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Gillum Leads By 2% in FL, Nelson/Scott Tied in FL, McCaskill/Hawley Tied in MO

So it has been a busy news days apparently. We also have a new poll from Gravis Marketing that shows tight races for both the US Senate and Governor in the state of Florida.

GOVERNOR – FLORIDA (Gravis)
Andrew Gillum (D) 47%
Ron DeSantis (R) 45%

US SENATE – FLORIDA (Gravis)
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 47%
Rick Scott (R) 47%

This poll was done August 29-30 among 1225 likely voters. Meanwhile, NBC News and Marist College are showing a similar 47-47 tie in the state of Missouri.

US SENATE – MISSOURI (NBC/Marist)
Claire McCaskill (D-inc) 47%
Josh Hawley (R) 47%

This poll was done August 25-28 among 568 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 12:40 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (1,038)

1,038 Responses to “Gillum Leads By 2% in FL, Nelson/Scott Tied in FL, McCaskill/Hawley Tied in MO”

  1. ReadyFirst says:

    First!

  2. ReadyFirst says:

    Don’t know how that happened.

  3. NYCmike says:

    “Hey, if Bob Woodward reported it, it’s got to be true. Probably confirmed by Dan Rather.”

    -Heh.

  4. NYCmike says:

    I’ll take all of those numbers at this point.

    Let’s get out there and WIN IT!

  5. ReadyFirst says:

    Not buying it Gravis. This from the previous thread:

    Articles and comments like this suggest no blue wave:
    “Another warning for Democrats: They were outvoted Tuesday, with Republican ballots exceeding Democratic ballots by more than 100,000 in Florida’s closed primaries that don’t allow independents to vote.

    “The results is clear: There is no blue wave in Florida,” wrote Scott’s Senate campaign manager Jackie Schultz Zeckman in a post-primary memo released publicly. Schultz Zeckman noted that while Democrats increased their primary turnout in comparison to the 2014 midterms, so did Republicans; the memo also cites Republicans garnering more new voter registrations in Florida since 2016 than Democrats.”
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/ap/article-6113329/Gillum-Nelson-A-team-approach-Florida-Dems.html

  6. DW says:

    Updated house dashboard:

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ——————————————————————————————-
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | RRH | Kos | 538 |Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ——————————————————————————————-
    OH_15 R | 146 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.7 —
    OK_05 R | 147 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.5 —
    PA_14* D | 148 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.5 —
    CA_22 R | 149 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 — 48/43 (Tulchin-D)
    NY_23 R | 150 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    OH_10 R | 151 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    AZ_06 R | 152 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.2 —
    AK_01 | 153 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 5 — 40/36 (Lake Res.)
    NC_08 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5 —
    IN_09 R | 155 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 5 —
    OH_07 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 5 —
    AZ_08 R | 157 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5 —
    MO_02 R | 158 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 5 — 51/40 (Rem.)
    IA_04 | 159 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.7 —
    CO_03 R | 160 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.7 —
    NY_27 | 161 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    TX_31 R | 162 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 — 46/40 (PPP)
    FL_15* R | 163 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    IN_02 R | 164 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    FL_06* R | 165 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    MI_01 R | 166 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.5 —
    SC_01 R | 167 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    CA_04 R | 168 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    WI_06 R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    FL_25 R | 170 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 46/39 (St. Pete)
    TX_21* R | 171 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 33/27 (Chg Res.)
    GA_07 R | 172 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.2 — 44/46 (Tulchin-D)
    OH_14 R | 173 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    PA_16 R | 174 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 50/44 (D-Int)
    NC_02 R | 175 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    MI_07 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 4 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    NY_24 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 54/39 (Siena)
    FL_18 R | 178 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    MI_06 R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 — 49/44 (GSG-D)
    CA_21 R | 180 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    WA_03 R | 181 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.5 — 42/37 (Lake R.)
    FL_16 R | 182 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.5 — 48/44 (D-Int)
    IL_14 R | 183 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.5 — 45/41 (PPP)
    NY_01 R | 184 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.5 —
    GA_06* R | 185 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.5 —
    PA_10 R | 186 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.2 —
    CA_50 R | 187 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3 — | 46/46 (Tulchin-D)
    AR_02 R | 188 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | 3 — 47/42 (PPP)
    NY_11 R | 189 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 3 —
    VA_05 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.7 —
    IL_13 R | 191 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.5 — 45/42 (PPP)
    MT_01 R | 192 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | 2.5 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    NM_02* R | 193 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.2 — 49/35 (Carroll)
    WA_05 R | 194 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.2 — 44/38 (elway)
    NC_13 R | 195 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 40/35 (Civitas)
    VA_02 R | 196 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 2 — 48/42 (PPP)
    UT_04 R | 197 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2 — 45/39 (Salt Lake)
    WI_01* R | 198 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 2 — 40/41 (GSG-D)
    OH_12 R | 199 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 — 48/44 (PPP)
    WV_03* R | 200 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | 1.5 — 41/43 (Monm.)
    PA_01 R | 201 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.3 — 49/42
    TX_32 R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | 1.2 — 47/45 (GBA)
    NE_02 R | 203 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 1.2 —
    OH_01 R | 204 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Toss | 1 — 43/42 (PPP)
    IL_06 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 44/37 (Victory Res.)
    NJ_03 R | 206 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Toss | 0.8 — 41/40 (Monm.)
    VA_07 R | 207 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 0.8 —
    IL_12 R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 0.8 — 44/39 (PPP)
    KS_03 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 0.6 — 43/46 (GSG-D)
    NJ_07 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.6 — 45/47 (GQR-D)
    FL_26 R | 211 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.6 — 48/41 (DCCC-D)
    MN_03 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 0.6 — 43/46 (PPP)
    ME_02 R | 213 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.5 — 40/39 (D-Int)
    KS_02* R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 34/39 (Mellman-D)
    MI_08 R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 45/39 (Target Ins)
    TX_23 R | 216 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | 0.3 — 44/43 (PPP)
    TX_07 R | 217 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 47/45 (D-Int.)
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    IA_03 R | 218 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 41/45 (D-Int.)
    KY_06 R | 217 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.2 —
    CA_45 R | 216 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 45/44 (D-Int)
    NY_19 R | 215 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — |45/40 (Siena)
    NC_09* R | 214 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.1 — 43/44 (D-Int)
    MN_08* D | 213 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    WA_08* R | 212 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0 — 51/45 (GBA)
    IA_01 R | 211 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln D | 0 — 41/43 (D Int.)
    MN_01* D | 210 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    CA_39* R | 209 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 45/43 (DCCC-D)
    CA_10 R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.1 — 48/48 (GHY-D)
    CA_25 R | 207 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.1 — 47/47 (IMGE)
    CA_48 R | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.2 — 45/47 (Monm.)
    CO_06 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.2 — (45/45 IMGE)
    NY_22 R | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.2 — 44/46 (Siena)
    MN_02 R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.2 — 43/42 (PPP)
    MI_11* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.7 — 42/45 (PPP)
    PA_07* R | 201 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Lk D | -1.6 —
    NJ_11* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Lk D | -1.6 — 38/40 (Monmouth)
    VA_10 R | 199 | Toss | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -1.8 — 39/49 (Monm.)
    CA_49* R | 198 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Lk D | -1.8 — 46/43 (R-Int)
    NH_01* D | 197 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Lk D | -1.8 —
    AZ_02* R | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Lk D | -1.8 —
    NV_03* D | 195 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    PA_17 R | 194 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Sf D | -2.2 — 39/51 (Monm.)
    NV_04* D | 193 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.7 — 41/41 (R-Int)
    FL_27* R | 192 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | -3.2 —
    AZ_01 D | 191 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | -3.2 —
    FL_07 D | 190 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | -3.5 — 46/47 (St. Pete)
    MN_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.5 —
    PA_08 D | 188 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.5 —
    NJ_05 D | 187 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | -4 — 39/36 (R-Int)
    PA_06* R | 186 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | -4 —
    NJ_02* R | 185 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.2 — 39/44 (PPP)
    CA_07 D | 184 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -4.5 — 41/50 (POS)
    CT_05* D | 183 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Toss | Ln D | Sf D | -4.5 —
    PA_05* R | 182 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5 —
    AZ_09* D | 181 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5 —
    NH_02 D | 180 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5 —
    CA_24 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.2 — 46/47 (Olive Tree)
    NY_18 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.2 —
    WI_03 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.5 —
    IA_02 D | 176 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.5 —
    NY_25 D | 175 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 — 31/55 (Siena)
    FL_13 D | 174 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    OR_05 D | 173 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    NY_03 D | 172 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    KY_03 D | 171 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    MD_06 D | 170 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —

    *indicates open seat

  7. BayernFan says:

    Kyl?!?!

    Lololol

    Smdh

  8. Robbie says:

    Jon Kyl is a great pick to replace McCain.

  9. Robbie says:

    Ari Fleischer
    @AriFleischer

    I’ve been on the receiving end of a Bob Woodward book. There were quotes in it I didn’t like. But never once – never – did I think Woodward made it up. Anonymous sources have looser lips and may take liberties. But Woodward always plays is straight. Someone told it to him.

  10. NYCmike says:

    Bayern,

    I have no issue with Kyl for the purposes needed.

  11. NYCmike says:

    Great pick?

    Oh Lord.

  12. NYCmike says:

    “Someone told it to him.”

    -Yup.

    Ari Fleischer left Woodward an out-door……

  13. ReadyFirst says:

    Kyl, good temp pick. Blocks all the McCain legacy replacement talk.

  14. Bitterlaw says:

    Robbie and NYC agree on Kyl? Maybe Kyl is a Never Trumper Deadender.

  15. Tina says:

    As predicted days ago.

    This gets us past WellStone 2.0.

    Notice how quickly the Jebot media gave up that and swung to Muh Woodward.

  16. NYCmike says:

    “Robbie and NYC agree on Kyl?”

    -Considering that Robbie agrees with Trump policies more than 75% of the time, I am not that shocked by this agreement.

  17. jason says:

    Kyl is an excellent pick.

  18. Tina says:

    That is why Kyl presented Kavanaugh a month ago.

    And an upgrade over the Meg or the opiate.

  19. Tina says:

    And it’s only temporary. Kyl wants to return back to private life, where he gets more $$$.

    He s only doing a two year stint.

  20. CG says:

    Rahm Emanuel drops out of campaign for reelection for Chicago Mayor.

    Pretty surprising.

  21. Tina says:

    Kyle is an upgrade, I am fine overall.

    A bit open borders for me, but serviceable.

  22. Bitterlaw says:

    Jason, too?

    A Never Trumper, a Deadender, and an Inca Amish A-hole walk into a bar….

  23. mnw says:

    I still think Kurt Warner would’ve been brilliant.

  24. Tina says:

    Woodwards Book can be summed up,as I do not like Trumps style. A big zzzz. Substance is more important.

    In other news, Trump is still President.

  25. Tina says:

    This Week
    @ThisWeekABC
    Follow
    JUST IN: 38% in new @ABC News/WaPo poll say Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh should be confirmed, among the lowest level of support for a high court nominee in polling back to 1987. abcn.ws/2wHnctd pic.twitter.com/sBBm9QaHqi
    3:23 AM – 4 Sep 2018

    And Hillary had a 99.99% chance to be President,

  26. mnw says:

    Tina

    Remember how he supposedly interviewed comatose former CIA Director Bob Casey, as Casey lay on his deathbed?

  27. Tina says:

    Yeah, he has a reputation for lying.

    Much like Woodward, who cn and n defended despite being a proven liar.

  28. mnw says:

    29 sb “Wiliam Casey”

  29. Tina says:

    https://t.co/6piMhhkTQd

    Six Woodward controversies from politico of all places.

  30. Messy says:

    29-31. I remember how Casey’s wife confirmed it by saying…”I only saw them eat dinner together.”

    I also remember when John Belushi’s widow attacked him for “not showing how much FUN taking drugs was”

    25. Stopped clock Tina proclaims that Trump is still president. Good for you.

  31. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag rushes to defend Bob Woodward?

    What a surprise…

  32. jason says:

    Woodward has a long history of pathological lying.

    So does Amoral Scumbag.

    It’s not a coincidence.

  33. jason says:

    Anonymous sources have looser lips and may take liberties.”

    Translation: Woodward has no problem repeating lies “someone” told him.

  34. jason says:

    A Never Trumper, a Deadender, and an Inca Amish A-hole walk into a bar….”

    And the bartender said, what is this, a joke?

  35. jason says:

    And the Inca Amish A-hole said, “hey, cabrón, shut up and pour us three pisco sours”.

  36. mnw says:

    Tina 32

    That’sjust a devastating link. It’s hard for me to understand how even lefty trolls could take him seriously after all that documented lying.

  37. Phil says:

    So Robbie sticks up for Woodward. Absolutely shocking. Seriously, is there a MSM swamp creature that Robbie won’t vouch for? Nope.

  38. Tina says:

    Exactly, mnw.

    From politico of all places.

    And so sick of these books. After one, they all sound the same.

  39. Tina says:

    Chad Pergram
    @ChadPergram
    55m
    Democrats complained about not having Kavanaugh documents. But they did NOT invoke Senate Rule 26. That would have effectively halted today’s hearing. Rule 26 bars most committees from meeting after 2 pm et without an agreement by both the Majority and Minority Leader.

    Whoops.

  40. NYCmike says:

    That was nice of (Hangin’) Chad to wait until after 2PM to tweet that!

  41. NYCmike says:

    “And the Inca Amish A-hole said, “hey, cabrón, shut up and pour us three pisco sours”.”

    -And then the “deadender” said “Thanks for getting the first round, A-Hole. Hey look at the time, gotta get home.”

  42. Wes says:

    You have to remember, Phil, Robbie is a creature of the Bushes. He will support all media figures so long as they attack Trump rather than a member of the Bush Family.

  43. Wes says:

    So, Mikey, how furious on a 1-10 scale were you when McSally trounced your heroine, Ward?

    I’m guessing about 160,000.

  44. Tina says:

    It would seem like the Bush may have tried to sabotage Kavanaughs hearings.

    There was a late document dump that came from Bush peeps.

    The Drats are complaining about this, but they should have dumped this on Friday.

    I do not buy the Drats complaints about the lack of documents though.

  45. Tina says:

    John Dowd, trumps former attorney, just called Woodward a liar.

  46. Tina says:

    Looks like a loon tried to get too close to Kavanaugh before lunch.

    Security intervened.

  47. NYCmike says:

    Wes,

    When did you stop taking your meds?

  48. Tina says:

    e/ex-trump-lawyer-john-dowd-denies-quotes-in-bob-woodward-book Later, Dowd elaborated, saying in an email: “I have not read Bob Woodward’s book, which appears to be the most recent in an endless cycle of accusations and misrepresentations based on anonymous statements from unknown malcontents. I do not intend to address every inaccurate statement attributed to me – but I do want to make this clear: there was no so-called ‘practice session’ or ‘re-enactment’ of a mock interview at the Special Counsel’s office. Further, I did not refer to the President as a ‘liar’ and did not say that he was likely to end up in an ‘orange jump suit’. It was a great honor and distinct privilege to serve President Trump.”

    Dowd calls Woodward a malcontent.

    Jebots crushed.

  49. ReadyFirst says:

    Tina, good catch on the Woodward Politico article. Good background information.

  50. NYCmike says:

    Just saw something about a father of one of the children murdered at the Parkland school…….feel very sorry for the parents of that child……he should have been flattened by security…..who all should have then been summarily fired, for being so lax in their jobs!

    WTF is that about!

  51. Messy says:

    52. You will notice that at no point in the article is any of what Woodward wrote debunked.

    Most of what was said about “Deep Throat” was based on the theory he didn’t exist. That is until he died and his daughter revealed he was Mark Felt.

    48. Of course John Dowd said that, he had to! He was probably lying himself when he said that…or would you rather have it called “alternative facts.”

  52. Tina says:

    Due to threats from the Drats, Security also removed Kavanaughs two young daughters.

    Hope the Jebots are happy.

  53. ReadyFirst says:

    54. Good enough for me. If Dan Ackroyd, aka Elwood Blues, calls you a liar, well, you got some splainin’ to do:

    -But Casey’s daughter, Bernadette Casey Smith, claimed that Woodward “never got the deathbed confession,”

    -Tenet claimed that his words were taken out of context and that he was being set up as a scapegoat for the failures of the Iraq War.

    -“Their verdict on the story told by Woodward and Armstrong was overwhelmingly negative. The prevailing tone of their comments was disbelief, verging on contempt. The clerks who had personally worked on the case or had any direct knowledge of it all flatly rejected the story,”

    -Reagan’s physician, Dr. Daniel Ruge, disputed this portrayal, telling the AP that “his recovery was superb … I never saw anything like that [description in the book] … it’s certainly news to me and I was there all the time.”

    “There were certainly things that he just got patently wrong. He painted a portrait of John that was really inaccurate — certain stories in there that just weren’t true and never happened,” said Dan Akroyd

  54. Messy says:

    56. The thing where Readyfirst gets the quote on Armstrong and Woodward’s book: https://www.nybooks.com/articles/1980/06/12/the-evidence-of-the-brethren-an-exchange/

    If you read it, you will notice that the quote was retracted.

  55. mnw says:

    So, three iii’s vouches for Woodward.? Case closed then!

    /s

  56. Tina says:

    I vouch for Woodward too.

    Jebot

  57. Tina says:

    Wired Sources
    @WiredSources
    Follow
    JUST IN: President Trump’s job approval rating among Hispanics in Florida is at 54%, that’s higher than his approval rating among white people – Quinnipiac
    2:02 PM – 4 Sep 2

  58. NYCmike says:

    Is this crap true?

    These mofos are more crooked than a nun’s crossed legs.

  59. Tina says:

    https://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2018/09/04/anti-trump-parkland-dad-targets-brett-kavanaugh-with-handshake-stunt/

    Scroll down to the middle. The Abc video clearly shows the loon approach Kavanaugh while security intervened.

    The loon lied, as did Eric Holder 2.0.

  60. mnw says:

    Schumer (on the protesters today) “That’s the noise of democracy!”

    To me, it’s the opposite. It’s the voice of the ANTI-democratic left, trying to silence their adversaries by shouting them down.

    I can never recall conservative “protesters” trying to shut down a Congressional hearing, in violation of the law, btw. If they did so, would Scum-er still call it, “the noise of democracy,” if HE was the one being shouted down? Maybe NOT?

    Some Senator GAVE those smug little fascists tickets to get into that hearing.

  61. Wes says:

    NYCmike says:
    September 4, 2018 at 3:54 pm
    Wes,

    When did you stop taking your meds?

    About the same time you bleached that yellow streak off your back, crawled out from hiding under your bed, and went off to the unnecessary war you demanded to have happen, Mikey.

    Now, having failed to get AZ Republicans to go along with helping Schumer become Majority Leader by voting for Ward, how much money are you going to send to the moonbat to help the cause?

  62. NYCmike says:

    Wes,

    Go massage a pole, will you please.

    You are speaking gibberish.

  63. mnw says:

    Wes

    When a GOP primary is over, that’s the end of the trail. We ALL support the winner… except for jason, who wants to turn KS blue.

    Lieawatha (on protesters): “I’m glad they’re here! They should be allowed to stay.” Oh yeah…obviously.

  64. Tina says:

    Follow by SMS
    Donald J. Trump Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump
    36m
    The Woodward book has already been refuted and discredited by General (Secretary of Defense) James Mattis and General (Chief of Staff) John Kelly. Their quotes were made up frauds, a con on the public. Likewise other stories and quotes. Woodward is a Dem operative? Notice timing?

    Boom, now Kelly refutes Woodwart.

  65. Tina says:

    BREAKING

    FUHRER MULEHEAD BLINKED.

    John Cardillo
    @johncardillo
    11m
    #Mueller caved. Agreed to all Trump Team’s demands. Written answers only. He has nothing. axios.com/mueller-invest…
    View summary ·

  66. ReadyFirst says:

    58. SMH, I figured out you were math challanged, now I find it’s reading too? Reading is fundamental (RIF) Messy. Your quote in 58:

    “The thing where Readyfirst gets the quote on Armstrong and Woodward’s book: https://www.nybooks.com/articles/1980/06/12/the-evidence-of-the-brethren-an-exchange/“

    Um, no, I pulled the quotes from Tina’s article she linked. You know, the one you supposedly read and had this to say:

    “You will notice that at no point in the article is any of what Woodward wrote debunked.”

    So I read the article, and debunked. Quite simple really.

  67. NYCmike says:

    “CG”,

    Mattis or Woodward?

    Kelly or Woodward?

  68. Bitterlaw says:

    62 Zzzzzzzzzzzz.

    If bakers don’t have to bake then Starbucks’ owners don’t have to serve. Let the market decide.

  69. jason says:

    Mr. Dowd denied the account.

    “I have not read Bob Woodward’s book, which appears to be the most recent in an endless cycle of accusations and misrepresentations based on anonymous statements from unknown malcontents,” Mr. Dowd said in a statement in which he specifically denied the jumpsuit comment.

    “It was a great honor and distinct privilege to serve President Trump,” Mr. Dowd said.

    Mr. Woodward said he stood by his reporting.”

    LOL

  70. jason says:

    Tina beat me to it…..

    But I am sure Amoral Scumbag will enjoy reading it again.

    If you wanted any more evidence that Amoral Scumbag is no conservative you don’t have to go further than his support for Bob Woodward, a certified leftist political hack first, fake journalist second.

    If Amoral Scumbag accepts Bob Woodward’s word for anything, it means he accepts ANY left wing propaganda… there is now nothing he won’t eat up like a maggot on a turd if it somehow is critical of Trump.

  71. mnw says:

    If a conservative writer had been caught lying as many times as Woodward has, that conservative writer would be treated by the msm as if he/she were a convicted child molester who just got out of prison. THAT’s how much credibility such an author would have.

    Think anybody would bother discussing HIS “new book”?

  72. mnw says:

    DEMs have coughed up another Ocasio clone in MA. Defeated 10-year incumbent Rep. Capuano.

    Tribal politics. “She’s black & he’s not.” Let dog eat dog.

    We can only hope & pray that Americans will notice.

  73. Bitterlaw says:

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-ageing-oldest-couple/secret-to-japan-couples-80-years-of-marriage-wifes-patience-idUSKCN1LK0XH

    80 years of marriage? Zzzzzzzz. Walt has been married more than 100,000 years. He just needed 287 wives to do it.

  74. jason says:

    Fake news over at Yahoo….

    “The white community flew into a destructive rage this weekend after Colin Kaepernick was named the face of Nike’s 30th anniversary “Just Do It” campaign. Unruly whites were seen vandalizing property, damaging well-mown lawns and setting fire to running shoes that had chiefly been worn for purposes other than running.”

  75. NYCmike says:

    I did laugh that some “protesting” Nike unwittingly spoke in favor of Converse……which is owned by Nike…….

  76. NYCmike says:

    I’ll have to stick with my Brooks, owned by Berkshire Hathaway……get a penny back for myself every time I buy a pair……

  77. jason says:

    When a GOP primary is over, that’s the end of the trail. We ALL support the winner… except for jason, who wants to turn KS blue.”

    LOL

    I nominate this for chutzpah comment of the month.

    I love deadender logic. The deadenders have a million litmus tests on who they will support, and if you don’t pass them all they prefer a liberal Democrat to anyone not 100% litmus tested.

    But then when a deadender wins, then suddenly its about party “unity”?

    I voted for a lot of “Kobachs” in my day in the name of party unity. It was never reciprocated by the deadenders. Now I am no longer a registered R, I don’t feel that obligation anymore.

    If Kobach loses, blame the deadender morons that voted for him, not me.

    GFY.

  78. jason says:

    About the same time you bleached that yellow streak off your back, crawled out from hiding under your bed, and went off to the unnecessary war you demanded to have happen, Mikey.

    Now, having failed to get AZ Republicans to go along with helping Schumer become Majority Leader by voting for Ward, how much money are you going to send to the moonbat to help the cause?”

    Exactly.

    NYC and mnw are now worried about party unity, what a joke, how come they weren’t worried about it when they were shilling for Chemtrail Ward?

    It seems like what is good for the goose is not good for the gander.

  79. NYCmike says:

    jason must be on the same meds as Wes……kookoo.

  80. Wobbles says:

    Robbie,

    Mattis or Woodward?”

    Mattis is a devout and committed Catholic, and a veteran of the Gulf War, the Iraq War and the war in Afghanistan. He was Supreme Allied Commander of NATO and commander of the US Joint Forces Command. According to Wikipedia, “he is noted for his interest in the study of military history and world history, with a personal library that once included over 7,000 volumes, and a penchant for publishing required reading lists for Marines under his command. He is known for the intellectual rigor he instills in his Marines, risk management, and requiring his Marines to be well-read in the culture and history of regions where they are deployed. Before deploying to Iraq, Mattis had his Marines undergo cultural sensitivity training.”

    Bob Woodward is a Trump hating liberal hack and proven liar.

    I have to go with Woodward.

  81. NYCmike says:

    https://nypost.com/2018/09/04/the-twitter-trolls-attacking-my-work-are-all-wrong/

    -Robbie would side with internet trolls over Salena Zito as well!

  82. lisab says:

    rahm emmanuel is NOT running …

    did you guys see there has been 15,000 shootings in chicago since rahm took office?

    15,000!

    i think they need some gun control in chicago

  83. jason says:

    jason must be on the same meds as Wes……kookoo.”

    You don’t need drugs when the hypocrisy is that blatant.

  84. jason says:

    ‘did you guys see there has been 15,000 shootings in chicago since rahm took office?”

    lisab, criminals and gangs having guns are not the problem.

    The problem is the NRA and law abiding gun owners.

  85. lisab says:

    in other news far far left Mike Capuano was beaten in the massachusetts primary by far far far left Ayanna Pressley in the massachusetts’ primary for the 7th district

    i am from provincetown, which i think went 93% for hillary, and these people could not even get elected there … that is how crazy pressley is

  86. lisab says:

    The problem is the NRA and law abiding gun owners.
    —————–

    and cops

  87. lisab says:

    now … if there are 15,000+ shootings in a city

    over 7 years …

    i am going to go out on a limb here, i think we have a problem, something is not working.

  88. lisab says:

    massachusetts btw had the lowest gun violence, by far, of the 59 states

    it had fewer shootings, by far, than chicago

  89. lisab says:

    kavanaugh’s aide, zina bash, made white supremacy hand gestures during the hearing today

  90. lisab says:

    “just so i am clear: factory workers (which are 80% female) are making NIKE’s for 20 cents an hour and working 70 to 80 hours a week, so NIKE can profit enough to pay Colin Kaepernick millions to speak out against oppression and injustice?”

  91. lisab says:

    Schumer tells raucous crowd ‘the sooner the better’ on Trump impeachment

  92. lisab says:

    Gov. Mike Huckabee
    ?
    Verified account

    @GovMikeHuckabee

    Capitol Police just released name of female protester at Judicial hearing. It was Hillary Clinton, who repeatedly shouted “It was supposed to be MY pick! The FBI and DOJ told me it would be mine!”

  93. Diamond Jim says:

    C

  94. Redmen4ever says:

    In an aggregate, quality-adjusted sample of 50,000, Trump’s JA improved last month in anonymous polls, and fell in live caller polls.

  95. Tina says:

    Zina Bash is a Jew and of Mexican heritage.

    Her father, a doj attorney in tx, mentioned this in a tweet.

  96. Wes says:

    There goes any chance Schumer had of becoming Majority Leader. Now Dems are making the same mistakes Republicans made in 1998.

  97. Wes says:

    https://www.politico.com/story/2018/09/04/trump-impeachment-schumer-video-807156

    The idea that Schumer misheard is preposterous. He’s just given his political opponents a powerful talking point.

  98. Wes says:

    Dems were riding high on anti-Trump sentiment recently. Now they’re making a series of rookie mistakes I believe will cost them their chance to capture the House in November.

    They’ll still make gains, but control has now become more elusive because of their undisciplined approach to the elections.

  99. Tina says:

    John Bash is Zinas husband,

  100. Tina says:

    Zina was actually born in Mexico. Her husband is doj attorney John bash (not her father). I erred in my post.

  101. Wes says:

    The GOP is launching a hard-hitting assault on Sinema in AZ. That’s good. They’re defining her early. I expect McSally to win this one by about 51-48.

  102. Tina says:

    Sen Graham to Drats:

    You cannot lose elections and pick judges.

    Goober is much sharper lately. The other day he expressed concerns about the crimes committed by fig and doj under comedy regarding the fake dossier.

  103. NYCmike says:

    “CG” silent on the credibility of Mattis and Kelly.

    In the next breath he will tell us what a loyal and patriotic Republican Robert Mueller is.

  104. DW says:

    SC_01 – PPP-D

    Cunningham (D) 42%
    Arrington (R) 49%

    UT_04 – Mellman-D

    McAdams (D) 44%
    Love (R-Inc) 46%

    Obviously this PPP-D and D-Internal poll not finding any blue wave in these districts.

  105. DW says:

    I mean if you are going to release an internal as a challenger, at least try to show one that’s tied, but McAdams probably waited for many weeks to get one showing him down ‘only’ two points.

  106. NYCmike says:

    Love always seems to be in tight races.

  107. DW says:

    114 – because she is in the district that is the most light-red of the four in UT. This is the seat that was held by Democrats for years.

  108. Messy says:

    95. As I keep getting blasted here for typos, I notice that no one has blasted lisab for “59 states.” Justin and Tina should have called her a “Lying idiot” by now.

  109. Bitterlaw says:

    I was going to make fun of lisab’s 59 states but it was obviously a typo. I did not want to look petty and small. Messy was not similarly restrained.

  110. Bitterlaw says:

    Messy is just angry because his hero told us there are 57 states. He was worried Trump would get credit for adding 2 more.

  111. Messy says:

    95. As I keep getting blasted here for typos, I notice that no one has blasted LisaB for “59 states.” Justin and Tina should have called her a “Lying idiot” by now.

    109. The Republicans think you cannot WIN the election and pick judges either. Why is Merrit Garland not on the Supreme Court?

  112. NYCmike says:

    “Why is Merrit Garland not on the Supreme Court?”

    -The Biden Rule, circa 1988, or something like that.

  113. NYCmike says:

    “Why is Merrit Garland not on the Supreme Court?”

    -Oh, and because November 8 ACTUALLY HAPPENED!

    L O L ! ! !

  114. NYCmike says:

    “Why is Merrit Garland not on the Supreme Court?”

    -Because Neil Gorsuch.*

    *I like this question!

  115. NYCmike says:

    “Why is Merrit Garland not on the Supreme Court?”

    -Are you tired of WINNING yet?

  116. NYCmike says:

    Kavanaugh mentioned Garland yesterday……wrap your Christmas Tree in that!

  117. Wes says:

    There’s also an unfortunate racial component to Love’s consistently close races in her district: A lot of whites inUT seem to be unenlightened regarding people of richer hue aaa GF calls them. That has helped white Dems stay competitive with her despite her conservative voting record.

  118. Tina says:

    Wes, schumah is now claiming that “he did hit hear the question.”

    Poor Schumah, the gift that keeps on giving.

  119. NYCmike says:

    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/trump-breaks-20-year-fouled-up-budget-gridlock-scores-big-wins

    -I’ll wait to see what really happens, but this is a story that even “CG” and Robbie should be happy about.

    ““This is all driven by the president,” said a key congressional insider. “It’s a win for the president. For 20 years this system has been busted.”

    Nobody is as pleased as McConnell. Last week he said that the passage of department spending packages was a huge achievement, “given how completely fouled up the government funding process has been for 20 years, 20 years.””

  120. NYCmike says:

    McConnell and Ryan, behind the scenes with Trump, may be doing very good work.

    I hope I can continue saying such things. The devil is in the details, though.

    Make it happen, gentlemen.

  121. DW says:

    BOOM!!

    Selzer & Company

    Generic Ballot

    Dem 45
    GOP 43

  122. Wes says:

    Why is Garland not on the Court, Messy? I would refer you to the elections on 11-4-14. Republicans won those elections and thus had the ability to shut down Obama’s appointments.

    Put your pacifier in and change your diaper. Republicans won. Elections have consequences.

  123. DW says:

    And yes, that’s the same Selzer & Company that is A+ rated at 538

  124. mnw says:

    Wes

    I agree completely. I really like the AZ ad campaigns. That’s how you do it. Define the opponent immediately. That’s what Zero did to Romney, btw, & Romney never recovered.

    I wish the GOP in other key races would show the same unified attack plan as in AZ.

    RE: troll three iii’s:

    A typo is where you don’t notice that spellcheck has changed “Ducey” to “Ducky.” However, spelling “disintegrated” with three iii’s, thus “disintigrated” (sic)? That isn’t a typo! That’s a high school dropout, right there! Btw, it took three iii’s a couple of months to decide that was a “typo.”

  125. Tina says:

    The loon that got close to Kavanaugh yesterday is lying again.
    He says that “Kavanaugh got the police to throw him out.”

    Not true, it is the job of the Capitol police to handle that,

    The loon should never have gotten that close.

    Sickening site that The Drats made Kavanaugh parents cry and his daughters had to be removed as a safety precaution.

  126. Tina says:

    The r turnout in as exceeded the Drats by over 145000. I do not even think maricopa county has finished counting, or they at have finished late last night,

    Net r registrations exceed Ds by 150000, or up 16k since the 2016 election.

    Enema will lose.

    The pink tutu ad was devastating.

  127. DW says:

    Tina, I suppose the Dems can defend themselves saying at least they aren’t as bad as Democrat Preston Brooks who nearly caned Republican Charles Sumner to death in the senate chamber in 1856.

  128. mnw says:

    DW 129

    That is worth a “boom.”

    Ann Selzer’s polling is the best there is. A few other pollsters may be unaware that she does the Iowa Poll every 4 years, & her results have been supernaturally accurate.

    SHE is the polling gold standard.

    I assume Selzer’s GCB was national, & not just IA?

  129. Tina says:

    The Capitol police also need to do a better job. Kavanaugh is a high valuable,target.

    You cannot let loons get that close.

  130. NYCmike says:

    “Poor Schumah, the gift that keeps on giving.”

    -Great to see that smug look being wiped off his face! Beautiful!

    Keep it up!

  131. mnw says:

    DW 138

    Really good catch! I note that you had to go behind the original published poll, to the methodology, to find that. OK… I’m impressed.

    Tina 139

    Trigglypuff is more repulsive, but that young lady should certainly be included in the conversation.

  132. DW says:

    mnw…full disclosure, it was easier than that…here was where I found it:

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

  133. mnw says:

    RAS GCB is 46D-42R this week. Trump JA today is 44-54.

    DW

    I shared the Selzer poll GCB with Blue Raisin Hoses. Probably ruined their cozy little morning circle____.

  134. Phil says:

    Is everyone ready to watch Kamala in action today? If you haven’t had the opportunity to watch her in action during a committee hearing you are in for a real treat.

  135. DW says:

    Selzer: D+2
    Morning Consult: D+2
    Rasmussen: D+4

    Doesn’t sound like a blue wave despite what the cheerleaders at ABC and Suffolk say.

  136. Tina says:

    I am also cheerleading.

    I see d plus 10.

    Jebot

  137. DW says:

    mnw, I didn’t realize you are right up there chasing Walt as to age.

  138. DW says:

    But this again will illustrate what I have been saying. ABC and Suffolk drop huge GCB polls for Dems and the toupees rush out to move a whole pile of seats in the blue direction. Now we have Selzer along with two others showing no blue wave, and the toupees won’t move any seats back. Its why I said weeks ago that if this pattern continued and the election was still a year away, by the time it arrived ALL GOP held seats would be Lean D or worse.

  139. NYCmike says:

    DW,

    Keep up the pressure!

    Don’t let them up off the mat!

    Kamala, be yourself today!

  140. DW says:

    Ayanna Pressley speaks:

    “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is so yesterday, and she is a light-weight twit who doesn’t know what she is talking about. If you want a communist who will actually rip the money out of the pockets of the rich and give it to you, then I’m your gal.”

  141. Bitterlaw says:

    I think the Senate should have voted on Garland. Just vote NO and take the issue away from the Dems.

  142. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    DW and mnw:
    If you post a link here to the Selzer National Poll, I will forward it to Real Clear Politics and request that they post it. They almost always post Selzer Polls.

    As an aside, Rasmussen(less’) Trump approval day by day for the past three polling days has been:
    Today- 46%
    Yesterday- 43%
    Monday- 43%

  143. Phil says:

    Oh, don’t worry. Corey and Kamala will be themselves. BTW, all the interruptions from the fascists in the gallery of the judicial committee is a really good look isn’t it. Truly, the sounds of democracy.

  144. Messy says:

    From CNBC:

    With Election Day 10 weeks away, the latest polling shows Devin Nunes ahead by 5 percentage points, according to a poll conducted in late July of 400 likely voters in the district by Democratic polling company Tulchin Research.

    I’m surprised he was doing that well. He’s probably doing worse now.

  145. mnw says:

    Sheep

    As noted, the GCB in the Selzer poll is in the methodology. You have to go to the poll & then go down & click on “methodology” to find the GCB. Grinnell College didn’t include the GCB in their published version.

    DW

    I believe I recall that I”m actually OLDER than Walt.

    The RNC should be PAYING those protesters for their helpful self-assigned GOP fundraising.

  146. DW says:

    Tulchin is a D polling firm.

  147. DW says:

    In fact if you look at the polls shown on the Dashboard, the vast majority there are Dem polling firms.

  148. jason says:

    Obama was wrong most of the time, but even a blind squirrel finds a nut once in awhile…

    “Elections have consequences, and at the end of the day, I won.” – President Obama to House Republican Whip Eric Cantor, January 23, 2009”

  149. jason says:

    I think the Senate should have voted on Garland.”

    What? And violate the Biden Rule?

    Heavens no.

  150. DW says:

    It was the Selzer poll of IA in 2016 a few days before the election when I had that first moment of–wow, Trump could actually win this election.

  151. Redmen4ever says:

    Nunes – an 8-term incumbent in an R+8 district. Two recent Democrat polls show him ahead (Toucan and 3P). Nothing should be taken for granted, but this is a probable/near safe hold.

  152. jason says:

    Why is Merrit Garland not on the Supreme Court?”

    Because he is a flaming moonbat who couldn’t get enough votes in the Senate.

    If Obama had nominated Kavanaugh, he probably would have been confirmed.

    Now how about that remedial program in English I suggested?

  153. mnw says:

    DW

    When Ann Selzer talks, anybody who knows her track record listens with both ears, & takes her result very seriously.

  154. DW says:

    mnw, That’s why my BOOM had two exclamation points after it.

  155. DW says:

    ND_01 – Axis Research:

    Schneider (D) 32%
    Armstrong (R) 53%

    No blue wave there either.

  156. DW says:

    Economist/You Gov GCB

    Democrats 45
    Republicans 40

  157. Wes says:

    Did they also poll the Senate race, DW?

  158. DW says:

    Wes, unfortunately no…seems it was an Armstrong internal.

  159. Wes says:

    Politico thinks the House leans Dem while the Senate is Likely Republican:

    https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/house-senate-race-ratings-and-predictions/

    Overall not bad for the GOP, all things considered.

  160. Wes says:

    We need some polls for ND-Sen.

  161. mnw says:

    Some other polls we need:

    1) IN SEN;

    2) That competitive WV House race;

    3) MT SEN– a recent one.

    For possible DEM SEN pickups, the only one I see right now is NV, & that’s a tossup, admittedly. I’ve always believed that it’s a very bad thing for an incumbent Senator to be in a tossup race. That applies to Nelson, McCaskill AND Heller (I don’t consider ND to be a tossup at this point.)

  162. Messy says:

    120-3 It was bad form on the Republicans’ part.

    So you won’t mind a moratorium on judicial nominees if the Dems win a majority in the Senate?

  163. Redmen4ever says:

    ND: Axis has strong Trump JA, in line with latest Morning Consult state JA.

    WV03: R-23. Without validation, the Monmouth poll for that district should be considered for entertainment purposes only.

    (Actually, this is one of several districts that the other side is trying to sucker our side into expending resources. Regarding these bogus polls akin toe military feints, you’ve got to ask yourself, what’s the narrative?)

  164. Redmen4ever says:

    172 – Nobody should fool themselves. If the Democrats take the Senate, any confirmation will require something like a quid pro quo.

  165. Todd McCain says:

    D +7 or above flips the House. I do agree with DW though that much of the House individual races though aren’t confirming a Blue Wave……but those GB polls have been very concerning. I wish Trump could just shut up sometimes…..

  166. mnw says:

    Redmen

    I always think about the narrative. Always. But on WV-03, with Manchin winning pretty easily so far, imo, the Monmouth poll isn’t outlandish for an open seat– not on its face anyway, & it’s not an internal.

    Maybe Walt will shed some new light on WV-03 one of these days.

  167. mnw says:

    Todd M

    I certainly think Trump should’ve kept his mouth shut about Nike’s stock tanking. He knows better than anybody how fast that can change.

  168. NYCmike says:

    Trump said something about a short-term issue with a stock price?

    THAT IS STUPID!

  169. Phil says:

    These senators need to shut up and get on with it so we can get to the main event – namely, future President Kamala Harris’s brilliant grilling of the nominee.

  170. DW says:

    Todd McCain, you don’t need to ask me the question which I trust more, Selzer or ABC/Washington Post.

  171. GPO says:

    Former Kansas Governor Bill Graves issued a statement today endorsing Democratic state senator Laura Kelly over the GOP candidate Kris Kobach.

    lol- ok when establishment doesn’t get behind the nominee, but not the other way around

  172. mnw says:

    NYC 178

    Yes, & it involves a fight in which Trump has no dog! NFL, Nike & kneeling? Does Trump not have more important things to worry about?

  173. DW says:

    Updated Dashboard with Politico rankings included:

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ————————————————————————————————-
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | RRH | Kos | 538 | Poli. | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ————————————————————————————————-
    OH_15 R | 146 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.5 —
    PA_14* D | 147 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.5 —
    OK_05 R | 148 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 5.3 —
    OH_10 R | 149 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.3 —
    CA_22 R | 150 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 — 48/43 (Tulchin)
    NY_23 R | 151 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    AZ_06 R | 152 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    NC_08 R | 153 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    MO_02 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.1 — 51/40 (Rem.)
    AK_01 | 155 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 — 40/36 (Lake Res.)
    IN_09 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    OH_07 R | 157 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    AZ_08 R | 158 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    IA_04 | 159 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6 —
    CO_03 R | 160 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6 —
    FL_15* R | 161 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.6 —
    TX_31 R | 162 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 — 46/40 (PPP-D)
    IN_02 R | 163 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    FL_06* R | 164 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    MI_01 R | 165 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    NY_27 | 166 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | 4.2 —
    SC_01 R | 167 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 49/42 (PPP-D)
    CA_04 R | 168 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    FL_25 R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 46/39 (St. Pete)
    TX_21* R | 170 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 33/27 (Chg Res.)
    WI_06 R | 171 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 4 —
    GA_07 R | 172 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | 4 — 44/46 (Tulchin)
    OH_14 R | 173 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    PA_16 R | 174 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 50/44 (D-Int)
    MI_07 R | 175 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 4 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    NY_24 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 54/39 (Siena)
    NC_02 R | 177 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.7 —
    FL_18 R | 178 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    MI_06 R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 — 49/44 (GSG-D)
    CA_21 R | 180 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.5 —
    NY_01 R | 181 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.5 —
    WA_03 R | 182 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 — 42/37 (Lake R.)
    FL_16 R | 183 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 — 49/37 (PPP) | 48/44 (D-Int)
    IL_14 R | 184 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 — 45/41 (PPP)
    GA_06* R | 185 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 —
    PA_10 R | 186 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.1 —
    NY_11 R | 187 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.1 —
    CA_50 R | 188 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/39 (SUSA) | 46/46 (Tulchin)
    AR_02 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/42 (PPP)
    VA_05 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 —
    MT_01 R | 191 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 2.6 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    IL_13 R | 192 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.4 — 45/42 (PPP)
    NM_02* R | 193 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.2 — 49/35 (Carroll)
    WA_05 R | 194 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.2 — 44/38 (elway)
    NC_13 R | 195 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 40/35 (Civitas)
    UT_04 R | 196 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 46/44 (D-Int)
    WI_01* R | 197 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 40/41 (GSG-D)
    VA_02 R | 198 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 1.7 — 48/42 (PPP)
    OH_12 R | 199 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 — 48/44 (PPP)
    PA_01 R | 200 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 49/42
    WV_03* R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 1.3 — 41/43 (Monm.)
    NE_02 R | 202 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.3 —
    TX_32 R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Toss | 1.1 — 47/45 (GBA)
    IL_06 R | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.1 — 44/37 (Victory Res.)
    IL_12 R | 205 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 44/39 (PPP)
    OH_01 R | 206 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.8 — 43/42 (PPP)
    NJ_03 R | 207 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.7 — 41/40 (Monm.)
    VA_07 R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 0.7 —
    FL_26 R | 209 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 0.7 — 48/41 (DCCC-D)
    ME_02 R | 210 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.6 — 40/39 (D-Int)
    KS_03 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.5 — 43/46 (GSG-D)
    NJ_07 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.5 — 45/47 (GQR-D)
    MN_03 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.5 — 43/46 (PPP)
    TX_23 R | 214 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln R | 0.5 — 44/43 (PPP)
    KS_02* R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 34/39 (Mellman-D)
    MI_08 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 45/39 (Target Ins)
    TX_07 R | 217 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 47/45 (D-Int.)
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    IA_03 R | 218 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 41/45 (D-Int.)
    CA_45 R | 217 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 45/44 (D-Int)
    NY_19 R | 216 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 49/44 (IMGE) |45/40 (Siena)
    MN_08* D | 215 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.2 —
    KY_06 R | 214 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln D | 0 —
    MN_01* D | 213 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    CA_39* R | 212 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 45/43 (DCCC-D)
    NC_09* R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.1 — 43/44 (D-Int)
    CA_10 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.1 — 48/48 (GHY-D)
    WA_08* R | 209 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.2 — 51/45 (GBA)
    IA_01 R | 208 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -0.2 — 41/43 (D Int.)
    CA_48 R | 207 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — 45/47 (Monm.)
    CO_06 R | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — (45/45 IMGE)
    NY_22 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — 44/46 (Siena)
    MN_02 R | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — 43/42 (PPP)
    CA_25 R | 203 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -0.3 — 47/47 (IMGE)
    MI_11* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.6 — 42/45 (PPP)
    PA_07* R | 201 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Lk D | Ln D | -1.6 —
    NJ_11* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -1.6 — 38/40 (Monmouth)
    AZ_02* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Lk D | Toss | -1.6 —
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -1.8 — 39/49 (Monm.)
    CA_49* R | 197 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Lk D | Ln D | -1.8 — 46/43 (R-Int)
    NH_01* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    NV_03* D | 195 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.1 —
    PA_17 R | 194 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Sf D | Lk D | -2.4 — 39/51 (Monm.)
    NV_04* D | 193 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -2.6 — 41/41 (R-Int)
    FL_27* R | 192 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Ln D | -3.1 —
    AZ_01 D | 191 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Ln D | -3.1 —
    FL_07 D | 190 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -3.5 — 46/47 (St. Pete)
    MN_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.5 —
    PA_08 D | 188 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.5 —
    NJ_05 D | 187 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4 — 39/36 (R-Int)
    PA_06* R | 186 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4 —
    NJ_02* R | 185 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.2 — 39/44 (PPP)
    CA_07 D | 184 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Ln D | -4.2 — 41/50 (POS)
    CT_05* D | 183 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Toss | Ln D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.4 —
    AZ_09* D | 182 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 181 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    PA_05* R | 180 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.1 —
    CA_24 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.1 — 46/47 (Olive Tree St.)
    NY_18 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.1 —
    IA_02 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.3 —
    WI_03 D | 176 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.5 —
    FL_13 D | 175 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.5 —
    MD_06 D | 174 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.5 —
    NY_25 D | 173 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 — 31/55 (Siena)
    OR_05 D | 172 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    NY_03 D | 171 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    KY_03 D | 170 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —

    *indicates open seat

  174. Phil says:

    Wait a second. Kavanaugh has the nerve to put that white power lady behind him for the second day in a row? Obviously a racist. I hope future President Senator Harris rips his head off. I’m confident she will. Hail to the future chief.

  175. dblaikie says:

    Anyone who actually puts any stock in the generic polls released yesterday needs to wake-up. If you want to believe that it was coincidence that they came out just as the bogus Woodward book content was revealed and the circus of yesterday’s Senate Judicial hearing took place. I have never been a conspiracy theorist and so I am not going to go there. But the money behind these polling units hate Donald Trump. It is not a conspiracy to believe that they are using flawed models to achieve results for political purposes. It is laughable to think that ABC or anyone else in media – liberal land want to actually produce accurate polls that are a true SNAPSHOT into the mood of our Country concerning the midterm election. It isn’t laughable to think that many are efforts to effect voter turnout. In other words folks, don’t eat the liberal, yellow snow that is spoon fed every day.

  176. mnw says:

    Redmen 183

    WV-03:

    I hadn’t seen that article. If the GOP nominee loses to HIM, then all is lost. I wonder if she has enuf $$$ to exploit all of that?

    A “Trump Democrat,” my adz.

  177. mnw says:

    ‘blaikie

    It could also be unconscious, good faith confirmation bias too, instead of conspiracy. People try to see what they want to see.

    That’s why the Selzer poll discussed above may be significant. NO confirmation bias there.

  178. Wes says:

    Looking at the polls, I get a vague sense the .House is glacially slipping away from the Dems.

  179. DW says:

    If (and its a genuine IF at this point) the GOP holds the house, we would do well to come back to this date and the Selzer poll to relive the release of this poll and what it said about the race for house control.

  180. mnw says:

    A lot of my friends/friendly acquaintances* are middle aged or elderly W-M DEMs.

    I think a lot of them chose to be DEMs for reasons of personal advancement in the law biz. Given the victories of Ocasio & her pal in Boston, I wonder if a decade from now the DEM party will still be perceived as the best path to success for ambitious young white lawyers?

    My impression is that the DEM party is beginning to make it clear that white males, no matter how liberal, just aren’t welcome on DEM primary day.

    * one of these is the DEM nominee in IL-13, in whom trollblogger reposes such great expectations

  181. mnw says:

    DW 190

    Absolutely.

  182. Wes says:

    ND Dems are getting desperate, even resorting to flagrant lies, because Heitkamp can’t land a solid blow on Cramer and is trailing him in polls.

  183. Wes says:

    Heitkamp was stupid to recruit George B. Sinner to challenge Cramer in 2014. It just honed his campaign skills and gave Cramer greater exposure in a state where retail politicking matters.

  184. lisab says:

    I was going to make fun of lisab’s 59 states but it was obviously a typo.
    ——————–

    no it was a reference to obama …

  185. Wes says:

    Marist will release an IN-Sen poll at 5.

  186. lisab says:

    soooooooooooo … what organization should we have cg donate the $1000 to?

    i say trump’s reelection campaign fund 🙂

  187. Diamond Jim says:

    CC

  188. mnw says:

    I think Marist should be considered “Marist(D),” like “PPP(D).”

    Marist is the favorite pollster of NPR and NBC. I suspect those outfits didn’t draw Marist’s name out of a hat.

    I didn’t agree with a lot of what they came up with in their MO poll a few days ago. About 22 months back, Trump carried my homestate by 18.5%, if memory serves. (Appx, anyway). If Marist is to be believed, then Trump’s support has dwindled enormously in the Show Me State during those months.

  189. mnw says:

    lisab 198

    Good link.

    What Nike is doing reminds me of the infamous United Colors of Benetton ads of 20 or so years ago… recall? Photos of death row inmates; the Pope kissing another man, etc.

    Because of Nike & Kaepernick, I looked up Benetton to see how its stock has done since it ran those world famous, controversial ads. “Very poorly,” would be an accurate summary.

  190. lisab says:

    i did not remember those ads

    what were they thinking? the pope kissing a man?

    way to alienate a huge portion of the population.

  191. mnw says:

    It was an odd way to sell apparel.

  192. Tina says:

    Ross
    @ChuckRossDC
    1h
    Trump says he is “very seriously” looking at declassifying portions of the Carter Page FISAs, as House Republicans have urged. twitter.com/esaagar/status…
    View details ·

    The jebots will implode.

  193. jason says:

    Former Kansas Governor Bill Graves issued a statement today endorsing Democratic state senator Laura Kelly over the GOP candidate Kris Kobach.

    lol- ok when establishment doesn’t get behind the nominee, but not the other way around”

    Actually, this is the deadenders getting a taste of their own medicine.

  194. jason says:

    The deadenders call everyone else Rinos and traitors and Democrats when they don’t get their way.

    Now they want “unity”?

    F-k’em.

    As ole Rev. Wright said, the chickens are coming home to roost.

  195. GPO says:

    I posted that earlier Jason- sickening

  196. jason says:

    Where is Amoral Scumbag to tell again he takes Woodward’s word against Mattis.

  197. jason says:

    What’s sickening about it?

    The deadenders want to have it both ways.

    No free lunch.

  198. NYCmike says:

    “Actually, this is the deadenders getting a taste of their own medicine.”

    -Examples of this “medicine” you speak of?

  199. Wes says:

    I’m no fan of Kobach, but I don’t consider him a Deadender. He’s been a loyal, if misguided, Republican. I think Graves should have kept his mouth shut in this race.

  200. Tina says:

    Bitter Medicine that could bite us in the end.

  201. jason says:

    xamples of this “medicine” you speak of?”

    Ah, Mr. Hypocrite himself wants examples?

    Endless litmus and purity tests, calling anyone who is not a deadender a RINO, a traitor, a Dem, a liberal, etc., staying home because a deadender is not on the ballot, character assassinations of the worst kind.

    Then they want “party unity”.

    Let me be the first to tell Kobach’s supporters to GFTs.

    I am sure if Kobach had lost, “party unity” would be the last thing on their minds.

  202. Wes says:

    Republicans hold about 80% of the KS Legislature. It won’t hurt too much if Kobach loses, but I would still caution against supporting the Dem.

  203. jason says:

    I’m no fan of Kobach, but I don’t consider him a Deadender.”

    I think he is an idiot. And certainly an immigration deadender.

    He thinks WE ARE WINNING!

  204. Wes says:

    No argument here, Jason. He’s still not a Deadender in the mold of Christine O’Donnell or Corey Stewart.

  205. Phil says:

    Nobody could ever approach the level of deadender in the mold of O Donnell or Stewart. That would take some doing although we’ve had some come close in Nevada, Indiana and a few other places.

  206. Tina says:

    Mitchie has said that the Senate has no time to try to do another obumblercare repeal with Sen, Kyl, who is against obumblercare.

    There is A window where 51 votes are needed.

  207. Tina says:

    Mitchie indicates that Rs will have to do another CR.

  208. Tina says:

    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/doj-examine-whether-social-media-companies-intentionally-stifling-ideas

    Justice to examine anti trust violations involving social media.

    Time to bust them up.

  209. jason says:

    No argument here, Jason. He’s still not a Deadender in the mold of Christine O’Donnell or Corey Stewart.”

    Didn’t he say 3 million illegals voted without offering a shred of evidence?

    So he is not a little moronic con woman or a racist screwball, but that is a low bar.

    Kansas deserves better.

  210. Phil says:

    I wish Senator Lee would shut up so we can get to the real senators like Booker and future President Harris.

  211. Cash Cow TM says:

    We see and hear no big controversies and political
    debate here on the beach at Virginia Beach.

  212. DW says:

    Cow, you are 25 minutes away

  213. Paul says:

    The Times today is taking the rare step of publishing an anonymous Op-Ed essay. We have done so at the request of the author, a senior official in the Trump administration whose identity is known to us and whose job would be jeopardized by its disclosure.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/05/opinion/trump-white-house-anonymous-resistance.html

    Guessing game begins?

  214. Trump says:

    Who knew Robbie worked in the inner circle of the White House.

  215. Phil says:

    228

    Yeah, I’ll guess…..a bunch of NYT editorial board members got together to invent a fictional composite Never Trumper administration official.

    What a complete pile of horse sh*t. Either that or the biggest example of journalistic malpractice in the history of journalism.

  216. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    228. File clerk in mail room. Nate Silver had a good take.

    @NateSilver538
    “It seems like the person’s goal is to get outed and secure a very generous advance on a book deal. Nate Silver added,”

    @philipaklein
    “One weird thing about this anon op-ed: If you’re arguing your goal at WH is to calm Trump down, doesn’t publishing this op-ed (particularly in NYT) accomplish the exact opposite?”

    What amazes me is the NYT would published what amounts to second-hand gossip.

  217. Paul says:

    230: Is it malpractice to allow an anonymous oped?

  218. Paul Stocksdale says:

    Kellyanne Conway?

  219. Paul says:

    Kellyanne attested to the credibility of Woodwards book yesterday. She may be planning her departure and parachute.

  220. Wes says:

    Have we gotten any polls for FL-27?

  221. Cash Cow TM says:

    “DW says:
    September 5, 2018 at 3:57 pm
    Cow, you are 25 minutes away”

    Was thinking about asking you for restaurant tips, but remembered you do not eat the shell fish.

    About ready to mosey on down to Watermans for shell fishiness..
    Staying at Ramada Inn…

  222. DW says:

    Cow: Sorry about the Ramada stay, they are notorious for a 5 star hotel lobby but a 2 star hotel room.

    Advice for Walt: Do NOT rent one of the four wheel bicycles on the boardwalk…they look like fun, but in fact are torture contraptions. You would have a better time walking.

  223. mnw says:

    jason is the only deadender here, as far as I know (trolls excluded from discussion, as always)

    When an establishment candidate wins, jason claims that “deadeners” (social conservatives) won’t support the winner. That’s an absolute lie in my case, & also in the case of other SoCons here, I believe. Name one of us who refuses to back the GOP nominee, when our preferred candidate loses, please?

    But jason? When HIS preferred candidate loses a GOP primary fair & square to a SoCon, as in KS? He’s outta here. (Not that I think jason or anyone else back east will make any difference in KS.)

    Btw, with motor voter in CA, whereby all DL recipients are AUTOMATICALLY registered to vote (unless they opt out), anyone here think millions of illegal aliens aren’t registered THERE? In that one state alone?

    There was a DRUDGE story today about how THOUSANDS of illegal aliens have dropped out of various federal benefit programs– for fear that their enrollment in such programs might NOW result in their deportation. They weren’t too worried about that possibility when Zero was president, apparently. Odd.

    There is a REASON that hard evidence about the number of illegal alien voters is hard to come by. The REASON is that whenever a state SOS begins to study that issue, as in CO, the DEMs scream “voter suppression!” & KILL any attempt to investigate the matter. They don’t WANT to know. Wonder why.

  224. bio mom says:

    No respect for anonymous backstabbing. This seems calculated with the Woodward book. Just resign if you have any integrity, OBVIOSLY HAS NONE.

  225. Messy says:

    i don’t know if this is what Bio Mom is referencing, but I think it’s a trial balloon for a possible coup detat.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/05/opinion/trump-white-house-anonymous-resistance.html

    An interesting read to be sure.

  226. Phil says:

    Yeah, I have a BIG problem with a major outlet publishing anonymous Op-Ed’s. You want to publish someone’s op-ed? Fine. Get someone who will put his or her’s name on it. This is total BS.

  227. Wes says:

    Mnw conflates socons with Deadenders. While Deadenders are indeed often socons, they aren’t always. See Bill Sali (R-ID), whose platform in the 2006 ID-2 primary was mostly economic as evidenced by his CFG backing. However, Sali was a poor Congressman who ran a pathetic reelection campaign in 2008 that resulted in a loss to Dem Walt Minnick even as McCain carried the district 62-36.

    Here in NC, Deadender known as Greg Brannon ran for Senate against both Thom Tillis and Richard Burr. Brannon was a crook facing a myriad of charges and lost badly despite efforts by his Tea Party allies to paint Tillis and Burr as liberals.

    Thus, not all Deadenders are socons though a large number are.

  228. Wes says:

    Julstol is a major backer of Deadenders here on HHR. He has admitted several times to supporting unelectable candidates such as Christine O’Donnell to help Dems win elections.

  229. DW says:

    Another D-Internal release:

    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner-D (Democracy Corps)

    NC_02

    401 LV
    Coleman (D) 45%
    Holding (R) 44%

    There seems to be 15 Dem internals released to every 1 GOP internal. And the GOP candidates are holding up even in the Dem internals. Add 3-5 points or so to the GOP candidate in these D-Internals, and the GOP candidate wins almost all the ones shown in my dashboard. Where is the blue-wave?

    Here the Dems can cherry-pick which internals they release for each race, and they cannot find the blue-wave in any of them.

  230. Wes says:

    Not every candidate who loses is a Deadender. For instance, former Congressman Crescent Hardy ran a good campaign to win in 2014. Two years later, despite being no controversial and hard working, Hardy ran into a perfect storm of highVegas turnout, a Libertarian splitting his vote, and strong negative reaction to Donald Trump among Nevadans. He barely lost reelection by a plurality of the vote because of too many opposing factors but is now back and may return to the House in January.

  231. Todd McCain says:

    NBC INDIANA:

    Donnelly: 44
    Braun 41
    Brenton 8

  232. Wes says:

    That’s great news. I didn’t expect Donnelly to be in such a weak position in Marist.

  233. DW says:

    wow, if that’s all NBC/Marist can do, Donnelly is toast on election day.

  234. DW says:

    Once again, Wes and I illustrate why we should get our own show–on the same page.

  235. Wes says:

    Will Brenton (the Libertarian) be a factor? The Libertarian wasn’t a factor in 2012 when Donnelly won with a narrow absolute majority of the vote after Mourdock disqualified himself. However, a Libertarian did split the GOP vote in Donnelly’s 2010 House re-election bid, helping him win by a point.

  236. Redmen4ever says:

    love those three-ways!

    Marist has Trump’s JA at +2 in IN. For a comparison, the most recent Morning Consult JA for Indiana is +6.

    As for that screwy Trafalgar whatever it was of a few weeks ago, it had Trump at -4. I am beginning to suspect the Trafalgar poll was to goad Donnelly into voting against Kavanaugh, even joining Code Pink in a condom suit.

  237. Wes says:

    I wish we did have our own show, DW. We’re far more accurate than most current talking heads.

  238. Wes says:

    Braun hasn’t gone Mourdock yet but has been unapologetic about opposing abortion even in the case of rape. That is an off putting stance for large swathes of voters. I’d recommend toning it down at least.

  239. Paul says:

    No one wants to play the guessing game? Spoil-sports.

    Writing analysis probably could figure it out.

  240. Wes says:

    Marist says Donnelly leads 49-43 without Brenton. Of course Brenton is a candidate, so we cannot magically wish her away.

  241. Mr.Vito says:

    Qunnipiac has Nelson and Scott tied at 49%, with Scott winning Hispanics by 20.

  242. Phil says:

    I’m not even bothering to follow the November elections. The House is gone. Probably drop 35 seats if I had to guess. Hoping for +1 or 2 in the Senate.

  243. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    At this point in time,I believe that Braun(R) is in better shape to overtake Donnelly(D) than Young(R) was against Bayh(D) in 2016. Correct?

    Both today’s Florida and Hoosier polls showed the Democrats doing well base on their being +20 among Independents. Does that sound right?

  244. Paul says:

    The word of the day is LODESTAR.

    Some are noting that odd word in the Op-Ed and Pence’s frequent use of the term. So, the writer could be Pence’s speech writer. Or someone who threw that word in to fake us out.

    Generally, a fun and silly game.

  245. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #259
    Add: Here is the polling in the 2016 Indiana Senate contest between Young(R) and Bayh(D).
    Please notice that the polls showed Bayh ahead until the third week of October. Young prevailed by 9.7%.
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/in/indiana_senate_young_vs_bayh-6003.html#polls

  246. Wes says:

    Don’t be such an eeyore, Phil. You also said AZ-Sen is gone, but McSally is running a solid campaign and defining Sinema early.

    The House may fall, but that’s far from certain. Politico even did a profile of all races today saying the House only leans Dem.

  247. mnw says:

    IN SEN

    As usual, I got lapped by Wes, DW & others before I could post the Marist poll.

    I think it’s weird that Donnelly supposedly is +6 in a 2-way with Braun, but Donnelly is supposedly only +3 with the Libertarian included.

    That is certainly counterintuitive!

    A Libertarian usually hurts the R, which is why DEMs in MT helped the Libertarian get on the ballot there.. A Green line usually hurts the DEM, which is why DEMs in MT filed suit & got the Green guy thrown off the ballot there.

    In the recent MO poll, the inclusion of the Libertarian hurt Hawley (R), which seems more likely.

  248. Paul says:

    So, McCain is the one who used the term lodestar about himself!!! So, clearly the anonymous op-ed is written by McCain. LOL.

  249. mnw says:

    Cramer is putting Heitkamp on the defensive, much like McSally is doing. I think Cramer’s new ad on Heitkamp’s abortion record is right up there with McSally’s pink tutu ad.

  250. CG says:

    I believe Lodestar was a Stormy Daniels film.

  251. mnw says:

    Is Paul-troll the one “in the accounting field”?

    I know which troll is “the airline pilot.”

  252. mnw says:

    And of course we all know who the trollblogger is.

  253. Robbie says:

    Remember Trumpaloos. As has always been the case, it will only get worse with Trump. There were plenty of opportunities along the way to break with Trump and stave off disaster in the upcoming election, but it’s too late now. The only thing left to do is embrace the suck that coming.

    But also remember this. After we stupidly renominate Trump for 2020, today will look like a good day.

    Couple of guesses on the op-ed writer:

    Nikki Haley
    Kevin Hassett

  254. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 5, 2018 at 6:04 pm
    Is Paul-troll the one “in the accounting field”?
    I know which troll is “the airline pilot.”

    – And I know who you are. You’re the populist sack of crap Trump troll.

    Your nationalist, populist dream is collapsing right in front of your eyes thanks to your orange leader.

  255. Robbie says:

    Trump says:
    September 5, 2018 at 4:17 pm
    Who knew Robbie worked in the inner circle of the White House.

    – I would have resigned publicly and alerted the nation to Trump’s mental and emotional instability.

    I’m quite certain whoever wrote this op-ed is 100% correct about what’s happening, but the time for anonymous op-ed’s has come and gone.

    If Trump is the danger to the country as presented in the Woodward book and in this op-ed, it’s time for senior officials to resign and tell us so on the record.

  256. Phil says:

    I was thinking Proud Obamacon was the accountant but the trolls are starting to run together.

  257. Tina says:

    Which is faker, Woodwart or slimes op Ed?

  258. Tina says:

    @ChadPergram
    7m
    McConnell tells colleague Bret Baier on Fox he doesn’t think there is much of a chance to take another run at repealing/replacing Obamacare despite having Kyl in the Senate as McCain’s successor. Says they have to see what the Congress looks like next year.

    And next year,mthere will be another excuse.

  259. Tina says:

    Wired Sources
    @WiredSources
    Follow
    BREAKING: President Trump to declassify redacted documents from controversial FISA warrant against Carter Page – @SaraCarterDC
    2:50 PM – 5 Sep 2018

    Jebots to sheot themselves,

  260. Tina says:

    Brit Hume
    @brithume
    Follow
    The author of the NY Times anonymous essay contending Trump administration’s achievements were despite him not because of him ignores a key fact: they would not have happened if he had not won the election.
    1:58 PM – 5 Sep 2018

    Shhhhh. Hillary would be better.

  261. Paul says:

    I’m the troll who owns his own “business” and pays $1400 per month to suckle on the teat of Obamacare.

  262. George says:

    This may well be just a fake letter produced by one of the many fake news writers at the New York Times.

  263. ReadyFirst says:

    NYT: Saboteur Inside HHR

    I Am Part of the Resistance Inside the Hedgehog Report.

    I work for the wizard, but like-minded colleagues and I have vowed to thwart parts of his agenda and his worst inclinations to not post new threads…

    A Drama Queen wrote that one.

  264. ReadyFirst says:

    Nice catch on the new FL LTG Wes. Great Choice! Gillum will go down hard.

  265. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    277. @brithume
    “The author of the NY Times anonymous essay contending Trump administration’s achievements were despite him not because of him ignores a key fact: they would not have happened if he had not won the election.”

    It is common for subordinates to backbite and criticize their superior. As was said: “No man is a hero to his valet.” Trump in particular is not one you want to get to know up and close. Still he has done things that others have not accomplished, despite his character issues.

  266. Wes says:

    Rick Scottis making an aggressive play for Latino votes.Now DeSantis is—wisely—doing the same. Maybe Republicans in NV, CO, and NM should take note and emulate them.

    Of course then I P 727–proud enemy of all things non-white would blow up and declare the GOP to be on its death knell for abandoning Nixon’s Southern Strategy just as he did when Michael Steele became RNC Chair in 2009.

  267. ReadyFirst says:

    I, along with some other FL veterans, got the chance today to meet Governor Rick Scott. Everyone here at HHR (well, except for the saboteurs) will be happy to know that he plans to win in November. Also got a great picture with First Lady Ann Scott. I think I like her better than Rick.

  268. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    269. “There were plenty of opportunities along the way to break with Trump and stave off disaster in the upcoming election, but it’s too late now. The only thing left to do is embrace the suck that coming.”

    Good grief, Robbie. After your disastrously wrong election predictions in 2016, it might make sense to drop the infallibility tone of this year’s predictions You sound like your trying to be Moses coming down from Mt. Sinai — “Woe, Woe, Woe, Unto You”.

  269. ReadyFirst says:

    Both are very smart for going after Latino votes! Latinos are a natural fit for the GOP.

  270. Tina says:

    if u believe that the anonymous Times piece helps anyone but Trump, u might be dumber than u look. Writer admits country is safer and more prosperous. What’s left? His style. He’s mean! So what! Screw you, ya big baby.
    Greg Gutfield

  271. Paul says:

    288: I agree. I don’t think there is anything that surprising in either the Woodward book or the Op-Ed. Nothing nefarious or evil or criminal. It sounds like Trump is just as impulsive and a bit nutty as he’s always been.

  272. NYCmike says:

    “You’re the populist sack of crap Trump troll.”

    -Robbie plagiarizing again from the Sunday scripture readings.

  273. Anonymous says:

    Truth from inside the Hedgehog Report

    Robbie has a Trump blowup doll. After he JEB! got screwed over in the primaries, Robbie said he would F Trump. Every day.

    Bitterlaw is a happy, friendly guy. The suicidal broken lawyer act is to mess with you.

    Tina still wears her Kaepernick Niners Jersey.

  274. Toast says:

    Where’s MrV.?

  275. NYCmike says:

    “Tina still wears her Kaepernick Niners Jersey.”

    -Good one!

  276. lisab says:

    i work for the nytimes

    and i secretly get them to keep printing stupid stuff that people like robbie will like

    so their subscriptions go down!

  277. lisab says:

    nytimes then: there is no swamp, trump is paranoid

    nytimes today: here is an op ed from the swamp

    it is almost like corey is the nytimes editor

  278. Paul says:

    294: Subscriptions are actually way up. So Trump has been a positive force for some.

  279. lisab says:

    i work on the print side …

  280. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    289. “It sounds like Trump is just as impulsive and a bit nutty as he’s always been.”

    Just “a bit” nutty? I think he is a high achiever in that regard.

  281. Cash Cow TM says:

    DW,

    We do not ride the boardwalk 4 wheeled bikes.
    We did it once a long time ago.
    Lots of work.

    RAMADA…got a cheap deal, right on the boardwalk.

    Seems we just missed the big GoGo Dolls / ZZ Top concert that was held on the beach in front of Ramada and the hotel nextdoor.

  282. Diamond Jim says:

    CCC

  283. Tina says:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/opinions/wp/2018/09/05/kavanaugh-stumbled-over-two-critical-tripwires/?tid=ss_tw&utm_term=.f7b4333052e6&noredirect=on

    Fake con, Jennifer Rubin, wanted Kavanaugh to do a blanket recusal for all ,alters involving Trump.

    He said no.

    More dumbness from the fake cons.

  284. Cash Cow TM says:

    Cow hears many people speaking foreign tongues (a.k.a “Jibberbabber”) here in Va. Beach.

    I am pretty sure some of them are Rooshans.

  285. Gelt Goose says:

    Honk.

  286. dblaikie says:

    For me the big news about the Woodward book and this anonymous coward is that they are reduced to only talking about process and personality with a dose of stuff from over a decade ago. All of these media midgets avoid one topic like the plague and that is the results of the last two years. If they are right and the White House is a crazy place filled with sound and fury and a loon at the top then all I can say is that I want more of it.

    From my observations concerning Washington, if I am to consider Woodward and the Times as credible works, sanity produces an anemic economy, stifling regulations and arrogant bureaucrats. But total uncontrolled mayhem with a nut at the top produces 4.1 economic growth, great court picks, and a strong foreign policy — well I say more craziness.

    In other words all of this stuff is total garbage that means nothing. It reminds me of church busybodies who come to me and say something negative and then say, “I am not the only one who says this.” But when I ask them to name names they refuse. And my response is until they have the courage to face me it means nothing.

  287. BayernFan says:

    I think it’s Sarah sanders

  288. Tina says:

    I just listened to Kasich on cnn.

    He refers to trumps policy decisions as “chaos.” No, those are policy decisions,

    Karate Chop is upset that we cut regulations and taxes too much.

    He is also pissed that we got out of the Iran Deal.

  289. Tina says:

    Bill Kristol
    @BillKristol
    Follow
    The GOP tax bill’s bringing out my inner socialist. The sex scandals are bringing out my inner feminist. Donald Trump and Roy Moore are bringing out my inner liberal. WHAT IS HAPPENING?
    12:46 PM – 21 Nov 2

    And one more, I am upset that Hillary is not President.

  290. mnw says:

    What’s happening, Kristol? reversion to norm.

    The Kasich 2020 platform: resuscitate the Zero/Corker Iran deal; more federal regulation (because Trump cut them too much); tax increases (ditto; Trump went too far). That should be wery, wery popular!

  291. lisab says:

    North Korean leader Kim Jong Un signaled a willingness to revive stalled nuclear talks, with South Korean officials saying he wanted to “achieve denuclearization” during U.S. President Donald Trump’s first term.

    Kim told visiting South Korean envoys Wednesday he was ready to accept “stronger measures” to restrict his nuclear program and wanted a declaration with the U.S. to formally end the Korean War, the officials said. A separate account by North Korean state media said Kim told the delegation that he wanted progress on denuclearization, without mentioning the U.S. or Trump.

  292. Tina says:

    So, the Ny Slimes confirms that we have a deep state.

    Lol,mtheyncould beyond dumb.

  293. lisab says:

    nbc news uploaded this to youtube

    trump reacting to nytimes

    this is positive, so nbc uploading it is a surprise

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=108&v=nRlV0pxa8Lw

  294. lisab says:

    Actress Says She Will Cancel Show if Melania Trump Likes It — Then Melania Calls Her Bluff, Says She Likes It

    actress Issa Rae told Glamor magazine she would cancel her HBO show if beautiful First Lady Melania Trump liked it.

  295. Phil says:

    312

    Further evidence that these people are nuts…..not that we needed any further proof.

  296. Paul says:

    311: Does anyone know what article Trump was holding during his talk?

  297. Paul says:

    To answer my own question…..I’m guessing it wasn’t one article but a compilation that his staff put together.

    The one main article is probably this one….
    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/trump-breaks-20-year-fouled-up-budget-gridlock-scores-big-wins

  298. DW says:

    Sabato changes:
    Blum (R, IA-1) Toss-up > Leans D
    Curbelo (R, FL-26) Toss-up > Leans R
    Cartwright (D, PA-8) Likely D > Leans D

    Dashboard updated:

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ————————————————————————————————-
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | RRH | Kos | 538 | Poli. | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ————————————————————————————————-
    OH_15 R | 146 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.5 —
    PA_14* D | 147 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.5 —
    OK_05 R | 148 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 5.3 —
    OH_10 R | 149 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.3 —
    CA_22 R | 150 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 — 48/43 (Tulchin-D)
    NY_23 R | 151 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    AZ_06 R | 152 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    NC_08 R | 153 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    MO_02 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.1 — 51/40 (Rem.)
    AK_01 | 155 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 — 40/36 (Lake Res.)
    IN_09 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    OH_07 R | 157 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    AZ_08 R | 158 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    IA_04 | 159 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6 —
    CO_03 R | 160 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6 —
    FL_15* R | 161 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.6 —
    TX_31 R | 162 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 — 46/40 (PPP-D)
    IN_02 R | 163 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    FL_06* R | 164 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    MI_01 R | 165 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    NY_27 | 166 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | 4.2 —
    SC_01 R | 167 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 49/42 (PPP-D)
    CA_04 R | 168 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    FL_25 R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 46/39 (St. Pete)
    TX_21* R | 170 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 33/27 (Chg Res.)
    WI_06 R | 171 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 4 —
    GA_07 R | 172 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | 4 — 44/46 (Tulchin-D)
    OH_14 R | 173 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    PA_16 R | 174 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 50/44 (D-Int)
    MI_07 R | 175 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 4 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    NY_24 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 54/39 (Siena)
    NC_02 R | 177 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.7 — 44/45 (GQR-D)
    FL_18 R | 178 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    MI_06 R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 — 49/44 (GSG-D)
    CA_21 R | 180 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.5 —
    NY_01 R | 181 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.5 —
    WA_03 R | 182 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 — 42/37 (Lake R.)
    FL_16 R | 183 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 — 49/37 (PPP-D) | 48/44 (D-Int)
    IL_14 R | 184 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 — 45/41 (PPP-D)
    GA_06* R | 185 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 —
    PA_10 R | 186 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.1 —
    NY_11 R | 187 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.1 —
    CA_50 R | 188 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/39 (SUSA) | 46/46 (Tulchin-D)
    AR_02 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/42 (PPP-D)
    VA_05 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 —
    MT_01 R | 191 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 2.6 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    IL_13 R | 192 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.4 — 45/42 (PPP-D)
    NM_02* R | 193 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.2 — 49/35 (Carroll)
    WA_05 R | 194 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.2 — 44/38 (elway)
    NC_13 R | 195 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 40/35 (Civitas)
    UT_04 R | 196 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 46/44 (D-Int)
    WI_01* R | 197 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 40/41 (GSG-D)
    VA_02 R | 198 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 1.7 — 48/42 (PPP-D)
    OH_12 R | 199 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 — 48/44 (PPP-D)
    PA_01 R | 200 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 49/42
    WV_03* R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 1.3 — 41/43 (Monm.)
    NE_02 R | 202 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.3 —
    TX_32 R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Toss | 1.1 — 47/45 (GBA)
    IL_06 R | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.1 — 44/37 (Victory Res.)
    IL_12 R | 205 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 44/39 (PPP-D)
    FL_26 R | 206 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 48/41 (DCCC-D)
    OH_01 R | 207 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.8 — 43/42 (PPP-D)
    NJ_03 R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.7 — 41/40 (Monm.)
    VA_07 R | 209 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 0.7 —
    ME_02 R | 210 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.6 — 40/39 (D-Int)
    KS_03 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.5 — 43/46 (GSG-D)
    NJ_07 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.5 — 45/47 (GQR-D)
    MN_03 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.5 — 43/46 (PPP-D)
    TX_23 R | 214 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln R | 0.5 — 44/43 (PPP-D)
    KS_02* R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 34/39 (Mellman-D)
    MI_08 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 45/39 (Target Ins)
    TX_07 R | 217 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 47/45 (D-Int.)
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    IA_03 R | 218 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 41/45 (D-Int.)
    CA_45 R | 217 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 45/44 (D-Int)
    NY_19 R | 216 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 49/44 (IMGE) |45/40 (Siena)
    MN_08* D | 215 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.2 —
    KY_06 R | 214 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln D | 0 —
    MN_01* D | 213 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    CA_39* R | 212 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 45/43 (DCCC-D)
    NC_09* R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.1 — 43/44 (D-Int)
    CA_10 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.1 — 48/48 (GHY-D)
    WA_08* R | 209 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.2 — 51/45 (GBA)
    CA_48 R | 208 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — 45/47 (Monm.)
    CO_06 R | 207 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — (45/45 IMGE)
    NY_22 R | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — 44/46 (Siena)
    MN_02 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — 43/42 (PPP-D)
    CA_25 R | 204 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -0.3 — 47/47 (IMGE)
    IA_01 R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -0.4 — 41/43 (D Int.)
    MI_11* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.6 — 42/45 (PPP-D)
    PA_07* R | 201 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Lk D | Ln D | -1.6 —
    NJ_11* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -1.6 — 38/40 (Monmouth)
    AZ_02* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Lk D | Toss | -1.6 —
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -1.8 — 39/49 (Monm.)
    CA_49* R | 197 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Lk D | Ln D | -1.8 — 46/43 (R-Int)
    NH_01* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    NV_03* D | 195 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.1 —
    PA_17 R | 194 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Sf D | Lk D | -2.4 — 39/51 (Monm.)
    NV_04* D | 193 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -2.6 — 41/41 (R-Int)
    FL_27* R | 192 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Ln D | -3.1 —
    AZ_01 D | 191 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Ln D | -3.1 —
    PA_08 D | 190 | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.3 —
    FL_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -3.5 — 46/47 (St. Pete)
    MN_07 D | 188 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.5 —
    NJ_05 D | 187 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4 — 39/36 (R-Int)
    PA_06* R | 186 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4 —
    NJ_02* R | 185 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.2 — 39/44 (PPP-D)
    CA_07 D | 184 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Ln D | -4.2 — 41/50 (POS)
    CT_05* D | 183 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Toss | Ln D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.4 —
    AZ_09* D | 182 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 181 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    PA_05* R | 180 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.1 —
    CA_24 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.1 — 46/47 (Olive Tree St.)
    NY_18 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.1 —
    IA_02 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.3 —
    WI_03 D | 176 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.5 —
    FL_13 D | 175 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.5 —
    MD_06 D | 174 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.5 —
    NY_25 D | 173 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 — 31/55 (Siena)
    OR_05 D | 172 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    NY_03 D | 171 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —
    KY_03 D | 170 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7 —

    *indicates open seat

  299. mnw says:

    WSJ: “Jobless Claims Fall to Lowest Level in 49 Years”

  300. DW says:

    more updates, this time from kos:

    AZ_02, CT_05, NJ_03, VA_02, and NY_24, all one notch in the Dem direction. The real puzzle is NY_24, as a new poll came out showing Katko obliterating the Dem challenger, so they moved it from Likely R to Lean R.

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ————————————————————————————————-
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | RRH | Kos | 538 | Poli. | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ————————————————————————————————-
    OH_15 R | 146 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.5 —
    PA_14* D | 147 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.5 —
    OK_05 R | 148 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 5.3 —
    OH_10 R | 149 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.3 —
    CA_22 R | 150 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 — 48/43 (Tulchin-D)
    NY_23 R | 151 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    AZ_06 R | 152 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.1 —
    NC_08 R | 153 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 5.1 —
    MO_02 R | 154 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.1 — 51/40 (Rem.)
    AK_01 | 155 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 — 40/36 (Lake Res.)
    IN_09 R | 156 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    OH_07 R | 157 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    AZ_08 R | 158 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8 —
    IA_04 | 159 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6 —
    CO_03 R | 160 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6 —
    FL_15* R | 161 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.6 —
    TX_31 R | 162 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 — 46/40 (PPP-D)
    IN_02 R | 163 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    FL_06* R | 164 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    MI_01 R | 165 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4 —
    NY_27 | 166 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | 4.2 —
    SC_01 R | 167 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 49/42 (PPP-D)
    CA_04 R | 168 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 —
    FL_25 R | 169 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 46/39 (St. Pete)
    TX_21* R | 170 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2 — 33/27 (Chg Res.)
    WI_06 R | 171 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 4 —
    GA_07 R | 172 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | 4 — 44/46 (Tulchin-D)
    OH_14 R | 173 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 —
    PA_16 R | 174 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4 — 50/44 (D-Int)
    MI_07 R | 175 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 4 — 41/37 (DCCC-D)
    NY_24 R | 176 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 — 54/39 (Siena)
    NC_02 R | 177 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.7 — 44/45 (GQR-D)
    FL_18 R | 178 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 —
    MI_06 R | 179 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7 — 49/44 (GSG-D)
    CA_21 R | 180 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.5 —
    NY_01 R | 181 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.5 —
    WA_03 R | 182 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 — 42/37 (Lake R.)
    FL_16 R | 183 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 — 49/37 (PPP-D) | 48/44 (D-Int)
    IL_14 R | 184 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 — 45/41 (PPP-D)
    GA_06* R | 185 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3 —
    PA_10 R | 186 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.1 —
    NY_11 R | 187 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.1 —
    CA_50 R | 188 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/39 (SUSA) | 46/46 (Tulchin-D)
    AR_02 R | 189 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8 — 47/42 (PPP-D)
    VA_05 R | 190 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 2.8 —
    MT_01 R | 191 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 2.6 — 43/49 (Gravis)
    IL_13 R | 192 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.4 — 45/42 (PPP-D)
    NM_02* R | 193 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.2 — 49/35 (Carroll)
    WA_05 R | 194 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.2 — 44/38 (elway)
    NC_13 R | 195 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2 — 40/35 (Civitas)
    UT_04 R | 196 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 46/44 (D-Int)
    WI_01* R | 197 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2 — 40/41 (GSG-D)
    OH_12 R | 198 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6 — 48/44 (PPP-D)
    VA_02 R | 199 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | Toss | 1.5 — 48/42 (PPP-D)
    PA_01 R | 200 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.4 — 49/42
    WV_03* R | 201 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 1.3 — 41/43 (Monm.)
    NE_02 R | 202 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1.3 —
    TX_32 R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Lk R | Toss | 1.1 — 47/45 (GBA)
    IL_06 R | 204 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.1 — 44/37 (Victory Res.)
    IL_12 R | 205 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 44/39 (PPP-D)
    FL_26 R | 206 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | 1 — 48/41 (DCCC-D)
    OH_01 R | 207 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.8 — 43/42 (PPP-D)
    VA_07 R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 0.7 —
    ME_02 R | 209 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.6 — 40/39 (D-Int)
    NJ_03 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Lk R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.5 — 41/40 (Monm.)
    KS_03 R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.5 — 43/46 (GSG-D)
    NJ_07 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.5 — 45/47 (GQR-D)
    MN_03 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.5 — 43/46 (PPP-D)
    TX_23 R | 214 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln R | 0.5 — 44/43 (PPP-D)
    KS_02* R | 215 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 34/39 (Mellman-D)
    MI_08 R | 216 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 45/39 (Target Ins)
    TX_07 R | 217 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 47/45 (D-Int.)
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    IA_03 R | 218 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3 — 41/45 (D-Int.)
    CA_45 R | 217 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 45/44 (D-Int)
    NY_19 R | 216 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2 — 49/44 (IMGE) |45/40 (Siena)
    MN_08* D | 215 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.2 —
    KY_06 R | 214 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln D | 0 —
    MN_01* D | 213 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 —
    CA_39* R | 212 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0 — 45/43 (DCCC-D)
    NC_09* R | 211 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.1 — 43/44 (D-Int)
    CA_10 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.1 — 48/48 (GHY-D)
    WA_08* R | 209 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln D | -0.2 — 51/45 (GBA)
    CA_48 R | 208 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — 45/47 (Monm.)
    CO_06 R | 207 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — (45/45 IMGE)
    NY_22 R | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — 44/46 (Siena)
    MN_02 R | 205 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2 — 43/42 (PPP-D)
    CA_25 R | 204 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -0.3 — 47/47 (IMGE)
    IA_01 R | 203 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -0.4 — 41/43 (D Int.)
    MI_11* R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.6 — 42/45 (PPP-D)
    PA_07* R | 201 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Lk D | Ln D | -1.6 —
    NJ_11* R | 200 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -1.6 — 38/40 (Monmouth)
    AZ_02* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Toss | -1.8 —
    VA_10 R | 198 | Toss | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -1.8 — 39/49 (Monm.)
    CA_49* R | 197 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Lk D | Ln D | -1.8 — 46/43 (R-Int)
    NH_01* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -1.8 —
    NV_03* D | 195 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | -2.1 —
    PA_17 R | 194 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Sf D | Lk D | -2.4 — 39/51 (Monm.)
    NV_04* D | 193 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -2.6 — 41/41 (R-Int)
    FL_27* R | 192 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Ln D | -3.1 —
    AZ_01 D | 191 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Ln D | -3.1 —
    PA_08 D | 190 | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.3 —
    FL_07 D | 189 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -3.5 — 46/47 (St. Pete)
    MN_07 D | 188 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.5 —
    NJ_05 D | 187 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4 — 39/36 (R-Int)
    PA_06* R | 186 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4 —
    NJ_02* R | 185 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | -4.2 — 39/44 (PPP-D)
    CA_07 D | 184 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Ln D | -4.2 — 41/50 (POS)
    CT_05* D | 183 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Toss | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.6 —
    AZ_09* D | 182 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    NH_02 D | 181 | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.8 —
    PA_05* R | 180 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.1 —
    CA_24 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.1 — 46/47 (Olive Tree St.)
    NY_18 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.1 —
    IA_02 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.3 —
    WI_03 D | 176 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.5 —
    FL_13 D | 175 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.5 —
    MD_06 D | 174 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.5 —

    *indicates open seat

  301. DW says:

    Wes to chime in…3…2…1…

    Kaine (D – inc) 50 (+4)
    Stewart 46%
    @PoolhouseAgency/@cygnal Poll

  302. Ron N says:

    317. Just remember it’s because of Obama and the deep state and the unnamed NY time person that need to be thanked. Since president Trump is to loss for him to have any impact on the economy. That’s what we are being told by msm. I still have not found a single trump voter who regret there vote. I have found some who may now vote for him.

  303. DW says:

    Utah Senate

    Romney 55
    Wilson 29

  304. mnw says:

    DW

    Crystal Ball also moved AK GOV from Tossup to Lean R.

    The VA SEN poll was done by cygnal polling, which I never heard of, but 538 gives it a B grade. It is a GOP pollster.

  305. mnw says:

    RAS 46/53 today.

    Ron 321

    We get the unemployment rate tomorrow. The economy scares the DEMs. It’s the topic they most want to avoid, just as the trolls here do. The economy is a little cloud on their blue wave dreams.

  306. Wes says:

    Stewart has as much chance of hitting 46% as Corey has of having a four way with Michelle Benoist, Deepika Padukone, and Kristanna Loken.

  307. Tina says:

    Jobless claims at a 49 year low.

    But Muh Op-Ed.

  308. DW says:

    I told you Wes would chime in!

  309. DW says:

    But I agree Wes, all joking around aside, that Stewart has no shot, which is a shame as Kaine was obviously beatable. I am not giving up yet on Comstock, but she has a hard path no doubt.

  310. DW says:

    And the Dem internals of house races keep pouring in…

    MO_02

    VanOstran (D) 43%
    Wagner (R) 41%

    There was some weeks back an R-internal of this race showing the Republican up 11 points. So you can do the math and see which way this one is going.

    But again, if there is a forthcoming blue wave, why don’t we see it in the polling of individual races?

    The answer is the blue wave will be most evident in seats already deep blue, like I have been saying all along. This is why Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez won along with Ayanna Pressley. But just because you get record breaking turnout in deep blue seats doesn’t mean it gets you more house seats.

    The strong economy is keeping the GOP solvent in competitive areas, and house control is very much up in the air.

  311. Wes says:

    I don’t see how Comstock has any shot with Kaine trouncing Stewart in her district, DW.

  312. Wes says:

    Great news out of ND:

    https://www.sayanythingblog.com/entry/heitkamp-ranked-as-the-most-vulnerable-senate-incumbent-in-america/

    Barry to appear and repeat his truism about how well Dems have done in ND in the past in 3…2…1…

  313. Redmen4ever says:

    A just-released Cygnal poll is kind to Corey Stewart, showing him only 5 points behind Tim Kaine. Still, Kaine is at 50 percent. Perhaps more importantly, the poll shows the GOP only 1 point down in the state Generic Congressional Ballot. Prior state Ballots had the GOP down by 10 points or so. This poll is very good news for embattled incumbents like Barbara Comstock.

  314. DW says:

    Wes, I get there can be a fine line between no shot and a long shot, but my thinking is if the economy stays strong and the GOP can nationalize that in the days leading up to the election while at the same time make Pressley and Ocasio-Cortez the face of the Democrats who not only wish to throw away the economic gains but turn us into Venezuela, then Comstock might still have a shot.

  315. Tina says:

    Schweikart tweeted that he thinks the Drats are going loony tune because of terrible polling for the Drats.

    The. Rs may gain 4 senate seats and the house may now be safe.

  316. Tina says:

    That is why you see Woodwart, a drat operative and Muh op Ed.

    I am sure Stormy gets recycled soon as will Lanny Liar.

  317. Tina says:

    He also thinks that the Woodwart book and Muh oped were October surprises, but Drats sensing their terrible fate, have unloaded them months ahead of time.

  318. lisab says:

    the kavanaugh hearings are not going well for the dems, which is hurting their 2018 chances right now … it could change

    the antifa types want MUCH more disruption

    the traditional dems, just regular people, are already appalled

  319. Redmen4ever says:

    Republicans should start demanding that Democrats in red states/red districts disavow the hard-left of their party.

  320. lisab says:

    it would take a violent incident to get people to disavow

    the antifa types run hot and cold

    if they think you are not fighting enough, many won’t turn out, but if you openly say you will impeach trump without any evidence, you turn off middle america

  321. lisab says:

    trump is REALLY lucky the economy is doing well

    if unemployment was higher, the far left socialists would play much better

  322. Phil says:

    Absolutely correct, Lisa.

  323. ReadyFirst says:

    Gollum-King. It has a Lord of the Rings sound to it.

  324. mnw says:

    Wes 331

    An interesting link. It would be consistent with the Schweikart tweet which Tina mentions.

  325. Robbie says:

    Sure am glad NYCmike and the rest of the real conservative stuck us with Richard Mourdock in 2012. Brilliant!

    Josh Kraushaar
    @HotlineJosh

    Talking to several top R strategists, consensus that Indiana has fallen down on the GOP Senate pickup opportunity list (consistent w NBC/Marist results last night).

  326. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    September 6, 2018 at 10:36 am
    Schweikart tweeted that he thinks the Drats are going loony tune because of terrible polling for the Drats.
    The. Rs may gain 4 senate seats and the house may now be safe.

    – LOL. I love that Tinfoil pays attention to a verified fraud like Larry Schweikart. He also said all of the data assured him Romney would beat Obama in Ohio.

    Regardless, if the polling right now is “gloomy” for Democrats, I’d hate to see what good polling for them looks like.

  327. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    September 6, 2018 at 10:04 am
    Jobless claims at a 49 year low.
    But Muh Op-Ed.

    – Bless your heart.

    Have you ever wondered why, even though the economy is doing so well, Trump is so unpopular? I doubt you have, but he’s at just 41% in RCP despite an economy that would have given any other Republican an approval rating north of 50%.

  328. lisab says:

    I love that Tinfoil pays attention to a verified fraud like Larry Schweikart. He also said all of the data assured him Romney would beat Obama in Ohio.
    ————————————–

    Robbie says:
    November 7, 2016 at 10:31 am
    Electoral College
    Clinton 323
    Trump 215

  329. Robbie says:

    BayernFan says:
    September 6, 2018 at 2:23 am
    I think it’s Sarah sanders

    – Kevin Hassett. He’s been there right from the start, he sits in on many high level meetings due to his position, and he was McCain’s 200 economic advisor.

    I thought it could also be Nikki Haley or Dan Coats, but Coats has issues a denial. Maybe he’s just lying, but that’s not the kind of person he is.

    Haley clearly wants to have a political future. If she wrote the op-ed, it would damage her prospects.

  330. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    September 6, 2018 at 11:17 am
    I love that Tinfoil pays attention to a verified fraud like Larry Schweikart. He also said all of the data assured him Romney would beat Obama in Ohio.
    ————————————–
    Robbie says:
    November 7, 2016 at 10:31 am
    Electoral College
    Clinton 323
    Trump 215

    – And you also claimed Rubio, Cruz and several other were gay in 2016.

    By the way, how did that lawsuit you said Trump would win easily against the GAO turn out?

  331. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 5, 2018 at 5:09 pm
    Yeah, I have a BIG problem with a major outlet publishing anonymous Op-Ed’s. You want to publish someone’s op-ed? Fine. Get someone who will put his or her’s name on it. This is total BS.

    – I agree with Phil on this. If things are as bad as this writer suggests, it’s time for the country to hear it on the record.

  332. lisab says:

    nd you also claimed Rubio, Cruz and several other were gay in 2016
    ————-

    actually a lie

    i said rubio had gay rumors about him, which he did

    i have never said he was gay

  333. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    September 5, 2018 at 7:24 pm
    269. “There were plenty of opportunities along the way to break with Trump and stave off disaster in the upcoming election, but it’s too late now. The only thing left to do is embrace the suck that coming.”
    Good grief, Robbie. After your disastrously wrong election predictions in 2016, it might make sense to drop the infallibility tone of this year’s predictions You sound like your trying to be Moses coming down from Mt. Sinai — “Woe, Woe, Woe, Unto You”.

    – Still rolling with “but you were wrong in 2016” I see. Well, good luck with that.

    All McConnell and/or Ryan had to do was rebuke Trump one time in public and he would have stopped with the nonsense. Why? Bullies always back down when the show is on the other foot.

    Instead, McConnell and Ryan chose only to talk Trump down is private and Trump took that as a sign of their spinelessness and weakness and he’s treated them as such since.

  334. DW says:

    Should NBC/Marist be trusted?

    Look at their track record for September compared to actual final results in November:

    2014 – NC Senate:

    Marist: Hagan 44 / Tillis 40
    Final: Tillis 49 / Hagan 47

    2014 – AR Senate

    Marist: Cotton 45 / Pryor 40
    Final: Cotton 57 / Pryor 39

    2014 – CO Senate

    Marist: Udall 48 / Gardner 42
    Final: Gardner 48 / Udall 46

    2014 – IA Senate

    Marist: Ernst 46 / Braley 44
    Final: Ernst 52 / Braley 44

    2014 – KS Senate

    Marist: Orman 48 / Roberts 38
    Final: Roberts 53 / Orman 43

    2014 – KY Senate

    Marist: McConnell 47 / Grimes 39
    Final: McConnell 56 / Grimes 41

    Thanks for playing.

  335. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    September 5, 2018 at 7:39 pm
    if u believe that the anonymous Times piece helps anyone but Trump, u might be dumber than u look. Writer admits country is safer and more prosperous. What’s left? His style. He’s mean! So what! Screw you, ya big baby.
    Greg Gutfield

    – When I want good, rational thought, I always turn to Trump’s court jester Greg Gutfeld. If Jesse waters agree, well then, it’s a certainty.

  336. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    September 5, 2018 at 7:50 pm
    “You’re the populist sack of crap Trump troll.”
    -Robbie plagiarizing again from the Sunday scripture readings.

    – Playing by the rules of the road at HHR.

  337. Robbie says:

    I was wavering on Trump, but Kim Jong Un’s unwavering faith in Trump has changed my mind. Autocrats got to stick together.

    Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump

    Kim Jong Un of North Korea proclaims “unwavering faith in President Trump.” Thank you to Chairman Kim. We will get it done together!

  338. lisab says:

    Larry Earl Schweikart (born April 21, 1951 in Mesa, Arizona) is an American historian and retired professor of history at the University of Dayton. He is the author of more than a dozen scholarly and popular books;

    robbie — not so much: Robbie says:

    The Senate is gone and the House is teetering. Maybe worst of all, the poor showing probably means Paul Ryan will be deposed as leader and the leadership battle that follows for the Republican caucus will be a disastrous moment.

  339. Wes says:

    DW says:
    September 6, 2018 at 10:31 am
    Wes, I get there can be a fine line between no shot and a long shot, but my thinking is if the economy stays strong and the GOP can nationalize that in the days leading up to the election while at the same time make Pressley and Ocasio-Cortez the face of the Democrats who not only wish to throw away the economic gains but turn us into Venezuela, then Comstock might still have a shot.

    I don’t see how that saves her, DW. She’s a Republican representing the most anti-Trump district in VA with an absolute disaster running for Senate. I have the best possible showing for Comstock at 47-52-1.

  340. DW says:

    Toupee echo chamber at it again. Cook sees others move VA_02 and IA_01 in the Dem direction, so he does too. VA_02 to tossup and IA_01 to lean D.

    I see no reason to move VA_02. There has been no polling or news worthy of moving this ranking. It is toupee herding and nothing more.

  341. mnw says:

    DW

    I posted before yesterday’s Marist IN SEN poll that I thought Marist should be identified as Marist(D), just as PPP is universally known as PPP(D).

  342. DW says:

    lisab, in the Robbie vocabulary ‘Republican’ and ‘disaster’ go together like peanut butter and jelly. Its all he knows.

  343. Robbie says:

    I doubt we’ll see other anonymous administration officials speak out about Trump’s mental and emotional instability in the coming days and weeks. That said, I do expect we’ll begin to see House candidates and, possibly, even some Senate candidate begin to edge away from Trump or outright throw him overboard.

    As I’ve written since early last year, the best predictor of a president’s party’s performance in a midterm election is presidential approval. Trump’s has been exceptionally low from the start and it has stayed that way. And now just as voters start to engage in the election process, his approval appears to be dropping and the generic ballot is moving away from Republicans again so look for defections to begin.

    It’s probably too late to defect, though. Republican House members may try and escape on lifeboats, but they won’t be able to get far enough away from the sinking ship to avoid the suction. The time to defect from Trump for electoral purposes was this past Spring. There may be a few who look like dead meat who surprise and win (think Chris Shayes in 2006), but it won’t be many.

  344. DW says:

    Wes, you could be absolutely right about Comstock’s ceiling. I just want to wait and see more polling and see what effort the GOP puts in to save her, that’s all.

  345. DW says:

    Yet another D-Internal

    Porter (D) 49%
    Walters (R) 46%

  346. DW says:

    forgot to mention that was for CA_45

  347. lisab says:

    I love that Tinfoil pays attention to a verified fraud like Larry Schweikart. He also said all of the data assured him Romney would beat Obama in Ohio.
    ————————————————

    robbie says:
    In the electoral college, Clinton will win by at least 374-164. She’ll win the Obama 2012 states plus NC, GA, and AZ. She’ll also win the EV in Nebraska, while Trump may take the one in ME.

  348. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    September 6, 2018 at 11:47 am
    lisab, in the Robbie vocabulary ‘Republican’ and ‘disaster’ go together like peanut butter and jelly. Its all he knows.

    – If that was the case, why was I so optimistic about Republican chances in 2010 and 2014? If that was the case, why was I so optimistic about GWB in 2004?

    If it consoles you in the leadup to this election to say I wasn’t right about 2016 so I won’t be right about 2018, ok. Go with that.

    That said, given what the polls say today I suspect the one word that you will hear over and over again on November 7, 2018 to describe what happen to Republicans is disaster.

  349. mnw says:

    As a result of the Selzer poll, I disagree that Blum (R) is likely to lose in IA.

  350. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    September 6, 2018 at 11:51 am
    I love that Tinfoil pays attention to a verified fraud like Larry Schweikart. He also said all of the data assured him Romney would beat Obama in Ohio.
    ————————————————
    robbie says:
    In the electoral college, Clinton will win by at least 374-164. She’ll win the Obama 2012 states plus NC, GA, and AZ. She’ll also win the EV in Nebraska, while Trump may take the one in ME.

    – lisab, legal expert, said Trump had a strong case and should sue the GOA over releasing transition emails to Mueller.

    Where is that case and what was the result?

  351. lisab says:

    I love that Tinfoil pays attention to a verified fraud like Larry Schweikart. He also said all of the data assured him Romney would beat Obama in Ohio.
    ————————————————

    robbie says:
    My current electoral vote count has Clinton winning 374-164. Here’s how I get there:

    – Clinton wins all of the Obama 2012 states
    – Clinton snags GA, AR, and NC
    – Clinton wins 1 electoral vote from NE
    – Trump wins 1 electoral vote from ME

    http://www.270towin.com/maps/jAQ9m

    Obviously, this can change in the last three weeks, but my May 5 map had it 384-154 for Clinton. I thought she might win MO as well.

    If the map does change, I expect it to more further in Clinton’s direction. Trump could easily lose UT and, given that ID is a lot like UT, maybe ID is an election day surprise. Also, IN is no gimmie for Trump. He’ll probably win there, but it’s not the ruby red state most assume.

  352. Wes says:

    I told Robbie Hillary wouldn’t win NC and explained why. That he saw what he wanted to see here while I saw reality is a poor reflection on him.

  353. Wes says:

    Robbie seriously said Hillary would win AR-which Trump won by 24–in 2016?

    I just can’t take his analysis seriously after that .

  354. lisab says:

    utah
    Hillary Clinton: 27.46%
    Donald Trump: 45.54%

  355. Phil says:

    What? Lose Utah? Idaho an Election Day surprise? Indiana no gimme for Trump? Clinton snags Arkansas?

    Good Lord.

  356. lisab says:

    idaho
    Hillary Clinton: 27.49%
    Donald Trump: 59.26%

  357. lisab says:

    the archives are great

  358. mnw says:

    Anyone remember which of the trolls is “in the accounting field”? This one is “the airline pilot,” right?

  359. Tina says:

    Lord Arsehat is most reputable.

  360. Phil says:

    Anyone can be wrong about an election. What I find laughable is that anyone making such ridiculous predictions about Arkansas, Idaho, etc etc would act so all knowing and snarky about 2018 predictions that differ from his.

  361. Tina says:

    The airline pilot that throws people off planes,

  362. Tina says:

    Schweikart was right in 2016, especially when compared to Rottie.

    It looks like the Drats lose 4 senate seats.

    House is questionable.

    Clearly,mothe Rs have gained,

    But Muh op Ed.

    Muh stormy.

    Muh Amnioic.

  363. dblaikie says:

    I see once again Wormtongue has come on the site. Spewing stuff that makes no difference. I guess Wormtongue still thinks we are in 2016. The troubling thing is I think that somewhere is a fairly good mind buried deep in the inner recesses of his fiber. That makes his rants and raves all the more sad.

    Once again Wormtongue for all this sound and fury explain why the we have such great growth, fine judicial picks, and most likely the first regular order budget in the last 20 years. Something GW could never accomplish for all his pedigree.

  364. mnw says:

    maybe he’s disintigrating (sic) like the other one

  365. Redmen4ever says:

    Polls, even when accurate, are snap shots; they’re not forecasts. Some leaners change their minds, and undecideds who vote make up their minds. So, people can easily err when making forecasts based on polling (and other) data. In close elections, you’re worry about how the undecideds will break and you worry about turnout.

    Romney 2012 – the numbers started to turn after Obama’s comeback performance in the second debate; and, then turned during Superstorm Sandy, with Obama looking presidential. So, there’s a narrative that explains the change from Romney being slightly ahead to Obama being re-elected in a close election. This election didn’t turn out the way it looked it would turn out a week or so prior to the vote.

    Trump 2016 – following the Billy Bush tapes, when Trump looked dead in the water, Trump rescued himself with a masterful performance in the second debate. Trump subsequently closed much of the gap in the national polls, and won enough of the battleground states he had to win. There’s a narrative that connects what the polls were telling us, although there were some wacky polls in the mix, almost all of the wacky polls being “high quality” live caller media and university polls. This election, too, didn’t turn out the way it looked it would turn out a week or so prior to the vote.

  366. DW says:

    this was posted at RRH and is funny:

    This is insane! Remember Julia Salazar, the leftwing socialist running for NY State Senate in the Democratic primary vs st Sen. Martin Dilan? She made news for using sex workers as campaign aides and then it turns out she completely fabricated her ethnicity (she falsely claimed she was Jewish and an immigrant from Colombia when she is neither) . Now it seems she is a con artist who was arrested in 2011 on allegations of fraudulently attempting to access the bank account of Keith Hernandez’s wife Kai Hernandez! She tried to steal from freaking Keith Hernandez*!!!! Her story keeps getting crazier! But either way if she wins this con artist/loon should fit in quite well and feel right at home in Albany.
    https://www.tabletmag.com/jewish-news-and-politics/270095/julia-salazar-arrested-2011
    *Because a lot of you are Millennial nerds Keith Hernandez was the greatest 1st baseman ever and he helped the Mets win the 1986 World Series. He’s also the best color announcer in baseball today and if you watch the Mets broadcast on SNY he is a hoot! Trying to steal from him should be considered a crime against humanity.

  367. Redmen4ever says:

    Nothing of what I said in 385 justifies saying Clinton was going to win Idaho in 2016, or that a no-name Democrat is going to win an R-23 district in West Virginia against a seasoned state legislator Republican this year.

  368. lisab says:

    Nothing of what I said in 385 justifies saying Clinton was going to win Idaho in 2016,
    ——————————-

    i guess you are a trumpbot 🙂

  369. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 6, 2018 at 12:00 pm
    Robbie seriously said Hillary would win AR-which Trump won by 24–in 2016?
    I just can’t take his analysis seriously after that .

    – What’s really sad, but par for the course at HHR, is a few posts later, I corrected and noted that AR was supposed to be AZ.

    Thanks for playing though.

  370. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 6, 2018 at 11:56 am
    I told Robbie Hillary wouldn’t win NC and explained why. That he saw what he wanted to see here while I saw reality is a poor reflection on him.

    – And you told me 2018 was going to be a 1970 replay.

  371. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #345
    Robbie, you have deservedly earned your moniker of Half -Truth Robbie. Your credibility is in shambles. In your post #345, you conveniently omitted the second sentence of the Josh Krashaar tweet. Maybe you should look in the dictionary for the meaning of the word NARROWLY. Here is the full tweet:

    “Talking to several top R strategists, consensus that Indiana has fallen down on the GOP Senate pickup opportunity list (consistent w NBC/Marist results last night). Consensus now that ND is — by far — the top pickup opportunity, followed narrowly by MO, FL and Indiana.”

  372. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 6, 2018 at 12:05 pm
    What? Lose Utah? Idaho an Election Day surprise? Indiana no gimme for Trump? Clinton snags Arkansas?
    Good Lord.

    – I love selective posting, but as I wrote several posts later, AR was a typo and was supposed to be AZ.

    Funny how that was left out.

  373. Robbie says:

    Tina says:
    September 6, 2018 at 12:14 pm
    Lord Arsehat is most reputable.

    – It’s a mazing how someone who posted on Twitter the first round of exit polls is somehow a fraud.

    If you’ve got a problem, have a problem with the exit polls. No those who posted them.

    of course, if the exits had been good for Trump, no one here would have cared.

  374. Phil says:

    How about Utah, Idaho, and Indiana? Were those typos as well?

  375. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 6, 2018 at 12:10 pm
    Anyone remember which of the trolls is “in the accounting field”? This one is “the airline pilot,” right?

    – Anyone remember our Trump populist troll, mnw, disappeared for years only to show back up and be in a perpetual state of moistness over his nationalist, populist who is destroying the Republican Party.

  376. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 6, 2018 at 12:14 pm
    Anyone can be wrong about an election. What I find laughable is that anyone making such ridiculous predictions about Arkansas, Idaho, etc etc would act so all knowing and snarky about 2018 predictions that differ from his.

    – Phil, seek help. Trumpism is a degenerative disease.

    If lisab, who likes to claim people who don’t agree with her are gay, had been honest, she’d have posted the comment I made that AR was a typo and AZ was what I meant.

    And let’s also remember the context in which that post was written. Right after the Access Hollywood tape when everyone thought Trump was going to crater.

    That said, I never said Trump would lose Utah or Idaho. You do realize that, right?

  377. Robbie says:

    dblaikie says:
    September 6, 2018 at 12:21 pm
    I see once again Wormtongue has come on the site. Spewing stuff that makes no difference. I guess Wormtongue still thinks we are in 2016. The troubling thing is I think that somewhere is a fairly good mind buried deep in the inner recesses of his fiber. That makes his rants and raves all the more sad.
    Once again Wormtongue for all this sound and fury explain why the we have such great growth, fine judicial picks, and most likely the first regular order budget in the last 20 years. Something GW could never accomplish for all his pedigree.

    – One again “Mr. Christian Conservative” comes to the aid of a president who screwed a porn star and a playboy model while he was married to his current wife.

    What a phony. Maybe you should enroll in Liberty University which is run by another fake, Jerry Fawell Jr.

  378. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 6, 2018 at 12:22 pm
    maybe he’s disintigrating (sic) like the other one

    – No, I right here supporting the Republican Party and conservatism.

    You’re here to defend a lunatic who supports nationalism, populism, and a little bit of racism just for good measure.

  379. Robbie says:

    Sheeple, Jr. says:
    September 6, 2018 at 12:53 pm
    #345
    Robbie, you have deservedly earned your moniker of Half -Truth Robbie. Your credibility is in shambles. In your post #345, you conveniently omitted the second sentence of the Josh Krashaar tweet. Maybe you should look in the dictionary for the meaning of the word NARROWLY. Here is the full tweet:
    “Talking to several top R strategists, consensus that Indiana has fallen down on the GOP Senate pickup opportunity list (consistent w NBC/Marist results last night). Consensus now that ND is — by far — the top pickup opportunity, followed narrowly by MO, FL and Indiana.”

    – As if I give two f@cks what you think. You have the perfect name for a Trump supporter.

  380. Diamond Jim says:

    CD

  381. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 6, 2018 at 12:56 pm
    How about Utah, Idaho, and Indiana? Were those typos as well?

    – No, but did I wrote that Trump would lose those states? Nope.

    And once again, remember the context in which that post was written. It was just after the Access Hollywood tape when everyone expected Trump would crater.

    But thanks for falling for lisab’s selective posting.

  382. Phil says:

    Supporting the Republican Party and conservatism……yeah, riiiight. Right along with those other rock ribbed other Conservative Republicans like Anna Navarro, Steve Schmidt, Joe Scarborough, and Nicole Wallace.

  383. Robbie says:

    Deep down all of you realize Trump is a disaster, but you’re just not willing to admit that to yourselves yet. So rather than deal with Trump’s destructive nature, you’d rather attack those who aren’t whistling past the graveyard.

    I look forward to the day after the election when some of you come to your senses.

  384. Phil says:

    Wouldn’t bother me a bit if Trump stepped aside in 2020. Thing is I have no doubt whatsoever that Robbie would immediately pivot and go after Pence. Not a doubt in my mind.

  385. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:08 pm
    Supporting the Republican Party and conservatism……yeah, riiiight. Right along with those other rock ribbed other Conservative Republicans like Anna Navarro, Steve Schmidt, Joe Scarborough, and Nicole Wallace.

    – LOL. Poor, Phil. He’s tried and true (and stale) response to me is always “but muh Morning Joe”.

    This may be a shocker to all of the Trump Vichey conservatives, but it is possible to be a Republican and a conservative who neither embraces Trump’s disgusting populism or the Morning Joe brand of politics.

  386. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:17 pm
    Wouldn’t bother me a bit if Trump stepped aside in 2020. Thing is I have no doubt whatsoever that Robbie would immediately pivot and go after Pence. Not a doubt in my mind.

    – I have repeatedly, repeatedly, written here that I would gladly support Pence in 2020. In fact, he was one of my original preferred choices when the 2012 process began in January 2011.

    Do better, Phil. Do better.

  387. Phil says:

    I caught Anna’s act on The View the other day BTW. I was stuck in the doctor’s waiting room. I thought she and Joy Behar were going to make out. Not a bit of daylight between them on any issue.

  388. Phil says:

    I’m not buying that BS any longer, Robbie. You’d pivot in a NY minute.

  389. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:22 pm
    I’m not buying that BS any longer, Robbie. You’d pivot in a NY minute.

    – It’s sad to see what Trumpism has done to you, Phil. It’s really sad.

    You just don’t want your frustrated opinion about me to be wrong so you just continue to say I’m lying even though I have repeatedly made my view on Pence and 2020 quite clear. That’s pretty weak on your part.

    Unlike you though, I’m not going to hold you accountable for succumbing to Trumpism. You made a mistake and you’ll eventually realize that.

  390. dblaikie says:

    Once again Wormtongue comes out with a post that has nothing to do with what I said. Once again let me say: Wormtongue for all this sound and fury can’t explain why the we have such great growth, fine judicial picks, and most likely the first regular order budget in the last 20 years. Something GW could never accomplish for all his pedigree.

    So now Wormtongue instead of attacking my Christianity which you nothing about, (By the way I am member of the PCUSA — hardly a conservative entity.) address the points in my post.

  391. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:22 pm
    I’m not buying that BS any longer, Robbie. You’d pivot in a NY minute.

    – I’ve been the same conservative Republican I’ve always been since the day I registered to vote in 1995.

    Frankly, I’m apt to not buy your BS anymore since you have fallen for two destructive fads that have swept through the Republican Party, Tea Partyism and Trumpism.

  392. Robbie says:

    dblaikie says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:28 pm
    Once again Wormtongue comes out with a post that has nothing to do with what I said. Once again let me say: Wormtongue for all this sound and fury can’t explain why the we have such great growth, fine judicial picks, and most likely the first regular order budget in the last 20 years. Something GW could never accomplish for all his pedigree.
    So now Wormtongue instead of attacking my Christianity which you nothing about, (By the way I am member of the PCUSA — hardly a conservative entity.) address the points in my post.

    – Let me make this clear. I think you’re a clown who would accept anything Trump does.

    Trump could screw Stormy Daniels on 5th Avenue and then shoot her and you’d be fine with that. You’re a Trumpist.

    You were repeatedly fine with every disgusting act Trump made during the campaign and you’re fine with every asinine thing he does as president.

    And by the way, appointing conservative judges still doesn’t count as a redemptive act.

    I would think a good, moral Christian like you would not only demand conservative policy, but also a good person. Guess I was wrong.

  393. mnw says:

    airline pilot troll sez post 405:

    “This may be a shocker to all of the Trump Vichey conservatives…”

    What is “Vichey,’ lil trollboy?

    Is it related in any way to the Vichy regime in WW II France?

    Here, you won’t even have to post this, because I’ll type it for you, OK?

    “I’m NOT historically illiterate! I KNEW it was spelled ‘Vichy’! It was just another of my typos! That’s all! I am too a high school graduate!”

  394. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:33 pm
    airline pilot troll sez post 405:
    “This may be a shocker to all of the Trump Vichey conservatives…”
    What is “Vichey,’ lil trollboy?
    Is it related in any way to the Vichy regime in WW II France?
    Here, you won’t even have to post this, because I’ll type it for you, OK?
    “I’m NOT historically illiterate! I KNEW it was spelled ‘Vichy’! It was just another of my typos! That’s all! I am too a high school graduate!”

    – OMG I MADE A TYPO!

    That makes me just like *checks notes* your buddy Tina.

  395. Bitterlaw says:

    I agree with Phil. I do not care if Trump runs in 2020. I just needed him to beat Hillary in 2016. If he gets 3 Justices on SCOTUS before he leaves, it will be a bonus.

  396. DW says:

    “you realize Trump is a disaster”

    I was a vocal critic of Trump all throughout the GOP primary process as a quick scan of the archives can show. He is a deeply flawed individual, just as Hillary Clinton is a deeply flawed individual.

    Clinton would have given us two more Sotomayors on the SCOTUS. Trump gave us Gorsuch and Kavanaugh.

    If Gorsuch and Kavanaugh are disasters, then I want more disasters. We all understand that Trump can at any moment implode and leave office. Or he could switch and become a Democrat again. I am risk averse and never like a loose cannon. But the economy is good, courts are being packed with conservatives, and Obama’s regulations are being deregulated. I might not personally like the agent who brought these things about, but I sure like the results.

  397. Bitterlaw says:

    Trump is scum. I like his judicial nominations. Both can be true.

  398. mnw says:

    Is it a “typo” when you misspell a word, trolly? Or is it… your full ignorance on public display?

    As I explained to three iii’s, a “typo” is when spellcheck changes “Ducey” to “Ducky,” and you don’t notice it. Spelling “disintegrate” as “disintigrate” (sic), or “Vichy” as “Vichey”(sic) isn’t a typo.

    (It’s a moron.)

  399. Robbie says:

    DW

    The issue is not Trump or Hillary anymore. That ceased on election day 2016.

    Just because Trump was the lesser of two evils doesn’t mean that we should be accepting of his awful behavior and the terrible effects it is having on the party.

    Had the party openly demanded Trump stop acting like a fool, he would have because bullies always back down when confronted. They didn’t and his rampage has continued/.

    The question today is now Trump or Pence.

  400. mnw says:

    “The question today” is why anyone who can’t spell Vichy thinks others are interested in the substance of his trollposts

  401. Tina says:

    Corey dumb dumb Booker reveals document that shows Kavanaugh was against profiling after 9/11.

    Booker is an idiot, but the Rs will not expel him.

  402. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:42 pm
    Is it a “typo” when you misspell a word, trolly? Or is it… your full ignorance on public display?
    As I explained to three iii’s, a “typo” is when spellcheck changes “Ducey” to “Ducky,” and you don’t notice it. Spelling “disintegrate” as “disintigrate” (sic), or “Vichy” as “Vichey”(sic) isn’t a typo.
    (It’s a moron.)

    – I knew you were stupid, but I didn’t realize you were this stupid. Vichey. There I did it again. Vichey. Vichey. Vichey.

    Full ignorance on display is your support of Trump and his nationalist, populist, and occasional racist views.

    I get it, though. You’re scared. You see it all crashing down.

  403. DW says:

    Sometimes Bitter can say the same thing as me with a lot fewer words. I guess that’s why he is a lawyer.

  404. mnw says:

    Tina

    Maybe Booker & Vichey should get married. Match made in heaven?

  405. dblaikie says:

    Once again you will not address the huge successes of the this administrations performance and instead engage in personal attacks that are cheap but meaningless. That is why I label you Wormtongue. I wish I didn’t feel the need. Surprise me! Prove me wrong with a concrete argument! Be substantive, go beyond personal attacks and meaningless predictions. Show us you have a real political philosophy besides the drivel in your posts.

  406. Tina says:

    Vote for Kashic, gop-e

    Taxes and regulations were cut too much.

    We were mean to Canada’s Truedope.

    We should stay in the Iran deal,and engage with the mullahs (rather than fight them).

    Kasichs inner socialist must be coming out too, much like the socialist on then?Lido .deck.

  407. CG says:

    I wonder what is “dumber” between adding an extra letter to Vichy or being a pro-Trump absolutist who had close to a dozen posts here extolling the need for Kurt Warner to fill a U.S. Senate vacancy, while being unaware of all the coverage Kurt Warner received nationally for his strong opposition to Donald Trump on the issue of anthem protests….

  408. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:46 pm
    “The question today” is why anyone who can’t spell Vichy thinks others are interested in the substance of his trollposts

    – I guess it’s just a hard concept for mnw, a the Trump populist who disappeared for years, to realize sometimes people type too quickly and hit “submit comment” too soon.

    But yeah, a typo means you can dismiss everything. If that was the case, how you ever be able to agree with Tina?

    Oh and by the way, it’s “troll post” and not “trollpost”.

  409. mnw says:

    Vicheytroll is PROUD of his ignorance. I cringe for him.

  410. Tina says:

    And I hop that Kavanaugh is not a Bushy mushy.

    You would be stupid to not profile after 9/11 given the criminals that committed the acts.

    Just saying

  411. Robbie says:

    dblaikie says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:49 pm
    Once again you will not address the huge successes of the this administrations performance and instead engage in personal attacks that are cheap but meaningless. That is why I label you Wormtongue. I wish I didn’t feel the need. Surprise me! Prove me wrong with a concrete argument! Be substantive, go beyond personal attacks and meaningless predictions. Show us you have a real political philosophy besides the drivel in your posts.

    – Once again, I have repeatedly noted the success, but I have also repeatedly noted what a scummy person Trump is.

    Unlike you, I think we can have both a good person and good conservative policy at the same time. I would have thought a good Christian like you would have agreed with that.

  412. DW says:

    “doesn’t mean that we should be accepting of his awful behavior”

    Where have I accepted his awful behavior? I am as powerless to do anything about his tweets as I was powerless to do anything about Bill Clinton’s broken zipper.

    “Had the party openly demanded Trump stop acting like a fool”

    many have done this or tried this either in private or public. But it isn’t going to change the fact that he is POTUS.

  413. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:48 pm
    Tina
    Maybe Booker & Vichey should get married. Match made in heaven?

    – This is hilarious. Is this the best you’ve got?

    A misspelled word means everything can be dismissed?

    What about you writing “trollpost” rather than “troll post”?

  414. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:51 pm
    Vicheytroll is PROUD of his ignorance. I cringe for him.

    – Trumpism really is a degenerative brain disorder and you are patient 0.

    Vichey. Vichey. Vichey.

  415. CG says:

    Several of you have added an extra e to the name of Cory Booker and I for one do not appreciate it.

  416. mnw says:

    Vicheytroll & three iii’s can scream “typo” all they want. What those are are a couple of illiterates, right there!

  417. Robbie says:

    DW

    It’s laughable to say the party has pushed back in public on Trump. McConnell and Ryan have refused to so and they’re the ones who count. Corker and Flake don’t.

  418. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:56 pm
    Vicheytroll & three iii’s can scream “typo” all they want. What those are are a couple of illiterates, right there!

    – VICHEY VICHEY VICHEY VICHEY VICHEY VICHEY VICHEY

    Only a person suffering form Trumpism, a degenerative brain disease, would conclude a typo means illiteracy.

  419. CG says:

    Would typing “Melanie” instead of “Melania” constitute a typo or illiteracy?

  420. Tina says:

    I like Corey Booker.

    A younger Hillary.

    Jebot

  421. DW says:

    Of course you want a civil war in the GOP because then Dems would wipe the map clean. Its why McConnell and Ryan have wisely ridden the fence on Trump, keeping his supporters on board for this fall, and not alienating the traditional GOP base.

  422. DW says:

    OHIO – SENATE

    Brown 46%
    Renacci 42%

    Change Research

  423. jason says:

    Melania Trump:

    “Freedom of speech is an important pillar of our nation’s founding principles and a free press is important to our democracy. The press should be fair, unbiased and responsible. Unidentified sources have become the majority voices people hear in today’s news. People with no names are writing our nation’s history. Words are important, and accusations can lead to severe consequences. If a person is bold enough to accuse people of negative actions, they have a responsibility to publicly stand by their words and people have the right to be able to defend themselves. To the write of this oped — you are not protecting the country, you are sabotaging it with your cowardly actions.”

  424. DW says:

    MN_02

    Craig (D) 45%
    Lewis (R) 46%

    As you can see this seat is below the magic line.

  425. Wes says:

    Good numbers in OH. I never bought the idea that Brown was invincible. I’d still like to see confirmation.

  426. BayernFan says:

    So I guess it’s not Melania

  427. jason says:

    Phil is absolutely correct.

    Does anyone here really believe that Amoral Scumbag, who has the moral compass of a floating turd, really cares about Trump’s “behavior”.

    On day one of a Pence presidency, Amoral Scumbag would be here with the same sordid, fake and dishonest MSM stories about him too.

    Amoral Scumbag always hated Pence as a right wing zealot and is now pretending to like him. Pathological liar.

    The fact is ANYONE not named Jeb Bush would be subject to the same vitriol and the same blind hatred he has for Trump.

    And now that he has gone full blown moonbat by siding with Bob Woodward over Mad Dog Mattis and supporting some traitorous coward writing op-ed pieces for the NYT, at least he can no longer pretend to be a conservative. Because when you go with Woodward and the NYT, there is no going back.

    The truth will set you free.

  428. jason says:

    So I guess it’s not Melania”

    Heh….

  429. CG says:

    The senior Administration official should have signed his or her name as John Barron.

  430. Wes says:

    Remember when Robbie told us Republicans would take the blame when Dems triggered a government shutdown over illegal immigration?

    That’s about the level of analysis to expect from him.

  431. BayernFan says:

    The NYT needs to be accused of making this up. It doesn’t deserve any deference or benefit of the doubt. It has been lax with sources in the past. I’m sure that this oped was written by someone with the paper, not by anyone in the White House. If that’s wrong, they can identify the author. If they don’t, people should assume that the NYT is lying as usual.

  432. CG says:

    The Trumpist rules are:

    Pro-Trump views or views that benefit Trump presented by anonymous sources= good

    Those that in anyway question or criticize Trump= bad

  433. Tina says:

    Renal I is closing.

    300000 r registration advantage helps.

  434. Tina says:

    Montana rally tonight.

    Release of fisa warrant soon.

    Jebots crushed.

  435. Wes says:

    OH has no party registration, Tina.

  436. Tina says:

    The Hillary rules are

    lie, cheat, steal.

    Steal, lie, cheat.

  437. Tina says:

    Wes, take it up,with Schweikart.

    Name I’d for him is a factor.

  438. jason says:

    AR was a typo and was supposed to be AZ”

    LOL

    Of course, Clinton lost AZ too, so you would have been wrong either way.

    And of course, “Vichey” is not a typo. It’s just ignorance. There is no way you would add an “e” to Vichy unintentionally.

    As far as Melania or Melanie, that could indeed be a typo because you could have typed in an “e” instead of an “a”.

  439. Tina says:

    Larry Schweikart
    @LarrySchweikart
    Sep 5
    Replying to @LarrySchweikart
    My friend The Accountant and Ohio Wan have done some remarkable work figuring out who the “Us” really are, and they re-assigned them based on prior household voting patterns. The result is that the REAL lead for Rs in OH is more like 300,000.
    View conversation ·
    Larry Schweikart Larry Schweikart
    @LarrySchweikart
    Sep 5
    Additional note on voter reg in OH: SecState shows a 600,000 R lead. This is misleading. There are a large number of “Us” in OH (unaffiliated). In 2012 we found out many were “lazy Ds” who did not vote in the pres primary and thus were re-labeled “unaffiliated.”
    View details ·

  440. jason says:

    ro-Trump views or views that benefit Trump presented by anonymous sources= good

    Those that in anyway question or criticize Trump= bad”

    Zzzzzzzzz…. what absolute garbage that has nothing to do with the facts.

    There is a huge difference between being quoted anonymously and what happened here, where a traitorous scumbag wrote a trashy op-ed piece and was too cowardly to sign it.

    If you are unhappy working for Trump, man-up and resign.

  441. CG says:

    Maybe they should resign but they also made it clear why they feel like they should not. They believe they have to stop him from doing further damage. Nobody is really disputing he merits of what the person is saying about Trump.

    Those of you who like the judges and like the tax cuts and like the more robust military should be on their side and wanting them to continue exactly the same way. Who cares about Trump personally? After all, he is “scum”, right?

    In any event, it’s his own person. It’s someone he picked. He has nobody to blame but himself.

    Saying it is “treason” or a “national security threat” is pathetic. Let him find out who it is and fire them if he wants.

    And the chances that the NYT “invented” this whole thing is absolutely zero. Nobody should be dumb enough to believe that.

  442. BayernFan says:

    I wonder if Donnelly will conclude that it would be less costly to vote against Kavanaugh.

  443. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    The RNC just posted this VERY GOOD digital advertisement called Crazytown!

    https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2018/09/crazytown.php

  444. GF says:

    I have no time for the constant argy-bargy (real life and work gets in the way), but this one got to me;

    “Autocrats got to stick together.”

    So, for anyone who feels this way, I must ask, are YOU willing to pick up a rifle and deal with NK yourself? I don’t like having to negotiate with a dictator, but if there is a chance that we can tamp down that problem over there and make it manageable, then I am all for it. Following the status quo of the past thirty + years has not gotten us anywhere, and I am tired of American soldiers and airmen having to risk their lives being stationed on that forsaken peninsula; they are nothing but a trip wire I things go down. Wasting them away over there is little more the Wilsonian idealism, we are never going to change that place, and frankly, I have lost interest in spreading democracy because most people have not earned it. If they want freedom, they can fight for it themselves and earn their own republics (provided that they can keep them, of course). I’ll be happy to send arms when an organized effort comes up out of the woodwork.

    I invite the establishment chickenhawks to disagree with me, but until they have seen combat, they can GFT.

  445. Wes says:

    I’m guessing you were no fan of Bush-era Iraq policy, GF.

  446. Whatever Trump’s issues, the Democratic romper room at the Kavanaugh hearing right now is a sight to behold. They are looking like fools. Then there is the Democratic left who believe anyone from any part of the world who steps foot in the U.S. is entitled to free medical care. They also advocate we need to shut down the U.S. industrial base to “save the planet.” As crazy as he acts sometimes, Trump is now increasingly looking like the adult in the room.

  447. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:46 pm
    “The question today” is why anyone who can’t spell Vichy thinks others are interested in the substance of his trollposts

    – I see you’re going all in on this nonsense.

    By the way, shouldn’t “trollpost” be “troll post”?

  448. lisab says:

    And the chances that the NYT “invented” this whole thing is absolutely zero.
    ——————

    i don’t know …

    you invented the half dozen people who came up to you and said rubio was ineligible to be president

    soooooooooo … they could be that stupid

  449. Tina says:

    More Beta

    Alleged campaign email asks for illegals to vote.

  450. ReadyFirst says:

    I had a realtor tenant once who hated the Vichy French. He was a retired Sergeant Major who was one of the first off the boats in North Africa in WW2. He said the Vichy killed over 1500 of his fellow soldiers, shelling Americans as they landed. I don’t like the Vichy here either.

  451. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 6, 2018 at 1:51 pm
    Vicheytroll is PROUD of his ignorance. I cringe for him.

    – Whereas I cringe for anyone who believes Trump is a good political role model as you do.

  452. CG says:

    H/T to MD for coining the term “Vichy Republicans” here.

  453. Robbie says:

    CG says:
    September 6, 2018 at 2:01 pm
    Would typing “Melanie” instead of “Melania” constitute a typo or illiteracy?

    – Don’t speak ill of mnw’s populist, nationalist and occasionally racist dear leader.

  454. lisab says:

    That said, I never said Trump would lose Utah or Idaho. You do realize that, right?
    ———————

    you just said they could be an election day surprise …

    gotcha

  455. Mr.Vito says:

    It likely constitutes autocorrect.

  456. CG says:

    So, there was probably a Melanie already on his phone

  457. Mr.Vito says:

    The people now openly rooting for Democrats coined the term Vichy Republicans.

  458. CG says:

    I’m not rooting for Democrats and I think it’s a useful term.

  459. ReadyFirst says:

    Tina, he’s following the Democrat playbook. It would be nice to get an actual copy though so as to shine some sunlight on it.

  460. Chicon says:

    Robbie comes on here to scold Trump supporters – the gist is that a Trump supporter is delusional and therefore unable to make logical points.

    In psychology this is called projection, in which our own stuff is internally denied by seeing the same stuff in others. Robbie is so blinded by his opinion of Trump that his logical abilities – such that they are – are on hiatus.

    Agree with Phil earlier – you’d think Flyboy would be a bit less strident in his condescension toward others’ predictions, given his belief Hillary could win Utah and Idaho.

  461. Mr.Vito says:

    Apparently there Melanies on everyone’s phones.

  462. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    September 6, 2018 at 2:03 pm
    Of course you want a civil war in the GOP because then Dems would wipe the map clean. Its why McConnell and Ryan have wisely ridden the fence on Trump, keeping his supporters on board for this fall, and not alienating the traditional GOP base.

    – A civil war? What an idiotic thing to say. It’s good deflection, but it’s an idiotic thing to say. I don’t want a civil war. I want a Republican Party that functions. the current one does not because of Trump’s leadership.

    Trump is a bully and bullies always cower when they’re punched in the mouth. In this instance, had McConnell and Ryan laid down the law in public, Trump would have cowered and kept himself much more in line because he would have been scared of the consequences.

    Why has Trump, smartly, refused to fire Mueller? Because Republican Senators made it clear in public and on the record last Summer 2017 doing so would bring an end to his presidency. Had they not done so, Trump probably would have fired Mueller and sent the country into a crisis.

  463. Mr.Vito says:

    “I’m not rooting for Democrats and I think it’s a useful term.”

    You also didn’t coin it.

    And, it is a very useful term for identifying the type of person that uses it.

  464. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    September 6, 2018 at 2:25 pm
    Phil is absolutely correct.
    Does anyone here really believe that Amoral Scumbag, who has the moral compass of a floating turd, really cares about Trump’s “behavior”.
    On day one of a Pence presidency, Amoral Scumbag would be here with the same sordid, fake and dishonest MSM stories about him too.
    Amoral Scumbag always hated Pence as a right wing zealot and is now pretending to like him. Pathological liar.
    The fact is ANYONE not named Jeb Bush would be subject to the same vitriol and the same blind hatred he has for Trump.
    And now that he has gone full blown moonbat by siding with Bob Woodward over Mad Dog Mattis and supporting some traitorous coward writing op-ed pieces for the NYT, at least he can no longer pretend to be a conservative. Because when you go with Woodward and the NYT, there is no going back.
    The truth will set you free.

    – I see the unprincipled fraud who hated Trump every day of the campaign, refused to vote for him, and left the party over him only to become one of his most reliable defenders has appeared from his crap hole to defend an irrational moron masquerading as a president because he has a R next to his name.

  465. CG says:

    If one’s significant other is a Melania it would seem to be a pretty easy “save” to make to avoid the autocorrect in the future.

  466. Tina says:

    I am not rooting for Drats.

    Only Hillary though

    Jebot

  467. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 6, 2018 at 2:28 pm
    Remember when Robbie told us Republicans would take the blame when Dems triggered a government shutdown over illegal immigration?
    That’s about the level of analysis to expect from him.

    – Remember when Wes told us 2018 was going to be like 1970?

  468. CG says:

    There does need to be a “Civil War” in the Republican Party one way or another. I think the quicker it happens, the better, so we know where everything will be going forward.

    It might very well wind up relatively speaking politically bloodless.

  469. lisab says:

    How about Utah, Idaho, and Indiana? Were those typos as well?
    ————————–

    🙂

  470. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    September 6, 2018 at 2:36 pm
    AR was a typo and was supposed to be AZ”
    LOL
    Of course, Clinton lost AZ too, so you would have been wrong either way.
    And of course, “Vichey” is not a typo. It’s just ignorance. There is no way you would add an “e” to Vichy unintentionally.
    As far as Melania or Melanie, that could indeed be a typo because you could have typed in an “e” instead of an “a”.

    – Ignorance is your support of Trump.

  471. ReadyFirst says:

    Sucks about Burt Sheeple, sad day, but what a great life.

  472. lisab says:

    corey then: ““I’ve run into literally half a dozen people over the past few years who have said they could never vote for Rubio because he is constitutionally ineligble to be President.”

    corey now: “No, I never ran into anyone who said they would not vote for Rubio because he was “ineligible””

  473. Chicon says:

    485 – more perseveration…

  474. CG says:

    I remember before the election when Wes was openly rooting for Donald Trump to drop dead of a heart attack.

    Now, the HHR perspective, shared by many, is that anyone who criticizes Trump on political or moral grounds is either a troll or someone who roots for Democrats.

  475. Robbie says:

    CG says:
    September 6, 2018 at 3:54 pm
    H/T to MD for coining the term “Vichy Republicans” here.

    – Thank goodness you spelled Vichy correctly, or mnw might think you’re illiterate.

  476. Mr.Vito says:

    Robbie says:
    October 12, 2016 at 11:47 am

    jason says:

    October 12, 2016 at 11:41 am

    But if he loses, yes, we should have a civil war and decide what party we want. It’s not petty, there is no appeasing the Trumpbots and deadenders because these are people that have zero interest in the party, they are like the Paulbots that rent out the R label when its convenient to them.

    – How is this really any different from what I’ve advocated? You’ve caveated your view by saying “if he loses”. I’ve simply accepted the reality of the situation and replaced the “if” with “when”.

  477. Chicon says:

    489 – purity with a smaller party….the hallmark of a deadender.

  478. DW says:

    “I don’t want a civil war.”

    Sure you do. If you want the GOP house and senate leadership to sever their relationship with Trump, which is what you mean by confronting him “Had the party openly demanded Trump stop acting like a fool” are your words. That ends the relationship between the party leaders and Trump. And that end of relationship results in the Trumpbots out there staying home this fall and the GOP candidates trying to win elections without them. You know this, and that is what you are rooting for. The worst thing that could happen to you is for the Trump coalition to stay united with the traditional Republican coalition and both groups show up and vote GOP this fall. Should that happen, there is no blue wave and no Dem takeover, like you want.

    McConnell and Ryan are behaving exactly as they should to hold this coalition together so they all show up and vote GOP in the fall.

    Start a civil war in the GOP and blue-wave here we come.

  479. CG says:

    For the 20th time, the Trumpist idiots who said this about Rubio said so long before he began his Presidential campaign so the concept of would they vote for him or not was not mentioned. I imagine they wouldn’t have though.

    Now, tell us about how Rubio was “arrested with other men.”

  480. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    September 6, 2018 at 3:58 pm
    Robbie comes on here to scold Trump supporters – the gist is that a Trump supporter is delusional and therefore unable to make logical points.
    In psychology this is called projection, in which our own stuff is internally denied by seeing the same stuff in others. Robbie is so blinded by his opinion of Trump that his logical abilities – such that they are – are on hiatus.
    Agree with Phil earlier – you’d think Flyboy would be a bit less strident in his condescension toward others’ predictions, given his belief Hillary could win Utah and Idaho.

    – I would think someone like you, who claimed to have been a 12 year lurker here but has consistently been uninformed on my views, would want to keep quiet.

    And as for the condescension, I hope my posts ooze it because I have zero respect for all of the so-called conservatives here who now spend their time defending Trump da after day after day.

  481. Tina says:

    REX
    @_ImperatorRex_
    7h
    And suddenly, @CNN hack Stetler appears to back up @NYT, which introduces a mysterious ‘intermediary’. That’s weird, because the @nyt never mentioned a middleman when it published its original BS piece, yesterday. These #FakeNews outlets are truly disgusting. Liars & frauds ? twitter.com/brianstelter/s…

    With Alka Seltzer, who,needs to start buying bigger shirts, involved, Muh op Ed is likely a hoax. He also needs hair transplant services or a toupee.

  482. Mr.Vito says:

    “anyone who criticizes Trump on political or moral grounds is either a troll or someone who roots for Democrats.”

    Nah. Plenty of people do that here and aren’t called trolls.

  483. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    September 6, 2018 at 4:03 pm
    How about Utah, Idaho, and Indiana? Were those typos as well?
    ————————–

    – Did I say she would win those states?

    Also, how’s Trump’s lawsuit against the GAO you said was a surefire winner turning out?

  484. CG says:

    A 12 year lurker who has no memory whatsoever of the poster addisonst.

  485. lisab says:

    For the 20th time, the Trumpist idiots who said this about Rubio said so long before he began his Presidential campaign
    ————–

    oh but wait …

    corey now: “No, I never ran into anyone who said they would not vote for Rubio because he was “ineligible””

  486. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    September 6, 2018 at 4:05 pm
    485 – more perseveration…

    – The fake 12 year lurker keeps yapping.

  487. CG says:

    To what extent here is it acceptable for someone to “criticize” Trump?

    Is not being willing to vote for him the absolute deal-maker?

    To be fair, only a couple of people here call me personally a troll, and even jason, says I am not.

  488. Tina says:

    https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-09-06/secret-grand-jury-proceedings-underway-against-andrew-mccabe-witnesses-summoned

    Who is conducting these secret gj proceedings?

    I think you squeeze McCabe to get Pious Comedy, who will break easily.

  489. CG says:

    Should be “deal-breaker”

    Sorry for the typo. I’ll get my “drool cup.”

  490. Chicon says:

    501 – your posts do ooze condescension, at the cost of credibility. A person who had Idaho and Utah at risk forfeits the right to use condescension credibly.

  491. Redmen4ever says:

    No problem with saying there could be an election day surprise in particular elections. Implicitly, that is an admission as to who is the favorite.

    AZ (I kind of thought you meant AZ and so I didn’t mention AR in post 387) was in play in 2016, as evidenced by Trump going there repeatedly.

  492. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    September 6, 2018 at 4:08 pm
    489 – purity with a smaller party….the hallmark of a deadender.

    – The Republican Party is already a smaller party precisely because of Trump.

    That’s why Trump’s approval is above 80% in the party. Lots of people who once considered themselves Republicans know call themselves Independents.

    That’s why the Republican share in polling lower than it once was.

  493. Tina says:

    Then, you use The Penguin Clapper, against the Commie, who imo should be water boarded to find out why he was in Russia in 3/16.

  494. CG says:

    The fact is that Robbie never predicted Trump would not carry Idaho or Utah.

    Almost everyone on this site believed Trump would lose the election. Some who defend him now and even said they would vote for him (as a message to Hillary), said they wanted him to lose, he would lose, and would ask for him not to be spoken of again on HHR starting the day after the election.

    My state by state predictions (plus the predictions for every race going back to 2006) are all on my Trollblog.

  495. Tina says:

    I had all 57 states going to Hillary.

    My “associate”, the Climton Groupie, talked me down to 51.

    Jebot

  496. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    September 6, 2018 at 4:08 pm
    “I don’t want a civil war.”
    Sure you do. If you want the GOP house and senate leadership to sever their relationship with Trump,

    – A total misrepresentation of what I wrote, but par for the course at HHR.

    I didn’t say sever their relationship with Trump. I said say in public the things they have apparently told him in private. He doesn’t care what gets said in private. He only cares what gets said in public.

    In the past, Congressional leaders often disagreed in public with presidents from their own party.

  497. Tina says:

    6h
    For the sake of the members of the media and the Left, I hope Obamacare covers treatment for ‘Trump Re-Election Syndrome’ – it is increasingly more likely to occur.
    View details ·

    Goober Graham, hopefully fake Ra vote to repeal it.

  498. DW says:

    “I said say in public the things they have apparently told him in private”

    That severs the relationship with Trump and you know it, I know it, and everyone knows it.

  499. lisab says:

    just to reprint it:

    robbie says:
    My current electoral vote count has Clinton winning 374-164. Here’s how I get there:

    – Clinton wins all of the Obama 2012 states
    – Clinton snags GA, AR, and NC
    – Clinton wins 1 electoral vote from NE
    – Trump wins 1 electoral vote from ME

    http://www.270towin.com/maps/jAQ9m

    Obviously, this can change in the last three weeks, but my May 5 map had it 384-154 for Clinton. I thought she might win MO as well.

    If the map does change, I expect it to more further in Clinton’s direction.

    Trump could easily lose UT and, given that ID is a lot like UT, maybe ID is an election day surprise. Also, IN is no gimmie for Trump. He’ll probably win there, but it’s not the ruby red state most assume.

  500. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    September 6, 2018 at 4:14 pm
    501 – your posts do ooze condescension, at the cost of credibility. A person who had Idaho and Utah at risk forfeits the right to use condescension credibly.

    – And once again, fake lurker, the post was made in the aftermath of the Access Hollywood video when everyone expected Trump to crash and burn.

    But again, you should know that since you spent 12 years lurking in the forum.

  501. DW says:

    If Ryan and McConnell thought that publically rebuking Trump gets them more votes in November, they would do it. They are not doing it. End of story.

  502. CG says:

    I think we all realize that if the midterms go bad for Republicans, all sorts of people from the party are going to dump Trump very publicly.

    Personally, I wish there was a way for that to happen without Republicans suffering the midterm blows they are likely to.

    I hope race by race, state by state, district by district, the best candidate wins, whether they are a D, R, or I. The rest will get sorted out as it always does throughout American history.

  503. Robbie says:

    Redmen4ever says:
    September 6, 2018 at 4:14 pm
    No problem with saying there could be an election day surprise in particular elections. Implicitly, that is an admission as to who is the favorite.
    AZ (I kind of thought you meant AZ and so I didn’t mention AR in post 387) was in play in 2016, as evidenced by Trump going there repeatedly.

    – Trump won the state with less than 50% of the vote and by 4 percentage points.

    Lots of people here seem to forget that.

  504. Mr.Vito says:

    “A 12 year lurker who has no memory whatsoever of the poster addisonst.”

    There is at least one poster here that no one seems to remember was here since at least 2006.

  505. CG says:

    If Robbie said that during Access Hollywood Weekend, then it makes sense.

    Some of the same people who know defend Trump on every possible utterance were saying he would lose over 40 states, that weekend.

  506. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    September 6, 2018 at 4:20 pm
    “I said say in public the things they have apparently told him in private”
    That severs the relationship with Trump and you know it, I know it, and everyone knows it.

    – McConnell, Ryan, and other top Republicans said publicly Trump shouldn’t fire Mueller, Sessions, or Rosenstein.

    Did saying that in public sever their relationships with Trump? Nope.

    Thanks for playing.

  507. CG says:

    McConnell was on Special Report yesterday and found out there about the NYT Op-Ed and said not one word to defend Trump.

    Instead, he spoke of the success of the Republican Congress (which is consistent with the message being presented by the anonymous writer)

    They all know where this is headed.

  508. lisab says:

    Tina may be the longest continuing poster here

  509. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    September 6, 2018 at 4:22 pm
    If Ryan and McConnell thought that publically rebuking Trump gets them more votes in November, they would do it. They are not doing it. End of story.

    – Once again, I didn’t say they should rebuke Trump now.

    I said they should have rebuked Trump for his behavior a long time ago when it might have mattered.

  510. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag thinks its McConnell’s job to oppose Trump.

    Here is actually what his job is:

    Leader McConnell
    ?
    @SenateMajLdr

    The Senate confirmed 8 more of @POTUS’s judicial nominees today.
    2:50 PM – Sep 6, 2018

    Contrary to Amoral Scumbag’s silly rants, McConnell and Ryan accepted the results of the election and have done exactly the right thing.

    They support Trump where it is the interest of the country, the party and conservatism. They oppose him where it’s not.

    Exactly the way I feel.

  511. lisab says:

    If Robbie said that during Access Hollywood Weekend, then it makes sense.
    ———————-

    nice try … he actually had trump doing better

    than his prior prediction in may, when he had missouri going for clinton

    misouri

    trump 56.77%
    clinton 38.14%

  512. Tina says:

    Rosie Memos
    @almostjingo
    51m
    It just keeps getting better Gillum is under a current @FBI probe, he’s apparently cooperating but guess who it’s about? SOROS! #Florida orlandosentinel.com/news/politics/…

    Soros, open society, being investigated? Seems like collusion.

    Where is Fuhrer Mulehead?

  513. CG says:

    Everyone makes bad predictions.

    For months, lisab said “you guys are going to nominate Rand Paul” because some talk radio show in Boston had people call in for him.

  514. lisab says:

    i guess literally half a dozen people must have told corey that robbie was correct to say utah and idaho were in play …

    until they literally did not exist

  515. jason says:

    The fact is that Robbie never predicted Trump would not carry Idaho or Utah.”

    LOL

    Let me guess, he didn’t say Hillary would win Oklahoma either?

    I guess that is the best Corey can do to defend Amoral Scumbag’s predictions.

    Pathetic.

  516. ReadyFirst says:

    I remember reading Addison posts long ago. Named after a street in Chicago as I remember.

  517. CG says:

    Evan McMullin and his campaign were certainly telling me Utah was in play. Never heard it about Idaho though.

  518. Tina says:

    Lisab, I believe that goes to Bl.

    I came here in 2003 or 4. I only posted under this handle.

    I do not post at other sites.

  519. lisab says:

    no i thought rand paul had a good shot at the nomination because he had a base of support from his father

    and

    i thought the electorate was primed to go for an outsider

  520. lisab says:

    Tina,

    i have seen your name first in the archives,

    but …

    it may have been Go Duke tina

  521. CG says:

    Over at “Right Pundits”, Tina had a bio page, complete with last name and photo (calling her a Latina Conservative Warrior Princess and Sword Expert or something along those lines.) I don’t think she claims now to be Latina, so maybe that was just for dramatic purposes, assuming it’s the same person.

    I first started posting here in October 2004.

  522. lisab says:

    Let me guess, he didn’t say Hillary would win Oklahoma either?
    —————–

    he did not however say oklahoma would possibly be an election day surprise

  523. Tina says:

    Go duke was the original Tina, specifically Tina G.

    She let me use Tina.

  524. Tina says:

    The Clinton Groupie keeps mentioning my Right Pundit stint,

    Md was by boss.

    The Clint. Groupie s mad because I got at least one comment next to all my posts, in comparison to the trolley blog.

  525. jason says:

    Everyone makes bad predictions.”

    This is true.

    But some are worse than others, and the reason is wishful thinking.

    The reason you and Amoral Scumbag were so wrong about 2016 is because you ignored the data and just went with blind hate. Trump had to lose by a landslide because he was a “terrible person”.

    I didn’t like him either, but I could see it was going to be close, and I didn’t let myself be swayed by the Hillary has a 99% chance of winning and the senate has a 70% chance of flipping crowd.

    I didn’t see WI, MI and PA going to Trump, but I did call all the other flips. And I did warn that if Hillary was only ahead by like 2 points on election day, she might lose because of the “wasted votes” from CA and NY.

    Amoral Scumbag now wants the Dems to flip 60 seats in the House because he hates Trump. Maybe a blue wave will happen, maybe it won’t. But again, wishful thinking doesn’t win elections.

  526. Tina says:

    Nike cans Kraperdick.

    Jordan resigns from Nike board.

    Jordan’s action unrelated to Kraperdick.

    Marketing 101. Not wise to use an anti cop person as a rep.

  527. CG says:

    In 2016, I really got no more states wrong than anybody else here did. My anti-Trump perspective might have clouded me on the Presidential race, but on all the other contests in 2016, my prediction record was stellar.

  528. NYCmike says:

    “Almost everyone on this site believed Trump would lose the election.”

    -Actually, after “Nicky Numbers” came by with that Iowa poll, myself and several others reversed course pretty quickly.

    I know myself, as well as a couple others also predicted a Trump victory. I think my prediction was 294-244.

    You, and Robbie, of course, did NOT pay attention to those people.

  529. Robbie says:

    Robbie says:
    October 17, 2016 at 3:12 pm
    My current electoral vote count has Clinton winning 374-164. Here’s how I get there:
    – Clinton wins all of the Obama 2012 states
    – Clinton snags GA, AR, and NC
    – Clinton wins 1 electoral vote from NE
    – Trump wins 1 electoral vote from ME
    http://www.270towin.com/maps/jAQ9m
    Obviously, this can change in the last three weeks, but my May 5 map had it 384-154 for Clinton. I thought she might win MO as well.
    If the map does change, I expect it to more further in Clinton’s direction. Trump could easily lose UT and, given that ID is a lot like UT, maybe ID is an election day surprise. Also, IN is no gimmie for Trump. He’ll probably win there, but it’s not the ruby red state most assume.

    Robbie says:
    October 17, 2016 at 3:24 pm
    Yes, I made a typo in 98.
    I meant AZ and not AR.
    Apologies.

    Funny how lisab leaves out this post.

  530. CG says:

    I don’t remember Nicky Numbers even posting here after the January Iowa Caucuses. He was around a lot right at that time and said Trump (and Bernie) were going to easily win those contests. They did not.

  531. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    September 6, 2018 at 4:31 pm
    The fact is that Robbie never predicted Trump would not carry Idaho or Utah.”
    LOL
    Let me guess, he didn’t say Hillary would win Oklahoma either?
    I guess that is the best Corey can do to defend Amoral Scumbag’s predictions.
    Pathetic.

    – Unprincipled fraud sees the word “could” and somehow believes that means “will”.

  532. Tina says:

    I also gave

    Iowa, Florida, Nc, and Ohio, numbers from a contact, which were favorable to Trump and very close to his actual numbers,

  533. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #542
    This is a disgraceful post. Close to doxxing which should be proscribed on this site.

  534. Robbie says:

    I’m really going to enjoy watching Jason fraud, NYCmike, Tinfoil, dblaike, and others defend this.

    Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump

    Kim Jong Un of North Korea proclaims “unwavering faith in President Trump.” Thank you to Chairman Kim. We will get it done together!

  535. CG says:

    And for the record, even I predicted Trump would carry Iowa in November.

  536. CG says:

    Sheeple has a crazy imagination. People used to talk about Right Pundits and link to their “articles” there all the time on HHR. I don’t think the site exists anymore.

  537. CG says:

    Any criticism of Kim Jung Un or how Trump deals with him or speaks of him makes one a “chickenhawk” who wants nuclear war.

  538. lisab says:

    In 2016, I really got no more states wrong than anybody else here did. — Corey
    —————————–

    Corey says:
    341-197 Clinton (50-44 estimate)
    Governors 30-20 R
    Senate 51-49 R
    House 239-196 R

    ———————————

    actually only cory was worse

    (gotta love the archives)

  539. Mr.Vito says:

    “I’m really going to enjoy watching Jason fraud, NYCmike, Tinfoil, dblaike, and others defend this.”

    See 465.

  540. lisab says:

    and cory is from canada

  541. Tina says:

    Sheeple,the blog host McCain, wrote that.

    I worked in a classified position at the time and would not use a real name in the Internet,

  542. Tina says:

    I would also rather try to settle Nk down absent a military strike or occupation.

    Reagan dealt with the Russians.

    Clinton the Vietnamese

    Nixon with the Chinese.

    It is far better to negotiate than blow up and get bogged down, ,much like Woosie 43 did in Afghansistan and Iraq.

  543. CG says:

    Not one response to 461?

  544. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    NBC/Marist has the 2018 TN Senate race at Bredesen(D) +2 over Marsha, Marsha, Marsha(R).
    In the Governor’s race, Bill Lee(R) is +13.
    http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/NBCNews_MaristPoll_TennesseeAnnotatedQuestionnaire_September2018_1808311750.pdf

  545. Tina says:

    Not one response to 461.

    Correct, just like the 0 responses at your blog.

  546. Tina says:

    Nbc.marzidf is just sheotty polling.

    What happened to Nbc surf and turf?

  547. lisab says:

    In 2016, I really got no more states wrong than anybody else here did. — Corey
    ———————————–

    even mr. utah himself … got more states correct than corey

  548. CG says:

    My predictions were the best ever! Bigly. This, I can tell you.

  549. Bitterlaw says:

    I started here in July or August 2004. I always posted here as Bitterlaw (and a few obvious parodies). I don’t think I have missed a day.

    MD was also posting then but used his real name. Now he is flaming lib who supports Democrats and posts more Dem talking points than Robbie.

  550. dblaikie says:

    I am not a neo-con. I do believe in a stable world and since we are who we are we should do what we can to make the world a more stable place and of course North Korea is at the top of that list. In that light 465 makes some valid points even though it goes too far towards an isolationist position.

  551. mnw says:

    Hey, Tina

    If you are a “Conservative Warrior Princess,” wanna have lunch some time? Do you like older men? REALLY older?

  552. CG says:

    She’s older than you!

  553. Chicon says:

    Tina’s a cougar?

  554. CG says:

    She claims to have voted for Goldwater for President!

  555. Redmen4ever says:

    A couple comments on the Marist Tennessee poll: Republicans doing well in Gov. and state Generic Congressional; also in Trump JA and party affiliation (but not as well as on these two counts as in other recent polls). Also, Breseden’s advantage shrinks as you go from Registered to Likely voters; indicating that Democrats won’t have a turnout advantage in this state. Breseden’s lead is entirely predicated on his very high net favorable, and we will see if the Republicans can “nationalize” this race.

  556. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Tina:
    The Muh Russia investigation may have taken a turn against the Deep State according to the Washington Post. Your spirit and steadfastness on the corrupt Muh Russia madness may be rewarded.

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2018/09/just-in-grand-jury-impaneled-to-investigate-fired-fbi-deputy-director-andrew-mccabe/

  557. Tina says:

    Undercover Huber
    @JohnWHuber
    1h
    NEW: BRUCE OHR continued to meet with CHRISTOPHER STEELE to exchange information even AFTER the appointment of Bob Mueller as Special Counsel

    Ruh roh.

  558. GF says:

    My comments are not isolationist. I see the value in maintaining alliances, but ONLY when our “allies” are militarily prepared and not just using as a shield to prop up their own welfare states as many of the Eurotrash Marxists have done.

    I am also pragmatic. Short of sending troops into Pyongyang, we are not getting rid of the problem there. Thus, we have to make the best of a bad situation. Conflating POTUS with that dictatorship is ridiculous ie “autocrats.” And not coming to a consensus there will only lead to more problems in the future.

    And by “chickenhawk,” I mean the civilian neo-cons who are all to happy to throw our troops around wantonly to realize some vaguely post-Reagan environment. Sadly, we no longer have that military, otherwise, I’d probably go along with it. We have to recognize the limitations of the current gutted armed forces.

  559. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    mnw
    I see that you got your wish. Real Clear Politics has included the Selzer/ Grinnell College Poll data in its averages.

  560. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Redmen4Ever: #576
    Even the pessimists at Red Racing Horses are mostly pleased by the results of the NBC/Marist TN Senate Poll. It is a pre-Labor Day poll( why it was not released for 10 days is unusual), Blackburn is running even with the Democrat among Independents and only 9% of Republican voters would crossover and vote for Bredesen(D).

  561. mnw says:

    Sheep

    As well they should, although that was DW’s thought about including Selzer in RCP.

    Tina

    Would the use of a four-legged walker with rubber tips on each leg be a dealbreaker? Asking for a friend.

  562. NYCmike says:

    “I’m really going to enjoy watching Jason fraud, NYCmike, Tinfoil, dblaike, and others defend this.”

    -Defend OUR President speaking softly and carrying a YUGE stick?

    What’s NOT to defend?*

    *And as Mr. Vito pointed out, another poster gave us a nice summation of some very good reasons to defend it as well.

  563. Tina says:

    Mnw, happily married for a long, long time.

    I am sure there is another conservative princess out there.

  564. Tina says:

    Speaking of Muh op Ed that both Jebots fell for

    An anonymous person worked with another anonymous person, who acted as an anonymous go-between, between the second anonymous person and the media. In essence, there is no originating official; it’s all made up.

    Cth

  565. NYCmike says:

    “CG”, Robbie,

    If actions taken by President Trump are put on a scale, with conservative/Republican-oriented on one side vs liberal/Democratic-oriented on the other, which would weigh more?

    Do results matter at all to you, or are you merely concerned with appearances?

  566. Blobbie says:

    As long as the dems win. That’s all that matters.

  567. Ron N says:

    So CNN gets first interview with PaP and it’s so important that they are airing it Friday night at 10pm with tapper I guess they got nothing. Or they wouldn’t play it there.

  568. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    “An anonymous person worked with another anonymous person, who acted as an anonymous go-between, between the second anonymous person and the media. In essence, there is no originating official; it’s all made up.”

    Who made that conclusion, or do they want to remain anonymous?

  569. Tina says:

    Sdc, read the Cth website.

    I do not link to it because I do not like pimping other people’s blogs.

  570. lisab says:

    Senate confirmed 8 more of @POTUS’s judicial nominees today

  571. Paul says:

    Looking forward to seeing Hunter get beaten by Campa-Najjar! Campa-Najjar is an evangelical Christian with a Catholic mom and a grandfather who was a terrorist in the PLO. So he’s got all his bases covered.

  572. Bitterlaw says:

    Alex Jones banned from Twitter?!? Zzzzzzzz. I support bakers not baking and companies not being platforms for nut jobs they don’t like. Let him start his own platform.

    “But Bitter! It lets left-wing nut jobs tweet.” in 3….2….1….

    Zzzzzzzzz

  573. Tina says:

    Fuhrer Mulehead will,not be able to ask any written questions on Trump Obstruction.

    Written questions are limited only to Muh collusion.

  574. Cash Cow TM says:

    From WV MetroNews

    “…The latest batch of poll results dealt with the likability of prominent political figures in West Virginia.

    That’s a bit different from approval rating, which deals with the perception of how they perform on the job. Likability is just that — whether poll respondents think they might enjoy the company of the person being discussed.

    Donald Trump

    Fifty-four percent of those who responded said Trump is likable. Thirty-five percent said he is unlikable.

    That differs just a little bit from his job approval, which is at 60 percent in West Virginia. That’s much higher than Trump’s job approval polls nationwide.

    “It’s still a majority like him as an individual, but it is not as strong as his job approval rating,” said professional pollster Rex Repass, designer of the West Virginia Poll. “So there’s some question regarding whether he’s someone you’d like to be friendly with.”
    —————————————
    Joe Manchin
    Manchin flips that a little bit.

    About 51 percent of poll respondents see Manchin, a Democrat, as likable. Twenty-six percent say he is unlikable, with 22 percent neutral.

    That compares to 43 percent who approve of Manchin’s job performance and 39 percent who disapprove.

    “So while there’s some dissatisfaction with his job approval, his voting record, he is someone that is liked and that will help him in an election year in 2018,” Repass said.
    __________________________________________
    Patrick Morrisey
    Morrisey, a Republican who has twice won statewide office as attorney general, has a different issue.

    Thirty-two percent find Morrisey likable. An equal 32 percent find him unlikable.

    But an even bigger group — 36 percent — say they’re neutral on Morrisey.

    That is roughly the same with his job approval — 31 percent approve, 36 percent disapprove and 33 percent not sure….”

  575. Bitterlaw says:

    I still do not understand Tina comparing Mueller to Hitler but she has posted here since the beginning so she can do what she wants.

  576. NYCmike says:

    Fly Eagles Fly-Time?

  577. NYCmike says:

    Will MD crack a smile tonight?

  578. NYCmike says:

    DC sucks!

  579. NYCmike says:

    Or will the A-Hole just keep spouting liberal talking points?

  580. Bitterlaw says:

    Anytime NYC can’t respond to me directly, he just accuses me of unspecified liberal talking points. If he is defending Alex Jones, he is a sad soul.

  581. Bitterlaw says:

    The Eagles looked terrible in pre-season. I hope they play better tonight. It depends on whether Super Bowl MVP Foles or Bad Foles shows up.

  582. NYCmike says:

    Bitterlaw,

    May I ask what you are referring to?

    None of my statements were about you, except the one about the Eagles, figuring that would get a response from you, seeing as how they get their first game since winning Super Bowl.

  583. NYCmike says:

    FYI, Bitterlaw, #601 refers to #599.

    What about Alex Jones?

    He should NOT have been banned, but since private companies did it, it will be allowed.

    Selective moral outrage, mainly by leftists and the media, are to blame.

  584. NYCmike says:

    Jones is nuts, just like many others out there.

    I would rather know about him, and know what he says, then have him figure out an underground way to speak to people who agree with him.

  585. Bitterlaw says:

    So NYC doesn’t think a private company should do what it wants? Better not let Hobby Lobby know his views.

  586. Bitterlaw says:

    Touchbacks are at the 25 now. NBC now has a darker green on screen for third downs (area between the line of scrimmage and the yellow line). The yellow line was enough.

  587. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    593. “Looking forward to seeing Hunter get beaten by Campa-Najjar! Campa-Najjar is an evangelical Christian with a Catholic mom and a grandfather who was a terrorist in the PLO. So he’s got all his bases covered.”

    Campa-Najjar is a far leftist. A Survey USA poll taken after Hunter was indicted has Hunter with an 8% lead. Hunter will get re-elected and the will either resign or have to quite when convicted. There was a better Democratic candidate, a former SEAL, who was defeated by Campa-Najjar in the primary.

  588. Bitterlaw says:

    Wait. A touchback on a punt comes out to the 20. On a kickoff, the 25. WTF.

  589. Chicon says:

    Bitter, the NFL has suddenly discovered that people get hurt playing football, so they’ve changed a bunch of rules. Hard hits will now be penalized.

  590. mnw says:

    Tina 584

    Bummer! mnw sings, “My HEART will go on! …”

    TN SEN poll:

    Rdel posts at RRH that “[the poll] has a bit of an odor to it.” He questions Lee (R) being ahead by a zillion points for Gov, while Blackburn (R) is supposedly down by 2 points for SEN.

    Cow:

    WV-03 state of play?

  591. mnw says:

    Trump rally in Billings. Oh, yes. Be gone, Tester.

  592. Bitterlaw says:

    Chi – I am fine with trying to prevent head injuries in football. I don’t know if helmets are as safe as possible.

  593. Chicon says:

    Boo birds out in Philly….

  594. Bitterlaw says:

    Eagles suck tonight. They deserve to be booed.

  595. Bitterlaw says:

    QB Nick Foles is the best Eagles receiver tonight.

  596. Bitterlaw says:

    Eagles and Falcons combine for 27 penalties so far.

  597. NYCmike says:

    “Eagles suck tonight. They deserve to be booed.”

    -And the fans should try to remember a game is 60 minutes long, spoiled b*st*rds!

  598. Bitterlaw says:

    That’s why Eagles fans are better than Jets fans. The Jets fans are still in a forgiving mood because Joe Namath won a Super Bowl. Eagles fans gave the team a free pass for almost 1 half and then booed.

  599. Chicon says:

    New York fans are forgiving?!?! Probably true compared to Philly

  600. mnw says:

    “Trump’s Tight Labor Market Wins Construction Workers Higher Wages”

    HRC: These deplorables are probably too dumb to notice. Anyway, if I were President, they could’ve had better unemployment benefits!

  601. mnw says:

    WSJ: “Blistering Economy Seen Adding 200000 Jobs in August, Lowering Unemployment Rate”

    DEMs: Jobs are overrated.

  602. dblaikie says:

    This growth in the economy is all due to those guardians of the deep state, the sleeper cells who stands guard over the loony President.

  603. DW says:

    The Marist TN should concern no one after I posted this yesterday:

    Should NBC/Marist be trusted?

    Look at their track record for September compared to actual final results in November:

    2014 – NC Senate:

    Marist: Hagan 44 / Tillis 40
    Final: Tillis 49 / Hagan 47

    2014 – AR Senate

    Marist: Cotton 45 / Pryor 40
    Final: Cotton 57 / Pryor 39

    2014 – CO Senate

    Marist: Udall 48 / Gardner 42
    Final: Gardner 48 / Udall 46

    2014 – IA Senate

    Marist: Ernst 46 / Braley 44
    Final: Ernst 52 / Braley 44

    2014 – KS Senate

    Marist: Orman 48 / Roberts 38
    Final: Roberts 53 / Orman 43

    2014 – KY Senate

    Marist: McConnell 47 / Grimes 39
    Final: McConnell 56 / Grimes 41

    Thanks for playing.

  604. DW says:

    More polls:

    IL_12 – Siena

    Kelly (D) 43%
    Bost (R) 44%

    IL_06 – Siena

    Casten (D) 44%
    Roskam (R) 45%

    CA_48 – Siena

    Rouda (D) 45%
    Rohrabacher (R) 45%

  605. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #628
    DW: I believe the above 538/Siena polls should include KY CD-6: Barr(R) 46% to McGrath(D) 44%.

    Weren’t these 538/Siena polls notoriously inaccurate in 2016,especially in PA?

  606. Bitterlaw says:

    Chicon – Jets fans view their team sucking as the norm. They go to sleep at night and dream of 1969.

    Giants fans are mostly in their 80s and don’t cause trouble.

  607. Chicon says:

    Bitter, I’m all for diminishing concussions, but if they alter the game too much……

    The helmet can only do so much – most concussions happen when the head comes to a sudden halt and the gelatinous brain squishes against the other side of the skull.

  608. mnw says:

    DW

    Thanks, as always. I like to get Rdel’s opinions on all things TN, because he lives in the Memphis area & has been posting about TN politics for at least a decade. His predictions about TN are usually correct. I place a lot of value on those observers who are at ground zero.

  609. mnw says:

    WSJ:* “The biggest news in the August employment report was a sharp increase in Americans’ average wages…. The annual wage increase for the year increased to 2.9%, from 2.7% last month, the highest rate of wage growth since June, 2009.”

    * three iii’s & Vichey: The WSJ is a “financial journal.” A “financial journal” is… oh, never mind

  610. Tina says:

    The economy is so strong that even Coleen Kraperdick got a job,

  611. mnw says:

    But …muh Stormy! & …muh Rooshins!

  612. Tina says:

    The National Felon League re started last night?

  613. Tina says:

    Larry Schweikart
    @LarrySchweikart
    12h
    DemoKKKrat world: BookerT&the MSGs “Spartacus” NYT fake news “coup!” Woodchuck: “look at my new book.” MAGA world: Slowly moved 12 House seats from tossup to lean R. Oops.
    View details ·

  614. mnw says:

    I just LOVE it when “manhattanlibertarian” at RRH explains to me in baby talk how MO politics REALLY works…if only I was bright enough to understand.

  615. DW says:

    ok, I see the NY Times KY_06 poll was done by Siena, but wow, a sample size of 164?

  616. DW says:

    MN_01 – Harper polling

    Feehan (D) 33%
    Hagedorn (R) 47%

  617. DW says:

    CORRECTION:

    BOOM!

    MN_01 – Harper polling

    Feehan (D) 33%
    Hagedorn (R) 47%

  618. jason says:

    Krugman says Kavanaugh will “kill the Constitution”.

    He then says Kavanaugh is “illegitimate” because Trump “lost the popular vote and only eked out a electoral college win”.

    I guess we missed the part in the Constitution (that Kavanaugh wants to kill) that says the popular means anything.

  619. jason says:

    That should read popular vote means anything.

  620. Todd McCain says:

    So, MN 1 would be a pick up; nice. I think there is another good shot at a pick up in MN too.

  621. Tina says:

    There are new polls in Ca showing

    Frankenstein ahead by only 5 against la Raza.

    And Gavin Nuissance ahead by 5 over the R nominee.

    But muh blue wave!

  622. Todd McCain says:

    Now, I wonder if Cook will now move that race immediately to Lean R?? Don’t hold your breath; there is the bias ladies and gents….

  623. Tina says:

    “I knew Spartacus.”

    -Senator Hatch

  624. Tina says:

    There are no House R pickups.

    It is only a blue wave.

    Jebot

  625. Tina says:

    The Jebots are now targeting Nunes and his family.

    They are trying to get his wife fired as a school teacher.

    They are pissed since he derailed Fuhrer Mulehead and the 17 angry Drats.

  626. jason says:

    This is really hilarious. TDS at its best. There was nothing that suggested Trump would lose IN, MO, GA or AZ, let alone UT or ID. Even OH the polls were consistently showing a Trump lead, so the “Hillary will carry all the Obama states” was completely unrealistic.

    y current electoral vote count has Clinton winning 374-164. Here’s how I get there:
    – Clinton wins all of the Obama 2012 states
    – Clinton snags GA, AZ, and NC (fixed)
    – Clinton wins 1 electoral vote from NE
    – Trump wins 1 electoral vote from ME
    http://www.270towin.com/maps/jAQ9m
    Obviously, this can change in the last three weeks, but my May 5 map had it 384-154 for Clinton. I thought she might win MO as well.
    If the map does change, I expect it to more further in Clinton’s direction. Trump could easily lose UT and, given that ID is a lot like UT, maybe ID is an election day surprise. Also, IN is no gimmie for Trump. He’ll probably win there, but it’s not the ruby red state most assume.”

  627. jason says:

    Btw….

    “Also, IN is no gimmie for Trump. He’ll probably win there, but it’s not the ruby red state most assume.”

    Trump 1,557,286 56.47%
    Hlllary 1,033,126 37.46%

    I would call that “ruby red”.

  628. mnw says:

    Gillum: “Trump’s Jerusalem embassy move was an unnecessary provocation”

    Message received. We read you loud & clear!

    But will that play well with… the Miami Beach condo commandos?

    Amateur night in Dixie! Coming soon to a theater near you.

  629. Wes says:

    Currently Gillum is leading, but I would hardly expect that to last.

  630. DW says:

    Wes, since the start of September there have been about a dozen polls of individual house races deemed competitive, and the blue wave has not been found in any of them.

  631. mnw says:

    jason is being really unfair!

    Trump barely carried MO, so Vichey was pretty much correct– another 17-18% & she would’ve got ‘er done.

  632. jason says:

    jason is being really unfair!

    Trump barely carried MO, so Vichey was pretty much correct– another 17-18% & she would’ve got ‘er done.”

    My bad.

  633. Tina says:

    Scarfarce must want access to Trump again. He cites the Trump economy and peace And prosperity.

    http://www.dailycaller.com/2018/09/07/joe-scarborough-2008-economic-growth/

  634. Tina says:

    Nfl opener down 8 percent.

  635. jason says:

    I didn’t watch last night’s game.

    The kneeling thing has soured me on football, I plan to wean myself off of it.

    I hope to have better things to do than watch spoiled self entitled millionaires attack the military, the country and the flag.

    Plus they are making it a game of pussies with all rule changes to protect players from what is supposed to be a contact sport. Pretty soon we will watching touch football played by 350 lb players.

    Oh, and the game was weather delayed? Horrors, they can’t play in “inclement weather”. Zzzzzz…..

  636. Tina says:

    ost-midnight ending game is down 8% from last year’s kickoff of September 7, 2017. In one of the lowest season openers ratingswise and facing portions of a cable news-covered rally by a very NFL critical President Donald Trump, last night’s game is not only down from last year, but 2016, 2015 and 2014 – all of which saw successive declines.

    The problem are the cumulative declines, year over year over year.

  637. Tina says:

    Trump will be doing rallies every Thursday.

    He is also doing a rally in Nd for Kramer tonite.

  638. jason says:

    Nfl opener down 8 percent.”

    Good.

    The liberals want to kill football, and the NFL, previously one of the most successful business operations of all time, is intent on helping them do it.

    The NFL is committing suicide, and I am not even upset about it.

    I can’t wait until declining revenues start hitting the players in their pockets. And the owners too.

  639. Phil says:

    “the problem is the cumulative declines, year over year over year”

    Yep. We have a winner.

  640. jason says:

    The economy is so strong that even Coleen Kraperdick got a job,”

    Heh…

    There is no contest on who comes up with the best nicknames here.

    Tina is “hors concours”.

    The rest of us can fight for second fiddle.

  641. Todd McCain says:

    I want Trump to go back to West Virginia.

  642. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    September 6, 2018 at 6:39 pm
    “I’m really going to enjoy watching Jason fraud, NYCmike, Tinfoil, dblaike, and others defend this.”
    -Defend OUR President speaking softly and carrying a YUGE stick?
    What’s NOT to defend?*

    – Trump could shoot you in the middle of 5th Avenue and then take a dump into the bullet hole and you’d find way to say Trump was right to do so and you deserved it.

  643. jason says:

    If I was NFL commissioner I would issue the following statement:

    1. All players WILL stand for the National Anthem.

    2. Professional football is, as the name suggests, a profession. It is a profession that carries inherent risks. A professional football player is at risk for serious injuries, including possible brain damage, just like construction workers, firefighers, police officers, soldiers, divers, etc. are at risk for injuries relating to their professions. Nobody is obliged to play professional football, so the risks assumed are entirely voluntary.

    3. Scheduled games will start at the appointed time whatever the weather. Football is not a “good weather” sport. It is played in the fall and winter and weather is part of the game.

    I would certainly go back to watching.

    But its not going to happen because the NFL is hostage to the liberal press and those that hate football to begin with.

    To me this is very similar to what is happening to the Catholic Church. The Communist Pope is hostage to those who hate the church but have lots of advice on “how to fix it”.

    Except these people hate the church as much as the people trying to “improve” the NFL hate football.

  644. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    September 6, 2018 at 6:48 pm
    “CG”, Robbie,
    If actions taken by President Trump are put on a scale, with conservative/Republican-oriented on one side vs liberal/Democratic-oriented on the other, which would weigh more?
    Do results matter at all to you, or are you merely concerned with appearances?

    – I know this is hard for a Tea Partier to understand, but it is possible to offer conservative policies and be a good person at the same time. One does not exclude the other.

    Trump is destroying the reputation of the Republican Party, he embarrasses the country, and he disgraces the office of the presidency with his behavior. On top of that, he is going to wreck what could have been generational control of Congress this year.

    You may be ok with a Faustian bargain, but I am not. And outside of judges, every single thing Trump has done will be wiped away starting in January 2021 if/when Democrats take control of the presidency, House, and Senate.

  645. Robbie says:

    Bitterlaw says:
    September 6, 2018 at 8:42 pm
    I still do not understand Tina comparing Mueller to Hitler but she has posted here since the beginning so she can do what she wants.

    – She has posted here from the beginning, but can you in any way say she is the same person from 2004 to 2012? Certainly beginning with Trump in 2015, she has become obsessed with far right conspiracy theories.

  646. mnw says:

    A new “St. Pete’s poll,” whatever that is, has Gillum ahead 47.7% to DeSantis’ 47.3%.

    The methodology looks like a piece of trash, imo, but it’s the NEWEST poll. Link at RRH, & then you go to a link within the link… and then you say, WTF?

    NFL ratings:

    The Wise Men at RRH keep explaining to me that “the NFL fan base” is at least 50% liberal, so kneeling? No big deal for the NFL economics-wise.

    Wonder how many of those azaleas have ever been to an NFL game? The fans who buy season tickets are disproportionately OLDER WHITE AFFLUENT MEN, guys. That isn’t a data set that corresponds closely with HRC voters.

  647. jason says:

    rump could shoot you in the middle of 5th Avenue and then take a dump into the bullet hole and you’d find way to say Trump was right to do so and you deserved it.”

    Trump could cure find a cure cancer, solve the Middle East conflicts, and usher in the greatest economic expansion in History and you would be talking about Stormy.

    Amoral Scumbag.

  648. jason says:

    Geezus, where is my coffee? A cure for cancer.

  649. Phil says:

    Jason is dead on about the NFL being hostage to the liberal press. If the left had their way there would be no football period. Football gets in the way of their utopian dream of a pussyfied America. I’m all for making the game safer, but that’s a far cry from the liberal dream of a soccer America. I mean, liberals don’t like competition to begin with. The concept of keeping score goes against their participation trophy mentality.

  650. jason says:

    The Wise Men at RRH keep explaining to me that “the NFL fan base” is at least 50% liberal,”

    LOL

    Liberals are about 30% of the general population, so they are not a majority of football watchers.

    I think the decline in ratings is from people like me.

  651. Cash Cow TM says:

    DW

    What the heck is going on in the VA CD in your area?

    Did the R incumbent guarantee hs defeat by having his paid staff FORGE SIGNATURES in a failed attempt to get a 3rd party gal on the ballot to drain votes from his D opponent?

  652. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    September 7, 2018 at 9:27 am
    This is really hilarious. TDS at its best. There was nothing that suggested Trump would lose IN, MO, GA or AZ, let alone UT or ID. Even OH the polls were consistently showing a Trump lead, so the “Hillary will carry all the Obama states” was completely unrealistic.
    y current electoral vote count has Clinton winning 374-164. Here’s how I get there:
    – Clinton wins all of the Obama 2012 states
    – Clinton snags GA, AZ, and NC (fixed)
    – Clinton wins 1 electoral vote from NE
    – Trump wins 1 electoral vote from ME
    http://www.270towin.com/maps/jAQ9m
    Obviously, this can change in the last three weeks, but my May 5 map had it 384-154 for Clinton. I thought she might win MO as well.
    If the map does change, I expect it to more further in Clinton’s direction. Trump could easily lose UT and, given that ID is a lot like UT, maybe ID is an election day surprise. Also, IN is no gimmie for Trump. He’ll probably win there, but it’s not the ruby red state most assume.”

    – Oh, I get it. How dare I post comments that detailed what my thinking was every so often on the state of the electoral college. That only made like the vast majority of this forum, FoxNews, CNN, NBC, CBS, and ABC. And how dare I try and update my thoughts to reflect big news events like the Access Hollywood tape. At least I was willing to put my views out there.

    You are such an amazingly unprincipled fraud and hack. You spent every day of the campaign hating Trump and talking about how he would lose. You wouldn’t even vote for him and left the party because of him.

    Now because you want to stay ahead of the drooling, mouth breather mob that supports Trump at HHR, you act like you were not extremely critical of him for the 17 months of his campaign. What a f@cking fake you are.

  653. DW says:

    Cow, Scott Taylor will be fine. He might not win in a landslide, but a comfortable 53/46 sort of manner.

  654. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    September 7, 2018 at 9:30 am
    Btw….
    “Also, IN is no gimmie for Trump. He’ll probably win there, but it’s not the ruby red state most assume.”
    Trump 1,557,286 56.47%
    Hlllary 1,033,126 37.46%
    I would call that “ruby red”.

    – Hey, dipsh!t. An October 2016 WTHR/Howey Politics poll taken from October 3-5 showed Trump leading in Indiana by just 43-38 and a Monmouth poll taken from October 11-13 showed Trump leading by just 45-41. That’s a 5 and a 4 point spread, moron.

    And no, you can’t call Indiana ruby red right now because Joe Donnelly is a Senator and the state has had a recent history of Democrat governors and Senators.

  655. DW says:

    WISCONSIN GOVERNOR

    PPP-D

    Evers 49%
    Walker 45%

  656. DW says:

    Montana is a red state and has a Dem senator. North Dakota is a red state and has a Dem senator. Indiana is a red state and has a Dem senator.

    So to say you cannot call Indiana ruby red because Donnelly is a senator is foolishness.

  657. Wes says:

    Why exactly is Donnelly Senator, Robbie?

    What happened to Hillary and Ross here in NC? Despite what I told you about this state’s politics, you insisted Trump and Burr would lose to them here .

  658. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    September 7, 2018 at 11:15 am
    rump could shoot you in the middle of 5th Avenue and then take a dump into the bullet hole and you’d find way to say Trump was right to do so and you deserved it.”
    Trump could cure find a cure cancer, solve the Middle East conflicts, and usher in the greatest economic expansion in History and you would be talking about Stormy.
    Amoral Scumbag.

    – If that was true, why did I continually praise Trump early on for his selection of Gorsuch and then say great things about his selection of Kavanaugh? If that was true, why have I consistently noted the economy is doing so well and say Trump deserves credit for that?

    What the unprincipled fraud doesn’t realize is he’s suffering from Trumpism, a degenerative brain disorder, and I’m enjoying watching it eat his brain away.

  659. Wes says:

    I wish Walker had retired. He’s clearly outlived his shelf life even if PPP is favorable to the Dem.

  660. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    September 7, 2018 at 11:34 am
    Montana is a red state and has a Dem senator. North Dakota is a red state and has a Dem senator. Indiana is a red state and has a Dem senator.
    So to say you cannot call Indiana ruby red because Donnelly is a senator is foolishness.

    – For whom did Indiana vote in 2008? Obama or McCain? For whom did Indiana vote in 2012? Mourdock or Donnelly?

    Regardless, in September and early October 2016, Indiana was showing in polling it was competitive.

  661. mnw says:

    NFL season ticket price:

    Not as easy to find as u might think.

    However, for the KC Chiefs (aka “the Chefs”), the average season ticket price looks to be around $2100.00– neither the best seat nor the worst seat, mind you. Just middle of the pack. Parking not included. (Throw in another $50/game, & multiply by 16? Another $800.)

    The Chiefs are hardly the most expensive season ticket– again just middle of the pack.

    So, those are some pretty wealthy limousine liberals who are taking up all that attendance slack!

    I think that the NFL, ESPN, the msm, & RRH are seeing what they want to see. They WANT to see that the kneeling controversy isn’t hurting the NFL economically, so… they find evidence that it isn’t!

    Reminds me of the blue wave.

  662. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 7, 2018 at 11:35 am
    Why exactly is Donnelly Senator, Robbie?
    What happened to Hillary and Ross here in NC? Despite what I told you about this state’s politics, you insisted Trump and Burr would lose to them here

    – Why exactly did Obama win Indiana in 2008, Wes?

  663. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 7, 2018 at 11:36 am
    I wish Walker had retired. He’s clearly outlived his shelf life even if PPP is favorable to the Dem.

    – Walker may still win, but he certainly would have won had Trump not sprayed DDT all over the Republican party brand and then wrapped it in asbestos for the last two years.

  664. mnw says:

    “Vichey! Vichey! Vichey”

    moron moron moron

  665. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 7, 2018 at 11:46 am
    “Vichey! Vichey! Vichey”
    moron moron moron

    – Well at least the Trump nationalist, populist troll who praised Trump for taking the FBI’s reputation down a notch has switched from illiterate to moron. I guess that’s progress.

    However, I can smell mnw’s fear through the screen. He said he would never respond to me and now he is. Why? MAGA is crashing down right before his eyes. His dream of a new populist, nationalist party based in rural America is collapsing under the weight of the idiot who he and so many others made its beacon. Or should I say lodestar?

  666. Wes says:

    Typical Robbie intellectual dishonesty. I should have expected it.

    Here’s your answer though:

    When GWB fell to 29% popularity in 2008, Obama outspent and outorganized McCain in a number of states. Unable to put out dumpster fires everywhere, McCain could mount no serious offense in IN and lost it by less than a point.

    Since then it’s gone GOP by 8% and 19% respectively.

    There. I’ve answered your cynical attempt to dodge my questions. Now why don’t you answer my questions:

    1) Why is Donnelly Senator?

    2) Why didn’t Hillary and Ross win in NC when you’re promised they were locks to prevail here?

  667. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 7, 2018 at 11:58 am
    Typical Robbie intellectual dishonesty. I should have expected it.
    Here’s your answer though:
    When GWB fell to 29% popularity in 2008, Obama outspent and outorganized McCain in a number of states. Unable to put out dumpster fires everywhere, McCain could mount no serious offense in IN and lost it by less than a point.
    Since then it’s gone GOP by 8% and 19% respectively.
    There. I’ve answered your cynical attempt to dodge my questions. Now why don’t you answer my questions:
    1) Why is Donnelly Senator?
    2) Why didn’t Hillary and Ross win in NC when you’re promised they were locks to prevail here?

    – I guess continually referring to NC is a little better than screaming Jeb!, but not by much.

    Is it 1970?

  668. mnw says:

    airlinepilottroll is hyperventilating!

    Calm down; take deep breaths; have a sip of Vichey (sic) water.

    NEVER respond to the trolls, guys. MOCK them.

  669. Wes says:

    I do feel sorry for Robbie. His ass hole’s been permanently puckered ever since JEB! left the presidential primaries.

  670. Wes says:

    Still can’t answer two simple questions , I see. Intellectual dishonesty reigns among the JEB!bots.

  671. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 7, 2018 at 12:00 pm
    airlinepilottroll is hyperventilating!
    Calm down; take deep breaths; have a sip of Vichey (sic) water.
    NEVER respond to the trolls, guys. MOCK them.

    – Always remember mnw disappeared for years and then returned to promote Trump and his ethno-nationalist populism. Oh, and he praised Trump for taking the FBI’s reputation down a notch as well.

    When it all comes crashing down, mnw will scurry off not to be seen for a long while again.

    I smell your fear.

  672. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 7, 2018 at 12:00 pm
    I do feel sorry for Robbie. His ass hole’s been permanently puckered ever since JEB! left the presidential primaries.

    – Called it in 694!

    Is 2018 still like 1970?

  673. Diamond Jim says:

    DCC

  674. Wes says:

    Based on recent polling, it looks a lot more like 1970 than 1930–though I know you’re hoping for the latter.

    Ever going to answer my questions or are you planning to continue being a cowardly bitch?

  675. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 7, 2018 at 12:01 pm
    Still can’t answer two simple questions , I see. Intellectual dishonesty reigns among the JEB!bots.

    – 1. Donnelly’s Senator because NYCmike and his idiot friends stuck us with Mourdock. But just because the party nominates an idiot doesn’t mean the idiot loses. Look at Paul in KY.

    But what’s the story going to be in November if Donnelly wins re-election? Whose fault will it be then? If Indiana is ruby red, Donnelly loses, right?

    2. Indiana voted for Obama in 2008 for many reason, but to blame it all on Bush is just you venting once again about GW. If Bush’s approval rating was so toxic, why did KY vote for McCain so strongly in 2008 and IN didn’t? We’re only separated by a river.

  676. mnw says:

    What do illiterate trolls eat for breakfast?

    “Vicheyssoise” (sic)

  677. Wes says:

    I’ve answered both your questions, Robbie. Now answer mine:

    1) Why is Donnelly Senator from IN?

    2) Why did Hillary and Ross lose in NC despite your determination that Trump and Burr we’re doomed here?

  678. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 7, 2018 at 12:07 pm
    Based on recent polling, it looks a lot more like 1970 than 1930–though I know you’re hoping for the latter.
    Ever going to answer my questions or are you planning to continue being a cowardly bitch?

    – Recent polling shows the bottom dropping out for Trump and Republicans. Just look at the RCP graph.

    In 1970, Republicans lost 12 House seats.

    And I’m not hoping for 1930 or 2006. But I’m also not going to tell myself fairy tales about the way things look and things look bad.

    Could there be a swing back? Sure. How likely is that right now? Not very. A perpetually unpopular person doesn’t suddenly become popular for two months before an election.

  679. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 7, 2018 at 12:11 pm
    What do illiterate trolls eat for breakfast?
    “Vicheyssoise” (sic)

    – Why does a MAGA troll root on the diminishment of the FBI?

  680. Wes says:

    Ah. I see. I gave a more detailed answer than just blaming GWB (though I did acknowledge the former President was a factor), but Robbie in his intellectual dishonesty has to focus on one part of my post to try to discredit it.

    As for the geography argument, CA and AZ border each other too, yet AZ has consistently voted GOP since 2000 while CA has gone Dem since 1992. Using Robbie logic, AZ should always vote in lockstep with CA.

  681. Redmen4ever says:

    Indiana 2016

    Trump won by 19 points. RCP pre-election average: 11 points.

    OUTSIDE THE MARGIN OF ERROR!!!

    Young won by 10 points. RCP pre-election average: 1 point.

    OUTSIDE THE MARGIN OF ERROR!!!

    And … don’t even look at the polls through mid October without a grief counselor on standby.

  682. mnw says:

    1) What is the native language of illiterate trolls?

    2) How many FBI agents attended mnw’s retirement party?

  683. Phil says:

    I’d say the FBI of late has done a pretty good job of diminishing itself.

  684. mnw says:

    1) Third-grade English.

    2) 5 (if you count the pregnant one twice, it would be 6)

  685. DW says:

    “– Recent polling shows the bottom dropping out for Trump and Republicans.”

    Where? I just pointed out that we have had a dozen individual competitive house race polls since the start of September and the blue-wave is found in exactly NONE of them. Selzer says the Dems have a +2 advantage nationally.

    Do you believe ABC/Wash Post over Selzer? A simple Yes or No answer will suffice.

  686. Wes says:

    What polls are you talking about, Robbie? The ones DW has posted—even the Dem internals—aren’t exactly showing a Dem wave. Senate Republicans are doing well in polling. Gubernatorial Republicans are also generally doing well. Even the GCB has not consistently shown the wide gulf between the two parties that existed earlier in the year.

    I’m not sure where this “bottom falling out” is occurring. It must be a case of your seeing what you want to see as you did in 2016.

  687. mnw says:

    Phil 710

    Don’t lump in the working FBI agents out in the field with the bizarre freaks at FBI HQ. The real agents feel just like we do.

  688. Wes says:

    Robert can only answer a question posed to him, DW, if the questioner answers 35 irrelevant questions explaining how Trump is more evil than Pol Pot.

  689. Wes says:

    Hehe. I meant to say Robbie. Autocorrect sneaked that one by me.

  690. Mr.Vito says:

    Larry Kudlow: Dairy blocking trade deal with Canada

    https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/larry-kudlow-dairy-blocking-trade-deal-with-canada

    “The word that continues to block the deal is M-I-L-K,” Kudlow told FOX Business’ Stuart Varney. “Let go– milk, dairy drop the barriers, give our farmers a break” he said.

  691. mnw says:

    48/52

    The sky is falling! I’m terrified, I tell you!

    (Vichey-troll claims he can ‘smell my fear.’)

    You know who’s scared in the REAL world– as opposed to troll-land, where Vichey lives?

    Democrats. The economy, you see. They know it usually comes down to that. But…but… muh Stormy! muh Rooshins!

  692. Phil says:

    mnw – I’m not. More the opposite. I’m more addressing the left and how they defend the Hillary hacks at the top by claiming any criticism of them was somehow dissing the agency as a whole.

  693. Tina says:

    muh polls

    Muh wave

    Rinse and repeat.

  694. Tina says:

    I am not seeing a wave.

    I think the house could flip still, but given the Drats going loony tune and the polling suggesting otherwise, I am less confident in that.

    In the Senate, 4 seats gained for the Rs seem reasonable.

  695. Tina says:

    Diminish the Fib.

    Comedy, McCabe, Pete the cheat, etc. have done a good job at that.

    Sjw Yates, Ohr, etc. have done equal damage to justice.

  696. mnw says:

    Phil 719

    Understood.

    The working agents out in flyoverland 1) voted for … guess who? hint: not HRC, & 2) would like to see Strozk & McCabe firmly but gently hanged by the neck until dead.

  697. lisab says:

    My current electoral vote count has Clinton winning 374-164. Here’s how I get there:
    – Clinton wins all of the Obama 2012 states
    – Clinton snags GA, AZ, and NC (fixed)
    – Clinton wins 1 electoral vote from NE
    – Trump wins 1 electoral vote from ME

    http://www.270towin.com/maps/jAQ9m

    Obviously, this can change in the last three weeks, but my May 5 map had it 384-154 for Clinton. I thought she might win MO as well.
    If the map does change, I expect it to more further in Clinton’s direction. Trump could easily lose UT and, given that ID is a lot like UT, maybe ID is an election day surprise. Also, IN is no gimmie for Trump. He’ll probably win there, but it’s not the ruby red state most assume.”

    – Oh, I get it. How dare I post comments that detailed what my thinking was every so often on the state of the electoral college.
    ———————————————

    no no no no no …

    we LOVE it when you detail your thinking

    in fact, why don’t you give a preview of your 2020 predictions now …

  698. lisab says:

    ICE Raids Dairy Farm Where Illegal Alien Accused of Killing Mollie Tibbetts Worked

  699. Tina says:

    The Obumbker is complaining that it is his economic boom.

    Let’s see

    8 year record, avg gdp 1.5.

    2016 gdp came in at 1.5.

    Trump had it at almost 3 percent in 2017 to now almost 5. Percent,

    Maybe, the Jebots can blame the obumbler for the weak economy in 2016 that cost Hillary the election,

  700. Diamond Jim says:

    Diminish the Fib.

    Diminish CG?

  701. lisab says:

    now the gop crazies at the kavanaugh hearing are throwing their panties at kavanaugh, like he was elvis or something

    https://i.redditmedia.com/T3JTMBg2jmlFEDl8oRG6BriH-_0ShmPNWYm9b8PWz1Q.jpg?w=1024&s=6e14583be39fd1cf2baebf093ea63928

  702. Mr.Vito says:

    Ugh. Throw em back.

  703. lisab says:

    actually,

    i would probably be a lot more upset about trump being president

    if the sjws like cg and robbie were not so entertaining.

    the political theater is fantastic

  704. mnw says:

    lisab 724

    “she might win MO as well” tells us all we need to know.

    Whatever “airline” Vichey works for (cough bullish*t! cough), I suspect it doesn’t stop in Cape Girardeau.

  705. Bitterlaw says:

    I used to think the kindergarden/kindergarten issue was stupid. Then the Vichy/Vicheyissue broke out.

    Zzzzzzzz

  706. lisab says:

    “we choose to annoy bitterlaw with correct spellings

    not because it is easy

    but because it is fun”

    jfk

  707. mnw says:

    732

    It’s impossible to take even a freshman survey course in European History, or even to have seen Casablanca, & not know how to spell Vichy.

    Historical literacy counts. The lack of it puts everything he says in context.

    As for spelling “disintegrate” with three iii’s… well, personally I don’t think there’s any need to read further after that.

    Zzzzz indeed.

  708. lisab says:

    soooooooooo …

    at this point, do we think utah and idaho will be battlegrounds in 2020?

  709. lisab says:

    ‘At Least I Didn’t Die From Tax Cuts,’ Whispers Man Dying From Kavanaugh Nomination

  710. jason says:

    Yep, “Vichey” is not a typo.

    What happened was Amoral Scumbag, not the sharpest knife in the drawer to start with, was trying to be cute with his TDS.

    Now that his ignorance is revealed, it’s a typo.

    Same M.O. as Messy.

  711. lisab says:

    just like arkansas was a typo

    or anything else he gets wrong

    he obviously did not mean utah and idaho

    he meant minnesota and … new hampshire

    yeah, that must be it

  712. jason says:

    n October 2016 WTHR/Howey Politics poll taken from October 3-5 showed Trump leading in Indiana by just 43-38 and a Monmouth poll taken from October 11-13 showed Trump leading by just 45-41. That’s a 5 and a 4 point spread, moron.”

    Yeah, and you believed it just like you believed McConnell was in trouble against the dingbat woman.

    And you believed those polls, even though it was easy to see that if Trump was that far ahead in OH and IA he was going to kill it in Indiana, because of wishful thinking.

    The problem with cherry picking polls and only using those that agree with your narrative, if that most of the time you will be wrong.

  713. jason says:

    “Recent polling shows the bottom dropping out for Trump and Republicans.”

    Actually, they don’t, unless you just want to use the one most unfavorable to Rs.

    Wishful thinking just because you want the Dems to take over because that “would be bad for Trump”.

    A real conservative…..

    I hope now that Amoral Scumbag has gone full blown moonbat, even to the point of believing Bob Woodward over General Mattis, we can put the silly notion he is a “conservative” to rest, not that it was really controversial to start with.

  714. Messy says:

    699. As to whether 2018 will be 1930 or 1970….You have to remember that Nixon’s approval rating didn’t fall below 50% until 1971.

    Tricky Dickie had a 55% approval rating in November 1970. The recession had yet to really bite. Trump, on the other hand, has, even with Ras, never gotten over the upper 40s and is usually in either the lower 40s and upper 30s.

    Except for Carswell and Haynesworth not getting on the Supreme Court, Nixon had a surprisingly good relationship with the Democrats.

    Most of the fall that year was a combination of gravity and Spiro T. Agnew.

  715. jason says:

    you act like you were not extremely critical of him for the 17 months of his campaign.”

    The campaign ended in 2016.

    Sorry, Jeb! didn’t make it.

    Trump is President.

    I was extremely critical of him yes. Now he is President, and for the good of the country, I think conservatives should support him where it is in their interest. There is a lot in their interest that Trump is doing”

    Conservative judges.
    Deregulation.
    Climate change policy
    Energy policy.
    Tax cuts.
    North Korea initiative.
    Rebuilding the military.
    Re-structuring of many including the State Dept.
    Very good cabinets picks for the most part.

    I know, what a radical idea. Accepting the results of the election and supporting Trump where he deserves support.

  716. Messy says:

    739. Was this before or after the Comey disclosure? It’s important, because, Pre-Comey showed Hillary was heading for a landslide and post-Comey showed her fighting for her life.

    Remember, she came in first in the popular vote.

    Things can change in a heartbeat. The day before the only 1980 debate, Carter was AHEAD of Reagan in all polling (but not by much), in the weekend between that and the election on Tuesday, Carter lost eight points and turned a narrow win into a landslide loss.

    Ford had prematurely freed Poland in the second debate and lost whatever momentum he had had. He had come even with Carter after “winning” the first one.

    In the 2014 midterms, the Democrats were doing fine until the Ebola crisis and everyone in flyover country and the south was convinced that there was a plague coming and the Democrats were to blame for it.

    There were polls from this time in 1988 which Showed Dukakis ahead by ten points.

    Wait a month before prognosticating. Act as if he worst polls are accurate and hope that the best ones are.

  717. jason says:

    as this before or after the Comey disclosure? It’s important, because, Pre-Comey showed Hillary was heading for a landslide and post-Comey showed her fighting for her life.”

    Revisionist trash.

    Actually Hillary was improving in the weekend before the election, not the other way around.

  718. jason says:

    emember, she came in first in the popular vote.”

    Unfortunately for you, that is meaningless, since the EC decides who wins.

    And both Hillary and Trump campaigned, used their resources, attended rallies, directed their ads, etc. to get 270 EC’s not win the popular vote.

    Nobody knows what the popular vote would have been in a popular vote election, but for sure it wouldn’t be the same, it would have been a completely different campaign.

    If you studied a little, you would know all this.

    But you prefer to be ignorant.

  719. jason says:

    270 EV’s, not EC’s.

  720. Wes says:

    When I read Dems lost in 2014 because of Ebola, I knew Messy had nothing of substance to say.

    They were in deep trouble for a host of reasons long before Ebola became a cause for concern.

  721. jason says:

    “In the 2014 midterms, the Democrats were doing fine until the Ebola crisis and everyone in flyover country and the south was convinced that there was a plague coming and the Democrats were to blame for it. ”

    I nominate this for the most ignorant post of the month, even though it’s early.

    In 2014, EBOLA did it!

  722. jason says:

    I knew Messy had nothing of substance to say.”

    I hope this is not a revelation to you.

  723. lisab says:

    Remember, she came in first in the popular vote.
    ————————-

    yes, she won the popular vote in just under 500 counties out of over 3000

  724. Wes says:

    Hehe. Ebola cost the Dems the 2014 election. I guess Spanish Flu must have cost them 1918, right, Messy?

  725. lisab says:

    i don’t think ebola was even discussed on hhr in 2014
    —————–

    “and everyone in flyover country and the south”

    this is exactly the attitude that makes dems lose

  726. lisab says:

    “and everyone in flyover country and the south”

    maybe if hillary had visited flyover country

    she would not have lost wisconsin

  727. dblaikie says:

    I see Robbie is at it again making statements that make no sense. Wormtongue claims that the bottom is falling out for the GOP. Frankly I suspect all polls. And as I have written before I think this averaging of polls is bogus. First because a poll is nothing more than a snap shot of a moment in time. Second there is too much pressure to conform your poll into the average. Third averaging polls of registered voters, adults, and likely voters is silly.

    But having said that, let this cynic give his take on the generic ballot. First we need to throw out completely any poll over a week old. That leaves us with 4 polls. The average of those is 5 points. Yet two of these polls had a likely voter screen. Because of that we should make the likely voter poll count twice as much. This will bring the average down to 4. But take heart, Worm, I am sure that CNN or Marist or ABC will come out with new generic number showing the Dems. up by 13 points. Got to keep that average

  728. Phil says:

    Popular vote, yeah Baby. President Gore and President Hillary!

  729. Wes says:

    Da dun dun a dun dun dun dun dun da dun dun a dun dun dun.

    EBOLA!

  730. lisab says:

    hey guys,

    did you hear about the three planes that landed in the usa this week full of sick people?

    spread the news around …

  731. Chicon says:

    Flyboy is also fond of referring to Robert Mueller as “Special Council”. I pointed out to him – kindly – that a council is a group of people, and that Mueller is Special Counsel. He responded rudely and continued using “Special Council”. Typo, or not?

  732. jason says:

    re-Comey showed Hillary was heading for a landslide’

    Actually, no. The race had already tightened BEFORE the announcement.

    The letter was released on Oct 28

    The last 4 polls before that were Clinton +2, Trump +4, Clinton +3, Clinton +1

    After that she still led by +6 and +7 in two polls, but most were +3 and +4, about what it was before the announcement.

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

  733. lisab says:

    Flyboy is also fond of referring to Robert Mueller as “Special Council”.
    ——————————

    well … in fairness it is a doggy dog world and for all intensive purposes killer bees kill …

  734. lisab says:

    unless they are vichey bees of course

  735. Tina says:

    Muh Ebola.

  736. Tina says:

    Muh Ebola was not discussed.

    But brokered convention was discussed.

    As was celebrating Romneys loss.

  737. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 7, 2018 at 12:19 pm
    I’d say the FBI of late has done a pretty good job of diminishing itself.

    – Why? Because they don’t function as Trump’s secret police sussing out the evil conspirators or because they intervened in the 2016 elections ten days before election day to help Trump?

  738. DW says:

    BOOM!

    McGrath (D) 45%
    Barr (R-Inc) 49%

    Fabrizio, Lee & Associates

    Robbie hardest hit

  739. DW says:

    BOOM!!

    McAdams 38%
    Love 48%

    Lighthouse Research

    Robbie hardest hit

  740. DW says:

    those polls were KY_06 and UT_04 for those not familiar with the names. These should have shown a slight Dem lead had there been a blue-wave forthcoming.

  741. Chicon says:

    I wonder how much polling evidence against Robbie’s hoped-for blue wave needs to occur for him to give up the dream?

  742. Mr.Vito says:

    In the only poll that counts, of actual voters…

    Trump was 48-40% with those who decided in the last month, and that was no different than those who decided the week prior to the election (49-41%).

    Republicans simply came home in the last month.

  743. Chicon says:

    Vito – HHR’s very own DW is a great example of what you describe in 769.

  744. Phil says:

    764

    No Robbie. Read the IG report. Do I need to list for you those cited in it that have been fired? Never mind. You’re absolutely stark raving insane. “…because they don’t function as Trump’s secret police” my ass. Is that what Joy was telling you today on the View?

  745. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    September 7, 2018 at 12:22 pm
    “– Recent polling shows the bottom dropping out for Trump and Republicans.”
    Where? I just pointed out that we have had a dozen individual competitive house race polls since the start of September and the blue-wave is found in exactly NONE of them. Selzer says the Dems have a +2 advantage nationally.
    Do you believe ABC/Wash Post over Selzer? A simple Yes or No answer will suffice.

    – The best part about HHR is, no matter how many times someone says something, most here ignore those things and simply go with what they think someone said.

    For instance, I have repeatedly said I follow the polling averages, not the individual polls. I do, however, enjoy mocking those who worship Rasmussen. Despite that, I get comments like this from DW demanding I state my allegiance to ABC or Selzer. Sorry, not playing that game.

    So look at RCP. Trump’s approval rating has dropped from 43.&% on August 28 to 41.4 on September 6. As for the generic ballot, it was 3.9 on August 13 and now it’s 8.3%. Both Huffpollster and 538 show a similar story. Trump’s approval has lost 2 points or more in about two weeks and the generic ballot has opened up to a wide margin again.

  746. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 7, 2018 at 12:25 pm
    Robert can only answer a question posed to him, DW, if the questioner answers 35 irrelevant questions explaining how Trump is more evil than Pol Pot.

    – Every now and then I have step away from the computer to actually do other things.

    I suppose posting my daily schedule might help, but I’m not interested in that.

  747. Mr.Vito says:

    In a poll from gallup, less than five percent of Republicans, about a quarter of Independents, and three-fifths of Democrats believe Trump did something illegal during the campaign.

    Poll was conducted after Manafort and Cohen.

  748. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 7, 2018 at 12:31 pm
    48/52

    – I love that you take Rasmussen as the gospel truth. It wouldn’t be because it’s the one that consistently shows Trump 4 points or so higher than any other polling? You wouldn’t cherry pick a poll just to make yourself feel better, would you?

  749. Phil says:

    That’s ok, Robbie, we are about as interested in your daily schedule as we are with your daily postings of liberal media talking points.

  750. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    September 7, 2018 at 12:59 pm
    no no no no no …
    we LOVE it when you detail your thinking
    in fact, why don’t you give a preview of your 2020 predictions now …

    – And I love that you’ve got your gaydar turned on and are smoking them out.

    I also love your legal views. You’re call that Trump would easily win a case against the GAO over transition emails was right on the mark. Oh wait, there was no lawsuit because everyone knew they was no violation.

  751. Tina says:

    They functioned as my secret police.

    Obumbler

  752. Robbie says:

    Bitterlaw says:
    September 7, 2018 at 1:13 pm
    I used to think the kindergarden/kindergarten issue was stupid. Then the Vichy/Vicheyissue broke out.
    Zzzzzzzz

    – Typos aren’t allowed in mnw’s world which is why mnw doesn’t respect Tina. Right?

  753. Chicon says:

    772 – this is similar to relying on national polls in 2016 and ignoring individual swing state polls. Silly. Process the actual evidence in front of you, it’ll be good for you.

  754. Tina says:

    According to the Jebots, trump is guilty of beating her thighness. It was her manifest destiny to become the President.

    Too bad that she was dominated in September and October.

    She collapsed on 9/11 and was chucked in her medical van.

    Debate 2 destroyed her and bj and web hubbells daughter

  755. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    September 7, 2018 at 1:33 pm
    soooooooooo …
    at this point, do we think utah and idaho will be battlegrounds in 2020?

    – Sooooo, which candidates who plan to run in 2020 have you heard are gay?

    Sooooo, can you point me to case Trump won against the GAO over his transition emails?

  756. dblaikie says:

    In fact let me be even more specific about the generic ballot. Of all the polls in the average there is one that has a reputation above the others and that is Selzer. If I was going to take seriously any poll it would be that one. So why would anyone want to average it with firms like ABC/Wash. Post or USA Today/Suffolk? Even more to the point Selzer is a likely voter poll. So as far as I am concerned the generic ballot (just like the country) is evenly split.

  757. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 7, 2018 at 1:25 pm
    732
    It’s impossible to take even a freshman survey course in European History, or even to have seen Casablanca, & not know how to spell Vichy.
    Historical literacy counts. The lack of it puts everything he says in context.
    As for spelling “disintegrate” with three iii’s… well, personally I don’t think there’s any need to read further after that.
    Zzzzz indeed.

    – This is so rich coming from someone who unblinkingly supports Trump, a man who doesn’t know any history, and who stood in front of a crowd last night in MT and couldn’t pronounce the word anonymous.

    But continue to claim typos mean someone is illiterate. That’s the ticket.

  758. Tina says:

    The more President @BarackObama speaks about the ‘good ole years’ of his presidency, the more likely President @realDonaldTrump is to get re-elected.

    In fact, the best explanation of President Trump’s victory are the “results” of the Obama Presidency!
    10:07 AM – Sep 7, 2018

    -sen. Graham

  759. Tina says:

    Why would the Drats allow for the obumbler to give a speech in front of only 1,000 people and allow him to mention that the economy is really strong?

    More Obumbler.

    More .Beta

    More Stormy (the Drats sure kicked her to the side)

    More Lanny Losah who is now begging that his client not be charged for lying to the senate

    More Nazis throwing their dirty panties at Kavanaugh.

    More outbursts,

    More Spartacus.

  760. dblaikie says:

    It seems to me that in 2016 election the polls that were right was Rasmussen and the LA Times poll that everyone said was bogus. And guess what, they usually showed Trump about 4 or 5 points better against Hillary than the other bogus polling units.

    Wormtongue, if you want to believe that Marist, or CNN or PPP produce better polls than Rasmussen feel free to do so. But just don’t think most of us here are going to believe it.

  761. Tina says:

    Phil,

    Your favorite Senator, Kamala aka Eric Holder 2.0 just told Kavaanaugh that the “constitution is that little book that you Carr in your pocket.”

  762. Tina says:

    *carry.

    More Kamala too.

    We want all participants in the freak show.

  763. Phil says:

    Saw that, Tina. Unlike Mao’s little red book she carries in her pocket. Lol

  764. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    September 7, 2018 at 1:35 pm
    Yep, “Vichey” is not a typo.
    What happened was Amoral Scumbag, not the sharpest knife in the drawer to start with, was trying to be cute with his TDS.
    Now that his ignorance is revealed, it’s a typo.
    Same M.O. as Messy.

    – Have you ever considered becoming a comedian because this is laugh-out-loud funny.

    The unprincipled hack and valedictorian from Trump University, Jason fraud, is really struggling. Maybe that’s why he signed up to support another unprincipled hack like Rubio who told us all Trump was a threat to country in a near teary eyed March 2016 press conference only to say he would be honored to speak in favor of Trump at the convention just four weeks later.

    Now that’s displaying some “not the sharpest knife in the drawer” qualities.

  765. Tina says:

    Good one Phil.

  766. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    September 7, 2018 at 1:44 pm
    “Recent polling shows the bottom dropping out for Trump and Republicans.”
    Actually, they don’t, unless you just want to use the one most unfavorable to Rs.

    – Again, look at the polling average, dolt.

    Only a crybaby cherry picker looks at individual polls and decides if they are good enough for use.

    Of course, you were a poll unskewer in 2012.

  767. Tina says:

    https://twitter.com/Feisty_FL/status/1038017428163313664/photo/1

    I spotted the Jebots and they are very much anti trump.

  768. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    September 7, 2018 at 2:26 pm
    Remember, she came in first in the popular vote.
    ————————-
    yes, she won the popular vote in just under 500 counties out of over 3000

    – Oh, so now we’re qualifying what types of popular votes wins there are?

  769. Chicon says:

    Isn’t Rasmussen still the only JA poll using a likely voter screen?

  770. Tina says:

    Trump slams the Obumbler.

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2018/09/boom-trump-on-obamas-speech-sorry-i-watched-it-but-fell-asleep-hes-very-good-for-sleeping-we-were-heading-south-video/

    I watched his speech but fell asleep.

    That is why you are President and jeb is selling guac bowls.

  771. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    September 7, 2018 at 2:35 pm
    Flyboy is also fond of referring to Robert Mueller as “Special Council”. I pointed out to him – kindly – that a council is a group of people, and that Mueller is Special Counsel. He responded rudely and continued using “Special Council”. Typo, or not?

    – Chiclown is fond of telling us he was a 12 year lurker here before he began posting, but he strangely never seems to know much of what went on here before election night 2016.

  772. Mr.Vito says:

    There is no popular vote ‘win’… it is not contested and gains no victory.

  773. Diamond Jim says:

    DCCC

  774. DW says:

    “Do you believe ABC/Wash Post over Selzer? A simple Yes or No answer will suffice.”

    So you go with ABC/Wash Post then. Thanks.

  775. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    September 7, 2018 at 2:50 pm
    BOOM!
    McGrath (D) 45%
    Barr (R-Inc) 49%
    Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
    Robbie hardest hit

    – DW, you really are proof Trumpism is a degenerative brain disorder.

    If you think I’m rooting for Andy Barr to lose, then you are every bit as fouled up by Trumpism as I fear you have become.

    If you want to get a hardon because Andy Barr is polling at 49% and +4 in a district he won with 60% and 61% in 2014 and 2016 respectively, then I don’t know what to say to you.

  776. Tina says:

    5m
    The key players at the FBI and the DOJ knew about the Ohrs’ involvement in the Dossier. They knew the Clinton campaign paid for it. They knew Steele was extremely biased against Trump. They didn’t tell the Court any of this. youtube.com/watch?v=KIRIJA…

    Jim Jordan, now why would comedy allow this?

  777. Chicon says:

    801 – of course he chooses WaPo, they tell The Political Scientist (sarc) what he wants to hear/read.

  778. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 7, 2018 at 3:00 pm
    764
    No Robbie. Read the IG report. Do I need to list for you those cited in it that have been fired? Never mind. You’re absolutely stark raving insane. “…because they don’t function as Trump’s secret police” my ass. Is that what Joy was telling you today on the View?

    – When you wrote “absolutely stark raving insane”, I thought you were referring to all of the people these past years who claimed to be real conservatives and Tea Party supporters only to find out the only thing that really animates them is finding a candidate who pisses off the Democrats.

    Actually, I guess frauds would be a better description of them, though.

  779. DW says:

    YouGov – FL -Senate:

    Nelson 41%
    Scott 46%

    Robbie hardest hit

  780. Phil says:

    Just read any summary of the IG report and get back to us, Robbie. BTW, how much did you contribute to the Strzok on line Legal-Replace his Salary fund?

  781. GPO says:

    Do not feed the troll!!!!!!!

  782. DW says:

    I am thrilled to get Gorsuch and Kavanaugh and then I am told I have a degenerative brain disorder, not by a professing leftist, but by someone claiming to be a Republican.

    The point of the Barr polling is that he is winning, contrary to the blue-wave narrative. KY_06 is currently below the magic line of Dems gaining control, much less Robbie’s +40 line. And he thinks we are the deranged ones.

  783. DW says:

    GPO is right. Robbie has over and over shown he is trolling, and there is no point in responding.

  784. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 7, 2018 at 3:08 pm
    That’s ok, Robbie, we are about as interested in your daily schedule as we are with your daily postings of liberal media talking points.

    – This is what I love about the state of the Republican Party in the age of Trump.

    If you don’t tow the line; if you don’t wear the red hat; if you don’t see the genius in Trump’s insanity; if you dare express outrage over Trump’s unpresidential and outright disgusting behavior, you’re a liberal who watches Morning Joe.

    By the way, how’s the wall coming along?

  785. Phil says:

    He’s no Republican, DW. I think that’s pretty well been established.

  786. DW says:

    NM SENATE:

    Heinrich 50%
    Johnson 38%

    GBA Strategies

  787. Tina says:

    Brutal day for polling for the Jebots.

    Brutal.

  788. Phil says:

    Nelson is toast. The blue wave.

  789. Phil says:

    The fact that Nelson is behind with Hispanics finishes him.

  790. Todd McCain says:

    Any chance they can get the Republican out of the race in NM?

  791. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    September 7, 2018 at 3:32 pm
    “Do you believe ABC/Wash Post over Selzer? A simple Yes or No answer will suffice.”
    So you go with ABC/Wash Post then. Thanks.

    – Not playing that game. I don’t pick and choose polls. I look at the averages. You should as well, but you won’t.

    I guess nothing was learned from the 2012 unskew fiasco.

  792. Robbie says:

    Chicon says:
    September 7, 2018 at 3:36 pm
    801 – of course he chooses WaPo, they tell The Political Scientist (sarc) what he wants to hear/read.

    – I choose the RCP average and I’ve told you and everyone else that before.

  793. Robbie says:

    DW says:
    September 7, 2018 at 3:39 pm
    YouGov – FL -Senate:
    Nelson 41%
    Scott 46%
    Robbie hardest hit

    – Is this the best you’ve got? If so, I’ve got two suggestions for you. Try harder and cry more.

    I want to see Scott and the others win because control of the Senate means Republicans can continue to confirm judges. If they lose the Senate, it’s possible not a single judge will be confirmed, certainly not a SCOTUS pick.

  794. Todd McCain says:

    DW says:
    September 7, 2018 at 2:50 pm
    BOOM!
    McGrath (D) 45%
    Barr (R-Inc) 49%
    Fabrizio, Lee & Associates

    Fabrizio did the same poll in June and Barr was down 13 points! Huge turnout around!

  795. ReadyFirst says:

    The Obama hubris amazes me yet again. He claims credit for the improving economy/stock market in 2009 as a new president. Then he claims credit for the improving economy/stock market in 2017 as an ex president. Sorry, you don’t get it both ways.

  796. Tina says:

    Speculation is that Obama launched today because he Amy have been the person who signed the original Fisa warrant that started the spying, or knew about in advance and orchestrated the illegal spying.

  797. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 7, 2018 at 3:44 pm
    He’s no Republican, DW. I think that’s pretty well been established.

    – Let’s see. I registered to vote in July 1995 as a Republican and voted straight ticket Republican in every election starting in 1995 KY governor’s race, then again in 1996, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2014, and 2015. I voted for every Republican on the ballot in 2016 but Trump just as quite a few here did.

    Since 2000, I have donated money to GWB, Fred Thompson, McCain, Romney, and Jeb. In the Senate I have donated money to McConnell in 2002, 2008, and 2014. I’ve also donated money to Senate candidates like Rubio, Paul, Toomey, Tillis, Cotton, and a few other. At the House level, I donated to Anne Northup and volunteered for her campaign ins 2004 and 2006.

    But sure, Phil. Because I find Trump detestable as a person and believe his presidency is doing serious harm to the Republican Party, I’m not Republican. Keep telling yourself that all you want. It won’t make it true, but maybe it will take your mind off all of the Mexicans.

  798. Robbie says:

    Todd McCain says:
    September 7, 2018 at 3:57 pm
    DW says:
    September 7, 2018 at 2:50 pm
    BOOM!
    McGrath (D) 45%
    Barr (R-Inc) 49%
    Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
    Fabrizio did the same poll in June and Barr was down 13 points! Huge turnout around!

    – Lexington TV has been peppered with negative ads about McGrath. She has chosen not to respond so far.

  799. CG says:

    Why would Robbie or people like him want Mia Love to lose?

    She refused to vote for Trump and has since publicly criticized him for “racism.”

    She is exactly the kind of Republican we wish there were more of.

  800. Redmen4ever says:

    2012:

    to skew or not to skew

    “Post-stratifcation weighting” had not yet been standardized. There was controversy as to whether the 2008 turnout model would again be exhibit, or the 20110 turnout model, or – say – a 50-50 blend. When the pollsters switched from Registered Voters to Likely Voters, much of the controversy dissipated, although the word didn’t get around to everyone.

  801. CG says:

    It’s also interesting that in 2016, the State Rep. DeSantis picked this week to be his running-mate said that Trump was “pro-KKK.”

    Has she disavowed that?

  802. Tina says:

    It is also interesting that FIB is under six separate Ig investigations.

    https://mobile.twitter.com/almostjingo/status/1038144654338715648/photo/1

  803. ReadyFirst says:

    Agreed, It all ties back to Obama Tina.

  804. Tina says:

    ‘Sources Say’ is Greek for ‘Fake News’ ‘Sources Say’ is Greek for ‘Fake News’
    @NolteNC
    10m
    Trump’s approval rating jumped 4 puts this week. MSM’s phony freakout over Trump’s STYLE as he delivers peace and prosperity ain’t working. rasmussenreports.com/public_content…
    V

    But Muh op Ed, Muh tone.

  805. lisab says:

    soooooooooo …
    at this point, do we think utah and idaho will be battlegrounds in 2020?

    is that a yes?

  806. Tina says:

    And why it was important for us to take down the coup plotters level by level, and not jump right to the Obumbler, RF.

    I know a long process.

    I also know that McCabe and Comedy will break.

  807. ReadyFirst says:

    Remember the sitting State Senator in IL Obama first defeated on a technicality because of qualification signature invalidation. He established himself as a dirty little political hack then. When it all comes out in the wash, we’ll find it was the same dirty type of dirty politics he was doing to Trump with FISA.

  808. ReadyFirst says:

    Exactly Tina, none of those hacks were brave enough to pull this FISA junk off without approval or a head nod from on high. That’s not how bureaucracies work.

  809. DW says:

    this is absurd…now you can watch the results of the poll as the calls are being made for MN_08

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-mn08-1.html

  810. DW says:

    If anything the NYTimes polling tool allows you to see how challenging polling has become with people having caller ID and only answering numbers they recognize. So far they have spoken to just 72 people out of 1,788 phone calls made.

  811. ReadyFirst says:

    CG, that was March of 2016, so what. I myself penned a negative post then about Trump, before the primary. Why, because I didn’t believe Trump. I thought he was a wolf in sheeps clothing for the GOP. Since the election, other than some boorish talk, I have been mostly happy with his performance and support him. Nunez was a Rubio supporter and I’m sure she feels as I do now. She is a brilliant choice for FL LTG and I have no doubt they will be elected.

  812. DW says:

    I am old enough to recall when I was a kid and if the phone rang, everyone would gather around and one person would sit down and answer it while everyone else in the group tried to figure out who it was and what was going on.

    Walt remembers when the phone call was smoke signals above the hill tops.

  813. mnw says:

    RF 839

    Me too. I opposed Trump furiously* in the primary because I thought he was going to govern as a liberal!

    It didn’t help when he said his sister “would make a great SCOTUS judge.” Confirmed my worst nightmares about him… at the time.

    * being mean to the Trumpistas got me banned from Lucianne Goldberg’s website.

  814. CG says:

    She called him “con-man”, “anti-Israel”, and “pro-KKK”.

    This week she didn’t take any of it back either. Just said, “well the election is over.” But apparently she still believes it.

    I guess if DeSantis is ok with her….

  815. Wes says:

    The current RCP average is D +8.3. That’s not the bottom falling out, Robbie. You’re going to have to find a new average to get to your D +20 wet dream.

  816. Wes says:

    By the way, since you’re apparently unaware of this, we don’t elect Congress based on a national average . We elect based on the results in a given district or state. Republicans have been improving on that front recently as Dems have become more and more acerbic and vicious.

  817. Wes says:

    For the record, I didn’t vote for Trump, am no fan, and may not vote for him in 2020. I am not obsessed with seeing the GOP fail because of him, however, and will not be unrelentingly negative about him despite the fact that I really don’t much care for him.

  818. DW says:

    Wes, as I have been saying for months, the one type of location where there could be increased Dem turnout and enthusiasm is the deep blue urban areas–seats the Dems are going to win anyway. This is why Ocasio-Cortez and Pressley both won in the D primaries.

    But so far there is no evidence from the polling of individual races that Republicans are in the sort of deep trouble that some say they are. The rural and suburban areas are holding up well.

  819. Mr.Vito says:

    George P gets 14 days in prison for treason… I mean lying to the FBI.

  820. mnw says:

    Selzer. Ain’t no +8.3!

  821. Tina says:

    14 days for “colluding”

    To quote Pius Comedy, “That’s it?”

  822. Tina says:

    Millions spent on Papadope?

    Btw, Jebot assured us that he collided and was wearing a wire.

  823. Tina says:

    naldTrump
    15m
    14 days for $28 MILLION – $2 MILLION a day, No Collusion. A great day for America!

    Now, commute his sentence and let’s call it a day,

  824. lisab says:

    the dems have their smoking gun now!

    papa will surely turn state’s evidence

    or he’ll spend the better part of the next month in prison …

    and the feds don’t really give you time off for good behavior, so even if he is lucky, he will still have to serve at least 12 days

  825. lisab says:

    Robbie says:

    Couple of guesses on the op-ed writer:

    Nikki Haley
    Kevin Hassett

  826. mnw says:

    Didn’t one of the trolls guess Pence? That was even more delusional.

  827. lisab says:

    corey: i am getting refills without paying for them!

    worker: sir, refills are free.

    corey: try and stop me! i am getting a caffeine free diet coke!

    worker: sir, refills are free.

    corey: ha ha! i got a refill and you cannot stop me!

    worker: sir, refills are free.

    corey: I AM SPARTACUS!

  828. mnw says:

    I’m hoping that freak show + Zero’s reappearance will energize our side. Seems like it might.

  829. lisab says:

    Subway removes ham and bacon from nearly 200 stores and offers halal meat only after ‘strong demand’ from Muslims

  830. lisab says:

    corey ripped the tags off his mattresses and then ran around his neighborhood bragging about his defiance of the law.

  831. Phil says:

    825

    Ah, yes, Robbie. The Mexicans. You mean the illegals? Are you back to the Phil is a racist again?

    You are truly a clown, and you continue to make a total fool out of yourself on this board.

  832. ReadyFirst says:

    841. mnw, exactly. That was then, this is now.

  833. ReadyFirst says:

    843. Um, because she doesn’t want to give liberals any more ammo. It’s over, let it go, just like princess Elsa. Nuñez was wrong, just like I was. It’s not where we are now.

  834. Wes says:

    RRH is covering that barnburner of an election in Sweden.

  835. ReadyFirst says:

    I went to Sweden once. Everyone there is beautiful.

  836. lisab says:

    Canada loses 51,000 jobs in August.

  837. mnw says:

    I don’t think either party gets much mileage from recycling attacks from the other party’s losing candidate in a primary.

    Who will really care about Trump/Cruz comments back then? DEMs? GOP voters? Others? Try to explain why they would.

    Of course the journos will care, but I doubt anybody else.

  838. Tina says:

    1h
    Bill Kristol is a couple of Zimas away from putting on a red handmaid’s outfit and staggering around the Lido Deck calling himself “Ofanschutz.” ???????? cc @LarryOConnor twitter.com/michaelmalice/…
    View details ·

  839. lisab says:

    robbie and cg are a few Zimas away from putting on a red handmaid’s outfit

  840. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    I see Robbie is having one of his “Woe, Woe, Woe Unto You” episodes.

  841. mnw says:

    SDC

    Vichey-troll says we’re all “scared” here. I think this is what psychiatrists call “projection.” At my age, I’m hardly “scared” of a bad election cycle– I managed to survive 8 years of Zero, for starters. I think HE’s scared that the economy will wipe out his blue wave fantasy.

  842. Bitterlaw says:

    Robbie clearly referred to Vichy France as a metaphor for Republicans who support Trump after he took the White House. He misspelled Vichy. Both can be true.

    This completes my pro-bono representation of posters for the year.

  843. lisab says:

    kavanaugh will kill the constitution

    ny times

  844. Redmen4ever says:

    If this is Obama’s economy, does this mean he’s taking credit for the tax cut, deregulation, development of energy resources, repeal of the individual mandate, revocation of the TPP, and renegotiation of NAFTA?

    I thought he was Never-Trump?

  845. The gas tax is so unpopular in California, that several Democrats are coming out in favor of repeal.

    “Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown has pledged to spend at least $25 million to defeat Proposition 6, enlisting the help of the state’s powerful labor unions and municipal groups, but so far the repeal is ahead in the polls.

    How potent is the gas-tax issue? After the CLF ran a gas-tax ad last month against progressive Democrat Katie Porter, a protégé of Sen. Elizabeth Warren, she stunned the left by coming out against fuel taxes.

    A University of California Irvine law professor, Ms. Porter is challenging Republican Rep. Mimi Walters, a strong supporter of the repeal, for the Orange County seat.

    “I oppose higher gas taxes, and I won’t be afraid to take on leaders of both political parties and do what’s right for Orange County taxpayers,” said Ms. Porter in an Aug. 21 ad.

    Her decision to leave the gas tax in the dust “marks the most prominent defection from the Democratic ranks yet,” according to CalMatters, but not the only one.

    Democrat Josh Harder, who’s challenging Republican Rep. Jeff Denham in the Central Valley, has also come out in favor of Proposition 6, arguing that a federal infrastructure solution is needed.”

  846. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    874. “If this is Obama’s economy, does this mean he’s taking credit for the tax cut, deregulation, development of energy resources, repeal of the individual mandate, revocation of the TPP, and renegotiation of NAFTA?”

    It really is pathetic that Obama is now claiming credit for Trump’s economic policies and successful economy. If there is anything that shows the utter bankruptcy of the ideas of the Obama/Clinton wing of the Democratic Party, this is it.

    Meanwhile, after several days of Democratic romper room, Kavanaugh is on his way to confirmation. Am getting the impression even the liberal press now views the Democratic stunts as stupid.

  847. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    According to The Hill, this is where the Kavanaugh SCOTUS vote is among GOP Senators after this week’s hearings:

    “GOP Sens. Susan Collins (Maine) and Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) are viewed as the two most likely Republican swing votes. They’ve broken with their party on ObamaCare repeal, abortion legislation and other Trump nominees, including Education Secretary Betsy DeVos.

    Both Republican senators say they haven’t made a decision, but are speaking positively about Kavanaugh.

    “So far I haven’t heard anything that is earthshaking, something that hasn’t been out there as a point of discussion before,” Murkowski told the Anchorage Daily News.

    Collins spoke positively about Kavanaugh after their meeting last month, including that he told her he believes Roe v. Wade is “settled law.” She told reporters that she hadn’t had time to review a 2003 email where Kavanaugh suggested cutting a paragraph from an draft op-ed that characterized Roe as “widely accepted” to be settled law.

    But an aide for Collins suggested that the email doesn’t contradict the comments Kavanaugh previously made to the GOP senator.

    “The email does not contradict Judge Kavanaugh’s statements that he believes Roe to be settled law and that he agrees it is important precedent,” Annie Clark, a spokeswoman for Collins, told the Portland Press Herald.

    Few other Republicans remain undecided. GOP Sen. Jeff Flake (Ariz.), a member of the Judiciary Committee, hasn’t announced his position but said he is “inclined” to support Kavanaugh.

  848. Messy says:

    No, just the successful economy. The repeal of the individual mandate has hurt people who don’t now have insurance, the renegotiation of NAFTA hasn’t kicked in yet and if it does will not do a darned thing, deregulation hurts the environment, the development of energy resources has stopped to some extent (clean coal is a hoax), and the tax cut has only helped individual billionaires, not their companies. As to unemployment, it has only fallen Zero-point-seven Percent (from 4.6% in November of ’16).

  849. Messy says:

    Happy Jewish New Year. Except for election day, may 5779 be a happy one for y’all.

  850. mnw says:

    872

    Literacy & historical literacy: The former is a condition precedent of the latter.

    Otoh, illiteracy and historical illiteracy are generally Siamese twins.

    Both can be twue.*

    Btw, if that was his “clear reference,” it doesn’t make any SENSE– not unless you think, as Vichey-troll obviously does, that Trump & his political supporters = Hitler and the Gestapo. Nice. Obviously a worthy candidate for your pro bono work. /s

    *Blazing Saddles: “It’s twue! It’s twue!”

  851. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    DW
    Here is the latest Dan Jones Poll regarding UT CD-4. M. Love(R) 49% to McAdams(D) 46%. McAdams has pretty much topped-out leading by 30 pts. with Independents and getting 93% of the Donkey vote and some percentage of the Republican vote. And yet, he’s at only 46%.
    You may want to add this to your Dashboard.

    https://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/17703-poll-mia-love-has-a-3-point-lead-over-ben-mcadams-in-4th-district-matchup

    Additionally, if you can get through the NY Times paywall, you will see the 538/ Siena Poll for MN CD-3. It shows Paulsen(R) above 50%.

  852. mnw says:

    Sheep

    I’ve never understood Love’s odd middling popularity in UT. (I don’t want to hear “rayciss! rayciss!” from the trolls, either.) The UT electorate is just as tolerant/intolerant as the electorate in SC, where Scott has had no similar problems, as far as I know.

    Love’s “Perils of Pauline” political career is getting tedious. She’s VERY high maintenance. Hopefully Romney will stand right next to her a lot during the remaining 7 weeks.

  853. Bitterlaw says:

    mine – I did not say that I agree with Robbie. I said that I understood what he was trying to say.

  854. Wes says:

    Analysis in 878 comes from a guy who literally just yesterday said Democrats lost in 2014 because of Ebola.

    Keep that in mind when reading his posts.

  855. Bitterlaw says:

    Breaking News – People who support Trump think most people should agree with them and the others suck. People who oppose Trump think most people should agree with them and the others suck.

  856. Wes says:

    Bitterlaw with his truisms again.

  857. mnw says:

    Wes 884

    I don’t think three iii’s is a guy. I think it’s a female.
    As evidence, I cite an old post in which he/she said, “poopy old mnw.”
    I doubt a male poster would have come up with that.

    As for three iii’s economic musings, I thought about taking a sledge hammer to the tinker toys, but I decided…nah.

  858. mnw says:

    Furthermore, would a male poster choose “messy” as his screen name? To me it suggests the origin might be “missy.”

  859. Redmen4ever says:

    Sorry for being away for a couple days. But I caught myself getting tired of winning, and thought I should take a couple days off to recharge my batteries.

  860. Bitterlaw says:

    It is ironic that Robbie embraced the Vichy Republican term. MD used it here first. MD and Robbie used to battle over everything.

  861. Tina says:

    Muh Ebola.

    This sounds like t may be something carried by Stormy,

  862. Bitterlaw says:

    MD used to oppose Obamacare. Now he wants his Congressman to lose because he voted for the “do not repeal or replace” bill.

  863. Tina says:

    Obama Speech Transcript:
    Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me, Me…

    — thebradfordfile™ (@thebradfordfile) September 8, 2018

    What a disastrous speech by the Obumbler yesterday.

    Trump dismissed him.

    Grendel destroyed him.

    Benghazi patriots humiliated him.

    Please make him the face in the next two months.

  864. Wes says:

    MD is the epitome of unhinged. He was always mercurial and bombastic. Now Trump has driven him absolutely insane.

  865. mnw says:

    I suppose one could analogize the French citizens forced to endure the Vichy regime to the GOPe, forced (?) to endure Trump’s administration. The gorilla in the room with that argument is that Trump took over because of a free election, whereas Marshal Petain took over because of Wehrmacht bayonets. But other than that, the analogy works great!

    I’m surprised MD would accept an argument that shoddy, if he did. But as for Vichey-troll, I’m confident he knows modern European history as well as I know quantum physics.

  866. mnw says:

    Tina 893

    I was thinking the same thing– let him be the face of the DEMs in the midterm. I hope it will gin up GOP turnout.

    Redmen

    Welcome back.

  867. Tina says:

    Grenell is the amabassador to Germany,

    He tweeted back to stomps foot about the Nazis and why did he not get rid of the nazi that was deported.

  868. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 7, 2018 at 5:22 pm
    The current RCP average is D +8.3. That’s not the bottom falling out, Robbie. You’re going to have to find a new average to get to your D +20 wet dream.

    – What is this “D +20 wet dream” thing you’re mentioning? Are you suggesting I believe Democrats have 20 point lead in the generic ballot? I certainly don’t believe that. But when I see RCP, 538, and Huffpollster all show Democrats with an average 8-10 point lead, that tells me really bad things loom for Republicans in the House. And when I see a story in Politico suggesting Republicans fear the losses could be as high as 60 seats, it’s real cause for concern.

  869. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 7, 2018 at 5:24 pm
    By the way, since you’re apparently unaware of this, we don’t elect Congress based on a national average . We elect based on the results in a given district or state. Republicans have been improving on that front recently as Dems have become more and more acerbic and vicious.

    – My God! I had no idea!

    So in 2022 if there’s a Democrat president and Republicans lead the generic ballot, you will chide anyone in this forum who uses the generic ballot to say Republicans are in great shape to gain seats in the House?

  870. Diamond Jim says:

    CM

  871. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    September 7, 2018 at 6:30 pm
    Robbie says:
    Couple of guesses on the op-ed writer:
    Nikki Haley
    Kevin Hassett

    – June 25, 1974, Mark Felt tells the Wall Street Journal he is not “deep throat”.

    Who was “deep throat”, lisab?

  872. Wes says:

    There’s just one thing, Robbie:

    I’m not chiding you for saying Dems will gain House seats. Indeed I’ve repeatedly said Dems are 100% guaranteed to gain seats with predictions that Republicans can or will gain seats being misguided and unrealistic.

    What I have gone after you for is your cherry picking of data to say 2018 will be a 1930-style disaster when in fact Republicans have made gains on the micro level of the individual House races from their lows over the summer when many seats were in a far more precarious position than now.

  873. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    And now Over to Red racing Horses and their new poster, a gentleman from Ireland who believes RRH is a hard right blog:

    “IRISHUSPOLITICALJUNKIE
    September 8, 2018 at 10:32 am
    First time comment long time lurker from Ireland ! I love this site as it balances out my DKE reading every morning. Keep up the good work guys.”

    Some people need to be pitied!

  874. Wes says:

    Robbie has such a weak argument with his cherry picked data he has to distort my actual argument to try to refute it.

    By the way, Robbie, you guaranteed me in 2016 Hillary and Ross would win here in NC. How’d that work out for you?

  875. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 7, 2018 at 6:48 pm
    825
    Ah, yes, Robbie. The Mexicans. You mean the illegals? Are you back to the Phil is a racist again?
    You are truly a clown, and you continue to make a total fool out of yourself on this board.

    – Here’s the thing, Phil. So long as you’re going to lie and claim I’m not a Republican simply because I won’t bow to Trump, I’m going to make wild claims about you. Sadly, that’s how things work at HHR now. You disarm, I’ll disarm.

    Regardless, the only ones who are making fools of themselves are the ones who have chosen to cast aside their supposed conservative principles to support a man who represents the very opposite of conservatism.

  876. Tina says:

    Benghazi is a conspiracy

    Obumblercare speech yesterday.

    More Obumbler please.

    Jebots, is he the replacement for Stormy, Lanny, and Hogg?

  877. Robbie says:

    lisab says:
    September 7, 2018 at 8:48 pm
    robbie and cg are a few Zimas away from putting on a red handmaid’s outfit

    – You’re a few Zimas away from thinking you really are legal expert who said Trump had a surefire case against the GAO for giving Mueller the Trump transition emails.

  878. Tgca says:

    MD was always unhinged. He could never debate without attacking angrily. His 4 yo girly tantrums of leaving for long periods of time after someone hurt his feelings are classic. He was lacking in honest intellect and to me added no value here other than to start fights. Total POS! Someday I might just tell you how I really feel about him but not today.

  879. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 7, 2018 at 9:28 pm
    SDC
    Vichey-troll says we’re all “scared” here. I think this is what psychiatrists call “projection.” At my age, I’m hardly “scared” of a bad election cycle– I managed to survive 8 years of Zero, for starters. I think HE’s scared that the economy will wipe out his blue wave fantasy.

    – Is “Vichey” really the best you’ve got?

    If so, that’s a great example of deflection on your part.

  880. Tina says:

    Did anyone catch the Papadope interview with Fake Flapper, or whatever leftist?

    Poor Papadope. Next time, stay in your shower and do not open the door for Fib.

    Get a lawyah.

    Fuhrer Mulehead claimed that Papadope was not cooperative as he could be and wanted 6 months sentence.

    14 days (12 days actual) $28 million.p
    More Fuhrer.

  881. mnw says:

    Sheep 903

    RE: Irish RRH poster

    Saw that, & my jaw dropped. Didn’t try to correct it or comment on it, though. I tried to think of the polar opposite of DKE & couldn’t think of a conservative site with a similar format.

  882. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 8, 2018 at 10:49 am
    There’s just one thing, Robbie:
    I’m not chiding you for saying Dems will gain House seats. Indeed I’ve repeatedly said Dems are 100% guaranteed to gain seats with predictions that Republicans can or will gain seats being misguided and unrealistic.
    What I have gone after you for is your cherry picking of data to say 2018 will be a 1930-style disaster when in fact Republicans have made gains on the micro level of the individual House races from their lows over the summer when many seats were in a far more precarious position than now.

    – Why do you keep mentioning 1930? I’ve never mentioned that. Much to NYCmike’s dismay, I’ve talked about a loss on the scale of 2006, but a bit larger.

  883. Tina says:

    Larry Schweikart
    @LarrySchweikart
    2h
    Trump: I could use MILITARY to build my wall if Congress plays tough dailym.ai/2CuRLbV via @MailOnline

  884. mnw says:

    Tg

    Everything going well, I hope? Move & health both good?

    RE: MD

    You may have paid closer attention to him than I did. He had some thoughtful posts here one upon a time. He also gave free health care advice upon request!

  885. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #911
    The polar opposite would be freerepublic.com

  886. mnw says:

    I didn’t think of freerepublic. I haven’t visited that site in so long, I forgot about it.

  887. Wes says:

    1930 was the second worst first-term Republican midterm of the 20th Century after 1910. Republicans lost 48 seats that year and, after a series of special elections in 1931, ceded control of the House in December 1931. It was the result of the unpopularity of a liberal businessman who became President as a Republican and undermined the party’s previous principles in office.

    If you can’t understand the symbolism between 1930 and your vision of the coming 2018 apocalypse you’re predicting I honestly don’t know what to say.

  888. Wes says:

    No one is conservative enough for Free Republic. The Freepers are almost as unhinged as the Kossites and BJG Psychopaths.

  889. Phil says:

    Robbie is from Kentucky I think. I have no doubt if he lived in my state he’s have a Beto sign in his front yard.

  890. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    mnw
    Tekzilla at Red Racing Horses has a verified tweet by Ben Sasse(R-NE) saying that he has considered leaving the Republican Party.
    Will he? Should he?

  891. Phil says:

    920.

    Does he need any help packing?

  892. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #918
    Wes, the Irish lad asked for the polar opposite of The Daily Kos. Then you agree that freerepublic is the site?

  893. Wes says:

    Ben Sasse is going nowhere unless he wants to end his political career ignominiously.

  894. Wes says:

    Does DKE nitpick every electable leftist’s ideology to disqualify him or her from office, Sheep? If so, then Free Republic would be its opposite.

  895. Phil says:

    A Republican senator from Nebraska considering leaving the Republican Party. What an absolute brilliant political move. He should do it.

  896. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 8, 2018 at 11:16 am
    1930 was the second worst first-term Republican midterm of the 20th Century after 1910. Republicans lost 48 seats that year and, after a series of special elections in 1931, ceded control of the House in December 1931. It was the result of the unpopularity of a liberal businessman who became President as a Republican and undermined the party’s previous principles in office.
    If you can’t understand the symbolism between 1930 and your vision of the coming 2018 apocalypse you’re predicting I honestly don’t know what to say.

    – I’m well aware of what happened in 1930, thank you. Right now, I don’t think that comparison is apt for 2018. Maybe we’ll wake up the next day and say it was.

  897. mnw says:

    Sheep

    I read that about Sasse. First I heard of it. I would think in NE, that would be tantamount to announcing he will not seek reelection. If it’s not one thing, it’s another. Counting the days until Flake & Corker are gone.

    Tekzilla belongs in the top 5 worst. I keep trying to decide what the “center of gravity” is at RRH– what the median viewpoint is. I think you might describe it as 50% DEM; 40% NeverTrump; & 10% libertarian, maybe.

  898. Tina says:

    Adios Sassehole.

  899. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 8, 2018 at 11:18 am
    Robbie is from Kentucky I think. I have no doubt if he lived in my state he’s have a Beto sign in his front yard.

    – Oh, so I see you’re going to continue to lie about me. If that’s the way you want to play just because I won’t bow to the greatness of Trump, then ok.

    Have a few bad dreams about Hispanic hoards massing at the Rio Grande? I can lie just as well as you can.

  900. Wes says:

    Of course you still haven’t explained to me why your 2016 NC predictions were a complete 180 from reality, Robbie.

  901. Tina says:

    There are reports that Muh op Ed was written by a stoodent and teacher.

    Too many chain of custody issues .

    In short, slimes peddled fake news.

    Was Maggie hack involved?

  902. Phil says:

    So, dipsh*t, I see you’re doubling down on the “Mexican” thing. What little credibility you every had is long gone.

  903. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    September 8, 2018 at 11:31 am
    Of course you still haven’t explained to me why your 2016 NC predictions were a complete 180 from reality, Robbie.

    – I’ve lost count how many times I’ve written this here, but I got 2016 wrong. Unlike most here, I admit that.

  904. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 8, 2018 at 11:34 am
    So, dipsh*t, I see you’re doubling down on the “Mexican” thing. What little credibility you every had is long gone.

    – So, dipsh*t, I see you’re doubling down on the “I’m not a Republican” thing.

    Like I said. If you’re going to lie about me, then I’m going to lie about you.

    At least, I’m being transparent about what I’m saying. You’re not.

    So me one piece of evidence I’m rooting for Beto. There isn’t any so stop lying.

  905. mnw says:

    Phil

    I missed the time period when Vichey-troll had even a little credibility. I must’ve been out of town that afternoon.

    Sheep

    I took a look at freerepublic just now. Ugh. I can’t deal with their junky, user-hostile format. Looks like something a bunch of second graders put together during recess. They just throw stuff on the page, apparently.

  906. Robbie says:

    so = show

  907. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 8, 2018 at 11:40 am
    Phil
    I missed the time period when Vichey-troll had even a little credibility. I must’ve been out of town that afternoon.

    – Funny, because I don’t think you have any credibility when you say the best way for the Republican Party to be successful is for it to be more like Trump. You know, the guy who has a perpetual 42% approval rating even with a roaring economy.

  908. mnw says:

    At least the format & organization at RRH are excellent. Gotta give them that.

  909. Phil says:

    Really? What am I not being transparent about? Why don’t you spell it out for us.

    And yeah, every Republican I know posts MSM lefty talking points off CNN, MSNBC, Washington Post, NYT etc. You’ve done it for months day in day out. Just like all the REAL Republicans. Right?You know – Ana Navarro, Nicole Wallace, Steve Schmidt – all of who voted for that solid Republican Hillary Clinton in 2016. There’s not an inch of daylight between what they spout 24/7 and what daily comes out of your mouth.

  910. Phil says:

    Trump on

    judges – love it

    Pulling out of the Iran deal – love it

    deregulation – love it

    tax cuts – love it

    Pulling out of the Paris Climate Accords – love it

    Border security – love it (because I hate Mexicans apparently)

    style and tone – hate it

    tariffs – hate it

    I’d say that puts me right smack in the middle of mainstream Republican thought. Way more than your new buddies Nicole Wallace, Steve Schmidt, Ana Navarro, Bill Crystal etc

  911. mnw says:

    939

    Wow! Well said! A Grand Slam, walkoff homer.

  912. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 8, 2018 at 11:48 am
    Really? What am I not being transparent about? Why don’t you spell it out for us.
    And yeah, every Republican I know posts MSM lefty talking points off CNN, MSNBC, Washington Post, NYT etc. You’ve done it for months day in day out. Just like all the REAL Republicans. Right?You know – Ana Navarro, Nicole Wallace, Steve Schmidt – all of who voted for that solid Republican Hillary Clinton in 2016. There’s not an inch of daylight between what they spout 24/7 and what daily comes out of your mouth.

    – You’re not being transparent because you know I am a Republican. You’re lying when you say otherwise and you know it. I never took you to be like Jason fraud.

    And honestly, you’ve got to get some new material. Your continual name dropping of Republicans who don’t meet your purity test sounds like an issue you need to work through. They must really get under your skin. Sorry about that, but that’s not my problem.

    I don’t follow any of those people, I don’t agree with any of those people, and I didn’t agree with their decision to vote for Clinton.

    And oh by the way, Phil. Go back to the 2008 archives and see what I wrote about Steve Schmidt. Tell me if what I wrote about him and the way he ran McCain’s campaign sounds like I approve of him.

  913. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    September 8, 2018 at 11:56 am
    939
    Wow! Well said! A Grand Slam, walkoff homer.

    – But muh MSNBC hosts is about as weak of a deflection as one could imagine, but that works for Trumpism.

  914. Phil says:

    Sorry, pal. You lost me when you fell back on that border security = the inference that I somehow hate Mexicans. That’s Daily Kos BS and you know it and I’m not letting you get away with it.

  915. Phil says:

    I’m thinking there is a really good chance we hold onto the Nevada and Arizona senate seats and at the very least keep at least one of them.

  916. Messy says:

    888. A fellow who’s last name is “Messner.” It’s German. Deal with it.

  917. lisab says:

    I suppose one could analogize the French citizens forced to endure the Vichy regime to the GOPe
    ______________________________________

    actually petain was a very popular leader

    right up to the moment they sentenced him to death

  918. lisab says:

    I have no doubt if he lived in my state he’s have a Beta sign in his mother’s front yard.
    ———————————–

    ftfy

  919. Messy says:

    891. Cohen wants his money back and is now willing to tear up the contract if she’ll do it. I think she should. This was what the whole thing is about in the first place….

    ….and Tina, Someone’s going to jail over the Stormy thing and it’s not Stormy.

  920. lisab says:

    trump should not say anything about the wall until kavanaugh is confirmed

  921. jason says:

    MD was always unhinged. He could never debate without attacking angrily. His 4 yo girly tantrums of leaving for long periods of time after someone hurt his feelings are classic. He was lacking in honest intellect and to me added no value here other than to start fights. Total POS! Someday I might just tell you how I really feel about him but not today.”

    MD was a founding father of the Philly A-holes, nobody can take that away with from him.

    I considered him a friend, and he was right more than he was wrong about PA politics.

    He was also a savvy investor and made some good points on several investments we had in common.

    He was also a staunch conservative.

    As for his personality, he took no prisoners, which is normal for an A-hole.

    He had a lot emotionally invested in Trump losing, and like Author, Amoral Scumbag, and CG, could never get over it. Trump cannot be forgiven for winning even if his Presidency has produced more for conservatives than anyone could have predicted in 2016.

    I am sorry MD went over to the dark side. There is obviously some deep character flaw if you are willing to sacrifice so many stated principles because of hatred for one man.

    While he was here, MD was a friend and a staunch conservative.

    I don’t feel compelled to beat up on his new persona.

  922. jason says:

    Amoral Scumbag is not a Republican and not a conservative.

    That train left the station long ago.

    He is just scum.

  923. lisab says:

    md is now in antifa

    and is transitioning

  924. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    September 8, 2018 at 12:05 pm
    Sorry, pal. You lost me when you fell back on that border security = the inference that I somehow hate Mexicans. That’s Daily Kos BS and you know it and I’m not letting you get away with it.

    – Obviously, you didn’t read my posts because I clearly said I was lying about your view since you had decided to lie about me.

    I don’t think you’re anti-Mexican, but if you’re going to lie and suggest I’m not a Republican then I am going to return fire.

  925. jason says:

    Red Heifer born in Israel.

    ” A Bible prophecy has been realised as the first ‘red heifer in 2,000 years’ was born in Israel.

    The Temple Institute announced the birth on their YouTube channel and said the calf and its mother would undergo “extensive examination” to determine if it’s “blemish free”.

    In the announcement, the Institute said the red female calf “brings the promise of reinstating Biblical purity to the world”.

    In both Christianity and Judaism, red heifers feature in tales about the “end of times”.

  926. jason says:

    ‘suggest I’m not a Republican”

    LOL

    It’s not a suggestion, Amoral Scumbag, it’s a statement of fact.

  927. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    September 8, 2018 at 12:27 pm
    Amoral Scumbag is not a Republican and not a conservative.
    That train left the station long ago.
    He is just scum.

    – Oh, look. The unprincipled hack is here to claim I’m not a conservative or a Republican since I refused to vote for Trump and continue to hold Trump accountable for his awful, boorish behavior that is doing great harm to reputation of the Republican Part even though he hated Trump every day of the campaign, refused to vote for Trump, and left the party over Trump.

  928. Tina says:

    Muh Stormy,

    Muh jail.

    Who cares, messy lad.

    Try verifying the dossier.

  929. Tina says:

    judge in the Papadope matter indicates no collusion,

    Also, the judge did not buy off on .fuhrers concerns that Papadope deleted his FB acct.

  930. lisab says:

    i thought the red heifer was elizabeth warren?

  931. Tina says:

    John Cardillo retweeted
    Gregg Jarrett Gregg Jarrett
    @GreggJarrett
    18h
    Bob Mueller must be proud. A 14 day sentence for a young, junior campaign volunteer. Yet Mueller won’t investigate his longtime friend who defrauded FISC judges in order to spy, stole govt documents & leaked them to trigger the special counsel. The corrupted world of Bob Mueller

  932. lisab says:

    burt reynolds last tweet

    burt reynolds
    @realburtreynolds

    i have solid evidence regarding hillary and russian collusion. i am off to report it to the doj!

  933. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    September 8, 2018 at 12:33 pm
    ‘suggest I’m not a Republican”
    LOL
    It’s not a suggestion, Amoral Scumbag, it’s a statement of fact.

    – A statement of fact would be that you’re a fake, a phony, and a fraud. That’s how you were seamlessly able to hate Trump every day of the campaign, refuse to vote for Trump, and leave the party over Trump only to become one of his most vocal and sycophantic supporter simply because he won.

    As for who is scum, that would be a guy who screwed a dirty porn star four months after his current wife gave birth to their only child. Scum would be a guy who had a ten month affair with a Playboy playmate while his current wife was pregnant with their only son. Scum would be the guy who made those comments on the Access Hollywood tape. Scum would the guy who attacked a gold star family. Scum would be the guy who called a woman a dog on twitter. Scum would be the guy who said there were good people among the neo-Nazi and white supremacist marchers.

    Scum would also be the person who supports all of that. In other words, you.

  934. Tina says:

    1h
    How is it appropriate to staff a special-counsel probe, which is premised on avoiding a conflict of interest, with lawyers who were top officials in the DOJ whose conduct of the same probe is itself under investigation? nationalreview.com/2018/09/trump-…
    View summary ·

  935. Redmen4ever says:

    14 days in jail versus $100,000 in legal fees, you pick

  936. mnw says:

    lisab 948

    I don’t agree at all about Petain’s popularity. He was put in charge of a Nazi puppet regime, just as Quisling was, by the Nazis themselves, not the French voters. Yes, his popularity was probably high– as long as Germany seemed to be winning the war. Do you think Laval was popular too? Whatever residual popularity Petain maintained came from his WW I service. Soon after Petain was put in charge (theoretically anyway), he began to be blamed for the snowballing hardships in the unoccupied zone– famine; fuel shortage; Nazi conscription of slave labor; the Milice, etc.

    And NO, I DON’T believe he was still popular by the time he was sentenced to death! I doubt you really meant that.

    A digression: The worst aspect of Petain’s regime was its enthusiastic participation in the holocaust. Petain himself was described by one historian as “A virulent antisemite. A complete pig.” That’s not why he quickly lost his popularity, though.

  937. lisab says:

    i did not make it up

    i looked up petain a couple of days ago

    Pétain however remained popular and engaged in a series of visits around France as late as 1944, when he arrived in Paris on 28 April in what Nazi propaganda newsreels described as a “historic” moment for the city. Vast crowds cheered him in front of the Hôtel de Ville and in the streets.[53]

  938. lisab says:

    and … he has retained the title

    marshall of france

    because of verdun

  939. mnw says:

    I didn’t say you made it up. I just said it’s wrong.

    Think he & Laval could’ve won an election in 1944?!? Were the “vast crowds” in the “Nazi propaganda newsreel” a representative cross section of France as a whole, do you think?

    RAS wasn’t around back then to measure Petain’s JA every day, but I believe you really got hold of the wrong end of this one.

  940. mnw says:

    You may have the last word on this, if you want it.

  941. Bitterlaw says:

    I still consider MD a friend. At one point he was very sick. He really expected to die. Fortunately, he did not.

  942. Mr.Vito says:

    “I still consider MD a friend.”

    MD said he would never respect another evangelical.

    So I guess he is no longer a friend… a shame really.

  943. mnw says:

    DW

    RRH has their own House dashboard up. Predictably, it’s pretty awful. For example, they have IL-12 (Bost) as a tossup, even though the only published poll has Bost (R-inc.) at +5 (44/39)– and that was a PPP(D) poll.

  944. lisab says:

    if you said petain was not popular today, i would agree

    but from what i have read he was popular in ww2 up until de gaulle threw him under the bus. he was the hero of verdun, and secretly told the french generals in africa to not oppose the landings. he also secretly sent envoys to churchill.

    the fact that he got to keep the title marshall of france, i think shows he had some support even after the war

    now the people from ww1 are dead, but verdun was the equivalent of the alamo, bastogne, pearl harbor and dday all rolled up in one.

    of course the current generation sees him as a symbol of their defeat in ww2

  945. Tina says:

    Dnc claims that Mifsud, a coup plotter, who appears to have set up Papadope, is missing and presumed dead.

    Arkanacide?

  946. mnw says:

    Vito 973

    The only former poster (constantly) I was elated to see leave was Arthur (Author?) Mendoza. What a pr*ck.

  947. Tina says:

    The obumbler is such an optimist:

    Trump cannot get gdp to 3 percent.

    The manufacturing jobs are not coming back (850000 did come back during the first 19 months. Of trumps term)

    Regarding jobs, trump cannot wave a wand wishing the jobs to,come back.

    Disastrous speech yesterday by the Obumbler.

  948. Tina says:

    Arthur was the first fake R here,

    Pretty obvious.

  949. mnw says:

    Tina

    You said it. He announced he’d “changed” to Democrat & left to start his own lefty trollblog, as I recall. He loved him some open borders, that’s for sure, and every post of his was like being banged in the head with a hammer.

  950. Messy says:

    956. There were three or four of those in the last decade or two. They’re very rare, but it’s not the first in 2000 years.

    959. As a Trumpette, you should know that “muh Stormy” ACTUALLY WON, and Cohen is going to surrender. Dastardly Donnie LOST.

    Then there’s the subpoena the DoJ and ICE just issued for EVERY SINGLE voter registration record in North Carolina, which is a REAL witch hunt.

    I just saw a really good documentary called Active Measures. Here’s the review from Variety:https://variety.com/2018/film/news/active-measures-review-donald-trump-vladimir-putin-1202915093/

  951. Mr.Vito says:

    978 That’s how you know he’s full of sh!t.

    If he were responsible for the economy, we would have the growth numbers and job numbers that he said were the new normal.

  952. Mr.Vito says:

    If Alex Jones and Mother Jones could have a love child…

  953. lisab says:

    messy,

    if mueller had anything

    it would have leaked by now

    whoever leaked first gets a multimillion dollar book deal

    but no one has

  954. mnw says:

    Tina 981

    Good catch on the link.

    Btw, RRH just posted KY-06 as a “tossup” also.

  955. Wes says:

    I don’t think Author was a fake Republican. I think Trump made him unhinged.

    Author once posted Harry Reid was the worst Senate Majority Leader in history. This prompted Bitter to reveal his ignorance of US history and declare antebellum Senate leaders worse in the position even though the Senate never had such a position till Henry Cabot Lodge, Sr, became the first in January 1920.

  956. Wes says:

    While McGrath is the strongest candidate Dems have had in that seat since Ben Chandler occupied it from 2004 to 2013, I don’t see how KY-6 is genuinely a tossup since Barr has been polling ahead of McGrath near 50%.

    Lean R Hold is how I would rank it.

  957. Tina says:

    Breaking

    The Obumbker was in Anaheim, ca and only drew a crowd of 750 people.

  958. mnw says:

    NYT is doing a bunch of “live polls” with Siena, which have the DEMs sweeping everything, coast to coast. These new polls have touched the RRH G spot, predictably.

  959. Messy says:

    985. Meuller doesn’t LEAK. Nor do any of his people. It’s the Republicans in Congress and the White House who leak. Boy do THEY leak!!!!!

  960. Tina says:

    Wes, mnw, remember author and the fan in the fl governors race between Cristina and Scott?

    He declared Scott doomed.

    He was always here touting drat bs.

  961. Tina says:

    Yeah, Fuhrer Mulehead does not leak.

    Dossier has been fully verified.

    Comedy never lied to congress.

    McCabe, comedy, Pete the cheat, the mistress, and sjw Yates were not all fired.

  962. mnw says:

    three iiis can’t even spell “Meuller” right, let alone a tough one like “disintegrated.”

    I know… just a typo! typo! typo!

  963. Tina says:

    David French admits he is not a Republican.

    He is a .”Christian Conservative,” who is pissed that Hillary lost.

    https://mobile.twitter.com/DavidAFrench/status/1038518024968519680
    He writes for National Retreat Online.

  964. Tina says:

    Given French and Sassehole, we need the socialist on the Lido Deck to give us an update.

  965. Tina says:

    I feel,a little bad for Papadope.

    Framed by Misfit, who is presumed deceased by the dnc.

    A drat plant.

  966. Tina says:

    Byron York
    @ByronYork
    2m
    NYT does not-terribly-revealing Q&A on author of anonymous op-ed. Re-affirms intermediary (‘whom we know and trust’) role, says intermediary helped verify author’s identity. ow.ly/4Fgd30lJWma pic.twitter.com/1Q0lITf7IP

    This sounds like there is a custody issue and the more intermediaries, the more likely it is fake.

  967. Tina says:

    Breaking

    Reports of shots fired around the Iranian presidential palace.

  968. Wes says:

    Must be fascist Trump supporters in Iran, Tina. ?

  969. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    mnw
    Do you plan to attend the Trump rally in Cape Girardeau, Mo on the 13th of this month?

  970. Tina says:

    In a text message from March 2016 — the month Trump announced Page as one of his foreign policy advisers — Strzok called Trump “an idiot” and said “Hillary should win 100,000,000-0.” On July 26, three weeks after the FBI had cleared Hillary Clinton of charges of mishandling her classified email, Strzok agreed with a fellow investigator that Clinton “just has to win now.” In a Nov. 7 text referencing a pre-Election Day article titled “A victory by Mr. Trump remains possible,” Strzok stated, “OMG THIS IS F*CKING TERRIFYING.”

    “Omg I am so depressed,” Strzok wrote the day after the election.

  971. mnw says:

    Sheep

    No, I’ve got to go to Indianapolis the day before that, & I think that would be too much for me.

    Also, I have terrible knees, & there’s no way I can possibly stand in line for 3-6 hours. And, without boring you with the details too much, from where I’d be coming from, Cape G. is a 4-hour drive one way.

    I wonder if Rush L. or his brother David, will be there to introduce the President? The crowd would go wild if Rush is there too.

    If they let you bring a collapsible lawn chair while you’re waiting in line, I might go to the next one, if it’s closer. If Hawley needs help in October/November, I’ll bet Trump will be in MO more than once.

  972. mnw says:

    Strzok had good reason to be depressed. Too bad he didn’t swallow his gun.

  973. Tgca says:

    972

    At one point MD expected to die? Don’t we all expect to die? But as they say, only the good die young.

  974. Tgca says:

    914 MNW

    I am doing as well as can be expected and getting about with my trusty little cane. It appears I will have some perm nerve damage but nothing I can’t handle…I hope. I just have to adjust my life style a bit. It may have also damaged some of the nerves that control the muscle functions leading to my esophagus since I can’t swallow the way I used to and now I have to take medication to help lubricate and make things go down more easily. I’ll await Bitter’s response to that one.

  975. lisab says:

    Meuller doesn’t LEAK.
    —————————-

    Another day, another potentially illegal leak from special counsel Robert Mueller’s grand jury investigating Russian election meddling.

    NBC News reported Monday that Mueller has “gathered enough evidence” to indict former national security adviser Michael Flynn and his son.

    Mueller has enough evidence to charge Flynn in Russia investigation
    Mueller has enough evidence to charge Flynn in Russia investigation
    This followed the earlier leak to CNN — 72 hours in advance — that the grand jury had voted the first indictments in the investigation, later identified as former campaign chairman Paul Manafort and his business associate Rick Gates.

  976. Tina says:

    The jebots were also depressed, mnw,

  977. mnw says:

    Tina 978

    A message for Zero:

    “Oh you’re so CONDESCENDING,
    Your gall is NEVERENDING!!!
    If that’s your best,
    Your best won’t do.”

    (Dee Snyder gave Trump permission to use that at Trump’s rallies. Apparently the two are old buds.)

  978. mnw says:

    Tg

    Hang in there. I know you will.

  979. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    This is the score card from last week (some of it from Guy Benson).

    1. Eight new federal judges were approved;
    2. Kavanaugh appears on his way to confirmation for the Supreme Court. The Democratic antics probably did more harm than good. So two conservative judges will have been appointed by Trump, who will influence the Court for decades.
    3. 201,000 jobs were created in August.
    4. Last quarter GDP growth was about 4%.
    5. An increase in individual pay for American workers of 10% in August, one of the highest on record.
    6. After two years of blasting Trump’s economic policies, and claiming they will ruin the economy, former President Obama is now claiming he is responsible for the current economic boom — despite opposing all the policies that created it.

  980. mnw says:

    1010 sb:

    “Your gall is NEVERENDING!!!
    We don’t want NOTHIN’, not a thing from YOU!”

    I was going from memory, & I misquoted. The true quote fits even better than what I typed.

    SDC

    Yep!

  981. Messy says:

    1012. former President Obama is now claiming he is responsible for the current economic boom — despite opposing all the policies that created it.

    The Current boom began in 2011. Since Trump took office, unemployment has only fallen less than one percent. That the Republicans, y’know, the ones who have worked hard to block Trump’s policies, have kept the Obama recovery going, is good.

    993. Except for the last one there, You are absolutely right. Those points you sarcasticly are true.

  982. mnw says:

    “sarcasticly” (sic)? REALLY? Another typo, huh?

    three iii’s? You’re a joke, sweetie.

  983. Messy says:

    1015. Yup. I do that. That doesn’t mean I’m wrong about the unemployment figures.

    Meanwhile, Rasmussen, the only poll Tina and company seem to believe, has The democrats ten points ahead on the generic and Trump is down to 46% again https://scottrasmussen.com/full-week-generic-ballot/

  984. Mr.Vito says:

    The labor participation rate decreased steadily until Republicans took both houses in 2014. It has finally leveled off now that Obama is gone, and the economy has been unshackled… people have finally found decent jobs and stopped leaving the workforce.

    https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS11300000

  985. mnw says:

    No… it just means you’re an illiterate troll.

  986. Bitterlaw says:

    987. Zzzzzzzzz. Wes knew what I meant when I posted it. He shows his ignorance by pretending that all Senators were equal in influence, prominence, and status. This would have been a surprise to Senators like Stephen Douglass and Jefferson Davis.

    Wes’ odd need to try to diminish me says a lot about him. Whatever.

  987. Bitterlaw says:

    1006. MD was so ill he was told to get his affairs in order and was given months to live. Thacker did not know this so I will not call him a douche.

  988. Bitterlaw says:

    Thacker should be Tgca. Damn autocorrect.

  989. Gpo says:

    How old a guy is MD

  990. Wes says:

    I also know what terminology Author used, Bitter. He specifically cited a certain position. He didn’t use a generic term. You just can’t admit you didn’t know what you were talking about. You’re just a lying, ignorant bigot.

  991. Bitterlaw says:

    I was talking about leaders in the Senate and not Senate Majority Leader. Nice try, Wes. Are you really going to claim their no prominent and influential Senators before 1920?

  992. Bitterlaw says:

    Why so angry, Wes? Tink grinds on guys every Saturday night. What is so agitating this week?

  993. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    1014. “That the Republicans, y’know, the ones who have worked hard to block Trump’s policies, have kept the Obama recovery going, is good.”

    Messy, are Dorothy and Toto in your fantasy? The Republicans passed the Trump tax cut and other Trump stimulus measures. They supported Trump deregulation. The Democrats have squealed like fat pigs against all of Trump’s successful policies.

    Obama economic policies were seen as failures in the latter part of his presidency by leaders of both parties. Keep in mind Bernie almost got the Democratic nomination opposing Obama’s globalism, and Obama’s support of “progressive” tech oligarchs who profited using sweat shops in Asia. Obama was a tool of the very wealthy, such as Google and Bezos. He is gone, and good riddance.

  994. lisab says:

    ” Senate never had such a position till Henry Cabot Lodge, Sr, became the first in January 1920.”

    would not that be kern?

  995. Tgca says:

    1020.

    I’ve been called worse. So besides being scum MD was having affairs? Hope his wife finds out.

  996. Messy says:

    1026. No. Bernie was against Obama’s successful policies because he wanted Marxist planned economy, and the Republicans were against them because Obama was Black.

    It’s really that simple. Republican policies were the ones that crashed the world economy in 2008, remember. Some Republican commercials I’ve seen blame the ’08 meltdown on Obama and the Democrats, which is patently ridiculous.

  997. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    In #1030, Messy finally pulls the Race Card. For that, she should be banned from this site, but her daily idiocy makes for moments of amusement.
    She is a disgusting creature though!

  998. Bitterlaw says:

    In my lifetime, I did not agree with the policies/proposals of Carter, Mondale, Dukakis, Bill and Hillary Clinton, Gore or Obama. I did not agree or vote for any Democrat. It must be because they are black. Right, Messy?

  999. SoHope says:

    Bill Clinton was the first black president

  1000. Phil says:

    For the record, I don’t exactly hate blacks, just Mexicans.

  1001. Tina says:

    New threats, gang

  1002. Tina says:

    Thread*

  1003. Redmen4ever says:

    Not only are people favoring limited government, the rule of law, the protection of property, and the role of social institutions such as family and church in the U.S. being described as racists, we’re starting to see this in Europe. Eventually, all thinkers of the right going back to Aristotle and Confucius will be described as such.

    Actually, calling people “racist” is just name-calling, like calling people “sh*thead” or “f*cked up.” It confuses self-righteousness with a lack of vocabulary.

  1004. DW says:

    Paladin Dashboard Sorted by Polls
    C Dist | R/D | Recent Polling | Gap
    IA_03 – R – 47/31 (Emerson) | 16
    NY_24 – R – 54/39 (Siena) | 14
    NM_02* – R – 49/35 (Carroll) | 14
    MN_01* – D – 47/33 (Harper) | 11
    IA_04 – – 41/31 (Emerson) | 10
    UT_04 – R – 48/38 (Lighthouse) | 49/46 (Dan Jones) | 51/42 (Y2) | 10
    MO_02 – R – 51/40 (Rem.) | 9
    PA_16 – R – 50/44 (D-Int) | 9
    AR_02 – R – 47/42 (PPP-D) | 50/41 (Hendrix) | 9
    WV_03* – R – 41/43 (Monm.) |48/37 (Siena) | 9
    TX_23 – R – 44/43 (PPP-D) | (49/40 (Siena) | 9
    VA_07 – R – 48/39 (Siena) | 8
    SC_01 – R – 49/42 (PPP-D) | 7
    FL_25 – R – 46/39 (St. Pete) | 7
    MI_07 – R – 41/37 (DCCC-D) | 7
    FL_16 – R – 49/37 (PPP-D) | 48/44 (D-Int) | 7
    PA_01 – R – 49/42 | 7
    FL_26 – R – 48/41 (DCCC-D) | 7
    IL_12 – R – 44/39 (PPP-D) |44/37 (Siena) | 7
    TX_31 – R – 46/40 (PPP-D) | 6
    TX_21* – R – 33/27 (Chg Res.) | 6
    WA_05 – R – 44/38 (elway) | 6
    VA_02 – R – 48/42 (PPP-D) | 6
    MI_08 – R – 45/39 (Target Ins) | 6
    WA_08* – R – 51/45 (GBA) | 6
    CA_22 – R – 48/43 (Tulchin-D) | 5
    WA_03 – R – 42/37 (Lake R.) | 5
    NC_13 – R – 40/35 (Civitas) | 5
    TX_07 – R – 47/45 (D-Int.) | 5
    NY_19 – R – 49/44 (IMGE) |45/40 (Siena) | 5
    KY_06 – R – 49/45 (FLA-R) |48/43 Siena | 5
    CA_39* – R – 45/43 (DCCC-D) | 5
    AK_01 – – 40/36 (Lake Res.) | 4
    MI_06 – R – 49/44 (GSG-D) |45/41 (PPP-D) | 4
    IL_14 – R – 45/41 (PPP-D) | 4
    OH_12 – R – 48/44 (PPP-D) | 4
    ME_02 – R – 40/39 (D-Int) | 4
    FL_06* – R – 47/46 (D-Int) | 3
    CA_50 – R – 47/39 (SUSA) | 46/46 (Tulchin-D) | 3
    IL_13 – R – 45/42 (PPP-D) | 3
    CA_10 – R – 48/48 (GHY-D) | 3
    NC_02 – R – 44/45 (GQR-D) | 2
    GA_06* – R – 49/47 (39th Street) | 2
    WI_01* – R – 40/41 (GSG-D) | 2
    TX_32 – R – 47/45 (GBA) | 2
    NC_09* – R – 43/44 (D-Int) | 2
    GA_07 – R – 44/46 (Tulchin-D) | 1
    OH_01 – R – 43/42 (PPP-D) | 1
    NJ_03 – R – 41/40 (Monm.) | 1
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    NJ_07 – R – 45/47 (GQR-D) | 1
    MN_08* – D – 43/42 (Siena) | 1
    KS_03 – R – 43/46 (GSG-D) | 0
    CA_45 – R – 45/44 (D-Int) | 46/49 (D-Int) | 0
    CO_06 – R – (45/45 IMGE) | 0
    CA_25 – R – 47/47 (IMGE) | 0
    CA_49* – R – 46/43 (R-Int) | 0
    NJ_05 – D – 39/36 (R-Int) | 0
    IL_06 – R – 44/37 (Victory Res.) | 39/40 (Siena) | -1
    FL_07 – D – 46/47 (St. Pete) | -1
    KS_02* – R – 34/39 (Mellman-D) | -2
    NY_22 – R – 44/46 (Siena) | -2
    MN_02 – R – 43/42 (PPP-D) |46/45 (R-Int) | -2
    NJ_11* – R – 38/40 (Monmouth) | -2
    MI_11* – R – 42/45 (PPP-D) | -3
    NV_04* – D – 41/41 (R-Int) | -3
    CA_24 – D – 46/47 (Olive Tree St.) | -4
    IA_01 – R – 41/43 (D Int.) | 38/43 (Emerson) | -5
    NJ_02* – R – 39/44 (PPP-D) | -5
    MT_01 – R – 43/49 (Gravis) | -6
    CA_48 – R – 45/47 (Monm.) |39/46 (Siena) | -7
    CA_07 – D – 41/50 (POS) | -9
    MN_03 – R – 43/46 (PPP-D) | 40/50 (Siena) | -10
    VA_10 – R – 39/49 (Monm.) | -10
    PA_17 – R – 39/51 (Monm.) | -12
    NY_25 – D – 31/55 (Siena) | -24