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Sanders/Buttigieg Battle for 1st , Warren/Biden/Klobuchar Battle For 3rd in NH

We are getting ad we have the latest numbers from the tracking polls from Emerson College and Suffolk University along with a new stand-alone poll from CNN and the University of New Hampshire where it has clearly become a battle between Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Suffolk)
Buttigieg 25%
Sanders 24%
Warren 14%
Biden 11%
Klobuchar 6%
Yang 3%
Gabbard 2%
Steyer 2%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Sanders 31%
Buttigieg 24%
Biden 11%
Warren 11%
Klobuchar 9%
Gabbard 5%
Yang 3%
Steyer 2%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (CNN/UNH)
Sanders 28%
Buttigieg 21%
Biden 11%
Warren 9%
Gabbard 6%
Klobuchar 5%
Yang 3%
Steyer 3%
Bloomberg 2%

The Emerson poll and Suffolk poll were both done February 6-7 among 500 likely primary voters. The CNN/UNH poll was done February 4-7 among 365 likely primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 10:18 pm
Filed under: General | Comments (66)

66 Responses to “Sanders/Buttigieg Battle for 1st , Warren/Biden/Klobuchar Battle For 3rd in NH”

  1. Bitterlaw says:

    First

  2. Skippy says:

    In 26 minutes we will have an update on the Emerson NH daily tracking poll.

    Klobmentum.

    Brace for impact!

  3. Phil says:

    Looks like Sanders could hang on in NH. Not exactly what the DNC wants to see, is it. Let’s say that happens and as expected Biden wins SC and Sanders wins Nevada. Yikes. We then go into Super Tuesday and you have a real problem if you are a Democrat. On that day Bernie wins California and takes a boatload of delegates. You have Biden and Bloomberg dividing up the “moderate” vote in the other states that day which enables Bernie to get at least his share of delegates available ……well, at that point, let’s just say Democrats have a real Bernie problem going forward. Not saying Bernie won’t be stopped, but by doing so Bernie and his supporters are going to be livid.

    Popcorn.

  4. JulStol says:

    Good call, Skippy.

  5. Phil says:

    Looks like Mayor Pete’s “surge” sort of tapped out.

    Go Bernie. His voters are most certain to vote for him according to the numbers. Warren is second with 62% and Klobuchar and Pete are in the mid 50s.

    Feel the Bern.

  6. Cash Cow TM says:

    After NH, Biden is done.

    And now Buttyjudge is the new flavor of the day.

  7. Phil says:

    Biden’s voters 88% certain to vote for him.

  8. Phil says:

    Sorry, I meant to say Sander’s voters 88% certain to vote for him.. Biden is at 61% certain.

  9. VictrC says:

    Fifth for Biden. So a fourth and a fifth to start. What about Nevada. how are polls there.

    Would also start with three Bernie wins in a row.

    Ouch

  10. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Here are the latest averages of Nevada polling from FiveThirtyEight

    Sanders 23.8%
    Biden 23.3%
    Warren 12.7%
    Buttigieg 7.6%
    Steyer 6.9%
    Bloomberg 5.3%
    Yang 4.3%
    Klobucher 3.4%
    Gabbard 2.0%

    Unless Buttigieg does very well in New Hampshire, am not seeing him having a lot of traction in future primaries.

  11. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    From Fox News:

    “China’s Communist Party has infiltrated various levels of America’s infrastructure and is working to destroy the values of the United States, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said during a speech Saturday, while also warning state governors to be wary of China’s infiltration.”

    Actually the Chinese taking over infrastructure in California might result in a noticeable improvement.

  12. VictrC says:

    SDC – Nevada is a caucus state as well arent’ they, but I don;t think in the same way that Iowa does it (meaning no delegate total instead of raw vote count?)

    If so, then Bernie will have an advantage as his followers will show up to caucus

  13. VictrC says:

    BTW heard through the grapevine from well connected source that Yang is about to drop out. Don’t know if its after NH or NV, but he won’t be around for Super Tuesday.

  14. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    The most power political organization in Nevada is the 60,000+member culinary union, which represents most hotel and hospitality employees. It just attacked Sanders and Warren”

    “The politically powerful Culinary Union hasn’t yet endorsed in the Democratic presidential primary, but it is making clear which candidates it won’t be supporting.

    A one-pager from the union, the kind of document usually distributed in employee dining rooms and break areas, obtained by The Nevada Independent obliquely accuses Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren of wanting to take away union members’ hard-fought and much beloved health plans and warns that electing either candidate will lead to four more years of a Donald Trump presidency.

    The union, which provides health insurance to 130,000 workers and their family members through a special trust fund, strongly opposes the Medicare-for-all plans the two candidates support, which would eliminate the union’s health plan by design.”

    The union vote may swing Nevada to Biden.

  15. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    Remember talking to a friend who worked in the early Reagan campaign. One of the problems they had was Reagan would just ramble on and say outrageous things — such as his famous: “Trees cause more pollution than automobiles do.” They stopped the random flow of comments by assigning campaign aides to stay close to Reagan and make sure he strictly stayed on script. Biden needs the same.

    The video add tearing into Buttigieg was the first sign there may actually be life in the Biden campaign.

  16. jason says:

    Klobmentum.

    Brace for impact!”

    We heard this last week.

    I lost my ass because Skippy guaranteed me Klobuchar would get 15%.

    Skippy, send me a check for $1000 and I won’t report you to the HHR Ethics Committee, we can settle this amicably.

  17. jason says:

    I think you have a problem when even Madcow thinks you have a problem.

    .@Maddow: “They didn’t come out in droves in Iowa”

    Tom Perez: “When you look at all of the turnout, the successes, we’ve had over 3 years, I’m certainly not going to sit here after one caucus and say, ‘There’s a problem, Houston'”

  18. Tgca says:

    Mayor Butt is a radical leftie when you look at what he supports. He just comes off moderate because he tends to speak in a more slow calmer manner than Sanders, Warren, and some of his lefty competitors. However, his problem is that he gives answers and makes statements that sound well thought out but really say nothing. It’s a gimmick that can only work for so long.

    Lil Marco had a similar style in answering inquiries and making statements, only he was not as dull as Mayor Butt, but then the governor from the great sewer state exposed him and humiliated him and that was pretty much the end of his campaign. I think that moment will come for Mayor Butt soon now that the field is narrowing and primary season gets into full swing. Folks will see a lot of words but no maturity of thought or experience.

  19. jason says:

    The MSM pushing Mayor Butt?

    ABC’s “This Week” — Democratic presidential candidates Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg.
    NBC’s “Meet the Press” — Buttigieg; Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders.
    CBS’ “Face the Nation” — Buttigieg, Sanders; Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C.; China’s ambassador to the United States, Cui Tiankai.
    CNN’s “State of the Union” — Buttigieg, Sanders; Democratic National Committee Chairman Tom Perez.
    “Fox News Sunday” — Buttigieg

  20. jason says:

    Lil Marco?

    Zzzzzzz….

    Hey Tgca, GFY.

    Of course, if my breakfast consisted of 8 types of sugar disguised as food I would be saying a lot of dumb sh-t too.

  21. jason says:

    Fortunately my breakfast was corned beef hash with 3 sunny side eggs on top, 4 thick slices of Stoltzfus Scrapple from Stoltzfus Meats in Intercourse, and 6 slices of slab bacon, almond flour bread slathered with Amish butter, 3 cups of coffee.

    Now that is fuel for intelligent posting.

  22. Chicon says:

    Jason, just catching up on yesterday’s post. Sorry I wasn’t able to be there for you to discuss Senator McCain.

  23. Tgca says:

    Ha. Jadon still upset the great Trump took down lil Marco in 2016.

    My view is that lil Marco would have been GWB2 as POTUS with his surrounding advisors being Jeb, Dick Cheney, Romney or the like telling him what to do.

    The foam partying midget got a lil too big for his britches when us Floridians sent him to D.C. and he totally got sucked up into trying to be the Latino Savior for the GOP and forgot why we gave him a chance over Crist but it backfired big time when he got like only a quarter of support in his own state during the GOP 2016 primary.

    Thank God lil Marco went back to the Senate which is where he would have been regardless because Hillary would have beat him to a pulp in the POTUS race. Anyone think lil Marco could pick up MI, PA, WI?

    I say give the lil fellow some time to gain some more experience and humble himself (before running with the big boys in a POTUS race again) after being beat to a pulp by Trump and humiliated by the governor from the great sewer state of New Jersey.

    Like lil Marco, Mayor Butt is just not ready with his rehearsed speeches and audience tested talking points.

    Running on a demographic (Butt – gay, lil Marco – Latin) is soooo yesterday. Most folks want someone to get the job done and not “check the diversity” box candidates. Been there and done that with a Obama and Hillary. Move on folks.

  24. John says:

    As I gather New Hampshire is an open primary…
    Hmmmmm…..

  25. jason says:

    I would rather have Lil Marco as President than Trump any day.

    GFY.

  26. jason says:

    Tulsi tears the DNC a new a-hole.

    “You know, the president yesterday, as you probably know, Congresswoman, fired Gordon Sondland, our Ambassador to Ukraine, and Alexander Vindman, top security official,” host Neil Cavuto said. “A lot of people were likening it to another, you know, Friday night massacre akin to what Richard Nixon did back in the ‘70s. Do you agree with that?”

    “Ultimately, whether people like or not, there are consequences to elections,” Gabbard responded. “And the president has, within his purview, to make the decisions about who he’d like serving in his cabinet.”

  27. jason says:

    And not what NeverTrumper Cavuto wanted to hear.

  28. jason says:

    Anyone think lil Marco could pick up MI, PA, WI?”

    No, I have already admitted Rubio, although I think he would have done the best against Hillary of anybody except Trump, would have lost the 2016 election.

    He could have carved out a very long shot alternative path to win, by winning Colorado, Nevada, Virginia, New Mexico and New Hampshire in addition to all the Romney states. Although he might have won some of those, I doubt he would have won all of them.

    So in the end, I am NOW glad Trump won the nomination and the election. But I still think Rubio was the best candidate running in 2016.

    I think he would have made a great President. Sue me.

  29. Tgca says:

    Biden and Butt war begins.

    Biden mocks Butt in very effective video.

    Butt fights back with the banal Biden is a DC insider and he’s an outsider.

    Biden further mocks Butt as “he’s no Obama.”

    Butt gives 3rd grade response, “neither is Biden.”

    Biden should point out that Obama chose him as his 2nd in command and he represented POTUS in many important events around the world while Butt was firing well-respected AA police and fire chiefs and spending his time on decorative lighting for bridges as his major accomplishments.

  30. Phil says:

    Vindman a victim. That’s the MSM message of the weekend. Firstly, he’s not a a victim. Second, no one outside of voters in California and New York gives a flying F.

    ….but do carry on, CNN.

  31. Tgca says:

    Marco a great POTUS? *barf*

    Marco was a lightweight and it showed. He was running on his ethnicity. I doubt he would have had any major accomplishments Trump had because he would be “owned” by the DC elite and followed their commands like GWB. Harriet Meyers for SCOTUS anyone? Romney for SoS? Jeb Bush for VP or mentor in the WH? Cheney for DoD?

    Notice lil Marco barely makes the news anymore. No significant accomplishments. No big support by the community. He’s no longer the “ethnic candidate” so he’s just another one of 100 club members.

  32. mRviTO says:

    Taniel
    @Taniel
    ? NEW SITUATION. There’s now evidence that there are some precincts still fully missing from the IDP results. And that other precincts have been double counted.

    And this isn’t just in Sioux City,

  33. mRviTO says:

    Taniel
    @Taniel
    · 16h
    “Sioux City 5” & “Sioux City 20” are reporting exactly-identical R1, R2, & delegate allocation results for every single candidate (turnout=98). Clear mistake.

    Both say Biden 4, Buttigieg 3, Sanders, 2.

    AND THAT’S NOT ALL. That’s 9 delegates… but neither has 9 to even give.

  34. mRviTO says:

    Taniel
    @Taniel
    ·
    16h
    ? IDP (& so also media outlets republishing IDP #s) is inaccurately reporting same exact results for “Davenport 52” & “Bettendorf 52” (per
    @CoatsandLinen
    and I)

    Story below confirms the reported results are those of B52.

    So DAVENPORT 52 is missing. ?

  35. jason says:

    Rubio was the best candidate of the R field. And contrary to Trump, he was actually a Republican and a conservative.

    Running on “Ethnicity” my ass. Rubio is Cuban-American, a minority even within the Hispanic community, 70% of FL Hispanics are not Cuban, so Tgca is making up some dumb sh-t.

    Rubio was speaker of the FL house and US Senator, hardly a “lightweight”. Before he screwed up on the exchange with Christie, he was the one that had won most if not all of the Republican debates, not Trump.

    So Rubio is “one of 100 senators”, that is somehow a problem?

    Zzzzzz…

  36. mRviTO says:

    Trip Gabriel
    @tripgabriel
    Hello fellow IA caucus nerds. Tonight the IDP chair @troymprice sent an internal email that the party attorney says any re-examination of precinct results *cannot* change the results on caucus math worksheets, even if they are wrong. 1/2

    Trip Gabriel
    @tripgabriel
    ·
    14h
    Replying to
    @tripgabriel
    and
    @troymprice
    Quoting the opinion of the IDP attorney:

    “The incorrect math on the Caucus Math Worksheets must not be changed to ensure the integrity of the process….”
    2/r

    …………..

    LOLZ

  37. PresidentPaul! says:

    Although I though Rand’s immigration views were pretty good, he still missed the zeitgeist of the average viewer.

    Vs Rubio who was WILDLY out of touch with the party’s base and who was a staunch ally with Ted Kennedy and John McCain.

  38. mRviTO says:

    After the debate, for the first time in IPSOS, Sanders was given the best rating by voters to defeat Trump, rather than Biden.

  39. Tgca says:

    Jadon

    I lived in FL. I voted for Rubio for senator against Crist. He went to DC and immediately changed and became part of the GOP establishment. He was FL Speaker for 2 years so big whoop! History is riddled with folks in positions of power but not necessarily great leaders. If that is your logic, then I guess Pelosi and Schumer are great politicians because they are in positions of leadership. Can you imagine either of them running for POTUS? Doubt they would last long in the primaries.

    Rubio’s star has diminished significantly from self-damage between 2010 and 2016. He was the DC darling and on all the magazine covers and news shows until he came crashing down. He wasn’t ready to be POTUS and he would have been better suited staying in the Senate but he arrogantly paraded himself around as the GOP’s Latino Savior and the only GOPer that could build a bridge and save the GOP from electoral doom and it backfired big time…and also proved that theory to be STOOPID!

    Christie, a highly experienced politician, quickly devastated Rubio because he realized he was more like a fast-talking studied college debator with rehearsed talking points than a serious and experienced politician at the level generally required for a POTUS campaign and that Rubio struggled with real-time unrehearsed responses to unexpected inquiries or challenges. It wasn’t a one time mistake. Rubio was not challenged like that before and it destroyed the facade and showed all he was a lightweight and not ready for the big time. Clinton would have excoriated him similarly being the NASTY woman she is.

    No one here is saying that Rubio was not preferred to Hillary. …and it highly doubtful he would have carried the states you noted. He was seen as a Jeb Republican who would not identify with many white working class folks that helped Trump win the election and it was also doubtful Rubio could attract significantly more Latinos in those states than Trump or others would have won.

  40. lisab says:

    TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — In a rare admission of the severity of the situation on the ground, a health official on Wednesday (Feb. 5) announced the mortality rate in Wuhan has reached 4.9 percent, more than twice the figure cited by the Chinese government.

  41. Tgca says:

    Biden on Mayor Butt today.

    “But he’s been nothing more than a small town mayor? What has he done?”

    Ouch!

    This could be deemed homophobic speech by a privilege white male me thinks so I’d be careful Biden. Don’t you know you can’t criticize gays…even if those gays HATE black people?

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2020/02/09/biden_i_like_pete_buttigieg_but_hes_been_nothing_more_than_a_small_town_mayor.html

  42. PresidentPaul! says:

    Remember then “young gunz” multiple magazine covers with these three retarded people on the front that we were told were our new dear leaders: Paul and Cantor LOL

    https://thumbs.worthpoint.com/zoom/images1/1/0812/20/mitt-romney-paul-ryan-signed-books_1_da83ea5da96fb6ada0be73c022a963fd.jpg

    Rubio was another fake

  43. jason says:

    Wow, there are so many lies, fantasies and fake BS in what Tgca wrote that I don’t even know where to start.

    The first paragraph is drivel and trash. Rubio was actually a tea party guy, establishment my ass. He ran AGAINST the R establishment. He was not a fake Republican and conservative like Trump, he was the real thing.

    Rubio indeed has tried to work in a bipartisan fashion, but for that he should be commended, not attacked.

    “Christie, a highly experienced politician” … LOL. Christie’s campaign was a freaking disaster, comparing his run to Rubio’s is really idiotic, Christie can claim the “gotcha” moment that virtually ended Rubio’s campaign, but what else? Christie crashed and burned and got nowhere in the campaign, and pretty much bombed at every debate.
    If he was “highly experienced” it certainly didn’t show in the campaign.

    And of course he was no “Jeb Republican”, quite the opposite. He destroyed Jeb with one of the best takedowns in debate history.

    Tgca is trying to rewrite history here with some cheap shots at Rubio.

    “I lived in FL”

    LOL

  44. jason says:

    Bunu supports Tgca’s cheap shots at Rubio?

    I rest my case.

  45. Tgca says:

    I think I we need our resident gay authority LisaB to weigh in on Biden’s homophobic comments against Mayor Butt.

    Hollywood will not accept gays being attacked by politicians, even if Hollywood ALWAYS hires straight people to play gay characters in the movies…but that’s only because there’s no gay actors in Hollywood…right?

  46. Tgca says:

    46

    Jadon defeated and destroyed just like lil Marco. Next topic please.

    Who should Trump replace on Mount Rushmore?

  47. lisab says:

    i think china is doing more damage to their economy by their overreaction to the virus

  48. PresidentPaul! says:

    Weekly Standard appointed Marco, Paul Ryan and Cantor as the great new hope.

    Next, Bill Kristol endorsed Bernie to defeat Trump.

    lulz

  49. PresidentPaul! says:

    Tried to find the famous “young guns of the house GOP” full article, but pretty sure they hid the article since Biill Kristol is voting Bernie now.

  50. PresidentPaul! says:

    Biden has been watching too many snoops dog twitter feeds.

    Funny how snoop has not been banned for threatening ppl yet but zerohedge has been.

  51. Tgca says:

    50. Absurd that Kristol would support Bernie!

    I’d expect Kristol to endorse Mayor Butt, if anyone, seeing they both bat (or catch) for the same team.

  52. jason says:

    Although I though Rand’s immigration views were pretty good,”

    Really? I will take your word for it.

    “Sen. Rand Paul (R.-Ky.) said to illegal aliens who want to live and work in the United States: “We will find a place for you.”

    Paul also said he envisions today’s illegal aliens becoming additional “taxpayers.”

    “Imagine 12 million people who are already here coming out of the shadows to become new taxpayers,” said Paul.

  53. PresidentPaul! says:

    Bass enrages CCP

    Kyle Bass took his long-time battle with China up another notch by getting into a heated spat with the influential editor-in-chief of a Communist Party-backed newspaper.
    The hedge fund manager suggested on Twitter that the U.S. abandon efforts to help contain the coronavirus and let it spread through China’s leadership.
    “We should take our supplies and go back home. Let the chinese virus rampage through the ranks of the GT and the rest of the communist party,” the founder and chief investment officer of Dallas-based Hayman Capital Management wrote.

  54. jason says:

    Yeah, Tgca had a real killer argument regarding Rubio.

    “I lived in FL”.

    I mean, damm, how intellectually devastating an argument.

  55. Tgca says:

    57

    Enough Jadon! You lost the Rubio debate. On to more pressing issues.

    Who should Trump replace on Mt. Rushmore?

  56. lisab says:

    Queen tells Andrew “Go shake hands with the Chinese ambassador.”

  57. lisab says:

    Not going back to work on Monday: Shanghai, Beijing, Hangzhou.
    ————–

    china’s economy is getting pummeled

  58. lisab says:

    Hollywood will not accept gays being attacked by politicians
    ———————-

    sure they will, these are dem politicians

  59. Tgca says:

    N/T loosahs!!!

  60. SanDiegoCitizen says:

    “Illinois drivers would not be allowed to pump their own gas if a new bill in Springfield becomes law. Under House Bill 4571, the Gas Station Attendant Act, only dedicated employees would be allowed to pump gas at Illinois gas stations.”

    Is there a reason for this bill? Only News Jersey and Oregon require this, and there are moves to get rid of it in Oregon.

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