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Harris Moves To Within 2% of Biden Nationally, Within 8% in IA

Quinnipiac University is joining CNN in showing Kamala Harris surging and Joe Biden fading in the Democratic primary race.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (CNN)
Joe Biden 22%
Kamala Harris 20%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Everyone Else 0%

This poll was done June 28-July 1 among 554 Democratic primary voters. Meanwhile in Iowa, Harris has also moved into second place here as well and is now within single digits of Biden according to USA Today and Suffolk University.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (USAT/Suffolk)
Joe Biden 24%
Kamala Harris 16%
Elizabeth Warren 13%
Bernie Sanders 9%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 28-July 1 among likely caucus goers.

Posted by Dave at 9:36 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (80)

80 Responses to “Harris Moves To Within 2% of Biden Nationally, Within 8% in IA”

  1. Tgca says:

    Uno Bebe! Uno!

  2. Tgca says:

    Lee Iacocca dead at 94.

  3. Cash Cow TM says:

    Pete Buttigieg 4%

    PETE IS PLUNGING?!?

  4. Tina says:

    Buttplug is plunging.

  5. gameboy says:

    Yes, Pete the Mayor is done. He doesn’t stand a chance after calling the entire police force of South Bend racists in an effort to gain political points. That will really play well in middle america….. Obama used to pull crap like that. He was able to get away with it for obvious reasons. The winner of the democrat primary in my opinion, FWIW lol, will NOT be any of the current 4 front runners. Sanders is too crazy, Warren is too radical, Harris comes across as a meanie, and Biden has the energy of cadaver and might be in a home before 2020. Trump will win in a cakewalk if he faces any of the current four.

  6. Doesn’t matter. Inverted yield curve sustained for a long time along with a retarded trade war and other unforced errors.

    If and when a recession hits, Trump goes from his ceiling of 42% to Dubya territory.

    Dems will win like 8 seats in the senate if that’s the case.

  7. NYCmike says:

    “Trump will win in a cakewalk if he faces any of the current four.”

    -Trump is down by 5. Trump will be down by 5 until Election Day. Trump voters MUST turn out. That is his only chance to win.*

    *also, if it looks like he is down in the polls, and then wins again, it will mess with “CG” and Robbie that much more!

  8. Bitterlaw says:

    Trump’s biggest issue will be whether he can gain enough new voters like Jason to offset people who sat out 2016 but will vote Dem in 2020. They really exist. Right now, I think PA will go blue in 2020. I hope I am wrong.

    While it is unlikely, I hope that Trump wins the popular AND EC vote. If there is a repeat of 2016, that would mean 3 of 6 elections from 2000 to 2020 sent the popular vote loser to the White House. I would not change the EC but Dems will howl even louder. Of course, they don’t have enough states to support an Amendment right now.

  9. Phil says:

    I believe once the popular vote compact creeps past the magic 270 then the electoral college is effectively gone. Won’t happen prior to 2020 but it will happen. States like Virginia are a couple of seats away in their legislature from having control of governorship and legislature. Michigan is close to the same situation. Pennsylvania is certainly a target. I believe the left is something like 70 or 80 electoral votes from obtaining the tipping point. Once that happens California and NY effectively have control of the WH which of course is the goal and dream scenario for the left in this country.

  10. jason says:

    I am glad I didn’t buy Mayor Butt shares on Predictit…

    I almost did when he was like 12 to 1 but then it quickly dropped to like 7-1 so I didn’t buy.

    What is a good buy is Trump at 88 cents. When he is nominated you can cash in for a dollar. Of course, if something happens to Trump then you would look like a genius for buying Pence at 4 cents.

    For the Dems Harris is at 27 cents, Biden 22. However, she is down 2 and he is up 2 today, I guess the market didn’t like the poll.

    As far as who wins the GE election D 55 R 47 (separate bets).

    So if you are really sure about it either way, lots of money can be made.

  11. jason says:

    Dems will win like 8 seats in the senate if that’s the case.”

    Terrific, I would love to see 92 Rs in the Senate.

  12. jason says:

    Inverted yield curve sustained for a long time ”

    Does anyone think the idiot troll even knows what an inverted yield curve is?

  13. Sheeple, Jr. says:

    #12
    jason, this is why–a new Washington Post/ ABC shows the following:

    ABC/WP: Biden 30, Sanders 19, Harris 13, Warren 12, Buttigieg 4

  14. jason says:

    Trump’s biggest issue will be whether he can gain enough new voters like Jason”

    I bet at least half of the never Trumpers from 2016 will now vote for him.

    The problem is there were never a lot of them to start with.

  15. jason says:

    Yeah, Sheep, this is why I said yesterday its Biden vs. the Flavor of the Day.

    Every time one of the other contenders gains traction there will be a counter reaction and that candidate will become a target.

    If that is the case, Biden might end of prevailing unless the Dems can really coalesce around one of the others. That does not seem likely at the moment, the only ones who will drop out early are the fringe candidates.

  16. Tina says:

    No, Souter 2.0 is an idiot.

    Bill Mitchell
    @mitchellvii
    ·
    1h
    Chief Justice Roberts reasoning for siding with the Liberals on the Census question was nonsensical and specious. Pretty much like his reasoning on the Obamacare decision.

    He is clearly compromised.

  17. jason says:

    Dang, dead ringer for Lupita….

  18. Cash Cow TM says:

    Í went along with Walt for his first physical therapy session.

    You cannot believe the stares I am getting here sitting in thew waiting room.

    Like they never saw a cow in a waiting room before….

  19. jason says:

    Some of the state winner predictions for 2019 on Predictit.

    Trump
    Florida 58%
    Wisconsin 36%
    Iowa 63%
    Ohio 67%
    North Carolina 56%
    New Hampshire 29%
    Colorado 19%
    Virginia 19%
    Michigan 36%

    So basically Trump will need the firewall to crumble again.

  20. jason says:

    Huh, 2020.

  21. jason says:

    He is clearly compromised.”

    Zzzzzzzz….

    He is clearly not a robot.

    Roberts is a conservative. The vast majority of his votes trend conservative.

    He is not going to vote 100% the way Tina or I want him to vote.

    Both can be true.

  22. Phil says:

    Shifting SOME production from China to places like Vietnam is possible for some American companies, but there are problems. Unlike China places like Vietnam don’t currently have the infrastructure and electricity capacity to support manufacturing. That limits them as an option. That kind of transition is going to be slow. Heard a CEO for a major manufacturing country in an interview detail these kinds of roadblocks.

  23. Bitterlaw says:

    Jason – Tina hates SCOTUS libs for voting in lockstep but wants conservative SCOTUS Justices to vote in lockstep.

    Roberts is a conservative who sometimes rules differently than I would.

  24. Phil says:

    Trump will need the firewall to crumble again.

    Yep – which is why he needs someone like Harris or Warren to get the nomination. Even then it only gives Trump a chance. Not a lock but opens the door a crack.

    Reparations, open borders, free healthcare for illegals, busing, abolition of private healthcare, radical gun control….and the rest of the left’s radical agenda is the goal. Whether they can actually win running on this crap is what we will find out in 2020. If we have reached that point it’s pretty much over.

  25. Tina says:

    Yup, “conservative” on Obamacare and census. Admit it, another open borders, big gubment “conservative.”

    “Roberts is a conservative who sometimes rules differently than I would.”

  26. Phil says:

    Roberts is another W mistake.

    Notice Democrats in the WH don’t put anyone on the Supreme Court that deviates at all from the agenda.

    They play to win – and they are right on the verge.

  27. Tina says:

    Trump,should just order census to print the form with the citizenship question and tell the Sc to phuq off.

    Have Souter 2.0 rule against it outright. Not a decision saying it’s legal, but we don’t like why Commerce Secretary determined to add the question.

  28. Tina says:

    A bush mistake, one that he elevated to Chief Justice.

    Bush 43 was and is a disaster.

  29. Phil says:

    …and of course his dad gave us Souter and Ford gave us Stevens.

    One side plays to win.

  30. Phil says:

    Navy SEAL found not guilty, and of course the left is pissed off about that.

  31. Bitterlaw says:

    Roberts was wrong on Obamacare and census. Right on guns, bakers, and Hobby Lobby, and many other issues.

  32. Bitterlaw says:

    Roberts was not a great pick. Alito was a great pick. Both can be true.

  33. Tgca says:

    Some people think Ginsberg was a great pick and that Rehnquist was a horrible pick. Go figure.

  34. Waingro says:

    Never heard of this polling outlet, but:

    Reid J. Epstein
    ?
    Verified account

    @reidepstein
    34m34 minutes ago
    More
    New Iowa poll from @IAStartingLine :

    Warren 20
    Harris 18
    Biden 17
    Sanders 12
    Buttigieg 10
    Klobuchar 4
    Booker 2
    ten candidates at 1

  35. Tina says:

    Well Biden has collapsed, now third in Iowa, if true.

  36. NYCmike says:

    I have linked to several cases where Gorsuch has sided with the liberals. Those have mainly been on cases where the legislature left a statute with unclear wording, which made for drastically different sentences, usually dependent upon the quality of ones counsel. Important, of course, but not with YUGE implications.

    Roberts has sided with the liberals in cases which affect large parts of the national economy, and now with the census issue, our national security.

    Pretty big difference, but not enough for a lawyer to notice.

  37. Hugh says:

    16. My gay brother in law voted for hrc and is voting for trump this time.

  38. jason says:

    Roberts has sided with the liberals in cases which affect large parts of the national economy, and now with the census issue, our national security.”

    Translation: Roberts only votes conservative on issues NYC doesn’t care about, the issues he sided with liberals are the ones NYC thinks are most important.

  39. jason says:

    “Roberts was wrong on Obamacare and census. Right on guns, bakers, and Hobby Lobby, and many other issues.”

    Exactly.

    Roberts is a staunch conservative, and has proven it again and again.

    I disagreed on Obamacare. I disagree on the census.

    But saying Roberts is not a conservative because you disagree with some of his votes is asinine.

  40. Tina says:

    Well, no retreat on the census. I say add the question and print the form, and phuq Rino Roberts.

    Donald J. Trump
    @realDonaldTrump
    ·
    4m
    The News Reports about the Department of Commerce dropping its quest to put the Citizenship Question on the Census is incorrect or, to state it differently, FAKE! We are absolutely moving forward, as we must, because of the importance of the answer to this question.

  41. Waingro says:

    What’s going on? Is Trump saying he’s going to defy the SCOTUS order and steamroll this through?

    Donald J. Trump
    ?
    Verified account

    @realDonaldTrump
    Following Following @realDonaldTrump
    More
    The News Reports about the Department of Commerce dropping its quest to put the Citizenship Question on the Census is incorrect or, to state it differently, FAKE! We are absolutely moving forward, as we must, because of the importance of the answer to this question.

    10:06 AM – 3 Jul 2019

  42. jason says:

    My gay brother in law”

    Your sister married a gay guy?

    Or your brother is gay?

    Not that it matters, but I get bored quickly with the “Roberts is not a conservative because he doesn’t vote 100% the way I want” argument.

  43. jason says:

    There was no SCOTUS ruling on the census question itself.

    It was remanded back to the lower court.

    Roberts expressed doubts on the arguments that were presented by the administration.

    Those are the facts.

  44. Bitterlaw says:

    This lawyer noted that Roberts tried to not make legislative decisions on cases like Obamacare. The truck dispatcher can’t follow the legal arguments.

  45. jason says:

    The issue is that the Constitution mandates the census by a certain date, and so the administration is running out of time to print the form.

    What they should do is try to change the argument so maybe Roberts will buy it. I doubt it but give it a shot.

  46. Tina says:

    He is not defying since Souter 2.0 said it was a legal (constitutional question) to ask. However, Souter did not like the motive of the commerce secretary because deep down Souter is for open borders aka Chamber of commerce.

    So, technically, by adding the question, the Supreme Court has not said no.

  47. jason says:

    s Trump saying he’s going to defy the SCOTUS order and steamroll this through?”

    No.

  48. NYCmike says:

    jason says Roberts is a “conservative”, but he voted to keep Obamacare with some ridiculous reasoning.

    “CG” says he is a “conservative”, yet he wants Trump to lose and allow a socialist/communist to become President.

    “conservative” has an odd definition at HHR.

  49. jason says:

    deep down Souter is for open borders aka Chamber of commerce.”

    Zzzzzzz…..

    Comparing Roberts to Souter is really off the wall, sorry.

    And I very much doubt Roberts is for open borders.

    In fact I would bet my llamas he isn’t.

  50. Tina says:

    Maybe a “judge” can stop the Fourth of July parade in DC.

    -Jebot

  51. Bitterlaw says:

    Perhaps Tina can share the SCOTUS decision that ruled on border security. I did not see it published.

  52. Tina says:

    There are plenty of courts ruling on border security decisions, Bl.

    This is one reason why the border is a mess because of the black robed idiots, particularly at the district level.

  53. NYCmike says:

    In regard to if Roberts is “conservative” or not, that isn’t the point.

    The simple fact is that, on issues which affect the whole population on a daily basis, as opposed to issues where a judgment mainly affects individuals, Roberts has sided with the liberal wing. Public pressure/media exposure seems to get the better of him.

  54. Bitterlaw says:

    NYC is a “conservative” who supports tariffs and the AFL-CIO’s trade policies.

    HHR truly does have odd definitions.

  55. Tina says:

    Maybe Quittens will again praise Antifa.

    Real conservatives like Obamacare, open borders, and praise domestic terrorists.

  56. NYCmike says:

    “Comparing Roberts to Souter is really off the wall, sorry.”

    -Agreed, except on the Obamacare decision.

  57. jason says:

    ason says Roberts is a “conservative”, but he voted to keep Obamacare with some ridiculous reasoning.”

    No, moron , I say Roberts is a conservative because he has decades on the bench at various levels ruling as a conservative in the vast majority of cases.

    If you want to cherry pick 2 decisions out of the hundreds you could choose from to make an alternate argument, go ahead.

    It’s what morons do.

    The fact is that in 800 decisions on SCOTUS, there were only 15 times that Roberts was the deciding vote on the “liberal side”.

    Souter 2.0 my ass.

  58. Bitterlaw says:

    Tina- You criticized Roberts for open border decisions. Not district courts. I agree that the district courts are chaotic.

  59. NYCmike says:

    “No, moron , I say Roberts is a conservative because he has decades on the bench at various levels ruling as a conservative in the vast majority of cases.”

    -Does he have an ACU rating as well?

    You use that to measure Republicans sometimes…..except when it doesn’t fit, like with Rand Paul.

    the Obamacare decision was an Obamanation, just admit it.

  60. jason says:

    Agreed, except on the Obamacare decision.”

    Zzzzzzzz…….

    He did vote with the other conservatives on that decision.

    You might consider his reasoning ridiculous.

    It does not mean he is not a conservative.

  61. Waingro says:

    “The issue is that the Constitution mandates the census by a certain date, and so the administration is running out of time to print the form.”

    Right but the DOJ/Commerce stated yesterday the forms would be printed out without the question. Is Trump now saying that’s not necessarily true?

    “There was no SCOTUS ruling on the census question itself.

    It was remanded back to the lower court.”

    True. And I guess, technically the original District Court order, blocking the question due to arbitrary and capriciousness, was vacated by SCOTUS. So currently there is no judicial order “blocking” the question.

    But if Trump/DOJ/Commerce print out the question anyway, then obviously I would assume there would be an immediate injunction sought and probably granted by a District Court judge.

    Point being: the question is effectively blocked by the judicial branch (for the time being) whether it’s SCOTUS or not.

  62. jason says:

    Huh, he did NOT vote with the other conservatives on that decision.

    Where is my coffee?

  63. NYCmike says:

    Obamacare ruling affects 20% of the economy.

    Gorsuch sided with the liberals on a case which affected .00002% of the citizens of this country.

    Aholes say “SAME THING!”

  64. Bitterlaw says:

    NYC will support Deadenders who lose winnable Senate seats but blames Roberts for bad laws.

  65. Waingro says:

    Dara Lind
    ?
    Verified account

    @DLind
    13m13 minutes ago
    More Dara Lind Retweeted Reuters Top News
    We have hit the point where the president’s words are just mouth noises. Either the forms have been sent to print without the question, or they have not. And every indication is that they have.

  66. NYCmike says:

    “Where is my coffee?”

    -Check with your brain……your pants are probably wet now.

  67. jason says:

    he question is effectively blocked by the judicial branch (for the time being) whether it’s SCOTUS or not.”

    Ok, so you moved the goalposts.

    I responded to your question was he going to defy the SCOTUS order.

    Yes, the lower court had blocked the census question.

  68. jason says:

    The simple fact is that, on issues which affect the whole population on a daily basis, as opposed to issues where a judgment mainly affects individuals, Roberts has sided with the liberal wing.”

    BS.

    That is your interpretation, but there is no factual basis to it.

    Roberts has been involved in hundreds of decisions that may or not “affect the population on a daily basis”.

    And there is no evidence the census question “affects the population on a daily basis”, certainly not in the short term anyway.

  69. Tina says:

    I am triggered by tanks in the Fourth of July parade.

    -Jebot

  70. mnw says:

    RAS today 49/50 & -6.

    JA is same as Zero on this date in 2011. I thought he would get a bump from G20, but not so far.

    DJIA has now joined S&P in hitting an all-time high. Best economy EVAH! Doo-dah, Doo-dah.

  71. jason says:

    “Check with your brain……your pants are probably wet now.”

    Clever.

    Did you think of that yourself or was it in your “Moronic Sayings for Dummies” handbook?

  72. jason says:

    Poor mnw, so deluded.

    The economy is only important if its good during Democratic administrations or bad under Republican one.

  73. Waingro says:

    “Ok, so you moved the goalposts.

    I responded to your question was he going to defy the SCOTUS order.

    Yes, the lower court had blocked the census question.”

    If you want to call it that, that’s fair. I am admitting that there technically is no SCOTUS order blocking the question currently in effect, so it was an original poor choice of words and suggestion on my part.

    But the practical effect of “blocking” is there.

  74. NYCmike says:

    “That is your interpretation, but there is no factual basis to it.”

    -Interpretation?

    Healthcare is an issue people deal with every day.
    Were people born today? Died today?

    The Census determines the number of representatives each state gets, which then determines appropriations the state gets.

    Where is the interpretation?

  75. Tina says:

    Notice how marketwatch continues to post thread after thread about how bad the econ9my.

    We are buying too much stuff, this is bad.

    The ism at 55 has plunged since 11/18.

  76. Chicon says:

    So, American companies that make stuff in China are just moving their factories to avoid a tariff? I’m sure that happened in previous tariff examples in the 1600’s often cited by the trade deadenders.