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Sanders Leads Biden By 7% in IA

    Joe Biden is hoping to have a Kansas City Chiefsesque comeback in his bid to win in Iowa on Monday based on the latest poll from Emerson College this evening that has Bernie Sanders holding a 7% lead.

    PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (Emerson)
    Sanders 28%
    Biden 21%
    Buttigieg 15%
    Warren 14%
    Klobuchar 11%
    Yang 5%
    Steyer 4%
    Everyone Else 1% or less

    This poll was done January 30-February 2 among 853 likely caucus goers.

Posted by Dave at 10:49 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (331)

331 Responses to “Sanders Leads Biden By 7% in IA”

  1. VictrC says:

    1st baby

  2. VictrC says:

    Ok. So what do the prediction contests start.

    And more importantly, what round are we predicting. I’m already kind of confused. What results will actually be posted? What are the final results?

    First round I am thinking Sanders might get to 30%. The rest, total wildcards. Is anyone really excited for Biden. Where he might make a move is second round, getting more delegates, but which is the result the public sees? That’s the one which will have the most impact on the next couple of primaries.

  3. Tgca says:

    Tres Bebe! Tres!

  4. Tina says:

    Quote Tweet

    Wojciech Pawelczyk
    @PolishPatriotTM
    · 3h
    President Trump on Bernie Sanders: I think he’s a communist. I think of communism when I think of Bernie. You could say socialist, but didn’t he get married in Moscow? ?

  5. Tina says:

    Congrats mnw.

    Better team won.

  6. mRviTO says:

    Emerson has Sanders up by 15 in New Hampshire.

  7. Bitterlaw says:

    I think next year’s SB has a good chance of being a rematch.

  8. Tina says:

    Telling that cnn thinks that since sanders ahead (at least in the first 2 contests) that they start fronting for Dumberg.

    CNN
    @CNN
    · 2h
    “Democratic presidential candidate Mike Bloomberg’s financial resources and ability to appeal to moderates might make him a strong challenger against Trump,” write Robert Alexander and Lauren Copeland for @CNNOpinion https://cnn.it/3b7pbKU

  9. VictrC says:

    Does anyone think that Bloomberg will govern as a moderate if elected, especially with a Dem House?

    Let’s see where will he be moderate?

    2nd Amendment. – No
    climate Change – No
    Abortion – No
    Judges – No
    Regulations – No
    Decreased Govt – No
    Tax Cuts – No (I expect he would be ok with going to 49% top rate, increase in corporate and cap gains taxes but just not as much as the others)

    So what exactly is Bloomberg moderate on? Oh wait, stop and frisk. He’s pro police right. Oh wait, he walked that back.

    So, yeah. Basically more of the same. Does anyone think that he can carry PA, Mi and WI? He will need all three and not sure how much a “ill tell you how much Soda you can drink” Ny Billionaire who bought the nomination will do there.

  10. lisab says:

    “We stand right at the pivot point as the state that could push one candidate or the other across the Electoral College finish line,” said Charles Franklin, political science professor and renowned Marquette University Law School pollster. A win in Wisconsin translates to 10 Electoral College votes, while Michigan has 16 and Pennsylvania 20.

    And, according to the latest poll by Marquette University, Wisconsin voters are warming to Trump. In January 2019, 44 percent gave the president a positive job-approval rating; by January 2020, that number had grown to 48 percent. In theoretical matchups with the leading Democratic candidates, only Joe Biden (49 percent) currently bests Trump (45 percent) in Wisconsin.

    “His job approval has inched up over the course of the last 12 months, and [his disapproval rating] has worked its way down from 53 to 49 percent,” said Franklin.

  11. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    10. If Trump is pulling even in Wisconsin, its not a good sign for the Democrats — who am sure will have a unpleasant civil war over the next several months.

    The irony of the impeachment saga is the candidate it may have damaged the most is Biden. The fact Hunter Biden followed his father like a parasite with his hand out, gathering millions of dollars, has been front page news for a couple of months. Voters are realizing the Bidens are as seedy as the Clintons. Impeachment was a major blunder in this regard.

  12. PresidentPaul! says:

    Corona counter

    362 dead vs 523 who have recovered

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

  13. Bitterlaw says:

    Happy Iowa Caucus Day!

  14. PresidentPaul! says:

    TSLA will be world’s largest auto maker by year end despite us going to into a possible world wide recession.

    Who the hell buys a growth stock in a recession?

  15. dblaikie says:

    Good morning folks. This will be an interesting week. If Bernie wins big in Iowa it will send shudders down the dem corridors of money and power. The State of the Union given in the death throws of Impeachment should be the best political TV in years. Pass the popcorn. And finally the acquittal vote right after the SOTU will be like whip cream on top of fresh strawberry pie. With Bernie the front runner, Impeachment behind him Trump is going to be a huge winner — unless something happens.

  16. PresidentPaul! says:

    I doubt it. Bernie will probably be stronger than most of the rest of the dem field since these are just base turnout elections.

    Certainly stronger than demented Joe.

  17. PresidentPaul! says:

    Porsche, Nissan, Chevvy make fools of themselves.

    NFL Players Love Tesla — No Need For Super Bowl Ads

    https://cleantechnica.com/2020/02/02/nfl-players-love-tesla-no-need-for-super-bowl-ads/

  18. DW says:

    Biden is toast. The tag on his collar did in fact say, “Best if used by 2016.”

  19. PresidentPaul! says:

    It’s just like the flu folks. Don’t worry no big deal.

    Mike Buckley

    @MikeBuckley2020

    ·
    45m
    “But you should be more worried about the flu” You can believe that if you want, but since when does the flu render emergency phone lines useless? Who orders mass pet slaughters and immediate cremation of bodies over the flu? No one.

  20. jason says:

    Down 10 with 9 minutes to go, Chiefs win by 11. Pretty good swing for a young QB and, according to Jason, an incompetent moron coach.”

    Zzzzzzz……

    My take on the SB:

    I bet on the Chiefs because 1.5 points was too low, the Chiefs are a better team and should have been favored by 5.

    SF got screwed by the Refs on at least 4 significant plays during the game, but the Mahones TD was not one of them, the tip of the ball was touching the line. In the end, the better team still deserved to win.

    Andy Reid is still dumber than a doorknob and cost the Eagles and the Chiefs countless games due to his stupidity.

    All the above can be true.

    Bitter can GFH.

  21. jason says:

    Biden is toast. The tag on his collar did in fact say, “Best if used by 2016.”

    Huh….. I think it said 1996.

  22. DW says:

    23 – good point jason. Biden is way out of date. Trump vs Sanders will be a very interesting matchup. Sanders has the task of convincing everyone in a good economy that the economy isn’t really good, and in fact would be oh so much better if we had communism. The hard left will love him, but they were already going to vote Dem. Sanders has to convince the moderates and independents, and I don’t think he has it in him.

  23. Bitterlaw says:

    Jason is now officially a clown. Even MD posted on Facebook that he is glad Reid won.

  24. jason says:

    Sanders is the ideal candidate for Trump to run against, presuming he loses big.

    Beyond ensuring another 4 years for Trump, a wipe out could maybe convince at least some Dems that they have gone way too far to the left, which would be healthy for the country.

    There would have to be a faction in the party that says hey, do we really want to give the party to the AOCs and Omars?

  25. jason says:

    MD and Bitter are buddies now on FB?

    Who knew?

    Reid is still a fat moron. But I am glad he won too because now I have money to buy beer and toast a GFY to Bitter.

  26. Bitterlaw says:

    I have been FB friends with MD for more than a decade.

    Reid called all of the plays on offense. He is not a moron. Jason is just hurt that he was so spectacularly wrong about Reid. However, if Jason wants to come to my house and watch the ceremony when Reid is inducted into the HOF in a few years, he is welcome.

  27. jason says:

    Early exits look good for Bernie.

  28. jason says:

    Jason is just hurt that he was so spectacularly wrong about Reid”

    LOL

    I was right about Reid for 21 years and 14 playoff game losses.

    But I am glad Bitter finally got to be “right about Reid” once.

  29. jason says:

    I have been FB friends with MD for more than a decade.”

    Hey, Ma, that worked.

  30. jason says:

    Bitter’s dedication to Reid, who was spectacularly stupid in countless games for Eagles, reminds me of Corey’s dedication to Cutler, who like Reid, won a lot of meaningless games but always choked on the important one.

    Reid finally came through, he had the better team and great QB.

    But he is still a moron. Deal with it.

  31. Big Joe says:

    #2 Vic,
    I think three sets of results are being reported tonight.
    1- Total raw vote count for round 1
    2- Total vote count after voters of non-viables select their 2nd choice
    3- Delegate count.

    I guess we could have three different winners. Iowa could provide clarity, or could provide nothing 😀

    Big Joe

  32. jason says:

    I think Bitter and Corey suffer from a football version of the Stockholm Syndrome.

  33. jason says:

    Big Joe, the delegate count will probably be the most meaningless. Followed by round one. Most important round 2.

    But if there are 3 different results, or even 2, the spin will be momentous.

    Go Bernie!

  34. jason says:

    “Jason is now officially a clown.”

    Should get points except for Bitter’s conflict of interest.

    Sighh…

  35. jason says:

    Corona counter

    362 dead vs 523 who have recovered”

    Alarmist BS, leaves out the most important figure.

    The mortality rate is at most 2% more likely closer to 1% since a lot of cases go unreported and people recover anyway.

  36. PresidentPaul! says:

    #37

    1% would be very high considering the flu is 00.1%

    TSLA absolutely BOOOOOMIN today

  37. PresidentPaul! says:

    Bernie Sanders weighs in on Jim Cramer’s call to get out of fossil fuel stocks

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p6hUDSg5OB8

  38. PresidentPaul! says:

    TSLA is booming in anticipation of a bernie bounce.

  39. jason says:

    So much for the “overwhelming evidence” so far..

    “Manchin says he won’t know how he’ll vote on conviction until Wednesday. “I won’t know until I walk in – I swear to God I won’t know until I walk in.”

    I asked him if he’s winging it. “I’m not winging it,” saying he’s going to “dissect it.”

    He added he’s going “back and forth”

  40. jason says:

    Sounds like he will vote to acquit on one count and convict on the other.

    Zzzzzzz…

  41. Waingro says:

    Patrick Ruffini
    ?
    Verified account

    @PatrickRuffini
    5m5 minutes ago
    More
    Iowa search volume over the last 4 hours expressed as a share of the polling top 5:

    Bernie 35%
    Buttigieg 21%
    Warren 19%
    Biden 16%
    Klobuchar 10%

    No change from Sunday except slightly higher Buttigieg & lower Biden.

  42. Waingro says:

    #41, Manchin would be better off just voting “present” than that mental gymnastics.

  43. Phil says:

    So I take it the Democratic establishment has decided that:

    1) Sanders must be stopped at all costs.

    2) Bloomberg is their chosen one if Biden falters.

    3) The Democratic establishment mostly gets what they want and the fix will be in just like 2016 and Bernie will be screwed over – – again.

    Is that about the size of things?

  44. mRviTO says:

    ESPN
    @espn
    “I didn’t spend the night with the trophy. I spent it with my trophy wife.”

    – Andy Reid after winning the Super Bowl

  45. jason says:

    Bunu, are you really under the mistaken impression anyone here really gives a sh-t about Tesla?

  46. jason says:

    I didn’t spend the night with the trophy. I spent it with my trophy wife.”

    Dang, not bad for a Mormon!

  47. jason says:

    Pass the popcorn

    John Cusack

    F-k DNC & Bloomberg
    Who want one thing –
    to stop sanders –
    Ok you wanna make this like 68? U want to lie – try to buy it & just shove it down our throats?
    F–k You
    We are coming for you too – believe it”

  48. jason says:

    I hear Reid’s wife has two orgasms during sex…once during and the other when he gets off her.

  49. jason says:

    #41, Manchin would be better off just voting “present” than that mental gymnastics.”

    Nah. He knows that would anger both sides.

    He is trying to figure out the least fallout, he knows he will get slammed either way.

    He is weighing whether its best to piss off most of his constituents or his caucus and the MSM.

  50. jason says:

    My IA prediction

    1. Bernie
    2. Biden
    3. Mayor Butt
    4. Warren
    5. Klobuchar

  51. Waingro says:

    #51, maybe but he’s done in 2024 if he votes for removal. I don’t think 4 years will be enough to remove that stench from him. He barely held on 2018 during the blue wave.

  52. jason says:

    PA Dem “moderate” congresswoman begs Iowa and NH to pick a candidate that “can win PA”.

    You can’t make this sh-t up.

    https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/30/opinions/iowa-caucus-goers-choose-moderate-houlahan/index.html

  53. jason says:

    She is right. Bernie won’t win PA. You read it here first.

    Go Bernie.

  54. Waingro says:

    #54, reality is setting in on these “moderates” that Comrade Bernie might well be the nominee and help deliver disastrous results down ballot.

  55. Phil says:

    Bernie won’t win any states. Zero. He’d have to actually get the nomination. It’s pretty obvious that the Democratic establishment has decided not to let that happen.

    The downside of that is with the Bernie supporters in the vital midwestern states. They will be pissed. How many will sit it out in November especially since they aren’t exactly in love with billionaires like Bloomberg anyway?

  56. PresidentPaul! says:

    I think Bernie will be a strong candidate, but I hope I’m wrong.

  57. Waingro says:

    #57, I’d like to think that Phil, but I’m not so sure.

    I haven’t been on here in a while, but is the consensus among Trump supporters to root for Bernie to win the nomination?

    For me, personally: I can’t go there. Way too risky to let that socialist nut job get within one general election of becoming POTUS. As much as I sill have SOME faith that this country hasn’t gone that loco yet.

  58. Greymarch says:

    CAUCUS TIME! CAUCUS TIME! Round em’ up. It will be a raucous caucus! I want Iowa caucus predictions. We all know the rules: NO FENCE-SITTERS. Either give us your caucus predictions, or remain silent. Be bold. Here are my predictions for tonight’s Iowa democratic caucus:

    Bernie 28%
    Biden 22%
    Buttgieg 15%
    Warren 14%
    Klobuchar 10%

    No one else matters. Bloomberg is not contesting IA. Nationally, I put Bloomberg at about 10%.

  59. Greymarch says:

    Its all about beating expectations. Bernie is expected to finish #1 or #2. Biden is expected to finish #2 or #1. Buttgieg is expected to finish in the top 4, Warren is expected to finish in the top 3. Klobuchar is expected to finish in the top 5. The biggest news of the night will be one of three things: either Bernie crushes it more than expected, Buttgieg finishes 2nd, or Klobuchar finishes an unexpected third. If any of those 3 happen, that will be the headlines for tomorrow.

  60. Joe J says:

    Ill take a stab at some predictions..

    Bernie 28%
    Mayor Butt 20%
    Biden 18%
    Warren 14%
    Klobuchar 13%

  61. DW says:

    45 – it depends. If the power-brokers in the Dem party think they cannot beat Trump with the any of the candidates they have, they might just let Sanders be the nominee, just as a concession to the left. Let him be their token candidate, like Mondale or Dole.

  62. jason says:

    Biden loses it with his MSM friends…

    “GUTHRIE: “Has it occurred to you that there’s a certain irony here that the president has accused — has acknowledged wanting to get information about your son, Hunter, and his dealings with Ukraine. And this process of impeachment has ensured that everyone knows about Hunter’s dealings with Ukraine.”
    BIDEN: “That’s a good thing. And no one’s found anything wrong with his dealings with Ukraine, except they said it sets a bad image.”
    GUTHRIE: “Well, do you agree that it sets a bad image?”
    BUDEN: “Yeah. And my son said that.”
    GUTHRIE: “Do you think it was wrong for him to take that position knowing that it was really because that company wanted access to you.”
    BIDEN: “Well that’s not true! You’re saying things you do not know what you’re talking about. No one said that. Who said that? Who said that?”

  63. jason says:

    I think Hunter himself already admitted that he only got the job because his father was VP.

  64. Greymarch says:

    Dont think the Iowa caucuses matter? The past four contested democratic Iowa caucuses (when the prez is running in his own caucus, that’s not a contested caucus), the person who has won the democratic caucus has won the nomination. Gore Iowa won in 2000. Kerry won in 2004. Obama won in 2008 and Hillary won in 2016. The Iowa caucuses matter for the democrats.

  65. mRviTO says:

    I’ll just say how I think this would go if you lumped the CDs together.

    I think Bernie will win the first round in all four CDs.

    I think he will win the second in two or three.

    I think Biden will win at most one.

    I think Klobuchar or Buttigieg will win the fourth and get momentum for NH.

  66. DW says:

    my prediction:

    Commie Bernie 30%
    Buttgig 23%
    Fauxchontas 17%
    Sleepy Joe 12%
    Klobber 12%
    Others 6%

    Biden clings to fourth place, nearly edged out by Klobber.

  67. mRviTO says:

    PO is excited.

    Where’s Nick? Too bad MD chased him off.

  68. Waingro says:

    #68, man, if the results are something like that, the Dem Establishment will be on Stage 5 alert and immediately go ALL in Bloomberg as their savior.

  69. PresidentPaul! says:

    11th case of corona in cali. This thing gonna explode.

  70. mRviTO says:

    David Harsanyi
    @davidharsanyi
    · 15m
    Bloomberg has spent around $200 million in the Dem primary — approximately $194 million more than the NRA spends on an average year in lobbying Congress and approximately $170 million more than the NRA spent on the entire 2016 election. https://nationalreview.com/corner/mike-bloomberg-vs-the-imaginary-all-powerful-gun-lobby/

  71. NYCmike says:

    Comment #43 – “CommieCory” lives!

  72. NYCmike says:

    Just saw the Jeep Bill Murray ad – FANTASTIC!

    I already wanted one, but now need to get it!

  73. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

    Old Man Stalin 28%
    Senile Joe 20%
    The Buttman 17%
    Klobberin’ Klobie 17%
    Lieawatha 11%
    Others 7%

  74. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

    LATE BREAKING GAMECHANGER?

    Ken Bone endorses Andrew Yang for president: ‘#YangGang all the way!’

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/481125-ken-bone-endorses-andrew-yang-for-president-yanggang-all-the-way

  75. jason says:

    The power brokers are going to fight like hell to keep Bernie from winning the nomination.

    You read it here first.

  76. jason says:

    WTF is Ken Bone?

    Sounds like a dogfood brand.

  77. PresidentPaul! says:

    Global economy in free fall but we are printing money today boyz

    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/

  78. jason says:

    Just saw the Jeep Bill Murray ad – FANTASTIC!

    I already wanted one, but now need to get it!”

    As they say, morons will buy dogsh-t in a bag if its sold on TV…

  79. PresidentPaul! says:

    Which algo gonna kick the stops by printing 750.01?

  80. jason says:

    Bernie won’t win any states. Zero. He’d have to actually get the nomination.”

    Well, one can always hope he runs as third party and wins a couple states….

  81. jason says:

    Which algo gonna kick the stops by printing 750.01?”

    Bunu carries on conversations with himself but rumor has it not even he understands them.

  82. Phil says:

    LOL

    So Democrats still using John McCain to undermine Republicans. This is hilarious. Closing arguments for House Managers. Do it for John McCain! John McCain was a huge supporter of Ukraine. He was a great American (except when he ran against Obama lol) and would have opposed holding up Ukrainian aid…therefore impeach Trump. Do it for John! Hell, I didn’t know they could find old John useful even from the grave.

    These people are not only disgusting they are ridiculous.

  83. PresidentPaul! says:

    We printing

    The power of a short squeeze

  84. Victrc says:

    McCain was a hero. That cuts him a lot of slack in my book

    McCain could be a petulant SOB at times

    McCain was a reliable conservative 97% of the time. I wish he was still in the senate

    McCain hated trump (for reason) and lived being the man darling.

    McCain would have voted to acquit so F U Schiff

  85. PresidentPaul! says:

    I’m glad Obama defeated McCain.

    McCain was a manchurian candidate.

  86. NYCmike says:

    McCain was from Manchuria?

    I guess the liberals were right to say he wasn’t born in the states, and therefore not eligible to become President.

  87. Phil says:

    Just stop, bunu.

  88. PresidentPaul! says:

    McCain was running to destroy the republican party not to be president.

  89. Phil says:

    Again, just knock it off, bunu.

  90. PresidentPaul! says:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1TnIjJldvhI

    The actual republican nominee in 2008 was Ron Paul.

    McCain campaign was hoax

  91. Greymarch says:

    This is an interesting take. Not quite sure I agree with it….yet. Iowa is no longer a swing-state? Iowa is now a permanently red state? Obama won it twice, Clinton won it twice and Gore won it in 2000. https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/02/03/whoever-wins-iowa-wont-be-back-110439

  92. lisab says:

    I have been FB friends with MD for more than a decade.
    ———————————

    md and bitterlaw are friends with benefits?

    that explains the sweaters and flower shows

  93. lisab says:

    I was right about Reid for 21 years and 14 playoff game losses.
    ———————

    the fair thing to do is to compare reid to another coach who has a similar number of games coaching, and see how many playoff games and superbowls that coach won

  94. NYCmike says:

    Comment #93 was funnier than most of the Super Bowl commercials.

  95. Waingro says:

    #93, great to see Bunu is back in full force here!

  96. lisab says:

    The mortality rate is at most 2% more likely closer to 1% since a lot of cases go unreported and people recover anyway.
    ————————–

    a 1% mortality rate would devastate china. that would mean well over a million deaths …

    it is more like 0.0001%

    because most cases go unreported

  97. lisab says:

    The Democratic establishment mostly gets what they want and the fix will be in just like 2016 and Bernie will be screwed over – – again.

    Is that about the size of things?
    ——————————————

    yup … but the young turks wing will not stand for that

  98. lisab says:

    #68 Bernie 12% Klobar 12%
    ————————-

    i predict that biden will make 15%

    the dnc fix is in …

    actually this could be klobar’s way to vp-land

  99. jason says:

    a 1% mortality rate would devastate china. that would mean well over a million deaths …”

    Well, I was commenting on the site Bunu mentioned.

    It is probably a lot less than 1%, but that is what the percentage is for the reported cases.

    Also, not everyone in China is going to get the disease, in fact the vast majority won’t, so even if it was 1% it wouldn’t mean a million deaths.

  100. Ben says:

    Predictions from right across the river in Omaha:

    Stalin Jr: 28%
    Pocahonkey: 17%
    Senile Joe: 16%
    Klobuchar: 15% (thus delegates)
    Yang 13%
    All the rest to 11%

  101. jason says:

    The actual republican nominee in 2008 was Ron Paul.”

    No shrink can help that kind of delusion.

    Not even Ron Paul calls himself a Republican.

    “In the 2012 presidential campaign, during which he acknowledged it was unlikely that he would win the Republican Party nomination, Paul again asserted that he was participating in the Republican Party on his own terms, trying to persuade the rest of the party to move toward his positions rather than joining in with theirs”

    Heck of a Republican

  102. jason says:

    I haven’t campaigned in IA, but after the first round I urge my supporters to support Bernie.

    Thanks.

  103. lisab says:

    the conavirus was initially estimated to be the most contagious disease ever measured

    it has since been downgraded, but is still considered more contagious than the 1918 spanish flu

    it is about twice as contagious as normal flu

  104. lisab says:

    the likelihood is that millions of chinese are infected

    and most got better or will get better

    and maybe did not even realize they were sick

  105. Skippy says:

    Based on State Wide Delegates percentages:

    Sanders 30%
    Biden 22%
    Buttigieg 17%
    Klobuchar 15%
    Warren 13%

    Based on Raw Vote total before realignment:

    Sanders 32%
    Biden 21%
    Buttigieg 16%
    Warren 15%
    Klobuchar 13%

  106. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

    @109 please please please let Fauxcahontas come in 5th. Thats all I want

  107. lisab says:

    i think warren will make 15% easily

    if not … she will limp into nh and then call it quits

    but i think a LOT of women will go to warren, more than predicted

    and i don’t like warren, but i think she will over-perform

  108. lisab says:

    warren is after all the only woman left in the race

    unless you count klobar, but she is trans

  109. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Does anyone know if the 15% rule in Iowa applies state-wide, or to individual areas — such as congressional districts or election precincts? In California if a candidate receives over 15% of the vote in a congressional district, they get delegates for that district.

  110. Chicon says:

    Rush just said he has advanced lung cancer.

  111. NYCmike says:

    Bernie 30%
    Warren 20%
    Biden 20%
    Butt 15%
    Klob 15%

  112. NYCmike says:

    “Rush just said he has advanced lung cancer.”

    -Yikes!

    That’s terrible news.

  113. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Here is the Wikipedia article about the Iowa 15% rule. The determination is made in each precinct. So a candidate can get delegates even if their total statewide vote is below 15%.

    “Each precinct divides its delegate seats among the candidates in proportion to caucus goers’ votes. Participants indicate their support for a particular candidate by standing in a designated area of the caucus site (forming a preference group). An area may also be designated for undecided participants. Then, for roughly 30 minutes, participants try to convince their neighbors to support their candidates. Each preference group might informally deputize a few members to recruit supporters from the other groups and, in particular, from among those undecided. Undecided participants might visit each preference group to ask its members about their candidate.

    After 30 minutes, the electioneering is temporarily halted, and the supporters for each candidate are counted. At this point, the caucus officials determine which candidates are viable. Depending on the number of county delegates to be elected, the viability threshold is 15% of attendees. For a candidate to receive any delegates from a particular precinct, he or she must have the support of at least the percentage of participants required by the viability threshold. Once viability is determined, participants have roughly another 30 minutes to realign: the supporters of inviable candidates may find a viable candidate to support, join together with supporters of another inviable candidate to secure a delegate for one of the two, or abstain. This realignment is a crucial distinction of caucuses in that (unlike in a primary) a voter’s second choice can help a candidate.

    When the voting is closed, a final head count is conducted, and each precinct apportions delegates to the county convention”

  114. DW says:

    Rush smoked all those cigars all his adult life…now paying the price.

  115. CG says:

    Sanders 26
    Biden 22
    Buttigieg 19
    Warren 17
    Klobuchar 11
    Yang 3
    others 2

  116. dblaikie says:

    I was very touched when Rush spoke about his faith. There is one thing I am certain: Rush has millions praying for him including me.

  117. jason says:

    Dang, Corey is copying my prediction?

    Actually that is the order I have too.

    I hadn’t put in percentages.

    Sanders 30
    Biden 21
    Mayor Butt 20
    Warren 15
    Klobuchar 10

  118. jason says:

    The 5 year prognosis for Stage 4 lung cancer is really terrible, less than 10%. But he didn’t say he had stage IV, I would imagine anything beyond stage 1 is probably “advanced”.

    I wish him well.

  119. SweatyToothedMadman says:

    My order of finish for Iowa Dem caucus:

    1. Sanders
    2. Buttigieg
    3. Warren
    4. Klobuchar
    5. Biden
    6. Yang

  120. jason says:

    I am surprise it wasn’t detected earlier.

    I always imagine wealthy people have regular check ups but it isn’t always the case.

  121. dblaikie says:

    Here is my prediction:

    Sanders 32
    Biden 19
    Klobuchar 14
    Mayor b 12
    Warren 10
    Yang 10 He will be the big surprise of the night
    others 3

  122. CG says:

    Hopefully, Rush Limbaugh can be as successful in fighting and beating cancer as Ruth Bader Ginsburg has been.

  123. DW says:

    And lung cancer is the worst. If its advanced, then Rush will probably not be with us for very long. I expect the left will howl with delight when he passes. The contempt Rush had for the left was nowhere near as strong as the contempt the left had for him.

  124. Phil says:

    I’d go with Jason’s order of finish. The percentages are anyone’s guess. If Bernie reaches 30 percent that’s going to be a really good night for Bernie and a very bad night for the Democratic Party.

  125. Phil says:

    They are already howling with delight, and that’s unfortunate but expected in this day and time.

  126. CG says:

    TGCA is the only one here who actually wished for Mitt Romney to have a stroke right?

    Nobody else joins in such a desire I assume.

  127. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    The civil war has begun; the Bernie socialists are not going to let the thug Bloomberg buy the nomination:

    “Civil War: Progressives Rage at Last-Minute DNC Moves to Weaken Bernie, Boost Bloomberg”

    https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2020/02/03/hmm-pollster-refuses-to-release-muchanticipated-final-survey-ahead-of-iowa-caucuses-n2560563?utm_source=thdailypm&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=nl_pm&newsletterad=&bcid=edff960c22cffce84726952a1ca03325&recip=25795774

  128. NYCmike says:

    “TGCA is the only one here who actually wished for Mitt Romney to have a stroke right?”

    -“CG” is the only one who take him seriously correct?

    Nobody else was that ridiculously ridiculous I assume.

  129. NYCmike says:

    **took**, not take

  130. Skippy says:

    BOOM!!

    Results of first round of Paris satellite Iowa Caucus:
    Warren 7
    Sanders 5
    Klobuchar 3
    Buttigieg 2

    Buttigieg is not viable (need 3 or more)…so the 2 voters will possibly join 1 of the other 3 viable candidates in Paris.

    Klobuchar with a good start….:) !!!

  131. Phil says:

    Romney? What’s your point, Corey?

  132. lisab says:

    Nobody else was that ridiculously ridiculous I assume.
    ————-

    well … there is robbie, po, messy, … i think that is about it these days

  133. lisab says:

    What’s your point,
    ————————-

    i think it is that he is holier than thou phil

  134. Phil says:

    He never misses an opportunity to make that point, Lisa.

  135. CG says:

    NYC, so you are saying that TGCA just be regarded as a “drama queen?” (He doesn’t like that.)

  136. CG says:

    At the minimum, I am holier than those who wish strokes or cancer on people for political reasons (or basically any reason.)

  137. Skippy says:

    Final results Iowa/Paris voting:

    Warren 8
    Sanders 6
    Klobuchar 3

    All three candidates receive 1 delegate from this precinct.

  138. Phil says:

    The vast majority of us are, Corey, but leave it to you to pat yourself on the back for it.

  139. lisab says:

    He never misses an opportunity to make that point
    —————————————-

    well, as a deplorable, he assumes you are not very intelligent

  140. Phil says:

    Nothing for Biden, skippy?

  141. CG says:

    Ok, so the people that declared Romney “dead” to them, were merely pointing to natural causes. Good to know.

  142. lisab says:

    see phil? …

    most deplorables would assume that “dead to me” refers to the idiom

    but, smaht people like corey know it means you want someone to die of i guess “unnatural causes”

  143. PresidentPaul! says:

    One of my favorite things about the Trump presidency it clarifies things. Did anyone ever think that Bill Kristol was ever a republican to begin with or Anna Navarro.

    Frankly I don’t want these ppl in the party.

  144. CG says:

    There you guys go.. welcomed into the bunu bunch, while Robbie and I are off with Kristol and Navarro.

  145. CG says:

    Bitterlaw, ask MD on Facebook what happened to his Twitter and if he has a new handle. I miss seeing his rants.

  146. NYCmike says:

    https://theresurgent.com/2020/02/03/calm-down-hysterical-ninnies/

    -For Fifth Avenue-“CG” and other Democrats.

  147. NYCmike says:

    “NYC, so you are saying that TGCA just be regarded as a “drama queen?” (He doesn’t like that.)”

    -If I was “saying that”, then you could copy and paste my comment.

    Are you able to do that?

  148. CG says:

    Erik Erikson and SDC have both taken more positions on Trump than the kama sutra.

  149. Phil says:

    Yeah, “dead to me” means you want that person to die. Who knew?

    Reach much?

  150. PresidentPaul! says:

    ‘It’s Not Going To Be Great’ -demented Joe

    Biden Allies Crestfallen As Expectations In Iowa Lowered

  151. CG says:

    That’s definitely how it works in the Mafia.

  152. PresidentPaul! says:

    Demented Joe supporters are pissed.

    Adam H. Johnson
    @adamjohnsonNYC

    ·
    5h
    having never expressed concern about Iowa and New Hampshire’s position as early primaries before today, longtime foaming anti-Sanders partisan Michael Tomasky suddenly decides they are illegitimate.

  153. Phil says:

    I would say if Biden bombs tonight look for the Democratic establishment to plug in Bloomberg for Biden – but not immediately. Bloomberg has no support with blacks and the Dem establishment types will give it a little time to see if Biden can use the heavy southern state black Democratic primary electorate to carry the day in southern states for Biden.

  154. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    145. This is the definition of “you are dead to me.”

    “The phrase, “you’re dead to me” is usually spoken out of utter disappointment with someone who was close to the person saying it, someone who meant something to them, like a family member or friend.”

    For CG to even insinuate I might have meant that Romney should died is repulsive, but totally within character.

  155. CG says:

    Bloomberg has actually been picking up lots of African-American endorsements.

  156. CG says:

    I didn’t think you meant it literally SDC but it was still an improper thing for you to say in my view. Especially since you will change your mind many times on Trump in the months ahead.

    And yes, there is an unmistakable context when used in the Mafia.

  157. NYCmike says:

    “CG”,

    One time, you mentioned something about a health issue. I hope you remain healthy and live a long life.

    I also hope you don’t slip and fall from your moral high ground. I wouldn’t want you to hurt yourself.

    Cheers.

  158. CG says:

    If I had a health issue, “remain” wouldn’t be the right word but thanks for acknowledging the will to live.

    I think being a more moral person is something everyone should strive for. You are free to disagree.

  159. lisab says:

    you see … who would have guessed that sdc was in the mafia!

  160. NYCmike says:

    “And yes, there is an unmistakable context when used in the Mafia.”

    -Says the Jewish guy……

  161. lisab says:

    and … obviously it is inappropriate for sdc to have a different opinion than corey

    what a deplorable you are sdc

  162. CG says:

    I probably had at least 7 mafiosos at my Bar Mitzvah.

  163. lisab says:

    I think being a more moral person is something everyone should strive for. You are free to disagree.
    ————————-

    you are free to disagree with corey

    but clearly that makes you immoral

  164. CG says:

    Depends on the disagreement.

    Like if someone disagreed with me years ago on Jay Cutler, that doesn’t qualify.

  165. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    161. “And yes, there is an unmistakable context when used in the Mafia.”

    Are you accusing me of being part of the mafia?

    The statement “your dead to me” is very commonly used, its meaning is clear, and the only person who doesn’t understand it is you.

  166. NYCmike says:

    “If I had a health issue, “remain” wouldn’t be the right word but thanks for acknowledging the will to live.”

    -There is a family friend who has cystic fibrosis. He is almost 60.

    I hope he “remains healthy”, as the underlying disease that he manages could kill him if he gets a cold, or some other minor sickness, for those without such a health issue.

    In that context, I used the word “remain”.

    Now, GFY.

  167. CG says:

    It’s commonly used on soap operas, I’m sure.

    As I said, TCGA is the only one who wished Romney to have a stroke (and that was months ago) so nobody expressed else here an idea as “immoral” as that, so be glad.

    From what I hear, I shouldn’t take him seriously as a poster. Message received.

  168. NYCmike says:

    “I probably had at least 7 mafiosos at my Bar Mitzvah.”

    -7 more than I know.

  169. lisab says:

    Are you accusing me of being part of the mafia?
    ——————-

    not only that, but he obviously knows how the mafia works … he has that knowledge

  170. NYCmike says:

    “It’s commonly used on soap operas, I’m sure.”

    -LOL!

    My Grandmother would have loved watching “As the World Turns” with you!

  171. CG says:

    SDC is probably clean.

    That Leo guy who sometimes shows up though….

  172. NYCmike says:

    “SDC is probably clean.”

    -“probably”.

    SDC, if I am ever in San Diego or Utah, I will “probably” avoid running into you…….just in case…..

  173. NYCmike says:

    Trump tweets bad things.

    “CG” watches soap operas.

    JEB!2016 thought the halftime show was great.

    Something tells me I made the correct decision in November 2016.

  174. Tina says:

    Jeb and Marco loves the super bowl show.

  175. CG says:

    Apparently I don’t want enough soap operas if I don’t recognize how commonly used “you’re dead to me” is (and especially considering the context in which it was said.)

    The Super Bowl halftime show was very good, as long as the volume was off. I actually won money last night in a Pool, which never happens. I am feeling lucky so I am betting now on a Yang upset.

  176. CG says:

    Shakira and JLo have a combined age of 93, which would practically qualify them as a Democrat Presidential frontrunner.

  177. Tina says:

    Phil, dumberg is the savior because he has the bucks to ask to self fund. But he is commie light when compared to commie sanders.

    Joe could be done. He and mulehead served their roles.

  178. lisab says:

    Jeb and Marco loves the super bowl show.
    ——————–

    marco was in the super bowl show

  179. lisab says:

    Apparently I don’t want enough soap operas if I don’t recognize how commonly used “you’re dead to me” is
    ——————————

    because it is not so common as to be called an idiom …

    oh wait

  180. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Was accused of being part of the Mormon Mafia once. It is a dangerous group, but:
    “#MormonMafia ain’t got nothin on #AmishISIS though”

  181. NYCmike says:

    “The Super Bowl halftime show was very good, as long as the volume was off.”

    -If there was a video of Ivanka dancing like that, you would say it was a direct result of Trump’s immorality.

  182. CG says:

    If there was a video of Ivanka dancing like that, her father wouldn’t Tweet for 2 weeks.

  183. NYCmike says:

    “If there was a video of Ivanka dancing like that, her father wouldn’t Tweet for 2 weeks.”

    -says the guy who turned off the volume…..

  184. CG says:

    We had the volume on. It was hard to hear though. I couldn’t believe Pitbull didn’t show up. What else does he have to do?

  185. PresidentPaul! says:

    “Creator Of US BioWeapons Act Says Coronavirus Is Biological Warfare Weapon”

  186. PresidentPaul! says:

    Tom Cotton
    @SenTomCotton
    China claimed—for almost two months—that coronavirus had originated in a Wuhan seafood market. That is not the case.
    @TheLancet
    published a study demonstrating that of the original 40 cases, 14 of them had no contact with the seafood market, including Patient Zero.

    https://twitter.com/SenTomCotton/status/1222962874932453377?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1222962874932453377&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fhealth%2Fcreator-bioweapons-act-says-coronavirus-biological-warfare-weapon

  187. CG says:

    Results of the Iowa Satellite caucus in Florida
    Klobuchar – 48
    Buttigieg – 38
    Biden – 33
    Warren – 12
    Steyer – 2
    Sanders – 1
    Yang – 1

  188. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

    Forget Iowa- who has predictions on which Bunu topic gets the most posts – Tesla or Coronavirus?

  189. lisab says:

    is anyone else not surprised that corey knows all about the mafia?

    his persona definitely screams street smarts

  190. CG says:

    I believe Coronavirus once opened for Tesla as a last minute replacement in the Summer of 1990.

  191. CG says:

    I paid very close attention to every episode of “The Sopranos.”

    Going to try to watch the whole series again one day when possible.

  192. Michelle Obama vs the DNC buffet table says:

    @193

    Whoa.

  193. CG says:

    Some campaign needs to borrow a page from Ted Cruz and claim that Yang is dropping out.

  194. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Looks like Manchin my be a no on impeachment, and seek to censure the president instead:

    “Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) on Monday proposed a resolution to censure President Trump amid the Senate trial to impeach the president.

    Manchin’s proposed censure resolution would “condemn” Trump’s conduct “in the strongest terms.”

    The resolution states that Trump used his office to “attempt to compel a foreign nation to interfere with domestic political affairs for his own personal benefit” and that he “wrongfully enlisted his personal lawyer to investigate a domestic political rival by meddling in formal diplomatic relations.”

    It also states that the president “hindered the thorough investigation of related documents and prohibited Congress and the American people from hearing testimony by firsthand witnesses with direct knowledge of his conduct.”

  195. Phil says:

    F Joe Manchin.

    Joe, If it is so bad then just vote to convict Trump. Quit your little games. Either take Schumer’s side and vote to take Trump off the ballot in WV and face the music with your WV voters or buck Schumer and your liberal friends in the Democratic Caucus.

    Typical Manchin. Wants it both ways. This one is right up there with his waiting to vote for Kavanaugh but only ten minutes AFTER Collins announced the deciding vote to confirm Kavanaugh.

    What a weasel.

  196. Tina says:

    I believe this is the 2nd national poll showing cccp ahead

    e Retweeted

    Political Polls
    @PpollingNumbers
    ·
    1h
    National, AtlasIntel Poll:
    Sanders 28%
    Biden 24%
    Warren 11%
    Bloomberg 8%
    Buttigieg 5%
    Gabbard 3%
    Yang 3%
    Klobuchar 2%
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20190203_National.pdf

  197. PresidentPaul! says:

    Funny watching msnbc be terrified of bernie. I mean is he that much different than the Indian that the channel loves? Hard to tell the difference sometimes.

  198. PresidentPaul! says:

    They have the delegate system rigged against bernie in Iowa. msnbc is explaining it. Basically the college towns somehow get few delegates and places with nursing homes get tons of delegates.

  199. mRviTO says:

    538 blog “Nevertheless, a tweet made the rounds that night purporting to give the poll’s results, and after doing some reporting around this, FiveThirtyEight can confirm that it contains the correct final findings of the unreleased Iowa poll: Sanders 22 percent, Warren 18 percent, Buttigieg 16 percent, Biden 13 percent. “

  200. mRviTO says:

    The DMR poll shot itself twice in the back of the head.

  201. John says:

    Holy moly!
    According to this betting site…
    Bernie Sanders is now sitting at 38.8% chance of winning the Democrat primary….WOW!
    https://www.electionbettingodds.com/

  202. PresidentPaul! says:

    Steve Schmidt who was one of the braindead McCain supporters in 2008 is lecturing this MSNBC panel on various reasons why they can’t vote bernie.

  203. Phil says:

    let’s see what happens tonight, John. That predict number is based on the anticipation of Sanders winning tonight. If he doesn’t that predict number falls to ten or less for Bernie.

  204. PresidentPaul! says:

    Dem party will have it’s work cut out to get the nursing home vote out to push Joe.

  205. PresidentPaul! says:

    How a candidate should arrive at the caucuses

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R3jmkkk6Pus

  206. Tina says:

    Now we know why this poll was hidden.

    Clare Malone
    @ClareMalone
    · 34m
    We can confirm the final results of the unreleased Iowa Poll:

    Sanders 22%

    Warren 18%

    Buttigieg 16%

    Biden 13%

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/iowa-caucus-2020-election-live/254963/

  207. Bitterlaw says:

    Breaking News – Jason fails to meet 15% threshold.

    Both Jason supporters leave Caucus site after yelling GFY.

  208. mRviTO says:

    Fake news.

    “We yelled Andy Reid sucks!”

    Oddly, jason gained 100 new supporters after that.

  209. Victrc says:

    My predictions before they are released

    Bernie 29%
    Warren 21%
    Butt. 17%
    Biden 14%
    Kloubachar 13%

  210. lisab says:

    I paid very close attention to every episode of “The Sopranos.”
    ——————

    yeah … i can believe that most of your knowledge rises to that level of learning …

    except that i doubt you paid close attention

  211. mRviTO says:

    With 4% in, Trump has 98% in the Iowa caucus.

  212. mRviTO says:

    Reid Epstein, reporting from Johnston 10m ago
    It doesn’t look like Joe Biden will be viable here in Johnston. It requires 54 supporters to reach 15 percent and Biden appears to have less than 40.

  213. mRviTO says:

    Jeremy Peters
    Jeremy Peters, at a G.O.P. caucus in Cedar Rapids 23m ago
    It is standing room only at the Republican caucus site here, where upwards of 250 people have showed up for a vote that doesn’t appear in doubt.

  214. PresidentPaul! says:

    I think the R-naught is 4, and I think the fatality rate is inaccurate on the low end.

    This thing is going to go parabolic.

  215. John says:

    Been watching this Iowa Democrat Caucus most of the the afternoon…all three cable networks….
    Conclusion….can’t seem to recall the last several elections such malaise, melancholy and disquiet among the Democrat gatherers in their candidate groups assembled.
    My guess….as on now….Trump wins this by easily by double digits in November.

  216. Tina says:

    I thought that Appalachian Trail via Argentina and the Illinois Klanasman were going to hold trumps feet to the fire

    “President Donald Trump is the winner of the 2020 Iowa Republican caucuses, a largely symbolic vote as he was facing no significant opposition.”

  217. PresidentPaul! says:

    You can’t look at this week’s fatality rate since those people aren’t in the death timeframe. You need to go to last week which brings the death rate more at as high as 10% with a 20% icu complication rate.

    This sh/it spreading like wildfire and it’s more deadly than the media thinks.

    I read the ICU capacity in the USA is at 100K. That means if 500K ppl have corona than you’re already maxed out.

    These new chinese hospitals look more like prison cells anyways at this point

  218. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    First results at @GrinnellCollege:

    Sanders – 44.7%
    Warren – 28.6%
    Buttigieg – 10.4%
    Yang – 7.2%
    Biden – 3.3%

    312
    5:31 PM – Feb 3, 2020

  219. Tina says:

    Can we now investigate China Biden, if he is not viable?

  220. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    229. I know it is a precinct with a liberal arts college; but still Biden only pulling 3.3% behind Yang?

  221. Tina says:

    Fake flapper did Report that in Sioux City, yang gang outnumbered China Biden

  222. lisab says:

    I think the R-naught is 4, and I think the fatality rate is inaccurate on the low end.
    ———————————————

    i doubt it is 4, seeing as who has already said it is 2.5

    and the fatality rate is not close to 10% since we know that china does not have a million deaths or anything approaching it

    there is no way china could keep even 100000 deaths secret never-mind millions

    the first rule of bio-warfare is never have a disease that is highly contagious AND deadly, because it would hurt your country too.

    that is why anthrax is such an evil weapon, it is very deadly, but does not spread easily, so if you bomb a city with it, you make the city unlivable, but the disease is limited to that city — and you don’t kill your own people.

  223. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Christina Bellantoni
    ?
    @cbellantoni
    Report from a source at a precinct in Oskaloosa:
    Sanders and Warren tied, Yang in third. Biden not viable.

    Presume they mean politically not viable, not biologically not viable.

  224. mRviTO says:

    Not viable sounds like one of the 95 genders.

  225. lisab says:

    if … and i highly doubt it … but if the disease has a 10% fatality rate in china

    china will collapse, at least india in theory has the Commonwealth to ask for help

    every country around china hates china

  226. lisab says:

    Presume they mean politically not viable, not biologically not viable.

    ————————————

    you will be hearing from corey about that statement …

  227. jason says:

    Republican Caucus Results

    Trump 12,816 97.24%
    Racist Bigot 190 1.44%
    Drunken lout 174 1.32%

  228. jason says:

    Sorry

    Trump 12,816 97.24%
    Drunken lout 190 1.44%
    Racist bigot 174 1.32%

  229. mRviTO says:

    Reid Epstein, reporting from Johnston 11m ago
    First alignment results from Johnston: Sanders 76, Klobuchar 75, Buttigieg 70, Warren 59. Not viable: Biden 37, Yang 33, Steyer 4, Gabbard 4.

  230. lisab says:

    it does make some sense that yang is doing better than biden, the iowa caucus requires highly motivated people

    sanders has the bernie bros
    yang has the yang gang
    warren has the cat ladies

    who does biden have?

  231. jason says:

    Corey’s candidate is doing well, in third place.

  232. lisab says:

    #239

    hey! that drunken lout was a fine governor!

    it is governor drunken lout to you!

  233. jason says:

    At Predictit

    Zero R votes to convict 84%
    Romney to convict 17%
    Collins to convict 5%
    Murkowski to convict 1%
    Manchin to acquit 86%
    Sinema to acquit 50%
    Jones to acquit 31%
    Zero Dems to acquit 13%
    One Dem to acquit 28%
    Two Dems to acquit 39%
    Three Dems to acquit 26%
    Four Dems to acquit 9%

  234. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    New York satellite caucus:

    The first alignment was Warren (28 supporters), Sanders (22), Klobuchar (3), Buttigieg (3), Biden (0) and Yang (0). Since eight was the viability number, only Warren and Sanders moved ahead. In the end, Warren got 4 delegates (with 33 caucusgoers) and Sanders got two (with 23 caucusgoers).

  235. mRviTO says:

    “who does biden have?”

    The creepy and the sleepy…

  236. jason says:

    I heard an interview with Biden on the radio where he says he is sure he will “survive” IA.

    A real confidence builder.

  237. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    20 of 1765 Iowa caucus precincts:

    Buttigieg 21.94%
    Sanders 21.78%
    Biden 16.87%
    Warren 16.18%
    Klubcher 14.8%

  238. CG says:

    Go Uncommitted!

    You can’t spell Uncommitted without Mitt!!!

  239. CG says:

    Do these Democrats realize that even the viable campaigns are still subject to being aborted?

  240. BayernFan says:

    Are you allowed to just go home if you want?

  241. CG says:

    At all these sites on tv, the Biden people standing together in these hallways look like they are parents waiting to pick up their kids from a concert.

  242. jason says:

    1002 of 1678 precincts reporting

    Donald J. Trump * 19,744 97.24%
    Bill Weld 282 1.39%
    Joe Walsh 279 1.37%

    Pretty exciting race for second….

  243. mRviTO says:

    Final alignment: 19 precincts

    Dem
    Sanders, Bernie
    408
    26.25%
    Dem
    Buttigieg, Pete
    380
    24.45%
    Dem
    Biden, Joe
    310
    19.95%
    Dem
    Warren, Elizabeth
    277
    17.82%
    Dem
    Klobuchar, Amy

  244. PresidentPaul! says:

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.27.20018952v1.full.pdf

    Refer to line 59 in this paper referring R0

  245. CG says:

    Are Emotional Support animal companions allowed at the Caucus and can they count towards viability?

  246. Tina says:

    Who does Biden have?

    Any foreigner with $.

  247. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    @NateSilver538
    Now Buttigieg moving ahead in that final alignment data, 27-23 over Bernie. Look, it’s early, but Sanders and Pete are the two candidates who have the most to be happy about so far

  248. PresidentPaul! says:

    First death hits Hong Kong.

    If death rate is really only 2%, well that at least 50 others are walking around a city where people are packed in like sardine cans.

    https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1224524322368131073?s=20

  249. jason says:

    The death rate is a lot lower than 2%.

    GFY.

  250. mRviTO says:

    Incredibly early on… Sanders and Warren pulling about 45% on the first vote but 40% on final vote.

  251. Tina says:

    See, I don’t lie.

    Biden not viable, per fake flapper.

    https://twitter.com/TimMurtaugh/status/1224519023334961159

  252. lisab says:

    Kansas City Chiefs coach Andy Reid says he’ll accept Trump White House invitation

    bitterlaw crushed

  253. Victrc says:

    Ok. Reid just went up a notch in my book. Still think shanahan blew the game. He should have run the ball down their throat in the 4Q. Oh well

    On to tonight. Going to be interesting

  254. Tina says:

    I think the socialist son and cccp will align.

    In other news, Jebots appear to have split, One for cccp and the other for Bloomberg.

  255. CG says:

    Andy Reid has seen the food they serve there. Of course he’s going.

  256. Tina says:

    Ryan Saavedra
    @RealSaavedra
    CNN’s Jake Tapper mocks the people supporting Joe Biden

    Tapper: “It doesn’t look like you made the viability threshold”

    Voter: “Not yet, there’s time honey”

    Tapper: “There’s time … this year?”

  257. jason says:

    Weld pulling away from Walsh

    77% Reporting

    Trump 25,597 96.89%
    Weld 433 1.64%
    Walsh 389 1.47%

    Looks like the Rs want to go home asap

  258. jason says:

    “Andy Reid has seen the food they serve there. Of course he’s going.”

    Heh…

  259. Tina says:

    Yup, he should have run the ball.

    Couple of strange calls missed.

    The pi on the te was bs. Contact was initiate by the safety.

    Hit out of bounds to the gb.

    Hit to the helmet.

    An offsides and holding.

    But we lost.

  260. CG says:

    RT News has just projected Tulsi Gabbard as the winner.

  261. Tina says:

    “Quality checks by drats.”

  262. jason says:

    “Update: No evidence of any Klomentum thus far either at 9 p.m. I believe she’s been nonviable at every precinct CNN has visited.”

  263. Tina says:

    One cccp supporter is holding a sign “math”.

  264. CG says:

    They found Cory!

  265. Tina says:

    Katy Turd is reporting that drat turnout in Des Moines precinct was “light.”

  266. Tina says:

    Ames Iowa had an overflow crows for trump.

    Trump is viable.

  267. CG says:

    The turnout on college campuses was “high” and they do not necessarily mean the number of people.

  268. jason says:

    Another report saying Klobuchar doing well in “well educated suburbs”.

    And excuses have started for Biden.

    1. Caucus voters are more to the left than primary voters

    2. IA is overwhelmingly white, Biden strong with minorities.

    Not a bad spin, but that won’t be the headlines if Biden tanks.

  269. CG says:

    Those crows must want to get at him. Sad.

  270. Tina says:

    I think this beotch is delusional, Bernie is a commie, but I don’t think he attacked this Russian hoaxer.

    Quote Tweet

    Larry Schweikart
    @LarrySchweikart
    · 2h
    ‘Constantly attacking me’: Hillary Clinton blames 2016 loss on Bernie Sanders supporters https://washex.am/2GQJ0Ir

  271. mRviTO says:

    Looks like the discrepancy I had above is just due to a few huge Bernie/Warren precincts that didn’t finish their final tally yet.

  272. PresidentPaul! says:

    Maybe DNC is burning all the ballots in a back room.

  273. mRviTO says:

    Basically, so far, Buttigieg is benefitting most from second choice.

  274. jason says:

    Corey, who normally has the sense of humor of a garden rake, has had some good zingers tonight.

  275. PresidentPaul! says:

    Probably the Warren ppl hate the Sanders ppl, and the Sanders ppl hate the Warren ppl so they are probably like whatever Ill go help pete.

  276. PresidentPaul! says:

    Bernie is losing the dead person’s vote in the back room at the moment.

  277. mRviTO says:

    Final alignment… 30 precincts

    Buttigieg, Pete
    1,385
    27.62%
    Dem
    Sanders, Bernie
    1,318
    26.29%
    Dem
    Warren, Elizabeth
    1,030
    20.54%
    Dem
    Biden, Joe
    693
    13.82%
    Dem
    Klobuchar, Amy
    579

  278. CG says:

    One would think a Chiefs championship would have been a good omen for Warren.

  279. NYCmike says:

    Another good one from “CG”!

    Trump below 97% has him euphoric!

  280. PresidentPaul! says:

    Someone taught Michael Steele a new word dispositive that he is stuck on.

  281. CG says:

    Trump’s body temperature has dropped below 97?

    Nah, that wouldn’t be anything to celebrate.

  282. Tina says:

    I think the klansman and 12 steps are viable at 1%.

  283. NYCmike says:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fuX7FlddCRg

    -Something different…..Ali was a real showman! And Wilt was one big man!

  284. Tina says:

    Aka rigging.

    MSNBC
    @MSNBC
    · 25m
    .@SteveKornacki reports that Iowa State Democratic Party says it is doing “quality control” on results “out of an abundance of caution.” #IowaCaucuses
    Show

  285. CG says:

    If “technological problems” ruins the counting of the Caucus, that has to benefit Yang and his anti-robot agenda.

  286. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Dave Wasserman
    Pete Buttigieg is putting up some impressive numbers, including in some smaller/less urban counties. His supporters ought to be cautiously optimistic.

  287. Tina says:

    Klansman Joe Walsh shouted down with 4 more years for trump.

    Lol,

    https://twitter.com/alexplitsas/status/1224514639867916289

  288. Tina says:

    The. Klansman is boring.

    Weak voice.

  289. Tina says:

    When socialists get mad at fellow socialists.

    Philip Klein
    @philipaklein
    · 36m
    Wow — another twist. Sanders won this precinct by 20 points but now 5 candidates will get 1 delegate each — Biden team amassed extra delegates, and then siphoned them to Klo & Warren. Bernie supporters are pissed “This is a joke.. waste of time.” Stormed out.

  290. Tina says:

    Oh, you know what it means.

    Retweeted

    David Axelrod
    @davidaxelrod
    ·
    19m
    What the heck is “quality control?”

  291. lisab says:

    Coronavirus may transmit through fecal matter. Well, San Francisco is REKT!

  292. CG says:

    Maybe Nancy Pelosi is holding on to the Caucus results.

  293. Tina says:

    Dumberg is an oligarch accord8ng to Mslsd.

    Biden is friends with oligarchs and gets family members jobs for doing nuffin,

  294. jason says:

    At Predicitit Bernie at 71%, Mayor Butt at 27%

  295. Tina says:

    It did not help,when he was talking to walls and telling people that he forgot his lines. Or indicating that he was in Nh, when he was in Iowa. He served his role as mulehead 2.0. And

    1
    3
    56

    Oligarch Poso ??
    @JackPosobiec
    ·
    21m
    Biden might have won Iowa if Pelosi hadn’t tried to impeach Trump over Burisma

    It was shady as hell and even Democrats know it when they hear about it

    Trump got them to take out their own best candidate

  296. jason says:

    Quality Control means they are throwing away bad results.

  297. jason says:

    A lot of people said Biden would be the victim of impeachment, not Trump.

    I wasn’t one of them, but maybe it is true.

  298. Tina says:

    Are the Russians helping?

    Tristan Justice
    @JusticeTristan
    ·
    4m
    In 2016, Sanders was shorted delegates in areas that favored the Vermont senator, and the state party refused to release the vote totals.

    History repeats itself.

  299. CG says:

    At the moment, they are having a conversation and keeping the viable ballots “comfortable” while they discuss what should happen to them.

    And NT

  300. Tina says:

    Will they burn Milwaukee?

    Will there a bigger walkout than 2016?

    Can the jebots give us an analysis of a brokered convention?

    Retweeted

    Matt Mackowiak
    @MattMackowiak
    ·
    3m
    .
    @VanJones68
    : “This is starting to feel like a real debacle.”

  301. Tina says:

    But maybe Biden took out Biden.

    Who admits to a quid pro quo on tape?

  302. Tina says:

    Wow, it’s chaos among the socialists

    Brent Scher
    @BrentScher
    · 3m
    Kornacki says @iowademocrats have stopped answering questions

    “I’ve never seen anything like this” -Brian Williams on MSNBC

  303. Tina says:

    Burn it down, beotches:

    Tristan Justice
    @JusticeTristan
    ·
    7m
    And let’s not forget what’s already happened this year:

    – The last Iowa poll showing Bernie leading comfortably got spiked

    – Nancy Pelosi delayed impeachment keeping Sanders off the trail for the final two weeks until the caucus

    – DNC changing debate rules to include Bloomberg

  304. Tina says:

    Breaking

    Piglosi fo hold onto the Iowa caucus results for 42 days.

  305. CG says:

    Stop stealing my jokes.

    And I swear, if Trump Tweets any of them, I’m suing.

  306. Tina says:

    Breaking

    All ballots to be counted in Ukraine by burisma officials.

  307. Tina says:

    They are blaming this fiasco on an application created by Robby Mook,

  308. Just Fill Out The Census says:

    Anybody excited for the CENSUS this year? I have confidence in the Iowa results. They are counting the results as slowly and diligently as our future census!

  309. dblaikie says:

    What a joke!

  310. jason says:

    Matthews throws a tantrum…

    MSNBC’s Chris Matthews: Trump a winner of Democrat caucus, “Democrats can’t even get a 3 car funeral organized”

  311. jason says:

    I have confidence in the Iowa results.”

    Me too.

    Trump won.

  312. jason says:

    Nothing is more of a kiss of of death than been predicted to win by Noncensus.

    I think he is like 0-87 on election predictions but it might be 0-93.

  313. jason says:

    Thank God he predicted Scott and DeSantis would lose after the polls closed, because it was looking dire for awhile there.

    Fortunately, right after he declared Skeletor and the Marxist crook winners, things turned around.

  314. jason says:

    Interesting…

    “Democrats say they have figures for 62% of the precincts. 62% of precincts could be a small percentage of the actual votes casts. Some precincts have 8 voters, some 800.

    It at least looks like they’re gaming the narrative.”

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