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Hawley leads McCaskill by 2% in MO

Considering we only have six weekends, including this one, until Election Day, I am surprised at the lack of polling releases this weekend. We did get a new poll from a group called Missouri Scout that claims Republican Josh Hawley is ahead by 2% over Claire McCaskill.

US SENATE – MISSOURI (MO Scout)
Josh Hawley (R) 48%
Claire McCaskill (D-inc) 46%

This poll was done September 26-27 among likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:16 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (291)

291 Responses to “Hawley leads McCaskill by 2% in MO”

  1. MichiganGuy says:

    First again!

  2. MichiganGuy says:

    Has anybody else notice that when a poll has the democrat challenger in the lead Dave takes it as a fact but, when a Republican challenger is in the lead he says the poll “claims” the Republican is in the lead. Dave still has TDS.

  3. mnw says:

    Dave W.

    The MO poll is an Emerson poll FOR the Missouri Scout political intelligence newsletter. This is an EMERSON poll, not a “Missouri Scout” poll.

    Calling it a poll by “a group called Missouri Scout” makes it sound like it’s from somebody that nobody ever heard of.

    Anybody never heard of Emerson, though? Quite a difference. Plus, Emerson showed it’d internals in great detail.

  4. mnw says:

    3 sb “its internals”

  5. Tina says:

    The leaks to Fusionn ken (nbc) are done by fib.

    Leaks to the compost = Cia.

    This is a repeat of dossier 2.0.

  6. MichiganGuy says:

    #3 mnw, actually it says that Remington Research Group conducted the poll.

  7. Mr.Vito says:

    http://www.foxnews.com/world/2018/09/30/trumps-new-strategy-is-working-afghan-leader-says.html

    ““They announced a strategy and mobilized other countries and partners in NATO. They doubled the size of our Afghan Commandos, they’ve supported our Air Force — which is important in the way of Medevacs transporting the injured. These things are going to take time, but it is working.”

    Most significantly, Abdullah said, is the Trump team’s “conditions-based” procedure rather than the Obama administration’s “time-based” plan, which entailed a 2014 drawdown and has been widely condemned to have enabled the Taliban to simply regroup and wait.

    “These sorts of policies will yield results; you will see fruition. It won’t be in a matter of days or months, but as long as it’s the right track it will bring results,” he continued, noting that while it is too hard to give an estimated time frame of how long U.S. troops will be needed on the ground, it “won’t be a 50-year engagement.”

    Army. Gen. John Nicholson, the former commander of NATO’s Resolute Support – the name given to the Afghan mission after 2014 – echoed such a sentiment of slow success in his final press conference on the state of affairs in Afghanistan in late August, indicating that they were “on a glide path to reduce our forces and eventually close down the mission” and that the “enemy believed we had lost our will to win” prior to President Trump’s welcomed new South Asia effort in August 2017.”

  8. Hugh says:

    So what?? 30 years ago I throw a beer in some jerks face. Which is what? So what if a women threw a beer in my face? Whose the victim??

  9. Tina says:

    The Drats are now focusing on Kavanaugh drinking too much..

    Evidently, the sex allegations are not panning out.

    Notice the Yale professors claims: he gave false testimony about drinking. This is not the case, however. He admitted that on occasion he drank too much, but never blacked out,

  10. Tina says:

    Breaking

    New nafta agreement forthcoming.

  11. janz says:

    I was just going to post the same thing, Tina —> Here is the Drudge link. Stock market up in the 3-digit range.

  12. janz says:

    However, the dems will continue to scour a high school year book to dig up dirt on an adversary. All these other highlights are either non-reported or under reported.

    Apparently, Jared Kushner, like he was in the Mexico trade deal, was instrumental in keeping the dialogue with Canada open and ongoing.

  13. CG says:

    Perhaps in this new era for the Chicago Bears, the HHR haters will give Mitch Trubisky the respect that your fellow Trump supporter Jay Cutler was never given…

    Based on today, Trubisky is the greatest Bears QB of all time.. exciting times!

  14. CG says:

    Oh, I keep forgetting about the NFL boycott on here. It seems to maybe even extend to Mr. Wissing, with no more picks being given..

  15. sandiegocitizen says:

    13. Janz don’t praise Jared Kushner. It will offend Robbie, who attacks him for being a Democrat. Robbie looks at himself as the one Republican purist on the board, unlike political mongrols like me.

    Actually Kushner has a string of diplomatic successes. Its sort of a “good cop” “bad cop” relationship. Kushner is the good one who works things out while Trump bellows in the background.

  16. Tina says:

    http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/documents/politics/rachel-mitchells-analysis/3221/

    Mitchell’s memo on the Ford case is here.

    She has her conclusions and says Fords case is weak.

  17. Tina says:

    Her memo is quite detailed.

    She got Ford to ramble.

    Notice the dates of the incident. Early 1980s to mid 1980s.

    This report will trigger the loons.

  18. Tina says:

    Mitchell blames congressional Ds aka Frankenstein.

    See the last several pages of the document.

  19. janz says:

    SanDiego,

    Jared has been instrumental in quite a few WH events. This one with Canada appears to have been facilitated by some commonality he has with the younger Tradeau. Ivanka also has gotten along well our Canadian neighbors.

    It will be interesting, though, to see what kind of deal was struck with Canada, especially dealing with the infamous milk tariffs.

  20. sandiegocitizen says:

    22. He hit it off with the young leader of Saudi Arabia as well. Apparently they spent hours talking into the night.

  21. sandiegocitizen says:

    22. Jared organized Trump’s social media/internet campaign in 2016. He is given major credit for getting Trump elected.

  22. Tina says:

    STEALTH JEFF STEALTH JEFF
    @drawandstrike
    6h
    Dear @JeffFlake & others wavering on Kavanaugh: Stop trying to ‘reach across the aisle’ to people who have consistently demonstrated they are acting in BAD FAITH. It makes you looke weak as well as stupid. theepochtimes.com/democrats-bad-…

  23. mnw says:

    NAFTA trade deal. All avgs set new highs on futures mkt.

    Good news for COW. Sell your milk in the Great White North now.

    Remember, trade disputes can never be settled because of tariffs! “Free trade” (300% tariff on U.S. dairy products) is always best.

  24. Messy says:

    In Canada, there are interPROVINCIAL trade barriers that are tariffs in all but name. Sort of like having them between Iowa and Illinois.
    https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/interprovincial-trade-barriers-the-same-thing-as-customs-tariffs-644659893.html

  25. DW says:

    Its Monday Morning. Democrats are still evil.

  26. Phil says:

    ….ad if you doubt it just hide and watch this week.

  27. mnw says:

    DW

    Been dropping bread crumbs for you last weekend. Lotsa House staff going on.

    Among other things, good polls in VA-03 & OH-01, from Siena (almost done).

    Reports everywhere the GOP is triaging Yoder in KS, & another couple in IA & MN.

  28. Phil says:

    I think the last few weeks have just been a small sample of what the next two years would be like if the Democrats got their hands on the Senate for the next two years.

    It would be an absolute nightmare for the country.

  29. DW says:

    Baltimore Orioles managed to break one of Baseball’s theorems.

    1. You will lose 50 games no matter what you do.
    2. You will win 50 games no matter what you do.
    3. What you do with the other 62 is what determines the season.

    This year Baltimore won only 47 games.

  30. Tina says:

    Bill Mitchell
    @mitchellvii
    41m
    Democrat and former Yale classmate of Kavanaugh claims Brett “started a fight that ended up with a friend of theirs in jail.” So not Kavanaugh in jail? Someone else? But Kavanaugh was the bad guy even though someone else went to jail? The left gets more ridiculous by the day.
    View details ·

    ***not sure how Kavanaugh lied since he testified to drinking.

    Also, in this “claim”. If Kavanaugh started a fight, why was he not thrown in jail too?

    Seems like the Drats are extending the goal posts again due to Flakey.

  31. Chicon says:

    Good morning, all. How many countries that Trump imposed higher tariffs on remain without a new trade deal? China is one. Just the EU?

    I read here that raising tariffs is the opposite of free trade, so how are we getting these (at least, slightly) better deals after imposing tariffs?

  32. DW says:

    I am sure undecided independent/libertarian type voters are going to be thrilled that the democrats are persecuting someone over whether or not he threw a beer at someone 35 years ago.

  33. DW says:

    Will have updated dashboards shortly.

  34. Phil says:

    Democrats now focusing on two new talking points.

    Kavanaugh is a drunk.
    Kavanaugh lacks judicial temperament.

    So transparent what this is.

  35. Bitterlaw says:

    I am not boycotting the NFL. I never hated. Ulterior. I just thought he was a p*ssy who took himself out of a playoff game and did not back his teammates. The idea that I was supposed to be a fan because Cutler is diabetic is absurd. Good for the Bears. I think Khalil Mack is an incredible talent and fun to watch.

  36. DW says:

    Bottom line is Kavanaugh isn’t Hillary’s pick, and is further to the right than the judge he is replacing, so he must be stopped at any cost.

  37. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #35- mnw
    Rassmussen(less) has today’s approval/ disapproval at 48/50

    #38- Phil
    Add: (3)- lied under oath is another talking point and (4) the FBI investigation is a limited farce(Sen. Hirono, Comey and Brenner)

  38. jason says:

    What is the NFL?

    What is a Trubisky?

  39. Wobbles says:

    I wish Mr. Vito would stop talking about irrelevant trivia like Afghanistan and concentrate on important matters like Stormy.

    Focus man, focus.

  40. dblaikie says:

    If there is anyone who can stir up rage and conservative voter intensity it is James Comey. Oh how I hope he keeps talking.

  41. jason says:

    We are down to “starting a fight” in college as reason to disqualify someone to SCOTUS?

    Geezus?

  42. mnw says:

    I must’ve accidentally re-posted Friday’s RAS.

  43. dblaikie says:

    I am sure some polling unit like NBC or Marist or CNN will come out with a extremely negative poll on Trump or Congress. It will be either adults or registered voters and it totally contradict the likely voter Rasmussen Poll. I suspect -13 generic and -20 Trump approval.

    And you know what the media will go with it 100%. We expect that. I hope my fellow posters won’t swallow the polling garbage that I believe is about to come out.

  44. Phil says:

    I’m not swallowing any of it.

  45. dblaikie says:

    Well now we know the Dems playbook. So many thought that a bunch of new allegations were going to come. Well except that the Judge knows how to throw beer nothing else has emerged (by way if he is able to throw a beer, he has not blacked out). But instead the plan is to attack the one agency who they claimed could mount a real investigation — the FBI.
    Or I should say the Trump FBI.

    I hope McConnell will have none of it. They better vote on Friday or before! It is time to let the folks back home see how their Representatives are going to stand. BRING ON THE VOTE!

  46. DW says:

    Paladin Dashboard Sorted by Polls
    ——————————————————-
    C Dist | R/D | Recent Polling | Gap
    ——————————————————-
    OK_05 – R – 50/37 (Vcreek) | 14
    NY_24 – R – 54/39 (Siena) | 14
    CA_22 – R – 48/43 (Tulchin-D) | 50/44 (D-Int) | 55/41 (SUSA) | 12
    CA_21 – R – 50/31 (SUSA) | 11
    MN_01* – D – 47/33 (Harper) | 11
    UT_04 – R – 48/38 (Lighthouse) | 49/46 (Dan Jones) | 51/42 (Y2) | 10
    MO_02 – R – 51/40 (Rem.) | 9
    PA_16 – R – 50/44 (D-Int) | 9
    MT_01 – R – 51/42 (Gravis) | 9
    AR_02 – R – 47/42 (PPP-D) | 50/41 (Hendrix) | 9
    NE_02 – R – 51/42 (Siena) | 9
    TX_23 – R – 44/43 (PPP-D) | (49/40 (Siena) | 9
    IA_04 – R – 41/31 (Emerson) |43/37 (D-Int) | 8
    VA_02 – R – 48/42 (PPP-D) | 43/51 (D-Int) | 49/40 Siena | 8
    CA_39* – R – 45/43 (DCCC-D) | 51/41 (Monmouth) | 8
    AZ_08 – R – 48/44 (D-int) | 7
    FL_25 – R – 46/39 (St. Pete) | 41/36 (PPP-D-Int) | 7
    SC_01 – R – 49/42 (PPP-D) | 7
    TX_31 – R – 46/40 (PPP-D) | 46/42 (D-Int) | 7
    MI_07 – R – 41/37 (DCCC-D) | 7
    FL_16 – R – 49/37 (PPP-D) | 48/44 (D-Int) | 7
    PA_01 – R – 49/42 | 7
    IL_12 – R – 44/39 (PPP-D) |44/37 (Siena) | 7
    TX_21* – R – 33/27 (Chg Res.) | 6
    NY_01 – R – 47/44 (D-Int) | 6
    FL_18 – R – 46/43 (PPP-D-Int) | 6
    WI_01* – R – 50/44 (Siena) | 6
    WA_05 – R – 44/38 (elway) | 49/46 (D-Int) | 6
    FL_15* – R – 47/48 (Dem. Corp-D) | 49/46 (D-Int) | 6
    WA_03 – R – 42/37 (Lake R.) | 5
    GA_06* – R – 49/47 (D-Inc) | 5
    NM_02* – R – 49/35 (Carroll) | 48/41 (Res.&Poll.) |45/46 (Siena) | 5
    ME_02 – R – 40/39 (D-Int) | 46/40 (Siena) | 5
    AK_01 – R – 40/36 (Lake Res.) | 4
    FL_06* – R – 47/46 (D-Int) | 48/43 (St. Pete) | 4
    MI_06 – R – 49/44 (GSG-D) |45/41 (PPP-D) | 4
    IL_14 – R – 45/41 (PPP-D) | 4
    OH_12 – R – 48/44 (PPP-D) | 47/46 (D-Int) | 4
    VA_07 – R – 48/39 (Siena) | 47/47 (Monmouth) | 47/47 (D-Int) | 4
    IA_03 – R – 47/31 (Emerson) | 43/46 (D-Int) |43/44 (Siena) | 4
    FL_27* – R – 51/42 (R-Int) | 42/46 (D-Int) | 4
    CA_50 – R – 47/39 (SUSA) | 46/46 (Tulchin-D) | 53/38 (Monmouth) | 3
    IL_13 – R – 45/42 (PPP-D) | 3
    NC_13 – R – 40/35 (Civitas) | 42/46 (D-Int) | 3
    FL_26 – R – 48/41 (DCCC-D) | 47/44 (Siena) | 45/46 (PPP-D-Int) | 3
    TX_07 – R – 47/45 (D-Int.) | 48/45 (Siena) | 45/47 (PPP-D-Int) | 3
    MI_08 – R – 45/39 (Target Ins) | 49/44 (D-Int) | 45/43 (POS) | 3
    CA_10 – R – 48/37 (D-Int) | 48/48 (GHY-D) | 3
    OH_01 – R – 43/42 (PPP-D) | 44/46 (D-Int) | 46/39 (R-Int) | 2
    IL_06 – R – 44/37 (Victory Res.) | 39/40 (Siena) | 44/47 (D-Int) | 2
    CA_25 – R – 47/47 (IMGE) | 47/45 (Siena) | 2
    NC_09* – R – 43/44 (D-Int) | 2
    GA_07 – R – 44/46 (Tulchin-D) | 1
    NC_02 – R – 44/45 (GQR-D) | 43/44 (SUSA) | 1
    WV_03* – R – 41/43 (Monm.) |48/37 (Siena) | 31/36 (Emerson) |44/48 (D-Int) | 1
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    TX_32 – R – 47/45 (GBA) | 42/47 (PPP-D-Int) |48/47 (Siena) | 1
    MN_08* – D – 43/42 (Siena) | 1
    KY_06 – R – 49/45 (FLA-R) |48/43 Siena |43/50 (D-Int) | 47/47 (POR) | 1
    NY_19 – R – 49/44 (IMGE) |45/40 (Siena) | 43/45 (Monmouth) | 1
    WA_08* – R – 51/45 (GBA) | 45/46 (Siena) | 1
    CA_45 – R – 45/44 (D-Int) | 46/49 (D-Int) | 43/48 (Siena) | 47/48 (D-Int) | 0
    NJ_05 – D – 39/36 (R-Int) | 0
    NJ_07 – R – 45/47 (GQR-D) | 43/46 (Monmouth) |45/44 (Siena) | -1
    KS_02* – R – 34/39 (Mellman-D) | 44/45 (Siena) | -1
    FL_07 – D – 46/47 (St. Pete) | -1
    NY_22 – R – 44/46 (Siena) | -2
    MN_02 – R – 46/45 (R-Int) |45/48 (PPP-D-Int) | 45/48 (SUSA) | -2
    NJ_11* – R – 38/40 (Monmouth) | -2
    MI_11* – R – 42/45 (PPP-D) | -3
    NV_04* – D – 41/41 (R-Int) | -3
    KS_03 – R – 43/46 (GSG-D) | 43/51 (Siena) | -4
    CA_49* – R – 46/43 (R-Int) | 41/51 (Siena) | 43/45 (R-Int) | -4
    CA_24 – D – 46/47 (Olive Tree St.) | -4
    PA_07* – R – 45/47 (Monmouth) | 42/50 (Siena) | -5
    CA_48 – R – 45/47 (Monm.) |39/46 (Siena) | -7
    NJ_03 – R – 41/40 (Monm.) | 45/47 (D-Int) | 39/49 (Siena) | -8
    CA_07 – D – 41/50 (POS) | -9
    VA_10 – R – 39/49 (Monmouth) | -10
    MN_03 – R – 40/50 (Siena) | 39/52 (PPP-D) | -11
    IA_01 – R – 38/43 (Emerson) | 37/52 (Siena) | -11
    AZ_02* – R – 38/50 (Siena) | -12
    PA_17 – R – 39/51 (Monmouth) | -12
    CO_06 – R – (45/45 IMGE) | 38/52 (Siena) | 38/49 (D-Int) | -14
    NJ_02* – R – 39/44 (PPP-D) | 32/55 (Stockton U) | -14

  47. DW says:

    Dashboard based on seat rankings, as forecasted by Dem cheerleaders:

    Paladin – 2018 House Dashboard
    ————————————————————————————————-
    C Dist | Cnt | Cook | Gonz. | Saba.| CNN | RCP | RRH | Kos | 538 | Poli. | Avg Scr. — Latest Poll R/D
    ————————————————————————————————-
    NY_23 R | 144 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.3
    OH_15 R | 145 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | 5.3
    PA_14* D | 146 | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Sf R | 5.3
    CA_22 R | 147 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 4.8
    NC_08 R | 148 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | 4.8
    OK_05 R | 149 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.8
    AK_01 R | 150 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6
    AZ_06 R | 151 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6
    AZ_08 R | 152 | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6
    IN_09 R | 153 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6
    OH_07 R | 154 | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6
    OH_10 R | 155 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.6
    IA_04 R | 156 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4
    MI_01 R | 157 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.4
    MO_02 R | 158 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2
    CO_03 R | 159 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Sf R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 4.2
    FL_06* R | 160 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2
    FL_25 R | 161 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2
    IN_02 R | 162 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4.2
    CA_04 R | 163 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4
    SC_01 R | 164 | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4
    TX_21* R | 165 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4
    WI_06 R | 166 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Ln R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 4
    NY_01 R | 167 | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 4
    TX_31 R | 168 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7
    FL_18 R | 169 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7
    MI_06 R | 170 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.7
    MI_07 R | 171 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.7
    PA_16 R | 172 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | Lk R | 3.7
    NY_24 R | 173 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.5
    OH_14 R | 174 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 3.5
    FL_15* R | 175 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | 3.3
    GA_07 R | 176 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.3
    CA_21 R | 177 | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | 3.1
    WA_03 R | 178 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.1
    IL_14 R | 179 | Lk R | Sf R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 3.1
    GA_06* R | 180 | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8
    FL_16 R | 181 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.8
    MT_01 R | 182 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Lk R | 2.8
    NY_11 R | 183 | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | 2.8
    PA_10 R | 184 | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.6
    CA_50 R | 185 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.6
    NY_27 R | 186 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.4
    AR_02 R | 187 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2.4
    VA_05 R | 188 | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | Lk R | 2.4
    IL_13 R | 189 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 2.2
    UT_04 R | 190 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2
    WI_01* R | 191 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Ln R | 2
    WA_05 R | 192 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7
    NE_02 R | 193 | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.7
    NC_13 R | 194 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6
    OH_12 R | 195 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.6
    NC_02 R | 196 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | 1.4
    WV_03* R | 197 | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Lk R | Toss | 1.3
    NM_02* R | 198 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.2
    PA_01 R | 199 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | Ln R | 1.1
    FL_26 R | 200 | Ln R | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 1
    TX_23 R | 201 | Ln R | Tlt R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 1
    TX_32 R | 202 | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.8
    VA_02 R | 203 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | Toss | 0.5
    IL_12 R | 204 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Ln R | 0.5
    NJ_07 R | 205 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.3
    VA_07 R | 206 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | 0.2
    CA_39* R | 207 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2
    MN_08* D | 208 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln R | 0.2
    OH_01 R | 209 | Toss | Ln R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.2
    TX_07 R | 210 | Toss | Tlt R | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0.1
    KS_02* R | 211 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0
    ME_02 R | 212 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0
    MI_08 R | 213 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0
    KY_06 R | 214 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0
    IA_03 R | 215 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0
    MN_01* D | 216 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | 0
    IL_06 R | 217 | Toss | Tlt D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.1
    ——–Democrats need ALL the below for control——-
    KS_03 R | 218 | Toss | Tlt D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.1
    NY_19 R | 217 | Toss | Tlt D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | -0.1
    CA_45 R | 216 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2
    CA_10 R | 215 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.2
    CA_48 R | 214 | Toss | Tlt D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.3
    NJ_03 R | 213 | Toss | Tlt D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.3
    NY_22 R | 212 | Toss | Tlt D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.3
    CA_25 R | 211 | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -0.4
    WA_08* R | 210 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -0.6
    MI_11* R | 209 | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Toss | -0.6
    NC_09* R | 208 | Toss | Tlt R | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | -0.7
    MN_02 R | 207 | Ln D | Tlt D | Toss | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Toss | Lk D | Toss | -1
    CO_06 R | 206 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Lk D | Toss | -1.4
    FL_27* R | 205 | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Toss | -1.5
    MN_03 R | 204 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Toss | Lk D | Ln D | -1.6
    AZ_02* R | 203 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Toss | -1.8
    VA_10 R | 202 | Toss | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -1.8
    CA_49* R | 201 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Lk D | Ln D | -2
    PA_07* R | 200 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Lk D | Ln D | -2
    NJ_11* R | 199 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -2.1
    IA_01 R | 198 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Toss | Ln D | Sf D | Ln D | -2.2
    NH_01* D | 197 | Lk D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -2.3
    NV_03* D | 196 | Ln D | Tlt D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | -2.3
    NV_04* D | 195 | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | -2.6
    PA_17 R | 194 | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Sf D | Lk D | -2.6
    AZ_01 D | 193 | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Ln D | -3.1
    PA_08 D | 192 | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.3
    FL_07 D | 191 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -3.7
    MN_07 D | 190 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | -3.7
    NJ_02* R | 189 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.2
    CA_07 D | 188 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Ln D | -4.2
    NJ_05 D | 187 | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Ln D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.2
    PA_06* R | 186 | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -4.2
    PA_05* R | 185 | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -4.8
    AZ_09* D | 184 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.1
    CA_24 D | 183 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.1
    CT_05* D | 182 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.1
    NH_02 D | 181 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.1
    NY_18 D | 180 | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.1
    FL_13 D | 179 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.3
    IA_02 D | 178 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.3
    MD_06 D | 177 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | -5.5
    NY_03 D | 176 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.5
    OR_05 D | 175 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.5
    WI_03 D | 174 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.5
    KY_03 D | 173 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7
    NY_25 D | 172 | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | Lk D | Sf D | Sf D | Sf D | -5.7

    *indicates open seat

  48. mnw says:

    Thx, DW.

    Can u summarize how the 2 dashboards compare?

  49. Cash Cow TM says:

    “Phil says:
    October 1, 2018 at 10:02 am
    I’m not swallowing any of it.”
    ***************************************
    Phil is plagiarizing.
    That is what Monica Lewinsky said.

  50. DW says:

    mnw, sure, the forecasters are much more strongly Dem leaning than the actual polling. And some of this polling is suspect. Look at Siena. How quickly we forget how horribly off they were in two of the NY state primary races. And NY is their ‘home’ state. Some of the Seina polls are further to the right than D internals, some are favorable to the GOP candidate, and others are like the stopped clock–probably right just by chance.

    But for the first congressional race in recent memory there are enough polls of the competitive races to get some sort of average. But the vast majority of these polls are Democrat internals, PPP-D (done for a leftist org), Monmouth, and Siena.

    And speaking of Siena, they are trying right now to poll MI_08, having called 24,523 homes, but only have had 186 pick up the phone and respond to the survey.

    Lets not forget that for the most part, polling is broken. And the forecasters are even more broken.

    I still expect to see the greatest Dem intensity in turnout in the deepest blue seats that go blue +50 point gap or greater anyway. This is somewhat analogous to Hillary winning the Popular Vote while Trump won the Electoral Vote.

    So the GOP might hold on to control even if the national Gap is D+7. That would require several key races to tilt their way. I don’t see how the Dems don’t get control with D+8 or greater nationally. D+6 or less, I see the GOP holding on.

  51. mnw says:

    DW

    Thanks very much.

    The blue wave has turned into a religion at RRH.

    If the Freakiest is going to move the needle, we should see some indication of that soon.

  52. Redmen4ever says:

    Boom!

    Stockton: Hugin within margin of error

    >Menendez: better the jury is hung than me.

  53. Wes says:

    Stockton: Hugin within margin of error

    Where is Munin?

  54. NYCmike says:

    “I’m not swallowing any of it.”

    -Don’t ruin your dress Phil!

  55. Robbie says:

    Collins may ultimately vote for Kavanaugh, but I continue to believe she and Murkowski are hopeful something is found that scuttles the nomination she they aren’t forced to vote.

    Also, I think there’s a reasonable chance Flake, Collins, Murkowski, and several Democrats call for the investigation to go beyond the original seven day time frame.

    Leigh Ann Caldwell
    @LACaldwellDC

    .@SenatorCollins giving a bit of a warning to the White House on the scope of the FBI investigation:

    “I am confident that the FBI will follow up on any leads that result from the interviews.”

  56. Wes says:

    This is what the Kavanaugh circus is increasingly reminding me of:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dTIPTY3pbuU

  57. sandiegocitizen says:

    59. Robbie, where did you acquire your mind reading skills?

  58. Wes says:

    Robbie is the same guy who guaranteed Hillary and Ross would win here in NC, SDC.

  59. ReadyFirst says:

    54. DW, great summary and much appreciated!

  60. Robbie says:

    sandiegocitizen says:
    October 1, 2018 at 11:23 am
    59. Robbie, where did you acquire your mind reading skills?

    -It’s called offering an opinion.

    Why are you so afraid to hear ones that don’t align with yours?

  61. sandiegocitizen says:

    62. Robbie needs to buy a new crystal ball. Have to say though, he was not the only one who shifted into the doom and gloom mode. In legislative matters, there are no straight lines — its always some sort of a bee line.

  62. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    October 1, 2018 at 11:26 am
    Robbie is the same guy who guaranteed Hillary and Ross would win here in NC, SDC.

    – I predicted Hillary would win the 2016 election just as so many others here did. I got it wrong. BFD.

  63. JeffP says:

    DW…great work and analysis.

  64. Wes says:

    You also proved you didn’t know what you were talking about when you declared NC to be Hillary and Ross country.

  65. DW says:

    NJ Senate

    Menendez 45%
    Hugin 43%

    Stockton U

  66. Robbie says:

    I marvel that the group of people who consistently post here are willing to put their confidence in Collins and Murkowski even though many have routinely criticized them.

    I’m not. I’m not predicting either will vote against Kavanaugh, but neither was willing to take a stand on him before these ridiculous rape allegations and they continue to support delaying actions. If they supported him, wouldn’t they have just gone ahead with the vote after Thursday’s circus hearings?

    I hope both are satisfied with what the FBI does, but Collins, especially, was a proponent of every delay. She wanted the hearing delayed to meet Ford’s requests; she wanted the FBI to investigate Judge; and now she’s suggesting/hinting maybe the FBI should go beyond what she agreed to last Friday.

    If you’re Kavanaugh, would it be unfair to wonder whether she really just doesn’t want to support him?

  67. dblaikie says:

    You just have to understand one thing about Robbie’s honest opinion — it always embraces the worst case scenario as to what will happen. I appreciate his support of Kavanaugh though.

    Now his T/D/S is another matter. With that he transforms into Wormtongue.

  68. Robbie says:

    Wes says:
    October 1, 2018 at 11:39 am
    You also proved you didn’t know what you were talking about when you declared NC to be Hillary and Ross country.

    – I predicted she would win in 2016 just like the majority here did as well. I expected the close states to go in her direction. I got it wrong. BFD.

  69. Robbie says:

    dblaikie says:
    October 1, 2018 at 11:40 am
    You just have to understand one thing about Robbie’s honest opinion — it always embraces the worst case scenario as to what will happen. I appreciate his support of Kavanaugh though.
    Now his T/D/S is another matter. With that he transforms into Wormtongue.

    – If the vote didn’t hinge on Collins and Murkowski, my opinion would be far different. If Republicans in Alabama, starting with the governor, hadn’t blown the special Senate election, Kavanaugh’s fate wouldn’t rest on Collins and Murkowski. Kavanaugh would be hearing cases today because Luther Strange would have supported him.

  70. Wes says:

    And Ross, Robbie? What about Ross? Why was Ross going to beat Burr?

  71. sandiegocitizen says:

    Robbie, my suggestion is be a bit more cautious on you predictions. Don’t make them sound so absolute, unless your really sure. My Flake vote predictions were based on my being from the West, and having friends who know him. So I was willing to disagree with what the board was saying.

  72. Robbie says:

    sandiegocitizen says:
    October 1, 2018 at 11:47 am
    Robbie, my suggestion is be a bit more cautious on you predictions. Don’t make them sound so absolute, unless your really sure. My Flake vote predictions were based on my being from the West, and having friends who know him. So I was willing to disagree with what the board was saying.

    – My suggestion is don’t read my comments if you don’t care for them.

  73. sandiegocitizen says:

    Also have to agree with dBlaikie, Robbie has a bias in always going with the worse scenario, and quoting whoever is preaching gloom and doom at the time, even if very liberal.

  74. dblaikie says:

    As folks here know I don’t trust polls and that includes Stockton Univ. But I was intrigued enough to check out the internals and I must say they look honest enough. Dem +8 which is honest for NJ, seems to have a good spread and sample across State. So at least it passes the smell test. One other thing Stockton Univ. is local and if they can’t be accurate in NJ they won’t be accurate anywhere. But having said all that I don’t trust polls.

  75. sandiegocitizen says:

    76. I don’t need to add the Robbie is a bit thin-skinned.

  76. JeffP says:

    Watching presser on new trade deal. Trump really did a huge thing here. He has fulfilled a HUGE campaign promise.

  77. Tina says:

    Drats concerns about not getting a fair hearing under Kavanaugh

    Jake Tapper
    @jaketapper
    Follow
    “No one watching those proceedings could imagine that a Democrat standing before this judge’s bench in the future would get a fair hearing. This was not the conservative temperament on display. It was, rather, personalized grievance politics.” twitter.com/MaxBoot/status…
    6:19 PM – 30 Sep 2018

  78. sandiegocitizen says:

    80. Yes, we may finally have real free trade. It helps when your president is not a patsy. He stood his ground, the fake free traders whined, but Trump prevailed.

  79. jason says:

    e may finally have real free trade”

    Ah yes, f–king for virginity!

    I love this place.

  80. dblaikie says:

    Quite a new world we live in. Today if you are wrongly accused of gang rape, attempted rape, indecent exposure you have to remain quiet and polite before those who are trying to destroy you. No getting angry. No revealing any indignation. You must smile and be nice to those who seeking to ruin you and destroy your family.

    In the immortal words of Bill Clinton, “That dog won’t hunt.”

  81. jason says:

    Trump is as much for free trade as Amoral Scumbag is for Trump.

  82. Todd McCain says:

    Wow; Hugin down only two to Menéndez.

    I live in the Philly area and I see more Hugin ads then for Governor Wolf.

  83. sandiegocitizen says:

    So Jason was the new NAFTA deal with Mexico and Canada good or bad? Was Canada placing 300% tariffs on U.S. dairy products something we should not have been concerned about, or should we have just chalked it up as a benefit of free trade?

  84. mnw says:

    Trade:

    SDC & JeffP

    I advocated for Trump’s approach– until I just got worn down by all the “No tariffs! Free trade!” nincompoopery here.

    As if free trade was what we had. The 300% Canadian tariffs on dairy products? “Use ‘legal recourse’ to address such issues.” WHAT legal recourse was never explained.

    China is reducing tariffs like mad now– down appx 23% overall between 2017 & 2018. From appx 9.8% to 7.5%. (WSJ)

    China is doing that as a PR strategy– but also in response to U.S. trade pressures.

  85. Tina says:

    China will have to deal now.

    There economy is slowing.

  86. dblaikie says:

    A couple of divergent thoughts. No use arguing what Trump feels about free trade. What does matter is that this deal is good. It will be especially good in Michigan and Ohio — the heart of the auto industry.

    Second is Trump has great new tweet (doesn’t happen much). Concerning the FBI investigation he says, “We don’t want another witch hunt.”

  87. mnw says:

    dbl

    What angers me is that the situation BEFORE Trump’s tariffs gets characterized as “free trade.”

  88. Tina says:

    Lifelong Republican Comedy wants another witch hunt,

  89. BayernFan says:

    Perhaps McConnell decided to do the fbi route bc the sisters told him they needed that cover to vote yes. A leaders job is to protect the caucus members. So perhaps they gave him assurances this time.

  90. DW says:

    MI_11 next on Siena’s list to poll. Interesting because all we have is an aging PPP-D poll showing the Republican trailing by 3 points. This has demographics somewhat similar to MI_08 where Siena is currently polling and finding a small lead for the Republican. However, MI_11 is an open seat, so we might find out which candidate is doing a better job at campaigning.

  91. Mr.Vito says:

    Gallup: Trust in U.S. Legislative Branch 40%, Highest in Nine Years

  92. DW says:

    Several weeks back Monmouth found CA_39 to have the Republican in a TEN point lead. Still all these days later none of the Toupees will move the status off Tossup to Lean R, because it doesn’t fit their blue-wave dreams.

  93. Robbottie says:

    “I got it wrong. BFD.”

    I made a BFD out of it for a year. When I was wrong, it was no longer a BFD.

  94. DW says:

    And there are ample examples of Toupees moving seats from Tossup to Tilt D or Lean D on the strength of a D-Internal poll showing a margin of error race.

  95. Bayernfan says:

    See?

  96. Mr.Vito says:

    Saw?

  97. Mr.Vito says:

    Buck?

  98. Mr.Vito says:

    Tooth?

  99. Mr.Vito says:

    Brush?

  100. Mr.Vito says:

    Up?

  101. Mr.Vito says:

    Stage?

  102. Mr.Vito says:

    Coach?

  103. Robbie says:

    jason says:
    October 1, 2018 at 12:06 pm
    Trump is as much for free trade as Amoral Scumbag is for Trump.

    – Fact check: True.

    I am not for Trump the person, but I will support conservative Republican policy items and conservative Republican appointments. That’s why I supported tax reform, the attempt to repeal and replace Obamacare, deregulation, each of the cabinet selections other than Wilber Ross, the judicial nominations, and the two big SCOTUS nominations.

  104. Robbie says:

    BayernFan says:
    October 1, 2018 at 1:01 pm
    Perhaps McConnell decided to do the fbi route bc the sisters told him they needed that cover to vote yes. A leaders job is to protect the caucus members. So perhaps they gave him assurances this time.

    – I don’t think McConnell’s gotten any assurances from them, but he knows those two control the fate of Kavanaugh. So if he just brushes them aside, it could cause the defeat of the nomination.

  105. sandiegocitizen says:

    94. Think the BayernFan is spot on in his comments. He protects his caucus members, and in return they vote as he asks in tight situations. Also think Flake is running interference.

  106. Albert Hodges says:

    By this time next Monday, Judge Kavanaugh will be SCOTUS Justice Kavanaugh.

    https://www.breitbart.com/video/2018/09/30/flake-kavanaugh-sounded-like-someone-unjustly-accused-at-hearing/

    MAGA winning!

  107. mnw says:

    Trump’s rallies this week in TN; MS; KS & MN.

    KS, I guess, is to help Yoder (R-inc)? Not at all sure Trump helps in that district– affluent, suburban. Plus, Yoder is a big open borders guy. Guess Yoder can skip the rally like Ayotte, if he wants…
    always best to do the “safe” thing. Take no risks whatsoever! /s

    MS AGAIN?? That’s twice almost back-to-back. GOP must spell trouble there with whatshername & Espy.

  108. mnw says:

    112 sb “smell trouble”

  109. sandiegocitizen says:

    The Democrats are in the panic mode regarding Kavanaugh now for a reason. They lot their high ground with the FBI investigation that is taking place.

  110. sandiegocitizen says:

    114 lost not lot.

  111. Robbie says:

    Another cave by Republicans. What is this? The eight or ninth capitulation? I’m totally sure the Democrats will be fine with this and not want more people interviewed. Aren’t you?

    Amy Fiscus
    @amyfiscus

    NEW: The White House has told the FBI that agents can interview anyone necessary to complete the Kavanaugh background check, per @nytmike @peterbakernyt @maggieNYT

  112. sandiegocitizen says:

    Trump just said to the effect that Senators were “no angels” concerning alcohol, and he has seen at least one vocal one in a compromising position.

    Excellent job of turning the tables.

  113. Wes says:

    Mnw, Trump is probably going to MS more to ensure Roy Moore II, Chris McDaniel, doesn’t finish in the Top Two than because Hyde-Smith is showing any kind of weakness against Espy.

  114. Robbie says:

    Jeff Flake on Friday: I want a limited review.

    Jeff Flake today: This needs to go wherever it can.

    From the NYT article that just posted, “Mr. Flake expressed concern on Monday that the inquiry not be limited and said he had pressed to make sure that happens. “It does no good to have an investigation that gives us more cover, for example,” he said in a public appearance in Boston. “We actually have find out what we can find out.”

  115. Robbie says:

    Guess what happens Friday when the FBI has concluded its review? After Democrats and the press say an artificial time limit was unfair and more needs to be learned, Jeff Flake will ask for another week, or a month, or maybe even a year. And right behind him will come Collins and Murkowski.

    Flake gave up the game last night on 60 Minutes when he said there was no way he’d have done this had he been running for re-election. This is Flake looking for plaudits from the press on his way out the door and also it’s him looking to take his pound of flesh from Trump. And if it gets him a contributor spot on MSNBC, all the better.

  116. Toast says:

    Mr.Vito says:

    October 1, 2018 at 1:38 pm

    Coach?

    Man?

  117. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    This was Trump’s twitter comment on Saturday, September 29 denying it was a limited investigation.

    “@realDonaldTrump Sep 29
    NBC News incorrectly reported (as usual) that I was limiting the FBI investigation of Judge Kavanaugh, and witnesses, only to certain people. Actually, I want them to interview whoever they deem appropriate, at their discretion. Please correct your reporting!”

    It was Trump’s intention from the beginning to allow the FBI to interview whoever they felt appropriate.

    Robbie, would you just implied was a total lie. Trump or anyone else did not cave. Sounds like your mouthing Democratic talking points again.

  118. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Robbie’s comments in #121 are truly stupid. There not worth a response.

  119. Tina says:

    The Drats are going this way,

    Kavanaughs underage drinking should disqualify him.

    However, Breyer us on the sc for being arrested for underage drinking.

    I know Flakey, planned parenthood, and the Maine Chicklet are looking at everything.

  120. blobbie says:

    I think Flake is going to vote no so he can get a job on cnn and get his pound of flesh from Trump

    I am NOT predicting that, so dont quote me on it if it does not happen

    But that is what I think will happen

  121. Tina says:

    Reporter: I’m not thinking Mr. President…

    Trump: That’s OK, I know you’re not thinking, you never do.

    Reporter. I’m sorry?

    Trump: No, go ahead. Go ahead.

    Lol

  122. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    October 1, 2018 at 2:35 pm
    This was Trump’s twitter comment on Saturday, September 29 denying it was a limited investigation.
    “@realDonaldTrump Sep 29
    NBC News incorrectly reported (as usual) that I was limiting the FBI investigation of Judge Kavanaugh, and witnesses, only to certain people. Actually, I want them to interview whoever they deem appropriate, at their discretion. Please correct your reporting!”
    It was Trump’s intention from the beginning to allow the FBI to interview whoever they felt appropriate.
    Robbie, would you just implied was a total lie. Trump or anyone else did not cave. Sounds like your mouthing Democratic talking points again.

    – This is so totally dumb, but par for the course at HHR these days.

    Pay attention. The Senate set the terms on who and what should be covered last Friday. Flake, Collins, and Murkowski were the ones who came up with the four original names. Not Trump. So Trump was right he was NOT the one limiting the FBI review.

    Now, the press and Democrats are mad that the FBI review wasn’t wide enough so Flake demanded and got the White House to tell the FBI to look at more people.

    Again, this is Flake playing to the press and Democrats. Sorry if you can’t handle that, but that’s what’s he doing. And when Friday rolls around, it’s a pretty good bet he’ll say more time is needed if the press and Democrats say so.

  123. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    October 1, 2018 at 2:37 pm
    Robbie’s comments in #121 are truly stupid. There not worth a response.

    – And yet you did.

    Cry more. It might help.

    Flake is the one, along with Collins and Murkowski, who came up with the list of names to look at originally. Trump just acquiesced to their demand.

    Now, poor baby Flake wants more names included because Democrats and the press are mad.

  124. Robbie says:

    blobbie says:
    October 1, 2018 at 2:44 pm
    I think Flake is going to vote no so he can get a job on cnn and get his pound of flesh from Trump
    I am NOT predicting that, so dont quote me on it if it does not happen
    But that is what I think will happen

    – I know you are a stupid person, but I didn’t say Flake would vote against Kavanaugh nor did I say the other two would either.

    What I said, dipsh!t, is it appears all three wish the nomination would go away so they wouldn’t be forced to vote for it.

    If they wanted to confirm him, all they had to do was actually say they were going to vote for him. The two women haven’t and Flake has thrown up repeated roadblocks about getting to a committee vote or a final vote.

  125. Robbie says:

    First, this.

    Dana Bash
    @DanaBashCNN

    GOP senator tells me that @senatemajldr told WH Friday the 3 key GOP Senators wanted the FBI to interview 4 people: PJ Smyth, Leland Keyser, Mark Judge & Deborah Ramirez. Senator tells me with that limit – FBI could be done by today or Tuesday #Kavanaugh

    Then, this.

    Dana Bash
    @DanaBashCNN

    More: sources familiar w key gop senators thinking tell me their intention was NOT to limit the investigation. I’m also told the senators have called the wh over the past 24-48 hours to make that clear. As a result @Acosta reports the WH told FBI it is NOT limited.

  126. Tina says:

    Breaking

    Senior R senator says report will be done tomorrow.

  127. Tina says:

    Ds now mentioning .kavanaugh recusing himself from all “trump matters” on the sc.

    Washington. Times

    Looks like it is almost over.

  128. Tina says:

    Kevin McCullough
    @KMCRadio
    2h
    BREAKING: Fmr official source w/ *good* contacts at @TheJusticeDept says @POTUS lack of tweets about #SpecialCounsel since 9/17 & delayed Rosenstein “discussion” adds up to SC likely wrapping #Russia just after election & @POTUS completely vindicated!

  129. BayernFan says:

    133. What does that mean?

  130. Tina says:

    They are admitting that he will be seated.

    Of course, there is no such requirement that he refuses on any and all matters. Seems overly broad and not specific.

  131. Tina says:

    *recuses

  132. mnw says:

    Wes 119

    MS SEN:

    That makes sense.

  133. Phil says:

    No return address?

    Libs sitting around a keg of beer having a drunk writing contest to see who can write the most ridiculous accuser letter.

  134. DW says:

    Funny…an Anonymous letter.

    Here is an anonymous letter from 1969:

    “Help! You don’t know who I am, but I am trapped in an upside down car under 10 feet of water. I was riding with a sitting US Senator whose wife was at home, as he was taking me alone from a drunken party out to the beach in the dark of night so we could, uhm, look for seashells. It appears the senator has left me behind to drown or suffocate. It is a shame this letter is anonymous, because if I told the name of the senator, and my name, then most certainly it would result in the end of this man’s political career, and in fact would result in a criminal trial where he no doubt would be found guilty.

    If you are ever in this situation, make sure you don’t write an anonymous letter, because no judge would accept it as evidence.

    Sincerely,

    ____ __ ________ “

  135. Tina says:

    Yes anonymous, Phil

    “And so credible.”

    Faux News

  136. hugh says:

    McConnell says vote will happen this week. strong statement. I think he has the votes assuming nothing shocking comes out.

  137. hugh says:

    dems getting very desperate. btw. breyer had his own underage drinking issues. who knew?

  138. Mr.Vito says:

    Georgetown Professor….

    (((Christine Fair)))
    ?
    @CChristineFair

    Look at thus chorus of entitled white men justifying a serial rapist’s arrogated entitlement.
    All of them deserve miserable deaths while feminists laugh as they take their last gasps. Bonus: we castrate their corpses and feed them to swine? Yes.

  139. Phil says:

    Serial rapist? So now Kavanaugh is a serial rapist.

    Okay Doky. LOL

  140. BayernFan says:

    If McConnell waited until Friday to file cloture on Kavanaugh’s nomination that would set up an initial vote on ending debate as early as Sunday.

    If McConnell filed cloture before that, he could bring up the vote as soon as the Friday deadline passed or when the FBI wrapped up its investigation.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/409340-mcconnell-senate-will-hold-kavanaugh-vote-this-week

  141. BayernFan says:

    Umm… Wes??….

    Looks like there IS a cloture vote.

  142. Waingro says:

    Libertarian Party internal poll. Johnson is on record stating he would vote yes on Kavanaugh I believe. Good enough for me. GOP should convince Rich to drop out (offer him something on the side.)

    Political Polls
    ? @Politics_Polls

    #NMsen:
    Heinrich (D-inc) 35% (+7)
    Johnson (L) 28%
    Rich (R) 10%

    NSON Opinion Strategy/Elect Liberty PAC (L) 9/20-24

  143. Chicon says:

    A cloture vote that needs 50+VP to pass….

  144. Chicon says:

    Bitter, why did Maddon pull Quintana so early when he was kicking Blutarski with a low pitch count?

  145. Tina says:

    Chad Pergram
    @ChadPergram
    21m
    Kavanaugh Yale classmate Chris Dudley: We drank in college. I was with Brett frequently in college, whether it be in the gym, in class or socializing. I never ever saw Brett blackout. Not one time..I have never seen him to be disrespectful or inappropriate with women.
    View details ·
    Chad Pergram Chad Pergram
    @ChadPergram
    22m
    Kavanaugh Yale roommate Dan Murphy: I never saw Brett black out or not be able to remember the prior evening’s events, nor did I ever see Brett act aggressive, hostile, or in a sexually aggressive manner to women. Brett was and is a good-natured, kind, and friendly person,
    View details ·
    Chad Pergram Chad Pergram
    @ChadPergram
    53m
    Colleague Mike Emanuel rpts counsel for Patrick J. Smyth has cooperated w/FBI. His counsel says “he indicated that he has no knowledge of the small party or gathering described by Dr. Christine Blasey Ford nor does he have any knowledge of the allegations of improper conduct”
    View details ·

  146. Tina says:

    I think the fib report is in.

    It is Ovah for the Drats, assuming that Mitchie now has the necessary votes.

    Look for Munchkin, w va to vote yes.

    Look for one of the 3 Cuckateers to vote no.

  147. Mr.Vito says:

    https://www.foxnews.com/entertainment/bill-maher-attacks-lindsey-graham-for-defending-kavanaugh-says-senator-needs-his-dead-boyfriend-john-mccain

    HBO’s Bill Maher lashed out at Sen. Lindsey Graham on Friday for his defense of Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, saying the South Carolina Republican was missing “the stabilizing influence of his dead boyfriend,” meaning the late Sen. John McCain.

  148. sandiegocitizen says:

    Kavanaugh was an accomplished student and athlete. He got into Yale Law School. Yes, like most students he drank and occasionally got drunk. So what. Its like certain Democrats want to become the new Taliban in America.

    Every day this plays out the Democrats look worse.

  149. NYCmike says:

    No problem with Gary Johnson in New Mexico. He fits that state, as shown while Governor, and will vote more with Republicans than the Democrat would.

  150. Tina says:

    Basically,

    Claims that may be looked into our 1 and 2 accusers.

    1 is done given The Mitchell Report. It’s Ovah for her, and her lawyahs.

    2 just took a series of hits.

    Porn lawyah, 3rd accuser, is false and fraudulent that there needs to be criminal referrals made against Porn lawyah and accuser.

    4 recanted

    5 and 6 anonymous junk.

  151. NYCmike says:

    7 & 8 – PICK UP STICKS

  152. sandiegocitizen says:

    154. Looks like all the contrived Democratic love for McCain evaporated instantly. Hopefully Flake gets the message; never allow yourself to be kissed by something that slithers.

  153. phoenixrisen says:

    This NAFTA success is really, really bad for the Democrats and their mid-term chances. Combine this with the Kavanaugh debacle and it is not looking good for them at all next month.

  154. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Real Clear Politics just placed the 2018 NJ Senate race between Hugin(R) and Menendez(D) into the toss-up column.
    Maybe someone should tell this to the Wise Men at RRH.

    Is this fool’s gold?!

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/nj/new_jersey_senate_hugin_vs_menendez-6506.html

  155. dylan says:

    160–you’d think that would be true but I think it’s sort of counter intuitive. The economy is so darned good, the electorate can give the Dems a rare “chance” at a check and balance and a lot of people probably think (wrongfully) that they can’t screw up thinks too badly.

  156. NYCmike says:

    “This NAFTA success…”

    -What “success” are you speaking about? NAFTA stands for North American FREE TRADE Agreement

    jason, just a little earlier, was speaking about tariffs and virginity, or some such illustrative scholarship.

    He mentioned NOTHING about FREE TRADE!

    ODD……..

  157. Robbie says:

    Remember when this was supposed to be limited in scope and time? Tell me again Collins isn’t hunting for some reason, any reason, to make this nomination go away. She may ultimately vote for him, but she’s had three months to decide. Now, we’re talking about how much he drank in college?

    Manu Raju
    @mkraju

    Collins asked if FBI should probe whether Kavanaugh lied about drinking: “Let me just say that based on an extensive conversation that I’ve had with the WH counsel that I’m confident the FBI is doing a thorough investigation and that it will be helpful to us as we make” decisions

  158. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    160. “This NAFTA success is really, really bad for the Democrats and their mid-term chances. Combine this with the Kavanaugh debacle and it is not looking good for them at all next month.”

    Yes, but someone has kidnapped the real Donald Trump and replaced him with a more polite man that makes effective, pointed statements. We need to find out what happened after the election.

  159. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    165. “Tell me again Collins isn’t hunting for some reason, any reason, to make this nomination go away.”

    Collins is not hunting for some reason, any reason, to make this nomination go away. There you go.

  160. NYCmike says:

    Robbie is on to the next MSM talking point…..

    Here is Judge Kavanaugh’s response to Collins, IF she even asked – NO, he did not lie about drinking.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GdTTjY8soVc

  161. NYCmike says:

    “Yes, but someone has kidnapped the real Donald Trump and replaced him with a more polite man that makes effective, pointed statements. We need to find out what happened after the election.”

    -Y’all haven’t watched him since the 1980’s.

    He is the exact same guy now as he was then. He knows when to shut up, or tone it down, USUALLY.

  162. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    October 1, 2018 at 6:22 pm
    165. “Tell me again Collins isn’t hunting for some reason, any reason, to make this nomination go away.”
    Collins is not hunting for some reason, any reason, to make this nomination go away. There you go.

    – Then why has she taken three months to make one? Why has she, along with Flake and Murkowski, continually thrown up roadblocks to this process? Why did she ask for a background check that was limited in scope and time only to now suggest the initial four people she wanted was too limited? Why is she even considering if Kavanaugh drank too much in college?

    Again, I’m not saying she won’t vote for Kavanaugh, but these actions suggest to me she is not enthralled with him.

  163. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    October 1, 2018 at 6:24 pm
    Robbie is on to the next MSM talking point…..
    Here is Judge Kavanaugh’s response to Collins, IF she even asked – NO, he did not lie about drinking.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GdTTjY8soVc

    – Did I say his drinking should be and issue? Nope. Do I think the entire topic is ridiculous? Yep. Do I think Flake, Collins, and Murkowski were duped by agreeing to this investigation even though there was ZERO chance the Democrats would ever claim the process had been fair? Yep.

  164. Tina says:

    poor Manute of cnn , what garbage

    Kavanaugh had six background checks.

    Alcohol use/drug use would be a critical element to all six background checks.

    The supplemental may touch upon it again, but probably not extensive, if at all.

    Time for these rinos to quit interfering with the investigation.

  165. Tina says:

    Yeah, terrible day for the Drats

    Nafta modified and renamed.

    Mitchell destroys Ford.

    Porn lawyah wants somebody from gubment to call him.

    We are nearing the end of the sheot fest, as I believe the fib supplemental is “ready.”

  166. mnw says:

    Tina

    In 2008, she wrote a paper on self-hypnosis & recovered memories.

  167. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    170. Again, I’m not saying she won’t vote for Kavanaugh, but these actions suggest to me she is not enthralled with him.

    We are in agreement.

  168. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Can we investigate the past alcohol and drug use of all the Hollywood celebrities opposing Kavanaugh?

  169. NYCmike says:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZURHD5BU1o8

    -Amazing how long ago this is, yet it seems like just yesterday.

  170. Phil says:

    176

    Bingo!

    ….but no, we couldn’t possibly do that.

  171. NYCmike says:

    “Can we investigate the past alcohol and drug use of all the Hollywood celebrities opposing Kavanaugh?”

    -Would you like to bankrupt the nation??

  172. Tima says:

    The Maine Chicklet will need to explain why she supported Breyer, who was arrested for underage drinking,

    This is just a moving goalpost.

    Time to vote.

  173. Tina says:

    Mnw, I saw that, thanks.

    She is pretty much discredited in the ?Mitchell Report.

    Very thorough and easy to read.

  174. Robbie says:

    You can already see the groundwork being laid to say the FBI needs more time and Friday shouldn’t be a deadline.

    Phil Mattingly
    @Phil_Mattingly

    Sen. Lisa Murkowski, to @jeremyherb: “In my view, the FBI needs to be free to do its job as the investigating body,”

  175. Robbie says:

    SanDiegoCitizen says:
    October 1, 2018 at 6:45 pm
    170. Again, I’m not saying she won’t vote for Kavanaugh, but these actions suggest to me she is not enthralled with him.
    We are in agreement.

    – Which is why I say she and Murkowski would like to see this nomination go away so their fingerprints aren’t on the murder weapon.

  176. Robbie says:

    Tima says:
    October 1, 2018 at 6:51 pm
    The Maine Chicklet will need to explain why she supported Breyer, who was arrested for underage drinking,
    This is just a moving goalpost.
    Time to vote.

    – She didn’t vote on Breyer. he was confirmed in 1994 long before she was elected to the Senate.

  177. NYCmike says:

    Ok, Robbie has given us the worst case….REPEATEDLY.

    Thanks.

    Move on.

  178. NYCmike says:

    Robbie’s favorite Beatles song is Revolution 9.

  179. mnw says:

    Vichey! Vichey! Vichey!

    Hill may carry Missouri too!

  180. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    October 1, 2018 at 7:13 pm
    Ok, Robbie has given us the worst case….REPEATEDLY.
    Thanks.
    Move on.

    – Yawn.

  181. NYCmike says:

    “– Yawn.”

    Now you get it.

    Progress.

  182. Robbie says:

    Last night, Lindsey Graham suggested the report would be finished by Tuesday night, well before the Friday deadline. So what happened as soon as it appeared the report might come back early with no new information? Flake, Collins, and Murkowski call the White House and make sure the investigation, which they wanted to be limited in scope, is expanded.

    So that makes yet another effort to delay this. I lost count how many times Flake forced Grassley to move the deadline for Ford to testify. Then Flake forced a postponement of the final Senate vote by asking for a limited FBI background check. Now he and his gal pals have enlarged the scope of the background check.

    Again, why?

  183. Tina says:

    Honestly, those tweets from planned parenthood and the Maine Chicklet, sound benign.

    There needs to be the full quotes, but overall,no biggie,

  184. Tina says:

    Mnw,

    You may like this Twitter feed

    https://mobile.twitter.com/ProfMJCleveland?p=s

  185. NYCmike says:

    https://pjmedia.com/lifestyle/9-hits-from-the-70s-that-sound-totally-inappropriate-today/

    -Something different – I never realized the words on some of these songs……YIKES!

  186. Robbie says:

    194

    Good.

  187. mnw says:

    Tina 192

    Thx. Margot gives good tweets.

    Sheep 194

    Looks like the Freakfest didn’t play well in ND, anyway.

  188. dylan says:

    Martha McCollum is just sorta boring to me. No real reason to watch her show. Low energy

  189. Phil says:

    With the Mason Dixon poll numbers you can see how Heidi would be desperate for Kavanaugh to bow out to save her from having to vote no on Kavanaugh.

    She’s trapped. If her vote is needed to stop Kavanaugh she will sacrifice herself. If Kavanaugh is going to be confirmed and her vote doesn’t matter she will of course vote to confirm, but voters will see through that one. Probably doesn’t matter either way now given she’s the incumbent and is sitting at 41 percent.

    Toast.

  190. lisab says:

    nbc and kate snow just ran with an expose on swetnick and gang rape

    they prefaced it with “we cannot corroborate anything we are about to show you”

  191. mnw says:

    Fwiw, the WV poll was conducted before Trump’s Wheeling speech.

  192. Phil says:

    So Julie is making the rounds on the interview circuit.

  193. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    October 1, 2018 at 7:55 pm
    So Julie is making the rounds on the interview circuit.

    – Some of the most disgraceful journalist decision making I’ve ever seen. They ran a disclaimer at the start they could not verify what she said and then she proceeded to backtrack on many of the allegations she and Avenatti made.

    How in the world could they have run that story?

  194. Robbie says:

    So now we find out that Kavanaugh threw ice at someone in 1985. Seriously? I hope Flake is happy.

  195. Tina says:

    Phil, Julie who?

    Porn lawyahs “accuser?

    I lost track.

    I know them by numbers.

  196. mnw says:

    How in the world can Vicheytroll think anybody here gives a rats adz what he thinks about anything?

    If Vicheytroll posted at Kos, he’d be among his own kind (only smarter), & he’d feel better.

    moron

  197. Phil says:

    I’m with you on that, Robbie. Given her credibility problems this will backfire, but yeah, to even put her on shows how far the media has sunk and how far in the tank they are. No standards whatsoever and NBC isn’t even trying any longer to pretend to have any.

    Sad state of affairs.

  198. Phil says:

    I hear you, Tina. I think she’s be Liar #3.

  199. dblaikie says:

    Of course Hedi and all the other red state dems want to stall because that all they have left. The North Dakota poll is huge because it will send shock waves through the red state midwest. No they don’t want to vote. Yes, they will try and postpone. However, once the FBI concludes and they will by mid week it will be McConnell who drives the train. When the vote comes it will be simple for them vote yes which gives them a chance or vote no which pretty much locks in a loss.

    And Susan Collins I believe is up in 2020. If she votes no, once the vote comes, she will face a rough primary that she could very well loose. In Maine, in the general election, it is good to be a rino, but in the primary that is a different story.

  200. Tina says:

    Kavanaugh went from spiking punch to passing out red solo cups.

    Oh my, I do not think Imcan vote for him.

    Where is my safe space?

    Jeff Flakey.

  201. Mr.Vito says:

    Dinesh D’Souza
    ?Verified account @DineshDSouza
    Sep 30

    Watch “To Kill a Mockingbird” and you’ll see the Democratic strategy of using a 1. Troubled woman to make a 2. False accusation buttressed by 3. Mob prejudice and 4. Media acquiescence. They haven’t changed much, have they? #KavanaughCircus

    ……..

    Ouch. Too much?

  202. Ron N says:

    The gang rapist didn’t work.
    The sexual assaults didn’t work
    The drinking in HS or college didn’t work
    What next better check if he went to church or did do his service project he might be lying.
    Ridiculous time to vote.

  203. JeffP says:

    I know them by numbers…that is hilarious. I did the same thing about the numbers 4,5,6 kinda faded too fast. Now we have …he threw ice at someone at a bar…LOL… He was interviewed by the police….what a boat load of crap the media has become. They have lost their freaking minds.

    Loved Megan Kelly tweeting tonight exposing the bogus story of her employer NBC. Hilarious.

    I sure hope Mitch can deliver in a couple days.

  204. JeffP says:

    Any update on #2 Sanchie? NBC was promoting that last night as her having “witnesses”. I think those statements from his Yale buddies that came out earlier today might have sunk that ship.

  205. Mr.Vito says:

    Doreen
    @Doreen09727380
    Sep 30

    I was told Fri. that as a victim I am required to believe every accusation. & that I should view all men as rapists. So I walked over & punched her husband. She asked why. I said I always wanted to punch my rapist & one man is as good as the next right? We’re not talking now.

  206. Mr.Vito says:

    Megyn Kelly
    ?Verified account @megynkelly
    2h2 hours ago

    Also this, from ?@AP?, on Swetnick: she once sued MD transit claiming her broken nose cost her modeling jobs; the “employer” she cited said he was actually just a friend,1st met her in a bar a yr *after* her injury, never owned the co she listed, nor agreed to pay her b/4.

  207. Bitterlaw says:

    Tonight, I am exercising my right to watch the NFL. Chiefs are exercising their right to lead 10-3 over the Broncos with 9:00 to go in the 2nd Quarter.

  208. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    215. Since its this bad, its time require women to wear a burqa in public. This is the only way to protect them since all men are sexual predators. Now I can see why Islamic countries ban alcohol.

  209. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    217. “Tonight, I am exercising my right to watch the NFL”

    Shame on you bitter for that display of toxic masculinity. Can’t you find a flower arranging class on the Discovery Channel? Maybe your bud Tgca can help you out.

  210. Tina says:

    We find Swetnick “credible.”

    The FBI must investigate this.

    3 Cuckateers.

  211. Bitterlaw says:

    Broncos disagree and tie the score at 10.

    After they scored, the Denver Mascot was hitting the player who scored on the back along with other players. That is a violation of coolness. Mascots are not on the team.

  212. Tina says:

    Megyn Kelly
    @megynkelly
    Follow
    Due process is not misogynistic. It happens to be the bedrock of our legal system. Ms. Swetnick was just on NBC changing her story dramatically from her sworn declaration. When an accuser has credibility issues, the A. is not to shame those who recognize it. twitter.com/maramcewin/sta…
    5:49 PM – 1 Oct 2018

    If senate investigators wasted resources on this fraud and porn lawyah,,please do a criminal referral to Justice and Fib.

  213. Tina says:

    We have gone from gang rape trains to throwing ice.

    -moving goalposts.

  214. Messy says:

    54. “So the GOP might hold on to control even if the national Gap is D+7. That would require several key races to tilt their way. I don’t see how the Dems don’t get control with D+8 or greater nationally. D+6 or less, I see the GOP holding on.”

    So much for small-D democracy in the US, eh? Extreme Gerrymandering is anti-American.

  215. Mr.Vito says:

    Megyn Kelly
    ?Verified account @megynkelly
    23m23 minutes ago

    Megyn Kelly Retweeted Kim Simons

    I knew I might not be. But my company’s attnys examined the evidence, which in my case included contemporaneous journal entries (which I gave), consultation w/an attny, a report to a supervisor, stmts to friends, and a slew of other women w/highly credible allegations.

    Megyn Kelly added,
    Kim Simons
    @Kimmeebabe
    Replying to @megynkelly
    Nonetheless, I bet it meant a lot to YOU to be believed when it was your turn to speak up against the power head who was assaulting you.
    6 replies 7 retweets 37 likes

  216. NYCmike says:

    Messy,

    We are a Republic, if we can keep it, Thank the Founding Fathers very much!

  217. Hugh says:

    220. Got a link? Otherwise cut it out

  218. Mr.Vito says:

    Yeah, the GOP really gerrymandered Massachusetts, New York, California, and Illinois where almost all those wasted votes are.

  219. Robbie says:

    mnw says:
    October 1, 2018 at 8:04 pm
    How in the world can Vicheytroll think anybody here gives a rats adz what he thinks about anything?

    If Vicheytroll posted at Kos, he’d be among his own kind (only smarter), & he’d feel better.

    moron

    – The deadender populist troll who thinks we should pay attention to Newt Gingrich has thoughts.

  220. NYCmike says:

    I welcome any and all crazies into my city, Messy.

    And when I lived in California, I did the same.

    The more the merrier, and it helped the rest of the country maintain a semblance of reality.

  221. NYCmike says:

    Robbie,

    I am pretty sure mnw (at least I thought it was he) said Gingrich was something back in 1994, but not so much anymore.

    I would add that I still value Newt’s opinion more than Lord Ashcroft.

  222. mnw says:

    three iii’s AGAIN?

    Really?

    Ebola! Gore would’ve prevented 911!

    the perjuer sarcasticly disintigated

    Didn’t you hear what Wes said??

  223. mnw says:

    232 sb “disintigrated” (sic)

  224. Tina says:

    20000 at trump rally in Tennessee.

    Inside arena, overflow, and outside

  225. Tina says:

    Hugh, if you are referring to my 220, you cannot tell that was a joke?

  226. mnw says:

    GA GOV:

    New poll:

    Landmark Communications poll: Kemp (R) +2 over Abrams (D).

    Fwiw, I also read that there is a new FL GOV poll showing Gillum (D) down to +2 over DeSantis (R),, but I can’t find it.

  227. mnw says:

    Tina 235

    Yes. Here is a live report from Johnson City:

    “The walls started shakin’,
    The earth was quakin’,
    My mind was achin’
    …and you!…”

  228. JeffP says:

    Funny tweet tonight…”so Brett Kavanaugh invented the ice bucket challenge?”

  229. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    October 1, 2018 at 9:34 pm
    https://www.yahoo.com/news/latest-flake-vows-vote-no-kavanaugh-lied-235516243–election.html

    -Robbie, “CG”,

    Would you vote for Flake over Trump?

    – I would vote for neither. While I would not like to see Trump renominated, I would get some enjoyment watching Trump defeat Flake and his backers like Bill Kristol in the New Hampshire primary by about 98-2.

  230. Tina says:

    https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2018/10/01/kavanaugh-smear-campaign-anticipating-mid-week-shift-to-phase-4/

    Cth indicates that phase 4 is about to begin.

    Rush to judgment.

    According to a poster, goober said let the voters decide. IF True, dumb.

    Seems like the Gop-e plan on. It voting until after the elections.

  231. CG says:

    I would absolutely vote for Flake over Trump.

  232. CG says:

    As I continue to insist throughout that Flake will vote to confirm Kavanaugh and people should remain calm.

  233. Cash Cow TM says:

    MAKING WV GREAT AGAIN!
    #################################3
    “CHARLESTON, W.Va. — State revenue collections continued to significantly exceed estimates in September, the governor’s office announced Monday.

    Dave Hardy
    Collections for month fell just short of $453 million which was $54.1 million ahead of estimates. The first quarter of the fiscal year shows collections have topped estimates by a total of $119.9 million.

    “This is the best first quarter that West Virginia has ever had in the history of our state,” state Revenue Secretary Dave Hardy said. “Our revenue growth was 18 percent and it wasn’t particularly one source. It was all the sources.”

  234. JeffP says:

    Can you imagine how bad life would be if Hillary won?

    I was not a big Trump person at all…but thought he could win after that Iowa poll the Sunday night before Election Day. Trump has been much more conservative than I thought he would be and has really been fun in dealing with the media. He sure is uncouth at times, but he gets things done and he makes my wife and I laugh…his comment on Mike Pence today was funny during his presser. He was my congressman and my kids and wife were around him on several occasions. Went to a church we visited often. Big Root Beer drinker. Trump is also winning over twenty something children.

  235. mnw says:

    Cow

    Your governor DOES know he’s digging his grave with his teeth, right?

  236. Tina says:

    I still have Hillary over Flake.

    -jebot

  237. JeffP says:

    241…Tina…that would suck. Voters decide…WTH is that?

  238. Waingro says:

    Boom.

    Strategic Research Associates – #NDSen

    Cramer (R) – 51
    Heitkamp (D) – 41

    Kavanaugh: Support – 60% | Oppose – 27%

  239. Tina says:

    I said it that Mitchie should have stripped Amoral .scumbag Flakey from all committee assignments,

    By many accounts,he has checked out.

    Mitchie may need to do the same with the Maine .chicklet and planned parenthood.

    Senator planned parenthood should be willing to vote yes,Maine Mitchie saved her.

  240. NYCmike says:

    “I would absolutely vote for Flake over Trump.”

    -I should have clarified that my question pertained to Flake running as an Independent, so that it would be Trump vs. Flake vs. socialist/marxist of the Democrats.

  241. Tina says:

    There is no difference between the Jebots and Flakey.

    Flakey is pro Obama.

    Jebots are pro Hillary.

  242. NYCmike says:

    “CG”,

    At least you are honest.

    Trump is clearly better than Flake on judges. Even if Flake votes YAY on Kavanaugh, we have seen how the media can mold him. That is a definite NEGATIVE for any President, IF YOU BELIEVE IN SMALLER, MORE LIMITED GOVERNMENT.

    Trump clearly has a better grasp of trade issues, as we see with the new NAFTA agreement being signed shortly.

    Trump clearly realizes that the media is an appendage of the Democratic Party. Flake?

    Will Flake be better on spending?

  243. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    October 1, 2018 at 10:23 pm
    “I would absolutely vote for Flake over Trump.”

    -I should have clarified that my question pertained to Flake running as an Independent, so that it would be Trump vs. Flake vs. socialist/marxist of the Democrats.

    – I would not vote for either if Trump was renominated and Flake ran as an Independent. I would write in another name just as I did in 2016.

  244. NYCmike says:

    Trump’s foreign policy team is first-rate.

    Flake’s team? Scared to think about it. I would predict more Obama-type mush.

  245. JeffP says:

    Saw Graham clip on Hannity Re …Voters decide…didn’t like how he came across.

  246. NYCmike says:

    “– I would not vote for either if Trump was renominated and Flake ran as an Independent. I would write in another name just as I did in 2016.”

    So once again, you would not mind a Democrat winning, when there is a clear choice of one candidate who will push conservative policies.

  247. Phil says:

    Here is the problem for Democrats. The country is about split down the middle on who to believe on this Kavanaugh stuff and whether he should be confirmed. Dems have to defend senate seats in WV, Mt, Mo, ND, Indiana, and Florida. Outside of Florida do you think the voters in those states want Kavenaugh confirmed? Of course they do. – doesn’t matter if decent majorities want him voted down in California, Oregon, and any other state with a Democratic seat. Those are not competitive anyway. Even if you believe the Democrats have an outside chance to win Tennessee and Texas – the Kavenaugh issue cuts against them in those red states making the outside chances in those states even longer. The Supreme Court issue drives up Republican vote in the very states Dems need to win if they are to take the senate. It makes getting the senate just about impossible.

  248. Phil says:

    I still believe Republicans get a split in Nevada and Arizona.

    My current prediction is a Republican two seat pickup in the senate.

  249. lisab says:

    “Time for us white male Christians to take a step back and give power to others, and make ourselves dispensable,” says Matthew Dowd

  250. Tina says:

    Goober may have gone wobbly.

    The Potomac two step and it would appear that Goober does not want to engage the 3 Cuckateers.

  251. mnw says:

    lisab

    and I thought Kristol was a cuck!

    Anybody really think that cuck Dowd is a “Christian”?

  252. Tina says:

    Well here is what Goober said

    Fox News
    @FoxNews
    Follow
    Sen. @LindseyGrahamSC on if Kavanaugh loses a Senate floor vote: “I would renominate him and I would take this case to the American people.” #Hannity pic.twitter.com/9r0rdcaeez

  253. Robbie says:

    NYCmike says:
    October 1, 2018 at 10:29 pm
    “– I would not vote for either if Trump was renominated and Flake ran as an Independent. I would write in another name just as I did in 2016.”

    So once again, you would not mind a Democrat winning, when there is a clear choice of one candidate who will push conservative policies.

    – Says the guy who supported Mourdock who allowed a Democrat to win.

  254. Phil says:

    Gone wobbly? Where do you get that?

  255. lisab says:

    well, i think matthew is right

    he should resign and let a woman take his job

    and he and his dem male friends should stay home in november, and let us decide the election

  256. Robbie says:

    Phil says:
    October 1, 2018 at 10:45 pm
    Gone wobbly? Where do you get that?

    – I think she’s suggesting Graham has gone from being confident Kavanaugh will be confirmed to pondering what might happen if he’s not.

  257. lisab says:

    Anybody really think that cuck Dowd is a “Christian”?
    ———————-

    i don’t know

  258. CG says:

    Same answer, but I don’t think Flake as an Independent makes the most sense.

  259. Tina says:

    It does not appear thatcher have the votes.

    The Cuckateers have colluded with Racoon,

    Flakey is doing everything to,vote no, as are the other two Cuckateers

  260. Tina says:

    Chuck Dowd sounds like a good Socialist.

    Years ago, I savaged him on Twitter.

    Then, he blocked me.

    Figured any campaign person associated with Bush 43 was mush.

    Btw, Bush was supposed to lobby the 3 Cuckateers.

    Way to go Brownie.

  261. mnw says:

    lisab

    Didn’t seem to me like the folks in Johnson City tonight were “ready to give power to others and make themselves dispensable.”

    Seemed more like they wanted WAR.

  262. Marv says:

    #270 Tina,

    What’s the latest on Flake, Collins, and Murkowski?

  263. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Please? Will someone show me where in Lindsey Graham’s interview he indicated he did not think Kavanaugh will be confirmed? Please, I want to know?

    Hannity had to force the question on him of what happens if Kavanaugh is not confirmed, then Graham said renominate and take it to the voters.

    https://twitter.com/hashtag/Hannity?src=hash

  264. Tina says:

    Hi, Marv.

    I linked to a Cth article. Seems like we are heading to #4. Feign outrage at the fib, rushing the report.

    They did not do a thorough job.

    Seems cuckleader flakey, may want the fib to take longer, even though, he said that it must be no more than a week, limited in scope, and only the 5 claims.

    Well, porn lawyer blew up his claim. Claim 4 recanted. Claim 5 had no signed statement.

    Ford blew up today, taken out by the Maricopa Prosecutor.

    That leaves accuser 2.

    Seems like the 3 Cuckateers are now trying to imply that Kavanaugh lied about blacking out 30 plus years ago. They pivot like Drats.

  265. mnw says:

    McConnell said the vote will be this week. I believe him.

    I can help Trump with something he likes to say, as he did tonight:

    “Da Nang Blumenthal” BAD. Clumsy. Not catchy.

    “Da Nang Dick” BETTER. Pithy. Alliterative.

  266. Mr.Vito says:

    Gutfeld

    http://insider.foxnews.com/2018/10/01/greg-gutfeld-rips-matt-damon-kavanaugh-snl-skit-praises-kanye-west

    “Would Damon behave differently if he were the accused?” Gutfeld asked, introducing a clip of Damon saying in 2017 he would “be scorched-earth” in defense of himself in a similar situation.

    “If you make [a #MeToo] claim today to me, I’d be scorched-earth. I [wouldn’t] care if this cost me $10 million dollars… you’re not taking my name from me,” Damon said in the interview.”

  267. Marv says:

    Tins….OK, I see your point now. Perhaps Flake is a No vote, but Collins and Murk finally realize that a No vote from them has no upside potential, particularly with a pickup of 3 or 4 GOP Senators supportive of Kav. They would have alienated their fellow GOP colleagues for nothing.

    Graham’s suggestion if a Trump renomination of Kav has some merit.

  268. VictrC says:

    Good evening Folks

    Had a bit of time on my hands with an overnight flight so decided to take a look at RCP and their latest polls in the House races.

    They have 40 as toss up (BTW I have switched FL-27 over to an R seat as I think she will win. Interestingly enough I did a show with her in Miami during the 2010 campaign…in spanish 😉 ).

    Those 40, based on the polls they have listed swings 26R 8D and 6 Tied or no polling.

    That leaves the house 215R 214D with 6 seats undecided. That is how close it is. Talk of this Blue wave might be a bit premature based on the actual polls released in September.

    Just some food for thought

  269. dblaikie says:

    Tina you need to take a breath. Lindsey Graham did not go “wobbly”. I watched the interview. Hannity pressed, I repeat pressed him to answer what if they fell a vote short. Graham answered that Trump should just renominate Kavanaugh. How is that going wobbly? Seems pretty ballsy to me.

    I can’t blame you for becoming jaded the way you have delved into the Mueller Russian nonsense and bless you for it. But have a little faith.

  270. dblaikie says:

    Many folks here seem to get all upset over polls from bogus liberal groups. Well tonight we had a Mason Dixon poll out of North Dakota which is going to blow Washington out of the water. I don’t trust polls but that firm is one of the few that I try to take seriously.

    Heidi is loosing by 10 points after this Kavanaugh farce. That has huge consequences for this whole debate. Afterall the heart of this struggle is about political power. Well Mason Dixon just came out with information that the Dems. have really gone over the top, they are going to be up the creek without a paddle because of the despicable treatment of the Judge.

    If Mason Dixon is accurate for the Democrats:
    North Dakota is gone.
    Indiana is gone.
    Tennessee is gone.
    Missouri is gone.

    If this indignation reaches beyond the Red State Midwest then it gets worse for them:
    Arizona is gone.
    Nevada is gone.
    If Mancion votes no of course W. Virginia is gone.
    Remarkably maybe New Jersey is gone.

    Do to their evil the Democrats may have just created a red wave tsunami in the Senate.

  271. janz says:

    I like your optimism, db!

  272. dblaikie says:

    I would like to show you the crap that CNN puts out in their polls. This one is of the Nevada Senate. Please understand I grew up in Nevada and I know its demographics. Well here is their sample:

    A total of 1,003 adults who live in Nevada were interviewed by telephone by live interviewers calling both landline
    and cell phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 32% described themselves as Democrats, 26% described themselves as Republicans, and 42% described themselves as independents or members of another party.

    What is really bogus is the 26% percent Republican and the 42% independents. What a joke.

  273. GF says:

    “So much for small-D democracy in the US, eh? Extreme Gerrymandering is anti-American.”
    **************************************************

    Perhaps you Pinkos should not pack yourselves into 80%+ Dem urban districts and start living out in the suburbs, exurbs, and rural areas with the people you hate and wish to subdue so you can start flipping more seats. Until then, enjoy your yoga and lattes in the big cities!

  274. Hugh says:

    Unless their is something materially new flake will vote yes. There has been no indication he will do otherwise. Murkowski will vote yes or she will end her career. The election math for Collins is more difficult. But she has been very bullied by the left so I think she will vote yes if for that reason only.

  275. Hugh says:

    A recap for those of you just waking up. Kavanagh and his buddy continued the their gang raping rampage on a credible woman named anonymous in the back seat of a car. She is apparently homeless as she left no contact information. In 1985 Kavanagh threw ice on a guy in a bar. No arrest of Kavanaugh though he almost killed a guy. Another credible accuser who is the best looking of the ones we can find gave names of 4 witnesses. One is dead likely killed by Kavanagh. One is a lying POS who claims she doesn’t know the gang rape victim and two are not returning phone calls. Nothing new from dr Ford who is hypnotizing herself to try and fill in the details so more to come. And finally the lady who got hit in the face with Kavanaughs unit has a witness who was contacting by a friend of the gang raping Kavanagh and who speculates Kavanaugh was orchestrating a defense which is a crime in North Korea . I think this sums it up.

  276. Messy says:

    Apparently, a conservative party won the provincial elections in Quebec. the PQ lost most of it’s seats. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-coalition-avenir-quebec-wins-historic-majority-as-voters-soundly/

    Both the PQ and the Liberals (the Libs aren’t always particularly liberal) were notorious corrupt.

  277. DW says:

    A possible BOOM in the making…Siena finished their first night of polling NC_09. Four of the forecasters say Lean D. It is therefore well below the magic line. With 181 calls complete, the Republican leads by 10 points.

  278. DW says:

    VA_10

    Wexton 50
    Comstock 44

    Monmouth

    Their last poll was Wexton +10

  279. Messy says:

    226. Yes we are. A small-d democratic one. Here the people rule. However, many here don’t want that.

    282. That’s why I hang out here. Y’all as such optimists. Sorry, it’s not going to happen.

    268. https://www.bustle.com/articles/195434-what-does-cuck-mean-the-alt-right-uses-this-offensive-term-often