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Walker Trails By 7% in WI

It looks like the “Blue Wave” is what will finally take down Scott Walker in the state of Wisconsin if a new poll from Emerson College is to be belived.

GOVERNOR – WISCONSIN (Emerson)
Tony Evers (D) 48%
Scott Walker (R-inc) 41%

US SENATE – WISCONSIN (Emerson)
Tammy Baldwin (D-inc) 49%
Kevin Nicholson (R) 40%

Tammy Baldwin (D-inc) 50%
Leah Vukmir (R) 36%

This poll was done July 26-28 among likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 12:33 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (1,708)

1,708 Responses to “Walker Trails By 7% in WI”

  1. NYCmike says:

    Frist!

  2. NYCmike says:

    Looks like rough sledding ahead!

    Get out there with a positive message about the economy, and bury the Democrats with commercials which include Pelosi, Schumer, AOC, etc.

  3. NYCmike says:

    https://www.campusreform.org/?ID=11170

    -Who needs enemies when you have friends like this?

  4. NYCmike says:

    “It looks like the “Blue Wave””…..I love it when “conservative Republicans” start pushing the same narratives as the mainstream media…..Robbie has been on it for a year or more, now the Wissings of the world can start.

  5. NYCmike says:

    Wes,

    Please let me know who I will be supporting in the Wisconsin Senate election.

  6. Wes says:

    Well, Mikey, Hovde didn’t run this time (thus robbing you of your default Deadender), so I’m guessing you’ll abstain since Nicholson and Vukmir are of roughly equal candidate quality.

  7. Tina says:

    Muh Blue Wave.

  8. Chicon says:

    Interesting choice of a poll to use for a new thread.

  9. Todd McCain says:

    We are best served going after ND, MO, IN, WV, FL and MT and defending our two vulnerable AZ and NV.

    I am not buying the TN polls at this point. Perhaps I am wrong, but I see this one like 2006 where Ford lead for a little while and then eventually lost to Corker by 4-5 points.

    I don’t see a point going after WI, MI or OH.

  10. Chicon says:

    Seems like there’s been reports of the GOP doing very well in fundraising. Should be enough cash to get the message out in all the important races.

  11. NYCmike says:

    Todd,

    I would say ALWAYS go for the low-hanging fruit first, while making sure to have reserves for the fruit a little higher up.

    We should definitely take a note from our President….ALWAYS BE ON OFFENSE!

    Every day each Democratic candidate should have to answer something on Twitter about statements made by Pelosi, AOC, or any other nvtcase on the left.

  12. NYCmike says:

    “I don’t see a point going after WI, MI or OH.”

    -These races should be of high importance, in the sense that we do need to fight for them every time. Our candidates need to fight hard, and make the leftist in office defend the policies they will push. NEVER let them rest on their lies.

  13. jason says:

    Funny, NYC didn’t think the races were important when he was supporting deadenders.

    Well, better late than never.

  14. NYCmike says:

    And jason joins Wes’s fantasyland statements…..

  15. NYCmike says:

    Wes, jason,

    Are you for a primary system or not?

  16. NYCmike says:

    https://pjmedia.com/video/nunes-american-people-will-be-shocked-by-whats-in-redacted-portion-of-fisa-application/

    -Declassify right after Labor Day? When more people will be paying attention?

  17. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Robbie’s own Senator,Rand Paul, says ……YES!!!!!!!!….. to his vote on Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to SCOTUS.

    https://twitter.com/RandPaul/status/1023956363792269312

    WINNING BIGLY!!!

  18. Chicon says:

    What happened to the HHR admonition against talking about elections in which the writer can’t vote?

  19. NYCmike says:

    Heh!

  20. NYCmike says:

    DW,

    That story is from FOXNews. Robbie has said that FOXNews is worse than MSNBC, CNN, and the rest.

    So, I will ignore that story./

  21. NYCmike says:

    http://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/in-the-know/399369-hillary-clinton-gets-standing-ovation-at-broadway-production-of

    -Again, we all owe Trump a YUGE Thank You for defeating this woman!

    Robbie, “CG”, sorry Trump beat Hillary!

  22. NYCmike says:

    https://www.yahoo.com/sports/brian-dawkins-reveals-career-long-battle-depression-180915807.html

    -Story for Bitterlaw (and MD)….glad he was able to keep it together through the hard times….he was a heck of a competitor!

  23. DW says:

    At the end of January, the RCP generic ballot average was a +7.3 advantage for Dems.

    Six months later, it is a 7.3 advantage for Dems.

    But what is radically different six months ago to today are all the district rankings from the three toupees, RCP and CNN. During those six months the rankings have gone hard left. Almost all of the changes are in the Democrats favor.

    But if the 7.3 gap is the same, then there seem to be only a few options to account for the discrepancy.

    1) The rankings were absurdly favorable to the GOP back in January, and since then have been corrected.

    2) The rankings were fair back then based on all the data points, but now somehow there has been an odd situation where the Dems are surging only in seats that happen to be the most competitive, while the GOP is surging in seats that are not competitive.

    3) The forecasters are openly cheering for the Democrats and so they keep echoing one another, pushing each other to keep moving everything in the Dem direction hoping to create a narrative that will come to pass.

    Seems like option 3 is the only one that makes sense.

  24. NYCmike says:

    DW,

    I await Robbie showing up to give us his pick for which option, and I breathlessly await “CG”‘s daily pick…..you know, the one where he writes 1000 words, instead of just writing “(fill in political party) will win”.

  25. DW says:

    26 – they will say option 1.

  26. Mr.Vito says:

    Boris Johnson, the former mayor who recently resigned as U.K. foreign secretary, tore into Khan in a recent Op-Ed for The Daily Telegraph for glamming it up at movie premieres while crime spirals out of control.

    “Sadiq Khan may be a twinkle-toed mover on the movie premiere red carpet, but his pirouettes on the subject of knife crime are a positive wonder. He blames funding (when he was left with a large war chest by me); he blames the Tory Government; he blames society. He blames everyone but himself, when it is his paramount duty to keep Londoners safe,” Johnson wrote. “It is a pathetic performance.”

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/07/30/anti-trump-london-mayor-sadiq-khan-under-fire-for-pathetic-response-to-crime-surge.html

  27. jason says:

    YCmike says:
    July 30, 2018 at 1:52 pm

    Wes, jason,

    Are you for a primary system or not?”

    This is an easy translation wes, I will save you the trouble.

    Translation: it’s ok to support deadender candidates in the primaries because even though they are certain to lose to a liberal Dem in the GE, it will

    SEND A MESSAGE!

  28. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    22. “http://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/in-the-know/399369-hillary-clinton-gets-standing-ovation-at-broadway-production-of
    -Again, we all owe Trump a YUGE Thank You for defeating this woman!”

    Much of the audience was not clapping or cheering. They were respectful in standing silently. Seemed a pretty tepid reception in a Democratic stronghold.

  29. jason says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 30, 2018 at 1:42 pm

    And jason joins Wes’s fantasyland statements…..”

    Translation: wes scored a direct hit.

  30. jason says:

    “These races should be of high importance, in the sense that we do need to fight for them every time.”

    I give this the “Astounding Hypocrisy Statement of the Week”, but it could be a strong contender for the month.

    It’s just too bad NYC didnt’t think the 6 senate seats deadenders threw away to liberal Dems were not “of high importance”.

  31. Chicon says:

    I’ll translate “translation” when Jason says it….”I’m about to misrepresent someone else’s positions.”

  32. jason says:

    Rand Paul confirms he is an ass.

    “After meeting Judge Kavanaugh and reviewing his record, I have decided to support his nomination. No one will ever completely agree with a nominee (unless of course, you are the nominee). Each nominee however, must be judged on the totality of their views character and opinions.”

    I said he would probably back Kavanaugh after he got in a few TV appearances and quotes.

    “Unless of course, you are the nominee”….geezus.

  33. NYCmike says:

    Chicon,

    Do you have authorization to update the HHR dictionary?

  34. NYCmike says:

    “I said he would probably back Kavanaugh after he got in a few TV appearances and quotes.”

    -And then there were the other people with a brain that was not being sat on who read that story about Rand Paul not supporting Kavanaugh, and instantly knew it was a nothingburger.

  35. Tina says:

    I was standing and applauding for Hillary.

    Jebot

  36. jason says:

    Hard to put a positive spin on this…

    Frustrated with “the divisiveness of this White House”, billionaire Charles Koch, whose lucrative network has long funded conservative causes, said he’s open to backing Democrats in the midterms.

    Koch’s comments on the upcoming midterm elections this November came at a gathering of Koch network donors in Colorado Springs this past weekend, according to a report from the Washington Post . During the gathering, the group reportedly distanced itself from President Donald Trump and the Republican party.

    “I don’t care what initials are in front, or after, somebody’s name. … I’d like there to be many more politicians who would embrace and have the courage to run on a platform like this,” Koch said when asked about Democrats possibly retaking control of one or both chambers of Congress this fall.

    Along with the divisive rhetoric in Washington that Koch network co-chair Brian Hooks said is “causing long-term damage”, the libertarian-leaning network also condemned the Trump administration’s tariff and immigration policies.

    “The urge to protect ourselves from change has doomed many countries throughout history,” Koch said in a video shown at the meeting, according to the Wall Street Journal . “This protectionist mind-set has destroyed countless businesses.”

    and…

    But while the donor group appears to be showing an openness to Democratic candidates, the network is still expected to be a strong campaign resource for conservative candidates running in districts where Democrats could be vulnerable.

    Many of Trump’s strongest supporters also happen to be some of the Koch group’s biggest donors. The network is expected to spend $400 million on policy issues and political campaigns this election season, according to the report.

    While being critical of the president, Koch did not place all of the blame on Trump.

    “We’ve had divisiveness long before Trump became president and we’ll have it long after he’s no longer president,” Koch said. “I’m into hating the sin, not the sinner.”

  37. Tina says:

    I think Paul had issues with the unlimited warantless data collection.

    I too have those issues, especially with what happened under Mute 43 and the Obummbker regime

    Seems like Paul was satisfied with Kavanaughs answer that there was precedence in the case law,

  38. jason says:

    Two things I agree with:

    This protectionist mind-set has destroyed countless businesses.”

    and

    “I’m into hating the sin, not the sinner.”

    That is why Amoral Scumbag is wrong when he says I left the party because of Trump.

    Trump is a symbol of what ails the R party as far as abandoning a lot of its core principles, not the cause.

  39. Tina says:

    Koch wants open borders,

    Trump has had the same immigration stance since at least running for office.

  40. Tina says:

    Muh divisiveness,

    Koch sounds like a never trumper.

  41. jason says:

    Seems like Paul was satisfied with Kavanaughs answer that there was precedence in the case law,”

    He knew that in advance.

    He just loves to be the center of attention.

    And the only reason he is against data collection is because he is soft on terrorism.

  42. NYCmike says:

    Koch will give 90% of his $$ to Republicans, if not more.

    No Democrat will come out for a strict American-free-trade-other-country-not-free-trade set-up.

    WAPO and other liberal media outlets will be in the ironic position of touting the Koch Brothers, after years of demonizing them.

    Also, Trump will continue to seek ZERO TARIFFS, as he, and officials in his administration, have stated many times over the last 6 months.

  43. jason says:

    Wow, has Tina elevated the Koch Bros, who have given billions to conservative causes, to RINOS?

    What true conservative will survive to turn out the lights?

  44. NYCmike says:

    “And the only reason he is against data collection is because he is soft on terrorism.”

    -Ridiculous statement.

    With the NSA and other intelligence agencies collecting YUGE amounts of information, the task of finding good intel is diminished, due to the amount of information the government needs to go thru.

    It is similar to an accountant asking a business to keep receipts of absolutely everything, so that if an auditor comes around, there will be buckets and buckets of paper to go through…..NOT that I would ever be party to such a thing. 🙂

  45. jason says:

    Also, Trump will continue to seek ZERO TARIFFS,”

    Yes, absolutely, he is seeking zero tariffs while implementing blanket tariffs.

    F–king for virginity!

    The last time I read something so stupid was when Rand Paul called for ending military aid to Israel in order to “make Israel more independent”.

  46. Tina says:

    No elevation needed, they are for open borders and rinos when it comes to illegal immigration.

    The muh divisiveness is laughable.

    So I guess, using hhr logic, a donation to Drats, makes them Drats, no longer applies?

  47. NYCmike says:

    “The last time I read..”

    -Should have stopped there.

    You haven’t watched the videos either.

  48. NYCmike says:

    “So I guess, using hhr logic, a donation to Drats, makes them Drats, no longer applies?”

    -Heh.

    jason and Bitterlaw to spin some nice threads tonight!

  49. jason says:

    “And the only reason he is against data collection is because he is soft on terrorism.”

    -Ridiculous statement.”

    So you don’t think that Rand Paul, who is on record as saying a nuclear Iran is not a threat, advocates cutting off aid to Israel, believes in his father’s disgusting “blowback theory” that we brought 9/11 and other acts on terrorism, has voted to loosen restrictions on transferring prisoners out of Guantanamo, opposes the Patriot Act, used a bunch of demagoguery to attack Mike Pompel and Gina Haspel, is soft on terrorism?

    Okayyy…

  50. jason says:

    So here we go, the Koch Bros, champion of conservative causes for decades, donors of billions to conservative causes, hated by the Dems and the talking point of any Dem fundraiser, are now RINOS.

    And of course, Dems.

  51. jason says:

    When the Kock Bros start donating 54% of their contributions to Dems, by all means, call them Dems.

    Until then, no.

  52. Tina says:

    So, hhr has a percentage of drat donor limitation? Or # of drat donor limitations?

    But no $ drat limitation?

    Is this the new policy?

  53. Tina says:

    Looks like the media are attacking each other after the Daily Caller was given the first question in today’s presser. The reporter did not ask a muh Russian question.

    Last week, an attack on one media member, who was rude, was an attack on all media members.

    Remember, Brett Baer decreed solidarity with cnn last week,

    But this week, the solidarity is finished.

  54. Chicon says:

    Jason says Rand Paul loves to be the center of attention. I agree. I also agree that you could fill in 98 other Senator names and the statement remains true. One may ask why not all 100? Well, currently one seat is basically unoccupied; with the full, written permission of the voters of AZ.

  55. Chicon says:

    Tina. HHR rules state that once you’ve given money to a Democrat you’re forever stained. So if Koch gives to any Dems, no Republican can take money from him again. The Establishment is sometimes inflexible, ironically.

  56. Tina says:

    One senator liked so much attention that they nicknamed the President of the Media.

  57. mnw says:

    RAS had Trump JA at 47 today.

  58. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    “I’m into hating the sin, not the sinner.”

    Actually the sin can be sort of fun, which is way people are doing it. It is the other sinner who can get in the way, so is often hated.

    Afraid I would have flunked out of theology school.

  59. Chicon says:

    Tina, it is ironic that Jason scolds Paul for loving media attention, while his Fave Sen. McCain is the poster child of that affliction. Perhaps Paul would get a pass if he’d been a POW 50 years ago.

  60. Mr.Vito says:

    Koch should openly give money to Democrats so that they can also be attacked as evil by Harry Reid.

  61. Messy says:

    53. The Koch brothers are radical “libetarian” anarchists. They don’t want any democratic form of government at all. They want a for-profit government that’s controlled by themselves.

  62. Mr.Vito says:

    It’s like Alex Jones meets Mother Jones.

  63. NYCmike says:

    “53. The Koch brothers are radical “libetarian” anarchists. They don’t want any democratic form of government at all. They want a for-profit government that’s controlled by themselves.”

    -Definitely.

    They seek to give government less power, thereby granting more power to themselves.

    Radical!/

  64. NYCmike says:

    “Okayyy…”

    -Looks like Senator Paul voted for Pompeo, so not sure what jason is yapping about on that.

    He did NOT vote for Haspel, WHO WAS CONFIRMED. He was joined by another Republican in NOT VOTING FOR HER.

    Until Senator Paul is being counted on for something, but then comes in and gives the old “thumbs down”, I’ll afford him some slack as a person who, 9 times out of 10, if not more than that, votes the right way.

  65. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    63. “The Koch brothers are radical “libetarian” anarchists. They don’t want any democratic form of government at all. They want a for-profit government that’s controlled by themselves.”

    Messy, your confusing the Kochs with the Clintons.

  66. Chicon says:

    66 – and who is it that chides others for 100% purity requirements. Lol.

  67. Proud Obamacon says:

    Would be AWESOME to take out Scott Walker. That would be the perfect cherry on top of the BLUE TSUNAMI.

    #RESIST

  68. Proud Obamacon says:

    Sorry yall, the Notorious RBG is going nowhere. So yall sickos keep praying for her to die, she is determined to complete her 5 years.

    RBG! RBG! RBG!

  69. NYCmike says:

    Must be gettin’ close to Election Day……Robbie will start to look more normal with the cast of loonies about to descend on HHR!

  70. NYCmike says:

    **closer**

  71. Bitterlaw says:

    Sorry to hear that Brian Dawkins claims that he suffers from depression. I thought he was stronger than that. He is still one of my favorite players.

  72. Bitterlaw says:

    Mr. Vito – If the Koch brothers gave money to every Democrat in the House and Senate, NYC would find a way to defend it. Defending billionaires donating to libs is his specialty.

  73. CG says:

    Alaska Governor Race:

    http://cgpolitics.blogspot.com/2018/07/alaska-governor-race-of-day.html

    Wes and jason will fight for hours about Mead Treadwell just like the good old days, hopefully.

  74. Tina says:

    Trump on the Koch bros.

    Two nice guys with bad ideas.

    I only know of their open borders fanaticism.

  75. DW says:

    Mason-Dixon Florida Senate

    Scott 47
    Nelson 44

  76. Tina says:

    Mason Dixon, they used to be the gold standard.

  77. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #77- DW
    How can that be?! Guru Sean Trende ,last week, said that the FL Senate seat was not in play!

  78. DW says:

    The details on that M-D poll: July 24-25; 625 LVs; +/-4%

  79. Tina says:

    Did Trende really say that? I have seen polling with either candidate up a few, but the race appears to be trending toward Scott.

  80. DW says:

    The Phillies still have not won since the Mets gave them their best hitter.

  81. DW says:

    This has to be one of the worst NL East efforts in history. Miami and New York are terrible. The Nats are a hollow shell of what they used to be, the Braves and Phillies are decent, but not exceptional teams, neither of them more than 10 games over .500.

  82. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    More
    So, 2-3 R seats are looking very grim, and 1-2 D seats are looking grim but we really don’t know because there’s almost no polling. That’s a substantially worse path than I think most people have baked in.

    26 replies 32 retweets 147 likes
    Reply 26 Retweet 32 Like 147
    Show this thread

    Sean T at RCP
    ?
    Verified account

    @SeanTrende
    Jul 24
    More
    In Florida, the internet polling loves Scott, but the traditional polling not so much. Given that Scott’s dropped tens of millions of dollars on the race, I am skeptical. In MO, we don’t have a lot of non-partisan polling, but overall she seems to be ahead and near 50%.

  83. Bitterlaw says:

    DW – The Phillies do not score like normal teams. If they are not hitting home runs, they rarely win.

  84. DW says:

    85 – making my point only stronger. Asdrubal Cabrerra was the Mets’ leading home run hitter this year. Trade him to the Phillies, and they haven’t won win since.

  85. Bitterlaw says:

    The Phillies had a game last week where they hit seven homeruns. They only scored 9 runs in that game. They are not big on base runners.

  86. DW says:

    87–sorry, the Mets cannot help you any more. The Mets don’t have anyone who can get on base either.

  87. Bitterlaw says:

    The trade deadline is today. Maybe the Phillies can trade him back to the Mets.

  88. DW says:

    89 – they should. They could get one of the Mets solid hitting pitchers, so they can get some help on the mound and at the plate.

  89. Chicon says:

    Bitter, the Cubs had the same affliction until this year. One playoff game with the Cards, they hit 5-6 home runs, most solo. Maddening. Phils on the upswing, though.

  90. DW says:

    Suffolk – Senate

    Heller 41
    Rosen 40

    500 LVs

  91. DW says:

    They also had NV Gov numbers:

    Sisolak 41
    Laxalt 42

  92. Todd McCain says:

    Heller won in 2012 when Obama was crushing Romney in Nevada at the top by 7 points. This guy knows how to win a tough race.

  93. Wes says:

    Rumors of Heller’s political demise are greatly exaggerated. He is a formidable politician and will be hard for Rosen to dislodge.

  94. Wes says:

    I’d still prefer it if Heller were at least close to 50, but a lead against an untested opponent is better than trailing.

  95. Wes says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 30, 2018 at 1:52 pm
    Wes, jason,

    Are you for a primary system or not?

    You really need to sue the guy who lobotomized you. He really turned you into a blithering moron. I’ve repeatedly said I always support primaries though I retain the right to criticize the voters if they pick unelectable oafs such as Christine O’Donnell.

    That’s in contrast to you, who endorsed the Mussolini-style tactics Mike Lee and the Tea Party used to disqualify Bob Bennett from the primary before voters had a chance to choose their nominee.

  96. DW says:

    Wes, also factors with Heller–he had just been appointed in 2011, so 2012 was his first time to face the voters of the entire state.

    Also in 2012 Heller was able to barely win with 45.9% of the vote because David VanderBeek (Independent American) took 4.9% and 4.5% marked the ballot “None of These Candidates”

    So Heller sitting at 41% is low, but given the context, probably not as bad as incumbents in other states who sit at 41%.

    It will be close, no doubt, but Heller can certainly pull this out.

  97. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Tina and DW
    So this week, guru Jay Cost goes Sean Trende in his midterm predictions.
    The sole reason he gives is that The Donald is unlikable and that matters to voters. He does admit that Trump’s achievements are substantial.
    IMHO, this is weak tea. Cost has forgotten that on election day in 2016, Trump had an unfavorability rating of 62% and still won!

    https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/07/midterm-elections-democratic-wave-trump-unpresidential-manner-will-cost-republicans/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=NR%20Daily%20Monday%20through%20Friday%202018-07-30&utm_term=NR5PM%20Actives

  98. Bitterlaw says:

    C

  99. Wes says:

    Rosen hasn’t exactly run a good campaign thus far, DW. That’s to Heller’s benefit.

  100. DW says:

    You know Trump must be winning at a lot of things when you see a tagline like this:

    David Brooks: U.S. Imploding, Becoming A “Black Hole” Under Trump, Foreign Investors Not Interested

    David Brooks has to be the all-time winner at being the most arrogant, condescending political pundit–who is so often dead wrong.

  101. Wes says:

    While that may be true, Sheeple, Trump was also facing an opponent with dismal approvals and was actually on the ballot to motivate his voters to the polls (much as Obama, whose popularity had dropped sharply from its former highs, was on the ballot in 2012 to motivate his voters to the polls).

    I’m not discounting your analysis per se, but I am saying all factors should be observed in analysis.

  102. mnw says:

    48/51

  103. DW says:

    I still haven’t gotten a good answer to my question posed in #25 from any of the trolls.

  104. DW says:

    Rasmussen 48/50 today

  105. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Here are the crosstabs for the Suffolk University NV Senate Poll;

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Suffolk_Nevada_July_2018_27823.pdf

  106. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Here are the crosstabs for the Mason-Dixon FL Senate Poll:

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/MD_FL_July_2018_2653983.pdf

  107. Wes says:

    One bit of comfort Heller can take from recent polling is that the trendline has been away from his opponent. Possibly Heller caught a break when he discovered Rosen had padded her resume a la Pat Murphy in Florida. If so, Heller needs to continue on the offensive to maximize chances of a victory.

  108. janz says:

    I read that Jay Cost piece this morning. Although I didn’t like his analysis it certainly cannot be entirely dismissed. His points about Trump’s continuous unsettling behavior are sowing fatigue, IMO, whereas some voters may just want the drama to go away. And, even though Trump has accomplished a lot in a short time, too much emotionalism can drain enthusiasm and consequently voter support in the upcoming midterms. IOW, I think Trump would be wise to reduce the clutter of his sarcastic remarks and focus more on the positive of his agenda.

  109. Wes says:

    This guy must want RRH to ban him:

    prsteve11 July 31, 2018 at 9:50 am | In reply to NYGOP

    Further looking at this poll reveals that Scott is more popular than Nelson, President Trump has about an even rating and Scott is pulling more Dems than Nelson is pulling Republicans. This is a tight race, but the trend lines have gone from a narrow Nelson lead to a narrow Scott lead over the past months. This race could potentially decide who controls the Senate.
    SC-03, Conservative Republican

    How dare anyone say Republicans can actually win on that site? It’s absolutely forbidden!

  110. DW says:

    Wes, this is the sort of comment that RRH welcomes and praises:

    Boehnerwasright
    July 31, 2018 at 9:43 am | In reply to MosheM
    These numbers are bad for a incumbent. While 47-48% will be enough to win with 3rd party candidate and None of these candidates, hard to see how Heller gets there. Heller’s higher name-id alone will make his numbers look better right now, but that advantage will vanish closer to election day.
    I doubt Heller can win this race on his record and accomplishments. He has flip-flopped quite a lot especially on healthcare and his favs/unfavs are bad.

  111. Hugh says:

    84. Poor Sean is going to get embarrassed

  112. Wes says:

    Well, the Bush-era jingoists in the GOP may have a candidate against Trump for 2020:

    http://dailycaller.com/2018/07/30/bill-kristol-2020/

    Of course Trump would annihilate Kristol, who’s basically a big spending advocate and leftwinger who supports creating any slightest pretense to invasde every country on the planet.

  113. Wes says:

    To be fair, DW, that poster did outline a strategy Heller can use to win.

    That’s better than the typical RRHer, who decalres as MD did in 2014 Democrats will win because Democrats will win.

  114. Wes says:

    This is a more typical RRH post:

    rayinma July 31, 2018 at 10:13 am | In reply to election brown

    I think it hurts a lot. Israel isn’t even in the top 20 issues for most people, while “bigfoot erotica” is nothing if not memorable.

    Basically an old not really offensive though bizarre joke is more likely to hurt someone than virulently anti-Semitic views in a district with a decent Jewish population.

    That’s what I’m reading from that analysis.

  115. DW says:

    I see little evidence that Trump’s approval has slipped in the parts of the country where he was most strongly popular during the 2016 campaign. Is he not popular in big cities, and less popular than prior presidents there? Absolutely. But as I keep saying, who cares if the Democrat incumbent in IL_07 wins 95/5 instead of the normal 87/13? It doesn’t give them any more seats.

    My hunch is that once you get further away from these large urban centers where the Dem opposition to Trump is the most fervent, the electorate is going to be more forgiving. Its not like we are mired in a recession. Its not like North Korea’s rocket-man still has his finger on the trigger to nuke us. Its not like the stock market has crashed. And its not even like Trump has gotten no foreign concessions on the Tariffs.

    So I just don’t see the indies necessarily wanting to go to the Dem congressional challenger just because Trump is in the white house. They may wish to flip a seat to the Dem, but if they do it would be because of a dislike for the specific GOP candidate.

    As to conservative turnout, even for conservatives/Republicans who dislike Trump, I see even less of a reason for them to torpedo their own boats.

    One thing we learned from 2016, Hillary won the national popular vote by several points and lost the election. Dems will get more votes in the congressional elections this fall nationally. But what does that mean locally? We will have to wait to see.

    But if the national vote is D+7 or less, the GOP probably holds the house without having to wait for all the CA late ballot counting. If the National vote is D+8 through D+10, it probably means the house control will be within a few seats either direction and won’t be known for sure on election night. D+11 or greater means the house has probably flipped to the Democrats.

  116. Wes says:

    You have to love that RRH strategic thinking:

    Manhatlibertarian July 30, 2018 at 11:18 am | In reply to election brown

    I know a lot of people here like McSally, but I think Sinema is the Dem most likely to pick up a seat in the Senate according to polls I have seen . So I don’t know the wisdom of the national GOP putting a lot of $ into this race. IMO the money would probably be better spent in Nevada and Tenn and also to try and knock out Red State Dems like McCaskill and Heitkamp. Ariz has been slowly trending Dem and Sinema has been able to create a centrist image on economics and immigration. I know some people will say it is really window dressing until she gets into the Senate, but right now it appears her image has been successful politically for her. As in the House, with the way Nov looks, the Repubs have to do a little political triage.

    Unilaterally disarm during the summer in a seat you already hold in an effort to win seats. It’s absolutely brilliant. The Senate Republicans need to make this guy permanent chairman of the NRSC.

  117. DW says:

    118 – if our country had fought WWII that way, we would be speaking either Japanese or German.

  118. Wes says:

    If Jerry Moran had adopted that strategy in 2014, Gorsuch and Kavanaugh wouldn’t be on the Supreme Court, and Schumer would be Senate Majority Leader. (Of course Mikey would be thrilled at the latter occurrence.)

  119. JC says:

    Trump is at 48 at Ras today.

    In comparison, at this same point into Obama’s first term, he was only at 44%

  120. Wes says:

    Dems have an internal in SD saying Noem is only up 46-42. I’m going to say it’s bigger than that–possibly substantially more.

  121. Wes says:

    By the way, Kristi is my favorite member of the US House, closely followed by Jaime Herrera-Beutler and the (sadly soon to be defeated) Barbara Comstock. (Damn you, Corey Stewart!)

  122. DW says:

    It says a lot Wes, when a candidate puts up an internal showing him or herself down four points. Sometimes people forget that campaigns poll relentlessly, and so given the fact that they get to choose when to release an internal, it stands to reason they only release the best internal they have gotten for weeks at a time.

  123. Wes says:

    Stewart even had the fringe vote split with E. W. Jackson and still won. Is the fringe now the majority in the VAGOP?

  124. Wes says:

    Cuomo leads Nixon 60-29 in a new poll.

  125. BayernFan says:

    I think the FLA and NEV polls are encouraging. I wish IND would get polled. It hardly ever does.

  126. Wes says:

    Balderson up 48-44 in OH-12.

  127. mnw says:

    CNBC “Worker Pay Rate Hits Highest Level Since 2008”

    CNBC is no friend to Trump or GOP, either. (Duh.)

    WES 118:

    Could not agree more! BULLZH*T from that geek.

    I can’t bear to visit RRH lately. I’m on vacation, & they make my blood pressure spike.

  128. DW says:

    https://www.intellectualtakeout.org/article/patients-are-dying-corridors-britains-single-payer-health-system

    Ocasio-Cortez responds:

    “The problem isn’t with the free-health care, it is the fact that the UK does not tax corporations anywhere near high enough. It takes a certain kind of evil for people to put profit in their wallets when children are dying in hospital hallways.”

  129. DW says:

    129 – that according to PPP-D in a poll done for a lib org.

  130. DW says:

    Back in May PPP-D had Balderson up only two, so this has to be disappointing news to Democrats and HHR trolls.

  131. dblaikie says:

    Glad to see the new thread. The Koch brothers have never cared for Donald Trump. I don’t think that they are rabid never Trumpers, but they are not fans. Both Heller and Laxalt will win in Nevada. They have enough support in the Las Vegas metro area so that their opponents will not have the numbers to overcome the pro GOP vote in Reno/Sparks, Carson City, Elko and the other northern two thirds of the State. The new media mantra of the day is that the GOP is really scared. Generic Ballot is 7.5 for the Dems. I still stand by out there prediction of several months ago. There will be a red wave driven by the liberals descending into socialism, and the total idiocy of Trump derangement syndrome. As far as the average goes believe it if you want to. Me, I don’t buy it.

  132. Redmen4ever says:

    130 – Took Trump one and a half years to undo the stagnation of Obama’s eight years. Hopefully, before 2020, he undo the stagnation of W’s eight years.

  133. Redmen4ever says:

    ICE ICE Baby
    with apologies to Vanilla Ice

    ICE ICE baby
    ICE ICE baby

    All right stop
    Build the wall and listen
    ICE is back with a new intention
    Something grabs a hold of babies tightly
    Taking ’em from their mommies daily and nightly

    Will it ever stop?
    Turn off the selfies and they’ll go
    To the extreme, against the animals and vandals
    Light up a stage and wax a chump like a candle

    Bum rush the illegals getting welfare
    We’re deporting them fast, truth or dare
    Deadly, when they read the Miranda
    Sending them back to Mexilanda

    Legal or leave it,
    You better gain way
    On you is a bull’s eye
    The Border Patrol don’t play

    If there was a problem
    Yo, they solve it
    Check out the hook while DJT revolves it

  134. mnw says:

    Pence was in OH-12 for Balderson yesterday.

    Probably already noted here, but no harm in noting again, if so. DEMs are making a bigger push in OH-12 than they are letting on.

  135. mnw says:

    I note Rep. Jim Jordan’s run for Speaker is active & ongoing.

    The RRH Wise Men observed matter of factly 3 weeks ago that “he’ll have to resign now.”

    Guess Jordan didn’t see it that way.

  136. jason says:

    You really need to sue the guy who lobotomized you.”

    I think that’s unfair wes.

    All signs point to the guy having done a good job on NYC.

    The lobotomy seems to have been highly successful.

  137. Mr.Vito says:

    “with apologies to Vanilla Ice”

    for what?

  138. NYCmike says:

    Ok, the lobotomy doctors say they like primaries……except when the voters don’t agree with them who should win…..GOT IT!

  139. NYCmike says:

    http://dailycaller.com/2018/07/30/bill-kristol-2020/

    -I think someone posted this earlier……but OH LORD, where do these people get such YUGE egos!?!?

    Robbie, “CG”, MD – we have YOUR candidate!

  140. DW says:

    Three new polls today, all just below the magic cut-off line.

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ——————————————————————————-
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | RRH | Kos | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ——————————————————————————-
    OK_05 R | 149 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.7 —
    NC_08 R | 150 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    OH_15 R | 151 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    PA_14* D | 152 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    IN_09 R | 153 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    WA_03 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    CA_22 R | 155 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 — 49/41 (PPP)
    OH_07 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    OH_10 R | 157 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    NY_23 R | 158 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    AZ_06 R | 159 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    AZ_08 R | 160 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    TX_31 R | 161 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.8 — 46/40 (PPP)
    CO_03 R | 162 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    MO_02 R | 163 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    CA_50 R | 164 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    SC_01 R | 165 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    FL_15* R | 166 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    IN_02 R | 167 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    FL_06* R | 168 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    MI_01 R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    NC_02 R | 170 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    CA_04 R | 171 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    OH_14 R | 172 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    PA_16 R | 173 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.2 — 48/43 (PPP) | 50/44 (D-Int)
    WI_06 R | 174 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    FL_25 R | 175 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 46/39 (St. Pete)
    MI_07 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    MI_06 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    TX_21* R | 178 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.2 — 33/27 (Chg Res.)
    GA_07 R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_18 R | 180 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    NY_24 R | 181 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_16 R | 182 | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | 3.7 — 49/37 (PPP)
    IL_14 R | 183 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 — 45/41 (PPP)
    PA_10 R | 184 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    CA_21 R | 185 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    VA_05 R | 186 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    IL_13 R | 187 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.4 — 45/42 (PPP)
    NY_01 R | 188 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.4 —
    GA_06* R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.1 —
    AR_02 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/42 (PPP)
    NJ_03 R | 191 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 48/44 (D-Int.) | 42/42 (GSG-D)
    WA_05 R | 192 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 48/45 (PPP)
    NY_11 R | 193 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    NC_13 R | 194 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.5 — 43/40 (PPP) | 40/35 (Civitas)
    OH_01 R | 195 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.2 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MT_01 R | 196 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | 2.2 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    VA_02 R | 197 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 48/42 (PPP)
    NM_02* R | 198 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 49/35 (Carroll Strategies)
    WV_03* R | 199 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | 1.7 — 41/43 (Monmouth)
    TX_32 R | 200 | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7 —
    UT_04 R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7 — 47/43 | 45/39 (Salt Lake Trib.)
    KS_03 R | 202 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7 —
    ME_02 R | 203 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 45/35
    MI_08 R | 204 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 46/41 (PPP)
    WI_01* R | 205 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 —
    NE_02 R | 206 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.2 —
    IA_03 R | 207 | Toss | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 — 44/43 (PPP) | 41/45 (D-Int.)
    VA_07 R | 208 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.1 —
    KY_06 R | 209 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 —
    KS_02* R | 210 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 — 34/39 (Mellman-D)
    OH_12* R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 48/43 (D-Int.) | 48/45 (D-Inc) 48/44 (PPP)
    IL_06 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 45/44 (Garin-Hart-D) | 44/37 (Victory Res.)
    PA_01 R | 213 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 49/42
    CA_45 R | 214 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.8 — 43/46 (PPP)
    IL_12 R | 215 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.8 — 44/39 (PPP)
    MN_03 R | 216 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.8 — 43/46 (PPP)
    TX_07 R | 217 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.7 — 47/45 (D-Int.) | 37/31 incum. fav. (GSG-D)
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    NJ_07 R | 218 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.7 — 41/42 (PPP) | 45/47 (GQR-D)
    NC_09* R | 217 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.7 — 42/37 (PPP) | 36/43 (Civitas) | 43/44 (D-Int)
    NY_19 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.4 — 41/43 (PPP) |49/44 (IMGE)
    TX_23 R | 215 | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 44/43 (PPP)
    IA_01 R | 214 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.2 — 41/43 (D Internal)
    WA_08* R | 213 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.2 — 51/45
    CA_10 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 48/37 (ALG-D)
    CA_25 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 49/42 (Srat. 360-D) | 45/40 (GSG-D) | 47/47 (IMGE)
    CA_48 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 48/44 (D-Internal) | 45/47 (Monmouth)
    CO_06 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 45/47 (D-Int) | (45/45 IMGE)
    NY_22 R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 40/47 (Zogby)
    FL_26 R | 207 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 45/40 (DCCC-D)
    MN_01* D | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_02 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MN_08* D | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    CA_39* R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/38 (Remington-R) | 45/43 (DCCC-D)
    MI_11* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.2 — 42/45 (PPP)
    PA_17 R | 201 | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.5 — 39/51 (Monmouth)
    PA_07* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.7 —
    NJ_11* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -1 — 42/40 (PPP) | 38/40 (Monmouth)
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.4 — 39/49 (Monmouth)
    CA_49* R | 197 | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.4 — 41/44 (Feldman) | 46/43 (R-Int)
    NH_01* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | -1.5 —
    AZ_02* R | 195 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.5 —
    NV_03* D | 194 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    FL_27* R | 193 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | -2.5 —
    NV_04* D | 192 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.5 — 37/42 (D Internal)
    AZ_01 D | 191 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.7 —
    FL_07 D | 190 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.1 —
    MN_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.4 —
    PA_08 D | 188 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.4 —
    NJ_05 D | 187 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.7 —
    PA_06* R | 186 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.7 —
    CA_07 D | 185 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.2 — 41/50 (POS)
    NJ_02* R | 184 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -4.2 — 39/44 (PPP)
    CT_05* D | 183 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Toss | Ln D | -4.2 —
    PA_05* R | 182 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    AZ_09* D | 181 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 180 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    CA_24 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.1 — 46/47 (Olive Tree St.)
    NY_18 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.1 —
    WI_03 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    IA_02 D | 176 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    NY_25 D | 175 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    FL_13 D | 174 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    OR_05 D | 173 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —

    *indicates open seat

  141. Redmen4ever says:

    I remember when Billy Crystal used to make comedies. I really liked Throw Obama from the train. I haven’t really warmed up to him as a neo-con.

  142. Robbie says:

    Which is why I started to note in February 2017 (almost 18 months ago) that Trump’s low approval rating would spell trouble for the 2018 elections.

    Sean T at RCP
    @SeanTrende

    To the extent there is a rule, it is not that the undecideds break against incumbents. It is that these races converge on presidential approval.

  143. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    July 30, 2018 at 1:16 pm
    Seems like there’s been reports of the GOP doing very well in fundraising. Should be enough cash to get the message out in all the important races.

    – Republicans had plenty of money in 2006. When the national mood moves against one party, the money matters little.

  144. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 30, 2018 at 3:35 pm
    http://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/in-the-know/399369-hillary-clinton-gets-standing-ovation-at-broadway-production-of
    -Again, we all owe Trump a YUGE Thank You for defeating this woman!
    Robbie, “CG”, sorry Trump beat Hillary!

    – Your dunce cap is on too tight. It’s cutting off circulation to your brain.

  145. NYCmike says:

    ” When the national mood moves against one party, the money matters little.”

    -The more he wishes for muh “blue wave”, the more I feel as confident as dblaikie.

  146. NYCmike says:

    #147 – tell us how happy you are that Hillary lost!

  147. NYCmike says:

    CL

  148. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 30, 2018 at 4:17 pm
    DW,
    I await Robbie showing up to give us his pick for which option, and I breathlessly await “CG”‘s daily pick…..you know, the one where he writes 1000 words, instead of just writing “(fill in political party) will win”.

    – Here’s the option DW didn’t mention, dummy.

    In January, many of these races didn’t have an official opponent or the race featured competitive primaries where the victor was unknown. Now that the matchups in many of these races are known, voters have a chance to view one against the other.

    Most importantly though, there’s always a lag in what the generic ballot shows and what races eventually become competitive. As we get closer to election day, individual races take shape. And since this is shaping up to be a wave year for Democrats, it’s predictable the movement in these races would all be towards the Democrats. That’s just what we saw in 2001 and 2014 as well.

    For someone who follows politics as closely as you do, I am consistently amazed at how little you seem to know about the mechanics of these races.

  149. NYCmike says:

    2006 – economy starting to sputter. Iraq War raging, with Abu Ghraib torture being the prime media frenzy, with no rebuttal from President Bush, and a disastrous attempt at immigration reform to boot.

    2018 – 4% growth, a President who is effectively engaging world leaders on economic, military, and cultural issues, and an opposition party which has a 28 year old political star who is preaching about socialism.

    Totally the same political environment!

  150. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 30, 2018 at 5:44 pm
    So here we go, the Koch Bros, champion of conservative causes for decades, donors of billions to conservative causes, hated by the Dems and the talking point of any Dem fundraiser, are now RINOS.
    And of course, Dems.

    – Trumpism leads people to believe odd things.

  151. NYCmike says:

    ” And since this is shaping up to be a wave year for Democrats, it’s predictable the movement in these races would all be towards the Democrats. ”

    -You seem to have to keep writing this, as if you feel the need to remind people every day, that you really, really, really want the Republican Party to do well in November!

  152. Robbie says:

    Todd McCain says:
    July 31, 2018 at 9:20 am
    Heller won in 2012 when Obama was crushing Romney in Nevada at the top by 7 points. This guy knows how to win a tough race.

    – This is a very good point. The counter is 2012, as it turns out, will probably have been a better environment for Republicans than 2018 will be. Given how we felt the day after 2012, I doubt we’d have though that possible.

  153. NYCmike says:

    Koch Brothers – I predict 90%+ of their donations will go towards Republican candidates this year.

    Robbie – what is your prediction?

  154. DW says:

    151 is a big bunch of nothing! Unjustified assumptions throughout. “…there’s always…” “…eventually become…” “…since this is shaping up…” “…voters have a chance…” “…it’s predictable…”

    The truth is most voters haven’t thought much about the election yet. You should have saved yourself time and just said option #1.

  155. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 31, 2018 at 3:51 pm
    ” When the national mood moves against one party, the money matters little.”
    -The more he wishes for muh “blue wave”, the more I feel as confident as dblaikie.

    – Strange because the more you blindly believe something, the more I am certain the opposite will happen.

    That said, I do get a kick out of you thinking I’m wishing for a blue wave. Hardly, dummy. It’s just what the data and the national mood supports.

    I thought the 2014 election was the beginning of a new Republican era in much the wave 1930 signed a country ready for Democrat rule. We got a pretend Republican in 2016, but he’s used each and every day of his presidency to dump on the perception of the party. In November, we get the report card.

  156. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 31, 2018 at 3:52 pm
    #147 – tell us how happy you are that Hillary lost!

    – Forty years from now the Trumpers are still going to be saying “but Hillary”.

  157. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 31, 2018 at 3:56 pm
    2006 – economy starting to sputter. Iraq War raging, with Abu Ghraib torture being the prime media frenzy, with no rebuttal from President Bush, and a disastrous attempt at immigration reform to boot.
    2018 – 4% growth, a President who is effectively engaging world leaders on economic, military, and cultural issues, and an opposition party which has a 28 year old political star who is preaching about socialism.
    Totally the same political environment!

    – Again, for someone who follows politics so closely, you seem to always miss the mark.

    Each election is decided on its own set of circumstances. This year Trump, by his own choosing, has made himself (warts and all) the issue.

    Considering how polarizing Trump is, that’s a very risky strategy.

  158. NYCmike says:

    “I thought the 2014 election was the beginning of a new Republican era in much the wave 1930 signed a country ready for Democrat rule.”

    2014 – good election for Republicans
    2016 – good election for Republicans, except the #NeverTrumpers
    2018 – time will tell, but this “national mood” you are seeing feels suspiciously like November 8, 2016, all over again, with you taking the MSM-inspired “news” and getting all frothy about a “blue wave”.

  159. NYCmike says:

    “– Forty years from now the Trumpers are still going to be saying “but Hillary”.”

    -And you will still be upset she lost.

  160. NYCmike says:

    “This year Trump, by his own choosing, has made himself (warts and all) the issue.”

    -After Labor Day, when the administration starts tweeting on a daily basis about unemployment rates, GDP growth, rising wages, etc……those “warts” will be pretty attractive!

  161. DW says:

    “…it’s predictable the movement in these races would all be towards the Democrats. That’s just what we saw in 2001 and 2014 as well.”

    January 31, 2014 the generic ballot was 41.5 to 40 in favor of the GOP. On July 31st 2014 it was 43.7 / 41.2 in favor of the Democrats.

    By election day it swung back the other say, 45.6 / 43.2 in favor of the GOP. It wasn’t until September that the GOP started to get some separation in the generic ballot average.

    The GOP won the popular vote 51/46 nationally, and picked up 13 seats.

    2014 has no meaningful comparison to 2018 in regards to the point I was making in #25.

    I must have missed the 2001 congressional elections.

  162. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 31, 2018 at 3:59 pm
    ” And since this is shaping up to be a wave year for Democrats, it’s predictable the movement in these races would all be towards the Democrats. ”
    -You seem to have to keep writing this, as if you feel the need to remind people every day, that you really, really, really want the Republican Party to do well in November!

    – I do want the Republican Party to do well, but ignore the polling at your own peril. In the RCP database, Democrats have lead in every single generic ballot poll going back to January 2017 and they currently lead by 7 points or so in the average. You can’t spin that as anything other than ominous

    Of course, I always forget you have an amazing ability to simply change the terms of the debate much like you boy Trump. So if Republicans lose 35 House seats, end +- 1 seat in the Senate, lose 6-8 governorships, and lose 250 or more state legislative seats, you’ll find a way to say that’s not a wave because it could have been worse.

  163. jason says:

    “Feud escalates between Koch brothers and Trump on trade”

    Let me be the first to say I am on the side of the Koch brothers.

  164. NYCmike says:

    There is no similarity between the “national mood” of 2006 and today’s. 2006 was palpable, and visible, with the pictures out of Abu Ghraib being front and center…….and don’t even think about comparing them to the border pictures, as that false meme was effectively fought back against.

  165. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:15 pm
    “– Forty years from now the Trumpers are still going to be saying “but Hillary”.”
    -And you will still be upset she lost.

    – Your level of stupidity has really increased in the Trump era.

    If I wanted Hillary to win, I would have voted for her. I didn’t, though.

  166. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:17 pm
    I must have missed the 2001 congressional elections.

    – Typo. Should have been 2010.

  167. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:19 pm
    There is no similarity between the “national mood” of 2006 and today’s. 2006 was palpable, and visible, with the pictures out of Abu Ghraib being front and center…….and don’t even think about comparing them to the border pictures, as that false meme was effectively fought back against.

    – My gosh, you are really struggling today. I didn’t compare the conditions of 2006 to 2018. I noted that 2018 is shaping up to be a wave year for the Democrats just as 2006 was.

    Waves can occur for all types of reasons.

  168. jason says:

    So Amoral Scumbag let’s do this.

    If the midterm losses are greater than the historical average, we will both blame Trump.

    If the midterm losses are the historical average, we will both agree Trump had no effect.

    If the midterm losses are less than the historical average, we will both credit Trump.

    Deal?

  169. Robbie says:

    When even the union thug thinks the tariffs are too much. I guess he didn’t get the memo you get to zero tariffs by enacting all kinds of tariffs.

    CBS News
    @CBSNews

    Despite previous praise for them, AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka says President Trump’s tariffs have gone too far https://cbsn.ws/2vn3jXL

  170. jason says:

    I wanted Hillary to win, I would have voted for her. I didn’t, though.”

    Nobody believes Amoral Scumbag’s lies.

    I would bet he did vote for Hillary just like I am sure he didn’t celebrate Obama’s win by voting for Romney.

    His long history of lies, fabricatons, distortions, and fake news here make any statement of his about who he voted for, sent money to, etc a complete joke.

  171. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:25 pm
    So Amoral Scumbag let’s do this.
    If the midterm losses are greater than the historical average, we will both blame Trump.
    If the midterm losses are the historical average, we will both agree Trump had no effect.
    If the midterm losses are less than the historical average, we will both credit Trump.
    Deal?

    – At the beginning of the cycle, no one thought the House was in danger. Even better, a lot of prognosticators thought Republicans could approach 60 seats in the Senate in 2018.

  172. jason says:

    Everyone here knows that Amoral Scumbag’s claim that he wants to be wrong about the blue wave is a lie.

    Anyone here actually think Wobbie would rather be wrong than right?

    Anyone?

  173. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:29 pm
    I wanted Hillary to win, I would have voted for her. I didn’t, though.”
    Nobody believes Amoral Scumbag’s lies.
    I would bet he did vote for Hillary just like I am sure he didn’t celebrate Obama’s win by voting for Romney.
    His long history of lies, fabricatons, distortions, and fake news here make any statement of his about who he voted for, sent money to, etc a complete joke.

    – You’re ability to lie is Trumpian. No wonder you support him even though you didn’t support him in the campaign, didn’t vote for him, and left the party over him.

    I didn’t vote for Hillary and I didn’t vote for Trump just as you didn’t. I wrote in Ronald Reagan.

    And just to give you a heads up, there’s ZERO chance I’ll vote for Trump in 2020. He’s a rotten scumbag just like you are.

  174. jason says:

    At the beginning of the cycle, no one thought the House was in danger. Even better, a lot of prognosticators thought Republicans could approach 60 seats in the Senate in 2018″

    Don;t move the goalposts, scumbag. Nobody gives a sh-t what “prognosticators” think. The historical averages are published so it can be used as a benchmark.

    The question is will Rs lose the historical average of the midterms, lose more or lose less.

    If the midterm losses are greater than the historical average, we will both blame Trump.
    If the midterm losses are the historical average, we will both agree Trump had no effect.
    If the midterm losses are less than the historical average, we will both credit Trump.
    Deal?

    If you don’t agree, its just proof you are a complete liar and fraud, not that its in doubt/

  175. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:33 pm
    Everyone here knows that Amoral Scumbag’s claim that he wants to be wrong about the blue wave is a lie.
    Anyone here actually think Wobbie would rather be wrong than right?
    Anyone?

    – I was wrong in 2016 and at least that got us Gorsuch and Kavanaugh (a good thing). Still, I don’t regret for a moment not voting for him.

  176. jason says:

    I didn’t vote for Hillary and I didn’t vote for Trump just as you didn’t. I wrote in Ronald Reagan”

    LOL

    Yesterday or the day before you said you voted for McMullin because he was on the ballot in KY.

    Just admit you voted for Hillary.

  177. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:36 pm
    At the beginning of the cycle, no one thought the House was in danger. Even better, a lot of prognosticators thought Republicans could approach 60 seats in the Senate in 2018?
    Don;t move the goalposts, scumbag. Nobody gives a sh-t what “prognosticators” think. The historical averages are published so it can be used as a benchmark.
    The question is will Rs lose the historical average of the midterms, lose more or lose less.
    If the midterm losses are greater than the historical average, we will both blame Trump.
    If the midterm losses are the historical average, we will both agree Trump had no effect.
    If the midterm losses are less than the historical average, we will both credit Trump.
    Deal?
    If you don’t agree, its just proof you are a complete liar and fraud, not that its in doubt/

    – LOL. You’re the one moving the goal posts.

  178. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:37 pm
    I didn’t vote for Hillary and I didn’t vote for Trump just as you didn’t. I wrote in Ronald Reagan”
    LOL
    Yesterday or the day before you said you voted for McMullin because he was on the ballot in KY.
    Just admit you voted for Hillary.

    – I considered Mullin, but I went with Reagan.

    So blow me, you fraudulent Trump taint licker.

  179. Robbie says:

    And by the way Jason fraud, I will hold Trump responsible for the losses because they are all on him.

    If Rubio, Kasich, Romney, Bush, or Cruz was president, we’d talking about +-5 in the House and +3-5 in the Senate.

  180. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag caught lying again…..

  181. dblaikie says:

    All you have to do is turn on CNN and MSNB for less than an hour and it quickly becomes apparent that they hate Donald Trump. What is the percentage now — I think 97% — of their stories being negative. And we have an environment in our Colleges where the Dean at the Univ. of Georgia had to apologize on Twitter for congratulating a friend who won a Republican Primary! How can anyone trust anything (including media and college polls) coming from these people. They have no objectivity. I suppose only Robbie would think they do. Well, if you think that their nutty and delusional hatred is true, then why would you put any kind of creditably to what they say. My goodness, MD has nailed this with the talking election heads and their charts. I hate to say it, but as far as Trump or the elections or the political climate is concerned it is all a bunch of propaganda coming from the so-called unbiased and free press.

    Oh one more example. How many times have read that John Kelly was going to quit? After all who could stand being so close to Trump? Over and over they reported that he was gone because he couldn’t stop the stupidity of the President. Well now we now have learned that Trump has asked him to stay through 2020 and remarkably John has accepted?

    Fellow posters here at HHR if you want to eat the yellow snow that the media and all their tentacles are serving that is your choice.

  182. jason says:

    What other goalposts are there than the historical losses the party in power suffers in the midterms.

    What other parameter could you use to determine if Trump is responsible or not for the losses?

    Idiot.

  183. dblaikie says:

    Oh Lord, with my history here, why would I credit MD with anything? Of course I meant that good, faithful and honest poster — the one and only — DW.

  184. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag is afraid to committing to saying that Trump will be responsible for avoiding the average historical losses that the party in power suffers.

    I am willing to blame Trump if the losses are greater.

    Who is being dishonest here?

  185. NYCmike says:

    jason,

    That is reasonable – blame Trump if more, credit him if less.

    Only Robbie seems to have an issue with that.

  186. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:48 pm
    Amoral Scumbag is afraid to committing to saying that Trump will be responsible for avoiding the average historical losses that the party in power suffers.
    I am willing to blame Trump if the losses are greater.
    Who is being dishonest here?

    – If Republicans hold their losses to under historical averages, it will be in spite of the erratic, emotionally unwell Trump.

  187. NYCmike says:

    I await the hour when Robbie starts yapping about the 3d-printed gun hysteria, and all of those suburban moms protesting against them!

  188. NYCmike says:

    “– If Republicans hold their losses to under historical averages, it will be in spite of the erratic, emotionally unwell Trump.”

    🙂

    Too funny!

  189. NYCmike says:

    How many electoral votes was “the erratic, emotionally unwell Trump” supposed to get in 2016?

  190. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:43 pm
    Amoral Scumbag caught lying again…..

    – Only at HHR can someone who opposed Trump in the campaign, didn’t vote for Trump, and then left the party over Trump now demand that people support Trump as Jason fraud has.

    And Jason fraud didn’t catch me in any lie. I didn’t vote for Hillary. I wanted both of them to lose because they were both awful. Jason fraud felt that way until Trump accidentally won with a R after his name.

  191. DW says:

    New IPSOS/Reuters generic ballot:

    Dem 41
    GOP 38

    Trolls hardest hit.

  192. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:54 pm
    “– If Republicans hold their losses to under historical averages, it will be in spite of the erratic, emotionally unwell Trump.”
    ?
    Too funny!

    – I’m not surprised someone who understand almost nothing about politics would find my comments funny.

    But please tell me more how Richard Mourdock and Chris McDaniel were great candidates.

  193. NYCmike says:

    Robbie,

    How about this – you tell us when Trump would get credit?

    What election results would make you say “Trump deserves credit!”?

  194. jason says:

    I only thought the House and Senate, especially, were in danger because of Trump’s very poor polling. For much of the Fall campaign, he polled around 40% (a little higher sometimes, a little lower sometimes). Analyst after analyst suggested a presidential nominee around 40% was wipeout territory for the party. I agreed. I was wrong.”

    Can’t you tell Amoral Scumbag WANTS to be wrong again.

    Can’t you feel it, baby?

  195. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:54 pm
    How many electoral votes was “the erratic, emotionally unwell Trump” supposed to get in 2016?

    – For decades, losing campaigns and their supporters will point to Trump’s 2016 win as proof the polling is wrong. It will now replace “Dewey defeats Truman” and their one, last saving grace.

    NYCmike will be no different than Trump. Ten years from now, he’ll still be prattling on about how Trump won when he wasn’t supposed to win.

  196. NYCmike says:

    “But please tell me more how Richard Mourdock and Chris McDaniel were great candidates.”

    -You are getting as dishonest and delusional about these men as Wes.

    If you can find one post where I stated they “were great candidates”, then I would repeat that statement.

    BUT, since I never said those words, I can’t repeat them, now can I?

  197. jason says:

    If Republicans hold their losses to under historical averages, it will be in spite of the erratic, emotionally unwell Trump.”

    So now we have it folks, heads I win, tails you lose.

    IF the Rs suffer big losses, it’s because of Trump.

    IF the RS don’t suffer big losses, it’s not because of Trump.

    Hilarious.

  198. NYCmike says:

    Robbie, stop bloviating and take a stand:

    What election results would make you say “Trump deserves credit!”?

  199. mnw says:

    In WI GOP Sen primary, I think Vukmir has imploded & Nicholson now wins going away. However, thanks to the knife fight in the alley, I don’t think the nomination is worth anything now.

  200. jason says:

    “Emotionally unwell”

    Who told you that, that little fraud psychologist with her fake diagnosis and 15 minutes of fame?

    LOL

  201. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    July 31, 2018 at 4:56 pm
    New IPSOS/Reuters generic ballot:
    Dem 41
    GOP 38
    Trolls hardest hit.

    – I know DW has fully embraced MAGAism, but to quote one Internet poll that completely contradicts all other polling is tantamount to the laughable poll skewing and delbov curve of 2012.

  202. NYCmike says:

    Will the Koch brothers support one of those Wisconsin candidates?

  203. jason says:

    So blow me, you fraudulent Trump taint licker.”

    Then calls Trump “emotionally unwell”.

  204. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 5:01 pm
    “Emotionally unwell”
    Who told you that, that little fraud psychologist with her fake diagnosis and 15 minutes of fame?
    LOL

    – Does anyone seriously doubt Trump’s not a narcissist? Because by definition that is a personality disorder.

  205. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 5:03 pm
    So blow me, you fraudulent Trump taint licker.”
    Then calls Trump “emotionally unwell”.

    – Says the guy who repeatedly lies about what I believe.

  206. NYCmike says:

    Robbie loves talking about licking the taint and other groin areas……not that there is anything wrong with that.

  207. NYCmike says:

    Trump is emotionally unstable, but Robbie can’t answer this question:

    What election results would make you say “Trump deserves credit!”?

  208. jason says:

    Does anyone seriously doubt Trump’s not a narcissist? \”

    I bet more people here think you are deranged than think Trump is.

    Certainly I think he has more character than you do, at least he says what he thinks.

    ” Says the guy who repeatedly lies about what I believe.”

    Impossible. You have the moral compass of a dung beetle, you what you “believe in” must be very fleeting.

  209. jason says:

    “so what you believe in must be very fleeting”

  210. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    July 31, 2018 at 5:08 pm
    What election results would make you say “Trump deserves credit!”?

    – Republicans hold onto AZ and NV and then pick up IN, ND, MO, MT, FL, and WV.

  211. jason says:

    Does anyone seriously doubt Trump’s not a narcissist?”

    Well, I know some people who haven’t accomplished much and are narcissists.

    Trump made billions, has his name up on major buildings and gold courses and companies all over the world, and is President of the United States.

    I would say if his head is a little big, there might be some good cause there.

  212. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 5:10 pm
    Does anyone seriously doubt Trump’s not a narcissist? \”
    Certainly I think he has more character than you do, at least he says what he thinks.

    – Well if being on your third wife, repeatedly cheating on each of the three wives, conducting a year long affair with a Playboy playmate while your wife is pregnant, having a one night stand with a skanky porn star just four months after your third wife had your youngest son, and repeatedly paying hush money to women qualifies as having more character than I have, then that just proves you are every bit the fraud I have always known you to be.

  213. jason says:

    Republicans hold onto AZ and NV and then pick up IN, ND, MO, MT, FL, and WV.”

    LOL, and what about the cure for diabetes and cancer.

    Let me guess, that would have happened if Jeb was President?

  214. jason says:

    Being a total fraud and liar here for over a decade to me shows you have the character and moral standing of a maggot.

    Nobody believes a word you say.

    Mainly because in the first place, its copied from somewhere else, and in the second place its most probably a lie.

  215. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 5:16 pm
    Republicans hold onto AZ and NV and then pick up IN, ND, MO, MT, FL, and WV.”
    LOL, and what about the cure for diabetes and cancer.
    Let me guess, that would have happened if Jeb was President?

    – Trump won IN, MO, ND, MT, and WV by more than 15 points. If he’s so popular, his agenda is so great, and the candidates in those states are running on his MAGA agenda, then why shouldn’t they win if Trump and his agenda are so great?

  216. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 5:18 pm
    Being a total fraud and liar here for over a decade to me shows you have the character and moral standing of a maggot.
    Nobody believes a word you say.
    Mainly because in the first place, its copied from somewhere else, and in the second place its most probably a lie.

    – Being a fraud is spending 2015 and 2016 opposing Trump at every moment, refusing to vote for Trump, and then leaving the party over Trump only to then demand the people still in the party give their support to Trump.

  217. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag calls women skanky porn stars but believes every word they say.

    And does anyone here believe that Amoral Scumbag cares one iota about an alleged one night stand over a decade before he was President.

    He cares as much about that as he did about Roy Moore’s “victims”.

    Zero. Nada. Zilch.

    Like I said, the moral compass of a dung beetle.

    Actually, dung beetles have a hard work ethic, so maybe I am being unfair to them.

  218. jason says:

    Being a fraud is spending 2015 and 2016 opposing Trump at every moment, refusing to vote for Trump, and then leaving the party”

    Zzzzzzzz…….

    Yeah I opposed Trump. I thought he would lose to Hillary. I didn’t think he was fit for the job.

    But then, guess what, he DID beat Hillary. And he IS fit for the job.

    So I could continue pretending he didn’t win and that there is not a new reality, or I could sit around with blind hatred and sulk and adopt the MSM fake news narrative because my candidate didn’t win.

    And you call other people “emotionally unwell”?

  219. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 5:28 pm
    Amoral Scumbag calls women skanky porn stars but believes every word they say.
    And does anyone here believe that Amoral Scumbag cares one iota about an alleged one night stand over a decade before he was President.
    He cares as much about that as he did about Roy Moore’s “victims”.
    Zero. Nada. Zilch.

    – If Stormy Daniels is lying (she’s not), why hasn’t Trump attacked her on twitter like he has everyone else? Why did Trump pay her $130,000? Is Mr. Tough Guy scared of a lowly porn star?

    Also, I absolutely love the fact you’re still defending Roy Moore. That may be even more fraudulent than opposing Trump in the campaign, refusing to vote for him, and leaving the party over him only to become one his supporters.

  220. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    July 31, 2018 at 5:31 pm
    Being a fraud is spending 2015 and 2016 opposing Trump at every moment, refusing to vote for Trump, and then leaving the party”
    Zzzzzzzz…….
    Yeah I opposed Trump. I thought he would lose to Hillary. I didn’t think he was fit for the job.
    But then, guess what, he DID beat Hillary. And he IS fit for the job.
    So I could continue pretending he didn’t win and that there is not a new reality, or I could sit around with blind hatred and sulk and adopt the MSM fake news narrative because my candidate didn’t win.
    And you call other people “emotionally unwell”?

    – Guy who thinks Roy Moore was framed also thinks Trump is fit even though he opposed him during the campaign because of fitness.

    At least you finally admitted that Trump winning with a R after his name was the deciding factor why you now support him.

  221. DW says:

    “I know DW has fully embraced MAGAism”

    If getting Gorsuch and Kavanaugh, and getting a tax cut, and a drop in unemployment, and a weaker North Korea, and reduced regulations, and all those great circuit court appointments makes me guilty of MAGAism, then I have no choice but to plead guilty, as opposed to you who apparently didn’t want any of those things.

    I have said all along I do not agree with Trump’s morals and his failings. These, I believe, are character flaws that limit his ability to be a good leader. But look at the SCOTUS appointments Hillary would have given us. Look at the taxes she would have raised, the additional regulations she would have imposed. And foreign policy-wise she would have been a disaster. But Hillary and Trump were the two options on the ballot. I worried at the time that Trump could be a turn-coat. But so far, we have gotten a HUGELY better deal than had Hillary been elected.

  222. Hugh says:

    Jason. Here is some anecdotal info going the other way. Time will tell.

    http://dailycaller.com/2018/07/31/solar-manufacturer-minnesota-canada/

  223. NYCmike says:

    “Actually, dung beetles have a hard work ethic, so maybe I am being unfair to them.”

    -I appreciate you finally recognizing all of this guy’s valuable work, A-Hole!

  224. Tgca says:

    OMG! Robbie demands some fellatio pleasure from Jason in 181. I can’t believe this! HHR is full of closeted men bursting out all over the place. Michael wearing salmon-colored jackets. San Diego happy homemaking. Bitter prancing about at flower shows. Amazing!!! Times are a changing I tell ya!

    I would like to think I played a small role in this as the unofficial original HHR gay mascot, having made it easier for others to find the courage to take that big step.

    Now I understand the reason Robbie and Jason fight so much. Robbie just can’t quit Jason. Oh dear! This is quite the dilemma. I don’t think Jason is receptive to this sort of thing but who knows what one will do when faced with deportation.

    Hmmm…very interesting.

  225. Tina says:

    I think the nv senator will surprise us.

  226. Tina says:

    I really wanted Hillary to win. I am still upset because the Russians prevented her from winning.

    Jebot

  227. Mr.Vito says:

    For DW:

    KSR@baby7billion
    3h3 hours ago
    Replying to @NateSilver538 @ForecasterEnten

    I accidentally left two Mets tickets on my car dashboard overnight. When I came back the next morning, I found out someone broke in and left two more Mets tickets.

    41 replies 408 retweets 2,348 likes

  228. Tina says:

    Big Florida Rally.

    Lots of folks everywhere

    Jebots triggered.

  229. NYCmike says:

    ND
    FL
    MO
    IN
    OH
    MT
    WV
    WI
    MI
    MN
    NJ

  230. Tgca says:

    232

    Is this pick your favorite state to reside in? I think I’ve been to all but one and lived in 2. Do I win anything?

  231. Tina says:

    BOOM

    CRIMINAL RFERRAL FOR PODESTA

    Mueller has referred an inquiry involving lobbyists Tony Podesta and Vin Weber, as well as former Skadden partner Greg Craig, to NY federal prosecutors.

  232. NYCmike says:

    NV & AZ will be hard fought – if President tweets/communicates the economic agenda/4%+ growth in fall, that will help immeasurably!

  233. NYCmike says:

    Tgca,

    Negative.

    The best state to reside in is delusional state……don’t you see how happy Robbie always is!

  234. DW says:

    230 – lol

  235. Tgca says:

    Mikey. You’re so bad at times. I still think we should have an HHR Cruise and get all HHR folks together. We can get a reasonably priced 3-day cruise in Fort Lauderdale. It would be fun! Maybe end up like the Agatha Christie novel…and then there were none! 🙂

  236. NYCmike says:

    Tgca,

    I am not that good on water. My wife and I, on our honeymoon, took a ferry from Seattle, WA to Victoria Island, Vancouver. I was chummin’ off the back the whole way, with my new bride rubbing my back, and bringing me water and napkins.

    I’d rather take a 3 day hike on the A.T. in Georgia, if we can set that up instead. Atlanta is a pretty easy airport to get connections to all of our locales. We could rely on Robbie to get any stragglers in his crop-duster.

  237. Tgca says:

    So just to let all know, I firmly believe in the old adage you learn something everyday. I had no idea what Robbie meant by “taint licker” in 181. I googled it. I am now enlightened with knowledge I previously did not possess.

    A few weeks back someone here also exposed me to the term “pegging.” As a life long learner, I appreciate the knowledge sharing here at HHR and yearn for continued opportunities to develop.

    Thank you all!

  238. NYCmike says:

    Mets losing 10-0 in 2nd inning.

    Daniel Murphy has 3 RBI’s.

    Matz ain’t looking too good.

  239. Tgca says:

    Interesting. NYC’ wifey seems to have more solid gut then the man in the family. Ha!

    I’ve never been on a cruise myself after spending so much time here in Fort Lauderdale, the cruise capital of the world but maybe someday. The only cruising I’ve done is in the park and turnpike rest stops late at night.

  240. Michael says:

    Delaware
    Gravis Marketing

    Primary
    Carper 51%]
    Harris 19%

    General
    Carper (D) 47%
    Arlet (R) 39%

    Carper (D) 47%
    Truono (R) 38%

    https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=297770.0

  241. Tina says:

    Nbc confirms criminal referral for PODESTA, Craig, and vin Webber, a rino.

  242. Biomom says:

    What a waste of time here in Delaware. Why bother to poll?

  243. NYCmike says:

    Michael droppin’ Delaware!

    No Straw unturned (but banned!)!

  244. NYCmike says:

    Carper at 47% confirms muh “BLUE WAVE”!

  245. DW says:

    Now it is 19 – 0 the Nats beating the Mets, and its only the 7th inning.

    Nats got a touchdown+extra point in the first inning, then kicked a field goal in the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 5th innings, and somehow managed not to score in the 6th inning.

    And the Mets at putting ‘real’ pitchers out there…not resorting to a shortstop or anything.

  246. DW says:

    In 2012 Carper won 66 to 29.

  247. NYCmike says:

    https://politics.myajc.com/news/state–regional-govt–politics/senate-confirms-georgia-judge-powerful-federal-court/Gk4G1F4HYtYLrgPvwJg0sO/

    “At 40 years of age, Grant will likely be able to hold the position for decades, no small factor as the Trump administration seeks to ensure the appeals court’s rightward tilt.”

    -Does anyone know about this judge?

    Robbie, would she have been a Hillary pick?

  248. jason says:

    Yes, she is on the GA supreme court.

    Good pick.

    Got 3 Dem votes.

  249. jason says:

    They have their own deadenders over at DKos.

    “Phil Bredesen wants to repeat the mistakes of earlier Democrats and “work” with the GOP. That’s a HUGE mistake. The GOP has NO interest in working with Democrats. They blocked Obama’s attempts at improving our Country for 8 straight years, stole his right to appoint a Supreme Court Justice, and then when confronted with the same argument from Democrats refused to wait until the Mid-Term Elections. They have rubber-stamped every single Tweeted directive from #45. Work with the GOP? Who are you kidding?! We need to get rid of Democrats that want to work with the GOP and hire Democrats who will begin to hold them accountable for nearly destroying our Democracy. You show me a GOP Congress-person who will vote to impeach #45, and then I’ll agree with the argument that we need to work together”

  250. jason says:

    Maybe they won’t ask their version of NYC how electing Blackburn is going advance moonbat causes.

    SEND A MESSAGE!

  251. Tina says:

    The Hill
    The Hill
    @thehill
    Mueller asks prosecutors to investigate multiple US lobbyists suspected of acting as foreign agents (link: http://hill.cm/OIBE9ar) hill.cm/OIBE9ar

  252. Bitterlaw says:

    Good news, DW! The Mets scored 4 runs tonight.

    What? Seriously? They gave up 25 runs to the Nationals? Ouch.

  253. Bitterlaw says:

    “Trump taint licker?”

    I know Jason deserves the points but I really wish I could forget I read that.

    I only went to the flower show once and I did not prance.

    As for Broadway, I would see Hamilton without any hesitation if it did not cost more than $600 per ticket.

  254. lisab says:

    “So blow me, you fraudulent Trump taint licker.”

    says the ultra-conservative catholic

  255. lisab says:

    “Does anyone seriously doubt Trump’s not a narcissist? Because by definition that is a personality disorder.”

    trump, by definition, probably does not suffer from that personality disorder

    because while he may display some narcissitic behaviors, it is not evident that he has a highly inflated sense of his own importance and success

    he actually is president, a billionaire, married to a model, with a bunch of lovely children

    it is not bragging if you can back it up

  256. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    181. ?? What a bizarre person. This is probably one of the most acute cases of Trump Derangement Syndrome that has ever seen.

    Definition of Trump Derangement Syndrome: “mental condition in which a person has been driven effectively insane due to their dislike of Donald Trump, to the point at which they will abandon all logic and reason.”

  257. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    “Does anyone seriously doubt Trump’s not a narcissist?”

    Are there any males that are not narcissistic; other than those who feel inadequate?

    Are there any roosters in a hen house that are not narcissistic — its a job requirement.

  258. DW says:

    256 – At least the Mets finally found a use for Jose Reyes…putting him on the mound where his ERA is no doubt far higher than his batting average.

  259. DW says:

    And with the Nats scoring a touchdown in the first, and field goals in the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 5th, then the Mets held them scoreless in the 6th and 7th. Then the Nats got another touchdown in the 8th, but the Mets blocked the extra point!

  260. Bitterlaw says:

    DW – Jose Reyes might have a new career on the hill. Last year in the last game of the season my softball team was losing 22-1. The bases were loaded with two outs. I called time and asked my daughter to pitch since she promised she would if I only asked once. She faced the other team,s best hitter. Here first 3 pitches were balls. The next was over the plate and so slow the batter hit a weak pop up to 2d base. The team mobbed her on the mound. She told me she was retired with a 0.0 ERA.

  261. DW says:

    http://www.france24.com/en/20180731-venezuelas-president-admits-economy-has-failed

    “I estimate it will take about two years to reach a high level of stability and see the first symptoms of new and economic prosperity, without for one second affecting social security and protection,” added the president.

    Ocasio-Cortez responds…

    “I could get it done much more quickly. The Venezuelan economic strategies were not at fault–it was that the rich didn’t pay their fair share. Had the government there adequately taxed the rich and the companies, then they wouldn’t be in the situation they are in right now.”

  262. DW says:

    Bitter, its a pity the Phillies didn’t snatch up Reyes before the trade deadline. Now its too late.

  263. Chicon says:

    267 – maybe not…odds are that Jose will clear waivers, making it possible to trade him before playoff rosters are set at the end of August.

  264. DW says:

    268 – true…teams will want to snatch up such a versatile player who can hit .182 in 154 at bats, while also holding down an ERA of 54.00

  265. Chicon says:

    Maybe the Phils pick him up, given the sweet analytics of a two-way stud.

  266. Phil says:

    DW, the dead give away that quote is fake is the part where she acknowledges “the situation they are in right now”. Marxist like her don’t even acknowledge the Venezuelan situation.

  267. jason says:

    “Blow me you fraudulent Trump taint licker?”

    I know Jason deserves the points ….”

    Thanks Bitter, I really should retire so someone else can get some points.

    The guy that wrote that called Trump “emotionally unwell”.

  268. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    From today’s Economist/ YouGov Weekly Tracking Poll:

    The Generic Congressional Ballot:
    97. If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live?
    Asked of registered voters
    The Democratic Party candidate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
    The Republican Party candidate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
    Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
    Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
    I would not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

  269. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Rasmussen(less) has last week’s Generic Congressional Ballot at D+6(40/46). The last one was D+7.

  270. Wobbles says:

    I just can’t believe Trump would have a one night stand with an immoral, disgusting skank porn star lowlife whore.

    Of course, I believe and trust anything she says.

  271. DW says:

    271 – good catch Phil…I will do better job on the next round of the True/Fake Ocasio-Cortez quote game.

  272. Wobbles says:

    Another poll that contradicts the polls that have the results I want.

    Trash it.

  273. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Martha McSalley(R) is +8 on Kelly Ward in the AZ GOP Senate primary race and -4 in the general election against Sinema(D).

    https://www.abc15.com/news/state/abc15-poll-arizona-senate-race-tightening-in-primary-general-election-matchups

  274. jason says:

    “Blow me you fraudulent Trump taint licker”

    Supposedly someone with this level of emotional stability has a commercial pilot’s license.

    Scary.

  275. jason says:

    When is the AZ primary?

    Let’s see of the 2 deadenders endorse McSalley on election night.

    Not optimistic.

  276. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    This poll shows Ted Cruz +2 in the TX Senate race with 20% undecided.

    https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1024646915550576640

  277. jason says:

    “Venezuelan President admits economy has failed”

    Ocasio-Cortez, Proud ObamaCon, Paul and Messy still holding out hope.

  278. Tina says:

    48/50

    Rasmussen

    Hmm, I read here that the Meeting with pooty poot was a disaster.

  279. jason says:

    An HHR cruise would be fun.

    None of us should identify ourselves, the idea would be to figure out who is who just by conversation.

    I hope someone else has a Quechuan accent so I won’t be immediately identified.

    And Amoral Scumbag, skip the pilot’s uniform with the I am with Her button, ok?

    Bitter, try walking around with a beer in hand and your concealed weapon permit pinned to your coat pocket, nobody will think its you.

    Tgca, order the alligator tartar and the venison medallions wrapped in lard, good cover.

    NYC, leave the “I love Deadenders” hat in the cabin, and say something critical of Trump, nobody will ever guess it’s you.

    Messy, use sign language, most of us won’t notice the bad grammar and spelling that way.

    Tina, don’t immediately tag everyone with nicknames, that is a sure give away. And no, you can’t order limoncello.

    I am trying to solve Walt’s problem, how to disguise a guy that looks like Methuselah and walks around a cruise ship with a heifer on a leash. Stay tuned.

  280. Phil says:

    284

    LMAO

  281. DW says:

    “None of us should identify ourselves, the idea would be to figure out who is who just by conversation.”

    I would have to hide my Greek New Testament and Mets ball cap in the cabin and walk about with a Red Sox hat and Koran for disguise.

  282. jason says:

    so thinks Trump is fit even though he opposed him during the campaign because of fitness.”

    So I was wrong about that. He is fit. Sue me.

    I said he would be a disaster on trade. I was right.

    How many things were you wrong on the election? I would list them but I don’t have a whole hour to spare at the moment.

  283. jason says:

    I hope Bunu has some shirts that are not brown for the cruise.

  284. DW says:

    The cow is easy to hide…just leave it in the galley for fresh milk. Walt is the harder problem. Maybe claim that there will be a play on the cruise entitled ‘Rip Van Winkle’ and Walt is ‘dressed up’ as the lead character, and he insists on staying in costume for the whole trip.

  285. jason says:

    “and walk about with a Red Sox hat and Koran for disguise.”

    Excellent. Refrain from quoting from a lot of Paladin Polls though.

  286. Mr.Vito says:

    Hopefully there will be a sock puppet convention cruise that week or I’m screwed.

  287. DW says:

    Gap in generic ballot slips below 7 to 6.9:

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html

    Take out the Quinnipiac +12 in that average and the others are all +4 to +8 with the average about +6.

  288. jason says:

    Good suggestion for Walt, DW.

    And Walt, when asked what you are doing on the promenade deck, don’t say “checking my varmint traps”.

  289. Mr.Vito says:

    DW, stop quoting all these polls that completely contradict all other polling, you MAGA troll.

  290. jason says:

    I am sure we can arrange a cruise with sock puppet shows.

    Still, you will have do something about the Mafia hit man look.

  291. Wobbles says:

    Look, all I am asking is that we pick a poll that suggests Dems will win everything and then not tamper with any more polls after that.

    That eliminates any uncertainty about the result.

  292. Poul Harris says:

    I won’t be able to make the cruise.

    But I will send my drone to follow the cruise ship and that way I can see what is going on from 30k feet.

    – Poul Harris

  293. Bitterlaw says:

    After 4.5 billion years on Earth, Walt has learned to blend in. Not all dinosaurs were friendly.

  294. Wobbles says:

    Here is my strongest argument on why I think I may be right about the 2018 midterms.

    I can’t be wrong all the time.

  295. PollErrors says:

    I won’t go on the ship. It is weighted too heavily to the left side.

    –PollErrors

  296. Nostradamus says:

    I predict Robbie will be right eventually.

    He still has about a 1% chance of being right at any given moment.

    This doesn’t change even if he is wrong 200 times in a row.

  297. Mr.Vito says:

    Make it an Alaskan cruise.

    There will be lots of old men with cows on their arms.

  298. Wobbles says:

    Take out the Quinnipiac +12″

    You bastard, that is the gold standard.

    Until it isn’t, then you can take it out.

  299. jason says:

    Alaska?

    I don’t think that’s on Bitter’s approved list on where he could go.

    Is there a stop at some crime ridden hellhole so he won’t feel homesick for Philly?

  300. Messy says:

    282. For what? Madero has been the biggest disaster for South America since the War of the Triple Alliance in the 1860s

  301. Mr.Vito says:

    “Madero”

    *snicker*

  302. Bitterlaw says:

    I will go to Alaska. I want to see NYC hug Joe Miller while he cries, “I believed in you, Joe. I believed in you.”

  303. NYCmike says:

    Bitterlaw really wants to see Sarah wink in person!

  304. Chicon says:

    I’m sad. I would expect Jason to tell me to leave my AFL-CIO Conservative shirt at home….

  305. Mr.Vito says:

    Trumka doesn’t support the tariffs now after the EU deal.

  306. DW says:

    What about the border issue?

    Ocasio-Cortez responds:

    “We conveniently forget that large, massive swaths of the United States used to be Mexico. Latinx people are baked into the land of the Americas and the United States. We are a product of indigenous peoples, who have been displaced and fleeing violence for most modern history.”

  307. DW says:

    What about the dropping unemployment rate?

    Ocasio-Cortez responds:

    “Unemployment is low because everyone has two jobs. Unemployment is low because people are working 60, 70, 80 hours a week and can barely feed their family.”

  308. NYCmike says:

    “Trumka doesn’t support the tariffs now after the EU deal.”

    -Very odd that jason forgot to mention that……..

  309. NYCmike says:

    Trying to find an article about the Koch brothers……jason and Wes were defending them yesterday……article mentioned how they may bankroll libertarian candidates in various places, like NV and IN…….

  310. Todd McCain says:

    24th appeals court judge confirmed by senate yesterday #winning

  311. DW says:

    What about gang related crime?

    Ocasio-Cortez responds:

    “We forget that few ever stop to listen to those trapped in gangs, to hear their stories, to understand the oppression they have been under by a society that would rather throw them away than help them serve their communities in more constructive ways.”

  312. DW says:

    Three new Ocasio-Cortez quotes…which are real and which are fake?

  313. Tina says:

    Ocasio Cortez

    What is gdp?

    What is 4.1?

    What is a percent?

  314. DW says:

    What is gdp?

    Ocasio-Cortez responds:

    “Government Dependent People. I felt a tingle go up my back when I heard the GDP number was going up!”

  315. Paul says:

    Michael Avenatti
    ?
    @MichaelAvenatti
    People ask me why I think I can prevail against Mr. Trump. I tell them it’s because (1) I’ve bought groceries before and (2) I know you don’t need an ID to buy groceries.

    The bar is low.

  316. Mr.Vito says:

    That’s what everyone else thought, too.

  317. Paul says:

    DW wants in Ocasio-Cortez’s pants so bad.

  318. DW says:

    Paul is heartbroken his new hero is a socialist loon who doesn’t know what she is talking about. I will continue to expose her pea-size brain for all to see.

  319. DW says:

    Quinnipiac – Texas Senate

    Cruz 49
    O’Dourke 43

  320. NYCmike says:

    I asked myself this morning, “Self, who will be the first one to bring up ID and groceries? Will it be Robbie, or one of the other leftists?”.

    Paul, you have never been asked for ID when using your credit/debit card, or in your case, EBT card?

  321. NYCmike says:

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/08/01/dem-governor-flees-to-7m-italian-vacation-home-as-political-personal-problems-mount.html

    -New Jerseyans get what they deserve!

    Christie Kreme ain’t looking that bad right about now!

  322. NYCmike says:

    To make sure jason, and others, don’t miss this part from that opinion piece:

    “We were particularly heartened that Mr. Trump and the Europeans now have a handshake agreement to aim for zero tariffs on both sides of the Atlantic.

    This was Mr. Trump’s idea. The night before the agreement, he proposed in a tweet that “Both the U.S. and the E.U. drop all Tariffs, Barriers and Subsidies! That would finally be called Free Market and Fair Trade!” Amen.”

  323. NYCmike says:

    Just to clarify:

    “This was Mr. Trump’s idea. The night before the agreement, he proposed in a tweet that “Both the U.S. and the E.U. drop all Tariffs, Barriers and Subsidies! That would finally be called Free Market and Fair Trade!” Amen.”

  324. NYCmike says:

    https://www.thecollegefix.com/post/45398/

    -More of that “national mood” Robbie has spoken about.

  325. Paul says:

    325: I’ve NEVER been asked for an ID when I’ve used a credit or debit card.

    Now I don’t look as suspicious as NYCmike 🙂

  326. Paul says:

    323: I don’t think the Republicans have much credibility in the loon department.

  327. Hugh says:

    Excellent article. Much better thought through than all those economists who can only say tariffs are bad, who live in an echo chamber and have no idea how to create a job.

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/trumps-trade-policies-have-upended-the-global-economic-order-bank-of-america-writes-2018-08-01?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo

  328. NYCmike says:

    “323: I don’t think the Republicans have much credibility in the loon department.”

    -But we also don’t extol the virtues of socialism, so there must be levels of loon which Democrats have passed years ago.

  329. NYCmike says:

    “Now I don’t look as suspicious as NYCmike ?”

    -I think my “I love Deadenders” hat makes some cashiers nervous.

  330. Tina says:

    Has Amniotic paid his workers yet?

  331. Tina says:

    Tariffs are bad.

    So, what is your plan?

    Tariffs are bad.

    This sequence sounds like Max Boot on Russia, who got his arse destroyed on cnn last night.

    I never heard of boot before.

  332. Mr.Vito says:

    323: “I don’t think the Republicans have much credibility in the loon department.”

    I think that means the opposite of what you wanted it to say.

  333. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Monmouth University has next Tuesday’s OH CD-12 Special Congressional Race at a 1-5 pt. advantage for the Republican candidate and a +1 for the Democrat if there is a “surge of Donkeys”.
    The Donald will be in the district on Saturday.

  334. Tina says:

    Breaking

    Judge Ellis presiding over the manafort trial has just erupted at Fuhrer Muleheads prosecutor. Seems like gates, the star witness will,not testify.

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2018/08/judge-ellis-blasts-muellers-prosecutor-for-shocking-revelation-star-witness-rick-gates-may-not-testify-in-manafort-trial/

  335. Tina says:

    Judge Ellis likes to use colorful language.

    You are fleeing like rats.

    Lol

  336. jason says:

    Heh..

    “That’s news to me and about 25 others who scurried out of here like rats on a sinking ship,” Judge Ellis shot back.

  337. Redmen4ever says:

    Gates won’t testify?

    How about locking him up in solitary until he becomes more flexible?

  338. lisab says:

    i think the generic ballot means nothing until after the scotus hearings

    a.) if kavanaugh goes through, the dems will be highly demoralized and the gop energized — because

    b.) the dems will try every trick in the book to deny or at least delay the confirmation until after the mid-term election. if they succeed i expect a good dem year.

    if they fail, and i expect it will be NASTY, the dems will be curled up in a fetal position, “but … but … we called him a racist and he still was appointed”

    the dems should not go all in on this, but i think the foolishly will

  339. lisab says:

    obviously if the succeed and deny or delay the nomination until after the mid-terms,

    then the win hugely and trump will likely be impeached or forced to resign, and everything gets rolled back

    but if they go all-in and they lose, i think the dem party shatters into jacobins vs girondins

  340. DW says:

    YouGov holding at D+4 on generic ballot, 44/40

  341. Todd McCain says:

    That might be one of the reasons why he NJ SEN race so far appears close. I can attest that Murphy is getting extremely unpopular and these optics are terrible in Italy at a 7M dollar home……wow.

  342. Chicon says:

    Thread’s dead, baby. Is everyone on the cruise already?

  343. jason says:

    Paul needs a wheelbarrow full of cash to buy a soda in socialist paradise of Venezuela.

  344. jason says:

    282. For what? Madero has been the biggest disaster”

    Sign language, Messy, sign language.

    Just post the video.

  345. jason says:

    I think maybe Messy is talking about the Island of Madeira.

    But even that is wrong, its not in South America.

  346. jason says:

    Another chapter in NYC’s WE ARE WINNING strategy:

    “Non-American citizens are increasingly found on voter rolls thanks to covert registration methods, with nothing actually stopping them from casting a ballot in an election.

    Elizaveta Shuvalova, a Russian citizen who became a U.S. citizen only last year, was registered as an eligible voter in 2012 and added to the San Francisco voter rolls, the Washington Times reported.

    She was perplexed to find herself in the voter rolls, saying she wasn’t an American citizen and didn’t even register to vote.

    “I’ve never registered for anything in my entire life,” Shuvalova told the paper. “This is news to me.”

    The woman’s voter log shows that she signed up as a Democrat in July 2012.”

  347. NYCmike says:

    Ok, I’ll bite…..how, in any way, would that information about that Russian woman have anything to do with enforcing current immigration law?

  348. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    It appears that John James will be the GOP Senate candidate in MI this year.
    Although a very uphill climb, I think that he will compete well against “Little Debbie” Stabenow(D).JJ is my longshot prediction for a win!

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Mitchell_Poll_GOV-SEN_11_CD-GOP_Primary_Press_Release__8-1-2018.pdf

  349. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    332. “I don’t think the Republicans have much credibility in the loon department.”

    That’s because they don’t spent much time there. Paul, maybe you can provide lessons?

  350. DW says:

    Jose Reyes made history today for the Mets. First play in MLB to allow 2 homers as a pitcher, and then in the very next game, hit two homers (albeit in another losing effort).

    Somehow that stat seems to sum up the Mets season. See Bitter, if the Phils had traded for Reyes he could have hit those homers for your team. It raised his batting average to .191. Probably will be his last homers in the season, and therefore, his career.

  351. lisab says:

    DNC refuses to play RNC in annual softball game

    Sources at the RNC told the Daily Caller that they were “stunned” when Democrats pulled out of the typically good-natured game between leadership staffers that had gone on for the last decade. The source said that the DNC informed them that “all our players are out in the field this year,” which is why they wouldn’t be able to play.

  352. Tina says:

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2018/08/muellers-prosecutors-take-a-beating-from-judge-ellis-for-fixating-on-manaforts-expensive-suits-lets-move-on-enough-is-enough/

    Not a good day for Fuhrer Mulehead team in court. Actualky two sheotty days so far.

    I am not buying that this case, largely based on 2005/2010 investigations, is strong. After all, Redactstein refused to prosecute manafort in 2010.

  353. lisab says:

    ontario is ending the first large scale government backed basic income experiement in north america, stating it was too expensive and unsustainable.

    the program spent C$150 million on 4,000 participants who were eligible for C$16,989 as a single person or C$24,027 as a couple.
    ———————————————-

    ummmmmmmmmm … first, double C$16,989 is C$33,978 not C$24, 027 … soooooooo you are paying people not to get married?!!!

    also … C$150 million divided by 4,000 is C$37,500 not C$16,989 … where did the other C$20,511 go?

  354. Tina says:

    Portland Abolish Ice Voters call black cops the n word.

    The Drats own this.

    https://t.co/hPf3wYBR7J?amp=1

  355. Tina says:

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-01/manafort-judge-s-need-for-speed-jolts-prosecution-off-its-game

    Judge Ellis launches.

    Because manafort worked for a despicable person, the oligarch, does not make him despicable.

  356. Tina says:

    Pete the cheat.

    New text.

    He boasts of being part of the white male FBI hierarchy.

  357. lisab says:

    a shark attacked a seal today at nauset beach on cape cod,

    there was some video i guy released on twitter. various news orgs began asking for permission to use the footage.

    the guy said yes to everyone … except cnn 🙂

    he specifically refused them permission. too funny!

  358. NYCmike says:

    lisab,

    I just saw a picture, taken by a drone, of a paddle boarder out beyond the surf at Nauset. The drone caught a big shark swimming very close to the paddleboard, with that person totally unaware.

    Several years ago, when I was there with my family, we were up on the bluff at the end of the day. There were 2 paddleboarders gliding along peacefully, and I said to my wife, “There are probably a couple of sharks swimming right underneath those people, and they don’t even know it.”

    You gotta love that clean water!

  359. NYCmike says:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eEM6jkGUl18

    -Yeah, that is pretty close to the shore!

  360. jason says:

    Ok, I’ll bite…..how, in any way, would that information about that Russian woman have anything to do with enforcing current immigration law?”

    Nah, if you weren’t a moron you would understand the real question.

    What is there in that information that makes you think “current immigration law” is being enforced?

    WE ARE WINNING!

  361. jason says:

    “The source said that the DNC informed them that “all our players are out in the field this year,”

    Let me guess.

    Way, way over in left field?

  362. Proud Obamacon says:

    Hey yall! Was just checking out at the grocery store and thought I left my picture ID in the car. Whew, luckily I did grab it so I was able to check out!

    #RESIST

  363. NYCmike says:

    “What is there in that information that makes you think “current immigration law” is being enforced?”

    -As always, we agree: a law is useless unless it is enforced.

    Current laws are fine. Current enforcement is not.

    Fix enforcement, because that is where the problems lie.

    We do NOT need any new laws on the books. The lawyers have enough ammunition already!

  364. Hugh says:

    I am no Cruz fan but I suspect he wins with plenty of room. I hope the dems spend heavily there.

    https://www.star-telegram.com/article215907475.html

  365. lisab says:

    NYCmike,

    i have been to nauset, but i much prefer nauset light and coast guard beaches, and have been in that water many times.

    however, seals have only been a problem for the last 10 years or so. twenty years ago we never saw them, now they will come up on the beach on occasion.

    i have seen a few sharks down there, but only one that was over six feet.

  366. NYCmike says:

    lisab,

    I concur. The seals have been coming back for the last 10 or so, and with them came the top of the food chain.

    Still such a beautiful place!

  367. lisab says:

    i always wondered how the pilgrims almost starved on cape cod.

    dearest sarah,

    here we are on cape COD and we are starving. there is just no food here on cape COD. the men tried putting some grain out to see if they could attract chickens or cows, but the damn seagulls and deer ate it all. worse still, samuel cut his foot on a clam shell yesterday, and solomon got bitten by a lobstah. i sure hope we find food soon,

    sincerely,

    constance

  368. NYCmike says:

    The pilgrims obviously did not watch “Outcast” on the trip over.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c2g2U_-9H9o

  369. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Those who have lived under communism hated it, much to the chagrin of snowflake socialists. Some twitter comments:

    Kevin Nguyen
    ?”White people need to get less angry when I tell them my parents fled Communism.”
    Thy Vo
    Replying to @knguyen
    “Man on dating app this week asked me “are you VC” and when I asked him to clarify he said, “Victor Charlie. Viet Cong. Are you Vietnamese?” I went apes—t on that guy.”

    Other comments

    “Was just having this convo two nights ago with a friend who emigrated with his family from the USSR very young and gets infuriated when he sees too online people from Brooklyn with the sickle in their profile.”

    “True story: circa 1985, when my mom taught piano at Rutgers (about 5 years after emigrating), a colleague at lunch gave her the “But free health care!” line re the USSR. When she described the conditions in Soviet hospitals, he accused her of channeling American propaganda.”

    “?America is the home of people who fleed communism/totalitarian governments and the home of spoiled kids telling us how great collectivism and big government is via their iPhones sipping $10 lattes.”

  370. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    San Francisco’s homeless crisis is spinning out of control. They have spend about $280 million on the problem, about $37,300 per every one of the city’s estimated 7,499 homeless. Yet the newly elected mayor has stated the problem is worse than ever. And what happened to her predecessor, who wasted hundreds of millions and accomplished nothing? He is going to be elected governor of California.

    http://www.foxnews.com/us/2018/07/19/san-francisco-continues-to-spend-big-in-fight-against-homelessness-but-is-it-working.htm

    San Diego’s Republican mayor has been about as useless as San Francisco’s. But at least he is recognized as a failure, and could not get himself elected dog catcher now.

  371. DW says:

    378 – Just like the infamous ‘Bridge to nowhere’ where it would have been cheaper to buy every affected person a private yacht instead of building the bridge; the government could have saved money by just giving out cash to each of the homeless. But at least the bridge to nowhere would have been a quality structure. Giving cash to homeless would have reformed few of them and most likely would have been spent on booze and drugs. Some people cannot be helped until they are willing to help themselves.

  372. Tina says:

    Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump
    ·
    55m
    Charles Koch of Koch Brothers, who claims to be giving away millions of dollars to politicians even though I know very few who have seen this (?), now makes the ridiculous statement that what President Trump is doing is unfair to “foreign workers.” He is correct, AMERICA FIRST!

    Has it been decided whether they are Drats for donating to Drats?

  373. Messy says:

    306. What’s so funny about the intense suffering of he Venezuelan people

  374. jason says:

    Has it been decided whether they are Drats for donating to Drats?”

    Zzzzzz….let’s put it this way the Koch Bros never donated any money to Chuck Schumer, Hillary Clinton, Harry Reid, or to Democratic Senatorial Committee to elect more liberal Democrats like Trump did.

    The facts:

    The brothers have made significant financial contributions to libertarian and conservative think tanks and have donated primarily to Republican Party candidates running for office.” A network of like-minded donors organized by the Kochs pledged to spend $889 million from 2009–2016 and its infrastructure has been said by Politico to rival “that of the Republican National Committee.” They actively fund and support organizations that contribute significantly to Republican candidates, and in particular that lobby against efforts to expand government’s role in health care and combating global warming. By 2010, they had donated more than $100 million to dozens of free-market and advocacy organizations.”

    and

    In July 2012, David H. Koch hosted a $50,000-a-person ($75,000 a couple) fundraising dinner for 2012 Republican Party Presidential candidate Mitt Romney, which was the subject of liberal and progressive protests. Koch Industries cited the protests an example of what they see as liberal hypocrisy regarding fundraising as these same groups don’t protest big money donations for Democratic fundraisers. William Koch, the younger brother of Charles and David, gave $1 million to Restore Our Future, a super-PAC backing Romney.

    and

    In addition to $3 million PAC support for Scott Walker, “according to the Palm Beach Post, David Koch has been active in Wisconsin politics. Americans for Prosperity reportedly spent $700,000 on ads supporting Governor Scott Walker’s changes to collective bargaining.”

    The only reason Trump is whining about the Koch Bros is that they didn’t give him any money in 2016 directly, instead funneling almost $900 million to other Republican candidates. And of course he is angry they are (correctly so) against his stupid self defeating trade wars.

    Charles and David Koch have been involved in, and have provided funding to, a number of other think tanks and public policy organizations: They provided the initial funding for the Cato Institute, they are key donors to the Federalist Society, and they also support, or are members of, the Mercatus Center,]the Institute for Humane Studies, the Institute for Justice, the Institute for Energy Research, the Heritage Foundation, the Manhattan Institute, the Reason Foundation, the George C. Marshall Institute, the American Enterprise Institute, and the Fraser Institute.

    So Tina, by all means let’s compare who is more conservative, and who has supported more conservative candidates, and who has done more for conservatism: Trump or the Koch Bros.

    You will find the the Koch Bros come out ahead EVERY time.

  375. jason says:

    And tell me Tina, if the Koch Bros DID stop supporting or lessened their support for Republicans candidates because of Trump’s asinine comments about them, do you think that would be good or bad for conservatism?

  376. jason says:

    What’s so funny about the intense suffering of he Venezuelan people”

    What’s funny is that you support the ideology that has caused that suffering.

    Why don’t you go live there in your socialist paradise if you think its so great?

  377. DW says:

    385 – Thanks. I crafted a hasty reply, didn’t post it. Yours was better.

  378. DW says:

    I would also point out that Messy’s question was very much like Bernie Sanders’ response to Ted Cruz right after Cruz ripped him and his socialism to shreds. Cruz pointed out that you could tax the ‘rich’ at 100%–take everything from them and it would only pay for a small fraction of the spending Sanders proposed. So by ‘rich’ Sanders meant everyone because the rich don’t have enough money to pay for Sanders’ spending.

    Sanders replied mumbling a question back to Cruz asking if he cares about the suffering of people.

  379. DW says:

    Trump approval today: 50/49

  380. Chicon says:

    Messy is a hoot.

    The large Koch brothers disagree with Trump about his trade policy. I think they’ll come around if Trump achieves lower tariffs in the end. Anyway, 100% adherence to the doctrine is not necessary, from what I read here, so I’m okay with this little schism.

  381. Todd McCain says:

    The job number on Friday is expected to be good and that should give him and the GOP a further bump.

  382. Mr.Vito says:

    “306. What’s so funny about the intense suffering of he Venezuelan people”

    Surely you are a parody… but just in case you are really this clueless, Madero is a hero of the Mexican Revolution.

    Educate yourself.

  383. Mr.Vito says:

    Summary:

    Madero…Mexico…fought against totalitarianism

    Maduro…Venezuela…socialist scumbag totalitarian

    Messy…Uranus…totally a parody of a socialist

  384. jason says:

    Messy has to be the most ignorant poster here in the last 5 years.

    Obviously has no interest in educating herself in anything. Not the English language, not history, not current affairs.

    A complete and utter moron.

  385. Toast says:

    Nice blog you have here.

  386. Mr.Vito says:

    GGRRRRRRRRRRRAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!

    Go away!

  387. BayernFan says:

    Refresh me…. is Ras accurate?

  388. Bitterlaw says:

    HHR Logic:

    Donald Trump donated to the most far left Democrat Senators for years and is the greatest Republican in history.

    Koch brothers make a few donations to lower level Democrat candidates and are Marxists.

    I love this place.

  389. NYCmike says:

    Bitterlaw once again shows that law school teaches a person NOT to answer the question at hand, but instead to frame your own question more favorable to your clients view/perception/rationale.

    Trump says “America First”, Koch brothers talk about “unfairness to foreign workers”……I guess we are all citizens of the world now…….Obama was surely ahead of his time!

  390. NYCmike says:

    “and is the greatest Republican in history.”

    -First time written on HHR, but the lawyer tries to attribute it to someone else.

  391. NYCmike says:

    CD

  392. NYCmike says:

    “And tell me Tina, if the Koch Bros DID stop supporting or lessened their support for Republicans candidates because of Trump’s asinine comments about them, do you think that would be good or bad for conservatism?”

    -If they are as short-sighted as the #NeverTrumpers, I think their fortunes will take a nosedive in the near future.

  393. TrumpisPeteWilson says:

    Ah love it when the retards like Jason on here veer instantly into personal attacks. You’re one to judge a person’s intelligence based on what? Well-cited arguments using peer-reviewed journals.

    Or retarded far-right websites that spew whatever you want to hear. It’s pretty obvious to anyone with a brain.

  394. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Trump approval at 50% in Rasmussen; 49% disapprove.

  395. NYCmike says:

    Personally, since the Democrats will not get much $$ from the Koch brothers, I would only worry about libertarian challengers in states that will be close, like IN & MT.

  396. NYCmike says:

    Wilson!!!

    That soccer ball is more interesting than you, Pete.

  397. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    The New York Times just proved what a racist, bigoted newspaper it is.

    The New York Times is under fire this week for adding Sarah Jeong to its editorial board despite her history of racist tweets about white people.
    “The Gray Lady” essentially faced claims that its the “Anti-white Lady” on Wednesday shortly after announcing its incoming technology op-ed editor. Social media platforms and news aggregation websites such as Twitchy quickly shared Ms. Jeong’s musing on white people.
    Some include:
    • “#cancelwhitepeople”
    • “1. White men are bulls—. 2. No one cares about women. 3. You can threaten anyone on the internet except cops.”
    • “Oh man. It’s sick how much joy I get from being cruel to old white men”
    • Dumba— f—ing white people marking up the internet with their opinions like dogs pissing on fire hydrants.”

    https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/aug/2/sarah-jeongs-racist-tweets-spotlighted-after-nytim/?utm_source=Boomtrain&utm_medium=manual&utm_campaign=20180326&utm_term=newsalert&utm_content=newsalert&bt_ee=RRtBr1KzUWTGIUVhN8q3391esY

  398. Wobbles says:

    I am hardest hit.

    “Are Hispanics shifting their allegiances to President Trump?

    A recent Harvard/Harris poll recorded a 10-point spike in Hispanic support for Mr. Trump. It hasn’t received much attention from the mainstream media, which is heavily invested in its portrait of the president as an unrepentant — and unpopular — “nativist.”

    Coming in the midst of the nationwide controversy over children and families at the U.S.-Mexico border, it suggests that Hispanics may not be the entrenched liberal voting constituency that Democrats so often imagine.”

  399. jason says:

    Ah love it when the retards like Jason on here veer instantly into personal attacks”

    LOL

  400. NYCmike says:

    “Coming in the midst of the nationwide controversy over children and families at the U.S.-Mexico border, it suggests that Hispanics may not be the entrenched liberal voting constituency that Democrats so often imagine.””

    -Robbie’s “national mood” takes another hit??

  401. jason says:

    Donald Trump donated to the most far left Democrat Senators for years and is the greatest Republican in history.

    Koch brothers make a few donations to lower level Democrat candidates and are Marxists.”

    Very good, Bitter, I couldn’t have put it better myself.

    I am sure if the Koch Bros gave a billion dollars to conservatives and a dollar to a liberal NYC would call them RINO traitors.

    Trump funds Chuck Schumer for decades, donates to Hillary and Harry Reid, the DNSC, the Clinton Foundation, Planned Parenthood, etc…. conservative ICON.

  402. jason says:

    But let’s face it, this place wouldn’t be the same without NYC’s award winning hypocrisy and double standards, would it?

  403. jason says:

    Well-cited arguments using peer-reviewed journals.”

    Pete Wilson’s definition of fake news.

    This is how it works. Far leftist hack writes piece. Another far leftist hack reviews it and approves it.

    Far left news source prints it.

    Pete Wilson reads it and regurgitates it here.

    That’s how a “well cited argument” is born.

  404. Chicon says:

    How about this Urban Meyer? Is he not bright, or simply grandiose?

  405. Bitterlaw says:

    I have been here 14 years. I give Trump is Pete Wilson credit. Blasting Jason for personal attacks by starting his post with a personal attack is the greatest example of discrediting your own post ever at HHR.

  406. jason says:

    Bitter is here to award some points?”

    I know “retards like jason” dilutes the points somewhat, I would have preferred jason retard, but you can’t have everything.

  407. NYCmike says:

    “Very good, Bitter, I couldn’t have put it better myself. ”

    -Will the two of them ever realize that NOBODY else put it like that?!?!

    Or will the A-Holes just keep plugging each other up?

  408. Robbie says:

    Clearly, this highly accomplished Republican pollster hasn’t looked at the very accurate Rasmussen poll.

    Josh Kraushaar
    @HotlineJosh

    Great, timely conversation with top GOP pollster @posglen on today’s Against the Grain podcast.

    Bolger thinks Dems could win up to 50 (!) House seats in the midterms.

  409. NYCmike says:

    “Hey @HotlineJosh thanks for having me on for a lively conversation! Folks — give it a listen. To be fair, I also outlined a way for House GOPers to maintain control!”

  410. NYCmike says:

    How long did that take me?

    And I have no idea who either person is……..but Robbie only linked to the first comment…….ODD!

  411. NYCmike says:

    Robbie,

    #418 was from Bolger…….if you didn’t realize that yet.

  412. NYCmike says:

    It’s almost as if Robbie WANTS confirmation that Republicans will DEFINITELY lose more than 40 seats.

  413. NYCmike says:

    No response from Robbie about Bolger’s 2 very different conclusions……..almost like he is ignoring the one where Bolger says “To be fair, I also outlined a way for House GOPers to maintain control!”.

  414. Mr.Vito says:

    Does he still get to be a respected pollster?

  415. Mr.Vito says:

    Anyone here can outline those two possibilities anyway… so what is the point?

    The only disagreement among everyone is the likelihood of each.

  416. Toast says:

    Robbie’s singing my song!!!!!

  417. Mr.Vito says:

    AAAAAAAAAAAUUUUUUUUUUUUGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHH!

    Go butter yourself!

  418. NYCmike says:

    “Go butter yourself!”

    -I heard of Broadway show “Kinky Boots”……not Kinky Socks.

  419. Toast says:

    GBY?

  420. DW says:

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ——————————————————————————-
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | RRH | Kos | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ——————————————————————————-
    OK_05 R | 149 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.7 —
    NC_08 R | 150 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    OH_15 R | 151 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    PA_14* D | 152 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    IN_09 R | 153 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    WA_03 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    CA_22 R | 155 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 — 49/41 (PPP)
    OH_07 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    OH_10 R | 157 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    NY_23 R | 158 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    AZ_06 R | 159 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    AZ_08 R | 160 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    TX_31 R | 161 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.8 — 46/40 (PPP)
    CO_03 R | 162 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    MO_02 R | 163 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    CA_50 R | 164 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    SC_01 R | 165 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    FL_15* R | 166 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    IN_02 R | 167 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    FL_06* R | 168 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    MI_01 R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    NC_02 R | 170 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    CA_04 R | 171 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    OH_14 R | 172 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    PA_16 R | 173 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.2 — 48/43 (PPP) | 50/44 (D-Int)
    WI_06 R | 174 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    FL_25 R | 175 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 46/39 (St. Pete)
    MI_07 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    MI_06 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    TX_21* R | 178 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.2 — 33/27 (Chg Res.)
    GA_07 R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_18 R | 180 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    NY_24 R | 181 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 43/47 (PPP-D)
    FL_16 R | 182 | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | 3.7 — 49/37 (PPP)
    IL_14 R | 183 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 — 45/41 (PPP)
    PA_10 R | 184 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    CA_21 R | 185 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    IL_13 R | 186 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.4 — 45/42 (PPP)
    NY_01 R | 187 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.4 —
    GA_06* R | 188 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.1 —
    VA_05 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | 2.8 —
    AR_02 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/42 (PPP)
    NJ_03 R | 191 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 48/44 (D-Int.) | 42/42 (GSG-D)
    WA_05 R | 192 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 48/45 (PPP)
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for Bolger to be right——-
    NY_11 R | 193 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    NC_13 R | 194 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.5 — 43/40 (PPP) | 40/35 (Civitas)
    OH_01 R | 195 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.2 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MT_01 R | 196 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | 2.2 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    VA_02 R | 197 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 48/42 (PPP)
    NM_02* R | 198 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 49/35 (Carroll Strategies)
    WV_03* R | 199 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | 1.7 — 41/43 (Monmouth)
    TX_32 R | 200 | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7 —
    UT_04 R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7 — 47/43 | 45/39 (Salt Lake Trib.)
    KS_03 R | 202 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7 —
    ME_02 R | 203 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 45/35
    MI_08 R | 204 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 46/41 (PPP)
    WI_01* R | 205 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 —
    NE_02 R | 206 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.2 —
    IA_03 R | 207 | Toss | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 — 44/43 (PPP) | 41/45 (D-Int.)
    VA_07 R | 208 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.1 —
    KY_06 R | 209 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 —
    KS_02* R | 210 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 — 34/39 (Mellman-D)
    OH_12* R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 48/43 (D-Int.) | 48/45 (D-Inc) 48/44 (PPP)
    IL_06 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 45/44 (Garin-Hart-D) | 44/37 (Victory Res.)
    PA_01 R | 213 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 49/42
    CA_45 R | 214 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.8 — 43/46 (PPP)
    IL_12 R | 215 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.8 — 44/39 (PPP)
    MN_03 R | 216 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.8 — 43/46 (PPP)
    TX_07 R | 217 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.7 — 47/45 (D-Int.) | 37/31 incum. fav. (GSG-D)
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    NJ_07 R | 218 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.7 — 41/42 (PPP) | 45/47 (GQR-D)
    NC_09* R | 217 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.7 — 42/37 (PPP) | 36/43 (Civitas) | 43/44 (D-Int)
    NY_19 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.4 — 41/43 (PPP) |49/44 (IMGE)
    TX_23 R | 215 | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 44/43 (PPP)
    IA_01 R | 214 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.2 — 41/43 (D Internal)
    WA_08* R | 213 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.2 — 51/45
    CA_10 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 48/37 (ALG-D)
    CA_25 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 49/42 (Srat. 360-D) | 45/40 (GSG-D) | 47/47 (IMGE)
    CA_48 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 48/44 (D-Internal) | 45/47 (Monmouth)
    CO_06 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 45/47 (D-Int) | (45/45 IMGE)
    NY_22 R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 40/47 (Zogby)
    FL_26 R | 207 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 45/40 (DCCC-D)
    MN_01* D | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_02 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MN_08* D | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    CA_39* R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/38 (Remington-R) | 45/43 (DCCC-D)
    MI_11* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.2 — 42/45 (PPP)
    PA_17 R | 201 | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.5 — 39/51 (Monmouth)
    PA_07* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.7 —
    NJ_11* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -1 — 42/40 (PPP) | 38/40 (Monmouth)
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.4 — 39/49 (Monmouth)
    CA_49* R | 197 | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.4 — 41/44 (Feldman) | 46/43 (R-Int)
    NH_01* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | -1.5 —
    AZ_02* R | 195 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.5 —
    NV_03* D | 194 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    FL_27* R | 193 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | -2.5 —
    NV_04* D | 192 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.5 — 37/42 (D Internal)
    AZ_01 D | 191 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.7 —
    FL_07 D | 190 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.1 —
    MN_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.4 —
    PA_08 D | 188 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.4 —
    NJ_05 D | 187 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.7 —
    PA_06* R | 186 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.7 —
    CA_07 D | 185 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.2 — 41/50 (POS)
    NJ_02* R | 184 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -4.2 — 39/44 (PPP)
    CT_05* D | 183 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Toss | Ln D | -4.2 —
    PA_05* R | 182 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    AZ_09* D | 181 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 180 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    CA_24 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.1 — 46/47 (Olive Tree St.)
    NY_18 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.1 —
    WI_03 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    IA_02 D | 176 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    NY_25 D | 175 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    FL_13 D | 174 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    OR_05 D | 173 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —

    *indicates open seat

  421. NYCmike says:

    It would be nice if “Nicky Numbers” chimed in with some information from Iowa and thereabouts.

  422. Jan says:

    Yesterday the Trump administration passed healthcare regulations restoring continuation guarantees for short term healthcare policies, as well as a max 12 month time extension for such policies. Obama banned these guarantees and shortened the maximum time to 3 months in an attempt to coerce people into Obamacare plans. Other corrections were implemented too, including not forcing those with religious conflicts to buy contraceptives.

    All in all, Trump appears to be cutting the restraints that Obama applied in order to transform American to his own vision of what it should be.

    I also observed that Hispanics seem to be more favorable to this administration, and one black minister is citing Trump as being the most pro-black president in his lifetime – totally dissing Obama’s efforts in bettering the black community.

    Of course, where will anyone see such positive news tidbits?

  423. Hugh says:

    Oh no these stupid business owners are to dumb to understand how smart the economists from Harvard are regarding tariffs. They are blinded by all the jobs they have created. The economists are pure since they avoid the real world.

    https://www.breitbart.com/economics/2018/08/02/survey-business-owners-think-trumps-tariffs-are-awesome/

  424. NYCmike says:

    Another white paper to be distributed by jason in 3…..2….1…..

  425. Bitterlaw says:

    At least NYC stopped pretending that he thinks tariffs are generally bad.

  426. NYCmike says:

    Bitterlaw,

    Acknowledge that Trump, and people in his administration, have called for there to be ZERO tariffs…….then let’s talk about “pretending”.

  427. Messy says:

    393 In order to attack something you agree with, go for a possible typo.—Jason

    Okay Jason, how does that typo PROVE that the President of Venezuela is a saint and the people there are doing fine?

  428. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Robbie loves to quote Lord Ashcroft, wonder how he missed this one?

    “Do not doubt Donald Trump – he could easily be re-elected”
    Thursday, 29 March, 2018 in Ashcroft In America

    * * * *

    “That is not to say his supporters like everything about him. Many wish he would calm down with the tweeting, the boasting, the undignified lashing out at detractors. But they tolerate these things because they see a president doing what they want done, just as they are prepared to overlook stories like the Stormy Daniels saga: you wouldn’t want to be married to him, they say, but “we didn’t elect him to be a saint, we elected him to be a leader.”

  429. NYCmike says:

    Robbie seems to miss specific ones….

  430. Tina says:

    Are Lord Arshehat and Lord Ashcroft related?

  431. jason says:

    Messy thinks her many “”typos hides the fact she probably didn’t finish fifth grade.

    Of course, that is not a problem, if you actually wanted to educate yourself.

    Messy has no such plans, she is perfectly happy in her ignorance.

    “Madero” was no typo. Pure ignorance.

  432. jason says:

    At least NYC stopped pretending that he thinks tariffs are generally bad.”

    Yeah, the truth will set you free.

    Of course, his concept that “tariffs are bad unless Trump implements them” was not very believable from the start.

  433. NYCmike says:

    And they still won’t acknowledge……..

  434. jason says:

    The problem is, “Trump wants to achieve ZERO tariffs by implementing massive blanket tariffs” is actually even dumber than “tariffs are bad unless Trump implements them”.

  435. jason says:

    It’s almost as if Robbie WANTS confirmation that Republicans will DEFINITELY lose more than 40 seats.

    Amoral Scumbag wants the GOP to lose 40 seats, but he prefers 60.

  436. Bitterlaw says:

    Now that the Koch brothers have been condemned as RINOs, that raises an interesting question. When almost all Republicans become RINOs, doesn’t that mean that RINOs become the Republicans while the original Republicans would then be the RINOs?

  437. Bitterlaw says:

    Trump says he wants zero tariffs (bad grammar). Zzzzzzz. I do not believe him. Is that enough of an acknowledgement, NYC?

  438. Bitterlaw says:

    Trump says he wants zero tariffs (bad grammar). Zzzzzzz. I do not believe him. Is that enough of an acknowledgement, NYC?

    GFY

  439. Tina says:

    So lil Ben Shapiro, real con, wanted Roseanne fired after one stupid tweet.

    Then goes pro pedo,

    And then supports the by slimes hiring a racist.

    Modern day r party.

  440. Tina says:

    Tic Tock on muh Russian from pawn Hannity.

  441. Mr.Vito says:

    Bill Lee came out of nowhere to win the TN Gov primary.

  442. Mr.Vito says:

    The other candidates gave him too much Lee-way.

  443. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    “Are Hispanics shifting their allegiances to President Trump?

    A recent Harvard/Harris poll recorded a 10-point spike in Hispanic support for Mr. Trump. It hasn’t received much attention from the mainstream media, which is heavily invested in its portrait of the president as an unrepentant — and unpopular — “nativist.”

    Coming in the midst of the nationwide controversy over children and families at the U.S.-Mexico border, it suggests that Hispanics may not be the entrenched liberal voting constituency that Democrats so often imagine.

    And consider Florida’s hotly-contested Senate race. Republican Gov. Rick Scott is besting his Democratic opponent among Hispanics, according to a Mason-Dixon poll. Historically, a large and aging Cuban-American exile community has given Republicans a decided partisan edge in the Sunshine State.”

    Am seeing a transition coming in California as well. White coastal liberals are increasingly clashing with Latinos in the inland areas. Within about a decade, Latinos and Asians will began to vote for conservative independents, and change the political dynamics of the state.
    I say “independent” because elections in California are now not based on party; the top two finalists compete no matter what their party affiliation.

    Frankly the Republican Party in California is so into crony capitalism that it is irrelevant to the future of California.

  444. Tina says:

    So, Dianne Frankenstein had a Chinese spy on her staff for 20 years.

    The SSCI is one corrupt outfit.

  445. DW says:

    July: 157,000 more jobs

  446. Tina says:

    59000 more for the prior two months.

  447. Tina says:

    TN Governor:
    R – 785,969
    D – 369,775

    TN Senator:
    R – 717,885
    D – 378,548

    MUH BLUE WAVE.

  448. mnw says:

    Lots of GOP off-the-record handwringing about OH-12 next Tues. I’m glad Trump will be appearing there.

    I’ve learned to hate & fear special elections.

  449. Todd McCain says:

    Saccone was down 6 before Trump came and he almost ended up winning. I suspect Trump helps Balderson pull it out ugly.

  450. mnw says:

    Todd

    Sure hope u r right.

    I maintain that if Saccone had lost 25 pounds & gotten a better haircut, he would be in Congress now.

  451. Wes says:

    RRH’s analysis of the poll Tina posted:

    A local news station poll of the Republican primary for this open seat has Congresswoman Martha McSally up 35-27 over former State Senator Kelli Ward, with former Maricopa County Sherrif Joe Arpaio back at 15%. McSally’s lead is down from their previous poll, mostly due to Arpaio falling further and further behind with his former supporters probably moving towards Ward. The poll also found that McSally was only trailing Democratic candidate and fellow Congresswoman Krysten Sinema 48-44 in the general election, which is closer than some other polls have found and suggest that McSally might be in a better position for the general election once her very bruising primary is over.

    “Might be”? What are the freaking odds?

  452. Todd McCain says:

    The primary numbers in TN are pretty darn encouraging for the general.

  453. lisab says:

    when will california be unable to pay its bills?

  454. Wes says:

    I never thought Bredesen would win that race. TN is a solidly GOP state that bucked the Dem trend even in 2006 and has only shifted further right since then. At the same time, the hefty GOP primary numbers indicate Republicans will likely be actively engaged to turn out in November.

    One thing I’ve looked at this year is primary turnout. In most cases, it’s been encouraging for the GOP. VA is the major exception. That’s why I think Republicans are in more trouble in the state than DW thinks (though Corey Stewart is also a significant factor in my analysis).

  455. DW says:

    Wes, I know VA is in trouble. It is quickly becoming the commonwealth of South Maryland. I am giving serious consideration to moving to NC. However, the rural parts of the state are still like Alabama, and so the congressional seats out there are not going to be in trouble because of northern VA or because of Corey Stewart.

  456. Wes says:

    I’ve always thought Congress should sheer off NoVA and Maryland all the way to Baltimore and roll them with DC into a new state called Columbia. Then VA and MD would go GOP while Dems could have a whole new state to use as their leftist petri dish.

  457. Mr.Vito says:

    https://www.dailywire.com/news/33782/fake-news-nat-geo-admits-viral-photo-polar-bear-amanda-prestigiacomo

    “We had lost control of the narrative,” admitted Cristina Mittermeier, the photographer of the polar bear…

    “And wouldn’t you know it, Mittermeier says she’d do it again if she had the chance, since, essentially, the images pushed a supposed larger truth.”

  458. DW says:

    469 – Wes, years ago I said during the governorship of Bob McDonnell that unless he moved to give northern VA to Washington DC as a present, that he well could be the last ever GOP governor of VA.

  459. DW says:

    Wes,

    Of course the state of Columbia you propose would make travel on the east coast a nightmare, trying to find ways to drive around it, because if one tried to drive through it, there would likely be armed guards at the border ready to seize all your assets (for the privilege of driving through) so they could keep paying for all their entitlements.

  460. Toast says:

    Any other wonderful suggestions Mr.Vito? I tried to butter myself and ended up in the emergency room.

  461. jason says:

    since essentially, the images pushed a supposed larger truth.”

    Ah yes, fake but accurate, Dan Blather would be proud.

  462. Wes says:

    I’m skeptical. Since the almost unmitigated disaster euphemistically called the GWB Administration, OR has trended hard left. I doubt even a wacko like Brown can lose there in a cycle when Dems are roused to a fever pitch against the Donald:

    http://cloutpolitical.com/poll-or-governor-race-in-statistical-tie-with-gop-challenger-buehler-holding-slight-edge/

  463. jason says:

    Huh, Toast, don’t sell yourself short, just keep trying.

  464. NYCmike says:

    “Any other wonderful suggestions Mr.Vito? I tried to butter myself and ended up in the emergency room.”

    -You’re lucky you didn’t end up in my belly!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvFJElPlslg

  465. NYCmike says:

    “Since the almost unmitigated disaster”

    -Almost??

    Wes looks to be softening……

  466. Tina says:

    Look at the manufacturing job numbers

    Trump 830000 in 19 months

    Obumbler 15000 in the previous 19 months.

  467. Wes says:

    Don’t get your hopes up, Brave Sir Mikey. GWB only wasn’t worse than Hoover and Carter because of the tax cuts and 9/11 response. That counts as “almost unmitigated.”

  468. Tina says:

    Gwb had a disastrous second term. Rivals Carter in many levels.

    And his cabinet was largely a bunch of you know my daddy, you are hired, incompetents.

  469. Wes says:

    What do you expect from a guy who asks, “Is our children learning?,” Tina?

    Obviously not if a sitting world leader actually asks that question that way.

  470. Wes says:

    By the way, he answered that question by saying “Our childrenS do learn.”

  471. Tina says:

    Wes, I had high expectations for gwb. He was a disappointment.

    I have low expectations for trump. Other than some tweets and his tax cut, I have not been disappointed, the jury is still out though.

  472. DW says:

    Two changes from Gonzales. Both in D direction, both as a herding response to Cook and Sabato. But I did notice neither race has a poll taken:

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ——————————————————————————-
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | RRH | Kos | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ——————————————————————————-
    OK_05 R | 149 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.7 —
    NC_08 R | 150 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    OH_15 R | 151 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    PA_14* D | 152 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    IN_09 R | 153 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    WA_03 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    CA_22 R | 155 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 — 49/41 (PPP)
    OH_07 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    OH_10 R | 157 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    NY_23 R | 158 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    AZ_06 R | 159 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    AZ_08 R | 160 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    TX_31 R | 161 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.8 — 46/40 (PPP)
    CO_03 R | 162 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    MO_02 R | 163 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    CA_50 R | 164 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 — 51/42 (Tulchin Res.)
    SC_01 R | 165 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    FL_15* R | 166 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    IN_02 R | 167 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    FL_06* R | 168 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    MI_01 R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    NC_02 R | 170 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    CA_04 R | 171 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    OH_14 R | 172 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    PA_16 R | 173 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.2 — 48/43 (PPP) | 50/44 (D-Int)
    WI_06 R | 174 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    FL_25 R | 175 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 46/39 (St. Pete)
    MI_07 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    MI_06 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    TX_21* R | 178 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.2 — 33/27 (Chg Res.)
    GA_07 R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_18 R | 180 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    NY_24 R | 181 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 43/47 (PPP-D)
    FL_16 R | 182 | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | 3.7 — 49/37 (PPP)
    IL_14 R | 183 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 — 45/41 (PPP)
    PA_10 R | 184 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    CA_21 R | 185 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    IL_13 R | 186 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.4 — 45/42 (PPP)
    NY_01 R | 187 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.4 —
    GA_06* R | 188 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.1 —
    VA_05 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | 2.8 —
    AR_02 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/42 (PPP)
    NJ_03 R | 191 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 48/44 (D-Int.) | 42/42 (GSG-D)
    WA_05 R | 192 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 48/45 (PPP)
    NY_11 R | 193 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    NC_13 R | 194 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.5 — 43/40 (PPP) | 40/35 (Civitas)
    OH_01 R | 195 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.2 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MT_01 R | 196 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | 2.2 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    VA_02 R | 197 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 48/42 (PPP)
    NM_02* R | 198 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 49/35 (Carroll Strategies)
    WV_03* R | 199 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | 1.7 — 41/43 (Monmouth)
    UT_04 R | 200 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7 — 47/43 | 45/39 (Salt Lake Trib.)
    KS_03 R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7 —
    ME_02 R | 202 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 45/35 |40/39 (D-Int)
    MI_08 R | 203 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 46/41 (PPP)
    WI_01* R | 204 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 —
    NE_02 R | 205 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.2 —
    TX_32 R | 206 | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.1 —
    IA_03 R | 207 | Toss | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 — 44/43 (PPP) | 41/45 (D-Int.)
    VA_07 R | 208 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.1 —
    KS_02* R | 209 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 — 34/39 (Mellman-D)
    OH_12* R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 48/43 (D-Int.) | 48/45 (D-Inc) 48/44 (PPP)
    IL_06 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 45/44 (Garin-Hart-D) | 44/37 (Victory Res.)
    PA_01 R | 212 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 49/42
    KY_06 R | 213 | Toss |
    Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 0.8 —
    CA_45 R | 214 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.8 — 43/46 (PPP)
    IL_12 R | 215 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.8 — 44/39 (PPP)
    MN_03 R | 216 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.8 — 43/46 (PPP)
    TX_07 R | 217 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.7 — 47/45 (D-Int.) | 37/31 incum. fav. (GSG-D)
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    NJ_07 R | 218 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.7 — 41/42 (PPP) | 45/47 (GQR-D)
    NC_09* R | 217 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.7 — 42/37 (PPP) | 36/43 (Civitas) | 43/44 (D-Int)
    NY_19 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.4 — 41/43 (PPP) |49/44 (IMGE)
    TX_23 R | 215 | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 44/43 (PPP)
    IA_01 R | 214 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.2 — 41/43 (D Internal)
    WA_08* R | 213 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.2 — 51/45
    CA_10 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 48/37 (ALG-D)
    CA_25 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 49/42 (Srat. 360-D) | 45/40 (GSG-D) | 47/47 (IMGE)
    CA_48 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 48/44 (D-Internal) | 45/47 (Monmouth)
    CO_06 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 45/47 (D-Int) | (45/45 IMGE)
    NY_22 R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 40/47 (Zogby)
    FL_26 R | 207 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 45/40 (DCCC-D)
    MN_01* D | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_02 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MN_08* D | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    CA_39* R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/38 (Remington-R) | 45/43 (DCCC-D)
    MI_11* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.2 — 42/45 (PPP)
    PA_17 R | 201 | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.5 — 39/51 (Monmouth)
    PA_07* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.7 —
    NJ_11* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -1 — 42/40 (PPP) | 38/40 (Monmouth)
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.4 — 39/49 (Monmouth)
    CA_49* R | 197 | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.4 — 41/44 (Feldman) | 46/43 (R-Int)
    NH_01* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | -1.5 —
    AZ_02* R | 195 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.5 —
    NV_03* D | 194 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    FL_27* R | 193 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | -2.5 —
    NV_04* D | 192 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.5 — 37/42 (D Internal)
    AZ_01 D | 191 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.7 —
    FL_07 D | 190 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.1 —
    MN_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.4 —
    PA_08 D | 188 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.4 —
    NJ_05 D | 187 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.7 —
    PA_06* R | 186 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.7 —
    CA_07 D | 185 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.2 — 41/50 (POS)
    NJ_02* R | 184 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -4.2 — 39/44 (PPP)
    CT_05* D | 183 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Toss | Ln D | -4.2 —
    PA_05* R | 182 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    AZ_09* D | 181 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 180 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    CA_24 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.1 — 46/47 (Olive Tree St.)
    NY_18 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.1 —
    WI_03 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    IA_02 D | 176 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    NY_25 D | 175 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    FL_13 D | 174 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    OR_05 D | 173 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —

    *indicates open seat

  473. DW says:

    whoops..messed up the bold tag…posting again:

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ——————————————————————————-
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | RRH | Kos | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ——————————————————————————-
    OK_05 R | 149 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.7 —
    NC_08 R | 150 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    OH_15 R | 151 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    PA_14* D | 152 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.4 —
    IN_09 R | 153 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    WA_03 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    CA_22 R | 155 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 — 49/41 (PPP)
    OH_07 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    OH_10 R | 157 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    NY_23 R | 158 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    AZ_06 R | 159 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    AZ_08 R | 160 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    TX_31 R | 161 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.8 — 46/40 (PPP)
    CO_03 R | 162 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    MO_02 R | 163 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    CA_50 R | 164 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 — 51/42 (Tulchin Res.)
    SC_01 R | 165 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    FL_15* R | 166 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    IN_02 R | 167 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    FL_06* R | 168 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    MI_01 R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    NC_02 R | 170 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    CA_04 R | 171 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    OH_14 R | 172 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    PA_16 R | 173 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.2 — 48/43 (PPP) | 50/44 (D-Int)
    WI_06 R | 174 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    FL_25 R | 175 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 46/39 (St. Pete)
    MI_07 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    MI_06 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    TX_21* R | 178 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.2 — 33/27 (Chg Res.)
    GA_07 R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    FL_18 R | 180 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    NY_24 R | 181 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 43/47 (PPP-D)
    FL_16 R | 182 | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | 3.7 — 49/37 (PPP)
    IL_14 R | 183 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 — 45/41 (PPP)
    PA_10 R | 184 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    CA_21 R | 185 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    IL_13 R | 186 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.4 — 45/42 (PPP)
    NY_01 R | 187 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.4 —
    GA_06* R | 188 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.1 —
    VA_05 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | 2.8 —
    AR_02 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/42 (PPP)
    NJ_03 R | 191 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 48/44 (D-Int.) | 42/42 (GSG-D)
    WA_05 R | 192 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 48/45 (PPP)
    NY_11 R | 193 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 —
    NC_13 R | 194 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.5 — 43/40 (PPP) | 40/35 (Civitas)
    OH_01 R | 195 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.2 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MT_01 R | 196 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | 2.2 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    VA_02 R | 197 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 48/42 (PPP)
    NM_02* R | 198 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 49/35 (Carroll Strategies)
    WV_03* R | 199 | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | 1.7 — 41/43 (Monmouth)
    UT_04 R | 200 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7 — 47/43 | 45/39 (Salt Lake Trib.)
    KS_03 R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7 —
    ME_02 R | 202 | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 45/35 |40/39 (D-Int)
    MI_08 R | 203 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 46/41 (PPP)
    WI_01* R | 204 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 —
    NE_02 R | 205 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.2 —
    TX_32 R | 206 | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1.1 —
    IA_03 R | 207 | Toss | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 — 44/43 (PPP) | 41/45 (D-Int.)
    VA_07 R | 208 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.1 —
    KS_02* R | 209 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.1 — 34/39 (Mellman-D)
    OH_12* R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 48/43 (D-Int.) | 48/45 (D-Inc) 48/44 (PPP)
    IL_06 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 45/44 (Garin-Hart-D) | 44/37 (Victory Res.)
    PA_01 R | 212 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 49/42
    KY_06 R | 213 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 0.8 —
    CA_45 R | 214 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.8 — 43/46 (PPP)
    IL_12 R | 215 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.8 — 44/39 (PPP)
    MN_03 R | 216 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.8 — 43/46 (PPP)
    TX_07 R | 217 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.7 — 47/45 (D-Int.) | 37/31 incum. fav. (GSG-D)
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    NJ_07 R | 218 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.7 — 41/42 (PPP) | 45/47 (GQR-D)
    NC_09* R | 217 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.7 — 42/37 (PPP) | 36/43 (Civitas) | 43/44 (D-Int)
    NY_19 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.4 — 41/43 (PPP) |49/44 (IMGE)
    TX_23 R | 215 | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 44/43 (PPP)
    IA_01 R | 214 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.2 — 41/43 (D Internal)
    WA_08* R | 213 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.2 — 51/45
    CA_10 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 48/37 (ALG-D)
    CA_25 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 49/42 (Srat. 360-D) | 45/40 (GSG-D) | 47/47 (IMGE)
    CA_48 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 48/44 (D-Internal) | 45/47 (Monmouth)
    CO_06 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 45/47 (D-Int) | (45/45 IMGE)
    NY_22 R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 40/47 (Zogby)
    FL_26 R | 207 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 45/40 (DCCC-D)
    MN_01* D | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    MN_02 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MN_08* D | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    CA_39* R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 41/38 (Remington-R) | 45/43 (DCCC-D)
    MI_11* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.2 — 42/45 (PPP)
    PA_17 R | 201 | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.5 — 39/51 (Monmouth)
    PA_07* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.7 —
    NJ_11* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -1 — 42/40 (PPP) | 38/40 (Monmouth)
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.4 — 39/49 (Monmouth)
    CA_49* R | 197 | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.4 — 41/44 (Feldman) | 46/43 (R-Int)
    NH_01* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | -1.5 —
    AZ_02* R | 195 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | -1.5 —
    NV_03* D | 194 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    FL_27* R | 193 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | -2.5 —
    NV_04* D | 192 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -2.5 — 37/42 (D Internal)
    AZ_01 D | 191 | Lk D | Tlt D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.7 —
    FL_07 D | 190 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.1 —
    MN_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.4 —
    PA_08 D | 188 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.4 —
    NJ_05 D | 187 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.7 —
    PA_06* R | 186 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | -3.7 —
    CA_07 D | 185 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.2 — 41/50 (POS)
    NJ_02* R | 184 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -4.2 — 39/44 (PPP)
    CT_05* D | 183 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Toss | Ln D | -4.2 —
    PA_05* R | 182 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    AZ_09* D | 181 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 180 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -4.8 —
    CA_24 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.1 — 46/47 (Olive Tree St.)
    NY_18 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.1 —
    WI_03 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    IA_02 D | 176 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    NY_25 D | 175 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | -5.4 —
    FL_13 D | 174 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    OR_05 D | 173 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —

    *indicates open seat

  474. NYCmike says:

    http://dailycaller.com/2018/08/02/latinos-facebook-id-political-ads/

    -This is interesting development. Facebook wants ID proof…….from ALL people, even a person from a so-called “minority” group.

  475. Wes says:

    The Deadender hero in WV got most of his signatures for his abortive Indy Senate run from Dems:

    https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/democrats-signed-blankenship-west-virginia-senate-petition

    I’m shocked! Shocked, I tell you! Deadenders frequently try this tactic after losing primaries. (See O’Donnell, Christine, 2006.) Of course Mikey will explain to us why Deadenders have a right to try to help Dems win elections after losing primaries.

  476. NYCmike says:

    You would think a guy who supposedly impregnated and married a stripper would have a more interesting life…..

  477. Wes says:

    You would also think said guy would be having fun trolling the dregs of this blog.

    You would be right.

  478. Wes says:

    Theoretically Gary Johnson as a Libertarian puts NM-Sen in play:

    http://thejacknews.com/politics/elections/2018/gary-johnson-puts-new-mexico-senate-race-in-play/

    I’m skeptical as Johnson, while an accomplished former Governor of the state, did himself no favors with his erratic run as a Libertarian for President two years ago. Nonetheless, if Dems have to expend resources to defend Heinrich–a notoriously weak candidate elected strictly on Obama’s coattails in 2012–Johnson could do a favor to the Senate GOP.

  479. NYCmike says:

    https://twitchy.com/samj-3930/2018/08/03/so-much-for-that-blue-tidal-wave-trumps-latest-approval-ratings-with-this-group-spells-yuge-trouble-for-dems/

    -A worker of ours who takes buses from his house to get to work……said repeatedly that many more black men have been riding and getting off to work along the way…..and he hears them speaking all of the time about Trump shutting the border to keep out illegals……just anecdotal, but interesting.

    Also, he said he has heard them mention the governor’s Italian trip 3 times this week already.

  480. Wes says:

    I’ll believe blacks are receptive to Trump when I see concrete evidence of it. The only evidence we’ve found thus far of erosion in support for Dems by blacks is Romney’s slight spike in support among young black voters in 2012. That portends a potential actual decrease in loyalty to the party by blacks.

    Realistically I doubt the GOP will make any noteworthy gains among blacks for another few decades at least.

  481. Diamond Jim says:

    🙂

  482. Diamond Jim says:

    D iamond Jim

  483. DW says:

    Mellman group:

    ME_02

    Golden (D) 39%
    Poliquin (R-Inc) 40%

  484. DW says:

    PPP has Cruz up 46-42.

    I noticed PPP’s sample is now ‘voters’ which can mean about anything depending on what they ask.

  485. Wes says:

    Hawaii has officially no Republicans in the State Senate. It won’t be long before the State House is shorn completely of Republicans. The Aloha State now looks like a banana Republic or a post-Reconstruction Southern state.

  486. DW says:

    504 – and the hostility in Hawaii toward capitalism and private wealth even obliterated the iconic estate used as the set of the Reagan-era TV show Magnum, P.I. The estate was purchased by someone with connections to Obama, and it was bulldozed for smaller housing units to be setup.

  487. Chicon says:

    Question for Robbie – why is Trump being asked to do an appearance in the Ohio special election? I was under the impression that he is a drag on the candidates. Why are they asking the drag to appear? It’s puzzling, but I’m sure you know the answer.

  488. DW says:

    Here is the sort of optimism you can get at RRH:

    “VastBlightKingConspiracy
    August 3, 2018 at 2:03 pm | In reply to dforston
    Stupid of them to shift. As in nothing has changed in the last few months. They should have been making that prediction since well, last year. Which is what most of us here have been saying. I’d bet good money on the GOP losing both chambers at this point.”

    Robbie would be treated like a god there.

  489. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    August 3, 2018 at 2:21 pm
    Question for Robbie – why is Trump being asked to do an appearance in the Ohio special election? I was under the impression that he is a drag on the candidates. Why are they asking the drag to appear? It’s puzzling, but I’m sure you know the answer.

    – Simple. Special elections are usually, but not always, low turnout affairs. The most committed voters generally turnout. And since Trump remains quite popular with the base of the party, the group that votes, his appearance will motivate them.

    Still, don’t confuse a sleepy Summer special election with a midterm election conducted across all 50 states.

  490. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    August 3, 2018 at 2:27 pm
    Here is the sort of optimism you can get at RRH:
    “VastBlightKingConspiracy
    August 3, 2018 at 2:03 pm | In reply to dforston
    Stupid of them to shift. As in nothing has changed in the last few months. They should have been making that prediction since well, last year. Which is what most of us here have been saying. I’d bet good money on the GOP losing both chambers at this point.”
    Robbie would be treated like a god there.

    – Right now, I don’t think it’s likely the Senate will turnover. I found the vote total last night for Blackburn vs. the vote total for Bredesen to be somewhat reassuring.

    That said, this forum desperately needs a dose of contrarianism (I call it reality) when it come to this November’s elections. Race after race continues to move into the tossup category. It may turn out that my 40 seat prediction made last October was not bold enough.

  491. Robbie says:

    Todd McCain says:
    August 3, 2018 at 9:59 am
    Saccone was down 6 before Trump came and he almost ended up winning. I suspect Trump helps Balderson pull it out ugly.

    – Balderson should win. No poll has shown the Democrat above the 45% mark as far as I can tell. That was not the case with Lamb this past March. He routinely polled at or neat 50% late in the race.

  492. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    August 3, 2018 at 1:50 pm
    PPP has Cruz up 46-42.
    I noticed PPP’s sample is now ‘voters’ which can mean about anything depending on what they ask.

    – Ted Cruz’s standing with Texas voters sucks because he is an abrasive figure. That said, even the best poll for Beto never shows him moving past the low 40’s. The reluctant holdouts are almost certainly Republican leaners who will, ultimately, come home on election day.

  493. Chicon says:

    So, Trump is popular with the base but he’s so unpopular with everyone else that there’ll be a blue tide in Nov. Seems that for that to happen, Independents will have to swing big for the Dems. Any recent CGB polling of independents?

  494. Tina says:

    Cruz is in twubble.

    Lord Arsehat

  495. NYCmike says:

    Robbie,

    How about Bolger, that very respected Republican pollster, what does he say today?

    I notice you neglected to post his other comment yesterday. No need to Thank Me for “helping” you find it. I am sure you were looking…….

  496. NYCmike says:

    Robbie says:
    August 2, 2018 at 4:02 pm

    Clearly, this highly accomplished Republican pollster hasn’t looked at the very accurate Rasmussen poll.

    Josh Kraushaar
    @HotlineJosh

    Great, timely conversation with top GOP pollster @posglen on today’s Against the Grain podcast.

    Bolger thinks Dems could win up to 50 (!) House seats in the midterms.
    NYCmike says:
    August 2, 2018 at 4:08 pm

    “Hey @HotlineJosh thanks for having me on for a lively conversation! Folks — give it a listen. To be fair, I also outlined a way for House GOPers to maintain control!”

  497. NYCmike says:

    Robbie says:
    August 2, 2018 at 4:02 pm

    Clearly, this highly accomplished Republican pollster hasn’t looked at the very accurate Rasmussen poll.

    Josh Kraushaar
    @HotlineJosh

    Great, timely conversation with top GOP pollster @posglen on today’s Against the Grain podcast.

    Bolger thinks Dems could win up to 50 (!) House seats in the midterms.

    NYCmike says:
    August 2, 2018 at 4:08 pm

    “Hey @HotlineJosh thanks for having me on for a lively conversation! Folks — give it a listen. To be fair, I also outlined a way for House GOPers to maintain control!”

  498. mnw says:

    “Unemployment Rate For High School Dropouts Dips to 25-year Low” (5.1%)

    Americans with disabilities are also gaining ground.

    Why? Imo, it’s because Trump’s administration has made it harder & more costly to bring in foreigners for entry-level jobs. Businesses aren’t hiring dropouts & disabled Americans because businesses have suddenly turned into altruists.

  499. Tina says:

    Breaking

    FBI Vault Release

    Reacted heavily.

    However, confirms that Foreigner Steele was a paid FBI asset.

  500. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    August 3, 2018 at 3:35 pm
    So, Trump is popular with the base but he’s so unpopular with everyone else that there’ll be a blue tide in Nov. Seems that for that to happen, Independents will have to swing big for the Dems. Any recent CGB polling of independents?

    – According to Gallup’s weekly poll conducted from July 23-29, Trump’s job approval rating among Independents was just 34% while it was 87% with Republicans.

    In terms of Independents and the generic ballot, here is a sample from a July 24 Roll Call article.

    “In the congressional generic ballot, Fox News found independents now preferring Democrats by 13 points, 32 percent to 19 percent, while the NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey showed them backing a Democratic Congress by more than 20 points.”

  501. Tina says:

    James Comey
    @Comey
    And I also should have added: For me Twitter is a good place to share brief ideas and updates. It is hard to have serious conversations on social media. We need to talk in person. It is hard to hate up close.

    And this nut job ran the Fib.

  502. Tina says:

    Beautiful, an activist judge just ordered trump to restore daca.

    Oh please go to the supremes and kill daca for good.

    It was illegal since it was an obumbler executive order that trump subsequently reversed.

    There is no statutory law.

  503. Bitterlaw says:

    I agree with Comey about twitter. It is for tantrums and mini-rants. I am glad it did not exist in the past. “When in the course of human events” would be reduced to
    ”Mad King George sucks. No respect. #Independence!”

  504. Bitterlaw says:

    However, it is easy to hate people in person. It is a good idea to be polite about it to their face if they are armed.

  505. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    526. “An armed society is a civil society.”

  506. jason says:

    Beautiful, an activist judge just ordered trump to restore daca.”

    WE ARE WINNING!

  507. jason says:

    Sooner or later, through the courts or when the Dems have the power to do so, DACA or its equivalent will be implemented in full. And conservatives will get absolutely nothing in return.

    But we can pretend that by refusing to come to a bi-partisan agreement about DACA we are winning.

    When you want all or nothing, nothing is what you usually get.

  508. Redmen4ever says:

    Trump should find out what the Russians have on this judge, and seek a FISA warrant to put him and his associates under surveillance.

  509. jason says:

    Schumer plans to question Kavanaugh about “reproductive rights”

    It would be funny if Kavanaugh says “I oppose them for Democrats”.

  510. jason says:

    However, confirms that Foreigner Steele was a paid FBI asset.”

    Yah thinks?

    According to Messy, Steele was just a foreigner “concerned” about America.

  511. jason says:

    ’m skeptical as Johnson, while an accomplished former Governor of the state, did himself no favors with his erratic run as a Libertarian for President two years ago”

    Not just 2 years ago, this guy has basically been a nutcase since leaving office.”

    “I am an idiot,” said the Libertarian presidential nominee early in his exchange with Paul Lewis, a reporter for the British newspaper. “I am the dumbest guy you’ve ever met in your whole life.”

    In the course of the five and a half minute video exchange, Johnson also acknowledged that he is “human” and claimed that his campaign is “phenomenal.”

    “Why are you even interviewing me?” he asked halfway through the exchange.

    Johnson also suggested that Evan McMullin, an independent conservative candidate, is “ensuring that Hillary Clinton will win Utah” and discussed the possibility of wielding “a magic wand” that would allow him to eliminate most forms of taxation.

    When pressed by Lewis about the fact that economists do not generally favor the abolition of the income tax, Johnson mentioned his support for the legalization of marijuana.

    “But what’s that got to do with your tax policy?” Lewis asked.

    “It’s leadership,” Johnson said.

    Before the interview began, Johnson shouted at an employee of HBO and discussed the possibility that he might “blow [his] brains out.”

  512. Tina says:

    I think Comedy is acting out. A failed lawyah, who wanted to be a cop. He should have been fire years ago. But he let mute 43 walk over him years ago in the Ashcroft hospital matter.

    Keep tweeting though, comedy. You may not get much more time to tweet.

  513. jason says:

    Basically, there is probably only one thing I agree with Gary Johnson in the last 10 years.

    ‘Gary Johnson: Rand Paul’s no libertarian’

  514. jason says:

    I never had a Twitter account. Or FB.

    Don’t really feel deprived.

  515. Tina says:

    And I go back to the FBI being an incompetent agency.

    Wrong Wray cannot fix it.

    He is a lawyah running a Leo poison,

    Trump should have only hired a Leo for FBI head,

    Look out lousy a job Fuhrer Mukehead and comedy ran down the agency

  516. Tina says:

    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/12-times-christopher-steele-fed-trump-russia-allegations-to-fbi-after-the-election?_amp=true&__twitter_impression=true

    I think Pete the cheat and the mistress, who appears to be cooperating, are done.

    We are now on to Ohr and his wife, Ugly Ohr.

  517. Tina says:

    Then from Ohr and ugly or, it goes to the department of liberal state and John Francois.

    Then to, Brennan.

    Then to the obumbler.

    It must be done this way, one level at a time.

  518. Tina says:

    Mark Meadows
    @RepMarkMeadows
    All evidence suggests the FBI used Bruce Ohr to secretly communicate with Chris Steele, even after the FBI ‘terminated’ Steele.

    Meaning: Rod Rosenstein either misled Congress when he testified Ohr had no FISA role, OR he didn’t read the FISA application he signed. Unacceptable.
    1:08 PM · Aug 3, 2018

  519. jason says:

    Truly tragic. Six deployments in Iraq and Afghanistan. Looks like there were few decorations and service medals he didn’t have. A great American hero.

    https://www.armytimes.com/news/your-army/2018/08/03/army-delta-force-sergeant-major-dies-in-free-fall-parachute-training/

  520. jason says:

    Deserves a listing.

    “Nelms’ awards and decorations include two Silver Stars, the Soldier’s Medal, six Bronze Star medals, one with the V device, two Defense Meritorious Service Medals, the Meritorious Service Medal, the Joint Service Commendation Medal with V device, two Army Commendation Medals, the Joint Service Achievement Medal with C device, the Afghanistan Campaign Medal with two Bronze Service Stars, the Iraq Campaign Medal with two Bronze Service Stars, and the Inherent Resolve Campaign Medal with one Bronze Service Star.

    He also had the Special Forces tab, the Ranger tab, the Combat Infantryman Badge, the Expert Infantryman Badge, the Military Freefall Jumpmaster Badge, the Master Parachutist Badge, the Air Assault Badge and the Special Operations Diver Badge.

    Nelms was posthumously awarded the Legion of Merit.”

  521. Tina says:

    Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump
    Lebron James was just interviewed by the dumbest man on television, Don Lemon. He made Lebron look smart, which isn’t easy to do. I like Mike!

    Lol, tweet of the month.

  522. Tgca says:

    Bitter

    I’m arriving in Philly tonight for the week as I start my new job on Mon. No worries, I got temp housing for the month and staying in hotel in Center City so no need for you to prepare the spare room for me.

    I’ll be busy all week so not sure if I can meet you at you fav gay watering hole…what’s the name again? Oh yeah, Woody’s…how could I forget?

    No worries. We’ll catch up some time…PLEASE…just no flower shows.

  523. Robbie says:

    How long before Tina is promoting QAnon?

  524. Bitterlaw says:

    Tgca- We will get together at some point. Here are some tips for you in Philadelphia. You are from North Jersey but they don’t relate to that language. They don’t go “to the beach.” They go “down the shore” and mean the beaches south of Long Beach Island. The candy sprinkled on ice cream is Jimmies and not sprinkles. “The city” is Philadelphia and not New York.

  525. Mr.Vito says:

    https://freebeacon.com/politics/cory-booker-pictured-anti-israel-radicals-calls-elimination-security-borders-israel/

    UPDATE: Booker claims he didn’t read sign, didn’t know it was about Israel

    Yeah, sure.

    Next time pass him a sign that says Trump 2020.

  526. Tina says:

    Is Q anon, the jebots new pizza port?

    Remember, Jebot always touted some kind of pizza conspiracy.

  527. Mr.Vito says:

    Dem Candidate Accused of Illegally Using County Campaign Account for Congressional Race

    “Pureval was one of the 81 candidates that former President Barack Obama endorsed this week.”

    https://freebeacon.com/politics/dem-candidate-accused-illegally-using-county-campaign-account-congressional-race/

  528. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 4, 2018 at 11:54 am
    Is Q anon, the jebots new pizza port?
    Remember, Jebot always touted some kind of pizza conspiracy.

    – Bless your heart.

  529. Robbie says:

    Don Lemon
    @donlemon

    Who’s the real dummy? A man who puts kids in classrooms or one who puts kids in cages? #BeBest

  530. Mr.Vito says:

    Did he just call Obama a dummy?

  531. Mr.Vito says:

    Adam Beam @adambeam

    Alison Lundergan Grimes on Rand Paul: “Just ask his neighbor. He can be beaten.”

    …Thought Robbie would post this before me.

  532. NYCmike says:

    Is Robbie now linking to Don Lemon twitter? Oh Lord!

  533. Robbie says:

    Melania going rogue.

    Jonathan Lemire
    @JonLemire

    NEW: from Melania Trump’s spokeswoman Stephanie Grisham:

    “It looks like LeBron James is working to do good things on behalf of our next generation and just as she always has, the First Lady encourages everyone to have an open dialogue about issues facing children today”

  534. Robbie says:

    Mr.Vito says:
    August 4, 2018 at 1:12 pm
    Adam Beam @adambeam
    Alison Lundergan Grimes on Rand Paul: “Just ask his neighbor. He can be beaten.”
    …Thought Robbie would post this before me.

    – I’m really surprised this statement has caused a bigger uproar. It was totally inappropriate for Grimes to say. Had it been the other way around, it would have been roundly condemned.

    That said, this comment was made at Fancy Farm today in Kentucky. It’s a kind of political roast where a lot of leeway is given to speakers. Still, it went too far. Paul was attacked and beaten. That’s not something that should be mocked.

  535. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 4, 2018 at 2:01 pm
    Is Robbie now linking to Don Lemon twitter? Oh Lord!

    – Better thank linking to Tammy Bruce who mocked an autistic child last year.

  536. lisab says:

    These days, the American dream is more apt to be realized in South America, in places such as Ecuador, Venezuela and Argentina, where incomes are actually more equal today than they are in the land of Horatio Alger. Who’s the banana republic now?

  537. Mr.Vito says:

    That didn’t age well.

  538. lisab says:

    i saw the new mission impossible this week, and although i am not a big fan of tom cruise or action flims in general, i must say the stunts were spectacular and looked really dangerous for tom cruise to do

    in one scene he has to infiltrate a trump rally disguised as a cnn reporter!!! i was on the edge of my seat …

  539. lisab says:

    dom lemon outed a trump protester as actually a cnn cameraman,

    it reminds me of when parents do their child’s homework, and then do something stupid like sign their own name

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=1&v=PZ4ASfXNhxw&ebc=ANyPxKrgdlCrWltuc9dKdLTY8h4uM99JK_mAAdGONY5lr9M3rRWc–cz_hvSZJyYB9Q88_0x1o-ddEJQSD4hM0ka9fSytHOGyg

  540. lisab says:

    The two American bicyclists killed in an attack in Tajikistan on Sunday were a couple from Washington, D.C., who quit their jobs to bike around the globe.

    The couple, Jay Austin and Lauren Geoghegan, both 29, had been on the road for just over a year.

    On their blog, they described the kindness and generosity of strangers around the world as they biked through Africa, Europe and central Asia.

    There were hard days, setbacks and acts of cruelty, too — strangers who tried to run them off the road, or push them off their bikes.

    But Austin wrote in April: “Badness exists, sure, but even that’s quite rare. By and large, humans are kind. Self-interested sometimes, myopic sometimes, but kind. Generous and wonderful and kind. No greater revelation has come from our journey than this.”

    The Islamic State has claimed responsibility for the brutal attack that ended their lives, as well as the lives of two other foreign bicyclists. A car swerved to hit a group of seven bicyclists; assailants then jumped from the car and stabbed the bikers with knives. Three of the bicyclists survived the attack, which the State Department condemned as “senseless.”

  541. Tina says:

    Don Lemion was drunk on camera.

    That is all I know of the jebots new favorite reporter.

  542. lisab says:

    i’ve travelled around the world …

    biking in tajikistan … not on my bucketlist

    my hubby was up for a job in khazakstan, which is flowing with oil, and pays big bucks for project managers … and is relatively modern with a substantial russian population

    i played the veto card … having lived in a foreign country, there was just no way i was going to live in an istan country …

    my general rule is, no living in s-hole countries, especially muslim ones

  543. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #567
    Moron Messy Alert:
    The ex-member is the DEMOCRAT Secretary of State in New Hampshire.
    Also, many States,all governed by Democrats, did not turn over their information. Those States knew they would be outed if they did.
    Google Election Fraud and you will learn a lot.
    Then again, it may be beyond your comprehension level!

  544. jason says:

    I am shocked Lemon would call Obama and Clinton dummies…

  545. jason says:

    So Messy is trying to move on from President “Madero” to voter fraud?

  546. jason says:

    “Alison Lundergan Grimes”

    Wow, have not heard that name since Amoral Scumbag described her as a formidable candidate that was a huge threat to Mitch McConnell. He talked her up for a whole year and did his “McConnell is in huge trouble” MSM narrative non-stop. Not only that, she was “surging”, I tell you, surging on the weekend before the election.

    In reality, she was a dingbat, dumber than a doornail and lost by 15.

  547. Tina says:

    The kids in cages photos.

    Drunk Lemon calls the obumbler a dummy,

    He is right.

  548. Bitterlaw says:

    LeBron James does great work for children. I disagree with his political views.

    Both can be true

  549. Tina says:

    Drunk Lemonade

    When a Cosby rape victim appeared on Don Lemon’s show, he lectured her, “You know, there are ways not to perform oral sex if you didn’t want to do it…Meaning the using of the teeth”

  550. jason says:

    The MSM thinks Trump should just allow everyone to insult him and he should just ignore it.

    Every celebrity scumbag moron who criticizes Trump gets a huge forum to do it.

    I say the MSM can GFI.

  551. lisab says:

    under the #irandeal, iran can’t build a secret nuclear weapon.
    donald trump
    ———–

    ummmmmmmmmmm … i don’t think he understands the word secret

  552. jason says:

    I think that picture ends Booker’s chance at being nominated.

    Yeah, I know, I said Trump wouldn’t surviving insulting McCain’s military service, so I could be wrong.

    But basically the sign says we should not have a border with Mexico.

  553. jason says:

    Wouldn’t surviving?

    I better slow down on the dirty martinis, although only had 3.

  554. jason says:

    Robbie says:
    August 4, 2018 at 2:49 pm

    Melania going rogue.”

    LOL.

    Like I said, Amoral Scumbag would sell his mother and sister into sexual bondage if he thought it would somehow damage Trump.

  555. lisab says:

    i recently watched band of brothers. i never saw it back to back, just catch as catch can

    now those guys were men.

    and then there is robbie.

    remember, now matter how much you cry like a whiny little b!tch, trump is still the president

  556. lisab says:

    china’s stock market down 27%

    japan’s market takes over second spot

    (now that has to hurt)

  557. jason says:

    emember, now matter how much you cry like a whiny little b!tch, trump is still the president”

    Ouch, lisab just cut Amoral Scumbag a new a-hole.

    Let’s see if lisab, who voted for Jill Stein, is now a Trump Chump too….

  558. Bitterlaw says:

    I proposed lisab for A-hole membership years ago. MD vetoed it.

  559. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 4, 2018 at 6:09 pm
    Robbie says:
    August 4, 2018 at 2:49 pm
    Melania going rogue.”
    LOL.
    Like I said, Amoral Scumbag would sell his mother and sister into sexual bondage if he thought it would somehow damage Trump.

    – Oh, look. It’s the fraud who hated Trump every day of the campaign, refused to vote for Trump, and then left the party over Trump, but now demands people who stayed in the party (unlike him) support Trump.

    Someone get Jason fraud a towel so he can wipe the orange off of his mouth.

  560. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    August 4, 2018 at 6:17 pm
    i recently watched band of brothers. i never saw it back to back, just catch as catch can
    now those guys were men.
    and then there is robbie.
    remember, now matter how much you cry like a whiny little b!tch, trump is still the president

    – Looks like someone’s husband hasn’t been too interested in her lately.

    Remember, you’re an old wretch of woman and no amount of makeup or plastic surgery will ever fix that.

    By the way, how’s that surefire lawsuit you said Trump would win against the GAO going?

  561. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 4, 2018 at 6:01 pm
    The MSM thinks Trump should just allow everyone to insult him and he should just ignore it.
    Every celebrity scumbag moron who criticizes Trump gets a huge forum to do it.
    I say the MSM can GFI.

    – Jason fraud, who’s little more than a Tea Party deadender now, thinks the president should act like he’s comment section poster and duke it out with everyone who slights him. Brilliant.

    I’ll be interested to see how well Jason fraud thinks that strategy worked the day after the elections in November.

  562. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    584. “remember, now matter how much you cry like a whiny little b!tch, trump is still the president>”

    Being a good teacher, lisab, just put a dunce cap on Robbie and told him to stand in the corner.

    Got to confess the concern troll is heavy on the whiny side.

  563. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    589. “Remember, you’re an old wretch of woman and no amount of makeup or plastic surgery will ever fix that.”

    How do you know this Robbie? Have you become a peeping tom? You might be a little too thin skinned to be posted on a message board.

  564. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    August 4, 2018 at 8:06 pm
    584. “remember, now matter how much you cry like a whiny little b!tch, trump is still the president>”
    Being a good teacher, lisab, just put a dunce cap on Robbie and told him to stand in the corner.
    Got to confess the concern troll is heavy on the whiny side.

    – I think our resident Independent really is the best comedian we have in the HHR comment section. After all, he has suggested letting Jared and Ivanka (both NYC liberals) take over governing so Trump can have a break.

    By the way, last week you claimed there’s no Democrat who can beat Trump in 2020. Then the very next day, a poll showed Joe Biden leading Trump in a 2020 matchup. Nice timing.

    But if you want to know what whiny is, that will be you the day after the elections in November when you realize your orange hero was a lead weight around the necks of Republicans. Oh, I forgot. You’re not a Republican so I guess you won’t care.

    Now, put your MAGA dunce cap back on and resume marveling at Rasmussen polls.

  565. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    August 4, 2018 at 8:10 pm
    589. “Remember, you’re an old wretch of woman and no amount of makeup or plastic surgery will ever fix that.”
    How do you know this Robbie? Have you become a peeping tom? You might be a little too thin skinned to be posted on a message board.

    – I really do get such a kick out our resident Independent. He thinks Rasmussen is a reliable poll, he thinks it would be a good idea for Jared and Ivanka (NYC liberals) to take over running the government so Trump can have a break, and he thinks a president with a 43% average approval rating is unbeatable in 2020.

    Maybe you’re too dense to post on a message board?

  566. Tina says:

    Jim Jordan in attendance at the trump rally in Lima, oh.

    Crowd erupts, chanting speaker of the house.

    Huge upgrade over Paulo Ryano.

  567. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 4, 2018 at 8:23 pm
    Jim Jordan in attendance at the trump rally in Lima, oh.
    Crowd erupts, chanting speaker of the house.
    Huge upgrade over Paulo Ryano.

    – I agree. Having someone who may not have reported sexual abuse by an Ohio State team doctor would make for a great Speaker. Whoops. I mean a great minority leader.

  568. Tina says:

    I really support Pilosi being speaker.

    Jebot

  569. Tina says:

    this doesn’t seem healthy
    Bill Kristol
    @BillKristol
    Perhaps this tweet was just random. But FWIW here’s an acquaintance’s theory: Trump heard today was Obama’s birthday, was annoyed that nice things would be said about him, had no new grounds to attack Obama, so lashed out against two people who had…something in common with him? (link: https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1025586524782559232) twitter.com/realDonaldTrum…

    Translated, happy birthday Obama

    From the Socialist n the lido deck

  570. Ron N says:

    I love watching Trump at rally he makes me laugh and feel good about how things are going. It’s fun to watch msm try and fact check every word but they are the butt of most jokes and they can’t see it. They would rather try and bring him down 2 yrs now no luck yet.

  571. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 4, 2018 at 8:44 pm
    I really support Pilosi being speaker.
    Jebot

    – I support Kevin McCarthy or Steve Scalise being Speaker, but it’s far more likely they battle it out over who gets to be Minority Leader.

  572. Robbie says:

    Ron N says:
    August 4, 2018 at 8:56 pm
    I love watching Trump at rally he makes me laugh and feel good about how things are going. It’s fun to watch msm try and fact check every word but they are the butt of most jokes and they can’t see it. They would rather try and bring him down 2 yrs now no luck yet.

    – Watching Trump tell jokes about the MSM as the Democrats head towards a House majority to own the libs.

  573. Robbie says:

    No wonder Jason fraud hates Jeb. Jeb’s more interested in a president who worries about the day job rather than getting into a fight with a couple of NBA superstars. Everyone, including Jason fraud, knows owning the libs is far more important than governing.

    Jeb Bush
    @JebBush

    Replying to @JohnKasich @davidaxelrod @KingJames
    History will judge who is better between the two greatest players, but our President should focus on his dang job.

  574. Phil says:

    God, Kristol is such a moron. LOL He actually tweeted that? Unhinged a little?

  575. Paul says:

    598: I respect Bill Kristol quite a bit even if my political views are different from his.

    However that tweet does cause me to cringe. Not up to his normal level of discourse.

  576. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    When Robbie becomes unhinged (which takes place often) he gets his facts mixed up. Robbie, I never claimed Trump was unbeatable — I was quoting one of the political experts you quote. Remember when you referred to Lord Ashcroft on election night in November 2016?

    Robbie says:
    November 8, 2016 at 7:17 pm
    Lord Ashcroft has the exits posted on his twitter. Basically, they show an easy Clinton win, but not a landslide.

    Here is Lord Ashcroft on Trump’s 2020 prospects:

    “Do not doubt Donald Trump – he could easily be re-elected
    Thursday, 29 March, 2018 in Ashcroft In America
    * * * *
    That is not to say his supporters like everything about him. Many wish he would calm down with the tweeting, the boasting, the undignified lashing out at detractors. But they tolerate these things because they see a president doing what they want done, just as they are prepared to overlook stories like the Stormy Daniels saga: you wouldn’t want to be married to him, they say, but “we didn’t elect him to be a saint, we elected him to be a leader.”

  577. Ron N says:

    Robbie just like your great blue wall that could not be broken. You should at least wait for the election first. Just like Your glass ceiling wasn’t broken in the last election because the msm said it would be there is no grantee the dem win the house.

  578. Phil says:

    Damn right Trump could win again – especially if Democrats nominate a dufus like Corey Booker or the hateful b*tch Kamila Harris who promises to make America California. Yeah, that should play well in Florida, NC, and the rust belt.

  579. Tina says:

    The socialist is n idiot.

    All,because her thighness lost.

  580. Tina says:

    And jeb should,not worry what the president is doing.
    Puebla should stfu and go back to selling guac bowls.

  581. Tina says:

    The tweet was designed to trigger.

    And it did.

    You know it hurts so much that the so called greatest of all time (not my call) will be calling trump a racist soon.

  582. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Right now it is much to early to make any predictions about whether Trump will be re-elected. He may even not run.

    As far as 2018; believe the Democrats could pick up the House, but it is no done deal. It could be close. The Republicans are likely to keep the Senate, and may gain seats. But nothing is certain, and the situation could change in the next three months.

  583. lisab says:

    FLYING BOMBS!
    MADURO ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT
    CHAOS IN CARACAS

  584. lisab says:

    Venezuela ‘drone attack’: Soldiers seen running
    Venezuelan officials say explosive drones went off as President Nicolás Maduro was giving a live televised speech in Caracas, but he is unharmed.
    Footage of the event shows Mr Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores looking up, startled, and dozens of soldiers running, before the transmission is cut off.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-latin-america-45073420/venezuela-drone-attack-soldiers-seen-running

  585. lisab says:

    venezuela’s president almost assassinated by flying drone bomb while giving speech on national tv

    top story at cnn is:

    Trump worried about his son in Mueller’s probe

  586. Bitterlaw says:

    If we had an NBA time machine, we could put Jordan in his prime on the Cavs and Heat and put James on the Bulls. Prediction. Jordan would win titles with the Heat and maybe 1 with the Cavs. James would win at least 8 titles with the Bulls (because he would not have wasted 2 seasons playing baseball)

  587. Redmen4ever says:

    I’m looking at Governor races, given the recent data dump by Morning Consult on Governor ratings. Some of the ratings seem inexplicable.

    NH is rated lean or likely Dem by the four prognosticators tracked by Wikipedia. Yet:

    Sununu is just near 50 with a 20 point lead in the hypothetical match-ups; and, he is mid to high 50s in Job Approval in the JA or Fav/Unfav question in these polls, and also in the Morning Consult and ARG polls.

    That’s a lot of polling data pointing to a big victory and no data indicating otherwise.

    Oregon is rated Likely D by 6 of 7 prognosticators; and, in a recent revision, Lean D by Real Clear Politics.

    Two recent horse race polls show the race to be close, and the Governor’s JA is in the low to mid 40s, and only 2 to 4 points net positive.

    While these numbers look hopeful, Oregon and Washington have been heart-breakers for Republicans for some years now. So, I’m o.k. with ratings in the range learn to likely D.

    My point is this: if Oregon is Lean to Likely D, how could New Hampshire be only lean to likely R?

  588. lisab says:

    how could New Hampshire be only lean to likely R?
    ————————-

    nashua, nh

    lot’s of people from ma live there

  589. Tina says:

    Rising serpent
    @rising_serpent
    Dianne Feinstein hired a Chinese spy driver, Debbie Wasserman Schultz hired a Pakistani IT spy, Obama and Hillary spied on Trump campaign via Fusion GPS and FBI.
    And somehow they’re still trying to figure out if Trump colluded with Russia?
    11:33 PM · Aug 4, 2018

    And do not forget Warners outreach.

  590. mnw says:

    Anybody read Henry Olsen’s article “The Blue-Collar Elephant In the Room,” at American Greatness?

    His thesis is that GOP candidates are under-performing Trump because they’re taking what, blue collar DEMs & indies for granted.

  591. Redmen4ever says:

    continuing with NH: if Sununu is indeed heading for a big victory, there are implications for each of the two Congressional seats in the state.

    NH01 is held by a Dem., who is retiring. This seat is one of the few Trump Democrat seats in the country.

    NH02: this may be a sleeper election. While the incumbent Dem. is running for re-election, she is underwater in the most recent U. of N.H. Granite State Poll.

    Considering the possibility of a Republican landslide at the top of the ticket, both of these district should be Toss-up.

    Turning to NM: Republican Gov. Martinez is leaving office badly underwater. (The Trump Curse comes to mind.) While early polling for Gov. gave Republicans some hope, recent polling puts the Dem. far ahead.

    A Carroll Strategies poll shows the Rep. candidate far ahead in the 2nd District, an open district currently held by a Rep. Why, then, do the pundits rate this district a toss-up?

    The same Carroll Strategies poll shows the race in the likewise open 1st District to be close. Why is this race rated by the pundits as safe Democrat? An open seat in which the nominees of the two major parties are close isn’t safe.

    Considering the Ds are likely to sweep the top of the ticket races as well as the available polling data, the 1st District should be Prob D, not Safe; and, the 2nd District, Likely R, not Toss-up.

  592. mnw says:

    619 sb “taking white, blue collar”

    Redmen

    You might find Olsen’s article interesting. The RNC is running plain vanilla aids about education funding & opioid abuse. That’s NOT going to energize the people who elected Trump & un-elected Romney.

  593. Tina says:

    9.6K
    5.9K
    23.4K
    Donald J. Trump
    Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump
    ·
    1h
    …Why aren’t Mueller and the 17 Angry Democrats looking at the meetings concerning the Fake Dossier and all of the lying that went on in the FBI and DOJ? This is the most one sided Witch Hunt in the history of our country. Fortunately, the facts are all coming out, and fast!

    It’s coming…..

  594. lisab says:

    Why aren’t Mueller and the 17 Angry Democrats looking at the meetings concerning the Fake Dossier
    ——————–
    have you not met robbie? they are called democrat tears

  595. Robbie says:

    Great job, Virginia Republicans. Great job.

    Patrick Healy
    @patrickhealynyt

    Corey Stewart does not accept that slavery was at the heart of the Civil War. “We can debate about the causes of the Civil War….But the causes of it were much more complex” than only slavery.

  596. lisab says:

    ‘Uneducated’ People Voted For Trump “I don’t think a lot of people was educated” lebron james

  597. jason says:

    “Congressional investigators know that Christopher Steele, the former British spy who compiled the Trump dossier on behalf of the Clinton campaign, kept supplying allegations to the FBI after the 2016 election — and even after he was terminated as a source by the bureau for giving confidential information to the media.

    Because he had broken his agreement with the FBI, bureau procedure did not allow agents to keep using Steele as a source. But they did so anyway — by devising a system in which Steele spoke regularly with Bruce Ohr, a top Obama Justice Department official whose wife worked for Fusion GPS, which hired Steele to search for dirt on Donald Trump in Russia. Ohr then passed on Steele’s information to the FBI.

    In a highly unusual arrangement, Ohr, who was the fourth-highest ranking official in the Justice Department, acted as an intermediary for a terminated source for the FBI’s Trump-Russia probe. His task was to deliver to the FBI what Steele told him, which effectively meant the bureau kept Steele as a source.”

    However, Amoral Scumbag is just outraged, I tell you, outraged that Trump doesn’t take attacks from celebrity scumbags lying down.

  598. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    August 4, 2018 at 10:23 pm
    Damn right Trump could win again – especially if Democrats nominate a dufus like Corey Booker or the hateful b*tch Kamila Harris who promises to make America California. Yeah, that should play well in Florida, NC, and the rust belt.

    – With a 42% or 43% approval rating? No, he can’t. If Trump is re-nominated, he’s going to have improve his standing with the public. If he gets his approval rating up towards 47% or so as Obama did late in the 2012 campaign, he can win. If he can’t, it likely won’t matter who his opponent is.

  599. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    August 5, 2018 at 10:14 am
    Why aren’t Mueller and the 17 Angry Democrats looking at the meetings concerning the Fake Dossier
    ——————–
    have you not met robbie? they are called democrat tears

    – So lisab has gone from claiming I was gay and anti-semitic last year to claiming I’m a Democrat now simply because I don’t support Trump. Got it.

  600. jason says:

    Jason fraud, who’s little more than a Tea Party deadender now,”

    The points just keep rolling in….

  601. lisab says:

    you are anti-semetic?!

  602. jason says:

    “remember, now matter how much you cry like a whiny little b!tch, trump is still the president”

    “you are an old wretch of a woman”

    lisab 1 x Amoral Scumbag 0

  603. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag is a “Republican” who wants the GOP to lose the house and senate to avenge the fact his “clear the field, front running juggernaut” candidate got his ass kicked by Trump.

    Got it.

  604. lisab says:

    if the gop loses the house

    i expect impeachment will happen shortly after

  605. Wobbles says:

    lisab says:
    August 5, 2018 at 10:29 am

    you are anti-semetic?!”

    Whatever it takes to damage Trump.

  606. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 5, 2018 at 10:20 am
    “Congressional investigators know that Christopher Steele, the former British spy who compiled the Trump dossier on behalf of the Clinton campaign, kept supplying allegations to the FBI after the 2016 election — and even after he was terminated as a source by the bureau for giving confidential information to the media.
    Because he had broken his agreement with the FBI, bureau procedure did not allow agents to keep using Steele as a source. But they did so anyway — by devising a system in which Steele spoke regularly with Bruce Ohr, a top Obama Justice Department official whose wife worked for Fusion GPS, which hired Steele to search for dirt on Donald Trump in Russia. Ohr then passed on Steele’s information to the FBI.
    In a highly unusual arrangement, Ohr, who was the fourth-highest ranking official in the Justice Department, acted as an intermediary for a terminated source for the FBI’s Trump-Russia probe. His task was to deliver to the FBI what Steele told him, which effectively meant the bureau kept Steele as a source.”
    However, Amoral Scumbag is just outraged, I tell you, outraged that Trump doesn’t take attacks from celebrity scumbags lying down.

    – Let me explain the difference between the two cases to Jason fraud, a Trump low information voter.

    Trump and Donnie Jr. may well have attempted to accept direct help from a hostile foreign government (we don’t know that for sure). In other words, from Putin through his spy services. Remember, Wikileaks has been identified by American intelligence as an
    asset of the GRU.

    Steele was a British citizen who was hired by a private group to investigate Trump’s possible ties to Russia. Steele was not working for the British government or any other government. Or is the implication Mollie Hemingway of the Federalist, Kim Strassel of the WSJ, and Byron York of the Examiner that David Cameron and Teresa May were looking to collude with Hillary Clinton to help her win? If so, I haven’t seen that yet, although I’m sure they’ll try and make the case if they think it helps Trump.

    If you don’t see the difference, which I’m sure you will argue, then should Trump be in trouble for accepting campaign advice from Nigel Farrage, a British citizen and former leader of the UKIP party?

  607. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 5, 2018 at 10:32 am
    Amoral Scumbag is a “Republican” who wants the GOP to lose the house and senate to avenge the fact his “clear the field, front running juggernaut” candidate got his ass kicked by Trump.
    Got it.

    – This is so laughably stupid, it could only come from someone who opposed Trump every day of the campaign, refused to vote for Trump, left the party over Trump and yet now defends Trump simply because he won with a R next to his name.

  608. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    August 5, 2018 at 10:36 am
    if the gop loses the house
    i expect impeachment will happen shortly after

    – Impeachment won’t happen. Why? If Democrats impeach Trump, it’s highly likely Republicans will choose not re-nominate an impeached president for re-election. It would be something close to political suicide.

    Trump is just about the only Republican the Democrats can beat in 2020. They want to do everything they can to ensure he’s the nominee because they realize Mike Pence or Nikki Haley would be almost impossible to beat in 2020 since Haley, especially, would reunite the party and win over large swaths of Independent voters.

  609. Redmen4ever says:

    a further comment on New Mexico:

    The LP nominee for U.S. Senator withdraw, allowing the LP to replace him. The LP has offered Johnson its nomination, and he says he is considering it. He has two weeks.

  610. Robbie says:

    In my Colonel Jessup voice, “You’re d@mn right I ordered the code red!”

    Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump

    Fake News reporting, a complete fabrication, that I am concerned about the meeting my wonderful son, Donald, had in Trump Tower. This was a meeting to get information on an opponent, totally legal and done all the time in politics – and it went nowhere. I did not know about it!

  611. jason says:

    No wonder Jason fraud hates Jeb”

    LOL. Maybe Amoral Scumbag could find a post where I ever said I hated Jeb?

    Even though I opposed his candidacy for President because not only was he the wrong man for the times, was woefully unprepared and was also a certain loser, I always made clear I thought he was a fine man with a fine family and an asset to the Party.

    But you do get the “Chutzpah Award of the Year” accusing others of “hating” anyone.

  612. jason says:

    left the party over Trump and yet now defends Trump simply because he won with a R next to his name.”

    Amoral Scumbag is too stupid to realize that if I never called Trump a Republican and am no longer a Republican myself, why would I care if Trump has an R after his name?

    I love this place.

  613. lisab says:

    the dems have already tried to impeach trump and 58 dems voted for it

    if they win the house i expect it will be front and center

    “Among Democrats, 126 voted to table the articles of impeachment, 58 voted against tabling the articles of impeachment, four voted “present” and five did not vote”

  614. jason says:

    and it went nowhere.”

    And of course, that is what is relevant.

    There is not one shred of evidence that there was ever any quid pro quo, that anybody in the Trump campaign gave anything away in exchange for information, or that information was even provided let alone used against Hillary. Nada, zilch, zero.

    The Dems were actively paying a foreign agent to dig up dirt on Trump, how does that compare to the “meeting” at Trump Tower?

  615. Phil says:

    So Robbie thinks Kamala Harris would beat Trump. He obviously hasn’t seen the woman perform in congressional hearings. She is an absolute left wing, open border, nut…..plus the woman is just flat out mean – makes Hillary look likable.

    …..but then Robbie has never met a Democrat yet he didn’t think was unbeatable at the polls.

  616. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    August 5, 2018 at 11:03 am
    So Robbie thinks Kamala Harris would beat Trump. He obviously hasn’t seen the woman perform in congressional hearings. She is an absolute left wing, open border, nut…..plus the woman is just flat out mean – makes Hillary look likable.
    …..but then Robbie has never met a Democrat yet he didn’t think was unbeatable at the polls.

    – If Trump’s approval rating remains in the low 40’s, yes, I believe Harris, Warren, Biden, and others can, and probably would, beat Trump. You can toss around “open borders” or whatever, but the single most important topic in the 2020 race will be Trump, if for no other reason, because Trump will make sure he’s the most important topic.

    As far as your last point, I thought Hillary Clinton was extremely beatable and said so during the 2016 process. I just didn’t think Trump could beat her and that was the widely held consensus in this forum as well.

  617. jason says:

    I see Amoral Scumbag is lying his head off.

    Trump and Donnie Jr. may well have attempted to accept direct help from a hostile foreign government (we don’t know that for sure). In other words, from Putin through his spy services. Remember, Wikileaks has been identified by American intelligence as an
    asset of the GRU.”

    This is all lies. None of the people at the meeting were identified as “hostile foreign government”. “Attempted to accept direct help” LOL. You are right, there is no evidence whatsoever of that. And of course, there is zero evidence Wikileaks had ANYTHING to do with that meeting, that is a complete fabrication on your part, typical of a lying Amoral Scumbag.

    “Steele was a British citizen who was hired by a private group”

    Another lie. The Clinton Campaign and the DNC are a private group?

    WAPO, a favorite of Amoral Scumbag for left wing news:

    “The Hillary Clinton campaign and the Democratic National Committee helped fund research that resulted in a now-famous dossier containing allegations about President Trump’s connections to Russia and possible coordination between his campaign and the Kremlin, people familiar with the matter said.

    Marc E. Elias, a lawyer representing the Clinton campaign and the DNC, retained Fusion GPS, a Washington firm, to conduct the research.

    After that, Fusion GPS hired dossier author Christopher Steele, a former British intelligence officer with ties to the FBI and the U.S. intelligence community, according to those people, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.”

    IBD:

    “Steele was paid $160,000 to create the Trump dossier for Fusion GPS. The Hillary Clinton presidential campaign and Democratic National Committee financed the work. So the FBI and Justice Department used opposition research from a presidential campaign to launch an investigation into that campaign’s political opponent — a likely illegal use of federal government surveillance for political purposes.”

  618. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    August 5, 2018 at 11:03 am
    So Robbie thinks Kamala Harris would beat Trump. He obviously hasn’t seen the woman perform in congressional hearings. She is an absolute left wing, open border, nut…..plus the woman is just flat out mean – makes Hillary look likable.
    …..but then Robbie has never met a Democrat yet he didn’t think was unbeatable at the polls.

    – Also, Phil. I think Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, John Kasich, Mitt Romney, and several others would easily defeat any of the top Democrats thinking about running for president in 2020.

    Collectively, the group of Democrats considering presidential runs are extremely weak, but they would each greatly benefit from running against a president whose approval rating can barely break the 43% average at RCP.

  619. jason says:

    According to Amoral Scumbag, now intent on defending the Clinton Campaign and the DNC, this is just your run of the mill “private citizen”.

    “Christopher Steele, a former British intelligence officer with ties to the FBI and the U.S. intelligence community”

  620. Phil says:

    Robbie, just because open borders is no biggie to you don’t presume that the abolish ICE message plays anywhere outside of the nutty west coast. It’s a loser, but Democrats can’t help themselves.

  621. Tina says:

    The muh Russian hoaxer is back at it. After claiming all this time, there was no collusion.

  622. Tina says:

    Let the Drats run on abolishing ICE.

    ICE – Nazis.

    Please do it.

  623. Robbie says:

    First, Donnie Jr. took the meeting on the premise the Russian government was prepared to offer him dirt on Clinton. To quote Donnie Jr., “If it’s what you say, I love it.” But even if you think the meeting was fine, why was Trump’s first instinct to lie about and claim it was a meeting about adoption?

    Second, I think Jason fraud needs a refresher on what constitutes government vs. private. Yes, the DNC and the Clinton campaign were private operations. They were not government agencies just as the RNC or the Trump campaign were not government agencies.

    Government agencies are not political campaigns or groups like Fusion GPS. They are the post office, the Labor Department, HUD, NASA, the Air Force, and so on and so forth.

  624. Tina says:

    Can anybody explain why Natalia, in the trump tower meeting got the following

    A special visa to get into the country,

    Met with Steele before and after the trump jr meeting.

    Is photographed with McFail, obumbler ambassador to Russia?

  625. Phil says:

    Kamala and Elizabeth won’t be able to help themselves, Tina.

  626. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    August 5, 2018 at 11:23 am
    Robbie, just because open borders is no biggie to you don’t presume that the abolish ICE message plays anywhere outside of the nutty west coast. It’s a loser, but Democrats can’t help themselves.

    – You’re missing my point. If Trump is re-nominated and has a 42% or 43% approval rating on election day, it won’t matter what catch phrases are used against the Democrat nominee. Just go back to 1992. Clinton was a draft dodger who smoked pot and had multiple affairs. None of it mattered because GHWB was unpopular and the country was ready for a change.

  627. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 5, 2018 at 11:30 am
    Can anybody explain why Natalia, in the trump tower meeting got the following
    A special visa to get into the country,
    Met with Steele before and after the trump jr meeting.
    Is photographed with McFail, obumbler ambassador to Russia?

    – Can someone explain to me QAnon?

  628. Tina says:

    Jim Acosta, the king of fake news.

    Claimed he was threatened by grannies at a trump rally.

    Even though he was caught talking selfies at the same rally.

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2018/08/crybaby-jim-acosta-reportedly-feared-for-his-life-at-trump-rally-but-video-shows-him-posing-for-selfies-with-trump-supporters/

  629. Tina says:

    natalia met with Simpson of fusion gps fame aka fake dossier.

    She met with him before the trump,tower meeting and then after it.

    Why?

  630. Phil says:

    I can’t wait to see the Democratic candidates race even further to the left to capture the Democratic nomination – in full view of the electorate. Ought to really help in the GE.

  631. Tina says:

    Notice the unit will not answer why she got the special visa to get in the country and why she met with Simpson before and after the trump jr meeting.

  632. Tina says:

    They are running on abolishing Ice, Phil.

    They are open borders.

    No,wonder polling looks sheotty for the jebots

  633. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    August 5, 2018 at 11:35 am
    I can’t wait to see the Democratic candidates race even further to the left to capture the Democratic nomination – in full view of the electorate. Ought to really help in the GE.

    – But didn’t many people think the coalition Obama used in the 2008 primary would hurt him in the general election?

  634. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 5, 2018 at 11:36 am
    Notice the unit will not answer why she got the special visa to get in the country and why she met with Simpson before and after the trump jr meeting.

    – Notice the mental ward patient will not answer who and what QAnon is.

  635. Tina says:

    Which coup plotter got Natalia the special visa to enter?

    Which coup plotter ordered her to trump tower.

    Once in, “the wires being tapped” began.

    Notice too how Rodgers moves the transition team out of trump tower and into trumps no golf course.

  636. Phil says:

    Robbie, Trump’s approval numbers were in the toilet on Election Day. He won. The economy in 1992 was absolutely crap. If it’s even close to what it is today Trump’s personal approval won’t matter next to a Harris or Warren. They are just as dreadful a candidate as was Hillary.

    As far as Bill in 92, in spite of his baggage he was perceived as a centrist. kamala and Elizabeth are moonbats and primary season will leave no doubt about that.

  637. Tina says:

    Kampala is known,m she is not hiding or even trying to hide her leftist leaning,

    She hates cops and is for open borders.

    Please be the candidate.

    We will win by 320 plus Evs.

  638. Phil says:

    I do agree that Trump is a historically a weak political candidate and would be in big trouble against a Biden type candidate who could win the traditional working class Democratic voters. Fortunately, Harris and Warren are a terrible fit there. They are who they are.

  639. Phil says:

    I would encourage anyone to watch Kamala in action in a multitude of congressional hearings. They are readily available on You Tube. In addition to her leftist drivel she is a hateful bully. Go watch her. She’s a complete b*tch.

  640. Tina says:

    I think Kamela is a centrist.

    Jebot

  641. Tina says:

    JUST IN: @SenFeinstein confirms she was notified by authorities in 2013 that Chinese spy infiltrated her inner circle, unlike Trump campaign where FBI launched anti-Trump investigations instead of notifying President Trump

  642. Phil says:

    One other thing to keep an eye on. Polls now showing Trump polling in the high 20s with black voters. That can easily translate to 13 to 16 percent on Election Day. Something to keep an eye on. That’s almost double what Trump got in 2016.

  643. Tina says:

    Phil, also at 90 percent among Rs.

    He had what 78 on Election Day,

  644. NYCmike says:

    Another day which ends with a “y”, another day for Robbie to be freaking out.

    Also, What is Qanon, and why does #HookLineAndSinker keep asking about it?

  645. Tina says:

    Q whatever eats at pizza port.

  646. jason says:

    If Trump is re-nominated and has a 42% or 43% approval rating on election day, it won’t matter”

    Amoral Scumbag keeps repeating this BS as it was somehow significant.

    It could be, or maybe not. The idea that the opponent doesn’t matter is wishful thinking by Amoral Scumbag and his fellow Democrats. Yes, its time for Amoral Scumbag to stop pretending he is not a Democrat. Does anyone here actually believe he is a Republican? I used to give him the benefit of the doubt, no longer.

    The opponent matters. We know this with Trump. Large majorities of Americans thought he was not qualified for the office, that he didn’t have the temperament to be President, even that he was not honest and trustworthy.

    Yet he won, because Hillary was the opponent.

    So Trump could certainly win with an approval rating of 43% against a Marxist like Kamala Harris.

    Would he win with 43% against an opponent with high approval ratings? Probably not.

  647. lisab says:

    i don’t see how anyone can make a good prediction until the scotus nominee’s hearings take place

    if the dems stop kavanaugh, the gop will be in very bad shape

    if they don’t, the dems will likely be in very bad shape … at least there will be big rifts in the party

  648. lisab says:

    The Obamas are worth 30 times more than when they entered the White House in 2008.

  649. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    675. “https://www.wsj.com/articles/anarchy-breaks-out-in-portland-with-the-mayors-blessing-1533331454 Good lord.”

    There is a reason the Republican is looking competitive in the Oregon governor’s race.

  650. Bitterlaw says:

    I think Robbie is a gloomy Republican. Idonot belive Trump is a Republican. It doesn’t really matter since Trump is President now.

  651. Cash Cow TM says:

    Bitter,

    Some Rs voice their thoughts such as, Trump is terrible, but he he is not as terrible s Hillary would have been.

    And also think “Yeah, Trump is a blooming idiot, but he is our blooming idiot.

  652. Cash Cow TM says:

    Also, my good friends Charlie Hoarse and Al Fresco report that the far left protestors want to ban PIZZA!
    ******************************************
    They say they were chanting
    “No justice, No pizza!”
    *****************************************
    WTF?
    Those far lefties are cray-cray!

  653. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    London has strict gun control, but gangs and thugs do not seem to be deterred from killing people — for a while it had a higher murder rate than NYC.

    “But there is reason to worry, after a brutal night in south London that saw three stabbings yesterday, one of them fatal. The 23-year-old victim, a rapper, died in a street in Camberwell — the same one in which another musician and a friend of his was shot dead in May. Ms Dick is right to point out that we should look at overall trends as well as individual incidents — and the moment when London’s murder rate exceeded that in New York seems to have passed. But that’s not reassuring when almost 90 people have been murdered so far this year.”

  654. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    681. “I think Robbie is a gloomy Republican. I do not belive Trump is a Republican. It doesn’t really matter since Trump is President now.”

    Sorry Bitter, but cannot agree with you. Robbie constantly is quoting liberal Democrats, and as lisab showed — he has not supported a Republican presidential candidate. If he is not a Democrat, he should be.

  655. janz says:

    #679 Tina, if true, that is the best news of the month, IMO. So many people have been asking Trump to declassify the FISA docs, just for clarification, if nothing else. I hope he proceeds to follow through on this.

  656. Tina says:

    janz.

    They will threaten him not to. This will come from the jebots, flapper, clapper, comrade, Schiff the Russian stooge, and aome senators from the unintelligence committee, the most corrupt committee in Congress.

  657. Tina says:

    Looks like rottie fell for the latest fake news story, about trump admitting that his son sought out information to harm Hillary. I also noted the same never trumpets make the same mistake.

    Check the presidents tweet from 7/11/17.

  658. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    It appears the police response to the Las Vegas shooting was much the same as with the Pulse Nightclub and Parkland High School — the police stayed outside waiting for the shooting to end.
    “LAS VEGAS — A veteran police officer said he froze in a Las Vegas hotel hallway while a gunman fired on an outdoor concert crowd in the deadliest mass shooting in the nation’s modern history. Officer Cordell Hendrex’s actions are prompting a review of whether lives could have been saved if officers had acted faster to stop the shooting.
    Three police tactics experts said they understood Hendrex hesitating as he led a trainee and three Mandalay Bay hotel security guards toward the sound of rapid gunfire Oct. 1.
    “We teach officers to respond directly to the active killing. Every second that it continues to go on, more lives are at risk,” said J. Pete Blair, a criminal justice professor and director of the Advanced Law Enforcement Rapid Response Training center at Texas State University. “But we don’t expect them to take unnecessary risks.”
    Carla Alston, spokeswoman for Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo, issued a statement last week saying that every officer’s actions during the massacre were being evaluated by the department.
    Hendrex acknowledged being “terrified with fear” in a written police report submitted Oct. 7 and made public May 23 by the Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department under court order.
    “I froze right there in the middle of the hall for how long I can’t say,” he wrote.”

    It appears Hendrex & three other officers waited “frozen in fear” for several minutes on the floor below the shooter, then went and waited in the elevator shaft for another 15 minutes. The shooting ended when the mass shooter committed suicide in his room.

    Meanwhile David Hogg protested at the NRA Convention. He had armed security. He is not going to be able to afford it later in life, so would strongly recommend he start going to the shooting range, and learn how to defend himself properly.

  659. Tina says:

    What will,be th muh issue today from the Jebot?

  660. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Wes, mnw, Robbie, NYMike,Michael,Mr. Vito Phil etc
    You are the numbers’ crunchers on HHR.
    What do you make of the early voting in OH CD-12 through Friday? These are actual figures:
    1- Mail_in
    a) about 12,500 Democrat early absentee mail- in requests of which about 10,500 have been submitted, an 84% return.
    b) about 10,700 Republican absentee early mail-in requests, of which 7,800 have been cast, a 73% return.
    c) In-person early voting is low and there are no “real” figures to report, but, in total, they will amount to about 7,000 votes (when all is said and done)throughout the District.In Franklin County, the sole County where some of these voter receipts have been released, they are running 80/20 for the Donkeys.
    The reason why this category of votes is so paltry results in there being only one early voting location per County and most of the Counties in this District are very large area- wise, so folks vote on election day because their voting precincts are nearby. The early voting place in Franklin County is in the middle of Columbus, so few Republicans take advantage.
    c) in the recent primaries, the total ballots cast were about 110,000, of which the GOP vote was app. 65,000 and the Dem. total about 45,000
    d) in the recent primaries, the total votes cast early were in the 25,000 range of which the GOP vote was about 6% higher than the Dem. vote.
    Currently, the Donkey early vote is about 14% more than the Republican vote.
    The above data is somewhat concerning. It clearly shows that Democrat voters are enthused. But are their early votes cannabalizing their election day vote?
    If the GOP vote on election day is robust, Balderson(R) should be fine. If not, Katie-Bar-The-Door!
    The Donald was correct in visiting the District on Saturday since he must shake the conservative base from its complacency. Of course, Ohio Gov. Kasich(R) vomited all over the Presidential visit by claiming yesterday on the ABC Talking Head Show that Balderson did not want Trump in the District. What a guy(sarc.)!

    Nate Silver(or is it Nat Cohen) says to ignore the early voting data since it means little based on the small number of votes cast to date.

    What are your thoughts?

  661. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    An Emerson College poll of the #OH12 special election finds Danny O’Connor (D) leading Troy Balderson (R) by 1 pt. In case you couldn’t tell already, this race is a Tossup. (The fact that there’s a competitive race in a R+14 seat is very good for Dems).

  662. mnw says:

    Henry Olsen at American Greatness suggests that the RNC decided to pursue a plain vanilla, rope-a-dope TV ad campaign in OH-12.

  663. Wes says:

    Republicans might want to put a tad more effort into winning OH-12.

  664. Wes says:

    To be fair, the press didn’t cause the Iraq War. GWB lied us into it. Even so, Trump has a point about the power of propaganda to start armed conflicts:

    http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/400433-trump-attacks-reporters-as-enemy-of-the-people-says-they-cause-wars

  665. Wes says:

    I don’t think Trump is at his best when he acts like a paranoiac:

    The Fake News hates me saying that they are the Enemy of the People only because they know it’s TRUE. I am providing a great service by explaining this to the American People. They purposely cause great division & distrust. They can also cause War! They are very dangerous & sick!

  666. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #693
    Two(2) interesting data points in the Emerson Poll. To wit: (1) it has 20% of the vote as “minorities”. Monmouth was less than 10% and(2) it has O’Connor(D) carrying Delaware County by a pt., whereas Monmouth has Balderson(R) +9 in Delaware County.
    The poll concluded prior to The Donald’s Saturday visit to Delaware County.
    The actual percentages are O’Connor 47.8 and Balderson 47.3.
    So who knows, but it will be a nail-biter.

  667. Wes says:

    This is why Trump has a realistic shot at reelection:

    https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/05/democrats-2020-presidential-fight-netroots-762479

    Dems have become the Green Party writ large–i e, a gaggle of lunatics saying absolutely insane things. Republicans have their version of this in the Tea Party, but mainline Republicans tend to regard the Tea Party as a psychopathic, megalomaniac fringe group whereas the Dems are actively embracing the extremes of their party.

  668. Diamond Jim says:

    DCC

  669. dblaikie says:

    Bogus college poll. To start with District 12 has close to 90% white vote. Democratic strength will be in Franklin County. If the dem. is ahead in Delaware then you are talking about a blow out. Both polls are suspect but the Emerson poll is downright phony meant to cause angst.

  670. Phil says:

    Speaking of Democrats saying insane things, Wes – there was a Democratic spokesman on one of the cable networks this weekend that was saying just that. She was arguing that 3.9 million off of food stamps since Trump took office was a bad thing. Yeah, according to her it was an indicator of Trump’s lack of compassion.

    You can’t make this crap up.

  671. Wes says:

    I guess she never thought fewer people may be on welfare because they don’t need it, Phil.

  672. DW says:

    Ocasio-Cortez responds:

    “3.9 millions denied food by the Trump Administration is our modern day holocaust. When I get to congress I can assure you that everyone will have free food, free education, free healthcare, free child-care, free smartphones, free concert tickets, free passes to the nearest amusement park, free public transportation, and free natural gas, water, and electricity. That’s the joy of controlling the US treasury. We can just spend whatever we want to without every worrying about running out of money.”

  673. mnw says:

    I don’t have any idea what will happen in OH-12. The DEM seems to have momentum, altho Sheep’s points in 698 are useful.

    However, THIS I DO know! Emerson opined appx 24 hours before the polls opened in AL, “At this point, Jones (D) has no realistic path to victory.”

    Emerson sux. Emerson has always sukked. The toupees regard Emerson as krap also.

  674. Wes says:

    Keep in mind this is a Dem poll:

    https://www.scribd.com/document/385563989/AK-AL-Lake-Research-Partners-for-Alyse-Galvin-I-June-2018

    I’m not sure about the reliability as Young has frequently had ups and downs with the AK electorate on his way to becoming Dean of the US House of Representatives. That said, Young has only ever run behind a Dem once–in 1972 when Nick Begich disappeared along with LA’s Hale Boggs, triggering a sympathy vote among Alaskans for Begich. Young subsequently won the special election to fill the vacant seat and has held it ever since, though he occasionally has close races and a few times has fallen below 50%. Even so, I doubt Young is in serious danger of losing his seat.

  675. Robbie says:

    And Republicans just lost the Kansas governor’s race. MAGA!

    Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump

    Kris Kobach, a strong and early supporter of mine, is running for Governor of the Great State of Kansas. He is a fantastic guy who loves his State and our Country – he will be a GREAT Governor and has my full & total Endorsement! Strong on Crime, Border & Military. VOTE TUESDAY!

  676. NYCmike says:

    http://www.kwch.com/content/news/Meet-the-2018-candidates-for-Kansas-governor-472183533.html

    “Independent
    Richard Kloos
    Greg Orman”

    -Maybe Greg Orman will win, and caucus with the Republicans?/

  677. NYCmike says:

    From that article:

    Republican
    Jim Barnett
    Jeff Colyer
    Kris Kobach
    Ken Selzer
    Patrick Kucera
    Tyler Ruzich
    Dominic Scavuzzo

  678. NYCmike says:

    https://www.kansascity.com/opinion/editorials/article216029370.html

    -Jim Barnett? Will the Republicans also lose the Governor’s race if he wins the primary?

  679. NYCmike says:

    https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/08/its_time_to_hold_democrats_responsible_for_chicagos_violence.html

    -And, in other news that Robbie does NOT give a cr*p about, more minority youths were gunned down in Chicago over the weekend….

  680. Wes says:

    Mikey isn’t content to root for Dems to win Senate races so Schumer can become Senate Majority Leader:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 12:15 pm

    http://www.kwch.com/content/news/Meet-the-2018-candidates-for-Kansas-governor-472183533.html

    “Independent
    Richard Kloos
    Greg Orman”

    -Maybe Greg Orman will win, and caucus with the Republicans?/

    Now he has to want Dems to pick off governorships by using faux Indies too.

  681. DW says:

    Ocasio-Cortez clarifies her comments:

    “And if after a few years the general public gets tired of the government giving them everything for free, we could go ahead and flip over to a dictatorship so kangaroo court tribunals can be held to determine the fate of the rich who never did pay their fair share.”

    Ocasio-Cortez responds:
    “3.9 millions denied food by the Trump Administration is our modern day holocaust. When I get to congress I can assure you that everyone will have free food, free education, free healthcare, free child-care, free smartphones, free concert tickets, free passes to the nearest amusement park, free public transportation, and free natural gas, water, and electricity. That’s the joy of controlling the US treasury. We can just spend whatever we want to without every worrying about running out of money.”

  682. mnw says:

    RE: KS Gov:

    If the KC Star (“the Scar”) endorses somebody in the GOP primary, then actual Republican voters should regard that as a net negative, imo.

  683. Wes says:

    Kobach is an up-and-down pol. He was Dennis Moore’s opponent in 2004 and started Moore on a string of double-digit victories with his incompetent campaign. He became SoS in the wave year of 2010 but was on his way to defeat (along with Brownback) before Dems overreached and targeted Roberts as well, triggering a herding of Republicans to their candidates.

    He’s a bit too much of a socon for my tastes but has been reasonably competent as SoS.

    Honestly I have to say I have mixed feelings about his potential primary win and tenure as Governor. Brownback was a fine Senator but a poor Governor. It’s unclear if Kobach would be better.

  684. Wes says:

    RRH is fantasizing about how Kobach can make the 2020 KS Senate race competitive:

    election brown August 6, 2018 at 12:26 pm | In reply to Boehnerwasright

    Another problem could be if Kobach actually wins… I don’t know how the political dynamics of the state could change under 12 years of Republican mismanagement. I would be pretty surprised if Kobach could actually be a good governor… I wouldn’t trust him to manage anything. Could make the 2020 senate race competitive again.

    He strikes me as incompetent.

    In the end, 2014 wasn’t all that competitive as Roberts beat Orman 53-42 (though this was off the normal blowouts Roberts enjoyed from 1996 to 2008). Kansas is basically the GOP’s New Jersey:

    It will frequently elect Governors from the minority party in the state but considers Senators to be a bridge too far. Trump would have to lose reelection in a landslide for Dems to have any hope of capturing that seat in two years. Even then, they’d more likely come up short.

  685. Wes says:

    Phil says:
    August 5, 2018 at 11:44 am

    Robbie, Trump’s approval numbers were in the toilet on Election Day. He won. The economy in 1992 was absolutely crap. If it’s even close to what it is today Trump’s personal approval won’t matter next to a Harris or Warren. They are just as dreadful a candidate as was Hillary.

    As far as Bill in 92, in spite of his baggage he was perceived as a centrist. kamala and Elizabeth are moonbats and primary season will leave no doubt about that.

    One caution I would advise about this comparison, Phil, is that Trump is the incumbent President now. His favorables mattered less in a race where he and his opponent were both non-incumbents. That means if he is unpopular in two years, the election will be a referendum on him. That means the Harry Reid 2010 strategy of making his opponent an even more hated entity than himself would be his only path to reelection.

  686. Wes says:

    Can someone explain this gobbledygook from RRH to me?

    VastBlightKingConspiracy August 6, 2018 at 1:30 pm

    You know, at this point and depending on the competition, I could see myself backing Kim Kardashian in a presidential primary. That being said, I think the article has the exact opposite take of modern America. It’s far easier to become rich or famous than to have traditionally-valued things (a happy family, community, etc.), because you in theory can earn the former and you basically have to be born into the latter. Kardashian actually seems to have a far better family/community life than the vast majority of Americans. Thus Kardashians being plural.

    I’ve grown to detest few things as much as the sanctimonious lecturing that the most privileged people in America imaginable (the intersection of being born into both material and spiritual wealth, ala Ben Sasse and Jeff Flake and the rest of the “upscale religious right”) spew at everyone else. I’d gladly vote for Kim Kardashian over that type.

    Also, in terms of cultural elites, I’d rather have kids that looked up to Kylie Jenner than looked up to the NYT editorial board (ala Sarah Jeong).
    I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

  687. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    This is the second article I have recently read about the Rhode Island Senate race becoming competitive. Does anyone agree with the author’s sentiment?

    https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/08/rhode_island_senate_race_may_be_in_play_as_media_and_political_pros_oblivious.html

  688. Chicon says:

    Interesting article, Sheep. I was going to ask Wes about his thoughts regarding the predictive value of the normal indicators in this Trump era. The article about RI talked about the party becoming the anti-elite party. Wondering what people think about whether a realignment is happening.

  689. NYCmike says:

    The American Thinker also had a piece on that Kansas Gorvernor’s primary, and the last line sounds like it is directed at Robbie-types:

    https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/08/bob_dole_puzzles_kansas_conservatives_prior_to_primary.html

    “Establishment Republicans like Bob Dole now seem more concerned with defeating Kris Kobach than with ensuring that Kansas has a stalwart conservative as its governor.”

  690. NYCmike says:

    I don’t think that Rhode Island, or Connecticut, will go Republican, but they will be closer elections than last time.

  691. NYCmike says:

    http://dailycaller.com/2018/08/06/charlie-kirk-candace-owens-attacked-by-leftist-mob/

    -This says Philly…….Bitterlaw, this is where you want to work??

  692. NYCmike says:

    https://www.dailywire.com/news/34093/illinois-celebrates-barack-obama-day-53-wounded-ashe-schow

    -Barack Obama Day…….for some reason, Robbie and “CG” did not attend……

  693. DW says:

    From RRH:

    A Buffalo man, Carlos Bayon, has been charged with threatening two GOP members of Congress, Scalise of La and McMorris Rodgers of Wash. His Buffalo residence has been raided, and 200 rounds of ammunition and a book on how to make bombs were found on site.

  694. NYCmike says:

    Candace Owens
    ?Verified account @RealCandaceO
    Aug 4

    I disagree, vehemently, with what @realDonaldTrump said last night.
    @donlemon is NOT the dumbest man on television.
    Joe Scarborough is.

    Joe has worked hard for that title and I REFUSE to let the the president strip him of that status.

  695. Robbie says:

    What’s going to be the excuse from the Trumpers if the Republican loses? He wasn’t Trumpy enough? The #nevertrump movement sabotaged him? The deep state stuffed the ballot box?

    Obviously, it won’t be the correct answer Trump is a lead weight around the necks of Republican candidates.

    Steve Kornacki
    @SteveKornacki

    OH-12 special election poll (Emerson)

    O’Connnor (D) 47%
    Balderson (R) 46%

  696. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 12:32 pm
    https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/08/its_time_to_hold_democrats_responsible_for_chicagos_violence.html
    -And, in other news that Robbie does NOT give a cr*p about, more minority youths were gunned down in Chicago over the weekend….

    – And in other news, NYCmike doesn’t care one bit about the president of the United States repeatedly lying about every single thing he does.

  697. Chicon says:

    730 – thanks for the update.

  698. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    August 6, 2018 at 1:23 pm
    One caution I would advise about this comparison, Phil, is that Trump is the incumbent President now. His favorables mattered less in a race where he and his opponent were both non-incumbents. That means if he is unpopular in two years, the election will be a referendum on him. That means the Harry Reid 2010 strategy of making his opponent an even more hated entity than himself would be his only path to reelection.

    – This is the point I have been making since February 2017. Trump’s favorability rating in the 2016 campaign doesn’t matter one bit anymore. He is the president now and the people are judging him on the actual job he is doing as president. It’s no longer a prospective view about the type of president he could be as it was in 2016.

    As for the second point, Reid was only able to win in 2010 because NYCmike and his buddies helped nominate the only candidate who could lose that race, Sharron Angle. And oh by the way, she was a certifiable nut. Reid didn’t have to do much to convince the voters of that. He just had to let Angle talk.

    Regardless, anyone who thinks Warren, Biden, Harris, Patrick, or any of the myriad of other Democrats who are considering the race are as certifiably nutty as Angle, they haven’t been paying close attention. It wasn’t Angle’s views that sunk her in 2010. It was her behavior and loopiness.

  699. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    August 6, 2018 at 2:54 pm
    I was going to ask Wes about his thoughts regarding the predictive value of the normal indicators in this Trump era

    – I get a kick out of those who think Trump is a political unicorn and normal rules of politics don’t apply to him. His approval rating is barely north of 40 and his party is on track to suffer a MAJOR defeat in November. It seems to me the normal rules of politics are working just as we might expect. In other words, Trump’s unpopularity is weighing down those in his party just as we might expect.

    Just because Trump narrowly defeated in the electoral college one of the most unpopular national candidates we seen in decades doesn’t mean the rules no longer apply to him.

  700. Todd McCain says:

    Here is what I know….Saccone was down 4-6 points the weekend before the election and Trump went there for a rally…Saccone lost by 600 votes; .02%.

    The poll you mentioned states that it was taken BEFORE the Trump rally.

    I think this will be an ugly Balderson win.

  701. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 3:23 pm
    The American Thinker also had a piece on that Kansas Gorvernor’s primary, and the last line sounds like it is directed at Robbie-types:
    https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/08/bob_dole_puzzles_kansas_conservatives_prior_to_primary.html
    “Establishment Republicans like Bob Dole now seem more concerned with defeating Kris Kobach than with ensuring that Kansas has a stalwart conservative as its governor.”

    – Kris Kobach is right up NYCmike’s ally. He’s a dead ender who is an immigration restictionist. He probably even like muh RAISE Act. How’d Kobach’s claim 3-5 million illegals voted in the 2016 election turn out?

  702. Robbie says:

    Todd McCain says:
    August 6, 2018 at 4:31 pm
    Here is what I know….Saccone was down 4-6 points the weekend before the election and Trump went there for a rally…Saccone lost by 600 votes; .02%.
    The poll you mentioned states that it was taken BEFORE the Trump rally.
    I think this will be an ugly Balderson win.

    – When your hopeful Trump can save a race that was won with 63% in 2012, 68% in 2014, and 66% in 2016, you know the atmosphere is toxic for Republicans.

    Better a win than a loss, but this is yet another flashing red light that the Republicans are facing a miserable election.

  703. Robbie says:

    Darrel Rowland
    @darreldrowland

    JUST IN
    Final early vote totals for Franklin County for special 12th Congressional District election:
    Dems – 59.5%
    GOP – 21.1%
    Unaffiliated – 18.8%

    Early in-person voting only: Dems 67%, GOP 17%, Unaffiliated 16%

  704. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #738- Robbie
    This is from Nate Cohn on August 5,2018:
    More
    “Warning (which I will repeat on Tuesday): O’Connor could win the early vote in OH-12 by like 30 points. Don’t overreact.”

    With respect to the percentages, what are the number of actual votes cast in Franklin County? If its 10,000 votes, it is inconsequential. If 30,000, then we’re talking.

  705. Todd McCain says:

    We will see what happens; those numbers aren’t great, but then again as you know the DEMS push early voting hard. Two weeks prior to 2016, we were all told that the early vote was swamping Trump……just saying.

  706. Robbie says:

    Sheeple, Jr. says:
    August 6, 2018 at 4:49 pm
    #738- Robbie
    This is from Nate Cohn on August 5,2018:
    More
    “Warning (which I will repeat on Tuesday): O’Connor could win the early vote in OH-12 by like 30 points. Don’t overreact.”

    With respect to the percentages, what are the number of actual votes cast in Franklin County? If its 10,000 votes, it is inconsequential. If 30,000, then we’re talking.

    – It’s a sign of enthusiasm. Republicans lack it badly.

    I still think the Republican can win.

  707. DW says:

    740 – Exactly. Hillary won FL and OH in the 2016 election on the strength of early voting.

  708. Chicon says:

    734 – thanks for the feedback, but it seems you didn’t get the point.

  709. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #740 and #741 Robbie and Todd

    At a 40% spread, that means that all of 13,000 votes were cast in Franklin County according to Darrell Rowland:

    More
    “Franklin County early voting in 12th congressional special put another way:
    Dems have a 5,000+ vote lead going into election day
    Nearly 8% of eligible OH12 voters in the county voted early”

    In the primaries,in total, the Dems. cast about 21,000 total votes and the Republicans 11,600 in Franklin County.

    IMHO, the 5,000 vote margin will NOT be enough to overcome the rural vote tomorrow, IF it comes out! Robbie, 13,000 early votes in the major County of the District seems kind of small, don’t you think?

    It will be a nail-biter. I agree about enthusiasm, but oftentimes the early vote cannabilizes the election day vote.

  710. NYCmike says:

    “As for the second point, Reid was only able to win in 2010 because NYCmike and his buddies helped nominate the only candidate who could lose that race, Sharron Angle.”

    -Robbie,

    Honestly, did I even say once that I support Angle over Lowden and/or Tarkanian?

    Not sure why you would discount the 40% of the Republican primary voters for Nevada who chose Angle, compared to 26% and 20% or so for Lowden and Tark.

    DO YOU OPPOSE THE PRIMARY SYSTEM?

  711. NYCmike says:

    DOOM!

  712. NYCmike says:

    http://gothamist.com/2018/08/06/two_women_arrested_for_intense_nail.php

    -Welcome to Brooklyn!

    Maybe this is why I think Robbie is such an Author-like creature, WAY TOO SENSITIVE!

  713. Waingro says:

    Rhode Island GOV poll. This would be a surprising pickup, but Fung did get within 4 points of her in 2014.

    Ted Nesi
    ?Verified account @TedNesi

    EXCLUSIVE: Raimondo 39%, Fung 37% in brand-new @wpri12/@myrwu poll

    Tune in now for @TimWhiteRI’s full breakdown

  714. Cash Cow TM says:

    fung’s 4 us!

  715. Wobbles says:

    I am rooting desperately for the Democrat to win in OH because then I can blame Trump.

    Yes, of course I am a Republican.

  716. Phil says:

    Harris and Warren are indeed nutty. Don’t kid yourself. Waaaaay out of the mainstream.

  717. Todd McCain says:

    Rosen in Nevada today got caught in another major lie; huge break for Heller.

    Dean Heller is going to win this race.

  718. NYCmike says:

    “Dean Heller is going to win this race.”

    -Is there still time for Sharron Angle to save the Republican Party from that squish?!?! /

  719. Tina says:

    Heller is surging.

    Rs are doing well in net registrations.

    Also, Schweikart seems optimistic about Arizona. He says that Rs have a 262000 party I’d advantage.

    He still prefers ward, but is warming to Mcsally.

  720. NYCmike says:

    “Rs are doing well in net registrations.”

    -The “national mood” says otherwise!!

  721. Tina says:

    Nya, I am only speaking of Arizona and heller.

  722. jason says:

    Scrappleface:

    “Donald Trump, Jr., admitted today that he met with Russians to “get dirt” on then-candidate Hillary Clinton, and “the meeting was more fruitful that if we’d waterboarded her.”

    “The Russians gave us a lot of intel on Hillary,” said the president’s son. “We learned that she was involved in shady financial and land deals in Arkansas, that as a lawyer she defended a child rapist, that she attacked women who were sexually assaulted by her husband, that she left the American consulate in Benghazi poorly guarded leading to the death of four Americans, that her family’s charitable foundation traded influence for cash, and that her party cronies secretly conspired to marginalize Bernie Sanders during the 2016 Democratic primaries.”

    The younger Trump said there was much more, but that he didn’t take notes during the Trump Tower meeting.

    The White House issued a statement acknowledging candidate Trump also knew of the compromising intel, but said the president’s son was mistaken about the source, and that he’d merely been watching Fox News.”

  723. jason says:

    Just because Trump narrowly defeated in the electoral college one of the most unpopular national candidates we seen in decades doesn’t mean the rules no longer apply to him.”

    LOL

    Wasn’t it just yesterday that Amoral Scumbag was claiming Trump would lose to ANY Democrat because it didn’t matter how unpopular or how out of the mainstream they were?

  724. NYCmike says:

    Tina,

    Yes, just being a little sarcastic about Robbie and his “national mood” statements.

  725. Tina says:

    Fuhrer Muleheads star witness, gates, in the manafort trial, admits to embezzling money from manafort.

    I cannot find any remarks fro. judge Ellis.

  726. Tina says:

    I am ignoring its posts, Nyc.

  727. jason says:

    just because Trump narrowly defeated in the electoral college”

    Note the Dem talking point Amoral Scumbag makes that Trump “only won in the electoral college”, like that was not a “real win”.

    Of course Amoral Scumbag knows the campaigns were structured and the efforts and rallies and ads and resources were geared to getting to 270, not winning the popular vote, but he can’t resist the MSM talking point.

  728. Wobbles says:

    admits to embezzling money from manafort.”

    I am very concerned he then gave this money to the Russians.

  729. jason says:

    Just because Trump narrowly defeated in the electoral college”

    And of course, Amoral Scumbag is wrong here too.

    Trump’s EC win was quite impressive 304 to 227, nothing “narrow” about it.

  730. Tina says:

    Yeah cannot call that ev a narrow win.

    Bush vs gore was a narrow win.

    Bush bs Kerry still narrow,mount not as narrow as 2000.

  731. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    August 6, 2018 at 4:57 pm
    734 – thanks for the feedback, but it seems you didn’t get the point.

    – Don’t worry. I always get the point of your posts. They are to flack for Trump.

    In 522, I showed you how Independents are strongly favoring Democrats in the polling and that is a good sign Republicans may get swamped in November. From you, crickets.

  732. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 5:11 pm
    DOOM!

    – “NYCmike with his head stuck in the sand HHR” is always some of the best HHR.

  733. Robbie says:

    Wobbles says:
    August 6, 2018 at 5:56 pm
    I am rooting desperately for the Democrat to win in OH because then I can blame Trump.
    Yes, of course I am a Republican.

    – Poor, Jason fraud. The best he has to offer in a miserable year for Trump and Republicans is to claim those who don’t share his view are rooting for losses. So sad.

  734. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    August 6, 2018 at 6:03 pm
    Harris and Warren are indeed nutty. Don’t kid yourself. Waaaaay out of the mainstream.

    – Phil, I read and heard the same things about Obama in early 2007. He was too liberal; the country will never elect a black person; Hispanics will never vote for a black person; he’s a socialist; the PUMA’s will sink him. None of it mattered because the country had turned against the Republicans Party and McCain.

    If the country could elect Donald Trump, a reality TV star who was the chief birther, the country can elect Kamala Harris or Elizabeth Warren.

  735. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 6, 2018 at 6:25 pm
    Just because Trump narrowly defeated in the electoral college one of the most unpopular national candidates we seen in decades doesn’t mean the rules no longer apply to him.”
    LOL
    Wasn’t it just yesterday that Amoral Scumbag was claiming Trump would lose to ANY Democrat because it didn’t matter how unpopular or how out of the mainstream they were?

    – This is nonsensical, even for Jason fraud. I’m pointing out that the rules of political gravity do apply to Trump as evidenced by his low approval rating and the sour situation facing Republicans. If his approval remains where it is today on election day 2020, he’ll lose and likely won’t matter which person Democrats choose.

  736. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 6, 2018 at 6:32 pm
    just because Trump narrowly defeated in the electoral college”
    Note the Dem talking point Amoral Scumbag makes that Trump “only won in the electoral college”, like that was not a “real win”.
    Of course Amoral Scumbag knows the campaigns were structured and the efforts and rallies and ads and resources were geared to getting to 270, not winning the popular vote, but he can’t resist the MSM talking point.

    – You’re having a really bad day. I’ve never said Trump’s electoral college win was not a real win. First to 270 wins. Period.

    My point was just because Trump beat a terrible candidate by 70,000 votes across three states (PA, MI, WI) when he wasn’t expected to win them doesn’t mean the normal political rules no longer apply to him.

    Quite the opposite, the polls and elections results so far indicate the normal political rules do apply to Trump.

  737. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 6, 2018 at 6:38 pm
    Just because Trump narrowly defeated in the electoral college”
    And of course, Amoral Scumbag is wrong here too.
    Trump’s EC win was quite impressive 304 to 227, nothing “narrow” about it.

    – Jason fraud is apparently unaware Trump won PA, MI, and WI (the three states that put him over 270) by a combined 70,000 votes or so. That’s a very narrow margin when you realize about 13,800,000 votes were cast in those three states. That’s about 0.5% of the votes cast.

  738. Tina says:

    A win by bush over gore in 2000 constitutes a Wide ev margin.

    Lord Arsehat.

  739. Tina says:

    # of times Gates mentioned Trump at the trial today

    0

    # of times muh Russian was mentioned

    0

    But, this is really about collusion.

  740. Tina says:

    Breaking

    Frankensteins spy from china was not just a driver.
    Lie was an office manager.

  741. Tina says:

    Breaking

    Court rules that doj must preserve comedy’s private emails.

    The department of justice was going to destroy them.

  742. Messy says:

    772. Bush won the 2000 election by three hundred or so votes. Wilson won the 1916 election by four thousand votes.

    2016 was close.

  743. lisab says:

    NFL’s first male dancers will hit the sidelines this season

  744. lisab says:

    Rasmussen Poll: Trump’s Approval Rating Among Black Voters Now 29% Vs. 15% One Year Ago

  745. Messy says:

    762. Of course Gates stole from Manafort’s illegal accounts. Manafort was being paid with stolen money for crying out loud!!!!

    There is no honor among thieves and Gates knows that if he doesn’t tell the truth here he’s going to get decades in the klink.

    Gates was #2 in the Trump campaign and then #3 after Manafort got kicked out. He also ran the inauguration.

  746. NYCmike says:

    ” is a good sign Republicans may get swamped in November”

    -Rinse, repeat…..over and over and over….BUT, Robbie is a Republican, and wants them to retain control of Congress, youbetcha!

  747. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 6, 2018 at 7:53 pm
    # of times Gates mentioned Trump at the trial today

    0

    # of times muh Russian was mentioned

    0

    But, this is really about collusion.

    – Of course, what you fail to mention is the judge has told both sides not to mention Trump since this trial is about tax evasion. Nice try, Tinfoil.

  748. Robbie says:

    Messy says:
    August 6, 2018 at 7:57 pm
    772. Bush won the 2000 election by three hundred or so votes. Wilson won the 1916 election by four thousand votes.

    2016 was close.

    – Which was what my point was. Trump won narrowly.

  749. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    The latest in the Chicago bloodbath.

    http://abc7chicago.com/66-shot-12-fatally-in-chicago-weekend-shootings/3892234/

    The Rahm Emanuel/Obama legacy lives on.

  750. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 8:23 pm
    ” is a good sign Republicans may get swamped in November”

    -Rinse, repeat…..over and over and over….BUT, Robbie is a Republican, and wants them to retain control of Congress, youbetcha!

    – Maybe this is a hard concept for you to understand, but two things can be true at once. First, I want to see Republicans retain control of both the Senate and the House. Second, every piece of reliable data suggests Republicans aren’t going to retain control of the House. Acknowledging the current reality is what far more people should do.

  751. Tina says:

    And no mention of collusion.

    Jebots in tears, like election 2016.

  752. jason says:

    First, I want to see Republicans retain control of both the Senate and the House.”

    Pathological liar. Amoral Scumbag.

  753. lisab says:

    Second, every piece of reliable data suggests Republicans aren’t going to retain control of the House.
    —————————

    the same reliable data you used to predict president hillary?`

  754. Tina says:

    I really do not care who sent Natalia to Trump Tower.

    It proves collusion,

    End justifies the means,

    Jebot

  755. jason says:

    ve never said Trump’s electoral college win was not a real win.”

    Sure you did. You repeated the Dem talking point that Trump didn’t win the popular vote even though you know its meaningless.

    And not only that, you lied about this EC win.

    “just because Trump narrowly defeated in the electoral college”

    Now GFY.

  756. jason says:

    If his approval remains where it is today on election day 2020, he’ll lose and likely won’t matter which person Democrats choose.”

    LOL

    And then the lying moron says that Trump only won because Hillary was unpopular.

    So which one is it, Amoral Scumbag?

  757. NYCmike says:

    “Acknowledging the current reality is what far more people should do.”

    -Current “reality”?

    The real one, or the one made up by the media, which NEVER speaks about the economy, the unemployment rate, the amount of people coming off welfare?

    The “current reality” feels nothing like 2006, and the polls show it is different as well. You act as if the House is already lost. You cited some “bolger” character the other day, while ignoring he also said the Republicans could retain the House……which you then TOTALLY IGNORED him.

  758. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    The NY Times says that the GOP has a long shot at the NJ Senate seat(Robert Menendez).
    Any thoughts?

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/05/nyregion/senator-menendez-election-nj.html

  759. NYCmike says:

    Robbie says:
    August 2, 2018 at 4:02 pm

    Clearly, this highly accomplished Republican pollster hasn’t looked at the very accurate Rasmussen poll.

    Josh Kraushaar
    @HotlineJosh

    Great, timely conversation with top GOP pollster @posglen on today’s Against the Grain podcast.

    Bolger thinks Dems could win up to 50 (!) House seats in the midterms.

    NYCmike says:
    August 2, 2018 at 4:08 pm

    “Hey @HotlineJosh thanks for having me on for a lively conversation! Folks — give it a listen. To be fair, I also outlined a way for House GOPers to maintain control!”

  760. NYCmike says:

    Bolger mentions:

    1) Democrats winning up to 50 House seats
    2) a way for Republicans to maintain control of House.

    GUESS which one Robbie mentioned, and which one he has totally ignored…….

  761. Phil says:

    I’ll tell you what, Robbie. Go pick out and take a hard look at ANY Kamala Harris performance in any committee hearing (they are all over You Tube)and then come back and tell me she’d be elected POTUS.

    Arrogant, condescending, and flat out mean. At least Obama was likable. All this in addition to her make America California drivel leftist drivel. All the out of the mainstream nonsense that she utters comes directly out of her own mouth – not from a third party Rev Wright. Obama could (and did) state he didn’t agree with everything out of the sermons by the Rev Wright. It’s a little harder for comrade Kamala to say she disagrees with what she herself said. It’s on the record. – in a GE campaign it will kill her.

  762. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    August 6, 2018 at 8:44 pm
    I’ll tell you what, Robbie. Go pick out and take a hard look at ANY Kamala Harris performance in any committee hearing (they are all over You Tube)and then come back and tell me she’d be elected POTUS.

    Arrogant, condescending, and flat out mean. At least Obama was likable. All this in addition to her make America California drivel leftist drivel. All the out of the mainstream nonsense that she utters comes directly out of her own mouth – not from a third party Rev Wright. Obama could (and did) state he didn’t agree with everything out of the sermons by the Rev Wright. It’s a little harder for comrade Kamala to say she disagrees with what she herself said. It’s on the record. – in a GE campaign it will kill her.

    – Phil, I’m not disagreeing with you about Harris or Warren. I think they’re both nuts. I’m just suggesting none of the critiques you mentioned will matter in 2020 if Trump’s approval rating is still as low as it is today.

  763. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 6, 2018 at 8:31 pm
    First, I want to see Republicans retain control of both the Senate and the House.”

    Pathological liar. Amoral Scumbag.

    – I guess if I was a fraud who spent every day of the campaign hating Trump, refused to vote for Trump, left the party over Trump, and now supports Trump I would be doing everything I could to deflect from that fact.

  764. Phil says:

    The doubling of Trump’s popularity among blacks is also a problem for Harris or Warren in any 2020 run. Trump getting 14% of the black vote instead of 7 is a big.

  765. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag lies so much he doesn’t even remember what the last lie was.

  766. lisab says:

    The doubling of Trump’s popularity among blacks is also a problem for Harris or Warren in any 2020 run. Trump getting 14% of the black vote instead of 7 is a big.

    ———————–

    that likely gives trump michigan

  767. Phil says:

    …and what I’m telling you, Robbie is that it isn’t only Kamala’s radicalism that sinks her – she has the additional problem of likability as Hillary did. Seriously, watch her in video of congressional hearings. They are all over the internet. She’s an absolute witch. As I said, Obama was actually likable.

  768. jason says:

    m just suggesting none of the critiques you mentioned will matter in 2020 if Trump’s approval rating is still as low as it is today.”

    What a moron.

    Amoral Scumbag forgets he said Trump only beat Hillary because she was unpopular.

    So he does think it matters who the opponent. Until he doesn’t.

    Hilarious.

  769. Phil says:

    Yes, the black vote would be a killer in Michigan.

  770. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 6, 2018 at 8:34 pm
    ve never said Trump’s electoral college win was not a real win.”

    Sure you did. You repeated the Dem talking point that Trump didn’t win the popular vote even though you know its meaningless.

    And not only that, you lied about this EC win.

    “just because Trump narrowly defeated in the electoral college”

    Now GFY.

    – I get it. You’re mad. Trump is flailing about and you’re left to defend his idiocy. I’d be angry as well if I had to defend a president who attacks Lebron James on Twitter, who screwed a porn star four months after his wife gave birth to their only son, and who had a year long affair with a Playmate while his wife was pregnant with their only son.

    None of that means you have to lie though. Still, that’s just what you did. I never mentioned the popular vote. All I did was point out that just because Trump won a narrow victory in 2016 when no one really expected his to win, doesn’t mean the normal rules of political no longer apply to him.

    I would advise your caregiver to change your adult diaper because it’s full of sh!t right now.

  771. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 8:39 pm
    “Acknowledging the current reality is what far more people should do.”

    -Current “reality”?

    The real one, or the one made up by the media, which NEVER speaks about the economy, the unemployment rate, the amount of people coming off welfare?

    The “current reality” feels nothing like 2006, and the polls show it is different as well. You act as if the House is already lost. You cited some “bolger” character the other day, while ignoring he also said the Republicans could retain the House……which you then TOTALLY IGNORED him.

    – I guess NYCmike thinks that unless 2018 feels to him just as 2006 did, then it can’t be a bad year for Republicans even though polling shows it will be a bad year for Republicans.

  772. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 6, 2018 at 8:52 pm
    Amoral Scumbag lies so much he doesn’t even remember what the last lie was.

    – I feel for you, Jason fraud. I really do. You’ve been reduced to little more than a monkey throwing its own crap at people in your efforts to defend Trump.

    Oh, who am I kidding? I love watching Jason fraud flail about as he searches for ways to defend Trump when he would have screamed bloody murder had Obama done the very same things.

  773. jason says:

    who spent every day of the campaign hating Trump, refused to vote for Trump, left the party over Trump, and now supports Trump”

    Ok let’s address this “crime” since Amoral Scumbag repeats it over and over.

    The “left the party over Trump” is a lie, but for the sake of argument let’s say its true.

    What exactly is the problem with opposing a candidate during the primaries and then after he wins the GE decide to support him where you think its in the interest of the country?

    Do you really have to stay mired in the primaries and pretend the election didn’t happen and Trump hasn’t been President for a year and a half?

  774. jason says:

    ou’ve been reduced to little more than a monkey throwing its own crap at people”

    And Trump is supposedly emotionally unwell…..

  775. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 6, 2018 at 8:56 pm
    m just suggesting none of the critiques you mentioned will matter in 2020 if Trump’s approval rating is still as low as it is today.”

    What a moron.

    Amoral Scumbag forgets he said Trump only beat Hillary because she was unpopular.

    So he does think it matters who the opponent. Until he doesn’t.

    Hilarious.

    – What’s hilarious is you seem to have lost your grip on reality in the Trump era.

    In 2016, neither Hillary nor Trump was the incumbent president. There was no Trump governing record. There was only the concept of what Trump as president could be.

    In 2020, we will have four years of Trump as president. It will be a referendum on him as almost all re-elections are.

  776. jason says:

    who attacks Lebron James on Twitter, who screwed a porn star four months after his wife gave birth to their only son, and who had a year long affair with a Playmate while his wife was pregnant with their only son.”

    LOL

    Trump has been President a year and a half and Amoral Scumbag is still talking about alleged affairs over a decade before he was President and a Twitter comment about Lebron.

    Zzzzzzzzz…

  777. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    August 6, 2018 at 8:56 pm
    Yes, the black vote would be a killer in Michigan.

    – I don’t buy that poll for a second, but, if it is true, it was not very smart for Trump to attack Lebron James on Twitter.

  778. Phil says:

    And yes, Trump could very well lose to a Biden – he appeals to blue collar workers and, while being a goofball, is at least somewhat likable. Harris and Warren? – angry extreme leftists – doesn’t play in a general election. Will get them the Democratic nomination alright – and I’d be delighted for that to happen. Fortunately, the makeup of the present Democratic Party makes it probable that party nominates someone extreme like Kamala and not a standard conventional left center Democrat – in fact, she’s my early prediction.

  779. Bitterlaw says:

    725 Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz. Should I Judge New York based on Antifa riots?

  780. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 6, 2018 at 9:06 pm
    ou’ve been reduced to little more than a monkey throwing its own crap at people”

    And Trump is supposedly emotionally unwell…..

    – I’m not the president, but I don’t consider someone like you who so easily throws away his principles to support Trump to be mentally well either.

  781. jason says:

    I never mentioned the popular vote.”

    Still lying your ass off, Amoral Scumbag?

    You can’t even keep your MSM talking points straight.

    “Just because Trump narrowly defeated in the electoral college”

    Only Democrats keep bringing up the fact Trump won the EC and not the popular vote.

    And of course, you are so stupid even that statement was wrong, Trump’s EC win wasn’t narrow it was 302 to 227.

    Get your Democrat talking points straight, moron.

  782. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 6, 2018 at 9:08 pm
    who attacks Lebron James on Twitter, who screwed a porn star four months after his wife gave birth to their only son, and who had a year long affair with a Playmate while his wife was pregnant with their only son.”

    LOL

    Trump has been President a year and a half and Amoral Scumbag is still talking about alleged affairs over a decade before he was President and a Twitter comment about Lebron.

    Zzzzzzzzz…

    – If Trump’s doing the bang up job you claim, why is his approval rating only 43% in the RCP average?

    And if your answer is “but muh media”, call it a night and try again in the morning because the media has nothing to do with it.

    It Trump didn’t act like a boorish jerk 24/7, the press would be spending it’s time talking about the economy. Instead, it’s talking about Trump’s Twitter screeds because that’s all he seems to do most days.

  783. jason says:

    throws away his principles to support Trump”

    I didn’t throw away any principles to support Trump where I think its good for the country. I have already stated many times which of those policies I support.

    I have also made clear which policies I do not support.

    But at least I admit I have principles.

    What about you? Do you have any principles, Amoral Scumbag? You have the moral fiber of a floating turd. You wouldn’t even know what a principle is.

  784. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 6, 2018 at 9:14 pm
    I never mentioned the popular vote.”

    Still lying your ass off, Amoral Scumbag?

    You can’t even keep your MSM talking points straight.

    “Just because Trump narrowly defeated in the electoral college”

    Only Democrats keep bringing up the fact Trump won the EC and not the popular vote.

    And of course, you are so stupid even that statement was wrong, Trump’s EC win wasn’t narrow it was 302 to 227.

    Get your Democrat talking points straight, moron.

    – Bless your heart. You’re really having a bad night. If I wanted to mock Trump for losing the popular vote by 3.5 million, I would have wrote it. I have zero qualms about mocking the scumbag you have sworn your life to defend in this forum.

    Instead, I pointed to the manner in which we elect presidents, the electoral college. And while the winner take all electoral vote count was 306, he won those three states by a combined 70,000 vote out of the 13,800,000 or so cast. To win those three states and all of their electoral votes by .5% is narrow.

  785. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 6, 2018 at 9:18 pm
    throws away his principles to support Trump”

    I didn’t throw away any principles to support Trump where I think its good for the country. I have already stated many times which of those policies I support.

    I have also made clear which policies I do not support.

    – Oh yeah, tariffs. So brave.

  786. jason says:

    because the media has nothing to do with it.”

    Wow, fake news 99.9% of the time on the MSM but it has nothing do with Trump’s approval rating.

    So Amoral Scumbag thinks the MSM is not biased against Trump.

    How stupid do you have to do to think that? I bet not even most Democrats believe that, they just like it.

    But Amoral Scumbag is a Republican….

  787. Phil says:

    Trump doesn’t have to win the popular vote. He’s already proven that. It means nothing. Hillary used a 4.4 million vote blowout in California plus a 2.5 million blowout in New York to win the popular vote nationwide. So what. She lost the rest of the country by 4.2 million votes which translated into a comfortable Trump electoral vote victory.

    Only the coastal elites give a damn about the popular vote. it’s talking point – nothing more and nothing less.

  788. jason says:

    If I wanted to mock Trump for losing the popular vote by 3.5 million,”

    Is that another lie from your MSM sites?

    The actual number is 2.86 million.

    Keep digging.

  789. jason says:

    Only the coastal elites give a damn about the popular vote.”

    Please don’t elevate Amoral Scumbag to “coastal elite”.

    He is just a lying scumbag, nothing elite about him.

  790. jason says:

    he press would be spending it’s time talking about the economy.”

    LOL

    This is like saying if you are nice to terrorists they would be nice to us.

    The MSM would never talk about the economy, never in a million years.

    They would just make up fake news about Trump just like they are doing now.

  791. Tina says:

    I love Antifa riots.

    Jebot

  792. Tina says:

    I think the media is biased against democrats.

    It should be 100 percent favorite coverage of us, not 95 percent.

    Jebot

  793. lisab says:

    in 2020, assuming trumps runs, he will have

    more money
    more experience
    more name recognition
    more gop support
    more gotv
    and
    more control of the narrative

    than in 2016.

    the dems have one half-decent candidate so far, biden, who maybe could beat trump

    the other candidates mentioned, like warren and harris would probably lose big. they just don’t have the national campaign experience — and they have a lot of baggage that many people don’t know about … like pow wow chow

    there could be other candidates that would do better than those two, but those are the two getting the press right now

    if i was a dem i would dump those two quickly

  794. NYCmike says:

    “It Trump didn’t act like a boorish jerk 24/7, the press would be spending it’s time talking about the economy. Instead, it’s talking about Trump’s Twitter screeds because that’s all he seems to do most days.”

    -This can’t be a serious comment……can it be?

  795. Robbie says:

    Jason fraud, a fraud, realized he couldn’t argue with my point that Trump’s win across PA, MI, and WI (about 70,000 votes) was narrow (just .5% of all votes cast) so he had to create a lie out of whole cloth that I mocked Trump for losing the popular vote. As the comments show, I never mentioned the popular vote because that’s not how we elect presidents.

    A fraud’s gotta fraud, though.

  796. lisab says:

    however, i do think the dems will go all in on kavanaugh

    and the outcome of that fight

    will determine the 2018 elections and have a huge impact on 2020.

    if kavanaugh goes down, trump may not run in 2020

  797. NYCmike says:

    Oh, and once again, Robbie refuses to say anything about the 2 very different scenarios put out by that Bulger guy…..FOR SOME REASON, maybe because he is a stalwart conservative Republican, he seems to only mention that they MIGHT lose 50 seats in the House, as opposed to retaining power……

  798. NYCmike says:

    Robbie,

    It is such a negative reflection on Trump to have won those states with such a slim margin…..after all, Romney, McCain, Bush……..oops…….

  799. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    August 6, 2018 at 9:10 pm
    And yes, Trump could very well lose to a Biden – he appeals to blue collar workers and, while being a goofball, is at least somewhat likable. Harris and Warren? – angry extreme leftists – doesn’t play in a general election. Will get them the Democratic nomination alright – and I’d be delighted for that to happen. Fortunately, the makeup of the present Democratic Party makes it probable that party nominates someone extreme like Kamala and not a standard conventional left center Democrat – in fact, she’s my early prediction.

    – Phil, I guess we’re going to have agree to disagree on who can beat Trump in 2020.

    What I will say is this. While I think there are quite a few Democrats who can beat Trump in 2020, I don’t think there’s a single Democrat who could come close to beating Nikki Haley. I suspect you would agree with that, but maybe not.

    Anyway, Republican voters are going to face a choice once this election is over. Will Republicans want to sign up for another four years of the daily melodrama that swirls around Trump, or will Republicans decide maybe someone like Nikki Haley is a better option?

    I’d, sadly, guess it will be the former rather than the latter.

  800. lisab says:

    MI, PA, and WI was a million vote swing from 2012

    and over a 1.5 million vote swing from 2008

    so trump actually did pretty well in those states

  801. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 9:54 pm
    “It Trump didn’t act like a boorish jerk 24/7, the press would be spending it’s time talking about the economy. Instead, it’s talking about Trump’s Twitter screeds because that’s all he seems to do most days.”

    -This can’t be a serious comment……can it be?

    -Yes, it is a serious comment. But I’m not surprised someone who supported Richard Mourdock or Chris Mcdaniel would have a hard time understanding that. FoxNews and the hermetically sealed conservative ecosystem in which you live has done a fine job of convincing you everything wrong with the world is the fault of the press.

    By the way, has Chris McDaniel ever conceded his 2014 primary to Thad Cochran?

  802. NYCmike says:

    “While I think there are quite a few Democrats who can beat Trump in 2020, I don’t think there’s a single Democrat who could come close to beating Nikki Haley.”

    -How would she win MI, WI, PA?

    How is she a guarantee to win FL and OH?

    Trump did something that McCain and Romney were unable to do, and he also beat 16 or so other Republicans.

    Why would Nikki Haley be able to do what Trump did, what you still give him ZERO credit for doing?

  803. Tina says:

    We need a brokered convention.

    That is the answer.

    Let jeb or the socialist Rh as a third party.

    Jebot

  804. lisab says:

    i think nikki haley would get crushed by biden, harris or warren

    without the advantage of being the incumbent, i think the gop candidate is just another mccain at best

    with possibly pence or romney doing about 2012 levels

  805. Tina says:

    Haley would get blown out.

    We lose Ohio and Florida.

  806. NYCmike says:

    Robbie,

    In all seriousness, if that is at all possible with you, why do you continue to bring up those candidates? I expressed support, in Mourdock’s case, AFTER he won the primary.

    Were you rooting for the Democrat to win that race?

  807. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 9:59 pm
    Robbie,

    It is such a negative reflection on Trump to have won those states with such a slim margin…..after all, Romney, McCain, Bush……..oops…….

    – Unsurprisingly, you missed the entire point of why I originally mentioned those states.

    Chicon wondered to Wes whether the normal rules of politics even apply in the age of Trump.

    I responded by saying it’s a mistake to think Trump is some sort of political unicorn simply because he narrowly won three states he was expected to win. In fact, it appears quite obvious the normal rules of politics still do apply because Trump’s approval rating is low and Republicans face one of the toughest political environments in some time.

  808. lisab says:

    again, i think kavanaugh makes or breaks trump at this point

    if kavanaugh goes down, i think trump is in big trouble, and may not make it to 2020

  809. NYCmike says:

    And as for McDaniel, all I said was something to the effect of “If he gets the most votes, then I hope he wins the general election.”

    Again, would you have voted for the Democrat if McDaniel had won that runoff/primary?

  810. lisab says:

    why do you continue to bring up those candidates?
    ——————————-

    there has been a recent push by the dem trolls to push a primary challenger or a third party challenger on trump

    however, i think haley would not run unless trump and pence decline

  811. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 10:04 pm
    “While I think there are quite a few Democrats who can beat Trump in 2020, I don’t think there’s a single Democrat who could come close to beating Nikki Haley.”

    -How would she win MI, WI, PA?

    How is she a guarantee to win FL and OH?

    Trump did something that McCain and Romney were unable to do, and he also beat 16 or so other Republicans.

    Why would Nikki Haley be able to do what Trump did, what you still give him ZERO credit for doing?

    – You’ve lost the plot.

  812. Tina says:

    Chinese spy story trending

    I remember when Frankenstein first ran, her and her hubbys Chinese connections were well documented.

    However, we must focus on muh Russian.

    Trump jr and the lovely Natalia.

  813. NYCmike says:

    “I responded by saying it’s a mistake to think Trump is some sort of political unicorn simply because he narrowly won three states he was expected to win.”

    -He was expected to win those 3 states?

  814. NYCmike says:

    “– You’ve lost the plot.”

    -And you’ve lost YOUR marbles.

  815. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 6, 2018 at 10:06 pm
    Haley would get blown out.

    We lose Ohio and Florida.

    – Notice how Tinfoil goes hard after real, lifelong Republicans like Haley while pumping up a fake Republican like Trump.

  816. Tina says:

    Yea, they will push a third party candidate, such as the socialist or one of the never trump lightweights.

    Or the Drats get one of the never trumpets to run.

    Maybe somebody like max boot or some other pos.

    I would like trump to go against the socialist from the lido deck.

  817. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    August 6, 2018 at 10:10 pm
    why do you continue to bring up those candidates?
    ——————————-

    there has been a recent push by the dem trolls to push a primary challenger or a third party challenger on trump

    however, i think haley would not run unless trump and pence decline

    – There’s also been a push by lisab to claim Rubio, Kasich, and Cruz were gay.

  818. Tina says:

    Pilot lost the plane in the black hole.

    Don Lemonade, cnn.

  819. NYCmike says:

    “– Notice how Tinfoil goes hard after real, lifelong Republicans like Haley while pumping up a fake Republican like Trump.”

    -You are the one saying she will win……PROVE IT.

    At the least, give a realistic scenario to show how she would duplicate Trump’s win.

  820. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 10:11 pm
    “I responded by saying it’s a mistake to think Trump is some sort of political unicorn simply because he narrowly won three states he was expected to win.”

    -He was expected to win those 3 states?

    – he “wasn’t” expected to win

  821. Tina says:

    While she is doing a good job at the un, she is not yet presidential timber. She needs to age more.

    She is doing well at the un since she dumped her bomb bomb the me aka the bush failed foreign policy

    Let’s face. It,MThe bushels wrecked the gop.

  822. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 10:12 pm
    “– You’ve lost the plot.”

    -And you’ve lost YOUR marbles.

    – You’re such a “real conservative” your first instinct was to defend a fake Republican like Trump and question a real Republican and a real conservative like Haley.

    You’re exactly the reason Trump would likely win a primary fight between himself and Haley. Ultimately, a Tea Party conservative like you would go with the NYC liberal who donated to Schmuer and Pelosi as recently as 2009 rather than support a conservative and a Republican like Haley.

  823. NYCmike says:

    “– There’s also been a push by lisab to claim Rubio, Kasich, and Cruz were gay.”

    -Wow! You are screwy in the head.

    WTF is wrong with you?

  824. Tina says:

    The bushes voted for Hillary, just like me.

    I like Hillary.

    Jebot

  825. NYCmike says:

    “Ultimately, a Tea Party conservative like you would go with the NYC liberal who donated to Schmuer and Pelosi as recently as 2009 rather than support a conservative and a Republican like Haley.”

    -If Haley had been Trump’s opponent in 2016, when the NY primary was held, I definitely would have voted for Trump.

    BUT, since Trump is now President Trump, and he has acted, along with his cabinet and U N Secretary Haley, very much like I would want him to, why would I even think about replacing him?

    In fact, why would Haley, Pence, etc, think about replacing him?

    That would only help divide the party, and make it easier for the Democrats to win………OH, I think I answered my own question……

  826. Tina says:

    How come the Chinese spy was allowed to retire?

    Wtf.

    Arrest and Charge him

    Is the fib capable of doing anything?

  827. lisab says:

    it would very likely be political suicide for haley to challenge trump

    about the only one who could would be romney, and only because he has a steady job as utah senator waiting for him

    if haley wants to be president some day, her best bet would be 2024, unless trump declines to run in 2020

  828. NYCmike says:

    “-If Haley had been Trump’s opponent in 2016, when the NY primary was held, I definitely would have voted for Trump.”

    -Heh….I wrote down Trump at the end instead of Haley……I got Trump on the brain!

    I definitely would have voted for Haley over Trump in 2016.

    NOW, no. Haley is fine where she is, until Trump finishes up on Jan 20, 2025.

  829. Tina says:

    Haley will not run. MThe point f the exercise is about fans fruitful as don lemon speculating that the black hole stalled the Malaysian plane.

    At 90 percent approval,among Rs, trump will not be primaried.

    Case closed.

  830. Tina says:

    And the ds are blowing it teouting out the likes of comedy, comrade, Pete the cheat, amniotic, Benadryl, camera Hogg, Antif (aka the replacement s for the Drats kkk) and the ice abolishes.

    Please run n abolishing ice.

    Please call them nazis.

  831. NYCmike says:

    “Haley is fine where she is, until Trump finishes up on Jan 20, 2025.”

    -Robbie…..this would mean the Republican beat the Democrat challenger in 2020……doesn’t that make you 🙂 ?

  832. lisab says:

    At 90 percent approval,among Rs, trump will not be primaried.

    Case closed.
    ——————-

    yes, but a week or so ago, there was a push by several dem trolls to see who would be the most promising trump challenger … romney, haley, rubio etc.

    i guess haley won the troll-poll

    but yeah, she would not run unless trump was mortally wounded

    like, for example, if kavanaugh gets stopped by the dems

    that would hurt trump a lot

  833. Tina says:

    Sean Davis
    @seanmdav
    ·
    4h
    Note how differently the FBI handled Feinstein vs. Trump. They discretely warned her based on verified information. With Trump, they opened up wiretaps and activated their own domestic spy network to entrap the campaign, all based on garbage intel.

  834. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 10:13 pm
    “– Notice how Tinfoil goes hard after real, lifelong Republicans like Haley while pumping up a fake Republican like Trump.”

    -You are the one saying she will win……PROVE IT.

    At the least, give a realistic scenario to show how she would duplicate Trump’s win.

    – Simple. This country is still basically the one it was on election night 2014. The only reason the 2016 election wasn’t something approaching a blowout (52% or more for a Republican) is the party stupidly nominated one of the worst candidates it possibly could in Trump. And despite the fact the party stupidly nominated a terrible candidate like Trump, Trump still won.

    That said, the only reason the 2016 election was close is Trump was viewed by so much of the country as an odious person. And the only reason the Republican Party is in trouble in 2018 is the voting public is holding them responsible for Trump’s actions and behaviors. People aren’t rejecting Republican policy or judges. People are rejecting how Trump acts.

    And in another two years, people aren’t suddenly going to be craving the socialism Harris, Warren, or Biden might be offering. That said, the voters may be more than ready to vote one of them in just to get rid of the daily drama that Trump produces.

    So if you remove the person who seems to wake up each and every day with the intentions of turning off Independents and suburban Republicans, you can attempt to reassemble the coalition that gave Republicans their 2014 win. Nikki Haley, for example, would absolutely do that.

  835. lisab says:

    Herman Cain
    ?
    Verified account

    @THEHermanCain
    9h9 hours ago
    More
    Make no mistake, it’s not a question of “maybe” or “will they/won’t they.” They WILL impeach if they take the House. They think they’re entitled to “correct the mistake” you “little people” made in 2016.

  836. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 10:20 pm
    “Ultimately, a Tea Party conservative like you would go with the NYC liberal who donated to Schmuer and Pelosi as recently as 2009 rather than support a conservative and a Republican like Haley.”

    -If Haley had been Trump’s opponent in 2016, when the NY primary was held, I definitely would have voted for Trump.

    – This is so perfect. The proud Tea Party voter who went to the mat for Chris McDaniel and others would cast off one of the 2010’s brightest and most successful Tea Party darlings for a NYC liberal. Thanks for proving my point.

  837. Robbie says:

    NYCmike

    I just saw your post in 865. Disregard what I wrote in 874.

    You corrected your comment while I was typing that one.

  838. NYCmike says:

    Robbie,

    Trump won OH handily, won Florida by over 100K, and also won WI, PA, and MI!

    Why do you keep downplaying what he did!?!?

  839. NYCmike says:

    Robbie,

    I think Haley is wonderful.

    I don’t believe that any Republican can duplicate Trump’s victory unless Trump is successful, and also re-elected.

    I don’t understand how you miss that calculation. A different approach was needed, and Trump had the correct approach to win those states. Republicans, ALL of us, need to push to make sure we hold that coalition of states together.

  840. Robbie says:

    I’m through for the evening, but I want to clarify a few points about Nikki Haley.

    If Trump’s popularity at the end of 2019 remains as high in the party as it is now, no one is going to challenge Trump in the primary. At least no one who could defeat him.

    The only way Nikki Haley would ever challenge Trump is if Trump’s approval crashes. Right now that seems unlikely, but, if Republicans take the drubbing in 2018, I think Trump’s popularity in the party could start to sink just as GWB’s popularity within the Republican Party did in 2007 after the 2006 drubbing.

    It would definitely be a risky move for Haley to challenge Trump even if his approval crashes and that’s why I think it’s ultimately unlikely she does. Still, who knows how the country and the party will view Trump in October and November of 2019.

  841. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 10:34 pm
    Robbie,

    Trump won OH handily, won Florida by over 100K, and also won WI, PA, and MI!

    Why do you keep downplaying what he did!?!?

    – I’m not downplaying what Trump did. I’m simply saying it’s wrong to treat Trump as some sort of political unicorn to whom regular political rules don’t apply. Just because he won a race he wasn’t expected to win doesn’t mean he broke the code on politics.

  842. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 6, 2018 at 10:37 pm
    Robbie,

    I think Haley is wonderful.

    I don’t believe that any Republican can duplicate Trump’s victory unless Trump is successful, and also re-elected.

    I don’t understand how you miss that calculation. A different approach was needed, and Trump had the correct approach to win those states. Republicans, ALL of us, need to push to make sure we hold that coalition of states together.

    – Rubio would have won more than 52% of the national vote. The only reason Republicans got such a low vote share (just 46%) is we nominated an unlikable jerk in Trump who turned off a lot of voters who otherwise would have voted for a Republican.

    This talk that we needed a different approach is just reverse engineering of the victory by Trumpers. If a different approach was needed to win FL, OH, MI, and WI, why did Scott, Kasich, Synder, and Walker win them in 2010 and 2014? Did they try a new approach? Nope they each ran typical Republican campaigns.

    And before you say “What about McCain and Romney?”, they lost their races because the economy sucked in 2008 and Romney couldn’t convince people Obama deserved to be bounced.

  843. Tina says:

    I am through for the evening.

    Stop theirs,,Jebot,

  844. Tina says:

    People are rejecting how trump,acts.

    Lol.

  845. lisab says:

    the truth is, trump had one of the most remarkable and unexpected victories in political history

    maybe truman in 1948

    hayes in 1876

    and

    lincoln in 1860

    come close

    but pretty much there have not been many presidential elections when one candidate was so thoroughly expected to win on election day as hillary — and then been upset

    there have certainly been elections when a year before the election one candidate was highly favored and then lost, but not really on election day

  846. DW says:

    “there have not been many presidential elections when one candidate was so thoroughly expected to win on election day as Hillary”

    This is exactly right and illustrated by so many anecdotes from the Election night coverage.

    The best was the state of Wisconsin.

    People forget that Election Night coverage is a TV Show first, and a news event second. So they all had to do show prep, meaning they had to educate themselves on the dynamics of each battleground state so they would be prepared to talk about it.

    But Hillary was sure to win most of the battlegrounds. And so they only prepared to talk about a few states. The Fox News data analyst was apparently so convinced Hillary would win, he didn’t bother to prepare much at all and it showed all evening. CNN’s John King actually prepared and knew his stuff and looked like a giant compared to the others.

    But back to Wisconsin…someone asked Chuck Todd to update the viewers as to what was going on in WI. Todd nervously replied, well the story tonight is Michigan–lets look at Michigan first…and so he talked about Michigan and never did talk about Wisconsin, because he couldn’t! It was never in his show prep.

    Jonathan Karl on ABC was asked by George Steponallofus to see what was left out of the non-existent Madison County, Wisconsin. Karl jumped right in and managed to find it (he clicked on the City of Madison which is in Dane County), and he provided the numbers in ‘Madison County’, and right after that, gave the numbers for Dane County which he remarked were remarkably similar to ‘Madison County.’ He looked like a complete fool, and should have taken the Chuck Todd approach.

    But none of them thought they would be talking about Wisconsin at 11 pm, when Hillary was supposed to have given her victory speech at 9:30.

  847. DW says:

    One of the moderators at RRH posted this in the regular roundup thread for today:

    “His Orangeness (R-United Russia) has tweeted…”

    Given the culture of RRH and what these same moderators will NOT tolerate from regular posters, this seems a bit hypocritical. If one of the regulars there had posted “Her Thighness (D-Empty Suit) has tweeted…” it would have resulted in an immediate ban.

  848. Todd McCain says:

    Kav is too smart; I don’t see DEMS laying a finger on him in the hearings.

  849. SusyQue says:

    Yes, President Donald J. Trump is the only respectable and honest politician these days. I am SO grateful that the Lord gave us such an amazing, honest, ethical man! MAGA!!!

  850. DW says:

    I know in the past here on HHR I have called Trump all sorts of stuff, yellow hair, orange face…the works. But this is HHR. RRH is supposed to be the civil place that is above all that. So for a moderator in that culture to say that, given that they would ban someone for posting a similar insult to Hillary is hypocritical.

  851. mnw says:

    DW 886

    Absolutely right about RRH!

    …and remember, it’s a “right perspective” site, too.

  852. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #752- Todd
    In furtherance of your post on the big boo-boo by Nevada Democrat Senate candidate,Jackie Rosen, here is a link to Jon Ralston’s article about it. He is considered THE G-d in Nevada journalism and he is none to happy it. In fact, in the fifth paragraph, he calls the remarks “disturbing”. This will hurt Rosen bigly, IMHO. Bragging about her reaction to the Mandalay Bay shooting is reprehensible.

    https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/rosens-puffing-about-role-on-1-october-could-leave-a-mark

    What do you guys think?

  853. Messy says:

    871. Wrong again Tina!!!

  854. Waingro says:

    #886, looks like that has already been deleted off the RRH site. Who was it?

  855. Wes says:

    Some thoughts:

    1) Neither Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) nor Bob Menendez (D-NJ) will lose in November.

    2) RI-Gov may be close. I doubt Republicans win it unless there is something of a nascent sea change in the state’s politics.

    3) Heller caught a break with an unvetted candidate. Rosen is making a series of mistakes while Heller is assiduously courting both the Trumpkins in the state and those who opposed the Donald.

    4) Liz Warren and Kamala Harris are no Barack Obama. Before Obama ran, he voted Present as much as possible to whitewash his liberalism and appeal to centrists. He also said positive things about Republicans such as Ronald Reagan and ran an overall positive campaign calling for change for the country’s betterment. Warren and Harris have unapologetically leftist voting records and frequently employ shrill rhetoric much in contrast to Obama’s overall measured tones during 2008. They will have little appeal to the middle-class voters Obama attracted in 2008 and will crater among whites. This will make an electoral victory a steep hill to climb for them though Trump may have his own problems in that regard.

  856. Wes says:

    RRH’s reference to the Donald:

    His Orangeness (R-United Russia)

  857. DW says:

    Wes, agreed on Heller. Of the two vulnerable GOP seats, AZ and NV, I see NV as the less vulnerable.

  858. Wes says:

    RIP, Paul Laxalt.

    In the otherwise dismal electoral year of 1974, Laxalt–a decade after losing controversially to Howard Cannon–ran for the seat of the retiring Alan Bible. He faced then-Lieutenant Governor Harry Reid and bucked the national trend, edging Reid for Senate and becoming the first Republican to represent the state in that chamber since 1959.

    Subsequently Laxalt developed a close personal friendship with Ronald Reagan. When Regan became President in 1981, Laxalt was known as the First Friend. Unfortunately Laxalt elected to retire in 1986 rather than seek a third term. Harry Reid promptly ran for his seat and won, holding it for 30 years.

    During his tenure as Senator, Laxalt learned fellow Senator Pete Domenici had had an affair with Laxalt’s daughter, Michelle, and impregnated her with current NV-Gov candidate Adam Laxalt.

    RIP, Senator Laxalt.

  859. Wes says:

    IINO Greg Orman is running for KS-Gov. Depsite going gaga over him in 2014 during his abortive bid to oust Pat Roberts, Dems are now trying to block him from appearing on the ballot:

    http://www.cjonline.com/news/20180806/independent-greg-orman-submits-10000-signatures-in-bid-to-qualify-for-kansas-gubernatorial-ballot

  860. Wes says:

    Do I get it?

  861. Wes says:

    Yes! I blocked anyone from claiming the CM!

    🙂

  862. Tina says:

    Heller is not hositile to trump. They seem to actually like each other. Not saying Heller is super chummy, but it helps that he is not hostile. We do note some R net registration increases since 2016.

    Heller is doing thinks unlike Flakey. Is Flakey sit ill awol, or is he back from his vacation?

  863. Tina says:

    Can we catch a break and not have the unvented candidates this round?

    Seems like the Drats are doing well in this department with the socialist dumb dumb and the nv drat.

  864. DW says:

    Dems are hypocrites when it comes to Orman. When he was damaging Roberts, he was a true patriot who has his constitutional rights to be on the ballot.

    But if he is harming the Dem candidate, he is criminal.

  865. Tina says:

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2018/08/look-at-me-judge-ellis-gets-into-10-minute-argument-with-muellers-prosecutors/

    Judge Eliis has launched against Fuhrer Mukeheads prosecutors, who are trying to win the conviction of Manafort by Gates, an admitted embezzler.

  866. Wes says:

    A further RIP:

    Former Congresswoman Margaret Heckler (R-MA)–who unseated former House Speaker Joe Martin in the 1966 primary and served in the House for 16 years before losing to Barney Frank in an incumbent-on-incumbent battle in 1982–has passed.

    Despite being of necessity antipathetic to Reagan’s policies from 1981 to 1983 in an increasingly liberal district, Heckler went on to serve in the Reagan Administration.

    She was the first woman to represent MA in Congress without succeeding a late husband.

  867. Wes says:

    Here’s an irony:

    Dems could come up in short in both KS and AK in gubernatorial races because of people they previously backed.

    Greg Orman will split their vote in KS.

    Meanwhile, in AK, Dems had latched onto Indy Governor Bill Walker. Then former Senator Mark Begich threw a wrench in the works by announcing his plan to run for the Dem nomination. Early polling shows Begich will undermine Walker’s reelection bid and help the GOP reclaim the governorship.

  868. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    August 7, 2018 at 10:20 am
    Some thoughts:
    4) Liz Warren and Kamala Harris are no Barack Obama. Before Obama ran, he voted Present as much as possible to whitewash his liberalism and appeal to centrists. He also said positive things about Republicans such as Ronald Reagan and ran an overall positive campaign calling for change for the country’s betterment. Warren and Harris have unapologetically leftist voting records and frequently employ shrill rhetoric much in contrast to Obama’s overall measured tones during 2008. They will have little appeal to the middle-class voters Obama attracted in 2008 and will crater among whites. This will make an electoral victory a steep hill to climb for them though Trump may have his own problems in that regard.

    – Your description of Harris and Warren is on the mark, but none of that will likely matter if Trump is the nominee and his approval rating remains as low then as it is today.

    It’s the same discussion you and I had last year about the status of the House in 2018. I made the case, if Trump’s approval rating remains in the low 40’s as it was early in 2017, he would be a lead weight around the necks of the party and the House majority would be in danger. With three months to go, that still seems to be the case.

    Obviously, if Trump’s job approval rating shoots up to the high 40’s, he can beat Harris or Warren without a great deal of effort. But how likely is it Trump’s approval rating is suddenly going to rise in the midst of all of the craziness that Democrat House investigations will bring?

  869. Tina says:

    47/51

    Rad

  870. Tina says:

    Richard Baris
    @Peoples_Pundit
    Not unsurprising. Franklin County is going to be O’Connor’s base (58%-33%). Licking County, at an expected 21% of the vote, will be Balderson’s base (62%-36%). Delaware County, at an expected 28% of the vote, will be the county to watch.
    Darrel Rowland
    @darreldrowland
    JUST IN
    Final early vote totals for Franklin County for special 12th Congressional District election:
    Dems – 59.5%
    GOP – 21.1%
    Unaffiliated – 18.8%

  871. DW says:

    early vote doesn’t tell much. The early vote had Hillary winning big in FL, OH, and IA.

  872. Robbie says:

    In case anyone missed it, Republicans just dumped $1,000,000 into the Arizona Senate primary. Chemtrail Kelli Ward is apparently rising in the polls as pardoned felon Joe Arpaio has seen his support drop.

    Nominating Ward would be the ultimate own goal and, since it’s 2018, it would make sense to do it.

  873. Tina says:

    Barrie agrees, Dw, but he seems a bit concerned about this race.

    Is cautioning about the Rs failing to address healthcare.

  874. Wes says:

    Regarding next-decade redistricting, California is likely to hold a status quo while the People’s Democratic Republic of Illinois is likely to lose at least two seats.

    Dems are effectively guaranteed to win the governorship in November. That means this is all on them. Their leftist utopia is crumbling about them.

  875. dblaikie says:

    In Carson City my Mom’s family we’re friends with theLaxalts. My Uncle and Paul played on the basketball team that won the State Championship and they were good friends. Senator Laxalt was part of a great American story. His father, Dominic, was a French Basque Shepherd who emigrated to Nevada at the turn of the century. He and his wife Marie raised a family that included a Senator, a noted author, a respected attorney and a nun. Senator Laxalt was a living example of what makes America great.

    I must share one story. Paul lost to Howard Cannon by just a few votes. It turns out that a lot of Basque folks who lived in Elko County were first time voters. Rather than checking the ballot at the appropriate place they instead circled his name. Their votes were thrown out which cost him the election. Yet the future Gov. and Senator never complained. That is the kind of character that will, make you Ronald Reagan’s best friend.

  876. dblaikie says:

    I don’t know what I was thinking. Senator Laxalt’s mother was named Therese.

  877. Wes says:

    All members of the WV Supreme Court hit with articles of impeachment. Interesting:

    http://wvmetronews.com/2018/08/07/impeachment-day-8-case-continues-on-supreme-court/

  878. Wes says:

    Because of excessive vandalism, West Hollywood is contemplating removing the Donald’s star on the Walk of Fame:

    https://www.cnn.com/2018/08/07/politics/trump-walk-of-fame-star/index.html

  879. DW says:

    Given it is California, I am surprised they didn’t provide funding for them to install thousands of copies of Trump’s star so those who feel victimized by his presidency can bring a pick-ax to destroy one of them.

  880. DW says:

    wait…my suggestion just disenfranchised those too poor to bring their own pick-ax. California will provide those too, along with free public transportation to one of the stars.

  881. NYCmike says:

    In regard to Ward and McSally – I will ASSUME that supporters of each candidate, no matter who wins the primary, will then support the Republican nominee in the general.

    Robbie, once again, is showing disdain for the primary voter, instead of supporting whichever choice the voters go for.

  882. Wes says:

    You know, I always considered Andy Cuomo to be smarter than this. Certainly he he showed greater acumen during his first term than now. I suppose his desire to seek the Dem presidential nomination has led him to reckless, politically questionable acts:

    https://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2018/08/06/cuomo-urges-other-states-to-hit-nra-finances-as-group-claims-losses-540854

  883. Wes says:

    In regard to Ward and McSally – I will ASSUME that supporters of each candidate, no matter who wins the primary, will then support the Republican nominee in the general.

    Just like Christine O’Donnell and Don Blankenship, right, Mikey?

  884. Robbie says:

    This is not fine.

    On its own, it would be awful to lose this many state legislative seats, but to do so right before redistricting would like catastrophic.

    Reid Wilson
    @PoliticsReid

    Republicans are worried they could lose as many as 500 state legislative seats this year, if Pres. Trump’s approval rating remains lousy –

    http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/400630-gop-fears-steep-losses-in-state-legislatures

  885. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 7, 2018 at 12:55 pm
    In regard to Ward and McSally – I will ASSUME that supporters of each candidate, no matter who wins the primary, will then support the Republican nominee in the general.
    Robbie, once again, is showing disdain for the primary voter, instead of supporting whichever choice the voters go for.

    – Nope. I’m not about to support a clown like Ward.

    I’m showing my disdain for the idiots who no longer value winning general elections and only have the goal of making a point in the primary.

  886. Wes says:

    Robbie says:
    August 7, 2018 at 12:59 pm

    NYCmike says:
    August 7, 2018 at 12:55 pm
    In regard to Ward and McSally – I will ASSUME that supporters of each candidate, no matter who wins the primary, will then support the Republican nominee in the general.
    Robbie, once again, is showing disdain for the primary voter, instead of supporting whichever choice the voters go for.

    – Nope. I’m not about to support a clown like Ward.

    I’m showing my disdain for the idiots who no longer value winning general elections and only have the goal of making a point in the primary.

    Says the guy who immediately declared every Republican running in 2016 to be a political dead man walking the second JEB! dropped out of the primaries.

  887. Robbie says:

    Just for the moment, assume Trump’s approval rating is a lead weight around the necks of Republicans and November is a bloodbath that produces:

    – loss of 40 or so seats in the House
    – a break even performance in the Senate
    – loss of 5-10 governorships
    – loss of 400 or more state legislative seats

    If results like these do happen, why wouldn’t the party want to seriously consider whether Trump should be renominated?

  888. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    August 7, 2018 at 1:03 pm
    Says the guy who immediately declared every Republican running in 2016 to be a political dead man walking the second JEB! dropped out of the primaries.

    – Yawn. I stopped talking about Jeb more than 2.5 years ago. It’s only you and Jason fraud who bring him up.

    Is it still 1970?

  889. DW says:

    from RRH:

    Ryan_in_SEPA
    August 7, 2018 at 12:59 pm
    Great roundup I must say. His Orangeness had me laughing out loud.

    Just wait until a conservative on there calls Hillary ‘Her Thighness’ and they will get angry and ban the one who said it.

    A bunch of hypocrites. Might as well be daily kos.

  890. Wes says:

    Robbie says:
    August 7, 2018 at 1:06 pm

    Just for the moment, assume Trump’s approval rating is a lead weight around the necks of Republicans and November is a bloodbath that produces:

    – loss of 40 or so seats in the House
    – a break even performance in the Senate
    – loss of 5-10 governorships
    – loss of 400 or more state legislative seats

    If results like these do happen, why wouldn’t the party want to seriously consider whether Trump should be renominated?

    This is actually a good point. I strongly believe if as Robbie wants, Republicans take it on the chin in November, Trump will face a serious primary challenge in 2020. The argument will be “We backed you, and you led us to defeat with your antics.”

  891. Wes says:

    We bring him up because of your slobbering worship of him, Robbie. JEB! was your be-all/end-all in 2016. He flamed out, and to cope with his loss, you immediately declared Trump would turn 2016 into 1932. You haven’t been able to live with being wrong since then.

  892. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    August 7, 2018 at 1:12 pm
    This is actually a good point. I strongly believe if as Robbie wants, Republicans take it on the chin in November

    – It’s certainly not what I want because damage like this can’t be undone in another two years, especially if Trump is renominated.

    The types of losses I fear are simply what I believe the data is suggesting

    -Trump’s approval rating
    -generic ballot
    -special election results
    -Congressional retirements

  893. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    August 7, 2018 at 1:14 pm
    We bring him up because of your slobbering worship of him, Robbie. JEB! was your be-all/end-all in 2016. He flamed out, and to cope with his loss, you immediately declared Trump would turn 2016 into 1932. You haven’t been able to live with being wrong since then.

    – I’ve said repeatedly in this forum I got 2016 very wrong. I’ve never shied away from it and I’ve never tried to deny it.

    Also, Jeb, regrettably, proved to be a rotten candidate. Go back and read what I wrote about him in September 2015. He ran a terrible campaign and he was a dud on the campaign trail.

  894. Wes says:

    Martin Heinrich releases an internal showing surprisingly soft numbers for a sitting Dem Senator in post-Obama NM:

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BygPDvU_T-LiRVVmdUMwbWtXYkpXUEJ3S3k4dDAwS3p2c3Rz/view

    To wit, internals put the best face on a candidate’s prospects. Heinrich is at 47% in a three way and 50% in a two-way with Johnson.

    Surprisingly since Johnson is not a declared candidate while Rich is, Heinrich posts no head-to-head between the two. I wonder if the results may not have been favorable as expected.

    I’ve considered Heinrich to be an empty suit for years. He won on Obama’s coattails in 2008 and despite leading by wide margins in polling, beat Heather Wilson by only 51-46 in 2012. In the Senate, he’s never distinguished himself and has been little but a backbenching liberal. I begin to wonder if he might be more vulnerable than previously thought.

  895. Wes says:

    Who here thinks Robbie will be playing “Happy Days Are Here Again” if Republicans lose badly in November?

  896. Tina says:

    Her Thighness is an offensive name.

    She was supposed to win 200 million to 1 million.

    Jebot

  897. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    August 7, 2018 at 1:25 pm
    Who here thinks Robbie will be playing “Happy Days Are Here Again” if Republicans lose badly in November?

    – I expect this nonsense from Jason fraud, not you.

  898. Tina says:

    Did we lose the oh congressional seat yet?

  899. lisab says:

    – loss of 40 or so seats in the House
    – a break even performance in the Senate
    – loss of 5-10 governorships
    —————————–

    actually those kind of losses would be fairly common in mid-term elections

    in fact very often a loss of two senate seats would be expected

    the only difference with trump, is that if he loses 40 house seats, he will probably (almost certainly) be impeached

  900. Wes says:

    Since 1902, the average loss of seats in a first midterm is 30 seats. A loss of 40 or more would definitely exceed the average.

  901. lisab says:

    it would exceed the mean average,

    but every two-term president except for reagan and bush since fdr has seen above a 40 seat house loss in a mid-term (and several 1 term presidents)

    it is pretty common actually

  902. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Leftist Cory Booker wants Congress to made a condition of federal block grants that landlords be forbidden to inquire about a prospective tenant’s criminal background.

    The election in 2020 will start out being dominated by the Democratic Party civil war between the far left and left. All to the benefit of the Republicans and Trump.

  903. Chicon says:

    Robbie’s guy, Alex Jones (joke, Robbie, lighten up, Francis), banned by a bunch of social media sites on the same day. I’ll she’d no tears for that goof, but this is not a good thing.

  904. Chicon says:

    935 – this is what I was getting at yesterday…did the fact that you got 2016 wrong (as did I), cause you to change your own methodology as a result?

  905. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    August 7, 2018 at 1:46 pm
    Since 1902, the average loss of seats in a first midterm is 30 seats. A loss of 40 or more would definitely exceed the average.

    – I have no problem citing averages, especially since I advocate using them when it comes to Trump’s approval rating, but I’m not sure using data all the way back to 1902 gives an accurate reflection of the country.

    I’d argue this is a center-right country politically and has been since the mid 1990’s. Or at least, that’s what the voting at the House level suggests. After all, Republicans have controlled the House for 20 of the last 24 years. The map really does favor Republicans thanks to redistricting.

    If Republicans do get their teeth kicked in, I think it will solely be because of Trump the person, not policy. If Rubio, Kasich, Cruz, Romney, or any other Republican was president with the economy we have and the lack of any real “hot” wars, I don’t think the House would be in any danger of turning over. At worst, Democrats might have had a chance to pick up 5-10 seats.

  906. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    August 7, 2018 at 2:41 pm
    935 – this is what I was getting at yesterday…did the fact that you got 2016 wrong (as did I), cause you to change your own methodology as a result?

    – I got 2016 wrong for a lot of reasons as did most people who looked at that race. I assumed most shared my view that Trump was unfit for the office and was just a bridge too far to elect.

    I also underestimated just how unpopular Clinton was. To be honest, the polling indicated there was resistance to her since she couldn’t crack 50% even against Trump, but Trump often polled in the upper 30’s so it seemed highly unlikely he could make up that gap with so much of the party opposed to him on the record.

    Neither Trump nor Clinton were the incumbent either. We only had favorability ratings to go off of in 2016. Well, you can still vote for someone you don’t like personally as we saw.

    As for 2018, I’m simply looking at the metrics which have always been used to gauge how a president’s party will do in a midterm: job approval, generic ballot, retirements/open seats, enthusiasm. And maybe most importantly, Trump won’t benefit from having Hillary as an opponent.

  907. lisab says:

    the metrics are the mean loss of seats in a midterm is roughly -30, and the standard deviation is roughly 15

    so to lose 40 seats would be a z score of less than -1

    which would be bad for trump, because he would likely get impeached

    but would not be noteworthy as an election loss

    it would need to be -60 or so to be outside the norm

  908. CG says:

    Oh, in all fairness, if Ted Cruz were President right now, Republicans would be looking at a pretty brutal midterm election.

    When it comes to Trump though, at least from my perspective, the matter of election results is either secondary or largely irrelevant. It shouldn’t matter how much he or his people “win” or “lose.”

    It’s that he is a bad person who is unworthy of leading this country. The damage that is being done to America is not as easily seen short-term in election results or stock market averages, or anything like that.

    There are more important matters than elections, just as there are more important matters than legislation or policy initiatives, but we should be grateful we have frequent elections, as they are the demonstration of the peoples’ will, whatever it may be. That also means we should be be very focused on defending the integrity of elections and completely intolerant against anybody, domestic or foreign, who might try to interfere with them.

  909. Tina says:

    Oh in all fairness if jeb was president, republicans would be looking at a dismal midterm, the economy would be poor and we would be bogged down in Syria,

  910. CG says:

    It’s fair to compare historical averages and make note of them, but is also fair to look at individual results (when the results have occurred) and ask if Trump himself was a factor.

    In many cases, depending on the makeup of the district, he will be, either for better or worse.

    If Republicans wind up losing a lot of traditionally Republican districts, composed of pro-business white collar educated professionals, he will bear much of the blame.

  911. DW says:

    Tina… and we would not likely have Gorsuch or Kavanaugh.

  912. CG says:

    Ridiculous of course.

    In the specific case of Kavanagh, he is about as “Bush” as Bush gets. His wife was George W’s private secretary in the White House after having worked for him in Texas.

  913. lisab says:

    it is difficult to assign blame with any statistical evidence

    some of the presidents that did NOT have -40 midterms were reagan, carter, nixon and bush

    there is not a lot of consistency

    however, i think kavanaugh will play a big part

    if the dems cannot stop him the antifa dems will probably riot

  914. CG says:

    lisab has been predicting Democrat riots for over a decade now. At least she is consistent.

  915. CG says:

    I don’t know what the relation is supposed to be between Kavanagh and House races.

    Only the Senate votes and that will be done several weeks before the election.

    What to watch for will of course be how specific Dem Senators in tough races vote.

  916. lisab says:

    not democrats

    antifa

  917. NYCmike says:

    “You know, I always considered Andy Cuomo to be smarter than this.”

    -Maybe you should have listened to me.

    Cuomo has been saved by the Republican Senate, which allowed him to look like he was a compromiser and a moderate, even though he is a typical liberal hack politician, who has never seen a government program that he doesn’t love!

  918. CG says:

    So are you saying there is a difference now?

    You were quite insistent both in 2008 and 2012 saying that if Obama lost, there would be riots and bloodshed across America.

  919. CG says:

    Is that post about Cuomo or Donald Trump?

  920. Tina says:

    I thought that Antifa were the modern kkk, aka Drats.

  921. NYCmike says:

    “– Nope. I’m not about to support a clown like Ward.”

    -Typical. Disdain for the primary voters. Disdain for anyone BUT your preferred candidate.

  922. Tina says:

    With jeb, likely a mush pick.

    Good talk right, but legislate from the bench type.

    The soonest we get past the bush stupidity of groper 41 and mute 43 the better.

  923. CG says:

    How come it has been fine for conservatives to boycott “RINOs” when they have won primaries but not the reverse?

    And again, where does one draw the line in regards to an unacceptable candidate of your preferred party? Is there a line at all?

  924. NYCmike says:

    “Is that post about Cuomo or Donald Trump?”

    -Heh….in some ways you are correct…..Trump has been terrible on spending….and just like the NY State Senate, Congress has NOT been very good at crafting legislation which lowers spending.

    In fact, neither body can even write legislation which keeps spending at the rate of inflation. At least the NY State Senate has the excuse that they have to deal with a very liberal Assembly and constituency.

  925. NYCmike says:

    “How come it has been fine for conservatives to boycott “RINOs” when they have won primaries but not the reverse?”

    -When did I ever say it was fine for that to happen?

  926. NYCmike says:

    “It’s that he is a bad person who is unworthy of leading this country. The damage that is being done to America is not as easily seen short-term in election results or stock market averages, or anything like that. ”

    -What has he done, since becoming President, that has been “unworthy” of this office?

  927. CG says:

    You’ve never said one word about all the times people here have said they would not vote for a “RINO” or have bragged about not voting for one. The bottom line is that Robbie doesn’t even live in Arizona. If Ward is nominated, she will probably lose because of Arizonians.

    Are you saying with complete certainty you have never not voted for a Republican nominee?

    Do you think there is a line? What should the voters in IL 3 do as the nominee is an avowed Nazi? What makes the line?

  928. CG says:

    970. his every waking moment.

  929. NYCmike says:

    “I also underestimated just how unpopular Clinton was.”

    -Yes, we can tell by your lack of posts saying “Trump is not my favorite, but if Hillary was President, she would be…..(fill in the blank) totally different.”

  930. NYCmike says:

    “970. his every waking moment.”

    -Much more subtle than Robbie, but just as kookie.

  931. CG says:

    I thought Obama and Clinton were totally unworthy as President as well, so at least I am consistent.

    Trump is the absolutely worst though. You are free to disagree.

  932. Tina says:

    The Clinton groupie still sounds depressed about Hillary losing.

  933. Tina says:

    Yes trump is worse than Clinton and Obama. At least I am “honest.”

    Jebot

  934. CG says:

    Once again, NYC may be picking and choosing which questions posed to him he wants to ignore. Or possibly, he is responding to posts out of order. I’ll wait and see.

  935. Tina says:

    Team uni, has an interesting article attacking Wilbur Ross, the best commerce secretary in 50 years.

    Why?

    Nafta.

  936. Redmen4ever says:

    At least the people killed last weekend in Chicago will live forever at the voting booth.

  937. Robbie says:

    CG says:
    August 7, 2018 at 4:08 pm
    Oh, in all fairness, if Ted Cruz were President right now, Republicans would be looking at a pretty brutal midterm election.

    – Maybe, maybe not. Regardless, this election has become, at least in the suburbs, about Trump’s behavior, manner, and his tweets. We wouldn’t have had to worry about Cruz’s Twitter feed.

  938. CG says:

    Cruz would probably be at about 30% JA already. He’d have no qualms over being divisive himself, whether he used Twitter or some other method.

    I’d still take it over Trump.

  939. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    August 7, 2018 at 4:21 pm
    Tina… and we would not likely have Gorsuch or Kavanaugh.

    – Asinine, but just keep telling yourself fairy tales to justify your support of Trump.

    Bush mentioned Gorsuch as a possibility in 2015 and the list of judges he would have chosen from would have been no different than the list from which Trump chose. Why? Because the list was made by Leonard Leo of the Federalist Society.

    Leo helped GWB chose Roberts and Alito and he would have helped any other Republican (Rubio, Kasich, Romney, Cruz, etc.) chose their judges had they won instead of Trump.

  940. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 7, 2018 at 4:42 pm
    “– Nope. I’m not about to support a clown like Ward.”
    -Typical. Disdain for the primary voters. Disdain for anyone BUT your preferred candidate.

    – You’re right. I do have disdain for idiots who voted for Buck, Angle, COD, Mourdock, Akin, and the other idiots who cost Republicans sure wins.

    Elections are about winning. They’re not about venting and sending a message as your crowd prefers.

  941. NYCmike says:

    “I’d still take it over Trump.”

    -Trump is up for re-election in 2020.

    How about the 2 of you just do all that you can, including speaking well of any and all Republicans when they are attacked by the media, so that all of those “worthy” politicians up for election in 2018 have a united party behind them?

  942. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 7, 2018 at 4:43 pm
    With jeb, likely a mush pick.
    Good talk right, but legislate from the bench type.
    The soonest we get past the bush stupidity of groper 41 and mute 43 the better.

    – Bless your heart. I can just see the IQ points draining from your empty skull.

    Is Alito a mush? Is Roberts a mush? No, of course not, you dummy.

  943. CG says:

    I don’t believe in defending the indefensible.

    I spent years of my life defending just about every Republican possible. Not something I can do anymore because of Trump.

    How come you didn’t answer the questions I put to you NYC?

    One specific one is if you ever failed to vote for George Pataki.

  944. NYCmike says:

    “Elections are about winning. They’re not about venting and sending a message as your crowd prefers.”

    -Agreed.

    That is why I would always advise any primary voter to then support the nominee who wins for the general election…….unlike some of the posters on this blog.

    For example, this person: “– Nope. I’m not about to support a clown like Ward.”

  945. NYCmike says:

    “One specific one is if you ever failed to vote for George Pataki.”

    -When was that?

  946. NYCmike says:

    “How come you didn’t answer the questions I put to you NYC?”

    -Which question was that?

  947. CG says:

    Again NYC, is there any line at all? Is there any bridge too far?

    Don’t run from the question.

  948. CG says:

    I had a post where I asked you several questions. You skipped over it and commented on later posts. I have asked some of the same questions again.

    If you are asking specifically when Pataki ran, it was in 1994, 1998, and 2002.

  949. NYCmike says:

    When I am faced with that “too far” scenario, I’ll let you know.

    Other than David Duke, which candidate in my lifetime ran on racial superiority, or something like that?

  950. NYCmike says:

    “If you are asking specifically when Pataki ran, it was in 1994, 1998, and 2002.”

    -Yes, and I voted for him.

    Why are you saying I did NOT?

  951. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 7, 2018 at 4:48 pm
    -What has he done, since becoming President, that has been “unworthy” of this office?

    – It’s one thing for you to say you’re willing to accept Trump boorish behavior and asinine tweeting if it gets you your preferred policy results.

    It’s another for you to play ignorant and pretend none of what Trump’s done has been unworthy of the office.

    -rage tweeting
    -personal attacks
    -licking Putin’s balls in Helsinki
    -calling the press the enemy of the people (a Stalin line)

  952. CG says:

    So, is David Duke a “too far” scenario? Even against Hillary?

    I have specifically mentioned the Nazi running in IL 3. Is he “too far?” Another Republican Congressional nominee in IL says that Israel was behind 9/11 and that Sandy Hook was staged. “Too far?”

  953. Chicon says:

    984 – if elections are about winning, then you’d vote for whoever the nominee is. Saying I won’t vote for a Republican candidate is the opposite of elections are about winning.

  954. lisab says:

    So are you saying there is a difference now?

    You were quite insistent both in 2008 and 2012 saying that if Obama lost, there would be riots and bloodshed across America.
    ——————-

    fortunately obama won, so we will never know

    but given the anger in the black community at the time, as displayed in ferguson riots, yes i think it is probable that riots would have taken place had obama lost a close election

    but in that case it would have been african americans who saw obama as a hero.

    in this case, antifa will be out in force, and on a good day they are violent.

    fortunately, few outside the antifa types will care. some feminist groups will be out to protest, but they don’t riot

  955. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 7, 2018 at 4:51 pm
    “970. his every waking moment.”
    -Much more subtle than Robbie, but just as kookie.

    – You live in a dream world where Mark Levin is a sage and Trump has conducted himself professionally as president.

    Polls and focus groups have shown voters are embarrassed by Trump’s tweeting and behavior as president. Just because you’re willing to accept it if it gets you the RAISE Act doesn’t mean suburban Republicans are going to feel the same on election day.

  956. CG says:

    This cycle, at the moment, there are at least 4 Republican Congressional nominees who are avowed white supremacists.

  957. NYCmike says:

    “-rage tweeting” – Seriously? Grow the f*ck up, will you, you overly-sensitive p*ssy.

    “-personal attacks” – he RESPONDS to others…..that has worked better than the Dubya Method

    “-licking Putin’s balls in Helsinki” – you seem to be the one enamored with “licking” and “balls”.

    “-calling the press the enemy of the people (a Stalin line)” – have you seen the way the media report stories? Have you seen the way the media buries certain stories which make Democrats look bad, and make Republicans look good?

    There is a war going on in this country….you can choose to ignore it…..but stop trying to deny it.

  958. lisab says:

    I thought that Antifa were the modern kkk, aka Drats.
    ————–

    nah … antifa have more in common with anarchists than actual dems

    think someone like tim the toady vs. bunu

  959. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 7, 2018 at 5:27 pm
    When I am faced with that “too far” scenario, I’ll let you know.
    Other than David Duke, which candidate in my lifetime ran on racial superiority, or something like that?

    – I’ll answer for NYCmike. There’s never going to be a bridge too far for him.

    But to be fair, there’s never going to be a circumstance under which I’ll vote for Trump in 2020.

  960. CG says:

    Well, Jeb Bush would be a “bridge too far.”

  961. NYCmike says:

    “Well, Jeb Bush would be a “bridge too far.””

    -Then you say stupid cr*p like this.

    Jeb would have gotten my vote against Hillary.

    Thankfully, I did not have to make that choice.

    Too bad he lost in 1994. Maybe he would have run in 2000 instead of Dubya.

  962. lisab says:

    But to be fair, there’s never going to be a circumstance under which I’ll vote for Trump in 2020.
    ———————

    just like mccain, or romney or rubio, or cruz, or christie, or paul, or huckabee, or walker, or perry …

  963. CG says:

    Ted Cruz even Tweeted that voters in IL 3 should not vote for the Nazi candidate under any circumstances, saying voting for the Democrat would be better.

    But NYC can’t bring himself to say that. He is insistent that every GOP primary result but sacred, regardless of the implications.

  964. CG says:

    “This is horrific,” Cruz tweeted. “An avowed Nazi running for Congress. To the good people of Illinois, you have two reasonable choices: write in another candidate, or vote for the Democrat. This bigoted fool should receive ZERO votes.”

    Do you agree or disagree, NYC?

  965. jason says:

    This cycle, at the moment, there are at least 4 Republican Congressional nominees who are avowed white supremacists”

    Zzzzzz… and how many Dems are avowed socialists who approve of Castro’s murderous regime? Are they better than “white supremacists”?

    CG says “Trump is a bad person”. Is Hillary, the epitome of corruption and immorality, “better” person? S

    Trump should be supported where he is doing good for the country. He IS doing a lot of good for the country. Where he is not, he should be criticized, like on trade and aspects of foreign policy.

    War on the MSM? No. That is fine with me. Like I said, I don’t know if he can win it, probably can’t, but it is a fight worth waging.

    The MSM is corrupt, biased, despicable.

    Amoral Scumbag and CG should be disgusted at the MSM’s sordid campaign against Trump, but instead since they don’t like him, they think its just peachy. They forget that if Jeb! was President, he would be attacked in the same way as Trump is. THEN it would be a problem.

    The hypocrisy is astounding.

  966. Tina says:

    What ever happened to bubu?

  967. Tina says:

    David Duke is a drat.

    That would be. Drat vs dra thingy.

  968. CG says:

    A socialist is more morally acceptable than a white supremacist but I wouldn’t vote for a socialist either.

    jasonfraud spent years putting together a list of Republicans he said was unworthy of any vote, including Rand Paul, Paul LePage, and at one point Kelli Ward and Donald Trump.

    Now, he and NYC are on the same side insisting that all must be overlooked.

  969. NYCmike says:

    “CG”,

    That’s fine.

    I trust Cruz more than I trust your judgment, for sure.

    I wanted to see what was actually said, and what type of policies these people pushed.

  970. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    August 7, 2018 at 5:34 pm
    “-rage tweeting” – Seriously? Grow the f*ck up, will you, you overly-sensitive p*ssy.
    “-personal attacks” – he RESPONDS to others…..that has worked better than the Dubya Method
    “-licking Putin’s balls in Helsinki” – you seem to be the one enamored with “licking” and “balls”.
    “-calling the press the enemy of the people (a Stalin line)” – have you seen the way the media report stories? Have you seen the way the media buries certain stories which make Democrats look bad, and make Republicans look good?
    There is a war going on in this country….you can choose to ignore it…..but stop trying to deny it.

    – It’s you who needs to get with reality. Trump’s approval is in the toilet precisely because many people are embarrassed by his behavior and manner. Poll after poll shows that and it’s why Republicans are about to get creamed in suburban House races.

    People are tired of the drama, NYCmike. You may not be, but a strong majority of the country is.

    And trust me, had Obama done the very things Trump has, you and the rest of the Tea Party right would be up in arms about how he was diminishing the presidency.

  971. jason says:

    -rage tweeting BFD
    -personal attacks Oh wow, like Obama never attacked
    anybody
    -licking Putin’s balls in Helsinki MSM talking point – lie
    -calling the press the enemy of the people (a Stalin line) – they deserve it, they don’t serve anyone except their leftist ideology scumbags.

    What else do you have?

    Oh yeah, Stormy.

  972. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    August 7, 2018 at 5:42 pm
    But to be fair, there’s never going to be a circumstance under which I’ll vote for Trump in 2020.
    ———————
    just like mccain, or romney or rubio, or cruz, or christie, or paul, or huckabee, or walker, or perry …

    – They were all gay, right?

  973. CG says:

    So, NYC, you are saying an avowed Nazi might be acceptable depending on the policies they pushed?

  974. Tina says:

    Alito was because we conservatives pressured him.

    Remember, you wanted Harriet.

    Roberts failed us on obumblercare, which you like anyway.

  975. NYCmike says:

    “Now, he and NYC are on the same side insisting that all must be overlooked.”

    -Not saying this at all.

    BUT, obviously, my standards seem to be a bit higher, as both of you were OK with Hillary.

  976. Tina says:

    Elections are about Ds wining.

    Jebot

  977. NYCmike says:

    “So, NYC, you are saying an avowed Nazi might be acceptable depending on the policies they pushed?”

    -No, I didn’t say that.

    “Nazi” actually means something. The media has allowed every Republican President in my lifetime to be called a “Nazi”.

    Which meaning do you use? The same one used by the media? I don’t.

  978. CG says:

    I wasn’t “ok” with Hillary, hence not voting for her.

    NYC, what have I said about Arthur Jones that has been untrue or cannot be trusted?

    Are you actually saying that despite his being an avowed Nazi, you would have to take his policy positions into consideration before making a decision?

  979. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 7, 2018 at 5:47 pm
    -rage tweeting BFD
    -personal attacks Oh wow, like Obama never attacked
    anybody
    -licking Putin’s balls in Helsinki MSM talking point – lie
    -calling the press the enemy of the people (a Stalin line) – they deserve it, they don’t serve anyone except their leftist ideology scumbags.
    What else do you have?
    Oh yeah, Stormy.

    – I’ll be interested to see how you handle the election results in November.

    My guess is you’ll do just what lisab has already started to do. You’ll move the goalposts and say big losses were always likely in a president’s first midterm so what’s the big deal. MAGA!

  980. NYCmike says:

    “I wanted to see what was actually said, and what type of policies these people pushed.”

    -Trump has been called a “Nazi”, yet his policies benefit Jews, blacks, hispanics, asians, whites, etc….does that sound like a “Nazi” to you?

  981. lisab says:

    nycmike,

    actually you are safe to not vote for the person cg is talking about — cg is in this case telling the truth about the guy

    he is a nazi

    and ran for a seat in illinois where there was no republican candidate

    since anyone can declare themself a republican, he was able to get on the ticket

  982. Tina says:

    Oh, I am so ok with Hillary.

    I will vote for her in 2020.

    Jebot

  983. jason says:

    People are tired of the drama,”

    It’s possible.

    It’s also possible they are tired of the MSM bias and dishonesty.

    And the only people that are “embarrassed” by Trump didn’t vote for him in the first place. And there are those like me who didn’t vote for him who applaud him for taking a stance against the group think “Pravda” mentality of the MSM.

    I have not met one Trump voter that is sorry to have voted for him. Not one.

  984. CG says:

    It means something to Jones, since he has embraced the label for decades.

    Am I making this up? He is the duly nominated Republican nominee for Congress. Is there anything else you would ever need to know about his views to take into consideration once you know he is a avowed Nazi?

  985. NYCmike says:

    “NYC, what have I said about Arthur Jones that has been untrue or cannot be trusted?”

    -Post some links, and allow people to check him out.

    If he is as bad as Cruz says, it looks like a lost cause.

    The primary voters – what to do with them?

  986. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 7, 2018 at 5:48 pm
    Alito was because we conservatives pressured him.
    Remember, you wanted Harriet.
    Roberts failed us on obumblercare, which you like anyway.

    – Bless your heart. I wrote a letter in October 2005 to McConnell and Bunning asking them to oppose Harriet Miers because she was manifestly unqualified for the Supreme Court.

    My top three choices in in 2005 were Luttig, Alito, and Edith Jones

    Nice try though, Tinfoil.

  987. CG says:

    This is ironic since NYC has said he raises no objection to the comparison between Bob Mueller and the Fuhrer.

    Happy Birthday by the way today to Robert Mueller, a true American patriot and future Time Magazine Man of the Year.

  988. NYCmike says:

    “and ran for a seat in illinois where there was no republican candidate

    since anyone can declare themself a republican, he was able to get on the ticket”

    -Oh, as Paul Harvey would say “and that is the rest of the story”….

  989. lisab says:

    and when i say he is a nazi, i am not resorting to hyperbole … he actually used to dress up in a nazi uniform and proclaims himself a nazi

    he simply found a seat that had no republican candidate, and signed up to run and the gop did not notice and get someone to challenge him in the primary

  990. Tina says:

    Happy Birthday Robert Mueller.

    You deserve time man of the decade.

  991. jason says:

    I have not met one Trump voter that is sorry to have voted for him. Not one.”

    Which doesn’t mean they will all come out and vote in the midterms.

    I hope they do. But that is the only way Dems prevail, if they don’t.

    The rest is wishful thinking by Amoral Scumbag.

    The fact is that Trump’s approval rating, around 44%, is remarkably close to his share of the vote in 2016 (45.9%).

  992. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 7, 2018 at 5:53 pm

    And the only people that are “embarrassed” by Trump didn’t vote for him in the first place.

    – I’ve seen several interviews with Ohio voters today who said they voted for Trump and Tiberi in 2016, but were voting for the Democrat because they were tired of/embarrassed by Trump and his behavior.

  993. Tina says:

    I love you Mulehead.

    I love you Hillary

    Jebot

  994. NYCmike says:

    “This is ironic since NYC has said he raises no objection to the comparison between Bob Mueller and the Fuhrer.”

    -Oh Lord…..silly names on a blog really affect you that much….and are the same as national publications printing/regurgitating leftist talking points over and over?

    You really are a sucker. Bend over and take it again.

  995. lisab says:

    i do not know about the other three candidates cg says exist

  996. CG says:

    He’s the Republican nominee. Shame on the party for allowing it to happen. Now, he is running against a Democrat. Voting for the Democrat is a far better decision than voting for Jones.

    And the GOP nominee against Cheri Bustos seems to be pretty crazy himself. He says 9/11 was done by Israel, Beyoncé is part of the Illuminati, and that Sandy Hook was staged by the U.S. government.

  997. Tina says:

    The national numbers are strange.

    29 percent with black Americans

    35 with Hispanics.

    90 percent with Rs.

  998. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Here are Dave Wasserman’s metrics for a win by Democrat O’ Connor tonight in OH CD-12:

    More
    Here’s my latest estimate of what Danny O’Connor (D) needs in each #OH12 county to win today’s special election (2-party vote share):

    Delaware: 47%
    Franklin: 64%
    Licking: 42%
    Marion: 32%
    Morrow: 31%
    Muskingum: 42%
    Richland: 43%

  999. jason says:

    I don’t agree with associating Mueller with being a Nazi.

    However I agree his investigation is highly partisan and the people he has surrounded himself with to conduct it are highly partisan.

    I think he should long ago have been honest and exonerated Trump from the ridiculous “collusion” charge, and instead has let it linger forever when there is absolutely no evidence of any collusion.

    And of course, the “obstruction of justice” is just as ridiculous. Trump could have fired Comey because he didn’t like his choice of ties, he never needed a reason.

    A liberal rag like Time would of course make Mueller Man of the Year. Very fitting.

  1000. Chicon says:

    Elections are about winning, unless I as an individual don’t like the nominee. Then it doesn’t matter.

    Robbie.

  1001. Tina says:

    I do not kno Mukehead.l
    I think he is corrupt.
    Luis tactics reminds me of nazis.

  1002. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 7, 2018 at 5:57 pm
    I have not met one Trump voter that is sorry to have voted for him. Not one.”
    Which doesn’t mean they will all come out and vote in the midterms.
    I hope they do. But that is the only way Dems prevail, if they don’t.
    The rest is wishful thinking by Amoral Scumbag.

    – The way Democrats win is the way Republicans won in 2010, 2014, and 2016. They win with Independents and they are primed to do that in 2018.

    As I wrote in 522, Independents have swung strongly to the Democrats this year. From Roll Call:

    “In the congressional generic ballot, Fox News found independents now preferring Democrats by 13 points, 32 percent to 19 percent, while the NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey showed them backing a Democratic Congress by more than 20 points.”

  1003. CG says:

    Yes, they are partisan. Mueller and everyone responsible for placing him in the position and everyone above him are all Republican.

  1004. lisab says:

    He’s the Republican nominee. Shame on the party for allowing it to happen. ….

    And the GOP nominee against Cheri Bustos seems to be pretty crazy himself. He says 9/11 was done by Israel, Beyoncé is part of the Illuminati, and that Sandy Hook was staged by the U.S. government.
    ——————————————–

    another republican candidate that found a seat that had no republican candidate and signed up to run

    since you are a “republican” in illinois

    i guess you are partially to blame

    shouldn’t you have brought this up before the primaries instead of bringing it up to people who don’t live in illinois after the fact?

  1005. Tina says:

    The whole collusion is a hoax,

    The whole obstruction is just a drat lie.

  1006. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #1036- Robbie
    This is purely anecdotal. These folks sound like Republican CSPAN callers–“I used to be a Republican, but so&so said or did something blah,blah, blah”.
    Where are the Republicans and Democrats who did not vote for Trump in 2016 and will vote for Balderson today? The media can never find these folks.
    Even if true, you would need to multiply these few folks by tens of thousands for it to be determinant. Can it happen? Yes, but improbable.

  1007. CG says:

    Those aren’t my districts so I couldn’t have realistically run, if that is what you are suggesting, but the all this goes to show how party standards and diligence are suffering under Trump.

    And in the case of JOnes, this was being talked about before the primary. The guy running Downstate, nobody knew anything about at the time, except he is a distant relative of a famous Republican political family and shares their last name.

    BYe.

  1008. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #1036- Robbie
    In this post, you are stating data that has been cherry picked. You are correct about the polls you sight, bot others like The Economist show the GOP +5+ with Independents.
    Once again, you have resorted to your moniker of “half Truth Robbie”!

  1009. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    August 7, 2018 at 6:04 pm
    Elections are about winning, unless I as an individual don’t like the nominee. Then it doesn’t matter.
    Robbie.

    – This is so dumb, but it is HHR.

    You know full well there are certain candidates who simply cannot win a general election because they are either too extreme (Buck in CO in 2010), too compromised (Mourdock and Akin), or just plain kooky (COD). That’s why none of your guys in the Freedom Caucus have tried to run for Senate.

    Just because a sliver of the party, the most extreme portion usually, supports a candidate in the primary doesn’t mean the sane portion of the party should feel obligated to support clownish candidates who can’t win and hurt the overall image of the party.

  1010. lisab says:

    This is purely anecdotal….
    ———————-

    i still see trump signs here in ny …

    i don’t remember seeing obama signs up this long (or bush signs or clinton signs …)

  1011. jason says:

    Between a Nazi ‘Republican” and a Marxist Dem, I wouldn’t vote for either one.

    I don’t know why CG thinks it makes more sense to vote for the Marxist.

    We have had extremists nominated in both parties way before Trump.

    To blame the fact this Nazi got nominated for one out of over 500 house seats on Trump is ridiculous and unfair.

    Party standards and diligence under Trump my ass.

  1012. Tina says:

    The old cspan call in.

    Lol

  1013. Robbie says:

    Sheeple, Jr. says:
    August 7, 2018 at 6:07 pm
    #1036- Robbie
    This is purely anecdotal. These folks sound like Republican CSPAN callers–“I used to be a Republican, but so&so said or did something blah,blah, blah”.
    Where are the Republicans and Democrats who did not vote for Trump in 2016 and will vote for Balderson today? The media can never find these folks.
    Even if true, you would need to multiply these few folks by tens of thousands for it to be determinant. Can it happen? Yes, but improbable.

    – Of course, it’s anecdotal. Still this is a seat Tiberi won with 60% or more each of the last three races. Clearly, some portion of the traditional Republican vote is peeling off otherwise the Republican wouldn’t be struggling to hit 50%.

  1014. jason says:

    ut the all this goes to show how party standards and diligence are suffering under Trump.”

    This type of ridiculous, unfair, over the top, baseless attack on Trump is why CG has no credibility here, nor does his wingman Amoral Scumbag.

    It’s obvious is still sour grapes about Jeb! losing.

    Pathetic.

  1015. Robbie says:

    Sheeple, Jr. says:
    August 7, 2018 at 6:11 pm
    #1036- Robbie
    In this post, you are stating data that has been cherry picked. You are correct about the polls you sight, bot others like The Economist show the GOP +5+ with Independents.
    Once again, you have resorted to your moniker of “half Truth Robbie”!

    – The Economist. LOL. What’s next. A Drudge poll?

  1016. lisab says:

    Those aren’t my districts so I couldn’t have realistically run, if that is what you are suggesting, but the all this goes to show how party standards and diligence are suffering under Trump.

    ———————————-

    i am suggesting you are suddenly yelling about candidates that snuck on the ballots in ILLINOIS,

    where you are supposedly a big republican activist

    yet … you did not seem to mention them before the primaries, or say make a call to one of your gop friends to point them out

    and how is TRUMP responsible of the republican party in ILLINOIS!!!

  1017. jason says:

    I’ve seen several interviews with Ohio voters today who said they voted for Trump and Tiberi in 2016, but were voting for the Democrat because they were tired of/embarrassed by Trump and his behavior.”

    Let me guess.

    You saw it on CNN or MSNBC?

  1018. lisab says:

    jason,

    don’t you know YOU are personally responsible for every candidate who runs in illinois

  1019. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 7, 2018 at 6:16 pm
    ut the all this goes to show how party standards and diligence are suffering under Trump.”
    This type of ridiculous, unfair, over the top, baseless attack on Trump is why CG has no credibility here, nor does his wingman Amoral Scumbag.
    It’s obvious is still sour grapes about Jeb! losing.
    Pathetic.

    – BUT MUH MEDIA!!!

  1020. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 7, 2018 at 6:17 pm
    I’ve seen several interviews with Ohio voters today who said they voted for Trump and Tiberi in 2016, but were voting for the Democrat because they were tired of/embarrassed by Trump and his behavior.”
    Let me guess.
    You saw it on CNN or MSNBC?

    – In fairness, FoxNews was simply playing patriotic music while a picture of Trump was on the screen.

  1021. jason says:

    The Economist is another Trump hating rag. Is Amoral Scumbag suggesting they are pro-Trump?

  1022. jason says:

    In fairness, FoxNews was simply playing patriotic music while a picture of Trump was on the screen.”

    Let me guess.

    CNN went with Lenin and MSNBC went with Stalin?

  1023. Messy says:

    1011. No. David Duke is a Nazi. He had the party card and everything.

  1024. Tina says:

    Looks like the embezzler crumbled under cross today.

  1025. Messy says:

    How did he crumble? He didn’t say a thing that showed that Manafort was an innocent fool who didn’t hurt a fly.

    Gates did indeed say he was a thief and he showed that Manafort was a thief.

    But we knew that coming in.

  1026. Tina says:

    Gates admits that he stole money from trump inaugural committee.

    Gates struggled so badly to give a straight answer that eventually Judge T S Ellis III was forced to intervene. “Did you provide false information or did you have a bad memory?” he asked.

  1027. jason says:

    4 out of 5 Republicans agree that Trump is treated unfairly by the MSM.

    Obviously Amoral Scumbag is not one of them.

    IPSOS:

    “Republicans were far more likely to take a negative view of the media. Forty-eight percent of them said they believed “the news media is the enemy of the American people” (just 28 percent disagreed) while nearly four out of every five (79 percent) said that they believed “the mainstream media treats President Trump unfairly.”

  1028. Messy says:

    Tina: if Gates admitted he stole from the inaugural committee, that doesn’t mean that Manafort is innocent.

    This is like a hit man testifying against a mob boss. He has all the reasons to be honest, which is basically keeping out of jail or only spending a couple of years. If he blows the case or appears to be lying, he’s going to be in the klink for a decade.

    Again, nobody in the MSM is saying that Gates is a hero or even a nice person, in fact, it’s the exact opposite. Gates is a scumbag and a thief who worked for far worse.

  1029. lisab says:

    if Gates admitted he stole from the inaugural committee, that doesn’t mean that Manafort is innocent.
    ——————–

    no, but it shows he is not honest and he has a reason to say anything to keep out of jail

  1030. Tina says:

    Judge T.S. Ellis, who has been tough on the prosecution throughout the case, also interrupted Gates’s testimony after Gates claimed Manafort closely monitored the money coming in and out of the company’s offshore bank accounts.

    ‘[Manafort] didn’t know the amount of money you stole from him, did he?’ asked the judge. ‘So he didn’t keep that close an eye on it.’

  1031. Tina says:

    Ellis is awesome.

    Made the prosecutor cry yesterday and now with the devastating question.

  1032. Tina says:

    The problem with gates is that he failed to inform Fuhrer Mulehead that he embezzled money from the inaugural committee.

  1033. lisab says:

    WASHINGTON
    Habersham County’s Mud Creek precinct in northeastern Georgia had 276 registered voters ahead of the state’s primary elections in May.

    But 670 ballots were cast, according to the Georgia secretary of state’s office, indicating a 243 percent turnout.

    The discrepancy, included in a number of sworn statements and exhibits filed as part of a federal lawsuit against the state by election security activists, comes amid swelling public concern for the security of Georgia’s voting systems. Georgia is one of four states that uses voting machines statewide that produce no paper record for voters to verify, making them difficult to audit, experts say.

  1034. Messy says:

    1073. Everything he said about Manafort was backed up with documents confiscated during that raid last year.

    The previous witnesses testimony prior to Gates taking the stand corroborated this. The only way that Manafort has a chance is through jury nullification a-la OJ.

    As to the inaugural committee, there’s been evidence that lots of others had been doing that too. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2018/01/18/one-year-after-trumps-inauguration-no-one-say-how-they-spent-extra-money/1043804001/

  1035. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Moron Messy postulates the “everyone does it defense” in #1079.

  1036. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Anecdotal good news about the OH CD-12 contest:

    August 7, 2018 at 6:53 pm
    Glenn McEntyre @Glenn10TV 2 minutes ago
    .@Troy_Balderson strategist tells me Republicans are 55% of Election Day turnout. Says he was hoping for 50%. #OH12 #10TV (H/T: RRH)

  1037. NYCmike says:

    Sheeple,

    Please STOP!

    Don’t be like a Robbie with the Lord Ashcraft early exits…..just wait for the votes to be counted.

  1038. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    TICK TOCK article from The Hill magazine. Bruce Ohr and his wife should be indicted.

    http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3677378/posts

  1039. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #1082
    I am sorry that you have an allergy to positive news.
    Then again, you could not hurt someone more than you did in the post by comparing me to Robbie even with this minor aspect of life! Low Blow! LOL!!!
    My hands will be quiet from now until later this p.m.

  1040. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 7, 2018 at 6:33 pm
    4 out of 5 Republicans agree that Trump is treated unfairly by the MSM.
    Obviously Amoral Scumbag is not one of them.

    – That’s not totally correct. I think a lot of what CNN and MSNBC do is over the top, but Trump gives his enemies plenty of ammo to shoot at him.

  1041. Messy says:

    1080. The aptly named Sheeple Jr. thinks I gave that as a defense of Gates. Millions went missing from the Inaugural committee. It was a slush fund par excellance. Trump doesn’t want that particular swamp drained.

  1042. Tina says:

    I want an oh win for,the d.

    Jebot

  1043. Robbie says:

    Sheeple, Jr. says:
    August 7, 2018 at 6:58 pm
    Moron Messy postulates the “everyone does it defense” in #1079.

    – I love Manafort is now worth defending simply because he worked for Trump even though Manafort is clearly a major tax cheat.

  1044. Chicon says:

    1088 – I love how Manafort is now worth punishing simply because he worked for Trump even though the Obama DOJ had chosen not to prosecute him.

  1045. Messy says:

    1088. I bet they even support the war he helped start in Iraq last year. (I wonder how he managed to get THAT gig?)

    People died because of Manafort in Ukraine. The Trump administration agreed to sell missiles to Ukraine in exchange for them dropping their investigation on his nefarious deeds.

    Whatever you think of Trump, there’s no defending Manafort or Gates.

  1046. Messy says:

    1089. That was a mistake on their part. So you think that money laundering and tax evasion is okay, then?

    I think Cy Vance should be in jail for not throwing Harvey Weinstein in the klink when he had the bastard on tape. Same thing with Ivanka, Eric and Donnie with the Trump Tower SoHo deal.

  1047. Phil says:

    Charges against Manafort and his current trial don’t have a thing to do with Trump. Nada Zero

    That’s just a fact.

  1048. lisab says:

    1073. Everything he said about Manafort was backed up with documents confiscated during that raid last year.
    ———————-

    yes, i agree, the prosecutor has proven gates is not to be trusted, has committed crimes, and will go to prison for a long period unless he says exactly what the prosecution wants

  1049. Tina says:

    Gates leads us to Trump.

  1050. Bitterlaw says:

    I do not like tax cheats. IF Manofort did commit crimes, I hope he gets the max penalty. Both can be true.

    If he is not guilty I hope he just fades into obscurity.

  1051. lisab says:

    Paul Manafort’s deputy Rick Gates admits he had a mistress, bought her a London apartment, stole millions from his boss – and may have embezzled from TRUMP’S inauguration funds

    Paul Manafort’s long-time deputy testified for second day at his former boss’s fraud trial in Alexandria, VA and came under fierce fire from the defense

    Rick Gates admitted he had lied repeatedly about his own conduct to Robert Mueller’s special counsel probe before making a plea bargain

    He admitted he had a mistress whom he had bought a London apartment and admitted that he had stolen millions from Manafort himself

    Woman was unnamed but Gates is a married father of four who said his wife now knew about the affair

    He earlier told prosecutors that he said Manafort and he set up a network of offshore shell companies and bank accounts to hide income from the IRS

    Cash-strapped Manafort wrote ‘WTF’ when he saw how much tax he owed and ordered Gates to bring down the bill illegally, Gates testified

    ‘Mr Manafort had a great day in court,’ his attorney Kevin Downing said as he left the courthouse

  1052. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    August 7, 2018 at 7:22 pm
    1088 – I love how Manafort is now worth punishing simply because he worked for Trump even though the Obama DOJ had chosen not to prosecute him.

    – Yawn. If the charges were bogus, a judge would have thrown them out. The prosecution has a significant paper evidence showing how Manafort was a tax cheat.

    But if Manafort is a hill worth dying on for Trumpers, have at it.

  1053. Wobbles says:

    Charges against Manafort and his current trial don’t have a thing to do with Trump. Nada Zero”

    I know.

    But I love pretending they do.

  1054. Wobbles says:

    Lord Arsehat has called it for the Democrat.

  1055. jason says:

    Dem has a 10k vote lead but 8k of that is Franklin early vote. Nate Cohn says not to read much into it.
    Let’s see.

  1056. jason says:

    It would be fun if the Green deadender, currently 0.7% of the vote, cost the Dem the election.

  1057. lisab says:

    I do not like tax cheats.
    ——————

    i think it is not unlikely he cheated on taxes

    but the reason i would vote not guilty is because it is pretty clear that it is a politically motivated prosecution

    it is also why i would not advocate prosecuting hillary

  1058. Robbie says:

    Wobbles says:
    August 7, 2018 at 8:00 pm
    Charges against Manafort and his current trial don’t have a thing to do with Trump. Nada Zero”

    I know.

    But I love pretending they do.

    – Jason fraud, show me where I’ve said Manafort’s trial has any effect on Trump? I know you like to lie so I assume that explains this lie.

  1059. mnw says:

    Win or lose, & I MEAN this even if he wins, I don’t think Balderson was “Trump-y enough.”

    Balderson ran away from the issues that enabled Trump to win all those states that Romney lost: immigration & trade, principally.

  1060. Proud Obamacon says:

    Hope we can win in OH12 today. The fact that we’re even talking about OH12 is something! Yall ready for the BLUE WAVE?

    #RESIST!!

  1061. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    August 7, 2018 at 8:09 pm
    Win or lose, & I MEAN this even if he wins, I don’t think Balderson was “Trump-y enough.”

    – As I predicted a few weeks ago, if Republicans have a really bad election day in November, the pro-Trump faction will say the only reason Republicans lost is because they weren’t enough like Trump. It will have nothing to do with a president who has an approval rating in the low 40’s.

  1062. jason says:

    ason fraud, show me where I’ve said Manafort’s trial has any effect on Trump?”

    So why are you so excited about it, Amoral Scumbag?

  1063. lisab says:

    ‘Survival of our democracy’ depends on banning sites like InfoWars, Dem senator says
    ———————————–

    survival of democracy depends on censoring speech …. mmmmmmmmmkay

  1064. jason says:

    Hey ObamaCON, how are things in the socialist paradise of Venezuela?

  1065. Proud Obamacon says:

    “but the reason i would vote not guilty is because it is pretty clear that it is a politically motivated prosecution”

    LOL Whatever happened to following the rule of law? Yall don’t even want Democracy, do you? you just want your precious Orange King LOL

    #not.my.president

  1066. Todd McCain says:

    Dave Wasserman??Verified account? @Redistrict · 2m2 minutes ago

    ? More

    Our estimates said O’Connor (D) needed ~42% in Muskingum; he’ll probably end up below that based on EV. But Balderson (R) was always going to get a hometown boost there (question was how much), so it’s not a deal-breaker for O’Connor. Need to see *a lot* more precincts.

  1067. Todd McCain says:

    Kristin Fisher??Verified account? @KristinFisher · 2h2 hours ago

    ? More

    Balderson campaign spokesman says (as of 4:30 PM) Republicans have made up 55% of the election day turnout #OH12

  1068. Tina says:

    Gates leads us to Trump

    Maggie says so,

  1069. NYCmike says:

    Will Wissing give us an Election Night thread?

    Or did he forget to clock in to his JOB, again?!?!

  1070. lisab says:

    if Republicans have a really bad election day in November
    —————–

    what would a really bad day be according to you?

    that is a meaningless statement unless you put actual boundaries on it.

    losing 31 seats is the mean, and the standard deviation is about -25 since 1910

    so from a historical point of view the loss would have to be -56 or more to be at all out of the normal range

    because otherwise you will just say, “(checks results) oh without trump the gop would have loss less seats”

    but since you never give an actual number before the election, your statements are meaningless

  1071. VictrC says:

    An important “bellwether” election night so thought I would drop by. Seems everything is as it was…LOL

    I expected to see a bit more about tonight’s elections in Ohio and Kansas. Let’s hope that after all the hoopla we get a decent victory rather than a nail biter in Ohio.

    good to see everyone.

    Obamacon…If Obama was my President (and he was) then his ornateness is your President. 😉 and were a Republic. Just a reminder 🙂

  1072. Proud Obamacon says:

    “Will Wissing give us an Election Night thread”

    OH12 should be a slam dunk. In a normal year, it wouldnt even make the news… LOL

    #Worst.President.Evahhh

  1073. Proud Obamacon says:

    Thanks Victrc but I refuse to refer to a racist fascist as “My President”. Sorry

    And thanks for the reminder that reliably red districts are now bellweathers.

    Feel the wave

    #RESIST

  1074. lisab says:

    LOL Whatever happened to following the rule of law?
    ———————————

    as a lockean i don’t support prosecuting people for political reasons

    as has been pointed out obama’s doj declined to prosecute when it was not political, so i don’t support it now

    selective prosecution based on political biases leads to banana republics

  1075. Tina says:

    Schweikart tweeted that the d is running well behind.

    Fwiw.

  1076. JC says:

    James is crushing it in Michigan.

    If he’s the nominee I think this seat might become competitive.

  1077. VictrC says:

    Obama…for this year, where Dems need 23 seats to flip…this is a bellwether.

    Seems people are using the words “racist” and especially “fascist” flippantly lately. Its a shame.

    vote.ohio.gov has better and faster results than CNN

    There the gap has closed by about 2,000 votes, with Balderson still down 29K to 21K. Cant tell who has reported

  1078. Proud Obamacon says:

    Sure lisab, and you have no issues with “Lock her up”.. got it

  1079. Bitterlaw says:

    Great. Special Elections for trolls are like chum in the water for sharks.

    Jump need poster Trump to show up.

  1080. Todd McCain says:

    Dave Wasserman??Verified account? @Redistrict · 54s54 seconds ago

    ? More

    15/45 Muskingum Co. precincts in, Balderson (R) up 64%-35% there. That’s on par w/ Trump & a pretty good number for him in his hometown. #OH12

  1081. VictrC says:

    I don’t troll….I selectively post.

    😉 nice to see you Bitter

  1082. jason says:

    “the fact that we’re even talking about OH12 is something!’

    LOL

    Marxist moron moves the goalposts….

    “Talking about OH-12” is a win for the little communist troll.

  1083. VictrC says:

    Big dump and Balderson gains.

    Down to 53,5% to 45.6% he’s gaining.

  1084. lisab says:

    Sure lisab, and you have no issues with “Lock her up”.. got it
    ———————–

    as i said in #1102, yes, i would also have an issue with prosecuting hillary

    at least at this time by this president

  1085. Proud Obamacon says:

    Yeah in a district won by your Orange Hero by 11 points, yeah talking about it tells us all we need about where the country is headed. Yes we are deep in your red territory.

    If yall could hold your R+7 districts, this would be a snoozer election in OH12.

  1086. Proud Obamacon says:

    We’ve secured the Blue seats, we have the swing districts, and now we have turned districts up to R+10 into battlegrounds.. so yes, goalposts have moved. Moved deep into yall’s supposedly solid red districts

    #FEEL.THE.WAVE

  1087. Paul says:

    A lot of Franklin County yet to come in. They are showing only 35% reported.

  1088. JC says:

    Some simplistic math based on the numbers so far, Balderson should come out ahead with 115,000 votes while O’Connor gets 105,000. Assuming that that GOP does represent 55% of the Election Day vote, and that the total stays on track for a 220k turnout.

    Of course, that’s using anecdotes as data so…

  1089. victrC says:

    No one is “locking her up” that is also partisan hyperbole.

    The reason we are interested in this election is to see if all the media and left leaning hype is true. If Balderson wins by a decent amount, that blue wave is nothing more than a ripple

  1090. Paul says:

    Predict is now at 70% for the Dem to win. Time to make some money if you are certain that Balderson pulls through.

  1091. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    August 7, 2018 at 8:29 pm
    if Republicans have a really bad election day in November
    —————–

    what would a really bad day be according to you?

    that is a meaningless statement unless you put actual boundaries on it.

    losing 31 seats is the mean, and the standard deviation is about -25 since 1910

    – Move those goalpost!

    A few months ago, no need to worry. I was overreacting to the bad performances in special elections, Trump’s approval rating, and the generic ballot.

    Now, Republicans were always going to lose a lot of seats. Big deal.

  1092. Tina says:

    Schweitzer thinks balder pain wins by 5.

  1093. Tina says:

    *balderson

  1094. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 7, 2018 at 8:13 pm
    ason fraud, show me where I’ve said Manafort’s trial has any effect on Trump?”

    So why are you so excited about it, Amoral Scumbag?

    – LOL! Excited about it? Where have I been excited about it? You’re just looking for a reason to lash out. I get it, though. Things are rotten for Trump and the Republicans and you need to vent.

  1095. Proud Obamacon says:

    Let’s remember that Tiberi won OH12 in 2016 with 67% of the vote. That is the district that we are biting nails about.. Blue wave coming yall

  1096. NYCmike says:

    “– Move those goalpost!

    A few months ago, no need to worry.”

    -It has been at least a year since, I believe it was Chicon, first pointed out the average loss of seats is between 20-30. Which is very similar to what lisab is saying now.

    So PLEASE don’t say anyone is moving the fences. The “fence” was never insurmountable, be it President Trump, Bush, Reagan, Nixon, Clinton, Obama, etc.

  1097. Paul says:

    A lot of votes from Delaware county needs to come in. What we have might be early voting and bluer than the rest of the vote.

  1098. NYCmike says:

    lisab did ask you to pick a number.

    Or will you continue to be like that Bolger guy……you know, the one you mentioned said something about a 50-seat-loss?

    AND, also said they may hold the House….WHICH YOU STILL HAVE NOT ACKNOWLEDGED!

    Again, you ONLY mentioned the negative parts…..typical of a guy HOPING for a negative return.

  1099. Proud Obamacon says:

    It’s indeed going down to the wire. Whoever wins, I don’t really care. Of course it would be great to win and I hope we do.

    Orange+11 districts better watch out .. we comin’!

    #FEEL.THE.WAVE

  1100. VictrC says:

    Not a comparable. Tiberi was an incumbent, in a Presidential election year. No one could have expected the same results in a mid season, mid term special election in August.

    Anything that is fairly close to the R+7 the district is would signal bad news for the “wave.”

  1101. lisab says:

    Move those goalpost!
    ————-

    yes, you always move the goal post after the fact

    what is your actual prediction?

    anyone can look at what happened on election day +1 and say, “i knew it would be this bad/good”

    and

    i am telling you that historically speaking, losing more than 56 seats would be -1 z-score

    that is an actual metric

  1102. Paul says:

    VictrC is a spinnin’

  1103. Proud Obamacon says:

    It’s most definitely comparable. But if you must insist, then we can look at 2014 when Tiberi got 68%. Numbers .. stubborn things.

    I don’t understand your last sentence.

  1104. Bitterlaw says:

    I do not count you among the trolls, Vic. I hope you are well. I like knowing that atheism Philly Special was called on your headset.

  1105. jason says:

    Nate Cohn:

    “Hard for me to properly sort this out without the help of a preprogrammed model to do it for me, but right now I’d rather be Balderson.”

  1106. Paul says:

    Balderson might pick up 500 more votes in Richland. 3000 more votes in Licking. That might not be enough to erase the 4000-5000 vote lead.

    Plus Delaware is coming in and is still Dem leading there. And more Franklin to come in.

    It will be close. But I think Balderson doesn’t make it.

  1107. lisab says:

    well, oconner is hearing footsteps now

    only up by 2.5k

  1108. jason says:

    I don’t know why ObamaCON is talking about Ohio when he could be spinning for his hero Maduro (Madero to messy) in his socialist paradise of Venezuela.

  1109. VictrC says:

    As we speak he takes the lead.

    Bitter…the headphones were fun, but we have actually designed something that turns an iPhone into the worlds most secure phone. Tested by over 25 governments, and never been able to crack it. Not one word of voice, either on a call, or when you have it by your side talking normally during the day (which is when most attacks and “leaks” happen.)

  1110. BRENT says:

    AND BALDERSON TAKES THE LEAD

  1111. lisab says:

    Delaware just flipped red

  1112. Tina says:

    Balder son with the lead, per Barris.

  1113. lisab says:

    oconnor up by 1k

  1114. Paul says:

    It will be tighter than a tick on a dog.

  1115. jason says:

    Trump had 34% of the vote in Franklin, Balderson right now has 34%.

    What happened?

  1116. BRENT says:

    WASSERMAN FRANKLIN COUNTY MAY NOT BE ENOUGH TO PUSH OCONNOR TO A WIN

  1117. Paul says:

    I think Balderson has 1500 net votes more in Delaware. And Danny with 1000 net votes more in Franklin.

  1118. Victrc says:

    How are we expecting the rest of Delaware county to come in. Right now its only marginally leaning R. How many votes are left in this county?

  1119. BRENT says:

    Dave Wasserman
    ?Verified account @Redistrict
    2m2 minutes ago

    Breaking: O’Connor (D) takes 1,291 (0.8%) lead w/ 88% of Franklin Co. reporting. Delaware Co. burbs loom large, Balderson (R) may have ever-so-slight edge overall. #OH12
    0 replies 4 retweets 1 like

  1120. lisab says:

    oconnor up by 600

  1121. jason says:

    Franklin 88% in. It comes down to Delaware, 76% out. …..Trump won by 16.

  1122. jason says:

    Maybe my hope will come through and the Green deadender will cost the Dems the election.

  1123. lisab says:

    franklin has stopped reporting

    it has been stuck at 88% for a while

  1124. Paul says:

    More has come in from Delaware, but the net lead for Balderson has shrunk ever so slightly. Not a good sign for him.

  1125. lisab says:

    franklin just updated

    oconnor up by 1400

  1126. Paul says:

    Dem is back in the lead on the Predict markets. They are having a fun night.

  1127. Paul says:

    I was predicting Balderson to net 2000 total votes out of Delaware. That isn’t coming through so far.

  1128. victrc says:

    How many votes total in Delaware county? Half the precincts are in and doesnt look like enough votes to put balderson over the top.

    Anyone know what the vote is there traditionally?

  1129. lisab says:

    occonor is doing well in delaware

  1130. Bitterlaw says:

    I did not follow this race. I keep forgetting which candidate is the Republican.

  1131. phoenixrisen says:

    John James wins GOP Senate nomination in Michigan per DecisionDesk HQ. Have to give the edge to O’Connor in OH-12. I don’t know if Balderson can overcome that

  1132. Proud Obamacon says:

    OH is
    r+7
    Orange won by 11
    Romney won by 10
    Balderson: 67% in ’16 and 68% in ’18
    Millions and millions spent by Rethugs on this race

    Winner/loser does not even matter. The real outcome was whether or not this would be a nailbiter, and it is.

    All such districts are now in play in Nov.

    Blue Wave yall. We comin’

  1133. lisab says:

    paul,

    Balderson is up 1700 in delaware, so you are close

  1134. victrc says:

    Bitter…Balderson is the R

    Who called the Green party costing the Dems the election?

    Does anyone think the R are holding back part of Delaware to see what they will need. Oh wait, that’s the Dems up in northern Ohio. Forgot that 😉

  1135. Proud Obamacon says:

    “OH is” should be “OH12 is”

  1136. lisab says:

    occonnor up by 150 votes!

  1137. jason says:

    Who called the Green party costing the Dems the election?”

    Me, me, me.

    It’s fun when the shoe is on the other foot.

    Go GREEN!

  1138. victrc says:

    Jason

    The green candidate, who is the same one again, pulled 3% last election. Shame he’s not doing the same in this election!!!! Then we could go to watch the Mets lose again in peace.

  1139. Proud Obamacon says:

    Go watch the Mets lose. We already know the most important outcome of the day which is that all districts up to R+7 are in play.

  1140. jason says:

    I think Balderson will net another 2k out of Delaware. He is up by 1700 with half the vote in and that includes the early vote which he lost.

    I think there are about another 4k votes in Franklin, the Dems cannibalized a lot of votes there. O’Connor will get 2/3 say 3k and Balderson 1/3 say 1500.

    So maybe Balderson wins by 500 votes and the Green gets 1100 votes.

  1141. Paul says:

    At this moment I think Balderson wins. It is all up to Delaware County. His lead jumped to almost 2000 in the last batch. Could that be a strong Trumpland. And now his lead will shrink. Or is it indicative of the whole county and he’s on track to gain a few thousand more.

  1142. NYCmike says:

    Hey P.O.,

    Show some enthusiasm, will ya!? Robbie is making you look like an old codger!

  1143. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag will claim another moral victory.

  1144. Tina says:

    75 precincts remain in de. County own 11 in Franklin.

  1145. jason says:

    Dammit, Balderson pulling away in Delaware, now is up more than the Green vote.

    That sucks.

  1146. Tina says:

    The fact that we Re talking about oh 12 is proof that the Rs are facing an upcoming bloodbath. I am so happy,

    Jebot

  1147. Proud Obamacon says:

    I’m ecstatic. We have taken the battle deep into red territory. This is a safe red district and yall need to sweat it out hoping the Green candidate plays spoiler. LOL

  1148. dblaikie says:

    In Delaware County the city of Delaware is more blue because of Ohio Wesleyan College. If those votes are in then what is left are suburban and lots of rural areas which will be more red. I think Balderson will pull this out.

  1149. Proud Obamacon says:

    I will say the Jebot is spot on with his analysis.

  1150. jason says:

    O’Connor got 80% of the early vote in Franklin, but since then its been about 60-40.

  1151. dblaikie says:

    Franklin County is at 99% reported everything left is Delaware. O’Connor is only about 200 votes ahead with the last Franklin dump. Balderson should win.

  1152. jason says:

    The little Marxist troll is ecstatic with another loss.

    How special.

  1153. dblaikie says:

    Only 64% percent of Delaware vote is in.

  1154. victrc says:

    Its funny watching CNN returns. To keep their viewers happy they are delaying the results, so its showing Oconnor up by 2%, rather than the actual 200 vote difference right now.

  1155. CG says:

    We will see who wins the special election soon enough. I categorized it as “Leans Republican” months ago, but chose not to change it late even though it is clearly a Tossup.

    Balderson may win, but I think the only reason is it is close is because Trump is a negative and has driven up turnout for Democrats by getting involved.

    Trump won this district with 52 percent but Romney had won it with 54 percent. This is considered an upscale highly educated district and in 2016, there were more votes the Libertarian or for others than in most districts nationwide, as Hillary only got 41 there. Trump had already lost ground for the party in 2016 as compared to 2012. Other “blue-collar” Ohio districts might be different.

    Balderson needed to hold a rally with Kasich to shore up the vote he needed, not Trump.

  1156. dblaikie says:

    Nate Cohen is throwing in the towel. Only one precinct left in Franklin County. Balderson is up 15 in today’s vote (he lost early vote).

  1157. Proud Obamacon says:

    Yes Jason, I”m ecstatic on a loss. I would love it if all Rethugs came away happy tonight LOL

  1158. jason says:

    GOP turnout is pretty good in MO and MI.

    Unfortunately Kobach is winning in KS, but only 25% in.

  1159. phoenixrisen says:

    Agreed dB. Looks like Balderson has it. However the House is going to be very hard for the GOP to hold. The enthusiasm gap advantage the Dems have is really showing.

  1160. Proud Obamacon says:

    Quick math says Balderson wins by 800. And yes, I’m ecstatic. Rethugs celebrate!

  1161. dblaikie says:

    He is up 15 in Delaware County in today’s vote. There is 44 precincts left there.

  1162. jason says:

    Balderson needed to hold a rally with Kasich to shore up the vote he needed, not Trump.”

    I disagree.

    I bet it was the Trump rally that put him over, the momentum before the rally was all with O’Connor.

    I know you hate to do it, but you should credit Trump to get out his base to vote.

    Kasich would have brought nothing to the table.

  1163. BayernFan says:

    at this point three months out and given OH12, I think the GOP ought be concerned about turnout enthusiasm in November. Usually, the GOP does better in that regard in off years, but the Dems prolly will have an advantage this time around. All hands on deck.

  1164. dblaikie says:

    Balderson keeps gaining in Delaware he is now up 8 points.

  1165. CG says:

    I find myself wanting Balderson to win for one reason… I don’t want an incorrect special election prediction on my “record.” If I get this one wrong, I have to do a blog post about it and explain why, and that will delay me a day from getting to post about the barn burner Connecticut Senate race.

  1166. jason says:

    I will say the Jebot is spot on with his analysis.”

    The Jebots and the Marxist agree?

    What a surprise.

  1167. Tina says:

    Drudge

    Balderson wins

    Talk about that Jebot losahs.

  1168. Victrc says:

    Jason…agree with you on Kobah in KS. I really hope that Colyer pulls it out. It will help all R candidates in November.

    As for this election, I will be very happy to hear the words Congressman Balderson. I could care less how close it is, moral victories are for the losing side (trust me, I’m a Mets fan…well, they lost 25-4, but at least we scored 3 in the ninth!)

    Balderson will have the power of the incumbency in November, and NEVER underestimate its power. This was the D chance to turn this seat. November won’t be this close

  1169. Tina says:

    Balder son owes trump big time.

    He was down going into the weekend.

    Big successful rally.

    Phuq Kasichm the mailman refused to help.
    He will likely run turf party.

  1170. jason says:

    CG, Amoral Scumbag and Little Marxist ObamaCON are all SOOOOO disappointed.

    Oh well, there’s always the “moral victory”.

  1171. phoenixrisen says:

    BF, I can see Trump campaigning on behalf of GOP House candidates in tight districts. He definitely has a positive
    impact on congressional races. Good coattails
    That they need to untilize to full effect

  1172. CG says:

    The Trump rally and Balderson awkwardly grovelling to him did nothing but inspire Democrats to come out and vote.

    This is not a strong Trump district. Tariffs are a reason why.

    In any event, for all the talk about “red waves” on HHR, the Republicans should expect to lose a bunch of seats in the House this fall. That’s just reality.

  1173. Robbie says:

    It looks like Balderson will win narrowly, but this result does not suggest good news for November. O’Conner crushed it in the once reliable suburbs. This will only fuel the notion the suburbs are going to be a killing field in November.

    Tiberi won this district with percentages over 60% in 2012, 2014, and 2016. The drop off of 15 points or so is consistent with what we’ve seen in the other special elections other than the one in Utah.

  1174. Tina says:

    Well, we can now go back to talking about Gates, obstruction, and stormy.

    Jebot

  1175. jason says:

    Balder son owes trump big time.”

    Yep, the fact CG won’t acknowledge that shows the depth of his TDS.

    I like Kasich, I voted for him in the PA primary, but he would have done nothing for Balderson.

  1176. Big Joe says:

    Well I haven’t followed this election. Quick glance at the numbers show that the Democratic share of the vote is approaching 2016 levels – so definitely plenty of enthusiasm here.

    And I’m grateful that Wolf Blitzer is not doing the play by play .. “OH! It changed again! Look at that!”

    Big Joe

  1177. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 7, 2018 at 10:08 pm
    CG, Amoral Scumbag and Little Marxist ObamaCON are all SOOOOO disappointed.

    Oh well, there’s always the “moral victory”.

    – Wrong, you worthless Trump dick gobbler.

    I’m glad it appears the Republican will win, but a measly 1% victory is a disaster compared to the totals Tiberi got.

    Republicans face a wipeout in the suburbs, but keep telling yourself fairy tales that everything is fine you unprincipled Trump supporting hack.

  1178. Tina says:

    Uh, he was down going in.

    The rally was large and helpful.

    Yes, balderson had issues.

    But he owes trump.

    This could have been Connor lamb 2.0.

  1179. jason says:

    Poor CG and Amoral Scumbag.

    They can’t come here to celebrate the win, so they resort to the old “did not live up to expectations”.

    Zzzzzzzz……

    I think they are mostly upset that Trump helped Balderson pull it off.

    That must hurt.

  1180. CG says:

    If not for Trump, this wouldn’t even be a close call for Republicans. The same for all the other districts.

    I maintain that he did not help Balderson this weekend, for all his Tweeting about LeBron James and everything else, he at least slightly hurt him.

    If Trump wants to get involved in something that might help Republicans, it would be a district like WV 3, where polls show the Republican is struggling against the Democrat in an open seat.

  1181. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 7, 2018 at 10:06 pm
    Drudge

    Balderson wins

    Talk about that Jebot losahs.

    – Bless your heart. Show me a post were I was rooting for a loss, you dummy.

  1182. Tina says:

    Classic msm.

    If balderson wins big,me move quickly to muh scandal.

    If balderson wins narrowing oh,MThe same garbage in,mar age out.

  1183. Tina says:

    And the Jebots Lap up the msm talking points to, much like dogs eating Alpo.

  1184. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 7, 2018 at 10:12 pm
    Poor CG and Amoral Scumbag.

    They can’t come here to celebrate the win, so they resort to the old “did not live up to expectations”.

    Zzzzzzzz……

    I think they are mostly upset that Trump helped Balderson pull it off.

    That must hurt.

    – It’s a drastic underperformance because Trump is a lead weight around the neck of Republicans. If you weren’t an unprincipled hack, you’d be willing to admit that

  1185. dblaikie says:

    A win is a win.

  1186. jason says:

    Hey Big Joe, how goes it?

    I don’t watch CNN, Wolf or no Wolf, but I did watch their 2016 coverage later for laughs.

    Yeah, CNN breaking news, KY with 0.01% of the vote in.

  1187. Todd McCain says:

    Also looking like Colyer is on course to win as well.

  1188. Proud Obamacon says:

    No no no guys, what’s with all the rational points? Yall won, you supposed to be happy and go about your business like all is good. Come on .. now I’m getting worried LOL

    #FEEL.THE.WAVE

  1189. Tina says:

    I know that Ted Cruz is now in trouble.

    He asked Trump to campaign for him.

    This shows a bloodbath coming.

    Jebot

  1190. Bayernfan says:

    Agreed phoenix. Border, border crime, ICE. 24/7. and Waters.

  1191. CG says:

    I take it that jason’s position is that there were all the AFL-CIO conservatives who were going to either vote Democrat or sit out the election until Trump came to town, but they showed up for Balderson, whom they were suspicious of because they are with Trump on tariffs and the rest.

    That’s a theory alright, but it doesn’t match the political profile of this specific district or the fact that there are so many white-collar suburban pro-business voters.

  1192. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag call someone else an “unprincipled hack”.

    I love this place.

  1193. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 7, 2018 at 10:14 pm
    And the Jebots Lap up the msm talking points to, much like dogs eating Alpo.

    – Sweetheart (and I mean that in the most condescending way possible), anyone with functioning brain cells understood 15 months ago Trump’s unpopularity was going to be a real problem in the suburbs and we continue to see that.

    But by all means, listen to Larry Schweikert who said Balderson would in by 5 points.

  1194. Tina says:

    Yup, win is a win.

    Thank goodness for the timely rally,

    Polling showed what would have happened if no rally.

  1195. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 7, 2018 at 10:16 pm
    Amoral Scumbag call someone else an “unprincipled hack”.

    I love this place.

    – You’re the worthless sack of monkey crap who hated Trump every day of the campaign, refused to vote for Trump, left the party over, and then decided to support Trump simply because he won with a R next to his name.

    That’s the very definition of being an unprincipled hack.

  1196. Tina says:

    The Ra need to tout border enforcement, saving ice, and the economy.

    There is now a huge turnaround in who gets the credit for the economy?

    Trump or the Jebot obumbler.

  1197. Paul says:

    Trump wins it for Balderson!!!!!

    Time for Trump to come to the Chicago suburbs and stump for Roskam! Everyone loves Trump over here 🙂

  1198. CG says:

    Yeah, without the rally, Balderson probably wins by 4 points.

    A Mitt Romney rally for him might have done some good. The district was stronger for Romney in a Presidential year than it was for Trump.

  1199. Robbie says:

    dblaikie says:
    August 7, 2018 at 10:14 pm
    A win is a win.

    – On this, I agree with dblaikie.

    If the Republican had lost, it would be full panic mode tomorrow. Instead, it’s just mild panic.

  1200. CG says:

    Yeah, Paul raises an interesting point.

    If Trump was the great savior in this district, what district can’t he help in?

    Should he go anywhere he wants? Should all GOP candidates welcome him?

  1201. Robbie says:

    CG says:
    August 7, 2018 at 10:19 pm
    Yeah, without the rally, Balderson probably wins by 4 points.

    A Mitt Romney rally for him might have done some good. The district was stronger for Romney in a Presidential year than it was for Trump.

    – Romney needs to get to Arizona and campaign for McSally ASAP.

  1202. Tina says:

    Yeah, and Quittens or better jeb to the oh district.

    Both know how to win in Ohio.

    Lol.

  1203. jason says:

    CG, I am perfectly willing to concede that Trump’s disastrous trade policy will cost Rs some votes, depending on the district… and gain some in other districts… still a net loss.

    But denying that the rally helped Balderson is pure TDS. Balderson needed to get the Trump base out, and those weren’t “white collar suburban pro-business” voters.

    I am anti-tariff but would not have voted for the Democrat. I suspect many others felt the same, the Dems are not pro-business either. But the Trump rally helped get turnout among the people that voted for him in 2016.

  1204. CG says:

    McSally wouldn’t welcome Romney’s help. She’s all #MAGA for now, at least until the primary is over. Maybe then she flips back to a semblance of honesty.

  1205. Big Joe says:

    #1231-
    Jason, what up. I like the MS NBC guy, don’t know his name.

    Big Joe

  1206. jason says:

    I think that is big problem with the Trump haters. They can’t give him credit for anything.

    Sad and pathetic and small minded.

  1207. CG says:

    In this particular district, Trump’s trade policy hurts. This is exactly the kind of district you would say that about.

    So, it’s a double edged sword. Maybe the “rally” gets 2000 people to vote for Balderson who weren’t going to before. It also probably got 4000 Democrats to vote against him that weren’t going to.

  1208. Big Joe says:

    The MSNBC guy really know his stuff and he runs around like a mad man, and draws on he screens. He puts in the work!

    Big Joe

  1209. CG says:

    I give Trump substantial political credit for being able to sway Republican primaries, with a single Tweet. He definitely is a powerhouse “Kingmaker” in that regard, and at least in Gubernatorial elections, it going to cost the party some losses in November for having that power.

  1210. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    August 7, 2018 at 10:23 pm
    I think that is big problem with the Trump haters. They can’t give him credit for anything.

    Sad and pathetic and small minded.

    – I give Trump credit for doing what was unthinkable the day after the 2016 election: putting the House in play.

  1211. VictrC says:

    LMAO – CNN still has their election vote total page with a big Dem lead. They refuse to update the actual results and are literally 5,000 votes off the actual total.

    When will that network give up the false narrative that they are non partisan and just put the D next to their name.

  1212. jason says:

    The little nervous guy that crunches the numbers and always predicts Dems will win?

    He had a segment in 2016 where he predicted a record landslide for Hillary, with more than 400 EV’s.

    Watch it sometime, hilarious.

  1213. JC says:

    OH-12 is a case study of what happens when there’s a large enthusiasm gap. It doesn’t matter what people believe or which party they prefer. It only matters who shows up to vote.

    BTW, it looks like the green candidate quite literally cost the Dems this seat.

  1214. Tina says:

    Mcsally will,win her primary contest and will defeat Enema.

    Enema will have to contend with abolishing ice.

    Make every drat defend open borders

  1215. Bitterlaw says:

    Breaking news- People who support Trump say the rally helped alderson. People who hate Trump say the rally hurt Balderson.

  1216. dblaikie says:

    1244 I have no panic. First of all O’Connor’s strength was his 15000 vote lead in early voting. They were cast back in the day when if the Dems. had played their cards right it could be a blue wave. Since then they have gone nuts. Second it is unfair to compare Balderson with Tiberri. The Congressman was a strong incumbent who the voters knew. A race that is coming out of an retirement is always close.

    My note of caution for the night was Delaware County. Tiberri usually won that by 20 points. In the next three months the GOP needs to work on the Suburbs to lock in the upcoming red wave.

  1217. Robbie says:

    Jason fraud is going to have to write a sternly worded letter to Luntz telling him why he’s wrong.

    Frank Luntz
    @FrankLuntz

    Not only did Trump win #OH12 by +11% in 2016, but Republicans have lost a House race there only once (in 1980) since 1938.

    A loss tonight would be devastating for the @GOP – it should not be this close.

  1218. jason says:

    was unthinkable the day after the 2016 election: putting the House in play.”

    Oh puhhhleeze, what horsecrap.

    Even a dumb turd like you doesn’t believe that.

    Everyone knows the party in power loses a lot of seats in the midterms, there was NOTHING in 2016 that indicated otherwise. Nada, zilch, zero.

  1219. Tina says:

    We were trailing going in.

    Polling showed it.

    Then ere was a timely rally.

    Balderson was not a great candidate,Mobutu he did enough and wanted trumps support.

    The rally was quite latrge.

  1220. CG says:

    This is simple math.

    We saw in 2016 that Trump did worse in this district than Romney did in 2012, even as Trump was doing better statewide than Romney did. A full 7 percent in this district voted for neither Trump nor Clinton.

    This was not a statewide election though. This was an election in one district, where there was already evidence that Trump was less popular than previous Republicans had been.

  1221. jason says:

    Frank Fraud Luntz, that is Amoral Scumbag’s new hero?

    LOL

  1222. Tina says:

    No margin would have been enough.

    The Drats will always state that it was not enough.

    Tha is the game they play.

    Btw, does Frank Dunce still get his focus group frommcraiglist ads?

    Just asking.

  1223. CG says:

    Now, everyone chill out because it is still close enough that the “Deep State” can steal it for the Democrat…

  1224. CG says:

    If this would have been a special election in like the Tim Ryan district in Ohio, then yes, Trump would possibly help more than he could hurt. There are a lot more AFL-CIO “conservatives” in that district than in suburban Columbus.

  1225. jason says:

    This was not a statewide election though. This was an election in one district, where there was already evidence that Trump was less popular than previous Republicans had been.”

    So that could explain why the election was close.

    But for Balderson to win, he had to get the Trump vote out.

    Whether the Trump vote was less in this district relative to other “red” districts is irrelevant.

    THe rally, contrary to your view, did not cost Balderson any votes, it added to his total.

    And I think the theory that it brought more Dems to the polls is highly speculative at best, the Dems were energized way before Trump got there. There just weren’t enough of them.

  1226. Waingro says:

    Not good.

    “Projection: Prop A (Right to Work) – the NAY’s have it.”

    https://twitter.com/decisiondeskhq/status/1027014173111152646?s=21

  1227. Tina says:

    The mailman refused to help.

    Very disappointing, but his popularity in oh is slipping.

  1228. jason says:

    Looks like Balderson wins by at least 1500 votes, more than the Green vote.

    Oh well, you can’t have everything.

  1229. CG says:

    In Kansas, Barnett was never going to win the primary (despite being the strongest general election candidate), but whatever vote he gets is going to hurt Colyer and help Kobach and possibly cause the Democrats to win it in November. I am surprised Kobach is not up more in these results after the Trump endorsement. Hopefully, Colyer survives.

    This is the reverse of the Arizona Senate situation where Arpaio may save McSally and thus the seat.

  1230. jason says:

    Yep, that is true, no margin would be good enough.

    Had Balderson won by 6, Amoral Scumbag would be whining that he should have won by 7.

  1231. Paul says:

    Trump Rallys should be at all close districts!!! If nothing else, we’ve learned that tonight.

  1232. Hugh says:

    Too bad for the dems. They will lose tonight but we need to up our game. In the midterms we need to nationalize the election. On issues.

  1233. CG says:

    Send Trump out to do rallies at the close Southern California districts?

    Yes or No?

  1234. jason says:

    Colyer up again…. still hoping he wins.

  1235. Waingro says:

    From an Ohio expert:

    “Here comes the national media overhyping this result. Specials are weird. No doubt the Dems have enthusiasm, but #OH12 was ALWAYS going to be tight. It’s just the makeup of the district. Congrats to Troy.”

    https://twitter.com/jchabria/status/1027020165677043712?s=21

  1236. Tina says:

    All socialist candidates lose.

    No wonder the Jebots are mad.

  1237. jason says:

    Send Trump out to do rallies at the close Southern California districts?”

    Apples and oranges.

    Trump won Ohio by half a million votes. To deny there are a lot of Trump voters there is folly.

    In CA Trump lost by 4 million votes, and I doubt even in red districts he was a big draw.

    I am not saying Trump should go to every district.

    He should go to OH-12. And to my PA district.

  1238. Tina says:

    The Oh rally was so loud that the cn and n “reporter” felt threatened by granny.

  1239. JC says:

    Trump didn’t endorse Kobach until yesterday. And it was my understanding that he was consistently trailing Colyer.

  1240. CG says:

    You keep acting like this was a statewide Ohio result tonight. The election was held in a weak Trump district. Now, not a HORRIFIC Trump district, but still one where he is pretty weak.

    Where do you draw the line?

    He’d do better in your PA district (where far less people have college degrees) than he did in suburban Columbus in a district that contains the largest college in America.