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Biden/Sanders Both Lead Trump By 10% Nationally

Emerson College has put out a new poll today showing Joe Biden’s lead over Bernie Sanders standing at 7%.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 34%
Bernie Sanders 27%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Kamala Harris 7%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Cory Booker 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Everyone Else >1%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Bernie Sanders (D) 55%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

Kamala Harris (D) 52%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 52%
Donald trump (R-inc) 48%

This poll was done June 21-24 among 1096 registered voters and 457 Democratic primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 9:10 am
Filed under: General | Comments (79)

79 Responses to “Biden/Sanders Both Lead Trump By 10% Nationally”

  1. Tgca says:

    Uno Bebe! Uno!

  2. Phil says:

    So an avowed socialist wins the presidency by double digits.

    Riiiiiiiight

    Garbage in, garbage out.

  3. mnw says:

    Mike

    (from the last thread)

    RE: Gorsuch & the violent crime ruling yesterday:

    The ruling was NOT a sharp departure from previous rulings at all. The Court has been whittling down the statute in question* for a long time.

    The problem is, Congress ‘enumerated’ SOME specific “crimes of violence” in the statute, & those enumerated crimes of violence pass legal muster. However, Congress also included a separate ‘catchall provision,’ in case they unintentionally omitted some atrocity in the enumerated offenses. It is that nebulous ‘catchall’ provision that the Court ruled void for vagueness.

    Imo, what the Court did yesterday is not that big a deal & certainly not unexpected. It’s been trending that way for years. However, a lot of violent federal offenders WILL get their sentences reduced as a result. In its opinion, the Court invited Congress to fix the law, i.e., to remedy the vagueness problem.

    *18 USC 924(c)

  4. mnw says:

    47/51 & -8 today.

  5. DW says:

    With the top three dems for 2020 Biden, Sanders, and Warren (no one else above 7%), the Dems seem poised to take Trump’s age off the table.

    Ages as of January 2021:

    Biden 78
    Sanders 79
    Warren 71

    Of course Trump will be 74. But the problem for Dems is the fact that Biden and Sanders are currently the two front-runners, and of the three, Warren would be the least of the three likely to win a general election. She has all the negatives of Hillary, plus the native American scandal, plus even greater regional identity (hard-core north-east leftist elitist in the mold of John Kerry).

    It is astounding to me that of the 25 Dem candidates, they are somehow managing to help Trump as much as possible by supporting these three instead of a fresh face from somewhere in the American heartland who could resonate better with voters.

    Socialist radical fossil from VT, Socialist hypocrite snob from MA, and worn-out gaffe machine from DE all plays right into Trump’s hands.

    I am not saying Trump is going to win, but wow, Dems are sure helping him.

  6. jason says:

    Drudge has some pessimistic headlines on consumer sentiment and the economy, including slumping home sales.

    Trump is playing with fire with his asinine tariffs and it is beginning to catch up with him. The market hates uncertainty and it seems like the market and businesses are taking seriously the long term damage Trump’s trade wars will do to the economy.

    The one thing he has going for him is the economy, but if that tanks he is toast.

    Trump should take what he can get and declare victory and end the trade wars. Of course, the Chinese are reading the same headlines.

  7. DW says:

    Bernie Sanders of course wants to steal your investments to pay off the student loan debts.

    The fact that such an idea can even be spoken into a microphone without it being an immediate disqualification for office shows how far gone the USA is.

  8. DW says:

    He might be toast even with a good economy Jason, look at 2018–the good economy did nothing to help the house GOP.

  9. Victrc says:

    test

    Ive got four comments waiting in the filter, checking to see if its me or the content.

  10. Paul says:

    5. I agree. As a Democrat, I think any of the top three would be a mistake. I personally would go for Gov. Bullock who isn’t even making it to the debate.

  11. DW says:

    10 – yep with Biden, Warren and Sanders it seems the strategy is to sure up New Hampshire, run up the score in the other New England states, NY, MD, DE, and the pacific coast states. But they already have all those states, and need to improve their standing in the mid-west.

  12. VictrC says:

    I give up. The filter wins

    5 – I agree with your assessment

    Biden is the front runner, and as it stands could beat Trump handily. Long time before the election. The economy is going to dictate how well Trump does, and as Jason stated, even then a good economy could not be enough if Trump continues to act like Trump. Agreed he needs to end the tariff war with China the same way he did with Mexico, come to some sort of “deal” where both sides can claim victory and move on.

    The other dem candidates don’t have a chance though.

  13. mnw says:

    Victr

    Comments NEVER come out of the filter!

  14. Tina says:

    Biden is plunging, if this poll is true.

    Confirms that he had a terrible couple of weeks with the gaffes, touching, and small crowds/low energy.

  15. DW says:

    And lets say as the Democrats get closer to actually voting, they collectively decide that Biden is too old, Sanders too radical, and Warren too out of touch, and they turn to the other 22 candidates for options, they will have the same problem the GOP had in 2016, where the support splinters and they will have someone ‘win’ early caucuses and primaries with 20% of the vote.

    The best case scenario for Dems would be to dump Sanders, Biden, and Warren now, and early on get behind ONE solid candidate who is a fresh face. But that’s not possible because there are too many running.

  16. Victrc says:

    DW. While it’s not impossible as other dark horse candidates have emerged and front runners faded in the past, I can’t see someone other than these three, Harris or potentially Mayor Pete coming out of this pack. The “ moderate” D Govs are not the right demographic and far too “ centrist” for the D primary voters.

  17. John says:

    Goldman Sachs (Barron’s) has a chart just released that predicts Trump’s reelection despite Trump’s low approval numbers. The caveat is that he must stay just at 2.2% GDP or higher (down from 2.9%).

    https://www.barrons.com/articles/donald-trump-goldman-sachs-2020-chart-51561404147

  18. NYCmike says:

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2019/06/25/alitos_strategic_vote_signals_reining_in_of_law_by_regulation.html

    -To think we got Alito instead of Harriet Miers……tell me again, if you are a CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICAN, how is it you don’t fight tooth and nail to get Trump re-elected, despite his shortcomings?

  19. Waingro says:

    Is anybody primarying this guy? If true, what a scumbag.

    Dan Lamothe
    ?
    Verified account

    @DanLamothe
    Follow Follow @DanLamothe
    More
    Congressman Duncan Hunter used campaign money to fund extramarital affairs, prosecutors allege.

  20. Wes says:

    John, in 2006, Barron’s also had a front-page feature story entitled Survivor claiming Republicans would hold Congress.

  21. jason says:

    5. I agree. As a Democrat, I think any of the top three would be a mistake. I personally would go for Gov. Bullock who isn’t even making it to the debate.”

    Paul might be a troll moron, or is it moron troll, but he does show flashes of lucidity.

    I think Bullock or Hickenlooper would be the strongest candidates against Trump, fortunately neither will be nominated.

    Of the viable candidates, I still see Biden as the strongest.

  22. jason says:

    Trump rape accuser E. Jean Carroll once said that “women love” the idea of a man with a “big club” dragging them into a cave.”

    She does have a problem with dressing rooms, however.

  23. Wes says:

    Remember when I said Trump needs to learn when to acknowledge an accusation and fight back?

    This would be that time.

    Carroll lacks credibility but is making a serious charge Trump needs to squelch before it grows legs or leads to the bandwagon effect.

  24. jason says:

    Well, ok..

    E. Jean Carroll tells @Lawrence that she will not seek rape charges against Donald Trump because it would be “disrespectful” to women at the border “who are being raped around the clock”

  25. jason says:

    I think the fact she only makes this charge in the book she wants to sell is enough for me to “squelch” it.

  26. jason says:

    However, Trump’s comment that she is not his type was asinine.

  27. dblaikie says:

    As I have said before I through trying to prove that a poll is bogus. You all can look at the internals and decide for yourself. However I would like to point out a data point from the past. On November 7, 2016 Emerson spewed out this headline, a real blast from the past: https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/304663-emerson-college-polling-predicts-electoral-landslide-for

    If you don’t want to follow the link, here is the heart of their scientific poll, “Emerson predicts Clinton will win the swing states of Colorado, Florida, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Republican nominee Donald Trump is predicted to win Iowa and Ohio.”

    So if you want to take this poll seriously. If you really believe it has nothing to do with helping hype tonight’s debate, go ahead and believe it.

    I do agree with Jason that if the economy turns bad in the next 12 months Trump will lose. The President’s rhetoric aside tariffs are never positive for a economy. They may be an effective weapon in trade negotiations, but it is a weapon that comes with a price. China is paying a price for them and their economy is feeling the heat. At some point we are going to pay a price too.

    What helps Trump, in my opinion, is that even though tariffs are going to drive prices up for many commodities, Trump’s energy policies are blunting that effect. At Costco yesterday in Columbia, South Carolina I paid $2.03 cents per gallon for gas — way down from the Obama years. My Utility bill is down from 3 years ago. Because of that these tariffs have not yet effected my standard of living. However if this trade war deepens that may change — that would be bad.

  28. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    23. “Trump needs to squelch before it grows legs or leads to the bandwagon effect.”

    Caroll is a total ding dong. Watch her CNN interview. You really think she has credibility?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Ahl85ncnxQ

  29. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    28. The video link has been removed by the user; here is another one still up.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4qD0P3FFJ7k

  30. Tina says:

    Yeah, her charge is seriously

    So much so that cn and n’s coops cut her off.

    The accuser appears t9 have mental illness plus drug addictions.

  31. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    19. “Is anybody primarying this guy? If true, what a scumbag.”

    Several candidates are running against him, including the mayors of El Cajon and Temecula. Former congressman Issa appears to be interested in the seat. Hunter’s wife recent entered into a plea deal and testified against her husband. Hopefully Hunter resigns prior to the next election; perhaps it will be part of a plea deal.

  32. NYCmike says:

    “Caroll is a total ding dong. Watch her CNN interview. You really think she has credibility?”

    -SDC,

    You are speaking to Wes……….he has a dance pole in his basement…….

  33. NYCmike says:

    I am SHOCKED that Robbie and “CG” have not chastised Trump for his handling of the Iran issue.

  34. NYCmike says:

    https://sports.yahoo.com/cody-bellinger-wants-fans-to-stop-running-on-the-field-to-hug-him-im-just-trying-to-play-a-game-135806725.html

    -Equal treatment is the answer to this issue.

    Next woman who comes out to hug anyone should be treated the same way a man would be treated.

  35. lisab says:

    at this point in 2015

    clinton was +24!

    it was her high mark against trump

  36. lisab says:

    Bernie Sanders of course wants to steal your investments to pay off the student loan debts.

    The fact that such an idea can even be spoken into a microphone without it being an immediate disqualification for office shows how far gone the USA is.
    —————————————–

    the snowflakes with the huge student loans

    do not have investments.

    i had an acquaintance in ny with $190k in debt

    for a MFA degree

    he made about 40k

  37. NYCmike says:

    #36 – Listen to Dave Ramsey every night……lots of student loan debt stories……

  38. lisab says:

    it is not uncommon for a doctor or dentist to have such high student loans

    they can actually get much of it forgiven if they work for the right community, that is, some communities that don’t have a doctor will pay a doctor’s student loans if they agree to work in the town for a certain number of years

    and

    of course they could work for the military

  39. lisab says:

    Massachusetts man charged in crash that killed 7 motorcyclists

    Volodymyr Zhukovskyy, 23, was arrested by Massachusetts State Police this morning on a fugitive from justice charge out of New Hampshire. That charge was dismissed this afternoon and he was turned over to N.H. law enforcement officials to face seven charges of negligent homicide in connection with Friday’s crash.

    Donald W. Frank, public defender for Zhukovskyy, said the fatal crash “is tragic for the families involved … it’s tragic for his family, too.”

    The crash in Randolph, N.H., Friday afternoon killed seven bikers from a Massachusetts veterans group. Killed in the crash were Jo-Ann and Edward Corr, both 58, of Lakeville, Michael Ferazzi, 62, of Contoocook, N.H., Albert Mazza, 59, of Lee, N.H., Desma Oakes, 42, of Concord, N.H., Aaron Perry, 45, of Farmington, N.H., and Daniel Pereira, 58, of Riverside, R.I.

    All of them died as a result of blunt trauma, according to NH Deputy Attorney General Jane E. Young.

    Several other riders were injured in the devastating wreck.

    Zhukovskyy was driving a 2016 Dodge 2500 pickup towing a car-hauling trailer on Route 2 west about 6:30 p.m. Friday, authorities said, when it struck the group of motorcyclists heading east, authorities said.

    The Massachusetts State Police said troopers also confiscated “wax packets containing a residue suspected of being heroin,” when they arrested Zhukovskyy this morning.

    State police said the packets will be tested and additional charges may be filed if they test positive for heroin.

  40. lisab says:

    Volodymyr Zhukovskyy,

    massachusetts’ man?

  41. lisab says:

    Democratic bigwigs fear debates will devolve into horror show

  42. lisab says:

    Joe Biden Doesn’t Look So Electable in Person

    He may be a likable white man, but his performance on the trail doesn’t inspire confidence.

    ny times

  43. NYCmike says:

    I was looking to take a quick nap……..jason, was there a women’s soccer match on right now?

  44. Wes says:

    I’m guessing you don’t read well, SDC, since I posted these exact words:

    Carroll lacks credibility

  45. Tgca says:

    This is absolutely heartbreaking. I can’t fathom what this poor lil baby experienced in her short life. So sad.

    https://www.breitbart.com/crime/2019/06/25/96-fractures-texas-couple-allegedly-beat-newborn-daughter-to-death/

  46. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    This is amazing. The 4th Circuit has decided that even if the SCOTUS finds for the Trump Administration on the Census question, it can and will jump to place an injunction on placing said question on the Census questionaire basen on discriminatory intent.
    This is complete lawlessness!!!!!!!

    https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/06/census-citizenship-question-hofeller-appeals-court.html

  47. lisab says:

    questions for the democrat debate
    ———————————–

    mr. biden, what is your favourite colour?

    mr. sanders, how bad is the orange man?

    sen warren, will you be nice to putin/russia?

    to save time, we ask the candidates to raise their hands if they agree with the following:

    if you agree with reparations for slavery, raise your hand.

    if you agree with reparations for lgbt oppression, raise your hand.

    if you agree with forgiveness of student loans, raise your hand.

    if you agree with healthcare for all (except for the white middle class), raise your hand.

    if you agree with medicare for all (except for the white middle class), raise your hand.

    if you agree with open borders, which we will describe as an electronic fence on the border, raise your hand.

    if you agree with allowing undocumented workers to get drivers’ licenses and voting, raise your hand.

    if you agree with ufos, astral projections, mental telepathy, ESP, clairvoyance, spirit photography, telekinetic movement, full trance mediums, the Loch Ness monster and the theory of Atlantis, raise your hands.

    well … it seems we all agree …

  48. Wes says:

    I say those parents should be flayed alive and buried neck deep in an African ant hill.

  49. Tgca says:

    Anybody that rapes should be sent to jail for 20+ years and be confined to solitary confinement imo.

    Any woman that lies about rape should be convicted and sent to jail for the same length of time that a rapist would be jailed.

    Too often women lie and exaggerate to garner sympathy and attention. I’ve known a number of females to lie about being abused and sexually assaulted.

    These women should have their lives ruined when they lie about men in such a despicable manner. They deserve no leniency whatsoever because of the damage they inflict upon men.

  50. lisab says:

    oh, i forgot …

    if you had these questions linked to you in advance, raise your hand.

  51. Tgca says:

    49

    Yes. They deserve to rot eternally. How could they put so much pain on a defenseless newborn. I just can’t fathom this level of evil.

  52. Wes says:

    I agree, Tg.

  53. DW says:

    Get the kids in front of the TV. Alonso up to bat with two runners on….

  54. DW says:

    oh well…just missed hitting it out.

  55. Bitterlaw says:

    I hate the Mets.

    Hi, DW.

  56. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    44. “I’m guessing you don’t read well, SDC, since I posted these exact words: Carroll lacks credibility”

    That was the first part of your post, then you went on to say: “Trump needs to squelch before it grows legs or leads to the bandwagon effect.” My response was: “Caroll is a total ding dong. Watch her CNN interview. You really think she has credibility?”

    You contracted yourself saying she had no credibility, then stating her story might grow legs and have a bandwagon effect unless Trump squelched it. I could only see that happening if her story appeared credible to the public. Do you still think Trump needs to move to squelch it or it will grow legs? Seems like the story is going nowhere, despite CNN’s attempt to publicize it.

  57. DW says:

    Its ok bitter, the Mets helped the Phils break their 7 game losing streak.

  58. NYCmike says:

    “I say those parents should be flayed alive and buried neck deep in an African ant hill.”

    -Fine with me.

    How could they do such things to a defenseless infant? Absolutely terrible.

  59. jason says:

    Volodymyr Zhukovskyy,

    massachusetts’ man?’

    He is a Ukrainian national with permanent residency, living in MA.

    He was actually under the risk of deportation due to cocaine and heroin convictions. Not to mention he had other DUIs.

  60. NYCmike says:

    Mets go to the bullpen…..DW to rant in 3……2…..1…..

  61. DW says:

    61 – not ranting anymore because I know its going to happen like it does every game. Mets cannot win.

  62. DW says:

    Waaaay back when it started 6 or 7 years ago, I was very critical of the Mars One project. Had all the earmarks of a hoax and scam. But at the time many were taking it very seriously. I was proven right. The org is now bankrupt and dissolved, and the wiki page has quotes that use the words hoax and scam.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_One

  63. Bitterlaw says:

    In the race to the bottom of the NL East, the Phillies now lead 7-5 in the 7th. Don’t fear, Mets fans. Stay within 2 and strike in the 9th.

  64. Bitterlaw says:

    Villanova Men’s Basketball Coach, Jay Wright, is at the Phillies game. He has a seat right next to a Phillies ballgirl. She is his daughter. That man has a perfect life.

  65. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Here is a portion of the text of the E. Jean Carroll CNN interview:

    “You don’t feel like a victim?” Cooper asked.

    “I was not thrown on the ground and ravished, which, the word ‘rape’ carries so many sexual connotations. This was not sex…this was not sexual,” Carroll said.

    “I think most people think of rape, it is a violent assault,” Cooper responded.

    “I think most people think of rape as sexy,” Carroll said. “Think of the fantasies.””

    CNN should hire her as a talk show host; she would give Rachel Maddow a run for her money.

  66. John says:

    Sanders now leads in NH 28-24%?
    https://www.changeresearch.com/crooked-change-pre-debate-poll
    Here come the change….

  67. Cash Cow TM says:

    13th

    JUNE 19, 2019

    On Monday, New York joined the 12 other states that let undocumented immigrants get driver’s licenses.

    Source: Tribune News Service

  68. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Here are two excerpts from the Slate review of E. Jean Carroll’s book, which they fawn over.

    “#MeToo allegations were always bound to become literature. They had to. The vehicle through which these incidents are reported would at some point adapt in order to address the formal impossibilities of the things it’s asked to do. Carroll’s essay is just such an expansion. What she produces, instead of a direct account of what was done and by whom, is an arch and experimental essay that keeps nodding at readerly expectations and deciding not to meet them.

    * * * *

    Carroll is brutally candid about the crude “battle of the sexes” gamesmanship she took willing part in—like the pleasure she got from tracking the boys who wouldn’t call her and the boys she wouldn’t call. Carroll does not pretend she wasn’t sexually adventurous. She also does not hide that she remained in a bizarre situation with her boss in order to have the filet mignon, and clarifies that she saw this then as spunky rather than dangerous conduct”

  69. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Romney wants carroll’s sexual assault allegations investigated! What a guy!

    https://libertyunyielding.com/2019/06/26/2-gop-senators-want-more-info-on-rape-allegation-against-trump/

  70. Bitterlaw says:

    Senator Ernst also wats it investigated. Why did Sheeple not criticize her?

  71. Tgca says:

    Senator Ernst is principled and dignified.
    Senator Romney is a lowlife scum opportunist with no principles.

    Both can be true.

    See! Like FOX News, I can be fair and balanced.

  72. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    Leftist violence against conservatives continues. This is serious sh*t.The assaulter got within inches of Trump’s son.

    https://townhall.com/tipsheet/leahbarkoukis/2019/06/26/eric-trump-spit-on-n2549008

    #71
    My point is that Romney seeths with hatred toward the President and has become unhinged in the process. He(and SOS Clinton) appear consumed by the thought that narcissistic blowhard(and that is how I describe Trump’s character)President Trump sits in the White House and not him! (In 2020, I will vote with great enthusiasm for The Donald because of his policies especially the way he has re-shaped the Federal Judiciary.)

  73. Paul says:

    74: We in Chicago don’t like dickheads.

  74. Bitterlaw says:

    I don’t know if I will be able to vote FOR Trump in 2020 but I will vote AGAINST the Democrat’s nominee. Fortunately, the voting machines in my town have that option.

  75. Bitterlaw says:

    Paul – Mayor Emmanuel disproved that statement.

  76. NYCmike says:

    “I don’t know if I will be able to vote FOR Trump in 2020”

    -I will vote FOR Trump in 2020, with more enthusiasm than any person I have voted for.

    There is always the chance it will backfire on all of us, as he will not have any reason to stay sane, since he will not be up for re-election. That is the system we live under, and in my opinion, it is the lesser evil to have an unpredictable President Trump vs the definite evil of a government-centered Democratic candidate win the office.

  77. NYCmike says:

    “74: We in Chicago don’t like dickheads.”

    -Hopefully, you stay in Chicago, and don’t leave. I’ll visit Nashville instead.