but she is a strong candidate whose only loss came in her bid for LG in 1994.

    At the same time, Trump carried the state by a few thousand votes probably only because Jill Stein split Hillary’s vote.

    Much as I would like to, I honestly can’t say I see even a remote possibility Stabenow loses.

  820. Phil says:

    Yes, Colorado is definitely going to be a fight to keep Gardner’s seat….and yes, Alabama is a slam dunk for the GOP.

    Nice analysis of senate races, Wes.

  821. jason says:

    Toobin (a legal analyst) at CNN says framer didn’t think SCOTUS judges would live past their 50’s.

    Age of Founding Fathers at time of death:

    AGE OF FOUNDING FATHERS AT TIME OF DEATH:

    G. Washington: 67
    John Adams: 90
    Thomas Jefferson: 83
    James Madison: 85
    John Jay: 84
    John Marshall: 80

  822. jason says:

    Good analysis wes.

    Considering number of seats at stake +1 would be a decent result.

  823. Mr.Vito says:

    “An Israeli organization said Tuesday that it hopes to become the first non-governmental entity to land a spacecraft on the moon when it attempts to launch a module later this year.”

    https://apnews.com/a691690a583d47bc86ecc44cc16c662a

    This is undoubtedly part of the plan to steal clouds and alter Iran’s climate.

  824. Mr.Vito says:

    “Toobin (a legal analyst) at CNN says framer didn’t think SCOTUS judges would live past their 50’s.”

    I assume they are asking for term limits now, after skewering Kennedy for retiring.

  825. Cash Cow TM says:

    the Left’s mantra:

    I pledge no allegiance to the flag (of the United States of Amerika because it has not always been unicorn perfect–and the flag triggers them and is a symb0l of _[fill in the blank]_ oppression.)

    Nor to the Republic for which it stands (but instead they pledge allegiance to street demonstrations, protests, mob rule, asshat thuggery, lawbreaking, antifa isis-style beat downs of anyone who opposes their view and they favor pure democracy and majority rule unless it is about abortion or the dozens of other things they disagree with that the majority of Americans want)

    One world-ism, no national (open) borders, let anyone who wants it come in…to get free everything

    definitely NOT under God

    with THEIR ‘liberty’ and their ‘justice’ for who they decide should have it–but definitely no justice or liberty for people who are not leftists.
    ********************************************
    What a shame we have gotten to this point.

  826. NYCmike says:

    Ginsburg & Breyer next to go……will the nation be able to handle that battle!?!?

  827. jason says:

    At the same time, Trump carried the state by a few thousand votes probably only because Jill Stein split Hillary’s vote.”

    Not too sure about this. Yeah, Trump only carried MI by 11 k votes and Stein got 51k.

    But Gary Johnson got 172k votes, so you can argue he took votes from Trump. Even if his votes split 2-1 for Trump, it would be more than enough to cancel Stein’s vote (even assuming all her votes would go to Hillary, a dubious assumption, many would probably not vote at all).

    Finally, another candidate on the right, Darrell Castle from the US Taxpayer’s Party, got 16k votes.

    It would be safe to assume that if it was only Trump vs. Hillary with no third party candidates, he still would have won.

  828. DW says:

    Jason, he probably appealed to Alexander Hamilton, who died in his 40s. Of course a duel had something to do with that, but facts don’t matter to libs.

  829. DW says:

    Some more founding fathers

    James Monroe 73
    Benjamin Franklin 84
    Samuel Adams 81
    George Wythe 80
    John Witherspoon 71

    Sure, there are some too who died in their 60s like Patrick Henry, but given the primitive state of medicine back then…wow. George Washington was bled to death by doctors trying to get out the badness. Often medicine wasn’t more complicated than a shot of whiskey and prayer from a clergyman.

    But any notion that the founders didn’t think SCOTUS members would live past 50 is hogwash.

  830. mnw says:

    I don’t see AL SEN as being a slam dunk– depends how much or how little Jones adjusts his votes to please his constituents. Look at Manchin. (Yes, there are a lot of differences– I know that.)

    If I were Jones, I would’ve JUMPED at the chance to be the only DEM senator at the announcement last night, & I would’ve announced my “yes” vote right afterwards. That would’ve been a good start.

  831. jason says:

    Right, studies have showed that the normal human lifespan has really not changed, what has changed is life expectancy due to better nutrition, medical care and drugs, safety regulations, etc.

    While the average life expectancy was a lot lower in the mid 1800’s, often people who did have access to adequate nutrition and housing and medical care of the day lived into their 80’s or 90’s.

  832. jason says:

    I do see AL as a slam dunk. Jones is far too left for AL and he won’t be able to “adjust” his votes enough to make a difference.

    The only way he survives, maybe, is if he changed parties. Given his ideology, that won’t happen.

    Dems were unlucky that the candidate that lucked out into the seat wasn’t a more moderate Dem.

  833. DW says:

    in addition to that jason, often half of the population of kids infant to ten were wiped out by childhood diseases. But if you made it to adulthood, you had a decent chance to make it to a ripe old age providing you didn’t suffer from common complications like hypertension or diabetes, etc.

  834. mnw says:

    If I’m Jones, I’d rather risk alienating the DEM base and improve my GE chances. Jones is in a situation where he can’t afford to be risk averse.

    AXIOS

    They’re popping up a lot– at NRO, for example. It aspires to be a straight, nonpartisan news site. I can see why they hired Survey Monkey.* It’s very cheap, & the results attract a lot of attention.

    * 538 rates Survey Monkey D-, which is the lowest grade you can get & not be dropped entirely.

  835. mnw says:

    jason

    You could well be right about Jones. So far he hasn’t made any effort to cater to conservative AL voters– not that I know of. From this I conclude, tentatively, that he’s not very imaginative.

  836. Tina says:

    According to Schumah, Kavanaugh will obstruct the Fuhrer Mulehead Investigation.

  837. NYCmike says:

    The new history books say that the Founding Fathers lived longer because they fed off the flesh of the poor people.

  838. mnw says:

    If Jones votes no on Kavanaugh, I would then conclude that he isn’t serious about getting reelected.

  839. jason says:

    I don’t think it matter how he votes. If he doesn’t get a deadender as an opponent, he is a goner. Even a moron like Mo Brooks would beat him.

  840. jason says:

    Terry McCauliffe is unhinged too…

    “The nomination of Judge Brett Kavanaugh will threaten the lives of millions of Americans for decades..”

  841. Phil says:

    Jones won by one percent against Roy Moore for crying out loud. He’s toast and he knows it. Doesn’t matter how he votes. His only shot would be (and it would be slim to be sure) to run in a low turnout special election against a hugely flawed candidate. His opponent won’t be flawed like Moore and he is up in a presidential year so he won’t get his low turnout election especially with a Marxist like Kamala at the top of the ballot. That won’t exactly work in Alabama.

    Yes, this is a slam dunk if there ever was one. He’s GONE!…..and he knows it as does Schumer.

  842. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    July 10, 2018 at 2:08 pm
    If Jones votes no on Kavanaugh, I would then conclude that he isn’t serious about getting reelected.

    – Jones knows he has ZERO chance of winning reelection in 2020. He won in a fluke. He’ll vote against Kavanaugh because he’s a Democrat and, generally speaking, a liberal. Why rock the boat and vote for someone he almost certainly opposes?

    There’s really no pressure on Jones. If he votes for Kavanaugh, he’ll lose in 2020. If he votes against Kavanaugh, he’ll lose in 2020.

  843. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 10, 2018 at 2:25 pm
    Terry McCauliffe is unhinged too…
    “The nomination of Judge Brett Kavanaugh will threaten the lives of millions of Americans for decades..”

    – People seem to forget not everything requires someone to go from zero to light speed instantly.

  844. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    July 10, 2018 at 8:36 am
    wow, it is a rare moment. Robbie, Ann Coulter, McCain, the Bushes, Trump, and conservative posters here, along with Republicans far and wide all agree on something: Kavanaugh. Only Rand Paul seems to be sideways on him.

    – This comment reinforces what I wrote last night.

    Judges are an issue that unites the entire Republican Party. So do taxes and national defense.

    When Trump focuses on the unifying issues, he brings the whole party along with him. When he focuses on immigration, he uses a wedge issue that splits his own party.

    At least for the next four months, he should focus on the unifying issues. They might help stave off disaster.

  845. jason says:

    Wow, Amoral Scumbag is quoting the Free Beacon? I am sure its an oversight, he wouldn’t want to put his MSM Sycophant & Toady credentials at risk.

  846. jason says:

    When he focuses on immigration, he uses a wedge issue that splits his own party.”

    Zzzzzz……

    Is that what you read over at MSNBC?

  847. Phil says:

    I would generally agree with Robbie on this one except that the Democrats have swerved so far left on illegal immigration (abolish ICE) that Republicans can run on that one too. Democrats have now gone so far to the extreme on borders that they have left the playing field all to the Republicans.

    They are stupid stupid stupid. They have let the mask slip.

  848. Robbie says:

    Looking at those Senate polls, I have two thoughts.

    First, I’m a little leery of the polls themselves because of the time range. They look to cover several weeks or so unless I read it incorrectly.

    Second, I think candidate selection is really going to hurt Republicans in WV and MT. Just my own view, but I think Republicans would be much better positioned if Evan Jenkins was the nominee in WV and either Fox or Rehberg were the nominee in MT.

  849. Phil says:

    ….and Democrats cannot afford to let the mask slip and get elected. When voters know what Democrats really think they go down.

  850. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    July 10, 2018 at 2:37 pm
    I would generally agree with Robbie on this one except that the Democrats have swerved so far left on illegal immigration (abolish ICE) that Republicans can run on that one too. Democrats have now gone so far to the extreme on borders that they have left the playing field all to the Republicans.
    They are stupid stupid stupid. They have let the mask slip.

    – Specifically, I’m pointing to the child separation issue. Regardless of poll, that issue knocked down Trump’s approval by several points.

    If Trump’s talking about zero tolerance at the border or even the wall (I don’t support the wall), he’s on better footing.

  851. jason says:

    France and Belgium playing a great game. Halftime.

  852. Phil says:

    The child separation thing is no longer an issue. Trump signed the order. How do I know it’s no longer an issue? CNN has shut up about it. Nope, abolish ICE has become the battle cry on the left. Good. Keep pounding that Democrats. IT’S A WINNER!

    I think it’s become clearer and clearer that open borders is where Democrats are coming from. The mask has dropped. Shoot, Kamala and Pocahontas have come out for catch and release. We all have seen how that one polls.

  853. DW says:

    “The nomination of Judge Brett Kavanaugh will threaten the lives of millions of Americans for decades..”

    Theaten the lives of millions? Like the millions slaughtered over the years through abortion? Like the millions of elderly the left would just as soon euthanize?

  854. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag as usual lets his blind hatred of Trump interfere with his objectivity, not that there was much to start with.

    You don’t have to agree with Trump’s immigration policies to understand that it’s a winning issue for him.

    And of course, the whole fake “separation” policy issue, actually implemented by Clinton and continued by Obama, backfired spectacularly on the Democrats and contrary to Amoral Scumbag’s MSM driven narrative, did not cost Trump ANY approval points since its at 43.4. If you look at the RCP graph you see his approval remained steady, there is a small uptick in disapproval of less than 2 points.

  855. jason says:

    The child separation thing is no longer an issue.”

    The MSM is still talking about it so their parrot here will follow suit.

  856. Tina says:

    Yeah, trump splits the r party each time the rino of the day brings up amnesty.

    The public want border enforcement. That includes more Ice, not disbanding them.

  857. Wobbles says:

    Shoot, Kamala and Pocahontas ”

    Now you Trump Chumps are advocating violence?

  858. Tina says:

    The muh cages was shut down with the eo, a temporary fix, and the pictures of the obumbler caging the kids or foil wrapping them,

    Also, the Drats unhinged themselves further by calling for an end to Ice.

  859. Mr.Vito says:

    “The nomination of Judge Brett Kavanaugh will threaten the lives of millions of Americans for decades..”

    And the election of Trump…

    And putting Gorsuch on the court…

    And cutting regulations…

    And the tax cuts…

    And removing the individual mandate…

    And ending net neutrality…

    And enforcing the border…

    And meeting with Kim…

    And not meeting with Kim…

    And…

  860. Tina says:

    Muh cages had no impact on his polls.

    Just like trumps sister had no impact on the sc pick.

  861. Mr.Vito says:

    “France and Belgium playing a great game. Halftime.”

    I agree. Halftime is the best part.

  862. Phil says:

    The left hyped up the “child separation” issue in the first place. Then they overplayed their hand and let their inner open borders instincts come out in the open. Just further clarified to the electorate where they are really coming from when it comes to borders and border security. The mask dropped. In short, it did the Democratic Party a lot of long term damage on the perception of border security.

  863. jason says:

    Ma, the NYC fish didn’t go for the Mo Brooks bait.

    Switch it out.

  864. jason says:

    France 1 Belgium 0

  865. jason says:

    Redactstein?

    I love it here.

  866. NYCmike says:

    It was close…..I was just about to cast the line…..then figured I would sit back and have a beer instead.

  867. jason says:

    Yeah, what happened to Amoral Scumbag’s (borrowed) narrative that Trump’s sister was in charge of picking the nominee?

    Meanwhile poor Skippy is auto-exiled for a much lesser fake narrative.

  868. jason says:

    Dammit Ma, should have left the bait in for another 2 minutes.

  869. Mr.Vito says:

    Fortunately he is not in a sanctuary city.

    http://www.foxnews.com/us/2018/07/10/man-claims-smugglers-who-got-him-across-us-mexico-border-told-him-to-rob-florida-home-police-say.html

    “The 32-year-old claimed to have crossed the U.S.-Mexico border after traveling from Guatemala and was still in custody Tuesday at the Lake County Jail on an ICE detainer following the weekend incident in Mascotte, west of Orlando, records showed.”

  870. jason says:

    Kavanaugh is going to “rip healthcare” away from millions of Americans….

  871. Waingro says:

    BOOM.

    Wired Sources
    ? @WiredSources

    BREAKING: Moderate GOP Sen. Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins signal support for President Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, with Collins telling reporters that Kavanaugh is “clearly is qualified for the job” – Politico
    2:05 PM – 10 Jul 2018

  872. Tina says:

    Keith Ellison, a loon, now wants the Drats to impeach sc justices, naming Clarence Thomas.

  873. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 10, 2018 at 3:15 pm
    Yeah, what happened to Amoral Scumbag’s (borrowed) narrative that Trump’s sister was in charge of picking the nominee?

    – The ease with which you lie about what I have written is astonishing.

    Please show me one post where I wrote that “Trump’s sister was in charge of picking the nominee”.

    I said no such thing.

  874. Phil says:

    ….and Schumer thinks Heidi, Donnely, and Manchin are going to walk the plank and take a bullit for the cause on a vote Democrats can’t win anyway? Actually, I don’t think he does. He knows better. Expect a fairly quick confirmation by October. Think these red state Dems up for re-election want to be seen as trying to obstruct and delay this judge from being seated in the October term? Think again. In fact, it’s going to be bad enough for Sky queen and Nelson.

  875. Diamond Jim says:

    CM

  876. DW says:

    “Meanwhile poor Skippy is auto-exiled for a much lesser fake narrative.”

    Maybe he will come back when Ginsburg gets replaced with Barrett?

  877. Tina says:

    ed to receive an early morning phone call today from President @realDonaldTrump……
    10:11 AM – Jul 10, 2

    Goober Graham

    I think he has a man chrush on Trump lately.

  878. Mr.Vito says:

    It only makes sense if Schumer thinks having Kavanaugh confirmed will depress their base and energize republicans so that they will not take either chamber of Congress.

  879. NYCmike says:

    “Please show me one post where I wrote that “Trump’s sister was in charge of picking the nominee”.”

    -Please show one post where anyone, OTHER THAN “CG”, would have wasted time speaking about Trump’s sister.

  880. mnw says:

    Really good article at FOX by John Fund: “Only One Way to Stop Kavanaugh and Schumer Knows What It Is”

    The heading notwithstanding, Fund concludes that 1) They can’t do it without Collins & Murkowski, and 2) C & M will vote “yes” and therefore 3) K gets confirmed– unless there is the proverbial photo of him with a sheep.

    But what is interesting & makes the article worth reading is his careful explication of the political realities C & M face in ME & AK.

    There’s quite a bit of info in there that I wasn’t fully aware of. It would be tantamount to announcing they won’t run again if either C or M votes “no” on Kavanaugh. For example, I did not know that ME has a closed GOP primary, nor did I recall that M barely got 40% of the vote last time– against a ‘some dude’ DEM & libertarian Joe Miller.

  881. jason says:

    lease show me one post where I wrote that “Trump’s sister was in charge of picking the nominee”.

    I said that was your “narrative”

    Amoral Scumbag is so stupid he forgets his posts are here for everyone to read.

    “The ones to thank if Trump picks a massive dud like Hardiman are Rick Santorum and Trump’s sister,”

    so you can certainly infer she has a lot of influence.

    GFY

  882. Tina says:

    You are wrong nyc, I was concerned that Mrs. Kavanaugh never smiled at or looked at Trump.

    Jebot

  883. jason says:

    “Unless there is the proverbial photo of him with a sheep.”

    A male sheep.

  884. jason says:

    Where is Corey to talk about Smilegate.

  885. Mr.Vito says:

    You are all wrong… Trump gets his advice from Steve Bannon and Fox and Friends.

  886. phoenixrisen says:

    #897 — Gee, that was quick! LOL!!!

    This is going to be a quick confirmation. Schumer and Pelosi are cursing Trump and McConnell behind closed doors. Then again, I have to wonder if they are cursing most of all Kennedy at retiring. This may have been the final nail in the coffin to the Dems’ chances in 2018. If the GOP retains the House, expect Pelosi to lose her leadership post. There are is a groundswell within the Democratic caucus that is bubbling below the surface. Schumer in the Senate I don’t believe will lose his post.

  887. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    “Wired Sources
    ? @WiredSources
    BREAKING: Moderate GOP Sen. Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins signal support for President Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, with Collins telling reporters that Kavanaugh is “clearly is qualified for the job” – Politico”

    Trump picked a nominee he knew already had the necessary votes for confirmation.

    The Democrats will be diverted again for several months by another political suicide mission, which will help Republicans in the midterm election.

  888. BayernFan says:

    What with the Brexit drama, PM May on thin ice, Trump visiting, and England vs Croatia and then its next game (perhaps vs France), the UK is gonna be absolutely bananas over the next few days.

  889. NYCmike says:

    “Trump picked a nominee he knew already had the necessary votes for confirmation.”

    -Hopefully, in the near future, we will have a chance to replace Ginsburg and Breyer with a nominee who will have the votes, BUT ONLY BECAUSE an expanded majority in the United States Senate.

  890. NYCmike says:

    Actually, I should not say “BUT ONLY BECAUSE”, as I thought it quite ridiculous that Murk and Collins would say that someone like Barrett is unqualified.

  891. DW says:

    BOOM

    CA_25

    Knight (R) 45
    Hill (D) 40

    Global Strategy Group (D)
    400 LVs

    This a tossup seat below the magic line on the dashboard.

  892. DW says:

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ———————————————————————–
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ———————————————————————–
    CO_03 R | 153 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    TX_31 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    SC_01 R | 155 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    CA_22 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 — 49/41 (PPP)
    FL_06* R | 157 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    MO_02 R | 158 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    NC_08 R | 159 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_07 R | 160 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_10 R | 161 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_15 R | 162 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    PA_14* D | 163 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 —
    CA_50 R | 164 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 —
    PA_16 R | 165 | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.8 — 48/43 (PPP)
    IN_02 R | 166 | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    AZ_06 R | 167 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    AZ_08 R | 168 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    FL_15* R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    MI_01 R | 170 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    NC_02 R | 171 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    WI_06 R | 172 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    FL_25 R | 173 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    CA_04 R | 174 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    OH_14 R | 175 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    MI_07 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    MI_06 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    GA_07 R | 178 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    TX_21* R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_16 R | 180 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 4 — 49/37 (PPP)
    FL_18 R | 181 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    IL_13 R | 182 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 45/42 (PPP)
    NY_24 R | 183 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    IL_14 R | 184 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.6 — 45/41 (PPP)
    PA_10 R | 185 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    CA_21 R | 186 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    VA_05 R | 187 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | 3.6 —
    NY_01 R | 188 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    NJ_03 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | 3.2 — 48/44 (D-Internal)
    AR_02 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.2 — 47/42 (PPP)
    NC_13 R | 191 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 — 43/40 (PPP)
    WA_05 R | 192 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 — 48/45 (PPP)
    GA_06* R | 193 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    OH_01 R | 194 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.8 — 43/42 (PPP)
    NY_11 R | 195 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    MT_01 R | 196 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 2.4 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    WV_03* R | 197 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 2.4 — 41/43 (Monmouth)
    IA_03 R | 198 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.4 — 44/43 (PPP)
    VA_02 R | 199 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 48/42 (PPP)
    NM_02* R | 200 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 49/35 (Carroll Strategies)
    ME_02 R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 45/35
    MI_08 R | 202 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | 2 — 46/41 (PPP)
    NE_02 R | 203 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.8 —
    TX_32 R | 204 | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 —
    KY_06 R | 205 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 —
    UT_04 R | 206 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 — 47/43 | 45/39 (Salt Lake Trib.)
    KS_03 R | 207 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 —
    OH_12* R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 46/35 (JMC Analytics)
    NC_09* R | 209 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | 1.4 — 42/37 (PPP)
    CA_45 R | 210 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 — 43/46 (PPP)
    VA_07 R | 211 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.2 —
    KS_02* R | 212 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 —
    WI_01* R | 213 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 —
    IL_06 R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1 —
    TX_07 R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1 — 47/45 (D-Int.) | 37/31 incum. fav. (GSG-D)
    NJ_07 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 41/42 (PPP) | 45/47 (GQR-D)
    PA_01 R | 217 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 49/42
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    IL_12 R | 218 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 44/39 (PPP)
    TX_23 R | 217 | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 44/43 (PPP)
    MN_03 R | 216 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 43/46 (PPP)
    CA_10 R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 48/37 (ALG-D)
    CA_25 R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 49/42 (Srat. 360-D) | 45/40 (GSG-D)
    CA_48 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 48/44 (D-Internal)
    CO_06 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 —
    NY_19 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 41/43 (PPP)
    NY_22 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 40/47 (Zogby)
    FL_26 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 42/27 incumbent favorability (GSG-D)
    IA_01 R | 208 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/43 (D Internal)
    PA_17 R | 207 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_01* D | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_02 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MN_08* D | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    WA_08* R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/45
    CA_39* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/38 (Remington-R) | 45/43 (D Internal)
    MI_11* R | 201 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.4 — 42/45 (PPP)
    NJ_11* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -1 — 42/40 (PPP) | 38/40 (Monmouth)
    PA_07* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -1 —
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.2 — 39/49 (Monmouth)
    NH_01* D | 197 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.4 —
    NV_03* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.4 —
    CA_49* R | 195 | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.6 — 41/44 (Feldman)
    AZ_02* R | 194 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    FL_27* R | 193 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2 —
    AZ_01 D | 192 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.6 —
    NJ_02* R | 191 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.6 — 39/44 (PPP)
    NV_04* D | 190 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.8 — 37/42 (D Internal)
    FL_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.2 —
    MN_07 D | 188 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.6 —
    PA_08 D | 187 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.6 —
    CA_07 D | 186 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -4 —
    NJ_05 D | 185 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -4 —
    PA_06* R | 184 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4 —
    PA_05* R | 183 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.4 —
    AZ_09* D | 182 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    FL_13 D | 181 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 180 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    WI_03 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -5.2 —
    CA_24 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.2 —
    NY_18 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.2 —

    *indicates open seat

  893. jason says:

    Trump picked a nominee he knew already had the necessary votes for confirmation.

    “jason says:
    July 5, 2018 at 2:07 pm

    Trump would be smart to keep floating names out there as bait, and see what the MSM/Dems come up with in response.

    Of course, he should nail down enough votes before the announcement so the rest is just circus.”

    Sniff…I wrench my shoulder trying to pat myself on the back.

  894. jason says:

    “I wrench”?

    Me no talk good but still genius.

  895. DW says:

    good call Jason, I could find the quote from a couple days ago where I said there would be a head-fake nominee circulating, and then the real nominee would be seen at airport or something like that and would turn out to be the real one.

    Hardiman was the late head-fake, and Kavanaugh was seen getting into the telltale black SUV.

  896. DW says:

    If the prognosticators were honest, they would move CA_25 to Lean R. Two polls now done by a Dem pollster with a 7 and 5 point lead for Knight.

    If ‘lean’ has any meaning at all, this seat should be lean R.

  897. jason says:

    as I thought it quite ridiculous that Murk and Collins would say that someone like Barrett is unqualified..”

    Did they actually say that or are you just making sh-t up again?

  898. jason says:

    But what about Skippy?

    Ze plane, Ze plane…..

  899. DW says:

    My quote from Friday:

    DW says:
    “July 6, 2018 at 6:04 pm
    SCOTUS prediction:
    Sometime this weekend there will be a false rumor about who Trump picked, and then late Sunday night, someone will notice that one of the candidates has booked a flight to D.C.to appear with Trump for the announcement on Monday. Then it will be unofficially leaked, speculation will continue to swirl, and then a news agency will confirm it with a breaking news update.”

    I gave the news media too much credit. When Yahoo News released their story it said Trump had picked Hardiman.

  900. Robbie says:

    Trade wars are good and easy to win.

    John G. Murphy
    @JGodiasMurphy

    BMW moving some production to China, raising prices on SC-made SUVs in response to tariffs, via @postandcourier https://www.postandcourier.com/business/bmw-moving-some-production-to-china-raising-prices-on-sc/article_2dab2678-837a-11e8-9b27-3fa07b822913.html

  901. Tina says:

    Fuhrer Mulehead needs to investigate smile gate,

    Send in the mistress since Pete the cheat is busy elsewhere.

  902. NYCmike says:

    https://pjmedia.com/trending/their-finest-hour/

    “What more do you need to know about the difference between Eastern and Western Europe in 2018? When Donald Trump visited Poland last July, he was greeted with wall-to-wall cheers, a sea of American flags, and enthusiastic chants of “Trump! Trump! Trump!” When he goes to Britain on Thursday, he’ll supposedly be welcomed by massive protests and “a giant ‘Trump Baby’ balloon” floating in the skies over central London — a puerile insult for which Sadiq Khan, that city’s Trump-hating mayor, has approved a permit (even as his police force has refused to allow a pro-Trump rally during the presidential visit). This in a country where Members of Parliament from all parties, it will be remembered, argued after his election victory for him to be banned from the UK.”

  903. Chicon says:

    927 – who said they’re good? Who said they’re easy to win?

  904. NYCmike says:

    “927 – who said they’re good? Who said they’re easy to win?”

    -Chicon,

    He repeated the same line last week, and I asked the same question, which then was met with…….wait for it……NOTHING.

    Pure b*llsh*t on his part.

  905. mnw says:

    Art Cashin is an economist biggie, for those who never heard of him. He is credited with inspiring the Tea Party, altho he was never involved in it.

    Cashin’s new article (yesterday, at WSJ Marketwatch) is, “Most economists Expect Europe to Accommodate U.S. On Trade.”

    That would explain recent stock market action.

  906. mnw says:

    Apparently Kavanaugh is responsible for the Parkland HS shooting, & his confirmation would be ‘a slap in the face’ of the victims’ parents, per Schumer.

  907. Phil says:

    I always thought Kavanaugh had something to do with the Florida shooting.

  908. Robbie says:

    Trade wars are good and easy to win.

    Fox News Alert
    @foxnewsalert

    US prepares to impose new tariffs on additional $200B worth of Chinese goods, official says

  909. CG says:

    Donald J. Trump
    ?
    @realDonaldTrump

    When a country (USA) is losing many billions of dollars on trade with virtually every country it does business with, trade wars are good, and easy to win. Example, when we are down $100 billion with a certain country and they get cute, don’t trade anymore-we win big. It’s easy!
    5:50 AM – Mar 2, 2018

  910. CG says:

    Whether one wants to argue that the statement is a correct one or not, it’s not beyond dispute that it was said by Donald Trump.

    Why would anyone here want to deny he said it?

  911. Mr.Vito says:

    So there was a conditional?

    No one mentioned that.

  912. Robbie says:

    Who said “trade wars are good and easy to win”?

    Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump

    When a country (USA) is losing many billions of dollars on trade with virtually every country it does business with, trade wars are good, and easy to win. Example, when we are down $100 billion with a certain country and they get cute, don’t trade anymore-we win big. It’s easy!

    5:50 AM – 2 Mar 2018

  913. Robbie says:

    CG says:
    July 10, 2018 at 7:17 pm
    Whether one wants to argue that the statement is a correct one or not, it’s not beyond dispute that it was said by Donald Trump.
    Why would anyone here want to deny he said it?

    – I’m always surprised those who support Trump the most are the ones who seem least knowledgeable about what he has said.

  914. CG says:

    I spent like hours here a few weeks back with people who denied that Trump told Lester Holt he fired Comey because of Russia or that he said it to Russian officials in the Oval Office.

    They must think it was Alec Baldwin who said it.

  915. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 10, 2018 at 6:07 pm
    “927 – who said they’re good? Who said they’re easy to win?”
    -Chicon,
    He repeated the same line last week, and I asked the same question, which then was met with…….wait for it……NOTHING.
    Pure b*llsh*t on his part.

    – Oh, NYCmike. It’s just too easy.

    Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump
    When a country (USA) is losing many billions of dollars on trade with virtually every country it does business with, trade wars are good, and easy to win. Example, when we are down $100 billion with a certain country and they get cute, don’t trade anymore-we win big. It’s easy!

    5:50 AM – 2 Mar 2018

  916. CG says:

    NYC will reply with:

    “You said he said it. He only Tweeted it. Huuuge difference.”

  917. mnw says:

    Trump has in fact announced the new tariffs on China.

    He said he would. He said he’d appoint conservative judges from his list, too.

    By now, it’s pretty hard for our adversaries to ignore Trump when he says, “I will do this.”

    Almost as if we have a President who actually means what he says.

  918. CG says:

    Repeal Obamacare
    Build a Wall
    Mexico will pay for it
    Drain the Swamp
    “Be So Presidential”

    He’s not even at the Mendoza Line

  919. CG says:

    And what happened to that whole North Korean thing and the “beautiful piece of paper?”

    It sure sounds like that might not be going as swimmingly as he claimed.

  920. Tina says:

    Two jebots for the price of one.

    Today muh trade war replaced muh sc pick.

  921. Tina says:

    Yesterday was also muh smile gate.

  922. Tina says:

    A few days ago it was muh kids in cages.

  923. Tina says:

    https://t.co/gZZSYlXE1S?amp=1

    Collision since 1987 re Kabanaugh

  924. Tina says:

    NBC reports…

    Unnamed source.

    Fake news

  925. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    947. “Two jebots for the price of one.”

    Yes, the Siamese Twins cannot seem to get away from each other. They both went from being mello and sounding Republican in their discussion about who would be appointed to the Supreme Court over the last few days, to an in unison attack on Trump today.

  926. Gpo says:

    mnw says:
    July 10, 2018 at 6:50 pm
    Art Cashin is an economist biggie, for those who never heard of him. He is credited with inspiring the Tea Party, altho he was never involved in it

    I could be wrong but I think you are thinking of Rick Santelli not ArtCashin

  927. CG says:

    Mello?

    I wasn’t involved here in the discussion about the SC pick before it was made. I said last night that watching the discussion unfold here, I thought it was pretty pointless. After the pick was made, I praised it immensely.

    I can do that and still think that Donald Trump sucks as a human and as a President. That also does not make me the same person as Robbie or somehow conjoined to him.

    Why can’t you accept different points of view SDC? Does it threaten you?

  928. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    July 10, 2018 at 7:33 pm
    Trump has in fact announced the new tariffs on China.

    He said he would. He said he’d appoint conservative judges from his list, too.

    By now, it’s pretty hard for our adversaries to ignore Trump when he says, “I will do this.”

    Almost as if we have a President who actually means what he says.

    – So as long as he said he’d do it, it’s ok to institute policies that have a negative effect the American economy?

    I know that’s not what you’re suggesting, but just because he said would do something doesn’t mean it’s wise to do that thing.

  929. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    July 10, 2018 at 7:41 pm
    Two jebots for the price of one.

    Today muh trade war replaced muh sc pick.

    – It’s not my fault Trump chose to step all over the successful nomination of Brett Kavanaugh by announcing more tariffs.

    If he wanted Brett Kavanaugh to be the story today, maybe he should have held off on imposing more tariffs.

  930. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    July 10, 2018 at 7:50 pm
    947. “Two jebots for the price of one.”

    Yes, the Siamese Twins cannot seem to get away from each other. They both went from being mello and sounding Republican in their discussion about who would be appointed to the Supreme Court over the last few days, to an in unison attack on Trump today.

    – Since SDC has said he’s not a Republican, I’m not sure he has any idea what “sounding Republican” is, but I would remind the Independent that the Republican Party, for at least the last two decades, has been against tariffs as a general policy.

    In fact, before Trump came along in 2015 and won in 2016, no one in this forum advocated for tariffs, especially our Tea Party supporters. And had Obama suggested tariffs, this forum would have rightly opposed him.

  931. Phil says:

    I want to hear more about how Schumer said Kavanaugh’s appointment was a “slap in the face at the victims” of the Parkland shooting.

    We can’t have this. Kavanaugh must be opposed. Who all is with me?!

  932. CG says:

    The Pat Buchanan dude (and the liberals who have always posted here) might have been pro-tariff.

  933. lisab says:

    Internet Trolls Really Are Horrible People
    Narcissistic, Machiavellian, psychopathic, and sadistic.

    past few years, the science of Internet trollology has made some strides. Last year, for instance, we learned that by hurling insults and inciting discord in online comment sections, so-called Internet trolls (who are frequently anonymous) have a polarizing effect on audiences, leading to politicization, rather than deeper understanding of scientific topics.

    That’s bad, but it’s nothing compared with what a new psychology paper has to say about the personalities of trolls themselves. The research, conducted by Erin Buckels of the University of Manitoba and two colleagues, sought to directly investigate whether people who engage in trolling are characterized by personality traits that fall in the so-called Dark Tetrad: Machiavellianism (willingness to manipulate and deceive others), narcissism (egotism and self-obsession), psychopathy (the lack of remorse and empathy), and sadism (pleasure in the suffering of others).

    It is hard to overplay the results: The study found correlations, sometimes quite significant, between these traits and trolling behavior. What’s more, it also found a relationship between all Dark Tetrad traits (except for narcissism) and the overall time that an individual spent, per day, commenting on the Internet.

  934. Tina says:

    Yeah step all over something…

  935. Tina says:

    Kavanaugh must be opposed because he will let trump skate on The Russian collision hoax.

  936. Robbie says:

    What Independent SDC seems not to understand is some of us are conservative Republicans because we actually believe in certain things and aren’t going to change our long held views on policy or personal behavior simply because Trump thinks or does differently.

    I have been a strong critic of Trump when I think he has behaved improperly and when I think his polices have been wrong. That includes his anti-free trade tariffs, his trashing of NATO and other allies, and the way he speaks about his political opponents, especially on Twitter.

    On the other hand, I have continually praised him for his judicial selections. Check the archives. The circuit court judges have been great and his selection of Gorsuch and Kavanaugh are easily the best appointments any one president has made to the Supreme Court. I also supported the tax cuts he signed into law, his increased military spending, and his efforts to downsize the administrative state.

    When Trump is right, I try my best to say so. When Trump’s wrong, I say so. If you can’t handle that, then start your own MAGA forum where Trump is always cheered.

  937. Robbie says:

    CG says:
    July 10, 2018 at 8:15 pm
    The Pat Buchanan dude (and the liberals who have always posted here) might have been pro-tariff.

    – Buchanan, along with being an overt anti-Semite for years, was a nationalist and populist long before Trump ever knew what the two words meant.

  938. CG says:

    I think Trump understood the concepts and history of nationalism and populism in the U.S. for a long time.

    Going along with the ads he took out attacking Reagan on the issue of trade, it’s the one policy matter he has been consistent on his entire life and seems to care the most about.

  939. CG says:

    Apparently, a lot of Republicans did not like this Trump judicial pick but the Democrats did:

    https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/jul/10/27-republicans-vote-against-trumps-judge-9th-circu/

  940. CG says:

    How would NYC have voted on the Bennett confirmation?

  941. Tina says:

    Axioms has Kavanaugh further tight than Mush Bush Roberts.

    Close to Thomas.

  942. lisab says:

    the dems will fight the pick, the only question is how

    certainly there will be protests, and they could turn violent

    the dem candidates for 2020 will probably swing far left in their opposition,

    they cannot be seen to take thiser lying down, yet they cannot openly support violence

    i think there could be groups who threaten senators over this vote

  943. Phil says:

    Lisa, you are right. The fury and rage will translate into threats, and, I predict, violence. More fuel for Trump’s reelection. He should send the left a thank you note.

  944. mnw says:

    Gpo

    It was Cashin who said Europe will “accommodate.” I guess you’re right that it was Santelli though, not Cashin, who is credited with inspiring the Tea Party.

    Thx.

  945. lisab says:

    the dems cannot avoid the moderate vs leftist coming power struggle. today the party’s training, education and disciplining of the whole dem community revolves around opposing trump.

    because of this pressure, the dems who wish to run in 2020 inevitably must face the ultimate question.

    do they go for complete opportunism, selling their souls as the price of maintaining their rule and encourage protests they know could easily turn violent?

    or do the strongly speak out against antifa and violent protestors and risk sacrificing their political careers to urge moderation

  946. Gpo says:

    MNW you have any insight on this judge that got confirmed today with only republican defections ? very odd

  947. NYCmike says:

    “How would NYC have voted on the Bennett confirmation?”

    It depends…..if I asked him if a sitting President could be put in jail, and he said YES, then I would have voted for him.

    -Jebot

  948. NYCmike says:

    I am wondering why 20+ Republican Senators voted to confirm, while 27 voted against……maybe the 20+ think it wise to allow the liberals their little fiefdom out on the west coast?

  949. Mr.Vito says:

    They don’t like him on the 2nd Amendment.

  950. lisab says:

    what happens if hillary runs again?

    she can argue she got more votes than trump.

    i cannot see her winning the nomination, but how much money could she raise? would she be jeb 2.0?

  951. Bitterlaw says:

    I’m not sure I want a President to immune from certain legal charges while in office. Civil suits? Sure. Toll the statute of limitations. Shooting somebody in the middle of 5th Avenue? Maybe that one should be prosecuted ASAP.

  952. jason says:

    I think England will beat Croatia and go to the final against France.

  953. mnw says:

    Gpo 974

    Well, I can explain it, but I hate it. Daily Caller has a good article on Bennett’s appointment in their April 12, 2018 issue.

    All CCA seats are traditionally “earmarked” for nominees from particular states within the Circuit. Where there are two liberal DEM U.S. Senators, as in Hawaii, they have huge influence over the “Hawaii CCA seat.”

    As you may recall, there is the blue slip business where a nominee won’t even be scheduled for a confirmation arg without at least 1 of the 2 Senators’ backing. Grassley has overridden the “blue slip” veto a few times lately, but it’s a BFD, & the challenged nomination can be stalled for months.

    So… why did Trump appoint Bennett? Because he couldn’t get anybody any better past the HI senators, I would suppose.

    The majority of states in the 9th CCA have 2 DEM senators, which is why the 9th CCA has been such a horror show.

    The only good news, if u want to call it that, is that SCOTUS often overturns the most outrageous 9th Cir decisions– more reversed & remanded from the 9th than any other CCA. That’s been the case for at least 20 years.

    It’s not pretty, is it?

  954. mnw says:

    sb “scheduled for a confirmation hearing”

  955. jason says:

    she can argue she got more votes than trump.”

    Yes, but hopefully everyone in the Democratic Party understand math as well as Kommie Kory.

    She won California by 4.3 million votes.

    She won New York by 1.7 million votes.

    She won Illinois by 900k votes.

    Her plurality in CA, NY and IL was 6.9 million votes.

    She won the national vote by 2.9 million votes.

    So taking out California, New York, and Illinois she lost the rest of the country by 4 million votes.

    Shhhhh, don’t tell the Dems that is a problem in an electoral college system.

  956. mnw says:

    Also, the DEMs are never curious to see how many illegal aliens voted unlawfully. Set those unlawful votes aside, & I suspect HRC’s “popular vote win” in CA might have been substantially less.

    Otoh, I suppose maybe none of them voted unlawfully. /s!!!

  957. jason says:

    Those least able to afford it will start seeing higher prices due to what Senator Hatch calls “reckless” policy.

    The AFL-CIO conservatives to call Hatch a RINO in 3, 2, 1…..

    “The initial U.S. tariff list focused on Chinese industrial products in an attempt to limit the impact on American consumers. By expanding the list, the administration is beginning to hit products that U.S. households buy, including such things as electric lamps and fish sticks.

    “Tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese products amounts to another multibillion-dollar tax on American businesses and families,” said Scott Lincicome, a trade lawyer and senior policy analyst for the group Republicans Fighting Tariffs. “Given China’s likelihood of retaliation, it’s also billions worth of new tariffs on American exporters.”

    Members of Congress are increasingly questioning Trump’s aggressive trade policies, warning that tariffs on imports raise prices for consumers and expose U.S. farmers and manufacturers to retaliation abroad.

    “Tonight’s announcement appears reckless and is not a targeted approach,” Senate Finance Chairman Orrin Hatch, R-Utah, said in a statement. “We cannot turn a blind eye to China’s mercantilist trade practices, but this action falls short of a strategy that will give the administration negotiating leverage with China while maintaining the long-term health and prosperity of the American economy.”

  958. lisab says:

    I think England will beat Croatia and go to the final against France.
    —————————————

    i think you would have to go with england …

    crecy
    poitiers
    sluys
    agincourt
    trafalgar
    waterloo

    the english have a pretty good record against france

  959. lisab says:

    i think there were a few other battles too between agincourt and waterloo

  960. mnw says:

    lisa

    You hit all the ones I know.

    There was also Wellington’s Peninsular Campaign, which drove the French out of Iberia, but I can’t name the individual battles.

  961. lisab says:

    Driver tells cops he wasn’t drink-driving because he only drank from his bottle of bourbon at stop signs and red lights
    —————————-

    florida

  962. lisab says:

    btw … i just drove a 16 foot penske truck 1100 miles to my new home in minnesota …

    then spent all day unloading it …

    and now i am exhausted …

    meanwhile, back in new york … my hubby is taking the opportunity to eat french fries and pizza all washed down with beer i am sure …

  963. lisab says:

    what i don’t get is why some people have the idiotic idea to pass someone in a truck

    then change lanes right in front of the truck

    and then slow down …

    in nature, if you see something moving that is yellow and black (aka a penske truck) does not that mean STAY AWAY?

    you have a f150 pickup truck

    i have a 15,000 pound moving truck

    i win

  964. lisab says:

    “If Monica Lewinsky says that you masturbated into a trashcan in your secretary’s office would she [be] lying?” -Brett Kavanaugh
    —————————-

    i think these hearings might get a little rough

    although, too bad hillary clinton is not senator from ny any more

  965. GF says:

    991- Law of Gross Tonnage, lisa; more people should learn that. It’s like if I cut off a carrier in a sloop coming down the channel at 15 kts., I had better stay ahead, ecause it’s going to take those 90,000+ tons a while to stop, and they sure don’t turn on a dime. Or, for landlubbers, cutting in front of a mile long freight train.

    Without looking it up, wasn’t Salamanca one of Wellington’s victories? And don’t forget to add Quebec et al to the already lengthy list. Plus, the English burned their patron saint at the stake, for good measure.

  966. lisab says:

    i thought of adding quebec, but it was not much of a battle …

    the english showed up, climbed a hill … which admittedly is pretty steep, and then waited for the french to come out from behind the cities walls and give a frontal assault …

    and then ran away abandoning the city …

    plan a: stand behind these nice big stone walls backed by cannon …

    plan b: charge a british line …

    dumbass french

    although … quebec is really nice and there is a nice park now where the battle took place, and it is within walking distance of my favourite beer garden

  967. lisab says:

    991- Law of Gross Tonnage, lisa; more people should learn that.
    ————————–

    absolutely! especially since i was flying down the road at 70+ mph in the slow lane … speed limit is 70 but people were flying past me …

    and it was fine because most of the time i left a good 10 – 15 car lengths in front of me … there is not much traffic …

    but the idiots going 1 car length past me and then changing lanes are idiots … and it happened repeatedly …

  968. lisab says:

    991- Law of Gross Tonnage, lisa; more people should learn that.
    ————————–

    i have heard that some of the ships that come into boston cut their engines miles out at sea and coast into the harbor … their momentum is that high

  969. GF says:

    994- French tactics; always a winning school of thought. They reached their pinnacle when led by an Italian (ok, Napoleon was Corsican, but not that far off).

    Whenever someone tries to tell me that the French were effective in the field, I have two words for them; “Fall Gelb.”

  970. GF says:

    You may have already read it, but in case not, take a look at “Strange Defeat” by Marc Bloch. He was a supply officer in Flanders as the Wehrmacht’s panzers were flying by to the south, cutting off the Allied armies in Belgium. While more of a personal account than a proper historiography, it’s very well written and contains such gems as the French battalion commander furiously yelling at tanks that were supposedly going the wrong way down the main road in his sector, only to have an aide rush up to him and tell him to take cover because, shocker, they were German!

  971. GF says:

    In a way, I kind of feel that is what we have upon us now; a brilliant political opportunity aimed at a judicial schwerpunkt that has the potential to break our foes apart and send them reeling in disarray. They’re not happy about any of this, and their desperate outbursts confirm that we have them by the gonads if we play this properly (which, with the stupid party, is never a given).

  972. Diamond Jim says:

    M

  973. GF says:

    Heck, why not?

    M

  974. GF says:

    DJ, I will only say this once; you B@st@rd.

    Seriously, do you wait in a foxhole for hours looking out for these opportunities? 🙂

  975. Diamond Jim says:

    Pure happenstance.

  976. Diamond Jim says:

    Thanks for setting me up. 😉

  977. Tina says:

    Breaking

    Lisa Page the Mistress is ignoring a congressional subpoena and will not testify before Congress.

    She has known for months.

    Lock her up!

  978. jason says:

    a brilliant political opportunity aimed at a judicial schwerpunkt…”

    Schwerpunkt?

    Are you trying to torture poor Messy, still trying to figure out how to spell difficult words like disintegrate?

    I know, there are dictionaries, but do you think she knows how to use one?

  979. jason says:

    I won’t even read the article, wes, too depressing…

    The deadenders are not happy just giving a senate seat away, they want to make sure they take others with them.

  980. jason says:

    Sounds like lisab caused havoc on the interstate for 1100 miles.

    I hear many truckers pulled into truck stops and rest areas after being warned about a crazy blonde in a Penske rental.

  981. Wes says:

    Basically, Jason, Stewart is taking Comstock down with him, and Brat and Taylor aren’t far behind. Voters in VA now want Dems to win the House by 14 points. Republicans had a low-turnout primary Stewart won.

    Essentially it’s not going to be pretty for the GOP in November.

    I know DW thinks Brat and Taylor are safe because of redistricting, but 10 years ago, Thelma Drake and Virgil Goode looked to be in a good position for reelection too. They both fell in part because of a disastrous Senate nominee.

  982. jason says:

    What Independent SDC seems not to understand is some of us are conservative Republican”

    Amoral Scumbag is a “conservative Republican” who celebrated Obama’s win, pushed for a Hillary win, hoped for the loss of the senate in 2016 and is now pulling for a 40 seat loss in the House in 2018, all while defending the dishonest left wing media against any suggestion of bias.

    Imagine if he was not a “conservative”.

  983. Wes says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 10, 2018 at 4:26 pm
    “Trump picked a nominee he knew already had the necessary votes for confirmation.”

    -Hopefully, in the near future, we will have a chance to replace Ginsburg and Breyer with a nominee who will have the votes, BUT ONLY BECAUSE an expanded majority in the United States Senate.

    This coming from a guy doing everything he can to help Democrats expand their numbers in the Senate.

  984. Wes says:

    Second, I think candidate selection is really going to hurt Republicans in WV and MT. Just my own view, but I think Republicans would be much better positioned if Evan Jenkins was the nominee in WV and either Fox or Rehberg were the nominee in MT.

    I don’t get this guy’s Rehberg fetish. Rehberg topped out at 45% of the vote in Montana both times he ran for Senate. He’s hardly been in the state since losing to Tester in 2012. I don’t really see a two-time loser who’s spent most of the past six years out of state as a viable Senate candidate.

  985. Mr.Vito says:

    Yougov Generic Ballot 42-38 D

    Indep: 31-26 R
    White: 46-37 R
    Latino: 38-28 D

  986. jason says:

    Why lisab had to rent a truck, first she tried to get away with using her own car.

    http://www.foxnews.com/auto/2018/06/22/overloaded-pickup-full-furniture-has-police-asking-what-could-go-wrong.html

  987. GPO says:

    I thought I had read there was a legitimate third party candidate in the Montana race from the left. Anyone confirm that

  988. DW says:

    Wes, I was talking about the RECENT redistricting. A judge ordered a California University prof to re-draw Virginia’s districts, and Taylor’s district was made much more red in exchange for making Randy Forbes’ district next door permanently blue.

    Thelma Drake lost when the district was much more a tossup.

  989. jason says:

    Rehberg would not be a bad candidate, he might have beaten Tester in 2012 if not for the libertarian deadender that got 36k votes (allowing Tester to win by 18k votes and 48.5% of the vote). He did win statewide votes in the past and has good name recognition.

    That being said, I don’t think he would have a better chance than Rosendale, I think Rehberg has passed his expiration date and its time for some new blood.

  990. mnw says:

    47/51

    RE: Corey Stewart

    Why didn’t the anti-Stewart Republicans turn out in the GOP primary, then? Were they all in jails or ICUs?

    Low turnout, was it? The good guys get plenty of blame for being apathetic.

  991. jason says:

    The Indep and Latino numbers are missing a lot of people, hard to give them any credence.

    31-26…. what about the other 43%?

  992. Wes says:

    I get that, DW. Then I see articles like this:

    http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/396118-gop-lawmaker-rejects-racism-charge-my-son-is-named-after-a

    In politics, if you’re explaining, you’re losing. Besides, as we saw in ID-2 in 2008, under the right circumstances, even a traditionally GOP district can go to the Dems.

    Given the dangers Corey Stewart presents to the party, I just can’t subscribe to your idea that Taylor and Brat are automatically safe because of district lines. Sorry.

    If Frietas were the nominee, I’d say they win. With Stewart about to take a haymaker from Kaine, I simply do not see it. I’m not declaring them lost (unlike Comstock), but I do see them as in extreme danger because Stewart is the Senate nominee.

  993. jason says:

    The deadenders that voted for a racist scumbag get a pass from mnw, the fault lies with the “good guys”.

    I love this place.

  994. Wes says:

    There were no truly good options in the GOP Senate primary in VA, Mnw. Freitas was the best of the three, but Stewart had the highest name ID and won in a squeaker.

    Now in just under four months, the VAGOP is about to find out how to lose as badly as the DEGOP and the MDGOP.

  995. jason says:

    I wouldn’t be surprised if Brat voted for Stewart.

  996. DW says:

    Wes, I am not saying they are absolutely safe. I just don’t see any reason to hit a panic button on them. PPP-D polled VA_02 back in April, a poll done for a Dem outfit and it was 48/42 for Taylor. Until I see some polling to the contrary, I am thinking Taylor wins 52/47 or better.

  997. jason says:

    At least the MDGOP has a good chance of winning the governor’s race.

  998. Wes says:

    I don’t know, Jason. Brat seems to be trying to run as far away from Stewart as possible.

  999. jason says:

    I don’t know, Jason. Brat seems to be trying to run as far away from Stewart as possible.”

    Really?

    I guess he is smarter than I thought, I am not much of a fan.

    But I might be unfairly influenced by the fact Bunu endorsed him.

  1000. Wes says:

    I think now is definitely the time to hit the panic button, DW. Stewart is going to lose statewide by probably as much as Gilmore lost in 2008. That’s going to have a tremendous negative effect on the Republicans in the VACD. They need to start working overtime NOW to run far enough ahead of Stewart to win.

    Sadly I think Comstock is too far gone in Ground Zero for anti-Trumpers.

  1001. jason says:

    Btw, where is Bunu.

    And Soccer Moron?

    Maybe their parents kicked them out of the basement and made them get jobs?

  1002. mnw says:

    I voted in every election, including dogcatcher, since I turned 21 (you had to be 21 back then).

    You’re gd RIGHT I blame the people who didn’t bother to vote! Also the state GOP for not intervening to prevent Stewart.

  1003. DW says:

    Scott Taylor’s background fits the district well. He hasn’t done anything to anger constituents and he is running a good campaign here.

  1004. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Rasmussen(less) Generic Congressional Ballot for last week is 48/40 Democrat.

  1005. jason says:

    Some posters we haven’t seen in awhile:

    biomom
    ssq
    sean
    bunu
    soccer moron
    sharon
    wvally
    proud obamaCon
    polaris
    noncensus
    albert hodges

  1006. Wes says:

    Well, Mnw, apparently VAGOP primary voters are taking their cues from their brethren in DE:

    Do what you must to help Democrats win.

  1007. Bitterlaw says:

    As somebody who was with 2 people when they died, I can understand it is stressful. However, this nurse needed to be a little stronger in dealing with it.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5941357/Japanese-nurse-poisoned-20-patients-died-duty.html

  1008. Wes says:

    Does anyone really want to see Bunu post?

    That’s like caring because CCCP quit after Hillary lost.

  1009. jason says:

    Also the state GOP for not intervening to prevent Stewart.”

    I agree with that.

  1010. Wes says:

    Remington Research Group poll

    Josh Hawley: 48%
    Claire McCaskill: 46%
    Undecided: 6%

  1011. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Remington Research Group poll of MO Senate race(H/T: RRH)

    Josh Hawley(R): 48%
    Claire McCaskill(D): 46%
    Undecided: 6%

  1012. Wes says:

    Of course that the VAGOP would have to intervene to try to stop Stewart says much about the VAGOP. This is the state party that gave us people such as Bob McDonnell. Now Corey Stewart is a statewide nominee with all his open baggage?

    Huh?

  1013. jason says:

    wes, good riddance to bunu. And CCCP, the math challenged Marxist. And if soccer moron with his bodily function fixation doesn’t post again either fine with me too.

    I forgot MI guy/gal…. according to mnw he (she) was “driven” away by me.

    I know, with that kind of encouragement, who can I target next?

  1014. DW says:

    Remington Research Group poll
    Josh Hawley: 48%
    Claire McCaskill: 46%
    Undecided: 6%

  1015. DW says:

    guess I should have re-freshed before posting that poll of MO.

  1016. mnw says:

    Damn your eyes Sheep!

    You coulda given me a couple of extra seconds since I’m from there. Not very sporting of you.

  1017. Mr.Vito says:

    Remington Research Group poll
    Josh Hawley: 48%
    Claire McCaskill: 46%
    Undecided: 6%

    Just in case someone missed it.

  1018. DW says:

    I should also point out that Wes and I have provided a model here on how to debate. I have the utmost respect for Wes’ wisdom and knowledge on political matters. We just happen to disagree on the extent of doom the VA GOP is facing this fall.

    But notice we didn’t call each other names or anything like that. He may well be right in the end, although I am sure he would rather be wrong on this.

  1019. mnw says:

    Looks like I wuz #4. Never mind.

    Hawley NEEDED a good independent, respectable poll (Emerson qualifies) to FR off of.

    I don’t want anyone to suggest that 46% is really quite OK for a two-term inc with 100% name rec. IT IS AWFUL!!!!

    Hawley is still not well known.

  1020. DW says:

    updated dashboard:

    Paladin – 2018 Senate Dashboard
    ———————————————————–
    ST | Cnt | Cook |Gonz | Saba | NYT | Fox | CNN | RCP | Score — Latest Poll
    ———————————————————–
    NE | 46 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    MS | 47 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    TX | 48 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.4 — 50/39 (Quin.) | 50/40 (CBS)
    TN | 49 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 — 58/40 (S-Monkey)
    —-Democrats need ALL the below for control—-
    ND | 51 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 52/46 (S-Monkey)
    MO | 50 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 48/46 (Remington)
    IN | 49 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/46 (S-Monkey)
    FL | 48 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/47 (S-Monkey)
    AZ | 47 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.2 — 45/51 (S-Monkey)
    NV | 46 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.2 — 47/49 (S-Monkey)
    WV | 45 | Toss | Tlt D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.4 — 40/56 (S-Monkey)
    MT | 44 | Lk D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 — 44/54 (S-Monkey)
    OH | 43 | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.8 — 46/52 (S-Monkey)
    WI | 42 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.1 — 42/56 (S-Monkey)
    MN | 41 | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.7 —
    PA | 40 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.2 — 43/54 (S-Monkey
    MI | 39 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.2 — 44/53 (S-Monkey)
    NJ | 38 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.5 — 32/53 (Monmouth)
    VA | 37 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -5.1 — 33/44 (Roanoke) |36/54 (Quin.)
    ME | 36 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —

  1021. Wes says:

    You’re absolutely right I hope I’m wrong, DW. With all the occurrences in VA since last year’s gubernatorial primary though, I have a hard time finding any comfort in the Old Dominion.

    I respect your opinion too. I just think Corey Stewart represents a bigger danger to the party than you realize.

  1022. jason says:

    I think Hawley is going to win. mnw doesn’t think he is a stellar candidate (or not running a stellar campaign) but he is hanging in there and Sky Queen is consistently under 50%.

    Unless there is a blue wave I think Sky Queen’s reign might be over.

  1023. jason says:

    I hope DW is right while afraid that wes is right.

  1024. jason says:

    I think people who do go to the polls may well split their votes, not vote for Stewart while voting for Comstock for example.

    The problem is I think Stewart is going to depress the GOP turnout, while energizing the Dems.

  1025. Wes says:

    I expect the endangered Republican Congressmen to run ahead of Stewart, Jason. I just think Stewart will run so far behind Kaine it won’t matter. He’s that toxic.

  1026. mnw says:

    I believe Hawley is a fabulous candidate who has run a poor campaign to date. He looks like a fn TV star & is articulate & affable. What’s not to like? I wish the GOP could clone him. He’s no more going to “do an Akin” than Kavanaugh will. Based on all evidence available, he is a terrible FRer who couldn’t rustle up bus fare, however.

    I also think that in MO, at least, the GOP has achieved “enthusiasm parity.”

    It seems to me, going only from memory, that when a GE comes around, almost all the Sen tossups move in the same direction. There are always a few “sole survivor” types (Corker), of course. But generally, they’re like birds on a telephone poll: when they take off they all go the same direction.

  1027. DW says:

    Morning Consult – Trump approval/disapproval

    46/49

  1028. Phil says:

    Good thing the economy is doing well because America has real problems, folks. Trump just nominated a guy to the Supreme Court who is going to be responsible for the deaths of millions and millions of Americans.

    What the hell was he thinking?

  1029. mnw says:

    Trump is saying the same things about NATO that most Americans have thought for a long time. This guy acts like he thinks he’s the President of the United States, or something.

  1030. jason says:

    The NATO comments are just another example of stupid isolationism right out of and further evidence that anyone who think Trump is a conservative is sadly deluded. There is nothing conservative about undermining NATO and our allies.

  1031. jason says:

    Right out of Bunu’s playbook I meant.

  1032. jason says:

    “Lawmakers on Tuesday overwhelmingly voted in favor of a motion supporting NATO, as President Trump continues to criticize the alliance ahead of his summit in Europe.

    The 97-2 vote in the Senate comes as Trump heads to Brussels. He will also travel to the United Kingdom and meet one-on-one with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Helsinki during his trip.

    GOP Sens. Rand Paul (Ky.) and Mike Lee (Utah) voted against the measure.”

  1033. lisab says:

    returned the truck this morning, not a ding on it, thank you very much …

    well i am officially in minnesota, having an ice coffee in a gender fluid cafe …

    i may be the only person here without a tattoo …

    and the staff will start singing the chorus to various songs by quasi-feminist singers

    and a young man just walked in wearing very skinny jeans …

    nice to be back in civilization again after my exile in redneck land

  1034. mnw says:

    The Remington poll showing Hawley +2 also shows Trum’sp JA in MO at +6.

  1035. Wes says:

    I wonder if Utahns support the fact that Mike Lee–who did an end-run around the voters to prevent them from choosing between him and a sitting Senator–voted against a motion supporting NATO.

    It doesn’t matter anyway. Mikey and the Tea Party have this as a motto:

    Voters? We don’t need no stinking voters!

  1036. lisab says:

    anyone check out china’s debt lartely?

    300% of gdp, and that is conservative …

    the only thing holding them together is usa trade

  1037. mnw says:

    I’m sure Trump would support the pro-NATO resolution also. What is the evidence to the contrary?

  1038. lisab says:

    looks like china will be selling off usa treasuries

    the problem is not chinese government debt as much as the government backed corporate debt they support

  1039. Mr.Vito says:

    Then came 2016…

    I successfully predicted the two partys’ Presidential nominations; even as I watched in horror as my party went with a nominee that forced me to leave them and tribal politics altogether. And yet even in my new role as someone without a party, I (Like so many others) missed 2016’s upset by Donald Trump over the candidate I openly backed in Hillary Clinton. Busting my a** only to see me be so horribly wrong broke me, and I shut down the blog and thus “Locked the desk away”…

    Today marks the relaunch for good of THE PROJECTION DESK.

    https://www.theprojectiondesk.com/reports/week-of-07102018

    DUN DUN DUNNNNNNNN!

  1040. Toast says:

    Hi Mr.V.

  1041. Mr.Vito says:

    GRRRRRRRRRAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!

  1042. NYCmike says:

    Wes is on a roll today.

    First, by voting for Wendy Long in new York, I am somehow electing Democrats in other states.

    AND, by saying that Mike Lee got elected legally without going thru a primary is not a bad thing, but that I do support the primary system, Wes says I am against voters.

    I guess that masseuse license gives him freedom to make cr*p up, as well as rub people……..the right way.

  1043. Chicon says:

    So, it’s a conservative tenet that the US shouldn’t seek to have it’s allies pay their agreed upon amount toward a defense pact? I see….

    Similar to doing nothing when they raise unfair tariffs. I guess conservative now means bend over.

  1044. NYCmike says:

    ” that forced me to leave them and tribal politics altogether.”

    -Judging everyone by the same standard is now called “tribal politics”?

  1045. NYCmike says:

    Between Turkey’s actions and the refusal of countries to pay what they are supposed to pay, the future of NATO definitely has to be thought about in a serious way……and the best part, if the man on the radio the other night was correct, the person best suitable to point out the faults of the current set-up is none other than Secretary Mattis.

  1046. Tgca says:

    After seeing the inequities Trump discussed today, the Senate looks foolish on the NATO vote. What was the point? He’s not against NATO, he’s against them not paying their bills at the cost of taxpayers, and Americans see that.

    He also rightfully compared Poland to Germany as a country that has not made itself significantly reliable on Russia for energy. Does anyone think that when push comes to shove that Germany’s energy policy is not a consideration in NATO support. This reminds me of how France would not support the US military strategy, right or wrong, due to its energy contracts with Iraq instead of on principle.

  1047. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    In response to those who made claims that BMW was moving American jobs to China because of Trump’s tariffs:

    “SPARTANBURG, S.C. (AP) — BMW says it is sticking with plans to add 1,000 workers in South Carolina, even though the company will start production of a new vehicle in China.

    BMW and Chinese partner Brilliance Automotive Group Holdings said Monday a joint venture called BMW Brilliance Automotive will increase the number of vehicles made annually at two plants in China to 520,000 next year.

    Spokesman Ken Sparks told the Herald-Journal of Spartanburg that BMW’s new electric iX3 SUV will be produced only in China, and that effort won’t affect production of the new X7 model in South Carolina.

    “It is not true in any way, shape or form that BMW is moving production from Spartanburg to China,” Sparks said.”

  1048. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    The Europeans come across like spoiled children when they criticize Trump’s request they pay their fair share of defense costs. I am frankly tired of them demanding we pay for their defense. They should be paying us for stationing troops in Europe. The free ride needs to end.

    Merkel’s gas deal with Russia is likewise indefensible. German energy policies, with its attempt to rely on wind/solar, has failed. There biggest energy source is still coal, and their energy prices are about 2 1/2 times higher than the U.S. It is making their products noncompetitive, despite enormous subsidies to businesses. Merkel is now seeking a Russian gas bailout. Gore is not pleased. Putin sees this as a way of making Europe more dependent on him — Poland and other Eastern European countries are strongly opposed.

    This is the same Merkel was refused to effectively aid the Ukraine (Trump has finally provided the Ukraine with better weaponry).

    Since taking office, Trump has provided strong military support to the Ukraine; bombed and killed Russian mercenaries in Syria, and is now opposing a Russian pipeline to Europe. Yet the leftists still claim he is in collusion with Putin? Maybe they should focus on Merkel.

  1049. Chicon says:

    Good points, SDC, but apparently the US asking for Nato members to pay their share is “isolationism”, and certainly not conservative.

  1050. NYCmike says:

    It is very funny, when I think back to when I was about 13 years old, and there were the citizens of Germany and other countries in Europe, along with some of their leaders, protesting against Reagan and his insistence on putting Pershing and cruise missiles in Germany…….once again, the leader of the Free World, the President of the United States of America, this time named Trump, is in the right to insist on changes.

  1051. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Trump and Putin are holding their summit in Helsinki, in a country Amnesty International claims is committing flagrant violations of human rights.
    Finland has universal male military conscription; every eligible male at 18 has to serve for anywhere from 165-347 days. About 27,000 conscripts are trained each year. About 80% of Finnish males complete the service. Failure to serve will result in police coming and forcing the individual into training, or to jail; Finns residing abroad need to report to the nearest Finnish embassy. After military training all males remain in reserve until age 60. There is allowance for civilian service, which is longer, for those who are conscientious objectors. About 2,000 go into civilian service, which is for a minimum 347 days.
    Jehovah’s Witnesses refuse but military and civilian service since 1987, and were getting put in jail. In the last few years they were allowed to avoid any service; however a Finnish appeals court recently found that allowing Jehovah’s Witnesses to avoid conscription and any service was discriminatory to other people, and favoring them this way “is an embarrassment to Finland.” Amnesty International strenuously objects, and says those in jail for refusing any service are “prisoners of conscience”. There are about 40 individuals each year who refuse any service.
    When you’re a nation bordering Putin’s Russia; security concerns Trump listening to Amnesty International.

  1052. Jody Beaumont says:

    Trump sucks big time…

  1053. Robbie says:

    So in other words, the tariffs are barely going to cause a ripple for China. But I was told trade wars are good and easy to win.

    Joseph Gagnon
    @GagnonMacro

    If US imposes a 10% tariff on $250 billion of Chinese exports to the US, the yuan would have to depreciate less than 1% against all other currencies to maintain a constant overall trade balance, even without retaliation.

  1054. mnw says:

    Tg

    If you have your ears on, I thought your report on your pre-op situation sounded pretty good– much better than some of your really bad reports several weeks back. Hang in there.

    SDC & Chicon

    I never saw an “isolationist” like Trump before, either. Ron & Rand Paul are isolationists.

    To have any real meaning (other than “I don’t like this person,”), I think “isolationist” much relate to the 1930s isolationism that gave rise to the term.

    That’s why I was momentarily shocked when Trump recycled “America First,” because that group was synonymous with isolationism in the ’30s. Col. Lindbergh & the original America First organization would not have recognized Trump as one of their own.

  1055. DW says:

    England on the ropes down 2-1 to Croatia in the 2nd overtime period.

    Many were hoping for a France-England showdown.

  1056. DW says:

    Its France-Croatia for the World Cup finale. Not exactly a thrilling matchup.

  1057. BayernFan says:

    Croatia is the second smallest country to make the final? Which was the smallest? Czechoslovakia? Sweden? Hungary? Netherlands?

  1058. BayernFan says:

    Uruguay?

  1059. DW says:

    Sweden is huge compared to those others. Netherlands is pretty small.

  1060. jason says:

    Will be a good game.

    Croatia a gritty team, came from behind in the last 3 games to win penalty shootouts or in overtime.

  1061. jason says:

    Uruguay only had 1.5 million people when they won the 1930 World Cup. 20 years later they beat Brazil in the final 2-1 in Brazil for their second cup.

  1062. jason says:

    I never saw an “isolationist” like Trump before,”

    Oh, I have, they are a dime a dozen. Nothing special, really.

  1063. jason says:

    BREAKING: Gov. Cuomo says he’ll sue if the Supreme Court acts to roll back Roe v. Wade”

    Where? The Hague?

  1064. DW says:

    RCP with some changes, all in Dems favor:

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ———————————————————————–
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ———————————————————————–
    CO_03 R | 153 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    TX_31 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    SC_01 R | 155 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    CA_22 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 — 49/41 (PPP)
    FL_06* R | 157 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    MO_02 R | 158 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    NC_08 R | 159 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_07 R | 160 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_10 R | 161 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_15 R | 162 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    PA_14* D | 163 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 —
    CA_50 R | 164 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 —
    PA_16 R | 165 | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.8 — 48/43 (PPP)
    IN_02 R | 166 | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    AZ_06 R | 167 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    AZ_08 R | 168 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    FL_15* R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    MI_01 R | 170 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    NC_02 R | 171 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    WI_06 R | 172 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    FL_25 R | 173 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    CA_04 R | 174 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    OH_14 R | 175 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    MI_07 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    MI_06 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    GA_07 R | 178 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    TX_21* R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_16 R | 180 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 4 — 49/37 (PPP)
    FL_18 R | 181 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    IL_13 R | 182 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 45/42 (PPP)
    NY_24 R | 183 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    IL_14 R | 184 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.6 — 45/41 (PPP)
    PA_10 R | 185 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    CA_21 R | 186 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    VA_05 R | 187 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | 3.6 —
    NY_01 R | 188 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    NJ_03 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | 3.2 — 48/44 (D-Int.) | 42/42 (GSG-D)
    AR_02 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/42 (PPP)
    NC_13 R | 191 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 — 43/40 (PPP)
    WA_05 R | 192 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 — 48/45 (PPP)
    GA_06* R | 193 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    OH_01 R | 194 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.8 — 43/42 (PPP)
    NY_11 R | 195 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    MT_01 R | 196 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 2.4 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    WV_03* R | 197 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 2.4 — 41/43 (Monmouth)
    IA_03 R | 198 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.4 — 44/43 (PPP)
    VA_02 R | 199 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 48/42 (PPP)
    NM_02* R | 200 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 — 49/35 (Carroll Strategies)
    ME_02 R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 45/35
    MI_08 R | 202 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | 2 — 46/41 (PPP)
    NE_02 R | 203 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.8 —
    TX_32 R | 204 | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 —
    KY_06 R | 205 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 —
    UT_04 R | 206 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 — 47/43 | 45/39 (Salt Lake Trib.)
    KS_03 R | 207 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 —
    OH_12* R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 46/35 (JMC Analytics)
    CA_45 R | 209 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 — 43/46 (PPP)
    VA_07 R | 210 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.2 —
    KS_02* R | 211 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 —
    WI_01* R | 212 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 —
    IL_06 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1 —
    TX_07 R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1 — 47/45 (D-Int.) | 37/31 incum. fav. (GSG-D)
    NC_09* R | 215 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 42/37 (PPP) | 36/43 (Civitas)
    NJ_07 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 41/42 (PPP) | 45/47 (GQR-D)
    PA_01 R | 217 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 49/42
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    IL_12 R | 218 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 44/39 (PPP)
    TX_23 R | 217 | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 44/43 (PPP)
    MN_03 R | 216 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 43/46 (PPP)
    CA_10 R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 48/37 (ALG-D)
    CA_25 R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 49/42 (Srat. 360-D) | 45/40 (GSG-D)
    CA_48 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 48/44 (D-Internal)
    CO_06 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 —
    NY_19 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 41/43 (PPP)
    NY_22 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 40/47 (Zogby)
    FL_26 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 42/27 incumbent favorability (GSG-D)
    IA_01 R | 208 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/43 (D Internal)
    PA_17 R | 207 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_01* D | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_02 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MN_08* D | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    WA_08* R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/45
    CA_39* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/38 (Remington-R) | 45/43 (D Internal)
    MI_11* R | 201 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.4 — 42/45 (PPP)
    NJ_11* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -1 — 42/40 (PPP) | 38/40 (Monmouth)
    PA_07* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -1 —
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.2 — 39/49 (Monmouth)
    CA_49* R | 197 | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.6 — 41/44 (Feldman)
    NH_01* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    NV_03* D | 195 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    AZ_02* R | 194 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    FL_27* R | 193 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2 —
    AZ_01 D | 192 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.6 —
    NV_04* D | 191 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.8 — 37/42 (D Internal)
    FL_07 D | 190 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.2 —
    NJ_02* R | 189 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Sf D | -3.4 — 39/44 (PPP)
    MN_07 D | 188 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.6 —
    PA_08 D | 187 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.6 —
    CA_07 D | 186 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -4 —
    NJ_05 D | 185 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -4 —
    PA_06* R | 184 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4 —
    PA_05* R | 183 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.4 —
    AZ_09* D | 182 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    FL_13 D | 181 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 180 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    WI_03 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -5.2 —
    CA_24 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.2 —
    NY_18 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.2 —

    *indicates open seat

  1065. Chicon says:

    If asking the rich countries of Nato to pay for their defense is being an isolationist, I’ll be happy to sign up.

  1066. Chicon says:

    Nobody wrote a thing even hinting at isolationism, but somehow Jason finds it (probably by “cutting through the bs”, aka making it up).

  1067. DW says:

    new poll of FL Senate race released…

    Scott 42
    Nelson 39

    ….however….

    the sample was ONLY Hispanics.

  1068. Chicon says:

    DW, I thought I read other posters say that Trump’s hurtful language was gonna spell disaster among Latin voters? What gives.

  1069. Tgca says:

    1100!!!

  1070. lisab says:

    If US imposes a 10% tariff on $250 billion of Chinese exports to the US, the yuan would have to depreciate less than 1% against all other currencies to maintain a constant overall trade balance, even without retaliation.
    ____________________________________________

    that would hurt their bond holders

    and

    they are trying to keep their bond ratings up because moody’s and s&p have both downgraded them recently, causing china to aggressively try to keep their ratings stable

  1071. Phil says:

    I am totally against these Trump tariffs. Absolutely shooting ourselves in the foot with this policy.

    As far as Trump’s comments about the Russian pipeline to Germany and his calling out European nations for their levels of NATO contributions? He is absolutely right on the mark. Good for him.

  1072. mnw says:

    A FL congresswoman (Rep. Fowler(D), I think) attended a press conference to discuss Kavanaugh’s nomination. She put a box on the podium; opened it, & took out a coathanger.

    Any day when a bona fide independent pollster like Remington shows Hawley ahead is a good day.

    Some people will resist this, but I see Heller(R-NV) & McCaskill as identically situated. Well-known incumbents behind lesser-known challengers.

  1073. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    It is awful,.. absolutely awful — the President of the United States would call Europeans “free riders” who “don’t pay their fair share.” Trump has gone too far… oh wait, Obama said in 2016.

    “The idea that Europeans are “free riders,” enjoying the benefits of an international order safeguarded by the United States without contributing much to it, is well-worn in Washington. In that sense, President Obama did not break with the “Washington playbook” he otherwise derides when he complained to The Atlantic’s Jeffrey Goldberg about those who do not pay their “fair share” in global affairs. Obama went on to describe what he called an “anti-free rider campaign” in which, among other things, he pushed his European allies to lead the NATO intervention in Libya in 2011—in his words “in order to prevent the Europeans and the Arab states from holding our coats while we did all the fighting.”
    The timing of Obama’s criticism was surprising from a European standpoint, considering the significant foreign-policy achievements United States and its European allies have recently brought about together. In fact, Obama has arguably relied more on allies than other recent U.S. presidents in pursuing his foreign-policy objectives. But his “anti free-rider campaign” is also a strange priority at a time when both sides of the Atlantic are confronted with common and daunting challenges, including international terrorism—once again demonstrated by Tuesday’s attacks in Brussels—as well as increasing populism and nationalism in domestic politics.”

    Both Trump and Obama are right, the Europeans have been freeloaders; biting the hand that feeds them.

  1074. lisab says:

    yikes … trump took germany to the woodshed …

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqjJvveODKM

    (germany having an oil deal with russia … what could possibly go wrong?!)

  1075. Mr.Vito says:

    It’s almost as bad as a uranium deal.

  1076. lisab says:

    i doubt anyone has talked so bluntly to european diplomats since ww2

  1077. dblaikie says:

    Rosenstein inserting himself into the vetting of Kavenaugh is troubling.

  1078. mnw says:

    SDC

    In regard to NATO, the difference between Obama & Trump is that Trump is serious.

  1079. lisab says:

    so i was perusing minnesota state’s online offerings, because teachers need to keep getting education credits …

    the have something called “liesure studies”

    i guess for students who cannot make it through the stress of gender studies … now that they have 52 genders …

    professor lisa: ok … everybody relax … good … now let’s liesurely walk down this garden path … try not to look at the job postings board as we pass the student employment center …

  1080. lisab says:

    Trump turns NATO breakfast into the International House of Snowflakes. 🙂

  1081. Mr.Vito says:

    That should be Trump’s new moniker for the U.N…

  1082. Tina says:

    What is Redactstein doing?

  1083. Tina says:

    You should check out the word that trump used for lawyer, when referring to the mistress..

    Jebots are triggered

  1084. NYCmike says:

    Unfortunately, you can’t make cr*p up like that!
    It is already reality!

    SAD!

  1085. NYCmike says:

    19. “‘We are a nation of immigrants,’ we are constantly reminded. We are also a nation of people with ten fingers and ten toes. Does that mean that anyone who has ten fingers and ten toes should be welcomed and given American citizenship?”

    -Obviously, this man is a finger-and-toe-ist!

  1086. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    1105. “yikes … trump took germany to the woodshed …

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqjJvveODKM

    (germany having an oil deal with russia … what could possibly go wrong?!)”

    Trump is not saying anything that has not been pointed out to the Europeans by prior administrations. Bush & Obama had also opposed the Nord Stream pipelines. All that is different is Trump is speaking bluntly and firmly like a businessman. As mnv indicated, the difference is the Europeans know that Trump is serious. The leftist press is blowing it out of proportion because they want to trash Trump anyway they can.

  1087. jason says:

    Corker: still a hero!

    “WASHINGTON ? The Senate on Wednesday sent President Donald Trump a message on his actions on tariffs, which have roiled world markets and opened an escalating trade war with allies and adversaries alike.

    Senators voted 88-11 to pass a motion introduced by Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) aimed at giving Congress a role in determining when the U.S. can impose tariffs on other nations on “national security grounds.” Lawmakers of both parties have accused Trump of abusing that power, which is given to him by Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, by imposing tariffs on steel and aluminum from allies such as Canada and European Union member nations.”

    Republicans in the House and Senate need to unite against protectionism and isolationism and if Trump wants to continue trade wars, take away his powers to do it.

  1088. Tina says:

    Merkel was savaged today.

    She loves selling materials to the mullahs.

    Wants her auto markets protected.

    And won’t pay her fair share.

  1089. Tina says:

    Did Justin Truedope lose any more eyebrows at the national meetings?

  1090. GF says:

    1105- Hmmm…a German oil deal with Russia. As for what could wrong, ask Poland, France and the Low Countries about that.

  1091. Tina says:

    Reagan and Bush 41 blasted ago members for not paying their fair share.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1988/04/25/nato-fears-us-cost-cutting/b0a4c303-09f8-43a5-9f49-b52da7f54f49/?utm_term=.87cbd472049a

    Protectioniss, both of them. I also seem to remember mute 43 asking them to ncrease their share.

  1092. lisab says:

    lisa page has given a statement about ignoring the congressional subpoena

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZQOYOuSWywA

  1093. Tina says:

    It is time for congress to charge her.

    Perp walk the beotch,

  1094. Tina says:

    Ryan said she cannot ignore it, but what will he do about the FBI nest?

    *he used the word nest.

  1095. NYCmike says:

    “Republicans in the House and Senate need to unite against protectionism and isolationism and if Trump wants to continue trade wars, take away his powers to do it.”

    -Wondering what the polling data says about how voters feel about their elected representatives fighting for fair trade, as opposed to fighting for the principle of free trade, which they may attribute to the loss of jobs in their specific area.

  1096. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Obama used to trust Angela Merkel so much that he authorized the taping of her telephone.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/germany/10407282/Barack-Obama-approved-tapping-Angela-Merkels-phone-3-years-ago.html

  1097. mnw says:

    Corker = hero! = sponsors stuff to impede the President’s trade policy.

    Flake = flip-floppin’ scum!– just announced he will discontinue blocking Trump’s judicial nominees because of Flake’s opposition to Trump’s trade policies.

    Remember, folks! The GOP is in such a commanding position for the midterms that IT’S GREAT! to split the GOP into a Trump faction & a GOP Congressional faction.

    GOP doan’ need no stinkin’ unity. We got dis in de bag! /s

  1098. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Flake dropped his opposition to Trump’s judicial nominations after the Senate vote on the non-binding tariff resolution.

    “Senator Flake to Drop Judicial Holds
    By CARRIE SEVERINO
    July 11, 2018 6:21 PM
    For the past several weeks, Senator Jeff Flake has been threatening to block President Trump’s circuit court nominees unless the Senate votes on legislation that would restrict the President’s ability to impose tariffs. Senator Flake’s threats have applied to both the circuit court nominees who are waiting to be advanced out of the Senate Judiciary Committee (on which Senator Flake sits), as well as those currently waiting for confirmation votes from the full Senate.

    Today Senator Flake got his vote, as the Senate passed a nonbinding resolution seeking to constrain the President’s ability to impose tariffs for reasons related to national security. Yesterday Flake told reporters that the vote is “what I’ve been wanting.”

    As my NRO colleague, Ed Whelan, has reported, Senator Flake is dropping his threat to hold up the President’s circuit court nominees. Tomorrow the Senate Judiciary Committee will hold a markup and circuit court nominees Britt Grant (Eleventh) and David Porter (Third), will be reported to the Senate Floor assuming the presence of a quorum.”

  1099. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Talked to a female couple I know tonight, who are bitterly anti-Trump. However, they both agreed that they liked Trump “disrupting” the status quo. In particular liked how he is taking on China and Europe on the trade issue.

    Both parties are going to be ripped apart by the trade issue in the coming years. It played a big part in getting Trump elected. I believe it might cause the downfall of the old guard in the Democratic Party as well. The Democratic elites, particularly the tech industry, are dependent on cheap Asian labor, and manufacturing overseas allows them to stash their profits off-shore. The Bernie faction of the Democratic Party is on the attack against these practices. Its going to get nasty.

  1100. Tgca says:

    Anyone wanna discuss ABORTION?

  1101. mnw says:

    Hi, Tg

    You’re up early.

    As to discussing abortion, I’d rather spend 2 hours with an aggressive life insurance salesman.

    How’s pre-op prep going?

  1102. Chicon says:

    I’d rather spend a couple hours with a prosecutor. 🙂

  1103. Tgca says:

    Hi Mnw

    Yes. I wake up often during the night and thought that might be a good time to have an ABORTION discussion.

    Post-op is going fine, as expected. X-rays show all is healing and my range of motion is increasing though I still have some limitations and sleeping comfortably is foreign to me. Last night was not too bad but the night before I must have woken up like 12 to 15 times. It felt like I slept in increments of 15 min all night. It’s annoying.

    Pre-op is going fine too. My next surgical procedure is Monday so I’m expecting flowers and chocolate from you guys…in fact keep the flowers, just more chocolate please.

  1104. Wes says:

    It looks as if Mead Treadwell will come in second–again–to the eventual winner of a statewide election in Alaska:

    https://static1.squarespace.com/static/564129f1e4b07ae26518a05c/t/5b43b41d8a922da7a735db24/1531163678634/Harstad+Alaska+Survey+on+Governor%27s+Race.pdf

  1105. Wes says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 11, 2018 at 10:15 pm
    “Republicans in the House and Senate need to unite against protectionism and isolationism and if Trump wants to continue trade wars, take away his powers to do it.”

    -Wondering what the polling data says about how voters feel about their elected representatives fighting for fair trade, as opposed to fighting for the principle of free trade, which they may attribute to the loss of jobs in their specific area.

    Probably the same way they felt in 1930 just before Smoot-Hawley wrecked an already weak economy.

    I love how the tariff supporters never fail to ignore one of the worst economic disasters in US history in their discussions.

  1106. Wes says:

    Martha McSally raised $3 million in the second quarter and has $4.5 million on hand. She will be well funded once she dispatches Ward and Arpaio next month.

  1107. DW says:

    Wes, I remain convinced McSally pulls through in the end–at least that is the trajectory I expect. Of course anything can happen in politics. Nevada concerns me a little more. But the good news is we stand to do well in ND, IN and MO. FL too if Nelson never sits up in his coffin.

  1108. Wes says:

    I’m less concerned about NV than many on here, DW. Heller has won under adverse conditions before–most notably in 2012–and Rosen is an unvetted opponent who has already made rookie mistakes. Of course Heller can lose, but at this juncture I expect him to hang on.

  1109. mnw says:

    Tg

    That’s encouraging news overall. Interrupted sleep like that doesn’t help one’s overall disposition, I know, though. I take a muscle relaxant as needed. It’s not addictive; it’s not a barbiturate, but it works for me. Trazodone. From what you post, that’s probably way too mild in your situation, I fear.

    Wes

    China has indicated it would like to have new, private discussions about U.S. trade complaints. That is why the market is up premarket today. As Lisab has pointed out, China’s bargaining position is pretty poor. Many economists have made the same point as Lisa.

    Total income tax receipts are up 9% year to date, btw, because… more incomes to tax. The DEMs claimed, & still do, that the tax cuts would explode the deficit. The opposite has occurred. Shake hands with Art Laffer, Nancy.

  1110. Tina says:

    Schweitzer has touted the net R party Rs numbers in Nv. I cannot recall the figure though, but it was in one of his recent tweets.

  1111. Tina says:

    In other news, the jebots 2020 candidate, stormy, was arrested for fondling a female cop.

  1112. mnw says:

    45/52

  1113. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #1146
    46/52

  1114. Tgca says:

    Mnw

    I take medication for muscle spasms too, Zanaflex, as needed of course. I forewarn people that I am not responsible, if suddenly, my arm swings up and I smack them in the head, especially after they something stoopid. My younger dog has learned this as well, as often she will curl up in bed by my feet at night and then my legs spasm and she gets whacked. She looks at me like WTF and gets off the bed. I’m like. Sorry! Not my fault my leg whacked you in the head.

  1115. Wes says:

    That should be did rather than do. Clearly I wasn’t firing on all cylinders on that one.

  1116. jason says:

    And some people are against executions…killing your mother and grandmother with a nightstick to rob them?

    “VENTNOR – A family member has been charged with the murders of two women found dead in their Boardwalk condominium here.

    Heather Barbera, 41, fatally beat her mother and grandmother during a robbery at their home in the 4800 Boardwalk complex, the Atlantic County Prosecutor’s Office alleged Wednesday.

    The victims, 67-year-old Michelle Gordon and 87-year-old Elaine Rosen, died as a result of blunt force trauma.

    The prosecutor’s office said Barbera was charged with possessing a weapon for an unlawful purpose, referring to a nightstick. She is also charged with robbery and two counts of murder.”

  1117. jason says:

    Have some more coffee, wes.

  1118. jason says:

    Not my fault my leg whacked you in the head.”

    Be careful the neighbors don’t call Animal Protective Services on you.

  1119. jason says:

    Breaking news: Hogg to propose confiscation of all nightsticks in “civilian” hands.

  1120. Wes says:

    I didn’t say NV is not a worry, DW. I said I’m nopt so concerned about it as other posters. Clearly Heller is the most vulnerable GOP incumbent up this year.

  1121. jason says:

    ) Why is a 38-year-old woman working in a strip club?”

    She spent 130k on lawyers and needs more money?

  1122. mnw says:

    Tg

    That’s funny, poor beast. I’m going to get a dog later this summer. Now that I’m retired, a dog won’t have to be home alone all day. I had a beagle/mutt for 15 ears. Her ashes are on the mantle, & she’s going in the box with me when the time comes. I think a bearded collie this time. They’re wonderful. They actually look like sheepdogs, not collies.

    Trump JA & GCB are going down while Senate races generally looking better. These 2 things will not coexist for long. One has to change. Both can NOT be true.

  1123. DW says:

    someone at RRH was threatened with being banned for saying this:

    “At some point these clowns have to stop wailing about money in politics, right? Especially after the losing hag burned $1 billion?
    Oh well.”

  1124. Wes says:

    Right, Jason. I’m not sure why LisaB and other liberals consider murderers’ lives sacrosanct. It’s almost as if murderers are sacred cows to them, so eager are they to protect the lives of people who take others’. I want public executions brought back and would like to see them as inhumane as possible.

    Flaying people alive and burying them neck deep in African ant hills would be a good start.

  1125. Tina says:

    Or amniotic staged this so that she would get arrested, getting her sympathy and money.

  1126. Tina says:

    The hag also had 20 people working alone on her Twitter account,

  1127. jason says:

    Kavanaugh caught feeding homeless. It was a previously scheduled event with an organization he volunteers for, but I am sure the Dems will stillfind something to object to.

    http://dailycaller.com/2018/07/11/kavanaugh-feeds-homeless/

  1128. BayernFan says:

    It’s a big no no in Ohio to touch a dancer or vice versa. They can dance n u d e if they want. Plus you can bring your own booze, but s waitress had to pour it four you. Ohio liquor stores are owned by the state and close at 8. They have this weird stuff they call diluted vodka that they use to get around that.

  1129. DW says:

    Wes, murder is the ultimate theft of another person. The only fair punishment is execution.

  1130. jason says:

    Right wes, it really irks me that all these anti-death penalty lawyers constantly whine about the murderer maybe “feeling pain” during the execution, never mentioning the real pain of the victims, and the heartache of their families and friends.

  1131. BayernFan says:

    Plus you have to pay a membership fee of 20 or whatever a year to enter the club. This woman sounds like she was out of control. She was prolly warned to stop…. by other dancers. Her behavior risks the club getting shut down and the girls losing income. I bet they cheered when she was taken away. Local talent hates these featured appearances.

  1132. mnw says:

    DW

    I was the one who was warned yesterday, for posting that “Hawley looks like a TV star & McCaskill looks like a used dump truck.”

    If anybody cares, I count 3 actual Republicans at the supposedly “redstate” RRH: Cer; Honeybee; & our old HHR former poster friend Rdel.

    RRH makes me glad about something W.F. Buckley once said: “I’d rather be governed by the first 100 people in the Boston phone book than by he faculty at Harvard College.”

    RRH proves Buckley’s point. I think a lot of bright people insist on being unique & exotic.

    I estimate that half the RRH posters & moderators are lawyers, btw.

  1133. jason says:

    Sorry, I just don’t think someone who beats her own mother and 87 year old grandmother to death and robs them deserves more than a fair trial and immediate execution. Sue me.

  1134. Tina says:

    Kavanaugh is in trouble. He has debts from buying baseball tickets.

    The media is concerned.

    So, the jebots, once they wake, will be concerned too.

  1135. Tina says:

    Buying tickets with ones own money is a concern.

    The media buying FBI agents for access is not a concern,

    Go figure.

  1136. Wobbles says:

    Stormy is a woman of virtue, a hard working adult film star.

    This is obviously a vast right wing conspiracy to discredit her.

  1137. jason says:

    Baseball gate is a major scandal.

    Baseball is an American sport, and as such complicit in all the bad things America does. Kavanaugh, by buying tickets, is contributing to injustice all over the world.

    I don’t see how he survives this, frankly.

  1138. Mr.Vito says:

    “Baseball is an American sport…”

    And they all stand for the anthem because they are racist…

  1139. Cash Cow TM says:

    News story out there today on Kavanaugh:

    “Supreme Court nominee ran up his credit card bills by buying Nationals tickets”
    **********************************************

    PFFT…such revelations are mere peanuts to the far leftists.

    Here are real IMPORTANT criticisms that should disqualify Kavanaugh.
    ________________________________________
    Top 10 reasons the left arsehats are opposing SCOTUS nominee Kavanaugh”:

    [FIRST FIVE BEING SENT NOW, THE OTHER FIVE WILL BE SENT LATER TODAY]

    10. Research shows that when he orders chicken at KFC, Kavanaugh demands that the order include only RIGHT wings.

    9. Showing extreme bias, Kavanaugh always gets up on the right side of bed.

    8. When driving, Kavanaugh makes 92% right turns and only 8% left turns.

    7. When bidding while playing bridge, Kavanaugh over-emphasizes TRUMP when he bids no-trump.

    6. Even though 3 of Kavanaugh’s ancestors fought for the union army during the civil war, one ancestor fought for the Confederate troops.

    5. In 1982, Kavanaugh received a postcard in the mail from a friend at the beach in Georgia which had a confederate flag on the front and Kavanaugh did not immediately burn it.

    More later…

  1140. jason says:

    Comment on a story about Rosen’s non-existent business.

    “It doesn’t matter whether she actually built a business. It only matters whether she felt she built a business.”

  1141. Mr.Vito says:

    “It only matters whether she felt she built a business.”

    Not really, because if she feels she built a business as a Democrat, then she didn’t build that business according to Obama.

  1142. jason says:

    8. When driving, Kavanaugh makes 92% right turns and only 8% left turns.”

    It’s worse than that. He will make 5 right turns to avoid making a left turn.

  1143. Mr.Vito says:

    “He will make 5 right turns to avoid making a left turn.”

    That would make another right turn, so that is really bad.

  1144. jason says:

    Not really, because if she feels she built a business as a Democrat, then she didn’t build that business according to Obama.”

    No, according to Obama, only real businesses that were built weren’t built by the people who built them.

    The people who felt like they built a business, they did it without government help, and thus built the business.

  1145. Wes says:

    “Great” analysis from RRH yesterday on AL-Gov. Essentially the frontrunning Republican leads with Begich in the race, but that’s still good news for Walker. Ay Dios Mio…

    Octosteel July 11, 2018 at 1:16 pm | In reply to 123NY

    Hm, seems like Begich’s entry didn’t mess things up as expected. Both Walker and Begich have a decent chance of winning.

    Also, wonder why Dunleavy is crushing Treadwell so much.

  1146. Mr.Vito says:

    But the only way to feel you built a business when you didn’t build a business is in a government-backed society that encourages building up feelings of building what wasn’t built and discourages building what would be built, so that what wasn’t built was built up by others.

  1147. Wes says:

    There’s a reason Thom Tillis is one of my favorite Senators:

    https://twitter.com/SenThomTillis/status/1017237727857795072

  1148. Wes says:

    Have you heard of metaphors? If SCOTUS hears a case that deals with a president’s power to pardon himself, e.g., I’m content to say POTUS will have picked his own judge and jury, tho it’s technically not exactly right. You must be fun at parties tho.

    This is from one of the liberals on Thom Tillis’ Twitter feed. As I recall, Bill Clinton appointed Breyer and Ginsburg to the Court before his impeachment. Even so, the Chief Justice alone presides opver impeachment cases (assuming Trump becomes an impeachment victim). The Senate actually tries the case and can only convict with a 2/3 majority.

    These people are morons.

  1149. Mr.Vito says:

    Comment at WAPO:

    “So he likes baseball, trusts his friends, and pays off his debts? What an oddball, crucify him.”

  1150. Tina says:

    Pete the cheat refusing to answer questions.

    Goodlatte threatens him with contempt.

    Drats obstructing

    Fireworks.

  1151. mnw says:

    State of New Jersey has appropriated $2.1 million to help illegal aliens fight deportation.

  1152. Wes says:

    I wonder how the CITIZENS of New Jersey feel about the state’s doing that.

  1153. DW says:

    Wes, the citizens of NJ are too busy trying to figure out how to pay their property tax, or if they should give up and move to PA.

  1154. Wes says:

    Look, I don’t take the uncompromising hard line on immigration some do. For instance I think the Dream Act makes logical sense since the people it benefits are ones here not of their own volition.

    Even so, for a state to try to help people here illegally fight deportation is simply beyond unconscionable. I hope the people living in that sewer of a state revolt against their government for engaging in such a shameless act.

  1155. Wes says:

    That’s the kind of state a certain regular Hedgehogger likes, DW: full of corrupt, left-wing Democrats who tax the devil out of the populace and use the money to defend illegals.

    Makes me really want to move to the Sewer State. 🙄

  1156. Wes says:

    Good, hilarious post from RRH:

    pstchrisp July 12, 2018 at 11:10 am | In reply to TennesseeMike

    Can we get a look at Ocasio-Cortez’s Credit Card statements and taxes? I’m concerned that maybe she didn’t report all of her tip income and she wants to make laws that affect my finances.

    The person in question is the loony toon Dem nominee for NY-14.

  1157. Tgca says:

    My biggest concern with Kavanaugh is his white privilege. So he feeds the homeless hot meals? Big whoop! They don’t tell you those meals do not include organic pricey healthy choices from Whole Foods that only those of good economic stature can afford. I bet those hot meals don’t include healthy choices like free range eggs, arugula, quinoa, edamame, and Dead Sea sea salt and that they instead use meats and milk from hormone injected animals, margarine, and canned veggies loaded with processed salts and harmful preservatives. I would not feed the garbage he feeds the homeless to my dogs!

    He should be asked about the contents of the food fed the homeless. It’s an important confirmation inquiry.

  1158. Wes says:

    Does anyone else think a Napoleon Complex is strong with the RRH moderators?

  1159. Tina says:

    Goody has lit up Pete the cheat.

  1160. mnw says:

    Napoleon?

    Just smug young azaleas, imo. Really full of themselves…

    Speaking of which, “I’m a stable genius.” Well… you are not a MODEST stable genius.

  1161. Mr.Vito says:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k5mWbexIuEo

    This woman clearly says “He says he’s very well” in spanish.

    CNN makes sh!t up instead (which maybe she said or didn’t… but what she said was not translated)

  1162. Mr.Vito says:

    Maybe my Spanish is rusty, though.

    She may have said “Trump grabbed me by the p@$$y”

  1163. jason says:

    Yep, she says “he says he’s doing well”…….

    Amoral Scumbag will be so proud…

  1164. phoenixrisen says:

    #1198

    You saw that huh Tina? Did you see the scowls of the Dem congress reps? LOL!! What I thought what was most telling was Stzok’s closing statement after Gowdy filleted him which actually revealed his bias.

  1165. Tina says:

    Pr,

    Pete the cheat said he does not remember writing the text about stop intrude at 3:15. Then at 3:45 he remembers,

    Lol

    He needs to held in contempt.

  1166. jason says:

    A number of left wing newspapers have praised Kavanaugh, I am sure howling mad moonbats will light up their comment section.

    But they will be happy with the NYT. It called it a “hijacking of the Constitution by a small group of conservative radicals”.

    “A number of newspaper editorial boards based in states with Democratic senators are heaping praise on President Donald Trump’s Supreme Court nominee for his “first-rate legal mind” and experience. The praise has come despite Judge Brett Kavanaugh receiving uniformly conservative ideological ratings and in the face of widespread opposition from Democratic lawmakers.

    The Detroit News, the largest paper in Michigan with an editorial board, wrote that “Kavanaugh’s record defies challenge.”

    That board concluded that Kavanaugh’s record on the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit shows he will maintain a commitment to interpreting the law as it is written, and not how he may wish it were crafted.

    Michigan has two Democratic senators, Sens. Gary Peters and Debbie Stabenow. While Stabenow is up for re-election this year in a state Trump won in 2016, Stabenow is expected to vote against Kavanaugh’s confirmation.

    The largest paper in Virginia, the Richmond Times-Dispatch, published a view from its editorial board that “If one were to create an ideal résumé for the position of Supreme Court justice, it would not look terribly different from Brett Michael Kavanaugh’s curriculum vitae.”

    It wrote that “Indeed, Kavanaugh’s qualifications are impeccable — unfortunately, that won’t stop him from being lambasted by opposition on the left concerned about his conservative values.”

    Both of Virginia’s senators, Sens. Tim Kaine and Mark Warner, are also Democrats.

    The largest papers’ editorial boards in California and Illinois, the Los Angeles Times and Chicago Tribune respectively, praised the judge’s experience and intellect.

    All senators from both states are Democrats.

    Other editorial boards at top state papers praised Kavanaugh as well, including West Virginia’s The Intelligencer and Nevada’s Las Vegas Review Journal.

    “Let’s hope Manchin breaks with those in his party who see the decision as a political one,” the Intelligencer‘s editorial said of Sen. Joe Manchin (D., W.Va.).

    The editorial board at the Washington Post praised Kavanaugh but cautioned senators in what his confirmation could mean for the Court.

    The Post published the view that “Judge Kavanaugh, 53, is widely seen as one of the top legal minds of his generation – so much so that now-Justice Elena Kagan recruited him to teach at Harvard Law,” and praised him for his commitment to interpreting the Constitution as written.

    Despite the praise, it nevertheless said the Senate should “take care” in evaluating Kavanaugh. The op-ed’s title explained his appointment could “drastically shift the court to the right.”

    The largest paper of them all, however, was especially unenthused with Trump’s pick.

    The New York Times editorial board warned that “There’s so much you don’t know about Brett Kavanaugh. And you probably won’t until it’s too late.”

    “Senate Democrats need to use the confirmation process to explain to Americans how their Constitution is about to be hijacked by a small group of conservative radicals,” the Times board said.

  1167. Tina says:

    Pete the cheat

    Trump supporters are walmart hillsides, 2016

    2018. Virginia hillbillies are great

    He is cracking.

  1168. Tina says:

    Gowdy just destroyed him.

    Now, goodlatte is pouncing.

    He is broken.

    This was the fbis super agent.

  1169. jason says:

    And in further news…

    “A married woman and her mechanic lover reportedly died from apparent carbon monoxide poisoning while having sex in a parking garage.

    Kahali Johnson found his wife, Tameka Hargrave, 39, and the 56-year-old mechanic, who was not identified, dead in a parking garage on Monday night in Newark, N.J., ABC 7 New York reported.”

  1170. jason says:

    Of course the story actually gets better.

    The woman was paying the mechanic with sex to fix her car because she was low on cash.

  1171. jason says:

    I wonder if the mechanic had a “price” list, depending on what the problem with the car was.

  1172. Wes says:

    At least the mechanic died with a smile on his face.

  1173. Mr.Vito says:

    https://www.nationalreview.com/the-morning-jolt/russia-germany-gerhard-schroeder-putin-chief-european-lobbyist/

    “As usual, Trump is down the street and around the corner from a legitimate point. Well, perhaps he’s a bit closer this time. If you think Trump’s past business connections to Russian figures are troubling, you probably ought to be livid about how former German chancellor Gerhard Schroeder’s has decided to become the chief lobbyist for Vladimir Putin in Europe.”

  1174. Wes says:

    I will say one thing about fundraising though:

    Oftentimes we get caught up in fundraising numbers and wonder what they mean for an election. For instance, late in 2016, Deborah Ross outraised Richard Burr. Burr, however, had met his fundraising targets for the cycle and ultimately outspent his hapless opponent.

    The point I’m making is that fundraising is not always a gauge of a candidate’s strength.

    See Beto O’Rourke for example. He has zero chance of toppling Ted Cruz but is raising even more money than Rick Scott. Cruz doesn’t need to fundraise on pace with Beto, so he exerts his efforts elsewhere while Beto gets the headlines of big leftist hauls getting ready to turn Texas blue. It’s not going to happen.

    That said, Morrisey needs to get some more money coming in. Letting Manchin outspend him 4-1 isn’t going to help even if right-leaning SuperPACs pick up the slack. The WVAG needs to kick things into high gear.

  1175. Tgca says:

    1200

    Clearly the woman continues speaking and though we can’t hear what she says, I can read lips and she goes on to further say:

    “Realmente me gustan las manos de Trump. Son tan grandes y él puede agarrarme por el pelo de la v*gina en cualquier momento.”

  1176. Tgca says:

    1208

    This is why I don’t have sex in cars…anymore. The risk of carbon monoxide poisoning is just not worth it. I’ll stick to the rest stop and airport bathroom stalls. *Tap Tap*

  1177. Mr.Vito says:

    1215

    Ha!

  1178. Tgca says:

    Let’s see how this “would be white supremacist terrorist scum” feels after nearly 3 years in jail without Doritos.

    https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/white-supremacist-church-attack-sentenced-prison/2018/07/12/id/871345/

  1179. mnw says:

    I doubt many average voters will catch Strozk’s testimony today, but he comes off as an arrogant pr*ck. Period.

  1180. Cash Cow TM says:

    “…A number of left wing newspapers have praised Kavanaugh…”

    For the record, the Wheeling (WV) Intelligencer is owned by the Ogden chain…conservatives, not liberal.

  1181. Cash Cow TM says:

    More reasons why the left hates Kavanaugh…
    ****************************************************
    4. Kavanaugh has not one single illegal alien living in his house.

    More to follow…

  1182. Tina says:

    Several lies from Pete the cheat.

    Body language all off too.

  1183. dblaikie says:

    The thing that gets me about today’s hearing is that someone needs to call Struck on the fact that the Inspector General only talked about lack of bias in Clinton case. He is currently investigating bias in Russia case — still an open and troubling question.

  1184. lisab says:

    CNN Report: Millions Of American Voters May Have Colluded To Elect Trump

    U.S.—A new, exclusive CNN investigative report revealed Thursday that millions of American voters may have potentially colluded with the Trump campaign to elect Donald Trump as President of the United States.

    While Russia has been accused of interfering in the election, the breaking report indicates that the collusion may have extended to a significant portion of the U.S. population—“as many as 60 million citizens, and possibly even more.”

    “The conspiracy goes much deeper than anyone expected,” Jake Tapper said on his news segment The Politics Lead. “We’re talking tens of millions of people involved in this secret plot to make sure Hillary didn’t make it into the White House and to prop up Donald Trump as the winner.”

    The CNN report does not accuse anyone of hacking or rigging the vote, but rather suggests that those colluding with the real estate mogul in the far-reaching scheme may have simply walked into voting booths and cast their vote for Donald Trump, giving him the electoral college victory.

    “It’s far more sinister than we thought,” a visibly disturbed Tapper said.

  1185. lisab says:

    HAPPENING!!!!!!!! Lisa Page caught fleeing country being chased by police on I-35!!!!!!

    https://i.redditmedia.com/DeaXYcxteoZyMYO2jMvlIC6Lpm1xQPlsWzIrcQ2E0VM.jpg?w=615&s=581e10028a48c8717df3b435ff581406

  1186. Tina says:

    I think the Rooster caught Pete the cheat in a perjury trap.

    Pete was speaking with the FBI lawyah and the lawyah seemed concerned.

  1187. lisab says:

    wow … the hearing is getting out of control

    a paraphrase …

    “how many times did you have that smirk on your face when you lied to your wife about your affair?”

  1188. Tina says:

    Gowdy just re broke Pete the cheat.

    FBI counsel has now advised Pete the cheat to say you do not recall. Prior to break, he can’t answer

  1189. Tgca says:

    WV Sen Manchin says” Kavanaugh has all the right qualities.”

    Sounds like a non-partisan “Yes” vote to me, and I’m certain it has nothing to do with his re-election bid in a state Trump barely carried over Clinton by a mere 42 points.

    https://www.newsmax.com/politics/manchin-likes-kavanaugh/2018/07/12/id/871346/

  1190. Tina says:

    Rep. Louie Gohmert absolutely savages disgraced FBI agent Peter Strzok: “When I see you looking with a little smirk, I wonder how many times did you looked so innocently into your wife’s eyes when you were with Lisa Page.”pic.twitter.com/LVfXFObtT7

  1191. phoenixrisen says:

    #1232 — OOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHHHH!!!! Wow! Strzok’s butt is going to be all kinds of red, blue, and purple. My goodness the GOP is cutting loose today. Love to see the Democrats’ scowls.

  1192. NYCmike says:

    “I love how the tariff supporters never fail to ignore one of the worst economic disasters in US history in their discussions.”

    -Wes,

    I asked about polling data.

    If you don’t have the data, just say “I don’t know.” .

    It’s ok, we already know you are not perfect. We still accept you.

  1193. GeauxLSU says:

    The FBI has obviously replaced the singles bar as the best place to get the hook-up…the lighting must be bad in there until closing time as well.

  1194. phoenixrisen says:

    Here’s the video. LOL!! Watch the Dem reps go NUTS!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g8Oe-hzq8nw

  1195. Tina says:

    Both the rooster and Jordan have trapped Pete the cheat.

    Pete has blown his cool several times.

    The body images show he is a liar.

  1196. Tina says:

    And the smirking, rolling of the eyes, etc. I cannot be,I eve anything Pete says, other than he cheated.

  1197. Todd McCain says:

    Wow; that guy got his @ss handed to him.

  1198. Paul says:

    Impeach Trump.

  1199. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    1231. “WV Sen Manchin says” Kavanaugh has all the right qualities.”

    Sounds like a non-partisan “Yes” vote to me, and I’m certain it has nothing to do with his re-election bid in a state Trump barely carried over Clinton by a mere 42 points.

    https://www.newsmax.com/politics/manchin-likes-kavanaugh/2018/07/12/id/871346/

    Shame on Manchin, didn’t he hear Schumer ordering him to commit political suicide for the sake of the party. You don’t think that Schumer was saying it to just please leftists, and did not really mean it?

  1200. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    1240. Paul, that camp fire went out long ago. Don’t expect to cook any marshmallows.

  1201. NYCmike says:

    SanDiego,

    Actually, Paul should keep pushing that “Impeach!” angle all the way thru November, along with “Collusion!”, “Stormy!”, and “Abolish ICE!”.

  1202. GF says:

    1229- the hearing is getting out of control
    **************************************************

    To paraphrase the great Fred Dalton Thompson, “It’s going to get out of control, and we’ll be lucky to live through it.”

  1203. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    The Washington Post was very disappointed with the polling numbers regarding the Mueller investigation:

    “On the day a key former FBI official is set to testify on Capitol Hill, President Trump’s months-long crusade to paint the special counsel investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election as a partisan “witch hunt” appears to have turned the question into another 50-50 partisan issue, according to a new Washington Post-Schar School poll.

    Americans are nearly split, 49 percent approving and 45 percent disapproving of the way special counsel Robert S. Mueller III is handling the investigation into possible ties between Trump’s presidential campaign and the Russian government.

    What’s more, 48 percent say the question of whether Trump’s campaign colluded with Russian efforts to influence the 2016 election is a “serious issue,” while an identical 48 percent say it’s “more of a distraction.””

  1204. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    It hasn’t been that long since concerned troll was posting almost daily on how Mueller would drive Trump from office. Now the focus is on bias FBI employees. The implosion of left has been truly amazing to watch.

  1205. Tina says:

    BOOM,

    Sean Davis
    @seanmdav
    ·
    18m
    Peter Strzok just admitted under questioning from Rep. Jim Jordan that Bruce Ohr, husband of Fusion GPS operative Nellie Ohr, funneled documents to the FBI related to the Russia case. Strzok refused to say what those documents were.

  1206. Tina says:

    The FBI lawyah was trying to block him from answering Jordan’s question,

    The Rs are breaking him.

    He should be water boarded, he would break quickly.

  1207. Tina says:

    Rep. Jordan is getting closer and closer to confirming the dossier came to the FBI and Strzok’s C.I. team from Bruce Ohr at DOJ who got it from his wife Nellie Ohr who was employed by Glenn Simpson of Fusion who was hired by the Clinton campaign

  1208. Tina says:

    Upchuck Odd just declared this a big win for the President.

    No, this is a big win for the rule of law.

  1209. Tgca says:

    Who wants to discuss VAGINAL Rejuvenation?

    It’s the latest cosmetic trend in swanky places like LA and NYC. I have been discussing this with a female friend of mine the last year. It’s going mainstream and soon to be the latest topic in women’s healthcare. I’m always on top of the latest trends I tell ya!

    https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/vaginal-rejuvenation-is-latest-cosmetic-trend-hit-hollywood-1126442

  1210. Tgca says:

    1251

    So when someone tells you they’re considering or had the FemiLift or MonaLisa Touch, you’ll know what they’re talking about.

  1211. DW says:

    Tina, all the 2016 election night commentators who expressed disgust at the Trump supporters’ chant ‘Lock her up!’ should all have to come out and apologize.

  1212. NYCmike says:

    “He should be water boarded, he would break quickly.”

    -Torture!

  1213. Tina says:

    This is a disaster for the fib as an institution.

    It appears that sessions and wrong Wray cannot lead it.

  1214. Tina says:

    BOOM

    PETE admits that Fuhrer Mulehead never asked him about the texts or statements,

  1215. Tina says:

    It took almost all day for Pete to admit he was thrown off the sc because of the texts.

    However, it was the Ig that discovered them and gave them to Fuhrer.

  1216. DW says:

    Fox News – Trump approval

    46/51

    Generic Ballot

    40/48

  1217. mnw says:

    MT-SEN:

    Remington Research Group:

    Tester (D-inc) 49

    Rosendale (R) 46

    Und. 5

    The D/R/I looks right, & Trump’s JA in MT is +10, which may be right. But I note they sampled 52% women & 48% men. WHY? Did all the men die in a cattle stampede? There is a pro-Tester gender split, of course. Women prefer T & men prefer R.

    This strikes me as being far more realistic than the execrable Survey Monkey poll. RCP INCLUDES Remington, but not Monkey. Remington is a spectable outfit, though not exceptional.

    I always liked Rosendale & think he’s a good candidate.

  1218. mnw says:

    DW

    That’s an improvement in Trump’s JA by FOX, isn’t it?

  1219. mnw says:

    1259 sb “respectable outfit”

  1220. NYCmike says:

    “spectable outfit”

    -I could see some people saying it like this, actually!

  1221. mnw says:

    MT is one of only 10 states with more men than women, but the poll included 52% women & 48% men. Women voters in MT disproportionately favor Tester, btw.

  1222. NYCmike says:

    To that whole discussion, I will say “Idiot. Just do your job, and don’t worry about the colors of the plane.”

  1223. JC says:

    @NYCmike

    Honestly, I’ve never like the baby blue color of airforce one either. I think a deeper, bolder blue would be much better.

    And maybe some pinup girls on the side…

  1224. Tina says:

    Drafts introduce bill to repeal ICE.

    Are they that dumb?

  1225. Phil says:

    Yes, they are, Tina.

  1226. Phil says:

    BTW, that smirk on Pete’s face didn’t earn him any points today.

  1227. jason says:

    Wow, this guy is really “unbiased”…

    That was written late at night, off the cuff,” Strzok told the panel. “And it was in response to a series of events that included then-candidate Trump insulting the immigrant family of a fallen war hero, and my presumption based on that horrible, disgusting behavior that the American population would not elect somebody demonstrating that behavior to be president of the United States.”

  1228. jason says:

    But I note they sampled 52% women & 48% men. WHY?”

    Well, that is because there are more women voters than men, not only in Montana but the country as a whole.

    Women outlive men by an average of 8 years, plus fewer die in accidents/homicides and drug overdoses and fewer are incarcerated or are convicted felons who can’t vote.

  1229. Bitterlaw says:

    Changing the colors of Air Force One? Considering Trump’s experience with airlines, maybe he should focus on something else.

  1230. jason says:

    GOWDY: “About two weeks ago FBI Agent Peter Strzok was interviewed for more than 10 hours. We learned that agent Strzok has a most unusual and largely self-serving definition of bias. Agent Strzok despite the plain language of his texts and emails and despite the inspector general’s report, and despite common sense doesn’t think he was biased. He thinks calling someone destabilizing for the country isn’t bias. He thinks promising to protect the country from someone he hasn’t even begun to investigate isn’t bias. He thinks promising to stop someone he is supposed to be fairly investigating from ever becoming president isn’t bias. He thinks talking about an insurance policy to keep someone from becoming president isn’t bias. That’s for one of the folks he was investigating. He has a different set of rules for others that he is investigating. Agent Strzok thinks saying someone he is allegedly investigating should be elected president 100 million to 0, before he ever interviews her. He doesn’t think that’s bias. Agent Strzok thinks pronouncing someone innocent before bothering to interview more than 30 different witnesses isn’t bias. He thinks claiming you can smell the Trump supporters isn’t bias but he doesn’t say a single solitary word about being able to smell the support of any other candidate. To him that isn’t bias.”

  1231. Gpo says:

    Great poll MNW- I believe there is a serious third party candidate from the left in Montana this year as well

  1232. mnw says:

    jason 1272

    I think that’s a crock, as it regards MT. It may be true of the 40 states where women actually outnumber men, but I think a 4% gap in a state where adult men are in the majority is just stupid.

    Anyway, Remington modeled the GE electorate, so that is the polling company’s guess. Every pollster models.

    The Wise Men say the poll has a 1.5% DEM bias as well.

    Remington doesn’t release its internals, at least not right away. There is no way to know what the male/female voter ratio was in 2016, either. That info isn’t recorded by the state, altho you could get it by examining the voter registration cards of actual voters.

    I doubt anyone would say that the m/f voter turnout ratio is the same across all states? Including places like AK & MT? A 4% gap… in MT?

  1233. mnw says:

    Gpo

    I dunno. I think I saw where the Greens in MT had run into some ballot access difficulty, but I’m not sure. I’ll check it out, but not tonight.

    The poll shows Rosendale underperforming with Trump voters in MT, btw. Kind of like WV, only not so pronounced.

    Stay tuned. I’ll report back about the Greens & the Liibertarians. A lot of The Wise Men are Libertariand, I think. Several of their damn mods are at some idiot’s delight event with George Will this week.

    As I said earlier, there are only 4-5 RRH posters who could qualify as regular Republicans, imo.

  1234. Tina says:

    Yup, no bias. /s

    Pete the cheat, Hillary will win 100 million to O.

  1235. Tina says:

    Gowdy nailed Pete about his calls for impeachment.

  1236. jason says:

    mnw, the 2010 census shows 496k male and 492k female in Montana.

    In Missouri, for example, the population is 51% female, other states even higher.

    In any case, I think that still tells us there are more adult women then men and more female voters than male voters, although I agree its probably not 4%.

  1237. jason says:

    Whoops. the registered voter by gender data IS available.

    There are 7k more female voters than male voters in MT.

    In Missouri there are like 165k more female voters than male voters.

    In the US there are 76 million female voters and 66 million male voters.

    https://www.kff.org/other/state-indicator/number-of-registered-voters-in-thousands-and-registered-voters-as-a-share-of-the-voter-population-by-gender-november-2014/?currentTimeframe=0&sortModel=%7B%22colId%22:%22Location%22,%22sort%22:%22asc%22%7D

  1238. mnw says:

    The population of MT is over 2 million.

    The Center For Women And Politics at Rutgers University reports that in 2016, among younger voters (18-64), women voted in greater percentages than men. Among older voters, (65+) the reverse was true. This is national, but so much for “women live longer & are over-represented among older voters” who vote the most.

  1239. jason says:

    mnw, there is a difference between voting in greater percentage and number of voters.

    A lot more women vote than men because there are a lot more of them. Even if older men vote in higher percentages than older women, in absolute numbers there are a lot more older women than men.

    For example, there are a million more women voters than men in CA, 600k in FL.

    Montana, Hawaii, Alaska and Wyoming are among the very few states where the difference is not that much, in MT its 50.7% vs 49.3%.

    Finally, Montana only has about 1 million people, not 2 million.

  1240. mnw says:

    Gpo

    The Green Party did not qualify for the Nov. ballot in MT, because they failed to collect 5000 valid signatures, a judge has ruled.

    I’m not sure about the status of the Libertarian Party. I think the Libertarians saved Tester’s adz last time. I’ll try to check that out, but the DEMs got the Green Party candidate tossed. I thought I remembered reading that.

    jason

    I’m tired of it. End of discussion. We disagree.

  1241. mnw says:

    Gpo

    There IS a Libertarian on the ballot for U.S. Senate in MT– Rick Breckenridge.

    In 2016, Breckenridge got 3.3% of the vote for the MT-AL House seat.

    So, no Green candidate, but there will be a Libertarian who got over 3% when he ran statewide last time.

    This is obviously not good for Rosendale.

  1242. jason says:

    Awwww, you are tired because I gave you the right numbers.

    You get an A for intellectual dishonesty.

    There is no disagreement here, only facts.

    But if you want to keep being an idiot and saying Montana has 2 million people, be my guest.

    http://worldpopulationreview.com/states/montana-population/

  1243. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    This GIF from yesterday’s Pete the Cheat hearing has gone viral. It is very scary and reminds me of the main characters in “A Clockwork Orange”!

    https://twitter.com/i/status/1017612665164894209

  1244. DW says:

    Paladin – 2018 Senate Dashboard
    ———————————————————–
    ST | Cnt | Cook |Gonz | Saba | NYT | Fox | CNN | RCP | Score — Latest Poll
    ———————————————————–
    NE | 46 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    MS | 47 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    TX | 48 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.4 — 50/39 (Quin.) | 50/40 (CBS)
    TN | 49 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 — 58/40 (S-Monkey)
    —-Democrats need ALL the below for control—-
    ND | 51 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 52/46 (S-Monkey)
    MO | 50 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 48/46 (Remington)
    IN | 49 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/46 (S-Monkey)
    FL | 48 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/47 (S-Monkey)
    AZ | 47 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.2 — 45/51 (S-Monkey)
    NV | 46 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.2 — 47/49 (S-Monkey)
    WV | 45 | Toss | Tlt D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.4 — 40/56 (S-Monkey)
    MT | 44 | Lk D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 — 46/49 (Remington)
    OH | 43 | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.8 — 46/52 (S-Monkey)
    WI | 42 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.1 — 42/56 (S-Monkey)
    MN | 41 | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.7 —
    PA | 40 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.2 — 43/54 (S-Monkey
    MI | 39 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.2 — 44/53 (S-Monkey)
    NJ | 38 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.5 — 32/53 (Monmouth)
    VA | 37 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -5.1 — 33/44 (Roanoke) |36/54 (Quin.)
    ME | 36 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —

  1245. Tina says:

    The facial expressions and body language show a broken, corrupt, and unfit person.

    Everything that he handled has been tainted. Clearly, he covered up the Hillary matter, the wiener laptop, possibly altered a 302 or lied about Flynn, and probably did something stupid about papodope.

    As far as papodope, his charge stems from not remembering a date, an insignificant one at that.

  1246. Tina says:

    Notice how the jebots remained silent yesterday?

    That was a disaster for Pete the cheat.

    A bad day for the FBI as an institution corrupted by comedy and Fuhrer Mulehead. Remember, when the jebots claimed that Mulehead did not leak?

    A bad day for mr. Magoo Jeff Sessions and Wrong Wray.

    I warned about putting another lawyah into the FBI. No offense to the lawyahs here.

  1247. Tina says:

    Guiliani has stated that given the Pete the cheat fiasco, no interview is likely.

    Giuliani keeps effectively moving the football.

    Fuhrer has not established a basis for interviewing the President and has not indicated any involvement by trump in a criminal matter.

  1248. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    I do not understand why Charlie Cook does not move all Republican House candidates into the Toss-Up column!

    https://www.cookpolitical.com/

    FL-06: Safe R > Likely R
    FL-16: Likely R > Lean R
    IL-13: Likely R > Lean R
    ME-02: Lean R > Toss Up
    MI-08: Lean R > Toss Up

  1249. DW says:

    Charlie Cook needs to get his toupee examined. Every time the Dems get a little bump in the generic matchup polling, he rushes out to move five to ten seats a notch in the Dem direction. But then when the polling balances back out he is silent and doesn’t put any of those rankings back. At the rate he is going all 435 seats will be Lean D or stronger by election day.

    The other fallacy is looking at the generic ballot polling and assuming it is an even distribution across America. Much like people saw Hillary with a +4 national popular vote in polling and assumed she was safe when obviously she wasn’t safe and did win the national popular vote by a few points.

    I have said it before…we need to look at polling of individual house races. The generic ballot could easily turn out to be skewed due to increased Dem interest in the largest urban areas where the Dem normally wins by wide margins anyway.

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ———————————————————————–
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ———————————————————————–
    CO_03 R | 153 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    TX_31 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    SC_01 R | 155 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    CA_22 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 — 49/41 (PPP)
    MO_02 R | 157 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    NC_08 R | 158 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_07 R | 159 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_10 R | 160 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_15 R | 161 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    PA_14* D | 162 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 —
    CA_50 R | 163 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.2 —
    FL_06* R | 164 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    PA_16 R | 165 | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.8 — 48/43 (PPP)
    IN_02 R | 166 | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    AZ_06 R | 167 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    AZ_08 R | 168 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    FL_15* R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    MI_01 R | 170 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    NC_02 R | 171 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8 —
    WI_06 R | 172 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    FL_25 R | 173 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    CA_04 R | 174 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    OH_14 R | 175 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    MI_07 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    MI_06 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.4 —
    GA_07 R | 178 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    TX_21* R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_18 R | 180 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    NY_24 R | 181 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_16 R | 182 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 — 49/37 (PPP)
    IL_13 R | 183 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.6 — 45/42 (PPP)
    IL_14 R | 184 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.6 — 45/41 (PPP)
    PA_10 R | 185 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    CA_21 R | 186 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    VA_05 R | 187 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | 3.6 —
    NY_01 R | 188 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.6 —
    NJ_03 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | 3.2 — 48/44 (D-Int.) | 42/42 (GSG-D)
    AR_02 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/42 (PPP)
    NC_13 R | 191 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 — 43/40 (PPP)
    WA_05 R | 192 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 — 48/45 (PPP)
    GA_06* R | 193 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    OH_01 R | 194 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.8 — 43/42 (PPP)
    NY_11 R | 195 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    MT_01 R | 196 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 2.4 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    WV_03* R | 197 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 2.4 — 41/43 (Monmouth)
    IA_03 R | 198 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.4 — 44/43 (PPP)
    VA_02 R | 199 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 48/42 (PPP)
    NE_02 R | 200 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.8 —
    NM_02* R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 — 49/35 (Carroll Strategies)
    ME_02 R | 202 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 — 45/35
    MI_08 R | 203 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | 1.6 — 46/41 (PPP)
    TX_32 R | 204 | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 —
    KY_06 R | 205 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 —
    UT_04 R | 206 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 — 47/43 | 45/39 (Salt Lake Trib.)
    KS_03 R | 207 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.6 —
    OH_12* R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 46/35 (JMC Analytics)
    CA_45 R | 209 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 — 43/46 (PPP)
    VA_07 R | 210 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.2 —
    KS_02* R | 211 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 —
    WI_01* R | 212 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 —
    IL_06 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1 —
    TX_07 R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1 — 47/45 (D-Int.) | 37/31 incum. fav. (GSG-D)
    NC_09* R | 215 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 42/37 (PPP) | 36/43 (Civitas)
    NJ_07 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 41/42 (PPP) | 45/47 (GQR-D)
    PA_01 R | 217 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 49/42
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    IL_12 R | 218 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 44/39 (PPP)
    TX_23 R | 217 | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 44/43 (PPP)
    MN_03 R | 216 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.4 — 43/46 (PPP)
    CA_10 R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 48/37 (ALG-D)
    CA_25 R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 49/42 (Srat. 360-D) | 45/40 (GSG-D)
    CA_48 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 48/44 (D-Internal)
    CO_06 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 —
    NY_19 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 41/43 (PPP)
    NY_22 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 40/47 (Zogby)
    FL_26 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 42/27 incumbent favorability (GSG-D)
    IA_01 R | 208 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/43 (D Internal)
    PA_17 R | 207 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_01* D | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_02 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MN_08* D | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    WA_08* R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/45
    CA_39* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/38 (Remington-R) | 45/43 (D Internal)
    MI_11* R | 201 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.4 — 42/45 (PPP)
    NJ_11* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -1 — 42/40 (PPP) | 38/40 (Monmouth)
    PA_07* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -1 —
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.2 — 39/49 (Monmouth)
    CA_49* R | 197 | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.6 — 41/44 (Feldman)
    NH_01* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    NV_03* D | 195 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    AZ_02* R | 194 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    FL_27* R | 193 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2 —
    AZ_01 D | 192 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.6 —
    NV_04* D | 191 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.8 — 37/42 (D Internal)
    FL_07 D | 190 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.2 —
    NJ_02* R | 189 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Sf D | -3.4 — 39/44 (PPP)
    MN_07 D | 188 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.6 —
    PA_08 D | 187 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.6 —
    CA_07 D | 186 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -4 —
    NJ_05 D | 185 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -4 —
    PA_06* R | 184 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4 —
    PA_05* R | 183 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.4 —
    AZ_09* D | 182 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    FL_13 D | 181 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 180 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    WI_03 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -5.2 —
    CA_24 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.2 —
    NY_18 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.2 —

    *indicates open seat

  1250. DW says:

    Look at CA_25, TWO dem polling firms, thumbs no doubt on the scale and all, could only get the dem challenger within 5-7 points of the Republican, and yet Cook cannot bring himself to say Lean R.

    Credit Gonzales I guess for at least saying Tilt R.

  1251. jason says:

    That hearing yesterday was really appalling.

    The guy was just oozing bias and contempt. Even when supposedly trying to deflect the bias accusations, he could not help himself and started using Hillary campaign talking points.

    I would like to hear from CG and Amoral Scumbag on whether they really think this guy is capable of conducting any kind of a fair and objective investigation.

  1252. DW says:

    Just looking at the Daily Kos house seat rankings and Cook is much further to the left of Kos.

    I would add Kos to my dashboard, but just cannot do it…feels like it would make it dirty.

  1253. mnw says:

    Remington MT Sen poll:

    They didn’t include the Libertarian. That means the poll is better for Tester than the topline (Rosedale +3) indicates, probably.

  1254. jason says:

    Luckily, the Dems have their own deadenders. Some want to make “lists” of leftists who are going off the reservation with Kavanaugh and admitting he is a very qualified candidate.

    I like some of the responses:

    “Progressives should keep a list of names of the sellouts at Yale and elsewhere who are right now trying to smooth a path for the overturning of Roe and gutting of the New Deal. They should be unwelcome in future Democratic administrations.”

    “So you want to make retribution lists for academics who dissent from what should be the approved political agenda.

    Let me guess. You’re also worried about new McCarthyism or something.”

    and

    “Sure beats developing sensible policies and winning elections. How much do you think you can milk out of donors to make yourself Keeper of the List?”

    and

    “Let’s keep a list of people who think differently than we do and drive them from society, said the anti-fascist.”

  1255. jason says:

    The only caveat on the libertarian deadender is that sometimes the libertarian candidate is an anti-war, anti-military, pro-drug legalization type that could actually appeal to some of the moonbats.

    I believe that was the case with Sean Haugh in NC, who ran on a less war, more weed platform that targeted the “Koch Bros dark money”. He might have taken as many votes from Hagen as he did from Tillis.

    I don’t know if that is the case in MT, probably not.

  1256. jason says:

    Here was Haugh’s platform. Maybe some conservatives voted for him without reading it. If they did, I doubt they would.

    “I am running because I want to stop all war. Not only real war but metaphorical war as well.

    We have to stop our wars abroad. American taxpayers should not be paying for the deaths of others around the world. I stand against drone warfare in particular. We need to stop exporting arms to other governments and quasi-governmental groups. We must end all government policies that spread violence at home and abroad.

    We have to stop the culture wars. There is no political solution which starts with half of the population dropping dead. Every person deserves respect and dignity simply for being human. Culture warriors portray their opponents as less than human, causing violence and hatred to spread. We would be well served to start approaching our political and social differences in terms of right and wrong, not good and evil. We must reason with each other, not try to destroy each other.

    We have to stop the wars against our own people. The militarization of our police must change course. Police violence against the citizens they are sworn to protect and serve is growing at an alarming rate. The massive assaults against our electronic privacy also create a government based on intimidation rather than service. We must reform our relationship with those we charge to tend to our security.”

  1257. Phil says:

    A just released Morning Consult poll shows Democrats now favor abolishing ICE by 43-34 percent.

    Despite that only 25 percent of all Americans favor doing away with ICE.

    Just in case anyone had any doubt that The Democratic Party was off the rails……

  1258. mnw says:

    The MT Libertarian candidate for Senator is one Keith Breckenridge. He ran for MT-AL House seat in 2016 & got 3.3% of the vote statewide.

    He talks mostly about gun control: Trump is too “anti-gun” for his tastes. He also doesn’t like govt regulation, especially on the construction business with which he is connected. He opposes tariffs too.

    Political scientist consulted by newspaper when Breckenridge announced thinks he will hurt Rosendale. However, says the expert, “Rosendale has a strong libertarian streak himself.” Because of that, poly sci guy thinks Breckenridge will underperform his 2016 showing.

  1259. mnw says:

    46/53

  1260. jason says:

    Thanks for the update on Breckenridge. Does sound like he is more of the right wing libertarian than the left wing type, which indeed is not good for Rosendale.

    Trump is a lot of things, but “anti-gun”?

    No.

  1261. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Mr. Vito #1306
    Perfect.Look at the link in my post at #1289.

  1262. jason says:

    Notice that Strzok tried to make any attack on his bias and credibility an “attack on the FBI”. I am sure this was a tactic his lawyer told him to adopt. But in reality if he is saying everyone at the FBI is like him, it doesn’t reflect well on the FBI.

  1263. Wes says:

    So Montana Dems successfully sued to get a Green kicked off the ballot. I guess Dems like democracy only when it works in their favor.

  1264. Wes says:

    I just saw your post in 1289, Sheep. Strzok does indeed look like Malcolm McDowell in A Clockwork Orange. I wonder where his droogs are.

  1265. Wes says:

    Yarbles. Bolshy great yarblockos to thee and thine, Strzok.

  1266. Cash Cow TM says:

    I

  1267. Cash Cow TM says:

    IN CASE YOU MISSED IT…

    In WV impeachment proceedings are underway this week to impeach one or more of the 5 WV Supreme Court justices.

    This after a 32 count federal indictment was unsealed and one justice handcuffed and taken to be processed a short time ago.

    One of the other justices (also sited in an investigation to misappropriating of money) abruptly resigned yesterday (you could say to avoid the impeachment?)

  1268. jason says:

    So if you are a Green in Montana, does that make you want to vote for the Democrat?

  1269. DW says:

    “So if you are a Green in Montana, does that make you want to vote for the Democrat?”

    The target is the low-info Green voter who shows up on election day, looks at the ballot and sees that there is no Green candidate this time, shrugs, and votes D instead.

  1270. Bitterlaw says:

    I support the police having whatever weapons they need to keep me and my family safe. Tanks and attack helicopters? Sure.

  1271. Phil says:

    Pete is probably worn out today. I imagine it was taxing for him to keep smirking for ten straight hours. What a dick that guy is.

  1272. Chicon says:

    Pete has a case of “punch me” face that is right up there with Schumer and Steve Spurrier.

  1273. Wes says:

    On a trip to Washington in 2003, I actually had the unfortunate opportunity to meet Schumer, Chicon. He was such an ass I literally wanted to deck him. I can’t understand what New Yorkers see in such an arrogant, unlikable jerk as Schumer.

  1274. Wes says:

    PPP says Bredesen leads Blackburn 44-41.

    If PPP can’t do better than this, then Bredesen is in trouble.

  1275. mnw says:

    Wes 1322

    Absolutely agree about PPP in TN. The Wise Men say that Remington will drop another TN SEN poll on Monday, btw. I suspect Remington will be a little closer to the truth, for better or worse.

  1276. BayernFan says:

    So what is the deal with the special law enforcement announcement from Rosenstein?

  1277. jason says:

    Mark Penn, Clinton advisor and pollster, not really impressed by Strzok.

    http://thehill.com/opinion/white-house/396856-the-dishonesty-of-the-deep-state

  1278. Chicon says:

    1321 – I fully understand the impulse, Wes.

  1279. Wes says:

    RRH’s thoughts on how the DEGOP could parlay Carper’s domestic abuse allegations into a victory:

    That’d be Mike Castle, although I’m not sure he’s still up to it at his age. Ironically, as an immigration hawk, he’s a much better fit for today’s GOP.

    And yes, agreed that ignoring this race is another chapter in the Stupid Party Chronicles. The NRSC should at least do a pilot $300K or so “Carper has admitted to beating his wife” ad buy to see if it gets picked up by the media and/or moves the needle. Maybe they are planning to do that and are waiting until closer to the election so he doesn’t resign and move the seat back to Safe D.

    Oh, wait. Someone on here told me this guy was such a bad pol he would have been political dead meat in 2016–a year when he wouldn’t have even been up for election. Never mind.

  1280. Wes says:

    By the way, I’ve long had a grudge against Carper because he beat one of my favorite Senators of all time–Bill Roth–for reelection in 2000. Roth was one of the greatest financial minds to serve in the Senate and had recently reformed investment and retirement law with the Roth IRA when Carper ousted him, making First Staters some of the most ungrateful voters in the country. Meanwhile, Ted the Olympic Swimmer Kennedy and Robert C. KKK Byrd won reelection that same night one more time each with no problem at all.

  1281. Phil says:

    Pete the Cheat from this point forward to be referred to as Peter Smirk.

  1282. Wes says:

    No, Phil. He should be known as Alex–from A Clockwork Orange.

    “Singin’ in the rain. Just singin’ in the rain.”

  1283. DW says:

    I have decided to add the rankings of RRH to the collection. Downside is they only update rankings once every other month so they get stale quickly. But given that I include such clowns as Charlie Cook, I figured I might as well include RRH.

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ———————————————————————–
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | RRH | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ———————————————————————–
    WA_03 R | 151 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.3 —
    TX_31 R | 152 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.3 —
    CA_22 R | 153 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.3 — 49/41 (PPP)
    NC_08 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.3 —
    OH_07 R | 155 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.3 —
    OH_10 R | 156 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.3 —
    OH_15 R | 157 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.3 —
    PA_14* D | 158 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.3 —
    NY_23 R | 159 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Ln R | 5 —
    CO_03 R | 160 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5 —
    SC_01 R | 161 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5 —
    MO_02 R | 162 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5 —
    CA_50 R | 163 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 5 —
    PA_16 R | 164 | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5 — 48/43 (PPP)
    IN_02 R | 165 | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5 —
    AZ_06 R | 166 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5 —
    AZ_08 R | 167 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 5 —
    FL_15* R | 168 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5 —
    FL_06* R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.6 —
    MI_01 R | 170 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.6 —
    NC_02 R | 171 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.6 —
    CA_04 R | 172 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 4.6 —
    OH_14 R | 173 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 4.6 —
    WI_06 R | 174 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.3 —
    FL_25 R | 175 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.3 —
    MI_07 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.3 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    MI_06 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.3 —
    TX_21* R | 178 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.3 —
    GA_07 R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_18 R | 180 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    NY_24 R | 181 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_16 R | 182 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | 4 — 49/37 (PPP)
    IL_13 R | 183 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.6 — 45/42 (PPP)
    IL_14 R | 184 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.6 — 45/41 (PPP)
    PA_10 R | 185 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.6 —
    CA_21 R | 186 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.6 —
    VA_05 R | 187 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 3.6 —
    NY_01 R | 188 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 3.3 —
    NJ_03 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | 3.3 — 48/44 (D-Int.) | 42/42 (GSG-D)
    AR_02 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | 3.3 — 47/42 (PPP)
    WA_05 R | 191 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3 — 48/45 (PPP)
    GA_06* R | 192 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 3 —
    OH_01 R | 193 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 3 — 43/42 (PPP)
    NY_11 R | 194 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 3 —
    NC_13 R | 195 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.6 — 43/40 (PPP)
    WV_03* R | 196 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | 2.3 — 41/43 (Monmouth)
    IA_03 R | 197 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.3 — 44/43 (PPP)
    VA_02 R | 198 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.3 — 48/42 (PPP)
    MT_01 R | 199 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | 2 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    NM_02* R | 200 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | 2 — 49/35 (Carroll Strategies)
    ME_02 R | 201 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 — 45/35
    MI_08 R | 202 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | 1.6 — 46/41 (PPP)
    TX_32 R | 203 | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.6 —
    KY_06 R | 204 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 —
    UT_04 R | 205 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.6 — 47/43 | 45/39 (Salt Lake Trib.)
    KS_03 R | 206 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.6 —
    OH_12* R | 207 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.5 — 46/35 (JMC Analytics)
    VA_07 R | 208 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.3 —
    KS_02* R | 209 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.3 —
    WI_01* R | 210 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.3 —
    NE_02 R | 211 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 —
    IL_06 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.1 —
    TX_07 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.1 — 47/45 (D-Int.) | 37/31 incum. fav. (GSG-D)
    CA_45 R | 214 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 1 — 43/46 (PPP)
    NC_09* R | 215 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.8 — 42/37 (PPP) | 36/43 (Civitas)
    NJ_07 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.8 — 41/42 (PPP) | 45/47 (GQR-D)
    PA_01 R | 217 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.8 — 49/42
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    IL_12 R | 218 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.6 — 44/39 (PPP)
    MN_03 R | 217 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.6 — 43/46 (PPP)
    NY_19 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.5 — 41/43 (PPP)
    TX_23 R | 215 | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 44/43 (PPP)
    IA_01 R | 214 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.3 — 41/43 (D Internal)
    WA_08* R | 213 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.3 — 51/45
    CA_10 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 48/37 (ALG-D)
    CA_25 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 49/42 (Srat. 360-D) | 45/40 (GSG-D)
    CA_48 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 48/44 (D-Internal)
    CO_06 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 —
    NY_22 R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 40/47 (Zogby)
    FL_26 R | 207 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 42/27 incumbent favorability (GSG-D)
    PA_17 R | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_01* D | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_02 R | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MN_08* D | 203 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    CA_39* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/38 (Remington-R) | 45/43 (D Internal)
    MI_11* R | 201 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.3 — 42/45 (PPP)
    NJ_11* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.8 — 42/40 (PPP) | 38/40 (Monmouth)
    PA_07* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | -0.8 —
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.3 — 39/49 (Monmouth)
    NH_01* D | 197 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.5 —
    CA_49* R | 196 | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.6 — 41/44 (Feldman)
    NV_03* D | 195 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    AZ_02* R | 194 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    FL_27* R | 193 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.3 —
    AZ_01 D | 192 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.5 —
    NV_04* D | 191 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.6 — 37/42 (D Internal)
    FL_07 D | 190 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | -3 —
    MN_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | -3.3 —
    PA_08 D | 188 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.3 —
    NJ_05 D | 187 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | -3.6 —
    PA_06* R | 186 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | -3.6 —
    NJ_02* R | 185 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Sf D | Sf D | -3.8 — 39/44 (PPP)
    CA_07 D | 184 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -4 —
    PA_05* R | 183 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.6 —
    AZ_09* D | 182 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.6 —
    NH_02 D | 181 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.6 —
    CT_05* D | 180 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Toss | -4.6 —
    FL_13 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5 —
    WI_03 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -5 —
    CA_24 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -5 —
    NY_18 D | 176 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -5 —
    IA_02 D | 175 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -5.3 —
    NY_25 D | 174 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.3 —

    *indicates open seat

  1284. Wes says:

    I had my droogs rabbit overtime to bitva the candidacy of the orange-haired soddy sod, but the baboochka we tried to elect was a prestoopnik who instead of dratting oobivatted her own candidacy.

  1285. Wes says:

    That’s what Strzok must have been thinking in Nadsat.

  1286. Wes says:

    I’m not understanding the logic behind this statement from RRH:

    SCOTUS probably favors the Dems or is a wash in most of the competitive races, but it definitely helps the GOP in TN.

  1287. Wes says:

    Since the Nixon Era, the Supreme Court has been a highly partisan issue. (To some degree it was before that–most notably when FDR tried to pack the Court in 1937–but it truly became a nakedly partisan issue when Nixon became President.)

    That being the case, Ginsburg and Sotomayor, knowing Trump would appoint their replacements will not budge until they die. They have exactly no intention of letting a Republican–even a quasi-Republican such as Trump–appoint their successors.

  1288. NYCmike says:

    In regard to Sessions, I still think he is doing things behind the scenes. If anything, the lack of public appearances and Trump’s consistent questions about “Where is the Attorney General?” give Sessions an air of independence from Trump, which I think is a good thing. Until proven otherwise, I have faith that Sessions is working to bring these bad actors to justice.

  1289. NYCmike says:

    “That being the case, Ginsburg and Sotomayor, knowing Trump would appoint their replacements will not budge until they die.”

    -I do not wish death on either of these people.

    I only mentioned Sotomayor’s disease because it is an issue that is dealt with on a daily basis, and that can take a toll on a person.

  1290. jason says:

    SCOTUS probably favors the Dems or is a wash in most of the competitive races,..”

    I think its the opposite, I bet they are really riled up in San Francisco and Manhattan about millions dying if Kavanaugh is confirmed. So it might drive up moonbat turnout in non-competitive races.

    In competitive races it could be a wash, but that would favor incumbent Republicans.

  1291. jason says:

    -I do not wish death on either of these people.”

    Right, we just want them to decide to spend more time with their families.

  1292. jason says:

    Do SCOTUS judges have secret service protection?

    I remember once Souter was assaulted and robbed when jogging in DC, suffering minor injuries, but he could easily have been killed.

    Given the inflamed rhetoric and all the nutcases around, I certainly would take precautions if I was a SCOTUS judge.

  1293. jason says:

    Correction, Souter was not robbed, only assaulted.

    Breyer was the one robbed by a guy with a machete while on vacation.

  1294. Wes says:

    I never said you wished death on them, Mikey. I just said Ginsburg and Sotomayor will only vacate the Court while Trump is President if they die.

  1295. jason says:

    James Woods on Strzok….

    “When your girlfriend is more important than your wife, your politics more important than your country, and your ego more important than history,..”

    Ouch.

  1296. Chicon says:

    Well put by Mr. Woods.

  1297. Phil says:

    Try to imagine if you can, if Ginsburg passes away over the next six months (it happens folks. See Scalia) and then something happens to Sotomayor or Breyer (he’s 79) shortly thereafter.

    Imagine for a moment the absolute mass meltdown and over the top rhetoric from the left and their MSM puppets during the appointment of and confirmation fight over their successors. To further add to the entertainment let’s say Justice Thomas decided to retire next July to appoint a younger, conservative justice to carry on for him.

    Now to further add to the fun, assume the Republicans add a couple of Senate seats in November (probable IMO given the map).

    Watching the left lose their fricken minds and amp up the Trump Derangement Insanity way beyond what it is already would be the greatest entertainment spectacle in our lifetime. There is not enough popcorn in the world…..

  1298. NYCmike says:

    Wes,

    I did not say that you said anything of the sort.

    My point is that with certain diseases, especially one like diabetes, every day can bring on something new. If Sotomayor gets sick from October thru June in any consistent manner, there may be calls for her to step down…….to take care of her health, of course!

  1299. NYCmike says:

    http://www.neoneocon.com/2018/07/12/the-nevertrumper-dividing-line/

    -“CG”, Robbie, she is speaking to you.

    “But I get the feeling that one of the dividing lines—maybe the biggest one—between NeverTrumpers and the rest of the previously- or still-Trump-critical right is that the former group didn’t want to be wrong about him. They really really really didn’t want to be wrong about him. In fact, it’s my impression that they would have taken delight if things were now going even worse than they are, and they take no joy in the fact that they’re going better than they expected.”

  1300. Phil says:

    Supreme Court Justices both on the left and the right die. It happens. Nothing wrong with acknowledging that fact.

  1301. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    1318. “I support the police having whatever weapons they need to keep me and my family safe. Tanks and attack helicopters? Sure.”

    Frankly, rather than buying expense “toys” I would prefer the police in my city get more dispatchers, so that your not on hold 45 minutes to over an hour for a regular calls. And often 911 calls are put on hold now too. Also a few more officers or the equivalent would help. A block away from where I live a transient followed two women, they went and sought help in a local store. The store staff locked the door; the transient was grimacing outside the door gesturing like he had a gun. Despite the 911 call, it took the police 20 minutes to arrive. This is in an urban area near San Diego’s Downtown.

    Also would suggest more focus on homeless and transients. Like other California cities San Diego has a huge homeless problem. Our problem got more acute when a hepatitis A outbreak hit the homeless, killing 20 people and hospitalizing over 400 more. Total infected was 590.

    Years ago San Diego led the national in what was referred to as “community policing.” The police interacted with the community in a positive way and crime fell. I have to agree with those who point out that police now have distanced themselves from community involvement, and have become almost bureaucratic and aloof. Helicopters are already put to good use. But question a lot of the military style hardware that police departments seem to relish as trophy objects.

    Bitter, by the way, I will not descend to Elisab’s level and say that because you live in a gated community you may be sheltered from these type of issues.

  1302. DW says:

    I had a thoughtful post about the Biden rule, timing of retirements, and liberal members holding on in ICU, but Dave’s filter ate it for no reason and I am too busy to redo it.

  1303. jason says:

    The Never Trumpers cannot get over the fact Trump is not a conservative and not a Republican. I understand the frustration as I was one of them, but a little pragmatism would go a long way here, I still don’t understand how helping Dems take control of Congress or the Presidency is going to advance conservatism. Trump has confirmed my worst fears regarding his protectionist trade policies and isolationist foreign policy, but he has come through on judicial appointments, deregulation, taxes, and energy, to name a few. Although some of his cabinet picks are sub-par, like Wilbur Ross and Pruitt, most are making positive changes in their departments, corrupted by years of political cronyism during the Obama administration. I don’t underestimate the damage trade wars can cause to the economy, or the danger Trump’s ill conceived isolationism can represent in the future, but there is a net gain here vis a vis Hillary.

  1304. jason says:

    Elisab’s level”

    Elisab?

    I guess its better than being Walt’s honey bunch or whatever he used to call her.

  1305. Wes says:

    This guy clearly hasn’t been paying attention to GA politics:

    I wouldn’t be so confident for republicans in the GA-GOV race. Yes they are favoured but not that much. Abrams had a very convincing primary victory, while Kemp and Cagle are still continuing the nasty primary. Abrams has clear vulnerabilities for the general election but both Kemp and Cagle have their own baggage.
    If we look at VA and recent special election, a runoff win for Abrams looks plausible if unlikely. Supercharged dem base turnout+ depressed republican turnout combined with educated white voting for Abrams can get her to 50%. Every wave some weak candidates get elected and GA is not that red.

    While on the presidential level, Dems have come within five points of winning recently, their appeal in other races has been lower. Even in 2006, Sonny Perdue won reelection easily while Republicans actually gained statewide offices. GA is the GOP’s version of VA. The relative closeness of the presidential elections obscures the partisan trends downballot.

  1306. DW says:

    You have summed up my own outlook on it jason.

    The trade/tariff issue is very complex. I spoke to someone I know who is very knowledgeable on it, and his take is that it is very risky, and not likely to produce any short term beneficial results. It basically swaps some ‘winners’ and ‘losers’ sort of like the whack-a-mole game at the carnival. But he also said that long-term, there could be some tremendous gain from it. But given our drive-thru culture, few will have the patience to wait for that gain.

  1307. Wes says:

    In short, it would take a Roy Moore-level disaster of a candidate for the GOP to lose the GA governorship to the extreme leftist the Dems have nominated.

  1308. Wes says:

    Walt called LisaB “sugarplum.”

  1309. mnw says:

    Clockwork Orange:

    Anthony Burgess was always embarrassed that THAT was the only thing he wrote that became a huge popular success.

  1310. NYCmike says:

    “Trump has confirmed my worst fears regarding his protectionist trade policies and isolationist foreign policy”

    -Ok, the issue about tariffs and Trump I understand….but give me a break with the isolationist foreign policy b*llsh*t.

    Here he is, telling Merkel that being beholden to Russia for their power needs is bad policy, yet you say he is being an isolationist.

    Why would an “isolationist” care that Germany is making foolish deals which will leave them open to being attacked by another nation?