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Jealous Claims He Is Trailing Hogan By Only 9% in MD

The Democratic candidate for Governor in Maryland is at the point where he is releasing a poll showing himself down by 9% to try and claim he has a chance against Larry Hogan in November. His poll was done by Garin-Hart-Young Research Group.

GOVERNOR – MARYLAND (Garin-Hart-Yang)
Larry Hogan (R-inc) 49%
Ben Jealous (D) 40%

This poll was done July 10-14 among 601 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:21 am
Filed under: General | Comments (111)

111 Responses to “Jealous Claims He Is Trailing Hogan By Only 9% in MD”

  1. jason says:

    I am the exalted leader.

  2. jason says:

    It is only fitting that a person with my legendary wit, perspicacity, erudition, sageness, acumen, astuteness, sagacity and modesty is first on the thread.

  3. jason says:

    Ben Jealous?

    Who wants to have a governor named Ben Jealous, let’s get real here.

  4. Bitterlaw says:

    I am here. Double the A-holes. Double the fun!

  5. NYCmike says:

    Clean up in aisle 2!

  6. jason says:

    From the other thread.

    “If you disagree, you’re clearly wrong.”

    Hmmmm….. I like it.

    I’ve felt this is the case for years when anyone disagreed with me, but I never actually came out and said it, just limiting myself to try to destroy the person’s character, family and livelihood.

    This could save me time I could use for much more exciting endeavors, like watching reruns of Wicked Tuna and Alaska Bush People.

  7. jason says:

    So Mr. Jealous, what do you think about the fact your state is smaller than the daily lava flow in Hawaii or glacier collapse in Alaska?

  8. Bitterlaw says:

    mnw – GFY and your retirement. I will die at my desk because I am on the defense side of litigation and I don’t make the big bucks.

  9. jason says:

    Mr. Jealous, does it upset you that you would have to eat about 1000 Maryland blue crabs to match one Alaskan king crab?

  10. jason says:

    I will die at my desk”

    I am sure they will keep billing while you are still sitting there.

  11. jason says:

    The law firm announcement will state that sadly, Bitter kicked off just as he was about to start some pro-bono work.

  12. jason says:

    Mr. Jealous, does it bother you 99.999% of US harbors are less polluted than the Baltimore Inner Harbor?

  13. Bitterlaw says:

    If he is married, I hope his wife never disappears.

    “Look, we know you are a Jealous husband. What happened to your wife?!?”

  14. Bitterlaw says:

    Mr. Jealous, if Kitty Dukakis was raped and murdered, would you support an irrevocable death penalty for her killer?

    Greatest debate question ever asked. It should be used in every election no matter what office.

  15. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Nice guy this Democrat Congressman from TN–Steve Cohen(sarc).

    BREAKING: Democrat Rep. Steve Cohen says in secret recording that he hopes congresswoman Marsha Blackburn kills herself – HuffPo

  16. jason says:

    “Kitty Dukakis was raped and murdered, would you support an irrevocable death penalty for her killer?”

    What did Dukakes answer…. I would immediately form a commission to make recommendations regarding such a heinous crime?

  17. lisab says:

    actress sean young wanted for questioning in a $12,000 burglary

    DECKARD: You’re watching TV and suddenly you notice a wasp crawling on your wrist.

    RACHAEL: I’d kill it.

    DECKARD: In a magazine you come across a full-page photo of a nude girl.

    RACHAEL: Is this testing whether I’m a burglar or a lesbian?

  18. Messy says:

    IT appears that Manafort is doing a plea deal. I could be wrong, however.

    As to the Kitty Dukakis question. The guy who asked the question later voted FOR him.

    Had he not made that mealymouthed answer (it had been prognosticated and a really good answer devised), he would have been elected and not only would have Saddam not invaded Kuwait (an intelligent ambassador would have been appointed) but the 1989 revolution would have gone on much smoother.

  19. messy says:

    Apparently, there wasn’t a plea deal. Dukakis would have made a really good president, BTW.

  20. lisab says:

    not even the people of massachusetts think that

    now tsongus maybe, but not mike

    they call him the little gnome or dwarf or something like that

  21. janz says:

    Minnesota is now being considered a possible Eye of the Hurricane, in whether or not the dems achieve a takeover of the House in November’s midterms.

  22. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    20. “Had he not made that mealymouthed answer (it had been prognosticated and a really good answer devised), he would have been elected and not only would have Saddam not invaded Kuwait (an intelligent ambassador would have been appointed) but the 1989 revolution would have gone on much smoother.”

    Are Dorothy and Toto in your fantasy? When do the Martians land? Maybe Dukakis would have be able to take a trip in their flying saucer, with his head sticking out of the top.

  23. DW says:

    wow–two golfers shot a 63 at the PGA championship today.

  24. mnw says:

    I think that RRH should now be regarded as a DEM/NeverTrump site. They should just change the name & make it official.

  25. DW says:

    26 – I pointed that out earlier in the week when one of the moderators in the official post made a disparaging comment about Trump that would have been ban-worthy had someone said the same about Hillary. They are a joke now.

  26. lisab says:

    Hungarian govt abolishes gender studies as it is useless in the country’s job market. Good job, Hungary!

  27. Redmen4ever says:

    It shouldn’t have taken Deckard a hundred questions to figure out Sean Young was on the wrong side of the hot-crazy line.

  28. Redmen4ever says:

    Among Manafort’s crimes: applying for a loan he didn’t get.

    Judge remark (maybe you should focus on a loan he got) puts the judge in jeopardy. Maybe a few days in solitary will loosen him up.

    Ditto the jury. Otherwise, who knows, they might watch Fox News.

  29. Big Joe says:

    I don’t think would Dukakis would have defeated Big Bush had he answered the Kitty Dukakis differently, not even if he answered it perfectly.

    Big Joe

  30. GF says:

    IIRC, the Duke has already lost his huge convention lead (+17%, 54-37!) by the time the debates rolled around. 41’s team was utterly ruthless in systematically destroying him after Labor Day (Boston Harbor pollution, soft on crime, tax and spend, you name it), and that was BEFORE Willy Horton.

    I could see Dukakis picking up CA, IL, MO, MD, VT and PA, but even that huge swing in EVs would not have been enough as 41 romped to a 426 vote win. Even adding in MI (which Bush won 53-45) would still have a Bush win at about 286 EVs.

    Speaking to lisa’s point, Dukakis fatigue had set in by then in MA itself. He carried the state only by 53-45 (RI and IA have him larger margins!), and saw Republican Bill Weld replace him just two years later on a campaign to overhaul the sh*tshow that MA had become under his so-called “leadership.”

  31. Big Joe says:

    Dukakis was too nice. Atwater attacked him mercilessly and Dukakis was slow to respond. Plus, the economy was doing well, The Gipper was popular and people generally viewed Big Bush as Reagan’s third term. Bush was going to win.

    A Dukakis win would set up an interesting 92. With the recession, a GOP win looks likely. Probably not Dole, definitely not GWB, McCain perhaps.. Interesting alternate history topic here.

    Big Joe

  32. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    @KimStrassel

    Kimberley Strassel Retweeted Adam Schiff

    Allow me to help YOU, Mr. Schiff. Here is a link to December USDA report showing a record 129 million dead trees in California, citing forest mismanagement for fires. Your own California state fire office signed on to it.

    https://www.fs.usda.gov/Internet/FSE_DOCUMENTS/fseprd566303.pdf

    @RepAdamSchiff
    Adam Schiff Retweeted Donald J. Trump
    You’ve been in office for 18 LONG months and you still don’t have a science adviser, so allow me to help. Environmental protections have nothing to do with the wildfires in CA. Climate change does. We’re not going to let you use fires as an excuse to clear-cut our forests.

    This reminds me of the Oroville Dam disaster, where neglected maintenance of the dam resulted in near disaster. Another mistake is building residential housing and other buildings in the middle of chaparral and other brush that regularly burns. Fire is often necessary for the ecosystem in these areas to remain healthy. A lot of pine trees species and also sequoias need fire to reproduce.

    The Wall Street Journal pointed out that California spends 10 times more on electric vehicle subsidies than removing dead trees.

  33. jason says:

    I don’t think would Dukakis would have defeated Big Bush had he answered the Kitty Dukakis differently, not even if he answered it perfectly.”

    I don’t think he would have lost 40 states.

    Don’t forget, coming out of the convention, Dukakis was up by 16 points.

  34. jason says:

    NYT admits looking for dirt on Kavanaugh’s wife, admits it found nothing, admits it “had to try”, admits it failed.

    Pretty honest for the MSM.

    “U.S. Supreme Court justices have some of the most important jobs in the country, given their lifetime appointments and the gravity of the issues facing the high court.

    That’s why newsrooms across the country, including The New York Times, have spilled a lot of ink covering President Trump’s nomination of Brett M. Kavanaugh to fill the seat left vacant by Justice Anthony M. Kennedy’s retirement.

    As journalists, we aim to shed light on important people in the news — particularly public officials and Supreme Court nominees — to help our readers understand them, how they think and how they operate. That due diligence leads us to interview people who know the nominees, like colleagues and neighbors. It requires that we read what the nominees have written or watch speeches they’ve delivered. And it often depends on our requests for public records that could offer our readers a fresh perspective about the nominees.

    In the case of Mr. Kavanaugh, The Times requested records under Maryland’s public records law from Chevy Chase Section 5, where the nominee’s wife,

    We sought email records involving Judge Kavanaugh and communications that referenced hot-button topics. We believed that the records, if they existed, could provide a unique and personalized view into the nominee. We worked with the town to minimize the time and cost involved in responding to our request. (The Associated Press submitted its own request, and The Times and others have filed separate requests with the National Archives pertaining to Mr. Kavanaugh.)

    Ultimately, our request yielded 85 pages of emails, none of which provided any substantive insights into Mr. Kavanaugh’s judicial philosophy. Instead, the records were largely what you would expect from a town manager’s email account — mundane dispatches about town business, from snow removals to local newsletters. Not surprisingly, a number of people, neighbors and strangers alike, sent Ashley Kavanaugh congratulations on her husband’s nomination.

    In other words, it was hardly front-page news.

    And yet, we recognized before submitting the request that this was a possible outcome. We often file public records requests that yield no newsworthy information.

    But when it comes to reporting on a potential Supreme Court justice, we had to try.”

  35. jason says:

    Messy is delusional as usual.

    No, Dukakis didn’t lose because of the death penalty answer, the fact he was not ready for prime time was evident way before that. Dukakis was a flaming liberal from Boston with zero appeal in most of the country (in fact told Iowa farmers they should grow Belgian endive instead of corn).

    The reason he lost was that the Bush campaign easily defined him as too anti-defense and too liberal to be President, the tank issue and the death penalty answer only cemented that view, he would have lost anyway.

    Just not by a near landslide.

  36. Redmen4ever says:

    First they went after the trees, and I said nothing because I wasn’t a tree.

    Then, they went after the plastic straws, and I said nothing because I wasn’t a plastic straw.

    Then, they went after people with high incomes, and I went to U-Haul.

  37. Wobbles says:

    Zzzzz… judicial appointments….

    Did you see what Trump said about LeBron?

    Focus man, focus.

  38. Messy says:

    37. Had Duke run a better campaign, he would have won. There were lots of mistakes made, and the notorious Bush commercials were effective.

    The ’88 campaign soured America on presidential politics. Bush wound up getting only 37% the following cycle. Had Perot not sabotaged his own campaign, he would have been the first Independent President in ’92.

    Since then, it has been the policy of the Republican party to hold NO Democratic elected official to be legitimate. That was the start of the Voter Fraud Hoax and the like.

    Bush begot Perot begot Trump.

  39. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #41
    Messy Moron Alert! And your evidence for the first sentence of your Paragraph 3? What the h-ll do you think Muh Russia is about? to make Trump’s election deligitimite!

    Politics was ruined before 1988 by Ted Kennedy and his ilk “borking” a wonderful man and potential Supreme Court Justice.

  40. mnw says:

    I should’ve guessed that 3 iiis would hero worship a pathetic effeminate little girlyman loser like Dukakis! OF COURSE she does!

    I note that one of our other trolls usesHHR to promote his own tinytown piece of zh*t blog– like there are a lot of hits on THAT, I bet. /s

  41. Tina says:

    Trump continues to tweet about The fib corruption,

    The lovely Lisa Page.

  42. Robbie says:

    So can Chris Collins be replaced on the ballot now that he’s suspended his re-election campaign, or are we stuck with him?

  43. Tina says:

    The jebots had a bad week last week.

    Losing the election, looking foolish for defending the pedo director, and it looks like Fuhrer Mulehead is sinking based on polls.

  44. mnw says:

    msm in general, & WSJ in particular, continue to flog Beto in TX as “the most intriguing Senate race this year.”

    Send money, idiot azaleas!

  45. Robbie says:

    It looks like it will be difficult to get Chris Collins off the ballot which means there’s a good chance that seat will be lost. That said, it’s a traditionally Republican district so it’s won that could easily be won back in 2020.

    The Collins mess, though, is the kind of thing that seems to happen disproportionately when a wave is approaching.

  46. Tina says:

    Yup, spend money on beepo in Texas, Drats.

    Send in her thighnes and Piglosi too.

  47. Tina says:

    https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/08/trump-perjury-trap-legitimate-concern-reason-to-decline-mueller-interview/#

    National retreat online about the perjury trap if trump meets with Fuhrer Mukehead.

    Not to,mention the constitutional issues , can a president be subpoenaed?

    In this case, Mukehead has failed to establish a possible crime by trump and the basis for the sp was set up by comedy who lied.

    And we do not mention how corrupt Fuhrer Mukehead and the 17 Drats are.

  48. Tina says:

    From that article,

    Andrew McCarthy states that the Flynn interview was likely a perjury trap and not necessary.

    They need to toss it given the fact that Pete the cheat was involved.

    And what did they ask him about? Conversations of which they had recordings. Why on earth would it be necessary to interrogate someone — let alone a top government national-security official — regarding the details of conversations about which the FBI already knew the details? Why conduct an investigative interview, carrying potential criminal peril, under circumstances in which the FBI already knew (a) it was Flynn’s job in the Trump transition team and as incoming national-security adviser to consult with foreign counterparts and (b) Flynn had not floated any arguably corrupt quid pro quo to Kislyak (e.g., sanctions relief as a reward for Russia’s support of Trump’s presidential bid)?

    We don’t know for certain that the Flynn interview was a perjury trap. But it sure looks like one. And regardless of whether Flynn pled guilty because he is guilty (or because enormous

  49. Messy says:

    Explain to me why this is okay? https://www.alternet.org/you-know-whos-paying-very-very-close-attention-manafort-trial-president-trump

    Also, Dukakis was reelected Governor of Massachussets THREE TIMES. How is that a loser?

  50. Messy says:

    GATEWAY PUNDIT? Jeez…almost as bad as Infowars.

  51. lisab says:

    Kavanaugh confirmation hearings set for Sept. 4

  52. lisab says:

    The Collins mess, though, is the kind of thing that seems to happen disproportionately when a wave is approaching.
    —————————-

    so by wave are you now saying the gop will lose more than the average house seats?

    or are you still sticking with the mean average loss?

  53. Messy says:

    54. Elected Governor three times. He was only reelected twice.

  54. lisab says:

    Elected Governor three times. He was only reelected twice.
    —————————

    once actually

    he was elected twice, reelected once

    he lost to ed king after his first term

  55. Tina says:

    Levin slams the socialist,

    2h
    Billy Kristol, I speak for myself & think for myself. Would you like to come on my radio show & debate the constitutional issues related to Mueller’s activities? If not, stick it. mobile.twitter.com/billkristol/st…

  56. Bitterlaw says:

    I think the racist scumbags in Charlottesville should be ignored. The media wants another fight but I would ignore their stupid march. Ignore the leftist protestors, tom.

  57. Bitterlaw says:

    Should be ignore the leftist scumbags, too.

  58. Bitterlaw says:

    Mark Levin is a Constitional expert because….um…he says he is a Constitional expert. Got it.

  59. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    The RCP Congressional Generic Ballot has fallen to D+3.9 with the removal of the Quinnipiac figure.
    Robbie, please don’t hijack a plane and crash it like your buddy did yesterday.

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html

  60. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    mnw
    The Missouri Farm Bureau has endorsed AG Hawley(R) over Sky Queen McCaskill(D) in the 2018 MO Senate race. She had been endorsed by the Farm Bureau in her previous campaigns.
    How important is this endorsement in MO?

    https://freebeacon.com/politics/missouri-farmers-bureau-slams-mccaskill-endorses-hawley/

  61. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    August 11, 2018 at 2:02 pm
    Levin slams the socialist,
    2h
    Billy Kristol, I speak for myself & think for myself. Would you like to come on my radio show & debate the constitutional issues related to Mueller’s activities? If not, stick it. mobile.twitter.com/billkristol/st…

    – Mark Levin is a fake, a fraud, and a phony and that’s precisely why you like him. Oh, and he’s a charlatan as well.

  62. Robbie says:

    Sheeple, Jr. says:
    August 11, 2018 at 2:36 pm
    The RCP Congressional Generic Ballot has fallen to D+3.9 with the removal of the Quinnipiac figure.
    Robbie, please don’t hijack a plane and crash it like your buddy did yesterday.
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html

    – Sheeple, please don’t get lost living in Trump’s colon.

    As for the RCP average, I’ll repeat what I wrote the other day. Once the Republican number actually moves above 40% into the mid 40’s, something it hasn’t done all year, I’ll start to pay attention. Otherwise, all of the movement is in the Democrat number. Sometimes, they poll in the mid to upper 40’s. Sometimes, they poll around 45%.

    As we’ve seen at other time this year when the HHR consensus bought into the belief Republicans were surging, the tightening was little more than noise. If Republicans were actually doing better, more and more races wouldn’t continue to be moving towards the Democrats.

  63. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    August 11, 2018 at 1:34 pm
    The Collins mess, though, is the kind of thing that seems to happen disproportionately when a wave is approaching.
    —————————-
    so by wave are you now saying the gop will lose more than the average house seats?
    or are you still sticking with the mean average loss?

    – Watching you move the goalposts recently has been very enjoyable. For the last year and half, I was told there was no reason to worry about the House. Now that the House is clearly in danger of turning over, lisab and the gang have switched to “but muh average midterm losses”.

    If the Republicans lose 30 to 40 House seats, that will almost certainly lead to an underperformance in the Senate, the loss 5-10 governorships, and a high number of state legislative seat losses. That will be a wave.

    You can call it whatever you want in your effort to defend and deflect blame from Trump, but it will still be a wave.

  64. Tina says:

    The Socialist in the Lido Deck should be ignored.

    But, I know,me is a “real con.”

  65. Tina says:

    No doubt the ds are in trouble with the generic collapse.

    From 12 to 3.

  66. Tina says:

    Looks like the next Ig report is about to drop.

    Hopefully, coup plotters are perp walked..

  67. Tina says:

    Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump
    39m
    The big story that the Fake News Media refuses to report is lowlife Christopher Steele’s many meetings with Deputy A.G. Bruce Ohr and his beautiful wife, Nelly. It was Fusion GPS that hired Steele to write the phony & discredited Dossier, paid for by Crooked Hillary & the DNC….

    Cat playing with mouse.

  68. Gpo says:

    Lol!!!!! His beautiful wife Nelly . Trump is the frickin hysterical

  69. janz says:

    Re: the Collins Indictment, and suspending his election when it might be too late to insert another R candidate…….Remember Robert Torricelli problems late in his campaign, and how Frank Lautenberg was allowed to step in at the last minute and win the NJ seat!

    So, what is the difference between these 2 political scenarios, except one involved a Dem and the current one a republican?

  70. D. Ed Ender says:

    Where is everybody?

  71. lisab says:

    Watching you move the goalposts recently has been very enjoyable. For the last year and half, I was told there was no reason to worry about the House.
    ————————————-

    not by me

    i think the dems will probably take the house and impeach trump, and always have

    without any other evidence to the contrary, the statistical mean is the best unbiased estimator of any outcome

    since the mean is -31, that is single best guess for how many seats the gop will lose. plus or minus 1 z-score is -6 to -56 seats loss for roughly 66% of all presidents.

  72. lisab says:

    actually, i did not think the dems would actually try to impeach trump until they started the mueller investigation and it became clear the are all a bunch of whiny little girls

  73. Messy says:

    72. How was the Steele dossier discredited? most of it has been publicly verified.

    77. How did the Democrats start the Mueller investigation? Rosenstien is a Republican. He hired Mueller, who’s also a Republican.

    BTW. The Senate Intelligence committee found that Russians tried to interfere with the election.

    As of now, Meuller’s gotten five guilty pleas and it’s pretty obvious that Manafort is going down.

    All this begs the question. Why wasn’t Rick Gates fired along with Manafort? Some on Fox News have reported that Trump HATED him and said he was going to fire him again and again. So why did he continue as the paid, and technical #2 in the campaign all the way through election day?

    Why was he the #2 at the inaugural committee?

  74. Cash Cow TM says:

    WV STATE FAIR, BABY!

    Eat another elephant ear…see displays, tour boths, see
    barns full of goats, (pigs, horses and COWS!

    Also saw the cow judging.

  75. Cash Cow TM says:

    Waiting for entertainment to start.
    Christian rock band Mercy Me who
    sings “I Can Only Imagine”.

  76. Tina says:

    72. How was the Steele dossier discredited? most of it has been publicly verified.

    Lol

  77. Phil says:

    Verified?

    Good Lord.

    By who? Stephen Colbert? Rachael Maddow? Michael Moore?

  78. DW says:

    CHICAGOLAND: 20 shot in night; ‘I’m scared to walk to store’…

    …the land of liberal utopia!

  79. Messy says:

    81-2 Newsweek, for one: https://www.newsweek.com/trump-russia-dossier-one-year-later-what-we-know-777116

    As to Rachel Maddaw, her journalism is superb. For example, that Devin Nunes tape that was surreptitiously by a lefty spy…Nunes’ people say that was him and he said all those things.

    Then there was the Flint water disaster. That was excellent reporting. She was pretty much the only person covering it.

    I could go on and on. I’ve met Michael Moore a couple of times and I’m not impressed.

  80. Messy says:

    83. Sadly, that’s not news. Check out Spike Lee’s version of Lysistrata, called Chi-Raq

  81. mnw says:

    Sheep 65

    I dunno. The Farm Bureau is usually pro-GOP. I was unaware that they had endorsed her before, actually. I guess everybody piled on against Akin. Wish I could be more helpful.

  82. jason says:

    Messy is as proficient in History as she is in the English language.

    Dukakis was a sad, incompetent nickcompoop who had no business being a candidate for President.

    And it showed in his campaign, woefully inadequate, unprepared and patently ridiculous.

    Dukakis was never going to win the election against a candidate with GHWB’s resume, never, nunca.

    Elected 3 times governor of MA? Zzzzzzz…..

  83. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    mnw
    Here is a new Missouri Senate Poll. I would place the race now at Lean R.Sky Queen is fading fast!

    #MOSen from MO Scout (Aug. 8-9)

    Hawley (R) – 47 (+3 since May)
    McCaskill (D) – 47 (-1 since May)

  84. jason says:

    Rachel Madcow is not a journalist, she is a partisan hack, bought and paid for by the Democratic Party.

    She has zero independence.

    She has no shame, no pride in her profession, completely beholden to leftist ideology.

    Calling her a journalist is a disgrace to the profession. Of course, the most of the profession has lost all self respect, Pravda is their model.

  85. Blobbie says:

    Trump is such a bad president that I predict that the Republicans will lose an average number of seats this November!!!

  86. Cash Cow TM says:

    Radio comedian asked a good question. ..
    If a person is legally blind and suddenly
    regains their sight are they breaking rhe law?

  87. Bitterlaw says:

    Does Maddow call herself a journalist? I don,t think she does but I could be wrong.

  88. Bitterlaw says:

    My daughter and I have been watching Law and Order SVU. I think it has good lessons. If you are ever in the same room with a guy, run out the door. Nothing good can happen to you.

  89. janz says:

    #93 We watch that series all the time!

  90. Bitterlaw says:

    I only started watching it with her 2 weeks ago. I have seen maybe 20 episodes from random seasons. She is too much like me. There was an episode where a guy who had been assaulted by a gym teacher years before decided to get a confession out of him on video by himself and then took It to the police. Beating and stabbing him so he died did not sit well with the police. My daughter thought the guy did society a favor.

    It is a good show but I told her that there are generally 2-3 reasons for a mistrial in every episode. SVU is also not good at protecting material witnesses. Agreeing to testify is like a death with in many episodes.

  91. Bitterlaw says:

    Death wish.

  92. BayernFan says:

    Why have the Dems collapsed so suddenly in the generic? My guess is “Abolish ICE”.

  93. lisab says:

    to some extent it was just wishful thinking, trying to push polls out there to make a wave happen. but as november gets close, polling orgs have to be more careful especially after what happened in 2016.

    look at it this way, even daily kos polling is roughly 50-50 on taking the house right now. history says the average loss is -31 seats, but daily kos is not sure they will make -23!

    soooooooo … i would say it is not abolishing ice as much as just plain uncertainty. trump is having rally after rally.

    trump is just an unknown random factor.

    all the trolls are saying he should not be having these rallies … e.g. they hurt in oh-12 … which should tell you something. if the trolls are saying trump did not help, then you know he helped.

  94. Messy says:

    88. How is losing one point in three months (with a large MoE) “fading fast?.

    98. The extreme gerrymandering has made it far harder to change seats, don’cha know? Look at OH-12, that was gerrymandered as hell. If it were not for the gerrymandering Obama would have gotten the House back in ’12.

    This is why Vice President Gerry is still in Purgatory.

  95. Messy says:

    92. yeah, she does.

    95. they called it the “Rape Show” for a reason.

  96. Tina says:

    Anitifa attacks nbc reporter.

    I bet trump is blamed in 3, 2…

  97. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #99
    Moron Messy strikes again!
    POLITICS 101- in a political race, there are two major Party contestants. In the MO Senate race, they are Sky Queen McCaskill(D) and AG Hawley(R).
    Whomever gets the most votes wins.
    In your post, you looked at only Sky Queen’s numbers from the pollster’s poll before the new one it posted yesterday.
    You did not look at AG Hawley’s improving position from one poll to the next. It appears that Undecided Voters are strongly breaking toward him.
    The net change from poll to poll was 4 points toward the AG in a tight contest and the trend is toward his candidacy.

    I hope the above is not beyond your comprehension level and you can absorb this information. I know my dog,Cuji, understands the concept!
    Just trying to edify you!

  98. Redmen4ever says:

    About the Ben Jealous internal: In my study of early polling, I don’t find these internals to be so bad. They have, on average, a modest bias although, yes, some are very far off.

    In this race, the Mason-Dixon and Gonzalez polls are probably correct, the Goucher College and U. of Maryland polls (being collegiate polls) suffer some Democratic tilt, and the Ben Jealous poll is an outlier.

    More systematic than the bias of internal polls is the impact of contested primaries. Relative to the fundamentals of the state, candidates of parties with contested primaries significantly underperform in general election match-ups. Usually, the winner is able to consolidate the party base, but not always.

  99. Messy says:

    102. Polls have a margin of error. Since the Remington Research poll of early last month, the numbers have remained static. Okay, Arrogant Geek (that’s what the initials “AG” stand for, right?)
    lost his two point lead in the RR poll and it is now tied. In fact, except for the Scout Poll last MAY, it’s been more or less tied since February.

    Therefore, my comprehension is just fine, thanks.

  100. Messy says:

    To show that there’s nothing personal here, let’s look at a fun youtube video together….cute, huh?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hnuSF_hjTLo&feature=youtu.be

  101. Robbie says:

    This is good news. Just don’t turn around and nominate Carl Paladino.

    Politics1.com
    @Politics1com

    NY CD-27: Cong Chris Collins (R) is expected to either accept nomination for some other office (even possibly on the Conservative Party line), or change his residency to DC or FL (he owns homes in both). Taking either of these actions will allow NYGOP to replace him on ballot.

  102. Phil says:

    Well, that is good news aboutNY-27. There hasn’t been very much good news in House races for quite some time. I’ll take it.

  103. Tina says:

    It is muh republican racism day on the Sunday shows.

    Can we go back to Hogg or stormy?

  104. lisab says:

    Donald Trump broke the presidency. It’s time to get rid of the job altogether.

    Tina Dupuy, Opinion contributor USA Today

    Donald Trump is proof that the U.S. presidency is broken and democracy is in peril. It’s time to amend the Constitution and abolish the presidency.
    —————-

    democracy is in peril … because you lost …

    mmmmmmmmkay

  105. Diamond Jim says:

    Thread’s dead, baby. Thread’s dead.

  106. Diamond Jim says:

    sh*thouse

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